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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're growing in job spectacular.

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Speaker 4: I'm sitting it to cash to star.

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Speaker 5: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 5: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabine you want to pull.

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Speaker 2: And we are hondaway. Hello, everyone, Welcome back to another

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Speaker 2: NFL Fantasy Flax episode, the award winning Action Network podcast

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Speaker 2: presented by Bett MGM, the official odds provider of the show.

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Speaker 2: I'm Matthew Friedman, the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs.

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Speaker 2: Here with me here Shawn Corner and Chris Raybonshawn is

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Speaker 2: the Action Network Director of Predictive Analytics. Chris is a

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Speaker 2: senior editor and analysti the Action Network. There too of

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Speaker 2: the very best fantasy football rankers in the world. In

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Speaker 2: this episode, we are highlighting the players at the top

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Speaker 2: of our week five rankings, which you can find in

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Speaker 2: our Fantasy tool at the Action Network. We're discussing the

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Speaker 2: guys we're high and low on, including daily fantasy values, fades,

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Speaker 2: and tournament plays. For more on DFS, check out our

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Speaker 2: Fantasy Labs models and as always we're speculating on some

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Speaker 2: player props and joining us and his return to the

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Speaker 2: show is Drew Dinkmeyer of Established the Run where he

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Speaker 2: heads up NBA and of course he hosts the Established

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Speaker 2: the Million Show with Mike Leoni. Drew, how's it going.

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Speaker 6: It's going well.

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Speaker 7: It's been a good start to the NFL DFS season

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Speaker 7: for me and I'm very happy to.

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Speaker 6: Be here with you guys today.

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Speaker 2: Well, good for you, Drew, It hasn't been so good

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Speaker 2: for some of us on this side of the microphone.

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Speaker 2: I just have to say Tyler Lockett and Cash didn't

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Speaker 2: really work out for me last week. But you know,

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Speaker 2: we move on. We move on. And speaking of moving on,

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Speaker 2: everyone can participate in the best DFS contest in the world.

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Speaker 2: free every week. You can click on the link in

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Speaker 2: the episode description to join. All right, guys, let's get

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Speaker 2: into the show, and let's start at the quarterback position, Drew.

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Speaker 2: Right now, the guys at the top of our rankings,

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Speaker 2: and we're recording this on Tuesday, so obviously things can

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Speaker 2: change as we witness last week. But right now, the

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Speaker 2: guys at the top of our rankings Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson,

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes. How do you feel about that top three?

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Speaker 2: Is there anyone that you would push in there ahead

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Speaker 2: of one of those guys?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean it's a great top three.

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Speaker 7: I would expand it out to top four and say

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Speaker 7: that the four guys that I would add to that

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Speaker 7: list is Lamar Jackson. At some point, Baltimore's got to

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Speaker 7: start running plays like they did last year. They've just

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Speaker 7: been playing slow kind of early in the season. I

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Speaker 7: think it's a combination of some non competitive games and

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Speaker 7: then just couldn't get drives going in that game against

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Speaker 7: Kansas City. So I think once that regresses to the meme,

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Speaker 7: you'll see Lamar Jackson typically. You know, if you look

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Speaker 7: at generally, quarterback scoring correlates really highly with a team

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Speaker 7: implied totals, and Baltimore's got a thirty two point twenty

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Speaker 7: five implied total here. I think it's a great bounce

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Speaker 7: back spot for him. I think in DFS he probably

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Speaker 7: will go a little bit under the radar compared to

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Speaker 7: some of these other guys as well, just in terms

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Speaker 7: of ownership, because it has been a disappointing ceiling start

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Speaker 7: to the season for Lamar. And I'd actually argue that,

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Speaker 7: you know, Lamar, while he might not have like a

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Speaker 7: median projection at one there, I might take him for

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Speaker 7: ceiling as the number one guy this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Drew, to your point, he actually has the top

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Speaker 2: ceiling projection in our Fantasy Labs models, even though he

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Speaker 2: doesn't have the highest median projection and that belongs to

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Speaker 2: Dak And to your point about pace of play or

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Speaker 2: number of plays per game last year including playoffs, the

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Speaker 2: Ravens ran sixty eight offensive plays per game. This year

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Speaker 2: that number is fifty eight, which is just a massive difference,

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Speaker 2: and you have to think that at some point you

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Speaker 2: start to see some movement in the number of plays

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Speaker 2: per game outside of Lamar. Is there anyone else that

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Speaker 2: you are particularly high on for this week relative to

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Speaker 2: salaries or relative to what you think will be the

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Speaker 2: general consensus in rankings.

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Speaker 7: Well, I really want to see you from a DFS perspective,

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Speaker 7: where the ownership comes in on someone like Daniel Jones,

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Speaker 7: because I think everybody's going to want to attack Dallas

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Speaker 7: as much as possible after what we've seen this first

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Speaker 7: three weeks. It's basically just been stacked the Dallas game

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Speaker 7: in print, and so I think Daniel Jones is going

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Speaker 7: to be very popular. Depending on how popular is kind

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Speaker 7: of where I'm going to fallow in the side of

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Speaker 7: the ledger for tournaments. But I think Daniel Jones has

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Speaker 7: had a brutal schedule to start the season. Things should

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Speaker 7: ease up, and from a DFS perspective, the target should

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Speaker 7: be condensed with Slaton and Ingram given the injuries to

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Speaker 7: Shepherd and Tate just being kind of perpetually banged up.

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Speaker 7: So I think he's interesting, but I do think a

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Speaker 7: pivot will be whoever the heck starts a quarterback for

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Speaker 7: San Francisco. I think that the matchup with Miami is

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Speaker 7: a favorable one, and I think there will be very

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Speaker 7: low ownership on whoever it is, whether it's CJ at

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Speaker 7: Bethard or Nick Mullens this week, I think there might

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Speaker 7: be some opportunity there.

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Speaker 2: In DFS Andrew, to your point, Garoppolo is I'm assuming

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Speaker 2: he's going to start, although that's not a safe assumption

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Speaker 2: totally yet, But right now he's the guy I have

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Speaker 2: plugged in and I have him projected just outside the

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Speaker 2: top ten, and a lot of it has to do

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Speaker 2: with that glorious matchup he has going against Miami, which

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Speaker 2: was I believe number thirty two in PFF coverage grade

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Speaker 2: last year, again number thirty two in the young season

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Speaker 2: this year, So a very exploitable matchup. Sean, who is

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Speaker 2: someone or a couple of players you are relatively high on.

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Speaker 8: For the high end QBS, I like Dak at seventy

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Speaker 8: four hundred. I think it's really hard to pass him up,

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Speaker 8: especially you know how poorly this Cowboys defense is playing.

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Speaker 8: It's you know, it's forcing him to continue throwing the

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Speaker 8: ball although the Giants that you know, the Cowboys should

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Speaker 8: have a lead in this game, so we might see

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Speaker 8: them run it a bit more. I think this smart

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Speaker 8: play here is if you play Dak in tournaments, you

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Speaker 8: know obviously has a ton of stacking partners, but you

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Speaker 8: have to send it back with the Darius Layton or

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Speaker 8: Evan Ingram because the Giants really do have to keep

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Speaker 8: up with the Cowboys offense for Dak to hit his ceiling.

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Speaker 8: So I love him this week. And then Teddy Bridgewater

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Speaker 8: is probably my favorite play this week. He's fifty nine

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Speaker 8: hundred and he's facing the Falcons who are three and

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Speaker 8: a half point favorites. We all know when the Falcons

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Speaker 8: get a lead, they'd love to give it up, so

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Speaker 8: I think this could be a shootout. And you know,

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Speaker 8: if he has Mike Davis, you know they're using him

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Speaker 8: dumb bops. Mike Davis is basically extension at the run game.

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Speaker 8: DJ Moore should bounce back this week, and Robbie Anderson

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Speaker 8: is just playing at a super high level. I think

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Speaker 8: he's a great matchup this week against the Falcons. I

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Speaker 8: think I Thomas could have big game, so Bridge Rutter

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Speaker 8: just has a ton of weapons. I love his floor

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Speaker 8: seeling combo, and we're starting to see his rushing ability

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Speaker 8: that he had pre the twenty sixteen gruesome injury. He

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Speaker 8: looked really good on his eighteen yard run last week,

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Speaker 8: so hopefully he has his confidence back and he's, you know,

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Speaker 8: potentially becoming more of a dual threat QB than we

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Speaker 8: even anticipated.

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Speaker 9: So I think that boost is ceiling even more so.

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Speaker 9: He's my QB nine as of right now.

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Speaker 8: Like like you said, it's earlier in the week, but

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Speaker 8: right now he's a top ten QB in my initial projections.

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Speaker 2: Sean, I can tell how excited you are about him

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Speaker 2: based on the chair swivel yes that you have over there.

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Speaker 10: Yeah.

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Speaker 9: Yeah, there's a lot of star squeaky chair player right there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of swiveling action going on for Teddy Bridgewater, Raymond.

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Speaker 2: It looks like you are also relatively high on Dak

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Speaker 2: and Daniel Jones. Talk to me about those guys.

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Speaker 10: Yeah, I think that game, you know, Dink hit on it.

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Speaker 10: It's you know, the Cowboys have struggled to play defense

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Speaker 10: this year. That's something that really hasn't been an issue

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Speaker 10: for them. I wrote a piece on Action Network dot

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Speaker 10: Com talking about you know, Dak has actually always had

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Speaker 10: a defense. A defense has been between fifteen thirteenth and

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Speaker 10: points allowed, and now they're at the bottom of the league.

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Speaker 10: So I think that Dak as the fourth highest quarterback.

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Speaker 10: That's a steal on DraftKings.

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Speaker 3: And then Daniel Jones at fifty four hundred. He's in

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Speaker 3: my top ten right now. It is early in the week.

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Speaker 10: I may have to, you know, turn up his turnover

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Speaker 10: projections or something, but right now he's a top ten

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Speaker 10: quarterback for me. And I think you look at his

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Speaker 10: rushing you know ability, and that's something that you always

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Speaker 10: are going to need to compete these days in DFS,

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Speaker 10: Sean hit on it with Teddy, another guy I love.

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Speaker 10: But you can't, you know, as Davis Maddock said last week,

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Speaker 10: you can't show up with like a Philip Rivers or

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Speaker 10: or somebody like that. So I like Daniel Jones was

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Speaker 10: averaging thirty four rushing yards a game. He has two

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Speaker 10: touchdowns and five picks that will regress. He faced four

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Speaker 10: pretty tough defenses, you know, Pittsburgh the Rams last week.

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Speaker 10: Both of those guys in that game and Teddy, those

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Speaker 10: are you know, as everyone said, those are really the

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Speaker 10: guys I'm looking at.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I can't be rational about this because I'm a

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Speaker 2: Cowboys fan. For me, this cuts in multiple directions. The

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Speaker 2: biggest mistake of not my life, but at least last week,

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Speaker 2: was not going with Dak and Cash when it was

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Speaker 2: like strong consideration for me, I really thought about it.

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Speaker 2: I went with Josh Allen against the better judgment. Anyway,

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Speaker 2: I feel like now I'm maybe compensating for that because

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Speaker 2: I feel like Dak for me, is just a clear

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Speaker 2: number one on this slate. But I'm also looking at

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Speaker 2: the other quarterback in this matchup and Daniel Jones and

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Speaker 2: thinking that, like, this guy is now shackled to Jason Garrett,

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Speaker 2: I do not want that guy in my cash game lineup.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I'm just being too biased on this, but I

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Speaker 2: think this Cowboys defense is bad. We'll just say that, like,

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Speaker 2: not a big statement there. I think it's bad, but

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Speaker 2: maybe it's not quite as bad as everyone assumes it is.

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Speaker 2: They played the Rams, the Falcons, the Seahawks. Those are

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Speaker 2: all three really good defenses, and then I mean whatever, Cleveland,

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Speaker 2: I mean sorry, three good offenses, and then Cleveland, you

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Speaker 2: know whatever, Stefanski's a good play caller. I'm thinking that

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Speaker 2: this defense going against Jason Garrett and his crusty offense,

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Speaker 2: who knows this offense better than the defense that practiced

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Speaker 2: against it for almost a decade. I'm not envisioning a

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Speaker 2: scenario where the Giants offense that hasn't been able to

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Speaker 2: do anything is suddenly able to do something just because

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Speaker 2: Jason Garrett has returned and he's in Texas and he's

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Speaker 2: going against the defense that sucks like his offense also sucks.

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Speaker 2: So I'm just not as optimistic about Daniel Jones and

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Speaker 2: I'm probably going to be wrong, and I'm already anticipating

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Speaker 2: that I'm going to have to bump up his projections

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Speaker 2: in my models, and it pains me to do that,

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Speaker 2: but I want to hate on Daniel Jones and the

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Speaker 2: entirety of this Giants offense in this matchup.

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Speaker 3: You know you always gonna happen, right Friedman.

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Speaker 10: Jason Garrett's gonna give the Giants defensive coordinator all the

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Speaker 10: into and Daniel Jones is gonna outscore Dak.

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Speaker 2: It can happen, and it would break break me out.

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Speaker 3: I hope not, because I have Dak number one as well.

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Speaker 10: I'm with you on Dak, but I mean, like, here's

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Speaker 10: what I'm thinking, Like, if Dak has a big game

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Speaker 10: and we all think he will, uh, that's going to

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Speaker 10: kind of force Daniel Jones to have a big game

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Speaker 10: and vice first. I mean, what part of the reason

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Speaker 10: Dak's had such huge games is because he's not just

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Speaker 10: played you know, he's played good offenses on the other side,

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Speaker 10: his defense has been bad or the offense have been good,

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Speaker 10: at whatever you want to say. But Gamescript has a

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Speaker 10: lot to do with Dak Prescott's production this season.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it certainly does. And what that probably

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Speaker 2: means is that I should adjust Dak down because because

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Speaker 2: I don't want to adjust the Giants offense up. That's

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Speaker 2: That's what I'm taking out of all of this, is

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Speaker 2: that I'm just I'm down on that that Giants offense,

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Speaker 2: no matter what. Drew who is a quarterback that you

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Speaker 2: are down on heading into the week.

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Speaker 7: It's been so such commonplace the last few years to

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Speaker 7: pick on the Washington football team in terms of a

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Speaker 7: matchup space situation. But their pass rush has improved quite

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Speaker 7: a bit. I know they had some injuries that have

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Speaker 7: limited him last week and a really tough matchup against Lamar.

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Speaker 7: But I think what we've seen from the play calling

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Speaker 7: from Sean McVay in the Los Angeles Trams as far

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Speaker 7: as that they'd really prefer to be a little bit

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Speaker 7: more run oriented and really set up the play action.

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Speaker 7: They're going to lean on the pass game in games

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Speaker 7: where they're forced to, and I just don't think this

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Speaker 7: is going to be a situation where they're forced to.

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Speaker 7: So Jared Goff at sixty five hundred looks really overpriced

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Speaker 7: to me on this sleep and is a player that

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Speaker 7: you know, typically we just look and we'd see Washington

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Speaker 7: football team and Okay, that's a good matchup, and let's

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Speaker 7: start finding places to attack, and I'm having a harder

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Speaker 7: time doing that this week with the Rams.

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Speaker 2: Raymon, I think you are in line Withdrew on that analysis.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely.

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Speaker 10: I mean Jared Gaff, first of all, he's another one

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Speaker 10: of these pocket quarterbacks. He's not really giving you anything

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Speaker 10: on the ground, and so already you shouldn't have him

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Speaker 10: price up there at sixty five hundred. But yeah, the

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Speaker 10: same thing he always He's coming in with one of

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Speaker 10: the lowest attempts projected for the week. I have him

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Speaker 10: around thirty two attempts, and that's just because you know,

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Speaker 10: I expect him to be efficient. But they're a nine

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Speaker 10: and a half point favorite on the road. Sean McVay

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Speaker 10: has been running cam akers maybe back, so he may

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Speaker 10: have three.

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Speaker 3: Backs to go to.

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Speaker 10: As dink said, it's just not from a play corn

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Speaker 10: perspective and optimal spot. And he doesn't set up to

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Speaker 10: be really an optimal game script spot either, So now

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Speaker 10: you're just you're hoping that kind of the touchdowns go

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Speaker 10: his way, which is tough because he's not giving you

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Speaker 10: a rushing floor where Okay, if the team scores a

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Speaker 10: rushing touchdown, there's a decent shot that he may get it.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm with I'm with Dink on Gov Sean.

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Speaker 2: Who's someone you are relatively low on.

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Speaker 8: I think Mahomes at seventy seven hundred, I mean, he's

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Speaker 8: a really high four play. I think, you know, he's

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Speaker 8: probably a lock for two or three touchdowns probably you know,

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Speaker 8: somewhere between two hundred and eighty three hundred yards. But

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Speaker 8: I think his ceiling is captain these games where you know,

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Speaker 8: the Chiefs are twelve point favorites again, and they've they've

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Speaker 8: shown that they're willing to take their foot off the

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Speaker 8: gas and blowouts, tending to lean on the run game

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Speaker 8: a bit more. They're fifty three percent pass rate with

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Speaker 8: the lead is thirteenth in the league. Typically not what

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Speaker 8: we expect from this Chiefs offense. It's probably, you know,

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Speaker 8: due to having a guy like Clyde Edvard Hilaire. They

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Speaker 8: trust him a bit more than you know, Damian Williams

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Speaker 8: last year. But either way, it's just kneecapping his ceiling

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Speaker 8: a bit. So as we talked about, I think Lamar

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Speaker 8: Jackson has a much higher ceiling and is a couple

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Speaker 8: hundred dollers more expensive. So you know, if you're going

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Speaker 8: for a GPP lineup, I would go with Lamar in

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Speaker 8: that price range. But you know, there's so many good

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Speaker 8: high floor qbs right now that Mahomes just he doesn't

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Speaker 8: feel like he's warranted a seventy seven hundred dollars price tag.

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Speaker 9: So even though I do love this.

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Speaker 8: Matchup against the Raiders, I just think they've been a

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Speaker 8: little bit more conservative with leads this year, so I'm

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Speaker 8: fading him this week.

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Speaker 2: Okay, when was the last time that we had a

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Speaker 2: quarterback Everyone acknowledged was top five in the league. His

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Speaker 2: team is undefeated, he just won the Super Bowl, won

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Speaker 2: the MVP in the Super Bowl, and he was an

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Speaker 2: MVP the year before that, and yet he is generating

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Speaker 2: zero MVP talk this year. That's kind of fascinating that

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Speaker 2: that's the situation we're in with Mahomes, where it feels

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Speaker 2: like so many things are going right for him, and

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Speaker 2: yet you can just sort of look look at the

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Speaker 2: landscape and say, like, you know what, not having the

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Speaker 2: best season, but yet like everything still seems to be

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Speaker 2: going in the right direction. It's it's a really weird

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Speaker 2: situation with Mahomes and that Chiefs offense this year. Sean,

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Speaker 2: give us the player prop for the quarterback position.

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Speaker 8: I'm going with the impossibly. Here, we're gonna try to

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Speaker 8: guess how many passing yards is Daq will throw for

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Speaker 8: this week. After three straight four hundred and fifty yard games,

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Speaker 8: it's hard to see sportsbooks keeping this number at Bay.

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Speaker 8: I'm going with, oh god, I'm going with three hundred

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Speaker 8: and forty five and a half passing yards as the

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Speaker 8: initial line this week.

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Speaker 10: I have wonder I have three fifteen, which is like

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Speaker 10: the highest I've ever rejected at quarterback. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 10: I'm gonna roll with the model here. You know, I

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Speaker 10: get it, But again, it's been a ton of game

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Speaker 10: script and Friedman's right. I mean, the Giants offense may

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Speaker 10: not show up. That could definitely, you know, pull him

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Speaker 10: down and look at what the Rams and Giants kind

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Speaker 10: of played two ath weeks seventeen to nine.

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Speaker 3: You know, Goff was efficient, but yeah, I'm going I'm

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Speaker 3: going under.

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Speaker 7: So with Dak, I'm actually gonna go under here. I

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Speaker 7: had the number pegged somewhat close to Chris. I was

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Speaker 7: thinking kind of three twenties ish for Dak. So I'll

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Speaker 7: take under three forty five and a half. And the

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Speaker 7: thing about Dallas that's going to be interesting this week

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Speaker 7: from a DFS perspective is, you know, the first few

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Speaker 7: weeks of the season, it's been stack Dallas, stack their

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Speaker 7: opponent and just print, and it's worked so frequently and

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Speaker 7: consistently that I think the ownership is probably going to

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Speaker 7: come there this week, and I think this week could

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Speaker 7: set up a little bit differently.

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Speaker 6: One of the things that Dallas has.

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Speaker 7: Consistently had in the first four weeks of the season

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Speaker 7: is they've been playing behind, and they've been playing from

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Speaker 7: behind by multiple scores in the second half, and it's

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Speaker 7: really accelerated their offense and their fantasy production. So much

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Speaker 7: of the DAK production came in the second half against

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Speaker 7: both Atlanta and Cleveland. So this is a spot where

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Speaker 7: I don't know, the Giants can kind of hang those

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Speaker 7: types of points and make DAK play from behind. So

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Speaker 7: I think it might be you know, the first few

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Speaker 7: weeks for me was was fade zeke and stack DAK,

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Speaker 7: and this week it might go to the opposite, especially

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Speaker 7: if the FS ownership kind of moves in that direction.

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Speaker 2: All Right, the Dallas offense has not only broken my Internet,

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Speaker 2: it's also broken my models. Uh and so I just

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Speaker 2: I have a number that's really high. I know it's

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Speaker 2: not accurate. I'm just.

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Speaker 3: I'm not looking at me.

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Speaker 4: Please tell me.

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Speaker 9: Does it serve the four?

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Speaker 2: No, it doesn't. It starts with a five. Okay, that's

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Speaker 2: like a media Yeah.

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Speaker 8: No.

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Speaker 2: I like, I haven't projected for three eighty two, and

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Speaker 2: I saw that. I was like, that's too high. Like,

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Speaker 2: I know, I'm going to have to change that. I

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Speaker 2: will take the over and stick with my number here.

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Speaker 2: But I know that's not like the sharp side on

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Speaker 2: this at all. But you know, hey, what else is new?

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Speaker 5: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

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Speaker 5: want to make sure you know about the locked On

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Speaker 5: podcast network locked on as a daily podcast on your

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Speaker 5: favorite team.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

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Speaker 3: You are lockedown of the Dallas marriage. Came everybody for

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Speaker 3: the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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Speaker 5: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

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Speaker 5: know your team better than anyone and give you the

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Speaker 5: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

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Speaker 5: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about running backs. Drew the guys at the

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Speaker 2: top of our running back rankings right now we have

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Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara and Ezekiel Elliott. I don't think much of

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Speaker 2: a surprise there. And then we have Kareem Hunt third,

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Speaker 2: and that is solely because I have him ranked number

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Speaker 2: one to rejuice our rankings and put Kareem Hunt in

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Speaker 2: the top three. How do you see the top three

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Speaker 2: shaking down? Yeah?

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Speaker 7: I think Kareem Hunt certainly has that ceiling. And the

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Speaker 7: question mark for me would have been, you know what

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Speaker 7: was going on with Cleveland's running back usage? Last week

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Speaker 7: once Hubb went down and we saw Deernest Johnson, it

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Speaker 7: just wasn't the Kareem Hunt show, which is kind of

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Speaker 7: what I thought it would be. You know, with Stefanski,

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Speaker 7: you've seen that in the pass where he's like lean

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Speaker 7: really heavily on one, but didn't last week. I would

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Speaker 7: say my third guy right now would probably be Clyde

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Speaker 7: Edwards Hilaire Dalvin Cook. Cook's just getting so much of

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Speaker 7: the usage and a ton of work both in the

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Speaker 7: passing game but in terms of scoring position. They're just

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Speaker 7: funneling the ball and the opportunities to him. Clyde Edwards Hlaire,

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Speaker 7: I think is really interesting in the sense that we've

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Speaker 7: seen the passing game usage really waiver from week to

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Speaker 7: week with him, but he's clearly very adept at that role.

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Speaker 7: He's clearly supplanted Darryl Williams in terms of snapshare. The

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Speaker 7: week one thing where Darrel Williams was the third down

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Speaker 7: back and Clyde Edwards Hilaire was the pound that between

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Speaker 7: the tackles thing was one of the strangest things of

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Speaker 7: the fantasy football season. I think the matchup with Vegas

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Speaker 7: is a pretty good one. We saw Devin Singletary, who

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Speaker 7: I don't think is as talented as back as e

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Speaker 7: Laire be effective both in the running in the passing game.

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Speaker 7: There huge team total for Casey. Sean alluded to them

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Speaker 7: being able to play a little bit slower when they're

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Speaker 7: playing from a head. So I think I would go

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Speaker 7: Clyde Edwards e Laires as my number three back behind

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Speaker 7: Zeke and kamaraw which is a tier to themselves, all right.

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Speaker 2: DREI who is someone or a couple players at the

435
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 2: running back position you are relatively high on entering the.

436
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:17,719
Speaker 7: Week, So I think so Kareem Hunt is definitely one

437
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 7: of them, just because I think the ceiling is so

438
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,399
Speaker 7: elevated with Kareem Hunt because he's got the talent of

439
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,359
Speaker 7: a legit RB one. We saw that back in the

440
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:28,359
Speaker 7: Kansas City days. But I am like mildly questionable on

441
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,800
Speaker 7: the workload. The other guy I'm interested in is and

442
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:33,920
Speaker 7: I feel like it's a very similar play to last week,

443
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:36,960
Speaker 7: which was the GPP winner in Joe Mixon is David

444
00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 7: Johnson the same matchup against Jacksonville. Price tags a little

445
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:42,480
Speaker 7: bit cheaper. You've got a coaching change, which I don't

446
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,199
Speaker 7: know how that'll shake things up. If anything, You've got

447
00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:48,119
Speaker 7: to assume that nobody has more confidence in David Johnson

448
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 7: than Bill O'Brien based on his trade analysis, So there's

449
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:54,080
Speaker 7: there's a little bit of a concern there, but fifty

450
00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:57,200
Speaker 7: two hundred huge total. I think David Johnson is in

451
00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,639
Speaker 7: a really, really good spot this week. It's been involved

452
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 7: in the past game Jacksonville hasn't really been able to

453
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 7: stop the run. We've seen running backs tear them up

454
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 7: kind of throughout the course of the season. I think

455
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:07,560
Speaker 7: it's a good spot for David Johnson this week.

456
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:12,600
Speaker 2: And even the inability that Jacksonville has to stop the

457
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,240
Speaker 2: run that extended into last year too, especially in the

458
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,360
Speaker 2: second half of the season. You just saw that run

459
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:21,880
Speaker 2: defense torn up repeatedly. So yeah, you can certainly see

460
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:25,159
Speaker 2: how it happens. Sean, who are you relatively high on?

461
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 9: I am right in lying with Dink on the David

462
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:29,239
Speaker 9: Johnson call.

463
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:31,639
Speaker 8: You know, I loved him last week and he actually

464
00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:34,720
Speaker 8: like to a te hit my projections, but he failed

465
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:38,119
Speaker 8: to score and that was another trailing game script. So

466
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 8: I think this week, I think there's six six and

467
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:43,120
Speaker 8: a half point favorites against Jaguars I think we will

468
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 8: see a similar game from David Johnson and potentially a

469
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 8: touchdown this time. The one concern is that, you know,

470
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 8: Duke Johnson definitely cut into his past game usage, so

471
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,200
Speaker 8: when it comes to trailing game scripts, I think I'll

472
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 8: be off David Johnson. But like I said, there should

473
00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,159
Speaker 8: be a positive game scrip. He's way too cheap at

474
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 8: fifty two hundred, so I love him again this week.

475
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 8: And then you know Clyde Edwards Hilaire at sixty eight

476
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 8: hundred is you know, a smash spot for me. You know,

477
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,800
Speaker 8: a Patrick Mahomes fade wouldn't be complete without a leverage

478
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:18,879
Speaker 8: you know, play with Clyde Edwards Hlaire, so you got

479
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 8: to go with them. Their favored by twelve. I've already

480
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:24,199
Speaker 8: talked about how they have been more willing to run

481
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 8: the ball win ahead. So I think we'll see that

482
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,680
Speaker 8: this week. And there's some positive touchdown regression coming. You know,

483
00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:32,160
Speaker 8: he hasn't scored a touchdown three games, and when you're

484
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:35,359
Speaker 8: seeing twenty plus touches in this Chiefs offense, the touchdowns

485
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,399
Speaker 8: will come. So I think, you know, he has a

486
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 8: good chance of scoring a touchdown, maybe multiple this week

487
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,160
Speaker 8: and it's worth pointing out that Alvin Kamara and Dalvin

488
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 8: Cook are not on the main slate, so again this

489
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,320
Speaker 8: gives them even more leverage against the field. You know,

490
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 8: when you're arguing with like guys like Mike Davis being

491
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 8: in the top four, you know it's a week or

492
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 8: running back slate, so you know this is a spot

493
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 8: where just I'm going to have obscene amounts of Clyde

494
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 8: Edwards player and I don't really care if he's over

495
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:02,960
Speaker 8: owned or not.

496
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 2: Just you have to have in your lamp this week, Raymond,

497
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 2: who are you looking at here?

498
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:11,160
Speaker 10: I mean we got the Damien Harris at forty three

499
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 10: hundred after taking over with Sony Michelle going on ir

500
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 10: Harris got seventeen carries and New England, whether Cam comes

501
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 10: back or they start Jared Stidham, they're playing against the

502
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:25,119
Speaker 10: Denver Broncos who have problems that quarterback as well, so

503
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 10: this should be another run heavy script. New England is

504
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:32,119
Speaker 10: still the favorite here, so I think Damien Harris is

505
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 10: a steal if he can approximate that usage at four

506
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,080
Speaker 10: point three K, so I like him. Antonio Gibson at

507
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:41,840
Speaker 10: five K not the greatest matchup against the rams, but

508
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 10: I continue to say that this is the time of

509
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 10: year where we need to buy rookies because remember there

510
00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 10: was no preseason. Now we're four weeks into the season.

511
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 10: That was kind of like the preseason for a lot

512
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,160
Speaker 10: of these rookies. We're already starting to see Gibson breakout.

513
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:58,840
Speaker 10: He's had two straight games of over thirteen DraftKings points,

514
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:01,160
Speaker 10: So I like sent a five K. I think he's

515
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,920
Speaker 10: still too cheap, love quiet evers aware at six point eight,

516
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 10: and Miles Gaskin's still too cheap as well at four

517
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:10,360
Speaker 10: point eight K. You know, San Francisco is a tough

518
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 10: run defense, but Gaskin's running a ton of routes and

519
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 10: he's still leading the team and carries each week.

520
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 3: So like him as well.

521
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,360
Speaker 2: So I mentioned earlier, I have Kareem Hunt number one,

522
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:22,440
Speaker 2: and a lot of that is going to be based

523
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 2: on what we hear about his health, whether he's on

524
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:30,159
Speaker 2: the injury report this upcoming week. If he's healthy, then I,

525
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 2: you know, probably going to keep him there. If we

526
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 2: get reports of him being limited in practice or you know,

527
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 2: missing Wednesday practice, then I'm going to adjust his usage down.

528
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,960
Speaker 2: But as of now, I'm assuming that we saw so

529
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: much run for Dearnes Johnson in part because Hunt entered

530
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 2: Week four pretty banged up and so they just didn't

531
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,119
Speaker 2: want to overuse him in a situation where they were

532
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,160
Speaker 2: leading for much of the game. And so I think

533
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,359
Speaker 2: this week we're going to see much more of the

534
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 2: Kansas City version of Kareem Hunt, but of course it

535
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 2: will just be dependent on what we get in the

536
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 2: practice reports. And then I'm also high on Ronald Jones,

537
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:11,679
Speaker 2: and this is under the assumption that Leonard Fournette does

538
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 2: not play in week five. Lashawn McCoy also out, just

539
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 2: a situation where there really is I mean Kenyan Parner

540
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 2: also out, although he wasn't really even a factor in

541
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 2: the backfield, but it just means that there's not someone

542
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:26,879
Speaker 2: else to step up and siphon away some opportunities. So

543
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,920
Speaker 2: assuming that Ronald Jones really is the guy at this

544
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 2: point with only Keyshawn Bond behind him, I think there

545
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 2: could be pretty significant workload opportunities for him this week.

546
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:42,120
Speaker 2: So Ronald Jones is someone I'm pretty bullish on. Drew,

547
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 2: who are you relatively down on?

548
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 7: You know, I think for this week I've been a

549
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,480
Speaker 7: supporter of James Connor kind of throughout the off season

550
00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 7: in terms of redraft ADP, and then I liked him

551
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 7: as a really nice leverage play back in Week three

552
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 7: when he was priced kind of around a bunch of

553
00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 7: running backs. So we're gonna suck up a bunch of ownership.

554
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 7: But you know, this game against Philadelphia, I think is

555
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:04,879
Speaker 7: going to be a little bit of a slog offensively

556
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 7: for Pittsburgh. I think they will play from ahead just

557
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 7: because their defense should be able to kind of control

558
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 7: the game against Philadelphia's really banged up offensive line. But

559
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 7: I think what we've seen from James Connor is, yes,

560
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:20,440
Speaker 7: he's had opportunities where he's looked like that kind of

561
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 7: bell cow back, but it hasn't been consistent game over game.

562
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 7: And at sixty nine hundred, when all these other great

563
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 7: backs who have been kind of consistent Belle cow backs

564
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 7: and Dalvin Cook and Barrick Henry and Clyde Edwards, d Laire,

565
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 7: even James Robinson who's priced a little bit below him,

566
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 7: I just don't think James Connor kind of fits in

567
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 7: the mix for me this.

568
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 2: Week, Sean, who are you low on?

569
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:44,840
Speaker 8: I'm pretty low on Miles Sanders this week. They're at Pittsburgh,

570
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 8: So that's a brutal matchup. I've had Sanders in my

571
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 8: top five, top ten the past two weeks, but you know, he's.

572
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 9: Down to my RB twenty in this spot. I really

573
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 9: don't like it.

574
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 8: They've had some offensive line issues and you know, scared

575
00:26:58,359 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 8: the crap out of me, and Lane Johnson went down

576
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 8: in game, but like that he was able to come back.

577
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 8: But if if he's on injury report or missus, I mean,

578
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 8: the Eagles offense is going to be a full fade

579
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 8: for me. But he's way too expenses at sixty five hundred.

580
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:13,680
Speaker 8: There's much better options out there. So I will have

581
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 8: very little to none Miles Sanders this week. And the

582
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 8: other guy is Melvin Gordon, who was I was pretty

583
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,720
Speaker 8: high on last week. This week at New England, the

584
00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 8: Broncos should be about ten point underdogs or so. You know,

585
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,160
Speaker 8: negative game scripts aren't going to favor Melvin Gordon because

586
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 8: he's he hasn't really been involved in the passing game much.

587
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,680
Speaker 8: And Philip Lindsay is returning, so I think that's gonna

588
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,440
Speaker 8: need cap both of his four end ceiling. I could

589
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 8: see people just chasing his good game last week, and

590
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 8: you know at sixty four hundred, he is way overpriced,

591
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 8: especially when you consider guys like Jonathan Taylor and Josh

592
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 8: Jacobs are cheaper. So again, I will have almost no

593
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:50,640
Speaker 8: shares of Melvin Gordon this week.

594
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:55,120
Speaker 2: Worth noting in my rankings, I wasn't under the impression

595
00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 2: that Philip Lindsay is coming back. I will make that

596
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,480
Speaker 2: adjustment right after the show, Raven, who are you relatively

597
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 2: low on?

598
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:04,240
Speaker 3: Ian Drake just not getting it done?

599
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,159
Speaker 10: We can weak out he's getting work decent workloads and

600
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 10: he's really not doing anything with them. But Chase Edmonds

601
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,040
Speaker 10: is really kind of eating into his receiving usage. And

602
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 10: even when Drake's been on the field, he hasn't been

603
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:18,639
Speaker 10: getting targeted at the rate he usually does, so it's

604
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 10: kind of concerning. I don't think this will be a

605
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 10: big kind of pass catching game for the Cardinals backs

606
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 10: just because they are seven point favorites against the Jets.

607
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 10: But the Jets generally have a decent run defense. They

608
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 10: gave they give, They've given up some big plays, but

609
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:33,880
Speaker 10: you know, down to down, it could be a little bit.

610
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 2: Of a drag.

611
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 10: So Drake is just a guy that I'm off. Davis

612
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 10: Maddick talked about it last week. He just doesn't look right,

613
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,960
Speaker 10: and yeah, I'm not going back to that.

614
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, he's not getting the targets, not getting the touchdowns.

615
00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:48,960
Speaker 2: At that point, what what's left? What is there really

616
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 2: one guy? I'm low on Derrick Henry. You know, we

617
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:54,120
Speaker 2: just kind of have to wait and see what's going

618
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 2: to happen with this Titans game. We've had encouraging reports

619
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,640
Speaker 2: over the past couple days about no positive COVID tests,

620
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 2: so it looks like as of now that this game

621
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 2: will probably go. But I'm just a little a little hesitant,

622
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 2: a little tentative about the matchup, how good the Titans

623
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 2: will look, given the time away, the fact that they

624
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 2: really haven't been able to practice in a normal manner,

625
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 2: I'm just a a little pessimistic. So, I mean, Henry

626
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,960
Speaker 2: is still awesome, but I'm just going to be bumping

627
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 2: him down a little bit. Plus, the return of Darrington

628
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:31,760
Speaker 2: Evans means that there's someone who's maybe a little more competent,

629
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:35,040
Speaker 2: who might siphon away just a couple more touches per game,

630
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 2: especially targets, So that would be something I would kind

631
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 2: of look to hold against Henry. Sean give us the

632
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 2: prop we're.

633
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:47,920
Speaker 8: Going with Kareem Hunt total rushing and receiving yards, and

634
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 8: something tells me I can't set this number too high

635
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 8: for Friedman, but I'll try. I'm going to go with

636
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 8: ninety seven and a half yards over.

637
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:04,160
Speaker 2: I'm just I'm projecting as if he's going to have

638
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 2: usage that's really similar to kind of a combination of

639
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 2: what we saw out of Dalvin Cook, you know, under

640
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 2: Kevin Stefanski, and then also what we saw out of

641
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 2: Kareem Hunt in Kansas City. It's a big assumption, and

642
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 2: I'm going to be looking at the practice reports, you know,

643
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 2: pretty keenly to see if there's any evidence of him

644
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 2: improving with his health. But assuming usage like that, I

645
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 2: have to take the over.

646
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 3: I will go under.

647
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 10: I haven't bet ninety five, so I'm pretty close. I

648
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 10: think that's a great line. But looking at this Cult defense,

649
00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 10: this is one of the tougher defenses in the league.

650
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 10: They came into last week ranked number one in DVOA.

651
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 10: They've given up the sixth fewest rushing yards to running

652
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 10: backs two hundred and fifty eight, and then they've given

653
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 10: up just one hundred and twenty five yards receiving to

654
00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 10: running backs, which is also in the top twelve in

655
00:30:56,080 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 10: these four games, So you know it's Cleveland is an underdog,

656
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 10: even though they're at home and coming off that all

657
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:04,960
Speaker 10: those points in that win, So that kind of tells

658
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 10: you that this could be a little bit of a

659
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 10: struggle even if does see a big workload.

660
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:09,720
Speaker 2: Yeah.

661
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 6: I think this is a really good line, Sean.

662
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 7: I've gone back and forth on it, listening to both

663
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 7: sides of the argument here, and I think I'm gonna

664
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 7: take I'm gonna lean over. My instinct was around like

665
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 7: one oh five and a half, so my instincts were

666
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 7: a little bit higher. That is kind of assuming more

667
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:29,600
Speaker 7: of a substantial role than what we saw in the

668
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 7: second half of last week. I also think in a

669
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:34,640
Speaker 7: likely competitive game that they'll look to get the ball

670
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,959
Speaker 7: in the hands of the key playmakers, and Hunt being

671
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 7: one of them. So I'll lean over slightly. But it's

672
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 7: definitely a concerning game environment just in terms of slow paced.

673
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 7: Indy's got a great offensive line and a great defensive line,

674
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 7: and they just slow things down. We saw it in

675
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 7: the game AGA in Chicago last week against a pretty

676
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 7: inept offense. I expect Cleveland to perform better, But I

677
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 7: think it'll just limit the number of total plays run,

678
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 7: which is certainly a concern when you're taking me over.

679
00:31:57,920 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 7: But I will lean with a slate over on this one.

680
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:00,760
Speaker 4: Yeah.

681
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 8: I mean he has you know, a tougher matchup this

682
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 8: week against Indy, and then next week he gets the Steelers. Yeah,

683
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:09,640
Speaker 8: and then after that he gets the Bengals and Raiders.

684
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 8: So I'm really eyeing Week seven and eight is probably

685
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 8: when I'll be with Freeman, having him like you know,

686
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 8: top two.

687
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 6: But I just you know, especially with a health.

688
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 8: Concerns, workload concerns. I think, you know, I have Cream

689
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 8: hunting almost every season long week. I'm not rooting against him,

690
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 8: but I think for DFS purposes, if he struggles and

691
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 8: these two games, it might be good for Week seven

692
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,160
Speaker 8: and eight, when he should absolutely be you know, a

693
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 8: free square.

694
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,880
Speaker 2: Play up next we have wide receivers. But first let's

695
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 2: take a quick break to talk with Peter Jennings aka

696
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:40,760
Speaker 2: cs M eighty eight, a two time DFS World champion

697
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 2: and co founder of Fantasy Labs. Pete, how's he going.

698
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 4: Coming off a strong week? Hope to keep it going?

699
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 4: And week five looks very interesting from a game three perspective.

700
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 2: How are you approaching cash games?

701
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 4: Cash games, I think we're going to be targeting some

702
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 4: of the high total games as always. This Cowboys Giants game,

703
00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:00,360
Speaker 4: I'm really interested from a cash game as well as

704
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 4: tournament perspective, although I'll be looking for more pivots and tournaments,

705
00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 4: and there's some clear cut values that just stand out

706
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:08,440
Speaker 4: specifically on draftings.

707
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 2: What about for GPPs?

708
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:13,160
Speaker 4: The GPPs I will be going away from some of

709
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 4: the absolute high totals in some of my builds, and

710
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 4: then I'll also be making pivots within those higher total

711
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 4: games to still get leverage on the field. There's some

712
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 4: specific game stacks that we'll talk about here that I

713
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 4: think make a lot of sense.

714
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 2: All Right, who are the quarterbacks who have caught your eye?

715
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,800
Speaker 4: So I think the first two quarterbacks are Dak Prescott

716
00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 4: and Daniel Jones in the same game. You know, I

717
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 4: think they're looking for savings. Jones hasn't been great, but

718
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 4: they're still throwing a ton and this Dallas team has

719
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 4: just gotten destroyed through the air. So like both those

720
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:48,440
Speaker 4: guys in all formats, and then Deshaun Watson is near

721
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 4: the top of every model that I'm making now. As well,

722
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:54,880
Speaker 4: like the matchup PRIs Jacksonville and with Will Fuller healthy,

723
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 4: I think he's poised to have a really, really big

724
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,320
Speaker 4: game at some point. So those are kind of the

725
00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 4: guys I'm looking in terms of cash and just the

726
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 4: highest equity plays in tournaments. Still interested in Kyler Murray,

727
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 4: I'm going to dig a little bit on Jared Stidham,

728
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:13,320
Speaker 4: and then of course Josh Allen, who's really expensive. I

729
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,120
Speaker 4: think might not catch much ownership, and he has a

730
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 4: really high ceiling any wiki place, we.

731
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,360
Speaker 2: Were some of the running backs you want to invest in, so.

732
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 4: Running back is a little trickier spending up. Zeke obviously

733
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 4: stands out, and I think he might be a little

734
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,080
Speaker 4: lower owned than he normally would be off a bad

735
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,759
Speaker 4: game last week. I love cech That's a really high

736
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 4: total game. Jacob's in that same game. You can look

737
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 4: at and I think I'm going to be buying David

738
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:39,720
Speaker 4: Johnson against this Jaguars team. He's really cheap on DraftKings

739
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,440
Speaker 4: at fifty two hundred. He's a player that I'm definitely

740
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:44,319
Speaker 4: interested in it at this point in time.

741
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:45,840
Speaker 2: Wide receivers, who do you like?

742
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,240
Speaker 4: So again that Dallas game, I love all the guys.

743
00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:51,319
Speaker 4: I think, you know, if the big game of Mari

744
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:53,080
Speaker 4: is now a little more expensive, so he might be

745
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:56,160
Speaker 4: a pimp to be Contrarion Ceedee. Lam's going to catch ownership.

746
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 4: I'm going to play Gallup for sure in tournaments. Darius

747
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,799
Speaker 4: Slat I think has a ton of upside. He might

748
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 4: be popular, but I like him in a lot of formats.

749
00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 4: And then off that game, I'm here, Bird looked really good.

750
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 4: He's still been priced. I think there's some really big

751
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 4: upside with him. A good throw from Stidham against the Chiefs,

752
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 4: he would have had a really big game. DeAndre Hopkins

753
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 4: if he's healthy, I think makes sense versus the Jets.

754
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 4: You know, Brandon Cooks burned everyone last week. He's only

755
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:28,759
Speaker 4: forty one hundred, was on the field a lot, only

756
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:31,680
Speaker 4: drew three targets. But you know, maybe some flop lag

757
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 4: there with Brandon Cooks. So I'm looking at him as well.

758
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 2: And finally, tight Ends, who do you like? Yeah?

759
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 4: Tight End, I mean you got the top. The guy's

760
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,000
Speaker 4: at the top that are all in play. George Kittle,

761
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,960
Speaker 4: Travis Kelcey, Darren Waller, Kelsey and Waller versus each other.

762
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,239
Speaker 4: I think it's an interesting combo to play in a

763
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,319
Speaker 4: tournament team. George Kittle coming out just a monster game.

764
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 4: The NFL is better with George Kittle playing. If I'm

765
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,760
Speaker 4: gonna save money, I think John news Smith is interesting

766
00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 4: against Buffalo. He's going to be heavily involved for a while.

767
00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 4: I know it's a tougher matchup, but I think he's interesting.

768
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,879
Speaker 4: Evan Ingram might be my favorite kind of value play.

769
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,200
Speaker 4: I just love that game. Evan Ingram is still a

770
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 4: really talented player. And then if I'm really gonna punt,

771
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 4: I'll look at these Houston guys. We'll see Aikins, I

772
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 4: know had the concussion. We'll see what happens if he's

773
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,359
Speaker 4: able to play. If he's able to play, I like him.

774
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:20,919
Speaker 4: If he's not, Darren Fell's becomes a value play.

775
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 2: You mentioned some game stacks that you have in mind.

776
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 2: What are some under the radar games that you're looking at.

777
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, so I think that the popular games are going

778
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:30,720
Speaker 4: to be The Chiefs Cowboy I'm sorry, the Chiefs and Raiders,

779
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 4: and then The Cowboys and Giants. So those two games

780
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:35,640
Speaker 4: you have to make pivots if you're play that game.

781
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:38,360
Speaker 4: The game that I think will be somewhat owned, and

782
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:40,680
Speaker 4: Watson might be really popular, so maybe go the other side.

783
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 4: But I really like this Houston Jacksonville game. I know

784
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 4: it's one of the high totals on the board. I

785
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,279
Speaker 4: love Shark, love Will Fuller. I think Brandon Cooks is

786
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 4: in a bounced back spot. I know you were on

787
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 4: Keelan Cole last week. I think there's a lot of

788
00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 4: opportunity in that game, and I think it might be

789
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 4: lower owned than those other two games, which are kind

790
00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 4: of in the same total area. I like the Ravens

791
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 4: Ban Goals game a little bit. Lamar Jackson was shockingly

792
00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:06,640
Speaker 4: under owned last week. I really like going back to him,

793
00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:09,160
Speaker 4: and I think Tyler Boyd running it back is interesting.

794
00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:12,759
Speaker 4: And then Carolina Atlanta. You know, Matt Ryan and the

795
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 4: Falcons just look bad on Monday night, Julio got injured,

796
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,360
Speaker 4: so that could open up some value and I'm interested

797
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,399
Speaker 4: in some of these Carolina Gate guys. I think Dj

798
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:23,439
Speaker 4: Moore is gonna have a really big game at some point.

799
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 4: We're all waiting for that. So there's some pieces there

800
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:27,920
Speaker 4: that I think make that game really interesting.

801
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,320
Speaker 2: All Right, Pete, thanks for dropping in. Thanks so much, Friedman.

802
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,040
Speaker 2: All Right, that was Peter Jennings. Let's move along to

803
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:37,000
Speaker 2: wide receivers. The three guys at the top of our

804
00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 2: rankings Tyler Lockett, DeAndre Hopkins, and Calvin Ridley. I've juiced

805
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 2: the Ridley ranking by putting him all the way at

806
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 2: number one, but this is, again, like Kareem Hunt, extremely tentative,

807
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 2: assuming that Julio Jones does not play, and assuming that

808
00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:56,439
Speaker 2: Ridley enters the game at something pretty close to full health.

809
00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:58,520
Speaker 2: So I will be looking at the practice reports and

810
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:02,680
Speaker 2: I anticipate that if he is out on Wednesday, that

811
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,879
Speaker 2: I will bump down his projected usage, which would bump

812
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 2: him down the rankings. But right now we have Lockett, Hopkins,

813
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 2: and Ridley. Drew give us a sense of your top three?

814
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:14,759
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean I think it's Hopkins and then a

815
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 7: gap right now, And obviously I think Ridley can enter

816
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,680
Speaker 7: that next tier, which I think is a big tier. Like,

817
00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:22,760
Speaker 7: I think there's a lot of guys that could include

818
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 7: in that range. I think in terms of like consistency

819
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 7: and volume and workload. Of those guys, I think Adam

820
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:31,879
Speaker 7: Feelin and Tyler Lockett are probably the guys.

821
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 9: I know.

822
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:33,719
Speaker 6: Lockett's coming off of a really down game.

823
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,520
Speaker 7: It's really really frustrating, but I think those guys probably

824
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 7: edge out slightly Tyreek Hill and Amari Cooper unless Dax

825
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:43,279
Speaker 7: throwing fifty times again in DK Metcalf and I think that,

826
00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:45,560
Speaker 7: you know, we'll see if Michael Thomas comes back as well,

827
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:47,359
Speaker 7: but I think that's like a big kind of second

828
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 7: tier behind Nuke and I think all those guys are

829
00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:54,480
Speaker 7: great plays. I'll just highlight feeling with you know, Kirk Cousins.

830
00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 7: Obviously there's there's enough to be concerned about with Kirk

831
00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 7: Cousins offensively, but one of the things is he just

832
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 7: really in on a few targets. We saw this basically

833
00:39:02,719 --> 00:39:05,280
Speaker 7: with with Diggs and Deeling. Now it's Delan and Jefferson.

834
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:09,120
Speaker 7: The Seattle secondary has been a struggle kind of all

835
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 7: season long. Even though they held Fitzpatrick out of the

836
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:15,319
Speaker 7: passing end zone last week, Devonte Parker still had plenty

837
00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:17,279
Speaker 7: of good looks against them, their receivers open.

838
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 6: There were just some missed opportunities.

839
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:21,480
Speaker 7: So I think Adam Deelan is going to be a

840
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 7: strong target on that showdown slate, on the main slate

841
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 7: of those guys, because we lose a lot of them,

842
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 7: right We lose Theling, we lose Lockett, we lose Metcalf

843
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 7: On the main slate, I think the guy that you

844
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:36,320
Speaker 7: know for for his price will probably catch the most attention.

845
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:39,160
Speaker 7: For me, that is probably outside of that tier, but

846
00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:40,400
Speaker 7: I'm such a homer that I kind of want to

847
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,239
Speaker 7: put him into that. Here is DJ Moore, and I

848
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:44,600
Speaker 7: just I'm so I'm so like, I don't even know

849
00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 7: what to do with DJ Moore at this point, So

850
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:47,880
Speaker 7: I'll just talk it to you guys to like, please

851
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 7: please help help talk me through my DJ Moore and

852
00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:52,439
Speaker 7: all the third round exposure I have in Best Balls.

853
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:56,600
Speaker 2: Well, it just so happens that More is the guy

854
00:39:56,800 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 2: I am really down on this week. So congratulations, congratulations Dink.

855
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:04,600
Speaker 2: I just clinched it for you, if if my past

856
00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:08,040
Speaker 2: performance is any indication. But one of the things that

857
00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:12,080
Speaker 2: I think is especially discouraging about DJ Moore is that

858
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:16,879
Speaker 2: his usage has really trended down over the past month.

859
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:18,759
Speaker 2: And I would say, in general, you know, you want

860
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 2: to rely on what happened last year, and you want

861
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 2: to take the largest sample that you can, and so

862
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,120
Speaker 2: I would want to look at what's happened over the

863
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:30,080
Speaker 2: past month, and you know, he's getting the air yards

864
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,640
Speaker 2: on a you know, per game basis. His yard is

865
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 2: total isn't all that far off what it was last year,

866
00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 2: but the fact that his targets, especially just like market share,

867
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 2: has gone down pretty steadily since the season started.

868
00:40:43,040 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 7: It seems it seems like they brought Robbie Robbie Anderson

869
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 7: in to be DJ Moore and turned DJ Moore into

870
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:53,319
Speaker 7: Robbie Anderson, and they're just like and I'm just like infuriated.

871
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:54,160
Speaker 6: At this at this situation.

872
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:56,359
Speaker 7: And I think it might be working better for them,

873
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 7: because Robbie Anderson was a pretty inefficient deep threat throughout

874
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 7: much of his career and like he seems to be

875
00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 7: working kind of the intermediary very well. But from a

876
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 7: fantasy and a dynasty perspective, it is just killing me

877
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,160
Speaker 7: because DJ Moore, I think is one of the better.

878
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:10,800
Speaker 6: Wide receiver prospects we've had a long.

879
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:12,520
Speaker 7: Time, and I do not want to see him just

880
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 7: relegated to a deep threat, which is what seems to be.

881
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:15,920
Speaker 6: Happening a little bit.

882
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:17,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I guess what I would say on

883
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 2: the positive front here, although it doesn't really mean much

884
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,320
Speaker 2: for this week, but you know, over the longer scope

885
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:25,640
Speaker 2: of this season, it feels as if he's having a

886
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 2: horrible season and he's still pacing for like around eleven

887
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:32,680
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty yards, Like, that's a really good bad season.

888
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 2: And I would say a lot couldn't have gone much

889
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 2: worse for him. So when things start to go a

890
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:42,719
Speaker 2: little bit better, he could explode. But the fact that

891
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 2: the usage is trended down is mighty discouraging. Drew your

892
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:51,320
Speaker 2: thoughts on someone else that you are relatively high on

893
00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 2: entering the week.

894
00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:55,319
Speaker 7: Yeah, So the other guy that I'd say pretty high

895
00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 7: on is while I have concerns about the pace of

896
00:41:59,120 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 7: the Dallas Giants game going a little bit slower, I

897
00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:05,680
Speaker 7: have no concerns about kind of target volume and opportunity

898
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,839
Speaker 7: for Darius Slayton and price Tag. I mean, he's forty

899
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:09,840
Speaker 7: eight hundred on DraftKings. I think that's one of the

900
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:13,359
Speaker 7: best plays on the entire slate. And especially whether you're

901
00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:15,839
Speaker 7: you're probably playing one side of the Dallas, whether you're

902
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 7: playing Zeke or you're playing the passing game, the appropriate

903
00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 7: bring back is either Slaton or Ingram, and I like

904
00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:24,680
Speaker 7: Slayton a little bit better for consistency. So forty eight

905
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 7: hundred for Darius Slayton is one of the guys I'm

906
00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:27,520
Speaker 7: really in on this week.

907
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:31,000
Speaker 2: Probably no surprise, I'm also down on him given that

908
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 2: I hate this Giants, this Giants offense, like in theory,

909
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 2: like I understand it. I just I can't go there.

910
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 2: I cannot go there. Sean, who are you relatively high on?

911
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 8: I'm high on DJ Moore and Robbie Anderson this week,

912
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:48,759
Speaker 8: especially at those prices. You know, the Falcons defense will

913
00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:52,440
Speaker 8: cure all wounds. I mean they allowed four touchdown passes

914
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 8: to Nick Foles and Mitch Trubisky.

915
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 4: That's all you need to know.

916
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:57,480
Speaker 8: But yeah, I mean it's been frustrating. I've been on

917
00:42:57,640 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 8: DJ Moore the past couple weeks. I think it was

918
00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:02,280
Speaker 8: after Week two I said, all right, that's it. Usually

919
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:05,840
Speaker 8: I don't underestimate Robbie Anderson, but after week two I

920
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:08,320
Speaker 8: stopped doing that. So I think he is here to

921
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:12,040
Speaker 8: stay and he's He's the reason why I do like

922
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:14,400
Speaker 8: Teddy Bridgewater a lot this week. So I think having

923
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:18,320
Speaker 8: Bridgewater with DJ Moore and Robby Anderson stacks make a

924
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:21,319
Speaker 8: lot of sense this week. And then the other two

925
00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 8: wide receivers I like from the same team. It might

926
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 8: be overlooked this week because they were off last week.

927
00:43:26,239 --> 00:43:30,400
Speaker 8: Unexpectedly is Corey Davis at forty hundred and Kaliff Raymond

928
00:43:30,520 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 8: at thirty two hundred. You know, Corey Davis has a

929
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:36,520
Speaker 8: pretty high floor in this game, considering AJ Brown and

930
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,360
Speaker 8: Adam Humphries are expected to miss. We don't really know

931
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 8: what the spread is for this game yet, but I'm

932
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 8: anticipating the Titans to be a right around six point underdogs,

933
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:46,719
Speaker 8: so that this is a game where they might be

934
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 8: forced to throw a bit. They're down a few key players,

935
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:54,040
Speaker 8: especially on defense after the COVID spread on the team,

936
00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:55,839
Speaker 8: so I think they're going to be a little more

937
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:58,839
Speaker 8: pass heavy here. Kaliff Raymond, he's their main deep threat,

938
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:01,400
Speaker 8: and I expect him beyond the field arounds seventy percent

939
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:04,480
Speaker 8: of the time, and his three catch, one hundred and

940
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 8: eighteen yard game is one removed, so I think, you

941
00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 8: know a lot of people might have forgotten about it

942
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:11,600
Speaker 8: by now. And he's thirty two hundred, so he's he's

943
00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:14,480
Speaker 8: a cheap flyer with a ton of upside. So I like,

944
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 8: you know, playing these guys strategically and GPPs where you know,

945
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 8: you get a lot of savings for these two players

946
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 8: that I think we'll see a significant amount of targets

947
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 8: this week.

948
00:44:24,080 --> 00:44:24,840
Speaker 2: Chris, who do you like?

949
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:28,040
Speaker 10: I mean, we got to start with Tyreek ho because

950
00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 10: I think we're like we're forgetting that they're playing the Raiders.

951
00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:35,560
Speaker 10: This is a bottom three DVOA pass defense. His quarterbacks,

952
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:38,759
Speaker 10: Patrick Mahomes. So after that game against the Patriots where

953
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 10: he put up another touchdown, you know, his four every

954
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 10: game he scored a touchdown. He has fifteen or more

955
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 10: Draftings points in every single game. He came into the

956
00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:50,239
Speaker 10: year as a consensus top four wide receiver. So I

957
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,480
Speaker 10: think that's going to be my number two behind DeAndre

958
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 10: this week. He's not priced as the number two receiver

959
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,720
Speaker 10: on draftings. He's priced as the number five.

960
00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 3: So I like, I kill a lot. You can get

961
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 3: him under seven K. So like it's I think, you

962
00:45:04,360 --> 00:45:05,319
Speaker 3: know that's something to mention.

963
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:09,160
Speaker 10: Let's not forget about him, but love Justin Jefferson yet

964
00:45:09,200 --> 00:45:10,960
Speaker 10: again in that Seattle game, it's not on the main

965
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:12,360
Speaker 10: slate Robbie Anderson.

966
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:13,359
Speaker 3: I'm totally with Sean.

967
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 10: Robbie's been extremely consistent, five plus catches every week. T

968
00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:20,799
Speaker 10: Higgins by Rookies now seventy seven yards for Higgins, He's

969
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 10: right up there leading the Bengals in routes run for

970
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:26,840
Speaker 10: the last two games. Darius Slayton totally agrees had some

971
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:30,400
Speaker 10: tough matchups, but forty eight k should we the Giants

972
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:32,800
Speaker 10: in air yards in a game where we know the

973
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,160
Speaker 10: Cowboys offense can put up some points one way or another.

974
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:39,799
Speaker 10: So those are the guys Hill Anderson, Jefferson, Higgins, Slayton.

975
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:43,319
Speaker 2: Right bound to your point about Hill, he seemingly has

976
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:46,920
Speaker 2: a fantastic matchup going against LaMarcus Joyner, who, like I'm

977
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:50,000
Speaker 2: not sure on his status. I think he exited Week

978
00:45:50,080 --> 00:45:52,840
Speaker 2: four a little bit early, and so Joiner on his

979
00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 2: own was one of the worst slot cornerbacks in the league.

980
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:59,080
Speaker 2: I can only imagine the backup behind him. If Joiner

981
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:02,280
Speaker 2: can go, it could end up being a fantastic situation

982
00:46:02,440 --> 00:46:02,759
Speaker 2: for Hill.

983
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 3: Like how is he not our wide receiver too?

984
00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:04,719
Speaker 4: Like?

985
00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:07,200
Speaker 10: How is he just not the consensus wide receiver? Is

986
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:08,520
Speaker 10: it just because people haven't updated for.

987
00:46:08,520 --> 00:46:09,399
Speaker 3: The New England game yet?

988
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 2: Part of it is that his what is it his

989
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:14,400
Speaker 2: target share around like twenty two percent? Like he's not

990
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:17,240
Speaker 2: being targeted the way that think of someone like Adam

991
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 2: Thielin who has like a thirty three percent target share,

992
00:46:20,120 --> 00:46:23,160
Speaker 2: or like what Keenan Allen is doing with like literally

993
00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 2: like a thirty nine percent target share in the three

994
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:28,960
Speaker 2: games with Justin Herbert. It's just that as good as

995
00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:31,840
Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill is, he's just not getting the target volume

996
00:46:32,160 --> 00:46:34,440
Speaker 2: to overcome some of those guys ahead of him.

997
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:37,600
Speaker 7: Yeah, Tyreek's also been a model breaker for his whole career.

998
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:40,880
Speaker 7: I mean, medium projections have just never done Tyreek kill

999
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:44,080
Speaker 7: justice because he's been so unique in terms of his efficiency.

1000
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 2: Right. I mean, one guy I'm really bullish on is

1001
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:49,880
Speaker 2: Amari Cooper. I felt like I had to over adjust

1002
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 2: him down just so I didn't have him number one.

1003
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:55,080
Speaker 2: But yeah, when you have a DAK with three eighty two,

1004
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:59,960
Speaker 2: he's got to have two fifty, don't joke, don't show.

1005
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 8: Yeah, and Jack projected for four touchdowns? Where do you

1006
00:47:04,120 --> 00:47:05,440
Speaker 8: have his touchdown projection at?

1007
00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:07,759
Speaker 2: I mean, how many points are the Cowboys going to

1008
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:09,960
Speaker 2: score in this game? It's not like I can, you know,

1009
00:47:10,120 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 2: go above the implied total here, but uh no, I

1010
00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:15,400
Speaker 2: have him projected for you actually want to know the

1011
00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:19,080
Speaker 2: touchdown number? Yeah, projected for uh two point twenty.

1012
00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:21,800
Speaker 9: Five Oh, I'm right there with you, Okay, okay?

1013
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 2: Uh So yeah, I mean Amari he has twenty six

1014
00:47:25,640 --> 00:47:29,680
Speaker 2: percent of Cowboys uh, market chair, I mean the clear

1015
00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:33,080
Speaker 2: number one receiver in an offense that is, you know,

1016
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:36,200
Speaker 2: the best in the league, playing faster than anyone, you know,

1017
00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:39,320
Speaker 2: very focused on the pass. I just I can't not

1018
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:43,080
Speaker 2: think that this is a smash spot for Cooper, who

1019
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:46,480
Speaker 2: historically with the Cowboys has been at his best when

1020
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:49,440
Speaker 2: favored in at home, and then now he's in the

1021
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 2: sweet spot of those two trends. Uh, and a matchup

1022
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 2: that I think is pretty good.

1023
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:54,840
Speaker 4: Uh.

1024
00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:57,279
Speaker 2: I mean, I just I have to be pretty high

1025
00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:00,360
Speaker 2: on Cooper, so uh for me, he's he's in the

1026
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:05,120
Speaker 2: top three, even though we collectively don't have him ranked there. Drew,

1027
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:06,320
Speaker 2: who are you low on?

1028
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:07,040
Speaker 11: Well?

1029
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 7: I thought I was low on Jared Goff in the

1030
00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:11,960
Speaker 7: Rams passing game, so that means I'm, you know, effectively

1031
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 7: low on Robert Woods and Cooper Cup who I think

1032
00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:16,000
Speaker 7: are you know, really good players. I just think there's

1033
00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:18,000
Speaker 7: going to be volume concerns this week for these mid

1034
00:48:18,120 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 7: six price tags and ceiling concerns when you compare them

1035
00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:22,560
Speaker 7: to some of the guys that are priced around them,

1036
00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:25,799
Speaker 7: guys like Keenan Allen, which you know Chris talked about

1037
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:29,319
Speaker 7: his incredible target share. Guys like Tyler Lockett and Tyree

1038
00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:31,240
Speaker 7: Keilder are a little bit more expensive.

1039
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 6: So I'm low on them.

1040
00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:34,359
Speaker 7: And then the other guy that I'll mention just because

1041
00:48:34,400 --> 00:48:36,279
Speaker 7: Chris mentioned T Higgins, who I'm I'm a big fan

1042
00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:36,799
Speaker 7: of as well.

1043
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:37,960
Speaker 6: I'm low on AJ Green.

1044
00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:39,839
Speaker 7: A lot of a lot of the models are going

1045
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:42,360
Speaker 7: to like AJ Green for you know, the air yards

1046
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,040
Speaker 7: opportunities that he's missed out. But I think that that

1047
00:48:45,160 --> 00:48:48,279
Speaker 7: opportunity share is just going to continue to decline. I

1048
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:51,000
Speaker 7: think they've kind of missed their opportunity as a young

1049
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:53,320
Speaker 7: team to move on from AJ Green and recoup some

1050
00:48:53,440 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 7: value from it. I think they've been trying to get

1051
00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 7: what they can, and I think they're just going to

1052
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 7: turn the page and kind of get these younger receives

1053
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 7: and start running things more through Higgins and boy.

1054
00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:03,279
Speaker 2: Gone, here are you low on?

1055
00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:07,080
Speaker 8: I'm a low on Juju Smith Schuster. This is the

1056
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:09,200
Speaker 8: same exact take I had last week before the game

1057
00:49:09,239 --> 00:49:12,560
Speaker 8: got canceled. But there, you know, he's sixty seven hundred

1058
00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:15,560
Speaker 8: and you know the thing with him, we always liked

1059
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:18,840
Speaker 8: his target share and whatnot. But Deante Johnson should be

1060
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 8: fine this week. He had a week off obviously, But

1061
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:24,879
Speaker 8: guys like Chase Claypool, who I think will only get

1062
00:49:24,920 --> 00:49:28,800
Speaker 8: better as the season goes on. James Washington is improving

1063
00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 8: this year, and Eric Ebron is stepping up. All of

1064
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:33,719
Speaker 8: these guys stepping up at the same time and all

1065
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:36,239
Speaker 8: being healthy. Is this gonna is just gonna make the

1066
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:38,719
Speaker 8: distribution for this team more spread out, which is gonna

1067
00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:40,600
Speaker 8: hurt Juju. And I think he's going to become more

1068
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:43,360
Speaker 8: touchdown dependent and I don't think we can rely on

1069
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:45,240
Speaker 8: him as that kind of guy. So just at sixty

1070
00:49:45,320 --> 00:49:48,120
Speaker 8: seven hundred, I'll be off him this week. And then

1071
00:49:48,200 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 8: the other guy is Marquis Brown at sixty three hundred.

1072
00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:53,320
Speaker 8: You know they're at home against the Bengals. I'm just

1073
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:56,080
Speaker 8: worried about his floor end ceiling in this spot. We've

1074
00:49:56,120 --> 00:49:59,000
Speaker 8: seen the Ravens almost revert back to their twenty eighteen

1075
00:49:59,080 --> 00:50:02,440
Speaker 8: Lamar Jackson off the past three games, He's averaged one

1076
00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:04,880
Speaker 8: hundred and sixty four passing yards, and you know this

1077
00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:07,279
Speaker 8: game against the Bengals, they should be able to run

1078
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:10,320
Speaker 8: all over them. The Bengals are actually fourth in PFF's

1079
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:13,919
Speaker 8: coverage grade, so they've been sneaky good against the past.

1080
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 8: So I just don't expect Brown to have a true

1081
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:19,600
Speaker 8: ceiling game here any you know, in these blowout spots,

1082
00:50:19,680 --> 00:50:23,040
Speaker 8: his floor is pretty low compared to other receivers in

1083
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:25,400
Speaker 8: this price range. So I'm just thinking other guys in

1084
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:29,320
Speaker 8: this price range that have high Ceilingskah Brown are Robbie Anderson,

1085
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 8: Terry McLaurin, and DeVante Parker, and I just rather have

1086
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 8: them than Marquis Brown in this spot until we see

1087
00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:38,120
Speaker 8: Lamar really go back to his twenty nineteen version.

1088
00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:40,719
Speaker 2: All Right, Raymond, I am looking in the outline and

1089
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:43,920
Speaker 2: I see that you are relatively low on Terry McLaurin,

1090
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,799
Speaker 2: And man, does he have a matchup this week going

1091
00:50:46,840 --> 00:50:50,840
Speaker 2: against Jalen Ramsey. Now, granted, McLaurin has looked great this

1092
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 2: year going against Darius Slay, Patrick Peterson, Denzel Ward and

1093
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:58,319
Speaker 2: In Spurts Marcus Peters, so you know, like maybe one

1094
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:01,239
Speaker 2: of the hardest schedules of numbers want to posing cornerbacks

1095
00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:02,640
Speaker 2: that he could have gone against, But I mean it

1096
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:06,279
Speaker 2: just amps up this week going against Jalen Ramsey. How

1097
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:07,359
Speaker 2: do you see this playing out?

1098
00:51:07,680 --> 00:51:10,239
Speaker 10: I read your wide Receiver cornerback piece, always a great

1099
00:51:10,239 --> 00:51:12,200
Speaker 10: early week read, and you talked about it. I mean,

1100
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:14,799
Speaker 10: Jaymon Ramsey's been playing at another level. He's been playing

1101
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 10: with a chip on his shoulder. And remember this is

1102
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:20,080
Speaker 10: he's still talking about Duane Haskins at quarterback. You know,

1103
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 10: could he even get benched perhaps, Like it's just a

1104
00:51:23,160 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 10: situation where I do expect some regression eventually. So Terry

1105
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,120
Speaker 10: McLaren's had a great year, He's killed some tough matchups.

1106
00:51:29,200 --> 00:51:32,080
Speaker 10: But Jamon Ramsey's probably I think the only true number

1107
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,719
Speaker 10: one corner, like real true shutdown corner I think there

1108
00:51:34,760 --> 00:51:37,080
Speaker 10: is in this league right now, and he's gonna kind

1109
00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:39,040
Speaker 10: of take it personally that McLaren's been putting up such

1110
00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:42,120
Speaker 10: such good games. So I have McLaren at wide receiver fifteen.

1111
00:51:42,239 --> 00:51:45,120
Speaker 10: That's still decent, but I think in a normal matchup,

1112
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:46,839
Speaker 10: I'd probably have him well inside the top ten.

1113
00:51:47,239 --> 00:51:48,919
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, give us the prop.

1114
00:51:49,640 --> 00:51:52,680
Speaker 8: We are going to go with the man of mystery himself,

1115
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:54,920
Speaker 8: Robbie Anderson. We're gonna have to dress this head on.

1116
00:51:55,480 --> 00:52:00,319
Speaker 8: So his receiving yards at Atlanta the line I'm going

1117
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:05,200
Speaker 8: to set for this is going to be seventy four

1118
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:06,120
Speaker 8: and a half yards.

1119
00:52:07,239 --> 00:52:10,239
Speaker 2: I would go over by ten yards. Oh okay, I

1120
00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:14,080
Speaker 2: mean I know that's that's fishy, but he's just his

1121
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:17,400
Speaker 2: market share has gone up each week as DJ Moores

1122
00:52:17,400 --> 00:52:18,040
Speaker 2: has gone down.

1123
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:20,360
Speaker 9: Yeah, I hope you're right. I'm going to have a

1124
00:52:20,440 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 9: ton of him.

1125
00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:23,400
Speaker 8: So this week, can you make on our show Sunday morning,

1126
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:26,200
Speaker 8: can you make Robbie Anderson over your prop and have

1127
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:28,920
Speaker 8: Chad make fun of her, make fun of you for it,

1128
00:52:28,960 --> 00:52:31,080
Speaker 8: and then he goes off for two yards and three touchdowns?

1129
00:52:31,120 --> 00:52:31,840
Speaker 9: Can you please do that?

1130
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:35,160
Speaker 2: If we could plan it, it wouldn't happen. It has

1131
00:52:35,200 --> 00:52:36,040
Speaker 2: to happen organic.

1132
00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:39,239
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, all right, I am going under.

1133
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:42,000
Speaker 10: I feel like it's like weird. I'm always the conservative

1134
00:52:42,040 --> 00:52:44,120
Speaker 10: one of these player props for some reason. But I

1135
00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 10: have it at sixty nine point five right now, and

1136
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:49,680
Speaker 10: the one thing in Atlanta.

1137
00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 3: Is decimated in the secondary.

1138
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:55,320
Speaker 10: They just watched Kzy last night to an Achilles, so

1139
00:52:55,719 --> 00:52:57,920
Speaker 10: you know they're gonna have problems, but they're there. I

1140
00:52:57,960 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 10: think teams are also going to look to attack number

1141
00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:02,719
Speaker 10: with tight end to little more. We saw Carolina use

1142
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:05,879
Speaker 10: Ian Thomas against the Cardinals, another you know, weaker team

1143
00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:06,520
Speaker 10: against tight end.

1144
00:53:06,560 --> 00:53:08,160
Speaker 3: So I think Anderson will have a great game.

1145
00:53:08,280 --> 00:53:11,480
Speaker 10: He's a top twenty receiver for me now, but I

1146
00:53:11,560 --> 00:53:14,800
Speaker 10: still have more at seventy eight point five and Anderson

1147
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:16,560
Speaker 10: at sixty nine point five.

1148
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 3: So yeah, that's why I'm going with.

1149
00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:21,200
Speaker 7: I'm struggling with this because I feel like any support

1150
00:53:21,239 --> 00:53:24,160
Speaker 7: of Robbie Anderson is immediately an indictment on DJ Moore.

1151
00:53:24,200 --> 00:53:26,440
Speaker 7: And you know, this has already been a tough podcast

1152
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:29,360
Speaker 7: for my Dynasty teams, with the JU two hate, the

1153
00:53:29,400 --> 00:53:32,360
Speaker 7: Marquise Brown hate, the DJ Moore hate. Anyone who like me,

1154
00:53:32,600 --> 00:53:35,400
Speaker 7: just drafts based on age of wide receivers in Dynasty

1155
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 7: in their first like four or five rounds.

1156
00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:38,319
Speaker 6: It's been a tough start with the year.

1157
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:38,759
Speaker 9: For sure.

1158
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:39,960
Speaker 6: I'm going to go over though.

1159
00:53:40,120 --> 00:53:42,480
Speaker 7: I really do think Carolina's passing game really breaks out

1160
00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:44,719
Speaker 7: in this one. I think there's room for both DJ

1161
00:53:44,840 --> 00:53:47,439
Speaker 7: Moore and Robbie Anderson to eat, and so I'm gonna

1162
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:48,200
Speaker 7: go over that number.

1163
00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:52,640
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1181
00:54:42,840 --> 00:54:44,319
Speaker 11: And now back to the show.

1182
00:54:46,600 --> 00:54:49,200
Speaker 2: Let's talk about the tight ends. I don't think any

1183
00:54:49,640 --> 00:54:52,759
Speaker 2: big surprise here. Kittle, Waller, and Kelsey are the three

1184
00:54:52,840 --> 00:54:55,680
Speaker 2: guys at the top of our rankings. Drew, I'm just

1185
00:54:55,760 --> 00:54:58,239
Speaker 2: going to assume that those are the guys that you

1186
00:54:58,360 --> 00:55:00,560
Speaker 2: have in the top three, correct me if I'm wrong,

1187
00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:03,839
Speaker 2: But who is someone that you're relatively high on this week?

1188
00:55:04,200 --> 00:55:06,120
Speaker 7: No, those are definitely the top three guys, and in

1189
00:55:06,200 --> 00:55:09,720
Speaker 7: by decent margin. A guy that I'm higher on, probably

1190
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:11,720
Speaker 7: than the market right now, is going to be Hunter Henry.

1191
00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:15,040
Speaker 7: I think the loss of Austin Eckler is really going

1192
00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:17,520
Speaker 7: to open up some of those short and intermediate targets

1193
00:55:17,880 --> 00:55:19,600
Speaker 7: that Hunter Henry can fill. And if you look at

1194
00:55:19,640 --> 00:55:22,000
Speaker 7: I mean it's not only just the loss of Austin Eckler,

1195
00:55:22,080 --> 00:55:24,799
Speaker 7: but they've also lost Mike Williams. This target share should

1196
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:26,800
Speaker 7: really condense, and I know so far it's condensed heavily

1197
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:29,080
Speaker 7: on Keenan Allen. But at some point I think teams

1198
00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:31,000
Speaker 7: are going to look to try to take Keenan Allen

1199
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 7: away with some unique coverage schemes, and I think that

1200
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:36,040
Speaker 7: will benefit Hunter Henry. He's still priced at forty three hundred,

1201
00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:39,759
Speaker 7: so I think he's really really interesting because I think

1202
00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:41,560
Speaker 7: it's going to be another one of those weeks where

1203
00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:44,040
Speaker 7: it's like how cheap can I get at tight end

1204
00:55:44,160 --> 00:55:46,640
Speaker 7: versus do I play Kittle or Kelsea Waller? And I

1205
00:55:46,680 --> 00:55:48,600
Speaker 7: think these guys in the middle of someone get overlooked

1206
00:55:48,640 --> 00:55:51,839
Speaker 7: in GPPs. Hunter Henry is a pretty interesting one.

1207
00:55:52,120 --> 00:55:54,120
Speaker 2: For me, Sean, who do you like?

1208
00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:57,600
Speaker 8: I'm going with Evan Ingram this week at forty six

1209
00:55:57,719 --> 00:56:00,720
Speaker 8: hundred at Dallas. You know, we keep wondering Daniel Jones

1210
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:03,040
Speaker 8: will have a good game here. If he does, it's

1211
00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:05,320
Speaker 8: going to have to go through Evan Ingram, Who's you know,

1212
00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:08,680
Speaker 8: he's run over ninety percent routes run per dropback in

1213
00:56:08,840 --> 00:56:11,799
Speaker 8: three of the four games so far, last week being

1214
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:14,480
Speaker 8: as high at ninety three percent. You know, with Sirling

1215
00:56:14,520 --> 00:56:17,040
Speaker 8: Shepherd Taekwon Barclay out, I think he's really going to

1216
00:56:17,080 --> 00:56:20,359
Speaker 8: be their most consistent weapon going forward. And Daniel Jones

1217
00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:22,799
Speaker 8: hasn't thrown a touchdown in three straight games, so if

1218
00:56:22,880 --> 00:56:25,400
Speaker 8: that changes, you know, it can only help someone.

1219
00:56:25,239 --> 00:56:25,919
Speaker 4: Like Evan Ingram.

1220
00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:30,640
Speaker 8: So it's if you have to imagine Evan Ingram ceiling game,

1221
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:33,520
Speaker 8: this would be the game and he's forty six hundred,

1222
00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:35,200
Speaker 8: So I'm willing to take that leap this week.

1223
00:56:35,600 --> 00:56:40,720
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones hasn't thrown a touchdown in three games, sounds great, Raymon,

1224
00:56:41,560 --> 00:56:43,839
Speaker 2: who do you like a tight end this week?

1225
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:45,359
Speaker 4: Yeah? I'm right there.

1226
00:56:45,400 --> 00:56:47,759
Speaker 3: With Ingram like this is it's all about routes for

1227
00:56:47,880 --> 00:56:48,480
Speaker 3: these tight ends.

1228
00:56:48,520 --> 00:56:51,839
Speaker 10: I mean, you're you're only having so many, Like there's

1229
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:54,239
Speaker 10: three four elite tight ends and then everyone else. It's

1230
00:56:54,280 --> 00:56:57,120
Speaker 10: going to come down to routes. And Evan Ingram is

1231
00:56:57,480 --> 00:57:00,439
Speaker 10: right there at the top with those ninety plus route

1232
00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:03,320
Speaker 10: run That's something that even guys like you know, Kelsey,

1233
00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:06,399
Speaker 10: you know, doesn't always get up to in every game.

1234
00:57:06,560 --> 00:57:09,839
Speaker 10: So I think that's really valuable and like a dart throw,

1235
00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:13,360
Speaker 10: kind of cheaper guy I'll throw out there is Ian Thomas.

1236
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 10: You know, he's run seventy percent of routes per dropback

1237
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:20,040
Speaker 10: for the season, and we saw in a in a

1238
00:57:20,080 --> 00:57:21,320
Speaker 10: matchup against the Cardinals.

1239
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,480
Speaker 3: You know, he started to come alive. Really hasn't been

1240
00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 3: targeted that much.

1241
00:57:24,680 --> 00:57:26,640
Speaker 10: But you look at the Falcons and after those three

1242
00:57:26,720 --> 00:57:30,560
Speaker 10: touchdowns to Bobby tanyan Uh in the Monday night game,

1243
00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:34,480
Speaker 10: this is the new Cardinals. They're they're giving up the

1244
00:57:34,560 --> 00:57:37,800
Speaker 10: most fantasy points to tight ends thirty three catches, three

1245
00:57:37,920 --> 00:57:41,080
Speaker 10: hundred and thirty six yards, and seven touchdowns to the

1246
00:57:41,120 --> 00:57:43,960
Speaker 10: tight end position in just four games. I'm willing to

1247
00:57:44,040 --> 00:57:48,360
Speaker 10: take some some GPP flyers on Ian Thomas uh in

1248
00:57:48,440 --> 00:57:50,120
Speaker 10: the Teddy Show, and there will be a lot.

1249
00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:51,080
Speaker 3: Of ownership on Robbie.

1250
00:57:51,320 --> 00:57:53,560
Speaker 10: I'm sure people will expect the DJ more bounce back,

1251
00:57:53,640 --> 00:57:56,080
Speaker 10: so and Mike Davis too. So I love getting Thomas

1252
00:57:56,120 --> 00:57:58,640
Speaker 10: as like that fourth highest owned guy in that offense.

1253
00:57:58,920 --> 00:58:03,080
Speaker 2: Okay, I am very high on Johnny Smith under the

1254
00:58:03,120 --> 00:58:06,360
Speaker 2: assumption that AJ Brown does not play this week.

1255
00:58:06,480 --> 00:58:08,680
Speaker 10: Hey Freeman, So like, I don't know what you guys

1256
00:58:08,680 --> 00:58:10,720
Speaker 10: have seen, but I'm saying that he's expected back.

1257
00:58:11,200 --> 00:58:12,400
Speaker 4: Oh, he's expected to be back.

1258
00:58:12,680 --> 00:58:14,880
Speaker 10: Yeah, that's what I've been seeing all week, and I

1259
00:58:14,960 --> 00:58:16,600
Speaker 10: just checked it on Google now and I haven't seen

1260
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:20,200
Speaker 10: anything like to the contrary. So I'm tentatively putting him

1261
00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:22,480
Speaker 10: in as like like seventy percent routes run or something,

1262
00:58:22,560 --> 00:58:23,880
Speaker 10: but just putting it out.

1263
00:58:24,040 --> 00:58:26,560
Speaker 2: Okay, well, I'm going to be a little more pessimistic

1264
00:58:26,760 --> 00:58:29,200
Speaker 2: on that, but yeah, we'll see. Maybe maybe he comes

1265
00:58:29,280 --> 00:58:31,560
Speaker 2: back if he's not back or if he's back, but

1266
00:58:31,720 --> 00:58:35,760
Speaker 2: kind of limited. I'm very interested in John Hue, who

1267
00:58:35,840 --> 00:58:39,080
Speaker 2: has twenty three percent market share in the two games

1268
00:58:39,400 --> 00:58:42,640
Speaker 2: without AJ Brown, and then I should say Gronk I'm

1269
00:58:42,720 --> 00:58:45,120
Speaker 2: kind of interested in, but it has more to do

1270
00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:48,680
Speaker 2: with obviously the absence of Oj Howard, the absence of

1271
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:51,720
Speaker 2: Chris Godwin. I'm probably going to have to go back

1272
00:58:51,760 --> 00:58:56,200
Speaker 2: in and adjust Gronk down in the usage department. But

1273
00:58:56,720 --> 00:58:59,000
Speaker 2: I mean, targets have to go somewhere, and with no

1274
00:58:59,160 --> 00:59:02,600
Speaker 2: Oj Howard, know, Chris Godwin, and then it's not as

1275
00:59:02,600 --> 00:59:04,600
Speaker 2: if Leonard Fournette was getting a lot of targets, but

1276
00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:07,440
Speaker 2: he's out, Lashawn McCoy's out there. There are just so

1277
00:59:07,560 --> 00:59:10,680
Speaker 2: many guys out that targets have to flow somewhere, and

1278
00:59:10,720 --> 00:59:13,520
Speaker 2: they can't all go to Mike Evans as much as

1279
00:59:13,560 --> 00:59:16,200
Speaker 2: I would like that. So Gronk is someone I'm at

1280
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:19,280
Speaker 2: least like toying with or like keeping an eye on.

1281
00:59:20,160 --> 00:59:24,400
Speaker 2: But you know who knows he's Gronky's old Drew. Who

1282
00:59:24,560 --> 00:59:25,520
Speaker 2: are you low on?

1283
00:59:26,360 --> 00:59:29,560
Speaker 7: It feels it feels wrong to say this, but I

1284
00:59:29,760 --> 00:59:32,320
Speaker 7: just want so much George Kittle that I'm low on

1285
00:59:32,480 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 7: Travis Kelcey, And it's it's basically that, like at this point,

1286
00:59:36,480 --> 00:59:39,120
Speaker 7: I you know, I think what we saw from Kittle,

1287
00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:42,960
Speaker 7: fully healthy and unleashed on Sunday Night football is probably

1288
00:59:43,040 --> 00:59:44,720
Speaker 7: world we're going to see for the next few weeks.

1289
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,680
Speaker 7: With Deebo Samuel still kind of working his way back

1290
00:59:48,200 --> 00:59:51,560
Speaker 7: and kind of increasing his snapshow over time. Miami is

1291
00:59:52,040 --> 00:59:54,640
Speaker 7: a past defense you can attack aggressively, and because I

1292
00:59:54,680 --> 00:59:57,880
Speaker 7: think San Francisco is kind of so banged up offensively, we'll,

1293
00:59:58,120 --> 00:59:59,920
Speaker 7: you know, we'll see what running backs they have availed

1294
01:00:00,200 --> 01:00:02,400
Speaker 7: this week, if Mostart is good to go this week

1295
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:04,560
Speaker 7: or not. I just think they're going to funnel more

1296
01:00:04,600 --> 01:00:06,480
Speaker 7: and more of that offense through Kittle. And so as

1297
01:00:06,520 --> 01:00:09,320
Speaker 7: a result of being so high on Kittle, I probably

1298
01:00:09,360 --> 01:00:11,400
Speaker 7: won't have very much Kelsey this week, and I'm gonna

1299
01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:12,840
Speaker 7: be a lot lower on him than the field.

1300
01:00:13,280 --> 01:00:16,560
Speaker 2: I totally see that. And in the rankings, Raybond and

1301
01:00:16,640 --> 01:00:19,600
Speaker 2: I both have Kittle ranked ahead of Kelsey, and it's

1302
01:00:19,640 --> 01:00:22,560
Speaker 2: not as if there's probably like a massive difference between

1303
01:00:22,600 --> 01:00:26,320
Speaker 2: the two, but I can I can certainly see it. Sean,

1304
01:00:26,480 --> 01:00:28,120
Speaker 2: who are you low one?

1305
01:00:28,920 --> 01:00:29,120
Speaker 9: Well?

1306
01:00:29,280 --> 01:00:31,440
Speaker 8: Last week, you know, I thought we might see zach

1307
01:00:31,560 --> 01:00:33,920
Speaker 8: Ertz emerge as a top three tight end again with

1308
01:00:34,280 --> 01:00:37,720
Speaker 8: Dallas Goddard out, the top three wide receivers are all out,

1309
01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:40,320
Speaker 8: and he still flopped with a four catch for nine

1310
01:00:40,360 --> 01:00:43,920
Speaker 8: yard game. So you know, this week at Pittsburgh at

1311
01:00:43,960 --> 01:00:46,960
Speaker 8: fifty seven, hundred. I will have zero shares of zach Ertz,

1312
01:00:47,120 --> 01:00:51,040
Speaker 8: and I stand by that. And you know, this is

1313
01:00:51,080 --> 01:00:53,160
Speaker 8: just a full fad for me, the Eagles offense at

1314
01:00:53,240 --> 01:00:56,400
Speaker 8: Pittsburgh in general. But it's just disappointing to see Ertz,

1315
01:00:57,200 --> 01:00:59,680
Speaker 8: you know, fall this fast, especially as somebody that has

1316
01:00:59,720 --> 01:01:01,640
Speaker 8: so much on your shares of Dallas Goddard in best

1317
01:01:01,680 --> 01:01:04,360
Speaker 8: ball leagues. It'd be nice if you were healthy to

1318
01:01:04,400 --> 01:01:06,960
Speaker 8: compete with this. But yeah, zach Ertz looks like a

1319
01:01:07,080 --> 01:01:09,560
Speaker 8: Shelve's former self right now, and I'm not buying it

1320
01:01:09,680 --> 01:01:12,640
Speaker 8: right now. Somebody that was pretty high on him last week,

1321
01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:15,000
Speaker 8: I'm fully selling.

1322
01:01:14,720 --> 01:01:15,439
Speaker 6: On zach Ertz.

1323
01:01:15,840 --> 01:01:17,120
Speaker 2: Ravon, who are you low on?

1324
01:01:17,640 --> 01:01:18,600
Speaker 3: I was gonna go Ertz.

1325
01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:21,720
Speaker 10: I was gonna go ERTs and then I saw that

1326
01:01:21,800 --> 01:01:23,320
Speaker 10: he ran a route on one hundred percent of the

1327
01:01:23,440 --> 01:01:24,560
Speaker 10: dropbacks last week.

1328
01:01:24,760 --> 01:01:26,520
Speaker 9: You have one hundred and three percent somehow.

1329
01:01:26,840 --> 01:01:29,880
Speaker 3: Oh no, no, no, we gotta drop backs.

1330
01:01:29,960 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 10: Yeah, I'm there, but so I'm going with a guy

1331
01:01:33,160 --> 01:01:35,160
Speaker 10: that's priced one hundred dollars below that.

1332
01:01:35,360 --> 01:01:38,120
Speaker 3: And Tyler Higby talked about it last week. The routes

1333
01:01:38,160 --> 01:01:38,919
Speaker 3: are just not there.

1334
01:01:39,320 --> 01:01:44,360
Speaker 10: Uh sixty five fifty forty fifty six percent of the

1335
01:01:44,480 --> 01:01:46,919
Speaker 10: dropbacks has Tyler Higby run a route on and that's

1336
01:01:47,040 --> 01:01:50,520
Speaker 10: just not enough for me to put him in the

1337
01:01:50,560 --> 01:01:53,280
Speaker 10: same category as you know, even as zach Ertz who

1338
01:01:53,320 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 10: is struggling, and some of these other guys you know,

1339
01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:58,200
Speaker 10: as a top five tight end. I have him as

1340
01:01:58,240 --> 01:02:01,880
Speaker 10: my tight end fifteen this week, and it's really just

1341
01:02:02,080 --> 01:02:04,320
Speaker 10: comes down to the routes, you know. I it's a

1342
01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:06,600
Speaker 10: good match up against Washington, they're number thirty one in

1343
01:02:06,680 --> 01:02:09,280
Speaker 10: DVOA against the tight end, so he could catch a

1344
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:11,720
Speaker 10: touchdown or two. But I don't think you can rely

1345
01:02:11,880 --> 01:02:15,280
Speaker 10: on a player who has, you know, run pretty much

1346
01:02:15,320 --> 01:02:18,080
Speaker 10: half the routes, because the most predictive way to project

1347
01:02:18,160 --> 01:02:20,320
Speaker 10: routes going forward is to just look at that last

1348
01:02:20,360 --> 01:02:21,680
Speaker 10: game and that's going to count for a lot of

1349
01:02:21,680 --> 01:02:24,120
Speaker 10: the variants. And he's right there at fifty six percent

1350
01:02:24,240 --> 01:02:24,640
Speaker 10: last game.

1351
01:02:24,720 --> 01:02:26,160
Speaker 3: So low on Higbee.

1352
01:02:26,160 --> 01:02:26,400
Speaker 4: All right.

1353
01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:29,440
Speaker 2: One guy I am low on is Logan Thomas. I'm

1354
01:02:29,480 --> 01:02:32,439
Speaker 2: just I'm giving up the ghost on this situation. Yeah,

1355
01:02:33,240 --> 01:02:35,320
Speaker 2: if you look at weeks one through four, he has

1356
01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,160
Speaker 2: a twenty percent target chair and you think, you know,

1357
01:02:37,240 --> 01:02:39,760
Speaker 2: for a tight end, that is not that bad. But

1358
01:02:40,000 --> 01:02:43,480
Speaker 2: if you start to slice away. The number of weeks

1359
01:02:43,800 --> 01:02:45,680
Speaker 2: that target chair just goes down and down. So if

1360
01:02:45,720 --> 01:02:48,800
Speaker 2: you look at weeks two through four, that target chair

1361
01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:51,160
Speaker 2: drops to eighteen. If you look at three and four,

1362
01:02:51,640 --> 01:02:54,960
Speaker 2: that drops to fourteen. And if you look at what

1363
01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:58,800
Speaker 2: happened in week four only, that target chair drop to nine.

1364
01:02:59,240 --> 01:03:01,200
Speaker 2: And I should just say, outside of the numbers, he

1365
01:03:01,440 --> 01:03:04,960
Speaker 2: just looks like he can't play right. He's not running

1366
01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:07,960
Speaker 2: very fast, he's not nearly as athletic as he you know,

1367
01:03:08,160 --> 01:03:10,640
Speaker 2: was years ago at the combine, and he's in an

1368
01:03:10,680 --> 01:03:14,760
Speaker 2: offense that isn't very good. So I'm just totally totally

1369
01:03:14,880 --> 01:03:20,000
Speaker 2: off of Logan Thomas, which hurts because I'm heavily invested

1370
01:03:20,040 --> 01:03:22,760
Speaker 2: in him in a lot of places. So but I

1371
01:03:23,080 --> 01:03:25,600
Speaker 2: just have to give up the ghost on log Logan Thomas.

1372
01:03:25,680 --> 01:03:28,200
Speaker 2: I just I don't think it's going to happen. Sean

1373
01:03:28,480 --> 01:03:29,120
Speaker 2: give us the prop.

1374
01:03:29,520 --> 01:03:33,640
Speaker 8: Well, considering we haven't talked about Dalton Schultz enough today,

1375
01:03:33,880 --> 01:03:36,400
Speaker 8: I'm forcing us to talk about him. The over under

1376
01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:40,920
Speaker 8: for receiving yards at home against the Giants is forty three.

1377
01:03:40,840 --> 01:03:41,200
Speaker 4: And a half.

1378
01:03:41,920 --> 01:03:44,440
Speaker 2: Okay, I just have to say, I feel like you

1379
01:03:44,560 --> 01:03:47,120
Speaker 2: did this to pick on me, knowing that you would

1380
01:03:47,160 --> 01:03:49,560
Speaker 2: get me knowing that you would get me to take

1381
01:03:49,640 --> 01:03:52,280
Speaker 2: some sort of inflated over. But I just have to

1382
01:03:52,400 --> 01:03:55,480
Speaker 2: say I have this exactly at forty three.

1383
01:03:56,000 --> 01:03:57,560
Speaker 7: I was prepared for you to say you have like

1384
01:03:57,680 --> 01:03:59,800
Speaker 7: Dalten Schultz at seventy five and a half yards.

1385
01:04:02,960 --> 01:04:07,000
Speaker 8: No, oh yeah, he's reasonable. When it comes to Dalton Schultz,

1386
01:04:07,000 --> 01:04:09,280
Speaker 8: I think it's all Amari Cooper. That's where the yards.

1387
01:04:09,520 --> 01:04:12,000
Speaker 2: Yes, that is what it is, to be fair.

1388
01:04:12,080 --> 01:04:12,920
Speaker 9: The reason I brought this.

1389
01:04:13,080 --> 01:04:17,160
Speaker 8: Up is again, somebody with a decent amount of Blake

1390
01:04:17,280 --> 01:04:19,400
Speaker 8: Jarwin shares and best ball and sprus are going to

1391
01:04:19,480 --> 01:04:22,040
Speaker 8: see how good Dalton Schultz is doing.

1392
01:04:22,120 --> 01:04:23,480
Speaker 9: And he looks I mean, he looks.

1393
01:04:23,280 --> 01:04:25,800
Speaker 8: Pretty stiff out there. I'm not gonna lie, but he's

1394
01:04:25,880 --> 01:04:28,560
Speaker 8: he's become such a reliable threat in the passing game.

1395
01:04:28,760 --> 01:04:30,520
Speaker 8: I do think he's a low end tight end one.

1396
01:04:31,080 --> 01:04:33,640
Speaker 8: Just knowing how good Blake Jarwin could have been this offense,

1397
01:04:33,680 --> 01:04:35,959
Speaker 8: it's it's kind of frustrating to see you, to be honest, all.

1398
01:04:35,920 --> 01:04:37,840
Speaker 2: Right, So anyway, I'm gonna take the under just as

1399
01:04:37,880 --> 01:04:40,360
Speaker 2: a matter of principle, but also I feel like it

1400
01:04:40,640 --> 01:04:44,120
Speaker 2: correlates a little bit in in some backwards mental way,

1401
01:04:44,520 --> 01:04:48,480
Speaker 2: with my my Dack Over and my Amari Over. I'm

1402
01:04:48,560 --> 01:04:51,080
Speaker 2: just assuming that those two guys are going to go

1403
01:04:51,240 --> 01:04:53,720
Speaker 2: off and it's going to benefit only them, and everyone

1404
01:04:53,800 --> 01:04:56,520
Speaker 2: else on the Cowboys offense just going to be left

1405
01:04:56,560 --> 01:04:58,960
Speaker 2: out in the cold. So I'm going under Dalton Schultz.

1406
01:04:59,440 --> 01:05:01,080
Speaker 10: Yeah, I'm going under as well. I have him at

1407
01:05:01,200 --> 01:05:04,640
Speaker 10: forty one yards, so I'm pretty close. But here's the concern.

1408
01:05:04,880 --> 01:05:07,360
Speaker 10: Dallas is a nine and a half point favorite. There

1409
01:05:07,400 --> 01:05:09,120
Speaker 10: are one in three team that's been down a lot,

1410
01:05:09,240 --> 01:05:11,760
Speaker 10: and if you look at Dalton Schultz's numbers in the

1411
01:05:11,840 --> 01:05:14,600
Speaker 10: first half, he has six catches for ninety four yards

1412
01:05:15,160 --> 01:05:19,200
Speaker 10: on nine targets, no touchdowns. Second half second half of games,

1413
01:05:19,440 --> 01:05:23,000
Speaker 10: nineteen targets more than double twelve catches, one hundred and

1414
01:05:23,040 --> 01:05:25,200
Speaker 10: twenty five and two touchdowns. So he's seen a lot

1415
01:05:25,320 --> 01:05:28,520
Speaker 10: of his usage come when Dallas is in trail mode.

1416
01:05:28,400 --> 01:05:29,000
Speaker 3: In the second half.

1417
01:05:29,040 --> 01:05:31,600
Speaker 10: So I worry that even if Dak has a good game,

1418
01:05:32,200 --> 01:05:34,080
Speaker 10: Schultz could be the guy that kind of misses out

1419
01:05:34,320 --> 01:05:36,320
Speaker 10: if the Cowboys perform up to expectation.

1420
01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:38,640
Speaker 6: Yeah, I agree here, I'm going to go under as well.

1421
01:05:38,720 --> 01:05:40,720
Speaker 7: In those stats that Chris reference makes sense when you

1422
01:05:40,760 --> 01:05:43,800
Speaker 7: think about playing down multiple scores, the types of defensive

1423
01:05:43,840 --> 01:05:46,200
Speaker 7: coverages that you're gonna see. You're gonna see things funneled

1424
01:05:46,280 --> 01:05:48,680
Speaker 7: into the middle of the field where the clock can

1425
01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:51,000
Speaker 7: keep running. And that's really where Dalon Schultz has picked

1426
01:05:51,040 --> 01:05:52,880
Speaker 7: up a lot of his production. I don't expect that

1427
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:54,400
Speaker 7: to be the case this week in terms of the

1428
01:05:54,480 --> 01:05:57,280
Speaker 7: game environment and the game script. So I'll go under

1429
01:05:57,320 --> 01:05:58,000
Speaker 7: on Dalen Schultz.

1430
01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:00,600
Speaker 2: All right, Drew, what content should be? We'll check out

1431
01:06:00,760 --> 01:06:01,680
Speaker 2: at Establish the Run.

1432
01:06:02,120 --> 01:06:02,320
Speaker 9: Yeah.

1433
01:06:02,440 --> 01:06:05,880
Speaker 7: So for NFL, I've got two big pieces of content

1434
01:06:05,920 --> 01:06:07,080
Speaker 7: that I do each and every week. I have a

1435
01:06:07,200 --> 01:06:11,200
Speaker 7: GPP Leverage column that comes out every Friday, usually Friday afternoon,

1436
01:06:11,560 --> 01:06:14,280
Speaker 7: that looks at different GPP situations that I'll be attacking

1437
01:06:14,320 --> 01:06:16,040
Speaker 7: during the week, reviews kind of what we went over

1438
01:06:16,080 --> 01:06:18,280
Speaker 7: in the previous week and really tries to teach you

1439
01:06:19,000 --> 01:06:21,400
Speaker 7: more how to fish than what the specific plays are,

1440
01:06:21,440 --> 01:06:23,720
Speaker 7: but highlights kind of what those plays would be based

1441
01:06:23,760 --> 01:06:26,800
Speaker 7: on the stands that we're taking. And then I do

1442
01:06:26,880 --> 01:06:29,920
Speaker 7: the Establish the Million Show with Mike Leoni every Saturday morning.

1443
01:06:30,440 --> 01:06:32,720
Speaker 7: We record that live and you know, we've had a

1444
01:06:32,760 --> 01:06:34,320
Speaker 7: lot of success early in the season in terms of

1445
01:06:34,400 --> 01:06:36,800
Speaker 7: identifying good lover spots and things to take advantage of.

1446
01:06:36,960 --> 01:06:39,160
Speaker 6: So check us out over to Establish the Run.

1447
01:06:39,280 --> 01:06:41,360
Speaker 7: You can find all of my NFL content there, and

1448
01:06:41,680 --> 01:06:43,640
Speaker 7: you know, for the last few few days of MBA

1449
01:06:43,720 --> 01:06:45,240
Speaker 7: as well. If you want to check us out, We've

1450
01:06:45,280 --> 01:06:48,000
Speaker 7: got all of our MBA stuff going over at establish.

1451
01:06:47,640 --> 01:06:48,160
Speaker 4: The Run dot com.

1452
01:06:48,520 --> 01:06:51,440
Speaker 2: All right, be sure to follow Drew on Twitter at

1453
01:06:51,560 --> 01:06:53,640
Speaker 2: Drew Dinkmeyer. You can follow Sean, Chris and Me in

1454
01:06:53,680 --> 01:06:56,200
Speaker 2: the Action Network app at the Underscore odds maker, Chris

1455
01:06:56,280 --> 01:06:58,240
Speaker 2: Raymond and Matt at the Oracle. He can use the

1456
01:06:58,280 --> 01:07:00,439
Speaker 2: app to get real time odds in track your bets

1457
01:07:00,480 --> 01:07:02,760
Speaker 2: for free. Please subscribe to and rate and review the

1458
01:07:02,760 --> 01:07:05,439
Speaker 2: show and listen and download on Spotify. See you again

1459
01:07:05,560 --> 01:07:06,440
Speaker 2: next episode.

1460
01:07:22,160 --> 01:07:23,240
Speaker 4: We're finished talking