WEBVTT - Disney Wins Proxy Fight, Hertz Troubles

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am

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<v Speaker 2>Another stock that we're watching today is a Disney. Shares

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<v Speaker 2>are up by about six tenths of one percent after

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<v Speaker 2>Bob Iger prevailed yesterday in the shareholder vote meeting. Either

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<v Speaker 2>Rogannath and Bloomberg Intelligence analysts on US Media is standing

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<v Speaker 2>by for us KEITHA, What did we learn yesterday about

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<v Speaker 2>Disney and mister Eiger.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, definitely a huge sigh of relief for both Bob

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<v Speaker 3>Iger and the management team. I mean it would have been,

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<v Speaker 3>I think a very very publicly embarrassing thing for him

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<v Speaker 3>if Pelts had had won. So this is definitely I

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<v Speaker 3>think gives them some something to cheer about, at least

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<v Speaker 3>in the near term. But other than that, Alex, I

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<v Speaker 3>think it's really business as usual.

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<v Speaker 1>Right.

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<v Speaker 3>They had their work cut out for them. They know

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<v Speaker 3>exactly what they need to do, whether it's finding a

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<v Speaker 3>proper good ESPN digital strategy, whether it's getting the streaming

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<v Speaker 3>business to profits and more importantly for the board, whether

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<v Speaker 3>it's chalking out a really bulletproof succession plan this time around.

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<v Speaker 4>And on that succession plan, is the expectation getha that

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<v Speaker 4>they will hire from within or will they try to

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<v Speaker 4>make a big splash by hiring an outsider.

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<v Speaker 5>How do you think Disney would like to proceed?

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<v Speaker 3>Disney has always kind of looked within, Paul, and you

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<v Speaker 3>know this well. I mean the last time that they

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<v Speaker 3>went external was back in nineteen eighty four. That's when

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<v Speaker 3>they hired you know, Michael Eisner, right, the Barry Diller protege.

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<v Speaker 3>But after that, it's always been internal, right, whether it's

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<v Speaker 3>Bob Bieger, I mean, it was Bob Biger after that

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<v Speaker 3>for almost fifteen years, and then of course you had

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<v Speaker 3>Bob Japek for a couple of years, and then you know,

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<v Speaker 3>we have Bob Bieger two point zero back again. So

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<v Speaker 3>they've always kind of had, you know more, they've always

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<v Speaker 3>looked internal. And they do have four solid candidates, so

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<v Speaker 3>all the division chiefs kind of emerging as potential successor candidates.

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<v Speaker 3>It's just going to be up to how they groomed them.

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<v Speaker 3>Is Barbiger going to do something very similar to what

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<v Speaker 3>he did with you know, Tom's tags and Jay Rizzulo

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<v Speaker 3>kind of have that coo position for somebody whom he's

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<v Speaker 3>kind of looking to to elevate.

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<v Speaker 2>What's the timeframe here, Keitha?

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<v Speaker 3>For this, it has to happen pretty quickly, Alex. I

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<v Speaker 3>mean bar Biger's term, which was initially when he came

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<v Speaker 3>back in November twenty twenty two, was supposed to be

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<v Speaker 3>two years. They extended that out to four years. So

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<v Speaker 3>we have until the end of twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and he's been known to extend extend extent. I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>he could do that because most shaholders are like barb

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<v Speaker 4>Biger's better than anybody else out there, will stick with that.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, So Keitha's things seem to be settling down

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<v Speaker 4>a little bit of stability. Returning to Mickey Mouse, how

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<v Speaker 4>about Paramount Global. It's almost the opposite there. The stock

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<v Speaker 4>is down six point six percent. Are they going to

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<v Speaker 4>sell the entire company parts of the company super voting stock?

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<v Speaker 5>What's going on there?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So it looks like now they have or they've

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<v Speaker 3>entered this period of exclusive talks with Skydance Media and

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<v Speaker 3>Sky Dance Media has kind of been you know this,

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<v Speaker 3>on again, off again interested party in the Paramount company.

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<v Speaker 3>But of course they didn't want to come out with

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<v Speaker 3>a bid for the entire company at least up until

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<v Speaker 3>this point. They always kind of wanted to do it

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<v Speaker 3>in a slightly different way by kind of taking control

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<v Speaker 3>of uh of the voting stock with through National Abusements

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<v Speaker 3>and the Redstone family. Now it looks like they're kind

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<v Speaker 3>of going to engineer like a two step process where

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<v Speaker 3>they first take control of National Amusements and then go

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<v Speaker 3>about and merge sky Dance with the entire company with Paramount.

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<v Speaker 3>So still, I mean, there are two there's just more

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<v Speaker 3>unknowns than knownes. At this point. There seems to be

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<v Speaker 3>some report out there suggesting that they would need to

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<v Speaker 3>do an equity deal raise of at least three billion

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<v Speaker 3>dollar do that's going to be really dilutive for the

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<v Speaker 3>current shareholders. Again, we don't know exactly how much Sherry

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<v Speaker 3>Redstone is demanding for her voting stock. There are rumors

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<v Speaker 3>out there suggesting it's upwards of about two to two

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<v Speaker 3>and a half billion dollars. She also owns about close

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<v Speaker 3>to almost a billion dollars in economics take in Paramount.

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<v Speaker 3>So again, too many unknowns right now, Paul. But you know,

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<v Speaker 3>we do definitely have concrete talks, that much is for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>So is the Apollo thing like off the table, right,

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<v Speaker 2>because that would be more of a piecemeal approach to Paramount, right,

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<v Speaker 2>even though the cash deal was better.

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<v Speaker 3>So the Apollo thing was actually initially it was it

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<v Speaker 3>was piecemeal. So but they only were really interested in

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<v Speaker 3>the film studio. They did not want the TV networks,

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<v Speaker 3>They did not want the streaming acid. But it looks

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<v Speaker 3>like yesterday, you know, when reports emerge about the sky

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<v Speaker 3>Dance deal, they said that Apollo actually had made a

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<v Speaker 3>twenty six billion offer and all cash deal for the

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<v Speaker 3>entire company, which Cherry Redstone for some reason basically said no.

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<v Speaker 4>To wow, because I'm looking at the enterprise value today

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<v Speaker 4>about twenty three billions. It would have been a little

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<v Speaker 4>bit of a premium there. And boy, you know who

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<v Speaker 4>looks smart is the guys at News Corp. I mean

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<v Speaker 4>selling their company, you know several years ago, you know.

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<v Speaker 5>I just the Murdocks. They look kind of smart here.

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<v Speaker 4>So what's the future. I mean, this is the Paramount Studio, Gith,

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<v Speaker 4>this is one of the prize jewels in Hollywood. I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>what happens to this company? I mean, is it can

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<v Speaker 4>remain a publicly traded company.

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<v Speaker 5>Is it going to be taken private? What's this? What's

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<v Speaker 5>mostly outcome?

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<v Speaker 3>I think the most likely outcome at this point, Paul,

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<v Speaker 3>is that it still very much remains a public company.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, we know that David Ellison is really only

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<v Speaker 3>interested in the studio portion of the business. And you're

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<v Speaker 3>absolutely right. It's an iconic studio, There's no doubt about it.

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<v Speaker 3>They have a very very valuable studio lot right in

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<v Speaker 3>the heart of la that's worth maybe upwards of one

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<v Speaker 3>point five two billion dollars. So obviously there's a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of assets that he likes, but only with the studio business.

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<v Speaker 3>So again the question is, yes, he can keep it

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<v Speaker 3>a public company, but he might really kind of trim

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<v Speaker 3>it down, try and find some buyers for the TV network,

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<v Speaker 3>for probably the streaming platform, and just make this like

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<v Speaker 3>a pure play kind of a film studio with you know,

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<v Speaker 3>production and licensing operations very similar to like what lions

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<v Speaker 3>Gate is doing.

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<v Speaker 2>Would that command of valuation like a good valuation for

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<v Speaker 2>that if they did that?

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<v Speaker 3>So we do know that Apollo came came out with

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<v Speaker 3>eleven billion offer. That's a pretty decent It's about a

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<v Speaker 3>thirteen thirteen and a half times EBITDA valuation, which is

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<v Speaker 3>pretty much in line with where other you know, pure

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<v Speaker 3>play studios are trading. So probably, yes, somewhere in that

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<v Speaker 3>in that range.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, we got you here. Let's ask you about

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<v Speaker 4>Warner Brothers. Discovery off another one percent today, off twenty

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<v Speaker 4>four percent this year, down forty three percent over the

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<v Speaker 4>last year. Any scenario there that's that is worth kind

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<v Speaker 4>of looking at.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's just it's been all doom and gloom

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<v Speaker 3>at Warner Brothers. And really the one, the one metric

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<v Speaker 3>I think that people are like fixated on for Brothers

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<v Speaker 3>is EBITDA. You know that when the deal actually went

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<v Speaker 3>through or when they when they were looking to merge

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<v Speaker 3>those two companies, they spoke about fourteen billion dollars in EBITDA.

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<v Speaker 3>This year, probably we're not even going to hit ten billion,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's really why investors are so upset. Combine that

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<v Speaker 3>with over forty billion dollars in debt, and that's a

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<v Speaker 3>recipe for you know, the doom and gloom, and that's

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<v Speaker 3>exactly what's happening there. So until we kind of get

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<v Speaker 3>some better metrics, it's not.

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<v Speaker 4>Going to look bailed on the media industry at the

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<v Speaker 4>right time.

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<v Speaker 5>You me, yeah, exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, I am going to see you doing well.

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<v Speaker 2>You're kind of in it right now.

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<v Speaker 4>My lively.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, it does kind of. I don't know, but you know,

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<v Speaker 5>it's just this is.

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<v Speaker 2>An excellent point. This is an excellent point, John Tucker,

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<v Speaker 2>that you just went from the other side of the

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<v Speaker 2>media business. I'm seeing Dune two on Saturday, so I

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<v Speaker 2>feel like I'm doing my part.

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<v Speaker 6>That's right.

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<v Speaker 2>Excellent brothers, excellent movies and excellent excellent movie.

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<v Speaker 3>It is absolutely brilliant.

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<v Speaker 2>I like Paramount Plus because of the whole survivor thing

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<v Speaker 2>because I'm addicted to survivors. So you know, I'm helping.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm what I need to do, all right, Githa, thanks

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<v Speaker 4>so much. As always, Keitha rock Nathin. She covers all

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<v Speaker 4>the media stuff for Bloomberg Intelligence space down in Princeton.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android

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<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen

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<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's say with energy for a moment. So Green Plains

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<v Speaker 2>is basically an ethanol company producer that wants to become

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<v Speaker 2>an ag tech company, and the CEO is taking this

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<v Speaker 2>very seriously and doing a lot in the middle of

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<v Speaker 2>this transition. The stock is down, though twenty three percent

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<v Speaker 2>in the last year, it is up about two percent today.

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<v Speaker 2>And we welcome the CEO and president, Todd Becker. He

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<v Speaker 2>joins us now from Omaha, Nebraska. Todd, it's always good

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<v Speaker 2>to talk to you. What I love about talking to

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<v Speaker 2>you is you just give it like it is. And

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<v Speaker 2>you saw the shift from ethanol into something else before

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<v Speaker 2>really anyone else did. And the idea is, look, you

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<v Speaker 2>mix ethanol with gasoline, but if we're all driving evs,

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<v Speaker 2>do you really need the ethanol. How's it going? How's

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<v Speaker 2>this transition for you going?

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<v Speaker 7>It's actually going really well. I mean, thanks for having

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<v Speaker 7>me again. I'd love talking to you guys. And you know,

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<v Speaker 7>everything that we've laid out so far is on track

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<v Speaker 7>to get to twenty twenty five, which is when we

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<v Speaker 7>said we're really going to be able to start operating

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<v Speaker 7>on all cylinders, no pun intended.

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<v Speaker 1>But look, I.

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<v Speaker 7>Think our base feel still has has strong demand, but

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<v Speaker 7>there's other value that we can unlock and everything that

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<v Speaker 7>we do, and there's so much technology out there, and

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<v Speaker 7>we just announced a great collaboration with Shell, a joint

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<v Speaker 7>venture that we just basically had a grand opening ceremony

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<v Speaker 7>that really just takes us next level on what we're

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<v Speaker 7>doing in ag tech because they, as much as they

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<v Speaker 7>are one of the largest energy companies in the world,

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<v Speaker 7>they also have a really interesting view on agriculture and

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<v Speaker 7>technology and combining what we can do and energy with

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<v Speaker 7>what we can do in agriculture. And we've just kicked

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<v Speaker 7>off an amazing partnership that we've been building for several years.

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<v Speaker 7>So a lot's going on and we're really excited about

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<v Speaker 7>what's happening.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, Can you talk to us about this joint

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<v Speaker 4>venture because when you mentioned Shell, that gets my attention

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<v Speaker 4>when I'm thinking about kind of biofuels companies like yourselves

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<v Speaker 4>kind of getting together with traditional traditional energy companies.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, So, look, what Shell's looking for is more low

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<v Speaker 7>carbon feedstocks. That's the most important thing to them. And

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<v Speaker 7>what we're looking for is more low carbon ingredients for

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<v Speaker 7>food and for feed and so we have this technology.

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<v Speaker 7>We bought a company a few years ago which we

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<v Speaker 7>think is one of the leading ag tech companies in

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<v Speaker 7>the world called flu Equipped Technologies, and they have a

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<v Speaker 7>separation technology that basically just puts something into their machine

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<v Speaker 7>and it separates it out into all really interesting ingredients.

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<v Speaker 7>Shell on the other hand, had a chemical process that

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<v Speaker 7>basically unlocks what's left on different parts of agricultural waste

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<v Speaker 7>or fiber or anything that's getting processed that we couldn't

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<v Speaker 7>go after to start. And when we put these two together,

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<v Speaker 7>basically you can combine their chemical process to liberate oils

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<v Speaker 7>and proteins and other things that are stuck on sugars

0:11:02.040 --> 0:11:04.720
<v Speaker 7>that are stuck within processes, and then we take it

0:11:04.760 --> 0:11:06.880
<v Speaker 7>from there and we can separate them all out. So

0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:10.760
<v Speaker 7>it's really an amazing technology collaboration. We want it so

0:11:10.800 --> 0:11:13.960
<v Speaker 7>we can get more sugars and proteins. They want it

0:11:14.000 --> 0:11:17.480
<v Speaker 7>so they can unlock more from the standpoint of vegetable

0:11:17.480 --> 0:11:19.679
<v Speaker 7>oil so they can make renewable diesel and other things

0:11:19.760 --> 0:11:22.240
<v Speaker 7>like that, as well as the last part of it

0:11:22.320 --> 0:11:25.720
<v Speaker 7>is that we could finally unlock the sugar that's stuck

0:11:25.760 --> 0:11:29.680
<v Speaker 7>within the fiber, and that's cellulostic sugars. And for years

0:11:29.679 --> 0:11:31.800
<v Speaker 7>and years and years, people have been trying to crack

0:11:31.840 --> 0:11:35.600
<v Speaker 7>this code on cellulosic alcohol and fuels and that dream

0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:37.880
<v Speaker 7>that people have had, and this is one thing that

0:11:37.920 --> 0:11:40.760
<v Speaker 7>potentially unlocks that whole dream of getting every piece of

0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:43.400
<v Speaker 7>value out of every piece of that corn kernel. And

0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:46.520
<v Speaker 7>the great thing about this technology is it's just not

0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:51.840
<v Speaker 7>limited to a single commodity. It's actually agricultural feedstock agnostic.

0:11:51.880 --> 0:11:54.600
<v Speaker 7>You could drop a lot of different things in this technology.

0:11:54.640 --> 0:11:58.800
<v Speaker 7>So we think it revolutionizes agricultural processing if it works,

0:11:58.840 --> 0:12:05.920
<v Speaker 7>of course, revolutionizes agricultural processing globally. Bio refining globally unlocks

0:12:06.040 --> 0:12:08.880
<v Speaker 7>all of the value of what we do in everything

0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:12.880
<v Speaker 7>from food and fuel and feed. And it's the first time,

0:12:12.920 --> 0:12:16.840
<v Speaker 7>really we think that a major agricultural company, and one

0:12:16.880 --> 0:12:19.360
<v Speaker 7>of the first times a major agricultural company and a

0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:23.080
<v Speaker 7>major energy company get together to use everything we do

0:12:23.160 --> 0:12:25.439
<v Speaker 7>to make all of the different different products that we need.

0:12:26.000 --> 0:12:28.440
<v Speaker 2>So Todd, it does sound amazing, and I like the

0:12:28.480 --> 0:12:30.800
<v Speaker 2>idea of like liberating all the parts of the corn.

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:34.080
<v Speaker 2>It's it's a great phrase It's a two full question

0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:36.560
<v Speaker 2>for me. When you get the stuff from that, what

0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:40.040
<v Speaker 2>do you use it for? And how expensive is it

0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:42.680
<v Speaker 2>to sort of ramp and scale all this up.

0:12:44.120 --> 0:12:44.280
<v Speaker 8>You know.

0:12:44.360 --> 0:12:46.440
<v Speaker 7>The great thing is is that over the last several years,

0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:49.360
<v Speaker 7>as we've been transforming our company, we've deployed about three

0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:51.480
<v Speaker 7>hundred and fifty million to four hundred million dollars in

0:12:51.559 --> 0:12:54.959
<v Speaker 7>the separation technology already, so we're ready using it. So

0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:57.680
<v Speaker 7>our technology has proven already, so we've we've put it

0:12:57.720 --> 0:13:00.800
<v Speaker 7>at several of our facilities and joint venture facility, so

0:13:00.880 --> 0:13:04.920
<v Speaker 7>we are already beginning to separate most of what happens

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 7>in a kernel of corn and other products. So what

0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:10.719
<v Speaker 7>this does You lay this over it and it's all

0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:13.160
<v Speaker 7>the remaining things that we can't get they can get

0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:16.480
<v Speaker 7>it chemically in their process. Is we just could never

0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 7>get it that way because that's not what we did

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 7>as a company. So, you know, the cost we hope,

0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.080
<v Speaker 7>we're hoping because we've already deployed technology of five of

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:27.960
<v Speaker 7>our sites, which is six coming on today, We're going

0:13:28.080 --> 0:13:30.360
<v Speaker 7>when we overlay this technology on top of it, we

0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:33.319
<v Speaker 7>should be very cost efficient. The first one we built

0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:36.560
<v Speaker 7>it under really nobody really knew what we were building.

0:13:36.559 --> 0:13:39.319
<v Speaker 7>But in ne York, Nebraska, we already have the first

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:43.040
<v Speaker 7>build that we've been spending years doing quietly under the

0:13:43.120 --> 0:13:46.199
<v Speaker 7>radar screen, putting our technologies together, and we're going to

0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:48.320
<v Speaker 7>start that up in about a month or two. And

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:50.599
<v Speaker 7>that's really what what we had our grand opening and

0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:53.439
<v Speaker 7>our announcement on it was just a very quiet collaboration.

0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:57.400
<v Speaker 7>But really what it does it extracts everything available. So

0:13:57.559 --> 0:14:00.840
<v Speaker 7>all we leave corn oil when we send out, when

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:03.240
<v Speaker 7>we send out our fiber, we can go after that

0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:05.960
<v Speaker 7>that can be using renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel.

0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 7>We use sugars, We leave sugars on our fiber that

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 7>goes out as animal feed. We can go get that

0:14:11.520 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 7>which can be made into say elastic second generation low

0:14:14.200 --> 0:14:17.080
<v Speaker 7>carbon ethanol. There's more protein to go after we send

0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:21.120
<v Speaker 7>out very low value protein. Still, this technology together unlocks

0:14:21.560 --> 0:14:24.240
<v Speaker 7>ultra high protein that we're already shipping to pet food

0:14:24.280 --> 0:14:27.320
<v Speaker 7>and salmon producers around the world. It just gives us more,

0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:30.240
<v Speaker 7>you know. And then and then lastly, you know, what

0:14:30.280 --> 0:14:33.280
<v Speaker 7>we're able to do is take all of that and

0:14:33.360 --> 0:14:37.000
<v Speaker 7>think about low carbon alcohol for things like sustainable aviation fuel.

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 7>That's going to be coming down in the future because

0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 7>the only true path to volumes of sustainable aviation fuel

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:44.720
<v Speaker 7>is going to come through alcohol.

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:48.320
<v Speaker 2>So and I'm assuming so if if it's cost competitive,

0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:50.880
<v Speaker 2>if you overlay the technology, is that cost for you guys?

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:53.280
<v Speaker 2>It doesn't raise the price of the products that you're

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:54.040
<v Speaker 2>then having to sell.

0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:57.600
<v Speaker 7>No, Actually, you know, we're just able to unlock more.

0:14:57.640 --> 0:14:59.920
<v Speaker 7>We're sending it already out as a as a ever

0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:01.600
<v Speaker 7>thing left we send out as a more of a

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 7>lower value product. So it unlocks all of that. And

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:07.080
<v Speaker 7>now now what we can do is actually make great

0:15:07.120 --> 0:15:10.720
<v Speaker 7>products and get much higher values for what we're what

0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:12.760
<v Speaker 7>we're going to produce than what we're doing today. And

0:15:12.920 --> 0:15:16.080
<v Speaker 7>the most interesting thing about this technology, Alex is is

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 7>I can either drop a corn, you know, to the

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:20.400
<v Speaker 7>basic of it, I could drop a kernel of corn

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:22.440
<v Speaker 7>in there, But I could also drop a soybean in

0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:25.800
<v Speaker 7>there and blow up and chemically separate that and really

0:15:25.960 --> 0:15:29.480
<v Speaker 7>disrupt what's happening potentially in soybean processing. Or I can

0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 7>drop a kernel of wheat in there, yeah, and go

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 7>unlock all of the protein and the oils and the

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.560
<v Speaker 7>sugars and all of those things. That nobody's been able

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 7>to go after in any in any kind of early

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:39.320
<v Speaker 7>efficient way.

0:15:39.680 --> 0:15:42.160
<v Speaker 2>So Todd, if I'm looking at your stock, it's up

0:15:42.200 --> 0:15:45.280
<v Speaker 2>ten percent almost since that announcement, but it's not had

0:15:45.320 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 2>a good full year, and I'm wondering, like, when do

0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:50.960
<v Speaker 2>you feel like you should be getting credit for this?

0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:52.880
<v Speaker 2>And I know you're going to say, like yesterday, but

0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 2>you know what I'm saying, Like.

0:15:55.560 --> 0:15:58.120
<v Speaker 7>When we started our transformation to stock was eight, it

0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:00.200
<v Speaker 7>ran up into the you know, the high thirty, and

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:02.040
<v Speaker 7>that we're back down. You know, we brought the couple

0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:03.680
<v Speaker 7>of reasons. I think we're down a little bit this

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 7>year is well not a little bit, but you know,

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:07.680
<v Speaker 7>we brought our MLP in, so we wanted to clean

0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:09.640
<v Speaker 7>up our capital structure. So we were able to bring

0:16:09.680 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 7>that in and we and we handed our shares to

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:15.200
<v Speaker 7>MLP shareholders that you know, they were earning a pretty

0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:16.960
<v Speaker 7>high yield. And I think that puts some pressure on

0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 7>our stock as well, as we've seen some drops in

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:22.200
<v Speaker 7>prices and in ethanol is trading a dollar under gas,

0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.880
<v Speaker 7>and so now we're getting more competitive again. And but

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:27.280
<v Speaker 7>we really saw a dropping veg oil price. Vegetable oil

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 7>pricing here recently, but now that's starting to come back,

0:16:29.640 --> 0:16:32.080
<v Speaker 7>which I think is putting it bid back into our

0:16:32.120 --> 0:16:34.400
<v Speaker 7>stock as well. So you know, we're about a year.

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:36.280
<v Speaker 7>You know, what you've said is our path to twenty

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 7>twenty five, twenty four is our transition year. We need

0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:41.600
<v Speaker 7>to deliver on some some financial results this year, and

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 7>I think we're going to be able to do that

0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 7>as a year progresses. But you know, we've made investments,

0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 7>and you know, the whole sector really kind of fell

0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:51.400
<v Speaker 7>out of favor anyways, and I think we got dragged

0:16:51.440 --> 0:16:53.960
<v Speaker 7>down with that. But we have a great technology, we

0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:56.280
<v Speaker 7>have a great platform, We've got great products. We're going

0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:57.920
<v Speaker 7>to start our first and I know we talked about

0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:00.720
<v Speaker 7>this a few years ago, our first clean sugar facility.

0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:02.880
<v Speaker 7>We're going to make food grade dextros for everything from

0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:06.320
<v Speaker 7>Gumbi bears to to Seltzer drinks. That's never happened in

0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:09.840
<v Speaker 7>the history of our industry. We're starting that up next

0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:12.879
<v Speaker 7>month and later this month as well. So there's a

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:15.919
<v Speaker 7>lot going on. We're right towards the back end of

0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:17.880
<v Speaker 7>what we said we were going to do, and now

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:20.760
<v Speaker 7>it's starting to all come to fruition, you know, and

0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:22.840
<v Speaker 7>the pressure came across the whole sector. If you look

0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:24.960
<v Speaker 7>across the whole sector and agricultural processing.

0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:27.239
<v Speaker 2>You finally said the word that got John Tucker here

0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:29.040
<v Speaker 2>in the studio excited. You said gummy bears.

0:17:29.080 --> 0:17:32.560
<v Speaker 5>And I was writing, I got distracted. I'm sorry, but.

0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 2>You know ethanol whate was okayne, but you know, gummy bears,

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 2>no sugar. He was paying attention. I hate Todd, really

0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:43.080
<v Speaker 2>appreciate it. Always going to catch up with you. Todd Becker,

0:17:43.160 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 2>President and CEO of Green Plans, joining us from Nebraska.

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.960
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on fo CAR playing Enroud

0:17:56.000 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcast, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:06.960
<v Speaker 2>So every day Bloomberg has a big take where they

0:18:07.080 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 2>really dive deep into a topic and a story and

0:18:10.280 --> 0:18:12.199
<v Speaker 2>they're quite good. And there's a podcast and it's a

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 2>written piece and I highly recommend that you check it out.

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:18.240
<v Speaker 2>And the one today is particularly interesting. The title Hubris

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:23.840
<v Speaker 2>at Hurts Doomed its massive bet on one hundred thousand teslas.

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:27.200
<v Speaker 2>It's basically the rise and fall over the last few

0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:30.840
<v Speaker 2>years of Hurts and its relationship with Tesla and EV's

0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:35.119
<v Speaker 2>Eric Shatsker and David Welch responsible for this article. We

0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:37.479
<v Speaker 2>have Eric Shatsker, who is now at Bloomberg New Economy

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:41.439
<v Speaker 2>editorial director joining us. It was a great piece, and

0:18:41.480 --> 0:18:44.680
<v Speaker 2>there were things about Tesla's that, like I didn't know

0:18:44.760 --> 0:18:46.960
<v Speaker 2>were problems, like if you don't know how to drive

0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 2>it and you r of a sudden, put the pedal

0:18:49.040 --> 0:18:51.119
<v Speaker 2>to the metal, you go really fast and then you crash.

0:18:51.240 --> 0:18:54.240
<v Speaker 2>Like these little details I found so interesting. Walk us

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:58.080
<v Speaker 2>through what you learned and what the piece is about.

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:00.919
<v Speaker 9>Well, you just touched on one of those those things, Alex,

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:05.960
<v Speaker 9>which is that the experience of a Tesla owner is

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:10.119
<v Speaker 9>very different from the experience of a Tesla renter. And

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:13.360
<v Speaker 9>going into this big bet on one hundred thousand Teslas

0:19:13.359 --> 0:19:15.920
<v Speaker 9>they placed in order for one hundred thousand Teslas. In fact,

0:19:16.000 --> 0:19:19.399
<v Speaker 9>back in twenty twenty one, the new owners at Hurtz

0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:22.679
<v Speaker 9>didn't appreciate that there were no data to be fair

0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:25.800
<v Speaker 9>on what it was like for our rental car company

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:30.200
<v Speaker 9>to have evs in the fleet, because none did. Heurtz

0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:32.760
<v Speaker 9>was going to be the first, and so they did

0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:36.360
<v Speaker 9>look at the data how to Tesla's perform when they're

0:19:36.400 --> 0:19:40.199
<v Speaker 9>owned by individuals, And generally speaking, teslas perform well. They

0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:44.120
<v Speaker 9>don't require a lot of maintenance. Obviously, refueling the car,

0:19:44.200 --> 0:19:47.160
<v Speaker 9>so to speak, is a matter of plugging it in.

0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:49.880
<v Speaker 9>But if it's your Tesla, it probably sits in your garage,

0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:51.879
<v Speaker 9>or it sits in your driveway, or maybe if you

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:54.119
<v Speaker 9>live in a city like New York, it's at a

0:19:54.160 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 9>parking garage and you've had a charger put in. That's

0:19:57.680 --> 0:19:59.680
<v Speaker 9>all fine, and these people tend not to get into

0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 9>a lot of accidents, and they don't have range anxiety

0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:05.800
<v Speaker 9>because they own the car, they made the decision to

0:20:05.960 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 9>buy it. It's a totally different story when you get

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:16.280
<v Speaker 9>off of a Red Eye flight and stroll up to

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:19.760
<v Speaker 9>the Hurtz counter and are told that no, I'm sorry,

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:22.560
<v Speaker 9>the car you reserved is not available, but we're giving

0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:26.600
<v Speaker 9>you a Tesla. If you've never been behind the wheel

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:29.720
<v Speaker 9>of an ev it can be a terrifying experience.

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:30.239
<v Speaker 8>You don't know.

0:20:30.320 --> 0:20:32.280
<v Speaker 9>You don't want to have to find a charger in

0:20:32.320 --> 0:20:35.760
<v Speaker 9>the wild. You don't know what this instantaneous breaking.

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:37.919
<v Speaker 2>Is Liken the car, you don't.

0:20:37.720 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 9>Realize that it has rocket like acceleration, and as a result,

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:45.000
<v Speaker 9>Hurts with its Tesla fleet, started running into all kinds

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:48.399
<v Speaker 9>of problems. They were crashing and it's very expensive to

0:20:48.440 --> 0:20:51.199
<v Speaker 9>repair a Tesla. In many cases they have to be

0:20:51.320 --> 0:20:55.560
<v Speaker 9>junked because insurance companies are worried about the damage that

0:20:55.600 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 9>might have occurred to the battery. People didn't want to

0:20:58.440 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 9>rent them, so the demand was isn't there? And then

0:21:01.359 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 9>of course Elon Musk cut Tesla prices by thirty percent

0:21:04.440 --> 0:21:07.640
<v Speaker 9>and kind of blew a hole into Hurtz's balance.

0:21:07.320 --> 0:21:08.360
<v Speaker 10>Sheet economic mode.

0:21:08.520 --> 0:21:12.520
<v Speaker 4>How did Hurts get into this position, It's a good question.

0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:16.040
<v Speaker 9>This was a rental car company, the only major rental

0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:19.159
<v Speaker 9>car company that went bankrupt in the early days of

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:19.640
<v Speaker 9>the pandemic.

0:21:19.680 --> 0:21:21.480
<v Speaker 4>I'm a gold circle member of Hurts.

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:23.879
<v Speaker 5>By the way, I just strolled right up to my car, John.

0:21:24.000 --> 0:21:29.000
<v Speaker 9>Some people have very good experiences with Hertz, including Paul Sweeney. Evidently,

0:21:30.000 --> 0:21:32.720
<v Speaker 9>so Herts went bankrupt. It was bought at a bankruptcy

0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:36.440
<v Speaker 9>in June twenty twenty one by two professional investors. Tom

0:21:36.480 --> 0:21:41.120
<v Speaker 9>Wagner runs Nighthead Capital and Greg O'Hara is the founding

0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:44.520
<v Speaker 9>partner at Stari's Management. They raised a billion and a

0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:47.879
<v Speaker 9>half dollar fund. They wanted to find travel and leisure

0:21:47.920 --> 0:21:50.840
<v Speaker 9>companies that had been crushed by the pandemic, but of

0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:55.000
<v Speaker 9>course which in theory would soar once the economy reopened,

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:57.879
<v Speaker 9>and Hurts seemed like a great candidate. And actually that

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:02.520
<v Speaker 9>part of the thesis played out perfectly once the economy reopened.

0:22:02.520 --> 0:22:06.200
<v Speaker 9>In fact, before the economy reopened, when people realized getting

0:22:06.240 --> 0:22:08.159
<v Speaker 9>into a car and driving somewhere doesn't put me at

0:22:08.240 --> 0:22:12.520
<v Speaker 9>risk of COVID at all, demand for rentals went sky high,

0:22:13.400 --> 0:22:17.160
<v Speaker 9>and so coming out of this acquisition from bankruptcy, Hurts

0:22:17.320 --> 0:22:21.080
<v Speaker 9>was crushing it. But they had a transformational plan to

0:22:21.160 --> 0:22:25.600
<v Speaker 9>turn it into a largely electrified rental car company, and

0:22:25.640 --> 0:22:29.399
<v Speaker 9>that's where everything went pear shaped. I talked about it,

0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:34.000
<v Speaker 9>the demand, the damage, the price cuts, and we say

0:22:34.040 --> 0:22:38.240
<v Speaker 9>it's a tale of hubris, because in many respects it is.

0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:41.439
<v Speaker 9>Of course, everything looks clear in hindsight, it did sound

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.800
<v Speaker 9>like an incredibly good idea of the time, and I

0:22:44.800 --> 0:22:46.879
<v Speaker 9>think for the sake of the planet, it would be

0:22:47.000 --> 0:22:50.600
<v Speaker 9>nice if you could electrify a rental car company and

0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:55.080
<v Speaker 9>save you know, the environment from all the gasoline that

0:22:55.160 --> 0:22:58.280
<v Speaker 9>gets poured into rental cars. But it just doesn't work

0:22:58.320 --> 0:23:03.640
<v Speaker 9>in practice. And whether it's arrogance, whether it's hubris, whether

0:23:03.680 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 9>it's blind optimism, it could be.

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:07.280
<v Speaker 5>A combination of all those three.

0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:10.480
<v Speaker 9>These new owners, these professional investors, one who runs a

0:23:10.480 --> 0:23:12.840
<v Speaker 9>hedge fund, the other who runs a private equity firm,

0:23:13.240 --> 0:23:15.679
<v Speaker 9>thought that they had an answer for this industry that

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:20.440
<v Speaker 9>the industry itself had ignored for years. And the truth

0:23:20.440 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 9>of the matter is running, running any company in the

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:28.600
<v Speaker 9>industry is tough, right, requires some experience, maybe.

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:31.000
<v Speaker 2>And they and the funny thing is, well, not for them,

0:23:31.000 --> 0:23:33.520
<v Speaker 2>but is that they could be right just either a

0:23:33.520 --> 0:23:35.520
<v Speaker 2>little earlier, a little late, depending on how you look

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:35.920
<v Speaker 2>at it.

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 9>You know, whenever we talk about early, right, it's the

0:23:38.920 --> 0:23:41.919
<v Speaker 9>broken clock thing, right, broken clock is right two times

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:47.040
<v Speaker 9>a day. And the case of being early, I.

0:23:46.960 --> 0:23:48.920
<v Speaker 4>Thought it was a great strategy when I first heard

0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:52.680
<v Speaker 4>it just sounded hit so many buttons there. But I

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 4>guess that kind of goes to the bigger question, which

0:23:54.320 --> 0:23:57.960
<v Speaker 4>we asked the auto industry were at large, is have

0:23:58.040 --> 0:23:59.919
<v Speaker 4>we seen peak interest in evs?

0:24:00.119 --> 0:24:01.920
<v Speaker 2>This is why I found the article so interesting because

0:24:01.920 --> 0:24:03.639
<v Speaker 2>there were things that I didn't think about, in that

0:24:04.040 --> 0:24:06.800
<v Speaker 2>they don't have dealerships, right, they don't have a relationship

0:24:06.840 --> 0:24:09.399
<v Speaker 2>with dealerships. So like when my super retire gets, you know,

0:24:09.800 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 2>messed up, I did just drive it in and then

0:24:11.560 --> 0:24:13.640
<v Speaker 2>they fix it and then we drive out. Kind of thing.

0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:16.320
<v Speaker 2>You can't do that with a Tesla. I never thought

0:24:16.359 --> 0:24:18.760
<v Speaker 2>of that. For example, I never thought of how difficult

0:24:18.760 --> 0:24:20.000
<v Speaker 2>it would be to all of a sudden get off

0:24:20.040 --> 0:24:22.040
<v Speaker 2>a plane and go sit in a Tesla. It's weird

0:24:22.119 --> 0:24:24.400
<v Speaker 2>enough getting in the morning to a Tesla and getting

0:24:24.440 --> 0:24:26.520
<v Speaker 2>in the backseat. I can't imagine just being shoved into

0:24:26.560 --> 0:24:28.119
<v Speaker 2>the front seat and having to drive it at the

0:24:28.119 --> 0:24:30.840
<v Speaker 2>same time. And these little details I found to be

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 2>very prevocative.

0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:36.280
<v Speaker 9>Well, they are, as you say, something of an indication

0:24:36.440 --> 0:24:39.479
<v Speaker 9>as to why demand for EV's right now is slowing.

0:24:39.600 --> 0:24:40.199
<v Speaker 4>Hurts.

0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:43.119
<v Speaker 9>You know, we can play on the fact that it

0:24:43.160 --> 0:24:46.080
<v Speaker 9>even has yellow as part of its logo. Was the

0:24:46.119 --> 0:24:49.520
<v Speaker 9>canary in the coal mine for the EV industry. True

0:24:49.680 --> 0:24:52.280
<v Speaker 9>what began to happen it hurts is what the rest

0:24:52.320 --> 0:24:54.360
<v Speaker 9>of the industry is beginning to wake up to that

0:24:54.440 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 9>all of the evs that are being cranked out right

0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:01.160
<v Speaker 9>now may not have a natural buyer because people aren't

0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:04.640
<v Speaker 9>enough chargers out there. People haven't gotten over this idea

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:08.399
<v Speaker 9>that it's a different driving experience. People, as we all know,

0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:13.280
<v Speaker 9>are very personal about their cars, right, it's an extension

0:25:13.880 --> 0:25:18.440
<v Speaker 9>of themselves. And you don't want your arm to feel

0:25:18.440 --> 0:25:20.560
<v Speaker 9>like it doesn't belong on your body, and that's in

0:25:20.600 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 9>some respects how people feel about getting behind the wheel

0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:24.240
<v Speaker 9>of an EV.

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:28.760
<v Speaker 4>Thirty seconds left, Eric, if I wanted a Tesla from

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:29.919
<v Speaker 4>Hurts tomorrow, could I get one?

0:25:30.000 --> 0:25:32.199
<v Speaker 9>Or are they just you can? They are beginning to

0:25:32.200 --> 0:25:34.800
<v Speaker 9>sell down the fleet. Though they had sixty thousand evs,

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:37.480
<v Speaker 9>they've put about twenty thousand Teslas on the market. In fact,

0:25:37.480 --> 0:25:39.600
<v Speaker 9>if you want to buy a Tesla, that was a

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 9>great time to buy one used in fact, even off

0:25:42.280 --> 0:25:46.280
<v Speaker 9>the Hurts website, because they are way cheaper than they've

0:25:46.440 --> 0:25:47.359
<v Speaker 9>ever been before.

0:25:47.880 --> 0:25:50.159
<v Speaker 4>All Right, I tell you, folks, this is great stuff.

0:25:51.200 --> 0:25:52.080
<v Speaker 4>Big Take stories.

0:25:52.119 --> 0:25:52.560
<v Speaker 5>We love them.

0:25:52.960 --> 0:25:54.960
<v Speaker 4>We love to support the Big Take reporting because it

0:25:55.000 --> 0:25:59.280
<v Speaker 4>is deep, really cool stories and really cool, well researched,

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:02.200
<v Speaker 4>role sourced articles. You can read the big Take stuff.

0:26:02.280 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 4>Eric story today on all the Big Take stories on

0:26:05.560 --> 0:26:07.480
<v Speaker 4>the terminal place. I'm going to Bloomberg dot com slash

0:26:07.520 --> 0:26:11.320
<v Speaker 4>Big Take get access there. Eric Shatsker Bloomberg New Economy

0:26:11.480 --> 0:26:14.720
<v Speaker 4>Editorial Director. We appreciate getting it in the Bloomberg Interactive

0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:15.720
<v Speaker 4>Broker Studio.

0:26:16.920 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:26:20.880 --> 0:26:24.400
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecard Play and Android

0:26:24.440 --> 0:26:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen

0:26:27.320 --> 0:26:30.440
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0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:34.320
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:26:35.320 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 4>I'm going to talk technology. I got a lot of

0:26:37.040 --> 0:26:39.639
<v Speaker 4>things on the play here technology wise on a rock.

0:26:39.680 --> 0:26:42.639
<v Speaker 4>Rana joins his senior technology channels for Bloomberg Intelligence. He's

0:26:42.640 --> 0:26:45.440
<v Speaker 4>sharing our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio in New York City

0:26:45.440 --> 0:26:51.320
<v Speaker 4>because Bloomberg Intelligence is hosting an AI seminar conference Bloomberg

0:26:51.359 --> 0:26:52.480
<v Speaker 4>Headquarters this afternoon.

0:26:52.520 --> 0:26:52.840
<v Speaker 5>Is that right?

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:53.120
<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

0:26:53.160 --> 0:26:54.240
<v Speaker 10>Twelve thirty onwards.

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 11>A lot of companies Google, Microsoft, Salesforce.

0:26:57.480 --> 0:26:59.000
<v Speaker 10>Adobe, I mean it's we have.

0:26:59.000 --> 0:27:01.480
<v Speaker 4>A and lots of smart investors are gonna be there, right,

0:27:01.640 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 4>lots of spart.

0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 2>From But I'm martyring a panel and you said that

0:27:04.600 --> 0:27:06.760
<v Speaker 2>I could ask dumb questions though? Is that? Does that

0:27:06.800 --> 0:27:07.399
<v Speaker 2>still hold?

0:27:08.359 --> 0:27:08.560
<v Speaker 1>No?

0:27:08.560 --> 0:27:10.880
<v Speaker 10>No, You're gonna you're gonna do really right because.

0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:13.600
<v Speaker 2>I'm like, I'm serious, I'm no way I expert here. Yeah,

0:27:13.720 --> 0:27:14.080
<v Speaker 2>so I.

0:27:14.000 --> 0:27:16.400
<v Speaker 4>Wanted to start with this story of this hubbub thing.

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:19.359
<v Speaker 4>What what is hub Spot? And it's a thirty billion

0:27:19.400 --> 0:27:23.080
<v Speaker 4>dollar market cap company. Yeah, they can't be acquired.

0:27:23.080 --> 0:27:26.280
<v Speaker 11>They're too big for exactly my point because they see

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:27.399
<v Speaker 11>from a market share point of.

0:27:27.400 --> 0:27:28.480
<v Speaker 5>Vie summarize the story.

0:27:28.520 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 11>Because it's a CM software company, HubSpot. They primarily sell

0:27:33.520 --> 0:27:37.040
<v Speaker 11>to small and medium businesses. It's a high growth company.

0:27:37.119 --> 0:27:40.560
<v Speaker 11>It's done very well. It is you know, it is

0:27:40.600 --> 0:27:43.479
<v Speaker 11>one of the favorite stocks stocks for people, I mean,

0:27:43.600 --> 0:27:44.280
<v Speaker 11>a growth stock.

0:27:45.160 --> 0:27:48.159
<v Speaker 4>But the story today is that alphabet This is a

0:27:48.240 --> 0:27:50.920
<v Speaker 4>Royter's reporting that alphabet is I think Bloomberg's Matt match

0:27:51.000 --> 0:27:54.600
<v Speaker 4>it Alphabets perhaps is and talks to acquire this company.

0:27:54.600 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 4>And again this company has a market cap at thirty

0:27:56.280 --> 0:27:58.520
<v Speaker 4>four billion dollars, which automatically means.

0:28:00.160 --> 0:28:01.000
<v Speaker 5>Regulars are not going to.

0:28:00.920 --> 0:28:02.960
<v Speaker 11>Allow That's that's my biggest thing.

0:28:03.000 --> 0:28:03.240
<v Speaker 10>See.

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:05.760
<v Speaker 11>One of the things is Google does not play a

0:28:05.760 --> 0:28:10.600
<v Speaker 11>lot into the enterprise applications world, which is Salesforce, Workday, Microsoft.

0:28:10.840 --> 0:28:12.880
<v Speaker 11>You know, Google has some Google Sheets and a few

0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:15.480
<v Speaker 11>other products, but it's really not a big player in

0:28:15.520 --> 0:28:20.280
<v Speaker 11>the cloud applications area as much as you know somebody

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:20.520
<v Speaker 11>like a.

0:28:20.480 --> 0:28:23.920
<v Speaker 10>Salesforce would do. But this could be a big deal.

0:28:23.960 --> 0:28:25.359
<v Speaker 11>I mean, if that it happens, it you know, it

0:28:25.400 --> 0:28:28.760
<v Speaker 11>completely shakes up the competitive landscape. But as Paul mentioned,

0:28:28.800 --> 0:28:30.840
<v Speaker 11>I mean, it's going to be tough for regulators to

0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:32.240
<v Speaker 11>approve anything that big.

0:28:32.640 --> 0:28:35.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, exactly. But then there are so many software companies

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:36.840
<v Speaker 2>at some point they're going to have to do some

0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:39.000
<v Speaker 2>M and A. Right, there's like a bazillion of them.

0:28:39.040 --> 0:28:40.200
<v Speaker 2>I honestly can't keep them straight.

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:42.600
<v Speaker 11>No, I agree with everything that you're saying, But the

0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 11>question is who the buyer is going to be the

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:47.680
<v Speaker 11>problem in this case or in a lot of these

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:50.920
<v Speaker 11>cases is regulators are very tough on large you know,

0:28:51.000 --> 0:28:54.080
<v Speaker 11>of the big tech giants buying software come or any

0:28:54.120 --> 0:28:55.240
<v Speaker 11>company that, how are they going to.

0:28:55.200 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 2>Feel about Apple and robots. So here's the So this

0:28:57.920 --> 0:29:00.320
<v Speaker 2>Pokemon was on TV yesterday. So this is Mark and

0:29:00.320 --> 0:29:03.040
<v Speaker 2>broke the story that Apple apparently as teams investigating a

0:29:03.080 --> 0:29:05.800
<v Speaker 2>push into personal robotics, and that's a feel but the

0:29:05.800 --> 0:29:08.959
<v Speaker 2>potential to become one of the companies ever shifting quote

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:12.200
<v Speaker 2>next big things. This is according to people familiar with

0:29:12.240 --> 0:29:15.520
<v Speaker 2>the situation they were looking at, say, robots that can

0:29:15.520 --> 0:29:20.520
<v Speaker 2>follow users around their home, for example, and exactly, and

0:29:20.560 --> 0:29:23.800
<v Speaker 2>they have also deployed an advanced tabletop home device that

0:29:23.920 --> 0:29:25.959
<v Speaker 2>uses robotics to move a display around.

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:28.560
<v Speaker 4>What because this.

0:29:28.680 --> 0:29:33.160
<v Speaker 11>Means so, I you know, I see Samson showed a

0:29:33.280 --> 0:29:35.959
<v Speaker 11>demo of a robot that's following around and you know,

0:29:36.000 --> 0:29:37.200
<v Speaker 11>you're working out and all.

0:29:37.080 --> 0:29:37.680
<v Speaker 10>Sorts of stuff.

0:29:37.680 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 11>So these things don't really move the needle. It's a

0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:44.320
<v Speaker 11>fancy stuff to be part of the you know, Apple ecosystem.

0:29:44.440 --> 0:29:46.560
<v Speaker 11>But you know, Frankly, I mean, how many can you

0:29:46.640 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 11>sell and how much money can you make? So I'm

0:29:49.000 --> 0:29:50.760
<v Speaker 11>I'm you know, doesn't get me excited.

0:29:50.880 --> 0:29:51.920
<v Speaker 10>Frankly, Yeah, I.

0:29:51.920 --> 0:29:53.880
<v Speaker 4>Mean I think the so as we think about Apple,

0:29:55.680 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 4>it seems to me the next big thing to use

0:29:57.480 --> 0:29:59.880
<v Speaker 4>that term has got to be you have to give

0:30:00.320 --> 0:30:04.680
<v Speaker 4>shareholders and AI play. Oh yeah, absolutely, and if and

0:30:04.840 --> 0:30:07.520
<v Speaker 4>perhaps it will occur as soon as their developer conference

0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:10.400
<v Speaker 4>in Juque. What do you think, whether it's this year

0:30:10.520 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 4>or next, what do you think a viable AI play

0:30:13.560 --> 0:30:14.360
<v Speaker 4>is for Apple?

0:30:14.840 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 11>Think about it that our phone is a medium for anything.

0:30:18.720 --> 0:30:21.080
<v Speaker 11>If I give you a right now, if I have to.

0:30:21.200 --> 0:30:23.440
<v Speaker 11>Let's say, ask a question to Open Ai. I open

0:30:23.520 --> 0:30:26.160
<v Speaker 11>the phone, go into the open Ai app and write

0:30:26.200 --> 0:30:29.040
<v Speaker 11>my querdi. Imagine you don't have to do any of

0:30:29.040 --> 0:30:31.479
<v Speaker 11>that stuff. You straight away ask CID that question and

0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:34.200
<v Speaker 11>you get a very good answer. Right now, the answers

0:30:34.200 --> 0:30:37.200
<v Speaker 11>aren't very good. So that's the step that if they

0:30:37.240 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 11>can figure out that algorithm in between, I think it's

0:30:40.000 --> 0:30:40.360
<v Speaker 11>going to.

0:30:40.320 --> 0:30:41.160
<v Speaker 10>Do them very well.

0:30:41.200 --> 0:30:42.840
<v Speaker 2>Did they figure it out or do they work with

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 2>Google and stuff for Microsoft to figure it out?

0:30:45.760 --> 0:30:46.920
<v Speaker 10>That's a very good question.

0:30:46.960 --> 0:30:49.840
<v Speaker 11>And you know Mark had reported that if they've worked

0:30:49.840 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 11>with In my view, if they work with Google, I

0:30:51.840 --> 0:30:54.520
<v Speaker 11>think it's going to be much faster. I think if

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:57.600
<v Speaker 11>they work with open Ai saying it's going to be faster,

0:30:58.120 --> 0:31:00.280
<v Speaker 11>just because we've only heard that they got trad of

0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:03.600
<v Speaker 11>the car division a few months ago, reallocated some engineers there.

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:05.840
<v Speaker 11>You know, if they had something, they would have deployed it,

0:31:06.200 --> 0:31:08.480
<v Speaker 11>you know, or would have showcased it. So if they're

0:31:08.520 --> 0:31:10.560
<v Speaker 11>working very hard to come up with a new product,

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:12.520
<v Speaker 11>you're not can it just come up within two three

0:31:12.560 --> 0:31:14.040
<v Speaker 11>months and be ready for it?

0:31:14.200 --> 0:31:16.480
<v Speaker 10>So I hope for their sake, for their.

0:31:16.360 --> 0:31:19.480
<v Speaker 11>Stock that they do announce a partnership with one of

0:31:19.480 --> 0:31:23.520
<v Speaker 11>those two companies and showcase people what capabilities can we do.

0:31:23.760 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 1>Now.

0:31:23.960 --> 0:31:25.880
<v Speaker 11>Remember in the case of Microsoft, when they have a

0:31:25.920 --> 0:31:29.880
<v Speaker 11>deal with open Ai, their products have got enhanced very

0:31:29.920 --> 0:31:33.120
<v Speaker 11>quickly using open eyes, you know, backbone or technology, whether

0:31:33.200 --> 0:31:35.800
<v Speaker 11>it's you know office or whether it's a GitHub, the

0:31:36.000 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 11>coding platform. It's been very quick. So it can be done.

0:31:40.680 --> 0:31:42.560
<v Speaker 11>But you know, we'll find out in June.

0:31:42.680 --> 0:31:45.200
<v Speaker 4>The stocks down eleven percent this year lends me to

0:31:45.240 --> 0:31:47.760
<v Speaker 4>believe that, you know, the marginal hedge fund buyer is

0:31:47.800 --> 0:31:48.840
<v Speaker 4>not going in and they're buying a.

0:31:48.760 --> 0:31:50.240
<v Speaker 5>Position ahead of this June event.

0:31:51.480 --> 0:31:53.920
<v Speaker 4>Is that I mean, what are you hearing at today?

0:31:53.960 --> 0:31:55.600
<v Speaker 5>People think we'll get something this June or not.

0:31:55.920 --> 0:31:58.640
<v Speaker 11>Apple has always been more of a value play for

0:31:58.720 --> 0:32:01.600
<v Speaker 11>a long while. In between it became a growth story

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 11>because during the pandemic there was a lot of games downloaded.

0:32:04.520 --> 0:32:07.040
<v Speaker 11>And you know, so now that growth phase is over.

0:32:07.080 --> 0:32:09.560
<v Speaker 11>Now we're getting back to that single digit growth rate.

0:32:09.840 --> 0:32:12.760
<v Speaker 11>I always thought they had maybe a high single digit number,

0:32:13.040 --> 0:32:15.200
<v Speaker 11>but this year is going to be low single digit

0:32:15.280 --> 0:32:17.000
<v Speaker 11>to even flat, you know, So it's going to be

0:32:17.040 --> 0:32:19.760
<v Speaker 11>bad this year only because of China, but having said

0:32:19.840 --> 0:32:21.760
<v Speaker 11>that this is a company that can grow you know,

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:25.160
<v Speaker 11>revenue five six percent an in a normal year.

0:32:25.360 --> 0:32:27.080
<v Speaker 2>So this is why the robot thing, if we circle

0:32:27.120 --> 0:32:30.040
<v Speaker 2>back to that, confused me because why would they put

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 2>anybody into something like that. Why wouldn't they just take

0:32:32.600 --> 0:32:35.720
<v Speaker 2>those workers and put them into an AI segment to

0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:39.360
<v Speaker 2>work on that instead, Like why it.

0:32:39.280 --> 0:32:40.640
<v Speaker 10>Could be somebody spent project.

0:32:40.680 --> 0:32:42.320
<v Speaker 4>I mean, it's just these are such a I mean,

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:44.000
<v Speaker 4>they can't afford to do at all.

0:32:44.160 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah wogue, Okay, well fair enough, fair enough? Are they

0:32:46.920 --> 0:32:48.440
<v Speaker 2>going to do a big buyback?

0:32:49.480 --> 0:32:52.240
<v Speaker 11>I they have been spending almost ninety billion dollars a

0:32:52.280 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 11>year for buybacks. I've been wanting, I mean hoping they

0:32:54.760 --> 0:32:57.000
<v Speaker 11>will do a little more. But but no, that's not

0:32:57.040 --> 0:32:59.560
<v Speaker 11>the case because they do have to showcase whether they're

0:32:59.600 --> 0:33:02.520
<v Speaker 11>really can fix the China situation or not, because I

0:33:02.760 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 11>don't think buybacks would help that unless we have some

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:08.000
<v Speaker 11>clarity on China or AI on China.

0:33:08.080 --> 0:33:12.240
<v Speaker 4>Since you bring up China, how do we get clarity

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:14.760
<v Speaker 4>on China? Because right now I would just if I

0:33:14.800 --> 0:33:16.360
<v Speaker 4>were a shareholder, I would feel like that is by

0:33:16.480 --> 0:33:18.400
<v Speaker 4>far the biggest headwind to the.

0:33:18.480 --> 0:33:20.520
<v Speaker 11>Jample it has been, and you know, we've talked about

0:33:20.560 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 11>it for the last two years.

0:33:22.520 --> 0:33:23.520
<v Speaker 10>He just went to China.

0:33:23.840 --> 0:33:27.680
<v Speaker 11>He's been, you know, basically telling everybody how China is

0:33:27.760 --> 0:33:31.160
<v Speaker 11>very good for them and they'll invest more money. Maybe

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:33.680
<v Speaker 11>that changes the behavior over the next few months, because

0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:35.680
<v Speaker 11>so far what we have seen in the last two

0:33:35.720 --> 0:33:39.160
<v Speaker 11>quarters is they've been losing market share and people are

0:33:39.240 --> 0:33:41.840
<v Speaker 11>opting for a local brand rather than the Apple brand.

0:33:42.280 --> 0:33:46.280
<v Speaker 11>And I think Apple's cache, you know, should come back

0:33:46.320 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 11>if they are able to convince that China is an

0:33:48.600 --> 0:33:49.880
<v Speaker 11>integrative part of their story.

0:33:50.880 --> 0:33:52.400
<v Speaker 10>I think it can. It can turn around.

0:33:52.440 --> 0:33:54.880
<v Speaker 2>We'll try to Secretary Jennet Yell in there now, so

0:33:54.920 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 2>see how that sort of pairs out before I let

0:33:56.640 --> 0:33:59.720
<v Speaker 2>you go. Also, FT had an interesting article that talked

0:33:59.760 --> 0:34:05.040
<v Speaker 2>about Google considering charging for AI powered search. What would

0:34:05.040 --> 0:34:08.600
<v Speaker 2>that in essence mean And that's a big deal for

0:34:08.719 --> 0:34:10.280
<v Speaker 2>Google to do something along those.

0:34:10.080 --> 0:34:12.759
<v Speaker 10>Lines, right see once again Open an Eye.

0:34:12.800 --> 0:34:15.200
<v Speaker 11>When you get the app, you get the free app

0:34:15.440 --> 0:34:18.920
<v Speaker 11>which everybody if you want GPT four, which is the

0:34:19.040 --> 0:34:22.440
<v Speaker 11>latest version of their their you know AI model, you

0:34:22.480 --> 0:34:23.360
<v Speaker 11>have to pay a subscription.

0:34:23.440 --> 0:34:25.160
<v Speaker 10>I think it's nineteen ninety nine a month or twenty

0:34:25.200 --> 0:34:25.839
<v Speaker 10>dollars a month.

0:34:26.239 --> 0:34:28.400
<v Speaker 11>It's probably going to be the same thing for you know,

0:34:28.480 --> 0:34:30.920
<v Speaker 11>Google or anybody else out there, that you have a

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:33.279
<v Speaker 11>base level model that's free, and then you can, you know,

0:34:33.400 --> 0:34:35.759
<v Speaker 11>charge a little bit more for a premium model. It's

0:34:35.880 --> 0:34:38.360
<v Speaker 11>just part of, you know, how they want to monetize

0:34:38.360 --> 0:34:38.640
<v Speaker 11>some of that.

0:34:38.800 --> 0:34:40.200
<v Speaker 2>That's an interesting Paul. I don't know if you if

0:34:40.239 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 2>you notice this, but when I start for something on

0:34:42.080 --> 0:34:44.400
<v Speaker 2>Google now on my phone, I don't click any of

0:34:44.400 --> 0:34:47.000
<v Speaker 2>the links anymore, because all of a sudden you can

0:34:47.239 --> 0:34:49.600
<v Speaker 2>click on a drop down menu and it gives you

0:34:49.760 --> 0:34:51.920
<v Speaker 2>a quote from the page you would have clicked on.

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:55.480
<v Speaker 2>And I have to think, like, does Google lose money?

0:34:55.520 --> 0:34:55.719
<v Speaker 3>There?

0:34:55.960 --> 0:34:58.000
<v Speaker 2>Is that or the or the or the other companies,

0:34:58.040 --> 0:34:59.359
<v Speaker 2>Like how does that affect them?

0:35:00.200 --> 0:35:03.440
<v Speaker 11>Google controls the search market and they have a little

0:35:03.440 --> 0:35:06.200
<v Speaker 11>bit of a threat in front of them. I personally

0:35:06.239 --> 0:35:09.160
<v Speaker 11>think they will figure it out. But the two demos

0:35:09.160 --> 0:35:10.880
<v Speaker 11>that they have done in the last one yere have

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:13.479
<v Speaker 11>not really worked out well for them. But I feel

0:35:13.520 --> 0:35:15.160
<v Speaker 11>they will figure it out all right.

0:35:15.200 --> 0:35:17.520
<v Speaker 4>On rag Rana, thank you so much. He's in talent again.

0:35:17.560 --> 0:35:21.520
<v Speaker 4>The Bloomberg Intelligence folks, they're hosting a big conference here

0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:23.520
<v Speaker 4>in our New York Headquarters at seven thirty one Lex

0:35:23.680 --> 0:35:26.680
<v Speaker 4>about all things AI. I think they got the definitive

0:35:26.680 --> 0:35:29.640
<v Speaker 4>research report out there, deep dive on AI, and are

0:35:29.640 --> 0:35:32.759
<v Speaker 4>going to get some of the industry leaders coming to

0:35:32.800 --> 0:35:35.440
<v Speaker 4>the Bloomberg headquarters today giving us the latest on what

0:35:35.520 --> 0:35:38.800
<v Speaker 4>has really been the driving force, not just in technology,

0:35:38.800 --> 0:35:41.439
<v Speaker 4>but really across the markets over the last eighteen months

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:41.719
<v Speaker 4>or so.

0:35:41.719 --> 0:35:42.879
<v Speaker 10>So that's going to be cool.

0:35:42.920 --> 0:35:44.600
<v Speaker 5>This Say afternoon on Rograna. Thank you so much.

0:35:44.640 --> 0:35:46.240
<v Speaker 4>We appreciate that.

0:35:48.800 --> 0:35:52.680
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:35:52.760 --> 0:35:56.280
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecard Play and Android

0:35:56.320 --> 0:35:59.080
<v Speaker 1>Otto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen

0:35:59.200 --> 0:36:01.960
<v Speaker 1>live on a on Alexa from our flagship New York

0:36:02.040 --> 0:36:05.440
<v Speaker 1>station Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:36:06.520 --> 0:36:07.160
<v Speaker 5>All right, folks.

0:36:07.320 --> 0:36:10.279
<v Speaker 4>On this week's episode of The Deal, Jason Kelly and

0:36:10.320 --> 0:36:13.240
<v Speaker 4>former baseball star Alex Rodriguez, they talked with Redford Capital

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:17.480
<v Speaker 4>founder and managing partner Jerry Cardinali. He breaks down his career,

0:36:17.800 --> 0:36:20.239
<v Speaker 4>the purchase of AC Milan, and so much more. He

0:36:20.280 --> 0:36:23.960
<v Speaker 4>also discusses how sports investing has evolved over time.

0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:26.000
<v Speaker 8>Tick list and so I guess I had a very

0:36:26.040 --> 0:36:28.880
<v Speaker 8>philosophical moment where I said, you know what gets me

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:29.479
<v Speaker 8>up in the morning.

0:36:29.600 --> 0:36:30.200
<v Speaker 5>What do I love?

0:36:30.640 --> 0:36:33.840
<v Speaker 8>And I love playing shadow entrepreneur, and I like solving

0:36:33.840 --> 0:36:37.400
<v Speaker 8>problems with capital, and I just it just so happens,

0:36:37.400 --> 0:36:40.000
<v Speaker 8>you know, luck in people's career. I happen to hit

0:36:40.400 --> 0:36:43.719
<v Speaker 8>an inflection point with sports that I couldn't possibly have

0:36:43.760 --> 0:36:47.480
<v Speaker 8>seen coming back in two thousand, two thousand and one. Right,

0:36:47.960 --> 0:36:50.520
<v Speaker 8>you look back on that the last twenty years and

0:36:50.560 --> 0:36:52.640
<v Speaker 8>you're like, wow, you really you know, Luck's great. You

0:36:52.680 --> 0:36:55.080
<v Speaker 8>really hit an air pocket that you know you could

0:36:55.239 --> 0:36:59.120
<v Speaker 8>where you took off. Now the challenge is navigating that

0:36:59.239 --> 0:37:02.279
<v Speaker 8>because now everybody he's discovered sports. Yeah, sports is now

0:37:02.280 --> 0:37:04.920
<v Speaker 8>an asset class. That scares me. When I start to

0:37:04.960 --> 0:37:07.320
<v Speaker 8>hear about things like sports being an asset class, my

0:37:07.360 --> 0:37:11.040
<v Speaker 8>initial reaction is to run in the other way. Yeah,

0:37:11.080 --> 0:37:13.160
<v Speaker 8>and so you know, but I say, look, you can't

0:37:13.200 --> 0:37:15.520
<v Speaker 8>make money if you don't put money to work, all right.

0:37:15.520 --> 0:37:18.800
<v Speaker 4>That is Jerry Cardinali. He is the Redbird Capital founder

0:37:19.080 --> 0:37:20.960
<v Speaker 4>and managing partner and a big fan of his. He's

0:37:21.000 --> 0:37:25.080
<v Speaker 4>a really leading financier in the world of sports entertainment media.

0:37:25.160 --> 0:37:27.400
<v Speaker 4>The convergence of all that kind of good stuff, and

0:37:27.440 --> 0:37:29.799
<v Speaker 4>he sat down with Jason Kelly and Alex Rodriguez for

0:37:29.880 --> 0:37:32.359
<v Speaker 4>their Big Take podcast. Jason Kelly joins us here. He's

0:37:32.440 --> 0:37:36.120
<v Speaker 4>chief correspondent for Bloomberg Originals. Jason's also host an executive

0:37:36.120 --> 0:37:40.600
<v Speaker 4>producer of The Deal podcast Jason. Really cool discussion with

0:37:40.680 --> 0:37:43.479
<v Speaker 4>Jerry Cardinally, he's involved in so much.

0:37:43.520 --> 0:37:45.360
<v Speaker 5>What would you guys talk about?

0:37:45.480 --> 0:37:48.640
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean it was the biggest challenge with Jerry

0:37:48.760 --> 0:37:51.839
<v Speaker 6>was sort of narrowing it down and in a lot

0:37:51.840 --> 0:37:54.600
<v Speaker 6>of ways. I mean, to me, the two most interesting

0:37:54.640 --> 0:37:56.839
<v Speaker 6>things about him at the moment, and there is more

0:37:56.840 --> 0:37:59.799
<v Speaker 6>than this, you know. One was the very instrumental role

0:37:59.800 --> 0:38:02.600
<v Speaker 6>he played with the Yankees at a pivotal time in

0:38:02.600 --> 0:38:06.840
<v Speaker 6>that franchise, you know, late nineties, early two thousands, especially,

0:38:07.160 --> 0:38:09.160
<v Speaker 6>you know, right in your wheelhouse, the creation of the

0:38:09.239 --> 0:38:13.000
<v Speaker 6>Yes Network, which obviously just set sort of a different

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:16.719
<v Speaker 6>path for media rights and how teams and leagues you know,

0:38:16.880 --> 0:38:19.160
<v Speaker 6>sort of deal with with all of that. So that's one,

0:38:19.160 --> 0:38:22.400
<v Speaker 6>and then the second is moving into ownership in a

0:38:22.440 --> 0:38:24.239
<v Speaker 6>meaningful way with AC Milan, you know, one of the

0:38:24.239 --> 0:38:27.480
<v Speaker 6>most storied soccer clubs in the world, and sort of

0:38:27.480 --> 0:38:29.640
<v Speaker 6>what led him there, and then along the way he's

0:38:29.640 --> 0:38:32.880
<v Speaker 6>doing business with Tom Cruise and Top Gun Maverick, and

0:38:32.960 --> 0:38:35.719
<v Speaker 6>he's in business with Ben Affleck and Matt Damon, and

0:38:35.760 --> 0:38:38.680
<v Speaker 6>he's in business with the Rock and Danny Garcia and

0:38:39.040 --> 0:38:41.799
<v Speaker 6>the XFL. So he's got his he's got his hands

0:38:41.840 --> 0:38:42.200
<v Speaker 6>on a lot.

0:38:42.360 --> 0:38:44.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah he does. So, wasn't it like what else is

0:38:44.840 --> 0:38:45.359
<v Speaker 2>he working on?

0:38:45.600 --> 0:38:49.000
<v Speaker 6>I mean, I don't know how he does it, because

0:38:49.000 --> 0:38:52.120
<v Speaker 6>I mean he really is just he's a globe trotting

0:38:52.200 --> 0:38:54.040
<v Speaker 6>deal maker, you know. I mean, you know, one of

0:38:54.120 --> 0:38:57.080
<v Speaker 6>the things he identified, I think along with a lot

0:38:57.080 --> 0:38:59.959
<v Speaker 6>of folks, was you know, the importance of sovereign wealth.

0:39:00.160 --> 0:39:03.360
<v Speaker 6>So he's in business with Abu Dhabi looking at a

0:39:03.440 --> 0:39:06.000
<v Speaker 6>number of different things. Jeff Zucker, you know, the former

0:39:06.040 --> 0:39:09.920
<v Speaker 6>CNN executive is a partner of his, looking at media deals.

0:39:10.000 --> 0:39:12.479
<v Speaker 5>They took a look at the Telegraph over in the UK.

0:39:13.239 --> 0:39:15.600
<v Speaker 6>They're involved in sky Dance, you know, which obviously is

0:39:15.600 --> 0:39:19.920
<v Speaker 6>in the headline headlines today with the paramount deal. So

0:39:20.760 --> 0:39:24.799
<v Speaker 6>a lot going on for him, clearly, and as he said,

0:39:24.800 --> 0:39:27.319
<v Speaker 6>as you heard him say in that clip, you know,

0:39:27.400 --> 0:39:29.080
<v Speaker 6>part of it was luck. I mean he was at

0:39:29.160 --> 0:39:33.160
<v Speaker 6>Goldman and you know saw some things happening with the

0:39:33.280 --> 0:39:36.360
<v Speaker 6>sports world. Clearly, the Yankees were a local client. I

0:39:36.360 --> 0:39:39.279
<v Speaker 6>mean that sounds ridiculous, but they were. But you know,

0:39:39.360 --> 0:39:43.920
<v Speaker 6>he clearly anticipated a lot of this collision, this coalescing

0:39:43.920 --> 0:39:47.439
<v Speaker 6>as it were, of business, sports, technology, media, et cetera.

0:39:47.760 --> 0:39:49.359
<v Speaker 4>One of the things we've all seen over the last,

0:39:49.520 --> 0:39:52.400
<v Speaker 4>you know, many years is just the continued increase in

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:56.239
<v Speaker 4>the value of sports, whether it's the franchises themselves in

0:39:56.280 --> 0:39:59.600
<v Speaker 4>a various sports globally, or the rights fees for the

0:39:59.640 --> 0:40:02.200
<v Speaker 4>broadcas casting. What's this view on that, because it seems

0:40:02.239 --> 0:40:05.000
<v Speaker 4>like you just can't lose money in this kind of stuff.

0:40:05.080 --> 0:40:07.719
<v Speaker 6>I mean, that's and that's always the dangerous place to be, right,

0:40:07.800 --> 0:40:09.759
<v Speaker 6>you know, when when it feels like that, which it

0:40:09.920 --> 0:40:12.040
<v Speaker 6>certainly does, You're exactly right, Paul, that's exactly how it

0:40:12.040 --> 0:40:14.479
<v Speaker 6>feels right now, you know. I mean, and this again

0:40:14.520 --> 0:40:17.560
<v Speaker 6>gets into a lot of your expertise around the media world.

0:40:17.640 --> 0:40:20.560
<v Speaker 6>I mean, part of what is fueling that is this

0:40:20.800 --> 0:40:25.360
<v Speaker 6>massive disruption in media between you know, broadcast cable streamers.

0:40:25.760 --> 0:40:28.880
<v Speaker 6>Who's going to really pay up for the media rights

0:40:28.920 --> 0:40:31.240
<v Speaker 6>for the big sports and even some of the smaller sports.

0:40:31.360 --> 0:40:33.439
<v Speaker 6>We don't know I mean, when this new NBA deal

0:40:33.520 --> 0:40:37.640
<v Speaker 6>comes up, one of the big speculations is is Netflix.

0:40:37.200 --> 0:40:37.759
<v Speaker 5>Going to be in that?

0:40:37.920 --> 0:40:39.640
<v Speaker 6>Is Amazon going to be in that, or is it

0:40:39.640 --> 0:40:42.359
<v Speaker 6>going to be some of the more traditional players. That

0:40:42.400 --> 0:40:47.160
<v Speaker 6>flows straight through to valuations, as you alluded to, and

0:40:47.239 --> 0:40:49.880
<v Speaker 6>you know, you're seeing, you know, these teams just trade

0:40:49.960 --> 0:40:52.080
<v Speaker 6>up and up and up. The Washington Commander is going

0:40:52.080 --> 0:40:54.239
<v Speaker 6>for six billion dollars. The Phoenix Sun's going for four

0:40:54.239 --> 0:40:57.600
<v Speaker 6>billion dollars. I mean, these are eye popping, mind blowing

0:40:58.200 --> 0:41:01.000
<v Speaker 6>numbers for franchises that twenty years ago we're selling for

0:41:01.040 --> 0:41:02.319
<v Speaker 6>like a couple hundred million dollars.

0:41:02.400 --> 0:41:04.000
<v Speaker 2>So why did we freak out? And he said sports

0:41:04.040 --> 0:41:08.520
<v Speaker 2>is an asset class? I think freak out's number statement.

0:41:08.600 --> 0:41:10.359
<v Speaker 2>But you know, like, why does that worry him then,

0:41:10.400 --> 0:41:12.760
<v Speaker 2>when like he's part of making it an asset class?

0:41:13.040 --> 0:41:17.680
<v Speaker 6>I think because it has the danger of becoming sort

0:41:17.719 --> 0:41:20.600
<v Speaker 6>of commodified and you know, traded in a way that

0:41:20.800 --> 0:41:24.799
<v Speaker 6>you know, maybe takes out some of the some of

0:41:24.840 --> 0:41:29.440
<v Speaker 6>the some of the opportunities to really some of the

0:41:29.440 --> 0:41:31.080
<v Speaker 6>opportunity to find opportunities, if.

0:41:31.000 --> 0:41:31.480
<v Speaker 2>That makes sense.

0:41:31.600 --> 0:41:34.640
<v Speaker 6>He had this one line that I love that we've

0:41:34.640 --> 0:41:37.000
<v Speaker 6>been talking about in our production team, which is they

0:41:37.040 --> 0:41:40.080
<v Speaker 6>trying arbitrage incompetence, which I think is one of the

0:41:40.600 --> 0:41:44.360
<v Speaker 6>funniest things. And like, where else can we do exactly,

0:41:44.600 --> 0:41:46.279
<v Speaker 6>It's like, can we make do you want to make

0:41:46.280 --> 0:41:49.000
<v Speaker 6>a list? We don't make a list right now, Let's

0:41:49.120 --> 0:41:52.840
<v Speaker 6>let's create a shared note, you know and me because

0:41:52.960 --> 0:41:54.920
<v Speaker 6>I just love that idea. I mean as an investor,

0:41:54.960 --> 0:41:56.920
<v Speaker 6>I mean that is actually what you're trying to do,

0:41:57.040 --> 0:41:58.800
<v Speaker 6>right You're trying to find these opportunities where it's like

0:41:58.800 --> 0:42:00.719
<v Speaker 6>they're not running it right, Let's go in and run

0:42:00.719 --> 0:42:01.080
<v Speaker 6>it better.

0:42:01.480 --> 0:42:05.359
<v Speaker 4>So how does Alex in these conversations? I would think

0:42:05.400 --> 0:42:08.680
<v Speaker 4>Alex is most of these kind of an insider. He

0:42:08.760 --> 0:42:11.719
<v Speaker 4>knows all these people. He's probably seen a lot of

0:42:11.760 --> 0:42:13.000
<v Speaker 4>the deals that they've seen.

0:42:13.239 --> 0:42:16.359
<v Speaker 6>Well, this one people, Oh, totally, you're totally right, Paul.

0:42:16.400 --> 0:42:19.040
<v Speaker 6>I mean, this one was fascinating because you know, this

0:42:19.080 --> 0:42:22.960
<v Speaker 6>is a guy who actually was instrumental Jerry in helping

0:42:23.000 --> 0:42:24.799
<v Speaker 6>bring Alex to New York, which is, you know, one

0:42:24.840 --> 0:42:26.840
<v Speaker 6>of the biggest deals that happens for the Yankees in

0:42:26.880 --> 0:42:30.080
<v Speaker 6>the last twenty five years, as you well know, you know.

0:42:30.160 --> 0:42:32.080
<v Speaker 6>The other thing they talked about was, you know, getting

0:42:32.120 --> 0:42:35.920
<v Speaker 6>together over dinner with Randy Levine, the president of the Yankees,

0:42:35.960 --> 0:42:38.400
<v Speaker 6>and saying, hold on, how do we put together a

0:42:38.480 --> 0:42:41.439
<v Speaker 6>roster that can actually win us a championship? And guess

0:42:41.480 --> 0:42:43.120
<v Speaker 6>what they did in two thousand and nine. I mean

0:42:43.400 --> 0:42:46.440
<v Speaker 6>they were the three of them instrumental in identifying who

0:42:46.480 --> 0:42:48.440
<v Speaker 6>could make that happen. So you're right. I mean it's

0:42:48.640 --> 0:42:51.600
<v Speaker 6>it's very fun, I fully confess for me to sit

0:42:51.640 --> 0:42:53.120
<v Speaker 6>here and be like, no, you guys, just tell this

0:42:53.160 --> 0:42:56.319
<v Speaker 6>story what was happening sort of behind the scenes and

0:42:56.320 --> 0:42:57.080
<v Speaker 6>around that table.

0:42:57.280 --> 0:42:59.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Oh my gosh, I can imagine that, Like you

0:42:59.400 --> 0:43:00.919
<v Speaker 2>feel success full if you don't have to talk.

0:43:01.040 --> 0:43:05.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, because I say more about that, that's my contribution.

0:43:06.640 --> 0:43:09.600
<v Speaker 2>Tell me how you felt about that. So what else

0:43:09.600 --> 0:43:11.120
<v Speaker 2>can we look forward to? What's next on your plate?

0:43:11.640 --> 0:43:14.600
<v Speaker 6>So a couple really good episodes, you know, still to come.

0:43:14.640 --> 0:43:17.080
<v Speaker 6>More about halfway through the season. Brandy Chastain is one

0:43:17.520 --> 0:43:20.600
<v Speaker 6>I'm especially excited for people to listen to. Of course,

0:43:20.800 --> 0:43:24.400
<v Speaker 6>Iconic Player, And last week we were down in Miami

0:43:24.600 --> 0:43:28.160
<v Speaker 6>filming an episode with none other than the Goat herself,

0:43:28.160 --> 0:43:30.880
<v Speaker 6>Serena Williams. So that's coming up in a few weeks.

0:43:31.000 --> 0:43:32.719
<v Speaker 2>This is why you have son on your face? Yes,

0:43:32.960 --> 0:43:34.880
<v Speaker 2>for a radio audience, I was like, why is he?

0:43:35.080 --> 0:43:35.520
<v Speaker 4>Sort of.

0:43:38.040 --> 0:43:38.719
<v Speaker 10>How does this guy?

0:43:38.840 --> 0:43:39.880
<v Speaker 6>How does this guy pull it off?

0:43:40.000 --> 0:43:40.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

0:43:40.239 --> 0:43:43.360
<v Speaker 6>So I can't wait for y'all to listen to Serena.

0:43:43.440 --> 0:43:48.879
<v Speaker 6>She is unbelievable. It's it's stories and perspectives from her

0:43:48.960 --> 0:43:52.160
<v Speaker 6>that you've never heard before. So very very.

0:43:52.000 --> 0:43:53.960
<v Speaker 5>Excited for that one downline. Okay, awesome stuff.

0:43:54.000 --> 0:43:56.840
<v Speaker 4>Jason Kelly chief correspondent for Bloomberg Originals. She's also a

0:43:56.840 --> 0:44:00.520
<v Speaker 4>host an executive producer of the Deal, and on this

0:44:00.600 --> 0:44:03.640
<v Speaker 4>week's episode of the Deal, Jason Kelly and Alex Rodriguez

0:44:03.680 --> 0:44:07.640
<v Speaker 4>a talk with Redbird Capital founder and manager partner Jerry Cardinali.

0:44:07.719 --> 0:44:10.680
<v Speaker 4>Jerry he going to break down his career, the purchase

0:44:10.719 --> 0:44:13.120
<v Speaker 4>of ac Milan, they owned that one storied franchise in

0:44:14.040 --> 0:44:16.920
<v Speaker 4>Saria in Italy, and so much more. He's also discusses

0:44:16.920 --> 0:44:18.719
<v Speaker 4>how sports investing has evolved over time.

0:44:18.760 --> 0:44:20.839
<v Speaker 5>So some good stuff there. We'll have that. Jason, thanks

0:44:20.880 --> 0:44:21.960
<v Speaker 5>so much for joining us.

0:44:22.280 --> 0:44:26.799
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apples, Spotify,

0:44:27.000 --> 0:44:29.920
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0:44:30.000 --> 0:44:33.600
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0:44:33.719 --> 0:44:37.120
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0:44:37.239 --> 0:44:40.400
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0:44:40.480 --> 0:44:42.320
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