WEBVTT - Free Picks for EVERY Week 2 NFL Game (Ep. 332) 0:00:01.000 --> 0:00:03.040 Welcome in everybody in the betting pros. It's time to 0:00:03.040 --> 0:00:05.680 place your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pisipia, 0:00:05.760 --> 0:00:08.360 and it's time already if you can believe it. To 0:00:08.400 --> 0:00:11.639 look ahead to week two in the NFL. Some fun 0:00:12.080 --> 0:00:14.560 things happening in week one, some not some fun things 0:00:14.600 --> 0:00:17.680 as well. Got that Cleveland upset that felt really good. 0:00:18.000 --> 0:00:20.440 The Pittsburgh Steeler one did not go well. Oh God. 0:00:20.560 --> 0:00:23.239 Speaking of not going well, how about those Giants. That 0:00:23.360 --> 0:00:26.200 was a tough loss there on Sunday night football in 0:00:26.239 --> 0:00:29.240 front of the entire world. But again, it's only week one, 0:00:29.320 --> 0:00:30.760 So how much are we gonna take out of that 0:00:31.080 --> 0:00:33.200 and how much are we gonna try to take advantage 0:00:33.200 --> 0:00:36.080 of it in the early lines. That's what today is about. 0:00:36.080 --> 0:00:37.720 And to help me do it, of course, is Pat 0:00:37.760 --> 0:00:41.559 Fitzmorris back again as always every Monday, and our new 0:00:41.600 --> 0:00:44.919 best friend Sam Hoppin, who is also our data analyst wizard, 0:00:45.159 --> 0:00:48.479 who is gonna give you some hard, cold facts based 0:00:48.520 --> 0:00:51.200 on math and science. They're gonna help you make some bets. 0:00:51.200 --> 0:00:53.960 And that sounds like a good thing to me. FITZI, 0:00:54.200 --> 0:00:55.560 I know we kind of talked about this in week 0:00:55.600 --> 0:00:56.760 one some of the things that went on there. I 0:00:56.800 --> 0:00:59.080 gotta say, the one thing too that really came out 0:00:59.080 --> 0:01:00.640 of the blue for me was I was stunned that 0:01:00.720 --> 0:01:03.240 the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went into Minnesota and one. I 0:01:03.280 --> 0:01:05.640 didn't think there was any way that that was going 0:01:05.680 --> 0:01:09.200 to happen. What was the most surprising outcome of all 0:01:09.280 --> 0:01:10.479 the games for you in Week one? 0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:15.319 The Bengals getting six first downs, Joe, Like, I did 0:01:15.360 --> 0:01:17.440 not see that one coming at all, you know, Like, 0:01:18.640 --> 0:01:20.440 I thought that was going to be a pretty close 0:01:20.480 --> 0:01:23.760 game and just a completely one sided affair. So like 0:01:23.800 --> 0:01:25.679 the Bengals are a team, I have no idea what 0:01:25.800 --> 0:01:29.600 to make of as we head into Week two, right now? 0:01:30.280 --> 0:01:34.119 All right, Sam, your week one obviously tumultuous, I'm sure 0:01:34.160 --> 0:01:36.920 like most people's. But was there one thing that was 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:39.040 really surprising to you that you just did not see 0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:40.479 coming to kind of hit you in the face out 0:01:40.480 --> 0:01:40.959 of nowhere? 0:01:41.440 --> 0:01:44.240 I mean, it was the Rams over the Seahawks. For me, 0:01:44.520 --> 0:01:47.520 I didn't think the Rams had any shot of putting 0:01:47.560 --> 0:01:51.120 up more than ten points against the Seahawks defense, and 0:01:51.840 --> 0:01:55.200 they just put it on them, even without Cooper Cups. 0:01:55.200 --> 0:01:56.760 So that was pretty shocking to me. 0:01:56.840 --> 0:02:00.280 And then the Seahawks offense not really clicking like we 0:02:00.320 --> 0:02:01.400 had seen it last year. 0:02:01.880 --> 0:02:03.840 Yeah, so a lot of things to get through and 0:02:03.920 --> 0:02:05.800 obviously looking at we too, we still got one more 0:02:05.800 --> 0:02:08.680 game to play tonight. But that's old news, that's history. 0:02:08.680 --> 0:02:10.440 It's time to get ahead of the lines and for 0:02:10.480 --> 0:02:11.960 you to stay ahead of the lines too. Make sure 0:02:12.000 --> 0:02:14.680 you download the Betting Pros app. That's the way to 0:02:14.760 --> 0:02:17.560 do that, and you can also make sure you get 0:02:17.680 --> 0:02:20.440 the lapp the app excuse me, line alerts as well, 0:02:21.000 --> 0:02:23.320 because those are very important. When you download that BP app, 0:02:23.320 --> 0:02:25.280 in addition to tracking all of your picks, you can 0:02:25.320 --> 0:02:27.440 also sign up for the movement alerts, which are really important. 0:02:27.440 --> 0:02:29.560 So we're gonna look at the early lines here, but 0:02:29.680 --> 0:02:32.880 throughout the week things are gonna change, so you want 0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:35.680 to set those game notifications that you're alerted every time 0:02:35.760 --> 0:02:38.000 a certain line that you've got your eye on moves 0:02:38.320 --> 0:02:40.440 and they're gonna move. We always know they might even 0:02:40.480 --> 0:02:42.400 move during this show, but we'll keep you up to date. 0:02:42.440 --> 0:02:45.640 Make sure you subscribe to Betting Pros channel as well 0:02:46.400 --> 0:02:48.679 over on the YouTube side, because we're always giving away 0:02:48.720 --> 0:02:51.000 free stuff, including an Aaron Jones jersey, a ms up 0:02:51.040 --> 0:02:53.160 a good game. Did pull up with the hamstring, but 0:02:53.200 --> 0:02:56.840 that's okay. But this Aaron Jones autographed jersey can be yours. 0:02:56.880 --> 0:02:59.040 All you have to do is subscribe to Betting Pros YouTube, 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:01.560 drop a comment below and click that little belt that 0:03:01.600 --> 0:03:04.320 it goes ding for notifications. That's it, That's all you 0:03:04.360 --> 0:03:06.840 gotta do. And the Aaron Jones jersey can be yours 0:03:06.880 --> 0:03:08.760 will be giving away lots of free stuff. More to 0:03:08.760 --> 0:03:10.800 come on that, but let's get to the games, gentlemen. 0:03:10.800 --> 0:03:13.440 And let's start here with the Minnesota Vikings and the 0:03:13.480 --> 0:03:16.639 Eagles Thursday night football. So no rest for the weary here. 0:03:17.160 --> 0:03:19.520 Probably in some ways, Pat, the best thing for the 0:03:19.520 --> 0:03:22.160 Minnesota Vikings is a short week not to dwell on 0:03:22.240 --> 0:03:25.639 that terrible, horrible, no good loss. If you're looking right 0:03:25.680 --> 0:03:28.400 now early on here, it looks like the Eagles are 0:03:28.440 --> 0:03:30.960 seven and a half point home favorites. Minnesota will be 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:33.040 going on the road. It's always tough to go on 0:03:33.080 --> 0:03:35.560 the road, especially early in the year in a short week. 0:03:35.880 --> 0:03:37.920 So does the seven and a half feel right here 0:03:37.960 --> 0:03:40.120 and the total at forty eight and a half early on? 0:03:41.280 --> 0:03:43.800 Yeah, I mean the line feels about right what it 0:03:43.880 --> 0:03:46.920 should be at But I think I'm inclined to lay 0:03:46.920 --> 0:03:50.000 the points here, Joe, And maybe you were a little 0:03:50.000 --> 0:03:53.760 more surprised by that Vikings toast stubbing in Week one 0:03:53.800 --> 0:03:56.400 than I was, But they are just they were so 0:03:56.560 --> 0:03:59.640 much worse than their twenty twenty two record. I mean, 0:03:59.640 --> 0:04:02.040 they were eleven to zero and one score games in 0:04:02.080 --> 0:04:05.560 twenty twenty two, which will never see happen again. We'll 0:04:05.600 --> 0:04:07.840 never see a team have that kind of record and 0:04:07.920 --> 0:04:10.520 get out scored on the year. They were a bottom 0:04:10.600 --> 0:04:14.320 ten team in terms of overall DVA, and I think 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:15.960 the Eagles can play a lot better. 0:04:15.760 --> 0:04:16.880 Than they did in Week one. 0:04:16.960 --> 0:04:19.280 They were out gained by one hundred and thirty one 0:04:19.360 --> 0:04:22.200 yards by the Patriots, still came away with the w 0:04:22.760 --> 0:04:25.320 but I think they can clean things up and become 0:04:25.360 --> 0:04:27.640 more of the well oiled machine we saw down the 0:04:27.680 --> 0:04:30.880 stretch last season, So I'm inclined to lay the points. 0:04:30.920 --> 0:04:32.480 I also kind of like the over because I think 0:04:32.520 --> 0:04:34.400 the Eagles are going to get it together on offense 0:04:34.440 --> 0:04:34.880 this week. 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:37.560 Well, that was what I was going to bring up here, Sam, 0:04:37.600 --> 0:04:40.520 because the Eagles only had one offensive touchdown yesterday against 0:04:40.520 --> 0:04:42.600 the Patriots. Now, Patriots defense is always gonna come ready 0:04:42.640 --> 0:04:45.800 to play. You know, it was raining too up in Foxborough. 0:04:45.839 --> 0:04:48.800 A lot of factors, Tom Brady Day, all the things happening. 0:04:49.279 --> 0:04:51.160 But do you think maybe the seven and a half 0:04:51.200 --> 0:04:53.159 is giving the Eagles too much credit because that offense 0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:54.920 did not look great out of the gate here in 0:04:54.960 --> 0:04:55.400 Week one. 0:04:56.040 --> 0:04:58.119 I don't think it's giving them too much credit. 0:04:58.160 --> 0:05:01.080 I mean, last year we saw the Ladelphia and Minnesota 0:05:01.080 --> 0:05:03.960 play in primetime, and we all know how that disaster 0:05:04.080 --> 0:05:07.839 turned out for Minnesota. So I think that line is 0:05:08.120 --> 0:05:12.120 about right. I'm probably not touching it because I do 0:05:12.200 --> 0:05:16.360 think that Minnesota has, you know, a chance with potentially 0:05:16.400 --> 0:05:21.320 Philadelphia's offense sleeping a little bit, maybe could wake up 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:24.200 this Thursday night. But I really like the overend this game. 0:05:24.240 --> 0:05:30.080 Minnesota's offense was moving the ball pretty decently yesterday and 0:05:30.360 --> 0:05:34.800 they had a couple costly turnovers in Tampa Bay's territory, 0:05:34.880 --> 0:05:38.159 so that stifled their drives quite a bit. So I 0:05:38.200 --> 0:05:40.440 think both of these offenses are going to be fine. 0:05:40.680 --> 0:05:43.239 I think it could be a high scoring, shootout potential game. 0:05:43.680 --> 0:05:45.840 All right, Green Bay and Atlanta the next one on 0:05:46.120 --> 0:05:49.039 the docket here. We still have some time to get 0:05:49.040 --> 0:05:51.560 some clarity about what's going on with Aaron Jones that injury. 0:05:51.560 --> 0:05:54.360 As we mentioned before, so far, it looks like you're 0:05:54.360 --> 0:05:58.000 getting this number somewhere between one one and a half. Obviously, 0:05:58.040 --> 0:05:59.680 on the Green Bay side of things, Jordan Love did 0:05:59.680 --> 0:06:01.640 look good in that game. The total for this number 0:06:01.720 --> 0:06:04.320 right now is around forty and a half of some 0:06:04.400 --> 0:06:07.720 other spots here on bettingpros dot com. Sam your thoughts here, 0:06:07.720 --> 0:06:10.240 do you see any early value on this game here? 0:06:10.760 --> 0:06:13.280 Atlanta and Green Bay both coming off wins yesterday. 0:06:14.600 --> 0:06:18.240 I'm going to try to take my green Bay bias 0:06:18.400 --> 0:06:22.279 out of this and look at the fact that Atlanta's 0:06:22.279 --> 0:06:26.040 defenses is much better than Chicago's, and so I think 0:06:26.120 --> 0:06:30.360 that's what will keep this game closer. I do think 0:06:30.839 --> 0:06:33.960 that the under could probably be in play here, even 0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:36.440 though it is pretty low. I think it's sitting right 0:06:36.480 --> 0:06:40.359 around forty points right now, and it could just be 0:06:40.440 --> 0:06:44.719 one of those grinded out games with two offenses that 0:06:45.240 --> 0:06:49.520 have inexperienced quarterbacks against defenses that played pretty well. 0:06:49.600 --> 0:06:50.320 In Week one. 0:06:50.480 --> 0:06:53.720 The Packers defense played better than I think a lot 0:06:53.720 --> 0:06:57.400 of people expected, being able to hold that Bears offense 0:06:57.520 --> 0:06:59.240 to just twenty points. 0:06:59.320 --> 0:07:00.400 Get the pick six as. 0:07:00.320 --> 0:07:05.280 Well, so I slightly lean the Packers on the side 0:07:05.480 --> 0:07:09.360 just knowing that I expect Aaron Jones to be able 0:07:09.400 --> 0:07:11.600 to play. I think they didn't rush him back in 0:07:11.640 --> 0:07:14.520 the game Sunday because they had the game in hand 0:07:14.600 --> 0:07:18.560 at that point, So I think hopefully having Christian Watson 0:07:18.600 --> 0:07:21.080 back this week as well would be huge for that 0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:21.880 offense too. 0:07:22.440 --> 0:07:25.080 All right, so as the Packers may or may not 0:07:25.120 --> 0:07:27.640 be healthy this week, Pat, you've seen any early value 0:07:27.640 --> 0:07:29.239 on this line here in this game in Atlanta? 0:07:30.040 --> 0:07:33.320 Yeah, so, just before we started recording the show, the 0:07:33.400 --> 0:07:36.200 Packers were minus one on DraftKings, and I think that 0:07:36.480 --> 0:07:39.560 there would only be one way this line would move 0:07:39.600 --> 0:07:42.520 if Aaron Jones were to be ruled out and like 0:07:42.800 --> 0:07:45.000 it would go to the Falcons. I think they would 0:07:45.040 --> 0:07:48.440 be even money at worst, maybe favored if that happened. 0:07:49.240 --> 0:07:52.240 Sam mentioned how well the Packers' defense played, and we're 0:07:52.280 --> 0:07:54.640 both Packers fans, Yes, they did play really well against 0:07:54.680 --> 0:07:57.840 the Bears. The trouble is, the Packers are better against 0:07:57.920 --> 0:08:01.200 the pass than the run defense, and we know the 0:08:01.240 --> 0:08:02.840 Falcons are going to run the ball well, and the 0:08:02.880 --> 0:08:06.280 Packers have not had a good run defense for years now, 0:08:06.800 --> 0:08:11.880 so that's kind of concerning to me. The effectiveness of 0:08:11.920 --> 0:08:14.360 their offensive balance if they don't have Aaron Jones is 0:08:14.360 --> 0:08:16.720 concerning to me because, as we were talking about before 0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:20.120 the show, I don't think AJ Dillon is very good. So, 0:08:20.320 --> 0:08:23.040 like I'm inclined to take the Falcons in the money 0:08:23.080 --> 0:08:26.480 line here and kind of staying away from the total, 0:08:26.600 --> 0:08:29.360 Like I just I would want to bet the over, 0:08:29.480 --> 0:08:32.360 but I'm not betting the over on Falcons games with 0:08:32.480 --> 0:08:33.360 Arthur Smith there. 0:08:33.400 --> 0:08:34.959 They just run the ball too much. 0:08:35.920 --> 0:08:37.920 If anything, I would take the over, but I don't 0:08:37.920 --> 0:08:39.160 think I'm going to play it here. 0:08:39.440 --> 0:08:41.560 Yeah, the under sounds interesting, especially with that pace of 0:08:41.600 --> 0:08:43.920 play and how run heavy they were, and you have 0:08:43.960 --> 0:08:45.880 to imagine that would carry over again this week at 0:08:45.920 --> 0:08:49.040 home too with Algier and Jean Robinson. The Bears are 0:08:49.040 --> 0:08:50.880 going to travel to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the 0:08:50.920 --> 0:08:54.520 Bucks go home conquering heroes of Minnesota minus two and 0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:56.920 a half. Here on the Bucks side, they are favorites. 0:08:57.200 --> 0:08:59.439 Forty three and a half is basically that number you're 0:08:59.440 --> 0:09:02.360 getting on this pat. I'm gonna ask you this straight up. 0:09:02.480 --> 0:09:04.200 Do you think the wrong team is just favored in 0:09:04.240 --> 0:09:04.640 this game? 0:09:05.840 --> 0:09:07.800 It seems that way, Joe. 0:09:08.080 --> 0:09:10.520 And normally one of my favorite bets is the team 0:09:10.559 --> 0:09:13.920 coming off a bitter defeat against the team that's fat 0:09:13.960 --> 0:09:17.280 and happy coming off a satisfying victory. But I was 0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:21.040 so thoroughly unimpressed with the Bears passing game and the 0:09:21.120 --> 0:09:25.280 design of it yesterday. Like, screen passes are great to 0:09:25.360 --> 0:09:28.400 dial up, but when you're throwing eighty percent of you know, 0:09:28.520 --> 0:09:31.880 eighty percent of your playbook is screen passes, they're not 0:09:31.920 --> 0:09:35.280 gonna work as well. And like they were just there 0:09:35.360 --> 0:09:38.960 was so little, such a one dimensional Bears passing game, 0:09:40.160 --> 0:09:43.079 So I was kind of nervous about that, and I'm 0:09:43.080 --> 0:09:44.920 not really ready to touch this one. 0:09:45.320 --> 0:09:47.240 Yeah, I can understand that this one has a lot 0:09:47.240 --> 0:09:49.760 of curiosity to it, you know, the Bears coming off 0:09:49.800 --> 0:09:53.280 that that tough loss year, the Buccaneers coming off a huge, 0:09:53.400 --> 0:09:56.400 unexpected win. To me, this is one of those dangerous 0:09:56.440 --> 0:09:58.640 trap games where people just automatically will start buying it 0:09:58.640 --> 0:10:00.560 on the Tampa Bay Bucaneers. And it feels the lines 0:10:00.600 --> 0:10:03.560 telling us that, but Sam, should we be listening? 0:10:04.440 --> 0:10:09.520 I mean, I think Chicago is the pick here. There 0:10:09.679 --> 0:10:12.120 looks like they're right around minus two and a half, 0:10:12.160 --> 0:10:17.160 heavily favored towards that and then minus three at some books, 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:20.080 if you can get excuse me, that's for Tampa Bay. 0:10:20.440 --> 0:10:22.760 If Chicago is plus three, I think I'd take that 0:10:23.000 --> 0:10:27.439 they have, in my opinion, the better quarterback than Tampa Bay. 0:10:27.960 --> 0:10:31.200 They on the flip side of the Minnesota turnovers, were 0:10:31.240 --> 0:10:37.320 the beneficiary of those turnovers from Minnesota. So I think 0:10:37.360 --> 0:10:39.600 this is a bit of an overreaction to a one 0:10:39.640 --> 0:10:42.679 game sample. I think on the total the Bucks have 0:10:43.120 --> 0:10:46.360 probably more talented players, but I think as a team, 0:10:46.880 --> 0:10:49.760 the Bears are the better rated team right now. 0:10:50.120 --> 0:10:54.000 Speaking of overreactions, the Detroit Lyons went in on Thursday 0:10:54.080 --> 0:10:56.199 night kicked off the season with a huge upset win 0:10:56.280 --> 0:10:59.599 over the Kansasley Chiefs and defending champions five and a 0:10:59.640 --> 0:11:03.000 half points. They are favored now over the Seattle Seahawks, 0:11:03.000 --> 0:11:06.679 who lost at home to the Los Angeles Rams, and 0:11:06.720 --> 0:11:08.280 a lot of people did not think that was gonna 0:11:08.280 --> 0:11:11.920 help Pens. So a lot of again odd circumstances here 0:11:11.920 --> 0:11:13.520 in some of these Week two games, this being one 0:11:13.520 --> 0:11:15.480 of them. So the Lions five and a half point favorites. 0:11:15.760 --> 0:11:19.079 Fifteen and a half is the number right now when 0:11:19.120 --> 0:11:20.920 you're looking at this here Sam, do you see any 0:11:20.960 --> 0:11:24.360 early value here potentially? And do you think maybe the 0:11:24.400 --> 0:11:27.040 Lions aren't as good as we saw and maybe the 0:11:27.080 --> 0:11:29.520 Seahawks are better than we saw week one? 0:11:31.520 --> 0:11:33.440 This is what I'm not quite sure about right now. 0:11:33.480 --> 0:11:37.760 Seattle lost both of their tackles during the game on Sunday. 0:11:38.600 --> 0:11:42.760 That said, I don't think Detroit's offense was at its 0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:47.480 peak performance and think they could really push it against 0:11:47.480 --> 0:11:51.079 Seattle this week like we saw Los Angeles do yesterday. 0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:54.400 So I think if I had to choose one, it 0:11:54.440 --> 0:12:00.440 would be Detroit mine with the points. But it's it's 0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:02.760 close right now, and I think I would stay away 0:12:02.840 --> 0:12:03.200 right now. 0:12:03.440 --> 0:12:05.160 Okay, Pat, are you staying away right now from this 0:12:05.240 --> 0:12:06.520 line of waiting to see where things go? 0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:09.640 I am, Joe, I'm staying away. It's another case of 0:12:09.720 --> 0:12:12.520 a team coming off a bitter loss versus a team 0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:14.240 fat and happy after a big win. 0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:18.440 But that happened with extra time off too. 0:12:19.360 --> 0:12:21.520 That's the saying that, right The Lions have some extra 0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:25.600 prep time. As Sam mentioned, Seattle's got some key infrastructure 0:12:25.760 --> 0:12:28.960 type injuries, so I'm probably going to avoid this one. 0:12:29.000 --> 0:12:30.560 Like it's a game where I want to bet Seattle, 0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:33.040 but I just don't have the confidence to do it now. 0:12:33.080 --> 0:12:36.400 Pat, barring catastrophic injuries, I'm not going to take too 0:12:36.480 --> 0:12:38.240 much out of tonight's game, the Monday night game that 0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:39.520 we have ahead of us here when it comes to 0:12:39.520 --> 0:12:41.400 the Buffalo Bills. So far as the Buffalo Bills are 0:12:41.440 --> 0:12:43.480 nine and a half point favorites at home against the Raiders, 0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:45.040 so as long as Josh Allen and the Bills are 0:12:45.080 --> 0:12:47.320 intact when they come home, I don't really care what 0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:48.679 happens to this game. I know there's gonna be a 0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:51.040 lot of emotion running through that building. It was nine 0:12:51.040 --> 0:12:53.040 to eleven, it was New York, it was the first 0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:56.400 Aaron Rodgers debut for the New York Jets, is their 0:12:56.440 --> 0:12:58.800 new quarterback. So so much happening in that game. So 0:12:58.840 --> 0:12:59.959 I'm just not gonna take too much out of it. 0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:03.920 That being said, the Raiders also pulled out a sneaky victory. 0:13:04.280 --> 0:13:06.280 This feels like a smash game here. The nine and 0:13:06.320 --> 0:13:08.560 a half. The total in this game is forty eight. 0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:11.280 But Pat, do you think this early in the season 0:13:11.720 --> 0:13:14.120 that a margin this big is actually too much to 0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:14.800 give anybody? 0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:18.400 I think it is, especially if the Bills have a 0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:21.319 big week one victory over a division rival. I could 0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:23.600 see them having a letdown game in Week two at 0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:25.800 home against the Raiders, a game they probably think they 0:13:25.840 --> 0:13:27.120 can just show up for and win. 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:29.640 Yeah, that makes a lot of sense, Sam, when you're 0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:31.560 looking at this too. Again, the nine and a half 0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:33.480 is a big number here. Do you think you wait 0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:35.319 on this one and see if the Bills put a 0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:37.080 hurt and on the Jets and it gets even bigger, 0:13:37.120 --> 0:13:39.040 and then maybe take the Raiders side to cover. 0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:42.480 I don't know that there is a game outcome tonight 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:47.800 that will drastically change things from the Bill's perspective, barring 0:13:48.080 --> 0:13:51.559 a massive injury, like you said, whether it's to God forbid, 0:13:51.640 --> 0:13:55.640 Josh Allen or someone else on the offense. But it's 0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:59.560 it is such a big line to lay this early 0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:02.600 in the season, where again we saw some crazy things 0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:05.120 happen in Week one. Crazy things are going to happen 0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:08.199 again in week two, and so I don't want either 0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:11.319 side of this. I think the over in this game 0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:14.440 is a little bit more interesting because I think Buffalo 0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:19.680 has the firepower. Las Vegas again played decently on offense 0:14:19.800 --> 0:14:24.160 last last night, and I don't think Buffalo's defense is 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:27.920 as strong as people expect them to be, so I 0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:30.800 would lean the over and staying away from sides right. 0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:34.200 Now, okay, And just so everybody knows too. You know, 0:14:34.240 --> 0:14:36.400 as you continue to make these look ahead bets here, 0:14:36.440 --> 0:14:37.800 if you do see things that you like and you 0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:39.840 want to get in on them, make sure you're seeking 0:14:39.880 --> 0:14:41.960 all your sportsbooks to Betting Pros. That's how you get 0:14:42.000 --> 0:14:43.960 it done. That's how you get the best lines here. 0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:46.160 Because there will be movement after tonight's game. 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The 0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:13.320 grand prize winner is gonna get and autograph Jackson Smith 0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:17.280 and Jigba Jersey, the Rookie Sensation for the Seattle Seahawks 0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:20.200 were also given away swag from Fantasy Pros from Betting Pros, 0:15:20.240 --> 0:15:23.640 as well as one year premium upgrades to both apps. 0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:27.160 So weekly winners, monthly winners, overall winners, but everybody wins 0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:29.040 because it's free and we're picking games and it's a 0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:31.320 good time. And later on this week we'll see who 0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:34.160 we the top dogs are. So go join the NFL 0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:36.320 contest over at Betting Pros. It's easy to do and 0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:39.120 it's free, and it's fun, and those are all good things, 0:15:39.240 --> 0:15:42.160 all good things, not so good things here for the Chargers. 0:15:43.280 --> 0:15:46.400 A tough loss. There a PI that probably a lot 0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.360 of people could do without. There was like seven thousand 0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:50.760 flags thrown on that play. Was one of the most 0:15:50.760 --> 0:15:53.640 amazing things. My daughter, who was a young football player herself, 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:55.800 laughed out loud. She said, did they have any more 0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:57.720 flags to throw? When she watched that happen. It was 0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:00.320 the funniest thing, And I said, no, I don't think 0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:03.680 they do, Dear, I don't think they do. But regardless, 0:16:03.720 --> 0:16:06.560 the Chargers will try to get their season back together. 0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:11.239 They are again three point underdogs going into Tennessee, Tennessee's 0:16:11.240 --> 0:16:14.400 favorite and excuse me, they are three point favorites. Pardon me, 0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:17.000 going on the road to Tennessee. Forty five and a 0:16:17.040 --> 0:16:20.200 half is the number for this one, Sam, when you're 0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:22.480 looking at this one here, I think on paper, we 0:16:22.520 --> 0:16:26.080 all agree the Chargers offense is much more interesting and 0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:28.920 much more explosive. Is it just as simple as that? 0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:31.320 Or you know, do we see a better version of 0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:34.680 Ryan Tannehill because yesterday was not good, did not complete 0:16:34.680 --> 0:16:37.400 a lot of his passes. DeAndre Hopkins and him didn't 0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:39.720 seem to get on the same page either. So do 0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:41.640 you think the Chargers go in here and smash and 0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:44.520 take out their aggression from that Miami game? Or do 0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.200 they run into a team at home and the Titans 0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:49.600 that is going to be prepared and kind of bring 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:51.880 them down to their level And that's what Mike Rabel 0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:52.440 does best. 0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:56.880 I think that the Chargers go in and lay it 0:16:56.880 --> 0:17:02.320 on them. I think the Titans showed this offseason drafting well, 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:06.000 levis what they sort of think of Ryan Tannehill long term. 0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:08.600 Obviously this is a one game sample from from this year, 0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:11.359 but he did not look great at all. And the 0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:14.760 Chargers defense is nothing to write home about. They got 0:17:14.760 --> 0:17:19.119 blasted by Tua and the Dolphins yesterday. But I just 0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:21.720 think the Chargers are going to be able to put 0:17:21.800 --> 0:17:26.440 up twenty four plus points against Tennessee. You know, Derek 0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:29.040 Carr didn't play great and the Saints were able to 0:17:29.080 --> 0:17:33.080 move the ball pretty effectively against Tennessee's defense. So I'm 0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:35.000 laying the Chargers with the points here. 0:17:35.520 --> 0:17:38.400 Pat, this is one again. On paper, it looks pretty obvious. 0:17:38.480 --> 0:17:41.080 I know they're you know, the hole underdog is something 0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:43.360 we always love to go for. But did you see 0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:45.960 anything in that Titans game yesterday that gave you confidence 0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:47.440 that they can pull off an upset here against the 0:17:47.520 --> 0:17:48.200 Chargers at home? 0:17:48.880 --> 0:17:50.359 Oh? Boy, Joe, I sure didn't. 0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:54.360 Tannehill looked every bit as bad as the stat line 0:17:54.359 --> 0:17:55.119 would suggest. 0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:56.960 The Titans offensive line. 0:17:57.160 --> 0:17:59.399 A lot of people thought it would be the worst 0:17:59.440 --> 0:18:01.840 in the league, and I see no reason to dispute 0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:05.000 that assessment after what we saw in Week one, and 0:18:05.040 --> 0:18:07.840 it just seems like the Chargers would have superior firepower. 0:18:07.840 --> 0:18:09.800 But that said, I. 0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:14.600 Cannot bring myself to bet against Mike Vrabel at home, 0:18:14.800 --> 0:18:16.919 a Mike Rabel coach team at home, Like I just 0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:19.040 I can't do it. I do think there's a chance 0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:22.600 that Vrabel can turn this into a mud wrestling match 0:18:23.080 --> 0:18:26.320 and you bring the Chargers down to the Titans level. 0:18:26.440 --> 0:18:29.160 So I'm probably gonna avoid this one. It just gives 0:18:29.160 --> 0:18:32.280 me a queasy feeling betting on the Chargers as a 0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:35.040 road dug here. And we know the Chargers tortured history, 0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:37.440 right somehow this is going to be a close game 0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:39.080 and they're gonna find a way. 0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:41.639 To look like this, And that's what I'm always so 0:18:41.800 --> 0:18:44.400 scaped to go with the Chargers when they're obvious favorites 0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:46.639 or just it just never seems to work out when 0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:48.639