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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

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Speaker 2: Do us prout read a lot? They're up for running

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Speaker 2: a game so smooth, so sweet, splendid.

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Speaker 3: Six sing just glorious.

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Speaker 4: Ex procution, guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent

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Speaker 4: effort four thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 3: How shot with that shop of mind?

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Speaker 2: Good buddy, And that's why you see nor beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 2: Look at his movements the most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody picture them. Shut up.

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Speaker 3: I'm trying.

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Speaker 1: The wall.

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Speaker 2: It's left too.

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Speaker 1: The wide eyed drill pibus, how old Earth pick that happens?

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Speaker 4: Hello everybody, Welcome back to Wonderful, the soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 4: from the Action Network. My name is Michael lebuff and

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Speaker 4: joining me for this World Cup preview, the first of

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Speaker 4: four World Cup previews that we'll do.

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Speaker 2: This one will be groups ABC and D.

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Speaker 4: Then we'll do EFG and H in a separate podcast,

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Speaker 4: look at player futures in our third podcast, and then

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Speaker 4: do a Team USA deep dive in our fourth podcast.

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Speaker 4: Joining me for these are my co host and friends

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Speaker 4: Anthony Dbundo and BJ Cunningham. But before I bring them in,

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Speaker 4: just a quick reminder. Wonder Goal is presented by bet

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Speaker 4: three six five, the world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up

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Speaker 4: with promo code action to get Bet three six fives

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Speaker 4: exclusive sign up offer in New Jersey and Colorado. Bet

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Speaker 4: one dollar on any game, get two hundred free. All right,

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Speaker 4: let's start with Group A. Seems a logical place to start.

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Speaker 4: Four teams here. Netherlands their odds on minus two to

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Speaker 4: twenty five to win the group. Ecuador are now the

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Speaker 4: second favorite to win at four to one. Senegalf five

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Speaker 4: to one. They drifted a little bit after the Sadiomana

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Speaker 4: injury news and Qatar the hosts are sixteen to one.

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Speaker 4: Quick note, we recorded a Group A preview, then Sadiomana

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Speaker 4: got hurt right after we did that, so we are

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Speaker 4: redoing it. The news is out that Mane will likely

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Speaker 4: miss a lot of the World Cup after getting hurt

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Speaker 4: with Bayron Munich, which changes everything. Bja, it changes everything.

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Speaker 4: You liked Senegal, now you don't.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, for those who don't know, I had

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Speaker 1: a Senegal five hundred to one ticket that I bet

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Speaker 1: last October that is now dead and it was a

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Speaker 1: fun year.

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Speaker 2: I guess that we got to this point.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I was the way I was going to

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Speaker 1: attack this group is I was going to essentially try

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Speaker 1: and place Senegal after the first match against the Netherlands

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Speaker 1: because they were obviously pretty significant underdogs. We like Netherlands

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Speaker 1: as a team potentially make to the quarterfinals. Semis didn't

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Speaker 1: playing much better under Louis van Hall no longer Frank

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Speaker 1: Debor in charge, which is a big plus for them.

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Speaker 1: But now I'm going to attack this group a little

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Speaker 1: different way. I think that there's a good hedge opportunity

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Speaker 1: you can do after the.

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Speaker 2: First round of matches. So I really I like guitar

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Speaker 2: in the.

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Speaker 1: First match against Ecuador, and I think it's a horrible

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Speaker 1: spot for Ecuador guitar. For those who don't know, all

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Speaker 1: of their players playing the Katari Stars League, which went

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Speaker 1: on pause on September fourteen, But not only that, all

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Speaker 1: of their players have not featured for their club this season,

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Speaker 1: so they've been in three different phases of training gearing

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Speaker 1: up for this World Cup on home. So that's a

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Speaker 1: lot of time, a lot of preparation, and a lot

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Speaker 1: of rest. While Ecuador, all of their players are coming

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Speaker 1: into Guitar from all over the country and they have

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Speaker 1: seven days to prepare for this World Cup. So what

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Speaker 1: I like is a Netherlands guitar dual forecast first second,

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Speaker 1: which is currently sitting up plus six point fifty at

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Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five.

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Speaker 2: Guitar.

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Speaker 1: Listen, they're not going to have the talent that any

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Speaker 1: other team is gonna happen the tournament.

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Speaker 2: Like I'd say, talent wise, they're they're probably one of

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Speaker 2: the worst.

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Speaker 1: Maybe them are Costa Rica, but they've been playing together

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Speaker 1: for a really long time. They you know, their starting

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Speaker 1: lineup has over one thousand international caps. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: they've been training together forever. They'll be well drilled. They

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Speaker 1: typically play out of a five to three to two.

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Speaker 1: So what Ecuador likes to do is get down the

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Speaker 1: wings with Stupidan and their other fullbacks and create a

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Speaker 1: lot of stuff with crosses into the box.

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Speaker 2: Guitar. Will have plenty of defenders for that. You know.

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Speaker 1: They obviously play the United States in the Gold Cup

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Speaker 1: two summers ago, and they played them pretty even in

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Speaker 1: the semifinals. It wasn't for a late US goal. And

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Speaker 1: now I understand the US played you know, essentially a

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Speaker 1: B squad for that lineup, but still it highlights that

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Speaker 1: this Katari team is well drilled and they know the

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Speaker 1: tactics they want to play.

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Speaker 2: They can sit well, sit deep in a low block,

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Speaker 2: and they do.

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Speaker 1: Have a lot of pace going forward on the counter

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Speaker 1: attack and can exploit Ecuador for that. So I think

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Speaker 1: there's a good opportunity for Netherlands finished first, Gatar to

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Speaker 1: finish second, and then after the first round of matches,

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Speaker 1: if everything goes according to plan, Guitar pulls off the

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Speaker 1: upset Netherlands beats Senegal, you'll have a good hedge opportunity

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Speaker 1: on either Senegal or Ecuador potentially in that final match,

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Speaker 1: because they play against each other.

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Speaker 4: Generally speaking, I like Ecuador. I think that they're an

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Speaker 4: interesting sleeper. Are they going to win the World Cup? No,

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Speaker 4: they're like two hundred to one. But I like these

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Speaker 4: Cononabile teams generally. The Conmobile qualifying process is so much

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Speaker 4: tougher than most of the other ones. You think about

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Speaker 4: the European qualifying, you'll have teams like San Marino or

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Speaker 4: the Faroe Islands in groups. In South America, it's everybody's

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Speaker 4: relatively good, and you're going to hostile environments. You're playing

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Speaker 4: really important games with your national team all the time.

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Speaker 4: There's really no soft part in the calendar because they're

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Speaker 4: either playing World Cup qualifying or they're playing Copa America matches,

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Speaker 4: and that stuff really really matters to these teams. I

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Speaker 4: like Ecuador to be able to handle the weird conditions

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Speaker 4: of this Qatar match. And yeah, I'll stop myself right

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Speaker 4: now and say, do I trust that this game is

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Speaker 4: going to be played on the up and up? I

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Speaker 4: can't say it with confidence right like this, They moved

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Speaker 4: this match up a day. They moved the entire tournament

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Speaker 4: up a day so Katar could play in their own

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Speaker 4: kind of primetime spot on opening match. And you think

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Speaker 4: about that, it sounds like a little bit of like

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Speaker 4: a little deal. Oh, they just move one match up

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Speaker 4: one day for the host. Like, think about all the

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Speaker 4: ecuador fans that then had to change there, their travel

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Speaker 4: and all that stuff. So if with FIFA's willing to

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Speaker 4: do that, who knows how far they're willing to go.

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Speaker 4: We all know the circumstances of this World Cup to

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Speaker 4: begin with, But in a vacuum, I mean, Ecuador still

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Speaker 4: with all that going on, is the favorite to win

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Speaker 4: that match. With Senegal now looking a much weaker without Mane,

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Speaker 4: the path opens up for Ecuador to maybe nip this group. Like,

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Speaker 4: if they can get a three points, getst guitar, they're

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Speaker 4: in a really good spot to get through.

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Speaker 5: Sure they might.

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Speaker 4: Play England in the next round, but I'm not as

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Speaker 4: high on England.

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Speaker 2: As as Bija is.

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Speaker 4: I think that they're maybe a little more vulnerable than

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Speaker 4: the market suggests. And bj will tell you that he

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Speaker 4: thinks they're invincible. Football's coming home. But I just I

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Speaker 4: think that this team can make a run. However you

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Speaker 4: want to play that go right ahead, whether it's tempt

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Speaker 4: to advance, to upset and win the group, if you

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Speaker 4: want to play them to make the quarterfinal, semi finals. However,

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Speaker 4: I think Ecuador, with Mois's Casado in the middle, his

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Speaker 4: two brightoned teammates Sarmiento and at Stupagnan alongside with him,

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Speaker 4: and a team that's played together for a long time,

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Speaker 4: you know, headlined by former Everton legend or Valencia top

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Speaker 4: at the top, they're going to be tough to deal with.

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Speaker 5: Is saying.

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Speaker 4: These South American sides always are, they always are cohesive.

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Speaker 5: There's good chemistry Ecuador.

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Speaker 4: You know, I'm sure everyone knows this, but a lot

157
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Speaker 4: of these players come through the independente system, so like

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Speaker 4: they're all kind of played together as kids and come

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Speaker 4: up through that academy and then they go off to Europe,

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Speaker 4: mostly to Brighton, So I trust them. I'm a little

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Speaker 4: scared of Qatar's a little scared of FIFA. We all

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Speaker 4: should be scared of FIFA.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, one thing I'll say, Michael, is that only

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Speaker 1: once in World Cup history has the host country not

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Speaker 1: gotten right, and it was.

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Speaker 2: You know, it was a bad team. Yeah, it was

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Speaker 2: the only it was South Africa, so bad. But look

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Speaker 2: at their group.

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Speaker 1: Very different circumstances, right, because guitar has never been in

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Speaker 1: the World Cup. It's a very small nation, so you know,

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Speaker 1: that kind of throw that out the window, but it

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Speaker 1: just kind of highlights you know, obviously the two thousand

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Speaker 1: and two World Cup, all the stuff they did with

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Speaker 1: South Korea to get them into the Semis was insane.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, so nefarious stuff seems to happen for the

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Speaker 1: host ing right type of Yeah, And that's saying yeah,

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Speaker 1: not saying you need to completely buy into that, but

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Speaker 1: I just know that in the back of your habit

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Speaker 1: that it can happen.

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Speaker 5: Yes, Yeah, definitely.

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Speaker 4: The host nation thing I think gets a little overblown

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Speaker 4: when you think about it, because it's mostly been really

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Speaker 4: good football nations that opposed to back then. The one

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Speaker 4: that wasn't was South Africa, and then you could say, okay,

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Speaker 4: what about Russia. Russia's group in twenty eighteen was Saudi Arabia,

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Speaker 4: Egypt and Uruguay, so a little bit a soft schedule.

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Speaker 4: I wonder what if the ping pong well speaking of

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Speaker 4: FIFA being the farious, if the ping pong Wells were

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Speaker 4: a little frozen there. But yeah, I liked Ecuador generally

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Speaker 4: in this group. Anthony, you are going a little more choky. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I think the Dutch don't have a ton of problems

192
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Speaker 3: in this group. I think generally coming into this tournament

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Speaker 3: we're a little bit low on the Dutch, or at

194
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Speaker 3: least the market is. I think that they're pretty comparable

195
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Speaker 3: on a talent perspective to some of the top teams

196
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Speaker 3: in this tournament. And I think a lot of that

197
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Speaker 3: has to do with the breakout season that Cody Gakpo's

198
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Speaker 3: having at PSV. He's been incredible, one of the best

199
00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:58,280
Speaker 3: young players in Europe, entering that peak age where you'd

200
00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:00,840
Speaker 3: expect him to take the leap, and he has Memphis

201
00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,920
Speaker 3: de Pie They've solved their manager problem with Frank Deboorer

202
00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:07,920
Speaker 3: leaving and now Louis von Hall returning, and he I

203
00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:09,840
Speaker 3: don't think he's some elite manager, but he's clearly a

204
00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:11,959
Speaker 3: good one. They're in great form coming into this tournament.

205
00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:15,400
Speaker 3: They played really well in the Nations League, dominant in

206
00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:16,959
Speaker 3: a lot of ways in the Nation's League. I think

207
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Speaker 3: this Dutch team is underrated. They have a lot of

208
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Speaker 3: really good passers. Virgil van Dyke didn't play the Euros

209
00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:23,160
Speaker 3: last year. He'll be in this tournament. So there's a

210
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Speaker 3: lot of reasons to like, you know, this Dutch team,

211
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Speaker 3: and now that senegal loses their best attacker, I think

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Speaker 3: Senegal's threat to them is a little.

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Speaker 2: Bit more muted.

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Speaker 3: That being said, I still think Senegal is the second

215
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Speaker 3: best team here whose ideas having a great season at

216
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Speaker 3: Sournitana been excellent forward for them and Smilasar we know

217
00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,320
Speaker 3: how dangerous he can be in transition. We've seen him

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00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:46,760
Speaker 3: you know, in space at Watford and how effective he

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Speaker 3: can be, especially in counterattacking. And they have I think

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Speaker 3: that clearly the best midfield here with the two Mandy's

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Speaker 3: and so I think and Ghanagay so like they have

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Speaker 3: a good team, solid in the midfield, solid defensive, legal

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Speaker 3: BALI like, there's not a lot of holes in this team,

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Speaker 3: and therefore I think that they're going to be the

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Speaker 3: second team. But I wouldn't be shocked to see, you know,

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Speaker 3: a really tight battle for second.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to Group B.

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Speaker 4: The Three Lions are minus three hundred favorites to win

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Speaker 4: group peas.

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Speaker 3: Team in the world according to BJ, which.

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Speaker 1: Also includes the American team in the world, USA is

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Speaker 1: plus fifty five.

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Speaker 4: All right, let me uh, I'll read through those again.

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Speaker 2: England MIGHTUS three hundred to win the.

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Speaker 4: Group USA plus five fifty, Whales six to one, Iran

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Speaker 4: sixteen to one. These odds, of course, are off from

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Speaker 4: BET three sixty five.

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Speaker 2: Before we dumped.

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Speaker 4: We just dive into this one, I want to say so.

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Speaker 4: Last World Cup twenty eighteen in Russia was very chalky.

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Speaker 4: In the group stage twenty fourteen, Spain, Italy, England, Portugal

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Speaker 4: all were knocked out. Germany finished last in their group,

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Speaker 4: England finished last in their group in twenty fourteen. Usually

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Speaker 4: there's a shock, right like one team frances I think

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Speaker 4: at twenty ten, because the team revolted against De Shampster,

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Speaker 4: whoever was managing them.

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Speaker 2: It's the least things happened, Michael, right, So someone is

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Speaker 2: just going to have a dud.

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Speaker 4: And most of the time these big favorites England, Argentina, France, Netherlands, whoever,

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Speaker 4: they're going to be priced big. To finish at the bottom,

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Speaker 4: it's worth taking a shot on one of them.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if England's the one.

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Speaker 5: Just because the group doesn't set up.

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Speaker 4: I'll have another one later, but I do think there

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Speaker 4: is a little bit of value on England to miss

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Speaker 4: at eight to one, because look, they should take care

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Speaker 4: of Iran like that's their opening match. Getting them first

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Speaker 4: is a big advantage USA and Wales and basically an

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Speaker 4: elimination game. Whoever loses that will play first in Group B.

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Speaker 4: But England are just like their style of play with

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Speaker 4: Southgate is so makes them so.

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Speaker 2: Kind of welcoming to an.

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Speaker 5: Upset like they get.

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Speaker 2: They can lose to.

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Speaker 5: Wales, they can lose to the Americans. Can they lose

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Speaker 5: to a Ran Probably not, But.

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Speaker 4: Like the way they set up just doesn't play into

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Speaker 4: their strengths. They play too conservatively. We hear all about it.

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Speaker 4: There's already all this discourse about Southgate, and there's been

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Speaker 4: for basically a tech gade.

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Speaker 5: Now feels like, I just don't think they're that impressive.

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Speaker 4: They're dealing with a bunch of injuries, so bj I know,

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Speaker 4: you know, like Anthony said, this England team is basically

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Speaker 4: Brazil nineteen ninety four. To you, you think that this

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Speaker 4: is the best team ever, But I just don't see it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's fair, But the reality is is that,

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Speaker 1: you know, if England was fully healthy, obviously, if they

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Speaker 1: had Reece James, if they had Kyle Walker, you know

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Speaker 1: we'd be in ben Chowell, we'd having a different conversation.

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Speaker 1: But the reality is is that this England team has

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Speaker 1: just as much or the most talent of anybody in

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Speaker 1: this tournament. You can make an argument for Brazil, you

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Speaker 1: can make an argument for France, but England is right

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Speaker 1: up there. You look through their roster, you could say,

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Speaker 1: all right, maybe they have a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: weakness at this center back pairing. You know, Harry McGuire

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Speaker 1: has been incredibly out of form. You know, John Stones

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Speaker 1: has kind of been in and out of injuries. But

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Speaker 1: they have capable center backs who can pair alongside them,

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Speaker 1: who have a ton of experience, and you know, Luke

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Speaker 1: Shaw is obviously a capable left back, but from that

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Speaker 1: point on, from the defense on, I don't think you

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Speaker 1: can you can make an argument that England is more

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Speaker 1: stacked than anybody else in this tournament. The defensive midfield

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Speaker 1: pairing of Declan Rice and probably now Jude Bellingham is

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Speaker 1: unbelievably outstanding and is going to be able to dominate

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Speaker 1: pretty much anybody in this entire tournament, especially in this group.

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Speaker 2: Then you look forward to Kayasako.

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Speaker 1: Mason Mount who's been incredible form for Chelsea, whoever they

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Speaker 1: decide they want to play on the left, whether it

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Speaker 1: be Grealish, whether it be rahiem Sterling, and then Harry

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Speaker 1: Kane is obviously one of the best strikers in the

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Speaker 1: world up top. There is so much talent on this

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Speaker 1: squad and the reality is Michael, is that yes, they

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Speaker 1: do play conservative. They play very slow, they play very intricate,

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Speaker 1: They build out from the back, They strangle hold possession.

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Speaker 1: They didn't concede in the Euros until the Semis against Denmark.

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Speaker 1: Like this has been the best defensive team in Europe

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Speaker 1: throughout World Cup qualifying. They've only allowed five expected goals

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Speaker 1: throughout all of World Cup qualifying. I understand they've been

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Speaker 1: in a somewhat of an easy group, but this to

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Speaker 1: me is the best team in Europe. And if Europe

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Speaker 1: is essentially, you know, essentially the most the second most

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Speaker 1: difficult region, you can make an argument for Brazil. Brazil

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Speaker 1: is obviously the favorite, but I.

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Speaker 2: Love this England team. There is just way too much

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Speaker 2: talent on this squad.

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Speaker 1: I understand the overhanging, like the media and everything dropting

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Speaker 1: England is a big hoopla and everything, but they should

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Speaker 1: easily get out of this group, and that sets up

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Speaker 1: and they're really in this World Cup. You want to

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Speaker 1: be in the bottom half of the bracket like you

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Speaker 1: don't want to be in the top. So they're going

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Speaker 1: to set up essentially a second round matchup, but probably

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Speaker 1: against Senegal or Ecuador, and then they're gonna have to

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Speaker 1: play France, who will talk about in a little bit,

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Speaker 1: who I think is very vulnerable as well, and then

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Speaker 1: the bottom half of that bracket. Of the bottom half,

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Speaker 1: I mean it's Belgium, Portugal, Orguay or Switzerland. Like the

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Speaker 1: path for England here is actually quite good. The only

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Speaker 1: hiccup they have really is against France, who again I

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Speaker 1: think is very vulnerable. So the path for England here

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Speaker 1: is very very good. You know, in terms of this group,

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Speaker 1: I'm not laying minus.

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Speaker 2: Three hundred for them to win this group. I'll just

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Speaker 2: bet them individually throughout these matches.

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Speaker 1: But this in terms of this group, Michael, You're not

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Speaker 1: gonna like this, But I do like Wales to finish.

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Speaker 2: At the bottom.

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Speaker 1: Where we heard that one before was a complete and

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Speaker 1: utter luck.

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Speaker 2: Box I mean bail box, but I mean he is

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Speaker 2: so cooked like it is.

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Speaker 3: I know a lot of people in the city of

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Speaker 3: Philadelphia do not think Gareth Bale's cooking.

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Speaker 2: And it doesn't. It doesn't.

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Speaker 4: It's this isn't We're not We're not forecasting Whales over

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Speaker 4: thirty eight match season.

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Speaker 2: Like this is a team that plays.

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Speaker 4: Together really well, like they just do well in these

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Speaker 4: It's hard for us, you know, it's hard for a

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Speaker 4: lot of people. You got to remember, like handicapping a

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Speaker 4: tournament is very very different from handicapping, you know, a

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Speaker 4: long season.

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Speaker 1: So there's there's no there's not talent. They've been luck

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Speaker 1: boxing their way through the Euros. They have luck box

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Speaker 1: the way through a World qualifying I mean.

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Speaker 2: But they got through it all that they did.

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Speaker 1: But that's now we're here and they're they're just going

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Speaker 1: to be sitting back and they're two low blocks. Their

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Speaker 1: midfield right now is going to be Joe Allen and

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Speaker 1: Aaron Ramsey. Joe Allen hasn't played for Swansea yet this season.

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Speaker 1: Aaron Ramsey's completely cooked, I mean against until.

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Speaker 2: They played for Wales. Ahead heard you go back to

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Speaker 2: the Euros.

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Speaker 1: Okay, they had one good match against Turkey, who we

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Speaker 1: obviously was probably the worst team in the entire tournament.

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Speaker 1: Outside of that, they got completely dominated in every single

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Speaker 1: match they got through against Switzerland and the.

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Speaker 5: Michael.

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Speaker 1: When we get to this point and you're playing against it,

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Speaker 1: there's no way they're going to get through this group.

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Speaker 1: And the reason I love them to finish bottom of

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Speaker 1: plus thirty three thirty three is I don't really think

375
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Speaker 1: there's that much difference between them and Iran quite honestly,

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Speaker 1: because Iran is a well drilled, defensive team that's going

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Speaker 1: to sit in a four four two. Obviously, they've had

378
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Speaker 1: a lot of possession throughout Asian qualifying, but they are

379
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Speaker 1: very capable. They've been in the last two World Cups.

380
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Speaker 1: They've been in these type of situations where they have

381
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Speaker 1: to sit back in a low block. They're very capable

382
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Speaker 1: of doing so. And they have two really really good

383
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Speaker 1: strikers who can punish teams on the CA. So it's

384
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Speaker 1: really going to come down to the Wales Iran match

385
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Speaker 1: to whether Wales is actually going to finish bottom or

386
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Speaker 1: get third place in this group, because I think United

387
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Speaker 1: States should be a much more significant favorite against Wales

388
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Speaker 1: than they currently are. I mean Wales, I mean they

389
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Speaker 1: luckbox that win against Austria, they luckbox the win against

390
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Speaker 1: Ukraine and World Cup qualifying, like they scored early and

391
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Speaker 1: they just said if it is getting dominated.

392
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Speaker 2: Shop just a good tournament team.

393
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Speaker 4: That's a thing, Like it's a thing in these international tournaments,

394
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:31,960
Speaker 4: like chemistry matters. Think about these teams right they they

395
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:36,040
Speaker 4: play England looks different every two week, every international break.

396
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Speaker 4: There's different players being meshed in. You've got you know

397
00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:40,399
Speaker 4: this player is a good for him, I've a Tony's

398
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:40,840
Speaker 4: out of for him.

399
00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:42,280
Speaker 2: Where you got to switch these guys out.

400
00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:44,640
Speaker 4: There's something to be said about teams that have had

401
00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:49,080
Speaker 4: these you know, consistent groups, and this Wales team is basically.

402
00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,320
Speaker 2: Can't keep getting away with this, Michael, you can't keep

403
00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:51,880
Speaker 2: getting away.

404
00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:54,960
Speaker 4: They always with it one more time because this is

405
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:56,480
Speaker 4: it for them, right Like this is like we're not

406
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,800
Speaker 4: worried about them, you know, fifteen matches down the line

407
00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:03,080
Speaker 4: where we're just saying can they can they keep doing

408
00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:06,480
Speaker 4: what they've done for three matches, one of.

409
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Speaker 2: Which is against Whatus game.

410
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:13,719
Speaker 4: I think that I think this is this is more

411
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Speaker 4: about England missing the group. There's a there's a way

412
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:17,160
Speaker 4: for England to miss this group, and I think it's

413
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:19,359
Speaker 4: the pressure is going to be immense on England in

414
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Speaker 4: that England Wales game.

415
00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,320
Speaker 2: They Wales can kind of hang.

416
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Speaker 4: Around and almost play that like here he is our

417
00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:29,600
Speaker 4: man Diego Simioni style, Like just just kind of sit

418
00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:34,119
Speaker 4: back and use use Gareth Bale at this age what

419
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,400
Speaker 4: his best at, which is you sit back and let

420
00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:38,240
Speaker 4: him have a counter or you know, click on a

421
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,480
Speaker 4: set piece. That is a viable path to success for

422
00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:45,360
Speaker 4: this team, Like very viable in these kind of tournaments

423
00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:49,520
Speaker 4: where there's just chaos and noise and stuff. So rather

424
00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:51,680
Speaker 4: than investing in Wales to you know, do something crazy

425
00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:53,600
Speaker 4: when the group or not, I just think it bleeds

426
00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:55,040
Speaker 4: into the England a miss. Like I think eight to

427
00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:58,280
Speaker 4: one is a good enough number to back it because

428
00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:00,520
Speaker 4: the Welsh team has been together forever. We think that

429
00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:03,560
Speaker 4: the US team has some upside, And you just talked about.

430
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:05,399
Speaker 2: Iran being a little sneaky, So I don't know.

431
00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:07,040
Speaker 4: I think you can look at all the numbers and

432
00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:08,679
Speaker 4: you can say, like this team is a luckbox. But

433
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 4: they did in twenty sixteen they qualified for the World

434
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,160
Speaker 4: Cup through playoffs like for this World Cup.

435
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,600
Speaker 2: They got through the group stage in the last Euros.

436
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:18,439
Speaker 4: Like, they know how to play together and they know

437
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,560
Speaker 4: how to play to their strength, So I don't think

438
00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 4: you could just discount.

439
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:26,560
Speaker 1: Them against Switzerland, Italy and Denmark. Wales allowed seven point

440
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:30,000
Speaker 1: two expected goals and created one point eight in the Euros.

441
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,240
Speaker 3: That was and they lost two of them three matches

442
00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 3: the year, two of them badly, and then lost tide Switzerland.

443
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:38,200
Speaker 5: I'm not saying they're a great team.

444
00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:39,880
Speaker 4: I'm just like this, this is a team that knows

445
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:41,760
Speaker 4: how to kind of just punch above their weight in

446
00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:45,240
Speaker 4: these tournaments settings, and the entire country is going to

447
00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:46,760
Speaker 4: be coming over. They're going to be the one team

448
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,600
Speaker 4: that has like actual support coming over it by the way.

449
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,640
Speaker 3: So you guys just had a nice little bouhaja there.

450
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:55,600
Speaker 3: But I think the most interesting thing about this group

451
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 3: is that nobody can score, right, I mean, what's the

452
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 3: biggest thing that helped help the underdogs?

453
00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:02,119
Speaker 2: I agree?

454
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,240
Speaker 3: Like so, England's biggest thing is that they have the

455
00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 3: attacking talent, but it doesn't really show necessarily because of

456
00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,040
Speaker 3: you know, Southgate sets them up to play with the

457
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:13,080
Speaker 3: handbreak on. They only play with like two or three

458
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:15,600
Speaker 3: attackers on the pitch at all times, and that they

459
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,439
Speaker 3: can be a little bit disjointed. And really that's been

460
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,440
Speaker 3: the problem for them. You know, I know, Nations League

461
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,560
Speaker 3: is Nations League, who cares, But they played a lot

462
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,080
Speaker 3: of pretty good lineups and they just couldn't generate enough

463
00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:27,399
Speaker 3: shots and enough goals and expectacles weren't creating chances.

464
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:28,399
Speaker 5: That's their biggest problem.

465
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:33,440
Speaker 3: The US men's national team, the biggest question who's playing striker.

466
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 3: Peppi can't get shots in the Bundesliga, hasn't produced enough

467
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:39,520
Speaker 3: terms of shots. Jordan p Fock went on a hot

468
00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 3: finishing run in the Bundesliga, but that's not sustainable. Jesus

469
00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:45,120
Speaker 3: Ferrer is their best striker, but he can't finish, So

470
00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:49,280
Speaker 3: they have kind of if you do dan if tim

471
00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,199
Speaker 3: waya by the way, underrated, but like they kind of

472
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 3: don't have a striker situation solved at the moment. That's

473
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 3: gonna be their biggest question mark at the World Cup. Iran.

474
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 3: It's kind of just like you said, sit deep and

475
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:03,920
Speaker 3: long long balls up to Tremi and then sorry fired

476
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:05,280
Speaker 3: and hope they can do some magic with it and

477
00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:06,880
Speaker 3: hope they win the second ball. And they don't really

478
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 3: do that well, Like they're not a good attacking team whatsoever.

479
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,119
Speaker 3: They did almost nothing at the World Cup when they

480
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,400
Speaker 3: were there four years ago, and there was an own goal.

481
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:13,800
Speaker 5: And a penalty.

482
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:17,960
Speaker 3: So yeah, there's major question marks that all these attacks.

483
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 3: So like could one bail or Ramsey moment win it?

484
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 3: It could and I think that leads creedence to Michael's argument.

485
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 2: But they are bad.

486
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,920
Speaker 3: I mean, but even the players who you need to

487
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 3: step up here, like BJ mentioned, like Joe Allen and

488
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:34,840
Speaker 3: Aaron Ramsey and Gareth Bale have not been in form

489
00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:35,160
Speaker 3: at all.

490
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,400
Speaker 4: I have not been playing, but they worried before. They

491
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:39,320
Speaker 4: never are, like they just don't care about their club

492
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 4: teams at.

493
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,679
Speaker 3: This well, Bail had just had a good season at

494
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 3: Spurs before he had the Great Euro. So I think

495
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:46,879
Speaker 3: it's like a little bit different here because Bail is

496
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 3: barely playing and he couldn't even get on the pitch

497
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:50,879
Speaker 3: until they needed him in the last thirty for LAFC.

498
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:55,119
Speaker 3: So I think in one way he could be more fresh,

499
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,240
Speaker 3: but he's not playing full nineties. Can he play three

500
00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 3: matches in a week and a half?

501
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 2: No way. Who's gonna be in golf for Wales. That's

502
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 2: kind of the biggest problem.

503
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 3: Win red hot Danny Ward.

504
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean he hasn't played for Nottingham Forest. He's

505
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:09,160
Speaker 2: Danny Ward.

506
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:14,359
Speaker 3: Obviously, he's red hot and they got there's question marks

507
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 3: like US men's national team with with Turner. I'd prefer

508
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 3: them to have Turner.

509
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:18,400
Speaker 2: In the goal.

510
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, it depends on in right now though, right that's

511
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 3: the thing. Yeah, So BET three six five is not

512
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,440
Speaker 3: offering a lowest scoring group. They are offering a highest

513
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 3: scoring group. This would be the group I think we'll

514
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 3: have the fewest goals. I think there's goun be a

515
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,280
Speaker 3: lot of one zeros, a lot of one ones, and

516
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,159
Speaker 3: that leads Gretens to a wild final day where one

517
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 3: weird defluke or deflection could swing this group. I do

518
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 3: not have a wager that I love in this group,

519
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 3: so I am not betting anything here necessarily except maybe

520
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 3: Iran lowest scoring team at twelve to one, I don't

521
00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 3: think they're getting out. So it's three matches. They're going

522
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,640
Speaker 3: to play two very good defenses in the US and England,

523
00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 3: so you know, do they score?

524
00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:58,280
Speaker 2: I don't know.

525
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:01,560
Speaker 3: Iran Wales also in the middle of the group, so

526
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:03,200
Speaker 3: it's not like it's the last match where both teams

527
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 3: just gonna kind of have a.

528
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 2: Go for it.

529
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,919
Speaker 3: There could still be you know, things on the line.

530
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 3: But in terms of positioning, I do think England and

531
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 3: US go through. If you listen to US. We did

532
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 3: our first World Cup reaction draw. I said US was

533
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,199
Speaker 3: under price to advance. They're now about properly priced, right

534
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 3: around even money, So I don't have a bet there.

535
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 4: A reminder, we will have a deep dive on Team

536
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 4: USA and their chances at this World Cup later.

537
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 3: All the way to the round of sixteen.

538
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 2: Group C sets up like this.

539
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,680
Speaker 4: Argentina odds on their MINDUS two fifty to win the group,

540
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:38,320
Speaker 4: Poland plus four to fifty, same price as Mexico. Basically

541
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:40,720
Speaker 4: they're five to one and then Saudi Arabia are twenty

542
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 4: to one to win.

543
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 2: This is the most block group of the.

544
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 4: Thing is like, if you're gonna bet either Mexico or Poland,

545
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,840
Speaker 4: like just bet that first match. They prot each other, right,

546
00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 4: so it's tough. Like mex We know Mexico's reputation is

547
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 4: like they just get through the group stage. They never

548
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 4: get eliminated in the group stage. They go to the

549
00:23:57,400 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 4: round of sixteen. But that was you know, this is

550
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 4: pro I think this is the least this this Mexico

551
00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 4: roster probably is the least amount of upside of any

552
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,439
Speaker 4: team I've seen in a long time or in a

553
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 4: World Cup.

554
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 5: Memo Ochoa is still the goalkeeper, which is great.

555
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:14,120
Speaker 1: He'll put in a great performance again, even though yeah,

556
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 1: that's just what he always does, That's just what he does.

557
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 4: I honestly, I have nothing here. I'm a little higher

558
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 4: on Poland, I think than Mexico. My pick would be

559
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 4: Argentina stomps the group and h Poland gets finally gets

560
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,879
Speaker 4: through and we get to see Robert Louwandowski play some

561
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:33,640
Speaker 4: knockout stage games.

562
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 1: For the Mexican team. You know, go through the results,

563
00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 1: like where is the impressive result from Mexico that like

564
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 1: gets you excited to like bet them in this group

565
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:45,000
Speaker 1: because if you look through cockiccaff qualifying, Like they got

566
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 1: beat obviously by Canada in Canada, like the reverse picture

567
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 1: that was in Mexico, it was a.

568
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,880
Speaker 2: Draw in Canada, completely dominant them on XG.

569
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,080
Speaker 1: Obviously the United States dominated them, you know in America,

570
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 1: and then when we went to the Stadio Atteca, it

571
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,360
Speaker 1: was a pretty nothing game. But you have to say

572
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 1: the United States was the better team there. I mean

573
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:05,040
Speaker 1: even in a Stadioteca, I mean Mexico is able to

574
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 1: just create point four x you have eight shots against

575
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 1: the United States, like you mentioned it, Michael.

576
00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 2: Like this Mexican team, they.

577
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 1: Have a lot of guys that we've known for a

578
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 1: long time that are just on the wrong side of thirty,

579
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 1: like Andre Squerdado, Hector Moreno, Hector Herrera, Raljmenez if he

580
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:21,719
Speaker 1: even plays in this World Cup. Like they do have

581
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: some talent attacking players like Lozano's a fun attacking guy

582
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,760
Speaker 1: from Napoli. They do have some guys who can cause

583
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:32,600
Speaker 1: some trouble, but like they're when they have to play against,

584
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 1: you know, very possession based teams and sit back like

585
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:36,520
Speaker 1: they have just haven't looked good. You know, in the

586
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: United States has been able to dominate possession against them.

587
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 1: So in this type of group, when you're playing against Argentina,

588
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 1: who's one of the biggest possession dominant teams in the

589
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,760
Speaker 1: World Cup, I have a hard time seeing how they're

590
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:48,440
Speaker 1: gonna get through that match. And like you said, Michael,

591
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: like just if you're gonna bet this, just bet Poland

592
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 1: or bet Mexico. Like Poland, like we always say, it's

593
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,440
Speaker 1: Robert Lewandowski or nothing. Like, they do have some guys

594
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: around him who can help out, but you know they are,

595
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:00,879
Speaker 1: you know, they're very lowbal team. It would just kind

596
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 1: of like play a lot of long balls up the

597
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 1: Lewandowski you can get guys moving forward. So I have

598
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 1: Poland rated a little like slightly better than Mexico. But

599
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 1: that's what the odds suggest if you look at you know,

600
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,359
Speaker 1: whether it be dual forecast or the odds to advance,

601
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 1: like these teams are pretty much a pick them. So yeah,

602
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 1: like you said, just you can get a better price

603
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:17,679
Speaker 1: in the money line between one of these two teams

604
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 1: as far as Saudi Arabia. I mean they much like guitar,

605
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:24,360
Speaker 1: like they'll have a arrest benefit like they have everybody's

606
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 1: playing in the Saudi Pro League that went on pause

607
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:28,879
Speaker 1: on October sixteenth, like they'll be used to the heat

608
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 1: and Katar, so you can at least make an argument there.

609
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,400
Speaker 1: But the talent is just not there for the Saudi team.

610
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 1: And they really weren't that good at the last World

611
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:37,479
Speaker 1: Cup either. And even if you look through World Cup

612
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:41,640
Speaker 1: qualifying like they were they were good against bad competition,

613
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 1: but then when they had to play Japan in Australia,

614
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 1: they really struggled when they weren't able to control possession,

615
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 1: had to sit in the low block.

616
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 2: So I don't think we'll see much from the Saudis

617
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:50,679
Speaker 2: in this.

618
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,440
Speaker 1: But yeah, so this is the most blah. I don't

619
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 1: really have a take on this group at all. Argentina

620
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 1: will probably go through, and I honestly wouldn't be shocked

621
00:26:58,320 --> 00:26:58,919
Speaker 1: if it was Pullander.

622
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:02,240
Speaker 4: Mexico either, are the second favorites to win their Plust

623
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 4: five fifty, only behind Brazil.

624
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 5: Anthony. Anything for you here, Poland Mexico, Argentina, Saudi Arabia.

625
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree that Argentina should roll here if I

626
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:14,919
Speaker 3: do like a group winner parlay. I don't know what

627
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,280
Speaker 3: books will allow that, but like Argentina and Brazil, feels

628
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 3: like a good square group winter parlay because I don't

629
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 3: see either of those teams having a ton of problems

630
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 3: in their group. I think Mexico is the more likely

631
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,400
Speaker 3: to challenge Argentina. I think from a matchup point of view,

632
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:31,680
Speaker 3: I like Mexico's goalkeeper better. I like their defense. Poland

633
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:34,119
Speaker 3: like doesn't really grade out that well either. You know,

634
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,919
Speaker 3: they were really bad their last two international tournaments. It

635
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 3: was Lewandowski or bust, and a lot of times that

636
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,399
Speaker 3: ended up just being busted. Like Bja mentioned, it is

637
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 3: a lot of just long balls up to Lewandowski and hoping,

638
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 3: and it worked for them in that crazy game against

639
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 3: Sweden when Sweden over committed. But I don't really see

640
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 3: Mexico making that same mistake. I like Mexico's attackers overall better.

641
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:54,800
Speaker 3: I am a little bit concerned about Mexico too. Probably

642
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 3: would have been a fade team in a lot of

643
00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 3: different groups for me, both Mexico and Poland. But like I,

644
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,440
Speaker 3: we could switch like Mexico and Senegal and then I

645
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:04,400
Speaker 3: could just back Ecuador and Senegal to go through.

646
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:05,880
Speaker 2: But Mexico.

647
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:08,959
Speaker 3: Okay, what we know about the US and Canada when

648
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,119
Speaker 3: they've left Cocka CAF, they have not performed that well.

649
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,360
Speaker 3: But there's also just less matches to judge teams out

650
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 3: of their confederation. So depending on how you feel about

651
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 3: the US and Canada definitely impacts how you feel about Mexico.

652
00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 3: I think I'm lower on both than you guys are

653
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,640
Speaker 3: going into this. Therefore I'm a little bit lower on Mexico.

654
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 3: But like I said, Poland was nineteenth World Cup qualifying

655
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:34,400
Speaker 3: and expected goals four and they were eleventh and expected

656
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:37,280
Speaker 3: goals against and fifty teams, so that's pretty mediocre. And

657
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 3: there's a lot of teams who didn't make the World Cup,

658
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 3: like Austria, like Turkey who had better attacks, and there's

659
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 3: teams like Albania who are better defensively, so like there's

660
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:49,800
Speaker 3: some question marks for sure about how good is this

661
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 3: team really. Croatia was better defensively, switch to in Denmark, Italy,

662
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 3: France and then of course the big boys, so like

663
00:28:56,200 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 3: they're not a great defense. Portugal also better defensively is worse,

664
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 3: which we'll get into. But I think I like Mexico

665
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 3: to advance here. You can do a dual forecast about

666
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 3: three six to five Aretina and Mexico to advance, and

667
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 3: plus one thirty feels a good bet to me because

668
00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 3: you're getting the plus money there. So that's what I'll

669
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 3: go with for this group. But again I think it

670
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 3: really I could go either way with Mexico Poland. I

671
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 3: just trust Mexico because of their success in these tournaments

672
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 3: more whereas Poland has no history of it and has

673
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 3: not done anything to show me that they're any different

674
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:25,959
Speaker 3: this time around.

675
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,840
Speaker 4: All Right, Group D is the final group that we

676
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 4: will talk about on this podcast, and then, of course

677
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 4: a reminder you can listen to the rest of our

678
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 4: group previews on part two of our World Cup Preview,

679
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 4: Part two to four. Group D features France. Odds on

680
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 4: to win nine is two fifty, Denmark plus two to

681
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 4: seventy five, Australia's fourteen to one, Tunisia sixteen to one.

682
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 4: Seems pretty straightforward. I think Denmark is going to be

683
00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 4: tad overvalued just generally in this tournament. I think people

684
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 4: fell in love with the Danes for good reason and

685
00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 4: they paid off with a good run at the Euros.

686
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 4: Just I think that's gonna be on a more of

687
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 4: a game to game basis. They're twenty eight to one

688
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 4: to win the whole thing. I think that's a little short.

689
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 2: BJ.

690
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 4: You talked about France being a little vulnerable, So I

691
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 4: wonder if if the play here is, do you just

692
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 4: go with a Denmark to win the group bet or

693
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 4: do you or a straight forecast where you can put

694
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,800
Speaker 4: Denmark first in like an exact the box, Denmark to

695
00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 4: finish first, France to finish second.

696
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 2: Because I mean it's.

697
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 4: Hard to imagine Australia who will be you know, well

698
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 4: organized and play hard and all those Australian stereotypes. But

699
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:35,120
Speaker 4: you start to see Australia or Tanisa giving too much

700
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 4: of an issue to these two teams. So another pass

701
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 4: for me.

702
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 2: Yeah.

703
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 1: Well, I mean France, Denmark and Australia are all too

704
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 1: familiar with each other, right because they were in the

705
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 1: same group at the twenty eighteen World Cup. And France

706
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: and Denmark have played twice in the Nations League. Again,

707
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,480
Speaker 1: you know, we say I generally say ah whatever to

708
00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 1: the Nations League, but Denmark did be France twice. The

709
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 1: first match France played a pretty full strength squad. So

710
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 1: thing is, I mean, I love the dance to win

711
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 1: this group, you know, a plus two seventy five. The

712
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 1: reality is is that yes, France has a ton of talent,

713
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 1: but the way to shops sets up this team you

714
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 1: saw it in the Euros, is they are incredibly passive.

715
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 1: They sit back way too much and they basically just

716
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 1: they send Himbappe and they send Benzma out on the

717
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 1: on the counter once they win the ball. And that

718
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: works because they're two of the best attacking players in

719
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 1: the world.

720
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 2: And that's wonderful.

721
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,640
Speaker 1: But I mean this Denmark team, I mean, Anthony's got

722
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 1: me just drinking the kool aid here. I mean, they

723
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 1: are so well drilled at this point, like they've been

724
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 1: playing together.

725
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 2: Then this this is something that.

726
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 1: We're going to talk about that really matters in this tournament,

727
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,120
Speaker 1: is that they have been playing together. This corps has

728
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 1: been playing together for so long and they know exactly

729
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 1: what they want to do. Tackley, they're an outstanding pressing team.

730
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 1: They led the Euros with fifty six high turnovers like

731
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 1: pass per defensive action of twelve point nine that was

732
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 1: fifth best in the tournament and obviously, you know, the

733
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:55,120
Speaker 1: circumstances that happened with Denmark at the Euros is you know,

734
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 1: we're all too familiar with it.

735
00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 2: Obviously they're over to coome those things.

736
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 1: But Christian Erickson obviously is back and he is very

737
00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 1: very key for this team in terms of progressing. And

738
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 1: this team is really really good defensively, like they throughout

739
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 1: World Cup qualifying in the Euros the only allowed point

740
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 1: eighty eight expectacles for ninety minutes. Only England and Spain

741
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 1: was better throughout all of that. In Europe. They have

742
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 1: an experienced goalkeeper in Casper Schmichael whoever they decide to

743
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 1: go with a center back pairing and Andres Christiansen has

744
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:23,320
Speaker 1: been a little bit injured, or Joachim Anderson or Simone

745
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:28,200
Speaker 1: Kier all really experienced, great defenders. They have outstanding fullbacks

746
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 1: and Melee who's playing for Atlanta, and Christiansen who's having

747
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 1: an outstanding season that Leeds who can get forward and

748
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 1: punished teams down the wings. And then I mean in

749
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:39,840
Speaker 1: the midfield, like in terms of teams from that, you know,

750
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 1: step below.

751
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 2: All of the favorites.

752
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 1: I don't think you're gonna find a better midfield maybe Croatia,

753
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: but in this tournament than Denmark with Erickson tor Berg

754
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 1: and Thomas Delaney who have also been playing together forever

755
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 1: and are very well drilled. The only argument you can

756
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 1: make against Denmark I think is their attack leaves a

757
00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 1: little bit to be desired, right. I mean, Casper Dolberg

758
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: has been in great form for Sevilla, miss mckel damscard

759
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:05,080
Speaker 1: has made him to Brentford but hasn't really played that much,

760
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 1: and you know Scott Olsen is playing in the Danish

761
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 1: super League.

762
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 2: But I mean again, they're very familiar with France. They

763
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 2: know how to beat them.

764
00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 1: You know, you could obviously say, all right, well you

765
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 1: can just take Denmark on the money line at plus

766
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 1: three twenty against against France, but you know, at plus

767
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 1: two seventy five, you're also leaving in some type of

768
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:29,720
Speaker 1: scenarios where France potentially drops points against Australia or Tunisia,

769
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 1: who are two well drilled sides who are going to

770
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 1: sit in low blocks, and you know France might not

771
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 1: be able to break them down. France is obviously dealing

772
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: with some injuries, you know, Paul Pogba and Nicola Conte

773
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:39,760
Speaker 1: are out.

774
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 2: But I think that's honestly a.

775
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 1: Benefit for them because I think Kameavinga and Chiu Mani

776
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: are just better.

777
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 2: At this point and they're career better for France.

778
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 1: Plus, you know, defensively, we'll see who France decides to

779
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 1: go with the center back pairing. You know Vane, I

780
00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 1: think it was out there that he is now healthy

781
00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 1: enough to play in the World Cup. But they obviously

782
00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,200
Speaker 1: have Williams sleeve by, the best defender in the Premier League,

783
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: and you know, Coon Day and bunch of different defenders.

784
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 2: So France is all the talent in the world. Like

785
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 2: that's not an argument here.

786
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 1: But you've seen their results since that twenty eighteen World Cup,

787
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 1: Like they had some questionable results when they were in

788
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 1: the obviously they lost to Switzerland in the round of

789
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 1: sixteen in the Euros, Like you look through World Cup

790
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 1: qualifying and euro qualifying, like they had a couple of

791
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:21,319
Speaker 1: bad performances against Turkey. Like there's just something about this

792
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 1: French team that just leaves a lot to be desired

793
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 1: and really doesn't make me excited to bet them as

794
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 1: a favorite here. So I really do like Denmark at

795
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:31,800
Speaker 1: plus two seventy five, I'm drinking the kool aid. This

796
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:34,720
Speaker 1: is the team that's been playing together forever, well drilled.

797
00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 1: I love the dance.

798
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:40,280
Speaker 2: You j forgot to mention the curse, right, I forgot.

799
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,600
Speaker 3: Two thousand and six, Italy won the World Cup. They

800
00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 3: finished last in the group in twenty ten. Twenty ten,

801
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 3: Spain won the World Cup. They finished third in the

802
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 3: group in twenty fourteen and failed to qualify in twenty fourteen.

803
00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 3: Germany won the World Cup. They failed to qualify in

804
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:56,000
Speaker 3: twenty eighteen. And it makes a lot of sense, right,

805
00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 3: teams going cycles. I think this France team is a

806
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 3: little bit less vulnerable to that because those Spain and

807
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,799
Speaker 3: Germany teams were so much the peak end of a

808
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:09,400
Speaker 3: golden generation for those clubs. You know, you think of

809
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:13,840
Speaker 3: the the Iniesta's, the David Villas, and to a lesser extent,

810
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 3: like the Chabvis.

811
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:14,799
Speaker 2: Of the world.

812
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 3: And then you get into twenty fourteen with Germany with

813
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,480
Speaker 3: Schweinsteiger and being at the end of kind of that

814
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 3: run with a mere self Closa as well, and then

815
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:24,080
Speaker 3: they had all the defensive issues that came with that

816
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 3: Boa tang kind of becoming washed. This is a little

817
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:30,880
Speaker 3: bit less of a worry because France just has insane depth.

818
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:32,880
Speaker 3: I mean you're like, okay, go back and look at

819
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:34,759
Speaker 3: who started in the World Cup for that French team.

820
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 3: They're like, oh, shoot, Contes out, Pogmas out, the tweety's washed.

821
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:41,080
Speaker 3: You're like, oh, that's a problem. And you look at

822
00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 3: the defense campembe um Titi you're like, oh shit, like

823
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:47,239
Speaker 3: Francis Cook. Then you're like you look at their team

824
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:50,239
Speaker 3: and you're like, oh, they have really and too many

825
00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 3: Oh okay, they'll be okay, Like that's the reality of

826
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 3: this French team having so much depth.

827
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 2: But I agree with BJ. I was selling France at

828
00:35:57,680 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 2: the Euros.

829
00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:00,200
Speaker 3: I thought they were the favorites and I I was

830
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 3: never really buying that. They think they were too vulnerable

831
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:06,680
Speaker 3: to variants. The way they play, and it's similar to England.

832
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:08,960
Speaker 3: You know, you're you're setting your team up with almost

833
00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:11,919
Speaker 3: no tactics. To sean, who's better out of possession France

834
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 3: or Denmark. Denmark by one hundred miles. They press better,

835
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:18,240
Speaker 3: they work that, you know, they take away space better,

836
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,680
Speaker 3: they do more to win the ball back. Now the

837
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 3: biggest concern with Denmark to win the group. I'm still

838
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 3: taking a shot at Plussony five. The scary thing here

839
00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 3: is that, okay, what if France and Denmark just kind

840
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 3: of draw, which is very possible. Who do I trust

841
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:35,399
Speaker 3: to win my more against these bad teams? Well, let's

842
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:42,239
Speaker 3: not pretend that I love Joni's win Scove and Aavagard

843
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:48,360
Speaker 3: and don't forget Martin Braithwaite, but like Ibape and Benzema

844
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:51,440
Speaker 3: could just like dominate Australia who looks pretty washed. So

845
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 3: that is the concern. But I'm still taking Denmark plus

846
00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 3: useeventy five. BJ mentioned it. They were actually the first

847
00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 3: team and you're up to qualify for the World Cup.

848
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 3: They won their first eight matches, the Golden into those

849
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:03,960
Speaker 3: matches twenty seven to zero. This is an awesome team.

850
00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:06,560
Speaker 3: They were good with without Ericson. You throw him in

851
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:08,280
Speaker 3: the mix, makes them a little better on set pieces,

852
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:11,480
Speaker 3: maybe gives him a little more attack. Mela is providing

853
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:14,279
Speaker 3: a ton of the crossing with and they have some

854
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:16,440
Speaker 3: guys who are good in the air. Dolberg good on

855
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,600
Speaker 3: set pieces, so they have some pieces. I just I

856
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:21,239
Speaker 3: just worry that they run out of firepower at a

857
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:25,680
Speaker 3: certain point. But again, Hoiberg, Delaney, Rickson, Damns guard like

858
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:27,880
Speaker 3: they have so many good passers and there's a lot

859
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 3: to like about this in our team once again, and

860
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 3: you know, there's not a world where they win this

861
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 3: group and then they get a pretty favorable draw against

862
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:38,920
Speaker 3: Mexico or Poland in the in the next round, they

863
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:39,760
Speaker 3: could get through.

864
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 2: And I think they're very live if they get second

865
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 2: and draw Argentina.

866
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:49,520
Speaker 4: I think the way I played Denmark is you mentioned

867
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:51,719
Speaker 4: like group winner Parlays if you're looking for like a

868
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 4: price to put in there, like to if it's like

869
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 4: a group winner around Robin, you want a price in

870
00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 4: there or two to kind of increase your your payout.

871
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:03,440
Speaker 4: They'd be one of them, and we'll talk about the

872
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:05,359
Speaker 4: other ones of course in part two.

873
00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 3: There's any chance of either of these other two teams

874
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:08,880
Speaker 3: getting through.

875
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:10,839
Speaker 1: Well, I was going to say, you know, make sure

876
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:13,319
Speaker 1: to tune into our live show throughout the World Cup

877
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 1: because we'll probably go into more depth with Australia and Tanisian.

878
00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:18,560
Speaker 1: I think it's just it's going to be better to

879
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:20,760
Speaker 1: either fade them or maybe take them on an individual

880
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 1: match basis. If I had to bet either these two

881
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,760
Speaker 1: teams or anything in this group, I would probably potentially

882
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,399
Speaker 1: bet Australia to finish last because they are a little

883
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:29,839
Speaker 1: bit more.

884
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 2: Favored to finish the last in Tannisian.

885
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 1: I really don't think there's much difference between these two teams,

886
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:34,160
Speaker 1: but we'll get into that.

887
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:36,399
Speaker 2: More on our live show, so make sure to tune

888
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:37,320
Speaker 2: in every.

889
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 3: Single Australia's age profile.

890
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 1: Looks concerning and Tanisia it does have like good defensive players,

891
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:45,800
Speaker 1: like you know, security is like one of the best,

892
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:49,640
Speaker 1: like pressing like engine room midfielders in the Bundesliga, Like

893
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:52,640
Speaker 1: he could just completely dominate the match against Australia and

894
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:55,560
Speaker 1: then you know you're looking at Australia finishing bottom. But

895
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:59,920
Speaker 1: I will say that Australia gave France a heck of

896
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:01,719
Speaker 1: a run at the last World Cup and if you

897
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:03,719
Speaker 1: look at the expected goals, it was actually pretty even.

898
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:07,400
Speaker 1: But again, like Anthony said, the age profile for Australia, it's.

899
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:09,120
Speaker 2: Just not there, like they just just don't have that

900
00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:09,680
Speaker 2: much talent.

901
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:15,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's beautiful, bald headed Aaron moy Yep, gonna be dominating.

902
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:16,000
Speaker 2: Its going to be.

903
00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:17,520
Speaker 5: Dominating the middle of the park.

904
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 2: All right.

905
00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 4: That'll do it for part one of our World Cup

906
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 4: group previews for BJ cunninghand for Anthony the Bundo Michael

907
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 4: Leboff reminding you that Wonder Goal is presented by Bet

908
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:29,640
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909
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:31,320
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910
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,640
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911
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:35,839
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912
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,759
Speaker 4: get two hundred three. Remember to check out all our

913
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 4: World Cup preview. As BJ said, we'll be doing live

914
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 4: shows throughout the entire tournament.

915
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 2: Up next will be Groups E, F, G and H.

916
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:58,240
Speaker 4: But until then, best to left with all your bets