WEBVTT - Nvidia's Slide and Apple's EU Fines

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<v Speaker 1>From Marhard.

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<v Speaker 2>We're Innovation, Money and Power Collie in Silicon Vallet NBN.

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<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline hide.

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<v Speaker 1>And ed Love Love.

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<v Speaker 4>I met Ludlow in San Francisco. Caroline hides off. This

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<v Speaker 4>is Bloomberg Technology coming up in video slides. For a

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<v Speaker 4>third consecutive day, almost four hundred billion dollars wiped off

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<v Speaker 4>its market cap. Full coverage ahead, plus Apple facing billions

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<v Speaker 4>of euros in fines over its app store rules under

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<v Speaker 4>the EU's Digital Markets Act.

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<v Speaker 1>Details succumb and car seller's.

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<v Speaker 4>Worn of a possible material hit from the CDK cyber attack.

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<v Speaker 4>We have all the latest from one of our big

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<v Speaker 4>tech editors. This is what financial markets look like to

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<v Speaker 4>start this week. Happy Monday to all of you watching

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<v Speaker 4>around the world.

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<v Speaker 1>World.

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<v Speaker 4>The SMB five hundred actually modestly higher. We're going to

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<v Speaker 4>get into this very shortly, but in video, which is

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<v Speaker 4>the most expensive stock on the s and P five

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<v Speaker 4>hundred is a real drag then as that one hundred

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<v Speaker 4>down three ten percent yields pushing a little higher four

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<v Speaker 4>point two six percent on the US tenure. And Bitcoin's

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<v Speaker 4>been a real story. Going to dive deep into bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 4>Halfway through the show with our own in house and

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<v Speaker 4>list of Bloomberg Intelligence. But we're coming off one of

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<v Speaker 4>the worst seven day stretches of the year so far

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<v Speaker 4>for many digital assets, but mostly bitcoin. Let's take a

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<v Speaker 4>look at Nvidia. Actually, in the last twenty minutes or so,

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<v Speaker 4>the declines that we open with in Monday session have

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<v Speaker 4>really accelerated. We're down more than five percent in the

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<v Speaker 4>session over three days. The three straight days of declines,

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<v Speaker 4>which hasn't happened since early May. We've wiped up more

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<v Speaker 4>than three hundred and eighty billion dollars in market cap.

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<v Speaker 4>As a consequence, Nvidia has gone from being the world's

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<v Speaker 4>most valuable company briefly dropping below both Apple and Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 4>But there's a lot of conversation around valuation. One of

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<v Speaker 4>the tricks we're looking at is it's priced to sales ratio.

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<v Speaker 4>It's trading at more than twenty times that the expected

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<v Speaker 4>sales are the next twelve months. I want to get

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<v Speaker 4>out to London and Bloomberg Opinions columnist Pame Olsen. In

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<v Speaker 4>her column last week, Parmei argued that in Vidia is

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<v Speaker 4>a classic case of the bigger they are, the harder

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<v Speaker 4>they fall, and that other tech company leaders should be

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<v Speaker 4>looking at what's happening with Nvidia and wincing over how

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<v Speaker 4>rapidly it's taken the AI world. Pame good timing to

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<v Speaker 4>have you on the program. Explain your thesis to me, Well.

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<v Speaker 5>I think a lot of people look at videos as

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<v Speaker 5>kind of bellweather for AI's success, but it's also a

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<v Speaker 5>reflection a.

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<v Speaker 3>Lot of the hype in AI.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, it's kind of profiting from the short term

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<v Speaker 5>success of businesses who are buying its chips for their servers,

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<v Speaker 5>cloud companies like Microsoft and Amazon. But if you look

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<v Speaker 5>further downstream at the the actual businesses who are buying

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<v Speaker 5>the generative AI tools from the likes of open Ai

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<v Speaker 5>or Microsoft Azure, we're seeing signs of discontent. There are

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<v Speaker 5>businesses who are saying, and I've seen multiple surveys coming

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<v Speaker 5>out just in the last few months, saying that they

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<v Speaker 5>are not really getting the productivity they were hoping for.

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<v Speaker 5>They're not quite sure how to use it. There's been

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<v Speaker 5>a decline in plans to spend on AI.

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<v Speaker 3>I think there's been.

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<v Speaker 5>A decline from ninety three percent last year to sixty

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<v Speaker 5>three percent this year. In spite of the fact that

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<v Speaker 5>these tools are getting better.

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<v Speaker 3>So I think a big reason.

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<v Speaker 5>For this is that these generative AI tools from the

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<v Speaker 5>likes of Microsoft, Open Ai, and Google have been marketed

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<v Speaker 5>as general purpose tools, like a Swiss army knife.

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<v Speaker 3>Of technology that's going to make.

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<v Speaker 5>Your workforce more productive. But of course these tools aren't

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<v Speaker 5>necessarily general purposes. They're certainly capable in some areas, but

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<v Speaker 5>they make mistake, they make hallucinations, there are issues with

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<v Speaker 5>data security. Strangely, our whole perception of computers in AI,

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<v Speaker 5>in how it was kind of marketed to us by

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<v Speaker 5>science fiction as being these kind of.

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<v Speaker 3>Robotic, fact based machines, isn't really how it is. In reality.

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<v Speaker 5>They're actually very good at artistic endeavors and generating images

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<v Speaker 5>and poetry and stories. Actually really not so good at

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<v Speaker 5>generating facts that you can rely on. And this is

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<v Speaker 5>something that businesses are realizing, sometimes to their detriment. And

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<v Speaker 5>so I think this has been with kind of raining

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<v Speaker 5>and of spending, and I think we're starting to see

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<v Speaker 5>that reflective potentially in the decline and shares and in video.

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<v Speaker 4>A lot of investors, even if they can't do the

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<v Speaker 4>math on valuation or correctly forecasting or predicting sales they'll say, oh,

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<v Speaker 4>when videos supply constrained, right demand right now, for AI

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<v Speaker 4>accelerators greatly exceeds their ability to supply. It's one other

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<v Speaker 4>piece of your column that I found so interesting. We

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<v Speaker 4>both covered technology for quite a long time, and you

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<v Speaker 4>make the point that historically, in phases of technological progress,

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<v Speaker 4>all companies have a very clear north star something to

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<v Speaker 4>work towards. But you also make the point that with AI,

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<v Speaker 4>it's kind of become such a grand vision led by

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<v Speaker 4>specific individuals that it's lost or meaning what do you

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<v Speaker 4>mean by that?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, this whole race, this arms race for AI, was

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<v Speaker 5>sparked by two men, Sam Altman of Open Ai and

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<v Speaker 5>Demis Hasabus, the founder of DeepMind Google DeepMind now, and

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<v Speaker 5>both guys we're trying to create artificial general intelligence, which

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<v Speaker 5>is this hugely ambitious goal to create a machine that

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<v Speaker 5>can essentially do everything.

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<v Speaker 3>It is more knowledgeable than humans.

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<v Speaker 5>It can surpass our own cognitive abilities, and it has

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<v Speaker 5>general knowledge, meaning it can do creative things, but it

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<v Speaker 5>can also do mathematical calculations very well and better than humans.

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<v Speaker 5>And their objectives were nothing less than curing cancer and

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<v Speaker 5>solving climate change. There was a sense that if you

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<v Speaker 5>had this machine, this almost godlike machine that could solve

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<v Speaker 5>everything in a general capacity, that it could fix all problems.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think when you have a vision like that,

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<v Speaker 3>that's just so grand, and then it trickles.

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<v Speaker 5>Down into the marketing and sales channels of your tech company,

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<v Speaker 5>and then they're going out and trying to sell this

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<v Speaker 5>to businesses. Then your end customers have this kind of

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<v Speaker 5>sense that they're getting this tool that has this general

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<v Speaker 5>purpose ability. They're almost left with a sense of paralysis.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, what do you do with technology that can

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<v Speaker 5>do everything? Where do you even start? So I think

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<v Speaker 5>the mistake that some tech companies have made in marketing

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<v Speaker 5>AI has been not necessarily in saying that the capabilities

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<v Speaker 5>are too high, because the they're very capable, but it's

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<v Speaker 5>been in marketing them as being general purpose because they

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<v Speaker 5>can't do everything everywhere all at once. They can only

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<v Speaker 5>do a few things very well. And that's why I

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<v Speaker 5>think businesses need time when they buy these tools to

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<v Speaker 5>experiment with them.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, it's a little bit like with the mobile revolution.

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<v Speaker 5>People individuals who worked for companies brought in their smartphones

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<v Speaker 5>and they told the IT people, can you just set

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<v Speaker 5>up my corporate.

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<v Speaker 3>Email to my BlackBerry, to my iPhone, and they were

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<v Speaker 3>sort of forced.

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<v Speaker 5>Companies were forced to do that because people were doing

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<v Speaker 5>their own personal experiments with them and using them as

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<v Speaker 5>productivity tools for themselves. And I think right now, this

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<v Speaker 5>kind of top down approach to let's force the entire

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<v Speaker 5>staff to use these tools, it's just a recipe for failure,

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<v Speaker 5>because when technology is so new and cutting edge, it

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<v Speaker 5>really needs time to percolate and for individuals to just

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<v Speaker 5>sort of find the way and how these tools were

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<v Speaker 5>work for everybody else.

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<v Speaker 4>Patmy Elsen, one of our Bloomberg Opinion columnists, just really

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<v Speaker 4>fantastic to have you on the show, and I really

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<v Speaker 4>strongly advised the audience read Palme's column from last week.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's keep the conversation going with the Aka Yoshioka, portfolio

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<v Speaker 4>manager at Wealth Enhancement Group.

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<v Speaker 1>This is wonderful.

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<v Speaker 4>There is the fundamental analysis that you can make whether

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<v Speaker 4>you're on the cell side or by side. There is

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<v Speaker 4>the technologist or techno optimist view, and then there's the

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<v Speaker 4>sort of romantic view of what AI can do for mankind.

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<v Speaker 4>Very difficult for you, aoco, everything that we've just discussed,

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<v Speaker 4>Where do you start with the fundamentals or what your

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<v Speaker 4>heart tells you.

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, we always go back to the fundamentals. I think

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<v Speaker 2>when we're looking at a security and I think we

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<v Speaker 2>look back at history too. I think there's a part

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<v Speaker 2>of us. There are some of us that have witnessed

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<v Speaker 2>some of this back in the nineties, in early two

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<v Speaker 2>thousand when the tech bubble bursts, and so we're well

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<v Speaker 2>aware of some of the risks that surround names that

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<v Speaker 2>get hyped up from both the sentiment standpoint, even though

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<v Speaker 2>the fundamentals may be there in order to support some

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<v Speaker 2>of the overall enthusiasm around the start.

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<v Speaker 4>The point that the Bloomberg story at the weekend made

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<v Speaker 4>was that it's really hard to forecast or predict top

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<v Speaker 4>line growth from video right now. If you go back

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<v Speaker 4>to the August quarter of twenty twenty three, which is

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<v Speaker 4>when this kind of parabolic growth took off, revenue each

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<v Speaker 4>quarter has come in on average thirteen percent above what

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<v Speaker 4>management guided. Now, as you know better than anyone, management

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<v Speaker 4>teams can be a little conservative even at the midpoint

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<v Speaker 4>of the ranges when they guide, but it's still the

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<v Speaker 4>math that you have to do. They point in this

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<v Speaker 4>piece to the price to sales ratio being above twenty

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<v Speaker 4>three something like that. In any normal circumstance, I think

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<v Speaker 4>people would be much more cautious.

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<v Speaker 1>Than they are within video.

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<v Speaker 4>Why are they not being so cautious at least until

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<v Speaker 4>this morning session.

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, I think it's really difficult to really ask for

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<v Speaker 2>what the you know, total addressable market really is for

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<v Speaker 2>artificial intelligence. You could say that it continues to be,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, to be growing, and so really trying to

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<v Speaker 2>ascertain what that number is going to be in the

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<v Speaker 2>long term is what is so difficult about, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>valuing in video right now. It used to be sort

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<v Speaker 2>of a rule of thumb when I was growing up

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<v Speaker 2>in this business that you know, anything over ten times

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<v Speaker 2>price to sales was just too expensive. And at twenty

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<v Speaker 2>three times, it's well above that, and so it does

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<v Speaker 2>become very difficult and so and it becomes more of

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<v Speaker 2>a short term guessing game in terms of supply and demand.

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<v Speaker 2>Right now, demand outstrips supply. But you know, as Parmi mentioned,

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<v Speaker 2>if demand starts to weigane a little bit and that

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<v Speaker 2>equilibriate equilibrium comes to fruition, I think, you know, it

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<v Speaker 2>could be problematic for Nvidia.

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<v Speaker 4>To investors get distracted for other potential opportunities because of

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<v Speaker 4>all this sort of myopic focus on one name.

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<v Speaker 2>I think, you know, part of the reason why some

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<v Speaker 2>of the utility companies have done so well recently is

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<v Speaker 2>just all of the electricity demand that's being forecast for

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<v Speaker 2>the data centers to really utilize the power that AI

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<v Speaker 2>brings to all these servers and data centers. And you know,

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<v Speaker 2>you've seen sort of that secondary and tertiary derivative plays

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<v Speaker 2>of artificial intelligence and Nvidia kind of come to the market.

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<v Speaker 2>So we'll have to see where the true sort of

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<v Speaker 2>opportunities are going forward now that so many sort of

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<v Speaker 2>secondary and tertiary effects have really.

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<v Speaker 1>Been played out a little bit.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know, we look back at history again with

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<v Speaker 2>Nvidia and there have been plenty of times in which

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<v Speaker 2>the stock has come down over fifty percent. It's part

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<v Speaker 2>of the volatility for the stock over the long term.

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<v Speaker 4>Ka Yoshioka, portfolio manager a Welk Enhancement Group.

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<v Speaker 1>Great to catch up.

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<v Speaker 4>Great to have you here on Bloomberg Technology.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you.

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<v Speaker 4>We have some breaking news crossing the Bloomberg terminal, and

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<v Speaker 4>we have a red headline crossing the Bloomberg terminal. Black

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<v Speaker 4>suit cybercrime gang is blamed in major CDK ransomware attack.

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<v Speaker 4>This is a hacking group called black Suit, and according

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<v Speaker 4>to Alan Lisker, who is a threat analyst at the

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<v Speaker 4>cybersecurity firm Recorded Future, they are behind the cyber attack

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<v Speaker 4>on CDK Global. That is the hack that has basically

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<v Speaker 4>crippled a number of auto and car retailers because those

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<v Speaker 4>names on your screen, some of which are really moving

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<v Speaker 4>through upside but recovering from many days of declines, rely

0:12:45.400 --> 0:12:50.640
<v Speaker 4>on cdk's platform for a POS front office, back office

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<v Speaker 4>inventory management. So that's the breaking news that we're getting.

0:12:53.400 --> 0:12:55.559
<v Speaker 4>We have a name that it is a group called

0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:59.480
<v Speaker 4>Black Suit, and that the cybercrime group has demanded an

0:12:59.559 --> 0:13:01.960
<v Speaker 4>extor aortion fee which is believed to be in the

0:13:02.000 --> 0:13:06.440
<v Speaker 4>tens of millions of dollars from CDK, and Bloomberg News

0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:09.440
<v Speaker 4>reported if you remember Friday, that CDK would be prepared

0:13:09.480 --> 0:13:10.559
<v Speaker 4>to make a random payment.

0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:11.040
<v Speaker 1>Later in the.

0:13:11.040 --> 0:13:13.360
<v Speaker 4>Program, we're going to go out to Dana Wolman, who's

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.160
<v Speaker 4>one of our tech editors who's been leading coverage of this,

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 4>and we will get a much bigger picture and detailed

0:13:18.480 --> 0:13:19.560
<v Speaker 4>picture of what's going on.

0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 1>After we've got that break news.

0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:23.559
<v Speaker 4>Okay, coming up on the show, Apple is risking new

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 4>fines over its.

0:13:24.520 --> 0:13:26.560
<v Speaker 1>App store rules in the European Union.

0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 4>We're going to go out to Bloomberg's Mark Guman. There

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:30.480
<v Speaker 4>is a lot of Apple news to discuss.

0:13:30.760 --> 0:13:32.840
<v Speaker 1>Stay with us, This is Bloomberg Technology.

0:13:43.120 --> 0:13:46.160
<v Speaker 4>There's a lot of Apple news to break down today. First,

0:13:46.200 --> 0:13:49.679
<v Speaker 4>the company risks billions of euros of new fines in

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 4>the EU after antitrust regulators escalated a conflict over the

0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 4>company's app store rules. And Apple has added China's two

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:02.440
<v Speaker 4>biggest online retailers, Ali Barber and JD to a growing

0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:06.000
<v Speaker 4>list of apps that will support its mixed reality Vision

0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:09.960
<v Speaker 4>pro headset when it goes on sale in that jurisdiction. Friday,

0:14:10.960 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 4>Who else do we go to? Bloomberg's chief correspondent, Mark German.

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:17.280
<v Speaker 4>Let's start with the EU. You know, it's an ongoing

0:14:17.400 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 4>and developing issue for Apple operating in the EU market

0:14:21.680 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 4>in the context of the Digital Markets Act. What is

0:14:23.960 --> 0:14:25.880
<v Speaker 4>the latest and how does it change things?

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the U situation had a lot of news over

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:32.480
<v Speaker 6>the past few days. Let me take you back to Friday.

0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 6>So a couple of weeks ago WWDC Apple introduced Apple

0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:39.800
<v Speaker 6>Intelligence that's its new AI system for the iPhone, iPad

0:14:39.920 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 6>Mac that also introduced a couple sort of heart new

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:45.800
<v Speaker 6>features for the iPhone and iPad. One is called iPhone

0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.640
<v Speaker 6>Mirring that allows you to use your iPhone via your

0:14:48.680 --> 0:14:51.240
<v Speaker 6>Mac via the new Sequoya update coming in the fall.

0:14:51.800 --> 0:14:54.160
<v Speaker 6>The other one is called SharePlay screen sharing, where you

0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:57.640
<v Speaker 6>can essentially screenshare from one iPad to another and control

0:14:57.680 --> 0:14:59.440
<v Speaker 6>the other iPad. Let's say you want to help your

0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 6>parents with technical support. Those three features, according to Apple,

0:15:03.880 --> 0:15:07.360
<v Speaker 6>won't be coming to customers in the twenty seven countries

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:10.080
<v Speaker 6>that make up the EU later this year because of

0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:14.640
<v Speaker 6>the Digital Markets Act and the interoperability requirements, which means

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 6>that Apple may have to lower the privacy of those

0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:22.120
<v Speaker 6>features in order to make them interoperable for third party

0:15:22.240 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 6>developers and meet some of the EU guidelines. This morning,

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 6>the European Union announced charges against Apple related to its

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:34.640
<v Speaker 6>compliance or according to them, lack of compliance with the

0:15:34.680 --> 0:15:39.840
<v Speaker 6>Digital Markets Act relating to steering users to be able

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:43.520
<v Speaker 6>to complete app payments outside of the Apple payment system.

0:15:43.880 --> 0:15:47.000
<v Speaker 6>Long story short, the EU wants Apple to lower the

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:50.520
<v Speaker 6>commission significantly, which it did. It broke up the commissions

0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:55.880
<v Speaker 6>between a technology fee and a revenue share fee, and

0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 6>then at the same time, Apple is still trying to

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:02.880
<v Speaker 6>collect that revenue from apps that are sideloaded and not

0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:04.800
<v Speaker 6>bought through the app store, and so the your Opean

0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 6>union doesn't love that.

0:16:07.360 --> 0:16:09.640
<v Speaker 4>Let's quickly get to the Vision pro use in China,

0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:13.080
<v Speaker 4>so Ali, Barber and JD you know, big name compatible apps.

0:16:13.400 --> 0:16:16.040
<v Speaker 4>But it's an important launch market as well. What's the latest.

0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:19.880
<v Speaker 6>It's an important launch. The Vision Pro goes on sale

0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:23.960
<v Speaker 6>in China, Hong Kong, Singapore at the end of this week.

0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:27.480
<v Speaker 6>I don't really think it matters if Ali Baba or

0:16:27.560 --> 0:16:31.480
<v Speaker 6>other applications locally are on there and not certainly it helps,

0:16:32.320 --> 0:16:34.200
<v Speaker 6>but the real story with the Vision Pro is that

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:36.840
<v Speaker 6>sales are not going to take off until the company

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 6>is able to make a version that's about half the price.

0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:43.400
<v Speaker 6>I reported over the weekend that Apple is still planning

0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 6>to release a cheaper model as early as the end

0:16:45.920 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 6>of next year, but they're struggling on how to cost

0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 6>reduce it given how expensive the components are in the

0:16:51.240 --> 0:16:55.200
<v Speaker 6>Vision Pro, and if they really start reducing functionality, you're

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:58.680
<v Speaker 6>down to something that's on par with a competitor that's

0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 6>still a third of the price in Meta. So Apple

0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 6>is a long way to go on the vision pro

0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 6>to make it a success.

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:08.720
<v Speaker 4>Check out Mark's latest power on from over the weekend, Bluebos,

0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:11.440
<v Speaker 4>Mark Gumman, thank you. There is more with Apple which

0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:14.560
<v Speaker 4>will be withholding a raft in new technologies from hundreds

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:17.920
<v Speaker 4>of millions of consumers in the EU, citing concerns posed

0:17:17.920 --> 0:17:18.760
<v Speaker 4>by the blocks.

0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 1>Regulatory tepts to rain in big tech.

0:17:21.160 --> 0:17:23.800
<v Speaker 4>At the same time, reports over the weekend that Apple

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:26.639
<v Speaker 4>is open minded about its partners here.

0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:27.800
<v Speaker 1>In the US on AI.

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:31.120
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst and Irana joins me on set

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:31.879
<v Speaker 4>in San Francisco.

0:17:31.920 --> 0:17:33.119
<v Speaker 1>It's great to have you in town.

0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:35.720
<v Speaker 4>I want to get to this AI reports from the

0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:40.240
<v Speaker 4>Wall Street Journal. And in short, it's that Apple would

0:17:40.600 --> 0:17:44.040
<v Speaker 4>look at metas underlying technology and Google's underlying technology.

0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:46.520
<v Speaker 1>We already know about open AI. What do you make

0:17:46.560 --> 0:17:46.760
<v Speaker 1>of that?

0:17:47.119 --> 0:17:47.199
<v Speaker 7>Now?

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:49.119
<v Speaker 8>I really like it because one of the things is

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:52.240
<v Speaker 8>they have been criticized for choosing a particular vendor and

0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:55.200
<v Speaker 8>not you know, you could say, give users a choice,

0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:57.520
<v Speaker 8>and that's getting them in some regulatory trouble.

0:17:57.760 --> 0:17:59.240
<v Speaker 9>Now, you know, if you were to give me a

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:01.639
<v Speaker 9>choice for Becauzar in search there's.

0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:03.520
<v Speaker 8>A high likelihood I'm going to go with Google, and

0:18:03.560 --> 0:18:05.280
<v Speaker 8>you know you're going to have the same If you

0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:08.680
<v Speaker 8>give users the choice whether it's Open Ai, Meta or Google,

0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 8>the users will define, you know, where they want to go.

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:14.320
<v Speaker 8>And I think that that kind of protects Apple in

0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:16.920
<v Speaker 8>my view, from a regulatory point of view, and not

0:18:16.960 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 8>only that, in the case of Google, for example, it's

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:21.240
<v Speaker 8>been criticized for a lot of money that's coming from

0:18:21.280 --> 0:18:24.200
<v Speaker 8>Google do to Apple. I think, you know, there's ways

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 8>you can redo that deal.

0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:30.199
<v Speaker 4>The regulatory compliance observation is really interesting. You know, they

0:18:30.200 --> 0:18:32.359
<v Speaker 4>probably don't want to make any more trouble for themselves,

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:34.840
<v Speaker 4>but we've just outlined some of the difficulty they're having,

0:18:34.880 --> 0:18:37.720
<v Speaker 4>particularly in Europe. You know, whether it's app store related

0:18:37.800 --> 0:18:40.880
<v Speaker 4>or it's policy related. And I ask you this probably

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 4>every three months, and I have done for a few

0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:46.879
<v Speaker 4>years now. I still don't know whether that anxiety regulatory

0:18:46.960 --> 0:18:49.840
<v Speaker 4>risk is reflected in the stock or whether investors really

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:51.280
<v Speaker 4>have concerns about that.

0:18:51.600 --> 0:18:54.920
<v Speaker 8>See, we have a concern about it because frankly, from

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:56.560
<v Speaker 8>a free cast flow point of view, that's a big

0:18:56.560 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 8>payment that goes from Google to Apple and has a

0:18:59.119 --> 0:19:02.440
<v Speaker 8>very high margin to but you know, Apple's always been

0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 8>a closed ecosystem ever since we have known the operating system,

0:19:05.880 --> 0:19:08.719
<v Speaker 8>which is why they argue that it's a better operating system,

0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:11.359
<v Speaker 8>it has less attacks, et cetera. Now, if they're going

0:19:11.400 --> 0:19:13.479
<v Speaker 8>to open it up, the question is whether you're going

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:15.199
<v Speaker 8>to get the same level of safety or not. And

0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 8>that's the argument they're making. But the regulators are saying

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:20.159
<v Speaker 8>you're making too much money on the app store fee.

0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:23.480
<v Speaker 8>I think there is truth of both sides. The question

0:19:23.640 --> 0:19:26.159
<v Speaker 8>is how how low the feest can get. In one

0:19:26.160 --> 0:19:28.800
<v Speaker 8>of the conference calls, the CFO said that EU accounts

0:19:28.800 --> 0:19:31.520
<v Speaker 8>for only seven percent of the app store sales. That

0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:35.240
<v Speaker 8>was the first time we got that information. So frankly speaking, financially,

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:37.639
<v Speaker 8>it's not going to ding them, but only if that

0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:39.800
<v Speaker 8>kind of ruling comes to the US and China, it's

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:40.199
<v Speaker 8>going to be a.

0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 4>Bigger Rasuo BLOEMBG intelligence and listener. Right, Rona, thank you

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:53.840
<v Speaker 4>so much time for talking tech. And first off, a

0:19:53.880 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 4>blockbuster hit for ten cents, It's Dungeon and Fight, a

0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:00.440
<v Speaker 4>mobile game brought in two hundred and seventy million in

0:20:00.600 --> 0:20:04.640
<v Speaker 4>just thirty days, taking the top spot in downloads and revenue.

0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:05.639
<v Speaker 1>In China.

0:20:06.000 --> 0:20:09.600
<v Speaker 4>The performance of the game exceeded analyst expectations and mark

0:20:09.680 --> 0:20:12.800
<v Speaker 4>the biggest debut of the year for ten Cent to date. Plus,

0:20:12.880 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 4>Amazon and f One will debut a new AI feature

0:20:16.119 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 4>to keep viewers watching, set to be rolled out during

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:22.280
<v Speaker 4>the Spanish Grand Prix. The new feature, dubbed the stat Bot,

0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:26.639
<v Speaker 4>aims to provide context and trivia during broadcasts by passing

0:20:26.720 --> 0:20:29.800
<v Speaker 4>through race archives and real time racing data. The new

0:20:29.840 --> 0:20:32.760
<v Speaker 4>tech will be rolled out live during this Sunday's race

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:36.400
<v Speaker 4>in Barcelona, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industry says they're nearly done

0:20:36.480 --> 0:20:39.960
<v Speaker 4>designing a next gen nuclear reactor as Japan ready to

0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:43.720
<v Speaker 4>shift to develop more atomic power. Bloomberg spoke with Mitsubishi's

0:20:43.760 --> 0:20:46.119
<v Speaker 4>president Friday. Here's what he had to say about a

0:20:46.200 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 4>nuclear future.

0:20:49.320 --> 0:20:52.800
<v Speaker 7>I believe that gas turbines will grow going forward, and

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:56.920
<v Speaker 7>it will be combined with carbon capture, hydrogen combustion and

0:20:57.080 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 7>so on. Nuclear power is also valuable power source in

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:05.040
<v Speaker 7>the context of carbon neutrality, so I think it'll be

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:07.440
<v Speaker 7>necessary to a certain extent as well.

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 4>Welcome back to Bloomberg Technology, Ed Lovelow in San Francisco.

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:23.199
<v Speaker 4>I want to check in on the markets, but I'm

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:26.719
<v Speaker 4>kind of micro focused on what's happening with bitcoin. Actually,

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 4>remember that this is an asset that trades twenty four

0:21:29.640 --> 0:21:32.600
<v Speaker 4>to seven and over the last seven days or so,

0:21:33.240 --> 0:21:35.200
<v Speaker 4>we've basically had one of the worst weeks of the

0:21:35.320 --> 0:21:39.280
<v Speaker 4>year so far. It's interesting Bitcoin just above sixty one

0:21:39.320 --> 0:21:40.679
<v Speaker 4>thousand US dollars per token.

0:21:40.760 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 1>It's hovering at a more than one month low.

0:21:43.320 --> 0:21:45.240
<v Speaker 4>But the other data set that we look at is

0:21:45.720 --> 0:21:51.320
<v Speaker 4>the outflows six consecutive days of outflows on dedicated bitcoin

0:21:51.400 --> 0:21:55.639
<v Speaker 4>spot ets here in the United States. By association, we

0:21:55.720 --> 0:21:58.280
<v Speaker 4>also go to the equity market. If we change up

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:00.320
<v Speaker 4>the boards, you see some of the sort of hypo

0:22:00.800 --> 0:22:05.880
<v Speaker 4>related stocks also under pressure. Coinbase chief among them, down

0:22:05.960 --> 0:22:09.560
<v Speaker 4>four percent. Actually, Riot Marathon Digital holdings have kind of

0:22:09.640 --> 0:22:11.280
<v Speaker 4>paired some of the losses that we saw.

0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 1>There's a number of things happening in the market, some

0:22:14.680 --> 0:22:15.520
<v Speaker 1>of its psychological.

0:22:15.640 --> 0:22:17.840
<v Speaker 4>I was listening to Bloomberg television earlier, and we're back

0:22:17.880 --> 0:22:20.960
<v Speaker 4>to that debate of which you think about the bigger picture, Well,

0:22:21.040 --> 0:22:23.479
<v Speaker 4>if bitcoin is digital gold, why is it not behaving

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 4>like gold.

0:22:24.320 --> 0:22:25.359
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot to discuss.

0:22:25.440 --> 0:22:27.240
<v Speaker 4>Unfortunately for us, we can break it all down with

0:22:27.320 --> 0:22:31.040
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg intelligence and this James Seffert, James, good morning to you.

0:22:32.200 --> 0:22:33.840
<v Speaker 4>I don't know where do you want to start. For me,

0:22:34.160 --> 0:22:37.600
<v Speaker 4>the outflows data is kind of key because for at

0:22:37.680 --> 0:22:39.439
<v Speaker 4>least for me, that's the very little that I've got

0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:39.800
<v Speaker 4>to go on.

0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:42.560
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean, it's the one area where we can

0:22:42.640 --> 0:22:45.480
<v Speaker 9>know exactly where money is moving, right, that's one of

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:47.880
<v Speaker 9>the benefits of utfs. We know exactly how much money

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:49.960
<v Speaker 9>is going in or going out. And like you said,

0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:51.960
<v Speaker 9>over the last ten or so trading days, it's been

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:54.160
<v Speaker 9>a significant outflows and net outflows, but it's been about

0:22:54.200 --> 0:22:57.159
<v Speaker 9>a billion dollars in olflows. And that's what ETFs are

0:22:57.200 --> 0:22:58.879
<v Speaker 9>built to do. They're built to take in money and

0:22:59.040 --> 0:23:01.479
<v Speaker 9>see money go in and out, and they're basically overall

0:23:01.520 --> 0:23:04.880
<v Speaker 9>they're going to track the underlying asset. That said, these things,

0:23:04.920 --> 0:23:07.080
<v Speaker 9>since they launched in January have still taken in about

0:23:07.080 --> 0:23:10.320
<v Speaker 9>fifteen billion dollars. So, yes, a billion dollars out over

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:12.120
<v Speaker 9>the last ten or so trading days is a big deal,

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:14.679
<v Speaker 9>but it's not enough to cause the kind of correction

0:23:14.760 --> 0:23:16.560
<v Speaker 9>that we're seeing in the market right now, with bitcoin

0:23:16.600 --> 0:23:17.879
<v Speaker 9>trading under sixty two thousand.

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.640
<v Speaker 4>As you know, James, I just got back from a vacation,

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:25.159
<v Speaker 4>and while I was away, I was kind of braced

0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:27.119
<v Speaker 4>to the idea that there might be some more traction

0:23:27.280 --> 0:23:31.640
<v Speaker 4>or news around eth spot, ETF, ether, Ethereum, spot ETF

0:23:32.040 --> 0:23:34.600
<v Speaker 4>and I came back and nothing had really happened, and

0:23:35.080 --> 0:23:38.760
<v Speaker 4>we continue the status quo that we're expecting some movement

0:23:39.320 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 4>in the coming weeks.

0:23:40.560 --> 0:23:42.919
<v Speaker 1>What kind of a consideration is that right now?

0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean, obviously, based on what we're seeing in

0:23:45.840 --> 0:23:47.960
<v Speaker 9>the markets with pricing, I don't think anyone's really paying

0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 9>attention to the fact that we're going to get Ethereum, spot,

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:53.680
<v Speaker 9>ETFs are over under date. If you to try and

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:55.080
<v Speaker 9>figure out when these things are going to launch right

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:57.320
<v Speaker 9>now with July second, we think the SEC is going

0:23:57.400 --> 0:24:00.560
<v Speaker 9>to get those filings off their plate before the July

0:24:00.680 --> 0:24:03.240
<v Speaker 9>fourth weekend. That's just our guest. There's no guarantee, no

0:24:03.359 --> 0:24:06.200
<v Speaker 9>matter what, they will launch some point this summer. So

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 9>that is again only a matter of time that people

0:24:09.640 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 9>are not really kind of focused on the fact that

0:24:11.600 --> 0:24:14.639
<v Speaker 9>that's happening. Because Ethereum is also down, as you kind

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 9>of hinted at, it's any stocks related to bitcoin or crypto.

0:24:17.560 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 9>Ethereum is down but they are going to launch at

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:21.840
<v Speaker 9>some point in the in the next couple of weeks,

0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 9>and we think it'll happen before jewel or July fourth,

0:24:24.359 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 9>but there's no guarantee on that front. That said, if

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:29.560
<v Speaker 9>I would add that, all these issuers they just had

0:24:29.560 --> 0:24:31.920
<v Speaker 9>to file a whole bunch of amendments to these ETFs,

0:24:32.359 --> 0:24:34.280
<v Speaker 9>so they had to submit a bunch of new documentation

0:24:34.320 --> 0:24:36.400
<v Speaker 9>in the SEC, and all of those came in on Friday,

0:24:36.960 --> 0:24:39.639
<v Speaker 9>right around market closed. So the SEC has some new

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:41.360
<v Speaker 9>stuff to get through and it will could take a week,

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:43.399
<v Speaker 9>maybe two weeks, and then we'll know for sure when

0:24:43.440 --> 0:24:44.280
<v Speaker 9>these things are going to launch.

0:24:45.560 --> 0:24:49.000
<v Speaker 4>If we try and marry those two points of discussion together,

0:24:49.240 --> 0:24:52.399
<v Speaker 4>the outflow data we have from bitcoin the well, I

0:24:52.440 --> 0:24:55.120
<v Speaker 4>think you said not paying attention, but let's say lack

0:24:55.160 --> 0:24:56.480
<v Speaker 4>of activity.

0:24:56.320 --> 0:24:58.920
<v Speaker 1>In gearing up for ef ETF.

0:24:59.720 --> 0:25:01.920
<v Speaker 4>Is it case of like, well, if I'm an investor

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:05.080
<v Speaker 4>and I'm open minded to putting money to work in

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:08.399
<v Speaker 4>different places, I'm holding out to wait for eh. Is

0:25:08.440 --> 0:25:12.840
<v Speaker 4>there a close relationship between bitcoins ETF flows and I

0:25:12.880 --> 0:25:15.080
<v Speaker 4>guess the anticipation of a new product to come.

0:25:15.960 --> 0:25:18.240
<v Speaker 9>It'll be very interesting to see what people do Obviously,

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:19.680
<v Speaker 9>there's a lot of people that have put money to

0:25:19.720 --> 0:25:22.080
<v Speaker 9>work in those bitcoin ETFs that the most successful launches

0:25:22.119 --> 0:25:25.600
<v Speaker 9>in ETF history across the world. So are there are

0:25:25.640 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 9>people going to say, I'd rather have a sort of

0:25:27.560 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 9>index ex sourcis of cryptocurrency. Do I believe in bitcoin

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:32.440
<v Speaker 9>more than ethereum or ethereum more than bitcoin? And we'll

0:25:32.480 --> 0:25:34.840
<v Speaker 9>see those numbers come out once these things launched, We'll

0:25:34.840 --> 0:25:38.040
<v Speaker 9>see what the flows do. We were pretty we had

0:25:38.080 --> 0:25:40.520
<v Speaker 9>strong convictions that these were going these bitcoin ets were

0:25:40.560 --> 0:25:42.720
<v Speaker 9>going to be successful, and even still, the numbers that

0:25:42.800 --> 0:25:44.720
<v Speaker 9>we saw come out in the month since they launched

0:25:45.240 --> 0:25:47.040
<v Speaker 9>kind of blew our expectations out of the water. Like

0:25:47.119 --> 0:25:49.719
<v Speaker 9>I said, we're about fifteen billion now. We thought fifteen

0:25:49.760 --> 0:25:51.280
<v Speaker 9>billion was going to be the first year of flows

0:25:51.280 --> 0:25:55.080
<v Speaker 9>with these bitcoin ETFs, and that was pretty strong indications

0:25:55.119 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 9>of what we thought was going to happen. And it

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:58.240
<v Speaker 9>looks like we're I mean, we don't know what's going

0:25:58.280 --> 0:25:59.639
<v Speaker 9>to happen between now and the rest of the year,

0:26:00.000 --> 0:26:01.960
<v Speaker 9>but it'll be interesting to see what people do with

0:26:02.160 --> 0:26:05.399
<v Speaker 9>these ethereum ETFs when they ultimately do launch. I'm more

0:26:05.440 --> 0:26:09.119
<v Speaker 9>inclined to think that I don't know. We view these

0:26:09.160 --> 0:26:12.000
<v Speaker 9>things as kind of satellite positions in portfolios. People in

0:26:12.119 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 9>our minds, we are assuming are not putting significant capital

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:17.280
<v Speaker 9>to work fifty percent of their portfolios. So if they're

0:26:17.359 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 9>doing something like three to five percent, like we're hearing

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:22.480
<v Speaker 9>from these issuers are getting from their clients, maybe they

0:26:22.600 --> 0:26:25.080
<v Speaker 9>just add a couple of percentage points onto ethereum. Maybe

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 9>they sell a little bitcoin and buy ethereum. But we

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:29.520
<v Speaker 9>won't know until these things launch, and even then we

0:26:29.560 --> 0:26:31.480
<v Speaker 9>won't exactly know what people are doing. We can just

0:26:31.560 --> 0:26:34.040
<v Speaker 9>kind of read the tea leaves and get kind of

0:26:34.080 --> 0:26:35.159
<v Speaker 9>an inkling of what's going on.

0:26:36.000 --> 0:26:38.040
<v Speaker 4>You're pretty good at reading the tds. Okay, So on

0:26:38.119 --> 0:26:42.360
<v Speaker 4>the beach, I wasn't talking about ethereum ets. We were

0:26:42.680 --> 0:26:47.879
<v Speaker 4>talking about interest rates whenever wherever. When I look at

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:51.680
<v Speaker 4>digital assets or cryptos as a market broadly, you know,

0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:54.760
<v Speaker 4>there seems to be in the pullback of recent weeks,

0:26:56.160 --> 0:27:00.119
<v Speaker 4>a concern about rates, but just generally, this sense that

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:03.359
<v Speaker 4>we look at the crypto market is a reflection of

0:27:03.440 --> 0:27:07.240
<v Speaker 4>risk appetite going forward and whatever the FED will, it

0:27:07.320 --> 0:27:07.680
<v Speaker 4>won't do.

0:27:08.600 --> 0:27:09.680
<v Speaker 1>What's your math on that?

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:12.040
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean the way I look at it is

0:27:12.119 --> 0:27:16.600
<v Speaker 9>one this thing, these assets. There's a lot of underlying

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:19.680
<v Speaker 9>belief that people have in these assets, right, but also

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:22.239
<v Speaker 9>they are pure momentum. There's a lot of momentum at

0:27:22.280 --> 0:27:23.960
<v Speaker 9>play behind this. So when we see moves like this,

0:27:24.080 --> 0:27:26.800
<v Speaker 9>it's pretty standard to see big moves. I was looking

0:27:26.840 --> 0:27:28.760
<v Speaker 9>at some of the numbers for the twenty seventeen bull

0:27:28.840 --> 0:27:31.880
<v Speaker 9>market for bitcoin and crypto and the twenty twenty bull

0:27:31.920 --> 0:27:36.280
<v Speaker 9>market for crypto. It's very, very very common to see many,

0:27:36.880 --> 0:27:39.639
<v Speaker 9>many pullbacks of ten percent or more some in most cases.

0:27:39.720 --> 0:27:41.639
<v Speaker 9>In both cases we saw pullbacks of twenty five to

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:44.120
<v Speaker 9>thirty percent or more before we hit those ultimate old

0:27:44.160 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 9>time highs. So this is a very volatile market. I

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.080
<v Speaker 9>think the one thing hitting right now is mount Gox,

0:27:50.200 --> 0:27:53.359
<v Speaker 9>which was a crypto exchange that went bankrupt in twenty fourteen.

0:27:53.880 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 9>We just got announcements that they're going to start releasing

0:27:56.560 --> 0:27:58.879
<v Speaker 9>those coins, and I think people are worried about the

0:27:58.920 --> 0:28:01.600
<v Speaker 9>potential of nine billion worth of bitcoin hitting the markets

0:28:01.600 --> 0:28:04.320
<v Speaker 9>and getting sold. I don't think there's a lot of

0:28:04.560 --> 0:28:07.359
<v Speaker 9>caveats here and there about how much money is actually

0:28:07.400 --> 0:28:09.200
<v Speaker 9>going to get dumped on the on the market, but

0:28:09.280 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 9>I think that's really kind of like we've already in

0:28:11.359 --> 0:28:13.960
<v Speaker 9>this kind of sideways to downtrend for bitcoin, and now

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:16.560
<v Speaker 9>we're getting this news of Mount Cox releasing coins next

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:19.600
<v Speaker 9>month potentially, and I think that's just kind of spooking

0:28:19.680 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 9>markets here a little bit.

0:28:22.040 --> 0:28:24.520
<v Speaker 4>Bloomerg Intelligence analyst James Siefer, it's great to have you

0:28:24.600 --> 0:28:26.360
<v Speaker 4>on the program, and you've been very busy of late.

0:28:26.400 --> 0:28:27.159
<v Speaker 1>We appreciate it.

0:28:27.400 --> 0:28:29.720
<v Speaker 4>Okay, coming up on Bloomberg Technology, we're going to be

0:28:29.840 --> 0:28:33.920
<v Speaker 4>joined by Alexander Yazdi, co founder and CEO of Voodoo,

0:28:34.520 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 4>to discuss the company's recent acquisition of the social media

0:28:37.640 --> 0:28:40.960
<v Speaker 4>platform be Real for five hundred million euros.

0:28:41.040 --> 0:28:44.000
<v Speaker 1>A lot of you on be Real, I'm not. We'll

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:45.800
<v Speaker 1>just talk about it. This has been big technology.

0:28:56.760 --> 0:29:00.680
<v Speaker 4>Leading mobile apps and games publisher Voodoo recently acquired the

0:29:00.760 --> 0:29:04.360
<v Speaker 4>social media platform be Real in a five hundred million

0:29:04.400 --> 0:29:07.720
<v Speaker 4>euro deal. With this acquisition, Voodoo hopes to further its

0:29:07.840 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 4>diversification into consumer apps, but it also offers be Real

0:29:12.120 --> 0:29:15.320
<v Speaker 4>a platform for growth. Delighted to say that, Voodoo CEO

0:29:15.400 --> 0:29:19.560
<v Speaker 4>Alexandriasdi joins me now to discuss and you know, I

0:29:19.640 --> 0:29:21.920
<v Speaker 4>look at this, I'm so familiar with some of the

0:29:22.200 --> 0:29:26.120
<v Speaker 4>mobile gaming side of Voodoo. I'm not a B real user.

0:29:26.760 --> 0:29:29.520
<v Speaker 4>I know my producer, John Hyland was was a B

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:32.440
<v Speaker 4>real user at times. I think Jackie Lopez, who leads

0:29:32.480 --> 0:29:36.479
<v Speaker 4>our team, also as a user. What was the impetus here?

0:29:36.560 --> 0:29:39.240
<v Speaker 4>What made you wake up Alexander and think this is

0:29:39.280 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 4>the one for us?

0:29:42.120 --> 0:29:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Sure? Thanks Ed? Thanks Ed?

0:29:44.160 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 9>Sorry? So yeah?

0:29:45.400 --> 0:29:48.920
<v Speaker 10>So be really is amazing. It's the most successful social

0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:52.600
<v Speaker 10>up created in the best AHOs and they really created

0:29:52.720 --> 0:29:56.640
<v Speaker 10>the unique behavior that just to share antique content with

0:29:56.920 --> 0:30:01.200
<v Speaker 10>true friends and also where every single user is posting

0:30:01.240 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 10>content and not just a passive consumer, and so unlike

0:30:05.720 --> 0:30:09.800
<v Speaker 10>other social networks, the users really share their real lives

0:30:10.080 --> 0:30:12.440
<v Speaker 10>without the fear of being charged and without all the

0:30:13.200 --> 0:30:18.160
<v Speaker 10>time consuming effort to craft the perfect facade. And their

0:30:18.240 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 10>success really shows the users create for this type of

0:30:21.720 --> 0:30:26.280
<v Speaker 10>content because they grew until like to forty million users

0:30:26.720 --> 0:30:29.600
<v Speaker 10>and the majority of them are extremely engaged. So why

0:30:29.680 --> 0:30:32.160
<v Speaker 10>we acquire with we do is because we think we

0:30:32.240 --> 0:30:36.960
<v Speaker 10>can push their vision and mission to create authentic connections

0:30:37.040 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 10>to more people everywhere in the world. And Voodoo's mission

0:30:41.800 --> 0:30:44.560
<v Speaker 10>also and why we exist is to help products and

0:30:44.720 --> 0:30:47.719
<v Speaker 10>great ideas to have the best possible life and scale

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:54.000
<v Speaker 10>by leveraging all the growth technologies and the optimization skills

0:30:54.040 --> 0:30:57.600
<v Speaker 10>we develop in the past ten years, first as you said,

0:30:57.640 --> 0:31:01.600
<v Speaker 10>with games, but also then with non gaming ups especifically

0:31:01.920 --> 0:31:03.960
<v Speaker 10>social ups in the past four years.

0:31:04.920 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 4>It's an interesting expansion to portfolio really quickly. Five hundred

0:31:07.840 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 4>million euros in cash. How is the deal structured?

0:31:11.520 --> 0:31:15.240
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so the deally is like structuring cash and shell

0:31:15.400 --> 0:31:18.120
<v Speaker 10>So there is a portion in cush and a portion

0:31:18.240 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 10>in Voodoo shells. And there is a part of the

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:24.880
<v Speaker 10>five hundred million which is an upfront consideration, and another

0:31:25.040 --> 0:31:27.760
<v Speaker 10>part which is based on performance. So it's not like

0:31:28.160 --> 0:31:31.080
<v Speaker 10>the full five hundred is not just a five hundred

0:31:31.200 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 10>up fronts.

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:34.960
<v Speaker 4>The reason I ask is I kind of do the

0:31:35.120 --> 0:31:40.560
<v Speaker 4>math on Voodoo plus be Real. So you guys have

0:31:40.680 --> 0:31:44.640
<v Speaker 4>one hundred and fifty million active users monthly across basically

0:31:44.720 --> 0:31:48.520
<v Speaker 4>the entire portfolio, but with be Real you're like instantly

0:31:48.560 --> 0:31:52.560
<v Speaker 4>added forty million more. You know, it's an interesting use

0:31:52.600 --> 0:31:55.920
<v Speaker 4>of capital. But you know you've been talking about how

0:31:55.960 --> 0:31:58.960
<v Speaker 4>you think you can help be Real scale find growth.

0:31:59.280 --> 0:32:01.560
<v Speaker 4>They also help you find growth pretty quickly as well.

0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:08.320
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so we don't we don't aim at using be

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:12.280
<v Speaker 10>Real or games to do massive cross promotion. You know,

0:32:12.440 --> 0:32:16.560
<v Speaker 10>we we like to have our apps stand alone, driven

0:32:16.640 --> 0:32:20.000
<v Speaker 10>by leaders that have full ownership on their products, so

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:23.600
<v Speaker 10>we will more leverage or know how our technology and

0:32:23.800 --> 0:32:26.640
<v Speaker 10>our skills to grow be Real into what it should be,

0:32:26.760 --> 0:32:32.440
<v Speaker 10>which is like an iconic global social network because the

0:32:32.920 --> 0:32:35.680
<v Speaker 10>need they answer is really global and it's a daily

0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:38.840
<v Speaker 10>universal need to share content with friends. So we will

0:32:38.960 --> 0:32:43.320
<v Speaker 10>just take this gem and invest all our infrastructure to

0:32:43.400 --> 0:32:46.200
<v Speaker 10>grow be Really. But it's not like using our games

0:32:46.240 --> 0:32:49.720
<v Speaker 10>to take their users into be Real or vice versa.

0:32:51.360 --> 0:32:53.800
<v Speaker 4>I think we should talk about the social media landscape

0:32:53.960 --> 0:32:57.360
<v Speaker 4>and the opportunity before you, you know, you'll be aware

0:32:57.480 --> 0:33:00.440
<v Speaker 4>of what's happening with TikTok in this country, in the

0:33:00.560 --> 0:33:04.480
<v Speaker 4>United States, particularly when it comes to image or video

0:33:04.560 --> 0:33:09.720
<v Speaker 4>based content. Right the competition between TikTok, Instagram reels. In Europe,

0:33:09.800 --> 0:33:13.840
<v Speaker 4>Snapchat still has a strong presence. But my question for

0:33:13.920 --> 0:33:16.400
<v Speaker 4>you is whether you feel that there is there is

0:33:16.440 --> 0:33:19.800
<v Speaker 4>a demand right now for something different, new, and that

0:33:20.320 --> 0:33:22.480
<v Speaker 4>be Real is kind of reflective of that.

0:33:24.200 --> 0:33:24.720
<v Speaker 1>Definitely.

0:33:25.200 --> 0:33:29.920
<v Speaker 10>I really think like social media is great, and there

0:33:30.040 --> 0:33:34.800
<v Speaker 10>is a lot of social media that promotes a part

0:33:34.880 --> 0:33:37.600
<v Speaker 10>of your life which is the one you want to share,

0:33:37.680 --> 0:33:38.440
<v Speaker 10>the one which.

0:33:38.280 --> 0:33:42.160
<v Speaker 1>Is like crafted, modified, improved.

0:33:42.800 --> 0:33:46.280
<v Speaker 10>But also at the same time the users need also

0:33:46.400 --> 0:33:51.160
<v Speaker 10>to have a social network that makes them able to

0:33:51.280 --> 0:33:55.880
<v Speaker 10>share like their authentic lives. Right, So it's two different

0:33:55.960 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 10>purposes and BE really unseld the second one, which is

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:02.240
<v Speaker 10>to share their autentic life without any filter, to there

0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:08.480
<v Speaker 10>a small circle of true friends. So until now, no

0:34:09.640 --> 0:34:13.399
<v Speaker 10>social media actually answered that need and be really really

0:34:13.480 --> 0:34:18.000
<v Speaker 10>grew so much without any marketing strategies to this forty

0:34:18.040 --> 0:34:21.640
<v Speaker 10>million months active users because there is a need and

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:24.799
<v Speaker 10>there is also a hole in this specific need.

0:34:25.920 --> 0:34:29.160
<v Speaker 4>Ala when you think about your strategy to grow be

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:32.680
<v Speaker 4>real it's user base and its engagement, where do you

0:34:32.719 --> 0:34:35.600
<v Speaker 4>think that comes from? I mean, do you specifically say, okay,

0:34:36.040 --> 0:34:39.359
<v Speaker 4>this is analogous with Snapchat or snap we go after

0:34:39.440 --> 0:34:42.560
<v Speaker 4>those users, or we think this is analogous with current

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:43.520
<v Speaker 4>Facebook users.

0:34:43.560 --> 0:34:45.040
<v Speaker 1>What are your target audiences?

0:34:47.560 --> 0:34:51.919
<v Speaker 10>So you know, our target adjance is like everyone having

0:34:51.960 --> 0:34:56.480
<v Speaker 10>a smartphone because as I said before, really like everyone

0:34:56.600 --> 0:35:00.440
<v Speaker 10>in the on the planet really needs to to have

0:35:00.719 --> 0:35:04.480
<v Speaker 10>authentic connection with their friends. So that's our target audience today,

0:35:05.239 --> 0:35:09.480
<v Speaker 10>it's more for the generation Z which are using the product,

0:35:09.920 --> 0:35:12.839
<v Speaker 10>and that's great because usually the social networks can grow

0:35:13.680 --> 0:35:17.640
<v Speaker 10>with with this generation. And I think if we do

0:35:17.719 --> 0:35:20.120
<v Speaker 10>a good job then I mean, if we do a

0:35:20.160 --> 0:35:22.920
<v Speaker 10>good job on the product side, meaning adding the right

0:35:23.040 --> 0:35:26.839
<v Speaker 10>features to conquy again the users who churn and also

0:35:27.239 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 10>conkey on new users on Burial, then we can grow

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:37.440
<v Speaker 10>to more users in more countries and also targeting maybe

0:35:38.560 --> 0:35:43.680
<v Speaker 10>people at later ages like forty plus, et cetera, because

0:35:43.719 --> 0:35:47.920
<v Speaker 10>Burial didn't move that past in adding new features to

0:35:48.840 --> 0:35:52.840
<v Speaker 10>create newness and life in the product.

0:35:52.960 --> 0:35:53.839
<v Speaker 1>So that's our job.

0:35:53.920 --> 0:35:56.720
<v Speaker 10>We want to grow be Real by giving the users

0:35:56.880 --> 0:36:01.279
<v Speaker 10>more opportunities to share authentic content. And if we think

0:36:01.320 --> 0:36:03.719
<v Speaker 10>that if we do the right job, then people would

0:36:03.760 --> 0:36:06.960
<v Speaker 10>come back and we would get more users.

0:36:08.239 --> 0:36:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Voodoo is Alexander Yazdi. It's great to have you in

0:36:10.880 --> 0:36:12.640
<v Speaker 1>the program. I know a lot of be Real users

0:36:12.719 --> 0:36:14.720
<v Speaker 1>watch this show. So if you're a b Real user

0:36:14.760 --> 0:36:15.000
<v Speaker 1>and you.

0:36:15.040 --> 0:36:17.960
<v Speaker 4>Have a thought on Voodoo buying the platform, please reach

0:36:18.000 --> 0:36:20.719
<v Speaker 4>out to us and Alexander come back on the show soon.

0:36:29.480 --> 0:36:32.520
<v Speaker 4>A hacking group called Black Suit is believed to be

0:36:32.600 --> 0:36:36.600
<v Speaker 4>behind the cyber attack on CDK Global. That's paralyzed car

0:36:36.760 --> 0:36:40.000
<v Speaker 4>sales across the US. That's according to a threat analyst

0:36:40.080 --> 0:36:43.239
<v Speaker 4>at the security firm recorded Future from All. Let's bring

0:36:43.239 --> 0:36:47.400
<v Speaker 4>in our technology editor, Bloomberg's Dana Wolman, tell me about

0:36:48.160 --> 0:36:49.279
<v Speaker 4>black Suit and what we know.

0:36:49.960 --> 0:36:52.959
<v Speaker 11>Black Suit is a known group comprised of hackers based

0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:57.920
<v Speaker 11>in both Russia and other parts of Eastern Europe. And interestingly,

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:01.600
<v Speaker 11>they have not named CDK a victim on their website,

0:37:01.600 --> 0:37:03.759
<v Speaker 11>and that could mean a couple things. It could mean

0:37:03.840 --> 0:37:06.520
<v Speaker 11>that CDK paid a ransom, which we don't know if

0:37:06.520 --> 0:37:08.680
<v Speaker 11>they did or not. Or it could mean that there

0:37:08.680 --> 0:37:12.520
<v Speaker 11>are still an active negotiations with CDK. So worth noting,

0:37:12.600 --> 0:37:14.800
<v Speaker 11>and you said Bloomberg's source on this was not a

0:37:14.880 --> 0:37:17.720
<v Speaker 11>black Suit itself, but a security researcher.

0:37:18.520 --> 0:37:22.040
<v Speaker 4>I think that Bloomberg reported on Friday that in terms

0:37:22.040 --> 0:37:27.680
<v Speaker 4>of an extortion fee, CDK was planning to make a payment.

0:37:28.560 --> 0:37:30.920
<v Speaker 4>That's kind of like the tech side of it, right,

0:37:31.000 --> 0:37:34.400
<v Speaker 4>it was cdk's platform that was compromised and them that

0:37:34.520 --> 0:37:36.760
<v Speaker 4>was compromised. One of the things you've been writing about

0:37:37.640 --> 0:37:40.960
<v Speaker 4>even this morning, right it's been five days or so now,

0:37:41.560 --> 0:37:45.040
<v Speaker 4>is that this is actually materially really impacting some of

0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:46.600
<v Speaker 4>the auto and car retailers.

0:37:46.640 --> 0:37:47.239
<v Speaker 1>What have you learned?

0:37:47.800 --> 0:37:50.760
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, so far, by my account, at least five publicly

0:37:50.840 --> 0:37:55.200
<v Speaker 11>traded auto dealerships have filed with the SEC warning investors

0:37:55.280 --> 0:37:59.280
<v Speaker 11>of a possible financial impact, and the wording has varied

0:37:59.320 --> 0:38:01.600
<v Speaker 11>from one company need to another. Some of them have said,

0:38:01.680 --> 0:38:03.919
<v Speaker 11>well it's a little essentially said well, it's a little

0:38:03.960 --> 0:38:07.080
<v Speaker 11>too early to gauge the exact impact. One of them

0:38:07.120 --> 0:38:10.960
<v Speaker 11>said it's reasonably likely that the impact was material. The

0:38:11.040 --> 0:38:13.719
<v Speaker 11>company that so far seems the least affected of the

0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:20.279
<v Speaker 11>ones that posted filings was Penske, only because it's auto

0:38:20.360 --> 0:38:22.960
<v Speaker 11>dealership division does not use CDK software.

0:38:23.000 --> 0:38:24.239
<v Speaker 1>It does use CDK, but.

0:38:24.360 --> 0:38:28.920
<v Speaker 11>In a more specialized business facing division, and of those companies,

0:38:29.000 --> 0:38:31.080
<v Speaker 11>Penske is the only one whose stock seems to be

0:38:31.200 --> 0:38:34.760
<v Speaker 11>up since this hack broke on Wednesday.

0:38:35.719 --> 0:38:39.080
<v Speaker 4>So never before have many of our audience stopped to

0:38:39.160 --> 0:38:43.600
<v Speaker 4>think about the software management platform that any given car

0:38:43.880 --> 0:38:47.080
<v Speaker 4>retailer uses. But we learn quite a lot about CDK.

0:38:47.760 --> 0:38:52.880
<v Speaker 4>Just explain its place in that industry. Because if you

0:38:52.920 --> 0:38:55.000
<v Speaker 4>went to try and buy a car this past weekend,

0:38:55.040 --> 0:38:57.360
<v Speaker 4>which is end of the quarter, you might have struggled.

0:38:58.200 --> 0:38:59.880
<v Speaker 11>You and me both ed I had not heard of

0:39:00.719 --> 0:39:02.840
<v Speaker 11>before this story broke, and I certainly didn't know that

0:39:02.920 --> 0:39:06.640
<v Speaker 11>one company had a really strong grip on the entire

0:39:06.880 --> 0:39:10.439
<v Speaker 11>market for dealership software. I don't think anyone has really

0:39:10.440 --> 0:39:13.359
<v Speaker 11>thought much about the kind of software that dealerships use,

0:39:13.440 --> 0:39:17.680
<v Speaker 11>but in fact, many tens of thousands. By our account,

0:39:17.800 --> 0:39:21.480
<v Speaker 11>around fifteen thousand dealerships in the US and Canada use

0:39:21.560 --> 0:39:24.840
<v Speaker 11>CDK software and they use it for almost everything that

0:39:24.920 --> 0:39:30.080
<v Speaker 11>they do. That includes scheduling appointments, tracking repairs on cars,

0:39:30.160 --> 0:39:31.520
<v Speaker 11>and closing transactions.

0:39:31.960 --> 0:39:34.160
<v Speaker 3>Without this software, with the software.

0:39:33.800 --> 0:39:37.280
<v Speaker 11>Being down as it has been since this series of attacks,

0:39:39.000 --> 0:39:41.879
<v Speaker 11>dealerships either aren't serving customers or they're resorting to good

0:39:41.880 --> 0:39:44.400
<v Speaker 11>old fashioned pen and paper when possible, and it's not

0:39:44.520 --> 0:39:47.400
<v Speaker 11>even always possible to do things using pen and paper.

0:39:48.520 --> 0:39:50.280
<v Speaker 1>Dana, really quick, we have thirty seconds.

0:39:50.360 --> 0:39:52.840
<v Speaker 4>But what's the next thing that the tech and auto's

0:39:52.920 --> 0:39:54.440
<v Speaker 4>teams are watching for in this story?

0:39:55.840 --> 0:39:58.560
<v Speaker 11>So aside from looking to see if black Suit takes

0:39:58.840 --> 0:40:01.520
<v Speaker 11>exact responsibility, we are looking for a couple of things.

0:40:01.560 --> 0:40:04.000
<v Speaker 11>We would really love to know the exact amount of

0:40:04.160 --> 0:40:06.480
<v Speaker 11>the ransom. We've reported so far that it's in the

0:40:06.600 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 11>tens of millions. Obviously, we're looking for a more specific

0:40:09.520 --> 0:40:13.480
<v Speaker 11>number than that, and we're waiting for CDK software to

0:40:13.640 --> 0:40:16.080
<v Speaker 11>go back online, which of course the fifteen thousand dealers

0:40:16.160 --> 0:40:18.520
<v Speaker 11>are as well. Every day that the software is down,

0:40:18.640 --> 0:40:20.719
<v Speaker 11>these companies are of course losing money.

0:40:21.719 --> 0:40:24.000
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg's day in a warm and it's been so busy

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:26.320
<v Speaker 4>for you and the Auto's team trying to get to

0:40:26.320 --> 0:40:28.600
<v Speaker 4>the bottom of this story, which will continue to cover.

0:40:28.960 --> 0:40:29.680
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much.

0:40:30.080 --> 0:40:32.680
<v Speaker 4>That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology Fast

0:40:32.680 --> 0:40:34.560
<v Speaker 4>starts the week, and there's a lot to recap on

0:40:34.640 --> 0:40:35.200
<v Speaker 4>the podcast.

0:40:35.480 --> 0:40:36.520
<v Speaker 1>You know where to find the pod.

0:40:36.760 --> 0:40:39.560
<v Speaker 4>It's on Apple, so on Spotify, it's on iHeart, and

0:40:39.680 --> 0:40:42.480
<v Speaker 4>it's on all of the Bloomberg platforms. From San Francisco,

0:40:42.520 --> 0:40:44.360
<v Speaker 4>Happy Monday. This is Bloomberg Technology.