1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,719 Speaker 1: Let's get to Hong Kong. Now. Macau planning to welcome 2 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: back to groups from mainland China as soon as November 3 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 1: to boost its tourism dependent economy. It comes as Hong 4 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:12,319 Speaker 1: Kong it's ditching quarantine from today. Joining US is Angela Hanley, 5 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence analysts on APAT Gaming and Hospitality research. I mean, 6 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:20,159 Speaker 1: Macau has been hit so hard by the restrictions. What 7 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: is the outlook now that we will see some tour 8 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: groups welcome back. Well, um, I think this is definitely 9 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: a positive news for Macca casino operatus, especially for Galaxy 10 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: since China and Maca results, because I believe that these 11 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: tour groups appropriately probably float into quota integra di uitals first. 12 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: So but the issue is that the group tours have 13 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: never been the major driver for Maca casinos because they're 14 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: spending per head it's not high. So I would just 15 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: say that this is kind of revitalizing those currently empty 16 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,639 Speaker 1: casino flows in Macau. But I won't actually expect much 17 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: changes for this year, so we still keep our forecast 18 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: that the gaming revenue this year may only reach of 19 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 1: prep COVID level. But I think this is a signal 20 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: that the mainland Chinese government wants to relax more. So 21 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:12,960 Speaker 1: probably this will follow with the more proverbs for individual 22 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 1: like visas for individual visitors. Then that can be kind 23 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 1: of bringing some upside to forecasts for the gaming revenue 24 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,960 Speaker 1: of next year. Yeah, indeed, so we need the wealthy 25 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: big spenders to come back to those tables to really 26 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,199 Speaker 1: push up revenue. There. Tell us though, just a little 27 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: bit more about this initial reopening. I mean, who is 28 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: going to be allowed to go on these two groups 29 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: those people? I think tours are starting from Shanghai and 30 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 1: also some other provinces like Bangdong Province. So previously I 31 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: think um Chinese people like a mainland Chinese people, when 32 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: they want to go to Macau, they don't need to 33 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: do any quarantine, so the issue was more about whether 34 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: government authorities allow them to go or not. So at 35 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: LAS now they are allowing these tours, so those people 36 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: will go, and I guess most of them should be 37 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 1: probably later traveler who has been in China like for 38 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: for more than two or three years. So obviously these 39 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: provinces are kind of more of fluted than others. But 40 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 1: still I don't believe that this will bring that much 41 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 1: upside on this year's gaming revenue forecast. How much has 42 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 1: the very strict policy that's been in place for nearly 43 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: three years now affected Macau as an attractive hub and 44 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: seeing Singapore and the Philippines benefit in terms of relocation 45 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: of staff too. Yeah, so obviously other countries like a 46 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 1: Singapore and Philippines had more friendly policies for these casino prayers, 47 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 1: but I think they are catering different clients. So we 48 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: also heard some news about some Chinese people are actually 49 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: relocating to Singapore. Then probably those people are the ones 50 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: who are going to Singapore casinos. But other than that, 51 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:52,000 Speaker 1: I think it's very unlikely that mainland Chinese rich people 52 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: will actually go to Singapore to gambo rather than going 53 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 1: to Macau. And I think the issue was more that 54 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:02,519 Speaker 1: it's very complicated to fly, so uh. As long as 55 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 1: this kind of recovery kickscene, I believe mainland Chinese people 56 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: still continue to go to Macau to gamble, but those 57 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 1: casinos in Singapore and Philippines could benefit from booming economy 58 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: in that area. We know that it is about the 59 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 1: wealthy people at the tables that are gonna really boost revenue, 60 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 1: but when we do see a reopening and you're seeing 61 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 1: that with quarantine easing in Hong Kong too. How much 62 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: is Macau come back just in terms of being an 63 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: attractive tourism hub to for concerts and the like. For me, 64 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 1: I think Macau's gaming revenue has been like a million 65 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 1: Chinese paper has been contributing on gaming revenue Macau. So 66 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 1: it's more about the business between mainland China and Macau, 67 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: and Macau is obviously priorititizing the opening with China first, 68 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: which is very much because there's many stuff in Macau 69 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 1: are working from China, they're community from China every day, 70 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 1: so there is no way for Maccau to open to 71 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: the other world if mainland China keeps like that kind 72 00:03:59,920 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 1: of policy. Alright, Angela will see what happens, but mainland 73 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: tour groups as soon as November to allowed back into Macau. 74 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: Angela Hanley is Bloomberg Intelligence analysts on APAT gaming and 75 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: hospitality research, joining us from our Hong Kong studio