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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five.

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Speaker 2: We are part of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: Today is our wild Card Weekend recap episode, live from

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Speaker 1: The Shepherd and the Knucklehead in beautiful Hoboken, New Jersey.

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Speaker 2: I am Chad Milman.

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Speaker 1: I am joined by my bff, my companion, Mike cam Padre,

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Speaker 1: my co host professional Better, Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 2: Hello, Simon, Hello, Chad brother brother.

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Speaker 1: How lucky are we a huge weekend hanging with our

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Speaker 1: Action Network, our Favorites community, friends from all over the country. Louisiana, Baltimore, Chicago, Georgia,

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Speaker 1: the Great State of Washington, the family from Delaware who

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Speaker 1: made it even though the super fan of the family,

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Speaker 1: David could not make it. Also Simon Hunter's family all

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Speaker 1: the way from South Jersey. Huge thanks by the way,

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Speaker 1: and big round of applause for the entire Action Network

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Speaker 1: crew who organized two days of amazing events back to back.

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Speaker 2: Amazing. Also very special thanks.

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Speaker 1: Because the Favorites podcast is presented by BET three six ' five.

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Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or older and president in Colorado, Iowa,

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or one eight

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Speaker 1: hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions restrictions apply. All Right,

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Speaker 1: we've had three of the six wild Card games played

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Speaker 1: so far. We're gonna run through the games. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: do this a little bit differently than we normally do,

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Speaker 1: since we didn't have our Phase five for a contest

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Speaker 1: to run through. Let's go in order of Foxhole, Big Balls, etc.

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Speaker 1: The games that we know we've cashed so far. By

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Speaker 1: the way, Foxhole Cleveland at Houston, we had Houston plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half. Listen, I know long I've spoken

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Speaker 1: to a lot of people here today, longtime listeners of

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Speaker 1: the pot who remember Bob Scucci our bookmaker who was

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Speaker 1: the coast with me for a long time at the Orleans.

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Speaker 1: In one season, a fan asked Bob to make a

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Speaker 1: special dish at the Orleans.

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Speaker 2: Bob decided to make it.

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Speaker 1: Have the chef there make a special dish called battered Flacco.

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Speaker 1: Last night, I got a text from Bob after the

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Speaker 1: game just said two words, battered Flaco.

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Speaker 2: Dude. We were on Houston.

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Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson said, imagine a world, Brandon Anderson, one of

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Speaker 1: our great analysts. Imagine a world in which we actually

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Speaker 1: believed we were betting on Joe Flacco as a road

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Speaker 1: favorite in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Thank god we came to our senses.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I was drinking the kool aid. People know. On

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Speaker 3: Tuesday Show, I was like, God, am I really about

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Speaker 3: to take a rookie head coach and a rookie QB

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Speaker 3: in an zero to three spot historical against a number

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Speaker 3: one defense. But we talked about it, that Cleveland defense

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Speaker 3: on the road. I mean that was one of those

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Speaker 3: where like, what is it five minutes in you had

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Speaker 3: two bombs and you were just like, okay, CJ. At

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Speaker 3: the moment's not too big. That was a good bet.

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Speaker 3: So that's a nice one where like, you're literally anyone

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Speaker 3: that had the Browns. You have Flacco and you're down

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Speaker 3: twenty four whatever, it was, twenty four to ten and

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Speaker 3: a half. You know, you're dead, dead, You're dead.

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Speaker 1: Like it felt so good to be in this bar

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Speaker 1: yesterday and not be sweating the Texans.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god, that was just lovely.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, you mentioned the Browns defense, right,

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Speaker 1: how bad was the road Brown's defense? The stats got

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Speaker 1: worse after the game yesterday. They had been allowing a

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Speaker 1: little bit less than thirty points per game. After yesterday,

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Speaker 1: allowing more than thirty one points per game on the

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Speaker 1: road compared to thirteen point nine points per game alone.

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Speaker 1: This team was terrible on the road.

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Speaker 2: CJ. Stroud is awesome.

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Speaker 1: We don't know who they are playing yet, but here's

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Speaker 1: a stat from Evan Abrams sitting right over there.

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Speaker 2: Teams who won, let's give it up, teams who won.

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Speaker 1: As underdogs in the wildcard round by double digits.

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Speaker 2: They are eleven and.

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Speaker 1: Nine against the spread in the next round the past

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Speaker 1: twenty years ten and seven when listed as the underdog.

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Speaker 1: So there is a little bit of a reason to

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Speaker 1: continue to back c J.

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Speaker 2: Stroud.

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Speaker 1: Did you see stuff in the game. We know Cj'll

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Speaker 1: be on the road not as good on the road.

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Speaker 1: Did you see stuff in the game yesterday that made

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Speaker 1: you feel like, Yeah, I'm confident in CJ. Shroud as

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Speaker 1: a playoff quarterback. I'm beyond thinking about CJ. Stroud as

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Speaker 1: a first year player in the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: A little bit. But I also think it's not to

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Speaker 3: overreact to the fact that their defense had what two

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Speaker 3: or three pick sixes.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: So at the same time, we played the numbers, and

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Speaker 3: I told you were at the bar. If it's seven

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Speaker 3: and a half or above, how do we not play Houston.

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Speaker 3: We're a sucker for these big dogs, especially a guy

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Speaker 3: like CJ that if he's down, he's not gonna stop

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Speaker 3: fighting Like that back door will be open the whole time.

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Speaker 3: And we mean Evan will give us the stats. Lamar

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Speaker 3: is a big favorite. We fade. We failed Lamar when

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Speaker 3: he's a big favorite. So it's all about the number.

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Speaker 3: It's if they open this too much respect for CJ

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Speaker 3: and give it four and a half, I'll probably go Baltimore.

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Speaker 3: But if it's anything above seven, how do we not

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Speaker 3: take CJ in that number?

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Speaker 1: Well, look, I feel like we're going to talk about

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Speaker 1: this later in the show. We've already gotten a number

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Speaker 1: of books posted a number on Green Bay in Dallas

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Speaker 1: before the game was over.

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Speaker 3: For a while.

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Speaker 1: It was right, it was a it was a big number.

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Speaker 1: We're going to get to that conversation. But if the

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Speaker 1: books are thinking the same thing about CJ and the

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Speaker 1: Texans that they're thinking about green Bay and Jordan Love,

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Speaker 1: then it's going to be an interesting conversation speaking of

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Speaker 1: green Bay.

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Speaker 2: Because our big balls better the week, we are on

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Speaker 2: a run. Brother.

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Speaker 1: The big balls bet of the week was green Bay

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Speaker 1: plus seven and a half at Dallas Sunday night, seven

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Speaker 1: days ago. We are talking about this game and we

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Speaker 1: are seeing easy money. Actually we are seeing this number

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Speaker 1: open and we're like, this makes no sense. Remind everybody

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Speaker 1: what you were thinking last week when you saw this

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Speaker 1: game open. And we love the Packers, we were still

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Speaker 1: a little bit hesitant.

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Speaker 3: I mean, first was we both were like, the books

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Speaker 3: are idiots, Like that was just a bad number they

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Speaker 3: hung and we didn't really understand it. That was the

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Speaker 3: first fear. But the biggest one we talked about was

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Speaker 3: this is the teaser killer, right, This is like the

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Speaker 3: dream snare for all the books. Every Joe Schmoe is

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Speaker 3: walking in there teasing Dallas against Jordan Love. First time

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Speaker 3: started in the playoffs, and we just saw it like

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Speaker 3: the playoffs get so weird, teams fall on their face.

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Speaker 3: And even in this game when it was fourteen nothing,

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Speaker 3: you still in your mind could convince yourself Dallas could

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Speaker 3: come back here once it was twenty nothing, even though

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Speaker 3: the most diehard Dallas betters were like, okay, that was

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Speaker 3: no doubt the worst better of this postseason, like that,

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Speaker 3: they were never in this game from the get go,

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Speaker 3: Green Bay. Jordan Love, what we talked about, total command

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Speaker 3: right now, him on the floor. So it's it's always

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Speaker 3: nice you're on the right side of these ones, but

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Speaker 3: especially when you're giving out a dog. Now, I do

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Speaker 3: have to give you some shit, Chad, oh oh, money

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Speaker 3: line round Robin, Green Bay.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I might have pulled them out.

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Speaker 3: Yeah what were you thinking?

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: We can talk about that because we're gonna get to

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Speaker 1: the money line, round Robin. And I will tell you

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Speaker 1: right now. I was sitting in the corner over there,

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Speaker 1: and I was putting in the final notes for the script,

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Speaker 1: and in my head, I believed we had green Bay

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Speaker 1: in the money line round robin, and I even said

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Speaker 1: to Matt Mitchell, I'm like, dude, we got green Bay

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Speaker 1: and Houston in the money line round robin. He's like,

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Speaker 1: that's amazing, and I'm like, now, I'm thinking to myself,

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, why didn't you know we didn't have He

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Speaker 1: doesn't listen to the podcast, but You're not wrong about

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Speaker 1: the conversation around Dallas and green Bay in this game.

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Speaker 1: I swear to god, I was standing with a fan

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Speaker 1: over here who credits us for helping him pay for

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Speaker 1: his wedding.

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Speaker 3: By the way, why were we invited? What the fuck?

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Speaker 2: That's what I asked next time?

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Speaker 1: Next to know And when the Packers went up seven zero,

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Speaker 1: I said, I said to him, we got this, and

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Speaker 1: he gave me a look he was afraid that I

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Speaker 1: had mushed it. But this Green Bay team was so

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Speaker 1: much better. And shout out to Raybond and Stuckey for

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Speaker 1: the Sunday six pack and they're a great podcast. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they talked a lot about this game. Raybond had this

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Speaker 1: littany of stats of Jordan Love and this Packers team

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Speaker 1: since November, and how good Jordan Love has been incredible,

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Speaker 1: and our reason for betting this game was Jordan Love.

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Speaker 1: But also we just believe Mike McCarthy is a terrible

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Speaker 1: coach and Matt Lafleur is a really good coach, and

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Speaker 1: we would get our opportunity for Matt Mike McCarthy to

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Speaker 1: get a little bit tight and make bad decisions.

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Speaker 2: Very good chance. Tomorrow morning. Mike McCarthy is.

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Speaker 1: No longer the coach of the Dallas Cowboys, so this

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Speaker 1: one was never in doubt. Good for us, good for

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Speaker 1: big balls two for two on Foxhole and big balls

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Speaker 1: Miami and Kansas City. We'll go COOKI through this one.

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Speaker 1: This was the hard game for us to handicap. We

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Speaker 1: didn't like the value on Kansas City. We didn't want

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Speaker 1: to bet on Miami. Our strongest play in this game

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Speaker 1: was the under. That's ultimately what we played. The trend

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Speaker 1: of playing unders in these games where it's ten plus

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Speaker 1: mile per hour wins continues to cash, but we just

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Speaker 1: never felt comfortable with the side. Again, nice call by

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Speaker 1: Raybon and Mikole Hartman under fourteen and a half receiving yard.

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Speaker 1: It's a nice call by Sean Kerner to under twenty

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Speaker 1: one and a half completions.

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Speaker 2: This one never a sweat. Felt great about it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And just when we don't know what a side

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Speaker 3: to take, what do we like to do. We like

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Speaker 3: to play the totals and we love that under. And

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Speaker 3: even when Evan told us it was like the most

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Speaker 3: public bet of the week we talk in the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: I don't really let that scare me off as much. Right,

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Speaker 3: you only have six games. The public and the pros

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Speaker 3: are gonna be aligned on a lot of games, and

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Speaker 3: that was one of those where the books hung too

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Speaker 3: big of a number. Even have forty three and a half.

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Speaker 3: I mean, people find a lung, can do the math.

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Speaker 3: We still had a touchdown in a field goal to

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Speaker 3: give up, and we'd still cover that under. So those

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Speaker 3: are the dream scenarios, like when you're in the fourth

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Speaker 3: quarter thow scoring games. Miami couldn't do anything that was

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Speaker 3: a good bet, but it is the classic scenario. We

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Speaker 3: wanted to take the Chiefs. We were both scared off

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Speaker 3: of the number, and we see our guy Chris on

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Speaker 3: the other side. It's like, all right, we'll avoid Miami.

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Speaker 2: Pass it completely. Yeah. Raybon is apologizing percent winnology.

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Speaker 1: The trend of playing unders in games I just mentioned

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Speaker 1: with ten plus mile per hour wins is a massive

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Speaker 1: signal and a casing ticket. Unders are seventy three percent,

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Speaker 1: seventy three percent this season, seventy percent the last two seasons,

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Speaker 1: not just covering but going under the total by three

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Speaker 1: and a half points per game.

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Speaker 3: Crazy.

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Speaker 1: So like, we talked about this yesterday that forty three

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Speaker 1: was high, and we were still like, just keep betting it,

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Speaker 1: keep betting that under.

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Speaker 2: It's still a good number for you.

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Speaker 3: We said, don't let the move and scare you. Like,

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Speaker 3: even though it was thirty six and a half and

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Speaker 3: I dropped the forty three and a half, we kept saying,

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Speaker 3: it's still too high.

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Speaker 1: Something to think about for Buffalo tomorrow with the wind

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Speaker 1: and the weather.

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Speaker 2: We don't know what it's going to be yet, all right,

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Speaker 2: hold on, swear to God right now.

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Speaker 1: Before we before we sat down, Matt Mitchell handed me

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Speaker 1: a note card and said, here's a joke. I just

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Speaker 1: want you to read it. I have I honestly, I

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Speaker 1: have no idea what it is.

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Speaker 2: I have no idea what it is. So here we go. Open.

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Speaker 1: In nineteen ninety four, the United States Supermax Penitentiary in

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Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers. Wow you, oh man, Now A quick word

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Speaker 1: All right, quick recap foxhol Houston minus two and a half,

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Speaker 1: Simon says, the La Rams plus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: So we got something on the line tonight. Our executive decision,

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Speaker 1: Buffalo minus ten. We got something on the line tomorrow,

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Speaker 1: Big balls, Green Bay plus seven and a half our

283
00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:12,480
Speaker 1: round robin. Somehow is the LA Rams Houston and Tampa

284
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Speaker 1: Bay not Green Bay, Houston and Tampa Bay. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what happened there, Simon, I don't know who can

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Speaker 1: take responsibility for that. You can, Maybe it's me? Yeah,

287
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Speaker 1: all right, last minute Leans for tonight. We got the

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Speaker 1: Rams in Detroit. Clearly we're both.

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Speaker 2: On the Rams.

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00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:30,600
Speaker 1: The line has moved from four down to three and

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Speaker 1: a half, down to three.

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Speaker 2: Tell us tell everyone.

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Speaker 1: Why We're not nervous about the Rams at plus three.

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Speaker 3: I'm nervous.

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Speaker 1: Tell everyone why we still would do it at plus three,

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Speaker 1: the indicators we've gotten from the wise guys, how the

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Speaker 1: number has moved, why it hasn't moved in a certain direction.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, take the plus three. But it's also like, at

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Speaker 3: this point, you're lily if you're literally going to haven't

300
00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,480
Speaker 3: bet a single bed yet. Just wait, wait and see

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Speaker 3: what happens. Right on this first drive. You could easily

302
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Speaker 3: get plus ten. Right if they go right on and

303
00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:02,080
Speaker 3: field the Lions and score, this number is gonna move.

304
00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:04,000
Speaker 3: But I feel like everyone who listened to this got

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Speaker 3: the three and a half, and we talked all week,

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00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:08,040
Speaker 3: how kiva number that was. It's been sitting out three

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00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,720
Speaker 3: all week, so it's it's clearly a big deal. Like

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Speaker 3: the books, they didn't want to take that much Lions money,

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Speaker 3: so they hung the three and a half. It was

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Speaker 3: all Rams money. Now we're getting closer to kickoffs. It

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Speaker 3: really is a ton of Detroit money coming in late here.

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Speaker 3: So if the professionals did like it, they were hoping

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Speaker 3: for the two and a half, it never got there,

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Speaker 3: And now they're coming in pretty heavy and taking the

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Speaker 3: three in Detroit. Obviously, the Laporta news him playing it's

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Speaker 3: a big deal for that offense.

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Speaker 2: Yes, that's big.

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Speaker 3: They said it's limited snaps, which to me just reads

319
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Speaker 3: of third downs, red zone targets. That's where he'll play again.

320
00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:41,480
Speaker 3: We don't know how bad his leg is, and if

321
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Speaker 3: he can move, he's some of the best hands in football,

322
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Speaker 3: so like to them, if he's able to get there

323
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Speaker 3: and just catch the ball, that's such a big deal

324
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Speaker 3: this Lions team. So from my perspective with the Rams,

325
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Speaker 3: nothing changed. For honestly, like, I still love them plus three,

326
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Speaker 3: still love their money. I still think they have a

327
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Speaker 3: great chance to win this game. And the fact that

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00:15:58,560 --> 00:16:00,360
Speaker 3: so much money is coming to the Lions see makes

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Speaker 3: it for a little better. Because Evan kept on us

330
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Speaker 3: all week it was all Rams money and like, no

331
00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:06,080
Speaker 3: one wants to hear that, especially me and you. We

332
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Speaker 3: hate betting with the public, but this one just not

333
00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:10,560
Speaker 3: scared me off. I think the book makers hung a

334
00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:13,480
Speaker 3: bad line at three and a half four. Hopefully everyone

335
00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:15,320
Speaker 3: got that number, and it's like, now that it's down

336
00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,000
Speaker 3: to three, this is where it should be. This is

337
00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,720
Speaker 3: a coin flip game wherevers the ball last is gonna

338
00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:21,280
Speaker 3: win it. But we like the dog in that spot,

339
00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:24,080
Speaker 3: especially a dog like Stafford who's taking his team to

340
00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,479
Speaker 3: the super Bowl just two years ago in these exact scenarios.

341
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Speaker 3: I mean, Evan told us in that run he was

342
00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:31,320
Speaker 3: three and oh straight up as a dog on that run.

343
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Speaker 3: So obviously we're hoping for a little bit of magic here,

344
00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:35,840
Speaker 3: and now that Dallas is knocked out, it's just it

345
00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 3: opens up even more avenues for this Rams seem to

346
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Speaker 3: make it a little Super Bowl run.

347
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Speaker 2: Well, here's the good news, Evan.

348
00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:43,800
Speaker 1: With some last minute reporting, the number of tickets on

349
00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,800
Speaker 1: the Rams has dropped from seventy four percent to fifty

350
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Speaker 1: nine percent. So if we want to be on the dog,

351
00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,840
Speaker 1: it's getting closer and closer to not being a public dog,

352
00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,280
Speaker 1: which is good for us. You mentioned Sam Laporta only

353
00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:59,360
Speaker 1: playing and then sort of those special packages. Remember Sam Laporta,

354
00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:03,640
Speaker 1: I had forty eight catches for first downs this year's

355
00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:07,359
Speaker 1: second most on the Lions, so he's an important weapon

356
00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:10,000
Speaker 1: for them in that third down package. So I love

357
00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,240
Speaker 1: the Rams when the Porto wasn't playing. Him playing makes

358
00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:14,639
Speaker 1: me a little more nervous, but I still like the Rams,

359
00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:17,120
Speaker 1: all right, Buffalo Pittsburgh.

360
00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:20,080
Speaker 2: I made Buffalo. My exec decision is a ten point favorite.

361
00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:21,680
Speaker 2: You did, and I'm.

362
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,359
Speaker 1: Sticking by it. I'm not afraid of it. I don't

363
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,879
Speaker 1: like Mason Rudolf. I don't like Mason Rudolph in the cold.

364
00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,879
Speaker 1: I feel like this is a spot where Buffalo, even

365
00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:34,720
Speaker 1: with a good ground game and a disposition to play

366
00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:37,159
Speaker 1: more on the ground than they have with Matt Cannada

367
00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,399
Speaker 1: was the offensive coordinator, this plays exactly to their strengths.

368
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,480
Speaker 1: This is a prime spot for the Steelers to just

369
00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:45,880
Speaker 1: completely crater, especially when they don't have TJ.

370
00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:46,200
Speaker 2: Watt.

371
00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:49,000
Speaker 1: And we've gone through all the stats, like back in

372
00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:53,000
Speaker 1: the Steelers when they don't have TJ. Watt is a

373
00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:56,160
Speaker 1: losing bet. Like not just losing bet oh ha ha haha.

374
00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:58,840
Speaker 1: It's like I think they're one in something against the

375
00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:00,600
Speaker 1: spread without Watts.

376
00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:05,400
Speaker 2: So that's a big factor for me and I would

377
00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:06,080
Speaker 2: like your support.

378
00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you, you dug in. I did a coward move.

379
00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:11,040
Speaker 3: I just took the Bill's money line. That was the

380
00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 3: move where it's like pairing them with the Chief's money line.

381
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:16,159
Speaker 3: Come on, no sweat, baby. But I just don't like

382
00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:17,840
Speaker 3: it because it's a blizzard. But the fact that we're

383
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,160
Speaker 3: getting it delayed by a day, yeah, it's a big

384
00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:22,560
Speaker 3: deal with Bills, like that's who's helping here. Where the

385
00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:24,640
Speaker 3: fact that argument able to pass the ball downfield, that's

386
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:27,120
Speaker 3: such a big deal to this Bills team. So as

387
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,240
Speaker 3: a friend, as a backer of the Bills, I'm hoping

388
00:18:29,320 --> 00:18:30,679
Speaker 3: chat we wake up to one of the wind has

389
00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 3: died down, because if it is fifteen twenty prior consistent

390
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:39,280
Speaker 3: wins with fifty per hour gust, I mean, that's insane.

391
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:41,160
Speaker 3: It's like really hard to get behind taking a ten

392
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 3: point favorite in those kind of conditions.

393
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,399
Speaker 2: But Simon, I want you to be my betting buddy.

394
00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:47,639
Speaker 2: Just do it.

395
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 1: Philadelphia, Tampa. We hate this game. We eat everything about

396
00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:55,720
Speaker 1: this game. Yeah, I honest to god, I might just

397
00:18:55,760 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 1: go to sleep tomorrow night and not watch this game

398
00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 1: and not bet this game and just wait until next week.

399
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:03,560
Speaker 2: So what do you want to say about this game?

400
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,880
Speaker 3: I would tell people if you want to buy low,

401
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:08,879
Speaker 3: is as low as it can truly get on the

402
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:11,240
Speaker 3: Eagles at minus two and a half and I will

403
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,760
Speaker 3: take that number. But if anyone's taking the Bucks three,

404
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:15,960
Speaker 3: like you just said, who's to talk them out of it.

405
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:17,879
Speaker 3: The Egles have what six straight haven't told us, they

406
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,480
Speaker 3: haven't covered. It's one of the worst streaks in all football.

407
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:22,879
Speaker 3: I mean, they're just so poorly coach right now, so

408
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,600
Speaker 3: banged up. I totally get the dargon. We're taking Tampa

409
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,200
Speaker 3: and that's why again we left this one out because

410
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:28,639
Speaker 3: it's like we have no real feel for it. So

411
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,760
Speaker 3: for value wise, I will take the Eagles at minus

412
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:33,520
Speaker 3: two and a half, just because they are the better team.

413
00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:36,879
Speaker 3: But I mean, betting this game, it's the smallest bet

414
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:38,199
Speaker 3: of the week. It's just no feel for it.

415
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 1: Green Bay at San Francisco is the only matchup we're

416
00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:43,200
Speaker 1: sure of right now. We'll quickly go through this one

417
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,000
Speaker 1: because we haven't had a chance to really do any

418
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:45,560
Speaker 1: work on it.

419
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,439
Speaker 2: Posted at nine and a half, very early line.

420
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,080
Speaker 1: I think it makes sense given what the Cowboy line

421
00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,479
Speaker 1: was with seven, So you're getting a little bit more value,

422
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,360
Speaker 1: a little more points on San Francisco. The Niners offense

423
00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,480
Speaker 1: superior to the Cowboys in terms of scheme, in terms

424
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:05,880
Speaker 1: of dynamic, in terms of tools, coaching far superior to Cowboys.

425
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 1: Those are the reasons why we love the Packers. Also,

426
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,359
Speaker 1: the Cowboys defense, I think is suspect. As we've seen today,

427
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,720
Speaker 1: very possible the public could back the Packers and the

428
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 1: wise guys end up blaking the Niners.

429
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,480
Speaker 2: But you have a very quick first instinct on this game.

430
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:24,000
Speaker 3: I honestly don't like. My first bet was like, I

431
00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 3: want to take green Bay plus ten, But like talking

432
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 3: to a bunch of people here, it's like, is it

433
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 3: going to get there? That's the question. It's like, are

434
00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:31,680
Speaker 3: the pros gonna let it get to ten because that's

435
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 3: such a key number. But yeah, the public, this is

436
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,000
Speaker 3: the bet, Like, why would you not take the forty

437
00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:38,199
Speaker 3: nine ers in the spot against the team that's just

438
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:39,520
Speaker 3: so inflated around Green Bay?

439
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:39,920
Speaker 2: Yeah?

440
00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 3: I mean you keep saying this green Bay team, I

441
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:44,199
Speaker 3: don't know if the books are priced, they're right, like

442
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 3: the turnaround they had in the second half of the year,

443
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 3: it's just how to keep counting out Ordan Love same

444
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,440
Speaker 3: reason we took them today. It's just like too big

445
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:53,600
Speaker 3: of a spread against the team that doesn't get consistent stops.

446
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,400
Speaker 3: And on the flip side, though, when they do beat

447
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:58,520
Speaker 3: teams the fortynin ers this year, they really beat them, right,

448
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:00,560
Speaker 3: the only team that backdoored them I think was what

449
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:03,200
Speaker 3: the rams on that bs field goal by McVay. Yeah,

450
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:04,680
Speaker 3: they're just sky of team this year that they really

451
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,919
Speaker 3: have killed teams. So I just know the pros that

452
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 3: I know that bet it. They're probably gonna end up

453
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:12,160
Speaker 3: on Green Bay's the money line, then take the forty

454
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,159
Speaker 3: nine ers spread like that's how they'll view this one.

455
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,440
Speaker 3: Where it's like, we know Shanahan's struggles if his team's

456
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 3: down ten in the fourth quarter, like I en't talked

457
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 3: about they're dead right, he does not come from behind

458
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,639
Speaker 3: when his team is losing big in the fourth quarter.

459
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 3: So it is a bet where it's like I kind

460
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:27,640
Speaker 3: of want to play both sides, but I know people

461
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 3: are show hate that. So as you sit here right now,

462
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 3: I wouldn't touch this number, but it's like it's really

463
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 3: tempting if this gets the ten, just to grab the

464
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:34,959
Speaker 3: green Bay right or waight when it gets to ten.

465
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:37,680
Speaker 1: We will dig deeper into that in all the games

466
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,840
Speaker 1: on the Tuesday episode of The Favorite Simon.

467
00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 2: I know it's playoff time.

468
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,879
Speaker 1: Life is full of distractions right now in your world,

469
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 1: but that's still not a good excuse for forgetting the

470
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Speaker 1: fastest growing ticketing app in the United States? Can you

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Speaker 1: name it game Time? I love game Time for two reasons.

472
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Speaker 1: One because they sponsored their show number too. I actually

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Speaker 1: use game Time to buy tickets. They've got amazing last

474
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Speaker 1: minute deals on all sorts of tickets.

475
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Speaker 2: Including pro and college games.

476
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 1: I'm actually going to open the game Time app right

477
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Speaker 1: now from my spot here in the Shepherd and the Knucklehead.

478
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:18,200
Speaker 2: Hey, guess what.

479
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,440
Speaker 1: I can get into the Madison Square Garden to see

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Speaker 1: the New York Knicks for less than one hundred dollars

481
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Speaker 1: when they take on the Houston Rockets. No matter where

482
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Speaker 1: you live, download the game Time app, get out, have

483
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Speaker 1: some fun this week, Go sweat your bets live and

484
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 1: in person. You can redeem code Favorites for twenty dollars

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Speaker 1: off your first purchase.

486
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Speaker 2: Terms apply again.

487
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Speaker 1: Just download the app and Entercode Favorites for twenty dollars

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Speaker 1: off last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed.

489
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Speaker 2: All right, before we get out of here, we do.

490
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:52,920
Speaker 1: Want to quickly welcome Sam Mattney, our Favorites contest second

491
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:59,360
Speaker 1: place finisher. Sam traveled all the way here from Atlanta, Georgia.

492
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 2: Let's given to join us live listen.

493
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,400
Speaker 1: Here's how we know Sam, is really one of us, right,

494
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:13,719
Speaker 1: Sam was one win away from capturing our forty thousand

495
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 1: dollars first place prize in the contest.

496
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 2: It's been a theme all season.

497
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 1: You can guess who did Sam need to cover. Let's

498
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 1: say it, that's right, the Carolina Panthers. Sam, Sam, congrats,

499
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:35,680
Speaker 1: congrats on second place. Thanks for joining the favorites. Thanks

500
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,399
Speaker 1: for flying all the way up here, using all the

501
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,520
Speaker 1: money you won to battle the elements and come up

502
00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:41,720
Speaker 1: for a weekend in New York.

503
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 2: What do you have to say for yourself?

504
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 3: Yeah?

505
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,880
Speaker 4: No, Chad Simon, thank you guys so much. Beth three

506
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:48,120
Speaker 4: six five, thank you so much for putting on this contest.

507
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 4: It was an hour to play, and honestly, the Panthers thing.

508
00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 4: As a Saints fan, it hurts just that much more

509
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 4: to have them be the one to screw me.

510
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 3: It was a tough play.

511
00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 4: I took them plus five and a half against the

512
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 4: Bucks a couple of weeks prior they covered for me.

513
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:03,840
Speaker 4: Then I figured why not do it again? And it's

514
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 4: a big mistake. The double dip on the Panthers is

515
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,000
Speaker 4: what signed my fate. But again, super happy to be

516
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 4: able to participate, Super happy to capture second place, and

517
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:13,159
Speaker 4: it's an r and to be up here celebrating with

518
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:13,479
Speaker 4: you all.

519
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 2: Come up, Yeah, let's get my hand.

520
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:22,159
Speaker 1: I feel like the most important thing Sam is I

521
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 1: want to make sure you don't blame me and Simon.

522
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 3: You can blame me for taking the Panthers.

523
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:29,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I'm not gonna go up here and blame

524
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 4: you guys. Honestly, this week I went back and went

525
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 4: through my whole entire season right and looked at who

526
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 4: I picked, who I faded, all that stuff. Turns out

527
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 4: that was the only time the Panthers screwed me. I

528
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,120
Speaker 4: had a couple of wins on them earlier in the contest.

529
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,159
Speaker 4: The big thing that screwed me over actually was the

530
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 4: Titans Jags game. I had a JAG's future to win

531
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 4: the division, and I was like, I can't pick the

532
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 4: Titans in that game, going against my future, and so

533
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 4: I picked the wrong four and a half dog, and

534
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 4: again that's what sealed my fate. But you know, it

535
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 4: was super fun playing.

536
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 3: It was a blast.

537
00:24:57,960 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 4: And again, like I said, I'm super happy to be

538
00:24:59,320 --> 00:24:59,880
Speaker 4: here with you guys.

539
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 1: Congrats to Sam, nice job, thank me, Thank you very much.

540
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,840
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Speaker 1: covering the entire divisional playoff round. Download us from Spotify,

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