1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: What's up, friends, and welcome into Betting Pros. This is 2 00:00:03,760 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: the Week ten Props show. No Joe Pisapia, It's Chris Welsh. 3 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:11,119 Speaker 1: We got Andrew Erickson in here, both of us making 4 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: the picks without the big guy big guy steering us 5 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: in the directions that we need to do. It's just 6 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,159 Speaker 1: two betters that are gonna go crazy this week. I 7 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: am wearing a Christian McCaffrey jersey zero forty nine er 8 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: bets this week. This is just in honor of hitting 9 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: the bets last week ericson what's up Buddy, Just you 10 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: and me. Dad's out of town. We get to run 11 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: amuck party time. 12 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: Tag Team is back, so absolutely let's get I missed 13 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 2: you on the extra point for Fantasy Pros. 14 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:37,559 Speaker 3: Bogs filled in for you. 15 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 2: So but we're back together here breaking it down for 16 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 2: Week ten Double digits. Man, I can't believe it's already 17 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:44,839 Speaker 2: here in the Player Props and it seems like overall 18 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 2: pretty good season so far through the double digits, like 19 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 2: positive on both sides relatively speaking, touchdowns have been in 20 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 2: fuego for the most part, which I'm actually kind of 21 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 2: shocked at, to be totally honest. 22 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm picking it back up. But let's look 23 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: at the big boards. So for our accountabilit buddies out there, 24 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: if you want to know where we've been at this 25 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: past week, we were both three and two, not a 26 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:08,279 Speaker 1: controversy at all, But do want to point out that CJ. 27 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 1: Stroud got knocked out. I was given an early exit, 28 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:13,679 Speaker 1: but we're going to give me an l on that one, 29 00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: which is totally fine. So I finished three and two. 30 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: I felt very good about this week. If Stroud was active, 31 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 1: I was crushing it. We had the positive negative correlation 32 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 1: miss where you missed on Wandel Robinson receptions. He crushed it, 33 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,680 Speaker 1: but somehow he caught nine balls and I didn't get 34 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 1: forty six yards, So I like my logic was right, 35 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 1: I guess, and it was one of the weirdest ones. 36 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: So like, I was super close to a five and 37 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: oh week, but I was three and two. On the positive, 38 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 1: I'm now twenty five and twenty on the season, which 39 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:47,039 Speaker 1: I'm pretty happy about. And two touchdown smashes last week, 40 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 1: so I crushed both my touchdowns. I am still lagging 41 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 1: behind you guys, but I did get so three and 42 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 1: two almost five and oh with the two touchdown calls. 43 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 1: You were three and two the negative correlative one and 44 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: we were off air. I completely forgot Managai didn't score 45 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: because I thought you crushed both of yours. You did 46 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:08,239 Speaker 1: get the one touchdown call with Lovelin, missed the Monong guy. 47 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 1: But a great week for you too as well, my friend. 48 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, Manongay, it just seemed like he would have scored 49 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 2: in just an absolute monster game. But then you look 50 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 2: up and it is Britton Brown that ends up scoring 51 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 2: the rushing touchdown for the Chaka Bear, So that was 52 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 2: just a little bit tilting. I knew my two and 53 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 2: oh touchdown streaks was going to end eventually, but I 54 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 2: didn't think it was going to because I'm Anong guy, 55 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 2: you know, lovely end up scoring the touchdown name he's 56 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 2: three to one, so I felt pretty good about it. 57 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 2: I know you've got some feelings about Kamanong guy this week. 58 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:36,359 Speaker 1: Welsh, Yeah, exactly. And I marked it by the way 59 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: I marked, because I do the marking of the sheet. 60 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:40,959 Speaker 1: I marked you as a positive. So luckily so again 61 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: accounta bill of buddies, Ericson's like, nay, take that touchdown off. 62 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: Joey did hit one, so the touchdown calls are eight 63 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 1: for me, ten for Joe, eleven for Ericson. You are 64 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: the leader. You're twenty three and two on the season 65 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 1: on the prop so you're over five hundred and five 66 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 1: games over five hundred, so things going well. Knock on wood, 67 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:02,959 Speaker 1: hopefully don't get crushed. But that is going to lead 68 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: us into our ten prop bets. I've got five, Ericson's 69 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 1: got five, let's jump into it. You're mentioning Kamanong Guy, 70 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: and since you know Joe hosts and then he'll throw 71 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 1: it to me and go to Ericson. I just don't 72 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 1: want to throw off the vibe, so I will go first. 73 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: Even though I'm playing host here and Kamano Guy is 74 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: my first bet of the week, I'm going with rushing 75 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: yards at thirty nine point five over and our dear 76 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 1: friends at hard Rock Better offering the best line so 77 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 1: far I've seen last week. Obviously, you know, twenty six carries, 78 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy six rushing yards ridiculous. Outside of 79 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: Brian Robinson normally had five carries. Nobody averaged more yards 80 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: after contact with ten or more carries or really after 81 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: Brian Robinson than Kamanong Guy. So he was just crushing, 82 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: just getting yards after Obviously, you know, the defensive matchup 83 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 1: worked really well, but it does here again. The Giants 84 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: rank dead last in rushing defensive grade over on PFF 85 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: thirty two of thirty two. They're defensive line nine grade 86 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 1: thirty of thirty two, and they rank thirty two of 87 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: thirty two in yards given up after contact. So you know, 88 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 1: go back to the yards after contact he had last week. 89 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: It's an even juicier matchup, almost six yards per carry. 90 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: The projections are all over the board. PFF had they 91 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 1: had a really high one, they moved it down to 92 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:23,039 Speaker 1: sixty five. Fantasy pros and betting pros all kind of 93 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 1: agree with this. The big scary thing is with DeAndre 94 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: Swift presumably active because he had a full practice, what 95 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 1: is this going to look like? It looks like it 96 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: could be a relatively even split, but this is just 97 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: such a low total, I think, and I feel very 98 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 1: comfortable we're going to get at least ten carries. Kalmanan 99 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: Guy looked fantastic volume taking away could kind of kill this, 100 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:46,479 Speaker 1: but it's a nice low number. Thirty nine point five 101 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 1: over for Kalmanan Guy rushing yards That is my first 102 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: prop of the week. Ericson what do you got for us? 103 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:55,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, got some thoughts on this Bears Giants game as well, 104 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 2: but I'm going to the other backfield with New York. 105 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 2: I'm going with Tyrone Tracy over fift nine and a 106 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 2: half total rushing and receiving yards. So a lot has 107 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 2: been made about Tracy this week, about him losing out 108 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 2: on snaps, the Devin singletary, is he the starter? Well, 109 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:10,480 Speaker 2: the Giants ops the coordinator my caf came out and 110 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 2: said earlier this week that Yeah, Tracy is our starter. 111 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,239 Speaker 2: And I talked about this on the Fantasy Pros ranking show. 112 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 2: But Tracy got kind of banged up a little bit 113 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 2: last week and it's why we didn't really see that 114 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 2: much of him in the second half. So I think 115 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 2: they go right back to him. He's not on the 116 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 2: injury report at all this week, so I think that's 117 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:28,720 Speaker 2: a smash spot for him against a Bears defense that 118 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 2: has been terrible against running backs as both rushers and receivers. 119 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:34,280 Speaker 2: Every running back that they have faced that is not 120 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 2: named Alvin Kamara has gone over at least sixty rushing 121 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 2: and receiving yards. You gotta make the caveat because Kamara 122 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 2: just there's no more juice left to squeeze with Alvin 123 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 2: Kamara in the Saints offense. So I think that Tyrone 124 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:47,559 Speaker 2: Tracy were getting a value here on a starting running 125 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 2: back in a really good matchup. We know he can 126 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 2: catch passes. You know he's explosive out of the backfield. 127 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:54,280 Speaker 2: So give me Tyrone Tracy going over fifty nine and 128 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:56,160 Speaker 2: a half rushing and receiving yards. 129 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:58,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, you did push this up on the Rank Show. 130 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: You were very I mean there's a little bit of 131 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 1: like a scare. Both of ours, I think have a 132 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:04,279 Speaker 1: little bit of a scare on this. Not to like 133 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: contextualize all of this, but it's like, you know, Swift 134 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 1: creates a scary situation with what Wilmanoangai be. You're very 135 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 1: pro Chyron Tracy and they're saying the starter, but Devin 136 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: Singletary hit out snap. So it's like there is this 137 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: like weird thing that's floating around. But both of these 138 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 1: teams don't stop the run and we get to both 139 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: play in the water. So this better not be a 140 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:27,840 Speaker 1: Devin Singletary DeAndre Swift game where you guy, you and 141 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 1: I are gonna be pissed. But you know we're looking 142 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: in the same spot. We're playing in the same game, 143 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:35,160 Speaker 1: and I'll tell you I do have I got another 144 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 1: play with this giant's game we're going to talk about 145 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:40,039 Speaker 1: in just a tiny bit. Let's go. Things are gonna 146 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:44,480 Speaker 1: get crazy, by the way, because the Undertaker is rising 147 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: from the grave for the next four bets, and I 148 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 1: am presenting to you with my second bet. This would 149 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 1: usually go at the end because there's a pseudo ladder 150 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 1: to this. But be careful with the word ladder because 151 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 1: I said this to Ericson and Ericson had a heart attack. 152 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 1: He said, don't do this, and I said, it's a 153 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: low ladder we're playing, and I think it was described 154 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: as a step stool. I am going with Dalton Schultz, 155 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: and I'm going with Dalton Schultz receiving yards. And this 156 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: is a low number this week, thirty four point five. 157 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: So let's start here. This is the main bet. It's 158 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 1: not the ladder is not the official play. The receiving 159 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 1: yard prop is what I'm playing, but I've pushed it 160 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 1: up two more levels. So starting with this, the Jags 161 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 1: defense ranks twenty five of thirty two in coverage grade 162 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 1: to tight end so far this year linebackers twenty out 163 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 1: of thirty two, safeties thirty out of thirty two. You 164 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 1: know this is a good matchup on paper. Also, the 165 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 1: Jags are averaging nine targets to tight ends this year 166 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 1: six catches and seventy five yards on average. Two tight ends. 167 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: Tight ends have had over seventy eight receiving yards five 168 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: straight weeks. So we go over to the Texan side. 169 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: Obviously we're gonna not have CJ. Stroudwork have Davis Mills, 170 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 1: which can be scary, but last week Dalton Schultz eight targets, 171 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: six catches, seventy seven yards. That's essentially what the Jags 172 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:09,559 Speaker 1: give up. He was also a twenty five percent first read. 173 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 1: That is, with Davis Mills at quarterback, he's the safety 174 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: net and you have a quarterback that's not going to 175 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:17,559 Speaker 1: feel comfortable and doesn't slaying the ball a whole bunch 176 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 1: against a defense that you one hundred percent can do this. 177 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 1: So the thirty four point five is a smash for me. 178 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 1: I also put in a forty and I put in 179 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 1: a fifty, so it's not a ladder, it's a step 180 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: stool bet. But thirty four point five is my receiving 181 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 1: yard bett. Do you want to put any cold water 182 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: on that real quick? I know we're not necessarily analyzing 183 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 1: both bets. You were very scared for me when I 184 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: gave you this Dalton Schultz bet, but you felt better 185 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 1: that you thought ladder meant more like one hundred. 186 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, whenever I hear lad about him, immediately thinking receiver 187 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 2: over one hundred yard. It's just gonna have an absolute 188 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 2: monster game. And I don't know, like if Dalton Schultzen 189 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:54,200 Speaker 2: monster game exists in the same universe where that could 190 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 2: really happen, especially when you got Davis Mills in the 191 00:08:57,080 --> 00:09:00,439 Speaker 2: neck as his quarterback. Yes, it's a good match against 192 00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 2: the Jags. I was also burned by Dalton Schultz two 193 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:04,440 Speaker 2: weeks ago because I took the over on a bunch 194 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:06,199 Speaker 2: of his stuff against your forty nine ers, thinking you're 195 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 2: dead Warner, He's gonna cook. 196 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 3: He was absolutely terrible. 197 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:13,199 Speaker 2: And you and Seth Bocock are actually riding Dalton Schultz. 198 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 2: He likes the receptions as his hard rock best bet 199 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 2: of the week, So more of a squad ride here, 200 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 2: And yes, it's definitely more of a step ladder type 201 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 2: of bet where my wife is a step ladder. She 202 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 2: uses it so she can reach up the high cans 203 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 2: up in the cupboard. 204 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's essentially what we're doing with him. We're we're 205 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: not putting up Christmas lights. We're just trying to get 206 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 1: the soup cans from the soup. That's all. We're just 207 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:37,839 Speaker 1: trying to get some soup, guys, some Shultz soup. That's 208 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: all that we're doing. So I did go to fifty, 209 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 1: but this is like my favorite bet of the week. 210 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 1: We went with Kaman on guy because it's the first 211 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 1: bet that I put in. This is the one I 212 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 1: absolutely locked into right away. Hopefully we're not gonna be disappointed. 213 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 1: But let's go a little bit of a squad ride 214 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 1: and maybe you can ride with me, all right. So 215 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: I don't mean to give away all the fun, but 216 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 1: Ericson just decided under k for the rest of the week, 217 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 1: and you're going to go in with some quarterback under 218 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: So what do you got for your second prop of 219 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: the week. 220 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 2: So this is also another five star bet per the 221 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 2: Betting pros prop bet cheat sheet. So the Chyron Tracy 222 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 2: one that was also a five star bet, this one 223 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 2: is also falling into that category, Michael Pennix Junior under 224 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:21,120 Speaker 2: thirty four and a half passing attempts. So the Falcons 225 00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 2: quarterback has been throwing the ball a little bit more 226 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 2: over the last couple of weeks, and it's because the 227 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 2: Falcons just really haven't been able to establish the run 228 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 2: in any tevich capacity. So this week, though not on 229 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 2: the road, playing in a neutral site, playing in Germany 230 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 2: against the Indianapolis Colts, I think that this is a 231 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:38,840 Speaker 2: situation where the Falcons are going to get back to basics, 232 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 2: like let's feed Bjon Robinson, let's feed Tyler Valgier. They've 233 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 2: been talking about that, the coaches have been talking about 234 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 2: that because their identity is they still want to run 235 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 2: the football. For the first six weeks of the season, 236 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 2: the Falcons were negative two percent and passwork over expectation. 237 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:56,439 Speaker 2: Last week it's been uptick. With Michael Pennick's trailing game scripts, 238 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins and trailing game scripts, they've been throwing the 239 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 2: ball a little bit more so. Unless the Falcons get 240 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 2: just completely annihilated by the Colts, I don't think that 241 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 2: it's going to be Penics dropping back to throw forty times. 242 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:09,720 Speaker 2: If you look at some of the projections, he's under 243 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 2: thirty two pass attempts. He's averaged just thirty three pass 244 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 2: attempts this season, but again more skewed because he's had 245 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 2: thirty seven or more in the last two weeks that 246 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 2: are the last two games that he has played, but 247 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 2: his closing pass attempts line has been much closer to 248 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 2: thirty one and a half. You look at some of 249 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 2: these international games, and this is something you'll find in 250 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 2: the betting pros primer that I'll do for the international 251 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 2: these games tend to skew towards the under. Overall, you 252 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 2: see less scoring. And of the ten quarterbacks that have 253 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:39,680 Speaker 2: played internationally this season, only three have attempted over thirty 254 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 2: four pass attempts, and all three of those teams, those 255 00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:45,440 Speaker 2: quarterbacks played on offenses that are above average in terms 256 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 2: of pass rate over expectation, which is not the Falcons 257 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 2: like they want to feed me, John Robinson, And actually 258 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 2: I got breaking news here on the show that actually 259 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,080 Speaker 2: backs this bet even more. And I think that well, 260 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 2: so I just want you to confirm this with me. 261 00:11:57,000 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 2: DeForest Buckner, the defensive tackle for the Innappol Colts, was 262 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:04,319 Speaker 2: placed on injured reserve with a neck injury. So he's 263 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 2: a big defender inside for Indianapolis and if he's not playing, 264 00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 2: then you're going to see the falcons. This is an 265 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:11,520 Speaker 2: opportunity for them to establish the run. So I don't 266 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 2: think that's going to get picked up by the books. 267 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 2: So I think that this is a really great bet 268 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:16,439 Speaker 2: with Penis going under his pass attempts. And can you 269 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 2: confirm that in. 270 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 1: Can I can? Yeah, as we're recording this nine minutes ago, Schefter, 271 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:23,880 Speaker 1: we didn't see this because we started up. Literally this 272 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: happened as we started up the show. Schefter reports at 273 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 1: Buckner placed on the IR sidelining him for the next 274 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: four weeks, so he will not be in this game. 275 00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:33,439 Speaker 1: That's a great play. I like this play a lot 276 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 1: too because I thought about going back to the well 277 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: on Darnell Mooney. If you remember last week the under 278 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: on Darnell Mooney receptions, it was a great bet. Yeah, 279 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:43,440 Speaker 1: I kind of honestly that I looked at Jerry Judy again, 280 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 1: I'm like, maybe I just keep doing unders and parlay 281 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: unders of Darnell Mooney and Jerry Judy. So I kind 282 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 1: of like this in general, and this is a great 283 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:53,959 Speaker 1: spot too, Like more Tyler Algier more Bijon Robinson. These 284 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: international games definitely play on that side. So and what 285 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:59,040 Speaker 1: was the number again? It was under thirty four four five. 286 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a pretty big number. 287 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 2: And if they're going to be able to establish the run, 288 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:05,719 Speaker 2: I think that he's They're just not going to throw 289 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 2: it this much. 290 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:08,280 Speaker 1: So let me ask you of your unders. Is this 291 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 1: your favorite under on the card or do you have 292 00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 1: one coming up that's even more because I really like 293 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 1: this one. 294 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 2: So historically speaking, So this is something that the betting 295 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 2: pros app kind of fed me was this is one 296 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 2: of my most profitable markets is betting on pass attempts unders. 297 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 2: So it's been profitable. I think I had Matthew Stafford 298 00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 2: that was one of the bets I hit last week, 299 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,560 Speaker 2: and that looked really shaky after the first half. When 300 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 2: I think Stafford, it seemed like he threw the ball 301 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 2: like thirty times and I looked up and think, oh man, 302 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 2: I'm totally screwed. 303 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:36,840 Speaker 3: But you understill end up cashing. 304 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 2: So the pass attempts one because you got to play 305 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 2: the whole game out right. You can't get there on 306 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 2: just one play. It's going to take thirty five plays. 307 00:13:43,160 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 2: For Michael Pennix to beat us here and I don't 308 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:46,840 Speaker 2: think it's going to happen, So yeah, this is definitely 309 00:13:46,840 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 2: one of mine. It's a five star bet. 310 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 1: And it's a cool feature on the Betting Pros app, 311 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: the new updates on it. If you click on the 312 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: tools button, it is able to you know, to take 313 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 1: your betting history and it'll talk to you about things 314 00:13:57,800 --> 00:14:00,680 Speaker 1: that you have been profitable, little about markets that you 315 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: like to bet, and it's going to curate stuff like that. 316 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:05,000 Speaker 1: The curation is actually one of the coolest things that 317 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 1: the app we have changed with it. So there you go. 318 00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 1: You are a pass attempt can. 319 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:11,080 Speaker 2: My official records? I just pulled it up thirty two 320 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 2: and sixteen plus fifteen percent? 321 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:16,079 Speaker 1: Okay, well, let's let's get on it. Let's make a bet, 322 00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,320 Speaker 1: and if you do it, do it over on hard 323 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: rock Bet. Because today's show is brought to you by 324 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 1: presenting sponsor hard Rock Bet. This is the golden time 325 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 1: of the year when it's not just Pro football, no, no, NBA, 326 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: college football, college hoops, hockey, all of it is here. 327 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:34,880 Speaker 1: And if you haven't tried your first bet on hard 328 00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 1: Rock Bet, there's still time to get one. Hundred and 329 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 1: fifty bonus bets. 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Download the hard 347 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 1: rock Bet app today and make your first deposit. 348 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 4: Payble and bonus bets and not a cash offer offered 349 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 4: by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida, offered by 350 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 4: the Seminal Hard Rock Digital LLC. 351 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 3: In other states. 352 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 4: Must be twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 353 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 4: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 354 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 4: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 355 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:48,760 Speaker 4: eight eight Admit it. In Indiana. If you are something 356 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 4: you know as a gambling problem and wants help, call 357 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 4: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 358 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 4: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, and New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 359 00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to our third bets on the 360 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,720 Speaker 1: line here. I circled this one about four different times 361 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 1: as I was going through my process, and I just 362 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 1: had to settle on it. And we're going with Tetoroa McMillan. 363 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,680 Speaker 1: Tedoro has had some ups and downs as far as 364 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 1: the big massive targets. I believe he's actually only hit 365 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:18,360 Speaker 1: this in like once in his last three games. But 366 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: it is the matchup that speaks to me. Obviously, they 367 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,680 Speaker 1: they found a new resurgence in their running game with 368 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 1: Rico Dwell. But this is a spot where I think 369 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 1: they're going to be able to slang the ball again. 370 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 1: And as far as like coverage grades go, this is 371 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: an agreement. Tet Row McMillan receiving yards. It's forty nine 372 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 1: point five over is the play here New Orleans. They 373 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: ranked twenty five out of thirty two in overall coverage grade. 374 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 1: This is supported by PFF and I check out their projections. 375 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 1: Fantasy pros were over fifty on this number. And he 376 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 1: is the target hawk, so you know, in the Green 377 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 1: Bay matchup, they were finding success running the ball and 378 00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 1: there's way too much pressure put on Bryce Young and 379 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 1: he can't end up passing the ball. This is a 380 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 1: spot against New Orleans where I do believe they are 381 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 1: going to be able to not only run the ball, 382 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:04,159 Speaker 1: they're going to be able to set up play action 383 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:07,160 Speaker 1: and we are going to get Tetro and McMillan back 384 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 1: involved here. It's a low number. I'm not sure. Yeah, 385 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 1: I think I should have gone back and looked and 386 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: seen like whin Terro and McMillan receiving yards are under 387 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:17,920 Speaker 1: forty how often do they hit? Because this number is 388 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 1: usually a lot higher, but forty nine point five over 389 00:17:21,800 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: for McMillan. Do you have any reservations about McMillan. You've 390 00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:26,880 Speaker 1: been kind of a little selly on him in fantasy. 391 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:29,359 Speaker 1: Are you a buyer sell on this prop of mind 392 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:29,879 Speaker 1: for the week? 393 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 2: I do think that it is really low, which is true, 394 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 2: but then when you look at the game logs, it's like, oh, okay, 395 00:17:35,800 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 2: I kind of understand why it's like this, but he 396 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:41,159 Speaker 2: is so clearly the alpha in this passing attack. And 397 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 2: I believe even like last week, again not like a 398 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 2: monster game from him, but he just has such a 399 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 2: massive share of the panther I mean, he is the first, second, 400 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 2: third read when they decided to throw the football. And 401 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,199 Speaker 2: if Dowbell is limited in any way coming off that 402 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 2: you know he's been dealing with a quad injury. Yeah, 403 00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 2: it's a difficult matchup, so I thinks can kind of 404 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 2: go bit wonky again. Saints are not a good team, 405 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,880 Speaker 2: but you know, divisional games can sometimes be more competitive 406 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,879 Speaker 2: than the spreads sometimes suggest, So if there is a 407 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:10,120 Speaker 2: little bit more push from the Saints, I think, yeah, 408 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 2: McMillan's going to get involved, and it's really not a 409 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:13,399 Speaker 2: high bar for him. 410 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:13,840 Speaker 3: To pass. 411 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean in first Reid percentage. You know he's 412 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:18,679 Speaker 1: up there. He's the main target for the team. So 413 00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:21,920 Speaker 1: that's what we're playing on here, all right. The third 414 00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 1: bet we're going to can we have a continuation of unders? 415 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:27,760 Speaker 1: You were going to go with a running back under? 416 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:29,440 Speaker 1: So who's your third prop of the week. 417 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:33,560 Speaker 2: Yes, my third five star prop on this show. Okay, 418 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 2: Josh Shacops under ninety four and a half combined rushing 419 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,959 Speaker 2: and receiving yards. So eight games played for Josh Shacops 420 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,240 Speaker 2: this season, he's only gone over this number three times 421 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:47,160 Speaker 2: and was against the Dallas Cowboys, Cincinnati Bengals, two of the. 422 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 3: Worst defenses in the NFL. 423 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, and the Carolina Panthers, another defense that has given 424 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 2: up a lot of yards at times to certain running backs. 425 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:57,200 Speaker 2: So the Eagles better than all three of those defenses, 426 00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 2: especially with Jalen carter back coming off a bye week. 427 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 2: We are they are one hundred percent healthy on the 428 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,520 Speaker 2: defensive side of the football, and we've seen Jacob's last 429 00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 2: couple of weeks. Last three games, he's played fewer than 430 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 2: sixty percent of the Green Bay Packers' offensive snaps, and 431 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 2: that's because he's been nursing this CAF injury, so they are. 432 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 3: Not like totally limiting his workout. 433 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 2: He stilled over twenty touches last week, and he obviously 434 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 2: went over this number last week when they were playing 435 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 2: the Panthers. But I think it a tougher matchup where 436 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:24,200 Speaker 2: he's still not seeing like a ninety percent snapchare splitting 437 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:26,919 Speaker 2: some work with Emmanuel Wilson. I just think this is 438 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 2: a huge number, and I just don't think he's going 439 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:30,440 Speaker 2: to hit it. I think that maybe he gets close, 440 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:32,080 Speaker 2: maybe this is a sweat into the fourth quarter on 441 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 2: Monday Night football, But ultimately I think that Jacobs is 442 00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:35,920 Speaker 2: going to fall short of ninety four and a half 443 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:38,119 Speaker 2: rushing and receiving yards, which is just a really big 444 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 2: number against a healthy defense. 445 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 1: Was there any reason outside of like the obvious that 446 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:44,440 Speaker 1: you I don't think I've seen you do this before, 447 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 1: but you picked two rushing and receiving yard totals. Are 448 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:50,240 Speaker 1: you trying to just jump on the extra juice of 449 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: the receiving to up that number? Because I'm guessing Tracy's 450 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:55,679 Speaker 1: number rushing, if I remember correctly, was in the like 451 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,400 Speaker 1: high forties, and I'm guessing Jacobs is like in the seventies. 452 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 1: So was it just to get the extra little juice? 453 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: Is there something special adding in the receiving side. 454 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:06,480 Speaker 2: Well, I think that the prop bet cheat sheet liked 455 00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 2: the total with rushing and receiving yards like the stars 456 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:13,480 Speaker 2: were higher for those particular bets, And with the Tracy bet, 457 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,360 Speaker 2: it's because I do want to invite his upside as 458 00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 2: a receiver out of the backfield, because I know that 459 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:19,880 Speaker 2: he can catch a screen pass and rip it off 460 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:23,679 Speaker 2: for a fifty yard gain, Whereas Jacobs, I'm not so 461 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 2: concerned that he was going to necessarily do that for me. 462 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:27,840 Speaker 2: He's been more of a grinder running back this year, 463 00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:31,440 Speaker 2: forcing broken tackles, so I'm not as concerned about, oh, well, 464 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 2: it's going to be Jacob's receiving usage that just totally 465 00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 2: nukes this bet. I just think this gives me a 466 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:38,760 Speaker 2: better higher number to bet the under on for Jacobs, 467 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 2: where again, his rushing yards is still it's like seventy 468 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:42,200 Speaker 2: five eighty rushing yards. 469 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 3: It's still pretty high number. 470 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 2: But I don't think that he's such an amazing receiver 471 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,480 Speaker 2: and how he's using the Packers offense that that's going 472 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:50,160 Speaker 2: to be the reason why this bet ultimately doesn't fire. 473 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,640 Speaker 1: And perfect plug to remind you guys about the prop 474 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,119 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. The NFL prop cheat Sheet shows you 475 00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 1: the best value plays every day, whether you want to 476 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,960 Speaker 1: check ev or five star ratings at the top. Also, 477 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,320 Speaker 1: the massive success that the cheat sheet has had on 478 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,600 Speaker 1: five star bets this year has been great. You can 479 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,199 Speaker 1: get daily prop bet value rankings based on projections. You 480 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 1: can find the best props for all passing, rushing, receiving, 481 00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:13,680 Speaker 1: any of the stack categories. Use it now bettingpros dot com, 482 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,480 Speaker 1: slash props or on the Betting Pros app Go and 483 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,360 Speaker 1: check that out today. I actually have a five star 484 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,919 Speaker 1: bet as my final bet. Usually my final bets are a 485 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 1: little squirrely. Here's just a little plug. It is a 486 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: five star bet that I'm very much into and obviously 487 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 1: Erickson has locked into a few. Now maybe my wild 488 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:33,639 Speaker 1: bet of the week is actually going to be the 489 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:37,200 Speaker 1: fourth one. I saved my under for the final number four. 490 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 1: We're going to go back to the Giants game. I 491 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 1: am going to take Jackson Dart passing touchdowns one point 492 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: five over and that is almost one and a half. 493 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 1: It is plus one thirty nine is the number that 494 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 1: I ended up getting at He has thrown for two 495 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: or more touchdowns in two of his last three games. 496 00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:59,679 Speaker 1: Bears defense has given up two or more passing touchdowns 497 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:04,240 Speaker 1: in four of their last five games. Bears defensively ranking 498 00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:07,879 Speaker 1: twenty eight out of thirty two on defensive PFF grade, 499 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 1: Passing pass rush is twenty eight out of thirty two. 500 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,320 Speaker 1: Ranked coverage grades on running back and tight end twenty 501 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:19,399 Speaker 1: seven and twenty five out of thirty two. It's just 502 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 1: not a good defense. Jackson Darts rushing upside is probably 503 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,240 Speaker 1: my biggest worry. I know you are like super super 504 00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 1: pro Tyrone Tracy this week, but THEO Johnson is in 505 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 1: a really great spot. Their tight end grades stink. He's 506 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:34,280 Speaker 1: a touchdown guy. Wanda Robinson is getting a whole bunch 507 00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 1: that can take the top off with Slayton Dart has 508 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:39,199 Speaker 1: done this in two of the last three. The Bears 509 00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,199 Speaker 1: are giving this up a bunch. There's a sector that 510 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 1: actually likes some scoring, a lot of scoring in this 511 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,440 Speaker 1: game because of how bad defensively this is. I think 512 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,760 Speaker 1: this is probably one of the best upside touchdown plays 513 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:52,639 Speaker 1: in a week where it's like you're like, hey, what 514 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:53,360 Speaker 1: is goff at? 515 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:53,560 Speaker 5: Oh? 516 00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 1: Two point five? Hey, what Stafford at oh two point five? 517 00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,160 Speaker 1: All the guys that you want a better two point 518 00:22:58,160 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: five or heavy juice, this is one where it is 519 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 1: a fantastic matchup on a quarterback that's been doing this 520 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:07,880 Speaker 1: one point five at plus one point thirty nine, Can 521 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 1: you co sign it all with me? 522 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 2: I think this is gonna be a fun game to 523 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 2: watch between the Bears and Giants. 524 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean, dart. 525 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 2: If he's gonna be a top five fantasy quarterback like 526 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:19,120 Speaker 2: he is in Fantasy pros Easy Our rankings, and he's 527 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,640 Speaker 2: gonna be throwing touchdowns, it's just gonna be sad if 528 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 2: he ends up having like two rushing touchdowns. And that's 529 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,720 Speaker 2: the reason why I know this one doesn't hit, But 530 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:28,679 Speaker 2: that will be one that we talk about as a 531 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:29,840 Speaker 2: spiritual success. 532 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 3: Hey, they drove down the field, and. 533 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 2: You know that he's probably gonna get one of these 534 00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:35,959 Speaker 2: really early because the Giants have been scoring on their 535 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,960 Speaker 2: opening drive basically every single week. 536 00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:39,920 Speaker 3: So it might be a sweat in the fourth. 537 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,560 Speaker 2: Quarter where man, we just need one more fasting touchdown 538 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:44,439 Speaker 2: from Jackson Dark because you know he's gonna get at 539 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,199 Speaker 2: least one, and it's probably gonna be pretty early. I 540 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,879 Speaker 2: would say too with this game, this number in particular, 541 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,400 Speaker 2: it might actually get better odds because I have seen 542 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:55,560 Speaker 2: some concerns about the weather in this particular game. It 543 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,080 Speaker 2: is in Chicago, it is November, so there was always 544 00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,080 Speaker 2: going to be some risk of some type of wintery mix. 545 00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 2: That being said Jackson Dart where he plays high school 546 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:07,639 Speaker 2: ball Utah Baby, So he's like the reporters asked him like, oh, like, 547 00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 2: how are you gonna do in the weather, and he's 548 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 2: like this, say, my first rodeo for this it's going 549 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 2: for this baby. 550 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: So funny you say that, because your next bet I 551 00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:20,160 Speaker 1: saw as a I believe it was a five star 552 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 1: rating on the other side, if I'm remembering this correctly, 553 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,400 Speaker 1: I went to take a look at this, but this 554 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,560 Speaker 1: game is going to have some effect on weather for 555 00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 1: your player, and it actually made me move away from 556 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,440 Speaker 1: what was said on the sheet. So I think you're 557 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:35,879 Speaker 1: doing the opposite here. So you've got another under for 558 00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:37,200 Speaker 1: your fourth bet this week. 559 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, So anyone that's tuned into the prop show this 560 00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 2: year or even last year, this is one that I 561 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 2: bet a lot, and it's Demonta Smith going under four 562 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:48,320 Speaker 2: and a half receptions and it's usually not always at 563 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:52,840 Speaker 2: this number because it gets boosted up when Eagles players 564 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,439 Speaker 2: missed time. Dallas Goddard miss his games. You see Demanta 565 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,360 Speaker 2: Smith smash. The last time we saw the Eagles play, 566 00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,479 Speaker 2: AJ Brown was injured, Demonta Smith smashed. But the trend 567 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 2: when those guys are both healthy in the lineup. The 568 00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,920 Speaker 2: last thirteen games that Smith has played alongside a healthy 569 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 2: Dallas Goddter and AJ Brown, He's gone over this number 570 00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 2: four times. 571 00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 3: That's it. 572 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 2: So the trends are always suggesting that, yes, Smith is 573 00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,840 Speaker 2: a really talented receiver, but when those other guys are 574 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 2: healthy in the lineup, he just doesn't fire on this 575 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:23,399 Speaker 2: particular number. He doesn't hit the over. Now this year 576 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,199 Speaker 2: it's been more of a fifty to fifty bet, but 577 00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,920 Speaker 2: still the long track record, the sample size suggests, hey 578 00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:31,640 Speaker 2: Smith usually doesn't catch five balls when these other guys 579 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:34,119 Speaker 2: are healthy and just too many playmakers, especially on an 580 00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:35,920 Speaker 2: offense that out of their bye week. What do we 581 00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:38,160 Speaker 2: see last year from the Eagles right after their bye week, 582 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:39,919 Speaker 2: they just were like, We're going to feed Saquon Barkley 583 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:41,880 Speaker 2: over and over and over again. So they're a little 584 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:43,919 Speaker 2: bit more dependent on the run, especially against the Packers. 585 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 2: Packers defense got shredded by Rico Daudel last week. I 586 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 2: think that Smith he could have a big game. He 587 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 2: could still have like eighty receiving yards, but I think 588 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 2: he's gonna finish under five catches and into that sample 589 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 2: size of those four games where Smith has actually gone over, 590 00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 2: only one time has he done it on the road. 591 00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 2: So I'm taking the under. 592 00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think I saw this is gonna be 593 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,199 Speaker 1: like a cold game and things you know, they can 594 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 1: change up to the minute with the weather stuff. But 595 00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 1: I think there's some potential snow stuff that might be 596 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 1: floating out there, so it could be a game that's 597 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,080 Speaker 1: on the ground. I moved away from this one. I 598 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,439 Speaker 1: was originally looking at him over on the receptions and 599 00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 1: I came off of it. All right, final prop bets here, 600 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:23,440 Speaker 1: this is this is my under I've been playing one 601 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 1: under a week. You are the undertaker. I just dabble, 602 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:28,960 Speaker 1: but we are going to jump in this week and 603 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 1: I am going with a five star bet on the 604 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,439 Speaker 1: betting Pros cheat sheet that you can check out, and 605 00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:36,320 Speaker 1: I see a lot of support for it. To Mario 606 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:41,200 Speaker 1: Douglas receiving yards under at forty point five. I will 607 00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:43,479 Speaker 1: also tell you this one is a move in on 608 00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 1: some other spots because people are betting it down. Douglas 609 00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:51,080 Speaker 1: has hit the forty over by the way three times 610 00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 1: this year and three of the last four weeks, so 611 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,159 Speaker 1: this is kind of a negative to that, but it 612 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,800 Speaker 1: has been off of explosive plays. He has put up 613 00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:04,560 Speaker 1: a forty four yard or larger play in those three games, 614 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 1: So he hits this prop literally on one singular play. 615 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,439 Speaker 1: Why is that important? Tampa Bay corner grades? Here are 616 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 1: your corner grades this year on PFF one, sixteen and 617 00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:19,000 Speaker 1: fifty one, and they are in the bottom ten in 618 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: the league in explosive plays given up. So PFF projections 619 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:28,080 Speaker 1: has this just under forty betting pros I mentioned is 620 00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 1: a five star rating actually has a twenty one yard 621 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:34,240 Speaker 1: differential between the projection and the total, so the five 622 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 1: star loves this. He has been massively big play, and 623 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 1: I understand Booty being outputs this kind of in question. 624 00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: Last week was the first real target share that he had, 625 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: but he only does this off of the big explosive play. 626 00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:49,240 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna play the under forty point five for 627 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,560 Speaker 1: my final prop of the week. You welcome to comment 628 00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 1: on it, or we can just get to your final, 629 00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:57,879 Speaker 1: which is also another under four hundreds this week. 630 00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,680 Speaker 2: Also in the same game, the Buccaneers and Paytriots game. 631 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:02,719 Speaker 2: I will say I love the Douglas call here. I mean, 632 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 2: you've been lights out, very selective with your unders, and 633 00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:07,400 Speaker 2: maybe that's actually doing more instead of. 634 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 3: Just blasting unders. 635 00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:11,679 Speaker 2: Maybe take one or two that you really like on 636 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:15,240 Speaker 2: these like fringe wide receiver plays that just continue to smash, 637 00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:18,480 Speaker 2: like Judy Mooney, like like those bets. Just you watch 638 00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 2: those games like there was no shot these guys were 639 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:21,359 Speaker 2: even gonna come close. 640 00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:24,280 Speaker 1: I've absolutely smashed the last couple. Judy didn't have a 641 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,920 Speaker 1: yard and Darnel Mooney I think caught one pass. Yeah, 642 00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 1: but it's like, is it the over, is it the 643 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 1: Welsh and the Undertaker. We're just on opposites. I probably 644 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 1: need to be a little bit more selective on my 645 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,320 Speaker 1: over sometimes though we've been pretty good. Yeah, it's just 646 00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:37,639 Speaker 1: we're just inverse on it. 647 00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 2: And you are seemingly always betting on receivers playing in 648 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,720 Speaker 2: Patriots games, and so I'm like, oh, yeah, like that's 649 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:46,640 Speaker 2: it because I'm watching these games I'm like Welsh did again. 650 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 2: Man like this guy never had a shot, I'm going 651 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,880 Speaker 2: anywhere near his And I would say with the Douglas thing, 652 00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 2: because I I'm definitely gonna be tailing this one too. 653 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 2: His role didn't change last week. He was still significantly 654 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 2: behind guys like mac Hollins in terms of snaps and 655 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,800 Speaker 2: routes run. He ran less routes than Kyle Williams did 656 00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 2: and played less snaps than the rookie Kyle Wims because 657 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 2: Booty is the perimeter wide receiver, like Douglas's role didn't 658 00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,240 Speaker 2: change with Booty out of the lineup. So yeah, I 659 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,280 Speaker 2: think that this number is way inflated because of a 660 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:17,080 Speaker 2: usage bump. Maybe there's a target two more for Douglas, 661 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 2: but I don't think he's gonna be on the field 662 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:21,000 Speaker 2: more necessarily unless they change his role. 663 00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think last week it was a fifty 664 00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 1: eight yard play, so you could technically argue that he 665 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 1: would have hit this last week without the big play, 666 00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 1: But the other two games where he did it, he 667 00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:32,800 Speaker 1: literally would not have without the big play. So it's 668 00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:34,760 Speaker 1: the big play stuff that's been getting him. So I 669 00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 1: like that one. All right, you said you're going to 670 00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:38,880 Speaker 1: play in also an under in this game. 671 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going with Shad White under forty four and 672 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:45,640 Speaker 2: a half rushing yards. The Patriots run defense is arguably 673 00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 2: the best of the NFL. No running back has rushed 674 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 2: for fifty yards against the Patriots defense this year, and 675 00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 2: I don't think the Tamba Buccaneers are going to change that, 676 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:56,120 Speaker 2: especially with Rashad White and Sean Tucker as the two 677 00:29:56,200 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 2: lead backs. And I think that it's worth noting that White, yes, 678 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 2: he's mostly been a bellcow with Bucky Irving out and 679 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 2: I believe that we just got news that buckeer He's 680 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 2: definitely not going to play in this game. That doesn't 681 00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,440 Speaker 2: change the bet. This was the bet was made presuming 682 00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,960 Speaker 2: that Bucky was gonna miss. But White has only gone 683 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:13,240 Speaker 2: over this number one time, and get against the forty 684 00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:15,840 Speaker 2: nine ers when he had seventeen carries. He's only had 685 00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:18,360 Speaker 2: that type of number one time as the starter in 686 00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:21,400 Speaker 2: the Buccaneers offense over the last four weeks, and the 687 00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 2: last time we saw the Bucks play, he was splitting 688 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,960 Speaker 2: carries more with Sean Tucker, the number three running back 689 00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 2: on the Buccaneers. So I don't think he's definitely gonna 690 00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 2: see enough carries to even get to this number against 691 00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:32,840 Speaker 2: one of the best run day fans of the NFL. 692 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,640 Speaker 2: So this is an easy under for me. Under forty 693 00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 2: four and a half rushing yards for shot White. 694 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 1: I like this one. I probably I'm interested in the 695 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: receiving side for Rashad White and this too if they're 696 00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 1: playing from a little bit behind on that. All right, 697 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 1: there you go. Those are the ten prop bets touchdown time. 698 00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,120 Speaker 1: Check out the touchdown report at Betting Pros. Bettingpros dot 699 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 1: com slash touchdown get an edge on the touchdown bets are. 700 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,240 Speaker 1: Touchdown Score report compares to anytime touchdown stats to prop 701 00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 1: bet odds and projections to help identify the best anytime bets. 702 00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 1: Head to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown for the latest 703 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 1: touchdown prop analysis today. Joe Pezabia is not here, but 704 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 1: he did give us his touchdown picks. He wants to 705 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 1: keep his momentum because he is the well, actually he 706 00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 1: was the touchdown king and you have over taken over 707 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,040 Speaker 1: the seat for that. He has ten, you're the touchdown 708 00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:22,640 Speaker 1: king with eleven. I have been very very drastically trailing behind, 709 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:24,800 Speaker 1: but I'm catching up a little bit. I'm at eight now, 710 00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 1: so we're all right in there. But you guys are 711 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,600 Speaker 1: in the double digis, so you know, hat tip to 712 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:31,680 Speaker 1: you guys for averaging a touchdown call per week. Joe, 713 00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:34,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you his touchdown calls. I'll give you mine. 714 00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:37,280 Speaker 1: And not only does Erickson have some great ones, Erickson's 715 00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,760 Speaker 1: gonna give you more than seven to one touchdown call 716 00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:43,800 Speaker 1: and I love it. I love it. Joe Pisabia is 717 00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:45,800 Speaker 1: going a little bit easy this week. He's going with 718 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:49,040 Speaker 1: a just plus one hundred Jackson Smith and Jigba call 719 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 1: and Justin Jefferson at plus one twenty. There's no analysis, 720 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:56,080 Speaker 1: but I'm just letting you guys know it. Mine, I've 721 00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:58,960 Speaker 1: very much lined into tight ends this year. I've got 722 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,520 Speaker 1: two tight end touchdown calls and they're both over two 723 00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:03,720 Speaker 1: to one. Give me Dalton Kinkaid at plus two to 724 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 1: twenty five three touchdowns last week from Miami to tight 725 00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 1: ends six on the year, thirty six percent touchdown percentage, 726 00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,880 Speaker 1: team touchdown percentage Dalton king Kad has had and it's 727 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: a smash play against Miami this week. And then I'm 728 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 1: going with Dalton Schultz. So confusing myself almost with the 729 00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 1: Kinkaid and the Schultz Dalton Schultz at almost three to 730 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,000 Speaker 1: one plus two ninety five six touchdowns, giving up the 731 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:31,840 Speaker 1: tight ends on the year in the matchup touchdowns in 732 00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,200 Speaker 1: four of the last five I talked to you about 733 00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:37,960 Speaker 1: Schultz versus the Jags. Jags are just abysmal against tight ends. 734 00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,160 Speaker 1: Davis Mills is not in a great spot, but I 735 00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:41,840 Speaker 1: think Schultz is going to be the main target and 736 00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:44,000 Speaker 1: if they move the ball, I'm getting almost three to one. 737 00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:46,880 Speaker 1: So those are my touchdown calls a little bit deeper. 738 00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 1: But Erickson, what do you got this week? 739 00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 2: Touchdown King Tyrone Tracy plus one sixty five. I think 740 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,920 Speaker 2: that we see points in this Bears Giants game. One 741 00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:58,000 Speaker 2: of my best bets the week, please, One of the 742 00:32:58,040 --> 00:32:59,760 Speaker 2: best bets of the week for me was the Bear's 743 00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:03,000 Speaker 2: team total going over. So I think that the Giants 744 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:04,280 Speaker 2: are going to push them in a little bit here. 745 00:33:04,320 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 2: So I like Tracy two find the end zone. Plus 746 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,280 Speaker 2: one is sixty five against the bad Bears defense. And 747 00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:12,400 Speaker 2: then my as you teased, my really long shot bet. 748 00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,560 Speaker 2: This is the longest shot I've had on the show 749 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,280 Speaker 2: to date. Feeling it a little bit right, now because 750 00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:17,680 Speaker 2: you know I'm the. 751 00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:19,800 Speaker 1: King since we've been doing this really. 752 00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:22,480 Speaker 2: This year particular, Yeah, this year for sure, this year definitely, Yeah, 753 00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 2: i'verobably had some grocer ones, especially some of the first 754 00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,560 Speaker 2: touchdown ones that I have cooled off a little bit on, 755 00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:30,280 Speaker 2: not betting them nearly as much this year. But devon 756 00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:34,400 Speaker 2: velay anytime touchdown plus seventy five. For those not familiar, 757 00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 2: Vley is a wide receiver on the New Orleans Saints. 758 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:38,280 Speaker 2: So ericson what are you doing why you've betten on 759 00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 2: the Saints to score touchdowns? Well, the Saints did score 760 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:42,720 Speaker 2: at least one touchdown last week. It was Juwan Johnson 761 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 2: against the Rams, so I think maybe they can sneak 762 00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:47,880 Speaker 2: one in against the Carolina Panthers here playing on the road. 763 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:52,160 Speaker 2: And Veyley he's a big bodied wide receiver that they're 764 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 2: already talking about. They love him as a red zone weapon. 765 00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:57,760 Speaker 2: When I've watched Saints games this year, they've said in 766 00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 2: the broadcast they really like Bley in the red zone. 767 00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 2: Set it in the press conferences this week, we really 768 00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:05,040 Speaker 2: like Bele in the red zone. And there's no sheet heat, 769 00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:07,560 Speaker 2: so he's gone. He's part of Seattle, So that opens up. 770 00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 2: I think more target opportunities for a guy like Veyle 771 00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,359 Speaker 2: who could be playing a more of a full time role. 772 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:15,040 Speaker 2: So we know that the Panthers defense gonna throw out 773 00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:18,200 Speaker 2: of their attention at Chris Olave Juwan Johnson. Yes, maybe 774 00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:19,719 Speaker 2: he's the one that them ends up scoring like he 775 00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:21,879 Speaker 2: did last week. But I like the odds here plus 776 00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:23,600 Speaker 2: seven to fifteen. I'm not the only one likes the odds. 777 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,480 Speaker 2: If you look at the Anytime Touchdown Report on Betting 778 00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 2: Pros is one of the highest plus evy bets plus 779 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,799 Speaker 2: thirty three percent. What else was another really high evy 780 00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 2: bet was Troy Franklin and he scored on Thursday Night Football. 781 00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:37,600 Speaker 2: So use the tools, guys, use the reports. 782 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:40,040 Speaker 3: They help you good sell. 783 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:41,920 Speaker 1: That's a great sell. Go and check it out, my 784 00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:44,680 Speaker 1: friends Betting Pros on the cheat sheet. You can check 785 00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:46,719 Speaker 1: that out Touchdown Reports. We got it all there. Go 786 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,719 Speaker 1: download the app today, get all your bets tracked. You 787 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,359 Speaker 1: can follow some of our best bets. That is going 788 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,759 Speaker 1: to do it for all the touchdowns and props and 789 00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:56,759 Speaker 1: no Joe Piezapa. But it'll be back next week for 790 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,720 Speaker 1: Andrew Ericson. I'm Chris Welsh. Good luck this week. Good betting. 791 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,080 Speaker 1: We'll talk to you next time right here on Betting Pros. 792 00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:05,400 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 793 00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:07,800 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 794 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:11,239 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 795 00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 796 00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,080 Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 797 00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:17,400 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to 798 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,600 Speaker 5: Our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.