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Speaker 1: We need a flag. College football need a flag. We

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Speaker 1: don't have one right now. Conferences have their own logo,

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Speaker 1: and of course you can put that on a flag,

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Speaker 1: but that would be lame. And so if we had

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Speaker 1: a flag in college football right now, I've got an idea.

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Speaker 1: And the idea is we just take the Gadsden flag,

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Speaker 1: that don't tread on me flag. You've seen it with

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Speaker 1: a snake on it, and we just take the snake

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Speaker 1: off and we put a little football on there, and

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Speaker 1: then we take the word tread and we replace it

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Speaker 1: with tamper. Don't tamper on me? Does? Everyone's complaining about

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Speaker 1: it right now, and that's how we're going to leave

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Speaker 1: the show off tonight. We're jam packed high a top

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Speaker 1: a resplendent sun baked downtown Nashville, Tennessee at Sunday, May fourteenth.

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Speaker 1: The o Our Lord twenty twenty three is tampering an epidemic?

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Speaker 1: Is it just a mild to moderate problem we have

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Speaker 1: in college football? Well, a lot of people are talking

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Speaker 1: about it, A lot of people have opinions on it.

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Speaker 1: I do, too, have for a long time, as a

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Speaker 1: matter of fact. So I'll repeat some things tonight and

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Speaker 1: I'll take you down some new roads tonight. Guess what's back?

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Speaker 1: Bull Predictions are back. We did this for about what

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Speaker 1: jesse two and a half months last year. We started

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Speaker 1: around this time. It ended up being like a franchise

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Speaker 1: piece of content for us over the summer. So I

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Speaker 1: threw the tweet out there this morning, and the tweet reads,

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Speaker 1: what is the boldest prediction you have that you would

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Speaker 1: bet your own money on this year in college football?

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Speaker 1: We got over a thousand replies so far, so that's

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Speaker 1: gonna last us for a while. We will get a

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Speaker 1: lot of meat off that proverbial boom, and we're gonna

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Speaker 1: go through the first four tonight with many more to come.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna take a look at the SEC East tonight.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna take a look at the biggest games in

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Speaker 1: the pac twelve tonight. I also have the Michigan mood

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Speaker 1: Tracker tonight, Why Michigan? What becomes? One of you accused

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Speaker 1: me of not talking about Michigan. And if there is

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Speaker 1: one way that we format this show above any other,

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Speaker 1: it is random dms accusing me of things, completely changing

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Speaker 1: the trajectory of the show. They're watching us in Klingman,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, Austin, Texas, Seal Alabama silent e on the

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Speaker 1: end of Seal, not to be confused with Seeley Texas.

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Speaker 1: I gotta tell you thank you. I tell you thank

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Speaker 1: you all the time. It does not get redundant because

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Speaker 1: it's normally in reference to many different things. But you

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Speaker 1: see sometimes if you follow me on socials at late

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Speaker 1: kick Josh, Instagram and Twitter, you'll see sometimes I put

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Speaker 1: those little tweets out and he gives the yellow caution

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Speaker 1: triangle as the emoji, and it says thank you alert,

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Speaker 1: And I'll always be talking about something we accomplished on

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Speaker 1: the show. There are two reasons I do that, well

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Speaker 1: three reasons. Number one just general thanks to you guys,

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Speaker 1: because you always make that possible. Number Two, it's not

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Speaker 1: quite like Michael Jordan with his high school basketball coach

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Speaker 1: level of spite. But there were some people who said

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Speaker 1: this wouldn't work, and I like to remind them occasionally

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Speaker 1: it does work, this whole year round college football thing.

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Speaker 1: And you don't need to worry about that. Here's what

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Speaker 1: you do need to worry about and what we don't

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Speaker 1: need to worry about. This sucks for a lot of

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Speaker 1: people in our business right now. A lot of people

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Speaker 1: are getting fired in our business. A ton of people

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Speaker 1: are getting laid off. Some pretty high profile names you'll

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Speaker 1: see over the next month to two months will be

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Speaker 1: laid off. It will surprise a lot of you. And

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Speaker 1: I'm not talking about anyone in particular. I'm not talking

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Speaker 1: about any company in particular. It's happening across the industry.

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Speaker 1: The reason it's not a problem for us is because

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Speaker 1: of you. Because of you, this this show, this will

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Speaker 1: spinning logo behind me is a big time success. And

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Speaker 1: not only is it not something that anyone wants to

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Speaker 1: hit the dump button on, it is something they want

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Speaker 1: to invest more in. And so we had a lot

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Speaker 1: of really good meetings last week and we have a

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Speaker 1: lot of them lined up for this week. A lot

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Speaker 1: of really good conversations and a lot of extremely good

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Speaker 1: energy around the show. So I'm not going to bore

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Speaker 1: you with that. I'm just telling you we don't take

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Speaker 1: it for granted, especially right now, because there are people

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Speaker 1: who will go to work tomorrow in our industry who

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Speaker 1: have no idea if they're going to end the week

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Speaker 1: being employed. And because of you and you don't have

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Speaker 1: to worry about that. And I appreciate that. Okay, that's boring,

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Speaker 1: So we get that out of the way. So now

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Speaker 1: let's get to the fun stuff or is it fun.

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Speaker 1: Tampering dirty word, but it's the buzzword in college football

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Speaker 1: right now. We're in the transfer portal era, we're in

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Speaker 1: the nil era. I'm being told we're in the tampering

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Speaker 1: era too. Several of you have reached out to me

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Speaker 1: about this. I think it was it was Feldman and

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Speaker 1: it was Max Olsen over at the Athletic. Both dudes

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Speaker 1: do great work, and they put out a piece together

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Speaker 1: about tampering, and it's right there on the Athletics College

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Speaker 1: Football front page. If you want to go give it

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Speaker 1: a read. I highly suggest that you subscribe over there,

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Speaker 1: even though I don't have a skin in that particular game.

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Speaker 1: They do incredible work, especially in the College Football front

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Speaker 1: So they wrote a story and they quoted anonymously a

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Speaker 1: lot of coaches except for Pat Nardozi, who just went

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Speaker 1: on the record. More on that in a second. The

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Speaker 1: piece basically says exactly what you would think it would say.

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Speaker 1: The G five is being ravaged by tampering. You've got

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Speaker 1: people who are cheating, and you've got a bunch of

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Speaker 1: bad actors behind the curtain, behind the scenes, who were

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Speaker 1: taking full advantage of kids who don't know any better. Voila,

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Speaker 1: there you go. And what is tampering? Just to refresh

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Speaker 1: everyone's memory for those who are new around here and

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Speaker 1: who don't really know the ins and outs of college

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Speaker 1: football right now, the transfer portal recently changed. I assume

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Speaker 1: you know what the transfer portal is. But what changed

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Speaker 1: the college football is they did away with the penalty

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Speaker 1: that you have to pay for transferring, and so everyone's

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Speaker 1: just free to go wherever they want to, at least

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Speaker 1: for their first transfer. And what that led to is

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Speaker 1: a lot of people reaching out to kids on other rosters,

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Speaker 1: even though it's illegal to do it, and they're reaching

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Speaker 1: out to them and saying, hey, if you want to

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Speaker 1: come over here at university X, even though you're currently

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Speaker 1: a player at university, why would love you. We've got

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Speaker 1: a spot for you. We would even have nil money

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Speaker 1: for you. So it's pretty gross, but yeah, it's happening.

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Speaker 1: Of course, it was always going to happen. No one

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Speaker 1: is shocked. I don't think at the fact that it's happening.

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Speaker 1: I hear it constantly, so in the interest of not

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Speaker 1: burning my own sources, I will tell you that I

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Speaker 1: have conversations not quite daily, almost daily, multiple times weekly

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Speaker 1: with coaches. Some are head coaches, many more are assistant

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Speaker 1: coaches about this very topic. Here's how it usually sounds,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not telling you guys anything. I don't tell them.

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Speaker 1: It usually sounds like this. I get a call or

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Speaker 1: I get a text which leads to a call about

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Speaker 1: a particular situation where a kid is being tampered with,

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Speaker 1: and the evidence is either hearsay or screenshots of DMS

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Speaker 1: or text messages they have, so usually there's fairly solid

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Speaker 1: evidence here. Usually they got a lot to go on,

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Speaker 1: and my response is always the same, speak up, because

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Speaker 1: what they really are coming to me for is they're

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Speaker 1: coming to me because they'd love, in an ideal world

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Speaker 1: for me to shed light on one particular person or

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Speaker 1: one particular school who is doing this. And I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna do it because there is not one particular school

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Speaker 1: or one particular school, or one particular person at a

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Speaker 1: school who is doing this. There's a lot of bad

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Speaker 1: traffic out there on the interstate that we call college football.

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Speaker 1: But I always do tell them, why don't you speak

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Speaker 1: up and this I can't and I say, no, you won't.

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Speaker 1: It's not you can't, you won't. Now they've got their reasons.

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Speaker 1: The first reason is, well, they think it'll look like

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Speaker 1: sour grapes maybe. So number two is well, I don't

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Speaker 1: want to I don't want to disproportionately burn a buddy

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Speaker 1: because in a lot of cases, all these dudes know

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Speaker 1: each other and they don't necessarily want to see one

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Speaker 1: of their friends who's guilty of tampering lose his job

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Speaker 1: because the NCAA just randomly decides to drop a sledgehammer

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Speaker 1: on his head. And so what this sounds to me

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Speaker 1: like is it sounds to me like venting. That's what

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Speaker 1: it ends up being. They're venting about tampering, but they

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Speaker 1: really are not looking to have it eradicated. Pat and

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Speaker 1: Ardoozy spoke up Pat Dardouzy at PITT this time last year.

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Speaker 1: Remember when Jordan Addison left and he went to USC

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Speaker 1: and Pat and Ardozy flat out came out and said, yeah,

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Speaker 1: he got tampered with. He didn't do it anonymously and

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Speaker 1: he didn't shy away. Paton Ardoozy spoke his mind. Now

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Speaker 1: he's quoted Pat and Ardozy is quoted in this story

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Speaker 1: that Max Olsen and Bruce Feldman wrote on The Athletic

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Speaker 1: and they ask them a year later, all right, do

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Speaker 1: you regret doing it? He said, absolutely not. I don't

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Speaker 1: regret doing it. And I'm paraphrasing a little bit, but

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Speaker 1: what he SAIDs down on the money, and that's exactly

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Speaker 1: what I would say to any other coach who talks

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Speaker 1: about tampering and they want to do something about it,

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Speaker 1: Speak up, speaking you want it, you want it, you

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Speaker 1: want to greatly douse the flames. Name names, Speak out

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Speaker 1: and speak up, even if you don't get actionable results

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Speaker 1: on the specific kid that you're speaking up about, even

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Speaker 1: if you don't get punitive measures levied against the specific

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Speaker 1: person that you're alleging tampered. As Pat Nardoozy said, it's

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Speaker 1: absolutely gonna make folks think twice about coming after kids

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Speaker 1: on your roster a year from now, because the last

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Speaker 1: thing they want to do is get called out publicly.

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Speaker 1: There's this kind of unwritten understanding right now that no

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Speaker 1: one's really gonna call anyone out. Why is that, because,

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Speaker 1: as patnar Doozy put it, everyone's doing it. That's the

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Speaker 1: real reason, of course, if the common sense had already

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Speaker 1: said in on you. That's the real reason no one's

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Speaker 1: speaking out because they know tomorrow they may have to

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Speaker 1: do the exact same thing. Nor Doozy spoke out, he said,

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Speaker 1: we don't do it, So I don't care. I have

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Speaker 1: no problem speaking out. So I got a lot of

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Speaker 1: respect for Paton Nordozy because he's got a problem and

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Speaker 1: he's willing to speak publicly about it, and therefore I

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Speaker 1: will never disagree with any take that guy has, even

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Speaker 1: if it's a differing of opinion, I can respect the

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Speaker 1: difference of opinion there he's speaking out about it. More

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Speaker 1: of you should. The process is not a one way street, though.

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Speaker 1: This is what I wanted to get to for just

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Speaker 1: a second. There's a lot of complaining from coaches, and

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of complaining from folks in all spheres

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Speaker 1: of college football right now about tampering, and the allegations

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Speaker 1: always go towards the coach, and it's valid in a

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Speaker 1: lot of cases. There are coaches that in a lot

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Speaker 1: of cases have proactively scouted a kid and they either

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Speaker 1: personally have reached out or they've covered their tracks a

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Speaker 1: little bit better and they've reached out via second and

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Speaker 1: third party channels, and they've gotten in contact with a

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Speaker 1: kid illegally and told him, if you hop in the portal,

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Speaker 1: want you here, We got a spot for you here. Yes,

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Speaker 1: that happens, but it's not a one way street. And

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Speaker 1: let me tell you the stories that I hear a

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Speaker 1: lot that never make it to your ears because there's

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Speaker 1: not nearly as much benefit in it making it to

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Speaker 1: your ears. A lot of times coaches are receiving dms.

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Speaker 1: A lot of times coaches are receiving phone calls and

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Speaker 1: text messages from someone representing a kid trying to gauge

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Speaker 1: whether there would be an offer if that kid went

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Speaker 1: in the portal. Now, I know that this is probably

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Speaker 1: not shocking news to you, but I would just ask,

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Speaker 1: do you ever hear about that? And I'm not blaming kids,

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Speaker 1: by the way, This is not me demonizing kids. I'm

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Speaker 1: just painting the real picture for you. Tampering is a

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Speaker 1: lot more layered than it seems right now. You just

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Speaker 1: view these innocent, fond children on these rosters and some

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Speaker 1: evil coach comes in their dms on Twitter or Instagram,

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Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, oh, they're like a piece

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Speaker 1: of meat. Sometimes it works that way, let me tell

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Speaker 1: you how it often works on the other side. The

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Speaker 1: other side is running backs. Coach is chilling at three

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Speaker 1: thirty in the afternoon, and oh, his phone just went

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Speaker 1: off this Oh that's the uncle of that kid I

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Speaker 1: recruited two years ago. Wants to know if I'd have

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Speaker 1: a spot for him here at Payton State. Boy, isn't

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Speaker 1: that peculiar? Isn't that strange? Now let me go act

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Speaker 1: on it. Hey, I am not demonizing anyone. Sure the

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Speaker 1: coach is doing it's illegal. I'm just saying there's some

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Speaker 1: guided information they have a lot of times that lets

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Speaker 1: him know if we do go after this kid. Not if,

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Speaker 1: but when he jumps in the portal, pretty good chance

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Speaker 1: we're gonna land him. Why because they already told us

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Speaker 1: that we're gonna land him. You can agree or disagree

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Speaker 1: with all this stuff. You can agree or disagree with

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Speaker 1: whether the transfer portal should operate the way it does.

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Speaker 1: We've had that debate in college football. I don't think

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Speaker 1: anyone's really changing their mind on it right now. Maybe

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Speaker 1: a few of you are, But even if you are,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. It's not like the thing's gonna close up.

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Speaker 1: I do like the windows that they put in. But

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Speaker 1: even with the windows, I mean, if you're a G

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Speaker 1: five head coach right now, you wrap up springball the

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Speaker 1: same time that the big boys at the Power five

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Speaker 1: level did. The big boys at the power five level

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Speaker 1: have used ring to basically do a stress test on

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Speaker 1: their roster, and they've realized, yeah, we do need a

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Speaker 1: couple more pieces on the interior of our offensive line.

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Speaker 1: Yeah we aren't as good at slot receiver. Yeah we

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Speaker 1: did have a bad injury at safety. We do need

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Speaker 1: some help there. They just go raid your roster. And

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Speaker 1: if you're at Kent, you know, if you're at North Texas,

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Speaker 1: if you're at UL Lafayette, what is your recourse. You're

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Speaker 1: a sitting duck. You're so vulnerable. And it was always

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Speaker 1: gonna be that way. And that's why a lot of people,

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Speaker 1: not all, but a lot of people who have their

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Speaker 1: hands on the wheel of the sport could not care

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Speaker 1: less about the G five. They just don't care. They

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Speaker 1: never really fought to preserve anything that you guys are doing.

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now, you think they're looking out

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Speaker 1: for you. When they start talking about this auto bid

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Speaker 1: process and the upcoming expanded College Football Playoff. I'm telling

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Speaker 1: you it's gonna screw you nine ways from Sunday there too,

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Speaker 1: because while one of your participants, one of the lucky few,

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Speaker 1: gets zapped up onto the spaceship of the College FOOTBA Playoff,

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Speaker 1: it's coming at the expense of big time schools not

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Speaker 1: scheduling you anymore because the expanded playoff makes it such

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Speaker 1: that they don't have to go undefeated anymore, and all

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Speaker 1: things equal, they'd just rather play twelve Power five opponents

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Speaker 1: and maybe maybe eleven Power fives in an FCS. You're

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Speaker 1: the one that gets hung out to dry. No one's

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Speaker 1: looking out for the G five. No one is. Even

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Speaker 1: the people who claim they are aren't. At least I've

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Speaker 1: always been honest about this. At least I've always sat

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Speaker 1: here and said, it's laughable that we pretend all of

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Speaker 1: these one hundred and thirty some odd teams are under

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Speaker 1: the same umbrella. It's never been that way. But I digress.

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Speaker 1: That's another segment. The grossest part of this thing has

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Speaker 1: been and will continue to be handlers. Okay, you may

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Speaker 1: think that, oh, that wide receivers coach tampering with that

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Speaker 1: kid before he's ever entered the portal. That grosses me out. No,

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Speaker 1: what would gross you out infinitely more if you could

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Speaker 1: see it is overturning the rock and watching all those

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Speaker 1: handlers and all those agents scurry around. You don't know

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Speaker 1: their names. They like it that way, you don't know

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Speaker 1: anything about them. They like it that way. They want

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Speaker 1: to operate in the shadows, and they want to have

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Speaker 1: the kid be out in the forefront. They just want

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Speaker 1: to leech off of that kid. And it was a

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Speaker 1: really good point made in this athletic piece that I

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Speaker 1: would like to reiterate to you, because I don't think

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Speaker 1: a lot of you know this. In the NFL, it's

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Speaker 1: very structured. They have a player's association. And did you

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Speaker 1: know that agents in the NFL have a commission cap.

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Speaker 1: They can earn a max of three percent of your earning.

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Speaker 1: So if I'm representing you, you signed with the Jets

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Speaker 1: for fifty million over four years, I can get three

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Speaker 1: percent of that max. We don't have a player's association

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Speaker 1: in college football CFBPA. You've never heard those letters put

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Speaker 1: together because it doesn't exist, And so it's just a

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Speaker 1: free for all. And if I go sucker a kid

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Speaker 1: and his family into me representing him. I may have

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Speaker 1: his best interest at heart, not if I suckered him,

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Speaker 1: but I may represent a kid and truly have his

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Speaker 1: best interest at heart. There are some good actors out there.

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Speaker 1: You do know a lot of their names. There's a

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Speaker 1: re you don't know the names of the bad actors.

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Speaker 1: They don't want the light showing on them because of

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Speaker 1: just what I told you. They are bad actors, and

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Speaker 1: they understand. I could go convince a mom that, hey,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get your kids seventy five or one hundred grand.

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Speaker 1: Who cares if I take fifteen percent off the top.

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Speaker 1: By the way, could you sign this piece of paper

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Speaker 1: that says that same conversion rate applies over the next

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Speaker 1: ten years even if he gets to the NFL. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that kind of stuff legal, illegal, by the way, But

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Speaker 1: is the kind of kind of backwards agreement that you

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Speaker 1: see being agreed to a lot of the times. It's gross.

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Speaker 1: It's really gross. So tampering is here to stay. It

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Speaker 1: is the way of the college football world. The only

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Speaker 1: way that you could circument it, slow the flow if

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Speaker 1: you will, is speak up. Take the pat nardoozy approach

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Speaker 1: in life. Just speak up. You'll be shocked at how

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Speaker 1: much less you have to deal with this just for

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Speaker 1: people being scared, You're gonna call him out by name.

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Speaker 1: Bad press is a great deterrent. It is like the

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Speaker 1: fire extinguisher to tampering. Just call people out. It's not

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Speaker 1: a crime. Pat Nard Dizzy hadn't been locked up. Quite

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Speaker 1: the opposite. He said, we didn't even have to deal

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Speaker 1: with tampering this past cycle. What do you know, Oh,

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Speaker 1: the one more thing I was gonna say, So you

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Speaker 1: can like the stuff or you cannot like the stuff.

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Speaker 1: I don't think most of you like it. Please just don't.

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Speaker 1: I know what's gonna happen. This is why I have

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Speaker 1: to say this. I'm gonna look in the comments and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say, oh, you got a big problem with tampering.

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Speaker 1: You got a big problem with the portal, which I

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Speaker 1: don't with the ladder up, but you got a problem

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Speaker 1: with tampering, And you got a problem with kids moving

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Speaker 1: all over the place. But you don't have a problem

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Speaker 1: with coaches do the same thing. Coaches don't do the

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Speaker 1: same thing. There's not an apples to apples comparison between

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Speaker 1: coaches professionally moving around and players moving around. As I

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Speaker 1: have said, nine hundred and ninety nine times, will just

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Speaker 1: make this an even thousand. When I go to Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: State and agree to be your defensive coordinator, they put

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Speaker 1: a piece of paper in front of me. You might

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Speaker 1: also know it as a contract, and I sign it,

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Speaker 1: and there is language in that contract that spells out

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Speaker 1: exactly what happens if I leave and break this contract

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Speaker 1: before it expires. So if I go to Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: for example, and I want to be their defensive coordinator

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Speaker 1: because they're offering me more money, Oklahoma State doesn't throw

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Speaker 1: their hands up and say, well, there he goes, There

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Speaker 1: he goes again. That doesn't happen. Someone's paying someone to

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Speaker 1: buy out. Now I know what the retort is, so

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Speaker 1: I'll also save you time on this. Well, yes, but

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Speaker 1: those are employees, Josh, these players aren't. That's why some

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Speaker 1: of us just want to push the wagon on down

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Speaker 1: the road. We don't want to hem haul around, we

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Speaker 1: don't want to stop at the rest stops. Let's just

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Speaker 1: get to where we're going. And if it's employment, if

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Speaker 1: that's where we're going, let's just go ahead and get

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Speaker 1: there so I can stop having to deal with comments

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Speaker 1: like that. Well, coaches do it? Why don't play. Why

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Speaker 1: couldn't players do it ough such happier times on Horizon? Here?

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Speaker 1: How should I intro this? Colin? How do we do it? Last?

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Speaker 1: Great preparation for tonight's show, as you can tell. Let

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Speaker 1: me take a sip from the chalice. It gives me

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Speaker 1: time to think I've got it all right. Here we go,

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Speaker 1: pretend like you didn't hear the last thirty seconds or so.

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Speaker 1: Bold Prediction season is here. We got one question. I

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Speaker 1: need one answer from you, and the question is what

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Speaker 1: would you put your money on this season? And out

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Speaker 1: of all those things you'd put your money on, what

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Speaker 1: is the boldest prediction that you'd be willing to bet on.

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Speaker 1: We got four of them tonight, but we got about

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Speaker 1: a one thousand of them to go. We may not

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Speaker 1: get to all of them before kickoff, but the best

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Speaker 1: will be featured prominently on the show. So let's take

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Speaker 1: a look. What is the first bold prediction of twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three? Steven from Blairsville, Pennsylvania. Here we go. Penn

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Speaker 1: State makes the playoff with an undefeated regular season, and

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Speaker 1: then we had some win margins over Ohio State and Michigan.

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Speaker 1: Let's just focus on the core principle here, Penn State

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Speaker 1: makes the playoff undefeated regular season. What kind of boldness

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Speaker 1: great are we going to put on this? Penn State

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Speaker 1: going undefeed in the regular season is an eight and

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Speaker 1: a quarter for me on the boldness scale. I just

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Speaker 1: upped it, Jesse. I know we agreed to eight. I

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Speaker 1: went eight and a quarter. This is not off the

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Speaker 1: charts in the In years past, this would have been

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Speaker 1: well into the nine to nine and a half range.

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Speaker 1: So Penn State's twenty twenty three schedule stacks up about

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Speaker 1: like this. They've got a bunch of games they should win,

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Speaker 1: then they're bye week, then they get into October and

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Speaker 1: they'll be well arrested for u mass for whatever that's worth.

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Speaker 1: But they've got Ohio State October twenty. First, they've got

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Speaker 1: Michigan November eleventh, well spaced out. This is the year

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Speaker 1: they go to Columbus. This is the year Michigan comes

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Speaker 1: to State College. My question is are those the two games?

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Speaker 1: In other words, could West Virginia trip them up? Could

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Speaker 1: Illinois trip them up? Could Iowa trip them up? Well? Yes,

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Speaker 1: but this is the most talented version of Penn State

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Speaker 1: Franklin's had probably since they won the Big ten back

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Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen. You have heard me well document my

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Speaker 1: feelings towards the what they could be defensively, A great

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Speaker 1: one two tandem in the backfield receiver room. I don't

414
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Speaker 1: think will just be established week one. They've got the

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Speaker 1: sefist kid coming in from Kent State in the summer,

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Speaker 1: Drew Oller at quarterback. Another question about him is not

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Speaker 1: what he'll be in week one, Like I just told you,

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Speaker 1: their schedule is not front loaded. It's what will he

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Speaker 1: be in week seven, Week eight, week nine. They've got

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Speaker 1: time to I guess, for lack of a better phrase,

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Speaker 1: ease him in. Now. That's not ever what they would

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Speaker 1: call it. But I'm just telling you, when you're favored

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Speaker 1: by double digits every week for the first five or

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Speaker 1: six weeks of the season, you don't have the sense

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Speaker 1: of over the cliff urgency that you would if you

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Speaker 1: had Ohio State in week two. For example, this is

427
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,560
Speaker 1: an eight and a quarter for me. Penn State undefeated

428
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 1: regular season eight and a quarter, there'll be a dog

429
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:50,920
Speaker 1: in Ohio State. I know we've got early lines out

430
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 1: on Michigan Penn State. That is towards the end of

431
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,640
Speaker 1: the year, it's in November. Let's see how things play out,

432
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 1: and then let's see what that point spread is when

433
00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 1: we actually arrived at that game. All right, Next up,

434
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 1: we're going down south here community from Lilburn, Georgia. Vall

435
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 1: Addict says, Tennessee not only beats Georgia, but they beat

436
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 1: them by two scores and they go on to play

437
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 1: LSU for the SEC Championship. This is very specific. So

438
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 1: they're gonna beat Georgia by nine or more. That's in

439
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 1: Knoxville at least. And then not only that, we gotta

440
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 1: parlay this. I don't know why you guys do this,

441
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 1: but they got to parlay this with LSU winning the West.

442
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 1: So Tennessee could drum Georgia by forty. But if Bama

443
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 1: wins the West, you were still wrong. I don't know,

444
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:41,320
Speaker 1: but it's your prediction, it's not mine. This is a

445
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 1: nine point five. If you would have told me one

446
00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 1: or the other, then I could get you down in

447
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:50,200
Speaker 1: the eight range. Tennessee beats Georgia by two possessions. Let's

448
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:55,159
Speaker 1: address that one. First. Tennessee plays Georgia this year, second

449
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,239
Speaker 1: to last week of the season. How about that, By

450
00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 1: the way, it used to be a lot earlier. They

451
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,399
Speaker 1: play in November eight, So whatever Joe Milton is at

452
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,119
Speaker 1: quarterback will know by then, whatever Carson Beck is at

453
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:07,199
Speaker 1: quarterback will know by then. Colin, could you show me

454
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,560
Speaker 1: Georgia's schedule for just a second. I know that I

455
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 1: just caught you flipping graphics. My bad. But Georgia, famously

456
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 1: at this point, even though it's still May, has a

457
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,399
Speaker 1: very weak schedule by SEC standards. This is not the

458
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 1: kind of show where we blame Georgia for that. I

459
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:27,360
Speaker 1: would rather blame the rest of the SEC West for that. Georgia,

460
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,680
Speaker 1: they go to Auburn, they will have gone to Vanderbilt,

461
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,880
Speaker 1: they will have played Florida in Jacksonville. They will not

462
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 1: have faced any kind of remote hostility on the road.

463
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 1: That's in the same galaxy. That's what they'll deal with

464
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:46,439
Speaker 1: Kneeland later in the year. Now. It's one thing if

465
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 1: Tennessee has disappointed and they're already a three lost team

466
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,439
Speaker 1: or something like that. But it's another thing if Georgia

467
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:53,560
Speaker 1: has to deal with a dose of what Bama had

468
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 1: to deal with last year, where one or both of

469
00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,399
Speaker 1: them are undefeated maybe and all of a sudden you

470
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 1: walk in is just like a big orange hornet's nest,

471
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 1: which colin could be the new nickname of the stadium

472
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 1: if you guys ever get tired of what you currently

473
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 1: call it. So the whole quarterback think, notwithstanding the battle

474
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 1: tested nature of Tennessee, by this points, what could be

475
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 1: curious could be interesting. So they will have already played Bama,

476
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,400
Speaker 1: They will have already played A and M. They will

477
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,719
Speaker 1: have already played some really good rosters. Whether those are

478
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 1: good teams this year Bama will be good, A and

479
00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 1: M is another story, but they will have played some

480
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 1: really good NFL loaded rosters. Georgia will not have necessarily

481
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 1: faced that. Now, if George's skulldracking everybody by thirty, it

482
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 1: does not matter. But if this is the kind of

483
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:42,600
Speaker 1: year where Georgia's still winning games but they're kind of

484
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,199
Speaker 1: kind of unimpressive, or they're underachieving, they're not quite covering

485
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 1: spreads while they're doing it, it's the kind of thing

486
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 1: where you could build up the whole year and you

487
00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:52,680
Speaker 1: could be looking at the Tennessee game and you could

488
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 1: watch Georgia sneak past Auburn, and they could sneak past Florida,

489
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 1: and all the while in the back of your mind,

490
00:23:57,520 --> 00:24:01,520
Speaker 1: you're saying they got to play Tennessee eventually. Though. That

491
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:03,639
Speaker 1: could be the kind of year we have, or it

492
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: could be totally irrelevant. And there's a reason why Georgia's

493
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,800
Speaker 1: minus won fifteen odds to win the SEC Championship of

494
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,760
Speaker 1: Tennessee's down there a plus fourteen hundred, those numbers could

495
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:16,080
Speaker 1: just validate themselves. I'm putting a nine and a half

496
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 1: on this, though. If you're telling me they're winning the

497
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 1: East and they're beaten Georgia by two scorers to do it,

498
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 1: and they're facing a specific team out of the West,

499
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:25,680
Speaker 1: that's a bridge too far for me to go anything

500
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 1: less than a nine. Speaking of bold predictions, I've got

501
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 1: another one here for you. The mod. The model really

502
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 1: hates this one from Peachtree City. Owen said Sark has

503
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 1: never won ten games as a head coach. The streak

504
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:47,920
Speaker 1: will remain intact as Texas what misses a bowl game

505
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 1: this year, so smoke starts to come out of the model. Okay,

506
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 1: the model would like Texas to win the AFC next year,

507
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 1: so the model is permanently drunk on Texas. But even

508
00:24:57,800 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 1: I have to look at this and say what are

509
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 1: we talking about? Miss a Bowl game? They get a

510
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:05,719
Speaker 1: bowl of food in week one and rice before they

511
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: go to Bama. Yes, there's a tough game in Week two,

512
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:12,960
Speaker 1: which they are a single digit underdog in might I add,

513
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:16,959
Speaker 1: but elsewhere, Texas is favored to win the Big Twelve.

514
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,360
Speaker 1: That's not news. They have been before. I actually agree

515
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 1: with those numbers. This year, the over under win totals

516
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 1: nine and a half. So you're telling me they're missing

517
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 1: that by what four games? Or I guess you can't

518
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:33,680
Speaker 1: win five and a half, Sonna, They're gonna win five

519
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 1: games where they're over under win total of nine and

520
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,640
Speaker 1: a half. They're favored to win the Big Twelve. They're

521
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:42,720
Speaker 1: plus sixteen hundred to win the National Championship Game. Now,

522
00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 1: I am cognizant of one thing, and that's the only

523
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: reason I didn't make this a ten. I made it

524
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,399
Speaker 1: a nine and a half on the Boldness Scale instead

525
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:54,120
Speaker 1: of a ten. This time last year, I sat right

526
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 1: here and someone predicted A and M to win like

527
00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:02,359
Speaker 1: four games, and I had the foolish thought to label

528
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 1: them a disaster proof roster. That just means they have

529
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 1: a level of talent that makes them immune to falling

530
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:13,399
Speaker 1: off a cliff. They could underachieve they could win seven

531
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 1: or eight games, but there's no way they would just

532
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:20,360
Speaker 1: fall below bowl contention. Well they did, so I will

533
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,560
Speaker 1: never say never, but I will say Texas is making

534
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 1: a Bowl, and they're gonna make a really, really handsome Bowl.

535
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:30,280
Speaker 1: This is not one where they're fighting to get to Shreveport.

536
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,479
Speaker 1: All due respect, Texas is making a Bowl. They got

537
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 1: the nineteenth, they're nineteenth in the country in returning production

538
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 1: this year. Their roster, like I just said about A

539
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,199
Speaker 1: and M, their roster is too good to allow this

540
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,639
Speaker 1: to happen. And also, this is not a team that

541
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:49,679
Speaker 1: disproportionately relies on one superstar quarterback. They've got Malik Murphy

542
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:52,280
Speaker 1: sitting in there, which a ton of teams would love

543
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:54,439
Speaker 1: to have as their starter right now. So even if

544
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 1: they have the worst happen, and that is a quarterback

545
00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:00,959
Speaker 1: goes down for the season, even then they've got backup

546
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:03,919
Speaker 1: options at the most important position. So Texas missing a

547
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 1: Bowl nine and a half. Lastly, for today, this one

548
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 1: was out there a little bit. Eric said Colorado is

549
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 1: going to have a better record than Miami. Eric, I

550
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:18,080
Speaker 1: don't think you're right. The preseason over under win totals.

551
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 1: Here are Colorado over under three and a half wins

552
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 1: that's up from three, and Miami over under seven and

553
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:28,480
Speaker 1: a half wins. I would be curious if Eric expects

554
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 1: a surge from Colorado, or he expects a drop off

555
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,119
Speaker 1: from Miami, or he expects sort of a meeting in

556
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:37,520
Speaker 1: the middle at around five or six wins. This is

557
00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 1: a tall, tall task for Deon Sanders and Colorado to

558
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,400
Speaker 1: pull off in year one. And that's not even considering

559
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: Miami could just flat out hit their over and win

560
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,199
Speaker 1: nine games or something like that. So I'm putting this

561
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:55,479
Speaker 1: at a nine point seven five. Miami obviously coming off

562
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,120
Speaker 1: a less than desirable finish last year. You know, Colorado

563
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 1: is coming off of a one win campaign. Miami went

564
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 1: to work in the portal. Also, the infusion of new

565
00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 1: ideas offensively and defensively, couple of new coordinators down there.

566
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 1: They probably won't click right out of the gate, but

567
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:12,680
Speaker 1: it's a big thing to have Tyler van Dyke still there,

568
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 1: a guy that just a year ago, two years ago,

569
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 1: really if you count last year, showed you he could

570
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: play the position at a really high level. And Shannon

571
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 1: Dawson's the offensive coordinator down there. I think they'll be

572
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 1: more than okay. Whether they challenge to win the acc

573
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:30,640
Speaker 1: doesn't matter. In relation to this prediction, you said they're

574
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 1: going to have a worse record than Colorado that I

575
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:35,720
Speaker 1: have a hard time seeing. So I'm gonna put a

576
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 1: nine point seventy five on that one. And with that

577
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 1: bold prediction, season is back. Academy Sports and Outdoors is

578
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 1: probably one of the most important places to be this

579
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 1: time of year. Dare I say any time of year,

580
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: but especially this time of year. I think that so

581
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:01,320
Speaker 1: some of you are going to be suppressed some of

582
00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 1: the towns that we're about to open new Academy Sports

583
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 1: and Outdoors locations in. You're gonna be surprised because I've

584
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 1: had some of you hit me up from these locations

585
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 1: that say I don't have an academy anywhere near me.

586
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 1: You will soon, So that's a little teaser. But in

587
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 1: the meantime, you've got Internet, You've got Academy dot Com.

588
00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 1: They've got our back. I told you thank you at

589
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:21,840
Speaker 1: the beginning of the show, and I told you we're

590
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 1: in such a blessed position we don't have to worry

591
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 1: about a lot of the concerns that some other folks

592
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 1: in our business have to be concerned about. Well, Academy

593
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,040
Speaker 1: is another reason, you guys. And Academy Sports and Outdoors,

594
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,120
Speaker 1: those are the ones we need in the foxhole with us.

595
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 1: At that point, a management can do whatever they want to,

596
00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: go play hr and ping pong down there for all

597
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 1: I care. But Academy Sports and Outdoors one stop shop

598
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 1: for all things outdoor sporting good supplies plus and you

599
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:49,719
Speaker 1: just fill in the blank after the plus, because there

600
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 1: is a number of things they have there that probably

601
00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:55,280
Speaker 1: surprise you. Every day we are getting dms from people

602
00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 1: saying I went to Academy for the first time and

603
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 1: it never under delivered everyone to a man to a woman,

604
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 1: They're always shocked that I found this there. I went

605
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 1: there for one thing, but I found this and this there.

606
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 1: Just trust me. Would I lie to you about this, No,

607
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 1: not unless they paid me a billion dollars, and even

608
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 1: then probably still wouldn't. I'm not lying to you about this.

609
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:19,600
Speaker 1: Academy's got a ton of stuff that you need, including

610
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 1: some stuff you didn't even know you needed. Academy dot

611
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 1: Com online. If you can't get there in person, thank

612
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 1: you so much to our friends at Academy Sports and Outdoors.

613
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,640
Speaker 1: Let's pull out that microscope telescope. Nah, it's probably a

614
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 1: microscope sort of thing. Let's look at the SEC East.

615
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 1: We're doing a lot of looks post spring nature at

616
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 1: some of the different conferences in different divisions in college football,

617
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: and the East is interesting because it's down, that's why.

618
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:47,800
Speaker 1: And it's been down for a while and it's getting old,

619
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 1: and I would love to see this change. So let's

620
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 1: just start this by looking at the standings. Last year,

621
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,880
Speaker 1: Georgia ran away with at Tennessee second and South Carolina

622
00:30:57,040 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: had another surprisingly good year. If it's not Georgia this year,

623
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,719
Speaker 1: george is the overwhelming favorite. If it's not Georgia, who

624
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,560
Speaker 1: would it be? How would this happen? I want to

625
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 1: remind you guys, if you're not familiar with the odds

626
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:13,120
Speaker 1: market and how things are stacking up this year, sometimes

627
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 1: you have a favorite, then you have a solid second tier.

628
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 1: Right in the SEC East. That is not the case,

629
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 1: at least in the odds market. Now, odds mean nothing

630
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 1: once you kick the ball off that This is all

631
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 1: we have to go on right now. So Georgia's over

632
00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 1: under preseason win total is eleven. Tennessee's is nine, and

633
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 1: then I want you to listen to this. The next

634
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 1: closest team is Kentucky at six and a half, Missouri

635
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:39,360
Speaker 1: six and a half, South Carolina six or Florida five

636
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,840
Speaker 1: and a half, and Vandy three and a half. For

637
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:43,560
Speaker 1: the record, Vandy over three and a half is one

638
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 1: of the best bets in the country. If you wanted

639
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,960
Speaker 1: to know who the worst team, keep this graphic up, Colin.

640
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: If you want to know who the worst team is

641
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 1: odds wise in the SEC West, it would be Mississippi State,

642
00:31:56,520 --> 00:32:00,400
Speaker 1: And you could slot Mississippi State right there. If you're

643
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 1: watching on YouTube, and if you're listening on podcast, there

644
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 1: are one, two, three. There are five teams in the

645
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 1: East that have worse odds than the worst team preseason

646
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 1: in the West. So that's gross. That is a gigantic

647
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: ankle weight, although it's not the way it works necessarily,

648
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,080
Speaker 1: because it just means the net result is Georgia has

649
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 1: a very very easy schedule by SEC standards. But if

650
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: it's not Georgia, I would assume Tennessee. I would be

651
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 1: very very surprised, frankly if any of those other teams

652
00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 1: made a run. But what's interesting with Tennessee is that

653
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 1: game's not untill later in the years we just talked

654
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:43,400
Speaker 1: about a little while ago. What's interesting with Tennessee is

655
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 1: there're gonna be some folks doubting them that also talked

656
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,960
Speaker 1: last year about the system. Now follow me here, because

657
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 1: I want you to be ahead of the curve on

658
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 1: this and I don't want you to fall into this trap.

659
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 1: There's this group of people that watched Hendon Hooker and

660
00:32:57,320 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 1: Jalen Hyatt and those players start to shine last year.

661
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,160
Speaker 1: And what did they do. They tried to pour water

662
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 1: on the fire and they tried to say, oh, they're

663
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 1: just system players. Though, oh, hypel system does that. Those

664
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 1: same people, once those players walk out the door, are

665
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 1: going to look you in the eye and say, well,

666
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 1: Hypel System's not gonna work. It lost too many players.

667
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:22,640
Speaker 1: What it is this not? Is this not a little hypocritical.

668
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 1: It's either a system thing or it's a player's thing.

669
00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: You can't tell me the players are irrelevant because of

670
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 1: the system and then tell me the system's not gonna

671
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 1: work because they lost players. It's gonna happen. We're approaching

672
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 1: Preview magazine season. It's gonna happen. I just want you

673
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 1: to be ready for that. Tennessee returns fifty seven percent

674
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:42,880
Speaker 1: offensive production this year. That is ninety sixth in the country.

675
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 1: We're in FBS, So yeah, you can doubt them. That's fine,

676
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 1: that's healthy. But if it's not Georgia over there, it

677
00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 1: probably would be Tennessee. Now, what is that picture for Georgia. Well,

678
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 1: if you checked out for spring, looks like Carson Beck's

679
00:33:57,560 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 1: going to be the starting quarterback. I just want to

680
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 1: remind you about Georgia. They're like one of two, maybe

681
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:07,920
Speaker 1: three teams in the country where everything you've learned about

682
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:10,080
Speaker 1: this sport you just throw it out the window. Ignore

683
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:14,240
Speaker 1: conventional wisdom. It doesn't matter that they're eightieth in returning production,

684
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter they're one hundred and ninth in returning

685
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:20,760
Speaker 1: offensive production. They're just gonna be good because the guys

686
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 1: they have who haven't played are better than ninety eight

687
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:26,520
Speaker 1: percent of the guys out there elsewhere who have played.

688
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 1: So it's the same thing we've had with Bama for

689
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 1: a long time. Clemson had this for a minute. Ohio

690
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:36,800
Speaker 1: State sometimes has this. I imagine Southern cal under Lincoln Riley

691
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 1: is going to end up having this offensively, Michigan is

692
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 1: this in some ways. So they had seven first rounders

693
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 1: lost on defense over the past two years. They had

694
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 1: thirteen players drafted off that defense over the past two years. Yeah,

695
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:55,839
Speaker 1: I would understand if you looked at that and said, boy,

696
00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 1: can you have that kind of attrition defensively and not

697
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 1: fall off at least somewhat, And the answer is probably no.

698
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:07,280
Speaker 1: You probably can't have that attrition and maintain the exact

699
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,399
Speaker 1: same level. But they are so deep and they are

700
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 1: so good with guys you've never heard of unless you

701
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:16,120
Speaker 1: really follow recruiting hardcore, you'll know their names this year.

702
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,360
Speaker 1: So a lot of this stuff that is really gonna

703
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 1: be eye catching, especially if you're looking for a glimmer

704
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 1: of hope that they're gonna fall off this year. Some

705
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 1: of those stats, I'm telling you a fools gold. If

706
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 1: you're looking at it, you're gonna have to beat them.

707
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 1: They're not probably, they're probably not gonna implode on themselves.

708
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:35,120
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to beat them elsewhere in the East though,

709
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,880
Speaker 1: out of the group of teams that's in like the

710
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 1: six or six and a half win range. You know

711
00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 1: what caught my eye what in Kentucky. South Carolina catches

712
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 1: my eye. They're over under. Preseason win total is six.

713
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 1: Now I know why it's down there. It's always the

714
00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 1: same thing. It's their schedule. They play five games versus

715
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 1: teams with preseason win totals of eight and a half

716
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 1: or better. There are many schedules tougher than that in

717
00:36:02,080 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 1: the country. So again it's college football. Strength of schedule

718
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 1: matters a great deal. You are not always what your

719
00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:13,320
Speaker 1: record says you are because the quality of team tied

720
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:15,120
Speaker 1: to a record in a lot of cases has to

721
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 1: do with who you've played. They're one hundred and second

722
00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 1: in returning production this year. That's going to be the

723
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:23,600
Speaker 1: headline grabber to me. The biggest factor on this team

724
00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:26,319
Speaker 1: is Spencer Rattler back at quarterback for another year, and

725
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 1: the constant talk they've had on that program about how

726
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 1: valuable it is for him to have come from a

727
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:35,399
Speaker 1: much more simplistic system in Oklahoma to a much more

728
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:38,799
Speaker 1: complex system at South Carolina and needing two years to

729
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:44,479
Speaker 1: fully digest it. Sometimes that's just speak. Sometimes that player speak,

730
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 1: I guess you would call it. I think it's valid there.

731
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:49,200
Speaker 1: You gotta have the weapons to throw to you got

732
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 1: to have the offensive line the block for you. Yes,

733
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:55,840
Speaker 1: we understand how football works. But six is a low number.

734
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 1: They've had two years in a row a number set

735
00:36:58,200 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 1: too low for him. Will this be three years in

736
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,000
Speaker 1: a row? If I had to bet South Carolina right now,

737
00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:07,880
Speaker 1: I bet over who's the ambush candidate? I always have

738
00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:12,880
Speaker 1: fun with this. Missouri is the ambush candidate in the SEC.

739
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:14,920
Speaker 1: East already talked about them a little bit. You need

740
00:37:14,920 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 1: to keep an eye on Missouri. They lost four games

741
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 1: last year by one possession. They're over under preseason six

742
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,400
Speaker 1: and a half wins this year. They're number nine in

743
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:27,799
Speaker 1: returning production. They are top twenty five returning production offensively

744
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:31,120
Speaker 1: and defensively. They went six and six last year, four

745
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:35,200
Speaker 1: really close losses. Here's where the ambush portion comes in.

746
00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:39,359
Speaker 1: They almost beat Georgia last year. They've got a buy

747
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:45,400
Speaker 1: before they played Georgia this year, and Tennessee plays Georgia

748
00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:48,080
Speaker 1: right after Missouri this year, so they catch Tennessee in

749
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 1: the look ahead spot. They catch Georgia as they're rested.

750
00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:55,719
Speaker 1: They are also one of the teams that hired a

751
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,319
Speaker 1: new offensive coordinator. I'm excited to see how this works out.

752
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,960
Speaker 1: They hired the guy from Fresno, the top Mountain West

753
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 1: Conference offense out there last year, and Missouri did not.

754
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:07,279
Speaker 1: Missouri was eighty eighth in points per game last year

755
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 1: offensively and still had some really close losses. So there

756
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:12,680
Speaker 1: were six and six really close to being nine and

757
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 1: three really close to beating the eventual national champ Man.

758
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:18,640
Speaker 1: That was an ugly game. That was one where George's

759
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,160
Speaker 1: down two possessions. I believe it was in the fourth

760
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 1: quarter before they ended up coming back to win. Kentucky,

761
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:27,759
Speaker 1: it's all about Devon Leary. For those of you who

762
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:31,399
Speaker 1: just had your mind blown by the transfer portal, Devon

763
00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:33,560
Speaker 1: Leary was one of those quarterbacks who was on the move.

764
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:36,320
Speaker 1: He went from NC State to Kentucky. So Will Levis

765
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:39,400
Speaker 1: out the door. They've got a guy with proven production

766
00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:41,279
Speaker 1: that came in there. Let's see how it works out.

767
00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:45,319
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt one of two teams in the league with a

768
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 1: returning head coach, offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator, and quarterback. The

769
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 1: other one LSU and Florida. It's another program relying on

770
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,720
Speaker 1: a transfer quarterback in Graham Mertz. They were one hundred

771
00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:02,640
Speaker 1: and seventh in returning production. They're over under is five

772
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 1: and a half Florida with an over under of below

773
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 1: Bowl eligible standards. Unbelievable. But that is a snapshot of

774
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 1: the sec East. We've got a lot of time to

775
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:21,080
Speaker 1: talk about that. Does anything stand out there? By the

776
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:25,000
Speaker 1: way to you, I will excitedly look forward to the comments.

777
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:28,719
Speaker 1: It's a little redundant. They're watching us in West Jordan, Utah.

778
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,640
Speaker 1: Even further out west, they're watching us in Modesto, California.

779
00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:37,800
Speaker 1: A lot of freight activity comes through Modesto and Castle Burry, Florida.

780
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 1: I am not one hundred percent sure of the transportation

781
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:43,840
Speaker 1: infrastructure in Castleburry, but I know there are good people

782
00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,400
Speaker 1: down there because they're watching us. We had a question

783
00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:49,920
Speaker 1: that came into the Late Kick mail bag, and I

784
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 1: would be remiss if I didn't address it because we

785
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 1: have not talked about this for like a couple of weeks,

786
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,000
Speaker 1: and we all know how much changes in May. I

787
00:39:58,040 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 1: appreciate you guys, if you're tuned in live. Okay, here

788
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 1: we go. Mace hit me up from Orlando. Wait it's Austin. Okay,

789
00:40:05,280 --> 00:40:07,320
Speaker 1: well let me say it over. Colin. Austin hit me

790
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:09,640
Speaker 1: up from Orlando, and he just put it out there.

791
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 1: He said, is Tyler Buttoner going to start for Bama?

792
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 1: Is this guaranteed? No, it is not guaranteed. Somehow Alabama

793
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: ended up being the only team out there that came

794
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 1: out of spring with a muddier quarterback picture than they

795
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:29,360
Speaker 1: had going into spring, which never happens. So that's a rarity,

796
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 1: to say the least, especially at Alabama. I was talking

797
00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:37,240
Speaker 1: to a coordinator last week who's not coaching at Alabama

798
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:39,560
Speaker 1: or anything like that, just kind of an observer of

799
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:43,760
Speaker 1: the program, and he said, can you believe they found

800
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:48,799
Speaker 1: themselves in that desperate a position? And I said, good question. No,

801
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,799
Speaker 1: I cannot and I still can't. I can't believe they

802
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:54,399
Speaker 1: were in that position. But that position they were in.

803
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 1: Consider this, So they bring a quarterback in post spring

804
00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:01,440
Speaker 1: from the portal Tyler button was it? Notre Dame his

805
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:04,400
Speaker 1: coordinators at Alabama. He's now at Alabama, so we remember

806
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:08,680
Speaker 1: all that. That's how that shook out. Then no one transferred.

807
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:14,360
Speaker 1: That's the most hidden and possibly tell tale mind blowing

808
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,480
Speaker 1: sign is you had a guy come in after you

809
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:19,799
Speaker 1: got two more guys who were just battling it out

810
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:23,480
Speaker 1: through spring. So normally when you got two guys battling

811
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:26,399
Speaker 1: through spring and then spring ends, and then they bring

812
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 1: another guy in. That's usually an indication that, well, neither

813
00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:32,319
Speaker 1: one of you are gonna be the guy. We went

814
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 1: and got the guy normally, that's what that indicates. That

815
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 1: is not the situation at Alabama. I don't think it's

816
00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:41,120
Speaker 1: the situation there. And obviously Jaylen Milroe and ty Simpson

817
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:44,279
Speaker 1: that neither goth neither of them transferred. So you got

818
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 1: three dudes firmly convinced they're about to win the job.

819
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 1: Notice I said three. Therein lies the potential conundrum. You

820
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,480
Speaker 1: don't split first team reps three ways very fall or

821
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:59,400
Speaker 1: very far period, especially in the fall. You do not

822
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:03,160
Speaker 1: split first team reps very deep into the fall three ways.

823
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 1: Two ways, Yeah, three ways, not so much. So we

824
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 1: got to get this sorted out pretty quick. They're one

825
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:13,200
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty third in offensive production returning this year

826
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:15,600
Speaker 1: at Alabama. So this is not some of those years

827
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 1: where it looked like you could probably take Jesse if

828
00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 1: you firmed up, you know, the structural integrity of his

829
00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:23,239
Speaker 1: shoulder a little bit, and I could have dropped him

830
00:42:23,239 --> 00:42:25,600
Speaker 1: down there with those receivers and backs on offensive line

831
00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:28,920
Speaker 1: and Jesse could have been middle of the pack in

832
00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:32,279
Speaker 1: terms of SEC quarterback production. This is not one of

833
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:34,680
Speaker 1: those years. But I also don't think it's going to

834
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:37,080
Speaker 1: be one of those teams. So I'm gonna say to

835
00:42:37,160 --> 00:42:41,400
Speaker 1: you again what I said when this happened, Tyler Buttner,

836
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:44,839
Speaker 1: welcome to Tuscaloosa. I do not think this makes him

837
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:48,840
Speaker 1: the automatic starter at quarterback there, although I do agree

838
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:51,120
Speaker 1: there's a reason they brought him in. The second thing

839
00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:54,400
Speaker 1: I'll say is I still think they can win with Simpson.

840
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:57,359
Speaker 1: I still think they can win with Milrow because I

841
00:42:57,400 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: think I know what style of team that Nick Saban

842
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 1: wants to have this year and has the pieces to

843
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:05,200
Speaker 1: have this year. And it doesn't look exactly like the

844
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,520
Speaker 1: twenty eighteen or twenty nineteen or maybe even twenty twenty team.

845
00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:10,080
Speaker 1: I don't think it looks like that. I don't think

846
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:12,440
Speaker 1: it needs to look like that. You're gonna see a

847
00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:17,480
Speaker 1: lot of talk about, well, can this quarterback, whoever it is,

848
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:20,839
Speaker 1: can he fill the shoes fill the void left by

849
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:24,319
Speaker 1: Bryce Young. Let me spoil that for you. No, they

850
00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:26,600
Speaker 1: don't have Bryce Young there. They don't have anyone who

851
00:43:26,640 --> 00:43:30,359
Speaker 1: could tope Bryce Young's jot there they probably don't need to,

852
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:34,640
Speaker 1: because I am old enough to remember us going to

853
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 1: Atlanta a couple of years ago and Bryce Young takes

854
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 1: the field against Georgia and ends up beating him in

855
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game. With no run game. You've got

856
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:47,920
Speaker 1: Brian Robinson who's hobbled and no one behind him. And

857
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 1: one of the talking points going into the game is

858
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:51,879
Speaker 1: Alabama's just gonna have to win without a running game,

859
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,319
Speaker 1: and we were so taken aback because we had never

860
00:43:54,400 --> 00:43:57,680
Speaker 1: said that before. That's not ever gonna be the case

861
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,799
Speaker 1: with this team this year, quite the opt I think

862
00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:03,680
Speaker 1: it would probably be a mile to moderate surprise if

863
00:44:03,680 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 1: any of these quarterbacks end up taking over multiple games.

864
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:11,239
Speaker 1: And the reason I say that is because stylistically it

865
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 1: is not what they'll need this year. They've got a

866
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 1: good enough road grading offensive line, they should have tons

867
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 1: of options for high level running back play. They should

868
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:24,960
Speaker 1: be okay at receiver. They've got a secondary that I

869
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 1: don't think will get torched regularly causing them to need

870
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:30,439
Speaker 1: to score thirty eight or more per game. I don't

871
00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 1: think that's the kind of Alabama team you're gonna see.

872
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:36,560
Speaker 1: But there's also something else that I think we'll talk

873
00:44:36,560 --> 00:44:39,160
Speaker 1: about a little bit more as the season approaches. And

874
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:42,960
Speaker 1: it's how a lot of people are a lot of

875
00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:45,799
Speaker 1: people are assuming that Butckner coming in after spring. It's

876
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:48,279
Speaker 1: going to have a negative effect because it tells both

877
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 1: of your current quarterbacks, well, you're not good enough. Then

878
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 1: if Butckner's not good enough to win the job, you

879
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:56,719
Speaker 1: may have toxified an environment and then you're stuck with

880
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,279
Speaker 1: no quarterbacks. Well, if you've got three quarterbacks, you got none.

881
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:02,880
Speaker 1: Sometime that's true, sometimes that's not. Yeah, okay, all that

882
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:08,040
Speaker 1: could happen. Line present an alternative scenario for you. You

883
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:10,640
Speaker 1: ever driven with a full tank before? When you've got

884
00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:13,359
Speaker 1: a full tank of gas, you don't care how much

885
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:16,719
Speaker 1: you gun the engine. You don't really care because you're

886
00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 1: not looking to be economical with your fuel gauge, because

887
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:23,480
Speaker 1: you're not in danger of running out. But I will

888
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:26,640
Speaker 1: never forget the first time I went to Phoenix. I

889
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:28,920
Speaker 1: didn't actually go to Phoenix. I went to San Diego

890
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,960
Speaker 1: and drove across the desert to Phoenix. And the thing

891
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:33,319
Speaker 1: about that, for those of you who have made that

892
00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:36,719
Speaker 1: drive before, is it's beautiful and you can drive like

893
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty miles an hour because there is

894
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:44,279
Speaker 1: nothing out there, including gas stations. So I crossed the

895
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:49,200
Speaker 1: California Arizona line and I got like quarter of a tank.

896
00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 1: I figure I'll be cool. Then I realize quickly the

897
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:55,520
Speaker 1: situation at hand. There's not one on every corner, and

898
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you're not going one hundred and

899
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:01,279
Speaker 1: ten anymore. You're kind of trying to pull up that

900
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:04,239
Speaker 1: meter in the car. All right? What puts me in

901
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:07,800
Speaker 1: the sweet spot? What conserves the most fuel? Why you

902
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:10,440
Speaker 1: gotta count every drop because you can't take it for

903
00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:13,480
Speaker 1: granted that you're gonna get somewhere no matter how you drive.

904
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:17,319
Speaker 1: Bama always operates on a full tank. They're always used

905
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:19,920
Speaker 1: to being so much more talented than everyone. They're always

906
00:46:19,960 --> 00:46:22,319
Speaker 1: used to having a Heisman caliber quarterback and a bunch

907
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:25,640
Speaker 1: of race horses at receiver that it really doesn't matter.

908
00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:28,359
Speaker 1: They don't have to be fully ratcheted up. They don't

909
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:31,400
Speaker 1: have to thread the needle every week. Don't feel like

910
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:34,359
Speaker 1: that right now, does it? Now? In reality, they're gonna

911
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:38,080
Speaker 1: out talent most everyone they play still, even if you

912
00:46:38,160 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 1: consider them down or vulnerable, they've got studs everywhere. Jesse

913
00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 1: would you tell me. They have half a dozen former

914
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:49,040
Speaker 1: five star players just at the edge position. They are

915
00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 1: ridiculously loaded. They just brought in the best recruiting class

916
00:46:52,040 --> 00:46:54,920
Speaker 1: I think they've ever brought in. They got them all

917
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:57,440
Speaker 1: over the place, just not at quarterback. Well, what that

918
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 1: can do to a team, and I'm sure Nick Saban's

919
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:04,320
Speaker 1: gunning for this, is it can convince them their tanks

920
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 1: a lot closer to E than it really is. And

921
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:10,040
Speaker 1: if you get an Alabama team that's convinced it's running

922
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:13,560
Speaker 1: on empty Jackson Brown made a great song out of it.

923
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 1: Alabama could make a great season out of it. That

924
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,520
Speaker 1: team right there can win a national championship this year.

925
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:23,200
Speaker 1: Don't kid yourself. There is no program out there that

926
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:26,360
Speaker 1: is complete. There's no program out there that has this

927
00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 1: insurmountable task CAUs they've got a stud quarterback and a

928
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:33,279
Speaker 1: dominant defense. Caleb Williams may fit the first part of

929
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 1: that description, us, he's not shutting you out defensively. You

930
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:39,319
Speaker 1: don't even know who Ohio State's starting. Carson Becks never

931
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 1: started a game for Georgia. Does the Michigan roster that's

932
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,319
Speaker 1: failed to win a playoff game really intimidate you? If

933
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:49,799
Speaker 1: you're Alabama, LSU beat you down there last year, and

934
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,520
Speaker 1: when's the last time that folks started regularly beating you

935
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:56,120
Speaker 1: two times in a row. No, if he Nick Saban

936
00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 1: convinces them that they're running on quarter of a tank

937
00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:01,919
Speaker 1: eighth of a when in reality we still know they're

938
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:05,480
Speaker 1: much closer to f than e. Because of this quarterback situation,

939
00:48:05,680 --> 00:48:08,319
Speaker 1: there could be a reverse effect on that team than

940
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:10,640
Speaker 1: the one the rest of the country is expecting. And

941
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 1: I'm sure for that reason, Nick Saban will be more

942
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:18,359
Speaker 1: than happy to field questions about how vulnerable they are

943
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:20,960
Speaker 1: and how much question there still is at quarterback, because

944
00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 1: there is. It's just that he may be able to

945
00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:26,440
Speaker 1: win regardless of who they start back there. I need

946
00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:29,399
Speaker 1: you to do me a favor. It's really easy. Click

947
00:48:29,440 --> 00:48:31,840
Speaker 1: the thumbs up button and then subscribe to the channel.

948
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 1: That's it. Fifty eight Now, this is a bad trend.

949
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:40,480
Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent of our audience is unsubscribed. I don't

950
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 1: want to throw out threats and I won't. I'm not

951
00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:46,560
Speaker 1: buying Bradley Dinner next week if you don't subscribe to

952
00:48:46,560 --> 00:48:48,279
Speaker 1: the channel. So yeah, I am going to threaten you.

953
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:50,400
Speaker 1: And it's one thing if I threaten you. I know

954
00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 1: that doesn't work. But if I threaten Bradley the associate

955
00:48:54,560 --> 00:48:58,520
Speaker 1: with starvation, I think you'll do the right thing. Let's

956
00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:01,760
Speaker 1: do the mood Tracker. Talk about the Michigan Mood Tracker.

957
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:05,360
Speaker 1: What's the temperature of this fan base right now? Excited? Right? Yeah?

958
00:49:05,520 --> 00:49:08,279
Speaker 1: Probably really excited. Of course they are think about the

959
00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:11,719
Speaker 1: past thirty six months up there, or forty eight months

960
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:14,960
Speaker 1: if you really want to go back. We talk about

961
00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:17,960
Speaker 1: the word can't a lot around here. We talk about

962
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:21,520
Speaker 1: people saying things that you cannot do. And for a

963
00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:25,080
Speaker 1: long time, it was very popular to say Michigan can't

964
00:49:25,120 --> 00:49:28,200
Speaker 1: win the Big Ten because they can't even beat Ohio State.

965
00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:31,839
Speaker 1: And now all of a sudden, that's totally inverted. Now

966
00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:34,880
Speaker 1: Ohio State, they're not even gonna go beat Michigan. Ohio

967
00:49:34,880 --> 00:49:36,920
Speaker 1: State can't win the Big Ten, they can't win a

968
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 1: national championship. They're not saying that first part about Michigan.

969
00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:42,920
Speaker 1: Now that brings me to the second part. They are

970
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:46,440
Speaker 1: still saying. They are still saying you won't win a

971
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:49,759
Speaker 1: playoff game once you get there. And that arrives us

972
00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:54,759
Speaker 1: at the Michigan Mood Tracker. First World Focus is the

973
00:49:54,800 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 1: Michigan fan base mood right now. You guys are in

974
00:49:58,000 --> 00:50:01,640
Speaker 1: such rarefied air place. You've never found yourself in the

975
00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:06,280
Speaker 1: Harball era places. You've never found yourself this millennium until

976
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:09,360
Speaker 1: like five minutes ago. Do you know what the biggest

977
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:13,800
Speaker 1: topic of conversation around Michigan households is right now, around

978
00:50:14,000 --> 00:50:17,400
Speaker 1: the water cooler, around lunch tables. It's how are we

979
00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:21,920
Speaker 1: gonna win a playoff game? You've solved the Ohio state puzzle,

980
00:50:21,960 --> 00:50:23,200
Speaker 1: now you know you got to go put it back

981
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:26,800
Speaker 1: together every year. But there is no longer this fear

982
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:30,160
Speaker 1: of an aptitude, of it not mattering what you do

983
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:33,560
Speaker 1: because they just got our number. No they don't. You've

984
00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:37,560
Speaker 1: got theirs. So if anything, you just expect a competitive game,

985
00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:41,480
Speaker 1: and then your way and your philosophy and your approach

986
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,680
Speaker 1: and your development it's gonna beat them, even if you

987
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,680
Speaker 1: haven't out recruited them, although that may be changing. Two.

988
00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 1: You got that part of it figured out. You got

989
00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:54,920
Speaker 1: the big ten championship thing figured out. You know how

990
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:57,800
Speaker 1: to do that stuff. It's the playoff that's what you

991
00:50:57,880 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 1: got to figure out. How do we win a playoff?

992
00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:03,840
Speaker 1: These are first world problems it's a very first world focus,

993
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,160
Speaker 1: and it's a good place to be, really good place

994
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 1: to be because number one, you are you're still hungry

995
00:51:10,960 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 1: because you haven't gotten to the mountaintop, but you have

996
00:51:13,760 --> 00:51:16,359
Speaker 1: just loaded up on appetizers, so you got the main

997
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 1: course still out there somewhere. You're not hungry. Well, you're

998
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:21,400
Speaker 1: not gonna starve if you're still hungry, but you're not

999
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:23,239
Speaker 1: gonna starve. It's a great place to be. It's a

1000
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:27,560
Speaker 1: great middle ground. They got a week schedule. It's not

1001
00:51:27,640 --> 00:51:29,439
Speaker 1: something I blame Michigan for, kind of like I said

1002
00:51:29,480 --> 00:51:31,640
Speaker 1: with Georgia, it just is what it is. They've got

1003
00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:36,000
Speaker 1: a week schedule. They play East Carolina to start, then UNLV,

1004
00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:39,080
Speaker 1: then Bowling Green. Then the opening is a rutger. It's

1005
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:43,319
Speaker 1: just it's not a murderer's row. Unlike last year. We're

1006
00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:46,040
Speaker 1: not really talking about figuring out a quarterback situation or

1007
00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:48,120
Speaker 1: anything like that. We know who the man is up there.

1008
00:51:48,239 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 1: They are number five in returning production. A lot of

1009
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:54,120
Speaker 1: the pieces you're familiar with are back. They have probably

1010
00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 1: got the best running back tandem in the country. Although

1011
00:51:57,040 --> 00:51:59,160
Speaker 1: I will get some fight out of some folks about that.

1012
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:03,480
Speaker 1: Whatever they've got one of the best. I'd rank them

1013
00:52:03,520 --> 00:52:06,880
Speaker 1: number one, so I'll say that much. They added a

1014
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,400
Speaker 1: good portal class. It's not ranked number one because they

1015
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:11,000
Speaker 1: didn't need it to be ranked number one, but they

1016
00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 1: sprinkled some really good pieces in from the portal. They're

1017
00:52:14,560 --> 00:52:18,080
Speaker 1: over under preseason win totals ten and a half. They

1018
00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:20,160
Speaker 1: are plus one seven five to win the Big Ten.

1019
00:52:20,440 --> 00:52:22,800
Speaker 1: That is the best odds in the Big Ten to

1020
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,560
Speaker 1: win the conference. They are plus eight hundred to win

1021
00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:28,879
Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff Championship, so they've got the third

1022
00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:31,800
Speaker 1: best odds to win the national championship. It used to

1023
00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:37,320
Speaker 1: be that Michigan their odds were so disproportionately off because

1024
00:52:37,360 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 1: it was correlated with the fact that odds makers didn't

1025
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:41,960
Speaker 1: think they could beat Ohio State. And so even if

1026
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,279
Speaker 1: we think they've got a good team, if they can't

1027
00:52:44,320 --> 00:52:46,520
Speaker 1: beat Ohio State, we're not gonna give them any kind

1028
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:49,239
Speaker 1: of decent odds to win the national championship. Success is

1029
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:51,200
Speaker 1: not a continuum, though. This is the one thing I

1030
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:55,280
Speaker 1: always come back to. So there's this thought sometimes that, Okay,

1031
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:58,400
Speaker 1: you make some progress in twenty twenty two, and then

1032
00:52:58,440 --> 00:53:01,239
Speaker 1: we beat Ohio State and we win the Big ten,

1033
00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:04,160
Speaker 1: and we get the playoff again and we don't win again,

1034
00:53:04,480 --> 00:53:06,879
Speaker 1: and there's this thought that, Okay, that's where we'll pick

1035
00:53:06,960 --> 00:53:10,360
Speaker 1: up next year. No, you pick up zero and zero

1036
00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:12,839
Speaker 1: and you got to start all over again. You can

1037
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:16,240
Speaker 1: apply the lessons and some of the same pieces are back,

1038
00:53:16,719 --> 00:53:19,320
Speaker 1: and sure, the things that worked last year will probably

1039
00:53:19,360 --> 00:53:21,840
Speaker 1: continue to work, and maybe you even learned some lessons

1040
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:25,239
Speaker 1: from the things that didn't work. But you still put

1041
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:28,799
Speaker 1: yourself in the minefield. You could still have injury, you

1042
00:53:28,800 --> 00:53:31,239
Speaker 1: can still have bounces of ball go against you. The

1043
00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:35,080
Speaker 1: other teams could get better, someone could have hired the

1044
00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:38,799
Speaker 1: guy that's the magic elixir or your kryptonide or whatever

1045
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,560
Speaker 1: you want to call it. All kinds of different variables

1046
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:44,200
Speaker 1: are out there. So success is not a continuum. It

1047
00:53:44,239 --> 00:53:46,320
Speaker 1: doesn't just keep happening. You don't just get to keep

1048
00:53:46,520 --> 00:53:51,480
Speaker 1: picking up where you left off. But Michigan does not

1049
00:53:51,560 --> 00:53:53,960
Speaker 1: feel like a program right now that is prone to

1050
00:53:54,200 --> 00:53:57,080
Speaker 1: great spikes in production. It does not feel like a

1051
00:53:57,120 --> 00:53:58,960
Speaker 1: team that's gonna win ten one year and six the

1052
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:02,120
Speaker 1: next year. Where Ever they figured out up there, they

1053
00:54:02,200 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 1: figured it out and it's really really rock solid. So

1054
00:54:07,560 --> 00:54:11,040
Speaker 1: there's a big difference obviously in beating Ohio State versus

1055
00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:13,359
Speaker 1: not beating them, and there's a big difference in winning

1056
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:14,960
Speaker 1: the Big ten versus not winning the Big Ten. But

1057
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:16,360
Speaker 1: I do not think they're going to fall off a

1058
00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:19,520
Speaker 1: cliff or anything like that. That's to me with this

1059
00:54:19,600 --> 00:54:21,799
Speaker 1: kind of team, that's out of the cards. We're talking

1060
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:25,719
Speaker 1: about small margins of difference between success and failure here,

1061
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:28,960
Speaker 1: but even failure is probably not far below that ten

1062
00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:33,799
Speaker 1: and a half threshold. I am still amazed while I'm

1063
00:54:33,800 --> 00:54:36,560
Speaker 1: speaking about that. I am still amazed that they turn

1064
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 1: this thing around with no change at the top. I mean,

1065
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:41,480
Speaker 1: I know it feels like a long time ago, guys,

1066
00:54:41,480 --> 00:54:43,920
Speaker 1: but if you're not a Michigan fan, forget being a

1067
00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:46,680
Speaker 1: Michigan fan, if you're not a Michigan fan, if you're

1068
00:54:47,120 --> 00:54:50,719
Speaker 1: a Wisconsin fan, but you observe the program and you

1069
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:54,160
Speaker 1: play them a lot. Didn't you think for a little

1070
00:54:54,160 --> 00:54:57,920
Speaker 1: while if they were ever going to ascend to the

1071
00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:00,799
Speaker 1: top of the conference, if they were ever going to

1072
00:55:01,239 --> 00:55:05,600
Speaker 1: supplant Ohio State as the perceived top dog in the conference.

1073
00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:08,759
Speaker 1: Didn't you think at certain points it was gonna be

1074
00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:11,839
Speaker 1: with someone other than Jim Harbaugh, Because I did like

1075
00:55:11,920 --> 00:55:15,880
Speaker 1: I got myself into that mentality, and they did not

1076
00:55:16,120 --> 00:55:18,960
Speaker 1: make a change at head coach, and even the head

1077
00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:21,959
Speaker 1: coach himself explored the NFL a couple of times. And

1078
00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:25,520
Speaker 1: even with all that, even while interviewing for the Vikings

1079
00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:28,759
Speaker 1: job on National Signing Day, all of these things should

1080
00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:31,440
Speaker 1: have thrown the program into a tail spam. It got better.

1081
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:34,600
Speaker 1: They figured it out. Took a long time, to a

1082
00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:36,520
Speaker 1: little bit longer than maybe you guys wanted, but they

1083
00:55:36,560 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 1: figured it out. Kept tinkering, kept adjusting. Just fractions of

1084
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,800
Speaker 1: an inch, not miles, just fractions of an inch. And

1085
00:55:44,640 --> 00:55:47,080
Speaker 1: I know it gets so boring and so cliched, cause

1086
00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:50,520
Speaker 1: so many people say it. But if you'll just keep chopping,

1087
00:55:51,040 --> 00:55:53,960
Speaker 1: if you'll just stay committed to your process, you'll bore

1088
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:56,480
Speaker 1: a lot of people talking about it. But man, if

1089
00:55:56,520 --> 00:55:59,680
Speaker 1: they give you enough time, if your employer gives you

1090
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:04,680
Speaker 1: enough time, and your process is sound, it's crazy what happens.

1091
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:09,080
Speaker 1: Because Jim Harbaugh is at Michigan and you got urban

1092
00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:12,799
Speaker 1: Meyer at Ohio State. He could never have known what

1093
00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:15,319
Speaker 1: was gonna happen, but he kept chopping and never beat

1094
00:56:15,440 --> 00:56:17,920
Speaker 1: urban Meyer. Kept chopping, though that's out of his control,

1095
00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:21,080
Speaker 1: kept chopping and now Michigan, at least for the time

1096
00:56:21,080 --> 00:56:23,120
Speaker 1: beings on top of the Big ten over under preseason

1097
00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:24,960
Speaker 1: win total, ten and a half favorites to win the

1098
00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:27,200
Speaker 1: Big Ten, a favorite to go to the playoff again,

1099
00:56:27,600 --> 00:56:30,520
Speaker 1: and they're just the same, dude, It's just Jim Harbaugh.

1100
00:56:31,239 --> 00:56:33,880
Speaker 1: So yeah, they got first world problems up there, and

1101
00:56:33,920 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 1: they got a first world focus. That is the mood

1102
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:38,160
Speaker 1: right now for the Michigan fan base. And we are

1103
00:56:38,200 --> 00:56:40,680
Speaker 1: not done. We're not doing. A very important piece of

1104
00:56:40,719 --> 00:56:46,560
Speaker 1: paper in my hand right here. You know, I just realized, yes,

1105
00:56:46,640 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 1: we always have the chalice on the set, and yes

1106
00:56:49,520 --> 00:56:52,640
Speaker 1: there is a choice liquid in the chalice. It's not alcoholic.

1107
00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:57,560
Speaker 1: But I never finish it. And I've almost finished it tonight.

1108
00:56:57,600 --> 00:56:59,360
Speaker 1: I don't think I'm gonna quite make it up. Almost

1109
00:56:59,360 --> 00:57:02,000
Speaker 1: finished it tonight and I'm not quite sure what that means.

1110
00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:03,719
Speaker 1: But it did chew up thirty seconds of the show.

1111
00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:08,080
Speaker 1: So there's that, you know. Me Pack twelve Pate. I

1112
00:57:08,120 --> 00:57:10,000
Speaker 1: got to give some love to my brothers and sisters

1113
00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:11,640
Speaker 1: on the West Coast. I want to talk about some

1114
00:57:11,640 --> 00:57:15,080
Speaker 1: top games out there this year. There is this oh

1115
00:57:15,120 --> 00:57:17,400
Speaker 1: it's like a love square. It's not even a love triangle.

1116
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:21,680
Speaker 1: It's like a love square featuring USC and Oregon and

1117
00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:25,040
Speaker 1: Washington and Utah. And I've got to tell you something

1118
00:57:26,120 --> 00:57:28,160
Speaker 1: that I told you about the Big twelve last year.

1119
00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:30,800
Speaker 1: I know it's popular if you live in Des Moines

1120
00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:33,680
Speaker 1: or you live in Valdosta. It's popular right now to

1121
00:57:33,720 --> 00:57:36,560
Speaker 1: say it's the Big Ten and the SEC and everyone else.

1122
00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:39,880
Speaker 1: No one else measures up. Look, you may be right

1123
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:43,320
Speaker 1: about that. Can we please just stop to acknowledge there

1124
00:57:43,400 --> 00:57:46,680
Speaker 1: is good football, there's entertaining football being played elsewhere, and

1125
00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 1: not every game has to have a College Football Playoffs

1126
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:53,320
Speaker 1: sticker on it to be entertaining. There is a sizeable

1127
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:56,760
Speaker 1: portion of this audience that still believes that. Right. Okay, Now,

1128
00:57:56,800 --> 00:58:00,600
Speaker 1: what if I told you even the college football playoff

1129
00:58:00,640 --> 00:58:03,720
Speaker 1: casuals out there could need to watch the Pac twelve

1130
00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:05,919
Speaker 1: this year. What kind of prediction is that. I don't

1131
00:58:05,920 --> 00:58:08,160
Speaker 1: know that's what God made August for. But in the meantime,

1132
00:58:08,520 --> 00:58:11,640
Speaker 1: I am telling you they got some good quarterbacks out there.

1133
00:58:12,360 --> 00:58:14,720
Speaker 1: Check out how many teams out there have a preseason

1134
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:17,600
Speaker 1: win total of eight or higher. There's like a glob

1135
00:58:17,720 --> 00:58:19,560
Speaker 1: of them, a ton of them. It's not like the

1136
00:58:19,640 --> 00:58:22,600
Speaker 1: SEC East where you get two and then there's this

1137
00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:24,919
Speaker 1: drop off and then go a little bit further down,

1138
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:27,040
Speaker 1: a little bit further down. Oh, there's the rest of you.

1139
00:58:27,560 --> 00:58:29,920
Speaker 1: That's not the Pac twelve. So I was looking at

1140
00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:32,960
Speaker 1: the schedule. You're gonna have to wait a few weeks,

1141
00:58:33,320 --> 00:58:34,960
Speaker 1: and they got some good out of conference games in

1142
00:58:35,000 --> 00:58:37,400
Speaker 1: the meantime. But once you get in conference play in

1143
00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:40,440
Speaker 1: the Pac twelve, there's gonna be a stretch where every

1144
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:42,000
Speaker 1: week it's must see out there. If you're a real

1145
00:58:42,040 --> 00:58:44,880
Speaker 1: college football fan. Let me take you to Week seven,

1146
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:46,800
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go in chronological order here for just

1147
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:51,600
Speaker 1: a second. Week seven, Oregon at Washington. Last year, Washington

1148
00:58:51,640 --> 00:58:54,200
Speaker 1: comes back on Oregon. They win thirty seven to thirty four.

1149
00:58:54,240 --> 00:58:56,560
Speaker 1: That's the game where Bo Nick's got banged up. So

1150
00:58:56,720 --> 00:58:59,320
Speaker 1: hopefully we cross our fingers for quarterback help this year.

1151
00:59:00,120 --> 00:59:04,400
Speaker 1: Bo Nicks is back, Michael Pennix is back. Both of

1152
00:59:04,440 --> 00:59:07,760
Speaker 1: those guys are studs out there. Both of those guys

1153
00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:11,200
Speaker 1: could put up like all American type numbers any given week,

1154
00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:14,840
Speaker 1: maybe both in the same week. But as much shine

1155
00:59:14,880 --> 00:59:17,080
Speaker 1: as those quarterbacks are gonna get in that game, you

1156
00:59:17,200 --> 00:59:19,680
Speaker 1: got a good defense that's already arrived at Washington, you

1157
00:59:19,760 --> 00:59:21,520
Speaker 1: got a defense at Oregon. I expect to be a

1158
00:59:21,560 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 1: whole heck of a lot better this year. So I

1159
00:59:24,040 --> 00:59:26,400
Speaker 1: think there's gonna be a very popular sentiment that the

1160
00:59:26,440 --> 00:59:30,240
Speaker 1: over in that game is the right bet. Let's pump

1161
00:59:30,280 --> 00:59:34,320
Speaker 1: those brakes just to touch the next week. Told you

1162
00:59:34,360 --> 00:59:36,920
Speaker 1: it's gonna be happening every week. The very next week,

1163
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:41,840
Speaker 1: Week eight, Utah is at usc that's a rematch of

1164
00:59:41,920 --> 00:59:44,880
Speaker 1: the Pac twelve championship game. And there is a thought

1165
00:59:44,920 --> 00:59:47,840
Speaker 1: out there, the school of thought from my fine friends

1166
00:59:47,840 --> 00:59:51,200
Speaker 1: in Los Angeles, California, that if Caleb Williams doesn't get

1167
00:59:51,240 --> 00:59:53,960
Speaker 1: hurt in that game last year, Southern Cal wins the

1168
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:56,600
Speaker 1: Pac twelve, Southern Cal goes to the playoff. And I

1169
00:59:56,640 --> 01:00:00,480
Speaker 1: agree with you, but he did get hurt. You didn't

1170
01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:03,320
Speaker 1: go to the playoff because that's how football works. And

1171
01:00:03,440 --> 01:00:06,720
Speaker 1: Utah beat you again to win the Pac twelve second

1172
01:00:06,760 --> 01:00:10,320
Speaker 1: consecutive year. So we get that game in the regular

1173
01:00:10,320 --> 01:00:15,880
Speaker 1: season in Week eight this year. Utah. Offensively, I think

1174
01:00:15,880 --> 01:00:19,160
Speaker 1: they're fifth in the country in returning production. Defensively, they're

1175
01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:21,760
Speaker 1: forty fifth. So a lot of those offensive pieces, including

1176
01:00:21,840 --> 01:00:26,560
Speaker 1: Jesse's doppelganger Cam Rising at quarterback. He's there. He is,

1177
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:28,920
Speaker 1: you know, he's kind of turning in a little bit

1178
01:00:29,000 --> 01:00:32,320
Speaker 1: to West Coast Sean Clifford. I don't know exactly how

1179
01:00:32,320 --> 01:00:34,200
Speaker 1: long he's been there, but that doesn't matter. It matters

1180
01:00:34,240 --> 01:00:36,919
Speaker 1: how long it feels like you've been there. And Cam

1181
01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:38,960
Speaker 1: Rising I think was bald when he got there, and

1182
01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:42,120
Speaker 1: he's got hair. He's only like Crystal Gale hair going

1183
01:00:42,120 --> 01:00:44,280
Speaker 1: on now. So it's all the way halfway down to

1184
01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:48,240
Speaker 1: his lower back. Beautiful. But it's long community and so

1185
01:00:48,360 --> 01:00:51,360
Speaker 1: you've got that one's that's a great Pack twelve championship

1186
01:00:51,360 --> 01:00:54,800
Speaker 1: game rematch. Then the next week I told you, throw

1187
01:00:54,840 --> 01:00:56,680
Speaker 1: these four teams in a hopper and just spin it.

1188
01:00:56,720 --> 01:01:00,439
Speaker 1: The next week we got Oregon at Utah. So Utah

1189
01:01:00,520 --> 01:01:02,960
Speaker 1: goes to Southern cal then they come home and play Oregon.

1190
01:01:03,080 --> 01:01:06,080
Speaker 1: These two didn't play last year, and it's a shame,

1191
01:01:06,320 --> 01:01:09,760
Speaker 1: but we do get it this year. Oregon is plus

1192
01:01:09,800 --> 01:01:12,840
Speaker 1: three twenty five to win the conference. Utah's plus five

1193
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:15,920
Speaker 1: hundred to win the conference. So these are two of

1194
01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:19,439
Speaker 1: the favorites to win the Pac twelve. Really good test

1195
01:01:19,520 --> 01:01:23,320
Speaker 1: of physicality here, so Utah physically is one of the

1196
01:01:23,320 --> 01:01:26,560
Speaker 1: big tests for Southern Cal. Then they'll come home and

1197
01:01:27,000 --> 01:01:29,400
Speaker 1: these teams will each be a test for each other

1198
01:01:29,480 --> 01:01:34,600
Speaker 1: in that department. Then that's Week nine. The very next week,

1199
01:01:35,480 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 1: I'm really looking forward to this one. Washington is at USC.

1200
01:01:41,200 --> 01:01:45,120
Speaker 1: The Utah game two weeks prior will have given us

1201
01:01:45,120 --> 01:01:48,919
Speaker 1: a really good glimpse into how this year's USC team

1202
01:01:49,360 --> 01:01:52,280
Speaker 1: handles a certain level of physicality. And the reason that's

1203
01:01:52,320 --> 01:01:56,440
Speaker 1: important is because two weeks later, this week here Washington

1204
01:01:56,480 --> 01:01:59,120
Speaker 1: will bring that same level, if not that level, and

1205
01:01:59,200 --> 01:02:03,800
Speaker 1: then some defense into the coliseum. You get Michael Pennix

1206
01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:07,120
Speaker 1: on the same field as Caleb Williams. Caleb Williams is

1207
01:02:07,160 --> 01:02:09,160
Speaker 1: going to be the top player taking in the NFL

1208
01:02:09,280 --> 01:02:13,880
Speaker 1: Draft next April. Michael Pennix is going to be one

1209
01:02:13,920 --> 01:02:17,720
Speaker 1: that has an opportunity to rapidly rise up those draft boards.

1210
01:02:17,760 --> 01:02:19,480
Speaker 1: This is the kind of game just because of how

1211
01:02:19,520 --> 01:02:22,320
Speaker 1: high profile it will be that will matter a whole lot.

1212
01:02:22,360 --> 01:02:24,480
Speaker 1: They didn't play last year either, Washington and Southern Cal

1213
01:02:24,480 --> 01:02:27,000
Speaker 1: didn't play last year either, So we were robbed of

1214
01:02:27,040 --> 01:02:29,000
Speaker 1: several of these games and we'll get them all this year.

1215
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:33,520
Speaker 1: And then the week after that, bang bang bang bang

1216
01:02:34,360 --> 01:02:38,720
Speaker 1: USC at Oregon Southern Col's had a little run here,

1217
01:02:38,760 --> 01:02:43,120
Speaker 1: haven't there. Plus one eighty makes USC the favorite to

1218
01:02:43,160 --> 01:02:46,080
Speaker 1: win the pack twelve. Plus three to twenty five makes

1219
01:02:46,120 --> 01:02:49,440
Speaker 1: Oregon the second favorite to win the pack twelve. So

1220
01:02:49,440 --> 01:02:51,880
Speaker 1: you get the top two odds teams here. They wait

1221
01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:55,040
Speaker 1: till Week eleven, but they play in Oughtson Stadium. To

1222
01:02:55,160 --> 01:02:58,320
Speaker 1: this point, USC will have gone to Notre Dame. That

1223
01:02:58,360 --> 01:03:00,760
Speaker 1: will have been their toughest road test. They will have

1224
01:03:00,800 --> 01:03:03,600
Speaker 1: not faced anything like they will in Austin Stadium. Folks

1225
01:03:03,640 --> 01:03:06,560
Speaker 1: in Eugene are already talking about this game. That place

1226
01:03:06,600 --> 01:03:09,479
Speaker 1: will be insane. And I don't know what our tour

1227
01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:12,640
Speaker 1: is going to be called this year, but I will

1228
01:03:12,640 --> 01:03:15,920
Speaker 1: have failed mightily if we don't end up at Oregon.

1229
01:03:15,960 --> 01:03:18,120
Speaker 1: For USC at Oregon, I mean we should be out

1230
01:03:18,120 --> 01:03:21,240
Speaker 1: on the West coast a few times this year, but yes,

1231
01:03:21,520 --> 01:03:23,640
Speaker 1: this should absolutely be one of them. Now keep in mind,

1232
01:03:24,120 --> 01:03:26,920
Speaker 1: as I talk to you about all these games, forget

1233
01:03:26,920 --> 01:03:30,680
Speaker 1: about divisions. Divisions don't matter anymore. They're taking the top

1234
01:03:30,720 --> 01:03:33,640
Speaker 1: two teams out there. So at any given point, even

1235
01:03:33,680 --> 01:03:36,160
Speaker 1: if it's even if it's two teams that you previously

1236
01:03:36,200 --> 01:03:38,280
Speaker 1: know as being from the South or two from the North,

1237
01:03:38,480 --> 01:03:41,040
Speaker 1: we could have a rematch in the PAC twelve championship game.

1238
01:03:41,800 --> 01:03:44,919
Speaker 1: Oh by the way, the week after that, that's when

1239
01:03:44,920 --> 01:03:48,680
Speaker 1: we get UCLA at USC. I think Dante Moore is

1240
01:03:48,680 --> 01:03:51,520
Speaker 1: gonna be starting a quarterback for them, if not eventually,

1241
01:03:51,680 --> 01:03:55,320
Speaker 1: or if not immediately, then eventually, And so USC, Yeah,

1242
01:03:55,400 --> 01:03:57,840
Speaker 1: they're at the forefront of the conversation. And you got

1243
01:03:57,920 --> 01:04:02,080
Speaker 1: Oregon in Washington in Utah. UCLA's preseason win totals eight

1244
01:04:02,080 --> 01:04:04,600
Speaker 1: and a half, so they're up there too. And then

1245
01:04:04,640 --> 01:04:07,840
Speaker 1: the week after that, to cap it all, we get

1246
01:04:07,840 --> 01:04:11,120
Speaker 1: Oregon State at Oregon. You didn't think I was going

1247
01:04:11,120 --> 01:04:12,840
Speaker 1: through this whole thing without talking about Oregon State. Oh

1248
01:04:12,880 --> 01:04:16,640
Speaker 1: by the way, Oregon State win total also eight and

1249
01:04:16,680 --> 01:04:19,240
Speaker 1: a half. Oregons is nine and a half. There is

1250
01:04:19,360 --> 01:04:22,919
Speaker 1: just this log jam of pretty good teams out there

1251
01:04:23,040 --> 01:04:25,600
Speaker 1: with a chance to be really good, and the reason

1252
01:04:25,640 --> 01:04:29,000
Speaker 1: that they're gonna get slept on nationally is because people

1253
01:04:29,040 --> 01:04:32,200
Speaker 1: think you have to be a national championship contender preseason

1254
01:04:32,400 --> 01:04:36,120
Speaker 1: to be taken seriously. You don't you look at the

1255
01:04:36,160 --> 01:04:39,160
Speaker 1: odds on the screen right now, You're going half a

1256
01:04:39,280 --> 01:04:43,520
Speaker 1: dozen deep of teams that Vegas is telling you really

1257
01:04:43,600 --> 01:04:48,440
Speaker 1: have a good to at least somewhat chance of winning

1258
01:04:48,480 --> 01:04:53,200
Speaker 1: the conference USC Oregon, Washington, Utah, Oregon State, UCLA. That's

1259
01:04:53,240 --> 01:04:56,680
Speaker 1: how the top six shakeout. I didn't even mention Colorado.

1260
01:04:57,080 --> 01:04:59,439
Speaker 1: I did not even mention Deon Sanders being out there,

1261
01:05:00,040 --> 01:05:02,960
Speaker 1: even mentioned like Kenny Dillingham at Arizona State being out there.

1262
01:05:03,360 --> 01:05:06,320
Speaker 1: Cal had a big influx from the transfer portal. I

1263
01:05:06,320 --> 01:05:08,240
Speaker 1: didn't even have time to mention them. I didn't have

1264
01:05:08,240 --> 01:05:10,680
Speaker 1: time to mention DeLaura back at Arizona. Jad Fish is

1265
01:05:10,680 --> 01:05:13,479
Speaker 1: one of our favorite head coaches, and they went over

1266
01:05:13,640 --> 01:05:16,480
Speaker 1: on that win total for us last year. Let me

1267
01:05:16,520 --> 01:05:18,960
Speaker 1: get this piece of paper, real quick, paper pop instead.

1268
01:05:19,160 --> 01:05:22,640
Speaker 1: There are six teams with win totals of eight and

1269
01:05:22,640 --> 01:05:25,160
Speaker 1: a half or more in the PAC twelve. That is

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01:05:25,200 --> 01:05:29,520
Speaker 1: the most of any conference in FBS, any conference, not

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01:05:29,760 --> 01:05:32,400
Speaker 1: just Power five. We're talking about the lower tier two

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01:05:32,720 --> 01:05:35,520
Speaker 1: eight and a half or more. They got half a

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01:05:35,600 --> 01:05:37,600
Speaker 1: dozen of them. It's gonna be a good year out

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Speaker 1: in the PAC twelve. It was a good night tonight, man.

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01:05:39,600 --> 01:05:43,000
Speaker 1: We went what sixty five minutes. I know that there

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01:05:43,040 --> 01:05:46,200
Speaker 1: was a little problem with the post editing on the

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01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:48,800
Speaker 1: live show from the other night, and here's how that works.

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01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:50,120
Speaker 1: Now that we're all the way at the end of

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01:05:50,160 --> 01:05:53,800
Speaker 1: the show, the degenerates who love everything about the show,

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01:05:53,840 --> 01:05:56,240
Speaker 1: you're here and I can tell you what happens. So

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01:05:56,360 --> 01:05:59,560
Speaker 1: we do the show live, right, We don't. We hardly

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01:05:59,640 --> 01:06:01,760
Speaker 1: ever re record the show. Ninety nine percent of the

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01:06:01,760 --> 01:06:05,320
Speaker 1: time it's live. What we do to build the audience

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01:06:05,880 --> 01:06:08,720
Speaker 1: is at six fifty Central time, we put up a

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01:06:08,720 --> 01:06:12,320
Speaker 1: countdown clock. If you watch live, you've seen it. At

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Speaker 1: the end of the show. That's it. No one's watching

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01:06:15,920 --> 01:06:19,280
Speaker 1: live anymore once it's over, So the replay is obviously

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01:06:19,280 --> 01:06:21,200
Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel anytime you want to watch it. Well,

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Speaker 1: I go in after the show and I shave off

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01:06:23,760 --> 01:06:27,000
Speaker 1: that countdown clock. I edit it off, and it takes

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Speaker 1: YouTube about an hour to process that. But most of

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01:06:29,280 --> 01:06:33,040
Speaker 1: the time, if you're coming along watching the replay over

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01:06:33,120 --> 01:06:36,360
Speaker 1: an hour after the live show's ended, you just clicked

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01:06:36,360 --> 01:06:38,840
Speaker 1: the video. It plays an ad and then it picks

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01:06:38,920 --> 01:06:41,880
Speaker 1: up right at the beginning where I say welcome in. Well,

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01:06:41,960 --> 01:06:45,000
Speaker 1: last show, that didn't happen, and it wasn't our fault,

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01:06:45,240 --> 01:06:46,880
Speaker 1: so we just want all the credit with none of

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01:06:46,920 --> 01:06:50,160
Speaker 1: the blame as usual. But there was a processing error,

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01:06:50,200 --> 01:06:52,440
Speaker 1: and so my voice was ten minutes off of whatever

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01:06:52,480 --> 01:06:55,680
Speaker 1: the video is. You were watching it. Sorry, we'll try

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01:06:55,720 --> 01:06:59,040
Speaker 1: not to let it happen again tonight. Ah. Thank you

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01:06:59,080 --> 01:07:01,720
Speaker 1: though for watching it. Make sure you're subscribed to the channel,

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01:07:01,760 --> 01:07:03,480
Speaker 1: make sure you're subscribed to the pod. And that's all

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01:07:03,480 --> 01:07:05,560
Speaker 1: we ask of you, other than that we get through

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01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:08,520
Speaker 1: this together. We got sixteen Saturdays to go, fifteen if

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01:07:08,560 --> 01:07:10,960
Speaker 1: you don't count the last one for producer Jesse, for

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01:07:11,160 --> 01:07:14,320
Speaker 1: director Colin, for Bradley, the associate. I'm Josh Fate. Take care,

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01:07:14,400 --> 01:07:16,360
Speaker 1: have a great start to your week, and God bless