WEBVTT - Broadcom Follows Oracle in Disappointing AI-Focused Investors

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is a

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<v Speaker 1>live from Coast to Coast with Caroline Hyde in New

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<v Speaker 1>York and vlave Low in sentences go.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Broadcom suffers a stock slide after its sales outlook or

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<v Speaker 3>lack of failed to meet investors lofty expectations.

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<v Speaker 4>Plus, China I is the largest ever state MATCHIP incentives,

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<v Speaker 4>with as much as seventy billion dollars of state money

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<v Speaker 4>incident for the pivotal sector.

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<v Speaker 3>And our conversation with White House ais are David Sachs

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<v Speaker 3>on President Trump's executive order aimed at limiting state level

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<v Speaker 3>regulation of AI.

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<v Speaker 4>First, and we check on these markets that are dictated

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<v Speaker 4>by tech, dictated by them, and we say that where

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<v Speaker 4>we're off by eight tenths one point eight percent, let's

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<v Speaker 4>look at it and the Nastak one hundred, we are

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<v Speaker 4>under pressure. We consider not just the macro perspective, and

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<v Speaker 4>vonn yields move what's happening underneath the surface. I'm looking

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<v Speaker 4>at the Golden Dragon Index. Look, this is showing what

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<v Speaker 4>Chinese names trade in the US in terms that eight

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<v Speaker 4>hors are up to.

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<v Speaker 5>What a dichotomy. We've got going what a juxtaposition, China higher, we'll.

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<v Speaker 4>Get to that news later, US lower, and in large

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<v Speaker 4>part it's by one key stock.

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<v Speaker 3>You're looking at some breaking news Bloomberg reporting citing sources

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<v Speaker 3>that Oracle has pushed back some of the completion dates

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<v Speaker 3>of data centers that's developing with and for open AI.

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<v Speaker 3>That pushback is to twenty twenty eight from an earlier

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<v Speaker 3>plan of twenty twenty seven. The market reacted. Look at

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<v Speaker 3>the right hand side of the squiggly line. It's paired

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<v Speaker 3>some of that decline, but at one point session low

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<v Speaker 3>well beyond six percent.

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<v Speaker 2>I think car relating the show.

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<v Speaker 3>We're going to get an opportunity to talk to Brody Ford.

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<v Speaker 3>You broke that story. Get more of the details. Right now,

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<v Speaker 3>the top story is Broadcom. It is on track for

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<v Speaker 3>its biggest decline since January of this year, a seventy

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<v Speaker 3>three billion dollar backlog AI specific, but what the street

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<v Speaker 3>wanted was a very different number. During a conference call,

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<v Speaker 3>CEO Hoc Tan held off giving an annual AI revenue forecast,

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<v Speaker 3>saying it was quote a moving target.

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<v Speaker 2>Listen to this.

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<v Speaker 6>It's hard for me to pinpoint what twenty six is

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<v Speaker 6>going to look like precisely. So I'd rather not give

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<v Speaker 6>you guys any guys, and that's why we don't give

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<v Speaker 6>you guys, but we do give it for two one.

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<v Speaker 3>Carle Ackerman, Managing director of semi Conductors and Networking Hardware

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<v Speaker 3>at BNP Pariber joins us for more is new price

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<v Speaker 3>target four hundred and seventy five dollars, among the highest

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<v Speaker 3>now for analysts covering the stock. So that's the point.

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<v Speaker 3>You have different sets of data. They gave us a

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<v Speaker 3>figure which was a seventy three billion dollar backlog this morning.

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<v Speaker 3>Quite clearly the market would like to see a revenue

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<v Speaker 3>number that's forward looking.

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<v Speaker 2>Yep, yeah, that's true.

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<v Speaker 7>So so you're right, I think the I think what's

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<v Speaker 7>interesting here the reason why brad Armer is down is

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<v Speaker 7>not about out the It's not about how revenue has

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<v Speaker 7>perhaps missed expectations. First and forem with some of the

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<v Speaker 7>company actually beaten raised guidance AI sales or above expectations.

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<v Speaker 7>The outlook for next quarter of eight point two billion

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<v Speaker 7>farc City consensus of six point eight billion of AI sales,

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<v Speaker 7>which doubled on ear of your basis. When queried, the

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<v Speaker 7>company indicated that how Co indicated that revenue could perhaps

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<v Speaker 7>accelerate into fiscal twenty six versus that one hundred percent

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<v Speaker 7>accelerated growth number. We have over fifty billion of AI

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<v Speaker 7>sales in fiscal twenty five. I think the reason why

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<v Speaker 7>the stock is down ed, however, is in part because

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<v Speaker 7>there are some investors a bit worried about the margin

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<v Speaker 7>structure of the Entropic deal. So of that seventy three

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<v Speaker 7>billion in AI sales, twenty one billion will go to

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<v Speaker 7>an Entropic as part of a TPU system sale, and

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<v Speaker 7>that TPU system sale is going to be lower margin

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<v Speaker 7>than what brought Com generates content.

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<v Speaker 3>How much of the content of a server do you

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<v Speaker 3>own beyond just the chair?

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<v Speaker 2>But you like this name right?

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<v Speaker 3>Like you've just rate the price target to full seventy

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<v Speaker 3>five from three to eighty five, that right map, Well,

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<v Speaker 3>what is it you like about?

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<v Speaker 2>Brokem sure?

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<v Speaker 7>I mean Broadcom I think is in a llegue of

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<v Speaker 7>its own, akin to in video. Really where Nvidia and

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<v Speaker 7>Broadcom dominate two of the three main buckets of AI

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<v Speaker 7>infrastructure spending. Those include compute, memory, and networking. They of

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<v Speaker 7>course control two of them, networking and compute more than

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<v Speaker 7>anyone else, And I think, what's what is happening here?

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<v Speaker 7>What the what the investment community I think is overlooking

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<v Speaker 7>today on this on the selloff is the fact that

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<v Speaker 7>Broadcom is moving toward a full solution stack akin to

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<v Speaker 7>what in Video is doing on I'm providing AI compute

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<v Speaker 7>and AI networking as we move to scale up domain

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<v Speaker 7>where you're going to need optical for both the for

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<v Speaker 7>the both the networking A six and the and the compute.

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<v Speaker 7>And they offer that entire IP stack in house. And

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<v Speaker 7>that is what I think people are over miss missing today.

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<v Speaker 5>You're calling it short sighted, Karl.

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<v Speaker 4>I know you don't cover in Video as a name,

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<v Speaker 4>but does broadcom success come at the expense of others

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<v Speaker 4>in the market?

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<v Speaker 7>Thanks Carolyn, It's a good question, you know, I think

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<v Speaker 7>I think it's in a vacuum. You know, we try

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<v Speaker 7>and pigeonhole broad conferences in Vidia or broad conferences AMD

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<v Speaker 7>or GPUs versus customer accelerators. I think what we found

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<v Speaker 7>out is that it is not a it is not

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<v Speaker 7>a winner take Hall, It is not a singular approach.

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<v Speaker 7>What you're seeing is that hyper scales are adopting custom

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<v Speaker 7>compute as well as GPUs for frontier model training, and

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<v Speaker 7>that will continue to progress as we move toward inferencing,

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<v Speaker 7>So it's not so clear sighted there. I think what's

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<v Speaker 7>important here is that Broadcom offers the full solution stack

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<v Speaker 7>across networking and compute, and similar to Nvidia, those are

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<v Speaker 7>about the only two companies in all of tech, including Semis,

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<v Speaker 7>that offer that capability.

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<v Speaker 4>Of course, hocktans very much aligned in terms of his

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<v Speaker 4>own pay package with hitting certain revenue numbers for AI

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<v Speaker 4>in particular. But from your perspective, is there a supply

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<v Speaker 4>side headache going on.

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<v Speaker 5>At the moment.

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<v Speaker 4>We're hearing reports that Dell, for example, is having to

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<v Speaker 4>jack up pricing because of the pricing that it's feeding

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<v Speaker 4>on memory were Broadly, we're seeing the breaking news that

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<v Speaker 4>Oracle's having to delay some of its data centers. There

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<v Speaker 4>is a tussle for the infrastructure that's necessary right now,

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<v Speaker 4>and is that just not going to happen in the

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<v Speaker 4>overnight way that the market is anticipating.

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<v Speaker 7>Great question, Carolyn, I think what's interesting to hear is

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<v Speaker 7>I would like to tie in this idea that are

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<v Speaker 7>we in a bubble of AI infrastructure?

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<v Speaker 2>I think that's no. The answer is definitive. No, I think.

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<v Speaker 7>Gigawatt capacity and announcements take time to ramp that ramp

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<v Speaker 7>in that qualification and filling up that fab is now

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<v Speaker 7>extending the visibility across the entire supply chain, whether it's

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<v Speaker 7>hard drives, whether it's memory, whether it's networking, whether it's compute,

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<v Speaker 7>and that is giving companies like Broadcom, companies like Nvidia,

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<v Speaker 7>companies like everyone across the supply chain.

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<v Speaker 2>Very long visibility.

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<v Speaker 7>And right now things are very tight, and so some

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<v Speaker 7>of the areas that are the most tight in our

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<v Speaker 7>AI ecosystem coverage include lasers for optical transceiver components. There

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<v Speaker 7>are ways to ameliorate those that tightness among the supply chain,

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<v Speaker 7>and Hawk and Broadcom announced how they have the sufficient

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<v Speaker 7>capacity for their chips to meet the demand that they

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<v Speaker 7>see in fiscal twenty six and in fiscal twenty seven.

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<v Speaker 5>Who doesn't love talking lasers.

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<v Speaker 4>Kyle Ackerman of BNP paraba, it's been great getting your take.

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<v Speaker 4>As we do see stocks fallswe the NASDAK more broadly

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<v Speaker 4>now under pressure is some two percent pop. The discussion

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<v Speaker 4>that's happening between the US and China, because look, chip

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<v Speaker 4>markets are in the eye of the storm. They're China

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<v Speaker 4>planning to pour up to seventy billion dollars of state

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<v Speaker 4>money into the sector, dem pivotal to its technological conflict

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<v Speaker 4>with the United States. Bloomberg's Maggie Eastland joins US now,

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<v Speaker 4>and seventy billion dollars would be an extraordinary amount of

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<v Speaker 4>government support that we've ever seen worldwide.

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<v Speaker 5>Right, Yes, this is a huge number.

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<v Speaker 8>This would be you know, China's biggest semiconductor specific packaging.

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<v Speaker 8>And according to Bloomberg reporting, that number could be anywhere

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<v Speaker 8>between as you said, seventy billion, and it could go

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<v Speaker 8>down to twenty eight billion, So it depends.

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<v Speaker 5>Here we'll see how large it is.

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<v Speaker 8>That compares to the US effort at industrial policy for semiconductors,

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<v Speaker 8>which is fifty two billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 5>So this is a.

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<v Speaker 8>Similar scale to what the US has undertaken in recent years.

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<v Speaker 3>Maggie, there are some questions to which we just don't

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<v Speaker 3>have answers, and that largely relates to what China specifically

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<v Speaker 3>will do with the funds and where they'll go. But

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<v Speaker 3>within that Bloomberg reporting, where do we think China is

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<v Speaker 3>going to prioritize using the funding to you know, which

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<v Speaker 3>champions is it going to elevate.

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<v Speaker 8>Yes, So of course China is always really looking to

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<v Speaker 8>support it's AI chip makers that compete with in Vidia,

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<v Speaker 8>so that includes companies like Huawei and Camber kN But

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<v Speaker 8>there are other chip companies including SMIC or Smith which

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<v Speaker 8>does the manufacturing, so that would be the corollary to TSMC.

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<v Speaker 8>So there's a range of companies that could see this investment.

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<v Speaker 8>But China will face headwinds because it still has restrictions

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<v Speaker 8>on many of the equipment technologies and the foundries that

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<v Speaker 8>can't access TSMC.

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<v Speaker 5>For those advanced node chips.

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<v Speaker 4>You have many worrying about just what yields are like

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<v Speaker 4>from an SMIC from a SMICK when they're actually producing

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<v Speaker 4>these homegrown, domestically made chips. But I'm looking at video

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<v Speaker 4>under pressure again today, Maggie. Well, broadly, are we getting

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<v Speaker 4>any sense whether this is meaning that China will say

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<v Speaker 4>no thank you to the H two hundreds in the

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<v Speaker 4>same way that they did the H twenties.

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<v Speaker 8>As you know, China has certainly never been shy about

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<v Speaker 8>saying no to US technology when they have their own

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<v Speaker 8>local champions. But what I will say is we don't

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<v Speaker 8>know the exact number of AGE two hundreds China will

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<v Speaker 8>accept if any What we do know is they're clearly

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<v Speaker 8>not backing down on their commitment to their own chip

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<v Speaker 8>supply chain, and they're not going to readily give way

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<v Speaker 8>to this US strategy of selling advanced DAIDE chips in

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<v Speaker 8>order to undermine their local competitors. So we'll have to

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<v Speaker 8>wait and see what happens on h two hundreds.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's Maggie Eastland, who's been across China's chip efforts all

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<v Speaker 3>week long, thank you very much. Coming up, we're going

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<v Speaker 3>to get more on that breaking news report from Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>about Oracle delaying open AI specific data center project by

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<v Speaker 3>one year back to twenty twenty eight. It had an

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<v Speaker 3>impact on the markets, and as that one hundred is

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<v Speaker 3>now two percent actually Caroen as of Thursday night, the

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<v Speaker 3>state of play was the NAS that one hundred was

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<v Speaker 3>flat for the week, so we are now down two

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<v Speaker 3>percent on the NAS that one hundred or weekly basis.

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<v Speaker 3>Of course, the reaction to Broadcom and some other AI

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<v Speaker 3>angst is part of what's weighing on this market, and

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<v Speaker 3>we're going to go a lot more on that very

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<v Speaker 3>very soon.

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<v Speaker 2>Stay with us.

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<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Tech okay shares Oracle down almost five percent.

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<v Speaker 3>They'd hit session loads of six point five percent decline

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<v Speaker 3>after Bloomberg's Brodi Ford broke the story that the firm

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<v Speaker 3>will be delaying data centers for open AI to twenty

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<v Speaker 3>twenty eight instead of a previously planned twenty twenty seven.

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<v Speaker 3>The reason labor and material shortages. Bluemo's Brody Ford runs

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<v Speaker 3>to set and joins us. Now important reporting for you

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<v Speaker 3>because this is what a part of Oracle's debate is. Okay, great,

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<v Speaker 3>you have a great backlog of business, but we are

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<v Speaker 3>very closely monitoring the ability to execute on it and

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<v Speaker 3>then book revenue on it. And open AI is a

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<v Speaker 3>big chunk of the exposure fill the banks for us.

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<v Speaker 3>More reporting, What are the details have you got?

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<v Speaker 9>These are unprecedented scale data centers, right, I mean, giggle

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<v Speaker 9>watse scale data centers unprecedented, and Oracles trying to do

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<v Speaker 9>effectively five and them at once. And so what we

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<v Speaker 9>have today is that the initial completion dates, the initial

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<v Speaker 9>full delivery dates have been pushed backed in some cases

0:12:20.640 --> 0:12:23.360
<v Speaker 9>from twenty seven to twenty eight. And you know, I

0:12:23.360 --> 0:12:25.800
<v Speaker 9>think if you've spoken with data center folks over the

0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:29.319
<v Speaker 9>last couple of months. It's not a huge shocker because

0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:32.120
<v Speaker 9>I mean, these are such crazy projects, right, and the

0:12:32.200 --> 0:12:34.600
<v Speaker 9>idea of getting them done in two years was always

0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:37.240
<v Speaker 9>going to be ambitious. So now getting them done by

0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:40.360
<v Speaker 9>twenty eight it's still a tight timeline. It's still, frankly

0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 9>an impressive turnaround, but it's maybe just not as quick

0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:45.000
<v Speaker 9>as the company had initially hoped.

0:12:45.360 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 4>We're looking at Abelaine, Texas right now, where on the

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:51.880
<v Speaker 4>conference call doing earnings we had the co CEO one

0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:53.840
<v Speaker 4>of them saying that they had more than ninety six

0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:56.880
<v Speaker 4>thousand in video chips delivered, giving you the sense of scale.

0:12:56.920 --> 0:13:01.360
<v Speaker 4>But is it a hindrance to what the revenue is

0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:05.000
<v Speaker 4>ultimately for Oracle here or is it just investors having

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:07.960
<v Speaker 4>to be like, oh, it's still jammed tomorrow, not today.

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:12.240
<v Speaker 9>Right, I mean, Oracle, I'm sure will say that as

0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:15.520
<v Speaker 9>you put they deliver these sites in chunks, right, And

0:13:15.559 --> 0:13:18.559
<v Speaker 9>so Abilene is already being turned on this massive data center.

0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 2>In West Texas.

0:13:19.240 --> 0:13:22.120
<v Speaker 9>Once you get the servers running open, AI uses them,

0:13:22.320 --> 0:13:24.920
<v Speaker 9>that's revenue recognition, yeah, right, And so really what we're

0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:27.880
<v Speaker 9>thinking about is the further out sites beyond Abilene.

0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:28.040
<v Speaker 10>Right.

0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:32.679
<v Speaker 9>We keep seeing these Stargate announcements for Michigan and New Mexico. Right,

0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:35.360
<v Speaker 9>these sites which are still being kind of put together,

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:38.760
<v Speaker 9>and Oracle and other vendors too are finding that, Wow,

0:13:38.840 --> 0:13:42.240
<v Speaker 9>there's a lot of stuff out there that's backlogged.

0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:42.600
<v Speaker 5>NAMA for one of them.

0:13:42.679 --> 0:13:45.319
<v Speaker 9>There's only so many electricians, right, I mean, you want

0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:48.439
<v Speaker 9>to build in rural Texas, it's a smaller pool of

0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:49.600
<v Speaker 9>people you have access to.

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.800
<v Speaker 5>It's a fascinating story. It's going to run and run.

0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:55.680
<v Speaker 4>Blomberg's Brodie Ford with a real market moving bit of

0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:58.640
<v Speaker 4>reporting that. Let's talk more about the market implications. We've

0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:00.600
<v Speaker 4>got Margie Battel with us. You put any manager and

0:14:00.640 --> 0:14:03.760
<v Speaker 4>headed capital allocation of all Spring Global investments to have

0:14:03.800 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 4>six hundred twenty nine billion dollars an assets and advisement,

0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:11.479
<v Speaker 4>and Margie, you worried these drip drip bits of information

0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 4>that maybe the revenue streams.

0:14:13.679 --> 0:14:15.120
<v Speaker 5>Aren't able to be booked tomorrow.

0:14:15.200 --> 0:14:16.840
<v Speaker 4>It has to be waited out a little bit more

0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:18.960
<v Speaker 4>in terms of the returns on AI investment.

0:14:21.400 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 11>No, I think the long term trends are still in place.

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:27.800
<v Speaker 11>I actually thought that Broadcom's numbers were quite good and

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:29.760
<v Speaker 11>people were just I think very nervous at the end

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:32.960
<v Speaker 11>of the year, particularly with some bad news we've seen,

0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:36.040
<v Speaker 11>such as from Oracle, and I think it's really more

0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 11>just end of your jitters rather than anything fundamental. I

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 11>think when you look out into twenty twenty six, you

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 11>still have to like the tech sector, especially the semi

0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:48.480
<v Speaker 11>the memory those companies. I think you still have to

0:14:48.480 --> 0:14:50.240
<v Speaker 11>stick with them, that there are to continue to be

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:54.800
<v Speaker 11>high growers, and these little hiccups we have here and

0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:58.280
<v Speaker 11>there don't change the fundamental trend of very very strong

0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:00.120
<v Speaker 11>growth in a year, which would be very much lot

0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:03.000
<v Speaker 11>of growth next year. So we still like the whole sector.

0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:05.160
<v Speaker 4>So Maggie, on a day where BRAUN comes up by

0:15:05.160 --> 0:15:07.280
<v Speaker 4>eleven percent when the nasdak's off by two percent, is

0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:08.720
<v Speaker 4>that hacup a buying opportunity?

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:13.440
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think it is actually because if you look

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 11>at the leading stocks that have stuck to their plan,

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 11>that have great growth, great profit margins, great innovation, and

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.640
<v Speaker 11>they're down ten to fifteen, even twenty percent from their

0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 11>peaks of a few months ago. So I think that

0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:28.960
<v Speaker 11>looks like a pretty attractive time to add to these names.

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:31.280
<v Speaker 11>Because there's end of your uncertainty, a lot of short

0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 11>term traders who preserve their games cash out, And I

0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 11>think that's what you're seeing, is this pressure on the

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 11>sector rather than the change in the fundamentals the cash flow.

0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 5>The big companies are so.

0:15:42.120 --> 0:15:45.880
<v Speaker 11>Large, this isn't going to be derailed anytime soon. So

0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:47.520
<v Speaker 11>I think next year looks pretty good.

0:15:47.560 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 2>Sailing too, Margie, It's good to see you.

0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 3>It sounds like at your end you don't personally have

0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:56.120
<v Speaker 3>many jitters. One of the best read stories on the

0:15:56.120 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Ternal today is about the debt and the lens

0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:05.080
<v Speaker 3>that is behind the build out in that infrastructure, where

0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:09.440
<v Speaker 3>the debt does debt as a factor in consideration sit

0:16:09.520 --> 0:16:12.280
<v Speaker 3>for you when you are tracking all sorts of different

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:14.960
<v Speaker 3>hard and soft data sets to work out what's going

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:15.440
<v Speaker 3>on here.

0:16:17.600 --> 0:16:19.920
<v Speaker 11>Well, I look at the debt as really a company's

0:16:20.000 --> 0:16:22.200
<v Speaker 11>choice of how they want to allocate capital. Do they

0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 11>want to borrow, do they want to increase the dividend,

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:28.720
<v Speaker 11>do they want to do share buybacks? And particularly the

0:16:28.840 --> 0:16:32.920
<v Speaker 11>large successful companies really have no need to borrow. Even

0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:35.880
<v Speaker 11>paying for the CAPPAC, they still have plenty of excess

0:16:35.920 --> 0:16:39.240
<v Speaker 11>cash flow that they have to decide how to utilize.

0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 11>Whereas I think Oracle has really taken on a lot

0:16:43.600 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 11>of debt compared to their cash flow, But the rest

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:47.120
<v Speaker 11>I think all look pretty good.

0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 2>It's a vital.

0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:50.640
<v Speaker 11>Sector and that's why the returns are higher, because you

0:16:50.680 --> 0:16:53.480
<v Speaker 11>have to be prepared for these little down drafts in

0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:55.239
<v Speaker 11>order to get the upside.

0:16:56.120 --> 0:17:00.000
<v Speaker 3>Maggie Brodie's report and Oracle was very specific that Oracles

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:03.520
<v Speaker 3>delaying those projects by a year because of labor and

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:07.679
<v Speaker 3>material shortages elsewhere in the US economy. We have all

0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:10.399
<v Speaker 3>the chips we need, clearly, are we good at the

0:17:10.400 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 3>other stuff? And is the other stuff where it needs

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:14.440
<v Speaker 3>to be to support this build out?

0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:18.919
<v Speaker 11>Yes, I think it is. I think when you have

0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:22.720
<v Speaker 11>this explosion in demand of these very complex centers, I

0:17:22.720 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 11>think you should expect there will be short term problems

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:29.360
<v Speaker 11>of supply and so forth. But really that's a good

0:17:29.359 --> 0:17:32.400
<v Speaker 11>problem to have rather than lack of demand or pricing pressure.

0:17:32.440 --> 0:17:36.160
<v Speaker 11>And we're really seeing very strong pricing for the summaris

0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:39.080
<v Speaker 11>that are going into the data centers, so we think

0:17:39.119 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 11>it's just nothing to worry about, and the fundamentals are

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:43.240
<v Speaker 11>still very strong.

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:47.199
<v Speaker 4>Briefly though, there's reports today from other outlets saying that

0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:48.920
<v Speaker 4>Dell's going to have to Jack of its prices because

0:17:48.960 --> 0:17:51.879
<v Speaker 4>of pricing and strength and memory. Are there areas of

0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 4>this AI trade that are overvalued that you shouldn't be

0:17:54.359 --> 0:17:56.440
<v Speaker 4>piling into From a margin perspective.

0:17:58.359 --> 0:17:59.879
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think when you look at check it's like

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:03.959
<v Speaker 11>any other sector. Is the best companies usually trade rather richly.

0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.920
<v Speaker 11>The cheap companies usually have problems. They don't have the

0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:09.480
<v Speaker 11>leading edge, they don't have the innovation. And when you

0:18:09.520 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 11>look at chech it's just and you can see even

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:14.879
<v Speaker 11>here with the data centers and concern about what approach

0:18:14.960 --> 0:18:18.960
<v Speaker 11>that companies are using Broadcom or nvideo whatever in the

0:18:19.000 --> 0:18:21.720
<v Speaker 11>new products. It's really about innovation and who are the

0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:24.480
<v Speaker 11>leading innovators, and so the companies that don't have that

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:26.840
<v Speaker 11>innovation are just going to fall behind. So I think

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:30.640
<v Speaker 11>this year up till say the summer, everything moved up

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:33.600
<v Speaker 11>and now we're seeing a separation between the companies that

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:36.480
<v Speaker 11>have leading edge and the companies that are really falling

0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:38.120
<v Speaker 11>behind and aren't going to catch up. So I think

0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 11>it'll be much more stock selection next year than we've

0:18:41.040 --> 0:18:42.680
<v Speaker 11>had for the first part of this year.

0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 3>With a message that in tech there's nothing to worry about.

0:18:46.359 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 3>Margie Patel from all Spring Global Investments. Great to have

0:18:49.040 --> 0:18:49.840
<v Speaker 3>you back on the show.

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much.

0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:53.480
<v Speaker 3>Now coming up, we're going to bring you Bloomberg's exclusive

0:18:53.520 --> 0:18:58.600
<v Speaker 3>conversation with Uber's CEO and the company's international ambitions, particular

0:18:58.680 --> 0:18:59.760
<v Speaker 3>focus on Asia.

0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:02.200
<v Speaker 2>Next this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:09.520
<v Speaker 5>Ouba si Jari Koswa.

0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:12.840
<v Speaker 4>Shahi says the company expects to offer robotaxi services in

0:19:12.880 --> 0:19:14.880
<v Speaker 4>more than ten markets by the end of next year.

0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:17.560
<v Speaker 5>He spoke with Bloomberg Tech Asia's Annabel.

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:20.960
<v Speaker 4>Druders about why he's optimistic, in particular about growth potentially in.

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 12>Asia, the APAC market and in particular the North Asia

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 12>markets as well. They are huge growth markets for us,

0:19:29.680 --> 0:19:32.000
<v Speaker 12>and if you look, for example, in the ride share business,

0:19:32.560 --> 0:19:36.280
<v Speaker 12>over thirty percent of our global first trips coming into

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 12>the category come from the Apac region. The area is

0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:45.879
<v Speaker 12>growing very quickly, including taxi as well, which is actually

0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:49.240
<v Speaker 12>one of our newest products on the platform. So for

0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:53.320
<v Speaker 12>me coming here, seeing the teams, meeting with local business

0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:57.359
<v Speaker 12>people and regulators and talking about how we can be

0:19:57.440 --> 0:19:59.960
<v Speaker 12>part of the future growth of the region is really

0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:00.760
<v Speaker 12>what my agenda is.

0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:03.920
<v Speaker 13>Early this year, you also put out a statement on

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 13>the robot taxi push as well, and so the Middle

0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:11.359
<v Speaker 13>East and Asia were the markets for twenty twenty five

0:20:11.480 --> 0:20:13.880
<v Speaker 13>to launch, and we've seen of course that initial deployment

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 13>in the Middle East already. What's happening on the Asia side, well, lots.

0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:21.920
<v Speaker 12>Of discussions on the Asia side. I think what's really

0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:26.320
<v Speaker 12>important is to set up a regulatory framework to go forward.

0:20:27.119 --> 0:20:30.199
<v Speaker 12>For example, Hong Kong has various trials and pilots going on,

0:20:30.280 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 12>and in many other markets we're talking to regulators about

0:20:33.560 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 12>how we can be a part of shaping right share

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 12>and autonomous right shair going forward. The technology is absolutely

0:20:40.320 --> 0:20:44.160
<v Speaker 12>getting there. These are the robot driver. It doesn't get tired,

0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:48.359
<v Speaker 12>doesn't get distracted, and we very much look forward to

0:20:48.760 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 12>working with various authorities to introduce right shair into the

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.399
<v Speaker 12>markets we're now live in for markets now as we

0:20:56.440 --> 0:21:00.359
<v Speaker 12>speak in the US and in the Middle East to

0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:05.080
<v Speaker 12>be in ten plus markets by next year, and we

0:21:05.119 --> 0:21:07.080
<v Speaker 12>want those markets to be in the Asia Pacific region

0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:07.480
<v Speaker 12>as well.

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:10.080
<v Speaker 13>Where then in Asia do you think is the most

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:11.400
<v Speaker 13>likely place.

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:16.760
<v Speaker 12>We'll see I think that certainly Japan has great potential,

0:21:17.760 --> 0:21:18.320
<v Speaker 12>you know, with.

0:21:18.400 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 5>They behind on their regulation.

0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:22.399
<v Speaker 12>They are behind in their regulation, but I think that

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:27.000
<v Speaker 12>they also understand that with an aging population. There's a

0:21:27.080 --> 0:21:30.680
<v Speaker 12>real need for transportation, not just in the large cities,

0:21:30.720 --> 0:21:31.160
<v Speaker 12>but in.

0:21:31.119 --> 0:21:32.160
<v Speaker 2>The rural areas.

0:21:32.520 --> 0:21:35.439
<v Speaker 12>And for example, I experienced that personally going to Kaga

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:39.120
<v Speaker 12>City and where we have communal ride share and kind

0:21:39.119 --> 0:21:41.719
<v Speaker 12>of took a ride share trip and understood what the

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:46.040
<v Speaker 12>needs are there. So we're talking with various countries regulatory authorities.

0:21:46.080 --> 0:21:47.760
<v Speaker 12>I think Japan is going to be part of it.

0:21:47.880 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 12>I certainly hope that Hong Kong is going to be

0:21:49.720 --> 0:21:52.760
<v Speaker 12>a part of it. Australia, where we were just talking about,

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:55.440
<v Speaker 12>is a huge market for us. So we're having those

0:21:55.480 --> 0:21:59.800
<v Speaker 12>dialogues and I think that the picture will shape up

0:22:00.000 --> 0:22:02.400
<v Speaker 12>over the next two years because the technology is definitely

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:02.960
<v Speaker 12>getting there.

0:22:03.600 --> 0:22:06.760
<v Speaker 3>Uber CEO Dara Kostrashahi there along with our animl drawers

0:22:06.760 --> 0:22:09.439
<v Speaker 3>and aw sticking with Uber. The company, along with door Dash,

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:13.000
<v Speaker 3>is suing New York City to block requirements that the

0:22:13.040 --> 0:22:16.640
<v Speaker 3>delivery tipping option be available at the time of checkout

0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 3>and set to at least ten percent. The two companies

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:23.880
<v Speaker 3>argue this would worsen sticker shock for inflation weary consumers.

0:22:24.200 --> 0:22:25.480
<v Speaker 2>New tipping laws.

0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:27.800
<v Speaker 3>Are set to become effective January twenty sixth carrot.

0:22:27.840 --> 0:22:28.480
<v Speaker 5>I want to watch it.

0:22:28.600 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 4>Meanwhile, coming up, you're reporting to watch how Rivian is

0:22:32.320 --> 0:22:37.040
<v Speaker 4>replacing invideos tech in future vehicles with its own chips.

0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 4>From New York, From San Francisco, this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:02.200
<v Speaker 2>Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech.

0:23:02.520 --> 0:23:06.600
<v Speaker 3>Rivian take a look at its shares up currently sixteen

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.680
<v Speaker 3>percent at one point in the session, up more than

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:13.000
<v Speaker 3>nineteen percent, trading at its highest level since January of

0:23:13.080 --> 0:23:16.159
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty four, so its highest level in two years.

0:23:16.560 --> 0:23:19.880
<v Speaker 3>Yesterday it fell quite a lot after it told investors

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:24.400
<v Speaker 3>and the world its plans for autonomous driving. Rivian's plan

0:23:24.760 --> 0:23:28.760
<v Speaker 3>for autonomous driving is based on two big technology bets,

0:23:29.040 --> 0:23:34.720
<v Speaker 3>and we went to see them. Rivian's developed its own

0:23:34.760 --> 0:23:39.680
<v Speaker 3>artificial intelligence chip for its future cars that gamble might

0:23:39.800 --> 0:23:45.919
<v Speaker 3>pave the way to fully autonomous driving. A lot of

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:48.320
<v Speaker 3>the tech world imagines a future where we don't own

0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 3>cars at all. We're talking about fleets of robotaxis that

0:23:51.520 --> 0:23:54.200
<v Speaker 3>are summoned through an app, maybe no steering wheel or

0:23:54.240 --> 0:23:57.040
<v Speaker 3>driver controls at all. But Rivian's in the camp that

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:59.520
<v Speaker 3>does see people owning their own cars in the future

0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:02.200
<v Speaker 3>and being willing to pay top dollar for a software

0:24:02.240 --> 0:24:05.720
<v Speaker 3>platform that allows the car to drive itself. If this

0:24:05.840 --> 0:24:10.080
<v Speaker 3>idea seems familiar, Tesla has been selling a version of

0:24:10.119 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 3>it for years.

0:24:11.440 --> 0:24:13.400
<v Speaker 2>Full self driving supervised is not.

0:24:13.520 --> 0:24:16.320
<v Speaker 3>Technically full autonomy if you read the fine print, but

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:18.680
<v Speaker 3>it can get you from point A to point B

0:24:19.240 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 3>without needing to put.

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:21.760
<v Speaker 2>Your hands on the steering wheel.

0:24:25.320 --> 0:24:28.360
<v Speaker 3>Rivian's path to autonomy is rooted in two big bets.

0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:32.320
<v Speaker 3>The first a custom AI chip developed in house, which

0:24:32.359 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 3>marks a big break from Nvidia.

0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:37.960
<v Speaker 14>This is a wrap one chip, it's a multitip module.

0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:41.520
<v Speaker 14>In the middle is a Rivian design custom silicon surrounded

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:45.080
<v Speaker 14>by memory on two sides. The decision to build an

0:24:45.080 --> 0:24:48.560
<v Speaker 14>in house was based on a very rigorous analysis of

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:51.359
<v Speaker 14>the benefits we could come and those benefits are velocity

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:53.920
<v Speaker 14>or ability to get to market, break quickly with it,

0:24:54.040 --> 0:24:55.119
<v Speaker 14>performance and cost.

0:24:55.760 --> 0:24:59.640
<v Speaker 3>The second a major change in how Rivian vehicles see

0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:02.879
<v Speaker 3>the world. The next generation Rivian R two will have

0:25:03.000 --> 0:25:05.480
<v Speaker 3>indented lidar sensors in it.

0:25:05.480 --> 0:25:07.840
<v Speaker 14>It's not just about the computer, it's also about the

0:25:07.880 --> 0:25:10.119
<v Speaker 14>sensors and it's about how they all come together.

0:25:12.400 --> 0:25:15.160
<v Speaker 15>This is really in mark one what the Gen three

0:25:15.240 --> 0:25:19.080
<v Speaker 15>architecture does with compute levels that are dramatically expanded, such

0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:21.760
<v Speaker 15>as to put some numbers to this at the platform level,

0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:25.160
<v Speaker 15>sixteen hundred sparse tops where you can process five billion

0:25:25.200 --> 0:25:29.400
<v Speaker 15>pixels per second, beautifully integreated lightar that raises the ceiling

0:25:29.440 --> 0:25:31.640
<v Speaker 15>to allow us to take your eyes off the road.

0:25:32.640 --> 0:25:34.240
<v Speaker 2>This will cause some debate.

0:25:35.119 --> 0:25:39.240
<v Speaker 3>Tesla vehicles only use cameras as sensors for their systems,

0:25:39.280 --> 0:25:42.639
<v Speaker 3>and what Elon Musk company has always argued is that

0:25:42.720 --> 0:25:47.640
<v Speaker 3>other sensors like lidar or radar are too expensive to scale.

0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 3>Until now, Rivian didn't really have an autonomous system. It

0:25:50.640 --> 0:25:54.480
<v Speaker 3>had advanced driver assistance tools powered by cameras and radar,

0:25:54.800 --> 0:25:57.679
<v Speaker 3>and Rivian used Nvidia chips as the brain in the

0:25:57.760 --> 0:26:01.040
<v Speaker 3>vehicle to interpret the world around it. Rivian says it's

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:04.360
<v Speaker 3>new AI model will keep improving those older cars too,

0:26:04.480 --> 0:26:08.400
<v Speaker 3>eventually adding capabilities like hands off point to point driving.

0:26:08.840 --> 0:26:11.560
<v Speaker 3>Rivian doing its own chip and ditching in Nvidia is

0:26:11.560 --> 0:26:12.560
<v Speaker 3>a surprise.

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:16.600
<v Speaker 15>On the Rivian processor side. This represents a significant cost

0:26:16.640 --> 0:26:19.040
<v Speaker 15>savings to us. There is a lot of margin, of

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:22.880
<v Speaker 15>course in the in the semiconductor space, and working directly

0:26:22.920 --> 0:26:25.320
<v Speaker 15>with PSMC, we have a great relationship with them.

0:26:25.680 --> 0:26:28.760
<v Speaker 3>The new hardware is the unlock. It should allow Rivian

0:26:28.760 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 3>to go from that driver assistance software in its existing

0:26:31.840 --> 0:26:34.960
<v Speaker 3>lineup to true autonomy in the next gen R two.

0:26:35.240 --> 0:26:37.800
<v Speaker 15>And the next big step is personal level for it.

0:26:37.800 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 15>And what I mean is the vehicle can operate empty,

0:26:40.359 --> 0:26:42.639
<v Speaker 15>it can operate without anyone in the driver's seat. It

0:26:42.680 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 15>can pick your kids up from school, it can drop

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:47.440
<v Speaker 15>you at the airport. It's a complete shift in how

0:26:47.440 --> 0:26:49.240
<v Speaker 15>we think about the vehicle experience.

0:26:51.040 --> 0:26:53.560
<v Speaker 3>Looking back, this was the company that pulled off the

0:26:53.600 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 3>sixth largest IPO in US history, and it was first

0:26:56.800 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 3>to market with full size battery electric pickups and sau

0:27:00.920 --> 0:27:05.720
<v Speaker 3>beating out Tesla, Forward and General Motors. But today Rivian

0:27:05.760 --> 0:27:09.880
<v Speaker 3>struggling with the basics. Production of its evs hasn't really scaled.

0:27:10.320 --> 0:27:13.679
<v Speaker 3>Rivian Soul plant in Illinois is capable of building two

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.600
<v Speaker 3>hundred and fifty thousand units a year, but in twenty

0:27:16.640 --> 0:27:20.320
<v Speaker 3>twenty five it probably won't hit fifty thousand. The truest

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:23.439
<v Speaker 3>representation of that struggle, the stock is at a fraction

0:27:23.560 --> 0:27:24.480
<v Speaker 3>of its peak.

0:27:26.920 --> 0:27:27.280
<v Speaker 2>Right now.

0:27:27.280 --> 0:27:29.280
<v Speaker 3>In the world of tech, you have to have something

0:27:29.320 --> 0:27:32.120
<v Speaker 3>to say about AI, and Rivian is diving deep into

0:27:32.160 --> 0:27:37.240
<v Speaker 3>autonomy to appease its investors, an ai chiplidar and a

0:27:37.320 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 3>large driving model right now. It's a promise from Rivian

0:27:40.640 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 3>that their next generation vehicles will have genuine autonomous capabilities.

0:27:48.760 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 4>Extraordin and reporting deep dive and Rivian, as you said,

0:27:51.720 --> 0:27:54.440
<v Speaker 4>ed doing very well on the day, unlike the rest

0:27:54.480 --> 0:27:56.960
<v Speaker 4>of the markets. Just check in what's happening to the Nasdak.

0:27:57.000 --> 0:27:58.200
<v Speaker 4>We're down on the week, We were down on the

0:27:58.280 --> 0:27:59.600
<v Speaker 4>day and as at one hundred, off by more than

0:27:59.600 --> 0:28:01.960
<v Speaker 4>two percent andach points tech in the line of fire

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:04.760
<v Speaker 4>today even dragging Chinese names now into the red. They

0:28:04.840 --> 0:28:07.760
<v Speaker 4>started the trade and our show in the green as

0:28:07.760 --> 0:28:09.760
<v Speaker 4>we understood that the Chinese government was going to be

0:28:09.760 --> 0:28:13.520
<v Speaker 4>going all in on funding its own domestic chips apply

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:17.080
<v Speaker 4>up to seventy billion dollars worth of government incentives, is

0:28:17.119 --> 0:28:20.120
<v Speaker 4>the reporting coming out of Bloomberg News at the moment.

0:28:20.200 --> 0:28:22.600
<v Speaker 4>But even China starts to dip at the moment. We

0:28:22.640 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 4>see Broadcom in the video in the red, Pallanteer, Amazon, Micron,

0:28:26.440 --> 0:28:29.399
<v Speaker 4>some key names currently on the downside as we have

0:28:29.440 --> 0:28:31.280
<v Speaker 4>that AI bubble anxiety all over again.

0:28:32.040 --> 0:28:35.280
<v Speaker 3>Right coming up, actually, Caro, we're going to talk about

0:28:35.320 --> 0:28:37.679
<v Speaker 3>the United Kingdom. We're going to be joined by British

0:28:37.760 --> 0:28:40.840
<v Speaker 3>Business Bank CEO Lewis Taylor for his take on the

0:28:40.920 --> 0:28:44.200
<v Speaker 3>UK's tech sector. He's in town in San Francisco and

0:28:44.200 --> 0:28:48.120
<v Speaker 3>Silicon Valley to think about how technology might work across

0:28:48.160 --> 0:28:48.760
<v Speaker 3>the Atlantic.

0:28:48.880 --> 0:28:50.720
<v Speaker 2>That's next, This is Sploomberg Tech.

0:28:59.840 --> 0:29:02.719
<v Speaker 3>The UK economy is at risk of its first coarsely

0:29:02.800 --> 0:29:07.720
<v Speaker 3>contraction since labor returned to power after growth, disappointed again

0:29:07.720 --> 0:29:10.600
<v Speaker 3>by shrinking ahead of Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves's

0:29:10.720 --> 0:29:15.080
<v Speaker 3>tax raising budget. Can the UK tech sector come to

0:29:15.120 --> 0:29:18.680
<v Speaker 3>the rescue? Louis Taylor, CEO of the British Business Bank,

0:29:18.760 --> 0:29:20.880
<v Speaker 3>joins us now and it's great to have you in

0:29:20.920 --> 0:29:22.440
<v Speaker 3>town in San Francisco.

0:29:23.120 --> 0:29:24.680
<v Speaker 16>Really great to be here, ed, thank you very much.

0:29:24.720 --> 0:29:30.120
<v Speaker 3>Indeed, you have an annual budget essentially to invest in

0:29:30.960 --> 0:29:35.160
<v Speaker 3>and lend to and support the technology industry in the

0:29:35.240 --> 0:29:37.200
<v Speaker 3>United Kingdom.

0:29:37.440 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 2>Why are you in San Francisco?

0:29:38.640 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 11>Then?

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:40.560
<v Speaker 2>What brings you in San Francisco?

0:29:40.800 --> 0:29:44.080
<v Speaker 16>Well, look, we're here pitching to us VC's a really

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 16>great new growth opportunity for them, which is based on

0:29:47.040 --> 0:29:49.160
<v Speaker 16>three things. Firstly, as you say, the quality of the

0:29:49.280 --> 0:29:53.280
<v Speaker 16>UK tech industry for the top ten universities globally producing

0:29:53.320 --> 0:29:58.440
<v Speaker 16>great research with some really excellent entrepreneurs and the ability

0:29:58.480 --> 0:30:02.040
<v Speaker 16>to scale businesses as well. So that's where they come in. Secondly,

0:30:02.440 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 16>a new pool of capital coming on stream domestically in

0:30:04.920 --> 0:30:07.560
<v Speaker 16>the UK from pension funds hopefully. And then thirdly the

0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:09.680
<v Speaker 16>opportunity to partner with the bank, which is the biggest

0:30:09.800 --> 0:30:13.160
<v Speaker 16>LP in UK venture and growth equity connected and knowing

0:30:13.200 --> 0:30:14.640
<v Speaker 16>the landscape pretty well.

0:30:14.840 --> 0:30:17.520
<v Speaker 5>Luis the landscape we know so well? Is fintech?

0:30:17.880 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 4>I think of Revolute, I think a Monso the standouts.

0:30:20.640 --> 0:30:23.040
<v Speaker 4>But where else is really thriving? Where else should VC

0:30:23.120 --> 0:30:24.280
<v Speaker 4>come in as port in the UK?

0:30:25.640 --> 0:30:28.240
<v Speaker 16>Well, look, I think you're absolutely right. Fintech is very strong.

0:30:28.280 --> 0:30:32.240
<v Speaker 16>And just today Go Cardless did a deal with Molly

0:30:32.760 --> 0:30:35.560
<v Speaker 16>and that a unicorn that we invested in twelve years ago.

0:30:35.600 --> 0:30:37.400
<v Speaker 16>So you need a bit of patience on this. So

0:30:37.440 --> 0:30:41.480
<v Speaker 16>fintech's very strong. AI in different places is very strong.

0:30:41.560 --> 0:30:43.320
<v Speaker 16>Not so much on the hardware side, not so much

0:30:43.360 --> 0:30:46.280
<v Speaker 16>on the larger language models, but more broadly, if I

0:30:46.280 --> 0:30:49.920
<v Speaker 16>think about companies like Synthesia or eleven Labs, all of

0:30:49.960 --> 0:30:53.360
<v Speaker 16>those companies coming out of the UK, So I think

0:30:53.400 --> 0:30:56.120
<v Speaker 16>those tech areas are great, but also the application of

0:30:56.200 --> 0:30:59.640
<v Speaker 16>AI into life sciences is incredibly strong as well, and

0:30:59.680 --> 0:31:03.720
<v Speaker 16>the UK has an incredibly strong life sciences industry. So

0:31:04.240 --> 0:31:07.360
<v Speaker 16>I think we see AI as being a theme across

0:31:07.400 --> 0:31:10.320
<v Speaker 16>the sectors of the industrial strategy the government announced and

0:31:10.360 --> 0:31:11.800
<v Speaker 16>the UK being strong in those.

0:31:12.360 --> 0:31:14.840
<v Speaker 3>To be fair, many of those companies you name, you know,

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:17.479
<v Speaker 3>they come on this program regularly, you know, and they

0:31:17.480 --> 0:31:19.920
<v Speaker 3>are making advancements in their respective fields.

0:31:20.000 --> 0:31:21.040
<v Speaker 2>We want to go back to what you.

0:31:20.920 --> 0:31:24.000
<v Speaker 3>Said, the big pot of pool of money coming online

0:31:24.320 --> 0:31:27.120
<v Speaker 3>a little bit more. Please, Yeah, how big? How certain

0:31:27.200 --> 0:31:31.800
<v Speaker 3>is it? And that's important right because the lesson of

0:31:31.800 --> 0:31:36.440
<v Speaker 3>AI in this country at least is the capital requirements

0:31:36.480 --> 0:31:37.440
<v Speaker 3>are much bigger.

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:37.800
<v Speaker 2>Much bigger.

0:31:38.080 --> 0:31:41.200
<v Speaker 16>So the UK we incubate companies incredibly well, we scale

0:31:41.200 --> 0:31:43.239
<v Speaker 16>them less well, and we haven't had the scale up

0:31:43.280 --> 0:31:45.280
<v Speaker 16>capital we need. It's not that we don't have the money,

0:31:45.280 --> 0:31:47.960
<v Speaker 16>because we have the second largest funded pension scheme in

0:31:48.000 --> 0:31:50.560
<v Speaker 16>the world at around four trillion pounds, but we have

0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:54.680
<v Speaker 16>an allocation issue with that pension money, which is changing

0:31:54.720 --> 0:31:57.560
<v Speaker 16>the government encouraging pension funds to invest more in the

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 16>domestic economy and in the growth economy. I think what

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:02.720
<v Speaker 16>we're looking for is some of the expertise here in

0:32:02.760 --> 0:32:05.560
<v Speaker 16>the VC industry in the US about scaling those companies.

0:32:05.800 --> 0:32:08.040
<v Speaker 16>As I say, we incubate well, but it's that scaling

0:32:08.080 --> 0:32:10.400
<v Speaker 16>stage and the expertise needed there where. Of course you

0:32:10.440 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 16>need capital, but you need other things as well, network's

0:32:13.640 --> 0:32:18.240
<v Speaker 16>capabilities and many other things. Mentoring of leadership teams.

0:32:18.480 --> 0:32:22.280
<v Speaker 4>Luis what is the state of brain drain when you

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:25.200
<v Speaker 4>actually do get a really successful company. Now, eleven labs

0:32:25.200 --> 0:32:27.680
<v Speaker 4>are staying there since these years as well, but many

0:32:27.840 --> 0:32:30.160
<v Speaker 4>up and even come to Silicon Valley or to the US.

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:31.440
<v Speaker 5>Is that something that's still happening.

0:32:32.440 --> 0:32:34.200
<v Speaker 16>Well, look, I think it does happen to an extent.

0:32:34.280 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 16>I think we really want to try and address that

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:38.280
<v Speaker 16>and try and stop it and actually capture some more

0:32:38.320 --> 0:32:40.200
<v Speaker 16>of the value in the UK economy. As I say

0:32:41.120 --> 0:32:43.120
<v Speaker 16>this is the companies have largely come over here because

0:32:43.160 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 16>is where the capital is. If you've got a new

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:47.640
<v Speaker 16>capital stream with some expertise based on it in the UK,

0:32:48.080 --> 0:32:49.800
<v Speaker 16>we're going to hope to retain those companies in the

0:32:49.880 --> 0:32:53.000
<v Speaker 16>UK longer. And actually the innovation ecosystem I think is

0:32:53.160 --> 0:32:56.520
<v Speaker 16>quite self perpetuating success breed success. We've got a lot

0:32:56.520 --> 0:32:58.880
<v Speaker 16>of the right things in place, but it's just this

0:32:58.960 --> 0:33:00.800
<v Speaker 16>top end that we need to to really make sure

0:33:00.840 --> 0:33:03.600
<v Speaker 16>that we realize more potential and keep the flywheel going.

0:33:04.080 --> 0:33:06.080
<v Speaker 3>So your strategy here, and one of the reasons you're

0:33:06.080 --> 0:33:09.040
<v Speaker 3>in town, is to go to the American VCS, the

0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:10.560
<v Speaker 3>Value v season say.

0:33:10.880 --> 0:33:12.840
<v Speaker 2>Give us your capital, come to the UK. We have

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:13.640
<v Speaker 2>something to offer.

0:33:14.040 --> 0:33:16.440
<v Speaker 3>But that strategy then carries risks with what you're just

0:33:16.480 --> 0:33:17.560
<v Speaker 3>talking with Carolina about.

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:17.840
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:33:18.040 --> 0:33:20.160
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, we're not quite saying that, we're saying, bring us

0:33:20.200 --> 0:33:22.479
<v Speaker 16>your expertise, will help you raise capital locally.

0:33:22.560 --> 0:33:25.360
<v Speaker 2>This is a growth opportunity for capital locally. That's a key,

0:33:25.440 --> 0:33:26.600
<v Speaker 2>absolute distinction.

0:33:26.440 --> 0:33:29.680
<v Speaker 16>Absolutely, and the connections that we have with all the

0:33:29.760 --> 0:33:32.480
<v Speaker 16>gps LPs but also the pension funds. I mean, we

0:33:32.560 --> 0:33:34.760
<v Speaker 16>actually are raising our own fund at the moment for

0:33:34.800 --> 0:33:39.080
<v Speaker 16>a co invest fund in the UK from UK pension

0:33:39.120 --> 0:33:41.120
<v Speaker 16>funds and we'll do the first close end of January

0:33:41.120 --> 0:33:43.880
<v Speaker 16>early February. And this is a thing, it's.

0:33:43.720 --> 0:33:44.240
<v Speaker 2>A real thing.

0:33:44.840 --> 0:33:46.160
<v Speaker 4>It's a real thing, and we'll let you go out

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:48.320
<v Speaker 4>and have real conversations with those vcs and the Value

0:33:48.320 --> 0:33:51.440
<v Speaker 4>the Louis Taylor, thanks for stopping by. CEO the British

0:33:51.480 --> 0:33:55.479
<v Speaker 4>Business Bank. Coming up, White House AI and Cryptos are

0:33:55.800 --> 0:33:58.000
<v Speaker 4>David Sachs joins us to talk about the President trump

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:00.680
<v Speaker 4>executive Order on a regulation.

0:34:01.120 --> 0:34:02.000
<v Speaker 5>This is ring back Tap.

0:34:15.760 --> 0:34:19.400
<v Speaker 3>Welcome to our global radio and TV audiences. President Trump

0:34:19.440 --> 0:34:23.320
<v Speaker 3>signed an executive order aimed at limiting state level regulation

0:34:23.400 --> 0:34:26.759
<v Speaker 3>of AI. The move is supported by tech leaders who

0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:30.480
<v Speaker 3>have argued local rules could stifle innovation. We're joined by

0:34:30.560 --> 0:34:33.920
<v Speaker 3>David Sachs, the White House AI and Crypto ZA or

0:34:34.120 --> 0:34:37.160
<v Speaker 3>Senior Advisor, David. I think it's a really good place

0:34:37.200 --> 0:34:41.239
<v Speaker 3>to start in your work with the President in consulting

0:34:41.280 --> 0:34:44.840
<v Speaker 3>and advising on the formulation of this executive order.

0:34:45.440 --> 0:34:46.400
<v Speaker 2>What was the.

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:50.200
<v Speaker 3>Problem that you were trying to solve for and what

0:34:50.320 --> 0:34:52.960
<v Speaker 3>is it that you said to the President about why

0:34:53.040 --> 0:34:56.840
<v Speaker 3>this EO was the right approach to focus on state

0:34:56.920 --> 0:34:57.600
<v Speaker 3>level laws?

0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:01.960
<v Speaker 10>Well, thanks for having The problem that we see is

0:35:02.000 --> 0:35:04.799
<v Speaker 10>that you've got one thousand different bills going through state

0:35:04.880 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 10>legislatures right now to regulate AI, and over one hundred

0:35:08.160 --> 0:35:11.480
<v Speaker 10>measures already passed. Some of these bills are contradictory, and

0:35:11.520 --> 0:35:14.080
<v Speaker 10>you've got fifty different states running in fifty different directions.

0:35:14.440 --> 0:35:15.920
<v Speaker 2>That type of compliance.

0:35:15.520 --> 0:35:18.240
<v Speaker 10>Regime is going to be very hard for small companies

0:35:18.239 --> 0:35:22.319
<v Speaker 10>and startups, especially innovators to comply with. And so what

0:35:22.360 --> 0:35:27.000
<v Speaker 10>we need is a single federal or national framework for

0:35:27.080 --> 0:35:29.480
<v Speaker 10>AI regulation. And that's what the President has supported, and

0:35:29.520 --> 0:35:31.520
<v Speaker 10>by the way, he supported this for a long time.

0:35:31.560 --> 0:35:34.640
<v Speaker 10>If you go back to his July speech on AI,

0:35:34.880 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 10>he called for a single national framework then. And what

0:35:37.960 --> 0:35:40.640
<v Speaker 10>we've done with THISEO now is to make clear that

0:35:40.640 --> 0:35:43.799
<v Speaker 10>that is the administration's policy and to task members of the

0:35:43.800 --> 0:35:47.040
<v Speaker 10>administration to work with Congress to try and enact that

0:35:47.080 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 10>framework through legislation, because ultimately this needs to be a law,

0:35:51.000 --> 0:35:53.960
<v Speaker 10>and in the meantime create tools that the administration can

0:35:54.080 --> 0:35:57.360
<v Speaker 10>use to push back on examples of the most onerous

0:35:57.360 --> 0:35:59.160
<v Speaker 10>and excessive state regulations.

0:36:00.280 --> 0:36:02.840
<v Speaker 3>David, there is of course some pushback you know, on

0:36:02.920 --> 0:36:06.640
<v Speaker 3>the executive order from the states themselves, from other Republicans

0:36:07.440 --> 0:36:10.600
<v Speaker 3>you know, as you know, like I studied the July

0:36:12.239 --> 0:36:15.719
<v Speaker 3>speech and strategy closely, a big part of it, you know,

0:36:15.840 --> 0:36:20.480
<v Speaker 3>was infrastructure related and about deregulation. The concern about this

0:36:20.680 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 3>latest executive order is that while it addresses your concerns

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:28.040
<v Speaker 3>about many different pieces of state regulation, it does not

0:36:28.160 --> 0:36:30.879
<v Speaker 3>provide for a single federal framework.

0:36:32.960 --> 0:36:35.200
<v Speaker 10>Well, at the end of the day, that single federal

0:36:35.200 --> 0:36:38.320
<v Speaker 10>framework has be enacted through law, and we need Congress

0:36:38.360 --> 0:36:40.680
<v Speaker 10>to do that. And so the President has asked Congress

0:36:40.719 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 10>to do that, and these tasked members the administration to

0:36:43.160 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 10>work with Congress to produce that framework. In the meantime.

0:36:46.560 --> 0:36:48.680
<v Speaker 10>What we've done here is articulated set of principles. We

0:36:48.760 --> 0:36:52.359
<v Speaker 10>said what values are important to us. We said that

0:36:52.840 --> 0:36:55.960
<v Speaker 10>we want to protect child safety, that's important. We want

0:36:56.000 --> 0:36:59.200
<v Speaker 10>to respect copyright, we want to preserve the ability of

0:36:59.280 --> 0:37:03.840
<v Speaker 10>local community is to choose what infrastructures and their communities.

0:37:03.880 --> 0:37:06.920
<v Speaker 10>We're not seeking to preempt the states in any of

0:37:06.960 --> 0:37:09.880
<v Speaker 10>those areas. So this is an important set of principles

0:37:09.920 --> 0:37:13.080
<v Speaker 10>that we have put forth. And at the same time,

0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:16.120
<v Speaker 10>the EO provides for a number of tools that can

0:37:16.160 --> 0:37:19.719
<v Speaker 10>be used to push back on excessive state regulation. And

0:37:20.080 --> 0:37:22.400
<v Speaker 10>let me just illustrate why I think this is so necessary.

0:37:23.440 --> 0:37:26.320
<v Speaker 10>What we're really talking about here is regulation of AI

0:37:26.400 --> 0:37:30.400
<v Speaker 10>models and algorithms. Well, think about how an AI model

0:37:30.600 --> 0:37:33.759
<v Speaker 10>is developed. You can have developers in one state of

0:37:33.840 --> 0:37:37.080
<v Speaker 10>multiple states writing the code. It can then be trained

0:37:37.120 --> 0:37:39.600
<v Speaker 10>in a data center in another state. You then can

0:37:39.680 --> 0:37:43.120
<v Speaker 10>have inference happen in another state, and the entire service

0:37:43.280 --> 0:37:47.799
<v Speaker 10>is provided over the Internet using national telecommunications infrastructure. So

0:37:47.840 --> 0:37:49.840
<v Speaker 10>you're dealing there with at least four different states, and

0:37:49.920 --> 0:37:53.880
<v Speaker 10>all of them can lay claim to regulating those AI models,

0:37:54.160 --> 0:37:56.879
<v Speaker 10>and those regulations can be in contradiction with each other.

0:37:57.200 --> 0:38:00.239
<v Speaker 10>Even Democrat governors have admitted this as a problem. Just

0:38:00.320 --> 0:38:03.040
<v Speaker 10>the other day, Kathy Hockle, the governor of New York It,

0:38:03.080 --> 0:38:07.480
<v Speaker 10>basically said that she might prefer to enact California's SB

0:38:07.600 --> 0:38:10.160
<v Speaker 10>fifty three, which is a regulation that they just passed

0:38:10.160 --> 0:38:13.120
<v Speaker 10>in California, rather than the bill that her own assembly

0:38:13.160 --> 0:38:15.520
<v Speaker 10>gave her the raise act, because she sees that, wait,

0:38:15.560 --> 0:38:17.959
<v Speaker 10>do we really want to create this patchwork in different regulations.

0:38:18.160 --> 0:38:20.920
<v Speaker 10>So even Democrat governors are realizing this is a problem,

0:38:20.960 --> 0:38:23.520
<v Speaker 10>and if they all run in different directions, then we're

0:38:23.520 --> 0:38:26.000
<v Speaker 10>going to end up with a patchwork or a misshmash

0:38:26.360 --> 0:38:28.839
<v Speaker 10>of regulations that are impossible for companies to comply with.

0:38:28.880 --> 0:38:32.040
<v Speaker 10>What the President is calling for here is just common sense.

0:38:32.280 --> 0:38:35.680
<v Speaker 10>We want to get to a single national framework of

0:38:35.760 --> 0:38:38.920
<v Speaker 10>compliance as opposed to fifty states running in different directions.

0:38:39.280 --> 0:38:41.880
<v Speaker 4>Meanwhile, Kathy Hokle actually is getting a bit of criticism

0:38:41.920 --> 0:38:45.959
<v Speaker 4>perhaps for narrowing and what some are saying is bowing.

0:38:45.640 --> 0:38:48.200
<v Speaker 5>Down to business. David, I'm really interested in.

0:38:48.120 --> 0:38:51.360
<v Speaker 4>How you oppose that view, because there is anxiety in

0:38:51.400 --> 0:38:56.120
<v Speaker 4>the population AI versus jobs, AI versus energy bills. How

0:38:56.160 --> 0:38:58.839
<v Speaker 4>are you giving them the sense that we haven't seen

0:38:58.960 --> 0:39:01.799
<v Speaker 4>federal government and India now state government's just handing over

0:39:01.840 --> 0:39:04.920
<v Speaker 4>the reins to big tech billionaires as people call them.

0:39:05.520 --> 0:39:05.719
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:39:05.760 --> 0:39:07.680
<v Speaker 10>No, I understand there's a lot of fear out there

0:39:07.719 --> 0:39:10.680
<v Speaker 10>about AI and job loss specifically, and a lot of

0:39:10.719 --> 0:39:13.319
<v Speaker 10>those fears have been drummed up. Let me just say

0:39:13.320 --> 0:39:15.040
<v Speaker 10>on the job loss question, because I think this is

0:39:15.080 --> 0:39:17.800
<v Speaker 10>really important that Yale just released a study and it

0:39:17.920 --> 0:39:20.600
<v Speaker 10>showed that in the thirty three months after the launch

0:39:20.640 --> 0:39:23.759
<v Speaker 10>of chat GPT, there was no discernible disruption to the

0:39:23.840 --> 0:39:27.319
<v Speaker 10>US job market none. They said, no discernible disruption. And

0:39:27.360 --> 0:39:29.680
<v Speaker 10>in fact, if you look right now, more jobs are

0:39:29.680 --> 0:39:31.920
<v Speaker 10>being created than being lost. So this whole idea of

0:39:32.000 --> 0:39:34.279
<v Speaker 10>job losses just isn't true. There was an article on

0:39:34.280 --> 0:39:36.920
<v Speaker 10>the Wall Street Journal just last week talking about the

0:39:37.600 --> 0:39:41.840
<v Speaker 10>construction boom that's happening that's benefiting construction workers like electricians

0:39:41.920 --> 0:39:45.480
<v Speaker 10>like plumbers like workers who pour concrete or hang drywall.

0:39:45.680 --> 0:39:48.680
<v Speaker 10>Their wages are up thirty percent because this infrastructure boom

0:39:48.719 --> 0:39:51.400
<v Speaker 10>that's happening right now, and there's actually a job shortage

0:39:51.800 --> 0:39:54.800
<v Speaker 10>in many of those trades, meaning we need more workers

0:39:54.840 --> 0:39:57.239
<v Speaker 10>going into those trades. So what we're seeing right now

0:39:57.320 --> 0:40:00.480
<v Speaker 10>is an overall AI boom that's benefiting the economy. You know,

0:40:00.640 --> 0:40:04.360
<v Speaker 10>the the GDP growth rate was tracking about four percent,

0:40:04.800 --> 0:40:06.880
<v Speaker 10>and half of that up to half of it's been

0:40:06.880 --> 0:40:10.920
<v Speaker 10>attributed to AI. So I just think that this narrative

0:40:10.960 --> 0:40:14.240
<v Speaker 10>about job loss has been blown out of proportion. Certainly

0:40:14.239 --> 0:40:16.640
<v Speaker 10>there could be job displacement in the future, but we

0:40:16.680 --> 0:40:18.879
<v Speaker 10>haven't seen any of that so far. It's been quite

0:40:18.920 --> 0:40:20.280
<v Speaker 10>the opposite. It has been job gains.

0:40:21.080 --> 0:40:24.080
<v Speaker 3>David Final one on the EO, If I may, you

0:40:24.120 --> 0:40:27.759
<v Speaker 3>know what this EO allows for. Is it the sort

0:40:27.760 --> 0:40:31.240
<v Speaker 3>of hope that it will lead to the DOJ sewing

0:40:31.440 --> 0:40:35.320
<v Speaker 3>states like New York and California. And if that's the case,

0:40:35.800 --> 0:40:38.759
<v Speaker 3>you know, the President and the administration's confidence that you'd

0:40:38.760 --> 0:40:40.320
<v Speaker 3>win them.

0:40:40.640 --> 0:40:42.480
<v Speaker 10>Well, that is one of the tools that is in

0:40:42.520 --> 0:40:45.440
<v Speaker 10>the EO is that the DOJ has been tasked to

0:40:45.440 --> 0:40:49.280
<v Speaker 10>form a litigation task force that would have the ability

0:40:49.320 --> 0:40:53.680
<v Speaker 10>to push back on excessively burn some state laws, laws

0:40:53.719 --> 0:40:57.120
<v Speaker 10>that may be unconstitutional, violate the First Amendment, things like that.

0:40:57.160 --> 0:40:59.600
<v Speaker 10>By the way, the DOJ already had that power, So

0:40:59.640 --> 0:41:02.600
<v Speaker 10>this is a novel power. But what's being done here

0:41:02.600 --> 0:41:04.719
<v Speaker 10>in the CEO is we're marshaling all the resources of

0:41:04.760 --> 0:41:07.360
<v Speaker 10>the federal government behind the strategy of the President to

0:41:07.400 --> 0:41:09.799
<v Speaker 10>create a national framework. Now, in terms of what laws

0:41:09.800 --> 0:41:11.840
<v Speaker 10>we go after, that's a decision that has been made.

0:41:13.080 --> 0:41:16.160
<v Speaker 10>We haven't decided whether California and New York should be

0:41:16.200 --> 0:41:19.279
<v Speaker 10>targets in that way. The one that I think is

0:41:19.320 --> 0:41:23.080
<v Speaker 10>probably the most excessive is this Colorado law that seeks

0:41:23.080 --> 0:41:26.640
<v Speaker 10>to prohibit algorithmic discrimination. What that basically says is that

0:41:26.640 --> 0:41:28.960
<v Speaker 10>if an AI model has a disparate impact on a

0:41:29.000 --> 0:41:33.400
<v Speaker 10>protected group, then that model is violating the law. Model developers,

0:41:33.440 --> 0:41:34.880
<v Speaker 10>by the way, I have no idea how to comply

0:41:34.960 --> 0:41:37.680
<v Speaker 10>with this because they're not aware of all the downstream

0:41:37.760 --> 0:41:40.000
<v Speaker 10>uses of their model. I mean, if a business decides

0:41:40.040 --> 0:41:42.920
<v Speaker 10>to use an AI model in a hiring decision, for example,

0:41:43.440 --> 0:41:45.520
<v Speaker 10>that business is already on the hook for discrimination. So

0:41:45.560 --> 0:41:48.600
<v Speaker 10>how would the model developer know that it was being

0:41:48.680 --> 0:41:50.600
<v Speaker 10>used in that way. But what Colorado was trying to

0:41:50.640 --> 0:41:54.520
<v Speaker 10>do there is get their ideology inserted into the model.

0:41:54.560 --> 0:41:56.480
<v Speaker 10>That's very concerning to us. We think there's a First

0:41:56.480 --> 0:41:59.080
<v Speaker 10>Amendment issue there, but look, we haven't made any decisions

0:41:59.160 --> 0:42:01.320
<v Speaker 10>in terms of how that litigation task for US to

0:42:01.320 --> 0:42:01.719
<v Speaker 10>be used.

0:42:01.800 --> 0:42:04.320
<v Speaker 4>David Briefly, all of this is set in the context

0:42:04.400 --> 0:42:08.120
<v Speaker 4>of US versus China and a deemed to run forward

0:42:08.360 --> 0:42:11.279
<v Speaker 4>on AI development. Meanwhile, it's been a busy week and

0:42:11.400 --> 0:42:14.200
<v Speaker 4>H two hundreds might indeed be able to get to China.

0:42:14.440 --> 0:42:16.200
<v Speaker 4>How many do you think you'll do in volumes and

0:42:16.200 --> 0:42:17.719
<v Speaker 4>what do you think the appetite is of China to

0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:19.640
<v Speaker 4>buy in videos more sophisticated chips.

0:42:20.880 --> 0:42:23.040
<v Speaker 10>Well, it's interesting. I just saw an article that said

0:42:23.080 --> 0:42:25.560
<v Speaker 10>that China was rejecting the H two hundreds, So apparently

0:42:25.600 --> 0:42:27.680
<v Speaker 10>they don't want them, and I think the reason for

0:42:27.719 --> 0:42:30.560
<v Speaker 10>that is they want semiconductor independence the same way that

0:42:30.600 --> 0:42:33.200
<v Speaker 10>the United States wanted to be energy independent. They want

0:42:33.200 --> 0:42:36.520
<v Speaker 10>to be semiconductor independent, So they're rejecting our chips, and

0:42:36.880 --> 0:42:39.240
<v Speaker 10>that's part of the calculation that goes into the decision

0:42:39.280 --> 0:42:42.279
<v Speaker 10>of what we authorized to be sold to China. The

0:42:42.360 --> 0:42:44.560
<v Speaker 10>US policy has always been that we don't allow the

0:42:44.600 --> 0:42:47.520
<v Speaker 10>leading edged chips, and we're not. This is this H

0:42:47.560 --> 0:42:49.680
<v Speaker 10>two hundred chip. It was state of the art a

0:42:49.680 --> 0:42:52.120
<v Speaker 10>couple of years ago, but now it's been superseded by

0:42:52.160 --> 0:42:55.120
<v Speaker 10>the new or Blackwell architecture and the Ruben architecture that's

0:42:55.120 --> 0:42:57.879
<v Speaker 10>coming out next year. So this is now a lagging chip,

0:42:57.960 --> 0:43:00.560
<v Speaker 10>not a leading chip. But what you see is not

0:43:00.600 --> 0:43:04.320
<v Speaker 10>taking them because they want to prop up and subsidize Hahwei.

0:43:04.320 --> 0:43:06.880
<v Speaker 10>They want to create a national champion, and that was

0:43:06.920 --> 0:43:09.799
<v Speaker 10>part of our calculation of selling not the best but

0:43:09.920 --> 0:43:12.200
<v Speaker 10>lagging chips to China's. You can take market share away

0:43:12.200 --> 0:43:14.719
<v Speaker 10>from Huawei, but I think the Chinese government's figured that

0:43:14.800 --> 0:43:16.959
<v Speaker 10>out and that's why they're not allowing them.

0:43:17.160 --> 0:43:19.919
<v Speaker 4>David Sachs, we always wish we had more time White House,

0:43:19.960 --> 0:43:22.440
<v Speaker 4>AI and cryptos Are. We thank you for joining us

0:43:22.440 --> 0:43:25.200
<v Speaker 4>today on the executive order and indeed on in videos

0:43:25.320 --> 0:43:27.200
<v Speaker 4>H two hundreds. That does it for this edition of

0:43:27.239 --> 0:43:29.600
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Tech. The market is in sell off motored as

0:43:29.600 --> 0:43:31.440
<v Speaker 4>we wrap up this week. We're down by more than

0:43:31.440 --> 0:43:33.520
<v Speaker 4>two percent on the NASDAC more broadly and indeed for

0:43:33.560 --> 0:43:36.600
<v Speaker 4>the week, but really all eyes on well Broadcom.

0:43:36.080 --> 0:43:37.080
<v Speaker 5>And its numbers.

0:43:37.480 --> 0:43:40.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Broadcom in the earnings context investors, what is more

0:43:40.680 --> 0:43:43.760
<v Speaker 3>But Bloomberg reporting on Oracle is what moved the needle,

0:43:44.360 --> 0:43:46.640
<v Speaker 3>believe it or not. This is my last show of

0:43:46.640 --> 0:43:50.560
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty five. An astonishing year and a lot of

0:43:50.560 --> 0:43:53.239
<v Speaker 3>the themes in today's show what we've been talking about

0:43:53.239 --> 0:43:55.600
<v Speaker 3>all year long. Recap on the podcast. You can find

0:43:55.600 --> 0:43:58.279
<v Speaker 3>it on the terminal and online. You know where to Caro.

0:43:58.440 --> 0:43:59.839
<v Speaker 3>I'll see you in twenty twenty six.

0:44:00.800 --> 0:44:02.799
<v Speaker 5>Have a great break. Mmmmmm