1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:02,840 Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 2: Do us proud? 3 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: Read enough? There were running again? So smoothe so sweet 4 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:19,280 Speaker 1: slidid sixteen Just glorious execution. Guys. All I'm looking for 5 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: is sixty percent effort four thousand percent of the time. 6 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: How shot with that shop with mind? 7 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 3: Good buddy, and. 8 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: That's why you see your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements, 9 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 1: the most. 10 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 2: Dangerous amount of the planet. Nobody picks them. Shut up, 11 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 2: I'm trying the one. 12 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 1: It's left to Wanda, wide eyed, drilled bibus How old 13 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: earth pick that happens? 14 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 3: Hello everyone, and welcome back to Wonder Goal, the season 15 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 3: finale of Wonder Gol. Although we will have the Euros 16 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 3: in just a couple of weeks, so sharp short offseason 17 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 3: for BJ and myself. I'm Michael Leebuff. He's BJ Cunningham. 18 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 3: It's presented by BET three six to five. In today's episode, 19 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 3: we will talk about cup finals galore. From the Champions 20 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 3: League final which is on June second. We'll talk FA 21 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 3: Cup Final which is Saturday May twenty fifth, Europa League Final, 22 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 3: eure rope A Conference League Final and of course the 23 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 3: Championship playoff final between Leeds in Southampton on May twenty ninth. 24 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 3: We're gonna talk about all of them on this episode, 25 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 3: So fine, matches to go over, and then we'll get 26 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 3: out of here, and then you'll hear from us again 27 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 3: as we start to do our previews for the Eurous 28 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 3: twenty twenty four coming your way in. 29 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:44,959 Speaker 2: Just a few weeks. 30 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 3: All right, bj let's get into the Champions League final. 31 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 3: It is brusha Dortmund man. I feel like I bet 32 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 3: them to win the Champions League every year before it starts, 33 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 3: because they're always. 34 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 2: Forty to one or sixty to one, and I'm. 35 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 3: Like, well, this team can do it this year because 36 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 3: they weren't that good, and well, they weren't that good, 37 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 3: but here they are. That's tournament football for you. Right, 38 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 3: they're in the Champions League Final. They are four to 39 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 3: one on the three way line against Real Madrid. Madrid 40 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 3: is minus one sixty seven odds on favorite on the 41 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 3: three way line. The draw is plus three thirty three 42 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:19,119 Speaker 3: these lots, of course, we're from bet three six five. 43 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 3: This game is being played at Wembley in London and 44 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:27,639 Speaker 3: Real Madrid is a prohibitive minus three three four favorite 45 00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 3: to lift the trophy. Dortmund is plus two fifty. You're 46 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 3: seeing this one as kind of wide open in terms 47 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 3: of the not maybe not who's gonna win, but how 48 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:40,799 Speaker 3: it's going to play out. 49 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I've been I've been trying to think back, Michael, 50 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: and I don't think I can remember a Champions League 51 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 1: final that is so game state dependent, right, because obviously 52 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: Doortman has gone through this crazy, amazing run where they've 53 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: conceded nine goals in the Champions like off of twenty 54 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 1: two point two expected Like it's a crazy run, like, 55 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: no doubt about that. But when you look at when 56 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:12,959 Speaker 1: those chances were allowed by Dortmund, seventy to seventy five 57 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 1: percent of them came from an even game state or 58 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 1: when they were playing with the lead. That's what happened 59 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: against PSG. They con sided to go close to four 60 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 1: expected goals against them over the two legs PSG didn't score, 61 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: and in these cup competitions like that's just what happens, 62 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 1: like variance just happens. It's, you know, honestly why one 63 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:32,360 Speaker 1: of the reasons why I enjoy betting this sport so much. 64 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 1: But for Dortmund in this match, you know they're at 65 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 1: their best when they're the ones playing in transition quite frankly, 66 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: when they're uh pressing effectively teams high up the pitch. 67 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: They've shown themselves not to be very good defending in 68 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: a low block, but that's what they're going to have 69 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: to do here because they cannot allow Real Madre to 70 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: get in transition. They are going to get torched over 71 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: and over and over again. Their transition defense has been 72 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 1: terrible all season long. They didn't really have to get 73 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: exposed with it against PSG because they were playing with 74 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: the lead for a majority of the over the two legs, 75 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 1: and they learned from their group stage matches against them 76 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:17,039 Speaker 1: that that's where PSG hit them the hardest. So if 77 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: that first goal goes in and Real Madrid scores first 78 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 1: and Dortmund has to come out and play and not 79 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 1: just sit back and sit deep, that is going to 80 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:31,120 Speaker 1: leave them incredibly exposed. For Real Madrid with who have 81 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: the three best transition attackers I would say in the world, 82 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: in Rodrigo Venetius and Jude Bellingham. Real Madrid play when 83 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: playing with a lead this season is averaging two point 84 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: seven expected goals for ninety minutes. They are incredibly difficult 85 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: to play against when they can just sit back and 86 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 1: transition from deep. The flip side of it is it 87 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 1: is like when you look at Dortman offensively, like where 88 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 1: are they at their best? Well, it's when they're playing 89 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 1: in transition, right. They're not a very good build up team. 90 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: They've been better now they got Sancho and Madson in there. 91 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 1: You know, Sancho's been a really big key for them 92 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 1: dropping deep and build up and helping them out there. 93 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 1: Real Madrid's not going to press them, They're going to 94 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: sit off pretty passively as well. So I do like 95 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,480 Speaker 1: over three goals at plus one fifteen, I think that 96 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,480 Speaker 1: there's going to be essentially two ends of the spectrum here. 97 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: Either this match is going to end nil nail or 98 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:24,480 Speaker 1: one nail, or it's going to end in some type 99 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 1: of crazy like five to two type of score. I 100 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 1: don't think there's really going to be anywhere in between. 101 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 1: And it just honestly depends when that first goal goes in. 102 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 1: And I don't think it really matters who scores it, 103 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 1: because even if Dortmann scores first and they just decide 104 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: to sit deep, they're going to concede controlling to Real 105 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: Madrid and they're just going to pepper the goal over 106 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 1: and over again, and guess what, Real Madrid's a lot 107 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: better at finishing than PSG is. So yeah, in terms 108 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: of a side, I have this projected very closely to 109 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 1: what it's what the market has, maybe a slight slight 110 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,599 Speaker 1: lean towards Dortmund, although I don't really want to play 111 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: dormant in this match. But I do like the over 112 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,600 Speaker 1: three goals plus one fifteen because not only because it's 113 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: game state dependent, but I do project three point three goals. 114 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: So and this is typically what happens in these cup finals, right, 115 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 1: total tense to get suppressed because it's tense, and you know, 116 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: both teams, you know, come out a little uh not 117 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: wanting to attack from the get go. But you know, 118 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: these are two teams that generally defensively play very passively, 119 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: but there are two teams that can hit you pretty 120 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,799 Speaker 1: hard in transition. So I like over three goals plus 121 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: one fifteen. Uh yeah. 122 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 3: So I'm kind of in the similar boat in terms 123 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 3: of how I see this playing out. I felt what 124 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 3: you said about this game is either going to end 125 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 3: with like one goal or zero goals or a ton, 126 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 3: and I think I want to bet into the ladder. 127 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 3: I like Real Madrid to cover the alt lines. I 128 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 3: think that, like you said, like Dortmund's path to victory 129 00:06:55,680 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 3: here is get ahead and hang on, whereas I think 130 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 3: that's fine with Real Madrid. And I think if Real 131 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 3: Madrid scores gets on the board first, and whether it's 132 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 3: in the first minute or thirtieth minute, like they've got 133 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 3: the ability to score in bunches, players that can just 134 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 3: bust the game wide open. So if you're giving me 135 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 3: close to five to one on minus two and a half, 136 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 3: I see like plus four to eighty out there. 137 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 2: I think if Real. 138 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 3: Madrid wins this game and it goes the way that 139 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 3: we think, it could be a runaway, I don't I 140 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 3: have a yeah, like tip your CAF to Dortmund for 141 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 3: the way that this is going. But if they can, 142 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 3: like at some point you'd expect it to end and 143 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 3: Madrid would be the. 144 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 2: It's just so so clinical and yeah, that's. 145 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: That's the problem, that's right. Like we can talk about 146 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: x joey Wan like the differences between actual goals and 147 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 1: expected goals, but Dormand just has I mean, excuse me. 148 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:55,640 Speaker 1: Real Madrid has the finishers, yeah, PSG just didn't have 149 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 1: and their legs, so you cannot make mistakes against them 150 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 1: upon a shoe over and over again. 151 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 3: So yep, plus four eighty on the minus two and 152 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 3: a half. That's that's where I'm going for Real Madrid. 153 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 3: You like the over three at plus one fifteen, So 154 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 3: that's the Champions League final. Let's talk about the f 155 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 3: A Cup final, which is a Manchester Derby City sorry 156 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 3: to say to you, ended up winning the title for 157 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 3: the Premier League for the fourth year in a row. 158 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 3: It was almost exciting for what thirty seconds and when 159 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:34,839 Speaker 3: Kudu scored and Arsenal tied it up against Everton and 160 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:38,200 Speaker 3: basically the same exact time, and then yeah, it got 161 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 3: not excited. 162 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:40,680 Speaker 1: You know that. It's okay, Michael, you know we'll have. 163 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 2: Our day in court as you're going to have your 164 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 2: day in court. 165 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 1: Well. 166 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:47,719 Speaker 3: So something poetic about City with their one hundred and 167 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 3: fifteen charges of financial fire play needing or rooting for 168 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:53,880 Speaker 3: Everton who had you know, the point deductions. 169 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 2: Anyways, that's where you. 170 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:57,920 Speaker 1: Probably get a third before City ever gets charged. 171 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:02,439 Speaker 3: But now it's now it's an FA Cup final for 172 00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:06,320 Speaker 3: Manchester City and why don't you know they are playing 173 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:11,719 Speaker 3: Manchester United who had to get through. But it's skin 174 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 3: of their teeth against Coventry City at one point. I mean, 175 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 3: this is what a run to the to the f 176 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:22,439 Speaker 3: A Cup final for United, honestly beating Liverpool then needing 177 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 3: the crazy var decision to get by Coventry City in 178 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:31,320 Speaker 3: the next match. It's it feels crazy that they're here, 179 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 3: but they are. It feels almost appropriate that this is 180 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:36,679 Speaker 3: how their season is ending. City on the three way line, 181 00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:40,480 Speaker 3: it's minus three hundred, man United is plus seven hundred 182 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 3: on the freeway line. That draw is plus four fifty 183 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 3: to lift the trophy Man City minus six hundred and 184 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 3: United is four to one. I want to bet United here. 185 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 3: I do think that maybe there's a smidge of value 186 00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 3: going that way. 187 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 2: Is it crazy? I don't know. It feels like this game, 188 00:09:57,520 --> 00:09:58,439 Speaker 2: this game is gonna be drunk. 189 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:03,400 Speaker 1: It hasn't gone well for United this season against City. 190 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:07,960 Speaker 1: In the over the two meetings, City beat them twice. 191 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: One was three nothing, one was three to one. So 192 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:20,839 Speaker 1: six goals scored, seven point three spectacles created forty seven shots, 193 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: one hundred and six touches in the United's penalty area 194 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:29,560 Speaker 1: in two matches, and the second meeting you saw the 195 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: limitations of what in Manchester United has defensively. We know 196 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 1: how bad they are defensively. We don't have to talk 197 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:39,199 Speaker 1: about that at length. By the way, finished the season 198 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 1: allowing the third most shots in Premier League history, which 199 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 1: is just hilarious stat and then the fact that they're 200 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 1: even in a position to potentially get a Europa League 201 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 1: spot is hilarious if they actually win this match. But anyway, 202 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:59,439 Speaker 1: that second meeting, they just if you remember, Rashford scored early, 203 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 1: so they just they just sat as deep as they 204 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 1: possibly could, conceded like ninety percent of the ball to 205 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: City and just hoped and prayed to God that they 206 00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: could keep them out. And they were leading City for 207 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 1: a long period of time and City created over two 208 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 1: expected goals and then in that first half against them, 209 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: And that is what they're going to have to do 210 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 1: here because the pressing structure is not going to work. 211 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 1: Like they're not gonna be able to press City effectively. 212 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 1: If they do that, they're going to leave themselves just 213 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:33,439 Speaker 1: as exposed as they do to every other team, except 214 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 1: this time it's the best offense that will be exposed, 215 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: that will be exposing them. So for me, you know, 216 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,440 Speaker 1: I've been racking my brain how to play this, you know, 217 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 1: the last meeting, I just I just laid it with City, 218 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: even though I didn't have much value on it ended 219 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: up working out, I guess in a way. But in 220 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 1: this match I would either play over three and a 221 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,280 Speaker 1: half at plus one ten or just City team total 222 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 1: over two and a half. That even money would be 223 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 1: my one of my two plays. And you know, United 224 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:06,680 Speaker 1: did hit them and transition a couple times. And even 225 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,079 Speaker 1: like my United's match against Brighton on the final day, 226 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 1: they still were incredibly lucky to get out of there 227 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 1: with a clean sheet, Like they saved a couple of 228 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:15,679 Speaker 1: goals off the line, like it was just a lot 229 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 1: of box defending that they just like heroic stuff on 230 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:22,200 Speaker 1: the last line to keep Brighton out. It's fine to 231 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,080 Speaker 1: do that against Brighton, who has been the worst offense 232 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:28,040 Speaker 1: in the Premier League since February. But Citi's probably gonna 233 00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:33,080 Speaker 1: romp them here. So it's and and I agree, like 234 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 1: I really want to find a way to get I mean, 235 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 1: I don't really want to, but I want to help 236 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: people trying to find a way to get behind United here. 237 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: But yeah, it's hard, Yeah, it's hard. It's just really hard. 238 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 1: So I would say Unfortunately, it's probably just to just 239 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 1: lay it with city type of scenario because it's going 240 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: to take It's gonna take a lot of crazy variants 241 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 1: for United to stay in this match. 242 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:02,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's really that. You're just hoping for the magic 243 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 2: of the Cup. 244 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:07,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, so that brings us to their Europa League final. 245 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,439 Speaker 3: But before we get there, a reminder that wonder goal 246 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 3: is presented by Bet three sixty five and Bet three 247 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 3: six five doesn't do ordinary. That's why you get more 248 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 3: boosts with them than anyone else. Every day they power 249 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 3: up the odds on hundreds of bets to give you 250 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 3: a chance to win more. 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And if you or anyone you know has 260 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 3: a gambling problem, please call Winning hundred gambler or winning 261 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:48,360 Speaker 3: hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions and restrictions apply. Okay, 262 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 3: the Europa League final is really nicely poised. As Leverkusen 263 00:13:56,280 --> 00:14:02,200 Speaker 3: finished the Bundesliga unbeaten. They are unbeaten in all competitions. 264 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 3: They've got two matches left on their schedule, this final 265 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 3: on May twenty second in double in at the Aviva 266 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 3: Stadium against Adelanta, and then they play Kaiser Slotin in 267 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 3: the DFP Polkyle Final. Adelanta on the three way line 268 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 3: is plus three thirty three, Leverkusen is odds on minus 269 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 3: one twenty five. The draw is plus two seventy five 270 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 3: to lift the trophy. Adelanta's plus two hundred Leverkusen minus 271 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:32,760 Speaker 3: two fifty bj is their value on Jabi Alonso and 272 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 3: Leverkusen to join the ranks of the Invincibles. 273 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:40,760 Speaker 1: No is with the answer like that the market has 274 00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 1: clearly gotten too high on Leverkusen, like that's just been 275 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 1: happening for a while now. But what I will say is, 276 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: you know, even though I'm protecting a little bit of 277 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 1: value on Atlanta, I do believe this is a really 278 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:56,640 Speaker 1: really good matchup for lever Housen. So like, Adelanta, without 279 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 1: a doubt, is a really good defensive team out of possession, 280 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: Like they're very good at playing pass, they're very good 281 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,800 Speaker 1: at pressing high. It's been a staple Inn or Gasprini 282 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 1: for a long time. But when you think about and 283 00:15:07,080 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: you look through some of the teams that Adelanta has 284 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 1: played this season, especially in Syria Ah. You know, a 285 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: lot of teams in Syria AH are very slow, for 286 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 1: lack of a better word, that rotations are slow, they're 287 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: fluidity and build up is slow, and it's just makes 288 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 1: it a lot easier to defend when teams are slow. 289 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 1: And I know that they pulled off this upset against Liverpool, 290 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 1: and I know that's a match that everybody's going to 291 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: point to to say that they can do this. But 292 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,640 Speaker 1: Liverpool is a much different team than Leverkusen, and I'm 293 00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 1: not sure that Adelanta has played a team with the 294 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 1: style of play that Leverkusen has, So Leverkusen, you know, 295 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 1: I think the overarching question is like how do you 296 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 1: beat them? All right? Because nobody's been able to do 297 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 1: yet this season. Well, there's two schools of thought. Number One, 298 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 1: you either press them and you press them relentlessly and 299 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: you do it in Amanda Man fashion and you just 300 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: go for it, which is what Adelanta did to Liverpool, 301 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 1: or you sit back in a very passive defensive block 302 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 1: and you hope for a bad variant stay from them. 303 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 1: And so far they've been on the right side of 304 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: variants they've had. I don't can't count how many stoppage 305 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 1: time goals, which is, you know a lot of people 306 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:26,760 Speaker 1: will say they're lucky, but like to get an unbeaten 307 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:28,440 Speaker 1: run like this, you are going to need a lot 308 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 1: of luck, and they've gotten a lot of luck through 309 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 1: this period. But when they're in build up, they're always 310 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 1: in three man combinations, they're always in passing triangles, They're 311 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 1: always always having overloads over their opponents, no matter if 312 00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,800 Speaker 1: they're playing passively or if they're pressing them. And the 313 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 1: fluidity in their build up I think is what makes 314 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 1: them very unique and very different as opposed to a 315 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 1: team like Manchester City or Arsenal or Bayern or even 316 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: you know PSG for that matter. Is you know, teams 317 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:01,000 Speaker 1: like Manchester City want to play through the middle of 318 00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 1: the pitch. Teams like Arsenal want to play out wide, 319 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 1: and that's where they want to get those overloads. Leverkusen 320 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 1: does it everywhere, like it really doesn't matter, Like they 321 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 1: just try to find pockets of space wherever they can 322 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:14,440 Speaker 1: find it, and they're so effective at doing that that 323 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:16,720 Speaker 1: it makes it very very difficult to defend when you're 324 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 1: constantly in either two v threes or even three v 325 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:21,960 Speaker 1: threes for that matter, against the dribblers and the ball 326 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:24,240 Speaker 1: possessors they have. If you look at some of the 327 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:27,600 Speaker 1: teams that Alan's face that you know at least have 328 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,160 Speaker 1: somewhat of a similar type of build up, I would 329 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:32,800 Speaker 1: say Thiago Mantis Bologna is the first team that comes 330 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 1: to mind that is very similar to how Leverkusen builds up. 331 00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:40,720 Speaker 1: Bologna beat out a lots in both meetings, even in 332 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: Zoggie's Inter. I know they're a transition based team, but 333 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:45,679 Speaker 1: they're very good in build up when they want to 334 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 1: build up A lots of loss both meetings against Inter 335 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 1: as well, So I think this is a great matchup 336 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:56,159 Speaker 1: for Levercusen. They're a really really good counter pressing team. 337 00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: The one weakness that they would say they have is 338 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 1: they're pretty poor defending set pieces, and Alliance is not 339 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: really that physical of a team in terms of getting 340 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:06,800 Speaker 1: on those set pieces. The one team I'll say who's 341 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:10,240 Speaker 1: had success against out a lot, excuse me, against Leverkusen. 342 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,359 Speaker 1: The best I would say is Stuttgart in the Cup 343 00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 1: and both in the Bundesliga. They played them incredibly tough 344 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: in both meetings, and it's because they are an elite 345 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:22,560 Speaker 1: transition team and not ALTSA does have guys who can 346 00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 1: beat you. But yeah, given how they've played against Bologna 347 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:30,680 Speaker 1: and against Inter, it's a little concerning how they're gonna 348 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:34,320 Speaker 1: stop Leverkusen. So Leverkusen minus won twenty five. Again, don't 349 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 1: project much value on it. Holding a Leverkusen ten to 350 00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 1: one ticket that I'm probably just gonna let ride. But 351 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:42,920 Speaker 1: I get that. You know people are gonna want to 352 00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 1: bet on this match, and if I weren't a bet it, 353 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 1: I would just bet Leverracusen. 354 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:48,359 Speaker 2: H okay. 355 00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 1: So that is as I said. 356 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 3: Wednesday May twenty second, a week later is the Europa 357 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:58,960 Speaker 3: Conference League final between Olympiakos out of Greece and Fiorentina 358 00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 3: out of Syria. Olympiacos is plus two hundred on the 359 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,920 Speaker 3: three way line. Fiorentina is plus one thirty five. The 360 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 3: draw is plus two twenty to lift the trophy, it's 361 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 3: minus one fifty for Fiorentina and Olympiacos at plus one ten. 362 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 3: I have a feeling you're gonna be on the Greeks here. 363 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,960 Speaker 1: I'm not actually wow, which is crazy. 364 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 2: First time you have a bet against Fiorentina all year, and. 365 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 1: I think this is an important lesson in betting in general. Michael. Yes, 366 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 1: I've came on this podcast and I've faded, and I've 367 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 1: said horrible things about Fiorentina basically for the entire season, 368 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,399 Speaker 1: and it's generally because I believe that the market will 369 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:37,640 Speaker 1: revalue them comparatively to their talent level and what their 370 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 1: underlying numbers were. They are a better build up team 371 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:42,359 Speaker 1: than than aston Villa in terms of actually possessing the 372 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: ball and not turning it over, So that's a plus. 373 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:47,200 Speaker 1: Because Olympiacos is going to press them. They're going to 374 00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:48,879 Speaker 1: press relentlessly, and they're going to play and try to 375 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,639 Speaker 1: play in transition, which is generally not a great matchup 376 00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 1: for Fiorentina. But I do project Fiorentina at minus one 377 00:19:56,240 --> 00:20:00,199 Speaker 1: forty four to lift the trophy. And here's why is 378 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:04,720 Speaker 1: you know, from a projection standpoint, you know, I have 379 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:11,680 Speaker 1: Syria a about point nine goals better than the Greek 380 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 1: super League. And if we were going purely based on 381 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:19,440 Speaker 1: talent total squad transfer value, if Florentine is well more 382 00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,200 Speaker 1: than double that Olympiacos, so they get about a point 383 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:26,440 Speaker 1: four goal advantage there. So you know, even though they 384 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:30,439 Speaker 1: only have about a plus point two you expect a 385 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 1: goal differential in in Syria and Olympiacos is about plus 386 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,400 Speaker 1: point eight in the Greek super League, there's still that's 387 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 1: still you know, mathematically gets me to a position where 388 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 1: I am showing a little value on Fiorentina. And the 389 00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 1: one thing about Olympiacos is like, yes, they will press them, 390 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: they will press them effectively, but relying on a couple 391 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 1: of transition attacks, especially against a good build up team 392 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 1: that can control matches, it is generally a difficult thing 393 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,439 Speaker 1: to sell, especially when you're only laying like, you know, 394 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,719 Speaker 1: plus one ten and like even money to lift the trophy, 395 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:03,919 Speaker 1: right like if they if if if we came in here, 396 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,439 Speaker 1: if Huorentine was like minus two hundred, Olympiacos was like 397 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 1: plus one seventy, I'd be like yes, let's go Olympiacos. 398 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,639 Speaker 1: But the numbers dropped way too much and I think 399 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:15,080 Speaker 1: it's gone a little too far, So I like Fiorentina. 400 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 1: There's a minus one thirty out there right now. I 401 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:21,359 Speaker 1: wouldn't play it beyond minus one thirty. But this is 402 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 1: kind of one of those scenarios in betting that you 403 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,480 Speaker 1: kind of put your biases aside and I'm just going 404 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:27,359 Speaker 1: to trust my numbers. 405 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 2: Yep, yep. 406 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 3: That one is taking place at the O pap Arena 407 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:39,119 Speaker 3: in Athens, so not technically a home match for Yeah, Wellpiacos. 408 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 2: I think that is the It. 409 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:44,359 Speaker 3: Is the home of AEK Athens, So all right, And 410 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,360 Speaker 3: that's brings us to the last match that we will 411 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:52,119 Speaker 3: talk about during this regular season. As I said, we 412 00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 3: will be back very soon to talk Euros. We'll go 413 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 3: you know, window to the wall coverage, soup to nuts 414 00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:05,119 Speaker 3: June fourteenth. It kicks off with a match between the 415 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:09,480 Speaker 3: hosts Germany and Scotland. We'll be getting together well before that. 416 00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 3: We'll have every match covered, we'll give out futures beforehand, 417 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 3: all that good stuff. So don't think we're going anywhere 418 00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 3: any type soon. 419 00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:22,160 Speaker 1: All the content for you that you could ever want yep. 420 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:25,640 Speaker 3: But before we get there, we have to talk about 421 00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:30,920 Speaker 3: the twentieth team for next year's Premier League. It will 422 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 3: be Leeds or Southampton. This matchup taking place at Wembley 423 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 3: on Wednesday May twenty nine, three pm Eastern time. Leeds 424 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 3: is plus one thirty seven on the three way line, 425 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,359 Speaker 3: so they are the favorite, Southampton plus two hundred and 426 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:51,439 Speaker 3: the draw is plus two twenty five. 427 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 2: Bj Any thoughts here. 428 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's an interesting match to say the least, because 429 00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:04,399 Speaker 1: these two teams met on the final day. Southampton was 430 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 1: already locked into the four seed. Leeds needed to win 431 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 1: and hope that if Switch lost because they had the 432 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: goal difference over them to potentially get that second automatic spot. 433 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:18,440 Speaker 1: And what ended up happening is Southampton won. They beat 434 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,199 Speaker 1: them to one. It was a very even match if 435 00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 1: we look at expected goals and you know, the way 436 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:25,880 Speaker 1: that this match is going to play out is Southampton's 437 00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,439 Speaker 1: probably going to control majority of the possession, which is 438 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 1: kind of what Leads wants them to do. If you 439 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,639 Speaker 1: watch Leads against Norwich, you saw how effective they can 440 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,400 Speaker 1: be in those quick transition moments and that's something West 441 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:40,320 Speaker 1: Brom actually had a lot of success with against Southampton, 442 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 1: and Southampton quite frankly wasn't very good offensively in that 443 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,920 Speaker 1: second even that second leg against West Brom, because yes 444 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 1: they scored three goals, but one was a penalty and 445 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:56,000 Speaker 1: they only created one point three expected goals total for 446 00:23:56,119 --> 00:24:00,240 Speaker 1: the entire match, so half an expected goal and they're 447 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:05,520 Speaker 1: remaining nine shots is not very effective. They had twelve 448 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,359 Speaker 1: touches in West Brom's penalty area, which is an incredibly 449 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:12,000 Speaker 1: low number. I've mentioned before this before, but Leads is 450 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,639 Speaker 1: an elite out of possession team from a championship standpoint 451 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:18,720 Speaker 1: point eight one non penalty spectacle is allowed. They're very 452 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 1: very good defending in transition, they're very good defending their 453 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,000 Speaker 1: own box. So I think this match kind of plays 454 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 1: out exactly how they want to because Southampton is controlling 455 00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:29,600 Speaker 1: over sixty percent of the ball this season, so they 456 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,680 Speaker 1: can conceive possession to them, they can look to press them, 457 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:34,879 Speaker 1: and then they can get going forward and hopefully for 458 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,520 Speaker 1: some high turnovers here against a team that can be 459 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 1: very prone to giving the ball up. So you know, 460 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 1: if I were to play Leads, I would probably just 461 00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:46,359 Speaker 1: play them on three to eight the three line at 462 00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,960 Speaker 1: plus one fifty. I think it's the best number that 463 00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:51,480 Speaker 1: I found out there. I have them projected at plus 464 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 1: one thirty two. So but as far as to lift 465 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:59,679 Speaker 1: the trophy, I think that number is about right. But 466 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:01,399 Speaker 1: if I were to bet at anything, it would be 467 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:07,200 Speaker 1: leads to to get promoted in regular time here, all right, 468 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 1: that does it? 469 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 2: So that covers all your. 470 00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:15,879 Speaker 3: Cup finals coming your way between now and June second, 471 00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 3: when the season wraps in at Wembley with Dortmund and Madrid. 472 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,920 Speaker 2: Just to recap that one in case you already forgot. 473 00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,399 Speaker 2: BJ likes the over with Dortmund and Real Madrid. 474 00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,920 Speaker 3: I like Real Madrid to cover win by at least 475 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 3: three at plus four eighty, and that'll do it for 476 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,720 Speaker 3: us this season. We will be back, as I said, 477 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:39,760 Speaker 3: early June, to discuss Euro twenty twenty four futures group previews, 478 00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,080 Speaker 3: all that, and then we will pick it up from there, 479 00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 3: go match by match and try to have another solid 480 00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:46,719 Speaker 3: international tournament. 481 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 2: We'll talk Copra America as well along the way. 482 00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 3: So for BJ Michael, thank you to you for listening 483 00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,240 Speaker 3: all season. Thank you to our producer Noah and David 484 00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:58,639 Speaker 3: for producing all season. It's been a lot of fun 485 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:08,520 Speaker 3: and we will see you again for the Euros. 486 00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:12,680 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 487 00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:15,879 Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 488 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 489 00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 3: hundred Gambler