Speaker 1: What is up Dolphins and welcome to the Draft Time Podcast.
Speaker 1: I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,
Speaker 1: the Dolphins take on the Niners in a game that
Speaker 1: both teams absolutely must win. Will preview the matchups, the Keys,
Speaker 1: give you a prediction and much much more from the
Speaker 1: Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. This
Speaker 1: is the Draft Time Podcast, Real Quick Football Tonight. Broncos
Speaker 1: over Chargers is my pick either way, Like you get
Speaker 1: a good result in this game if you're the Dolph,
Speaker 1: if you're a Dolphins fan rooting for playoffs, or you know,
Speaker 1: trying to get back into the playoffs, I will take
Speaker 1: the Broncos. I think a banged up Justin Herbert who
Speaker 1: cannot move compounds his issues that he can't see the
Speaker 1: field that well. I think a good Broncos defense can
Speaker 1: get after him. In a Chargers offense that has no
Speaker 1: separators and has no run game and the quarterback is
Speaker 1: struggling in the second half of football games, give me
Speaker 1: the Broncos and a game between two teams I don't
Speaker 1: think are that good, but one of them, probably two
Speaker 1: of them, will make the playoffs Week sixteen at No
Speaker 1: Rather Verse the San Francisco forty nine Ers at hard
Speaker 1: Rock Stadium for twenty five kickoff on CBS, A Nansen
Speaker 1: Romo game. Seventy degrees at kickoff, expected to dip in
Speaker 1: the low sixties by about seven to thirty end of
Speaker 1: the game. Partly cloudy, minimal breeze and a slight chance
Speaker 1: of rain. A little bit chilly these days in South
Speaker 1: fourth seventy degrees, we are cold out here. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and meet the forty nine ers for the fourth
Speaker 1: time this year. We are going to tell you about
Speaker 1: a team that has a very similar makeup to ours,
Speaker 1: and we'll do it for a fifth time next week,
Speaker 1: the Niners, where coach McDaniel advanced his career from positional
Speaker 1: assistant to coordinator and the springboard to get in the
Speaker 1: big chair here in South Florida. They are such an
Speaker 1: interesting team. I will mention as often as I can.
Speaker 1: The story I wrote back in twenty seventeen for my
Speaker 1: own website called third and ten dot com, where I
Speaker 1: broke down quarterback play and I was very bullish on
Speaker 1: the Brian Hoyer reuniting with Kyle Shanahan forty nine Ers,
Speaker 1: thinking they might surprise some folks now that was in
Speaker 1: fact a lie are lie detector determined they were terrible
Speaker 1: that year until they traded for a quarterback in Jimmy
Speaker 1: Garoppolo and went six and one down the stretch to
Speaker 1: finish the year after starting to nine. It built hype
Speaker 1: into twenty eighteen, but he gets injured in week two.
Speaker 1: They go four and twelve, and it lands them Nick
Speaker 1: Bosa in a class that also landed them Deebo, Samuel
Speaker 1: and Dre Greenlaw one year after getting Fred Warner and everything.
Speaker 1: Finally clicks thirteen and three, a ten point fourth quarter
Speaker 1: lead in the Super Bowl, but they can't close it out.
Speaker 1: Then twenty twenty, that damn injury bug pops up again.
Speaker 1: It's all that damn Bob Barker's fault. Jimmy g goes
Speaker 1: down again. George Kittle, Deebo, Samuel, Nick Bosa, Richard Sherman
Speaker 1: among the eighteen players they had on injury reserve that year,
Speaker 1: not to mention play their final three home games in
Speaker 1: Arizona due to the pandemic. They go six and ten,
Speaker 1: make that trade with US for Trey Lance, and he
Speaker 1: goes on to play a whole one game for them
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two before he gets hurt. But in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one they go ten to seven, win two
Speaker 1: road playoff games, and we're again leading in the fourth
Speaker 1: quarter in the NFC Championship game but can't close it out.
Speaker 1: Lance takes over in twenty twenty two for the off
Speaker 1: fourmentioned one game. They go back to Garoppolo and he
Speaker 1: leads them to a seven to four record before he
Speaker 1: gets hurt again against US. And then Rock Purdy is born, well,
Speaker 1: I mean he wasn't born, but his football career, NFL
Speaker 1: career was born. They win their final six games, roll
Speaker 1: up two more playoff wins, but then they have to
Speaker 1: play a fourth string quarterback when Purdy gets hurt in
Speaker 1: the NFC Championship game, as Lance and Jimmy g were
Speaker 1: already down and they get properly blown out. Then Purdy's
Speaker 1: first full year as a starter coming off of that.
Speaker 1: Did he have UCL surgery that year? Tommy John I
Speaker 1: can't remember, but he goes twelve and five, takes them
Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl. They have a lead, they get
Speaker 1: into overtime again, but Patrick mahomes again. So when they've
Speaker 1: been healthy, second best team in football over like the
Speaker 1: last seven years right when injured, they win four six
Speaker 1: games and get high draft picks and cash in on
Speaker 1: those draft picks. Legit one of the crazier seven year
Speaker 1: roller coasters, quite frankly this league has ever seen. And
Speaker 1: now injuries in twenty four have hit them hard once again,
Speaker 1: and they are six and eight, hanging on to an
Speaker 1: extremely slim playoff hope, and they need to win out
Speaker 1: and get two Rams losses. There's actually a possibility they
Speaker 1: are eliminated by kickoff on Sunday, and that's if the
Speaker 1: Rams beat the Jets and the Commanders upset the Eagles.
Speaker 2: That would do it.
Speaker 1: The first one likely, second one not so much. But
Speaker 1: even then if the Rams win that game, they have
Speaker 1: to have the Commanders lose two of their final two games,
Speaker 1: I should say to the Falcons and Cowboys as well,
Speaker 1: So not very likely for the Niners. This year, we
Speaker 1: saw Drake Greenlaw play a half of football and what
Speaker 1: a difference that guy makes. He was outstanding, but he
Speaker 1: did have to leave the game dealing with knee soreness.
Speaker 1: You heard from uh or we'll hear from Lindsay Polaris
Speaker 1: tomorrow that it sounds like he will give it a go.
Speaker 1: I was talking to Kyle, which you'll hear from him
Speaker 1: tomorrow as well, and he thinks that that's not like
Speaker 1: as sure of a thing because of the nature of
Speaker 1: that injury in the soreness. So we'll see what happens there.
Speaker 1: I tend to trust Kyle's word, but we also got
Speaker 1: word from the Niners, so we'll see if he can
Speaker 1: play the game and finish the game right. But he
Speaker 1: did say he was going to play, So it sounds
Speaker 1: like they will have those backers back in the middle
Speaker 1: and try to do what the Texans did to us,
Speaker 1: squeezing those throwing lanes inside. But they do have some
Speaker 1: very critical players who are down. Brandon Ayuk is their
Speaker 1: best receiver, Christian McCaffrey is their best player. Jordan Mason
Speaker 1: is the third string running back. Elijah Mitchell was the
Speaker 1: second string running back. Those guys were all down, and
Speaker 1: so is their best interior defensive lineman in Javon Hargrave.
Speaker 1: Tons of talent, And then it sounds like Trent Williams
Speaker 1: will also miss the game. That one's not for sure yet,
Speaker 1: but Shanahan's comments on Wednesdays sounded pretty pretty ominous about
Speaker 1: his availability this week. And the rest of the season.
Speaker 1: As for the forty nine ers offense, their scheme you
Speaker 1: know it. It starts with wide zone. It incorporates a
Speaker 1: ton of motions and shifts to get bumps and slides
Speaker 1: out of the defense to try to mess up their communication.
Speaker 1: It has a beautifully synchronized run game with false keys
Speaker 1: and misdirections that forces defense to play with hesitancy and
Speaker 1: to be able to play in all directions both from
Speaker 1: a physical standpoint change of direction, but also processing standpoint.
Speaker 1: And a very accurate, smart quarterback who processes quickly and
Speaker 1: excels in the quick game to weapons that can hurt you.
Speaker 1: On the back end, they love to run it behind
Speaker 1: one of the best tight ends to ever do it
Speaker 1: in George Kittle. They love to throw it to him
Speaker 1: and let him set the temple offensively with the way
Speaker 1: he runs through tackles. And though they are down their
Speaker 1: best receiver in Brandon Ayuk, Deebo Samuel has been getting
Speaker 1: more touches in the backfields a ballcarrier, but he is
Speaker 1: really struggling this year with drops and just being an
Speaker 1: impact player on that offense. I would say that you
Speaker 1: can point to him as well as the Sho McCaffrey
Speaker 1: absence as like the biggest reasons this offensive struggled this year,
Speaker 1: and struggle is like subjective because they're still top ten,
Speaker 1: but they haven't been in sync all year long like
Speaker 1: they usually are. They've been banged up upfront. Their forte
Speaker 1: isn't five and seven step drops on third and longs.
Speaker 1: But they have developed continuity and played connected upfront, albeit
Speaker 1: maybe not super productive. They play with the fullback, they
Speaker 1: incorporate two tight end personnel without that fullback and with
Speaker 1: them they did have a fast twenty one personnel package
Speaker 1: before injuries basically said you can't do that no more,
Speaker 1: and they run eleven personnel, which is the most common
Speaker 1: personnel package three receivers in the NFL. They run it
Speaker 1: at one of the lowest rates because again of that versatility,
Speaker 1: how do you attack it? The biggest key is the
Speaker 1: range you exhibit in the middle of the football field.
Speaker 1: They are so good at messing with your alignment before
Speaker 1: the snap, which go ask Zach Thomas.
Speaker 2: You can't do that because you don't know Zach Thomas.
Speaker 1: But he will tell you how important alignment is pre snap,
Speaker 1: and they are very good at getting you out of
Speaker 1: your alignment with condemmations to then shift at the line
Speaker 1: of scrimmage to identify their coverage. They run motions to
Speaker 1: tip off their quarterback with the information he might need
Speaker 1: to get before the snap, and a run game that
Speaker 1: helps emphasize the eye candy and fall steps that offensive
Speaker 1: system creates, and then they throw inbreakers in behind those
Speaker 1: display zones. It is a lot, man, It's a complex offense,
Speaker 1: and they have I mean perfected it as a strong
Speaker 1: term with how they're playing right now, but I mean
Speaker 1: the past they have And Shanahan's the originator of this,
Speaker 1: right He's the junior to Papa Shanahan, and he really
Speaker 1: took it and made it even better than what Mike
Speaker 1: Shanahan did with it. For years now, all of that
Speaker 1: has not exactly flowed seamlessly this year, given how banged
Speaker 1: up they've been. The loss of Ayuk is legit one
Speaker 1: of the biggest pieces any team in the league could
Speaker 1: could lose, and one of the few ones that might
Speaker 1: be bigger is the loss of Trent Williams. Like picture
Speaker 1: us playing without Waddle in tront that's basically what it is,
Speaker 1: or Tyreek in toront I guess they have something that
Speaker 1: I think we've strived. We're striving for here with continuity
Speaker 1: across the offensive line. And I'm not even talking about
Speaker 1: like one year of good health, rather having the program
Speaker 1: be in place for eight years and inserting developmental pieces
Speaker 1: in for high price free agents that exit like Laken
Speaker 1: Tomlinson and Mike mcglinchy who were replaced with in house
Speaker 1: options Colton mckivitz.
Speaker 2: And uh Aaron Banks or am I talking about Dominic Puney.
Speaker 1: Either way, young young players on the offensive line filed
Speaker 1: in for those guys that left in free agency. They
Speaker 1: and both of those guys struggled in Denver and in
Speaker 1: New York respectively. They do have that even without Trent Williams.
Speaker 1: And if you know how this system functions, one of
Speaker 1: the main positions they try to ensure they have elite
Speaker 1: players at is that tackle spot, and without Trent Williams,
Speaker 1: neither of their tackles are elite or even really above
Speaker 1: replacement level. I like how we ran inverted to last week.
Speaker 1: What's inverted to, Well, you better to listen right now
Speaker 1: because we're gonna talk about it a lot in this podcast.
Speaker 1: It is when you bring your safeties down to play
Speaker 1: the hook or play either you know, cloud coverage on
Speaker 1: the outside or in the middle of the field. And
Speaker 1: your cornerbacks are the ones that get deep and play
Speaker 1: deep half in the secondary. So we ran a lot
Speaker 1: of that last week. I love how we peeled our
Speaker 1: sim pressure looks where you would, you know, show five
Speaker 1: and bring four and peel back Benito Jones or Zach
Speaker 1: Seeler or Chop Robinson or Anthony Walker, whoever it might be,
Speaker 1: into the hook zone. And it continuously forced C. J.
Speaker 1: Stroud to get off that first read. It changed the
Speaker 1: launch point because we beat their butts in their pass protection.
Speaker 1: And then you plaster on the back end with Ramsey,
Speaker 1: Cohu and Fuller and you get a pretty good game plan.
Speaker 1: I think the Niners can be attacked similarly, and I
Speaker 1: think we might have to get that if we want
Speaker 1: to have a chance to win this football game. The
Speaker 1: Big Three versus the forty nine Ers offense Number one,
Speaker 1: you have to cut off outside zone.
Speaker 2: You know how.
Speaker 1: In every good apocalyptic zombie film, the characters eventually come
Speaker 1: to find out that the only way to slow the
Speaker 1: zombies down, or perhaps even return them to their pre
Speaker 1: in infection health, is to like remove the head of
Speaker 1: patient zero. Right, Oh my god, I give Kenny exactly
Speaker 1: like that, and that applies to the outside zone runs
Speaker 1: with the forty nine ers.
Speaker 2: But that's not all you have to do.
Speaker 1: That's just step one because if they get those stretch
Speaker 1: runs on the perimeter, if you let Juwan Jennings pin
Speaker 1: your edge on the perimeter and they pull a tackle
Speaker 1: or one of their incredibly athletic interior offensive lineman Aaron
Speaker 1: Brewer for US dominic puny for them, then they wind
Speaker 1: up having defensive backs in space, having to beat three
Speaker 1: hundred pound roadblocks and making tackles on shifty backs. It's
Speaker 1: a losing proposition once again. Fortunately for Miami, that will
Speaker 1: not be Christian McCaffrey, nor Jordan Mason nor Elijah Mitchell,
Speaker 1: who all those guys had great knowledge and vision for
Speaker 1: zone running. No teams sniff out good zone runners like
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers. Dude, I think Isaac Grendo can
Speaker 1: get that, but I don't think he's there yet. He's
Speaker 1: getting his feet wet in the complexities of the system
Speaker 1: that also features a lot of counter and unique footwork
Speaker 1: to help sell the fakes and false keys they feature.
Speaker 1: It's a lot for a young player to take on.
Speaker 1: In fact, their third back was a guy that I
Speaker 1: thought was pretty damn good at it, and Mitchell, but
Speaker 1: again he's down as well all the way back in
Speaker 1: training camp. So that's where I think you point to
Speaker 1: some of the opportunities. We saw the Texans offense struggle
Speaker 1: to find a rhythm and were consistently behind the change
Speaker 1: because well, Jordan Brooks made such a great play on
Speaker 1: the tackle for loss that he had that he had
Speaker 1: early in the game where at knock Joe Mixon out
Speaker 1: of the game periodically and then eventually for good. But
Speaker 1: we just consistently beat the Texans and kept him into
Speaker 1: long down distances and got off the field three point
Speaker 1: six yards per play in general. But it starts with
Speaker 1: twenty rush attempts for seventy seven yards, not great. But
Speaker 1: if you take away the one wide receiver carry a
Speaker 1: one rush for fifteen yards for Tank Dell where we
Speaker 1: should have had him lost in the backfield there too,
Speaker 1: it then becomes nineteen for fifty eight. If you get
Speaker 1: that in this game, I think you'll hold the Niners
Speaker 1: to twenty your points less again and probably less if
Speaker 1: you don't turn the ball over, which is going to
Speaker 1: be you know, obviously another key critical element of this game.
Speaker 1: They're right guard Dominic Puney has been really good, a
Speaker 1: really good player for them. He's a perfect outside zone fit,
Speaker 1: solid and pass protection. He's really the one newcomer and
Speaker 1: come in seamlessly for the offensive line. And I'll never
Speaker 1: forget Daniel Jeremiah his draft conference call last year. I
Speaker 1: was I waited for an hour and a half to
Speaker 1: ask my question, and I was like, who's the best
Speaker 1: outside zone in tierior offensive lineman? DJ because I thought
Speaker 1: we were in the business for that, and he pointed
Speaker 1: to Dominic Putney, so that tracks they drafted him in
Speaker 1: San Francisco. But other than that, it's been the main stays.
Speaker 1: If Trent Williams plays, which doesn't sound like he will,
Speaker 1: it changes the entire dynamic. But he's been replaced over
Speaker 1: the last four games by Jalen Moore.
Speaker 2: Who isn't very good.
Speaker 1: Moore hasn't been charged with a sack this season, but
Speaker 1: you can watch the tape and it's a lot of
Speaker 1: help and a lot of quick game and trying to
Speaker 1: you know, runoff play pass in terms of not getting
Speaker 1: him true dropback situations. But if you're going to get
Speaker 1: their assignments confused with your slide and your bumps and
Speaker 1: your pre snap shifts. That's probably the only area you
Speaker 1: can get them in because it is so key to
Speaker 1: try and do to the offensive line what they want
Speaker 1: to do to the front seven by getting them to
Speaker 1: take fallse steps and create better blocking angles leverage. But
Speaker 1: they're so well schooled in the scheme that they can
Speaker 1: really make up for what you might call a lack
Speaker 1: of traits with that connectivity in their communication. But you
Speaker 1: got to find a way to split those seams and
Speaker 1: kind of get their assignments, you know, confused off the snap.
Speaker 1: So it's important to really hold that edge and the
Speaker 1: right side too for that matter, because although Colton mckibbitts
Speaker 1: has been a start of there every game the last
Speaker 1: two years, he's the low man terms of the pass
Speaker 1: rush data. He has a PBE of like ninety three
Speaker 1: point seven, which is really really rough and frankly from
Speaker 1: my I on the tape in the run game, it's
Speaker 1: it's just not been very good. So very important day
Speaker 1: for Chop Robinson, for Emmanuel Ogbab Bradley Chubb, if we
Speaker 1: get him back for Kalais Campbell and those five technique roles.
Speaker 1: You have to win on the outside and set the
Speaker 1: table for everything else, and then on the inside. I
Speaker 1: don't really care if you're facing King Kong, Godzilla and
Speaker 1: the stay Puff marshmallow Man across the interior offensive line.
Speaker 1: I'm picking Zach Slier to win any of those matchups
Speaker 1: that he might face. And these guys are not those monsters.
Speaker 1: And I thought we did a great job on the
Speaker 1: edges versus Houston, and let Zach and Jordan almost a
Speaker 1: Jerome Jordan Brooks just win, win, and win some more.
Speaker 1: It's funny, you know, go search any of their offensive
Speaker 1: line names on X or find any discourse on their
Speaker 1: offensive line. It is the exact same as what you'll
Speaker 1: see on Dolphins here, like literally the exact same. Somebody
Speaker 1: will share the offensive line data and the replies will
Speaker 1: say that's because of brocks quick release. But Brock's time
Speaker 1: throw this year is like three point three second or
Speaker 1: three point oh three seconds, so that ain't it. I
Speaker 1: don't really have an opinion on it. I just think
Speaker 1: it's really funny because, as the great Morty Smith once said.
Speaker 2: Nobody exists on purpose. Nobody belongs anywhere. Everybody's gonna die.
Speaker 1: Come watch TV man, what a great show, Rick and
Speaker 1: Morty is. Let's go ahead and take our first break.
Speaker 1: Great there, come back and do keys two and three.
Speaker 1: In terms of the Niners offense, we'll talk about their
Speaker 1: defense and pick the game. All of that much more.
Speaker 1: Draft Time Podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you
Speaker 1: by automation. You gotta stop outside zone and number two
Speaker 1: is to tackle, to punch the pocket and catch your
Speaker 1: interceptions like you eat your carrots as a kid, right,
Speaker 1: the old three for one. I think when you look
Speaker 1: at the issues this offense has had this season, it's
Speaker 1: somewhat of a replica to what we saw with us
Speaker 1: down the stretch last year. Every game you were missing
Speaker 1: like one of the big time skill guys. You had
Speaker 1: different offensive line combinations pretty much every single week, and
Speaker 1: you were not able to get those guys on the
Speaker 1: practice field together, which in an offense that coach McDaniel
Speaker 1: says has to be very connected to work. You get inconsistencies,
Speaker 1: you get rhythm that falls off and it causes some
Speaker 1: major gaffs and the way you do things purty looks
Speaker 1: more uncomfortable to me. This year than he has ever
Speaker 1: and I do think that he gets a bad rap
Speaker 1: in the same way Tua does. But ma'am, he sure
Speaker 1: does put the football in harm's way at kind of
Speaker 1: an alarming rate. He got away with so many drop
Speaker 1: picks last year. He was one of the leaders in
Speaker 1: turnover worthy plays. He had thirty two of them last year.
Speaker 1: Now he kind of got away with a lot of
Speaker 1: those in terms of the twps compared to actual giveaways.
Speaker 1: But he had twenty one or he has twenty one
Speaker 1: this year, I should say right about his pace this year,
Speaker 1: and the biggest difference has been average depth of target
Speaker 1: and time to throw three point zero three seconds time
Speaker 1: to throw and nine and a half average depth of
Speaker 1: target compared to last year, where it was a two
Speaker 1: point seven to three so more than a quarter second longer,
Speaker 1: and eight point six a dot so about a yard
Speaker 1: less as well. It's just been a different offense this year. Now,
Speaker 1: you know, we do not give a damn about numbers
Speaker 1: on here without context from the film and what I
Speaker 1: see as a passing game that because of the aforementioned
Speaker 1: loss of so many key players, the initial reads have
Speaker 1: been haven't been as obvious for him and there's been
Speaker 1: a great necessity for creating.
Speaker 2: And I think Brock is a very good quarterback.
Speaker 1: I would put him in the top like fourteen of league,
Speaker 1: but I think he has pressed a lot and puts
Speaker 1: some questionable balls in play, particularly when he gets off
Speaker 1: schedule and tries to create, which is a symptom to
Speaker 1: me of that early down run game not being there
Speaker 1: and trying to keep drives alive in those situations. There
Speaker 1: is a number that I think points to their offense
Speaker 1: struggling more than in years past, and it's pretty success
Speaker 1: rate as a passer. Fifty point three as a rookie
Speaker 1: was really good. Fifty four point seven last year was
Speaker 1: I think it was second in the NFL, and then
Speaker 1: now it's at forty seven point eight, which is like
Speaker 1: middle of the pack in the league. So the other
Speaker 1: part this is a physical forty nine ers football team.
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel is not having his usual year. He has
Speaker 1: fallen off bad. George Kittle looks healthy to me after
Speaker 1: a missed portion of time and working his way back
Speaker 1: from that mid season injury. And Juwan Jennings is a
Speaker 1: big dude who will kick your butt on the edge
Speaker 1: in the blocking game. If you do not attack him
Speaker 1: and go get him. So all of those guys are
Speaker 1: going to force you to tackle, and the numbers support that.
Speaker 1: Juwan Jennings eighth in the NFL among receivers enforced missed tackles,
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel's tenth, and George Kittle is tied for eighth
Speaker 1: among tight ends even though he missed a chunk of games.
Speaker 1: Then the punch the pocket concept is a team philosophy.
Speaker 1: Shots on goal, as we've calls it. Cater had to
Speaker 1: teach tape rep on that first drive of the game.
Speaker 1: The Nyers have twenty one fumbles this year. That's tied
Speaker 1: for fifth most in the league. Punch the football and
Speaker 1: let's try to steal a takeaway and then catch your
Speaker 1: interception opportunities.
Speaker 2: That's basic.
Speaker 1: And finally number three, zack them up chop them down.
Speaker 1: You like that wordplay. This combination of pass rushers has
Speaker 1: been an absolute treat to watch, and man, when we
Speaker 1: get Jalen Phillips back in the fold with Chop and Zach,
Speaker 1: the way their skills compliment one another is just going
Speaker 1: to be a problem for offensive lines to contend with.
Speaker 1: And by the way, if you get at me on X,
Speaker 1: replying with if he's even healthy to play, Like, dude,
Speaker 1: he got friendly fired chopped down at his knees this
Speaker 1: year by his own teammate, Like that would tear anybody's
Speaker 1: acl So let's just chill. And I say that because
Speaker 1: Zach and Chop alone have been a problem. Look, this
Speaker 1: off line in terms of individual pass blocking matchups hasn't
Speaker 1: been good. In fact, I would venturely say they haven't
Speaker 1: been good in general. But mckivitz is not going to
Speaker 1: be able to handle Chopp, who's already one of the
Speaker 1: best pass rushers in the NFL.
Speaker 2: Think about that for a second.
Speaker 1: There's a pretty big size mismatch inside, as they'll have
Speaker 1: to try to block Zach and kalais with a two
Speaker 1: hundred and ninety five pound center and a three hundred
Speaker 1: and five pound guard. And that's why Key one is
Speaker 1: so imperative. If you can generate long down in distances,
Speaker 1: that creates less diskies and creativity for how they get
Speaker 1: to those plays. Are those pass plays outside of true
Speaker 1: drop back scenarios, And I think you can kind of
Speaker 1: tee off on these guys. I think he could look
Speaker 1: a lot like it did last week. If you get
Speaker 1: those early down run stops. And then you talk about
Speaker 1: the way Jordan Brooks is playing, the way Ramsey can
Speaker 1: challenge the edges a blitzer, the way Javon has inserted
Speaker 1: himself with those quasi weak side linebacker roles, like all
Speaker 1: those guys can come down and play a part against
Speaker 1: that Niers run game, in the pass rush game. And
Speaker 1: then I think Kendall Fuller and cater Coe, who have
Speaker 1: decent matchups against this banged up group of eligibles that
Speaker 1: I don't think threatened you beyond the top two guys
Speaker 1: or so, I think we could have a pretty similar
Speaker 1: offensive performance, or rather defensive performance that we had last week.
Speaker 1: One last additional part on the offense. It didn't mention
Speaker 1: yet Kyle Yuschek just one of the best fullbacks to
Speaker 1: ever do it. He deserves to get his name mentioned
Speaker 1: in here. Let's pivot now to the Niners defense and
Speaker 1: the Dolphins offense, and once again remember what happened last week, Well,
Speaker 1: copy and paste it now. It's not the exact same
Speaker 1: as Demico Ryan's defense, because no two coaches ever do
Speaker 1: things the exact same way. But you might recall the
Speaker 1: Niners have been very vocal about their desire to stick
Speaker 1: with that same scheme since they lost to Miko. They
Speaker 1: were out of the Vic Fangio sweepstakes because of that,
Speaker 1: because they wanted Steve Wilkes to run the same system,
Speaker 1: and they fired him last year after they went to
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. But a lot of ability to get
Speaker 1: home with four, the occasional blitz here and there, it's
Speaker 1: almost always a fire zone. When they do blitz, it's
Speaker 1: like send five and then play some variation of three
Speaker 1: in the hook, three on the deep shell. That's what
Speaker 1: a fire zone basically is constructed of. Now, it's an
Speaker 1: interesting dichotomy. They rank third in total defense, but they
Speaker 1: are twenty second in pressure rate. They blitz at the
Speaker 1: second lowest rate in the NFL, seventeen percent. And this
Speaker 1: is where it's really hard to believe given the number
Speaker 1: three defense. They're twenty fifth in third down defense, which
Speaker 1: tracks with their pressure rate.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 1: I think there was a big fall off without Bosa,
Speaker 1: but it was just three games, so I wouldn't imagine
Speaker 1: that was the only reason the pressure rate's been low.
Speaker 1: How do you attack it? You simply have to win
Speaker 1: against their four man pressures. The way they play soft
Speaker 1: and off you cannot let them move your quarterback within
Speaker 1: two seconds on those four man rush looks. You got
Speaker 1: to try to find a way to run the football,
Speaker 1: and I imagine the screen game will be heavily featured
Speaker 1: to try to get Warner and Greenlaw moving, especially the
Speaker 1: latter as they try to test out his conditioning slash
Speaker 1: returning from the achilles injury that kept him out of
Speaker 1: the lineup until literally last week, and then he plays
Speaker 1: one half and has to miss the second half because
Speaker 1: of knee soreness. I think it's worth monitoring that situation,
Speaker 1: but I think you really need to stretch them laterally
Speaker 1: to expose lanes in the middle, especially in the passing game.
Speaker 1: This also includes corners and flag routes. I thought where
Speaker 1: Houston really beat us was their corner's ability to get
Speaker 1: back downhill in those cover three drops. It almost made
Speaker 1: it like they had thirteen players on the field on defense.
Speaker 1: I'm sure they'll see that that We'll see that inverted
Speaker 1: two look. We talked about it earlier. Cornerbacks take the
Speaker 1: deep show the safeties come down and played the hook
Speaker 1: or play man coverage or play cloud coverage that the
Speaker 1: Texans ran, and try to replicate that and quite frankly,
Speaker 1: if you do try and run that, the Texans were
Speaker 1: able to do it because I think Derek Stingley is
Speaker 1: the best cornerback in the league because he has four
Speaker 1: to three speed, He has some of the best change
Speaker 1: of direction and recognition skills in maybe the entire game.
Speaker 1: And Traverius Ward is a very good player, but he's
Speaker 1: not that good, and he's also a four to four
Speaker 1: to five guy. Same is true for Diamador Lenor in
Speaker 1: the slot, and then rookie Ronaldo Green's a four to
Speaker 1: five guy, but so was Kamari Lassier last week and
Speaker 1: he balled out in that game. And then I think
Speaker 1: Kaln Bullock, the Texans safety, plays a similar style to
Speaker 1: Telenoah Hufanga. The Niners say, so, there's lots of similarities there.
Speaker 1: Nobody plays more zone coverage to the Niners. It's just
Speaker 1: a smidge under eighty percent. The Big Three versus Niners
Speaker 1: defense Number one Tua bounce back game against zone coverage
Speaker 1: and throwing deep against their inverted two looks. I would
Speaker 1: be completely shocked if Tua has another tough time seeing
Speaker 1: the field this week like he did last week, simply
Speaker 1: due to the law of averages. He's too good to
Speaker 1: have two consecutive games like that, especially against a defense
Speaker 1: that isn't that dissimilar to the one that he just saw.
Speaker 2: Now, the ranks are the ranks, but man, when I watch.
Speaker 1: This defense, I saw all kinds of communication issues and
Speaker 1: coverage bust like against the Rams and a critical third
Speaker 1: down situation. They're in man coverage, but Hufonga gets confused
Speaker 1: and bumps like he's in zone coverage, and it gives
Speaker 1: free access to a glance to Puka Nakua, their best player,
Speaker 1: to move the chains and pretty much sink their season.
Speaker 1: They play primarily Cover three, with quarters Cover four being
Speaker 1: their second most called look.
Speaker 2: But we saw the Texans.
Speaker 1: Present Cover three and run that inverted two too off
Speaker 1: of that, And I get that with Hunter and Anderson
Speaker 1: against a team without either starting tackle and their third
Speaker 1: right tackle or really fourth right tackle if you count
Speaker 1: key On Smith from training camp, then it makes sense
Speaker 1: that you can't have the patience to attack vertically against
Speaker 1: that pass rush. And since we were on the road,
Speaker 1: they were able to anticipate the snap count with a
Speaker 1: little tap on the center. You know how that the
Speaker 1: guard will tap the center and the head pops up
Speaker 1: and the snap goes off, so I think that they
Speaker 1: will run that, and if they do, then we might
Speaker 1: have some chances to run past them and get the
Speaker 1: deep ball going. It would be nice to see number
Speaker 1: ten show the defensive tail lights for the first time
Speaker 1: since week one, wouldn't it. And if not, and they
Speaker 1: play in those off cover three and quarters looks, then
Speaker 1: I looked for Jona Smith over the middle of the
Speaker 1: field and throws to the backs in the same spots.
Speaker 1: Because the best play Sunday were when we ran those
Speaker 1: hooked linebackers off with intermediate routes and replace them with
Speaker 1: underneath targets. I think you can get to that and
Speaker 1: then hopefully that makes them play more aggressive and flip
Speaker 1: those inverted two looks and that's when you go for
Speaker 1: your shot. Their safety Hufanga is super interesting because he
Speaker 1: gambles a lot and makes the splash play, but he
Speaker 1: can guess wrong. So Tua working against him in a
Speaker 1: matchup is a big key. You have to have elite
Speaker 1: eyes from Tua in this game, elite anticipation and play
Speaker 1: on time and aggressively, and I trust him to do that.
Speaker 2: Number two.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and take a break and then come
Speaker 1: back for number two and three as well if the
Speaker 1: predictions range of outcomes.
Speaker 2: What's at stake All of that and more.
Speaker 1: Next Drivetime Podcast your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you
Speaker 1: by Autodation. Key number one was Tua having a bounce
Speaker 1: back day. Key number two against the Niners defense is
Speaker 1: to run game. What to get the run game going,
Speaker 1: to get your screens, get your chips, get your slides,
Speaker 1: and find to solve for Nick Bosa and Leonard Floyd.
Speaker 1: These guys are game wreckers, and honestly, I thought we
Speaker 1: mitigated Hunter and Anderson well for a little while last week,
Speaker 1: but that three and out middle of the fourth quarter,
Speaker 1: they just teed off in obvious passing situations when we
Speaker 1: started to dry with the false start and then had
Speaker 1: to drive the entire field. The defense kept us in
Speaker 1: the game, which allowed us to stay true to our
Speaker 1: game plan. You can't get away from that here because
Speaker 1: the Niners will just wreck you the way the Texans
Speaker 1: did on that drive. You can't let them tee up
Speaker 1: one on one situations all night long. Hopefully we get
Speaker 1: to run Armstead and Kendall Lamb back, and I'd be
Speaker 1: curious to see who plays right tackle between Kendall Lamb
Speaker 1: and Patrick Paul. I tend't think it'll be the veteran,
Speaker 1: but I digress especially T said, who you can really
Speaker 1: trust against anyone, and then slide isolation for him and
Speaker 1: slide the line away from him. Now, if Jackson Carmen plays,
Speaker 1: it's a white flag. You have to have a different lineup.
Speaker 1: If you're down both t said and Lamb again, you
Speaker 1: have to find a way to get Isaiah winning the game.
Speaker 1: Like you can't do that again non negotiable. I like
Speaker 1: the screen game and moderation because after a while they
Speaker 1: start keying on it. You can't run fifteen screens in
Speaker 1: the game. It's not gonna work. But we have to
Speaker 1: be really convicted in our playfakes on carrying out our
Speaker 1: decoy routes. Take the right release, run your route full
Speaker 1: to full speed, run the right route on our false keys.
Speaker 1: Everything we do, we just have to be connected and committed.
Speaker 1: Any step we can steal from those rushers, from Warner,
Speaker 1: from Greenlaw, we must be able to do that. It's
Speaker 1: a big game for the tight ends to get the
Speaker 1: edge sealed to help in pass protection and hopefully get
Speaker 1: the ball on the perimeter. Julian Hill I think plays
Speaker 1: a big role in this one. Alec as well John U.
Speaker 1: Smith when it comes to giving them a curveball to
Speaker 1: some of his roles as a wide tight end in
Speaker 1: the pass game and protection in the running game as well.
Speaker 1: And then of course the availability of Jilen Waddle. Losing
Speaker 1: him was really tough last week. He's been our go
Speaker 1: to guy on third downs and been so consistent about
Speaker 1: beating leverage and getting open in situations where they are
Speaker 1: specifically trying to take away certain routes from him, and
Speaker 1: he can still win those routes and get open. I
Speaker 1: think his ability to pace his routes on crossers and
Speaker 1: throws in the middle of the field can help exploit
Speaker 1: overplay if you're able to have success what I talked
Speaker 1: about with Johnny and Hm their passing game doing that.
Speaker 1: He's also Waddle a critical part of our screen game,
Speaker 1: and I think we missed him there too. In general,
Speaker 1: I mean, you part company with a receiver midweek, you
Speaker 1: lose arguably your best player at the position this season
Speaker 1: in game, and lose another one to an injury in
Speaker 1: grant to Bosa, I mean you're down to three at
Speaker 1: that point right, So hopefully we get these guys active,
Speaker 1: because even with them, we have to give extra attention
Speaker 1: to both Floyd and Bosa and shoot, if it is
Speaker 1: Pat Paul, I think you might trust him against Floyd,
Speaker 1: so you can help on Bosa on Tua's blind side. Inside,
Speaker 1: Malik Collins is a dynamic pass rusher. I wouldn't mind
Speaker 1: getting him running out wide to any situation where he
Speaker 1: gets Leah Mikeenberg one on one in a true dropback
Speaker 1: situation is a win for the Niners. Don't let that
Speaker 1: happen and Rob Jones to a slightly lesser degree as well.
Speaker 1: We definitely have to be more connected and communicate better
Speaker 1: on the inside than what we did last week. There
Speaker 1: were just a few too many three man rushes that
Speaker 1: were able to create one on one situations and beat
Speaker 1: those situations. Inside number three make their risk reward safeties
Speaker 1: pay the price. Hufunga and Jai Yr Brown are risk takers.
Speaker 1: Dare I say it not having great years. Sometimes it's
Speaker 1: awesome for them, sometimes it bites them. I've covered Whufonga
Speaker 1: didn't mention jay Yr Brown. He's in from Leak Mustafa.
Speaker 1: He's got some good range on the back end but
Speaker 1: has really struggled with miss tackles this year. Hopefully we
Speaker 1: can get a couple of runs or slants or glances
Speaker 1: where it puts our ballcarriers in one on one spots
Speaker 1: against him. I think if you can get eight chan
Speaker 1: matched up on him in the passing game, the way
Speaker 1: you can throw some of those vertical routes to him,
Speaker 1: or even a hitch where he has to, you know,
Speaker 1: come downhill and tackle a Chan or even a crosser.
Speaker 1: That creates that, you know, one on one matchup against
Speaker 1: the safety over the middle of the field. That is
Speaker 1: a matchup that favors us a lot. Now he can
Speaker 1: also lay the wood. He's a lot like Ufanga in
Speaker 1: terms of the way they will gamble to create big
Speaker 1: plays in either direction. You just have to have more
Speaker 1: of those on your side than you give them. The
Speaker 1: Niners are middle of the pack and miss tackles, but
Speaker 1: of the eighty four that Pro Football Reference has attributed
Speaker 1: to them, twenty of those are those two safeties, and
Speaker 1: if you factor in Diamador Lenor who plays slot in
Speaker 1: some safety. In terms of big nickel when they put
Speaker 1: the roof on the defense, there's thirty two of their
Speaker 1: eight miss tackles are those three players. So get our
Speaker 1: guys one on one chances with the safeties and maybe
Speaker 1: you can spring one like Waddle on Christmas Day back
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty to I just want to add this
Speaker 1: additionally as our part B three. Be on your details
Speaker 1: on any given play a great way to avoid some
Speaker 1: of the mishaps from last week. Be fully on detail
Speaker 1: this week in practice, be at walkthrough, be intentional. We
Speaker 1: can't talk about the wrong routes or forcing throws into
Speaker 1: the spots against this defense because they will do just
Speaker 1: what the Texans did and take away, take that away
Speaker 1: and then return it the other way from you. Warner
Speaker 1: and green Law are just ridiculously talented players in that way.
Speaker 1: Warner the best hook dropper and all of football for
Speaker 1: my money, and then Hufonga flying around trying to make
Speaker 1: big plays.
Speaker 2: Being at home is a big help for that.
Speaker 1: Also, stay out a bad down in distances, you know,
Speaker 1: false starts, delay of games, illegal shifts, emotions. We are
Speaker 1: number two in pre snap offensive penalties in terms of
Speaker 1: having the most. Let's stop doing that negative runs on
Speaker 1: first down. We need to find a way to stay
Speaker 1: out of all those situations, even run some muddle huddle
Speaker 1: where two it can get to the line scrimmage and
Speaker 1: make his assessments early in the clock and get through
Speaker 1: his checklist with time on the play clock.
Speaker 2: You just have to be buttoned up.
Speaker 1: Obviously, a clean game against Houston, no turnovers, would have
Speaker 1: won you that game. I think the same thing applies here.
Speaker 1: Play a clean game and you can win. What's at
Speaker 1: stake in this one? Well, at this point, like jobs right,
Speaker 1: I think I don't know. But if you go to
Speaker 1: six and nine and the season ends, like I don't
Speaker 1: think people are gonna be too happy with that, We're
Speaker 1: gonna find out who wants to be here in terms
Speaker 1: of the effort. But also I don't know, maybe come kickoff,
Speaker 1: you get back into the mix because maybe the Chargers
Speaker 1: lose and the Colts lose, and then you're playing the
Speaker 1: Browns game with a potential you know, Patriots upset over
Speaker 1: the Chargers, away from controlling your own destiny. Like it's
Speaker 1: not that crazy. But when the game, we'll find out
Speaker 1: range of outcomes. I say, win the game, but guys,
Speaker 1: you know what, hmmm, I don't think it's gonna be
Speaker 1: pretty On Sunday, remember all the things that I have
Speaker 1: a Jets game and how I thought they might be
Speaker 1: on vacation mode. I'm not saying this will be the Dolphins,
Speaker 1: but it's in the back of my mind. And then
Speaker 1: the matchups, the way they can condense the middle of
Speaker 1: the field, the uncertain nature of Jalen Waddle are invisible
Speaker 1: run game. Even if Kendall can go, I don't think
Speaker 1: Nick Bose is a good matchup for him at right tackle.
Speaker 1: The way they have too much speed for our screen
Speaker 1: game to work. I think this has blowout potential written
Speaker 1: all over it. The coaching matchup, teacher versus pupil, I
Speaker 1: mean against these really good coaching staffs. We've kind of
Speaker 1: gotten out coached over the years. In fact, I'm not
Speaker 1: I don't even think. I think like a twenty one
Speaker 1: to twenty win if you don't turn the ball over,
Speaker 1: could happen. But I tend to think like thirty one
Speaker 1: fifteen feels right. Niners win. Season's over. We're all sad again.
Speaker 2: Maybe we're not. I don't know.
Speaker 1: Keys to victory number one expand the field offensively. You
Speaker 1: have to attack outside and don't let them play five
Speaker 1: guys between the numbers in the intermediate and deep portion
Speaker 1: of the field like they did last week. Number two
Speaker 1: shut down their perimeter run game, cut the head of
Speaker 1: the zombie off right away the way Kyle Broflowski did
Speaker 1: to Kenny McCormick. There, and number three bring elite tackling technique.
Speaker 1: You cannot let George Kittle, Juwan Jennings and Deebo Samuel
Speaker 1: get rumbling through your secondary That's it you all. Please
Speaker 1: be sure to subscribe to the podcast, leave us a
Speaker 1: ring and leave us a review. Follow me on social
Speaker 1: at Wingfield NFL. The team at Miami Dolphins. Check out
Speaker 1: the Fish Tank with Seth and Juice. The Damian McIntosh
Speaker 1: episode was Chef's Kiss.
Speaker 2: Loved it.
Speaker 1: Check out the YouTube channel for Dolphins, HQ, Media Availabilities
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Speaker 1: Dolphins dot com. Until next time, Finns up, Caroline, Cameron, Daddy,
Speaker 1: He's coming over.