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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. I

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Speaker 1: am Chadmilman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our Week two Tuesday NFL episode, one more week

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Speaker 1: of reminders for how this season will go. Since we

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Speaker 1: have a lot of new listeners, we thank you for that.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder. Today's show, we'll go through every game

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Speaker 1: in the week too slate. On Thursday, we'll narrow down

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Speaker 1: our top plays. If you look to finalize our top

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Speaker 1: five bets in our new totally free Favorites Podcast one

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Speaker 1: hundred thousand dollars Pro Football pick'em contest reminder, you can

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Speaker 1: join the contest make your picks become eligible for all

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Speaker 1: our fabulous cash prizes by visiting Favorites dot Action Network

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Speaker 1: dot com. That's also where you can see our official

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Speaker 1: five picks hours in Me and Simon when we lock

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Speaker 1: them in before kickoff on Sunday. You can also track

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Speaker 1: those same top bets by following two accounts in the

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Speaker 1: award winning Action Network app. Those accounts are called the

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Speaker 1: Faves five and the Favorites Podcast. We will not be

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Speaker 1: doing much recapping today. We used to do that on

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Speaker 1: the Tuesday show in the previous seasons of the Favorites podcast,

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Speaker 1: but we have added the Sunday show. We did our

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Speaker 1: recapping and moping on our new Sunday Night Live recap episode.

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Speaker 1: We finished two and three last week. It was painful.

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Speaker 1: A buddy of mine texted me Simon and he said,

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Speaker 1: I can't believe you guys did that Sunday show. It

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Speaker 1: looked excruciating. As Matt Mitchell said, it's like a press conference.

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Speaker 1: We have to do these shows after the game, win

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Speaker 1: or lose. We will keep doing it all season long,

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Speaker 1: and I promise those episodes will get better, better and better.

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell wrote that line he did not think Sunday's

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Speaker 1: episode was very good. You can enjoy our shows live

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Speaker 1: three times a week on the Action Network YouTube page

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Speaker 1: like Subscribe if you're watching right now, like and subscribe,

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Speaker 1: and on AMP Sundays at seven thirty pm Eastern Tuesdays

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Speaker 1: one forty five pm Eastern Thursdays at eleven am Eastern.

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Speaker 1: Week one in our contest was electric, But before we

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Speaker 1: shout out our Week one cash money winners, let's bring

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Speaker 1: in my co host, my bff, my companion, my compadre

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Speaker 1: professional better. Simon Hunter. Sure, Simon, I want to be

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Speaker 1: phone Little Bowl for one second, okay, because this has

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Speaker 1: to be. This past week was insane. Could be the

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Speaker 1: most rewarding week in my long accomplished career as a

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Speaker 1: beloved media executive, as a seven time author, as a

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Speaker 1: four time best selling author. This podcast hit the top

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Speaker 1: twenty five on Apple Podcasts Sports Charts, jumped into the

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Speaker 1: top two hundred podcasts overall on Spotify. We Appreciate our Listeners.

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Speaker 1: Our contest hit ten thousand sign ups. Matt Mitchell's Dream

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Speaker 1: our audience in the app and on the platform. The

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Speaker 1: web platform exploded. On YouTube between Thursday and Sunday, viewers

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Speaker 1: watched more than a million minutes of our content. It's amazing,

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Speaker 1: right All Monday, I was so fucking miserable because of

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Speaker 1: our one and three start, Like I was in agony.

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Speaker 1: It was like a pall over all this success all day.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's like, oh my god, it's amazing. Can you believe

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Speaker 1: what's happening? Blah blah blah, And I'm just like, this

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Speaker 1: is fucking terrible. The Jets restored my faith because now

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Speaker 1: I can look at our two and three record and

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Speaker 1: being huh think we're one holding call away on a

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Speaker 1: two point in the Pats game for being three and two? Seriously,

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Speaker 1: how irrational is everything? So I'm in tuck me down shot.

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Speaker 2: I'm just slowly trying to make you into a pro

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Speaker 2: better and we're getting there with the picks, but we

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Speaker 2: got to get there. The mentality I literally woke up

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Speaker 2: with Monday, didn't even care, like literally was already over

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Speaker 2: the previous week. Was onto the Monday night game and

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Speaker 2: onto prepping for a week two. I mean, it sucks,

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Speaker 2: took took some lickings, but it's just you keep plugging forward.

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Speaker 2: If people want to do this for real and you

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Speaker 2: want to make this a real job and a big

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Speaker 2: part of your life. If you win big, you wake

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Speaker 2: up and it's irrelevant. You lose big, you wake up,

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Speaker 2: it's irrelevant. You're always on to the next week. So

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Speaker 2: Sunday nights usually the night I'll celebrate or I'll be

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Speaker 2: dead inside. I was pretty dead inside. I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 2: And we got on the show we were watching live beforehand.

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Speaker 2: Mac Jones just couldn't get us there. So that was

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Speaker 2: definitely a new experience. Usually I'm just buying myself or

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Speaker 2: with friends drinking, or this time I was on a

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Speaker 2: job with you. It was a little different. I thought

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Speaker 2: this on the show was good. Though. We did give

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Speaker 2: out the Bengals minus three. Look at what it's a

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Speaker 2: minus three and a half now, Chad the Bengals, right.

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Speaker 2: So apparently we do give out good action on Sunday Night,

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Speaker 2: So make sure tune in next Sunday where I gave

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Speaker 2: out the Cowboys to win by forty points over the Giants.

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Speaker 2: So you did buy the way another thing where you're

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Speaker 2: just losing your mind. You say things, and apparently you

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Speaker 2: look like a genius. So I definitely enjoyed the Sunday

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Speaker 2: Night Show.

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Speaker 1: I listened to the Sunday Show too. I actually thought

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Speaker 1: it was fun. I liked the Sunday Show. I liked

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Speaker 1: it partially because we were so miserable and that was

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Speaker 1: so authentic.

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Speaker 2: I was trying to fake it, but I could hear

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Speaker 2: the plane in our voices.

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Speaker 1: You did say you were so impressed with the Niners,

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Speaker 1: and you'll have to make some adjustments and we're going

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Speaker 1: to get to that into games. But you also said

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Speaker 1: unless the Cowboys go out and win by forty points,

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Speaker 1: I don't see how the niners like are higher in

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Speaker 1: your power rankings. Anyways, I am so jazzed for this

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Speaker 1: week as a reminder of the Favorites podcast. It's proudly

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Speaker 1: producer t Do would like me to remind you that

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Speaker 1: you can catch every episode of The Favorites live in

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Speaker 1: YouTube and in the Action Network app. We need to

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Speaker 1: do the week two games. We are going to get

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Speaker 1: to that in moments, but we do have this contest.

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Speaker 1: We did have winners. If you're giving away thousands of dollars,

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Speaker 1: like you ought to tell people what's going on, So

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Speaker 1: Matt take it away.

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Speaker 2: Okay, last, but not least, Uncle Mitch.

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Speaker 3: We are giving away sixty six thousand dollars to the

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Speaker 3: top ten at the end of the season. In our contest,

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Speaker 3: but also giving away three grand to the top five

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Speaker 3: every single week, so I hope you're setting down.

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Speaker 2: Last week, there was a.

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Speaker 3: Ten way tie for first place. Ten entries go five

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Speaker 3: and zero with a perfect tiebreaker, which was forty three

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Speaker 3: total completions on Monday Night football, so those ten will split.

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Speaker 3: That's three hundred dollars per person. Congratulations. There were twenty

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Speaker 3: one entries that went five and oh and missed the

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Speaker 3: typebreaker by just one completion, so they had either forty

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Speaker 3: two or forty four. If you're one of those twenty

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Speaker 3: one entries who missed by one, email me personally with

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Speaker 3: your username in the contest and send it to podcasts

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Speaker 3: at actionnetwork dot com. I will give you a non

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Speaker 3: cash consolation prize.

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Speaker 2: Because that's a rough beat.

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Speaker 3: In total, we had one hundred and seventy five entries

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Speaker 3: go five and oh. That is one point seven percent

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Speaker 3: of all our entries. Congratulations to you. And then second,

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Speaker 3: as a reminder, Monday Night Football tiebreakers, you have to

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Speaker 3: kind of nail those if you want to cash. Including

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Speaker 3: your aggregate tiebreaker score. That's how close you got to

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Speaker 3: all the tiebreakers. That's how we're breaking ties in the

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Speaker 3: top ten for the season long contest, So you're gonna

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Speaker 3: want to take those very seriously. We're gonna have to

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Speaker 3: start making those a little bit more challenging. So this

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Speaker 3: week's Monday Night Football tiebreaker is longest Pittsburgh reception on

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Speaker 3: Monday Night football. So don't skip the tiebreakers, folks.

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Speaker 1: Very important, and that's right. And remember the contest drops

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Speaker 1: your two lowest scores after Week twelve. If you're thinking,

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Speaker 1: oh no, I didn't sign up, Oh no, I went

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Speaker 1: one in four, doesn't matter. Sign up now for free

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Speaker 1: at Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. Make your week two picks.

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Speaker 1: You're still good to go. You're still in the running

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Speaker 1: for the forty k grand prize and the weekly cash prizes.

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Speaker 1: Can't win this cash if you don't play, can't win

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Speaker 1: this cash if you don't play, Simon, It's time to

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Speaker 1: play some ball. Here's a stat and this is going

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Speaker 1: to be relevant for this podcast. I listened to the

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Speaker 1: Action Network Recap podcast on Monday with Joe Golant and

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Speaker 1: Evan Abrams, senior researcher who's listening in on this show

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Speaker 1: right now in Brandon Anderson. In Week two, teams that

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Speaker 1: lost by ten or more against the team that did

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Speaker 1: not lose by double digits, so they didn't have to win.

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Speaker 1: They could have lost as long as they didn't lose

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Speaker 1: by double digits. Since twenty twelve, those teams thirty six

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Speaker 1: eighteen and three against the spread sixty seven percent. If

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Speaker 1: you were on the road, that number goes to twenty

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Speaker 1: four and one eighty three percent. Teams that applies to

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Speaker 1: this week. That includes the Seattle Seahawks, and I believe

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Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears were going to get to it. Point

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Speaker 1: is small dogs excel in weeks one and two. Let's

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Speaker 1: start with the Vikings at Philly on Thursday Night football.

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Speaker 1: The guy the land opened at seven and a half

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Speaker 1: is at seven. We talk about the luck rankings all

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Speaker 1: the time. Sean Kerner, Nick Giffen, Billy Ward. They put

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Speaker 1: together this metric that basically finds this signal in all

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Speaker 1: the noise of the randomness that happens in pro football,

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Speaker 1: and last season we ended up by the end of

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Speaker 1: the year using it as a real sort of marker

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Speaker 1: for how we were calibrating some of these games. This

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Speaker 1: is the biggest luck game of the week, Minnesota Philly

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Speaker 1: and I went deep into the stats on this, So

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Speaker 1: I'm curious to get your thoughts. Where are you at

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Speaker 1: right now?

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Speaker 2: I'm hoping this gets the six and a half. That's

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Speaker 2: the hope right now is that the public keeps coming

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Speaker 2: in on the Vikings and this goes from seven and

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Speaker 2: a half down to seven down to six and a half.

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Speaker 2: So and someone that's going to back to the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: They just played a horrible game, and that's one of

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Speaker 2: those where you kind of throw it out if you're

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Speaker 2: the team itself. Maybe they'll watch the film on Monday

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Speaker 2: and then they'll just throw it away because it was

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Speaker 2: just totally useless. They just they got out game played

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Speaker 2: by Belichick. And that's why we love that Patriots team,

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Speaker 2: Like if they didn't give up that pick six and

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Speaker 2: that turnover in their own red zone, completely different games.

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Speaker 2: So the Eagles team, they had their sloppy game, they

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Speaker 2: had their Super Bowl hangover game. Now they're coming home

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Speaker 2: in a primetime game on Thursday night in a short week.

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Speaker 2: That's just a tough spot for the Vikings. Not only

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Speaker 2: are they traveling, they don't match up well against this

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Speaker 2: Eagles team. And now there's reports out there center might

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Speaker 2: be out and their right tackle might be out as well,

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Speaker 2: So it could get ugly here really fast for a

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Speaker 2: Vikings team that we all knew they ever achieved last year,

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Speaker 2: anyone kept telling you they overachieved. They're not as good

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Speaker 2: as a record said last year. This year, I feel

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Speaker 2: like they're they're just gonna go back to what that

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Speaker 2: should have been, which is a nine to eight, eight

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Speaker 2: to nine kind of team. So won't be shocked to

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Speaker 2: see them start the season zero and two. The pros

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Speaker 2: were all over the Bucks last week in the same

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Speaker 2: scenario here, Like the Eagles have the same setup. They

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Speaker 2: have Smith and aj Brown on the outside, two receivers

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Speaker 2: that this this Vikings team won't be able to cover.

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Speaker 2: And we saw last week with Godwin and Mike Evans,

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Speaker 2: they just kept getting open, even for Baker and Mayfield.

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Speaker 2: So I usually would bet a bounce back spot here

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Speaker 2: for the Vikings, but we see a time and time

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Speaker 2: again these Thursday teams really favorite the home teams and

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Speaker 2: the favorites, and it's just a bad, bad matchup for

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Speaker 2: the Vikings team. So yeah, I was I was kind

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Speaker 2: of thinking Vikings when I was at seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: Once I got to seven, I was like, okay, now

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Speaker 2: just hopefully. Wait, I let this get the six and

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Speaker 2: a half for this Eagles team.

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Speaker 1: Look, I think it could be headed that way. About

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Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the money right now is on

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Speaker 1: the vikings, and it did dip pretty quickly yesterday from

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Speaker 1: seven and a half to seven. I'm not feeling any

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Speaker 1: love for this as a contest play. We can't play

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Speaker 1: Thursday games in the contest. I don't feel exact decision.

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Speaker 1: I don't feel Simon says this next game, oh boy,

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Speaker 1: next game. We got the Kansas City Chiefs three point

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Speaker 1: favorites on the road at Jacksonville. Simon, we hate taking favorites.

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Speaker 1: We hate taking road favorites. We are taking the Kansas

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Speaker 1: City Chiefs this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. And we talked about it when it was two

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Speaker 2: and a half on Sunday night. We were saying, that's

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Speaker 2: a good number, two and a half. Three. Little did

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Speaker 2: we know, you know, the ownership would finally wait up

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Speaker 2: Monday morning, come too and be like, Okay, let's just

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Speaker 2: pay Chris Jones, give him a one year deal, get

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Speaker 2: our guy back for that interior d line. And that's

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Speaker 2: just a big deal of the identity of this team.

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Speaker 2: So we bet it. I didn't put a lot on it.

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Speaker 2: The hope is I take it again here at three

250
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Speaker 2: with everyone else. It's gonna be the most one and

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Speaker 2: more public bet games of the week. And then we

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Speaker 2: get news that Kelsey is playing in this game, and

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Speaker 2: this jumps up to minus four, maybe minus four and

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Speaker 2: a half. So I'm just trying to beat the number.

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Speaker 2: I think this is a good, good line where you

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Speaker 2: can do that. We could make this. Simon says it's

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Speaker 2: a little chalky, though, so I don't want to do that.

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Speaker 2: I feel like that's too easy for this show. Anytime

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Speaker 2: we're catching Mahomes under a field goal on this show,

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Speaker 2: we almost always take him, and if he's a dog,

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Speaker 2: we almost always take him. So it's whenever it gets

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Speaker 2: to three and a half four that's when we start

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Speaker 2: looking the other way, which again, you could do in

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Speaker 2: the spot if you got two and a half the

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Speaker 2: line closed at four to four and a half, you

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Speaker 2: could try to play both spies to try to hit

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Speaker 2: that middle. We just talk all the time. This Chiefs

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Speaker 2: team win close games. They're not really a team that

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Speaker 2: blows teams out, so that definitely one of the more

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Speaker 2: interesting lines of the week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, look, I don't know how we ignore Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 1: in this spot. Evan has done some great work.

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Speaker 2: He's just great to back after a loss.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's great to back after a loss, great to

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Speaker 1: back at minus three or less at nineteen six and

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Speaker 1: one against the spread.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that sounds right.

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Speaker 1: It's like that's when you get him. And people will

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Speaker 1: get on Patrick Mahomes and say, oh, he doesn't always cover,

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Speaker 1: but don't forget the majority of the time Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 1: is playing, he's a pretty significant favorite. Sixty nine now

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Speaker 1: times in his career he's been a favorite of three

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Speaker 1: and a half or higher. That's the majority of his games.

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Speaker 1: So of course you're going to have a hard time

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Speaker 1: covering when you're always more than a field goal favorite

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Speaker 1: and even higher at minus three. That's the play.

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Speaker 2: It's a lot of hype, a lot of noise coming

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Speaker 2: into the season, and Mahomes didn't cover, Joe Burrow didn't cover,

289
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Speaker 2: and Josh Allen didn't cover. The three lead guys in

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Speaker 2: the AFC they auto rough go and that's kind of

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Speaker 2: how me and Chad we try to make money as

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Speaker 2: we try to take the ugly quarterback. So a great

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Speaker 2: example of that for Week one I think our fans

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Speaker 2: are understand though, Like this is my sign says what

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Speaker 2: I'm telling you to grab it now just in case

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Speaker 2: if Kelsey gets cleared, this will go up to four

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Speaker 2: to four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yes, all right, So we got the Raiders visiting the Bills.

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Speaker 1: The autumn win is a Raider pillaging just for fun.

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Speaker 1: Last night before Monday Night football, this game was at

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Speaker 1: minus ten Buffalo. Now I'm seeing eight and a half. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: the Bills did not look very good against a dominant

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Speaker 1: Jets defense. But even though they didn't look good, Josh

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Speaker 1: Allen actually looked atrocious in the second half, right Like

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Speaker 1: he was competitive in the first half. He had moments

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Speaker 1: in the first half. In the second half, he just

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Speaker 1: looked like he didn't know what he was doing. He

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Speaker 1: couldn't make decisions. He was literally fumbling the ball. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Jets defense clearly won on that game. What's our

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Speaker 1: takeaway on Josh Allen right now?

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Speaker 2: It's exactly what I said it was going to be

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Speaker 2: last week when I told you what was gonna happen

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Speaker 2: in that Jets game. I said he was going to

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Speaker 2: play terrible. Everybody was going to overreact. They're going to

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Speaker 2: start bad mouthing him. It's just people want to tear

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Speaker 2: you down. That's the whole. That is how humans operate.

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Speaker 2: Humans want to build you up and then be able

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Speaker 2: to tear you down, and that's what we have with

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen. Josh Allen was one of the most hype

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks ever after that Chiefs Bills game, right, I mean,

321
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Speaker 2: that was one of the most incredible playoff performances we've

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Speaker 2: ever seen. And then the following year. Last year, he

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Speaker 2: started out great, got the elbow injury, and his numbers

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Speaker 2: reflected that he played terrible for half the other season.

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Speaker 2: So everyone's coming out of the woodwork now saying has

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Speaker 2: this guy even been good since that one game he

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Speaker 2: had against Mahomes. People are just gonna trash him all week.

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Speaker 2: I love it. This is my Simon says game. If

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Speaker 2: you can grab that eight and a half, grab it

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Speaker 2: right now. This is a no brainer game. The Jets

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Speaker 2: have built their defense to stop one man. They didn't

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Speaker 2: build the defense drafting to stop two or mac Jones

333
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Speaker 2: in that division. When they started building this When Joe

334
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Speaker 2: Douglas came to this team, there was one guy he

335
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Speaker 2: had his eye on, and that was Josh Allen, and

336
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:16,160
Speaker 2: they built this whole defense to stop Josh Allen. They

337
00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:20,200
Speaker 2: have incredible speed on the outside and corners were really

338
00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:22,800
Speaker 2: big and strong and really hard and tough and coverage.

339
00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:26,399
Speaker 2: So horrible game by Josh. He tried doing too much

340
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Speaker 2: and they kind of had him in that scenario of

341
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Speaker 2: he obviously would never say he was seeing ghost, but

342
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Speaker 2: that's what he was. The same guy picked him off

343
00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:37,439
Speaker 2: three times Jet like that is an insane stat. This

344
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Speaker 2: guy one of my favorite things ever. His bonus was

345
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Speaker 2: tied to him getting three picks this year. So that

346
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,159
Speaker 2: guy got a two hundred and fifty K bonus for

347
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Speaker 2: the season in Week one, so easiest bylow of the week.

348
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Speaker 2: I still have this number ten for Buffalo. So the

349
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Speaker 2: fact that we're getting a point and a half now

350
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Speaker 2: and they're moving through key numbers. I love. I love

351
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Speaker 2: this spot for the Bills. Such a great bounce back

352
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Speaker 2: spot playing our Raiders team are coming off a big

353
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Speaker 2: divisional last minute win now traveling across country to Buffalo,

354
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Speaker 2: New York. Love it. Love this spot so much for

355
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Speaker 2: this Bill's team. It reminds me of last year chat.

356
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Speaker 2: I think the Seahawks one Week one, they're going to

357
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Speaker 2: travel to go play the forty nine ers. The line

358
00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:20,680
Speaker 2: was minus thirteen and the fortyits just lost to Chicago.

359
00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:22,840
Speaker 2: No one was betting on Trey Lance. Everyone in their

360
00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:25,040
Speaker 2: grandmo'm in that week two. Last week was all over

361
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Speaker 2: Seattle as a double digit favorite. I beg you people

362
00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:30,440
Speaker 2: to take the forty Niners as a big favorite. I

363
00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 2: think they won the game like thirty five nothing. They

364
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,400
Speaker 2: blew them out. I don't think Raiders will get shut

365
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Speaker 2: out here. Raiders do have some talent for this. To me,

366
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Speaker 2: weeks of a Josh Allen thirty five to fourteen big

367
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Speaker 2: game win. It's just a great spot for this Bills

368
00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:46,960
Speaker 2: team that they are going to be pissed off all week.

369
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Speaker 2: Josh Allen is going to be pissed off all week.

370
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Speaker 2: Raiders team, they're feeling good. They are feeling good coming

371
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Speaker 2: into this game. So, yeah, this number, the fact that

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Speaker 2: it moved down to eight and a half, now that

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Speaker 2: I got to make it, Simon says, grab it. I

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Speaker 2: think it's gonna go back up.

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Speaker 1: Says do it?

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Speaker 2: We do what Simon's day?

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00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:08,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, look the line is nine and a half

378
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,560
Speaker 1: at bet three six five, but there are a lot

379
00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,479
Speaker 1: of eight and a half's out there, so you know,

380
00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:15,879
Speaker 1: do your shopping. We love our sponsors, but do your shopping.

381
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Speaker 1: Find the eight and a half out there. That's the

382
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Speaker 1: Simon says Baltimore. It's Cincinnati. Cincinnati is now a three

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00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Look, we discussed it on

384
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,280
Speaker 1: Sunday as one we should hit right away at move

385
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 1: from three. The stat I mentioned above from Brandon Anderson

386
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:37,760
Speaker 1: applies to this game, not the road part, but the

387
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Speaker 1: fact that Cincinnati is a double digit loser playing against

388
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Speaker 1: a team that did not lose by double digits the Ravens.

389
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Speaker 1: I watched a lot of that game. Look, we had

390
00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:51,879
Speaker 1: the Texans plus nine and a half, plus ten, so

391
00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:58,240
Speaker 1: we were invested in that Ravens Texans game and that

392
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 1: defense was just in credibly incredibly good.

393
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Speaker 2: C J.

394
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,720
Speaker 1: Stroud will he can only get better, he can't get worse.

395
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:10,359
Speaker 1: So the opportunity to look a little bit healthier against

396
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:14,480
Speaker 1: a Bengals defense that is not as good as the Ravens,

397
00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:19,760
Speaker 1: you know, great for him. But Cincinnati getting healthy that's

398
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:24,440
Speaker 1: most important. And playing at home. I can see why

399
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,160
Speaker 1: this number moved. It's a wise guy play.

400
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just the public. I told you on Sunday,

401
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:32,320
Speaker 2: public will come in on the Ravens. If you go

402
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 2: by the book, you would take Cinci there in that

403
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:36,879
Speaker 2: spot when they are minus three. Now it's up to

404
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 2: minus three and a half. I still don't hate it.

405
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:41,280
Speaker 2: I mean, it's definitely one of those the books are

406
00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 2: like looking at you in there, just like, yeah, be

407
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 2: a man, take down minus three and a half, because

408
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,400
Speaker 2: it does feel so much easier and better to take

409
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,520
Speaker 2: the Ravens there plus three and a half. So that's

410
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:51,919
Speaker 2: one of those. I don't know if we'll have it

411
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 2: in our contest, but I'm hoping everyone listened to us

412
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 2: and bet at the minus three because even yesterday it

413
00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 2: was still minus three and a lot of books, so

414
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 2: to me, this is one those we just hope it

415
00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:04,720
Speaker 2: comes back down because in these divisional games we see

416
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 2: it time and time again, the spread really really comes

417
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:10,160
Speaker 2: into factors. So last week's blowout with the with them

418
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 2: and the Browns, we're gonna find out real quick if

419
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 2: that was the rain that affected Joe Burrow or is

420
00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:17,879
Speaker 2: he really rusty and he just isn't in tune with

421
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,000
Speaker 2: this offense right now? But how could you not take

422
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 2: that minus three? It was just such a great number,

423
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 2: so not as shocked at all. On Tuesday here it's

424
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Speaker 2: minus three and a half.

425
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,280
Speaker 1: Well, look, that's what happens though, right Like in these games,

426
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,840
Speaker 1: especially with the public coming in on Sunday as it

427
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,040
Speaker 1: gets closer, they could be on the Ravens because of

428
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Speaker 1: how good they looked and how bad the Bengals looked.

429
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Speaker 1: And these games almost always end up at a field goal.

430
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Speaker 2: Always.

431
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, they do, they just do.

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Speaker 2: And I did a show yesterday, I did a Green

433
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 2: Dot did with Darren Ravel. He's like the most public

434
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 2: better ever and what I said, he was shaking his

435
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,240
Speaker 2: head the whole time. All these people are so mad

436
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,200
Speaker 2: at the Bengals. Anyone like him that bet on the

437
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:59,639
Speaker 2: Bengals last week are so better that Teo's gonna be

438
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 2: poling all on this Ravens team, while people like us

439
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 2: that faded the Bengals were super happy come on the

440
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 2: other side. And that's kind we talk about all the time.

441
00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 2: We're just we're riding the We're riding up and down.

442
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 2: We're just going from one side to the other. And

443
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:12,719
Speaker 2: that's really how football is.

444
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 1: We're gonna move like the waves in the ocean. I

445
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:20,920
Speaker 1: feel like that was a reference to a nineteen seventies

446
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 1: TV show called Alice and a waitress called Flow.

447
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:30,199
Speaker 2: Oh. We got to give this stat real quick, all right,

448
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:34,280
Speaker 2: go ahead? Lamar Jackson five and oh ats as a

449
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 2: dog last two years, Baltimore eighteen three and one as

450
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 2: a dog against the spread last twenty two So going

451
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,160
Speaker 2: against the trend here. But I do believe that that offense,

452
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,920
Speaker 2: Lamar didn't look right and anytime they had a little

453
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,240
Speaker 2: bit of pressure, if you look at his numbers, anytime

454
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 2: he got put off his spot, which wasn't a lot

455
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 2: right from Houston, I think it was only seven times

456
00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 2: they got pressure. I believe only had one completion. I

457
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 2: do think that Bengals be able to get to him.

458
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,119
Speaker 2: Ravens are one of those teams had a bunch of

459
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 2: major injuries in Week one, So we'll see what happens

460
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,160
Speaker 2: is this upcoming week with our offensive line.

461
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 1: Chargers visiting the Titans. Mike Rabel as a home underdog.

462
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:16,919
Speaker 1: He is plus three in this game, sixty five percent

463
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:20,880
Speaker 1: of the money coming in on the Titans. Look, Mike

464
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,399
Speaker 1: Rabel did us a favor we had the Titans against

465
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,440
Speaker 1: the Saints. He kicked the field goal in a position

466
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 1: when a lot of other coaches would have gone for it,

467
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,159
Speaker 1: but we immediately bet this on Sunday night. We just

468
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 1: assumed the number is going to move. It actually hasn't moved,

469
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 1: which is fine, But how are you not back in

470
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:41,679
Speaker 1: Mike Rabel in this spot as an underdog stats they

471
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 1: applied last week when he was going to play the Saints,

472
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:48,120
Speaker 1: they're only better twenty four to fifteen to one as

473
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:52,880
Speaker 1: an underdog against the spread twenty four nine and one.

474
00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 1: When the spread is three or higher and it's a

475
00:23:56,520 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 1: coaching mismatch, there is no hesitation for me. Tannehill was all,

476
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 1: but there's zero hesitation for me betting the Titans on

477
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:05,359
Speaker 1: this one.

478
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:08,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm hoping for three and a half. This is

479
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 2: one of these where I'm not I'm not gonna let

480
00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 2: Chad suck me in like he did with Pittsburgh last week.

481
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,679
Speaker 2: This is gonna be a public dog this week, just

482
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,080
Speaker 2: like Pittsburgh will last week. So I'm gonna wait and

483
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:20,639
Speaker 2: see on this one because it is. It is a

484
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 2: bad matchup for Tennessee in the sense that they are

485
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 2: incredible against the run and getting pressure up the middle.

486
00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 2: Herbert his best weapons are wide receivers and getting outside

487
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 2: the pocket, so they might get a little luckier the Charger.

488
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 2: I thought this number is gonna move more because you

489
00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:38,439
Speaker 2: saw Austin Eckler popped up on the injury report and

490
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,160
Speaker 2: he might miss this game. So I'm a little shock

491
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,440
Speaker 2: chat that it didn't drop. That's the only thing giving

492
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,000
Speaker 2: me hesitation right now. I thought the books would move

493
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 2: this to two and a half to get some Chargers money,

494
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,920
Speaker 2: but they're holding that minus three. So definitely a number

495
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 2: we're gonna keep our eye on this upcoming week.

496
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:53,959
Speaker 1: I've already bet it.

497
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna put a lot on the three.

498
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 1: Yeah. No, it wasn't like a full unit kind of thing.

499
00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:01,919
Speaker 1: It was a test the waters. Let's dip our toe in,

500
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:03,120
Speaker 1: let's see what happens.

501
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 2: Right.

502
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:09,160
Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks another game we immediately talked about on Sunday night.

503
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,959
Speaker 1: They are plus five and a half against the Detroit

504
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 1: Lions visiting. Fifty eight percent of the money is on Seattle.

505
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,280
Speaker 1: What's interesting to me is seventy two percent of the

506
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,400
Speaker 1: bets are on Seattle. I know that not everybody who

507
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:27,560
Speaker 1: bet this game listened to Brandon Anderson knows and knows

508
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 1: that teams in this situation coming off a double digit

509
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 1: loss on the road against a team that did not

510
00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 1: lose by double digits twenty four and one against the

511
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:41,120
Speaker 1: spreads in twenty sixteen. Why are people? Why is everybody

512
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:45,719
Speaker 1: else backing Seattle? Like, is it just everybody who's betting

513
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:52,119
Speaker 1: is onto the notion that if you're terrible one week

514
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:55,959
Speaker 1: and the other team is amazing in primetime, you automatically

515
00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: bet on the terrible team. Has everyone taken our theory?

516
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:02,440
Speaker 2: That's pretty crazy. I didn't know so much public money

517
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 2: was coming in on this team, but we agreed with it. Like,

518
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 2: I thought this number was really big for what Detroit is,

519
00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 2: which I do think Detroit is good. I just didn't

520
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:12,400
Speaker 2: think they're going to be five and a half six

521
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:16,359
Speaker 2: points better than the Seahawks team. So yeah, the fact

522
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:19,439
Speaker 2: that the Seaalts are signing guys now off the street

523
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 2: to be on their offensive line is a little worrisome.

524
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 2: They obviously have big injuries right now. But yeah, Chad,

525
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 2: this is tough because I love this number. When we

526
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 2: saw it Sunday, it's like, man, this is a great

527
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 2: bounce back spot for Seattle. They're a team that, like

528
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 2: Chad just said, they've lost by double digits now going

529
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,119
Speaker 2: around and played a team that I mean, is that

530
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 2: the biggest win the Lines have had in like ten

531
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 2: years yet opening night beating the super Bowl champs. So yeah,

532
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 2: that place is going to be a rockin' Detroit is

533
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 2: going to be a party there. And that's hard, mean, Chat,

534
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 2: I talk about playing spots, and this is a spot

535
00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 2: we play. So it's making my stomach turn right now

536
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 2: because so much money is pouring in and the number

537
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 2: hasn't really budged, and that's that's usually a little nerve

538
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,640
Speaker 2: wracking for me. But we'll see where it's at later

539
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 2: in the week when more money comes in, because right

540
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 2: now it's it's just people putting feelers for the most

541
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 2: part in these kind of bets. So I'm with you, Chad.

542
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,360
Speaker 2: I do like the Seahawks in the spot, but that's

543
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,199
Speaker 2: definitely a number that we would feel better if it

544
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 2: got up to six somehow, then we wouldn't just know

545
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 2: a man's land of five and a half.

546
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 1: Well, we'd feel better because that means that sort of

547
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:32,920
Speaker 1: the bookmakers are starting to see the same things that

548
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 1: we are, and the public is not seeing the same

549
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: thing that we are. Because right now it feels like

550
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 1: we're on the same side as the public, and yeah,

551
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:45,199
Speaker 1: not necessarily. It's not necessarily a place we like to be.

552
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:48,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, just it might be that we're all overrating the

553
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:50,879
Speaker 2: Seahawks team. And you know, coming to the year, we

554
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:54,880
Speaker 2: said the book might be out on Gino Smith. We're

555
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,399
Speaker 2: one game in, didn't look good. That Rams defense, a

556
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 2: bunch of no names, really shut him down the second half.

557
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 2: What they have two yards total in the entire second half?

558
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 2: Chat some crazy stat like that. So yeah, I definitely

559
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 2: can see the hesitation from people wanting it back to

560
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 2: Seahawks team in the spot.

561
00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 1: Indianapolis on the road one and a half point favorite

562
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:19,200
Speaker 1: at the Houston Texans. This is a tough one. And

563
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:24,199
Speaker 1: like I watched that Colts game. They really outplayed the

564
00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 1: Jags and they should have won that game outright, forget

565
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:32,160
Speaker 1: about covering. But that Texans defense was so freaking good.

566
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 1: It's just a couple of adjustments from CJ. Stroud and

567
00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 1: I don't I don't know that the Colts are good

568
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 1: enough to be favorites on the road, And this feels

569
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 1: like a huge overreaction.

570
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, another great Wong teaser aligned too. You can take

571
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 2: ust up right now. To seven and a half. Put

572
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:52,880
Speaker 2: them in a six point teaser. If you just want

573
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 2: to bet that these both these rookies are lost, just

574
00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,600
Speaker 2: take the under. I mean, it's just there's a bunch

575
00:28:57,600 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 2: of bets you can make out of this game and

576
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 2: try to find value on. And you know, I look

577
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 2: at this Houston team that they're probably being undervalued here.

578
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:07,120
Speaker 2: The public is going to like what they saw from

579
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 2: the Colts. Chad's nailing it like they should have covered

580
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 2: that number. If Minshew hadn't come in, they had a

581
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 2: first and goal with their six six two point fifty quarterback,

582
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure they would have scored and covered that number.

583
00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:21,960
Speaker 2: So I think most people, instead of being burned I'm

584
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 2: betting the Colts last week, the pros will probably come

585
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 2: back in on them and the public would join them

586
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 2: just because they looked like the better team. Houston did not.

587
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 2: That offense did not look like they're really going to

588
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 2: be putting up points this year. And so for me

589
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 2: and Chad, we got to fade that notion and just

590
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 2: be like, that's a really good Ravens defense. That was

591
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 2: a rookies' first start on the road, a head coaches

592
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:46,600
Speaker 2: first start on the road. Now they're back home in

593
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,920
Speaker 2: this spot, facing a rookie quarterback and a rookie head coach.

594
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 2: We got to take the dog, like this is one

595
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 2: of the Houston ones. I don't feel great about it, Chad.

596
00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 2: But it's like there's a couple of games this week

597
00:29:57,200 --> 00:30:00,120
Speaker 2: that's just like the Arizona game last week, Like you

598
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: got to trust the number and view a team being overrated,

599
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 2: just hold your nose and take this number. So yeah,

600
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 2: I'll have the under I'll have Houston t's and I'll

601
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,000
Speaker 2: take Houston straight in this number.

602
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 1: But would that be a full size Houston as a

603
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:20,520
Speaker 1: dog or smaller because you're spreading it out and we're

604
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 1: still deciding what we think of this team.

605
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, no, I'm not going huge on this. I

606
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 2: just I just don't know what. I haven't sej yet,

607
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 2: Like I even trying to make a number on him.

608
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,680
Speaker 2: This week was really tough. Same with Anthony Richardson, like

609
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 2: a lot of good, bad, and ugly. The kid can

610
00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 2: only throw to one side of the field apparently, Like

611
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 2: if you look at his spray chart, Anthony Richardson, all

612
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 2: he does is throw it to one side of the field.

613
00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 2: Guess who has these spray charts all these NFL head coaches.

614
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 2: So if that's what it takes Houston this week. They're

615
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 2: great defensive minds, They'll just take away that side of

616
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 2: the field. So that's that's the thing here. I'm just

617
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 2: I'm gonna just play the number because it feels like

618
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 2: it's a good number back in this Houston team.

619
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 1: Hackers looked like world beaters against the high school defense

620
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears. I'll remind everybody the Baltimore Ravens traded

621
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 1: for Roquan Smith and gave him a massive contract. That

622
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 1: guy was at the center of the Bears defense and

623
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:18,240
Speaker 1: they decided he wasn't good enough. Now we are letting

624
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 1: Jordan Love look like he is a Hall of Famer

625
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 1: in the first week of the season. I'm not buying

626
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 1: the hype yet. And they're on the road at the Falcons.

627
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 1: The Falcons are underdogs. Tickets coming in on the Packers,

628
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:36,640
Speaker 1: money coming in on the Falcons. A reminder for everybody,

629
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: tickets means public money means professional betters. Simon, I don't

630
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 1: know how many times we have to say it. We're

631
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 1: in Atlanta Falcons podcast. It makes no sense to me.

632
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 1: The Falcons would be underdogs at home against this team.

633
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 1: It makes zero sense. I remember on Sunday night, I

634
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:56,640
Speaker 1: kept fumbling it all over it because I kept saying

635
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 1: that we're one and a half point favorites. You're like, no,

636
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 1: they're dogs. Because I couldn't belie my eyes.

637
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 2: Another game, great for a Wong teaser. It's one and

638
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 2: a half. Take it up to seven and a half.

639
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 2: It's just sometimes it's too easy. And this just feels

640
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 2: like the same thing with Houston, like we're getting a

641
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 2: home dog that anyone that watched that game finally came

642
00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:16,800
Speaker 2: to the opinion that I had all offseason, which is

643
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 2: rare is not a starting quarterback in this league. This

644
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 2: guy cannot put the ball downfield. But holy hell, is

645
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:25,600
Speaker 2: that run blocking scheme incredible for this Atlanta team. So

646
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:27,720
Speaker 2: I kind of think we saw their identity for the

647
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:31,320
Speaker 2: whole season. Atlanta. They're going to rely on their defense

648
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: and running the ball, and one of Green Bay's biggest

649
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:37,880
Speaker 2: weaknesses is against the run. So we will take Algier,

650
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 2: We'll take Robinson and that amazing backfield, and we'll roll

651
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,040
Speaker 2: the dice here with a home dog. It's I'm trying

652
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 2: to make this one of our five one of these

653
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:47,840
Speaker 2: two teams is definitely gonna make the playoffs from winning

654
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 2: this game, right, we see the stats. Teams that start

655
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 2: two and zero, they have a really high percentage of

656
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 2: making the playoffs. So what team do you really believe

657
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 2: in here, Chad, to make a playoff run? Is it

658
00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:58,960
Speaker 2: Green Bay in that tough division or is it Atlanta

659
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 2: in this really soft division where they them The Saints

660
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 2: look like, you know, they're gonna be the best. I know,

661
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 2: the Bucks hype's crazy right now, but oh man, it's

662
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 2: a hard one to swallow because we are banking on

663
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 2: Jordan Love not being as good as he looked against

664
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 2: the Bears. Because, let's face it, every Packers quarterback last

665
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:18,479
Speaker 2: thirty years has looked good against the Bears. But man,

666
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 2: there's a couple of times there where he just had

667
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:24,200
Speaker 2: zero pressure. So that's the thing here. We're gonna learn

668
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 2: if Atlanta has some good pass rushers or his Bryce

669
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,280
Speaker 2: Young just complete dog shit last week. So because Green

670
00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 2: Bay's offensive line looked good, I mean again, Chattery talked

671
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 2: about the Bears they didn't really have any pass rushers

672
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 2: coming into this season. So another one that's making me

673
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 2: a little uneasy because Jordan Love could be this good

674
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 2: in this offense, Like, we just don't know because that

675
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 2: game kind of got out of hand so quickly. That

676
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:47,400
Speaker 2: Bears Green Bay game where that defense just looked lost

677
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:48,120
Speaker 2: for the Bears.

678
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 1: That Bears defense looked horrible, but it did. It did

679
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 1: put Jordan Love in a lot of really advantageous spots.

680
00:33:57,120 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 1: And I do think that the Falcon secondary, I mean,

681
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 1: everybody's secretary is better than the Bears. But I'm telling

682
00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:08,840
Speaker 1: you right now, I'm making an executive decision. The choice

683
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,840
Speaker 1: between the unthinkable and the impossible.

684
00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:16,240
Speaker 2: Are you have your honors? I see number executive decision.

685
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:20,439
Speaker 1: Give me the Atlanta Falcons. Give me Arthur Smith, give

686
00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:20,759
Speaker 1: me the.

687
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:21,640
Speaker 2: To the Chiefs.

688
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:25,319
Speaker 1: What's that? No? I moved on. I said, I wasn't

689
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 1: pulling the trigger. I said there were a couple other

690
00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 1: games that were on the slate that I wanted to

691
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 1: look at, and there's one more that is really interesting

692
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:37,360
Speaker 1: to me. But the more we talk about it, like,

693
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 1: I just can't quit Arthur Smith. I think he is

694
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 1: such a good coach. The team puts itself in a

695
00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:47,080
Speaker 1: position to win right, it doesn't make the stupid mistakes.

696
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 1: He's not gonna let Desmond Ritter make the stupid mistakes.

697
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 1: He's going to get the ball into Bijon. He's going

698
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,359
Speaker 1: to get the ball into Algier like at home. They're

699
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:57,120
Speaker 1: just going to make the right call against the run

700
00:34:57,120 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 1: defense that that this is their weakness. So Atlanta Falcons

701
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 1: exec decision. Here we go, Simon. I know you know it,

702
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 1: I know I know it. The fastest growing ticketing app

703
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:15,239
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704
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:18,240
Speaker 1: love Game Time for two reasons. One because they sponsor

705
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,840
Speaker 1: this show. Number Two, I actually use game Time to

706
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:25,600
Speaker 1: buy tickets. They've got amazing last minute deals on all

707
00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 1: sorts of tickets, including pro and college games. Speaking of which,

708
00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 1: I'm opening Game Time right now here from our home

709
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 1: office in New York City. What can I get to?

710
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 1: I can go to a New York Mets game for

711
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 1: six dollars. I can see the Liberty WNBA super team

712
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 1: thirty nine bucks. I can do that on Friday. No

713
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 1: matter where you live, download the game Time app, Get out,

714
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,720
Speaker 1: have some fun this week, Go sweat your bets live

715
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:58,440
Speaker 1: and in person, and you can redeem code favorites for

716
00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 1: twenty dollars off your first purchase. Supply again just download

717
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,480
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718
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:07,319
Speaker 1: less minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed. The other game that

719
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:11,160
Speaker 1: I was going to talk about for my exec decision,

720
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:19,360
Speaker 1: are you ready? The Chicago Bears three point dogs visiting

721
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Dude, I can tell you right

722
00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:25,799
Speaker 1: now the Bears are going to be one of our five.

723
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 2: I don't know about that, but yeah, I do like

724
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,160
Speaker 2: the number. It's a good number. I'm with you on

725
00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 2: taking the three A.

726
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,399
Speaker 1: I talked about that stat about the teams that lose

727
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,960
Speaker 1: by double digits against a team that by double digits

728
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:43,600
Speaker 1: since twenty since those teams since twenty twelve, twenty four

729
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:47,880
Speaker 1: and one against the spread if they are on the road. Okay, Seattle,

730
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 1: Seattle and the Bears. So let me talk a little

731
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 1: bit of But one of the reasons I chose the

732
00:36:53,280 --> 00:37:01,080
Speaker 1: Falcons instead of the Packers is the Bears. The Bears

733
00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:05,239
Speaker 1: allowed eight and a half yards per pass attempt. They

734
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:07,640
Speaker 1: were nine if they allowed the Packers to go nine

735
00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: of sixteen on third downs. Not very good, right, But

736
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 1: that also shows Jordan Love really didn't have much pressure

737
00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:20,560
Speaker 1: and much defense in that game. The Bears offense twenty

738
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:26,919
Speaker 1: two first downs, greater time of possession, three turnovers which

739
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:31,400
Speaker 1: gave Jordan Love short fields, and four sacks. Okay. The

740
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: Bucks defense, meanwhile, gave up three hundred and forty four

741
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 1: passing yards six yards per play, allowed Cousins to complete

742
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 1: thirty three of forty four passes seven yards per attempt. Okay.

743
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,719
Speaker 1: Like I said, Minnesota lost this game because of mistakes

744
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:49,840
Speaker 1: by Kirk in the red zone at the end of

745
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:54,480
Speaker 1: the first half. The Bears are better than they played.

746
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,759
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is not as good as they played. This

747
00:37:57,880 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 1: is a smash Bear spot.

748
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's pretty simple too, where if you if

749
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:05,000
Speaker 2: you give home field advantage one and a half two points, now,

750
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 2: which most books do, these these teams are pretty much

751
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 2: at the same level. The Bears are slightly graded out

752
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: a little better. So the fact that we're getting a

753
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 2: free point here just because the Bears played so poorly,

754
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 2: and you're right, it's just another game of it's gonna

755
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:23,840
Speaker 2: be mostly professional money coming on this Bears team, just

756
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 2: because you know, if you're trying to bet and rationalize

757
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:28,919
Speaker 2: this game, you could also look the other way. Chad,

758
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 2: of your guys secondary is really bad. That's what the

759
00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:33,680
Speaker 2: Bucks want to attack with Mike Evans and Godwin. So

760
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,279
Speaker 2: I've already told people the pros of love love this

761
00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:39,320
Speaker 2: Bucks team coming into the year like that was their team.

762
00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:42,399
Speaker 2: I know plenty of pros that already grabbed this number

763
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 2: when I was at one, one and a half on

764
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:47,359
Speaker 2: this Bucks team. That's why I don't see this number

765
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,880
Speaker 2: again to three and a half. I think the books

766
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 2: know if they move to three and a half, guys

767
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:53,160
Speaker 2: will just come on both sides. They'll take the Bears

768
00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 2: and they'll take the Bucks in the spot. So yeah,

769
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 2: looking at this matchup chat, it's just a great bounce

770
00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:02,520
Speaker 2: back spot for this Bears team. The fact that we're

771
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 2: catching three such a key number, That's what I mean.

772
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 2: It's like, I'm right there with you. It's just as

773
00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 2: we sit here on Tuesday, it's like, ah, man, am

774
00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 2: I really gonna make this one of our five. It's

775
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:16,560
Speaker 2: it's hard to say.

776
00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:19,080
Speaker 1: I'm in right now. It's hard not to say.

777
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:21,320
Speaker 2: I put it in now, but I'm saying come Sunday,

778
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:23,359
Speaker 2: it's gonna be a hard pill to swallow, being like, man,

779
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 2: we're taking this Bears team on the road.

780
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:27,760
Speaker 1: Is it a hard pill? To swallow because we started

781
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:31,080
Speaker 1: two and three and we're holding on tight. Or is

782
00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:34,440
Speaker 1: it a hard pill to swallow because we don't like

783
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:38,359
Speaker 1: the Bears in this spot, because it's a one good

784
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:40,879
Speaker 1: spot for the Bears. Eighty one percent of the money

785
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,920
Speaker 1: right now on the Bears, the money, not the bets.

786
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:47,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I got no fear here. It's just it's

787
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:49,400
Speaker 2: just one of those. It's a hard pill the swallow

788
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 2: just because the Bears suck. That's what I'm trying to

789
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:56,120
Speaker 2: convince myself. They don't suck yet. I rewatched that game

790
00:39:56,160 --> 00:40:01,239
Speaker 2: already twice, and the Bears on major issues. I think

791
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 2: you know that just as well as I do. It's

792
00:40:04,160 --> 00:40:06,680
Speaker 2: as much as you want to blame the OC, a

793
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 2: lot of this is falling on fields. Fields needs to

794
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:12,840
Speaker 2: start making the right reads, stop getting happy feet. We

795
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 2: already said there's no more excuses for no more excuses,

796
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,320
Speaker 2: like you got the weapons, now you gotta semi decent

797
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 2: offensive behind, Like yeah, he's got to show it here

798
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:23,080
Speaker 2: like that Bucks. This Bucks team does not have a

799
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,319
Speaker 2: pass us. They're good against the run, and then I

800
00:40:25,360 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 2: mean they they are good against the run, but passing wise, Yeah,

801
00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:30,640
Speaker 2: come on, come on, Fields, this this is gonna be

802
00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 2: the game where he opens it up and throws for

803
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 2: three hundred yards.

804
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:37,360
Speaker 1: Oh man, they're such a bad team. It's just it's incredible.

805
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 2: But it's a bad team with the pressure of a

806
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 2: whole city on its back. So it's just a tough,

807
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 2: tough spot.

808
00:40:41,880 --> 00:40:44,040
Speaker 1: It really is. All right, here's another one that I

809
00:40:44,080 --> 00:40:48,160
Speaker 1: think we're gonna like, and this number is Racing Giants

810
00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:51,080
Speaker 1: five point favorites against the Cardinals. Last night, this number

811
00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:55,720
Speaker 1: was four. Yeah, so it is moving. It makes total sense,

812
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 1: like you're gonna bet the team that just got blown

813
00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:01,600
Speaker 1: out on Monday night fade the team that played better

814
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 1: than it possibly could have played in Week one against

815
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 1: a team that's pretty bad in Washington. It doesn't matter.

816
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,359
Speaker 1: Everybody's on the Giants in this game, which is why

817
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 1: the number is running. And five is a dead number,

818
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:17,800
Speaker 1: So bet it now because it's only going to go higher.

819
00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:22,759
Speaker 2: Yeah. It feels like a total mismatch and coaching. You know,

820
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:24,279
Speaker 2: you can look at this and say, well, look how

821
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 2: hard that Arizona team played. I don't know if playing

822
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,359
Speaker 2: dirty is considered playing hard, Like a lot of what

823
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:31,319
Speaker 2: I saw in that game was just an Arizona team

824
00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:33,320
Speaker 2: that played dirty, Like a lot of the stuff they're

825
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:37,279
Speaker 2: doing is dirty playing, and you know that maybe that's

826
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,400
Speaker 2: what their coach wanting to do and be one of

827
00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 2: those teams. But yeah, this this Giants team, I honestly

828
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:47,680
Speaker 2: am shocked that so much money has come in on them.

829
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:49,959
Speaker 2: The public's all over them too. I thought maybe we'd

830
00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 2: get a little free be here and be like, yeah,

831
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 2: they'll come in on Arizona, We'll be able to back

832
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,279
Speaker 2: this Giants team because it is a great spot for

833
00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 2: this Giants team. But if this gets up to six,

834
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,680
Speaker 2: how do I not take Arizona in this game? Like Arizona,

835
00:42:03,120 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 2: as bad as they are, this Giants team are no

836
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 2: world beaters. Like we saw that Daniel Jones, he was

837
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 2: the most efficient quarterback last year and not turning the

838
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 2: ball over. So there's gonna be some regression back to

839
00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 2: the mean this upcoming season. I think we saw a

840
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 2: lot of that in that first game. So great bounce

841
00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:23,120
Speaker 2: back spot for the Giants. If me and Chad want

842
00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:25,600
Speaker 2: to keep being the lazy survivor pick, this is a

843
00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 2: great lazy survivor pick tacking this Giants team. Like any

844
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:31,319
Speaker 2: week we can get Arizona about Kyler Murray and we're

845
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 2: using these shitty ass NFC East teams. It's hard not

846
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:36,799
Speaker 2: to like. I felt, I really can't go o how

847
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:40,360
Speaker 2: good it feels I have Washington Donner River Pools. So definitely,

848
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,279
Speaker 2: Giants are up there for a team that they might

849
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 2: not cover this number again, but I could easily see

850
00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:48,480
Speaker 2: them winning this game out right. You know, this Arizona

851
00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:52,799
Speaker 2: team without that touchdown given them by the QB last

852
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 2: week on Washington, I don't even remember what Sam was doing,

853
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:57,880
Speaker 2: but I think he dropped back. He tried to scramble

854
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:00,319
Speaker 2: and he like either dropped it or got back out

855
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:02,120
Speaker 2: of his hand. The guy picked it up and walked

856
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 2: into the end zone. Washington would never have been I mean,

857
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:06,400
Speaker 2: Cardinals have never been close in that game, right. They

858
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:10,360
Speaker 2: would have lost by eleven without that touchdown. So definitely

859
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,880
Speaker 2: something I'm weary of betting this Arizona team back to

860
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 2: back weeks, but I got to do it. If against

861
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:17,600
Speaker 2: the six like Giants had four four and a half,

862
00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 2: I think there is value there if you want to

863
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 2: take that number, But if it gets the sixth, the

864
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:25,120
Speaker 2: values totally shifted back to This Arizona team shed.

865
00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 1: Forty nine ers on the road at the Rams, huge

866
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 1: number eight and a half. Tough one here, like Kyle

867
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:34,919
Speaker 1: Shanahan always outplays Sean McVay. The Niners. You talked about

868
00:43:34,960 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: how did you end up power rating them.

869
00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:39,360
Speaker 2: I still got them with right there behind the Eagles.

870
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 2: So if they played on a neutral field right now,

871
00:43:41,760 --> 00:43:44,520
Speaker 2: I'd make the Eagles a one point favorite. So that's

872
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 2: one of those where it coming to the season and

873
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:49,359
Speaker 2: probably was two and a half three and now it's

874
00:43:49,400 --> 00:43:52,160
Speaker 2: down to one, and with the Cowboys it's down to two.

875
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:55,719
Speaker 2: So both those teams, again, this is September, so much

876
00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:58,359
Speaker 2: is going to change come playoff time. But I do

877
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:00,320
Speaker 2: have it that I thought there's a little bit of

878
00:44:00,360 --> 00:44:02,680
Speaker 2: a gap between the Eagles and the forty nine ers.

879
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 2: And you know, clearly Brock Purdy he's come back from

880
00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:10,719
Speaker 2: this injury incredibly well and he just looks totally in

881
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:14,440
Speaker 2: tune with this offense. So yeah, it's it's definitely a

882
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:17,120
Speaker 2: team that I undervalued come into the season, and now

883
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:18,280
Speaker 2: they have my full attention.

884
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:20,640
Speaker 1: So what do you think of this number at eight

885
00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 1: and a half?

886
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:24,759
Speaker 2: You know what I'm doing here, Chad or been in

887
00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 2: the Rams, Yeah, no brainer, home Divisional dog eight and

888
00:44:28,160 --> 00:44:31,240
Speaker 2: a half. Rock Purdy and the forty nine ers played

889
00:44:31,840 --> 00:44:35,240
Speaker 2: near perfect that first half, like that offense was humming

890
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:38,640
Speaker 2: and their defense was absolutely humming against that Pittsburgh team.

891
00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 2: Now they're coming back to play a team that just

892
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:43,920
Speaker 2: like last week, Chad, no one's gonna believe in. I

893
00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 2: told you it was just gonna be this way. No

894
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:47,600
Speaker 2: one's gonna believe in this Rams team. And it's just

895
00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 2: because the general public doesn't understand how good Stafford is.

896
00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:53,400
Speaker 2: So I'll keep taking the value that is Stafford and

897
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 2: this this you know, skeleton bone crew of a team

898
00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:02,680
Speaker 2: of Rams, and you know number should be seven. That's

899
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:05,839
Speaker 2: what it opened at the pros. The public, everyone's coming.

900
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 2: They've bened it up to what Chad just said, eight

901
00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:10,600
Speaker 2: and a half. So taking the valley there, taking the

902
00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 2: Rams eight and a.

903
00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:13,359
Speaker 1: Half, you think the number should be at seven?

904
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:15,799
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I thought that was a good number when

905
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 2: they opened it, but clearly professionals thought otherwise because they've

906
00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:20,280
Speaker 2: just been hammering this number.

907
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 1: Guess what, Simon, we got a new sponsor. The food

908
00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:27,920
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909
00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:31,920
Speaker 1: podcast for the entire season. And that's why you should

910
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:36,120
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911
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:40,040
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912
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913
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:46,840
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914
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:50,399
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915
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:55,840
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916
00:45:55,880 --> 00:46:00,960
Speaker 1: delivery or our in store pizza portal pick up. So

917
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 1: grab some friends enjoy a few slices during the Tasties

918
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:12,720
Speaker 1: hour before kickoff. I am syched, freaking love pizza, Simon.

919
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:15,240
Speaker 1: I don't really want to talk about Washington at Denver.

920
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:16,960
Speaker 1: I don't want to watch that game.

921
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 2: Oh the Denver Broncos.

922
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:22,680
Speaker 1: If you tell me you think there's value on either team,

923
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:25,120
Speaker 1: I would be shocked. Denver's three and a half point.

924
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 2: Favorite bill value on Denver. People are gonna be pissed

925
00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 2: them better about last week. But that's just that's gonna

926
00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:33,760
Speaker 2: be the growing pains of learning Sean Payton's new offense.

927
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:36,200
Speaker 2: Wilson was a machine in that game the first half,

928
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 2: completely disappeared in the second half. Yeah, Wilson might be finished,

929
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:42,160
Speaker 2: Yad's that's a fear with this Denver team. But not

930
00:46:42,200 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 2: gonna overreact to week one, Gonna stick to my power ratings.

931
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 2: I have this number of minus four, taking the minus

932
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 2: three and a half with this Denver team, But this

933
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 2: will not be one of our five.

934
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 1: No, all right, Aaron Rodgers Achilles injury out for the season.

935
00:46:56,560 --> 00:46:59,840
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. Now the quarterback Jets are nine and a

936
00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:04,600
Speaker 1: half half point road dogs at the Cowboys. I don't know,

937
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 1: man Like, it's a really hard game to think about

938
00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:12,280
Speaker 1: betting when you got Zach Wilson and a Cowboys defense

939
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:14,000
Speaker 1: that just did what it did on the road and

940
00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:17,680
Speaker 1: is so freaking fast. Like Zach Wilson looked out of

941
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 1: sorts playing against a Bills defense that isn't nearly as good.

942
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:24,719
Speaker 1: I know the circumstances are different. I know he's getting

943
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:26,440
Speaker 1: a full week. I know they can game plan for him,

944
00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:29,000
Speaker 1: but kind of feels like a pass to me.

945
00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:32,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll see, We'll see where this number goes. But

946
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:35,279
Speaker 2: one of those the books got absolutely crushed. Open the

947
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:37,360
Speaker 2: over under a forty five and a half. Everyone in

948
00:47:37,400 --> 00:47:39,320
Speaker 2: their grandmom came on the under forty five and a half.

949
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:42,279
Speaker 2: They reopened at forty two, got pounded again. Now it's

950
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 2: down to thirty nine and a half thirty nine at

951
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:47,360
Speaker 2: most books. Love the under in this spot. Still unsure

952
00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:51,120
Speaker 2: about Dak and this offense. Have my questions there, especially

953
00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 2: against this Jets defense, which knows that they're the identity

954
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 2: of the team. So yeah, one of those best shadow.

955
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:00,600
Speaker 2: I feel so lucky that me and you just the

956
00:48:00,680 --> 00:48:03,800
Speaker 2: Jets bet the Runders bet them to miss the playoffs,

957
00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:06,360
Speaker 2: didn't take any type of Super Bowl futures like the Jets.

958
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:10,360
Speaker 2: Whatever it is Joe Namath did. Joe Namath sold his

959
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 2: soul and the Jets soul for that Super Bowl, Like

960
00:48:13,920 --> 00:48:17,360
Speaker 2: who's got worse luck the man? It was his fourth

961
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:21,919
Speaker 2: snap and his achilles snat Like it's just I feel

962
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:25,479
Speaker 2: so her book for the Jets. So as a pity bet,

963
00:48:25,520 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 2: if it gets the ten, I'll probably end up on

964
00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:30,400
Speaker 2: the Jets because that's just such a huge number. I

965
00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:33,000
Speaker 2: think their defense can cover that number themselves. So nine

966
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:34,880
Speaker 2: and a half. I'm with you, Chad, No play.

967
00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:38,879
Speaker 1: Uh Dolphins visiting the Patriots. This is our Sunday night game.

968
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:42,040
Speaker 1: Sixty percent of the people in our YouTube chat currently

969
00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:46,080
Speaker 1: watching like the Dolphins here simon.

970
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,760
Speaker 2: What the people I know seriously better than that.

971
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:54,640
Speaker 1: Of course we're betting the Patriots like this, This, the Bears,

972
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:58,160
Speaker 1: and the Falcons were the three on my list for

973
00:48:58,320 --> 00:48:59,080
Speaker 1: exact decision.

974
00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:02,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I definitely thought I definitely circle this as most

975
00:49:02,160 --> 00:49:04,839
Speaker 2: likely being our big balls by the week. Because of

976
00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:07,320
Speaker 2: all of our bets, this is the one I hate

977
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:11,920
Speaker 2: the most. I hate this bet just because the Patriots

978
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 2: let us down so horribly last week.

979
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:16,719
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter exactly exactly.

980
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 2: So that's the thing.

981
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:19,480
Speaker 1: Just like, let me take you back to the beginning

982
00:49:19,520 --> 00:49:23,760
Speaker 1: of the show. We are professionals. What happened last week

983
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:25,279
Speaker 1: doesn't impact this week.

984
00:49:25,400 --> 00:49:28,040
Speaker 2: You maybe up so fast you make.

985
00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:33,400
Speaker 1: The right decision every time. You don't get emotional about

986
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 1: a team.

987
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:37,560
Speaker 2: But yeah, we we're playing the number year. So the

988
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:39,399
Speaker 2: hope is this gets the three.

989
00:49:39,280 --> 00:49:39,480
Speaker 1: Yep.

990
00:49:39,840 --> 00:49:43,520
Speaker 2: But this will be everyone in the world will be

991
00:49:43,600 --> 00:49:46,840
Speaker 2: coming in on this Miami team in a primetime game,

992
00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:50,920
Speaker 2: in a divisional game. I like this Patriots defense. I

993
00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:53,040
Speaker 2: thought they played so well against that Egos offense and

994
00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:57,240
Speaker 2: slowing down those receivers. So, yeah, Miami on the turf.

995
00:49:57,760 --> 00:50:00,120
Speaker 2: It's a lot different playing now in California that coming

996
00:50:00,200 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 2: back east playing up in New England. Yeah, this is

997
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:05,239
Speaker 2: a this is a great spot to try to fade

998
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:07,920
Speaker 2: the hype of Tua. Give us the three because I

999
00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 2: haven't touched this number yet because I'm waiting for the

1000
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:12,440
Speaker 2: three Jets. So that's the hope here. I think it

1001
00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:14,520
Speaker 2: opened one and a half two now to two and

1002
00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:16,839
Speaker 2: a half in a lot of books. Get us there.

1003
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 2: It's the same thing with the Jets, where it's like,

1004
00:50:19,400 --> 00:50:21,200
Speaker 2: we know we're taking the spot, We'll take the two

1005
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:23,319
Speaker 2: and a half if we have through, but we want

1006
00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:25,759
Speaker 2: the three. So yeah, this is going to be a

1007
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 2: pros versus Joe's game. I know almost any probably talk

1008
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:29,759
Speaker 2: to they're going to be on this Patriots team.

1009
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:43,480
Speaker 1: Well you're you're looking at one of them Saints visiting

1010
00:50:43,520 --> 00:50:45,759
Speaker 1: the Panthers Monday Night football. We got two Monday Night

1011
00:50:45,800 --> 00:50:49,320
Speaker 1: Football games this week. Derek Carr I thought he played

1012
00:50:49,360 --> 00:50:52,920
Speaker 1: really well. They're visiting the Panthers. They're three, three and

1013
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:53,840
Speaker 1: a half point favorites.

1014
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:55,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, we missed the best number. You could have got

1015
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:57,480
Speaker 2: two and a half three on the Saints team. Now

1016
00:50:57,480 --> 00:51:00,799
Speaker 2: it's gone. I don't know what I'm I do. Maybe

1017
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:02,480
Speaker 2: maybe I'll talk to some pros. I want to take

1018
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:05,080
Speaker 2: this Carolina team, but I got this number at three.

1019
00:51:05,480 --> 00:51:10,200
Speaker 2: So the number the value is technically on Carolina. What

1020
00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:11,840
Speaker 2: do we what are we building off of what we

1021
00:51:11,840 --> 00:51:13,640
Speaker 2: saw from Carolina last week that we want to bet on?

1022
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:18,520
Speaker 2: There was just they showed us nothing. And Bryce young Man,

1023
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:20,640
Speaker 2: I know, I know rookies have rough first starts, but

1024
00:51:20,680 --> 00:51:22,239
Speaker 2: he had the worst one of all the rooks. So

1025
00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:26,280
Speaker 2: it's just scary knowing what they have on that d line.

1026
00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 2: But satan Sty is really good. I don't think that

1027
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 2: was all on Tannehill. I thought their defense had a

1028
00:51:31,000 --> 00:51:33,879
Speaker 2: ton of pressure on Tannehill and their corners played really well.

1029
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,240
Speaker 2: So yeah, I talked to it. I thought the Saints

1030
00:51:36,239 --> 00:51:38,719
Speaker 2: of the cream of the crop in this division. But

1031
00:51:38,920 --> 00:51:41,560
Speaker 2: that's that's hard not to take that divisional home dog

1032
00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 2: in a primetime game. So another game we'll have to

1033
00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:45,280
Speaker 2: revisit on Thursday.

1034
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:51,400
Speaker 1: Last game on the board, Cleveland is visiting Pittsburgh. Cleveland

1035
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,040
Speaker 1: is a two point favorite on the road coming off

1036
00:51:54,080 --> 00:51:57,440
Speaker 1: the big win against the Bengals. We loved Cleveland, It's

1037
00:51:57,480 --> 00:51:59,399
Speaker 1: one of your three biggest bets. We'd been talking about

1038
00:51:59,440 --> 00:52:03,440
Speaker 1: him for months. We had them outright. The Steelers we loved.

1039
00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 1: You might have loved a little bit less than me.

1040
00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:09,760
Speaker 1: You have made it clear with very nuanced and subtle

1041
00:52:09,840 --> 00:52:14,400
Speaker 1: passive aggressive comments about it being a public dog, as

1042
00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:16,600
Speaker 1: if it's my fault we put him in the contest.

1043
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:19,480
Speaker 1: I hear you, Simon, I hear what you're saying. Okay,

1044
00:52:19,600 --> 00:52:23,040
Speaker 1: don't give me this bullshit. Steelers are two and a

1045
00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 1: half point home dogs. Money is on the Steelers, tickets

1046
00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:29,320
Speaker 1: are on the Browns. Of course.

1047
00:52:29,320 --> 00:52:31,160
Speaker 2: Wow, I'm shocked. It's not the money on the Browns,

1048
00:52:31,160 --> 00:52:33,680
Speaker 2: tickets on the Steelers. I like the Browns here, Like

1049
00:52:34,719 --> 00:52:37,560
Speaker 2: I know, I've gone through and watched that game and

1050
00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:41,319
Speaker 2: it doesn't feel that flukey. I mean, we were high

1051
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:44,840
Speaker 2: on this D line and nothing's changed, Like their D

1052
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 2: line is so dominant. And when I will go back

1053
00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:51,040
Speaker 2: and watch that forty nine Ers game, you know, Nick

1054
00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:52,960
Speaker 2: Bosa wasn't even that much of a game wrecker. It

1055
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:55,280
Speaker 2: was the whole forty nine Ers front that got pushed

1056
00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:57,400
Speaker 2: against this Pittsburgh go line. And I knew coming in

1057
00:52:57,480 --> 00:53:00,959
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's line was the weakness and that I was hoping

1058
00:53:00,960 --> 00:53:04,800
Speaker 2: they improved from last year. Doesn't look like it. So Historically,

1059
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 2: the Steelers do bounce back usually good in this spot,

1060
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:11,239
Speaker 2: especially Tomlin at home as a dog. That's the only

1061
00:53:11,239 --> 00:53:13,440
Speaker 2: reason we might not have this one in the contest

1062
00:53:13,480 --> 00:53:18,719
Speaker 2: going Cleveland. But feel's got a good number like this

1063
00:53:18,719 --> 00:53:21,680
Speaker 2: this Cleveland team. You can say what you want about

1064
00:53:21,680 --> 00:53:24,640
Speaker 2: Watson last week. He made the plays that Joe Burrow

1065
00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:26,680
Speaker 2: couldn't like. He was making the same He was thrown

1066
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:28,839
Speaker 2: in the same weather that Joe Burrow was dealing with,

1067
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:30,320
Speaker 2: and he was making the throws when he had to.

1068
00:53:30,560 --> 00:53:34,640
Speaker 2: So I'm excited to really kind of see what we

1069
00:53:34,640 --> 00:53:36,919
Speaker 2: got here from Watson because this is another big game

1070
00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:41,080
Speaker 2: of they win this chat, they're in the driver's seat

1071
00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:43,400
Speaker 2: of winning this division and making the playoffs. And this

1072
00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:45,759
Speaker 2: is We've talked a nice about the Browns team. This

1073
00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:49,080
Speaker 2: is the year, like next year, the Watson contract kicks in,

1074
00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:51,520
Speaker 2: So this is really it for this Browns team. And

1075
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:55,600
Speaker 2: you know great teams. In Week two, they kind of

1076
00:53:55,680 --> 00:53:57,440
Speaker 2: upset and shocked the world, and this would be one

1077
00:53:57,440 --> 00:53:58,560
Speaker 2: of those like this. I don't know if this sho

1078
00:53:58,600 --> 00:54:00,960
Speaker 2: was chocked the wall, but this would shock me Cleveland

1079
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:03,839
Speaker 2: winning this game. So I got to take the number

1080
00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:05,600
Speaker 2: of minus two and a half. They just I feel

1081
00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:07,920
Speaker 2: like the summer should be three. The fact that it's

1082
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 2: up to two and a half is surprising, just the

1083
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:13,480
Speaker 2: fact that you just said the money has been going

1084
00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:15,960
Speaker 2: on Pittsburgh, yet the line's been moving against them, so

1085
00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 2: pretty talent. That number opened at one. Now it's up

1086
00:54:19,040 --> 00:54:20,640
Speaker 2: to minus two and a half for this Brown team.

1087
00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:26,000
Speaker 1: Samon, let me recap the games that we're looking at

1088
00:54:26,280 --> 00:54:29,520
Speaker 1: for our contest that we'll probably focus on on Thursday.

1089
00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:35,480
Speaker 1: Rams plus eight and a half, Kansas City minus three Buffalo.

1090
00:54:35,840 --> 00:54:37,759
Speaker 1: It's gonna move, but right now we like it at

1091
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:42,640
Speaker 1: eight and a half. Atlanta the Pats plus two and

1092
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:46,959
Speaker 1: a half, the Bears plus three, Sincy. We're hoping maybe

1093
00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:51,440
Speaker 1: it gets back down to three Giants minus five. Browns

1094
00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:56,200
Speaker 1: are interesting. Am I missing anybody? Titans? Can I sell

1095
00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:58,759
Speaker 1: you some Titans? Have we put on the list? You

1096
00:54:58,760 --> 00:55:02,279
Speaker 1: can put them in Titans plus three. Don't give me

1097
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:06,600
Speaker 1: that that preemptive pity, So you've got something to rip

1098
00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:08,719
Speaker 1: me for when we put the Titans in in the either.

1099
00:55:09,080 --> 00:55:11,080
Speaker 2: I really don't think we're going to, but you never know.

1100
00:55:11,600 --> 00:55:13,200
Speaker 1: You never know, You don't know what the number is

1101
00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:17,800
Speaker 1: going to be. It's changing. It's dynamic, like this podcast,

1102
00:55:17,960 --> 00:55:21,399
Speaker 1: we are dynamic. Simon Hunter, my co host, you are

1103
00:55:21,520 --> 00:55:24,760
Speaker 1: dynamic as a reminder of the Favorites podcast. It's proudly

1104
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Speaker 1: problem call or text one eight hundred gambler for Simon Hunter.

1111
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Speaker 1: I am Shad Millman. This has been the favorite podcast

1112
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:57,480
Speaker 1: part of the Action Network. Like a subscribe on YouTube,

1113
00:55:57,520 --> 00:56:01,680
Speaker 1: download from Apple, podcasts from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts.

1114
00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:13,360
Speaker 1: Until Thursday at eleven am, low you, Action Network reminds

1115
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Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care

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