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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the Podcast and the battle pododcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Schad Mollman. I'm the chief content officer of

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. This is the podcast where me and

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Speaker 1: my best friend, my companion, my compadre professional letter Simon Hunter,

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Speaker 1: are going to run through every single game on the

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Speaker 1: NFL slate. We're gonna break it down, what games do

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Speaker 1: we like. We're gonna narrow it down to six seven games.

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Speaker 1: On Thursday, we're gonna talk about those, gonna narrow it

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Speaker 1: down even further, find the best bets we can make.

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Speaker 1: As I mentioned, I'm from the Action Network. We are

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Speaker 1: a sports betting media company that focuses on providing the

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Speaker 1: best in tools, data research analysis for new and old

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Speaker 1: sports betters. Simon is not old, but he is an

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Speaker 1: old time sports better. Good afternoon, my friend. That's why

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Speaker 1: you have to enjoy the wins. Look at us sitting

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Speaker 1: here a week later, from all three of our teams

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Speaker 1: winning to all three of our teams losing. It's uh

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Speaker 1: referring of course, to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Chicago Bears,

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Speaker 1: for you and me respectively, and for Matt Mitchell the

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. I think that had to be douglast one

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Speaker 1: right on Sunday night and Monday night took some mellowtone,

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Speaker 1: and I was asleep by ten o'clock. I have no

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Speaker 1: idea what happened in the world after then, because what

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Speaker 1: I'm realizing, I just feel better all throughout the day

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Speaker 1: when I'm asleep, maybe an hour earlier. If I'm asleep

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Speaker 1: by ten, I wake up the next day, I'm so

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Speaker 1: much more productive. I'm so much more alert, I'm so

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Speaker 1: much more active. When I'm not the next day, I'm

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Speaker 1: just dragging. I'm like, I'm getting old and I need

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Speaker 1: more sleep. You two old, You're just an old man.

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Speaker 1: Well you missed two great games. Uh. The Seattle was

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Speaker 1: a great game, great backdoor cover. I mean, we've had

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Speaker 1: a great primetime game. So that was just back and forth.

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Speaker 1: Just insanity. That Tennessee Tis Bills game where either team

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Speaker 1: winning or losing. It's like you, you kind of you're

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Speaker 1: kind of not a fault. It's like you needed a

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Speaker 1: little bit of luck to win that game, and just

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Speaker 1: luck broke Tennessee's why I'm so frustrated right now, because

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Speaker 1: we've talked about this, you and I, Simon. It's a

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Speaker 1: strange year. For betting. So far, there's been a few

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Speaker 1: two of the past three weeks where favorites have just crushed.

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Speaker 1: And as you know, I will bet every weekend with

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Speaker 1: my body. Matt and I have talked about in the

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Speaker 1: podcast before. Oftentimes I will overrule him and make what

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Speaker 1: I think are the sharp bets on the sharp sides,

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Speaker 1: and then for the past few years it's always one.

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Speaker 1: And this year I'm overruling him consistently and he's getting annoyed.

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Speaker 1: And this past weekend he liked every favorite and all

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Speaker 1: Sunday all he did was text me about we'd be

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Speaker 1: three and one if we chose my picks, we'd before

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Speaker 1: and one. If we chose my picks, we'd be five

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Speaker 1: and one. If we chose my picks, we'd be seven

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Speaker 1: and one. Because is all he did was but the

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Speaker 1: favorites all of the size, which I hated, and hey,

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Speaker 1: I feel like that's just it's bad form. After three

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Speaker 1: years of riding my tail to all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: be on one Sunday when things are going well to

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Speaker 1: be texting me about how great you are. Yeah, public

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Speaker 1: is king right now? Chat. Uh, we're living in day

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Speaker 1: ina ere. I'm getting dm S guys telling me I'm

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Speaker 1: terrible my job and they could do what I do.

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Speaker 1: All you need to do is take the favorites money

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Speaker 1: lines and you're good to go. So I don't think

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Speaker 1: people will realize need to the sports betting world. These

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Speaker 1: are kind of flukey weeks the sports books. We hear

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Speaker 1: them whine and we hear them complaining. As if any

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Speaker 1: of us feel sorry for any of them. We don't. Uh,

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Speaker 1: but that's rare for them to get butchered like that.

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Speaker 1: Back to back weeks. Um tough week for me too.

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Speaker 1: I tried doing a money line round robin. That ain't happened.

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Speaker 1: Every favorite is winning covering uh. Thinking our survivor pool,

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Speaker 1: the only ten people got knocked out, ten people that

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Speaker 1: didn't send pics like, no one's losing survivor. Uh, it's

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Speaker 1: it's a wonky you're so far Yeah, I eked by,

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Speaker 1: by the way, with the Steelers in my survivor pool

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Speaker 1: this week. You we we collectively had the Colts will

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Speaker 1: narrow it down on Thursday for that. Let's get to

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Speaker 1: the slate we'll talk about. As Signmon says, the bet

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Speaker 1: you must make, we may get to a hornet's nest.

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Speaker 1: We may get to a big balls. We'll see if

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Speaker 1: we do that today or Thursday. It's always a mystery.

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Speaker 1: Thursday night burn Burner Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns. Teddy

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Speaker 1: covers and the Denver Broncos who are covering less and less.

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Speaker 1: Their flaws have been revealed. Traveling to the Cleveland Browns,

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Speaker 1: who got stomped, absolutely stomped in a game where I

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Speaker 1: thought this was a smash smash smash spot for the Browns.

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Speaker 1: Baker looked out of sorts even though we ended game well. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Nick Chubb is out. Kareem Hunt's got hurt. What happened

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Speaker 1: to this Browns team? I feel terrible for Browns fans.

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Speaker 1: They had all these nice, shiny new toys coming to

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Speaker 1: the season. The defense, they'd spend money, built it back up.

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Speaker 1: All offense had two of the best running backs of football,

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Speaker 1: and Baker doesn't really been asked to do you much

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Speaker 1: because he had Landuring Odell. With those two running backs injuries,

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Speaker 1: the Browns just got crushed by injuries. So cream Hunt,

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Speaker 1: I think it's three weeks now he's gonna put on

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Speaker 1: the IRR. Their cornerback situation is not improving. Ugly ugly,

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Speaker 1: ugly that was That was one of my worst bets

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Speaker 1: by far this weekend. Um. I mean just felt just

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Speaker 1: from the get go, you felt like you're on the

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Speaker 1: wrong side. Um so, Mom, I would love the Browns here,

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Speaker 1: just a great bounce back spot at home short week.

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Speaker 1: But the injuries. We just talked about it, and I

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Speaker 1: know Denver has their issues. I saw Patrick Shartain there,

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Speaker 1: the guy they drafted to play cornerback, was playing wide

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Speaker 1: receiver for them a couple of snaps last week. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Denver has got real issues with the wide receiver position.

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Speaker 1: And you know, Teddy, it wasn't so much I was

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Speaker 1: fading then with the Raiders last week. I just thought

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Speaker 1: that the Raiders were just a more complete team playing

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Speaker 1: against you know, playing down against the team in Denver.

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Speaker 1: This is a fair matchup with this Denver team. Now

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Speaker 1: with the Browns so injured, and I think Baker is

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Speaker 1: kind of I don't not describe it. It's like one

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Speaker 1: week you hear it's partially torn. The next week they're

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Speaker 1: saying it's fully torn. I mean it's we don't really

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Speaker 1: know what his injury. Injury is on his option, not

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Speaker 1: his throwing shoulder. The other shoulder. But man, if this

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Speaker 1: this is like a real thing like this, this guy

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Speaker 1: is one good arm um. He's always a play away

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Speaker 1: from being hurt. And then case Keenom's coming in. So

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Speaker 1: this non we're still sitting at three and a half

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Speaker 1: of your book with the broncos. I have no issue

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Speaker 1: taking that. As we was sitting on Tuesday, Um, Teddy

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Speaker 1: covers he's been bad of late. It hasn't been an underdog,

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Speaker 1: and we we like Teddy taking him in his position

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Speaker 1: as an under talk. So three and a half that

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Speaker 1: is an underdog. This this is when we pounce. So

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Speaker 1: as long as you're you're getting that hook above the three,

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Speaker 1: I feel comfortable taking it, just because as we sit

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Speaker 1: here on Tuesday, the information we're getting it feels like

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Speaker 1: it's me a game time decision for Baker. So I

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Speaker 1: do see this number coming down. If it is, Baker

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Speaker 1: is out, So I would take that three and a

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Speaker 1: half all you can. It's gonna be tough. I'm seeing

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Speaker 1: a lot. I'm seeing a lot of threes right now

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Speaker 1: across the board. Um our friends at fan Duel are

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Speaker 1: at three. No, actually, I'm seeing a pretty even mixed

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Speaker 1: three and a half and don't hate the three. It's

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Speaker 1: like you're if you're in a state where you only

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Speaker 1: can get the FanDuel line at three. I don't hate it.

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Speaker 1: We we just love the hook here. I mean we've

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Speaker 1: been saved by a couple of times and three and

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Speaker 1: a half, so it's not ideal. But at this matchup,

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Speaker 1: if it's a backup in case Kingdom with a banged

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Speaker 1: up Brown's team with no. No. Number one running back, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I like the value on Denver. This next game, oh

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Speaker 1: my god, it has the makings of so much fun.

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Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans. Right now, the Titans

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Speaker 1: are five and a half point underdogs. This game opened

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Speaker 1: with the Titans as four and a half point underdogs.

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Speaker 1: So very quickly since the Monday night game last night

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Speaker 1: we're recording this Tuesday afternoon, the money has poured in

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Speaker 1: on the Chiefs. Let me give you my quick take

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Speaker 1: on this similar spot to me as the Titans last night.

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Speaker 1: They are a live dog when they're at home with

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Speaker 1: a relatively big number playing against superior competition. Yeah, but

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Speaker 1: even last night, Tannehill just does not look right this year.

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Speaker 1: He did not play good in that game that the

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Speaker 1: X factors. Just Derrick Henry, he is on a historical page.

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Speaker 1: I think they're saying he's on pace for two thousand

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Speaker 1: food yards rushing and uh three touchdowns rushing, like he

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Speaker 1: would get seven with the seventeen game season, even if

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Speaker 1: it was a sixteen game season. He's on pace for

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Speaker 1: two thousand eighty eight yards. And there was also something

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Speaker 1: I read this morning. Kendall Baker, who writes the sports

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Speaker 1: newsletter for Axios, had a stat that Derrick Henry is

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Speaker 1: on pace if he continues with where he's going now

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Speaker 1: to break Emmett Smith's Russian record by the time he

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Speaker 1: is thirty four. And like, I'm never a big fan

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Speaker 1: of on pace over the you know, length of a career,

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Speaker 1: because who knows what can happen. But it wasn't asking

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Speaker 1: for something outrageous given what he's done in the first

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Speaker 1: few years of his career. And Emma Smith was thirty

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Speaker 1: five when he did it. Yeah, Emmett, you look at

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Speaker 1: him and Smith, he looks like common man compared to

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry. Derek's fifty looks like he's running four to forty.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we've never seen anything like it. He is

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Speaker 1: a freeze. So like you just talked about, this is

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Speaker 1: a good number. We take kind of sea here and

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Speaker 1: that the only fear is that they have no cornerbacks.

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs are gonna eat away at that. But with

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry against orbably the worst run defense and all

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Speaker 1: football and Kannas City Chiefs, you gotta feel pretty good.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Washington was in that game. It was thirteen

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Speaker 1: and ten a halftime, and then Taylor Ioke he turned

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Speaker 1: back into a pumpkin. He just fell apart like that.

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Speaker 1: That kid is not a good quarterback. I think Daniel

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Speaker 1: is better than that kid. I think Daniel was a

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Speaker 1: top you know, twenty quarterback, top fifteen. That kid's not

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Speaker 1: a starter. So we like this number, I don't we'll

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Speaker 1: maybe we'll get to it on Thursday. Will be one

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Speaker 1: of our favorite bets if it keeps going, Like if

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Speaker 1: we get this up the six and a half again,

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Speaker 1: like we talked about Tennessee. Once I got the six

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Speaker 1: and a half, the value shifted Tennessee. So the same

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Speaker 1: thing goes here. If we can get a better number,

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Speaker 1: I'd be happy because that secondary is ugly for the Titans.

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Speaker 1: That is a bad, bad secondary. Josh Allen, he was

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Speaker 1: hitting guys wide open all game long. So it's a

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Speaker 1: little scary with that with the injuries. But this Chief's team,

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Speaker 1: we like to fade him off the cover it's worked

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Speaker 1: out for so this is a good position to take

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Speaker 1: Tennessee here, what do you have this game power rated at?

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Speaker 1: I thought it was gonna opened. I had a four

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Speaker 1: four and a half, a fairy number of the books

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Speaker 1: opened it. But they must have just got hit by

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Speaker 1: so much public money right away. They just moved the

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Speaker 1: right to the five and a half. So we'll see

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Speaker 1: the way trends. I do think you're gonna get value

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Speaker 1: on it. But you know, I like to wait on

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Speaker 1: these numbers. And I get a six, six and a half,

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Speaker 1: That's that's a key number. Yeah, we're gonna wait on

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Speaker 1: that one. We're gonna let that one. We're gonna let

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Speaker 1: that one cook. We're gonna let a bake little, let

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Speaker 1: it do the things, let it grow all those things.

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Speaker 1: New York Jets at New England Patriots. The New England Patriots,

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Speaker 1: who lost a heartbreaker against the Cowboys in over time,

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Speaker 1: are now six and a half point favorites, with the

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Speaker 1: New York Jets visiting the New York Jets. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm better right now. So I'm probably the wrong guy

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Speaker 1: to ask about this Patriots team. I I my two

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Speaker 1: biggest bet last week, We're the Raiders and the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I love the Patriots. Last week, I love the under

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Speaker 1: in that game and feeling good heading to the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 1: Cover was looking good, the under was looking good. I'll

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Speaker 1: blew up in my face with him five minutes. Uh

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Speaker 1: that that was a costly lost for me because I

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Speaker 1: I just love the number last week with Dallas got

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Speaker 1: up to four or four and a half and the

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Speaker 1: back down the three and a feel it's just a

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Speaker 1: good number for the Patriots. But man, that that Cowboys

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Speaker 1: team is storic six and oh against the spread there,

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Speaker 1: They're incredible this year. Now for this game, this is

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Speaker 1: another one you might as well wait this is I'm

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Speaker 1: seeing a lot of books. Uh what does Fandel have

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Speaker 1: it at six and a half for seven six and

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Speaker 1: a half, So you can wait on this one. Um

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Speaker 1: seeing a lot of Sharper books, off shore books up

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Speaker 1: to seven and a half at this point, wait for

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Speaker 1: the seven if you want to get that at Fandel,

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Speaker 1: because I think I'll get there at some point. Because

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Speaker 1: this is a teaser game. People like, you know, they

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Speaker 1: why wouldn't you tease the Patriots at home against this

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Speaker 1: Jets team were the last time they played. I mean

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Speaker 1: he what he throw four interceptions? Three interceptions? Just remember

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Speaker 1: Zack Wilson completely melted down the last time the Patriots played, So,

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Speaker 1: uh could be a trap game. The books are laying

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Speaker 1: here for people. They're gonna try to get all this

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Speaker 1: money back from last week. This is this is a

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Speaker 1: game I circled where I immediately thought myself, I love

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Speaker 1: the Patriots money line. So I had to take a

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Speaker 1: step back because it's like, oh man, we talked about

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Speaker 1: you kind of have to throw these these stats out

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Speaker 1: of Belichick with Brady, It's it's kind of a new error,

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Speaker 1: so which I love Belichick. Aainst rooky quarterbacks can say

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Speaker 1: you got a little lucky against Houston that come back,

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Speaker 1: and that was a rookie quarterback and not a very

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Speaker 1: good one. No, no, So there there are some issues

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Speaker 1: with this team. I mean, they got out out I

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Speaker 1: don't even remember the artis exactly, but Dallas probably had

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Speaker 1: two hundred more yards altogether and it was just a

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Speaker 1: flukey game there, and they should have won that game.

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Speaker 1: Last week. So could we could be getting some good

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Speaker 1: value here on the jet, especially if this gets to

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Speaker 1: the plus seven. So on another line I had been

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Speaker 1: waiting taking in when it gets to a better number.

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Speaker 1: The next game on the board, Carolina Panthers at New

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Speaker 1: York Giants. The Giants got dusted the last couple of weeks.

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Speaker 1: Andrew Thomas was out again. As soon as we started

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Speaker 1: talking about how great Andrew Thomas is the left tackle

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Speaker 1: for the Giants, how great Daniel Jones has improved, how

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Speaker 1: much he's improved. Um, this team is starting to come

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Speaker 1: together and look like a real football team. Andrew Jones

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Speaker 1: has concussed. I mean Daniel Jones get concussed. He's out

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Speaker 1: next week plays terrible. Andrew Thomas out versus Cowboys injured

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Speaker 1: again the next week. This team is getting slack um,

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Speaker 1: and all of a sudden they got the Panthers. Who

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Speaker 1: Sam Donald like talk about two teams that it was

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Speaker 1: easy to have a read on right between Sam Donald

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Speaker 1: doing so well, Daniel Jones improving. Now everybody looks like

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Speaker 1: they're learning how to play football again. Yeah, feel like

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Speaker 1: none of us ever believed in Daniel Jones though, Like

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Speaker 1: that that was a great win with the Saints, but

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Speaker 1: he just he's a flash. He's a flash on the fan.

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Speaker 1: He has great moments and then he just is bad

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Speaker 1: again for three or four games. Uh, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with this game, of course,

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Speaker 1: Like I like the Giants and I leaned towards them.

290
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Speaker 1: They're the home dog that they're gett they're gonna get

291
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Speaker 1: it two and a half maybe a three. Sam Donald

292
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Speaker 1: is just so terrible at certain points, like his interceptions

293
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Speaker 1: are just bad, and he can't stop turning the ball over,

294
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Speaker 1: like he's making rookie mistakes that he shouldn't be making

295
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Speaker 1: in a fifth, six year player. So I don't know,

296
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Speaker 1: like this is one of these I'll wait on. Maybe

297
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Speaker 1: I'll have a better opinion on Thursday. But as we

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Speaker 1: sit here right now, I just don't like either side

299
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Speaker 1: because it's just so bross. So they moved to three.

300
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Speaker 1: I'll like the Giants a lot more because that's a

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Speaker 1: good number for just two bad teams that both of

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Speaker 1: them rely on their defense. Like this will be one

303
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Speaker 1: of these games where I'd love the under if both

304
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Speaker 1: these quarterbacks and turn it over so much. So it

305
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Speaker 1: could be one of these games, I'll take an ugly

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Speaker 1: over and I'll just take the dog at home. We

307
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Speaker 1: had no skin in the game on the from a

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Speaker 1: contest or best five perspective on the Panthers and the Vikings,

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Speaker 1: I had teasers us. So I got really lucky with

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Speaker 1: that backdoor. So that past Sam Donald made on fourth

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Speaker 1: down from the four yard line, incredible past. Where did

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Speaker 1: that come from? And then and then he has followed

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Speaker 1: it up with this great fade to d J Moore

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Speaker 1: on another fourth down that those were Those were professional,

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Speaker 1: high caliber quarterback throws. If I'm if I'm Carolina, I'm

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Speaker 1: getting the guy that can hypnotize someone in the office today,

317
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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna hypnotize every downs fourth down and you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have an all Pro at a quarterback in Sam Donald.

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Speaker 1: He can only play good on fourth down. The guy

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Speaker 1: is not wired right. Wow, that's a really good idea.

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Speaker 1: Coaches should do that. I wonder if players would actually

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Speaker 1: LEAs submit to that. Like some look, some guys might

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Speaker 1: only be great when they're under pressure and everything is

324
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Speaker 1: flailing around them. In fact, and he's one of those people,

325
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Speaker 1: like he really couldn't hit a guy wide open in

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Speaker 1: the middle of the field on like an easy third

327
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Speaker 1: and seven. On its third fourth and seven, he's sitting

328
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Speaker 1: guys twenty five yards down the field, perfect ball. It's

329
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Speaker 1: Sam Donald. Something is just not right there. Speaking of

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Speaker 1: hitting guys, we have what all of a sudden is

331
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Speaker 1: a Marquis matchup, Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens. The Bengals

332
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Speaker 1: right now are the six point underdogs, so the Ravens

333
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Speaker 1: are favored by six. Huge swing in this line. The

334
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Speaker 1: look aheadline on this I think was minus ten. Um.

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Speaker 1: And look, we love the Lions. This past week, we

336
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Speaker 1: thought this was a team that that was playing competitively. Um,

337
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Speaker 1: Jared Goff we thought kind of didn't know how bad

338
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Speaker 1: he was and was playing a little bit above his

339
00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:04,800
Speaker 1: skill set. I think we were a little concerned about

340
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Speaker 1: the Bengals offensive line, and we just thought it would

341
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Speaker 1: be a more competitive game. But Joe Burrows just the

342
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Speaker 1: guy's got swag. He's got total swag. Yeah. I loved

343
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Speaker 1: it for a letdown spot too, just because of this

344
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Speaker 1: game right here, Like I felt like they'd be looking

345
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Speaker 1: ahead for this matchup, because I know this is one

346
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Speaker 1: of these games that if you're gonna win the division,

347
00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:30,399
Speaker 1: you have to beat the Ravens. And you're right. I

348
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 1: mean Joe he does stupid picks every now and then,

349
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 1: like he still shows his age being a second year quarterback,

350
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,520
Speaker 1: but that connection with him and Jamar Chase is incredible.

351
00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:41,840
Speaker 1: Like I was one of the idiots that I didn't

352
00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:43,720
Speaker 1: like that they drafted Jamar Chase just because I thought

353
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:46,040
Speaker 1: they didn't need to shr up that offensive line. It

354
00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,280
Speaker 1: doesn't matter. The guy's getting crushed back there. He's gonna

355
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 1: hit every game, but he's still popping up. But Jamaar

356
00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:52,720
Speaker 1: Chase is better than any offensive lineman they would have

357
00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,520
Speaker 1: taken there, so that that's definitely a miss by me.

358
00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:58,160
Speaker 1: But it's still worries and when that Joe's taking so

359
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:02,359
Speaker 1: many hits. Um, But yeah, you love Like I wanted

360
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,679
Speaker 1: to give this out as my Simon says, play at seven,

361
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:06,520
Speaker 1: but now it sounded six and a half of FanDuel

362
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:08,800
Speaker 1: don't love it as much. I really liked it at

363
00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:12,399
Speaker 1: seven and seven and a half. Um, of course we

364
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,480
Speaker 1: take that. We we take Joe here and a divisional

365
00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:18,520
Speaker 1: matchup against the Ravens team that they've been playing way

366
00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:22,399
Speaker 1: above their head. Um. They have nineteen starters out from

367
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:25,320
Speaker 1: the beginning of the season. Two injuries. That's the highest

368
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:27,359
Speaker 1: number and it's ahead of the lines I believe for

369
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 1: the most injuries to their their fifty three. So it's

370
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,160
Speaker 1: it's hard to go against Lamar like we love them

371
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:38,520
Speaker 1: last week against the Chargers. Matchup wise, this is a

372
00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,359
Speaker 1: better matchup where the Bengals have improved their defense and

373
00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 1: now they have the weapons on offense to do things.

374
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Speaker 1: So I like it. Man, I got We'll see how

375
00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:49,679
Speaker 1: you feel about you had, but above six, this feels

376
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,800
Speaker 1: like a good number to take take the Bengals in

377
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,840
Speaker 1: our contests. But um, as long as it stays above

378
00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:56,680
Speaker 1: the six, if it gets if it gets the five

379
00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 1: and a half six, I don't love it as much.

380
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:00,639
Speaker 1: But at six and a half seve, I feel like

381
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:02,720
Speaker 1: we're getting good value. What do you have a power

382
00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:06,159
Speaker 1: rated at right now? I had it at seven. But

383
00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:09,200
Speaker 1: like again, I'm a little inflated. Just on the Ravens

384
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:12,239
Speaker 1: at home. I just people can notice a pattern here.

385
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 1: I've always bet the Ravens at home. I'm not there's

386
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 1: nothing crazy about it. Just Lamar has been good to

387
00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:19,159
Speaker 1: me in his career. At home. He covers for me,

388
00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 1: So I do skew towards that. But Joe Burrow has

389
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,960
Speaker 1: been a covering machine. He covers and you're you're giving

390
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,760
Speaker 1: him a full touchdown, full six and a half. It's

391
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:33,040
Speaker 1: hard not to take him in this position. Yeah, this

392
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:37,440
Speaker 1: is such a tricky one. It is we I love

393
00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:41,200
Speaker 1: the Ravens. Last week, Um, you and I had you're

394
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 1: definitely yeah, like you had a We had a long

395
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:46,879
Speaker 1: conversation about it on Sunday morning when we were finally

396
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:51,160
Speaker 1: deciding on what the five best were. And uh, it's

397
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,439
Speaker 1: one of the few times where I was adamant about

398
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:56,960
Speaker 1: a team. And we put the Ravens in at minus

399
00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: two and a half, and immediately it just felt like

400
00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: the right side. You know, the Chargers were due for

401
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 1: a regression, and it just felt so natural. You gotta

402
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:09,760
Speaker 1: wonder if the Ravens are due for aggression now, right,

403
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:14,240
Speaker 1: just a couple of weeks of incredible, incredible play and

404
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:18,119
Speaker 1: a miracle come back and then just a fantastic, fantastic

405
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,840
Speaker 1: win against the Chargers. I don't know why I don't

406
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 1: have a read on this. Um, We'll think of it

407
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:26,520
Speaker 1: this way. What would this line be if they had

408
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:28,679
Speaker 1: lost that Chiefs game, so they didn't get that fumble,

409
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:30,680
Speaker 1: they will lost that game. And if that Lions game

410
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 1: they didn't win, that one will just be three and

411
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 1: a half. So because of two little weird bounces, you're

412
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,120
Speaker 1: getting full three points in this matchup. That's why it's

413
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 1: like it's it's scary taking it. And I'm one of

414
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 1: these people. I do overvalue the Ravens because I'm they're

415
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,439
Speaker 1: playing at home. But that's the reason why you have

416
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:48,960
Speaker 1: to kind of take this number. You're you're getting a

417
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 1: line that's just inflated, simply off two bounces of in

418
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 1: two different games. Well, that's a really good way to

419
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 1: look at it. I try. I didn't think about it

420
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 1: that way. All right, you know what I'm in Baby?

421
00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:06,639
Speaker 1: Should we make it the Simon says says when Simon says,

422
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 1: I feel like I would get the seven, all right,

423
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:20,159
Speaker 1: So let's wait. Let's say, like Simon says, bet this

424
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 1: if it gets the seven. Yeah, if you're if you

425
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 1: got a book at seven ticket, Okay, Atlanta Falcons at

426
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,679
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. I don't even want to talk about the

427
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 1: Falcons and the Dos and the Dolphins. This is because

428
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 1: this is the Corner TV game right now. Looking at

429
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:38,199
Speaker 1: the Action Network data, This has the fewest bets of

430
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 1: any game, any game on the board, the fewest bets.

431
00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 1: So the Falcons right now are visiting the Dolphins. There

432
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:51,639
Speaker 1: are two and a half point favorites on the road. Wow,

433
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:56,239
Speaker 1: mm hmmm, are you kidding me? Come on, don't you

434
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 1: love it? Are you fucking kidding me? Simon, we're gonna

435
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,680
Speaker 1: we're gonna have to go from Simon says, We're gonna

436
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 1: have to walk right into the fucking Hornets nest and

437
00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:08,880
Speaker 1: beat the Miami Dolphins. I'm walking to a fucking hornets nest,

438
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:23,199
Speaker 1: all right, I'll be my companion on everyone. Hey, everyone's

439
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 1: still in the same exact way to do. This is horrible.

440
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:29,440
Speaker 1: This is gross. They just lost to the Jaguars in London.

441
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 1: This is a bad team in Miami Atlanta coming off

442
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 1: a bye week. Oh, it's like it feels like it's

443
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 1: too good to be true. Like they're giving us a

444
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 1: little gift here the gambling gods. Um, everyone's gonna bet

445
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 1: in Atlanta. Only pros will be take in Miami. Two

446
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 1: is not as bad as he looked in that game,

447
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 1: Like he had little moments where he looked rusty, like

448
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 1: getting played in a couple of weeks. Love Miami, Love

449
00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 1: Miami in this bounceback spot at home. After that kind

450
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:59,160
Speaker 1: of loss, um, I will be on an island though,

451
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 1: So I have no Oh, this is the same thing

452
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 1: where I me and you're gonna, we're gonna it's gonna

453
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 1: come to Sunday and i'mnna be like, I can't do

454
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 1: it to each other. I can't make you put this

455
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:08,679
Speaker 1: one in the contest and Miami is gonna win by

456
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 1: twenty points. So these are one of the few lines

457
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 1: I bet early on because if you got the three

458
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 1: at a couple of books for just a little bit,

459
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 1: and I bet it, and now it's back down to

460
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 1: two and a half, So if it gets back to three,

461
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:20,919
Speaker 1: I'll be on Miami. Listen, You're not gonna have to

462
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,840
Speaker 1: make me do anything. Like almost as soon as I

463
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 1: started thinking about it and looking at it, I realized,

464
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:31,200
Speaker 1: this is just one. You gotta hold your nose right

465
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:35,439
Speaker 1: the same reason like again that Jets one sucked, But

466
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 1: I'll take three and a half with the Jets every

467
00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:41,120
Speaker 1: time against Matt Ryan and make him have a drive

468
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:42,440
Speaker 1: at the end of the game to win the game,

469
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: which he really can do. So it's the same kind

470
00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:48,200
Speaker 1: of situation here. It's people are coming in really high

471
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 1: on Matt Ryan now and I feel like we're buying

472
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:54,400
Speaker 1: the dip on Miami. Yeah, I agree, buying the dead

473
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 1: going low. It's like getting crypto. When it was at you,

474
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:05,200
Speaker 1: Washington football team at Green Bay Packers, Packers are nine

475
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:09,000
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. Aaron Rodgers put on display

476
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 1: against the Bears and then uh, yelling to the crowd,

477
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:18,200
Speaker 1: I still own you. Was as gut wrenching, heartbreaking, mean

478
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 1: spirited as anything that's ever been said to anyone in

479
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,119
Speaker 1: Soldier Field, on or off the field. And there have

480
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 1: been some ugly, ugly things said at Soldier Field, I

481
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 1: can promise you. The chefter tweet popped in my mind,

482
00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 1: the assault tweet. That's what that was. I was assault.

483
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,679
Speaker 1: It was like, honestly, you had to call the cops.

484
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 1: It was just it was so mean. How do you

485
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: bet against this Packers team right now? And this this

486
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 1: is a tough one, right because this Washington football team,

487
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: like you said, they look a little bit like a mess.

488
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: They held down for the first half and then got

489
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,680
Speaker 1: blown out. And the Packers just keep looking good even

490
00:25:55,720 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 1: without anyone in the defensive secondary. Yeah, uh pros Joe's

491
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 1: game now, by the way, that's on the Packers, money

492
00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:07,360
Speaker 1: on the on the Washington football team. And we talked Sunday, Um,

493
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,159
Speaker 1: we were both high coming on the Bears, and I

494
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 1: told you about just a bunch of pros I talked

495
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 1: to coming heavy on Green Bay and there was a

496
00:26:13,600 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 1: bunch of injuries to the D line of the Bears,

497
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 1: and I was gonna make a difference in that game.

498
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:20,159
Speaker 1: We saw they never really got to Rogers and eventually

499
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 1: they're Aaron kind rallied the troops. Green Bay took a

500
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 1: ten point lead, they never gave it back to the Bears.

501
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,160
Speaker 1: So same kind of situation here. We have a Green

502
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:32,159
Speaker 1: Bay team that you just kind of tapped on it

503
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: that they shouldn't be winning and covering all these games

504
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,120
Speaker 1: like they are. They've kind of gotten a little bit lucky.

505
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 1: A lot of us have dabted them along the way.

506
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: We just don't think they're as good as they appear.

507
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 1: But man, Washington is just a dumpster fire. Um, I'm

508
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: not sure that enough people really know the whole story

509
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 1: with the Sean Taylor incident where Dad or they retired

510
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:57,199
Speaker 1: Sean Taylor's jersey last week, Um the football team and

511
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 1: it was pretty much luckily I was thrown together in

512
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 1: two weeks and it's kind of deflection from the whole

513
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 1: email scandal. Now this steam is like I feel like

514
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 1: there are enemy number one in the media. Everyone just

515
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:11,919
Speaker 1: hates them. Their own fans hate them. There not that

516
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 1: they're falling apart, but like that second half, they just

517
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 1: have no quarterback play and Terry mclaurin's hurt, Curtis Samuel's hurt,

518
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:24,439
Speaker 1: and their running backs hurt. Um, it's it feels like

519
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 1: it's too much for this Washington team. So they're fully

520
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 1: healthy with all their weapons and maybe Fits was back,

521
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:32,800
Speaker 1: we would love this game. I mean, give me ten

522
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 1: ten a half all day of the week, without all

523
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 1: those without all that stuff. I'm not doing it. I'm

524
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,000
Speaker 1: not putting any more money on this Washington team until

525
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,400
Speaker 1: they showed me. So I'm happy to take this under

526
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 1: ten points. Take Green Bay here, Yeah, you'll need a

527
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 1: little bit of elect to cover that number, but you

528
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:51,440
Speaker 1: have above of covering it. This is just all slengthy

529
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,679
Speaker 1: towards a big favorite here with Green and Bad. Even

530
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 1: though there's gonna be a couple of dogs, big dogs

531
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 1: be like this week, this is not one of them. Wow,

532
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 1: it's so rare to hear someone who does this professionally

533
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,320
Speaker 1: say I want the team that's going to be the

534
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,640
Speaker 1: double digit favorite. Well, I mean, we you heard before.

535
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 1: It convinced me. I was talking Darren and he wanted

536
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 1: to take Houston. I told him stay away, like you

537
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 1: take the culture to stay away. That's that's a trap

538
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 1: line for that game. Literally, I know that every big

539
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 1: dog was a trap line. It didn't matter. I mean,

540
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:25,639
Speaker 1: it was just one of those weeks. So it is

541
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:30,679
Speaker 1: scary that. Um, I love this line so much for

542
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 1: Green Bay because we just talked about some of these

543
00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 1: big dogs. They're gonna come through this week. This Vegas

544
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 1: is not gonna keep losing all this money. It's all

545
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:43,880
Speaker 1: these favorites. And now a word from our friends at

546
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:47,080
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547
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549
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550
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:04,800
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551
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 1: our Action Network expert Raheem Palmer, I may go with

552
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,280
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553
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,800
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554
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558
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560
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561
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563
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566
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567
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568
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569
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570
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571
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:16,120
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572
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573
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:25,200
Speaker 1: the show, all right. Let's talk about the Philadelphia Eagles.

574
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders. The Eagles now three

575
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:36,840
Speaker 1: and a half point dogs, massive, massive pros Joe's game.

576
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 1: And this is when you one hundred percent flip the

577
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 1: script and bet on the Philadelphia Eagles. Yeah, we're not

578
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,240
Speaker 1: gonna have fun. This is not going to enjoy enjoying.

579
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 1: I mean, anyone that bet the Eagles Thursday night, that

580
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 1: was not fun. That was such an awful sweat, but

581
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 1: such a beautiful one at the same time, it was

582
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 1: never in doubt. As they said again Chad touched on it.

583
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 1: This is a pros versus Joe's game. We are gonna

584
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 1: start seeing a pattern here. Whatever game I think Stucky

585
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 1: tweted out. Whoever is the underdog in the Oakland I

586
00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 1: mean the Las Vegas radio matchup. You just take the underdog,

587
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,080
Speaker 1: that's who's gonna cover. So it Las Las Vegas and

588
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,280
Speaker 1: then their dog and they'll cover. They're the favorite or

589
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: they're playing against it's gonna cover. We love it at

590
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:23,320
Speaker 1: three and a half. This is gonna go down to

591
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 1: three and a lot of books pros are gonna come

592
00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 1: in on this number. The Eagles team, they are one

593
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: of one of these teams where I am like, I'm

594
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 1: all in on fade them first half. I faded them

595
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 1: last week first half. Um. I think the only time

596
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,200
Speaker 1: it's burned me was the Kansas City game that might

597
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 1: have been closed first half. But they're they're not. They

598
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 1: just don't come out with a good game plan. Sirianni

599
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 1: is a bad coach, but we've seen it with this

600
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 1: this Las Vegas team. They they they kind of play

601
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,400
Speaker 1: up to level their competition. So we don't have that

602
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 1: great of a team here in the Eagles, but we

603
00:31:58,120 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 1: have an offense that can move the ball and we're

604
00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: playing against a pretty banged up Las Vegas team. And again,

605
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 1: I feel so lucky last week with Eagles covering the

606
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: six and a half, I mean, came down to two

607
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:13,160
Speaker 1: point conversion. We got it. It feels like playing a

608
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,680
Speaker 1: little bit of dynamite here. But yeah, Chad, if if

609
00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 1: you can me on Sunday said I wanted to spe

610
00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:18,720
Speaker 1: one of our five and it's three and a half.

611
00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,240
Speaker 1: I love that number for this Egos team. This is

612
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,959
Speaker 1: just a close, close game for these two teams. I

613
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 1: feel like we've already got at least three games that

614
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 1: we love Bengals. If it gets to seven Miami at

615
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,520
Speaker 1: plus two and a half, Eagles plus three and a half,

616
00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:37,280
Speaker 1: it's gonna be one of those weeks where like the

617
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: teams we bet on are the teams that currently or

618
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 1: historically are the teams that make you the sickest, and

619
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 1: we'll have some favorite sprinkling there. Like again, I feel

620
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 1: like by Sunday I might put out Vincy on that

621
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 1: Green Bay pick. But yeah, as we said earlier in

622
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 1: the week, I always go towards dogs. There's just there's

623
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 1: just always going to be value on these teams where

624
00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 1: the public is feeling so good this week. Like again,

625
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:03,600
Speaker 1: all these guys think they're experts just because every favorite

626
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:06,960
Speaker 1: money line parlay hit. Uh, it just doesn't work that way.

627
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 1: So that's why it might look like ugly dogs. But

628
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 1: I feel like I love this to me was just clarity,

629
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:15,760
Speaker 1: Like as soon as I saw it, It's like I know,

630
00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 1: on this next game, Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams,

631
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,800
Speaker 1: you're gonna say to me, we gotta take the Lions

632
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:28,000
Speaker 1: at at plus fifteen, and I'm going to say to you,

633
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 1: get your head straight. That's a terrible idea. This Lions

634
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 1: team is lost. The coach was calling out Jared Goff

635
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 1: this week. They've reached the tipping point of Okay, we

636
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 1: can be competitive and maybe sneak one out. They've lost

637
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 1: too many games in heartbreaking fashion. I think they're on

638
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,200
Speaker 1: the other side of that now. I think they just

639
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:50,600
Speaker 1: know they're bad and they're gonna need a lot of luck,

640
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,360
Speaker 1: love and luck to find a win. And it's not

641
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 1: going to be against the Rams in Los Angeles, not

642
00:33:55,960 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 1: even by fifteen point spread. Yeah, they look lost. And

643
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 1: if anyone's gonna know all of Jared Goff's weaknesses, it's

644
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: gonna be Sean McVeagh. This is like literally the worst

645
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,839
Speaker 1: matchup he could possibly have. So I'll probably end up

646
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 1: being on the lines. But no, we'll not be giving

647
00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:14,719
Speaker 1: this pick out to anyone. This is uh, this is disgusting.

648
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:18,239
Speaker 1: So I might be on the ramps. That's a lot

649
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,040
Speaker 1: of That is a lot of points. I mean, covering

650
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,880
Speaker 1: two touchdowns is scary, but I can't fault you for

651
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:26,440
Speaker 1: it like that's this is uh? This is a bad

652
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: matchup for this lines team. They have no no one

653
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,440
Speaker 1: in their secondary. You have Stafford in a revenge game.

654
00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 1: You don't think he's gonna want to put up points

655
00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 1: against his old team. Like not not a not a

656
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:39,680
Speaker 1: good matchup at all for the lines team. Terrible. But

657
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 1: let's get to the most important one. Chicago Bears at

658
00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This line has moved up two and

659
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 1: a half points opened to ten, it's now at twelve

660
00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:54,160
Speaker 1: and a half. Please give me a million reasons to

661
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:56,160
Speaker 1: at least not bet the Bears. I don't have to

662
00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 1: bet the Bucks. Just tell me why I shouldn't bet

663
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 1: the Bears. Please, I'm fucking begging you. So the Bears

664
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:06,799
Speaker 1: can only run the ball. They're playing against the number

665
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:10,400
Speaker 1: one run defense. Isn't it that simple? Yes? Alright, great,

666
00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:14,360
Speaker 1: that's all that's all you need? Why right now the

667
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 1: bets are on the Bucks. The money is on the

668
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 1: Bears the same reason we took the Eagles last week.

669
00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:24,319
Speaker 1: The Buccaneers don't have a good enough secondary to be

670
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 1: fired by this many points against anyone. But it's I

671
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 1: don't know what we're gonna get out of fields like

672
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:33,720
Speaker 1: the offense and Naggie draws up. You guys were looking

673
00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:37,319
Speaker 1: great against the package. You're dominating in every way, and

674
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,839
Speaker 1: he changes it up. He switches what's working. He doesn't

675
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:43,399
Speaker 1: keep going back to what's working. I don't know, it's

676
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,719
Speaker 1: it's really hard to take the Buccaneers. It's such a

677
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:50,880
Speaker 1: big number here, um, But just these two different styles,

678
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 1: it's like the worst matchup the Bears could possibly have. Uh.

679
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:58,279
Speaker 1: They're like, again, you never know what fields. He could

680
00:35:58,280 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 1: show up in this game and have a great passing

681
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:02,000
Speaker 1: good day. But that's the only way they win this

682
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,759
Speaker 1: game or cover the number. I should say, like, the

683
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 1: only way you can get back to other should even

684
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,760
Speaker 1: keep this closer if he can pass it, because Brady

685
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 1: Brady is just cooking right now. Like their offense, even

686
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:16,800
Speaker 1: without Gronk, they haven't really missed a beat. Um. So yeah,

687
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:19,359
Speaker 1: this is a pro game. I guess the pros came

688
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:20,680
Speaker 1: in on the Stormer just because it's all like the

689
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:22,320
Speaker 1: third team. That's just way too many points for this

690
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,880
Speaker 1: fucking Ears team. But I would never make this one

691
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:26,719
Speaker 1: of my best five taken the Bears. You can tell

692
00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:31,160
Speaker 1: you that much. So Uh, two things. One Saturday afternoon

693
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:33,040
Speaker 1: and I'm driving to the city. Had to go to

694
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 1: a book party for our friend Seth Wickersham, who has

695
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:38,959
Speaker 1: been in the podcast and wrote the great book about

696
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 1: the Patriots, Styna Steve It's better to be feared out now. Um.

697
00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:45,399
Speaker 1: And I'm talking to a buddy on the way down

698
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,360
Speaker 1: from Chicago, and we, of course we're talking about the

699
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,200
Speaker 1: Bears for a minute, and we're talking about how we've

700
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 1: never seen a defensive backfield. Oh wow, as many receivers

701
00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:59,360
Speaker 1: to be as wide open as we've seen from the

702
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:03,000
Speaker 1: Bears this year, Like they have taken social distancing to

703
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 1: an art form in the way they are playing defense

704
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 1: in the backfield. And then the next day I'm at

705
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 1: home watching the game and the text chain with my

706
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 1: buddies from Chicago is so long and so violent and

707
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 1: so aggressive. Are you guys must have been feeling so

708
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:21,719
Speaker 1: good though that first quarter or use the first half,

709
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 1: you guys were winds. I think felt amazing, and it

710
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:28,760
Speaker 1: got so aggressively bad in the second half I couldn't.

711
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:33,120
Speaker 1: I actually I didn't even open the texts until like

712
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 1: it was seven. Like, you know your phone, how many

713
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:39,880
Speaker 1: messages you have seventeen text messages and I just ignored

714
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 1: them all until the next day. I could not I

715
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 1: could not engage in this conversation. Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals.

716
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:53,600
Speaker 1: The Houston Texans are seventeen point underdogs to the Arizona Cardinals.

717
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:56,640
Speaker 1: I can't see you said there's gonna be a big

718
00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:59,239
Speaker 1: dog that we love. There's only three games left to

719
00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,239
Speaker 1: talk about. This is the only big dog left. I

720
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 1: can't see how this could be one that you're feeling

721
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,760
Speaker 1: great about for any reason other than the number itself

722
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 1: and the hope that Trod Taylor is coming back. We

723
00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:15,040
Speaker 1: love this number. If the Rod Taylor comes back. Obviously,

724
00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:18,279
Speaker 1: if it's David Mills, whatever, game like, I'll bet on it,

725
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna a lot on it. If the

726
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: Rodd's back, I love it. Uh. Houston was playing really

727
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 1: well the first two weeks with him running it. They're

728
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:29,400
Speaker 1: running like a pistol offense, kind of a run option offense.

729
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 1: I just love that style. And against this Cardinals team

730
00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 1: that can be ran on, that's nice, Like, that's that's

731
00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 1: really good. You don't have the kind of situation where

732
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:42,759
Speaker 1: you're hoping the Cardinals kind of overlooked this team, like

733
00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:44,800
Speaker 1: they have to be feeling great right now. The Cardinals

734
00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:47,640
Speaker 1: are undefeated. They just blew out the Browns. Now they're

735
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:49,840
Speaker 1: coming home playing against aarably the worst, one of the

736
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:53,200
Speaker 1: worst teams of football. Man, give it to me. If

737
00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:55,800
Speaker 1: the Rodd's back and he's playing, I love this number.

738
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 1: If it's David Mills, I'm passing. So I bet a little.

739
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:01,439
Speaker 1: In the sevent team, I'm happy to bet it again

740
00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:03,400
Speaker 1: when it comes down a trout is the quarterback. As

741
00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:05,680
Speaker 1: long as it's above fourteen, I think you're getting a

742
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:08,479
Speaker 1: really good value here. One of my favorite television shows

743
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:11,719
Speaker 1: of all time is The West Wing, and it was

744
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 1: a joke amongst the cast and the West Wing that

745
00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 1: Martin Sheen could not remember anybody's name. It didn't matter

746
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:22,920
Speaker 1: if it was Aaron Sorkin who created the show. Alison

747
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:28,319
Speaker 1: Janny won Emmy's and went on to win an Oscar Like.

748
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:30,800
Speaker 1: It wasn't anything personal. It's just Martin Sheen couldn't remembers

749
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,400
Speaker 1: anybody's name. Is that my problem? You are the Martin

750
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:37,440
Speaker 1: Sheen of this podcast. You are beloved you, isn't it.

751
00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:42,360
Speaker 1: You are a force of nature, But you to this day.

752
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:45,839
Speaker 1: I cannot remember that the Raiders are now in Las

753
00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:49,360
Speaker 1: Vegas and that the guy's name is Davis Mills. What

754
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:52,360
Speaker 1: I say David again? Yeah? I got like ten David's

755
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:54,840
Speaker 1: in my life, all right. So if I do say Davis,

756
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:59,919
Speaker 1: that's a win. Well you got there eventually. So here's

757
00:39:59,920 --> 00:40:02,200
Speaker 1: the question. Though we don't know if Tyrod Taylor is

758
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 1: playing yet, do you bet a little bit on the

759
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:06,600
Speaker 1: Texas now and the hope that you think he's gonna play?

760
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:12,600
Speaker 1: Speaking of names, it's Tarad Okay, get it right? Who

761
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 1: are you? Who are you to bring it back to me? Uh? Yeah,

762
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:18,319
Speaker 1: that's what I'm saying. People have to bet it now

763
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 1: like you can. You can. You can risk it with me,

764
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 1: get the seventeen and then just buy out later. But

765
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: I love this number if he comes back. This's just

766
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 1: way too many points. This Cardinals team, Yeah, they're great.

767
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:33,839
Speaker 1: They're electric. I mean, would they be the Jags by

768
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:37,279
Speaker 1: twelve points or eleven points? Like there's They're just there

769
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:39,000
Speaker 1: are openings for teams to be able to put up

770
00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 1: points against this Cardinals team, like that Brown's game. Everything

771
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,160
Speaker 1: was hitting right. They're just their defense, their offense was

772
00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:47,520
Speaker 1: just flawless. In that game. It won't be that way

773
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:50,440
Speaker 1: this week. So you're giving me that many points with

774
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:54,879
Speaker 1: a good quarterback and Trod, I'll take it, all right. Well,

775
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:59,279
Speaker 1: we'll give it a look. Indianapolis called at San Francisco

776
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:03,799
Speaker 1: forty nine. There's the San Francisco forty Niners, three and

777
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 1: a half point favorites. I saw a tweet from a

778
00:41:08,600 --> 00:41:10,919
Speaker 1: beat writer for the Niners, and I apologize, I can't

779
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:14,040
Speaker 1: remember who it was. Within the span of like six days,

780
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 1: they're starting quarterback went down, their kicker pulled his groin

781
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:23,239
Speaker 1: during warmups. They lost three different running backs to freak injuries.

782
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:27,520
Speaker 1: They lost a cornerback to a freak injury. I've said

783
00:41:27,560 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 1: it before, no one has more fun playing with his

784
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 1: roster in desperation than Kyle Shanahan. But I don't know

785
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:38,040
Speaker 1: how you bet on a three and a half point

786
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:41,880
Speaker 1: favorite team against the Colston that is just trying to

787
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:45,640
Speaker 1: look better. Yeah, and again, Carson, he connected a lot

788
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:47,560
Speaker 1: of deep balls, but he wasn't have a great day.

789
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:49,479
Speaker 1: You just had a couple of deep bass that looked

790
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 1: like old vintage wins Ugly Like you just said, are

791
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 1: we really about to check Trey Lance? And minus three

792
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:57,719
Speaker 1: and a half minus four at home. I don't know

793
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:00,400
Speaker 1: about that. Like Trey, Lance hasn't really earned that respect

794
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:03,600
Speaker 1: yet for many of us. So Cold Steam, you know,

795
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 1: this could be one of these games where everyone's thinking

796
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:08,240
Speaker 1: under I like the over in a prime time spot,

797
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:11,839
Speaker 1: which is rare for me. But I like both these

798
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:13,840
Speaker 1: offenses have put up points in these kind of matchups.

799
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,320
Speaker 1: And it's both kind of speed on all offenses against

800
00:42:16,360 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 1: two defenses that are a little slow, and you know,

801
00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:22,200
Speaker 1: Chad just kind of touched on it. It's a lot

802
00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:24,839
Speaker 1: of points. Um, three and a half. I can see

803
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,600
Speaker 1: why it came down from four just because first glance,

804
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,759
Speaker 1: I merely I'm drawing towards the cold So not one

805
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 1: of not one of my favorites as we sit here

806
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:36,520
Speaker 1: on Tuesday. Um, but yeah, you know me, I I

807
00:42:36,560 --> 00:42:39,359
Speaker 1: love this Cold Steam. I like Carson Wentz. You're giving

808
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 1: me Carson with four points or three and a half

809
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 1: points against a rookie quarterback making his first start in primetime,

810
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:49,520
Speaker 1: I'm happy to fade him. Jonathan Taylor playing really, really

811
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 1: well and really well. I think it's disrespectful to say

812
00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:55,040
Speaker 1: he's playing out of his head. I think he's playing

813
00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 1: the way he could play like you saw it last year.

814
00:42:58,120 --> 00:42:59,800
Speaker 1: He can catch the ball, he can run with the

815
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 1: ball all he runs with power, he runs with speed,

816
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 1: he can find cracks in the offensive line. He knows

817
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:06,960
Speaker 1: where his blockers are going to be. I think he's

818
00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 1: just I think he's really good running back. And they

819
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:11,160
Speaker 1: got t Y Hilton back, which I think is a

820
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:12,880
Speaker 1: big reason why all of a sudden, this offense just

821
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:16,440
Speaker 1: looked better. It did, and it just looked like they

822
00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:18,319
Speaker 1: look like a complete team, which is what you're looking

823
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:20,000
Speaker 1: for when you're playing bad teams. You're just looking for

824
00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:21,719
Speaker 1: a team that can play and all the sides of

825
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:25,359
Speaker 1: the ball. So yeah, I just see a letdown spot

826
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:28,080
Speaker 1: here for this defense just going against you know, Shannon's

827
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:30,120
Speaker 1: had a week prepare, They're just coming off the bye week.

828
00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 1: I can just see the forty Arands putting up points,

829
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 1: but I can see the Colts keeping up with them.

830
00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:35,279
Speaker 1: Like you just talked about, they just have a lot

831
00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:38,040
Speaker 1: of weapons right now on this offense. Well, look, you know,

832
00:43:38,120 --> 00:43:41,640
Speaker 1: I love Shanahan, so I it's a scary bed for me,

833
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:52,800
Speaker 1: but I definitely like the Colts in this spot inunte football,

834
00:43:54,040 --> 00:44:02,799
Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks. The Saints are four

835
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:05,160
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites on the road against Geno

836
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:09,080
Speaker 1: Smith and the Seahawks, who completely broke my heart the

837
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,520
Speaker 1: other night after I went to bed from a melowtone

838
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,320
Speaker 1: and induced his because I had the Steelers at minus

839
00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:16,640
Speaker 1: four and a half. It looked perfect in the first half.

840
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 1: Then they made some adjustments and all of a sudden,

841
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 1: I don't want to bet this game. Are you gonna

842
00:44:24,640 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 1: give me a reason to bet this game? No? I mean,

843
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:29,360
Speaker 1: the only the only thing you would love is the

844
00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:33,040
Speaker 1: trend of I think Gina Smith now is five and

845
00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,000
Speaker 1: one against the spread in prime time games in his

846
00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:38,080
Speaker 1: last six starts, So I mean, if you like trends,

847
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 1: I guess that lean starts him. But don't give me

848
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 1: a bullshit trend sample like the Saints um coming off

849
00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:47,440
Speaker 1: bye week playing against the Seahawk. Seen that kind of

850
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 1: gave everything in that Pittsburgh matchup and they lost. So

851
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:55,160
Speaker 1: this stays at five, stays below six. God knows you're

852
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:57,439
Speaker 1: taking the Saints here. This is a must win game

853
00:44:57,480 --> 00:44:58,920
Speaker 1: for the Saints if they want to make the playoffs

854
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:01,640
Speaker 1: this year because they have a really hard schedule coming up,

855
00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 1: so they kind of got to steal this one here.

856
00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:07,719
Speaker 1: And you know, say what you want about this Saints team.

857
00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:10,319
Speaker 1: They haven't looked great obviously this year. Their defense has

858
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:12,880
Speaker 1: been played pretty well all year, so if that's one

859
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,120
Speaker 1: thing I can lean on, uh, And they're rushing attack

860
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 1: against this really bad run defense of the Seahawks. I

861
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,319
Speaker 1: like it. Like it's rare for me to take prime

862
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 1: time favorites, but I do like the Saints in this position. Yep,

863
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 1: it's kind of a past for me, that's fair. But

864
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:34,680
Speaker 1: I do think we've narrowed down some games. I mean, Chiefs, Titans.

865
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,359
Speaker 1: We're gonna keep an eye on Jets, Pats. We're gonna

866
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,880
Speaker 1: keep an eye on Bengals, Ravens. We're gonna keep an

867
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:44,799
Speaker 1: eye on Falcons Fins. By the way, Simon says, is Bengals, Uh,

868
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 1: if it gets to seven, the Falcons Fins is our

869
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:50,480
Speaker 1: Hornets nest. So on Thursday we will do a big

870
00:45:50,520 --> 00:45:53,120
Speaker 1: balls better. The week Eagles plus three and a half

871
00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:57,040
Speaker 1: against the Raiders were like Colts forty niners starting to

872
00:45:57,080 --> 00:45:59,200
Speaker 1: feel more appealing to me more than I think about it.

873
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:01,200
Speaker 1: So we had a lot of games talk about on Thursday.

874
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:05,160
Speaker 1: We've covered Hornets, Nas, we've covered. Simon says, by the way,

875
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:07,799
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, We've got to talk about this. A lot

876
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 1: of people have requested that we bring back something in

877
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:14,960
Speaker 1: the old days of the podcast. I used to have

878
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:19,280
Speaker 1: bookmaker Bob Scuccion, who's a legendary bookmaker from Las Vegas.

879
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:22,919
Speaker 1: He was the subject of my book The Odds, about

880
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:26,040
Speaker 1: guys who've been on sports for a living. Wonderful character

881
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:28,800
Speaker 1: called him Scooch. We used to call it scooch Roulette.

882
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:34,920
Speaker 1: We're gonna bring back the honorary scooch Roulette Pick of

883
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:37,919
Speaker 1: the Week, where Simon and I have to go head

884
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:39,560
Speaker 1: to head, like I'm going to choose a game, He's

885
00:46:39,560 --> 00:46:42,759
Speaker 1: going to choose a game, and Uh, that's it. Then,

886
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:44,719
Speaker 1: like we'll tally it for the rest of the year.

887
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:46,600
Speaker 1: Now I feel like we're playing with a a little skin

888
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 1: in the game. We are together, but there's a part

889
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 1: of us that is also against each other. Chad, shall

890
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,799
Speaker 1: I play the music? Play the music, Let's play Scout.

891
00:46:56,520 --> 00:47:01,440
Speaker 1: Time to take down the hops. When all hope is lost,

892
00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:11,840
Speaker 1: all that's left is relief. Let's play scooch Roulette. Scooch Roulette,

893
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:18,759
Speaker 1: the Honorary Scooch Roulette. Pick me and Simon Mano Amano

894
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 1: the way it's meant to be. I'm gonna let you

895
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:24,680
Speaker 1: go first. It can be any bet you want. You

896
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:27,759
Speaker 1: tell me, I'm gonna go chalk. I'll take Green Bay

897
00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:32,880
Speaker 1: minus nine and a half. Wow before it gets to ten. Dude,

898
00:47:32,880 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 1: I did not see that coming. Oh, I know you didn't.

899
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:38,360
Speaker 1: That completely throws me off. I mean, I've got to

900
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:40,279
Speaker 1: be the sharp here, and you take one of your

901
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:43,640
Speaker 1: ugly dogs. I'm going to be the sharp here public.

902
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:47,840
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Eagles plus three and a half at

903
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:52,440
Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders. Don't you put your juju on

904
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:54,359
Speaker 1: my team? What are you doing? Jail? As soon as

905
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 1: I saw this, I know how Badge Dalen hurts as

906
00:47:57,080 --> 00:48:00,360
Speaker 1: a quarterback, but this this number feels whack you to me,

907
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:03,480
Speaker 1: the same thing as the Patriots, Like you play that

908
00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:06,960
Speaker 1: number every time, like, yeah, the Patriots results sucked, but

909
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:09,640
Speaker 1: it honestly is the right side. That's why you kind

910
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:11,840
Speaker 1: of play that number. You just need a crazy fluke

911
00:48:11,880 --> 00:48:14,799
Speaker 1: situation not to cover it. I love that in our

912
00:48:14,880 --> 00:48:20,319
Speaker 1: first Scoot Roulette, I am going with the dog, the

913
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:25,280
Speaker 1: ugly dog, and you're a As they say in Quentin

914
00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:29,279
Speaker 1: Turntino Movies a square the public wins sometime. All right, listen,

915
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:31,279
Speaker 1: we're gonna come back on Thursday. We're gonna talk about

916
00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:33,719
Speaker 1: the games that we really love that we've narrowed down.

917
00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:37,880
Speaker 1: We're gonna trying about bet labs. NBA tonight starts tonight, Dude,

918
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:41,040
Speaker 1: NBA starts tonight. There's so much stuff on Action Network.

919
00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:43,279
Speaker 1: I am so excited. You know what I'm really going

920
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:48,000
Speaker 1: to be into this year, player props. I love betting

921
00:48:48,040 --> 00:48:50,160
Speaker 1: player props in the NBA. I don't know why I

922
00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:52,959
Speaker 1: like it more than the NFL, um but I love

923
00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:57,400
Speaker 1: betting player props in the NBA. Brandon Anderson Raheem Palmer

924
00:48:57,880 --> 00:49:00,760
Speaker 1: on the Action Network, both of them doing aasing jobs

925
00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:03,319
Speaker 1: with player props. So I'm going to be getting into that.

926
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:06,920
Speaker 1: Everyone check out everything on the Action Network, Simon. Very

927
00:49:06,920 --> 00:49:09,719
Speaker 1: good of you to pimp it. Appreciate it. We will

928
00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:12,840
Speaker 1: be back on Thursday. Download the podcast from Apple Podcasts,

929
00:49:12,840 --> 00:49:15,640
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast. It's a favorite.

930
00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:18,719
Speaker 1: Rate the podcast, review the podcast. You know what. We

931
00:49:18,840 --> 00:49:23,440
Speaker 1: had about a ten percent increase in listeners from week

932
00:49:23,520 --> 00:49:26,000
Speaker 1: five to week six, which means there are new people

933
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:28,440
Speaker 1: listening to the podcast, which means you've got to get

934
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:30,319
Speaker 1: in there people. You gotta rate it, you gotta review it,

935
00:49:30,560 --> 00:49:33,120
Speaker 1: you gotta subscribe, you've got to do the things that

936
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:35,759
Speaker 1: make us continue to grow. We appreciate it so much.

937
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:39,000
Speaker 1: That's why until Thursday, I love you