1 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Law with June Brusso from Bloomberg Radio. 2 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 2: A judge struck down George's abortion law, which effectively prohibited 3 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 2: abortions beyond about six weeks of pregnancy. That's often before 4 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 2: women realize they're pregnant. Judge Robert McBurney wrote, it is 5 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 2: not for a legislator, a judge, or a commander from 6 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:29,200 Speaker 2: the Handmaid's tale to tell these women what to do 7 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 2: with their bodies during this period when the fetis cannot survive. 8 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:36,239 Speaker 2: His ruling means the law in the state reverts to 9 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 2: its prior status, allowing abortions until roughly twenty weeks into pregnancy, 10 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 2: although the state Attorney General intends to appeal to the 11 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: state Supreme Court, which already struck down the law on 12 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:52,600 Speaker 2: different grounds. Joining me is Elizabeth Zepper, a professor at 13 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 2: the University of Texas Law School and an expert in 14 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 2: health law. Liz, will you tell us about the history 15 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:03,279 Speaker 2: of the litigation over this Georgia abortion ban? So? 16 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 3: Two years ago the court here held a trial on 17 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:13,760 Speaker 3: the constitutionality of Georgia's six week abortion ban and entered 18 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 3: in order, largely in joining the provisions of the law, 19 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 3: but then the state appealed and the Supreme Court stayed 20 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 3: the court's ruling to allow it to consider the full 21 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 3: merit of the constitutional argument. And so with this reversal, 22 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 3: it went back to the trial court, and now the 23 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 3: trial court again has determined that the law violates the 24 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:39,759 Speaker 3: state constitutional protections for liberty, privacy, and equal protection. 25 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 2: Does Georgia law have a broader right to privacy than 26 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:45,520 Speaker 2: federal law? 27 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 3: The Georgia Constitution protects liberty in a due process clause 28 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 3: that looks a lot like the US Constitution but was 29 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 3: more recently ratified in nineteen eighty two, and that has 30 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 3: been interpreted by Georgia court to encompass a right to privacy. 31 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 2: I thought that the language was sort of stunning until 32 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: that life can be sustained by the state and not 33 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 2: solely by the woman compelled by the act to do 34 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 2: the state's work. The balance of rights favors the woman. 35 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 2: Can you explain his reasoning? 36 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 3: Sure? On the issue of the pregnant person's liberty, the 37 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,679 Speaker 3: Georgia Constitution protects a right to be let alone, and 38 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:30,119 Speaker 3: like many other state constitutions, this means that individuals get 39 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 3: to make choices about their own bodies including the right 40 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 3: to refuse medical treatment or to take medical treatment that 41 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 3: we might disagree with. And the court here says, look, 42 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 3: there's a compelling interest on the part of the state 43 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 3: in protecting fetal life, that there's a fundamental right on 44 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 3: the other side of the ledger and on balance until viability, 45 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 3: that balance favors the woman, so that abortion prior to 46 00:02:57,160 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 3: viability has to be available to her. That otherwise the 47 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 3: state is conscripting her into service to the state in 48 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 3: a context where the fetus is entirely dependent on the 49 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 3: pregnant person and the state can't assume responsibility for the 50 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 3: fetal life. 51 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 2: Also, he said that the Georgia ben isn't narrowly tailored. 52 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 3: Right. He says it's not narrowly tailored because it is 53 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 3: so broad, and that the state can't advance its interest 54 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 3: in fetal life by so overwhelmingly destroying the pregnant person's 55 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 3: ability to control her body and to make decisions about 56 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 3: medical treatment. That only post viability line can the state 57 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 3: apply its law so broadly and tell. 58 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: Us a little about the claim under the Georgia Constitution's 59 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 2: equal protection clause. 60 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 3: Right, So, under the Georgia Constitution, the equal protection clause 61 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 3: requires strict scrutiny, so the highest level of constitutional review 62 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 3: where you have an infringement on a fundamental right and 63 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 3: the state is sorting people. So the plaintiffs here had 64 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 3: made a number of arguments about the ways that the 65 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 3: law was sorting people, and the court here in particular 66 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 3: highlighted that the state, as some other states have done 67 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:17,600 Speaker 3: as well, has allowed pregnant people to access abortion for 68 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 3: medical emergencies, but then has said that mental health crises 69 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 3: are not accepted from the abortion ban. And the court said, look, right, 70 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:30,479 Speaker 3: healthcare crisis that involve the brain, which is a very 71 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:35,839 Speaker 3: important organ for our functioning, can't be treated differently than 72 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 3: crises involving the body, and that there seems to be 73 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 3: some animals against mental health actually underlying this particular classification. 74 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 2: What do you think about the language of the opandanim 75 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 2: He also referred to it's not for a legislator, a judge, 76 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 2: or a commander from the Handmaid's tale to tell these 77 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 2: women what to do with their bodies. 78 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 3: I think in some measure it looks a lot like 79 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:03,239 Speaker 3: language that we're seeing from state court judges across the country. Now. 80 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 3: Sometimes that language is in descent. I think here about 81 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 3: the Ioa Supreme Court, which recently upheld that state six 82 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 3: week ban over some pretty vigorous descent, and in a 83 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:18,440 Speaker 3: context where that court had been stacked by Republicans so 84 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 3: as to change the state constitutional protection. So here, what 85 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 3: I think the Trial Court is doing is a couple things. 86 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 3: He is telling the state Supreme Court that there is 87 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:31,479 Speaker 3: a long history here and that their position on the 88 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 3: abortion van defies the interpretation of the Georgia Constitution that 89 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 3: courts had previously understood. I think the trial court also 90 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 3: signals that he fully expects that the state Supreme Court 91 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:47,240 Speaker 3: will reverse him. He slams the Supreme Court very early 92 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 3: on for its false modesty. Right, It's basically its pretense 93 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 3: that the court was sort of just calling balls and strikes, 94 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 3: and the constitution means what it means, and courts don't 95 00:05:58,400 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 3: actually play a role in telling people what it means. 96 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 3: And he basically calls them out for engaging in nonsense 97 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 3: on that point. So I think the major takeaway from 98 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,839 Speaker 3: this opinion is that abortion is not safe in Georgia. 99 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 3: I think the voters of Georgia should be aware that 100 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 3: it is highly unlikely that abortion will become legal in 101 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 3: the state and the six week span will remain enjoined. 102 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 3: And so I think that's a really important point given 103 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 3: the election year, where I actually think the timing of 104 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 3: this decision is one that could really confuse voters where 105 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 3: they think maybe abortion is no longer an issue in 106 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 3: the same and. 107 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 2: The next step is they'll appeal this to the Georgia 108 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 2: Supreme Court. 109 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, so the next step is an appeal on the 110 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 3: constitutional issues. Again, I think highly unlikely there is this 111 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 3: decision stands for any period of time. 112 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:48,799 Speaker 2: So I'm wondering whether doctors would even feel safe performing 113 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:51,360 Speaker 2: abortions in this interim period. 114 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, so it sort of depends on the political economy 115 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:58,360 Speaker 3: of Georgia. I guess you know. We've seen trial courts 116 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 3: in the state of Texas. For example, in Kate Cox's case, 117 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 3: right trial court had issued an order that would have 118 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:08,039 Speaker 3: allowed a doctor to go forward with an abortion for 119 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 3: Kate Cox, and the Attorney General threatened any hospital or 120 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 3: physician that went forward that he would in fact prosecute 121 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 3: them to the full extent of the law. We also 122 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 3: saw in Amanda Zerovski's case in Texas, a win in 123 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 3: the trial court that was immediately enjoined right, So there 124 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 3: was never sort of the time for providers to begin 125 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 3: providing care. So that may well happen in Georgia as well. 126 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 2: I wanted to ask you about Louisiana. Louisiana became the 127 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 2: first state to list abortion drugs as control substances. What 128 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 2: does that mean for using abortion drugs in that state? 129 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, so treating abortion drugs as controlled substances means that 130 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 3: possession of methopristoe my prosco can be prosecuted as a 131 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 3: drug crime, also affecting care in hospital settings because it's 132 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 3: a controlled substance, right, requiring a lot more in the 133 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 3: way of regulation and control over the drug. And these 134 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 3: drugs are used both for non therapeutic abortions where people 135 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 3: are seeking abortion, and also for miscarriage treatment. 136 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 2: If you look at how strict the state's abortion bands are, 137 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 2: is Louisiana on the outer edge of most extreme? 138 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 3: Yes, I mean it's a large and growing group of 139 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 3: states that are on the outer edge of abortion regulation. 140 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,439 Speaker 3: I think it's important to put in context that Louisiana's 141 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 3: criminal abortion pill law is consistent with the fact that 142 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 3: Louisiana incarcerates people at a rate really not known in 143 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 3: the developed world. So a verycarceral state that prefers to 144 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 3: deal with almost every kind of social problem that the 145 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 3: legislature might identify as a criminal problem. So pregnant people 146 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 3: are exempted from the law, but friends or family or 147 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 3: anyone who possesses medication abortion just in case could be 148 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 3: subject to the criminalization. 149 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 2: Besides Louisiana, do any other states abortion laws stand out 150 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 2: to you? 151 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 3: You know, there are a number of states that have very, 152 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:22,679 Speaker 3: very narrow exceptions. Tennessee is one with very narrow exceptions. 153 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 3: There are states that require, for example, substantial impairment of 154 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 3: a major bodily function be irreversible in order for a 155 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 3: doctor to perform an abortion. I suspect that the legislative 156 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:39,440 Speaker 3: term beginning in January is going to come with a 157 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 3: lot of innovations in abortion law. We'll probably see things 158 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 3: like travel restrictions. We may see more states follow Louisiana's 159 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 3: model in criminalizing abortion pills as controlled substances. So I 160 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 3: think there's just a lot of lawmaking in this area 161 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:01,959 Speaker 3: and a lot of competition between states to regulate more thoroughly. 162 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:06,320 Speaker 2: And on the opposite end of the spectrum from Louisiana 163 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 2: is California. Is California tell us about its lawsuit against 164 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 2: a Catholic hospital. 165 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 3: So, California has filed a lawsuit under the Emergency Medical 166 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 3: Treatment and Labor Act against a Catholic hospital that refused 167 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 3: care to a pregnant person who is miscarrying. And this 168 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 3: is really an important lawsuit because we know that hospitals, 169 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 3: even before Dobbs, in particular religiously affiliated hospitals, had been 170 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:41,559 Speaker 3: denying and delaying care from miscarriages to people and also 171 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 3: for treatment of ectopic pregnancies. And so this is really 172 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 3: an attempt to make sure that hospitals within jurisdictions that 173 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 3: are committed to abortion care are providing abortion care in 174 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 3: those sort of narrow situations that the federal law requires, 175 00:10:56,840 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 3: so where someone's health is in serious jeopardy nless they 176 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 3: get an abortion. And this is in line with the 177 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 3: cases that we're seeing ongoing both in Texas and Idaho. 178 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 3: Idaho's case had gone up to the Supreme Court last term, 179 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:12,840 Speaker 3: but the court basically punted, raising the question of what 180 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:16,560 Speaker 3: the federal law requires of hospitals and what they have 181 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 3: to do under abortion bands. California's lawsuit doesn't involve an 182 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 3: abortion ban, but does involve the question of what is 183 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 3: the contours of MTALLA. What kind of protections can people 184 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 3: who are pregnant expect when they go to an emergency room. 185 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,080 Speaker 3: In blue states and red states alike. 186 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 2: There are a lot of states where abortion will be 187 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:41,439 Speaker 2: on the ballot. How much do you think abortion will 188 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 2: play in the election? 189 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 3: I mean, abortion seems to be playing a role in 190 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 3: motivating voters both to vote and to vote in favor 191 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 3: of abortion rights. I think it's essential that we understand 192 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 3: that abortion rights are at play at both the federal 193 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 3: and the state levels. So even states that have ballid 194 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,959 Speaker 3: in issue to protect abortion are of course subject to 195 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 3: federal jurisdiction. And if we have a second Trump administration, 196 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 3: the Trump campaign in Project twenty twenty five have made 197 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 3: very clear that a national abortion ban is a goal 198 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 3: and that the Comstock Act could act as a national 199 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 3: abortion ban. So I think it's important to think about 200 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 3: the states, think about what protections they could put in 201 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 3: place for abortion or impediments to abortions. But we live 202 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 3: in a federal system, which means what happens at the 203 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:32,240 Speaker 3: federal level matters quite a lot for access to healthcare. 204 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,440 Speaker 2: So much is at stake in this election. Thanks so much, 205 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 2: Liz Best. Professor Elizabeth Zepper of the University of Texas 206 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 2: Law School. Coming up next. Lawsuits are piling up over 207 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 2: election rules. This is Bloomberg. The lawsuits range from disputes 208 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:54,079 Speaker 2: over mail in ballots and purging voter roles to how 209 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 2: to run the voting and finalize ballot counts. Republicans have 210 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,959 Speaker 2: filed a landslide of elect election lawsuits in more than 211 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 2: half the states to challenge voting rules and election processes, 212 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 2: but there's a clearer concentration of lawsuits in swing states 213 00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 2: like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, perhaps sowing more 214 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 2: confusion before the election than anything else. Joining me to 215 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 2: clear up the confusion is elections law expert Derek Muller, 216 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 2: a professor at Notre Dame Law School. Derek, the Republicans 217 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:32,360 Speaker 2: have been filing lawsuits across the country. Is there anything 218 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:37,440 Speaker 2: different about these lawsuits than in other years, either in 219 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:40,079 Speaker 2: numbers or in the kind of lawsuits? 220 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think the rnc's lawsuits earlier this year. 221 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:45,439 Speaker 1: There's sort of a trunch of them that they were 222 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 1: filing at the beginning of twenty twenty four. I think 223 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:50,079 Speaker 1: the theme was we want to file these before the 224 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: elections so that were not caught flat footed after the election. 225 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 1: There are obviously lots of disputes about changes to election 226 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 1: rules in twenty twenty, and some challenges that arose in 227 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 1: states like Sylvania about how they were counting apps and 228 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: tee ballots, and then some of those roads too late 229 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 1: in the game, it becomes just unrealistic to seek a remedy. 230 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:10,720 Speaker 1: There's not adequate time to evaluate the measures. So I 231 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 1: mean the rnc's efforts here sometimes intervening cases, sometimes trying 232 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,439 Speaker 1: to protect existing laws, and other times filing lawsuits. The 233 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 1: challenge laws is a sort of step to stage ahead 234 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 1: of the elections. That I mean, even if you lose, 235 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 1: you had your day in court, as opposed to the 236 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 1: case being thrown out altogether. So there's a question. We're 237 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,400 Speaker 1: seeing high volume of cases being filed, but in some 238 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 1: respects it's less than twenty twenty. I mean, in twenty 239 00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 1: twenty we had so many changes because of COVID, so 240 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 1: many late breaking changes by legislatures or by state executives 241 00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 1: or people suing to say that the executive should have 242 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 1: done something. The executive shouldn't have done something, whatever it 243 00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 1: might be. And so we definitely see a good chunk 244 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 1: of cases this year, but in some respects not nearly 245 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 1: the volume we saw in twenty twenty. 246 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:53,240 Speaker 2: Do you go along with the theory I've heard espouse 247 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 2: that these suits lay the groundwork for if Trump or 248 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 2: Republicans lose the election, lease suits to the groundwork for 249 00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 2: more suits challenging the election results. 250 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 1: So I don't know how much it can lay the 251 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 1: groundwork for our results. If you lose before the election, 252 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 1: it seems hard to say that you're somehow going to 253 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 1: file a lawsuit to win after the election, or if 254 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 1: you've filed the claim before the election and the court 255 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 1: kind of passes on it. I suppose there are certain 256 00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: circumstances where they might segregate the ballots and then maybe 257 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 1: you have a dispute to resolve after the election. So 258 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 1: that happened in Pennsylvania in twenty twenty, where there was 259 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 1: a dispute out of the Pennsylvania Supreme Court about changing 260 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: the receipt that line for apps and tee ballots by 261 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: three days. Supreme Court issue in order sort of asking 262 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania to segregate those ballots and hold them off to 263 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 1: the side. I mean, it was never resolved because there 264 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 1: was really no dispute at the end of the day 265 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: about who won the election. That balotsowin't make the difference. 266 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 1: So maybe we'll see that in places, but I'm not sure. 267 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,320 Speaker 1: I think probably the more concerning thing is obviously that 268 00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 1: you sue, you file up lawsuits, even if you lose. 269 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: You sort of have this sort of dissension or dissatisfaction 270 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 1: about some of the allegations and the complaint, and that 271 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 1: people are worried at the end of the day about 272 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 1: the legitimacy of the outcome, doubting its legitimacy. But I'm 273 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: not sure how viable sort of pre election lawsuits are 274 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: going to be for post election challenges. If you win, 275 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 1: you shouldn't have a challenge to file, and if you lose, 276 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 1: it's not clear the challenge would succeed after the election. 277 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 2: So let's go through some of the challenges in different states. 278 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 2: You mentioned Pennsylvania, Republicans have been targeting mail in ballots. 279 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 2: Is it proven that Democrats vote more by mail in 280 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 2: ballots than Republicans. 281 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 1: Well, the conventional wisdom about four and a half years 282 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 1: ago is the Republicans used absentee ballots more than Democrats. 283 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: You can see military personnality to the elderly who heavily 284 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 1: relied on absentee ballots. It's why Florida had such extensive 285 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 1: absentee ballots. There's evidence that, you know, minority populations are 286 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: more distrustful of the postal service, and so they would 287 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 1: prefer to vote in person. And then COVID sort of 288 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 1: flipped all of that. Democrats thought that absentee ballots were 289 00:16:50,680 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 1: the safe way of extending voting to everybody, and then 290 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: Republicans insist that it was safe to vote in person, 291 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 1: and somehow absent ballots have become rife with fraud. So 292 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 1: I think sometimes you've seen that in version. It certainly 293 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 1: played out in twenty twenty. I certainly don't think it's 294 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:06,040 Speaker 1: as dramatic in twenty twenty four, if it exists at all, 295 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:09,120 Speaker 1: I think there's still something in the water for Republicans 296 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,880 Speaker 1: who are told to vote in person and not vote absentee, 297 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 1: or doubts about the appsentee systems. That's probably suppressing turnout. 298 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 1: You know, Republicans suppressing their own turnout by refusing to 299 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,440 Speaker 1: lean into absentee ballots. But at the same time, Democratic 300 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:23,520 Speaker 1: requests are down too. I mean, we don't have as 301 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 1: robust absentee ballots in some places as we might have 302 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 1: seen during COVID during the pandemic, so people are returning 303 00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 1: more to heading back to the polling place. And again 304 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:34,359 Speaker 1: some states they clamp down a little bit on some 305 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 1: of those absentee notices. You're not automatically eligible for appsentees 306 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 1: in Florida anymore. You have to request them every two years, 307 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 1: things like that. So I think we're going to see 308 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 1: it come closer to parody. But it does seem that 309 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 1: Democrats are more inclined to use absentee ballots. Just the 310 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:52,120 Speaker 1: question of how significant that desparity is in election cycles 311 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:52,760 Speaker 1: like this one. 312 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 2: So Republicans, according to the New York Times, have filed 313 00:17:55,880 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 2: more than twenty lawsuits related to mail in voting, and 314 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:04,719 Speaker 2: in Pennsylvania, they argued that voters should not be notified 315 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 2: of any errors in their mail in ballot, nor be 316 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:11,120 Speaker 2: allowed to fix them. Do you think that that will succeed? 317 00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 1: Right? So, I think there are opportunities to cure ballots 318 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 1: and their processes in each state to do so. But 319 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,360 Speaker 1: I think The key here is in this law suit 320 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania is that you have all these different counties 321 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,720 Speaker 1: doing all different things. And in some counties, the county 322 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 1: clerk gets your absentee ballot, it's missing a signature, it's 323 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,760 Speaker 1: missing the date. You know, it has your spouse's signature 324 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 1: instead of your signature on or whatever it might be. 325 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 1: And the county calls you up that same day and 326 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 1: leave the message in your cell phone says, hey, just 327 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 1: so you know your ballots is defective, you need to 328 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 1: come cure it, come down to the county and can 329 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,080 Speaker 1: do it. And other counties don't do that, don't do 330 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: that at all. And there's a question of what state 331 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:48,400 Speaker 1: law requires and in some respects, like I think there's 332 00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 1: trade offs to think about here. On the one hand, 333 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:53,480 Speaker 1: you can say, listen that the absentee system shouldn't be 334 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 1: this process of sort of bespoke get out the vote 335 00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 1: efforts from county clerks. On the other hand, you say, well, 336 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 1: it's reasonable for county clerks to want to make sure 337 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,400 Speaker 1: that the paperwork is complete, just does any other paperwork 338 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 1: you might file at the county where they're going to say, hey, 339 00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:09,679 Speaker 1: you screwed something up on don't you come fix it. 340 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,880 Speaker 1: But you know, I think the key out of this 341 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 1: is that we want consistency across the state. And I 342 00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:17,119 Speaker 1: think Republicans are going to want to say, no, the 343 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,160 Speaker 1: law doesn't permit this. We need to have to kind 344 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,200 Speaker 1: of strict compliance and no ability to notify. And Democrats 345 00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: are going to say, well, no, the counties should be 346 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: able to notify. I should notify these things. But you know, 347 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 1: one of the more troubling things is to see this 348 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 1: inconsistency playing out where in some counties it's one way, 349 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 1: in other counties it's another way. So I don't know 350 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 1: how these lawsuits are going to play out at the 351 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,320 Speaker 1: state wide level. Part of this is a technical matter 352 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: of what state law authorizes or doesn't authorize county clerks 353 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,640 Speaker 1: to do, where discretion lies, things like that. But we'll 354 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,000 Speaker 1: see as this one plays out whether or not some 355 00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: uniform guidance is given. 356 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 2: Is it an indication Republicans won a similar case where 357 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 2: the Supreme Court rule that the ballots that are missing 358 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,160 Speaker 2: dates on the outer envelopes couldn't be counted. 359 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, So that Pennsylvania case, again, it really is a 360 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 1: case thrown out on procedural grounds. Because the plaintiffs in 361 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 1: that case really they see the Secretary of State, but 362 00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 1: also two counties, just two counties, and maybe not surprisingly, 363 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: Democrats sued the most overwhelmingly to Democratic counties in the 364 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 1: state to say you should count these ballots, and the 365 00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:19,280 Speaker 1: Supreme Court, in a divided order, said, look, you really 366 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,639 Speaker 1: needed to bring all of the counties in here. I 367 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: think it's laudable to think about wanting consistency. Right, either 368 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,960 Speaker 1: they should all count or they all shouldn't count, but 369 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 1: there's going to be a consistent rule across the state. Now, 370 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:31,960 Speaker 1: I mean here it is, you know, the first week 371 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 1: of October, and we're still engaged in litigation that we've 372 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,680 Speaker 1: known there have been problems about in Pennsylvania for two 373 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,400 Speaker 1: four six years, and again we're at the eleventh hour 374 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 1: litigating these issues. But yeah, we're watching Republicans and Democrats 375 00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 1: fighting not just about the interpretation of the law, but 376 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 1: how broadly it applies across a given state. 377 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 2: So let's go to Mississippi, a state that doesn't seem 378 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 2: to be in question, but the Republican National Committee and 379 00:20:56,000 --> 00:21:01,360 Speaker 2: the Mississippi Republican Party are challenging Mississippi's on late arriving 380 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 2: mail in ballots. I mean, this issue I think was litigated, 381 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 2: has been litigated before in other states. Is there a 382 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:13,160 Speaker 2: particular significance to this case in Mississippi? 383 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:16,480 Speaker 1: Right, So the focus here is to say that the 384 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:20,159 Speaker 1: federal election statute that sets the first Tuesday after the 385 00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:24,160 Speaker 1: first Monday November's election day requires all ballots to come 386 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: in by that day. And you've seen occasional litigation, but 387 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty, in particular, some of the litigation was 388 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,359 Speaker 1: about some of the late changes to the rules or 389 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,800 Speaker 1: ballots without a postmark, and whether or not those that 390 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 1: came in three days after the election could still be counted, 391 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 1: you know, because there's at least some ambiguity about whether 392 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:43,920 Speaker 1: or not they came in in the deadline, whatever it 393 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,560 Speaker 1: might be. But here, by testing it as a federal 394 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,680 Speaker 1: law issue, you're not dealing with state specific guidelines. And 395 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 1: suing a Mississippi, you know, is trying to send a 396 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,600 Speaker 1: signal by suing in the Fifth Circuit, which is one 397 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,440 Speaker 1: of the more conservative courts of appeals in the country. 398 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 1: And you know that case is now on appeal in 399 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 1: the Fifth Circuit in front of a pretty conservative panel 400 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,920 Speaker 1: to say, well, maybe if we can establish this precedent here, 401 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:09,440 Speaker 1: we can also establish this precedent nationwide, and this could 402 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: affect hundreds of thousands of votes and maybe hundreds of 403 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 1: thousand votes in state like California alone, in addition to 404 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:18,520 Speaker 1: other jurisdictions that might accept ballots after election day. So 405 00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,439 Speaker 1: some challenges I think on the merits. You know, states 406 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 1: have long accepted ballots before election day and treated them 407 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 1: as well, we're just holding them and then they're actually 408 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 1: cast on election day. Could you say the same thing 409 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 1: is true for ballots that are just in the postal 410 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 1: system for a couple of days before they land at 411 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:37,359 Speaker 1: the county, as long as they have an adequate postmark, 412 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 1: things like that. But the effort here is to sue 413 00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:42,159 Speaker 1: in the most sort of favorable jurisdiction and try to 414 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: secure a win that maybe the Supreme Court has to 415 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,920 Speaker 1: take or that maybe can be carried across to other states. 416 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: So we're waiting to see how the Fifth Circuit rules 417 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:49,480 Speaker 1: on that one. 418 00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 2: The Fifth Circuit, you said, one of the most I 419 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:55,160 Speaker 2: always say the most the most conservatives. 420 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:56,879 Speaker 1: That's all. It depends on your metrics, right, I mean, 421 00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: there are more Republican appointed judges in the eighth circle, 422 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 1: but you know, the fifth circuit maybe has more panels 423 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 1: that are likely to push the law into the some 424 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: of the most conservative directions. 425 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,440 Speaker 3: I suppose I agree with that. 426 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,360 Speaker 2: And coming up next on the Bloomberg Law Show, I'll 427 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 2: continue this conversation with Professor Derek Muller of Notre Dame 428 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:19,439 Speaker 2: Law School. We'll talk about Republican efforts to purge the 429 00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 2: voter rolls in several states. The Republican National Committee says 430 00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,800 Speaker 2: it's involved in more than one hundred and twenty lawsuits 431 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 2: in twenty six states in an aggressive attempt to challenge 432 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:35,679 Speaker 2: voting rules and election processes. Before November fifth, I've been 433 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:38,960 Speaker 2: talking to elections law expert Derek Muller, a professor at 434 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 2: Notre Dame Law School. So, Derek, one of the things 435 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:46,440 Speaker 2: we hear Republicans complain about over and over, particularly Donald Trump, 436 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:51,399 Speaker 2: is that ineligible people are voting. Illegal immigrants are voting. 437 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:55,119 Speaker 2: Dead people are voting, people are voting twice. So in 438 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 2: some states they're suing to try to purge the voter rolls. 439 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 2: I think the thought is one of the states right 440 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,359 Speaker 2: where they're trying to purge the voter rolls. 441 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 1: There are issues all over the country. I mean, so 442 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,240 Speaker 1: part of it is in theory you're not supposed to 443 00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,720 Speaker 1: engage in some of this routine list maintenance within ninety 444 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:15,720 Speaker 1: days of an election under federal law. But there's also 445 00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,359 Speaker 1: some questions about like, well some of these issues might 446 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:21,560 Speaker 1: have been held up earlier, and questions about eligibility. And 447 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,680 Speaker 1: there's no question, I mean, every state has ineligible voters 448 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:26,920 Speaker 1: on its photo roles. That's just a fact of life. 449 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,480 Speaker 1: When you die, your name isn't immediately removed. It's usually 450 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:33,719 Speaker 1: removed pretty quickly, often within a month, but not immediately. 451 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: If you move, there might not be evidence that you've 452 00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,480 Speaker 1: moved for some time. So there's lots of questions that 453 00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,800 Speaker 1: can arise for these voter rolls, and states have list 454 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:45,080 Speaker 1: maintenance procedures pursue into federal law that they're kind of 455 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:47,920 Speaker 1: obligated to undertake to try to make sure those photo 456 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:49,959 Speaker 1: roles are as clean as possible, you know. But at 457 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:51,960 Speaker 1: the same time, you can think sometimes these are a 458 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 1: little bit overstated. In most states, if you fail to 459 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:56,320 Speaker 1: vote for an election or two and there are other 460 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,879 Speaker 1: contingencies than there, they'll move you from active status to 461 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:02,159 Speaker 1: inactive status, and so inactive voters have to go through 462 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:05,399 Speaker 1: an additional sort of proof of residency requirement before they 463 00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 1: can move back to active status. So even though the 464 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,199 Speaker 1: voter roules might be bloated in some places, you know, 465 00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,800 Speaker 1: you could say, well, there's a number of inactive voters here. 466 00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,200 Speaker 1: Maybe they're ineligible, in which case they're not going to vote, 467 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 1: and maybe they're eligible, in which case they can prove 468 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 1: it and get their names, you know, moved off of 469 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:21,879 Speaker 1: one list of the other. So you'll see occasional claims 470 00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,800 Speaker 1: about hundreds of thousands of voters removed from the register 471 00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 1: in various states. And no question that states have different 472 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,560 Speaker 1: levels of scrutiny that they give in different aggression that 473 00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:34,760 Speaker 1: they have in terms of keeping those lists clean. But 474 00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: you know, at the end of the day, I think 475 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:39,480 Speaker 1: there are some occasional errors that can be made with 476 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:43,400 Speaker 1: these ballots. In particular, and states that automatically mail absentee 477 00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:46,560 Speaker 1: voters a ballot, there are concerns that if your voter 478 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,920 Speaker 1: roles aren't clean and you're mailing everyone on the list 479 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 1: a ballot, like in California, it's going to get to 480 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:54,199 Speaker 1: a non trivial number of ineligible voters. But you know, 481 00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:56,000 Speaker 1: on the flip side. In most states, if you don't 482 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 1: have that, or if you have some good procedures, sometimes 483 00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 1: you're just fighting kind of clean up issues. You know, 484 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 1: how accurate doesn't have to be in a given moment 485 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 1: to keep people who are eligible on the list and 486 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 1: take off the ineligible from the list. So we're seeing 487 00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:11,879 Speaker 1: these sort of battles play out. It's Nevada, it's Arizona. 488 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 1: There's all kinds of places where these things are happening. 489 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,440 Speaker 1: And it's a delicate balance to make sure that we're 490 00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:20,639 Speaker 1: keeping the roles clean for efficiency purposes and keeping eligible 491 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 1: votes on there while not being so aggressive that, you know, 492 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 1: if you fail to show up to an election, we're 493 00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: somehow taking your name off the list or whatever it 494 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,000 Speaker 1: might be. So these are ongoing issues that have been 495 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 1: happening for years in the federal court. 496 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 2: So I'm wondering it's in Arizona that America's first legal 497 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:42,640 Speaker 2: foundation is suing because they want the court to enforce 498 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,680 Speaker 2: a list of twenty four orders that go with their 499 00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 2: interpretation of election law and correct any errors, et cetera. 500 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:52,960 Speaker 2: I mean, it seems like it's a very fact intensive 501 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 2: kind of examination. Is that a trend in litigation or not. 502 00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think America First is being pretty 503 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:03,359 Speaker 1: aggressive on this is I think Judicial Watch. There's some 504 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,880 Speaker 1: other organizations you can find that have tried to get 505 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,880 Speaker 1: states to enforce their own motor registration procedures or list 506 00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 1: maintenance procedures over the years. And again you can say, 507 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 1: I think the State of Arizona's going to come back 508 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 1: in a very fact contentsive way as you indicated you 509 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,320 Speaker 1: and to say, look, we are doing this. It might 510 00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:21,359 Speaker 1: not be on the timeline you want. It might not 511 00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 1: be with the level of scrutiny that you're suggesting. You know, 512 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:26,880 Speaker 1: you want us to look at, you know, this kind 513 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 1: of birth date and middle initial, we're looking at the 514 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: full middle name or whatever it might be. There are 515 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 1: ways of sort of doing the verification checks. There's ways 516 00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:38,520 Speaker 1: in which there's administrative deference given to say we're going 517 00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 1: to purge maybe every coreer when somebody wants you to 518 00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 1: purge every month, or whatever it might be. So these 519 00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 1: can be really specific minutia of is there an administrative 520 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,720 Speaker 1: guide in the state that's validly promulgated by the Secretary 521 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,560 Speaker 1: of State about what you can and can't do in 522 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:57,600 Speaker 1: these circumstances. Are these things just left the discretion of 523 00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:00,680 Speaker 1: election officials under state law, or if it's discretion, are 524 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:04,680 Speaker 1: these officials abusing their discretion by so flagrantly ignoring what 525 00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:08,560 Speaker 1: the state law requires. So it's highly fact intensive, and 526 00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,879 Speaker 1: you know, I'm not confident in any particular outcome in 527 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,920 Speaker 1: any of these cases, but it's really sort of picking 528 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,080 Speaker 1: at some of the edges of a lot of these issues. 529 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:19,280 Speaker 1: For the most part, in these jurisdictions, it's usually not 530 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:23,119 Speaker 1: sort of a wholesale ignoring of election law. Under state law, again, 531 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:25,040 Speaker 1: secretaries of the state have every incentive to try to 532 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 1: keep the lists clean. It's a question more of some 533 00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 1: of the pragmatics and about what you think the most 534 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 1: effective means are. To be frank right, the plaintiffs in 535 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,120 Speaker 1: these cases have a different thought about what we most effective, 536 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 1: and if they were the running the secretary of State's 537 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 1: office and lost the last election in Arizona, for instance, 538 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:40,720 Speaker 1: you know they might have had different procedures in place. 539 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,680 Speaker 1: But these are some of the challenges that you have 540 00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 1: when something is typically left to the executive and then 541 00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:47,440 Speaker 1: you sort of have these lawsuits coming in over the 542 00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 1: top insisting things should be done in a different way. 543 00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 2: You know, there was a lot of questioning of how 544 00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 2: the changes in election boards and different changes at that 545 00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:01,360 Speaker 2: level would affect the counting, etc. And there's a lawsuit 546 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:05,400 Speaker 2: in Georgia challenging the state election boards decision to allow 547 00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 2: its members to conduct a reasonable inquiry into an election's 548 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 2: results before certifying them. I'm not sure what a reasonable 549 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:16,160 Speaker 2: inquiry is and how that differs from what they have 550 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 2: been doing. 551 00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, that's I think the real question. There's 552 00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 1: already state law that kind of authorizes this. The election 553 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 1: board adds this language into the administrative code, but it's 554 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,160 Speaker 1: not formally out of state law. It something you could 555 00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 1: probably infer from state law, but not formally in state law. 556 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:39,800 Speaker 1: Then it's not something that is specifically defined even in 557 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 1: the administrative code. So you can imagine situations where an 558 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:44,920 Speaker 1: election boards the elections on Tuesday and the board has 559 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 1: to certify by Monday. That's six days. So whatever reasonable 560 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,480 Speaker 1: inquirer mean, it can't mean a whole lot. But you 561 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,120 Speaker 1: can imagine you have eighteen precincts and you only get 562 00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 1: seventeen sets of results, and you'd say, well, wait a minute, 563 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,960 Speaker 1: let's go find out where that eighteenth sheet is. I 564 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:02,280 Speaker 1: think that's a reasonable inquae. One of the precincts reports 565 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 1: zero votes cast a lot, let's go figure out what happened. 566 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:08,880 Speaker 1: Or one precinct indicates a million votes cast, we probably 567 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 1: want to look into that too. So there's ways in 568 00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:12,920 Speaker 1: which you could have imagined quite benign and I think 569 00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 1: quite reasonable, ways in which the board, before it feels 570 00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 1: like it can certify a result, wants to make sure 571 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:18,680 Speaker 1: it has all the paperwork in front of it. The 572 00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 1: real challenge is you have an undefined term, you've injected 573 00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,000 Speaker 1: it in the administrative code. Is this going to give 574 00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:26,080 Speaker 1: some pretext or some coverage to election officials who are saying, no, no, 575 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 1: now I get to go, you know, ask for the 576 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:30,680 Speaker 1: inside of the voting machines, or now I want to 577 00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:34,320 Speaker 1: manually tabulate this batch from this precinct because I'm skeptical 578 00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:36,600 Speaker 1: or whatever it might be. So I think the question 579 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:40,760 Speaker 1: is spinning out forward how a phrase like this could 580 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,920 Speaker 1: be used or misused by election officials going forward. So 581 00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 1: it's in one sense it's kind of benign on its face. 582 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 1: In other sense, it's like, well, it could be used 583 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 1: as a pretext, and I think that's what people are 584 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 1: concerned about, how it might be used in unknown future situations. 585 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, because I think a fear is that, especially in 586 00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:02,120 Speaker 2: these close states, in these battle on states that really count, 587 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 2: that there'll be some kind of refusal to certify or 588 00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 2: the boards of elections will mishandle the vote. I mean, 589 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:15,000 Speaker 2: there's a lot of concern that at the state level 590 00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 2: there won't be a fair count. 591 00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean I think if you have you have 592 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:23,240 Speaker 1: the tabulations from the precincts that are given to the county, 593 00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 1: and anytime that a county board or any entity is 594 00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:28,920 Speaker 1: going to change or alter the votes, I mean, you 595 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:32,800 Speaker 1: have the before and after numbers. So you know, four 596 00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,120 Speaker 1: years ago, I was in Iowa and there was a 597 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,880 Speaker 1: congressional district race that was very close and twice precincts 598 00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:41,840 Speaker 1: in an election that was the site ultimately by six votes. 599 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:46,120 Speaker 1: Precincts found mistakes they made in their results as they 600 00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:48,000 Speaker 1: were going through the canvas, and so they have their 601 00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 1: first results, the unofficial ones, and then they had to 602 00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,280 Speaker 1: update them with official ones, ones that flipped hundreds of votes. 603 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 1: So you have that record, right, you have the sort 604 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:59,480 Speaker 1: of before and after, and you have the explanation. So 605 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 1: as an electtiontion board does something, you know, it gets 606 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 1: the results and we're not going to certify. Well, that's easy. 607 00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:06,680 Speaker 1: We have the vote total or it says, you know, 608 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,080 Speaker 1: the vote margin here is Trump by one thousand, but 609 00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:11,000 Speaker 1: we're going to say it was Trump by eight thousand. 610 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:14,520 Speaker 1: So again just making up numbers you have before and 611 00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 1: after results. So there's typically going to be an easy 612 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: process if somebody disputes that to go into court and 613 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,880 Speaker 1: say they didn't certify, can you order them to certify, 614 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 1: or if they won't certify court, can you do it 615 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,959 Speaker 1: for them? They certified this new total where they fiddled 616 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 1: with the results, can you go back to the old 617 00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,560 Speaker 1: total because they had no basis in doing so. So 618 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:37,160 Speaker 1: I think there's no question that there's concern about meddling 619 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:40,840 Speaker 1: an election process, about all terrain totals, about dragging your 620 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 1: feet or trying to deny subvert the winner, and that 621 00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 1: has major political consequences, public perception consequences. I think those 622 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 1: are bad things, But I think there's also a strand 623 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:54,719 Speaker 1: to think about what's the legal effect of this. At 624 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 1: the end of the day, it might delay some certification 625 00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 1: by a day or two, maybe in some places, but 626 00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:02,600 Speaker 1: to the extent that the courts step in and say 627 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: you really have no basis whatsoever to do this, I 628 00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,480 Speaker 1: think you're going to see courts move in swiftly as 629 00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:10,640 Speaker 1: they have done the last four years when election boards 630 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,040 Speaker 1: have tried this in the past. Obviously a lot more 631 00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:15,600 Speaker 1: pressure and a presidential election, but we'll see how it 632 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:16,120 Speaker 1: plays out. 633 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,360 Speaker 2: You're more hopeful than I am. 634 00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:24,720 Speaker 1: We can anticipate all of the worst case disaster scenarios, 635 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:26,840 Speaker 1: there's no question, and think about what those things are 636 00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 1: supposed to do. But you know, we still have a 637 00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:32,040 Speaker 1: lot of courts that step in and they you know, 638 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,280 Speaker 1: you can file as many lawsuits as you want in 639 00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty, it's not going to change the results of 640 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:38,600 Speaker 1: the election. You know, you could talk about Georgia where 641 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 1: she was on the other foot for Democrats in twenty eighteen, 642 00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 1: and really there's not going to be a change in 643 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,480 Speaker 1: the results despite filing lawsuits, whatever it might be. So 644 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:48,680 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, the system's pretty resilient. 645 00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:53,840 Speaker 1: Now again, there's major political questions, there's major public perception 646 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:57,360 Speaker 1: questions about democratic legitimacy, and it's not good to have 647 00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,800 Speaker 1: a public that doubts the outcome of the election, or 648 00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:03,640 Speaker 1: that you have a public officials sewing distrust baselessly because 649 00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:05,880 Speaker 1: it's a way of fundraising, it's a way of whipping 650 00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:09,799 Speaker 1: up frenzy. Those are not good things, but there's a 651 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:11,279 Speaker 1: piece to say. Listen, at the end of the day, 652 00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:13,600 Speaker 1: the winner is going to take office and the loser 653 00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:15,239 Speaker 1: is going to go home, and that's the way the 654 00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:17,880 Speaker 1: system is supposed to operate. So I'm optimistic on a 655 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,640 Speaker 1: legal side. I might be less optimistic on the political 656 00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:23,480 Speaker 1: and public perception side, but there's only so much we 657 00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 1: can do to control both things. 658 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,760 Speaker 2: Thank you so much, Derek for your explanations of these 659 00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:32,360 Speaker 2: often confusing election law issues. That's Professor Derek Muller of 660 00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,080 Speaker 2: Notre Dame Law School, and that's it for this edition 661 00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:37,759 Speaker 2: of The Bloomberg Law Show. Remember you can always get 662 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,920 Speaker 2: the latest legal news on our Bloomberg Law Podcast. You 663 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 2: can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and at www 664 00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 2: dot Bloomberg dot com, slash podcast Slash Law, and remember 665 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,439 Speaker 2: to tune into The Bloomberg Law Show every weeknight at 666 00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:55,920 Speaker 2: ten pm Wall Street Time. I'm June Grosso, and you're 667 00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:57,239 Speaker 2: listening to Bloomberg