1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: Good morning. It's Monday, the twentieth of November here in London. 2 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Daybreak you at podcast. I'm Caroline 3 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: Hepke and. 4 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:12,320 Speaker 2: I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today. Open aiy's board rejects 5 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 2: the wishes of major shareholders and hires a new CEO 6 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 2: to replace Sam Altman. 7 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: Expectations grow for the autumn statement and tax cuts from 8 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: the UK Chancellor. 9 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: And Elon Musk doubles down. The owner of x uses 10 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 2: his social media platform to defend himself from allegations of 11 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 2: anti Semitism. 12 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 1: Let's start with a round up of our top stories. 13 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,199 Speaker 2: Chaoso threatening to engulf the firm behind some of the 14 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 2: most exciting developments in artificial intelligence. Open AI's founder Sam 15 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:45,839 Speaker 2: Altman was ousted as the CEO on Friday after a 16 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 2: power struggle with the board over the direction of the 17 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:53,279 Speaker 2: chat GPT owner Bloomberg understands this morning the board has 18 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 2: hired Emma Cheer, formerly of Twitch, to replace him. Bloomberg's 19 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:00,200 Speaker 2: AI and tech reporter Rachel Metz has more. 20 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 3: Open ai leadership has put out memos internally at the 21 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,960 Speaker 3: company saying that the board hasn't said that there was 22 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 3: any quote, malfeasance or anything like that, so it's not 23 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 3: totally clear what the board was initially even accusing him 24 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 3: of doing when it got rid of him. 25 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 2: Rachel Matt says the decision is a stinging rebuke to 26 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 2: major investors such as Microsoft and Thrive Capital, who wanted 27 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 2: Altman back and the board to step down now Here. 28 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: In the UK, Jeremy Hunt is expected to reveal plans 29 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: to cut Britain's tax burden. This week's autumn statement a 30 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 1: pivotal moment for the struggling Tories. The Chancellor's tax and 31 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 1: spent plans will be announced on Wednesday, and speculation is 32 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: growing that he may promise a future income tax cut. 33 00:01:49,880 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: Speaking on Sunday, Hunt said that any reduction must be 34 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: done in a responsible way. 35 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 4: We believe lower taxes are essential for a high growth economy. 36 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:03,000 Speaker 4: We do want to bring down the tax band, but 37 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 4: we will only do so responsibly. The one thing we 38 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 4: won't do is any kind of tax cut that fuels inflation. 39 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 4: We've done all this hard work. We're not going to 40 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 4: throw that away. 41 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: Jeremy Hunt has also been considering a potential cut to 42 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 1: inheritance tax, though the move has already drawn criticism from 43 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:23,799 Speaker 1: some Tory MPs and has been a source of division 44 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: in the Prime Minister's top team. 45 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 2: The White House says a deal to free some of 46 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 2: the two hundred and thirty nine hostages held in Gaza 47 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 2: is closer than ever it's understood. The agreement would involve 48 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 2: the release of dozens of captives and an extended pause 49 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 2: and the fighting. America's Deputy National Security Advisor, John Feiner 50 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 2: says outstanding areas of disagreement between Israel and Hamas have 51 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 2: been narrowed. 52 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 5: I believe we are closer than we have been in 53 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:52,959 Speaker 5: quite some time, maybe closer than we have been since 54 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 5: the beginning of this process to getting this deal done. 55 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,079 Speaker 5: And we are following this minute by minute, hour by hour, 56 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 5: and have been for a number of weeks up to 57 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 5: and including the President, for whom this is a major priority. 58 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 2: Speaking to NBC's Meet the Press program, Finer went on 59 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 2: to say that a pause would also allow more humanitarian 60 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 2: aid to reach Gaza. The hamasr On Health Ministry there 61 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 2: says the death toll has now surpassed thirteen thousand. The 62 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 2: negotiations come as Israel released footage of what it says 63 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 2: as a fortified tunnel under the Shifa Hospital complex. Pressure 64 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 2: has been mounting in recent days to justify the raid 65 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 2: on the medical center and claims of a hamass base 66 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 2: beneath it. 67 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: Elon Musk says that reports labeling him as anti Semitic 68 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: couldn't be quote further from the truth. The tech billionaire 69 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 1: is facing an advertiser backlash after endorsing antisemitic content in 70 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: a post on his social media platform. Near Impact Capital 71 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: founder Kristin Hull is an activist investor in Tesla. She 72 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: says the card Gant's board should step in now. 73 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 6: Elon Musk has been erradick. He's been att all with 74 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 6: this speech. We never actually know what he's trying to do. 75 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 6: And while he is saying he's promoting free speech, hateful 76 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 6: speech and hates speech has no place on X and 77 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 6: it certainly doesn't have any place coming from a major 78 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:16,360 Speaker 6: CEO in our nation. 79 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: Christin Hull holds a small amount of shares in Mosque's 80 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 1: solely publicly traded venture, but large advertisers like Walt Disney 81 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: and Apple are among those distancing themselves from X. 82 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 2: Libertarian outsider Havimla will become Argentina's new president he's promising 83 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 2: a radical shakeup to fix decades of policy mismanagement. Speaking 84 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 2: to crowds in Buenos Aires, the president elects stress the 85 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 2: need for immediate action. 86 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:48,919 Speaker 7: The situation in Argentina is critical. The changes that this 87 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 7: country needs are drastic. There's no room for gradual measure 88 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 7: and there's no way to say it long lived. Freedom heavy. 89 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 2: MLA also highlighted the Argentina's critical economic condition in an 90 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 2: address to supporters. Investors are welcoming the news. Overseas bonds 91 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:11,599 Speaker 2: look poised to rise as traders anticipated change in fortunes 92 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 2: for the country after experiencing five recessions in the last decade. 93 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:20,040 Speaker 2: It's expected that the Argentinean paeser will weaken, reflecting Malay's 94 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 2: plan to replace the currency with the dollar. 95 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 1: And finally, London's he For airport is facing flight delays 96 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: due to staff absences and bad weather, including high winds. 97 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:35,359 Speaker 1: NAT's the UK's Aerospace Airspace Manager rather said in a 98 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,880 Speaker 1: statement that temporary restrictions were in place at Heathrow, adding 99 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 1: that it's working with the airport to reduce disruption. The 100 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:45,840 Speaker 1: British Airways website shows dozens of flights held up by 101 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: up to two hours as the airline adjust some of 102 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 1: its short haul schedule. The news comes off to Gatwick 103 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: said late in September that it had capped the number 104 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:56,919 Speaker 1: of daily flights until the first of October due to 105 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: unforeseen staff shortages. 106 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 2: Those are your top stories on the markets. The MSCIASA 107 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 2: Pacific Index is trading half a percent higher this morning. 108 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 2: Eurostos fifty features are flat at the moment. The ten 109 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,159 Speaker 2: year Treasury yields two basis points higher at four point 110 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 2: four to five percent. 111 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: Now in a moment, we're going to be talking about 112 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:20,919 Speaker 1: what we expect to see from the Chancellor in this 113 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 1: week's autumn statement from Jeremy Hunt. We'll also bring you 114 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: the latest details on the extraordinary story of open Ai, 115 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,479 Speaker 1: the company that helped develop chat GPT is engulfed in 116 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 1: a power struggle right now, including up until this morning, 117 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:37,960 Speaker 1: so we'll have more on that in just a moment. 118 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: But also this Stephen, tis the season to know the 119 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 1: size of the bonus that you might get. In the 120 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:48,599 Speaker 1: financial industry, Paul ja Davies has a long read on 121 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 1: this this morning, and he delves into all the various 122 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:55,560 Speaker 1: types of financial firms. His answer is essentially not that 123 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 1: big global M and A activity has slumped this year. 124 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,479 Speaker 1: Deals of tumble, so bonuses they're expected to down something 125 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: like twenty percent according to Johnson Associates. And then he 126 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: looks at all the different types of trading also not 127 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 1: that great for bonus season this year. 128 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's true when you dig into the details of 129 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 2: where the activity is gone in banks this year is 130 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 2: perhaps not surprising to many people. And I'm sure where 131 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 2: people might have been very helpful that perhaps their bonuses 132 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 2: might be larger than they expect. The data seems to 133 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 2: have turned against them anyway, But all crunched in Paul 134 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 2: Davies's piece this morning, so well worth at a reed. 135 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 1: Okay, let's send our attention then and get the details 136 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: on the leadership changes at open Ai, the company that 137 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 1: helped to develop chat GPT. The board which ousted the 138 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: CEO and president on Friday of last week, are said 139 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 1: to have hired Emmitt Scheer as their new chief. That 140 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 1: comes after Bloomberg reported that the interim CEO, Mira Marati, 141 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: was planning to rehire former chief Sam Altman and former 142 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: president Greg Brockman. Bloomberg TV ANDKA Tom McKenzie has been 143 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: across this story and joins us, now, wow, this is 144 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:04,000 Speaker 1: moving quickly. What have we actually heard about what the 145 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: board is doing just this morning about who they're picking 146 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: as see. 147 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 8: Yeah, the story is developing at a very rapid clip 148 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 8: and our team on the ground in California, San Francisco 149 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 8: reporting this out for us. So, the latest line coming 150 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 8: through in the last thirty minutes or so is that 151 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 8: Emmett Sheer is going to be taking over as the 152 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 8: CEO of Open AI. We know that the board had 153 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 8: reached out to a number of potential executives to take 154 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 8: over as the CEO over the weekend. Now we have 155 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 8: it confirmed from our reporting that it's going to be 156 00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 8: Emmett Sheeer, formerly the CEO of the video streaming company 157 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 8: Twitch up until about March of this year, and prior 158 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 8: to that, a co founder of a video platform called 159 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 8: just in TV, so his background very much within the 160 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 8: video world. He's also though a part time partner at 161 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,560 Speaker 8: y Combinator, the eventual capital firm, which interestingly Sam Oltman 162 00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 8: was the CEO of prior to open AI. That's what 163 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:56,959 Speaker 8: we know about Emmett Sheer, the new appointment. 164 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,680 Speaker 2: And this though as there are two camps as the 165 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 2: board on one side, pointing amates Sheer, but then there 166 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 2: we was executives and investors pushing to try and bring 167 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:05,680 Speaker 2: Sam Oltman back. 168 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,679 Speaker 8: Yeah, and the tension has been very clear indeed between 169 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 8: the board, which let's not forget, was set up when 170 00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 8: open Ai was squarely focused on being a nonprofit. So 171 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 8: there's a legacy there in terms of the board's constitution 172 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 8: around a project that has evolved so quickly. But the 173 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 8: tensions have come to the fore clearly. We know that 174 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 8: not only many researchers and key members of the team 175 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 8: at OpenAI, but as you say, also key investors and Microsoft. 176 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 8: Don't forget the biggest investor sat In Thedella, who was 177 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 8: taken by surprise by this announcement that Sam Oltman was 178 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 8: being forced out on Friday. It was a shock to 179 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 8: hear him in the team at Microsoft. We know they 180 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 8: are lobbyings for Sam Altman to come back, and up 181 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 8: until this line crossed about thirty minutes ago, the latest 182 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 8: news was that they were in the middle of this 183 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:57,199 Speaker 8: negotiation Sam Moltman and the board to get Sam back 184 00:09:57,600 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 8: as the CEO at least in some kind of leadership. 185 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 8: In fact, he was in the offices of open Ai 186 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 8: over the weekend. Yeah. 187 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 1: And fundamentally though, as this story has sort of exploded 188 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:12,440 Speaker 1: on Friday and over the weekend, what do we think 189 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:16,600 Speaker 1: is behind the disagreement? Why do we think that you 190 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: know that sam Oltman was was ousted from the business. 191 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: I mean, that's the big question mark about it. 192 00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 8: It seems to be a combination of factors. So I'll 193 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:26,959 Speaker 8: take you back to what I was touching on there, 194 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 8: which was the open Ai was originally set up as 195 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:34,200 Speaker 8: a nonprofit to work on AI that would be and 196 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 8: have safety at its core. It had a commercial operation, 197 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 8: as Samon Oltman has said in the past, kind of 198 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 8: cobbled on rather than all being commercial with a research 199 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,199 Speaker 8: lab on one side, it was all about the research lab. 200 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 8: It's all about being a nonprofit. That has evolved and 201 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 8: sam Oltman has driven the commercialization of their products, notably 202 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 8: of course, the launch of chatchebt in November of last year, 203 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 8: and he's continued to drive the evelotion of those projects 204 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 8: and get them out to customers. He claims that about 205 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 8: ninety percent of the Fortune five hundred companies have access 206 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 8: now in the customers. That has caused tensions within the 207 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 8: original buildout of open AI, including the chief scientists by 208 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 8: the way, Iliasuskava, who they poached from Google, who's been 209 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:17,559 Speaker 8: very concerned about risks. But also again the legacy board 210 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 8: bored on for this nonprofit with the aim of being 211 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 8: risk focused. The concern amongst many board members as they've 212 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 8: gone too quickly, too fast, and they aren't putting the 213 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,319 Speaker 8: checks and balances in place. The other component as well 214 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 8: that we've been reporting on is that Sam Altman has 215 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 8: been doing trips overseas trying to raise capital for additional 216 00:11:35,400 --> 00:11:38,439 Speaker 8: and new businesses around for example AI chips and also 217 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 8: AI hardware, so that has also been attention apparently between 218 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 8: him and the board. 219 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 2: Okay, Tom McKenzie, Tvanco, thank you very much for joining 220 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:47,439 Speaker 2: us with the latest en that story this morning, or 221 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:50,840 Speaker 2: continue of course to follow all the developments around open AIS. 222 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:52,400 Speaker 2: Who were saying to Time they are quite a fast 223 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 2: moving story. Yeah. 224 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: Absolutely. Meanwhile, Hoy in the UK, it's a very big 225 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,680 Speaker 1: week for the government. The autumn Statement on Wednesday. The 226 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,160 Speaker 1: chances of Jeremy Hunt expect to reveal plans to cut 227 00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: Britain's tax burden without adding to inflation. That would be 228 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 1: the aim our UK correspondent Lizzie Burden is back and 229 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 1: joins us in studio. Good morning. Set the scene for us, 230 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:12,679 Speaker 1: then what do you think is going to happen on Wednesday? 231 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 1: The messaging over the weekend, there was plenty of it. 232 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 1: It was a very difficult week last week for the Tories. 233 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 9: Yeah, nightmare week for the Prime minister. You have the 234 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:24,320 Speaker 9: party divided again over small boats and the Home Secretary 235 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 9: Sweller Bratherman's departure. And of course this autumn statement really 236 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:31,280 Speaker 9: is crucial because it's one of the few remaining set 237 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 9: pieces the opportunities to narrow the gap with labor. They've 238 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 9: got a twenty point lead and the election's got to 239 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:41,720 Speaker 9: be called by January twenty twenty five. So, as you say, 240 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 9: we had the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt on the airwaves yesterday 241 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 9: laying the groundwork for Wednesday. He wants to take credit 242 00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 9: for stabilizing the economy. You know, the government's already met 243 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 9: its self set target of halving inflation by the end 244 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 9: of the year, even if it's not back to the 245 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:01,520 Speaker 9: Bank of England's two percent target, even though the work 246 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 9: was really done by thread Needle Street. But moving on, 247 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 9: he's got not a lot of room to maneuver fiscally, 248 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 9: and he's going to want to avoid criticism that the 249 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 9: Sunak administration is simply managing Britain's decline so as was ever. 250 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 9: Thus you've got back bench conservatives clamoring for tax cuts, 251 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 9: but Jeremy Hunt has already said that's not going to 252 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:26,360 Speaker 9: happen overnight, but he hasn't ruled anything out. The trouble 253 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 9: is the government really needs to shift gears at this point. 254 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 9: Party conference, Caroline, you and I were there didn't really 255 00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:36,400 Speaker 9: move the dial, nor did the King's speech and so 256 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 9: Hunt's got to get a lot of political bang out 257 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 9: of not a lot of fiscal book here. 258 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:44,200 Speaker 2: Okay, well let's talk specifics then, Lizzie. What sort of 259 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 2: things should we be expecting the Chancellor to Annette? 260 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 9: I mean, if you listen to the Chancellor yesterday, you'd 261 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 9: think that every tax under the sun was going to 262 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:55,320 Speaker 9: be cut, and if you read the papers as well. 263 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,199 Speaker 9: But that's the usual sort of speculation before a fiscal event. 264 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:00,400 Speaker 9: We know that the Prime Minister and the Chancellor have 265 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:04,960 Speaker 9: been considering slashing inheritance tax, but optically that would be 266 00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 9: so difficult in a cost of living crisis. Given that 267 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:11,040 Speaker 9: the Chancellor's also expected to ad just welfare to try 268 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:14,680 Speaker 9: to reduce economic inactivity and save a bit of money. 269 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:17,960 Speaker 9: So there's speculation that he might pull a bigger lever 270 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 9: like income tax or national insurance. But then the Chancellor 271 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 9: seemed to cool on that yesterday and it would be expensive. 272 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 9: He's warned it could stoke inflation. So the compromise would 273 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 9: be to pledge to cut income tax somewhere down the 274 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 9: line that straight out of the Rishie Sunac playbook. Or 275 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 9: they could cut stamp duty, the property transaction tax that's 276 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 9: scene as being a less inflationary move. I'm going to 277 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 9: be listening for clues from the Prime Minister this morning. 278 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 9: He's making a speech in North London and the Chancellor 279 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 9: is giving a fireside chat to the CBI's countdown to 280 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 9: the election event. Later today, I'm hosting a panel. He's 281 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 9: going to be talking to the Director General Ray Newton Smith, 282 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 9: and he's he's going to be joining us right here 283 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 9: on Bloomberg Radio for an interview before that conference gets 284 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 9: going today. Yeah. 285 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 1: Absolutely, yeah, it's going to be a great morning in 286 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 1: terms of the next steps though on the Rwanda deportation policies, 287 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 1: does go back to what happened last week, the court 288 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 1: decision that went against the government. What happens with this 289 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 1: migration policy. 290 00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:23,080 Speaker 9: Now, yeah, it really was Rishi Sunac's worst week as 291 00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 9: Prime minister. Increasingly he's on thin ice with his backbench, 292 00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 9: so he's expected to deploy Whitehall officials to Rwanda to 293 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 9: try and assist with the casework. This is according to 294 00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 9: the Telegraph. He's expected to publish a new Rwanda treaty 295 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 9: early this week. And this is of course that you 296 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 9: say after the Supreme Court ruled that deporting asylum seekers 297 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 9: to Rwanda was unlawful because it risked people being sent 298 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 9: back to their home countries. The other major event on 299 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:52,800 Speaker 9: the docket in the UK today is the government's Food 300 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 9: Security Summit that's hosted with the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. 301 00:15:56,800 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 9: It's the idea to address hunger and nutrition globally, so 302 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 9: you're going to have retur representatives from governments, from international 303 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 9: aid groups, the science community and the private sector all 304 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 9: expected to attend. Again the Prime Minister trying to move 305 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 9: the spotlight away from the boat's policy, which really has 306 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 9: been a thorn in its side. 307 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 308 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 2: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 309 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 310 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 311 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 312 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 313 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 314 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 315 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: I'm Caroline Hepka and. 316 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 2: I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 317 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 2: the news you need to start your day right here 318 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 2: on Bloomberg day Break Europe