1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney. Along 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from CEO, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, 4 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: along with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, 6 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com. A very interesting survey out 7 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: from the Conference Board CEOs worldwide asked about their biggest worries. 8 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: For one, I'd say it made for some some very 9 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: nice light reading right before bedtime. Well he had to 10 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: read us. Adaman Zildroom's Director of Economics and Global Research 11 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: Chair at the Conference Board, Adoman tell us about the 12 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:43,199 Speaker 1: nightmares that we're in this survey. Good morning, thanks for 13 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: having me on the program. Uh, yes, I'm not sure 14 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,279 Speaker 1: it's quite you know, nighttime reading, because you know, we 15 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 1: were asking about what keeps ceo is up at night. UM. 16 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: And you know globally, you know what's the top of 17 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: the list is really the COVID nineteen pandem make and 18 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: the vaccines availability and distribution. Um. And that's much more 19 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:12,199 Speaker 1: important than other business concerns and business challenges. UM. They're 20 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: also really looking at recession risk among the top three 21 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: as a worry about the coming year. So that suggests 22 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 1: that CEOs don't think that the economy is out of 23 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 1: the woods yet. All right, Ottoman, how about the new administration, 24 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: the Biden administration that obviously manifests the whole change in 25 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,200 Speaker 1: away A lot of these corporations will be operating over 26 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: the next four years. How did they frame that out? So? Um, 27 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: you know, we feel that the survey after the elections 28 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: in November just to make sure that we could kind 29 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: of get the policy of what business leaders are thinking 30 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: about it. Especially in the US, CEOs are worried about 31 00:01:56,280 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: the outlook for taxes and regulation uh, and much less 32 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: about global trade diversions or disruptions, and and also less 33 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:10,119 Speaker 1: about geopolitics. UM. So I think they'll be looking at 34 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: the business environment and how it might be affected by 35 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: changes in corporate taxes in the outlook for regulations. But 36 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 1: I think generally, UM, clarity uh and UH, consistency and 37 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 1: more certainty about the environment is going to be welcome. 38 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: And Adaman, just give us an idea of who these 39 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 1: nine CEOs are. Obviously you don't have to mention companies, 40 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:35,799 Speaker 1: but are we talking about the the d s and 41 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:39,359 Speaker 1: P five hundred. Is there a good selection from across 42 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: the market cap ranges? Yeah, it is a global survey, uh, 43 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,799 Speaker 1: and there is a mix of a large cap and 44 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:52,400 Speaker 1: uh smaller companies. Uh. There really is kind of a 45 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 1: wide range. But you know, a lot of the Fortune 46 00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 1: five hundred are going to be represented. And just to 47 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 1: follow on that, then, you know, did the smaller companies 48 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 1: worry about other things than the bigger companies? Would they 49 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: have been more worried, for example, about demand coming back? Uh? 50 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: There is a lot of concern about changing consumer behaviors 51 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 1: as well as about global demand. Uh consumer demand, UM, 52 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: especially for China and Japan, which I think are more 53 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: dependent on global demand. Uh, the recession worries. Uh, We're 54 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 1: a higher rank, so I think there is still concern 55 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 1: about that. There's uh more UM time will be devoted 56 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: to understanding how consumer demand and consumer behaviors are going 57 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 1: to be changing as a result of what we're going 58 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: through with the pandemic. So Automan, how about returning to work? 59 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: That's on the minds I would certainly of employees. How 60 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 1: about the what are the the c e O s 61 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: in the C suite? How do you think about getting 62 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 1: people back to work in a post COVID world. Yeah, 63 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 1: especially for the US CEO SUH, there is a desire 64 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:09,600 Speaker 1: to bring workers back, um, and they really want to 65 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: get back to business. But I think there is a 66 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: recognition that it is going to be a different world 67 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,720 Speaker 1: coming back. UM. When when we ask about, you know, 68 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: are you going to increase your remote workforce or decrease 69 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 1: your remote remote workforce? The responses are really neutral. So 70 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:31,160 Speaker 1: there's kind of an equilibrium in uh, the the proportion 71 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 1: of the workforce that's working remotely. But there is a 72 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,479 Speaker 1: desire to get back to work and come back to 73 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: the office. UM. But it'll be it'll be a different 74 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 1: environment because at the same time, they're really thinking about 75 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: reducing uh the office footprint. Right. So for commercial real estate, 76 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: I think we'll also see some differences in terms of 77 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: the size of those offices and maybe the location of 78 00:04:56,920 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: those offices. You headlines coming out from air Boss that 79 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 1: I think is worth mentioning in this context. Air Boss 80 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 1: saying that production rates will remain lower for longer and 81 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 1: that commercial aircraft that market will recover by five I 82 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: mean seriously automatally looking at another three to five years 83 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: before the commercial aircraft market resumes well, especially since uh, 84 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:30,479 Speaker 1: these CEOs are saying that they're looking at reducing business travel. 85 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: That seems consistent, uh, and recovery would take quite a 86 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: long time, I think to really come back to the 87 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 1: previous levels that we've seen. The general consensus seems to 88 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: be there will be there, there will be less business travel. Um. 89 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:49,919 Speaker 1: And it's hard to see you know how um, you 90 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: know tourism or personal travel is leisure travel is going 91 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:57,359 Speaker 1: to pick up in the near term. Well, you know 92 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:00,599 Speaker 1: poll just to point out that the United EEO had 93 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 1: just said that the turn point is coming on travel demand. Yeah, 94 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:06,279 Speaker 1: it's interesting. I think, as Ottoman says, I can see 95 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: leisure coming back before business. Um, I don't. As soon 96 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 1: as I get my shop the next day, I'm on 97 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 1: a plane, I'll tell you that, Automan, Azel Drum, thank 98 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: you so much for joining us director of Economic Research 99 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: and Global Research Chair at the conference board giving us 100 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: the highlights from their survey of global CEOs. And it'll 101 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: be interesting to see, Vannie, when you get fully evoculated, 102 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:31,039 Speaker 1: will you hop on a plane? Well, you know no, 103 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: because I'll clearly recovering for you, because you'll be on 104 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: that plane pole. But KLM cutting as many as a 105 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: thousand jobs just now because the travel recovery there is fading. 106 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 1: So exactly, President Joe Widen's first day executive order confirmed 107 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 1: what we had been anticipating that TC Energy is Keystone 108 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 1: XL pipeline is delayed again and could be scrapped. That 109 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: might mean wasting an investment of one point four billion 110 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 1: dollars on the part of that company. Let's bring in now, 111 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 1: Oh are Liam Denning, Energy Mining and Commodities columnist for 112 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 1: a Bloomberg opinion, Liam, you know, the corporation obviously might 113 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: lose a lot of money on this particular anticipated investment. 114 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: But is it a good thing that the Xcel pipeline 115 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 1: doesn't go ahead? Uh? I think the Keysone Xcel pipeline 116 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 1: is just one of those things that was conceived in 117 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: a very different environment. So it was first proposed back 118 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: in July of two thousand and eight, which you may remember, 119 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 1: comincided with the all time high in all prices. You know, 120 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: back then, we were obsessed with peak oil supply. We 121 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 1: were worried that oil was running out, um, and we 122 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:50,200 Speaker 1: just live in a very different world now, you know, 123 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 1: oil supply is abundant, particularly right now in the context 124 00:07:55,360 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 1: of the COVID pandemic. Um. We we've seen a you know, 125 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 1: a huge resurgence in oil production in the US in 126 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 1: the intervening thirteen years. Um. And the other thing that's 127 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: changed is just the the political environment, both around climate 128 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 1: policy but also um, you know, in the wake of 129 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: the financial crisis is too dasignating in the wake of 130 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 1: the pandemic, the role of the role of government in 131 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:24,920 Speaker 1: kind of setting outcomes. Liam. Just it's been thirteen years. 132 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 1: Refresh our memory here. The Keystone XL pipeline, it was 133 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: taking oil from where to where, So it was an 134 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: expansion of an existing pipeline network essentially to take oil 135 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:43,960 Speaker 1: from Alberta, mainly from the oil sands up there in Canada, 136 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 1: down to refineries and export terminals on the Gulf Coast 137 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 1: and also into the Midwest. So it was effectively a 138 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: Canadian oil export project. Yeah. And I mean this isn't 139 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:01,680 Speaker 1: the only one called on called at risk, right, there 140 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:04,839 Speaker 1: are other pipelines in the sides of the White House, 141 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:08,679 Speaker 1: not all of the most recent ones, but some, Yes, 142 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 1: there are there are others, certainly, um, in the in 143 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:18,199 Speaker 1: the White Houses sites Clearly, Keystone was especially vulnerable because 144 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 1: um it needed that permit, because it's a cross border pipeline, 145 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 1: and also because of the way it had essentially become 146 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: something in the prerogative of the president themselves. So um, 147 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 1: you know, we saw Obama block it, we saw Trump 148 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 1: revive it, and now we've seen Biden block it again, 149 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: all at the stroke of a pen. So what does 150 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 1: this say about President Biden's energy policy? Liam, What do 151 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 1: we really know? What is what's the What are the 152 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 1: folks in the US energy business? What are they thinking 153 00:09:54,880 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 1: about President biden administration. Well, we already know that Biden 154 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 1: has made climate change a central element of his platform. 155 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 1: UM in some respects he was. He was sort of 156 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: pushed towards that during the primaries by the progressive wing 157 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 1: of the party. What was interesting for me about what 158 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: happened with Keystone is that um TC Energy, the company 159 00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: that wanted to build it, had been carefully kind of 160 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 1: layering on insurance UM by coming to agreements with unions 161 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 1: and with First Nations groups, um IT even it even 162 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: throughout the possibility of powering the thing with renewable energy. 163 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 1: UM Biden kind of swept that aside. You know, you 164 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: you might have expected him to at least go through 165 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: the motions of a of a review process or something 166 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:52,559 Speaker 1: to justify getting rid of the of the of the pipeline. 167 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: But he went for it on day one, literally on 168 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: day one. And what that suggests to me is that 169 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: his administration will probably are on the side of moving quickly, 170 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 1: probably using more executive orders because you know, the Democrats 171 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: obviously have a very thin majority in Congress um so 172 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: you know, it would appear to portender an aggressive stance 173 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 1: on climate. Yeah. Absolutely. I mean we also, as I say, 174 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 1: have other pipelines that are potentially in the sites are 175 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,920 Speaker 1: the president. What does it mean for oil supply though, 176 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 1: because the type of oil that was going to be 177 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 1: passed through the pipeline is is different that the Canadian 178 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,360 Speaker 1: oil is thicker and heavier oil. What would it have 179 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:38,959 Speaker 1: been used for. Well, typically those kinds of barrels UM 180 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 1: use to supply what are called distillates UM so, so 181 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 1: diesel being the most obvious one. You know, the kind 182 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:50,680 Speaker 1: of oil we get from uh Texan shale for example, 183 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:55,319 Speaker 1: tends to be more geared towards producing gasoline. What's interesting 184 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:59,680 Speaker 1: about the cancelation of Keystone Excel at this time is 185 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 1: that in effect, it's not really going to matter that 186 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: much for Canadian supply because of what we've seen with 187 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 1: the industry in general having to scale back it's expansion 188 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 1: plans because of poor financial performance over the past decade, 189 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 1: of the need to conserve cash and pay it out 190 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: as dividends. Canadian or production growth probably wasn't going to 191 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:27,680 Speaker 1: be that much anyway over the next over the medium term, 192 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:31,760 Speaker 1: and so in some respects Keysonne Excel at this point 193 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: just wasn't really a pipeline that was needed. Men, what 194 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: do we know about the present Biden stands towards um 195 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 1: the shale patch in and the and the fracking industry, 196 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: because that's where you know, there's a substantial number of 197 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 1: US jobs. Sure so, um, you know in theory he 198 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: wants to put severe curbs on on fracking. The key 199 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 1: issue probably in the near term is whether there will 200 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 1: be some sort of UH ban on new fracking on 201 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: federal lands. UM. That would be a particular issue for 202 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:09,840 Speaker 1: states like New Mexico, which, as you may know, is 203 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 1: also where his his nominee for Interior is coming from. 204 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 1: So that's going to be an interesting one to watch. Um. 205 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 1: Beyond that, you know, one of the things that caught 206 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:23,560 Speaker 1: my eye, uh in the executive orders was this move 207 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: to to reinstate a social cost of greenhouse gases in 208 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 1: terms of federal review of projects. And in some ways 209 00:13:32,800 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 1: that is going to be like a carbon tax, but 210 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: it's kind of a stealth carbon tax um that's introduced 211 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 1: when new projects are being considered, and so that could 212 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 1: have a big impact on how new projects, Um, you 213 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 1: know move from the drawing boarder into actual investment phase. Liam, 214 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:54,440 Speaker 1: we're out of time that I do want to just 215 00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 1: mention it with you. That also, Saudia Rancole is causing 216 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 1: some controversy today because according to a a view of 217 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:04,920 Speaker 1: public filings by Bloomberg Green, it's been under reporting emissions 218 00:14:05,360 --> 00:14:08,319 Speaker 1: of course because it wants investors to keep investing, but 219 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: it's been doing this by quite the large fraction. Yeah, 220 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:15,600 Speaker 1: that was a great story by my colleagues. Um. You know, 221 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 1: the one point I would just make is that this 222 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 1: kind of fits a patter, and we saw it most 223 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 1: recently with Excell Mobile, which really had to be kind 224 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 1: of pushed into even just disclosing its full carbon emissions footprint. 225 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 1: And I think what this speaks to is. Look, the 226 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 1: oil industry for decades has been trying to obfuscate this issue, 227 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 1: push onto the back burner. And you know we've seen 228 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: over time the industry has forced to disclose more and 229 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: and a Ramco's behavior I think just fits with that, right, 230 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 1: Liam Denning, thank you so much for joining us. We 231 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 1: appreciate your thoughts always on the global energy spaces, energy 232 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: mining and commodities calmness for Bloomberg Compinion. You can reach 233 00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:59,760 Speaker 1: and read his work and all the other work for 234 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 1: Work Opinion at Bloomberg dot com, Slash Opinion or O 235 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: P I N go on the terminal. Five market drivers 236 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 1: in a Biden Administration. That is the title of a 237 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 1: recent calm by Barry rid Hoolts. Barry joins us today. 238 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: Barry Ridholts, Bloomberg Opinion columnists and host of Masters in 239 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 1: Business on Bloomberg Radio, also the founder, chairman and chief 240 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 1: investment officer of Holt's Wealth Management. Barry the reasons to 241 00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: be bullish on stocks they continue to amount, how are 242 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: you viewing things in a Biden administration? So it's the 243 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 1: battle between bulls and bears. Is really the battle between 244 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: which matters more expensive stocks or even bigger stimulus, and 245 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:48,760 Speaker 1: so far it looks like stimulus is winning. Yeah, but Barry, 246 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 1: we keep hearing about the stimulus, but even Nancy Pelosi 247 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: said today that it won't you know, she put it 248 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 1: in positive terms. And so the Democrats would be ready 249 00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 1: in February, I mean, the worst of Why aren't they 250 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 1: ready now? Um, you got me. I. I looks like 251 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 1: the new administration hits the ground running yesterday with a 252 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 1: lot of their checking off a lot of boxes. They're 253 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 1: freezing a lot of things that the predecessors had done, 254 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 1: and they're overturning a bunch of the the more egregious 255 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 1: um policy issues. I think they need people to wrap 256 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 1: their head around a one point nine billion dollar, trillion 257 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 1: dollar Cars Act three before they introduce the infrastructure bill. 258 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: I don't know if people remember, but this week is 259 00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: infrastructure week, as we've heard every year for the past 260 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 1: four years. And uh, the Green New Deal is another 261 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:49,200 Speaker 1: part of that. And and nobody is really talking about 262 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:54,880 Speaker 1: Medicare expansion. Uh, the the you know, new Obamacare expansion. 263 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 1: When we added thirty thirty five million people to the 264 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 1: roles of in sured, suddenly you had a huge new 265 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:09,360 Speaker 1: swath of consumers going out and buying consuming uh, medical 266 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:13,439 Speaker 1: services and pharmaceutical services and hospitals. It was a huge, 267 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,200 Speaker 1: no pun intended shot in the arm for the sector. 268 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 1: I don't know what numbers they're talking about. I've I've 269 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 1: read twenty to twenty five million additional people added to 270 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 1: the to the insured roles. So you take those factors 271 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 1: and you add them together, that's somewhere between five and 272 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 1: ten trillion dollars over the next ten years. That's a 273 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 1: lot of stimulus. So talk to us about stimulus and 274 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: and how important is that. I mean, there's some that 275 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,359 Speaker 1: are suggesting, boy, there's already a lot of liquidit in 276 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:47,120 Speaker 1: the market. There's a lot of money, maybe even from 277 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:51,240 Speaker 1: the most recent nine billion round that hasn't been spent. 278 00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:52,920 Speaker 1: What do you say to those that say, hey, let's 279 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:56,239 Speaker 1: tap the brakes on this a little bit, you know, 280 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 1: you have to put it into content next of the 281 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:05,160 Speaker 1: what we learned from and there were a lot of 282 00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 1: good and bad lessons from the entire year, at least 283 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 1: speaking economically. The good news is that we passed the 284 00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: two point one trillion dollar First Cares Act and the 285 00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:23,679 Speaker 1: after tax net cumultive income to us consumers was a 286 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:27,960 Speaker 1: trillion dollars. That was about a eight percent bump year 287 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:30,479 Speaker 1: over year. That that was huge in the midst of 288 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:34,440 Speaker 1: a giant recession. And the way that manifest was not 289 00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 1: just income but UH savings rates went up, credit card 290 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:43,480 Speaker 1: delinquencies fell, and retail sales not only did they recover, 291 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:47,879 Speaker 1: they passed the pre pandemic levels. So that's our frame 292 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 1: of reference. What we noticed at the end of last 293 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: year was how that had faded, and so we we 294 00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:03,200 Speaker 1: extrapolate from that into what this New Cares Act two 295 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 1: is going to do, and that assumes that we were 296 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 1: kind of partially reopened. What we're what people seem to 297 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:14,440 Speaker 1: be forgetting, is we have this massive new surge that 298 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,680 Speaker 1: has in the virus that has not peaked. We are 299 00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 1: probably looking at not just a national mask mandate, but 300 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:26,600 Speaker 1: a whole bunch of local, state, and maybe even federal 301 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 1: lockdowns as this gets worse and worse. I mean, four 302 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 1: thousand deaths a day are just it's just unthinkable. And 303 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: so I think the New Cares Act is going to 304 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:39,280 Speaker 1: be part of here's how we're gonna bang this out. 305 00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:42,440 Speaker 1: We're gonna just shut down for three weeks and here's 306 00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 1: enough money to carry everybody through, and that's how we'll 307 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 1: get on the other side of this, and once that's done, 308 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:53,119 Speaker 1: the broader economy can begin to recover, once we're past 309 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:55,800 Speaker 1: the pandemic lockdown and we start to see more and 310 00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:59,359 Speaker 1: more vaccines. I don't know, Barrier, remember Biden saying that 311 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: he would not, you know, do a whole federal shutdown, 312 00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 1: and anyway, at this point, you know, on the whole 313 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:08,920 Speaker 1: world shutdown, it seems that you know, that's not even 314 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:12,119 Speaker 1: fool proof either. But we'll see, maybe maybe there'll be 315 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,199 Speaker 1: a three week shutdown. Barry, What what would you be 316 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:17,639 Speaker 1: looking to buy right now? With markets at these levels 317 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:22,119 Speaker 1: and yet still optimism seemingly out there. So you know, 318 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:25,680 Speaker 1: it depends on how concerned you are about valuation and 319 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 1: how aggressive or conservative you are. If you're aggressive, go 320 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 1: buy everything, but most people aren't. Most people are more moderate. 321 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:38,480 Speaker 1: And if you're a little concerned that stocks have gotten 322 00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:43,880 Speaker 1: a little pricy, well, the the obvious rotation is you 323 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:48,480 Speaker 1: move some of your capital that's in large cap growth 324 00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:52,720 Speaker 1: and tech and you buy what's inexpensive. And what we 325 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:56,639 Speaker 1: see is inexpensive today is is really stands out like 326 00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 1: a sore thumb. The small caps have been are much 327 00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 1: cheaper than the big caps. Value is at historic levels 328 00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:08,520 Speaker 1: of cheapness next to growth they should be after performing 329 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: terribly for the past decade. Emerging markets are much cheaper 330 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:15,800 Speaker 1: than the US, And if we do get the sort 331 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:19,399 Speaker 1: of stimulus that this administration is talking about, we're going 332 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: to see the deficits go up, We're gonna see inflation 333 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 1: peak up, and we're gonna see the yield curve. We've 334 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:29,919 Speaker 1: talked about this before. UM. Once the yield curve steepens, 335 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:33,800 Speaker 1: that means that the money center banks should do better 336 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: going forward, as well as anything related to to real estate. 337 00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,720 Speaker 1: So there are a lot of options depending on how 338 00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:46,240 Speaker 1: conservative you want to be. But selling a little bit 339 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:48,840 Speaker 1: of what's done great and buying a little bit of 340 00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,400 Speaker 1: what's done poorly, that's sort of rebalancing tends to work 341 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,520 Speaker 1: over the long haul. Hey, Barry, twenty seconds, just give 342 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:57,960 Speaker 1: us your thoughts on just valuation for the market here. 343 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,480 Speaker 1: You know the to me, the question is in our 344 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: stocks pricy because the second half of all bull markets 345 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 1: are always pricey. The question is how much of future 346 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:13,760 Speaker 1: profit increases is priced into the market already. That's the 347 00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 1: bottom line, if this room to grow profits, then there's 348 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 1: still room for stocks to go higher. I'm not sure 349 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:24,000 Speaker 1: if it's fully priced in yet. M hmm. Interesting, very Rittles, 350 00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:27,360 Speaker 1: thank you very two words or possibly three. Who's your 351 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: master's in business this weekend? Uh? This weekend is Andrew 352 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:35,600 Speaker 1: Beer of Dynamic Beta Investments. They run an ets that 353 00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:38,640 Speaker 1: three words on replication their their track workord you got 354 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:42,280 Speaker 1: it in Thanks Barry Verry Rittle's, founder of Rittle's Wealth Management, 355 00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:47,119 Speaker 1: also Bloomberg opinion contributor and contributor to our show weekly. 356 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 1: So it is the first full day for President Biden 357 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 1: in the Oval office, for him in his administration. A 358 00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:59,159 Speaker 1: busy start to his administration for sure. Let's get the 359 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:02,680 Speaker 1: latest from Josh wind Grove, white House correspondent for Bloomberg 360 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: News Journeys, on the phone from Washington, d C. Josh, 361 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,919 Speaker 1: I want to start with just the general tone in 362 00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,920 Speaker 1: the White House as it relates to the administration and 363 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:15,200 Speaker 1: the press corps. I saw something on my Twitter feed 364 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,399 Speaker 1: today which was really interesting, kind of comparing the highlights 365 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:23,639 Speaker 1: from the first press briefing under President Trump versus the 366 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:28,159 Speaker 1: first press briefing under President Biden, and boy, it was 367 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: the differences were just stark. What's the feeling within the 368 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,200 Speaker 1: press corps and the White House right now? Well, I mean, 369 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 1: so they're returning to daily press briefings or at least 370 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,480 Speaker 1: weekday press briefings, That of course has not been the 371 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,880 Speaker 1: case or was not the case for the last two 372 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:46,440 Speaker 1: years under the Trump administration. Trump's Press secretary, Kaylee mcinny 373 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:51,639 Speaker 1: obviously was pretty gleeful in sparring went the press and 374 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 1: you know, trying to rechange, reframe the narrative. She her 375 00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: very first press briefings that she would never lie. Of 376 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: course she light all the time. But you know, Biden's 377 00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:07,720 Speaker 1: team has now come in. Jock is saying, look, you know, 378 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:11,520 Speaker 1: we're gonna we're committed to sharing information, but you know, 379 00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,399 Speaker 1: well we'll see, we'll see where it though. She uh, 380 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: she's obviously deeply experienced and this she uh, you know, 381 00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:25,399 Speaker 1: very smooth in her first appearance. I'm sure, but you know, 382 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 1: it's all the job up there is to give the 383 00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:31,439 Speaker 1: view of the president. She said as much yesterday. So 384 00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 1: everything's with a grain as salt. Yeah, Josh, it was 385 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 1: a very interesting news conference. Give us your thoughts on 386 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 1: whether you think there might be some kind of a 387 00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 1: policy to not mention the predecessor form President Donald Trump. 388 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: Everything that related to him was either punted to Congress 389 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: in terms of any impeachment process, or just not really 390 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 1: answered at all. For example, the question of the current 391 00:24:55,960 --> 00:25:00,159 Speaker 1: FBI director Christopher Ay. Yeah, they really do want to 392 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 1: try to think, take the temperature down and just saying 393 00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:04,919 Speaker 1: the word Trump has a habit of not doing that. 394 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,400 Speaker 1: So I think we'll see them pull back. We've seen 395 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: this even on the issue of impeachment. Remember, this is 396 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,199 Speaker 1: a big question. A lot of stuff Trump or excuse me, 397 00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: do you know lots of Biden wants to do, relies 398 00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:18,200 Speaker 1: on Congress, and Congress in particular. Of course, the Senate 399 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,280 Speaker 1: is going to be logjam potentially dealing with impeachment. He 400 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:25,560 Speaker 1: just this morning they were asked, does Biden think that 401 00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,560 Speaker 1: Trump committed impeachable offenses? They won't even go there. They're like, 402 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,640 Speaker 1: we're leaving this to the Senate. The Senate can deal 403 00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 1: with this. So I think they really are trying to, 404 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 1: you know, stay away from it, take down the temperature. 405 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,560 Speaker 1: But we'll see. Biden, of course, yesterday has a big 406 00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:43,440 Speaker 1: speech appealing to inaugurate, appealing on inauguration to say hey, 407 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,919 Speaker 1: we need unity, Americans need to come together. There's already 408 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:48,719 Speaker 1: those signs that. Of course in Congress it's not going 409 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 1: to be all that unified, even on something like the pandemic. 410 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,199 Speaker 1: So you know, I think Rubber is about to hit 411 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 1: road and testing Hiden series that there's some sort of 412 00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:02,119 Speaker 1: bipartisan Washington idea that he can return to. All right, Josh, 413 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 1: give us what do you think the to do list 414 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 1: is for President Biden here in these first days? Well there, 415 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 1: it sounds like they're going to try to bunch things 416 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 1: into certain themes on certain days. Today absolutely is all 417 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,120 Speaker 1: about the coronavirus. We're gonna have a press briefing at four. 418 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 1: Bidens getting his own briefing at to Dr Fauci is 419 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: going to join the press briefing. Remember him, you know, 420 00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 1: every day we used to hear from him, like in 421 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:31,000 Speaker 1: March and April, but in fact, between April and today 422 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,520 Speaker 1: only once had Dr Fauci been to the White House podium. 423 00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: Trump did not at least invite him up there for 424 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 1: months and months and months. So they we're going to 425 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 1: hear it all about all about that. I'm sure we'll 426 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 1: have more information on things like immigration, uh maybe climate 427 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,119 Speaker 1: coming forward in the coming days. But you know, they 428 00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:51,720 Speaker 1: used to say that they have this sort of multi 429 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:55,720 Speaker 1: pronged approach, you know, concurrent crises, climate change, racial and 430 00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:59,400 Speaker 1: equality of the pandemic economy. Now they're sort of still 431 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:00,879 Speaker 1: saying that a bit it but changing their two and 432 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 1: they're like, look, this is all about the pandemic. And 433 00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:06,840 Speaker 1: we reported yesterday that they were they've been growing increasingly alarmed. 434 00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,320 Speaker 1: They think they've been handed you know, shambles of an 435 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:14,080 Speaker 1: organization by the Trump administration in terms of the vaccine rollout. 436 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 1: The virus is just getting worse. There's a new strain 437 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,560 Speaker 1: that is particularly alarming. Uh so really alarmed. Bells coming 438 00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:22,879 Speaker 1: in and now Biden, they think badly that the pandemic 439 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,480 Speaker 1: will get worse before it gets better, and that we're 440 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 1: in for a quote dark winter, Josh. They's executive orders? 441 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:33,639 Speaker 1: Are they now policy? I mean, is it enough for 442 00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 1: the president to say that we're back in the w 443 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 1: h O and that we're back in the powers climate 444 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,520 Speaker 1: a cord or it just does something need to be enforced. No, 445 00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 1: he has the power to do that. As a bit 446 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:44,760 Speaker 1: of a mechanic side of it, you know, Paris, for instance, 447 00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:47,600 Speaker 1: to take about a month to take effect. Um. But 448 00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,919 Speaker 1: you know, the things that are within his power he 449 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:53,199 Speaker 1: can do by executive order flick of a pen, and 450 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,119 Speaker 1: that's what we're seeing him doing. But a lot of 451 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,679 Speaker 1: the stuff that he wants to do, namely anything that 452 00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:00,919 Speaker 1: requires money, he needs Congress for And that's why we're 453 00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,439 Speaker 1: going to see this big push to get the new 454 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 1: coronavirus you know bill. And the question is can they 455 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:10,119 Speaker 1: do something in a bipartisan way? You know, it looks 456 00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 1: like there may be already losing appetite to do that. 457 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 1: There's two roads in front of Democrats, and they get 458 00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:20,119 Speaker 1: a bipartisan bill with Republican votes, or you know, can 459 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,920 Speaker 1: they just ram it through on their own. Uh. They're 460 00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,560 Speaker 1: at least making noises that they would like to do 461 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:28,040 Speaker 1: something by partisan But of course the benefit of winning 462 00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,919 Speaker 1: those two Georgia Senate races is that if they have 463 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,640 Speaker 1: to use a hammer and get things through, they can. 464 00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:37,240 Speaker 1: So we'll see how that goes. But for now, Biden 465 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:40,280 Speaker 1: is trying to do everything he can do unilaterally, but 466 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 1: he doesn't have a leeway. I'm sure US presidents would 467 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,360 Speaker 1: love to have the power that prime ministers of other 468 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:51,040 Speaker 1: countries have in terms of UNI A, Josh, thank you 469 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 1: so much. Looking forward to more coverage from you from Washington, 470 00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:56,720 Speaker 1: d C. That's Josh win World or White House Correspondent. 471 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,720 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to Boomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe 472 00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 1: and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast 473 00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,560 Speaker 1: platform you prefer. I'm Bonnie Quinn, I'm on Twitter at 474 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:10,920 Speaker 1: Bonnie Quinn, and I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at 475 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,800 Speaker 1: pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can always catch us 476 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:15,280 Speaker 1: worldwide at Bloomberg Radio