Speaker 1: What's the horror of dead generations hanging off the backs
Speaker 1: of my modern everyone society? What do we? What are
Speaker 1: we doing that? I started a podcast? Are we do? Robert?
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go take five. This is
Speaker 1: your favorite electoralism podcast. It could happen here. Um, the
Speaker 1: podcast that says, just vote about it? Come on, you
Speaker 1: know how you voted? Can you vote a little harder?
Speaker 1: You know, if if I could vote right right now,
Speaker 1: I would. That is how dedicated I am. I know
Speaker 1: that's everyone says that about you, Garrison, that you're always
Speaker 1: ready to vote. Oh, we have, we have, we have,
Speaker 1: we have. We have an update on the TikTok thing
Speaker 1: um which we just this this just dropped. Um TikTok Uh.
Speaker 1: There is now a new I need a new technic
Speaker 1: account launched to boost Biden with young voters. Um. It
Speaker 1: already has one hundred fans. Um. This this isn't a joke.
Speaker 1: This is actually because that sounds like like a bad
Speaker 1: like a like a Jimmy fallon Saturday Night Live weekend update.
Speaker 1: This is because actually completely real. We have we have
Speaker 1: a government funded Biden pro Biden TikTok account as lunched
Speaker 1: and it has a hundred followers. Guys, it would be
Speaker 1: funny if like, you know, like the Gravel Institute. But good,
Speaker 1: they just steered it in really radical directions. So it
Speaker 1: did start like tweeting about Zerzon and the importance of
Speaker 1: destroying time. The Biden TikTok account embraces ecological sabotage. I would,
Speaker 1: I would take it. I would take I would take
Speaker 1: government money if they paid me to do that, I'll
Speaker 1: say it. I'll take government money for a lot of reasons.
Speaker 1: If they paid me to make an unhinged TikTok account
Speaker 1: about how the scientists of the police, then yes, I would.
Speaker 1: I would do that. That's a fun joke for four
Speaker 1: people listening to this podcast. We're gonna tell about the
Speaker 1: mid terms. Yeah, because look, the official stance of the
Speaker 1: mostly anarchists who make this podcast, voting is dumb. But uh,
Speaker 1: it's also bad when certain things happen electorally, like a
Speaker 1: bunch of insane fascists winning elected office. Uh. Two things
Speaker 1: can be true, especially when people are really set on
Speaker 1: killing trans people right now. Yeah, that's real problematic hashtag
Speaker 1: problematic things are gonna have It could happen as a
Speaker 1: result of the mid terms. I think the by by
Speaker 1: far predominant media narrative is that the Democrats are heading
Speaker 1: for a shellacking. Um, now, is that actually going to happen?
Speaker 1: The short answer is, nobody knows. Because polling we should
Speaker 1: all be we should all be accepting at this point
Speaker 1: that polling is not good at its job generally. So
Speaker 1: heads up, No one's really sure. Uh, there are certainly
Speaker 1: Number One, if this is a normal midterm election after
Speaker 1: a presidential election, Democrats should lose a not insubstantial amount
Speaker 1: of seats because that's just usually what happens. The only
Speaker 1: time it didn't was the midterm election right after nine eleven,
Speaker 1: and everyone was out of their minds at that point,
Speaker 1: so you can't really factor that one into the averages.
Speaker 1: And nothing like nine eleven has really happened. Like the
Speaker 1: war in Ukraine is a is a whole thing, but
Speaker 1: it's also not I'm not I'm saying any evidence that
Speaker 1: it's causing any kind of like political realignment or affecting
Speaker 1: support for Joe Biden in any meaning. Everyone's still pretty
Speaker 1: economy based in terms of what they're what they claimed
Speaker 1: to be their biggest factors for voting. The war in
Speaker 1: Ukraine is a huge deal obviously, Um, we've talked about
Speaker 1: it a lot on on our shows. But also it's
Speaker 1: it's foreigners, and Americans don't care about foreigners when it
Speaker 1: comes to voting. So look, that's just a reality. As
Speaker 1: a guy who's repeatedly trying to get Americans to care
Speaker 1: about things happening in other countries, we we don't. UM. So,
Speaker 1: in the absence of anything that has caused that could
Speaker 1: cause some sort of massive political realignment, the most likely
Speaker 1: thing historically is that the Democrats are gonna lose control
Speaker 1: of one, maybe both houses of Congress um, and a
Speaker 1: modest amount of seats. Um. So if that happens, if
Speaker 1: it's kind of within historical dimensions, UM, then that won't
Speaker 1: be all that weird at all. Um. If it's a
Speaker 1: huge blowout, then that's a big deal. And if the
Speaker 1: Democrats don't lose or kind of barely lose ground, then
Speaker 1: those would both be big deals for different reasons. UM.
Speaker 1: And again, no one knows what's going to happen, and
Speaker 1: no one on this podcast is going to make a prediction.
Speaker 1: We're just going to kind of try to talk about
Speaker 1: what what is sort of evident right now. Well, you're
Speaker 1: not allowed to legally make predictions, Robert, I'm I'm not
Speaker 1: allowed to legally make tradictions, although I will make one prediction,
Speaker 1: which is that at some point, at some point, we're
Speaker 1: gonna see Joe Biden's whole ass in fifty odds. If
Speaker 1: we see the ass fifty odds, that you can see
Speaker 1: some balls. That is. I've gone back and forth with
Speaker 1: my polling experts on this, and we're we're firm on
Speaker 1: that fifty coin flip coin flip for the coin purse,
Speaker 1: toss up, toss up, toss up for the tossing of
Speaker 1: his salad, which might be why we see his butt. Anyway,
Speaker 1: here's here first on ticket. Happen here, It could it
Speaker 1: could happen here. That could happen here. It's not impossible.
Speaker 1: Someone has a picture of Joe Biden's butt, right, it's
Speaker 1: out there. So yeah, So for every miny terms of
Speaker 1: the House has has has all their seats go up
Speaker 1: for every two years, Uh, the Senate gets gets gets
Speaker 1: one third of seats up because they serve six year terms.
Speaker 1: Because we like having fun here. Um, yeah, so it's
Speaker 1: it's gonna be. It's it's gonna be interesting both because yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously, obviously it's most likely that definitely Republicans
Speaker 1: will will win back a decent number of seats inside
Speaker 1: the inside the House and probably um make make the
Speaker 1: divide they're less extreme um if not actually just like
Speaker 1: take the House. Also, the Senate's obviously more more of
Speaker 1: a more of a toss up because of we're only
Speaker 1: on the Senate at the moment um, so that is
Speaker 1: definitely way more of a thing that they can totally cease.
Speaker 1: But even if they do, season that's not actually changing
Speaker 1: much because they're not we're not We're not able to
Speaker 1: pass anything through the Senate anyway. Uh sure, So it
Speaker 1: doesn't matter because yeah, I mean, like it would only
Speaker 1: really suck if m Republicans get extreme control both the
Speaker 1: House and the Senate um. But I think that's kind
Speaker 1: of unlikely in terms of getting like total control and
Speaker 1: then we still have executives. So it part of why
Speaker 1: it doesn't seem super likely is that, like in the
Speaker 1: last um couple of sets, in particularly terms, the Democrats
Speaker 1: lost basically all of their most vulnerable seats, and so
Speaker 1: a lot of the seats that are coming up are
Speaker 1: less vulnerable and so and that does mean that like
Speaker 1: if the Democrats lose a bunch more than again, it's
Speaker 1: a much more significant sign that we're seeing, uh, pretty
Speaker 1: predicted potentially like pretty fashy political realignment in the United States.
Speaker 1: It's again, there's not like evidence that makes me think
Speaker 1: that's particularly likely. Um, that's just what it would mean
Speaker 1: if that were to happen. And I think probably the
Speaker 1: number one thing I would expect if there were some
Speaker 1: sort of gigantic apocle shift where the Republicans wind up
Speaker 1: with like sixty percent of the seats in Congress or
Speaker 1: something like that, Um, is they're going to try to impeach.
Speaker 1: But like they would have to write if they won
Speaker 1: in control of both house, like they would have to
Speaker 1: try and impeach Biden because of the rhetoric. It's the
Speaker 1: bit you know, which again I don't I'm not saying
Speaker 1: I don't think that is particularly likely based on what
Speaker 1: we're seeing, but like if that happens, they're going to
Speaker 1: do that. Yeah, I Mean it's not even a prediction.
Speaker 1: That's just like, well they've been talking about it because
Speaker 1: like because like on average, the president's party has lost
Speaker 1: about thirty thirty House seats during mid terms over the
Speaker 1: course of the last century, um and Republicans only need
Speaker 1: to gain five seats to win the chamber. But now
Speaker 1: now gaining five seats is not the same as winning
Speaker 1: five seats obviously, Yes, like the party needs to needs
Speaker 1: at least two eighteen seats to win control of the House.
Speaker 1: So Republicans are actually they have to flip. They have
Speaker 1: to they have to do the flipping um and they
Speaker 1: have to flip actually a good number of them because
Speaker 1: again the seats that they do, the seats that that
Speaker 1: Democrats currently have are all like pretty firmly democrat um.
Speaker 1: So there's there is there is less toss ups. And
Speaker 1: the other thing that's kind of interesting is that the
Speaker 1: redistricting process that has been going on in the past
Speaker 1: bit has seemed to kind of favor, uh favor Democrats.
Speaker 1: So if it's interesting, if you want to have a
Speaker 1: good time, go go look at what go look at
Speaker 1: what the Democrats did to the Illinois map. It is hilarious.
Speaker 1: Between like, there is a district that is like it
Speaker 1: starts in the like in the north in the south
Speaker 1: side of the south side of Chicago, and the district
Speaker 1: ends like literally like like nine tenths of the way
Speaker 1: down the state, like a tiny town in seven Illinois,
Speaker 1: and it's like, it's really funny because like like eighty
Speaker 1: percent of what was going on there was like Solendinois
Speaker 1: like elected a Nazi to the House. The Democrats were like,
Speaker 1: how how can we Well, it's funny. Is also said
Speaker 1: they didn't even do the optimal jerrymander because their cowards
Speaker 1: and fools. But yeah, like this is you know, okay,
Speaker 1: like the maps are always constantly jerrymandered, and part of
Speaker 1: the reason the Democrats have been just like getting smashed
Speaker 1: for the last decade is that what they lost a
Speaker 1: dozen ten election they lost control of like the gerrymandering,
Speaker 1: and so that like fucked them for like a decade
Speaker 1: and they've gotten to a position that is slightly better
Speaker 1: for them. But you know, again, the like the important
Speaker 1: thing to actually take away here is it like basically
Speaker 1: every like every every election that happens at the US
Speaker 1: on like for the House is rigged like before it
Speaker 1: starts like at least partially because jay mandering is just
Speaker 1: legal and you could do it. I mean, it's amazing
Speaker 1: to me that they're they're connecting these little rural areas
Speaker 1: to the south side of Chicago, because and I'm sure
Speaker 1: you're aware of this, Christopher, it's the baddest part of town.
Speaker 1: And and if you go there, you just better be
Speaker 1: aware of a man named Lee Roy Brown. Now you
Speaker 1: know Lee Red Brown. It stood about six ft four um.
Speaker 1: All those downtown ladies called him tree top lever. All
Speaker 1: the men just called him, sir, you know, bad, badly
Speaker 1: road Brown, baddest man in the whole, baddest man in
Speaker 1: the whole. Damn. This is important electoral stuff, Sophie. He
Speaker 1: could win. He's badder than old King Kong and meaner
Speaker 1: than a junkyard dog. So all of so U about
Speaker 1: sixty one house races are seen to be viewed as
Speaker 1: competitive out of four hundred thirty five um. But out
Speaker 1: of those amazing democracy yeah so and and and out
Speaker 1: of those sixty one, only about sixteen are actually kind
Speaker 1: of viewed as toss ups at the moment, with seven
Speaker 1: of those seats currently helped by Republicans, eight of them
Speaker 1: being helped with Democrats, and one new seat in the
Speaker 1: in the state of Colorado. UM. So yeah, Like it
Speaker 1: does seem like in order for Republicans to really get
Speaker 1: more controlled the House, they have to actually flip more
Speaker 1: traditionally democratic uh territories, so like they're kind of they
Speaker 1: have to do most of that the actual work here,
Speaker 1: um to actually get those things flipped. But again I
Speaker 1: don't I don't trust democrats ability to be able to
Speaker 1: hold on to what they have anyway, So who knows. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's one of those things. There's a
Speaker 1: lot of talk about like how incompetent the Democrats are,
Speaker 1: And there's a pretty interesting article that dropped, Oh gosh,
Speaker 1: where was it about how millennial support for Democrats is
Speaker 1: like at its lowest point in recent memory. Yea millennial
Speaker 1: here it's because they don't do anything. It's because they
Speaker 1: say they're going to do a number of very popular
Speaker 1: things and then do not do them. Again, the people
Speaker 1: who Gerryman did all these districts, and as a general rule,
Speaker 1: just the data we have on how mid terms seem
Speaker 1: to go all factors in the fact that that young
Speaker 1: people don't vote, you know. Um, so the fact that
Speaker 1: the Democrats are worse than normal with youth may not
Speaker 1: actually have a huge impact on the mid terms at
Speaker 1: this state especially. Can Again, there's not as many, at
Speaker 1: least based on the polling we have, which is again imperfect,
Speaker 1: doesn't seem like there's a tremendous amount of super competitive districts. No,
Speaker 1: and it does seem to be the group of people
Speaker 1: that will be the most interesting deciding factor right now
Speaker 1: is boomer women seems to be the one are actually
Speaker 1: they're going. I don't like that boomers are allowed to vote.
Speaker 1: Get him out of there. Get him out of there.
Speaker 1: On on that note, should we take a quick little
Speaker 1: addie break. You know who else doesn't want you to vote?
Speaker 1: It's the Washington State Patrol, the oligarchs who support this podcast.
Speaker 1: We're back and we're again talking about the elections in
Speaker 1: the South side of Chicago, and there's a lot of
Speaker 1: reasons to wonder how this is going to go. And
Speaker 1: I just want to point out that Leroy Brown keeps
Speaker 1: a thirty two guns in his pocket for fun and
Speaker 1: a razor in issue, which should be factored in when
Speaker 1: you're thinking about, you know, how things might go down
Speaker 1: on election day. Thank you, thank you for that for
Speaker 1: that critical analysis from Robert evans Um. Yeah really really
Speaker 1: on the cusp of there. Thank you. Yeah, it's uh,
Speaker 1: we are we are we are lucky to have such
Speaker 1: an academic mind on the pod. I say that a lot,
Speaker 1: but I'm I'm glad someone else is. Finally, Uh, should
Speaker 1: we talk uh Senate Senate seats that are potentially going
Speaker 1: to flip even though Garrison doesn't want to. Yeah, I
Speaker 1: read the article and I didn't I found it kind
Speaker 1: of boring and I didn't find them to say anything
Speaker 1: super interesting. Um, but yes we can. So one of
Speaker 1: the one of the ones we got here is in Pennsylvania.
Speaker 1: Is that the one that's open. It is the one
Speaker 1: that is open. Um. So yeah, this is uh the
Speaker 1: see the seat the seat opened up when the Republican
Speaker 1: Senator Pat too Many good for him for having a
Speaker 1: funny name, announced that he would not be announced that
Speaker 1: he would not be having he would not be running
Speaker 1: for re election. So so yeah, there's the lieutenant governor
Speaker 1: is running in the Democratic primary and raising a good
Speaker 1: good deal of money. Um, that's cool. Yeah, it's a
Speaker 1: it's a Yeah, it's a Trump has a Trump has
Speaker 1: a has a has has stepped in to to fight
Speaker 1: between between the two the two uh, the two candidates
Speaker 1: which we have David David McCormick, which is a former
Speaker 1: hedge fund manager and his Republican opposer is a friend
Speaker 1: of the pod Dr Memas. Oh yeah, I love that.
Speaker 1: I love that I have to care about a fight
Speaker 1: between doctor Oz and a hedge fund manager. Awesome. And
Speaker 1: do you want to guess who Trump endorsed between the
Speaker 1: hedge fund manister and the and the good doctor, It's
Speaker 1: got to be doctor Oz. Yes, of course it is.
Speaker 1: They let Doctor Oz speak at Sea Pack so immediate,
Speaker 1: which is funny because the hedge fund guy specifically went
Speaker 1: to Marlago to to like help get Trump's support, um,
Speaker 1: and then Trump endorsed the endorse good off was he
Speaker 1: was he like? Was he like, hey, like, what's your
Speaker 1: TV ratings? I don't know if you you don't have
Speaker 1: a t like you were not? Oh no, no, no.
Speaker 1: Trump is not a dumb man. He's just a very
Speaker 1: focused one and the only thing he has focused on
Speaker 1: is the same thing that Dr Oz is good at,
Speaker 1: which yes, getting um. So yeah. It's It's seemed to
Speaker 1: be kind of a toss up between these two Republican candidates.
Speaker 1: Both both are both are pretty wealthy, Both are spending
Speaker 1: millions and millions and millions of dollars um and it's
Speaker 1: it's it is. It is expected to be the most
Speaker 1: expensive race in the whole country because of the hedge
Speaker 1: fund guy, because of Dr Oz And then then the
Speaker 1: one Democrat Lieutenant Governor John fetterman Um who seems to
Speaker 1: who is raising a lot of money for on on
Speaker 1: on the the from the Democratic establishment. So yeah, um,
Speaker 1: that's that's the metal head, right. I don't know, I
Speaker 1: don't know. I want to talk about Ohio for a second,
Speaker 1: because there's been some stuff out of there that is
Speaker 1: it is because it is also open. Yeah, so it's open.
Speaker 1: And the guy he's running on the Democratic side is
Speaker 1: Tim Ryan, who's like a weirdo and like it's sort
Speaker 1: of been like on the right wing the Democratic Party
Speaker 1: for a long time. But like so Tim Brian's doing
Speaker 1: this like it's being called economic populism. Oh where okay, yeah,
Speaker 1: so let's let's out of the Yeah. So so let's
Speaker 1: let's let's let's let's let's read some Ryan quotes. China.
Speaker 1: It's definitely China. One word China. It's US versus China.
Speaker 1: This is this is his his campaign basically is lyrical genius.
Speaker 1: What are you talking about? I mean, I gotta say
Speaker 1: it seems very hinged. For one, Yeah, super hinged. It's
Speaker 1: an interesting thing because it's like, Okay, so he's trying
Speaker 1: to do the like we're gonna we're gonna do that
Speaker 1: kind of populism. We're talking about how China is like
Speaker 1: taking jobs away from the rest belt. It's also funny
Speaker 1: because he's against Medicare for all, like so like he's
Speaker 1: like he's like not like he's not actually like like
Speaker 1: like on the left aning seriously, but you know, and
Speaker 1: there's there's this whole thing like he's he's running as
Speaker 1: a NAFTA, which is interesting because like you know if
Speaker 1: in terms of populism, like Obama did run on that,
Speaker 1: like Obama ran on get on on being against NAFTA.
Speaker 1: And this is part of how we just like absolutely
Speaker 1: claw Bard's uh John McCain, but like you know, the
Speaker 1: Democrats everyone literally never do anything about that. But like, yeah,
Speaker 1: you know, but there's there's the there's this whole sort
Speaker 1: of factor here where Bryan's big thing is he's anti China,
Speaker 1: and he's anti China. He he tried to be the
Speaker 1: House speaker a mouthful times. Yeah, and there's just you
Speaker 1: know the thing that's interesting about it is is so
Speaker 1: he's getting a lot of support for the like he
Speaker 1: looks so Asian American groups in Ohio. We're like, hey,
Speaker 1: what the funk are you doing? And he was just
Speaker 1: like I yeah, I don't care um and just kept
Speaker 1: doing it. And and it's interesting because there's this sort
Speaker 1: of like he's getting a lot of support from like
Speaker 1: Republicans for this, Like you'll there's there's been a lot
Speaker 1: of columns from sort of Republican columnists who are like, wow,
Speaker 1: I'm pro free trade, but also like this whole opposing
Speaker 1: China thing is good, and I think it's there there's
Speaker 1: an interesting dynamic going on here where you have this
Speaker 1: like that this is a very very old tradition in
Speaker 1: American I guess you could call it American labor of
Speaker 1: there being this kind of like, well, okay, so the
Speaker 1: solution to all of reconic problems is that China is
Speaker 1: taking our jobs away. I mean, like you can see
Speaker 1: this like literally in the eight hundreds, this was happening.
Speaker 1: And you know what happened in the eight hundred was
Speaker 1: that they ethnically cleansed the entire West coast and like
Speaker 1: most of the the sun Bolt States yeah, so like that, Yeah,
Speaker 1: you know, a lot of stas mining going on. The Yeah,
Speaker 1: this is they just like ethnically cleansed all the Asian
Speaker 1: people out. And you know, this is I think worrying
Speaker 1: in a lot of ways. It's the Democrats so far
Speaker 1: haven't really gone as hard on this as they were
Speaker 1: going in. But this kind of stuff gets really really bad,
Speaker 1: really quickly. And you know, okay, like the worst the
Speaker 1: anti aition violence has been largely colinivirus stuff. But like
Speaker 1: if you go back to the eighties when this exact
Speaker 1: same thing was happening with Japan, that got really really
Speaker 1: bad very quickly. People got murdered. Um, yeah, a lot
Speaker 1: of psychocrip and books were written with blots that are
Speaker 1: very racist now in retrospective, and you know, and I
Speaker 1: think I think it's important to remind people that, like,
Speaker 1: you know, like, yeah, they're like there there were a
Speaker 1: lot of jobs that got moved from the US to China,
Speaker 1: and that happened because corporations were trying to find a
Speaker 1: where we're where we're you know, like this this is
Speaker 1: the thing that corporations did not like the Chinese people.
Speaker 1: And the other part of the reason it happened was
Speaker 1: that the Chinese government fucking murdered, like literally, like just
Speaker 1: machine guns a bunch of trade unionists outside of Tieneman,
Speaker 1: and you know that, like that that had the effectors
Speaker 1: just like shattering whatever sort of left of the Chinese organization,
Speaker 1: the Chinese working class. And so the factory worker in
Speaker 1: China who is making like if they're lucky, maybe like
Speaker 1: sixteen dollars a year, is not your enemy, despite what
Speaker 1: fucking Tim Ryan and all these assholes are are trying
Speaker 1: to tell you. It's that's it's just it's just it's
Speaker 1: it's not true. And the reason they're doing this is
Speaker 1: because they're trying to get you to not look at
Speaker 1: the people who are actually stealing all your money. So
Speaker 1: he also seems pretty pro cop. Yeah he sucks. Oh,
Speaker 1: the Democrats are all pro cop. Now we have completely
Speaker 1: turned turned around on that one. They were only anti
Speaker 1: cop for eleven minutes. In what everyone was was scared
Speaker 1: that things were going to go Minneapolis in a lot
Speaker 1: more places. The in that eleven minutes was when Nancy
Speaker 1: Polis that eleven minutes ruled, though not that part of it,
Speaker 1: but a lot of parts of that part. That part
Speaker 1: when when when the CEO of Target had to come
Speaker 1: out and be like, it's cool if people, Yeah, that
Speaker 1: was maybe the peak, you know. And I will say
Speaker 1: this if if you if you want that back, you
Speaker 1: can do it again. You just have to you just
Speaker 1: have to burn a bunch of police stations and riot
Speaker 1: and lute things. So yeah, someone that that's a thing
Speaker 1: that could happen and if it were could happen here,
Speaker 1: has happen here. That is the bit. I hope that
Speaker 1: Georgia doesn't flip. Yeah, let's let's talk about let's talk
Speaker 1: about let's talk about Georgia. Talk about Georgia, because yeah,
Speaker 1: we got Raphael Uh that's what. Yeah, is it running
Speaker 1: for his first full term after winning the special election
Speaker 1: last year. UM, so yeah, he's obviously trying to trying to,
Speaker 1: like since since Biden barely barely won Georgia in the
Speaker 1: in the last election, trying to kind of ride off
Speaker 1: of that that energy. But Biden's approval everywhere nationally, but
Speaker 1: in Georgia his approval is taken quite the nose dive
Speaker 1: um with like only like saying he they approve of
Speaker 1: Biden's performance on the job, um and then on the
Speaker 1: on the Republican side. We got the guy leading the
Speaker 1: race is a formal former and NFL running back, Herschel Walker.
Speaker 1: Um so he he has he has, he has Trump's endorsement.
Speaker 1: Um so he's trying to trying to run off that.
Speaker 1: But he's he's pretty new, So it's kind of he's on,
Speaker 1: he's more, he's more, he's it's it's unclear because he
Speaker 1: doesn't have a lot of political background, so who knows
Speaker 1: what's gonna what's gonna, what's gonna happen there? Um. Well,
Speaker 1: and it's also one of the reasons why we're not
Speaker 1: one is that while as has been shown, people in
Speaker 1: his district aren't big fans of Biden, they just really
Speaker 1: were tired of Donald Trump. So it is kind of
Speaker 1: a question as to like, well, what is the degree
Speaker 1: to which trump endorsement's got a matter a ton in
Speaker 1: this because the fact that they're now don't like Biden
Speaker 1: very much does not necessarily mean they're less exhausted at
Speaker 1: the thought of a Trump type guy coming in again.
Speaker 1: So another and another rice it's open is actually North Carolina,
Speaker 1: um which is which which is intriguing? Um So that's uh, why, well,
Speaker 1: North Carolina has always had a pretty a reasonably prominent left,
Speaker 1: Like it gets kind of like loved in by Democrats,
Speaker 1: is like a right wing state, but it's not. I mean,
Speaker 1: there's certainly strong elements of that. There's a lot going
Speaker 1: on in North Carolina. Yeah. I mean the person that
Speaker 1: they're they're trying to run is uh is a Cherry Beasley,
Speaker 1: which is the first black woman to serve as a
Speaker 1: chief justice on the state Supreme Court. Um. So she
Speaker 1: will probably when the primary Republicans are still flip flopping
Speaker 1: between their Trump back to candidate UM and the former
Speaker 1: governor Pat mccruary. UM. So it's that's that's still still
Speaker 1: kind of retiring, is it is it? Uh? Yeah, Richard
Speaker 1: Burr is retiring Republican Richard. So yeah, it seems like
Speaker 1: Republicans don't really think Cherry Viasley is going to be
Speaker 1: much of a threat. Um. And again Biden's appropriating is
Speaker 1: also nose diving at around UM. So it's it's the
Speaker 1: Democrats they can just hopefully hopefully wish that there's because
Speaker 1: of the vote is so split on the on the
Speaker 1: Republican side, if they can stoke stoke, stoke divisions there
Speaker 1: and just go spy, but they don't seem to be
Speaker 1: doing much much work in North Carolina actually in terms
Speaker 1: of trying to like a gain ground. So yeah, yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: it's because again, like the primary is going to be
Speaker 1: in May, so it's there's there's enough time to get
Speaker 1: support behind one Republican candidate. So let's see. I don't
Speaker 1: I think that's all of the ones that are open races.
Speaker 1: But we also got more more stuff like in like
Speaker 1: a Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona, Florida, Florida. But oh yeah, flow Ride.
Speaker 1: I won a twenty two in the Eurovision Awards representing
Speaker 1: San Marino. Back in it's Rubio seat. That it is Rubio. Yes,
Speaker 1: that would be so fun. I would like I do
Speaker 1: enjoy the thought of bad things happening tomorrow. That would
Speaker 1: be so fun. Yeah. Currently Rubio is leading in the polls,
Speaker 1: but it's not it's not uh, it isn't above it
Speaker 1: is so it is, it's it's pretty, it's still it's
Speaker 1: it's close. But I'm not gonna get let down by Florida.
Speaker 1: I refuse never expect good things from Florida or Texas. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that is that is the general rule. And never count
Speaker 1: out North Carolina. Uh yeah, sure, as a Texan, do
Speaker 1: count out Texas. Look if it happens, if and it's
Speaker 1: good that that'll be lovely, but don't don't hinge your
Speaker 1: mental health on it. Well, um, do you know what?
Speaker 1: You should hinge your mental health on the products and
Speaker 1: services that support this podcast? That is right, Robert, You
Speaker 1: guys a little bit too literal to our major advertiser, Garrison.
Speaker 1: That's why I did it. I also hope Rubio gets kicked. Sophie, Oh,
Speaker 1: welcome back. We're talking about the thing. I was just
Speaker 1: gonna make threats of violence against an last sitting representative.
Speaker 1: But that is one of our favorite things, isn't It
Speaker 1: is one of our favorite things. That's why we're launching
Speaker 1: a new podcast, the Actionable Threats against Congressman Cast. Do
Speaker 1: we know anything about the person who is running against Rubia?
Speaker 1: Do they have a chance? Do they have a chance?
Speaker 1: That is a good question to so, probably not. But
Speaker 1: because you can't rely on Floridas val val Val Demmings
Speaker 1: is waging the fight against against Rubio. Um, and uh,
Speaker 1: it looks like the funding is actually pretty pretty pretty
Speaker 1: similar in terms of both having around twenty million dollars
Speaker 1: in funding. Um, but there is a lot of other
Speaker 1: Democratic challengers. Uh, there's but I mean the Demmings is
Speaker 1: the one that's going to do it, but there's a
Speaker 1: shocking amount of others. Like there's still like other millions
Speaker 1: of dollars getting spent on other challengers which are not
Speaker 1: going to succeed. Again, great, great, great way to do democracy. Yeah,
Speaker 1: we really have it locked down. Um. It is cool
Speaker 1: that Santa Claus is running for governor of Alaska and
Speaker 1: see they have a first past the post system. I
Speaker 1: think he's running for governor. Yeah, Santa Claus is. Yeah,
Speaker 1: there's a I who's the mayor of the North Pole,
Speaker 1: which is a town in Alaska, who legally changed his
Speaker 1: name to Santa Claus. That's funny. You know, he's a
Speaker 1: big Bernie supporter. That is that? Okay, that's pretty rad.
Speaker 1: It is pretty too, because I know Santa Claus has
Speaker 1: been doing more more acting recently. So yes, I mean,
Speaker 1: I can't wait to see the new crash More film.
Speaker 1: I'm pretty excited about as well. Vote for Santa, vote
Speaker 1: for dun le Vy, vote for Santa. Yeah. So what
Speaker 1: do we what do we do we? The other thing
Speaker 1: I wanted to mention is that. Um, is that in
Speaker 1: terms of like, you know, the other recurring bit we've
Speaker 1: been having is, uh, people thinking that elections aren't actually real. Um,
Speaker 1: A fun bit. So we have only forty seven percent
Speaker 1: of Republicans are confident that the midterms will be conducted
Speaker 1: fairly and accurately. Um. So that's less than half. That's
Speaker 1: that you know, what that is is a recipe for stability.
Speaker 1: That's less that have compared to seventies six percent of
Speaker 1: Democrats who think they will be fair and accurate. Um. Yeah.
Speaker 1: But also it's not going to be a problem. Also,
Speaker 1: Republicans are more sure that everyone who wants to vote
Speaker 1: will be able to They just don't think the votes
Speaker 1: will be counted verse, but they think everyone who has
Speaker 1: access to voting is can do it easily, when as
Speaker 1: Democrats say that voting access is more of an issue
Speaker 1: that actually could impact elections. Um, which is you know,
Speaker 1: if you actually look at stuff, is actually true. Um. Yes, yeah,
Speaker 1: it's that we have we have one of the like
Speaker 1: the fact that our elections are ran by volunteers is
Speaker 1: like one of the most absolutely bad ship things on Earth.
Speaker 1: It's it's low key and existential threat to everybody listening
Speaker 1: to this, Yeah, and I mean it's and you know,
Speaker 1: and this is one of the things I would say
Speaker 1: about sort of electoralisms, and like every every single you
Speaker 1: probably won't hear about it that much this year because
Speaker 1: it's not a presidential election, but every single time there's
Speaker 1: there's a there's a national presidential election, there's a bunch
Speaker 1: of stories about how a bunch of people waited in
Speaker 1: lines for fucking seven hours because there weren't enough stations,
Speaker 1: they didn't set them up in the right places, and
Speaker 1: nothing ever will literally will ever be done about this.
Speaker 1: This has been like I I remember, I remember stories
Speaker 1: about this when I was like ten, and it is.
Speaker 1: It will never change, nothing will ever be done about it.
Speaker 1: Every single time that happens, people say that they're going
Speaker 1: to do stuff about it, and they don't. And yet
Speaker 1: so that's that's fun. The elections are kind of pre
Speaker 1: rigged already, further fun, kind of staddy things to help with,
Speaker 1: to help with trying to you know, get the temperature
Speaker 1: of the room. So about half of white voters say
Speaker 1: that they would vote for a Republican candidate say that
Speaker 1: they will vote Democrat. Uh, I know, I talked I
Speaker 1: mentioned this briefly of women aged fifteen up say that
Speaker 1: the economy is not working well, um, and that's going
Speaker 1: to strongly impact their their electoral choices. And this is
Speaker 1: what a lot of people are kind of looking towards
Speaker 1: in terms of indications of how they're going to vote
Speaker 1: and how results could be in the end. Is like
Speaker 1: you know, older, older women who are gen X and
Speaker 1: UM and UM and boomer women are seemed to be
Speaker 1: kind of the people to go after at the moment um. So, yeah,
Speaker 1: say that they don't like the economy and it's not
Speaker 1: working well. That's up from seventy Sorry, that's up from
Speaker 1: um and it's it's most of its around like day
Speaker 1: most of it's around like day to day budgets. Uh.
Speaker 1: So that's that's that's good. That's uh. That's an interesting
Speaker 1: thing in terms of how how propaganda can be shifted
Speaker 1: around that we know we've even seen that around like
Speaker 1: the war in Ukraine with like with like gas prices
Speaker 1: and stuff. We have in terms of back to how
Speaker 1: kind of looking at looking at people of what race
Speaker 1: is generally turning towards what what thing? Yeah, so over
Speaker 1: half say they do Republicans about a third say they
Speaker 1: vote for Democrats if if if they are white. On contrast,
Speaker 1: we got like a larger majority of black voters saying
Speaker 1: that they prefer the Democratic candidates seven percent for Republican.
Speaker 1: Asian voters prefer Democrat over Republican uh from about like
Speaker 1: a tweeter one ratio, which is a seven and Hispanic
Speaker 1: voters also favored Democrats at about Republicans have about eight
Speaker 1: percent UM. And the other interesting and other interesting stat
Speaker 1: pulled from a Pew Research Center is that seventy percent
Speaker 1: of Republicans agree that party control of of of the
Speaker 1: House and Senate is an important factor, but only sixty
Speaker 1: percent of Democrats believe that, So that means of Democrats
Speaker 1: don't think that the House and Senate's important um which
Speaker 1: is a little wacky, which is also a down from
Speaker 1: seven points because uh in in the same in this
Speaker 1: under the same question, sixty seven percent of of of
Speaker 1: Democrats said that they valued House, House and Senate control,
Speaker 1: so that is so that that is down by almost
Speaker 1: ten percent. Meanwhile, the Republican percentage points of that question
Speaker 1: have has turned it upwards, which makes sense because of
Speaker 1: you know, whoever's affecting who's ever in the executive branch,
Speaker 1: we'll we'll say, oh yeah, it's less important for the
Speaker 1: House and Senate, right, so Trump say it's it's less
Speaker 1: important now to them, it's more important, you know. And
Speaker 1: I also think with the Democrats there's an angle of
Speaker 1: this which is like, okay, so we gave them power
Speaker 1: for two years and they did kind of nothing. Yeah,
Speaker 1: like it feels like nothing like they well, actually that's
Speaker 1: that's not true. They gave they gave police more money.
Speaker 1: They gave they gave the Pentagon lots and lots of
Speaker 1: more money, the most about of money ever, largest budget ever,
Speaker 1: largest ice budget. With global warming, we're gonna need more ice, y'all, like,
Speaker 1: come on, come on, uh huh. I'm sure that was it.
Speaker 1: That was the joke. That's the joke. Temperature joke, yes,
Speaker 1: I underst and it's also a climate refugee joke though.
Speaker 1: Oh double double meanings, so we call it double on. Tom,
Speaker 1: got that that's how you pronounced the French garrison. But yeah,
Speaker 1: it's only se of female voters age have decided who
Speaker 1: they're going to vote for in November. Um, so that
Speaker 1: is wacky. With so many good choices, how could they
Speaker 1: not know. So, yeah, they're really they're really really trying
Speaker 1: to pull from there. And where do women over fifty
Speaker 1: spend a lot of time on? Typically face Facebook dot com. Um,
Speaker 1: so yeah, Facebook is Facebook and the GOP are really
Speaker 1: trying to do a lot of stuff to influence elections
Speaker 1: right now. As we detailed in our last episode around
Speaker 1: around Facebook and the GOP funding all of the anti
Speaker 1: TikTok stuff and funding all the pro Facebook stuff. They
Speaker 1: really want people to be on Facebook because it turns
Speaker 1: out that's how they spread their propaganda the best. Um
Speaker 1: and yeah, specifically with women age over fifty, that's like
Speaker 1: the prime demographic for Facebook. So neat uh yeah, anyway,
Speaker 1: that is a that is a lot of the h
Speaker 1: a lot of the election notes that I had because
Speaker 1: again I am as I keep up with all of
Speaker 1: the electoralisms. Basically every day I wake up, every morning,
Speaker 1: I go to I go to that one polling website, um,
Speaker 1: and I find you text the word vote every single morning. Always,
Speaker 1: always here's what's weird? Always using a different phone, tell us,
Speaker 1: tell us the truth. But yeah, that it's not that
Speaker 1: they're a pholster. It's that one day Nate Silver woke
Speaker 1: up with a splitting headache and Garrison leapt fully formed
Speaker 1: out of a hole in the side of his skull.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean in terms of all of the
Speaker 1: anti trend stuff that it's actually worth focusing on obvious
Speaker 1: the Ice really really depressing in terms of by the
Speaker 1: getting an office and giving Ice millions and millions of
Speaker 1: more dollars. You're like, great, um, but you know, it
Speaker 1: seems like if more Democrats are in office right now,
Speaker 1: it seems like that will make life slightly easier for
Speaker 1: trans people. So that is it's you know, it's the
Speaker 1: thing you always have to accept with our democracy, which
Speaker 1: is that it's foolish to say that the elections don't matter,
Speaker 1: because they do because, for example, price caps on insulin
Speaker 1: or not passing more laws to make life a nightmare
Speaker 1: for trans people really does matter. But certain horrible things
Speaker 1: like the continued dominance of extractive industries that are pushing
Speaker 1: us towards climate disaster or uh, the expansion of the
Speaker 1: car Serile state, and militarized policing in many different forms,
Speaker 1: in the militarization of the border that's gonna keep right
Speaker 1: on trucking no matter who's in charge, and the elections
Speaker 1: don't matter for that so far. Maybe someday they will,
Speaker 1: but I'd have to see it happen, you know, I do.
Speaker 1: I do. Got good news for you, though, is that
Speaker 1: the White House is launching a new TikTok campaign and
Speaker 1: it already has a hundred followers. After like, why don't
Speaker 1: you why don't you refresh that TikTok aarson, Let's see
Speaker 1: how much they've gained since we started this episode. I
Speaker 1: want to see what they're up to give me because
Speaker 1: I'm curious if I've gained more followers on Twitter on
Speaker 1: TikTok at this period of time. I'm checking, I'm checking,
Speaker 1: I'm checking. All right, here we go, I'm going to
Speaker 1: do it. Um. The the account is called building Back Together,
Speaker 1: so already pretty catchy. Um. How do they keep making
Speaker 1: these phrases worse? I know they cannot. Oh, they are
Speaker 1: actually up since so the the last news article I
Speaker 1: looked at, they had ninety four followers. Now they're up
Speaker 1: to a thousand and eight hundred. Okay, so no, thanks
Speaker 1: for going better, Biden an apology. I think I think
Speaker 1: we got this. I think we got it. This is
Speaker 1: a good side anyway. I mean, there's a good there's
Speaker 1: an article about the uh, the millennial whisper or something like,
Speaker 1: oh wait no, sorry, it's DIM's turn to gen Z
Speaker 1: whisper to show her up support. An article from a
Speaker 1: day ago from Real Clear Politics. Um, that's that's that's
Speaker 1: that's fun. You know what, you know what Biden has
Speaker 1: to do. Bide has to get Mr Beast on the
Speaker 1: job and start making those politic and then I think,
Speaker 1: I think, I think, I think we'll have this one
Speaker 1: in the bag. Um yeah, I mean, Garrison, just based
Speaker 1: on my knowledge of you, the main thing that Joseph
Speaker 1: Biden could do to to prop up gen Z support
Speaker 1: is to just start air dropping hormones uh to whoever
Speaker 1: wants them. I think air dropped hormones an air dropped money,
Speaker 1: it would be the way to go. You could appeal
Speaker 1: to the right by giving them h g H. There's
Speaker 1: a lot of options here, Like, it doesn't have to
Speaker 1: be just one. Everybody likes some kind of hormone, you know,
Speaker 1: hormones for all, hormones for all steroids and estrogen for everybody.
Speaker 1: Well yeah, I mean like in terms of things that
Speaker 1: Biden could do to actually gains to actually get stuff
Speaker 1: to do get to like get enough support, is that
Speaker 1: he can start doing executive orders that actually do are
Speaker 1: that actually are helpful. Um, he could, they we could,
Speaker 1: we could. They can really start rallying around the marijuana
Speaker 1: legalization bill. Um, Like they're like, hey, if you vote
Speaker 1: for Democrats in the Senate, we can pass this thing.
Speaker 1: But we need to have more Democrats in the side.
Speaker 1: Like they could do that, they could campaign, they could
Speaker 1: actually do things, but they're not. He could, he could.
Speaker 1: He could order the d e A to reschedule cannabis.
Speaker 1: That is a thing that the president can do. Um.
Speaker 1: He can do more stimulus checks. He can do a
Speaker 1: whole bunch of stuff. He could forgive a bunch of
Speaker 1: student loan that just honestly, making tangible progress on federal
Speaker 1: decriminalization of Marina and forgiving a bunch of student debt
Speaker 1: uh in the time left before the mid terms would
Speaker 1: be enough that it would be a lot harder for
Speaker 1: people to say Joe Biden didn't do anything. There is
Speaker 1: ways to counter the arguments people are going to make
Speaker 1: the show, and by god, some of them are easy.
Speaker 1: Pot is a real, real free free space. I most
Speaker 1: of my family are like super right wing and absolutely
Speaker 1: none of them support marijuana being illegal anymore. Most of
Speaker 1: them now smoke pot like it's like, you can make
Speaker 1: this happen. Joe, Unfortunately, the presidents of the United States
Speaker 1: is the man who wrote, who wrote planned Colombia, so
Speaker 1: oh just parts of it. Come on. He claimed responsibility
Speaker 1: for all of it. He did, he shire, he really did.
Speaker 1: Know we're talking about it's super funny. Um, not about
Speaker 1: all the deaths, because a lot of people died. But
Speaker 1: so that is our that's our little rundown on the
Speaker 1: terms as it stands at this moment, they're still is
Speaker 1: primaries happening. Obviously that's gonna keep going. But yeah, if
Speaker 1: if if, if, if, if the Democrats actually want to
Speaker 1: stay in office, which I'm not serious they actually do,
Speaker 1: but but if they do, they could actually just start
Speaker 1: doing things, um, things that are not hard. That would
Speaker 1: that would that would that would actually, you know, if
Speaker 1: you want young people to vote for you, maybe you
Speaker 1: could give them drugs, whether that be estrogen or weed,
Speaker 1: and that might be excited Joe Biden's famous saying vote
Speaker 1: out with your scrots out. It could happen. Here is
Speaker 1: a production of cool Zone Media. For more podcasts from
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Speaker 1: find sources for It could happen here, Updated monthly at
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