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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I can just about that action all right? Here we go.

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Speaker 3: Throwing out. We're sitting up to cash touch.

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Speaker 2: That's all we see.

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Speaker 3: Most gamble is ships. When they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to win. That's incredible, big bank to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine.

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Speaker 2: If you want to fall? And we are underway? What

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Speaker 2: is up?

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Speaker 3: Everybody? Welcome to The Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings.

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Speaker 3: I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and we're here week eighteen.

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Speaker 3: We've been through a whole season. Thank you for sticking

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Speaker 3: with us all year. We're gonna talk side totals, props,

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Speaker 3: money line, underdog Parway, touchdown Parway, and of course we

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Speaker 3: will build our Sunday six pack of against the Spread

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Speaker 3: bets with the help of my co host, the Prime

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Speaker 3: Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck. What is going on?

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Speaker 3: How you feel? You're up? You're still up thirteen on me,

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Speaker 3: so I still got work to do. But how you

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Speaker 3: feeling about Week eighteen?

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Speaker 2: Good? It's been a good run. Hopes to keep it going.

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Speaker 2: And I hope my ravens get in the dance, because

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Speaker 2: if you're in the dance this year, you can make

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Speaker 2: a run. It's wide open in both conferences. So excited

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Speaker 2: for the playoffs. This card. You know, you have three

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Speaker 2: Island games which are going to have some intrigue. The

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Speaker 2: rest of Sunday is pretty man. It's gonna be a

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Speaker 2: lot of backup quarterbacks, a lot of resting starters. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm ready for playoff football. But where there's a card,

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Speaker 2: there's opportunities to make money. So let's have a.

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Speaker 1: Week Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: First pick of the week eighteen Sunday six Pack. I'm

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Speaker 2: going with the Cincinnati Bengals minus seven and a half

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Speaker 2: at home against the Cleveland Browns. Shout to the Browns

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Speaker 2: for taking care of me last week. Oh yeah, been

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Speaker 2: my most profitable team two years in a row. They're

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Speaker 2: not really that difficult to figure out. You bet them

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Speaker 2: at home, where they're sixty two percent against the spread

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Speaker 2: of the past three years, one of the best teams

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Speaker 2: in the NFL, and on the road they are the

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Speaker 2: worst by far. They're six and eighteen against the spread

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Speaker 2: of the past three years, twenty five percent, failing to

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Speaker 2: cover by nearly a touchdown per game. Their defense not

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Speaker 2: as good on the road. But why do I like this? Well?

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Speaker 2: For a number of reasons. One, the Bengals offense is rolling.

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Speaker 2: Borrow is gonna start. Their offensive line is playing better

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Speaker 2: like fair Child Mims than Burrow is gonna get his points.

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Speaker 2: The question is can Cleveland keep up? And I don't

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Speaker 2: think they will be able to. For a number of reasons,

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Speaker 2: the Cleveland offense is very bad. Tudor Sanders is very bad.

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Speaker 2: The focal point of the Browns offense is basically, let's

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Speaker 2: see how many times we can get the ball to

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Speaker 2: Harold Fannin. Luckily he played one quarter last week before

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Speaker 2: he pulled his groin and was able to catch a

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Speaker 2: fifty yard touchdown. I don't think he's playing this week.

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Speaker 2: I don't think the joke who's playing. And I don't

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Speaker 2: see how the Browns will be able to keep up.

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Speaker 2: Where I think that there's some value in this, and

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Speaker 2: there's also some emotional aspect. Like Cleveland that was like

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Speaker 2: their super Bowl last week. We know that they've always

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Speaker 2: been bad on the road, but like a little bit

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Speaker 2: of an emotional letdown. Really nothing to play for here.

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Speaker 2: They beat the Steelers. They just want to get the

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Speaker 2: Garrett sack. Once that happens, it's gravy. But the Bengals

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Speaker 2: defense I think is underrated right now. Over the first

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Speaker 2: ten weeks of the season, they were historically bad, one

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Speaker 2: of the worst defenses of all time if you just

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Speaker 2: look at like for example, look at DBA. But since

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Speaker 2: week eleven they've been significantly better, for example, a third

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Speaker 2: and rushed success rate. Why is it a random sample

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Speaker 2: or is there something to it? I think there's something

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Speaker 2: to it for a myriad of reasons. One, you have

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Speaker 2: a new coordinator, al Golden. It's gonna take some time.

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Speaker 2: He's figured some things out schematically. They changed, so that

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Speaker 2: makes sense. You also have two rookie starting linebackers who

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Speaker 2: were as bad as I've ever seen linebackers over the

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Speaker 2: first ten weeks. They're starting to play better. So not great,

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Speaker 2: but playing better. One of the tweaks that Golden made

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Speaker 2: is he changed his alignment their alignments up front. Slayton

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Speaker 2: is really thriving, especially against the run. They're getting something

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Speaker 2: from Murphy. And then one of the biggest things that

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Speaker 2: happened is and I mentioned him i'd like a month

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Speaker 2: ago on this podcast. Is they a guy who's been

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Speaker 2: on there like practice squad for years, took over in

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Speaker 2: the slot Jalen Dave and what that enabled is Dax

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Speaker 2: Hill to kick out outside. Since he's done that, he's

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Speaker 2: been one of the best corners in the league. And

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Speaker 2: DJ Turner has been one of the better corners in

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Speaker 2: the league all season. So now they have two really

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Speaker 2: good corners on the outside. Your rookie linebackers are playing better,

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Speaker 2: your defensive line is playing better with the new alignments,

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Speaker 2: and then just Golden has a better idea of who

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Speaker 2: this personnel is and they're playing much better. And it's

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Speaker 2: not like they've played clowns. They played the Ravens twice,

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Speaker 2: they played the Bills, they played the Pats, the Dolphins,

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Speaker 2: who are a really good run game, and the Cardinals,

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Speaker 2: whose offense has been good. And they were really good

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Speaker 2: in a lot of those games. You know, even against

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Speaker 2: the Bills in a snow game against Allen like that,

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Speaker 2: they were holding them away under expectation until Barrow through

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Speaker 2: the pick six and through another pick and their third

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Speaker 2: and success rate. A lot of those teams are some

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Speaker 2: of the best rushing offenses in the NFL. So I

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Speaker 2: think this Bengals defense is underrated right now and I

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Speaker 2: just don't think that Cleveland can keep up with Burrow

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Speaker 2: and company. So give me the Bengals at home playing

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Speaker 2: seven and a half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I agree with this. I mean, it's

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Speaker 3: Burrow has had struggles with that Cleveland defense in the past.

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Speaker 3: Defense in the past, but most of those have been

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Speaker 3: in Cleveland, and we were we were on the Bangals

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Speaker 3: I think, I mean, on the Browns earlier this year

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Speaker 3: and when they did it in Cleveland, but as you

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Speaker 3: point out, the defense just for some reason falls off

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Speaker 3: a cliff on the road. And then this whole Garrett

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Speaker 3: thing too, is like the Steelers were saying they were

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Speaker 3: more focused on that last week.

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Speaker 2: So that won't be the case of Barrow. He won't

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Speaker 2: care if he guess to give it up a sack.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he's probably gonna get the record this week.

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Speaker 2: Schweshinger also got banged up. He couldn't really move. I

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Speaker 2: think he's gonna play, but he looked like a shawl

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Speaker 2: himself in the second half of that game. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I just I just don't think the Browns can keep

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Speaker 2: up here. And Chador is probably gonna turn it over

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Speaker 2: a couple of times and then its lights out. And

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Speaker 2: the Browns can't play from behind, so if they get

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Speaker 2: behind here, it's over.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they can't door. Sanders is actually at

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Speaker 3: times better than I expect, but that's just there's such

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Speaker 3: a low bar there.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the joku like a lot of all of this.

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Speaker 2: All he's throwing mostly like everything is like underneath quick throws.

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Speaker 2: They'll take an occasional shot. But if you don't have

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Speaker 2: a fan in the joku, now it's the leak.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I think I'm with you on this one.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: Uh. For my first pick, the second overall the week

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Speaker 3: eighteen six pack, I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Speaker 3: minus two and a half at home against the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 3: And this is disgusting. The Bucks have played terribly over

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Speaker 3: the past two months, but if you look at their offense,

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Speaker 3: the big loss right now is Tristan Works but he's questionable.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if he's gonna play. But they've been

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Speaker 3: without so many more guys than this for the entire year.

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Speaker 3: They're still better than Carolina and DVOA. And this is

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Speaker 3: a revenge game now, you know, it's the second division game,

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Speaker 3: it's at home. What will probably happen is the Bucks

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Speaker 3: will probably win this game and then yeah, exactly, yeah,

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Speaker 3: it'll be something ridiculous like that. But the thing about

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Speaker 3: the Bucks is they are a you know, veteran team

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Speaker 3: that has just been going to the postseason pretty much

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Speaker 3: since the Brady years. Uh, they've always been solid. I

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Speaker 3: just think part of it has to be it has

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Speaker 3: to be the human element. I don't think they were

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Speaker 3: super motivated these last couple of months, because I mean

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Speaker 3: every year they win the division with some kind of

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Speaker 3: record like this essentially like eight, nine, nine and eight.

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Speaker 3: So I think that the Bucks, I know, they've been underperforming.

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Speaker 3: Some of it to me is just inexplicable, like, uh,

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Speaker 3: maybe Mayfield's hurt, but they're still just underperforming expectation, you know,

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Speaker 3: with given the especially given the fact that God wins

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Speaker 3: back in the lineup, Evans is back in the lineup,

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Speaker 3: McMillan's back in the lineup, Abuka has just been you know,

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Speaker 3: dropping ball, and they've just been missed. They've just been

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Speaker 3: off off ever since that guys came back, which is,

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Speaker 3: you know, it's just all inexplicable. But what I'm trying

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Speaker 3: to say is I think the Bucks are underrated. I don't.

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Speaker 3: I think they've been just playing worse than expectation. And

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Speaker 3: the Panthers they've been running hot. I mean it was

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Speaker 3: on the wrong side of them last week, but they

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Speaker 3: I thought they did what they needed to do in

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Speaker 3: the first half. Defensively, it's slowing down Donald in that

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Speaker 3: Seahork offense, but it just could not put points on

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Speaker 3: the board.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 3: They haven't been as good on the road for all

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Speaker 3: those wins as underdogs and all, they're just four and

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Speaker 3: four against the spread on the road. So, uh, this

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Speaker 3: has just been a different team the Bucks. Uh. It's ugly.

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Speaker 3: But I can't get I can't get to Carolina anything

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Speaker 3: less like I make this three and a half. I

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Speaker 3: can't get inside the field goal here. I did take

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Speaker 3: the money line. If you can get a cheap money line,

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Speaker 3: I mean, it's probably gonna come down to the wire.

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Speaker 3: NFC South games tend to do that. But I just

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Speaker 3: think the Bucks have been underperforming for so long. Now

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Speaker 3: that we're getting them inside of a field goal against

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Speaker 3: a team that they they are better than on paper,

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Speaker 3: and I think especially given you know the home road.

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Speaker 3: So give me Tampa Bay. Mine is two and a

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Speaker 3: half at home against Carolina on Saturday, first game of

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Speaker 3: the week.

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Speaker 2: I can't believe that you took the Bucks. That was

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Speaker 2: I was deciding between the Bengals and the Bucks from

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Speaker 2: my first that those are my two favorite sides of

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Speaker 2: the week, and then you took the Bucks. That was

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Speaker 2: gonna be my second pick on a tough week. There's

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Speaker 2: a lot of these games that are just unbettable right now,

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Speaker 2: which we'll talk about. But yeah, I mean, I've been

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Speaker 2: the lead singer of the band that's been yelling at

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Speaker 2: the Bucks stink for two months. They were a complete

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Speaker 2: fraud early with like fluky late last second wins, and

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Speaker 2: it's not a good team. They're not a good team.

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Speaker 2: I have not bet them one time this year. This

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Speaker 2: will be the first time I'm betting them, and it's

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Speaker 2: when it came down to two and a half. At three,

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Speaker 2: I would have passed. Even three and a half, I

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Speaker 2: might have considered a small bet on Carolina, but under

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Speaker 2: three I have to bet. This is big. This is

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Speaker 2: the bottom of the mark. I mean, they hadn't covered

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Speaker 2: in eight. They're wh i eight against the spread in

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Speaker 2: their past eight games eight. This is the bottom. Two

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Speaker 2: weeks ago, Tampa was favored by three in Carolina.

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Speaker 3: On the road.

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Speaker 2: Now it's a cheaper number at home, under three, under

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Speaker 2: the key of three, like the end, like that's the

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Speaker 2: three is king. I have to bet this. Even though

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Speaker 2: the Bucks stink Baker is probably playing hurt. He was

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Speaker 2: a limited participant hop play. I think Wharfs actually is

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Speaker 2: going to try to give it a go. They have

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Speaker 2: some other injuries, but the Panthers don't get pressure on defense.

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Speaker 2: The offensive line injuries aren't as big of a deal here.

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Speaker 2: And in that game, I mean it was a coin

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Speaker 2: flip game. They lost to Carolina and there was a

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Speaker 2: coverage bus at the end of the first half in

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Speaker 2: Carolina scored a touchdown with you know, twenty seconds to

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Speaker 2: go when Dean ran the wrong coverage. But at two

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Speaker 2: and a half you got a on the Bucks here,

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Speaker 2: as sad as it is, and the NFL scriptwriters, they've

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Speaker 2: been on fire last week, win, the Steelers lose, the

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Speaker 2: Falcons beat the Rams, the forty nine Ers beat the Bears.

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Speaker 2: Everything that had happened to set up the drama. Well,

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Speaker 2: look at this Sunday slate in the afternoon. It's bad.

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Speaker 2: You know, the NFC South is coming down to Falcons Saints,

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Speaker 2: who might be the two best teams in the division

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Speaker 2: right now, and they're not gonna play. It's ridiculous that

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Speaker 2: we're not gonna win Falcons to win the division and

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Speaker 2: then they're going to finish a tie for first because

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Speaker 2: of all the ridiculous games that they lost. But I'm

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Speaker 2: with you on the Bucks, all right. For my second

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Speaker 2: pick and the third overall the week eighteen Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 2: I am going with the This is ugly. I'm going

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Speaker 2: with the Minnesota Vikings minus six at home against the

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Speaker 2: Green Bay Pack. This is something, but I mean, this

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Speaker 2: is I'm not gonna get in to like here. I'll

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Speaker 2: just make this simple and quick. The Packers don't care

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Speaker 2: about this game at all. They're gonna field a practice squad.

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Speaker 2: They're already locked into the seventh seed. Last year in

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Speaker 2: this same spot, they played and Love got banged up

251
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Speaker 2: in Watson towards a cl anyone worth anything is not

252
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Speaker 2: sniffing the field. They're gonna just this is a walkthrough.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna hand the ball off. They're they're game. They're

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Speaker 2: not game planning for this game. They're not game planning

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Speaker 2: for the Vikings. Clayton tune. Maybe it's Milik Wells, but

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Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be Clayton tune. Have they said

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Speaker 2: that the last hour?

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Speaker 3: No, I think so true though, because that's the only

259
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Speaker 3: way I would get to this line. Like Milik Willis

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Speaker 3: has been surprisingly efficient with the Packers anyway, Yes, but

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Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be tuned. I think it's gonna

262
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Speaker 3: be tuned.

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Speaker 2: But I didn't think if it's Milik well Like if

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Speaker 2: it was Milke Lewis, they're just gonna hand it off,

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Speaker 2: like why why are you? Why are you gonna run

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Speaker 2: any offense? But I think it's gonna be Clayton tune,

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Speaker 2: Clayton tune with no weapons, probably some offense at some

268
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Speaker 2: offense at offensive line injuries against a Brian Flores defense. No,

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Speaker 2: they're not gonna score. How are they going to score?

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Speaker 2: So I don't care if it's Max. There's a chance

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Speaker 2: that's JJ McCarthy. They want to get another look at him.

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Speaker 2: They said, I don't care if it's Max Brosmer. The

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Speaker 2: Vikings defense will probably score here. If the Vikings get

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Speaker 2: to like thirteen, they should cover. They don't be able

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Speaker 2: to run the ball. And by the way, the Packers

276
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Speaker 2: defense is falling off. They've had injuries since Week eleven,

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Speaker 2: and that's when Wyatt. They lost Wyatt. They're twenty six

278
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Speaker 2: in EPA per play and twenty six and success rate,

279
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Speaker 2: and a lot of that has to do with losing Parsons,

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Speaker 2: who might be worth I don't know, two and a

281
00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:50,800
Speaker 2: half three points so spread. He's that important, that good

282
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Speaker 2: and draws that much attention. But the key guys in

283
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:55,400
Speaker 2: the Green Bay's defense, well they're not going to play either,

284
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Speaker 2: So Minnesota should be able to run the ball here.

285
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Speaker 2: It's just a team that wants to win close out

286
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Speaker 2: their season with a win, is still fighting with a

287
00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:07,240
Speaker 2: really good defense against Clayton Tune against a team that

288
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Speaker 2: doesn't care. That's it. Give me the Vikings. Anything under

289
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Speaker 2: a touchdown, I think is fine. I think this is

290
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Speaker 2: this will be like twenty to three. Yeah.

291
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Speaker 3: I mean their defense has also been like pretty much

292
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Speaker 3: the best in the league over the past six weeks

293
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Speaker 3: or so. Like I guess, as the Packers defense fell off,

294
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Speaker 3: the Vikings defense has been unbelievable. I would still worry

295
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Speaker 3: if it was Willis. Like if it was Willis, I

296
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Speaker 3: would I would want it inside. You know, six probably

297
00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,680
Speaker 3: you know closer to that three range, just because have

298
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Speaker 3: you seen League Willis's numbers with the Packers. I mean,

299
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Speaker 3: I know we're gonna hand it off mostly, but.

300
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Speaker 2: When I think a passers like Epa per dropback over

301
00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:45,120
Speaker 2: the past two years, he.

302
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Speaker 3: Doesn't throw in completions, and every throw he makes his

303
00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:50,080
Speaker 3: like it ends up gaining like like twenty yards. It

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00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,920
Speaker 3: it's just he's completed in seventy nine percent of his

305
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Speaker 3: passes with the Packers, uh ten point nine yards per

306
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Speaker 3: attempt and he's up to like eighty attempts now, which

307
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Speaker 3: is it's not much, but it's League will It's still ridiculous.

308
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Speaker 2: So I would I wonder where he's gonna go next year,

309
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,040
Speaker 2: which is insane, but I do think it's gonna be

310
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Speaker 2: tune if it is will So though like I don't

311
00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:11,720
Speaker 2: think they're calling anything. Also, I don't think like you know,

312
00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,320
Speaker 2: Jacobs isn't playing, Watson isn't playing, Doubs isn't playing, you know,

313
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Speaker 2: like even Musgrave isn't playing, Tom isn't playing. Like it

314
00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:21,960
Speaker 2: there all these guys aren' gonna play. Then on the

315
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Speaker 2: defensive side the wall, you can't afford any more injuries.

316
00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:31,120
Speaker 2: So like McKinney's not playing Evan Williams isn't playing Walker Cooper.

317
00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,720
Speaker 2: Like all these guys are probably gonna sit. There's like

318
00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:38,760
Speaker 2: this is gonna be a practice squad. So like, yeah,

319
00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:42,080
Speaker 2: I there is some uncertainty here with the quarterback situation.

320
00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,440
Speaker 2: I'll give you that. But even if Willis plays with

321
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Speaker 2: what's around him and what I expect on the call,

322
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Speaker 2: I don't think like Lafleur is a really good play caller,

323
00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:53,760
Speaker 2: a really good game planer, a really good schemer. He's

324
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Speaker 2: not spending a second on this game plan. There's no

325
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Speaker 2: there's no like he's preparing for next week, their opponents

326
00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:03,200
Speaker 2: next week. There's no like they're not showing anything. There's

327
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:06,679
Speaker 2: not gonna be any receivers playing, but they're gonna just

328
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 2: everyone when they throw. It'll be just like an occasional

329
00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:11,320
Speaker 2: go route to what Matthew Golden probably is gonna lead

330
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Speaker 2: the team in.

331
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Speaker 3: I mean that's not bad, Like that's not bad with

332
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Speaker 3: with Willis. That's what I'm saying, Like with Willis and

333
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:20,440
Speaker 3: like Golden, poul Melton and who would it be? I guess,

334
00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:22,639
Speaker 3: uh something you would have to play like Wix. I

335
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:24,600
Speaker 3: guess or maybe it could be practiced by guys, but

336
00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:26,639
Speaker 3: like they wouldn't be the worst thing. But Willis, But

337
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:28,560
Speaker 3: I think it's I do think it's gonna be tuned.

338
00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:31,040
Speaker 3: I think that's why they put Willis on the injury

339
00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:33,320
Speaker 3: report and like put him late and then it was

340
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:34,560
Speaker 3: like he was like, yeah, I could have gone back

341
00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:36,520
Speaker 3: in the game, but he's list he was listed on

342
00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:38,840
Speaker 3: He's already listed with the shoulders. So I just think,

343
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Speaker 3: I think.

344
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 2: But I don't think it's dead. If Willis plays, it's

345
00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:43,640
Speaker 2: not dead.

346
00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:45,480
Speaker 3: It's clear but clearly not.

347
00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,119
Speaker 2: Way much tougher, but like and then the Packers defense

348
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,400
Speaker 2: is gonna be a shell. Like, so I do think

349
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,480
Speaker 2: that the Vikings be able to run the ball to

350
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Speaker 2: move it all.

351
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Speaker 3: Right. Before we continue with the Sunday six pack, just

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Speaker 3: a reminder you could tell some of the best we

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00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:03,320
Speaker 3: discuss in today's show by finding the quick slip link

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00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 3: in the podcast and video description. You can also go

355
00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:10,240
Speaker 3: to Action network dot com slash bet now to find

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Speaker 3: all right. For my second pick to fourth overall of

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Speaker 3: the week eighteen six pack, I'm going with the New

378
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,159
Speaker 3: York Giants plus four and a half at home against

379
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,320
Speaker 3: the Dallas Cowboys, and this is just a spot where

380
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:38,280
Speaker 3: I mean, the Giants clearly nothing to play for. They

381
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 3: won that game last week. Raiders play later in the day,

382
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:46,440
Speaker 3: so I guess they technically maybe would try to tank,

383
00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:47,919
Speaker 3: but I don't think they're trying to tank any more

384
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 3: than the Cowboys at this point. You know, the Cowboys

385
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,840
Speaker 3: are saying, hey, we're gonna try to finish the season strong.

386
00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 3: But even if they do, we already know teams that

387
00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 3: are trying in Week eighteen doesn't tend to go well.

388
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,960
Speaker 3: So well, I can't make I can't get to four

389
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:03,399
Speaker 3: and a half of the Giants at home. I mean,

390
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,879
Speaker 3: this is a game where in Dallas with a worst

391
00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 3: quarterback earlier in the year and Russell Wilson threw for

392
00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:12,000
Speaker 3: a zillion yards and they should have won that game,

393
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,480
Speaker 3: ended up losing by three in overtime. Now you're at

394
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:17,720
Speaker 3: home the Cowboys, yes, they they're saying all the right things,

395
00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:19,399
Speaker 3: we want to play hard, but I mean they just

396
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 3: released Travon Diggs. You know, who knows what Jerry's thinking.

397
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,439
Speaker 3: And you know, as far as getting the draft pick,

398
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 3: because he's already kind of just worried about his the

399
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,440
Speaker 3: salary cap. So I mean, they could still be trying

400
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,359
Speaker 3: to lose this game under the under the radar. But

401
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:38,480
Speaker 3: even if they're not, I just make this about two

402
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,119
Speaker 3: and a half two and a half three for the Cowboys.

403
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,480
Speaker 3: They're not a good defense. They have no corners. The

404
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:48,159
Speaker 3: Giants have been better with Jackson Dart, and I just

405
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:51,119
Speaker 3: think this Giants team is, you know, the consistently kind

406
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,199
Speaker 3: of been underrated. They could keep finding ways to lose games,

407
00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 3: but the fact that they you know, they were trying

408
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:58,440
Speaker 3: to it seemed more like they were trying to tank

409
00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 3: last week, but the Raiders just completely out tanked him

410
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,720
Speaker 3: and they won thirty four to ten. Uh. This is

411
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 3: like a similar kind of defense here, better you know, better,

412
00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:10,360
Speaker 3: much better offense. But on the road, I could see

413
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,880
Speaker 3: the Cowboys laying an egg here. As much as they're

414
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 3: saying the right things. They got a lot of key

415
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:16,399
Speaker 3: guys kind of banged up too, so I don't know

416
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 3: if they give it a full go here. The Giants,

417
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:23,240
Speaker 3: just by by virtue of playing dark, I think are trying.

418
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,119
Speaker 3: You know, that's because that's the thing I you know,

419
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,200
Speaker 3: I goug back and forth last week. I kept to

420
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 3: the Betham against the Raiders once that Bower's news hit,

421
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,560
Speaker 3: but not sure. But I just don't think they're tanking,

422
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 3: giving that Darti is still out there, he's still running.

423
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:38,640
Speaker 3: Uh so yeah, give me the Giants at home. When

424
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:42,440
Speaker 3: you have these Week eighteen dogs that are you know,

425
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 3: so there's like it's we've only had Week eight team

426
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 3: for a few years now. But when you have team,

427
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:49,480
Speaker 3: when you have a dog going up against a favorite

428
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 3: who's about anywhere from ten to thirty three percent better

429
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 3: in win percentage essentially you know a few games, but

430
00:21:57,359 --> 00:21:59,399
Speaker 3: that that you know, they're not that much better than

431
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,800
Speaker 3: the than the team the underdog in those situations fifteen

432
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 3: and sixteen and four eight percent against the spread. Small

433
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,359
Speaker 3: sample obviously, but uh every this point for me to

434
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,439
Speaker 3: the to the g ben here. So give me the

435
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:13,679
Speaker 3: Giants one more time plus four and a half.

436
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 2: Maybe I'll tell you for some action on Sunday if

437
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,879
Speaker 2: I need it. But I have no thoughts on that

438
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 2: game none. I'm curious to see like the Giants offensive

439
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:30,600
Speaker 2: line like last week they the Raiders were clearly not

440
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:33,959
Speaker 2: trying and shut down Crosby. Does that cause more issues

441
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:40,880
Speaker 2: this week? I don't know. The Giants, Yeah, that numbers wise,

442
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:42,479
Speaker 2: I agree with you, but I just don't have any

443
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 2: strong thoughts in this game. What a terrible game.

444
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 3: I'm all right for my own like they're like Dallas

445
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,919
Speaker 3: has no players either. Their defense is already terrible.

446
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 2: So yeah, for my third pick and the fifth overall

447
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 2: the week eighteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

448
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:03,840
Speaker 2: Atlanta Falcons minus three at home against the New Orleans Saints.

449
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,159
Speaker 2: This is how the Panthers get in the playoffs. So

450
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 2: you know, this is how the NFC is gonna work.

451
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,199
Speaker 2: NFC South's gonna work. Bucks win Saturday, Falcons win Sunday,

452
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 2: Panthers eight to nine, hosts a playoff game, and then

453
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 2: we probably bet them with the numbers too high. That's

454
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 2: just the way the world works. So the Falcons, it's

455
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 2: really really we already talked about this. They're a good team.

456
00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 2: They're just poorly coached and have historically bad special teams,

457
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 2: which have cost them four games. I mean, they lost

458
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 2: to the Pats because of a missed extra point in

459
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,439
Speaker 2: New England. They lost to the Colts when the Colts

460
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,880
Speaker 2: were playing well in overtime. They give up a bunch

461
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,200
Speaker 2: of big returns in that game. They lost to the Jets,

462
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,679
Speaker 2: who they dominated discally, because they muffed a punt at

463
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:50,200
Speaker 2: their own two. I mean, you go on and on.

464
00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 2: They lost. They lost to these pants. They lost to

465
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: the Panthers in overtime. They're blowing a big lead because

466
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 2: of a bunch of injuries. And this team is just

467
00:23:58,440 --> 00:23:59,679
Speaker 2: a lot of it is coaching a lot of it

468
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,399
Speaker 2: isspecial teams. But you look around. Their defense is really good.

469
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 2: They can't get pressure. I love their secondary. Their offensive

470
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:10,200
Speaker 2: line is really good. Pitts Now has emerged with Cousins.

471
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 2: Bjeon Robinson has arguably the best back in the NFL.

472
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 2: Cousins is playing well and like this team has all

473
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,400
Speaker 2: the incentive to keep winning. Theyn't have a first round

474
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:25,040
Speaker 2: draft pick, it's gone to the Rams. Cousins is playing

475
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 2: potentially for a job. The whole staff is coaching for

476
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 2: a job, like they're gonna try here now the Saints

477
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:34,880
Speaker 2: are also going to try. But look the Tyler Shuck Love,

478
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 2: he's playing well, it's gone too far. I mean, he's

479
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,400
Speaker 2: played this. This is who the Saints have played since

480
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,400
Speaker 2: the bye. The Falcons, who they got blown out by

481
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:49,399
Speaker 2: at home with Shuck and that was without Drake London,

482
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 2: the Dolphins, who they lost to, and here's where they

483
00:24:53,320 --> 00:25:00,160
Speaker 2: beat the Bucks, the free falling Bucks, the Panthers, the Jets,

484
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 2: and the Titans, Like, come on, that is comical. You

485
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 2: want to talk about teams that just don't get pass

486
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 2: rushes by the way, bad defenses, all teams. They haven't

487
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 2: played a team that's going to the like Carolina or Tampa,

488
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 2: whoever wins that is going to the playoffs.

489
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 3: They're not.

490
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 2: They're not really a playoff caliber team. Shuffley hasn't faced

491
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:27,199
Speaker 2: the playoff caliber team, so let's cool it. And then

492
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:30,840
Speaker 2: you look like the Falcon secondary is good and there's

493
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 2: one receiver you got to cover now on the Saints,

494
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 2: that's it cover a lave Like you're worried about Kevin Austin.

495
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 2: Who else is out there but Mason Tipton. There's offensive

496
00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 2: line injuries. No Jon is going to get fed here,

497
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 2: which I like, they're not gonna like this is the

498
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,120
Speaker 2: last game of the year. You don't have to worry

499
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,120
Speaker 2: about splitting and they want to go for the scrimmage

500
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 2: yard record. Jon's going off. Give me the Falcons minus

501
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:03,760
Speaker 2: three NFC South Science. This is how the Panthers get in.

502
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:09,959
Speaker 3: Just disgusting it's gonna happen. Yeah, it's The Saints have

503
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 3: been looking a lot better, but I don't think they're

504
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 3: gonna play like they're gonna hold out anyone who's even

505
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 3: And they have a lot of guys on the injury

506
00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 3: report and a lot of guys that already went to IR.

507
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:22,320
Speaker 3: So it's not even like your your full strength, you know,

508
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 3: Saint squad. It's like a like a half like a

509
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,640
Speaker 3: half practice squad, but with the better quarterback than most

510
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 3: of the year Saint squad, which, yeah, it's not scary

511
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:35,159
Speaker 3: at all. For my third picking the sixth overall of

512
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 3: the Week eighteen six pack, I am going with the

513
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:43,560
Speaker 3: Miami Dolphins plus ten and a half at the New

514
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 3: England Patriots. And this is, you know, this is just

515
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,919
Speaker 3: one of these Week eighteen spots where you know, one

516
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:55,199
Speaker 3: team has nothing to play for, completely eliminated, and the

517
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 3: other team still has something to play for but gets

518
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,399
Speaker 3: a little murky. With the Patriots, I mean, they're chances

519
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 3: of moving up to the number one seed are like

520
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:08,639
Speaker 3: fifteen to twenty percent. Uh, they won't know, but they

521
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:10,840
Speaker 3: do know that the Chargers are resting people against the

522
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: Broncos thought about going to Chargers too, but I just

523
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,400
Speaker 3: don't know, you know, as we record this, I don't

524
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 3: know exactly how many people they are resting. Yeah, and

525
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:21,239
Speaker 3: that's really my issue because I think the Chargers can

526
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 3: cover the number twelve and a half with Trey Lance,

527
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 3: you know, I mean the Broncos look at them last

528
00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 3: week with against.

529
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 2: Anybody, right, yeah, but I mean if the Chargers sit

530
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 2: like all their defenders, yeah, I mean that's the thing, Like,

531
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:37,520
Speaker 2: if they sit like offensive linemen to that already yea,

532
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:39,040
Speaker 2: and all their weapons.

533
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,879
Speaker 3: Like now you have a terrible quarter like a quarterback

534
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 3: who's looked bad at times again with yeah, no supporting cast.

535
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,239
Speaker 3: That worries me because the Broncos did where they like

536
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 3: roll the Chiefs thirty eight nothing. I think it was

537
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 3: the last year in this kind of spot. So it's

538
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:54,640
Speaker 3: like that, this is why I'm going with the Dolphins

539
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 3: because I think that, like, if the Chargers do sit

540
00:27:58,119 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 3: a lot of guys, which I think they are leaning

541
00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:02,359
Speaker 3: in that direction. You know, they're just concerned with the

542
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,840
Speaker 3: playoffs at this point, especially after what happened last year.

543
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:07,639
Speaker 3: They just got rolled. They're not gonna take any chances

544
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 3: with how bang up Herbert has been. I don't think so,

545
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 3: and they're all I mean, they don't really have like

546
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 3: even if they play this, this offensive line is pretty bad.

547
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 3: It's just it's all been Herbert like digging them out

548
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,919
Speaker 3: of holes. So yeah, I'm gonna go with the Dolphins

549
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:21,320
Speaker 3: here because the Patriots.

550
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Charugers is getting blown out. Yeah, they and the

551
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 2: Patriots are gonna pull starters. Also, I think the Patriots

552
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 2: will try to start, but they can probably still win

553
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:34,159
Speaker 2: this game with a half squad, and they know that

554
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 2: their chances are lower. So what that means is anyone

555
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 2: who's injured, and they have a lot of injuries.

556
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 3: Isn't exactly That's kind of my angle with with the Dolphins. Yes,

557
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 3: they're ten and a half against you know, twelve and

558
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 3: a half for the charges, but Patriots just super banged up.

559
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 3: Now they played the Jets last week, which is gonna

560
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 3: kind of inflate, Like, yes, the Patriots are really good,

561
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 3: but the Patriots have still been running a little bit

562
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 3: hot all year.

563
00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:59,040
Speaker 2: It's looks like backup quarterbacks every single week.

564
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 3: Every Yeah, and they're playing it another one, but this

565
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 3: is one actually might be better than the starter. So

566
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 3: It's not like it's not a super big downgrade. Statistically,

567
00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 3: they're they're about the same, but I you know, eye

568
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 3: test wise, you know, yours goes downfield more. There's less

569
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 3: tape on them. Guys are still playing hard. Got some

570
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 3: young guys kind of playing for Miami that weren't playing

571
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 3: the whole year, so they're still trying. And yeah, this

572
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:24,920
Speaker 3: this Patriot team, I think what could happen is coming

573
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 3: off that Jet game where you know, they played a

574
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,479
Speaker 3: backup quarterback. Everything was super easy, even with the backup squad,

575
00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 3: they could take this one a little more, a little

576
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,720
Speaker 3: more for granted, and uh, you can see them ease up,

577
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 3: especially because they know there's a very small chance they

578
00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 3: the the Broncos lose to the Chargers with Trey Lance

579
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 3: starting for for uh for la. So yeah, I think

580
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 3: second half it could you could even if the Patriots

581
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:49,880
Speaker 3: build a big league can start to get away from them.

582
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:51,640
Speaker 3: I also think the I mean the market is never

583
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 3: going to be higher on the Patriots. That I mean,

584
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 3: they just destroyed the Jets. Who is I mean half

585
00:29:56,920 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 3: they had half an offense they're uh playing and the Jets,

586
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 3: you know, just nothing there. They're clearly tanking with Brady Cook.

587
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,120
Speaker 3: So it's like, now you've got a Dolphins team that

588
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 3: seems on paper like Okay, well maybe it's not of

589
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:11,960
Speaker 3: a similar situation, but they've been trying. They look better

590
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 3: with quinn Ewers than they did with Tua, And yeah,

591
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,000
Speaker 3: I think New England could just end up end up

592
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 3: sitting guys, whether it's the second half or just you know,

593
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 3: being cautious heading into this game. And then I just

594
00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 3: think the Uman element also takes over the fact that

595
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 3: they learned so early about this Charger thing. I think

596
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 3: could have a negative impact. I know Vrabol has been great,

597
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 3: but this is a team that's seven. There's still seventeenth

598
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 3: in DVOA total, Like there's still be low average, the easiest.

599
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 2: Schedule of any team over the past thirty years.

600
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:39,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're getting I mean, they're kind of getting penalized

601
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 3: for the schedule, I would say, but that's the point.

602
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 3: I think a lot of Drake May I think he's great,

603
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 3: but like, this is a team that's it's like they're

604
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 3: like in the fifteenth I should say, not seventeen fifteen,

605
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 3: but they're mid pack and DVO at total DVO. And

606
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 3: then like the Dolphins are twenty first and might be

607
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 3: better with viewers than they've been with Tua. So and

608
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 3: now I got four games out a Tygreek kill, so

609
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 3: it's not like he's skewing the metrics like that much.

610
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,760
Speaker 3: And they you know, Waller's been good for them. If

611
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 3: they have something with Dosic, they might even have something

612
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 3: with the kid uh do Oez, you know, taking over

613
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 3: that spot for Westbrook a Keene who's giving them absolutely nothing.

614
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 3: And then they have speed guys like you know, Wattle,

615
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 3: eight chan H Movie Washington. So like you know, if

616
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 3: the Patriots just kind of relaxed in this one, the

617
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 3: Dolphins can make some plays. So yeah, give me Miami

618
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 3: ten and a half like this is this is a number.

619
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 3: I would make it like nine and a half, you know,

620
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 3: at full strength, because again, the Patriots are a little

621
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 3: bit a little bit luckier than the maybe the record

622
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 3: would suggest. But now you have that element of the

623
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 3: PA like the Patriots have something to play for technically

624
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 3: the Dolphins don't. So I love Miami here plus ten

625
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 3: and a half.

626
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:53,239
Speaker 2: I will say the Patriots do have an incentive to win. Still, Yes,

627
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 2: that's what I mean.

628
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:54,320
Speaker 3: I like it.

629
00:31:55,600 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 2: No, I'm saying even if the if the Bronx, Just

630
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 2: for full transparency, people know, if the Broncos are blowing

631
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:07,040
Speaker 2: out the Chargers, the Patriots still want to win because

632
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 2: they can drop to the three if the Jags win

633
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 2: and they lose. So I just wanted to point that

634
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 2: out so people know. But yeah, I think that's the

635
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 2: right side.

636
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think the Jacks are gonna win,

637
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 3: But I just think the Patriots, like they got to

638
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 3: be cautious. Yeah, they're They've already they showed they were

639
00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:28,360
Speaker 3: going to be cautious last week. So I just I

640
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 3: just think the Dolphins are on a different plane than

641
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 3: the Jets, is really what I'm saying. Yeah, all right,

642
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 3: uh so let's see, you got.

643
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:41,240
Speaker 2: I got Burrows and a mystery box.

644
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 3: Probably Max Brosmer, and then I got Baker Mayfield, which

645
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 3: is actually not a good thing. Jackson Dart and yours,

646
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,480
Speaker 3: which I had some promising young quarterbacks.

647
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 2: The worst quarterback of that group. I don't know.

648
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 3: I'm still trying to figure it out.

649
00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 2: Maybe twenty eight EPA PRIP licence week seven.

650
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:02,160
Speaker 3: It makes no sense because the last couple of weeks,

651
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 3: I mean, it's been better, but you still feel like something. Yeah,

652
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 3: it's like he still thinks. I mean, really, we know

653
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:12,640
Speaker 3: what it is. It's the Wiam Cone effect.

654
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 2: And Ben Johnson for the lines. Those are the two

655
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 2: teams that we loved in the off season, isn't and

656
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 2: the two teams we want to like you could see it.

657
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's the coach now, coaches coaching just you know,

658
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 3: we'll and we'll get out of here and get to

659
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 3: the soles and all that. But I just I do

660
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:31,480
Speaker 3: want to say this playoff race, like this, once it starts,

661
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,320
Speaker 3: is going to be really good because I think, yes,

662
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 3: you have some of the heavyweights that are normally in

663
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 3: there may not be there. I'm Chiefs obviously, maybe the Ravens.

664
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 3: But I think coaching is going to play such a

665
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 3: major factor because it's so wide open and you have

666
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 3: like some new tea teams with new coaches that I

667
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 3: think propelled them like high up in the race. You

668
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,960
Speaker 3: have a team like the Niners, great well coached team

669
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 3: finally you know, healthy enough to play for the one

670
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:58,720
Speaker 3: seed Seahawks, very well coached. Vrabel with New England, uh

671
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 3: Sean pay and we and Cohen like just so many coaches.

672
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 3: So I think it's gonna be fascinating johnsh yeah, Johnson

673
00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:07,600
Speaker 3: did yeah all and then these teams are all like

674
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:09,759
Speaker 3: up there too, like they have some of the best.

675
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 3: And then like mcpay's team is the team that's like yeah, yeah,

676
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:17,520
Speaker 3: it's like all good coaches pretty much up I mean,

677
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 3: and then they'll probably be uh like even canalyis I mean,

678
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,160
Speaker 3: we liked him in Tampa too, Cleary they missed him,

679
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:26,279
Speaker 3: I like, yeah, yeah, so, I mean, so just fascinating

680
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:29,560
Speaker 3: everall like him. So yeah, just uh just good well

681
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:32,239
Speaker 3: coached teams. I think it's that that could play a

682
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 3: role in a postseason like this. But that's our Sunday

683
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 3: six pack again. If you'd like to tell some of

684
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:39,080
Speaker 3: the picks to look for the quick slip link in

685
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:41,359
Speaker 3: the pot and video description. Make sure to sign up

686
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,279
Speaker 3: for Action Pro for instant notifications with all of our

687
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:47,359
Speaker 3: bets are tracked. All right, now it's time for our

688
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:51,279
Speaker 3: favorite totals a week eighteen. H stuck. You started us

689
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 3: off on the six packs, so I'll go first here.

690
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,840
Speaker 3: I'm going Raven Steelers under forty one and a half.

691
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:59,240
Speaker 3: Definitely try to get the forty one. Uh probably gonna

692
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 3: knowing this because so I think we're recording this early

693
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:06,759
Speaker 3: in the week. I think that we I think there's

694
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 3: a decent chance we don't see Lamar Jackson if we do,

695
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:13,359
Speaker 3: clearly not he's clearly not at full strengths. And then

696
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 3: the Steelers are just a Their offense is just a

697
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 3: shell of itself without dk Metcalf and they also.

698
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 2: They have no one can get opened. And then you

699
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:26,680
Speaker 2: don't have to pay any attention. You know, there's no

700
00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 2: gravity of dkyn up all these guys who can't get over.

701
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:32,080
Speaker 3: And it was Washington who is like the other guy

702
00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:34,239
Speaker 3: against you could you know against man he was just

703
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 3: so big and faster than he should be at whatever

704
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:39,360
Speaker 3: like three hundred plus that he is, that he was

705
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:43,280
Speaker 3: actually decent for them against man coverage teams. And uh,

706
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 3: you know, he looked like he was going to be

707
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 3: involved in that game against Cleveland. Then he goes down.

708
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 3: So I don't know what the Steelers are going to

709
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:52,000
Speaker 3: do offensively. And it's a division game, it's for the

710
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 3: this is it like there's no other way to get in.

711
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 3: So you could see some tightness, you could see some

712
00:35:57,200 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 3: field goals. You know, the Ravens have been they've kind

713
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 3: of plaid the price sometimes for being too aggressive. Who

714
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,279
Speaker 3: knows what they do here, you know, maybe they go

715
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 3: a little more cautious, especially if it's Huntley. But yeah,

716
00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:11,239
Speaker 3: I just think you're gonna see a cautious game. And

717
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 3: then you have the weather. It's trending towards you know,

718
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 3: it being it's gonna be probably freezing. I don't think

719
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:21,520
Speaker 3: there's gonna be any snow. Let's see, they're like maybe

720
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:25,560
Speaker 3: a ten percent chance, but it's freezing temps, and historically

721
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 3: totals in freezing or blow attempts just under sixty percent

722
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 3: seventy seven and fifty four over the past decade. So

723
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:36,760
Speaker 3: I just think, you know, even if you get Lamar,

724
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 3: I think the Ravens are gonna run about Dereck Henry

725
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 3: and I don't know if the Steelers are gonna score much,

726
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 3: but it's the Steelers, so you might get some twin

727
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 3: voodo to keep the score down to hearing what might

728
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:51,800
Speaker 3: be able to make his return that would obviously be huge.

729
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 3: But I just don't think the Ravens are gonna try

730
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:57,680
Speaker 3: to take any chances here, especially with just how like

731
00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,640
Speaker 3: the fact that they are even in this spot is

732
00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 3: pretty pretty nuts. I mean, the Steers had to lose

733
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:05,560
Speaker 3: to the lowie Browns and they scored six points. So

734
00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:08,280
Speaker 3: I just don't think you've seen much risk taking. That's

735
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 3: what we've seen at times. That are both these coaches

736
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:13,160
Speaker 3: more so Tomlin, I should say the Ravens. I think

737
00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:16,239
Speaker 3: they might dial it back and then yeah, just cold

738
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 3: weather game Rogers no, no, no downfield threats and the

739
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,360
Speaker 3: Ravens just always underperforming expectation offensively. I mean that you

740
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,760
Speaker 3: can just count on the Ravens Zay flowers like fumbling

741
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:29,879
Speaker 3: a wall in the Reds or something stupid, or them

742
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 3: giving Zay flowers like Andrews yeah, or Andrew Yeah, just

743
00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:37,320
Speaker 3: Andrews were dropped Isaiah, like who would just not get targeted,

744
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 3: like it would just be weird. So we've seen this

745
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,319
Speaker 3: over and over again. These games tend to come down

746
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 3: the field goals and they tend to go under. So yeah,

747
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:46,879
Speaker 3: give me Steelers Ravens under forty one and a half.

748
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:50,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, Ravens twenty to seventeen. So I think it ends.

749
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:52,680
Speaker 2: I want this. I want Hontley to get announced in

750
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 2: because I don't think Lamar's one hundred percent, and then

751
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 2: this line to come down below three. Then I might

752
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:57,720
Speaker 2: look at the Ravens, but I agree on the under

753
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:01,359
Speaker 2: there's also some upside with I mean Calvin Austin maybe

754
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 2: get him back. He has a speed element. But like

755
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:07,920
Speaker 2: because the Steelers hit some explosive plays in Baltimore, it

756
00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 2: was the one thing that does worry. I mean the

757
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:13,319
Speaker 2: Ravens don't get any pressure at all, but like they

758
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,160
Speaker 2: were hitting the exposive place because of the DK Metcalf,

759
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:17,440
Speaker 2: Like this offense without him, and now Washington is a

760
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:21,080
Speaker 2: shelve itself. Also, the Steelers defense has some It looks

761
00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:23,320
Speaker 2: like they're going to be healthy this week. James Pierre

762
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:24,799
Speaker 2: has been really good for them. I think will come

763
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 2: back Ecles and then Why has a chance as well,

764
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 2: So their defense could be much healthier this week. I

765
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:34,279
Speaker 2: think both teams. Yeah, it's like field position, run the ball.

766
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 2: I think the Ravens are going to feed Henry here

767
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:40,359
Speaker 2: and the thing is the Ravens get in, I could

768
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 2: win the ASA. That's how wide open it is. I mean,

769
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:46,440
Speaker 2: like you're gonna host a playoff game, and then who

770
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 2: do you got in front of you? Like the Bills,

771
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,239
Speaker 2: the Bills of Josh Allen. The Jags are playing is better,

772
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 2: better than anyone in the FC, one of one of

773
00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 2: those teams knocks each other out on the first weekend. Yeah,

774
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:00,440
Speaker 2: there was a chance by the way the work could

775
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 2: host with how wide open you'd be hosting the Bills

776
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 2: in like the AFC Championship game. But you got like

777
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:10,279
Speaker 2: bo Knicks the Pats. I had it like do you

778
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 2: think that, like that's this isn't the last couple of

779
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 2: years we got to go through Josh Allen and Mahomes

780
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:16,319
Speaker 2: and so.

781
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 3: And I think it's been underrated with the Ravens. I

782
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:21,359
Speaker 3: mean it's a small stample, so you never know for sure.

783
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:25,000
Speaker 3: It could just be noise. But their second time playing

784
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:28,239
Speaker 3: a division opponent, the defensive game plans I thought had

785
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,319
Speaker 3: been really good. So they they played the Browns early

786
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,240
Speaker 3: in the year. It was like forty one to seventeen.

787
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 3: The Browns were close early on, but they gave up

788
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 3: three hundred and twenty two yards to the Browns in

789
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,560
Speaker 3: that game, and then in the in the rematch, it

790
00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:40,839
Speaker 3: was a lot closer because the Ravens were just kind

791
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,399
Speaker 3: of doing stupid stuff, but they only allowed it allowed

792
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 3: under two hundred yards to the Browns and then the Bengals.

793
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:48,680
Speaker 3: Of course, you know, got thirty to fourteen in the

794
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:50,840
Speaker 3: first one, and then they shut them out two weeks later.

795
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 3: So you know, first game against the Steelers is twenty

796
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 3: seven twenty two Steelers. I thought the Steelers got a

797
00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:00,279
Speaker 3: little lucky in that one. So yeah, I'm with you

798
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:02,160
Speaker 3: on the Ravens and the Historically.

799
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:06,799
Speaker 2: That's been the case second Division meeting, those games tend

800
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:09,719
Speaker 2: to trend under between teams. But for my favorite total,

801
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:13,239
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with there's a fifty out of here.

802
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:15,439
Speaker 2: Now doesn't matter for the contest. We'll call it forty

803
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:19,799
Speaker 2: nine and a half Seahawks forty nine Ers under forty

804
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:22,439
Speaker 2: nine and a half. Just think this is too high.

805
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 2: I get it. It's scary because this the forty nine

806
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 2: Ers defense is horrendous. It's really really bad. They can't

807
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:32,040
Speaker 2: get any pressure. Michael Parsons was tweeting about this the

808
00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:34,799
Speaker 2: other day, like, you can't get pressure, good luck, and

809
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:38,520
Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers are incapable of generating a pass

810
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:42,680
Speaker 2: rusher or getting a sack or generating a turnover. But

811
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 2: the Seattle offense, I just think this number two. I

812
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:47,280
Speaker 2: mean there's a lot on the line here. The winner

813
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:50,560
Speaker 2: gets the one seed, the loser. If the forty nine

814
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 2: ers lose, like the forty nine ers win, they don't

815
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:54,560
Speaker 2: have to they keep winning, they don't have to leave

816
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 2: home for two months, and then they can win the

817
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:59,880
Speaker 2: super Bowl at home, at home, well all at home. Yeah,

818
00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 2: go all the way through the super Bowl. But if

819
00:41:04,040 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 2: they lose on Saturday, then the Rams are going to

820
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:10,200
Speaker 2: play their starters to get the five seed, and then

821
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:12,920
Speaker 2: you're gonna beat the six, going to Philly most likely

822
00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:17,280
Speaker 2: or maybe Chicago. So that's a huge difference. Now Seattle

823
00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:18,959
Speaker 2: at least if they lose, they're locked into the five,

824
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 2: so they'll go to the NFC South winner. But what

825
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,320
Speaker 2: I mean, you you the forty nine ers could go

826
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:27,720
Speaker 2: from the one to the six. But divisional games second

827
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,919
Speaker 2: time around, a lot of familiarity, a lot on the line,

828
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:33,400
Speaker 2: could see these teams being a little tight early. But

829
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 2: I just think that this number is too high. The

830
00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:39,960
Speaker 2: Seahawks offense is broken, I mean, especially what's.

831
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:42,239
Speaker 3: That in the first half, especially like it's been like

832
00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:45,440
Speaker 3: just first like they haven't scored in the first half essentially,

833
00:41:45,560 --> 00:41:47,680
Speaker 3: like all like the last like six weeks, it's been

834
00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 3: like just you get nothing out of them in the game.

835
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:54,600
Speaker 2: I mean since Week nine, they're twenty first in EPA

836
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 2: per play and they just played a defense I can't

837
00:41:57,120 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 2: get pressure and couldn't do anything against the Panthers. Like

838
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:05,120
Speaker 2: the Panthers and Niners are very similar defenses. So and

839
00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:08,520
Speaker 2: then look, the Niners offenses looked amazing and Party has

840
00:42:08,560 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 2: played amazing, but one Kittle might not be fully healthy.

841
00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 2: You also have Trent Williams, who I don't think is

842
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:20,640
Speaker 2: gonna play. You can get away with that against the Bears,

843
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,240
Speaker 2: but Seattle is one of the best defenses in the NFL.

844
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,840
Speaker 2: And let's like the forty nine ers. Yes, they've been amazing,

845
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:31,520
Speaker 2: but here's who this is who the run has come against.

846
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:37,080
Speaker 2: They destroyed the Cardinals, who have like a practice squad defense.

847
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:39,839
Speaker 2: Everyone is destroying the Cardinals every week because of all

848
00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:44,799
Speaker 2: their injuries. They put up twenty on Carolina. The Brock

849
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:49,360
Speaker 2: Party threw three picks, they scored twenty points. They averaged

850
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:51,120
Speaker 2: three and a half yards per play against the Browns.

851
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,680
Speaker 2: So they did nothing in those games. Here's what this is.

852
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:58,120
Speaker 2: What all the all the all the numbers and explosions

853
00:42:58,160 --> 00:43:02,319
Speaker 2: have come against the Cardinals active squad, the Titans, the

854
00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 2: Colts without their corners and then the Bears defense, which

855
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:10,319
Speaker 2: is abysmal. Those are bad, bad, bad defenses. Big step

856
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 2: up in class now will not be as easy. Give

857
00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:16,280
Speaker 2: me the under for nine and math Seattle, San France.

858
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:19,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the only the biggest thing you'd be

859
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,600
Speaker 3: worried about here is like uh forty nine er turnovers

860
00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:25,839
Speaker 3: and then like they they're playing from behind, so then

861
00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:28,040
Speaker 3: the Seahawks have to kind of step it up and

862
00:43:28,080 --> 00:43:30,040
Speaker 3: like they're then now they're throwing the ball all around.

863
00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:32,360
Speaker 3: But because the Niners have been super turnover prones, but

864
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 3: uh yeah, I think I think about.

865
00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 2: Party turnovers could be problematic here. You just got to

866
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:40,160
Speaker 2: hope that they're on the right side of the field.

867
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 3: But yeah, I agree on the Seahawks offense is pretty.

868
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:46,600
Speaker 2: Solved because like everyone was like they were going heavy

869
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 2: and the like they was using the run to set

870
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:49,799
Speaker 2: up action, but they can't run it efficiently. So now

871
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,439
Speaker 2: teams are just saying, Okay, we're on it, and we're

872
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:55,040
Speaker 2: not going to bite on your play action and we're

873
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:57,440
Speaker 2: just gonna make sure that jess N doesn't beat as

874
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:02,000
Speaker 2: deep and then actually we'll get the donald who will

875
00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:06,400
Speaker 2: make a mistake or get sacked like, yeah, it's the

876
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 2: offense is bad right now.

877
00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:11,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, and we're still we saw this last year where teams,

878
00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:13,719
Speaker 3: you know, Sam Donald offense can be super efficient, can

879
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:15,759
Speaker 3: be holding down like that, you know, one of the

880
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 3: top spots in this conference the whole year, and then

881
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:19,960
Speaker 3: just kind of start to create her and you know,

882
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:22,440
Speaker 3: for the the difference with them, I mean, their defense

883
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:25,360
Speaker 3: has just kind of kept them in games and everything.

884
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 3: But it's this Niner offense. I mean, it's going to

885
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,040
Speaker 3: be a test. So I'm i'd ween I'd ween Niners too, honestly,

886
00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:34,359
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think I think I think the under

887
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:36,080
Speaker 3: is the right side, and I'd probably will get the

888
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 3: first half under as well, because that's that's really when

889
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:40,279
Speaker 3: they just haven't been able to come out hot. And

890
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,360
Speaker 3: I know the narrative is going to be, oh, you know,

891
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 3: they'll they'll turn it around or something, but I don't,

892
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:46,160
Speaker 3: I don't know.

893
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:50,240
Speaker 2: I don't think it's solved. I think their offenses, Yeah,

894
00:44:50,560 --> 00:44:53,080
Speaker 2: it is cross playing that's hurt too, their left tackle.

895
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:55,160
Speaker 3: So yeah, because I don't think the backs have been

896
00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 3: even that dad. Honestly, I think it's more though they're

897
00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:02,319
Speaker 3: just kind of getting by the offensive line that it's

898
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:04,759
Speaker 3: it's it's not great, especially when not at full string.

899
00:45:06,040 --> 00:45:09,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, so he got banged up to Horton's

900
00:45:09,440 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 2: on ir So like the weapons, it's just like focus

901
00:45:12,560 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 2: on JSN and you know that the forty nine ers

902
00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 2: are just going to say we want to take away

903
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:19,400
Speaker 2: explosives and make you work down the field.

904
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 3: And their play action game now now they're not able

905
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:26,960
Speaker 3: to play as much, uh heavy, you know, two to

906
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 3: one one, Yeah, what do you call it? One two

907
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:31,560
Speaker 3: personnel and they play two one as well, but the

908
00:45:31,600 --> 00:45:33,799
Speaker 3: one too because of Royo, their second tight end, who's

909
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 3: like kind of the more explosive when like barn has

910
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:38,759
Speaker 3: been good, he's more like the underneath the guy. Yeah,

911
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 3: so they haven't been able to do that as much,

912
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:41,799
Speaker 3: which kind of hurts their play action game. And yeah,

913
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:44,960
Speaker 3: with heat and Horton, you're looking at Cooper, Cup just

914
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:47,600
Speaker 3: has to play a big role. So yeah, I think

915
00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 3: this is the right side, especially especially especially in the

916
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:54,800
Speaker 3: first half. All right, uh, money line Underdog parlay.

917
00:45:54,920 --> 00:46:01,399
Speaker 1: Time turning good weekends, two great weekends.

918
00:46:01,880 --> 00:46:04,440
Speaker 2: It's time for the money line parlay.

919
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 3: All right, stuff, you've been hot, you hit another one

920
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 3: laughing for the Dolphins, right, fourteen. That what fifteen and two?

921
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 2: Now fifteen and two gone for sixteen and two. Let's

922
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:21,839
Speaker 2: go with the Las Vegas Raiders. So, first of all,

923
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:29,000
Speaker 2: this line is insane. It's insane that like the Chiefs

924
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 2: were just two touchdown underdogs at home with a Lutcon

925
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 2: too the Broncos. By the way, the Broncos didn't even

926
00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:41,160
Speaker 2: cover in Vegas when they were laying seven and a

927
00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:45,720
Speaker 2: half like a couple of weeks ago. Now both Ludcon

928
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:49,799
Speaker 2: is laying six on the road. That is mind going.

929
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:50,000
Speaker 3: Now.

930
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:53,520
Speaker 2: I get there's no Bowers, which is big. I get

931
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:57,080
Speaker 2: there's no Crosby. I get that they're been tanking. They

932
00:46:57,120 --> 00:47:02,319
Speaker 2: want to lose, But there are multiple paths where the

933
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 2: Raiders already have the one seed locked up. Yeah, by

934
00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:10,040
Speaker 2: kick it number one, the Giants could win. That'll seal it.

935
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:13,480
Speaker 2: The Falcons win last night eliminated the Jets. Just between

936
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:16,040
Speaker 2: the Giants and the Raiders. Now, if the Giants win,

937
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:19,440
Speaker 2: the Giants lose, and the Raiders win, it comes down

938
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 2: to strength to victory. There's five games that matter. Those

939
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:26,840
Speaker 2: games could have flipped Las Vegas way by then as well.

940
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:31,440
Speaker 2: So there's multiple paths where the Raiders will already have

941
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:36,320
Speaker 2: the dead number one pick locked up. Also, the Chiefs,

942
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:37,280
Speaker 2: do you think they want.

943
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:37,840
Speaker 3: To win this game?

944
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:41,840
Speaker 2: No, but they want a better draft pick. They they

945
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:44,920
Speaker 2: don't want the Raiders to get the one. I assume

946
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:47,120
Speaker 2: the Chiefs are going to shut down all their vets,

947
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:49,560
Speaker 2: Like why are you Chris Jones isn't gonna play here?

948
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 2: Do you think Worthy's gonna play?

949
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:51,160
Speaker 3: Like?

950
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:53,759
Speaker 2: They're not playing anybody. It's a third streon quarter. The

951
00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 2: Chiefs had one hundred and thirty yards average three yards

952
00:47:55,640 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 2: per play last week, so they this numbers is too high,

953
00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:04,320
Speaker 2: So I have to take the price. The players on

954
00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,399
Speaker 2: the field are still going to try. And I don't

955
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:08,920
Speaker 2: even know who's gonna be on the field for the Chiefs. Now,

956
00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:10,319
Speaker 2: I was gonna be on the field for the Raiders.

957
00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:12,880
Speaker 2: They might shut down gent too, who knows. I don't know,

958
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:17,160
Speaker 2: but this this can't be six. Give me the Raiders

959
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:18,560
Speaker 2: on the money on line.

960
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was thinking of taking this on the spread.

961
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:25,560
Speaker 3: Same right, It's it's just what is the floor of

962
00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:27,080
Speaker 3: this Raider team? Like we know that we know what

963
00:48:27,080 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 3: the floor of the Chiefs team is. It's like they

964
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:32,239
Speaker 3: can probably score ten to thirteen points, but the Raiders,

965
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:34,920
Speaker 3: what like, what is really going on? Because they did

966
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 3: put up three first downs earlier in the year in

967
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:39,120
Speaker 3: a game I think what it Picket brought. Picket was

968
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:44,000
Speaker 3: essentially as bad as owd oakn Udican uh in his start.

969
00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:45,719
Speaker 3: So it's like, how o can the Raiders go? I mean,

970
00:48:45,719 --> 00:48:48,000
Speaker 3: they just got blown out by the Giants, who are

971
00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:51,439
Speaker 3: were probably trying to tank that game too, uh So.

972
00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:55,200
Speaker 2: But the Raiders dominating the Texans two weeks ago. No,

973
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 2: it's like the Raiders. They they dominated New England in

974
00:48:59,520 --> 00:49:02,920
Speaker 2: New England and dominated Houston and Houston.

975
00:49:02,560 --> 00:49:04,880
Speaker 3: And then immediately after that game they put Bowers on

976
00:49:04,920 --> 00:49:07,480
Speaker 3: ir like son that. I was like.

977
00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:18,200
Speaker 2: They I was so mad, Like Crosby, You've unbelievable stormed out.

978
00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:19,839
Speaker 3: I was like, yeah, that's what I would have done it. Yeah,

979
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:21,480
Speaker 3: I would have stormed out of that bet if I

980
00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 3: if I could too, because like Bro, that was just

981
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:27,400
Speaker 3: like the immediately the minute you would get that notification,

982
00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:30,040
Speaker 3: You're like, I know what's going on here? Like they

983
00:49:30,120 --> 00:49:31,879
Speaker 3: just like, now we can't, we can't have this again.

984
00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:35,000
Speaker 3: We played way too well against the against the team

985
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:36,319
Speaker 3: that would I think the texts are up to eight

986
00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:38,759
Speaker 3: eight in a row now like, yeah, you can see

987
00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:40,000
Speaker 3: what's going on here. But I agree, I think the

988
00:49:40,080 --> 00:49:42,680
Speaker 3: Chiefs the Chiefs. One thing I think is interesting that

989
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 3: was kind of looking up. You know, they have Marti's

990
00:49:45,080 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 3: Brown has something contract incentives and and uh, because I

991
00:49:49,120 --> 00:49:51,319
Speaker 3: was I was like, all right, are they gonna kind

992
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:53,200
Speaker 3: of let him go? And Hunt has some too, and

993
00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 3: they kind of decreasing their snaps. And then I looked

994
00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:58,960
Speaker 3: last year Hopkins needed like it was in that meetingless game,

995
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:00,880
Speaker 3: but like it was Hopkins, you needed like something for

996
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:03,239
Speaker 3: like a hit in the center, and they just held

997
00:50:03,320 --> 00:50:06,279
Speaker 3: him out. So I'm I'm like, yeah, I don't think

998
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:08,279
Speaker 3: they're like if they're not, Like, I don't if they're

999
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:10,000
Speaker 3: not even doing it when they're winning and they're like

1000
00:50:10,239 --> 00:50:12,799
Speaker 3: they're like fifteen and two and now I don't think

1001
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:14,839
Speaker 3: they're gonna try to. I think they're gonna hold guys out.

1002
00:50:15,080 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna sit a bunch of guys.

1003
00:50:17,160 --> 00:50:19,600
Speaker 2: This game is this game is arguably the worst, might

1004
00:50:19,600 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 2: be the worst game in NFL history.

1005
00:50:21,640 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's funny because they were calling that

1006
00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:25,239
Speaker 3: the toilet Bowl last week and you had like.

1007
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:26,560
Speaker 2: This might be this is gonna be worse.

1008
00:50:26,640 --> 00:50:29,239
Speaker 3: I think, oh, the quarterback like we had Jackson Dark

1009
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:31,719
Speaker 3: last week, we had there's nobody this we can let

1010
00:50:32,239 --> 00:50:35,280
Speaker 3: unless we get I mean, I guess Clayton Tune versus

1011
00:50:35,280 --> 00:50:38,439
Speaker 3: Brosmer could it's up there too. But yeah, there's gonna

1012
00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:40,360
Speaker 3: be some bad game. There's gonna be some bad games,

1013
00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:43,440
Speaker 3: especially if teams start the teams that are favorite start

1014
00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:45,719
Speaker 3: pulling out their starters in the second half. I mean,

1015
00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:52,560
Speaker 3: but so you probably oh I didn't even get Oh yeah, okay, speaker,

1016
00:50:52,840 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 3: I'm like, yeah, I'm just I'm just excited about this. Honestly,

1017
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 3: you've been hot, might as well, right, take on a spread,

1018
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:06,719
Speaker 3: take they take it over kind of unders take just

1019
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:11,719
Speaker 3: Martis Brown unders, Kareem Mont unders. But I'm gonna I'm

1020
00:51:11,719 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 3: gonna go to the Detroit Lions plus one thirty five.

1021
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:18,080
Speaker 3: I know it's outdoor golf. I know they look terrible,

1022
00:51:18,440 --> 00:51:21,880
Speaker 3: but the Vikings one of the best defenses in the

1023
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:25,400
Speaker 3: league over the past six weeks. Uh and Detroit just

1024
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:27,080
Speaker 3: strikes me as one of those teams. I know they

1025
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:30,000
Speaker 3: didn't show up last week. This is a team that

1026
00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:32,440
Speaker 3: I think would show up once it's too late. Because

1027
00:51:32,560 --> 00:51:35,919
Speaker 3: number one, it's Ben Johnson. On the other side. Number two,

1028
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:38,440
Speaker 3: the Bears are in that kind of weird middle ground

1029
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:42,920
Speaker 3: where uh like they're they can kind of improve their seating,

1030
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:46,160
Speaker 3: but it's not a high likelihood, and I think they're

1031
00:51:46,160 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 3: gonna play guys, but they have a lot of.

1032
00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 2: They're in the two. They can maintain the two, Yeah,

1033
00:51:52,560 --> 00:51:56,879
Speaker 2: by winning or having the Eagles lose. I think that's

1034
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:59,399
Speaker 2: important to them. Like, I don't know, I don't think,

1035
00:51:59,400 --> 00:52:01,320
Speaker 2: we don't. We don't have any date on Ben Johnson.

1036
00:52:01,480 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 2: He might value health more because they do have injuries,

1037
00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:06,080
Speaker 2: because I do think the two is important, Like the

1038
00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:08,239
Speaker 2: two can mean you host the NFCY Championship. The two

1039
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 2: means you avoid the Rams and you get the Packers.

1040
00:52:13,040 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 2: So but what's surprising is the Eagles have the chance

1041
00:52:16,160 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 2: to jump up to the two, and it looks like

1042
00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:19,880
Speaker 2: they're gonna rest starters.

1043
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:22,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, so that's what I'm That's what's interesting about this

1044
00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:26,120
Speaker 3: one is that like, either way you get this angle

1045
00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:28,680
Speaker 3: of all, right, either get like a team like the

1046
00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:30,279
Speaker 3: Lions are a wuminate. They have nothing to play for.

1047
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:33,040
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna actually enjoy playing spoiler, especially after

1048
00:52:33,040 --> 00:52:36,360
Speaker 3: they got embarrassed last week. By Brozmer. Uh you know,

1049
00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:38,799
Speaker 3: now it's another chance to kind of spoil a little bit.

1050
00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:40,400
Speaker 3: And then like I said, yeah, the Bears are just

1051
00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:43,080
Speaker 3: in a middle round where you have the e was

1052
00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:46,080
Speaker 3: potentially resting guys, you have them like Burdens popped up

1053
00:52:46,080 --> 00:52:48,440
Speaker 3: with an injury. He got a quad. I don't think

1054
00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think done. Today's gonna go. They

1055
00:52:51,040 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 3: said he might be back sometime this season. That didn't

1056
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:55,840
Speaker 3: sound promising. He hasn't been good over the past two months.

1057
00:52:56,520 --> 00:52:59,320
Speaker 3: H DJ Moore is gonna be a lot easier to

1058
00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:05,240
Speaker 3: cover any banged up And like this, this Lion team,

1059
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:08,240
Speaker 3: I still think offensively, I know it's gonna be outdoors

1060
00:53:08,280 --> 00:53:10,000
Speaker 3: and it's gonna be GoF and it's all that, but.

1061
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:12,879
Speaker 2: I mean, but it's probably not gonna go. That's the worse.

1062
00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:15,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, it seems like a mon Ra might be the

1063
00:53:16,160 --> 00:53:17,760
Speaker 3: guy that's not gonna go. But I mean he also

1064
00:53:17,800 --> 00:53:19,000
Speaker 3: went as a doubtful guy.

1065
00:53:19,160 --> 00:53:21,239
Speaker 2: Like so, I know he's the type that would play,

1066
00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:23,600
Speaker 2: but I don't know the Lions I would not play him,

1067
00:53:23,600 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 2: but he's the tite that would play.

1068
00:53:25,320 --> 00:53:27,880
Speaker 3: But you still would have so uh Khalif Raymond has

1069
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:31,000
Speaker 3: some contract incentives. He's still like for a fourth receiver

1070
00:53:31,000 --> 00:53:34,320
Speaker 3: because he would have to slaw essentially Raymond and Jamo.

1071
00:53:34,560 --> 00:53:36,840
Speaker 3: That's still a pretty good receiving corps you still have.

1072
00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:39,160
Speaker 3: I think games would still play. I still like there's

1073
00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:41,080
Speaker 3: no reason to hold out guys for the Lions, but

1074
00:53:41,120 --> 00:53:42,880
Speaker 3: there's reason to hold out guys for the Bears. So

1075
00:53:43,120 --> 00:53:45,120
Speaker 3: that's that's why I'm going money line here. A lot

1076
00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:48,160
Speaker 3: of uncertainty. But the Lions did pace them fifty two

1077
00:53:48,200 --> 00:53:52,479
Speaker 3: to twenty one. And the Lions are notoriously a physical team.

1078
00:53:52,680 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 3: They haven't been as physical this year. Some of that

1079
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:57,040
Speaker 3: is due to injuries. But I could just see them.

1080
00:53:57,239 --> 00:53:58,919
Speaker 3: I could see them getting up for this game and

1081
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:01,439
Speaker 3: uh Ben Johnson might just have to kind of play

1082
00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 3: it smart. So and it's just it's not dead. I mean,

1083
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:06,640
Speaker 3: even if the even if the Bears are going full

1084
00:54:06,640 --> 00:54:09,080
Speaker 3: out and the Lions are going little.

1085
00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:10,759
Speaker 2: But yeah, the defense is so bad. Every one of

1086
00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:12,640
Speaker 2: their games is like comes down to the last minute.

1087
00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:14,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they just gave up forty two to

1088
00:54:14,800 --> 00:54:19,440
Speaker 3: Niners team without without Kittle, so yeah, give me Detroit

1089
00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:22,240
Speaker 3: plus one thirty five. But I do like that Raiders

1090
00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:24,840
Speaker 3: play might have to join you there might go spread,

1091
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:26,319
Speaker 3: Mike go money line, I go both. I don't know,

1092
00:54:26,360 --> 00:54:30,759
Speaker 3: but yeah, it's it's insane. You parlay Lions and Raiders

1093
00:54:30,800 --> 00:54:34,600
Speaker 3: together six plus six sixty four odds. That is our

1094
00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:37,759
Speaker 3: money line underdog parway for week eighteen. Now time for

1095
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:43,920
Speaker 3: anytime touchdown Parlay, presented by DraftKings. All right, anytime touchdowns.

1096
00:54:44,640 --> 00:54:45,239
Speaker 3: This is like the.

1097
00:54:45,160 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 2: I So yeah, I had Warren to finish off Parla

1098
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:51,759
Speaker 2: last week and Miley Cox scores ridiculous.

1099
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:54,520
Speaker 3: All right, I'm gonna I'm gonna go with the chalky guy,

1100
00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:58,200
Speaker 3: so hopefully I can keep the street going and then

1101
00:54:58,800 --> 00:55:00,640
Speaker 3: I like your guys, so see how this goes. But

1102
00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Dereck Henry. I know, like the

1103
00:55:02,760 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 3: under in that game. Part of the reason is I

1104
00:55:04,680 --> 00:55:06,520
Speaker 3: think the Ravens are gonna have to lean on a

1105
00:55:06,560 --> 00:55:09,040
Speaker 3: run regardless, even if it's Lamar. I just don't think

1106
00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:11,800
Speaker 3: he's healthy. I don't think they're gonna push it. Henry

1107
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:13,560
Speaker 3: has been you know, they tried to go away from

1108
00:55:13,640 --> 00:55:18,279
Speaker 3: him at times this year, and it just they've just

1109
00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:20,360
Speaker 3: been better on offense with with him in there. But

1110
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:23,680
Speaker 3: it's gonna still kill Quack. It's still the Steelers. You'll

1111
00:55:23,680 --> 00:55:25,719
Speaker 3: probably get a lot of guys back. So I think

1112
00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:28,360
Speaker 3: it's gonna be a low scoring game, but a Henry

1113
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:30,000
Speaker 3: game I think he gets. I think if they get

1114
00:55:30,000 --> 00:55:31,960
Speaker 3: in the red zone, they can't really take any chances.

1115
00:55:31,640 --> 00:55:33,239
Speaker 2: With Yeah, this is their season, and they don't win,

1116
00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:35,680
Speaker 2: you're out. So like, yeah, that's just like they did

1117
00:55:35,760 --> 00:55:37,560
Speaker 2: last week if they lost, they were out. They fed

1118
00:55:37,640 --> 00:55:40,920
Speaker 2: them thirty six carries, right, so it's like you gotta

1119
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:43,239
Speaker 2: in the resist now too. For him?

1120
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:45,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, good, you've been so bad in the red zone

1121
00:55:45,440 --> 00:55:47,880
Speaker 3: that Yeah, I think Henry's got gonna get the first, second,

1122
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:50,240
Speaker 3: third crack at this. Uh So, yeah, give me Henry

1123
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:53,279
Speaker 3: minus one forty five. That's a little chalky, he could

1124
00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:54,680
Speaker 3: go for him two plus. I don't don't if it's

1125
00:55:54,680 --> 00:55:55,799
Speaker 3: gonna be a high scoring game for that.

1126
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:59,360
Speaker 2: But who do you like, Tommy Tremble. I'm not gonna

1127
00:55:59,360 --> 00:56:02,080
Speaker 2: lie pretend that I came up with this, but I'm

1128
00:56:02,120 --> 00:56:05,759
Speaker 2: saying because we each need the one, so uh, I

1129
00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 2: will let you give the reasoning.

1130
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:10,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, so it's probably just an emotional headge because I'm

1131
00:56:10,280 --> 00:56:13,200
Speaker 3: on the Bucks. But they've been back. They were the

1132
00:56:13,239 --> 00:56:15,720
Speaker 3: team that gave up the three touchdowns, Like the Bucks

1133
00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:18,120
Speaker 3: are the team that with Kyle Pitts emerges a touchdown

1134
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:21,480
Speaker 3: score like this guy scored like two career touchdowns coming

1135
00:56:21,520 --> 00:56:24,240
Speaker 3: into this Bucks game and just lights him up for three.

1136
00:56:24,920 --> 00:56:28,000
Speaker 3: So you had Jatavian Sanders, who'd been trying a little

1137
00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:29,920
Speaker 3: bit more. Yeah, he's out, he's done. He's done for

1138
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:31,759
Speaker 3: the year. I think he had surgeries, so he's gone.

1139
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:34,680
Speaker 3: So it's gonna be Tremble and Mitch Evans the rookie,

1140
00:56:34,719 --> 00:56:38,280
Speaker 3: and James Mitchell, who's been a healthy scratch. Tremble has

1141
00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:41,000
Speaker 3: usually been that guy, and he's in the last game

1142
00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:44,880
Speaker 3: he played twenty two pass snaps to Mitch Evans eleven.

1143
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:49,600
Speaker 3: So I think Tremble gets up to at least Sanders's snapcount,

1144
00:56:49,600 --> 00:56:52,400
Speaker 3: which is like in the sixties sixty percent range. But

1145
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:54,960
Speaker 3: there's a chance Tremble go gets just like all like

1146
00:56:55,000 --> 00:56:57,040
Speaker 3: a butt like just every down player because he's been

1147
00:56:57,080 --> 00:57:00,359
Speaker 3: there for a while now, he knows the offense. Evans rookie.

1148
00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:02,600
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think Trump's in a good spot because

1149
00:57:02,719 --> 00:57:04,520
Speaker 3: Bucks defense. I mean, you still got to focus on

1150
00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:09,280
Speaker 3: McMillan and uh and Cocher. I think before you focus

1151
00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:12,040
Speaker 3: on the backup tight end. So in the red zone

1152
00:57:12,080 --> 00:57:15,480
Speaker 3: if if the Panthers can score here, which again emotional hedge,

1153
00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:17,840
Speaker 3: I hope they don't. But uh, I think Trump was

1154
00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:18,160
Speaker 3: a good.

1155
00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:21,400
Speaker 2: Shot, which means Evans is a lock to score.

1156
00:57:21,600 --> 00:57:23,520
Speaker 3: Yeah right, yeah, it's always the other tight end. But

1157
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:26,480
Speaker 3: I mean, he's honestly not a bad call either, but

1158
00:57:26,520 --> 00:57:27,800
Speaker 3: he's his snaps counts on this.

1159
00:57:28,840 --> 00:57:31,640
Speaker 2: I had Evans to score a touchdowns something. I don't

1160
00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:33,680
Speaker 2: know if it was last year to this year?

1161
00:57:33,760 --> 00:57:34,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, how to be this year?

1162
00:57:34,840 --> 00:57:38,480
Speaker 2: When did I have Why did I bet Evans to

1163
00:57:38,520 --> 00:57:40,600
Speaker 2: score a touchdown? Did he score a touchdown er this year?

1164
00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:41,240
Speaker 3: Oh?

1165
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:42,640
Speaker 2: No, that was just a win a bat That was

1166
00:57:42,680 --> 00:57:44,560
Speaker 2: when they came back to beat the Dolphins and he

1167
00:57:44,640 --> 00:57:45,760
Speaker 2: scored the game winning touchdown.

1168
00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:47,439
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah, I think I was on there too.

1169
00:57:47,640 --> 00:57:48,680
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1170
00:57:48,800 --> 00:57:50,280
Speaker 3: Oh, you could go to Evans Evans. We should have

1171
00:57:50,320 --> 00:57:53,200
Speaker 3: gone to Evans Evans part way actually, Mike and uh

1172
00:57:53,240 --> 00:57:54,960
Speaker 3: and Mitch. But now we'll go keep with this. We'll

1173
00:57:55,040 --> 00:57:58,000
Speaker 3: keep your ravens. Uh, we got some ravens love for you.

1174
00:57:58,080 --> 00:57:59,880
Speaker 3: And then uh, the first game of the week, people

1175
00:57:59,880 --> 00:58:02,360
Speaker 3: can and sweat out of Tommy Trumble touchdown. What's more,

1176
00:58:02,360 --> 00:58:07,360
Speaker 3: aside than that. Those together yet Derrick Henry at minus

1177
00:58:07,400 --> 00:58:09,880
Speaker 3: one forty five, Tommy Trumble at five to one, you

1178
00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:12,880
Speaker 3: get just over nine to one odds at DraftKings plus

1179
00:58:13,000 --> 00:58:16,680
Speaker 3: nine thirteen. That's our anytime touchdown parway for Week eighteen,

1180
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:21,080
Speaker 3: presented by DraftKings. All right, any games that we didn't

1181
00:58:21,120 --> 00:58:21,920
Speaker 3: touch on?

1182
00:58:22,360 --> 00:58:24,840
Speaker 2: All right? Uh, let's go through a lot of these

1183
00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:28,960
Speaker 2: are going to be disgusting. Eagles three seed, they can

1184
00:58:29,040 --> 00:58:32,600
Speaker 2: move up to the two if they win and the

1185
00:58:32,640 --> 00:58:36,600
Speaker 2: Bears lose. So maybe there's some scoreboard watching, but I don't.

1186
00:58:36,800 --> 00:58:40,640
Speaker 2: It sounds like they're gonna sit starters. What does that mean?

1187
00:58:40,680 --> 00:58:42,840
Speaker 2: We don't know who does that. There's just too much

1188
00:58:42,880 --> 00:58:43,240
Speaker 2: on sertainy.

1189
00:58:43,240 --> 00:58:45,120
Speaker 3: It looks like Joshnny Johnson go, yeah, it's gonna be

1190
00:58:45,160 --> 00:58:47,960
Speaker 3: Johnson for the Commanders that they're saying. Mariota is like,

1191
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:49,040
Speaker 3: he's not ready.

1192
00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:52,120
Speaker 2: Lean if it's but what if it's Tanner McKee and

1193
00:58:52,160 --> 00:58:53,960
Speaker 2: then like the Eagles open up their offense.

1194
00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:56,760
Speaker 3: I was thinking, I think the Eagles might be the

1195
00:58:56,880 --> 00:58:59,440
Speaker 3: side regardless because it's like.

1196
00:58:59,760 --> 00:59:03,400
Speaker 2: No, I think they announced like it's McKee and there's

1197
00:59:03,440 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 2: other guys out. The line comes down more than you

1198
00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:06,760
Speaker 2: bet the Eagles.

1199
00:59:06,760 --> 00:59:08,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, because it's like outside of it. You know, when

1200
00:59:08,840 --> 00:59:11,160
Speaker 3: it's like a game with all this uncertainty, you're kind

1201
00:59:11,160 --> 00:59:13,560
Speaker 3: of just picking a winner, and you know, winner technically

1202
00:59:13,600 --> 00:59:16,880
Speaker 3: is gonna win like more times than not by a

1203
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:18,920
Speaker 3: bigger number. It's not always gonna be like the Bucks

1204
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:21,000
Speaker 3: and the Panthers, I don't trust, but like a game

1205
00:59:21,040 --> 00:59:23,040
Speaker 3: like this, if the Eagles win, I don't know if

1206
00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:25,000
Speaker 3: there's a difference between like the six and the seven,

1207
00:59:25,040 --> 00:59:27,040
Speaker 3: and they'll probably bow them out because Tana McKie will

1208
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:29,480
Speaker 3: probably be that good. And it's you're going against Johnson

1209
00:59:29,560 --> 00:59:31,760
Speaker 3: or maybe even Hartman. I mean, who knows they or

1210
00:59:31,880 --> 00:59:33,920
Speaker 3: drisk Well, Like it could be DRIs, it could be Driskl.

1211
00:59:34,480 --> 00:59:38,080
Speaker 2: So yeah, it'll be very Eagles to have their offense

1212
00:59:38,160 --> 00:59:40,480
Speaker 2: like go off with the key before the playoffs, after

1213
00:59:40,600 --> 00:59:45,560
Speaker 2: the all the commentary around hurts and getting no yards

1214
00:59:45,560 --> 00:59:46,600
Speaker 2: in another second half.

1215
00:59:47,160 --> 00:59:49,720
Speaker 3: Uh, like terrible though, this is terrible.

1216
00:59:49,720 --> 00:59:51,560
Speaker 2: Oh sorry, go ahead, what we're gonna say.

1217
00:59:51,600 --> 00:59:53,760
Speaker 3: I just say this is terrible for like we've tried

1218
00:59:53,800 --> 00:59:57,200
Speaker 3: to fade the Eagles and it's like it's not like there.

1219
00:59:57,280 --> 00:59:59,560
Speaker 3: This is like just a terrible scenario. If you're like,

1220
00:59:59,560 --> 01:00:01,960
Speaker 3: you hate like repeat kind of because I love the

1221
01:00:01,960 --> 01:00:03,800
Speaker 3: fact that it's so wide open, but like, I could

1222
01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:06,800
Speaker 3: see a very clear path for the Eagles to just

1223
01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:09,840
Speaker 3: like win the NFC, and then they're playing like a

1224
01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:13,440
Speaker 3: you know, I got a sub like a subpar AFC opponent,

1225
01:00:13,640 --> 01:00:15,560
Speaker 3: and and they just rolled to like another super Bowl

1226
01:00:15,600 --> 01:00:16,160
Speaker 3: after all this.

1227
01:00:16,600 --> 01:00:20,200
Speaker 2: So I was, that's, well, that's I'm hoping that Seahawks

1228
01:00:20,280 --> 01:00:25,920
Speaker 2: beat the Niners. I mean, Niners beat the Seahawks Rams

1229
01:00:26,640 --> 01:00:30,360
Speaker 2: in the six. I think the Rams take out Philly

1230
01:00:30,360 --> 01:00:36,120
Speaker 2: and Philly.

1231
01:00:33,440 --> 01:00:35,400
Speaker 3: The Rams can't take on anyone right now. It seems

1232
01:00:35,400 --> 01:00:39,720
Speaker 3: like they're not even taking out their starters. Saying but yeah,

1233
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 3: the Eagles, I I I would I would have said

1234
01:00:44,560 --> 01:00:46,840
Speaker 3: that maybe a month ago. But I don't know. Was

1235
01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:48,720
Speaker 3: the Rams just throw it? Were they just running HoTT you?

1236
01:00:48,760 --> 01:00:49,080
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1237
01:00:49,120 --> 01:00:52,000
Speaker 2: They're Eagles can't score how many lucky wins they gonna

1238
01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:54,360
Speaker 2: have because of blocked kicks and blocked extra points. They

1239
01:00:54,440 --> 01:00:57,000
Speaker 2: just run hitch routes and then go three quarters without scoring.

1240
01:00:57,080 --> 01:00:58,400
Speaker 2: What did they get out game by two hundred and

1241
01:00:58,400 --> 01:01:00,560
Speaker 2: fifty yards? Last week? They averaged three point two yards

1242
01:01:00,600 --> 01:01:02,600
Speaker 2: for playing against horrendous Bills defense.

1243
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:04,880
Speaker 3: But the way, what does the Bills score?

1244
01:01:05,520 --> 01:01:08,600
Speaker 2: Well, Like Eagles had that Fluke fumble, they had a

1245
01:01:08,640 --> 01:01:11,040
Speaker 2: missed extra point, a wide open two point conversion that

1246
01:01:11,080 --> 01:01:14,680
Speaker 2: Josh Allen can't hit all of a sudden, ridiculous anyway,

1247
01:01:14,720 --> 01:01:17,440
Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, yeah, okay, so they're still on

1248
01:01:17,560 --> 01:01:22,120
Speaker 2: certainty there, Uh charters Broncos. We mentioned that, but we

1249
01:01:22,160 --> 01:01:24,520
Speaker 2: don't know all these I mean were.

1250
01:01:24,520 --> 01:01:27,640
Speaker 3: In chargers just because the Broncos haven't been really covering

1251
01:01:27,680 --> 01:01:29,720
Speaker 3: these type of numbers against I mean, they didn't cover

1252
01:01:29,760 --> 01:01:31,960
Speaker 3: this against the Chiefs, they didn't cover twice against the Raiders.

1253
01:01:32,320 --> 01:01:35,120
Speaker 3: You gotta mean charges. But we'll see how many guys

1254
01:01:35,120 --> 01:01:37,640
Speaker 3: they at rest, because you could just get more value

1255
01:01:37,880 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 3: as more guys get kind of announced out and the

1256
01:01:39,760 --> 01:01:41,040
Speaker 3: wine would have to probably go up.

1257
01:01:41,040 --> 01:01:43,400
Speaker 2: I would think, yeah, mention the Bills, I mean the

1258
01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:45,320
Speaker 2: Bills Alan, I think it's gonna take one snap to

1259
01:01:45,400 --> 01:01:47,320
Speaker 2: keep a streak going. Then sit. We don't know who

1260
01:01:47,400 --> 01:01:50,000
Speaker 2: else is gonna sit. But like the Jets are like

1261
01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:52,440
Speaker 2: a practice squad right now with their defense, there's no

1262
01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:56,160
Speaker 2: one left. And Cook is right now, he's statistically the

1263
01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:59,120
Speaker 2: worst quarterback of all time. He has one like if

1264
01:01:59,120 --> 01:02:00,720
Speaker 2: you look at like big his one big Time their

1265
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:03,680
Speaker 2: thirteen turnover worthy plays. He has the lowest PFF grade

1266
01:02:03,720 --> 01:02:09,360
Speaker 2: of any quarterback in their database's history. It's disgusting. But

1267
01:02:09,440 --> 01:02:11,400
Speaker 2: I don't know who said there's just too much uncertainty

1268
01:02:11,480 --> 01:02:15,200
Speaker 2: right now there. I actually probably would still lean Bills.

1269
01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:16,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, Sam h.

1270
01:02:19,160 --> 01:02:23,600
Speaker 2: Then you have well Rams. So I think Rams is

1271
01:02:23,640 --> 01:02:25,200
Speaker 2: gonna come down. I know McVay said he's going to

1272
01:02:25,360 --> 01:02:27,520
Speaker 2: play starters, but Rams is gonna come down to Seattle,

1273
01:02:28,920 --> 01:02:32,280
Speaker 2: San Francisco. If Seattle wins, I think the Rams play

1274
01:02:32,320 --> 01:02:36,360
Speaker 2: their starters. If the forty nine ers win, I think

1275
01:02:36,400 --> 01:02:39,320
Speaker 2: the Rams said everybody but the Cardinals? Who did? I mean,

1276
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:40,360
Speaker 2: they have any players left?

1277
01:02:40,400 --> 01:02:43,320
Speaker 3: I don't know Kraby Bryan and Michael Wilson.

1278
01:02:44,280 --> 01:02:48,800
Speaker 2: Titans, Jags. The numbers guy like the role number is

1279
01:02:48,840 --> 01:02:52,200
Speaker 2: getting a bit rich, but the Jags offense is rolling.

1280
01:02:52,200 --> 01:02:54,200
Speaker 2: They haven't sent that they win this. They clinched the division.

1281
01:02:54,360 --> 01:02:55,520
Speaker 2: They had to have a chance to get to the

1282
01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:58,120
Speaker 2: two seed. And the Titans have no corners left, which

1283
01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:01,880
Speaker 2: is very very concerning against the The Jags have some

1284
01:03:01,960 --> 01:03:05,080
Speaker 2: injurier offensive line injuries. Maybe it's like Jeffrey Simmons is

1285
01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:06,840
Speaker 2: gonna have to wreck the game and cause it. But

1286
01:03:07,320 --> 01:03:09,160
Speaker 2: Titans offense is playing a little better, leaning a little

1287
01:03:09,200 --> 01:03:15,760
Speaker 2: over there else the other game. Oh uh, Texans laying

1288
01:03:15,880 --> 01:03:18,640
Speaker 2: ten against the Colts, I mean Riley when you are

1289
01:03:18,680 --> 01:03:21,800
Speaker 2: making his first start against that defense. I don't know

1290
01:03:21,840 --> 01:03:26,360
Speaker 2: who's gonna play for the Colts. Texans do have incentive

1291
01:03:26,520 --> 01:03:28,880
Speaker 2: because if the Jags lose, but like that's not very

1292
01:03:29,000 --> 01:03:33,880
Speaker 2: lucky likely, So the Texans are likely going to end

1293
01:03:33,920 --> 01:03:36,200
Speaker 2: up as the five seed, but they do have incentive

1294
01:03:36,240 --> 01:03:38,360
Speaker 2: to player, and I mean Ryley Leonard making his first

1295
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:41,360
Speaker 2: road start against that defense probably not gonna go well.

1296
01:03:42,040 --> 01:03:44,480
Speaker 2: But I think the number is probably about fair. I

1297
01:03:44,520 --> 01:03:45,640
Speaker 2: don't know, I don't I don't have anything on the

1298
01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:48,480
Speaker 2: rest of those games. You got anything, Yeah, No, I'm

1299
01:03:49,200 --> 01:03:49,960
Speaker 2: with lean Bills.

1300
01:03:49,960 --> 01:03:52,400
Speaker 3: I'm thinking about that just because I think that number

1301
01:03:52,840 --> 01:03:55,560
Speaker 3: is considering what the Jets did against the Patriots and

1302
01:03:55,640 --> 01:03:58,880
Speaker 3: considering we know, you know, they they they they want

1303
01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:02,120
Speaker 3: to tank, and we've seen this before with the Bills

1304
01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:06,000
Speaker 3: where they can they still have they're like aside from

1305
01:04:07,560 --> 01:04:09,560
Speaker 3: but they'll be able to run. And then Todd Johnson

1306
01:04:09,600 --> 01:04:12,840
Speaker 3: has some incentives, so he'll probably play he's not bad

1307
01:04:12,920 --> 01:04:15,720
Speaker 3: for and then like it's it's one of those situations

1308
01:04:15,720 --> 01:04:17,720
Speaker 3: where like they don't have a good depth at receiver,

1309
01:04:18,120 --> 01:04:20,920
Speaker 3: but because of that, they probably will just play all

1310
01:04:20,920 --> 01:04:23,720
Speaker 3: their receivers just because they're still trying to figure things out.

1311
01:04:23,880 --> 01:04:25,760
Speaker 3: So it's like you're gonna have matter if any of

1312
01:04:25,800 --> 01:04:28,520
Speaker 3: them get hurt, right exactly, Maybe she hears this, but

1313
01:04:28,760 --> 01:04:31,120
Speaker 3: but yeah, you're gonna have like a still a professional.

1314
01:04:31,120 --> 01:04:34,360
Speaker 2: Uh, way better than Brady cook Way better.

1315
01:04:34,480 --> 01:04:38,880
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm leaning I'm leaning Bills and then.

1316
01:04:39,040 --> 01:04:40,840
Speaker 2: You got like decent tight end depth so they can

1317
01:04:40,880 --> 01:04:43,640
Speaker 2: throw their tight ends throw to Jackson Halls a bunch

1318
01:04:43,840 --> 01:04:45,480
Speaker 2: like incentives.

1319
01:04:45,520 --> 01:04:46,720
Speaker 3: He hasn't centives, so he might play.

1320
01:04:46,840 --> 01:04:51,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, Knocks will play. Maybe Keon Coleman will flash, maybe

1321
01:04:51,560 --> 01:04:56,080
Speaker 2: let him, let him get some snaps. Uh. But like

1322
01:04:56,200 --> 01:04:58,240
Speaker 2: the defense been bad all years. Who cares? But I

1323
01:04:58,280 --> 01:05:01,840
Speaker 2: mean they'll probably sit, like they'll probably shit a couple

1324
01:05:01,880 --> 01:05:04,880
Speaker 2: of their guys, like Bosa is not playing Milano, but

1325
01:05:04,960 --> 01:05:07,040
Speaker 2: I mean there's not one really on this defense. It's

1326
01:05:07,080 --> 01:05:09,960
Speaker 2: that important. Toron Johnson will probably sit at Benford. But

1327
01:05:11,360 --> 01:05:14,280
Speaker 2: it's the Jets, the chefs offense. Yeah, they're so bad

1328
01:05:14,600 --> 01:05:17,880
Speaker 2: and the defense has the go. Look, actually, I'll challenge

1329
01:05:17,880 --> 01:05:19,280
Speaker 2: anyone listen to this right now if you're just like

1330
01:05:19,360 --> 01:05:23,360
Speaker 2: a casual better and don't follow like these rosters really

1331
01:05:24,440 --> 01:05:30,200
Speaker 2: like closely. Just I want you to right now name

1332
01:05:30,440 --> 01:05:34,560
Speaker 2: three Jets just in your head, name three Jets who

1333
01:05:34,560 --> 01:05:37,240
Speaker 2: are going to start on their defense this week. I

1334
01:05:37,320 --> 01:05:41,400
Speaker 2: mean it's like, I think Stiggers, who's like he played Okay,

1335
01:05:41,400 --> 01:05:44,160
Speaker 2: he's played okay, I think he's out. Like their corners

1336
01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:50,040
Speaker 2: are are just your Taylor Keyjron Smith, Brandon Stevens, he's

1337
01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:52,480
Speaker 2: been healthy all year and he's terrible. Their corner. Their

1338
01:05:52,560 --> 01:05:56,040
Speaker 2: safeties are Dean Clark. I think he was at Kent

1339
01:05:56,200 --> 01:06:00,880
Speaker 2: State or at one point in I think Kent State

1340
01:06:00,920 --> 01:06:02,640
Speaker 2: before they it's like Kent State for four years, in

1341
01:06:02,680 --> 01:06:09,400
Speaker 2: Fresno for two. Yeah, Dean Clark and Malachai Moore like

1342
01:06:09,480 --> 01:06:14,080
Speaker 2: they're they're linebackers. The linebackers are. Yeah, it's been bad

1343
01:06:14,160 --> 01:06:16,760
Speaker 2: this year, but like Cam Jones is starting then, like

1344
01:06:17,000 --> 01:06:19,720
Speaker 2: I mean it's bad, Braydon McGregor is starting at defensive end.

1345
01:06:21,280 --> 01:06:23,760
Speaker 2: This defense is a joke. Like and then you have

1346
01:06:23,840 --> 01:06:27,040
Speaker 2: Brady Cook. It is Brett Breece Hollman not even played

1347
01:06:27,080 --> 01:06:31,919
Speaker 2: this week. So yeah, it's embarrassing and they're clearly trying

1348
01:06:31,960 --> 01:06:33,360
Speaker 2: to lose the only good thing about the Jets is

1349
01:06:33,400 --> 01:06:37,360
Speaker 2: they're special teams. If you took the Jets special teams

1350
01:06:37,880 --> 01:06:41,080
Speaker 2: and put them on the Falcons, the Falcons would be

1351
01:06:41,200 --> 01:06:43,360
Speaker 2: would be thirteen and four.

1352
01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:47,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, that's that's like the Falcons. That's what

1353
01:06:47,720 --> 01:06:49,919
Speaker 3: they're whole, like cause they have this weird thing where

1354
01:06:50,040 --> 01:06:51,800
Speaker 3: like they have way too many wide receivers on the

1355
01:06:51,880 --> 01:06:56,240
Speaker 3: roster at all times, like and they keep game days scratching,

1356
01:06:56,320 --> 01:06:58,600
Speaker 3: like two to three of them because they can't play

1357
01:06:58,640 --> 01:07:03,200
Speaker 3: special teams. And so it's like they have like Washington

1358
01:07:03,280 --> 01:07:05,600
Speaker 3: has been a scratch, Hodge has been a scratch, and

1359
01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:07,280
Speaker 3: anyone and I are and then they get heat from

1360
01:07:07,320 --> 01:07:10,120
Speaker 3: the Packers and he's been a scratch. And then and

1361
01:07:10,160 --> 01:07:12,400
Speaker 3: they're calling up Chris Blair to play wide receiver every

1362
01:07:12,440 --> 01:07:16,200
Speaker 3: week just so they could have Tompkins only play special teams.

1363
01:07:16,320 --> 01:07:18,200
Speaker 3: But they've had agnew up all year and he's and

1364
01:07:18,240 --> 01:07:18,880
Speaker 3: then they like.

1365
01:07:19,280 --> 01:07:22,040
Speaker 2: I mean, it's just been the five kickers.

1366
01:07:22,520 --> 01:07:24,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know. I wonder if it's the you like,

1367
01:07:24,720 --> 01:07:27,240
Speaker 3: they're badly poorly coach. I wonder if it's just more

1368
01:07:27,320 --> 01:07:29,840
Speaker 3: like the GM and the Special Teams coach, because I

1369
01:07:29,880 --> 01:07:30,520
Speaker 3: mean it's still.

1370
01:07:30,480 --> 01:07:32,600
Speaker 2: Well they Special Teams coach and they or no they

1371
01:07:32,640 --> 01:07:35,680
Speaker 2: haven't yet. They were like, yeah, I mean I think

1372
01:07:35,720 --> 01:07:38,640
Speaker 2: he's no. I'm just thinking to someone else. There was

1373
01:07:38,680 --> 01:07:43,320
Speaker 2: a yeah, there was Uh he's been there for five years.

1374
01:07:43,840 --> 01:07:49,560
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, so uh all right, anyway, that'll do it

1375
01:07:49,640 --> 01:07:49,880
Speaker 2: for us.

1376
01:07:50,400 --> 01:07:54,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, that was our week eighteen. Actually that we're podcast

1377
01:07:54,480 --> 01:07:57,560
Speaker 3: presented by DraftKings. If you want to tell some of

1378
01:07:57,600 --> 01:08:01,600
Speaker 3: the bets fondy quicksilks and the own podcast description or

1379
01:08:01,800 --> 01:08:04,560
Speaker 3: is it Action network dot com slash bet now, be

1380
01:08:04,640 --> 01:08:08,040
Speaker 3: sure to check out Playbook on x or Twitter whatever

1381
01:08:08,080 --> 01:08:10,840
Speaker 3: you call it Fantasy Flex for content with Turner and I.

1382
01:08:11,240 --> 01:08:14,760
Speaker 3: We're still doing an episode this week. Stucky is on

1383
01:08:15,080 --> 01:08:17,960
Speaker 3: BBOC and the Favorite. You can find them on X

1384
01:08:18,080 --> 01:08:20,519
Speaker 3: at Stucky too, I'm at Chris raybaud Rethos same handles

1385
01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:23,320
Speaker 3: on the free award winning Action Network app. We'll be

1386
01:08:23,360 --> 01:08:24,640
Speaker 3: back next week, so then let's get this.

1387
01:08:24,720 --> 01:08:25,439
Speaker 2: Money leg go.

1388
01:08:41,280 --> 01:08:45,760
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1389
01:08:45,800 --> 01:08:48,600
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1390
01:08:48,600 --> 01:08:51,679
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