WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 7) 0:00:00.920 --> 0:00:05.560 Ka boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes 0:00:05.600 --> 0:00:08.760 a week was enough, I think again. He's the last 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:12.440 remnants of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. 0:00:12.600 --> 0:00:15.600 He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.800 the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of 0:00:19.840 --> 0:00:23.639 hot takes. Break free for something special. The Fifth Hour 0:00:23.800 --> 0:00:32.720 with Ben Maller starts right now, nine in the air everywhere. 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:37.520 Welcome into a special bonus edition of the Fifth Hour 0:00:37.680 --> 0:00:42.559 with Ben Maller and Danny G. Radio. As we go 0:00:43.040 --> 0:00:47.000 at it, Mono amano, belly to belly, face to face 0:00:48.000 --> 0:00:53.720 the Penny. It is week seven of Benny Versus the Penny, 0:00:53.760 --> 0:00:56.120 and we are back at it here to break down 0:00:56.320 --> 0:01:02.480 every NFL game against the spread. We provide sports handicapping 0:01:02.840 --> 0:01:06.039 for the regular guy. I have done this for a 0:01:06.040 --> 0:01:10.080 long time, looking at all the numbers and all of 0:01:10.120 --> 0:01:15.200 the information available, and I try to pick winners. Here 0:01:15.000 --> 0:01:20.080 the coin, the Penny an indamant object also picking winners, 0:01:20.120 --> 0:01:22.800 and so we'll see who does better. And the home 0:01:22.880 --> 0:01:26.840 team heads, the road team tales and Danny G is 0:01:26.959 --> 0:01:33.280 the spokesman for the Penny, and Danny is right there. Hello, Danny, Yo, 0:01:33.480 --> 0:01:37.479 what's up? This is gonna be an interesting NFL Sunday, 0:01:37.520 --> 0:01:41.240 because based on your Halloween party, we might be waking 0:01:41.319 --> 0:01:47.120 up semi sluggishly on Sunday morning, bunch of hooker. I 0:01:47.200 --> 0:01:50.000 might be waking up actually for the Sunday night game, 0:01:50.640 --> 0:01:52.800 which is the Dolphins and the Steelers. That might be 0:01:52.840 --> 0:01:56.200 the only game I actually watch this this weekend. But 0:01:56.320 --> 0:02:00.320 the the teams that aren't playing, the Buffalo Bills not playing, 0:02:00.480 --> 0:02:03.480 that's the top team in football by most accounts. The Eagles, 0:02:03.520 --> 0:02:06.760 who are the only unbeaten team. They're not playing, the 0:02:07.000 --> 0:02:09.880 Rams and the Vikings. So four of the top teams 0:02:09.919 --> 0:02:12.200 in the NFL, well three of the top teams in 0:02:12.240 --> 0:02:17.040 the Rams are not participating in week number seven. But 0:02:17.240 --> 0:02:19.600 before we get to all the games here in week 0:02:19.680 --> 0:02:29.639 seven on Sunday and Monday, welcome players, You're welcome. It's 0:02:29.720 --> 0:02:37.359 time now, Betty versus the penny. We must look back 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:41.200 at what happened back in Week six. Got off to 0:02:41.240 --> 0:02:43.400 a pretty good start, Danny. In Week six, I was 0:02:43.440 --> 0:02:46.800 really doing well in the early television window, and then 0:02:46.840 --> 0:02:49.959 they had to play the late television window and that 0:02:49.960 --> 0:02:53.119 that did not go so well for me. But overall, 0:02:53.200 --> 0:02:56.079 another winning week, only a couple of games over five. 0:02:56.480 --> 0:02:59.920 There were fourteen games in the NFL last weekend. If 0:03:00.000 --> 0:03:02.160 you're listening along, you know that I went eight and 0:03:02.360 --> 0:03:08.200 six against the spread, a five seventy one winning percentage. 0:03:08.280 --> 0:03:12.280 The penny went nine and five. So the penny beat 0:03:12.320 --> 0:03:14.920 me head to head, the penny winning in a six 0:03:15.000 --> 0:03:19.760 forty three clip last week's so good job by the penny. 0:03:19.919 --> 0:03:24.520 And overall. Now this is where it gets really wild, Danny, 0:03:24.639 --> 0:03:27.880 when you go overall. So my record against the spread, 0:03:28.600 --> 0:03:32.440 I have won fifty three and lost thirty eight, tied three. 0:03:33.120 --> 0:03:36.280 So that's a five eighty two winning percentage, which is 0:03:37.480 --> 0:03:39.840 in the in the black. It's in the black because 0:03:39.880 --> 0:03:42.880 to win money as a sports better you have to 0:03:43.040 --> 0:03:47.360 practice money management. But you have to win more than 0:03:47.560 --> 0:03:49.960 fifty two point four percent of your bets. That's the 0:03:49.960 --> 0:03:52.400 magic number, fifty two percent. You have to win more 0:03:52.400 --> 0:03:54.960 than that to win money. So we're five eighty two. 0:03:55.000 --> 0:03:58.960 That's good the penny. I did the math on this, Danny, 0:03:59.000 --> 0:04:01.680 and I had to do it again and again and 0:04:01.800 --> 0:04:05.360 again and again and again and again. I kept going back. 0:04:05.400 --> 0:04:07.720 I said, this can't be right. There's no way this 0:04:07.800 --> 0:04:12.080 can be right. Apparently it's right. So there have been 0:04:12.120 --> 0:04:14.840 so many, so many times, so many games we've done here, 0:04:14.880 --> 0:04:19.600 we've done week six. Now heading into week seven, there 0:04:19.600 --> 0:04:22.560 are ninety four NFL games that we have had on 0:04:22.640 --> 0:04:28.760 Benny versus the Penny. The penny is forty sixty six 0:04:28.880 --> 0:04:34.080 and two. Damn, how is that. I know it's possible 0:04:34.120 --> 0:04:37.159 because it's a fifty fifty shot, but I don't recall 0:04:37.600 --> 0:04:40.320 that ever being the case this far into the season 0:04:40.360 --> 0:04:45.240 where it's exactly five. That's pretty wild. That's pretty wild. 0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:46.919 So you might want to have a word to the 0:04:46.920 --> 0:04:49.040 penny there. I don't know what's going on there, but man, 0:04:49.440 --> 0:04:50.920 but well, I get to it. Here we go. Let's 0:04:50.920 --> 0:04:52.719 get to the games on the card here in week seven, 0:04:52.720 --> 0:04:55.279 we'll start with the early television window. This is the 0:04:55.279 --> 0:04:58.240 big game on CBS, Jim Nance and Tony Romo. It's 0:04:58.279 --> 0:05:02.040 two NFC teams, but it is a CBS game. Detroit 0:05:02.360 --> 0:05:06.800 one and four at Dallas four and two. The Cowboys 0:05:07.360 --> 0:05:09.440 opened up a six and a half point favorite, their 0:05:09.520 --> 0:05:12.720 favorite by seven and a half. In this game. Over 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:14.600 eight percent of the money on the Cowboys at a 0:05:14.760 --> 0:05:17.880 T and T Stadium. Some of the numbers here. The 0:05:18.520 --> 0:05:22.039 Cowboys their last ten games against the spread at home 0:05:22.200 --> 0:05:25.520 against the NFC North, there just two and eight against 0:05:25.560 --> 0:05:28.800 that division. At home the Lions, they'll have the NFL's 0:05:28.839 --> 0:05:33.360 worst defense. They're allowing thirty four points per game and 0:05:33.440 --> 0:05:37.599 four in or twenty eight yards per game. Detroit, though, 0:05:37.640 --> 0:05:41.800 has been good for gamblers coming off of bye over 0:05:41.839 --> 0:05:43.960 the years. Their nine and one against the spread their 0:05:44.040 --> 0:05:46.200 last ten coming off of by so that's ten years, 0:05:46.760 --> 0:05:49.680 and the last seven on the road after a by 0:05:49.760 --> 0:05:53.120 there's seven and oh against the spread. I'm taking the 0:05:53.160 --> 0:05:55.520 Lions in this game. Detroit is rested, They're coming off 0:05:55.520 --> 0:05:57.839 a bye week. Dallas is coming off a hard fought 0:05:57.880 --> 0:06:02.000 loss to a division rival, the Eagles, key divisional game. 0:06:02.200 --> 0:06:06.039 In that matchup, Dak Prescott's coming back from a finger 0:06:06.200 --> 0:06:11.240 finger injury. But will he be rusted? Are the Cowboys 0:06:11.240 --> 0:06:14.800 making a mistake bringing him back here and jumping the 0:06:14.839 --> 0:06:18.520 gun because you know, play against the Lions, soft start here, 0:06:18.920 --> 0:06:21.520 easy game, you would assume blah blah blah blah blah. 0:06:21.520 --> 0:06:24.000 But coming off of by the Lions getting some guys 0:06:24.040 --> 0:06:28.240 back from injury, Jared Goff and the offense should be 0:06:28.279 --> 0:06:30.239 able to put some points up even with that Cowboy 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:34.680 defense intimidating Michael Parsons and whatnot. But I love getting 0:06:34.680 --> 0:06:37.239 this many points. You're getting over a touchdown a team 0:06:37.279 --> 0:06:40.960 coming off of bye. I am taking the Lions to 0:06:41.120 --> 0:06:44.479 cover the spread. Cowboys twenty six, Lions the right side 0:06:44.480 --> 0:06:51.159 of the bed at twenty and the Penny picks right 0:06:51.200 --> 0:06:54.279 off the bat at disagreement. Penny going with Dak and 0:06:54.320 --> 0:06:57.120 the Cowboys. All right, So disagreement on that game. We're 0:06:57.160 --> 0:06:59.560 off to a flying start. Next up, the g I 0:07:00.040 --> 0:07:04.920 A and T S Giants at five and one against 0:07:05.000 --> 0:07:09.039 Jacksonville two and four. It's on Fox with Chris Myers 0:07:09.040 --> 0:07:12.160 and Mark lay Rith, and the Jags opened up a 0:07:12.400 --> 0:07:14.560 three point favorite in this game. They are still favored 0:07:14.560 --> 0:07:17.080 by three. This is a shocking point spread too many, 0:07:17.520 --> 0:07:21.080 considering the difference in records here between Jacksonville and the 0:07:21.120 --> 0:07:23.680 Giants at least seventy five degrees. That kick off at 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:27.320 T I A A Bank Stadium in Jacksonville. Some of 0:07:27.320 --> 0:07:31.920 the numbers here. The Giants are five and one against 0:07:31.920 --> 0:07:34.240 the spread this year, so there're five on one overall, 0:07:34.280 --> 0:07:37.080 but also against the spread with Brian Dable and with 0:07:37.200 --> 0:07:40.280 Daniel Jones going back even a little further. The last 0:07:40.360 --> 0:07:44.280 ten games, they are ten and two against the spread, 0:07:44.640 --> 0:07:47.640 with Jones starting in the last fifteen on the road, 0:07:48.600 --> 0:07:52.280 the Giants are ten and five against the spread. Jacksonville 0:07:52.840 --> 0:07:55.840 as a favorite, they have been a terrible play. If 0:07:55.840 --> 0:07:58.000 you look at the numbers here two and eight against 0:07:58.040 --> 0:07:59.920 the spread their last ten as a favorite. That tells 0:08:00.040 --> 0:08:02.880 what has happened, not what's going to happen. But I'm 0:08:03.000 --> 0:08:05.640 taking the Giants here. This might be a sucker play. 0:08:05.840 --> 0:08:08.680 The money is about even on this. Sequon Barkley should 0:08:08.680 --> 0:08:13.680 slice up the Jacksonville linebacking Courts Jacksonville. They have put 0:08:13.720 --> 0:08:16.600 a lot of yards up between the twenties, and that's 0:08:16.600 --> 0:08:18.040 one of the reasons I think this line is the 0:08:18.080 --> 0:08:21.720 way it is. They've struggled, though, to consistently score touchdowns, 0:08:21.760 --> 0:08:24.160 and they've also made a lot of mental mistakes to 0:08:24.200 --> 0:08:27.680 lose games here, including last week against the Colts, where 0:08:27.720 --> 0:08:29.760 they'll come out, they'll have a two touchdown lead early 0:08:30.320 --> 0:08:33.640 and then play sloppy football. I don't see that stopping here. 0:08:34.320 --> 0:08:37.240 The Giants ranked ninth in pressure rates, so they should 0:08:37.320 --> 0:08:40.600 be able to blitz Trevor Lawrence up the wazoo, which 0:08:40.640 --> 0:08:44.800 is normally a recipe for the quarterback to make mistakes, 0:08:45.679 --> 0:08:49.000 and this, this line scares me because it looks like 0:08:49.120 --> 0:08:52.280 it's completely wrong. And I'm on the side of the 0:08:52.320 --> 0:08:55.840 public in many respects, but I think the Giants are 0:08:55.880 --> 0:08:58.440 just the right side here. They should win this game. Now, 0:08:58.440 --> 0:09:00.880 maybe they won't, maybe they'll come out flat. No, they'll 0:09:00.880 --> 0:09:03.520 lose this game by ten points. But I am taking 0:09:03.520 --> 0:09:07.600 the Giants twenty four and the Jags twenty the final, 0:09:12.400 --> 0:09:14.760 and the penny is with you in the public on this. 0:09:14.840 --> 0:09:17.520 Going with the Giants, alright, So agreement on that. Next up, 0:09:17.559 --> 0:09:20.920 Indianapolis three two on one at Tennessee three and two. 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:25.400 It's on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton on 0:09:25.440 --> 0:09:28.080 the call. The Titans opened up a one and a 0:09:28.080 --> 0:09:31.280 half point favorite. They're favored by two and a half 0:09:31.920 --> 0:09:35.160 in this game at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Are getting 0:09:35.160 --> 0:09:37.320 a new stadium. They just announced it this week, so 0:09:37.360 --> 0:09:40.560 in a few years we'll have another Dome stadium in 0:09:40.600 --> 0:09:44.440 the NFL. Titans are six and one their last seven 0:09:44.480 --> 0:09:48.520 games with Ryan Tannehill against the Colts, five and two 0:09:48.559 --> 0:09:54.400 with Mike Rabel against the Colts and Frank Right obviously 0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:56.880 the other side of that, he's two and five against 0:09:56.880 --> 0:09:59.640 the Tennessee Titans. As the coach in Indie, I'm taking 0:09:59.640 --> 0:10:01.880 the tight and I'll tell you why. Tennessee's offense. They 0:10:01.920 --> 0:10:05.800 are stuck in mud here. But they have regularly outgunned 0:10:06.520 --> 0:10:08.439 the regularly are regular outgun is what I'm trying to 0:10:08.440 --> 0:10:10.800 stay here. If the guy could talk, that would help. Uh. 0:10:10.840 --> 0:10:13.960 But there they've been very opportunistic on defense and special 0:10:14.000 --> 0:10:17.640 teams and they've really been the vultures, which is more 0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:23.400 important than raw yardage. It's getting turnovers, big special teams plays. 0:10:24.000 --> 0:10:28.000 And Indianapolis is tied for second with five pass interference 0:10:28.000 --> 0:10:31.920 penalties against the second here, So you look at that. Also, 0:10:31.960 --> 0:10:35.079 this referee for this game, Ron Torbert. You know, I'm 0:10:35.280 --> 0:10:37.000 I'm going deep in the weeds when I'm looking at 0:10:37.000 --> 0:10:39.920 the referee match up. But this Ron Torbert, the referee, 0:10:41.240 --> 0:10:44.360 M yeah, exactly. His crew, he's no ed hockey. His 0:10:44.559 --> 0:10:48.160 crew has called the most defensive pass interference calls in 0:10:48.200 --> 0:10:51.160 the Leake. So what does that mean? That means that 0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:53.800 there should be some opportunities there for the Titans to 0:10:53.960 --> 0:10:58.200 gain yardage on pass interference calls. The Colts have made 0:10:58.200 --> 0:11:02.439 a lot of those mistakes and Matt Ryan is a 0:11:02.480 --> 0:11:06.360 turnover waiting to happen here. So it's really Derrick Henry, 0:11:06.559 --> 0:11:09.760 a little bit of Ryan Tannehill, and I'm gonna take 0:11:09.800 --> 0:11:13.040 the small favorite the Tennessee Titans to win this game 0:11:13.120 --> 0:11:17.199 twenty seven to twenty three. Titans over the Colts will 0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:25.000 be your final. And the Penny says, don't give up 0:11:25.040 --> 0:11:28.040 on Matt Ryan yet, going with Indie no no. I 0:11:28.080 --> 0:11:30.080 believe Matt Ryan and the horse shoes should go to 0:11:30.120 --> 0:11:35.800 the glue factory. Next up Atlanta three and three at Cincinnati, 0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:39.440 the End of the Rainbow, also three and three. It's 0:11:39.600 --> 0:11:44.520 on Fox with Brianden Godden, Brandon Godden and Robert Smith. 0:11:44.559 --> 0:11:49.040 They have to call. The Bengals opened up a six 0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:51.840 and a half point favorite, and they are a six 0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:55.920 point favorite in this game in sixty percent of the 0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:58.880 money on the side of Cincinnati. If you look at 0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:03.120 the handle here at eight Corps Stadium formerly Paul Brown Stadium, 0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:08.040 but pay Corps Stadium. There sunny and seventy two in Cincinnati. 0:12:08.080 --> 0:12:11.040 Atlanta was supposed to be a pile of ship this season. 0:12:11.080 --> 0:12:14.720 They have not been that. They are five hundred and 0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:18.000 the Falcons are the only team left that is perfect 0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:22.440 against the spread. There's six and oh against the spreads, 0:12:22.480 --> 0:12:25.280 so that either means they're due to lose or this 0:12:25.360 --> 0:12:28.720 is just their year to have the amazing record against 0:12:28.720 --> 0:12:32.040 the number eight into their last ten with Arthur Smith 0:12:32.120 --> 0:12:35.120 coaching and Cincinnati, if you look at the trends here 0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:39.840 two and five their last seven at home in October, 0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:43.080 and three and seven their last ten at home in 0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:47.280 non conference games. I am gonna take the Falcons, and 0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:48.920 I might have to rinse my mouth out, but I'm 0:12:48.920 --> 0:12:51.720 gonna take the Falcons here Cincinnati. I'll tell you why. 0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:57.080 Cincinnati is much more talented in pretty much every offensive 0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:01.400 category than Atlanta, and they are lacking, though the Falcons, 0:13:01.480 --> 0:13:03.760 the wow factor. But they've been able to be pesky 0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:08.319 and opportunistic. They've fallen behind in games like, for example, 0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:10.880 the Rams game, and then they snuck in backdoor cover. 0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:14.120 They've done that a couple of times. But the Dirty 0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:17.160 Birds they don't have any pass rush, which scares me. 0:13:17.920 --> 0:13:21.440 So that should give Joe Burrow plenty of opportunity to 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:23.520 chuck it down field. But I'm gonna ride with the 0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:28.960 boys from Georgia getting almost a touchdown against what has 0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:32.680 been a Cincinnati team that has underachieved. They had to 0:13:32.720 --> 0:13:34.920 come back to beat the Saints last week. They're still 0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:37.840 missing something there there. They haven't been able to figure 0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:40.960 it out what's wrong with the ben Gals, but they 0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:43.600 just haven't been the same dominant team to this point. 0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:46.360 So I'm gonna take the Falcons twenty four and the 0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:54.320 Bengals twenty three the final and the penny also living 0:13:54.360 --> 0:13:56.920 on the edge, Going with the Falcons, Going with the 0:13:57.000 --> 0:14:04.240 dirty birds, all right? Next up for US Cleveland at 0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:07.679 two and four at Baltimore three and three. It's on 0:14:08.000 --> 0:14:11.720 CBS with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green as they go 0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:15.320 off the beaten path. The Ravens opened up a six 0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:20.800 point favorite. They are favored by seven in this game. Yes, 0:14:20.840 --> 0:14:24.240 the same Baltimore team that lost last week to the 0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:27.440 Giants is a seven point favorite this week and over 0:14:27.560 --> 0:14:30.320 eight percent of the money if you look at the 0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:33.320 handle is on the side of Baltimore. At M and 0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:37.240 T Bank Stadium, temperatures in the mid sixties at kickoff. 0:14:37.280 --> 0:14:40.400 Will we see a cosmetic change to the Ravens offense 0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:42.680 which is all of a sudden gone the wrong way. 0:14:42.720 --> 0:14:46.400 Will it matter in this game? The Browns are nine 0:14:46.440 --> 0:14:51.479 and nineteen against John Harbaugh coached Raven teams and Kevin Stefanski, 0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:55.120 and the Brownies are six and nine the last fifteen 0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:58.880 games they've gone. Lamar Jackson actually has a losing record 0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:03.520 against the spread and at home, So I'm gonna take 0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:07.840 the Browns here. This is an aesthetically non pleasing game. 0:15:08.560 --> 0:15:10.720 You'd rather watch a stick of dyna might blow up 0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:13.520 than watch this game. But the Browns have. They've lost 0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:16.080 three straight. They were blown out by the Patriots and 0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:20.920 Bailey Zappy last week. Things look bleak. However, You're never 0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:23.000 as bad as people say you are. You're never as 0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:25.200 good as people say you are. This is a bounce 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:29.880 back spot for Cleveland divisional game. They're close to getting 0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:33.480 Denzel Award back. He had a concussion. Jadeveon Clowne, He's 0:15:33.520 --> 0:15:36.280 got all kinds of injuries, your knee, your ankle, your elbow, 0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:40.360 and Miles Garrett, still dealing with the after effect of 0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:43.720 the car accident, is supposed to come back. The issue 0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:47.760 here is all those miss tackles. The Browns have not 0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:50.640 been prim and proper on defense. They've been in position 0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:52.960 to make tackles. It's the most frustrating thing. I see 0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:55.000 it all the time with the Rams, and so the 0:15:55.000 --> 0:15:56.680 Browns are one of these teams where they get guys 0:15:56.720 --> 0:16:00.160 in position to make a play and then the it's 0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:04.920 an ankle tackle or the receiver, the running back runs 0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:09.240 through the tackle. It's embarrassed. And Lamar Jackson on the 0:16:09.280 --> 0:16:11.520 other side, he has regressed the last couple weeks. It's 0:16:11.760 --> 0:16:15.280 you're talking about a divisional game. You're getting over a 0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:17.640 touchdown or a touchdown, in this case a touchdown. So 0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:19.720 I'm gonna take the Browns. I think that's too many points. 0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:23.880 Ravens twenty six, Browns twenty on a razor's edge. We 0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:30.840 get to win with the Browns. The penny is a 0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:34.880 big duvern A fan. Going with the Ravens. The Penny's 0:16:34.880 --> 0:16:37.480 forgotten more than I'll ever know. All Right, next up 0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:39.880 Green Bay. Actually know we're not doing great, but doing 0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:44.240 Tampa Bay. I got my Bays mixed up. Tampa Bay 0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:48.320 three and three at Carolina at one in five. It's 0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:52.120 on Fox. You better watched. It's the only reason to watch. 0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:55.680 Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. The Bucks opened up a 0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:58.680 nine and a half point favorite, as they are said 0:16:58.720 --> 0:17:01.040 to be on life support after losing the Steelers last week. 0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:05.040 The Bucks are in eleven point favorite right now, levin 0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:08.080 point favorite for that Tampa Bay team. God bless America 0:17:08.480 --> 0:17:11.040 Bank of America Stadium site. Most of the money is 0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:14.199 on Tampa. Why would anyone bet on Carolina? They're begging 0:17:14.240 --> 0:17:17.119 you to bet on Carolina. They have died like a 0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:21.480 dog the Panthers here of late. The Bucks, though their 0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:26.199 last fifteen games before playing Atlanta, which is who they 0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:29.640 have next week. They're two and thirteen and Tampa two 0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:32.679 and four this season against the spread under Todd Bowls, 0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:36.359 while Carolina, on the other side, they're on pins and 0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:39.760 needles right now, one in nine their last ten home 0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:42.960 games and four and eleven their last fifteen as an underdog. 0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:48.000 So I am going to take the Panthers in this game. 0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:50.400 This is one of those cover your eyes games. This 0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:53.480 is where you have to take the value and you 0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:55.679 need a couple of things to go right for this 0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:58.120 to come full circle. But rather than me, Wax and Wayne, 0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:00.679 let's get to the point. It's a peak both special 0:18:00.720 --> 0:18:03.879 for the Bucks. They're they're coming off a loss to 0:18:03.920 --> 0:18:08.840 the Steelers. They they played a they're playing a morbid 0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:14.320 Panthers team this this coming week here on Sunday, and 0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:16.800 they have, I believe, a Thursday night game next week. 0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:21.320 So Tom Brady looks a little bit off and we're 0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:23.600 not sure what that is. Is it age, is it 0:18:23.760 --> 0:18:28.560 the fact he's going through a bad marriage. He's disheveled, 0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:32.080 and we're not gonna bet on Tom Brady the way 0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:34.600 things are going right now. And the Buccaneers really haven't 0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:38.240 blown anyone out in a while. They had big leads 0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:40.320 in games and gave them up. They still haven't played 0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:44.680 a full game. They're living a charmed life despite that, 0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:48.240 because they still won three games. They've also lost three. 0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:52.960 Philip Walker, who sucks, is going to start, and that's 0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:57.560 not good. Jacob Eason is also there, and that's like 0:18:57.680 --> 0:19:00.360 the blind leading the blind. So you're not gonna get 0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:04.960 much offense here. That's not gonna go so well. But 0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:08.040 but you've got other ways to scored. Caroline is gonna 0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:13.600 need interception or fumble, special teams, key turnover late in 0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:16.800 a half, right before you know halftime. The Bucks turn 0:19:16.880 --> 0:19:20.040 the ball over inside their own territory, so it's a 0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:21.920 short field. Those kind of things have to go right. 0:19:22.560 --> 0:19:27.200 And in Carolina's defense, which has been uh regressing, shall 0:19:27.280 --> 0:19:28.880 we say, has to be able to slow down the run. 0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:31.200 Otherwise it's gonna be the same old, same old. They'll 0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:33.280 lose this game forty to ten, but I say, no 0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:39.119 divisional game. You're getting over ten points. Buccaneers win the game, 0:19:39.200 --> 0:19:42.280 but they don't win the bet Bucks twenty three Panthers thirteen, 0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:45.879 as Carolina pern like a kitten, all right, and the 0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:53.000 Penny picks. Penny says, this is the week Brady is 0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:56.080 gonna bust out going with the Bucks. He might bust out, 0:19:56.080 --> 0:19:57.840 but he's gonna be busting out of his marriage is 0:19:57.840 --> 0:19:59.639 what will be busting out of there. That's that. But 0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:01.520 I'm all right. Next up, we are going to get 0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:04.480 to Green Bay, Green Bay three and three at Washington. 0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:08.920 It's on Fox. You better watch. Adam Amin and Darryl 0:20:08.960 --> 0:20:12.280 moose Johnson have the call. And I'm trying to rack 0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:14.760 my brain on how the hell this line is only 0:20:14.800 --> 0:20:16.960 five points. This is one of those lines that makes 0:20:17.000 --> 0:20:23.360 no sense. It's so obvious. It jumps off whatever electronic 0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:25.040 device you're looking at when you look at the point 0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:28.160 spreads the money on this game is relatively even at 0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:35.680 FedEx Field, sunny and sixty five degrees at kickoff Green Bay. 0:20:35.760 --> 0:20:39.480 They are seven games above on the road against the 0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:43.359 spread with Matt la Fleur and Aaron Rodgers. Is last 0:20:43.359 --> 0:20:46.520 twenty five road games going back a few years has 0:20:46.560 --> 0:20:52.679 been fifteen and ten against the spread. I'm gonna take Washington. 0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:55.399 This is another one of those. As a gambler, you 0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:57.680 don't want to be on the side of the glamour team, 0:20:57.720 --> 0:20:59.240 in this case Green Bay. You want to be on 0:20:59.240 --> 0:21:02.359 the side of the gritty team. Washington's a hot mess. 0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:05.680 Carson Wentz has a finger injury. He's out. Taylor Heineke 0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:08.320 set to take over here and they're gonna mix in 0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:11.760 some other options at quarterback. But that's really a lateral move. 0:21:11.840 --> 0:21:15.280 Carson Wentz had been bad to the bone. He had 0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:17.640 curled up and got into the fetal position several times. 0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:19.760 So it's not like this is a huge downgrade if anything. 0:21:19.920 --> 0:21:23.000 As I said, it's a lateral move. It's a side step, 0:21:23.119 --> 0:21:28.000 couple of steps, and Washington's on thin ice whoever plays quarterback, 0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:30.200 so it's not like this is gonna make that big 0:21:30.200 --> 0:21:33.560 a difference Carson Wentz, as I said, not good dog 0:21:33.600 --> 0:21:37.479 with fleas uh. The Packers, though, have their own issues, 0:21:38.000 --> 0:21:40.440 all right, that's my main sticking point here. Green Bay 0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:43.679 does not have the wow factor. They lost to the 0:21:43.760 --> 0:21:47.080 Jets at home last week, the Giants they lost to 0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:51.040 earlier this year. These these are bad losses. It's an 0:21:51.119 --> 0:21:55.159 offensive malaise for green Bay. We're not walking down the 0:21:55.240 --> 0:21:57.679 memory lane. Back when the Packers were would play a 0:21:57.680 --> 0:22:01.840 game like this and they would win thirty five to fourteen. 0:22:02.119 --> 0:22:05.720 It's not that same vibe right now. In fact, Green 0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:07.920 Bay has had such a disappearing act. I think there's 0:22:07.920 --> 0:22:11.879 other stuff going on. Aaron Rodgers will likely scuffle to 0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:15.439 get separation from the Commandos, and I wouldn't be shocked 0:22:15.480 --> 0:22:18.640 if this is anyone's game in the fourth quarter. Therefore, 0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:23.080 I'm gonna take Washington. Call me crazy, just call me. 0:22:23.640 --> 0:22:26.320 I believe they'll be blood in the streets as Washington 0:22:26.359 --> 0:22:30.520 pulls the upset. Washington twenty Green Bay seventeen. The final 0:22:30.600 --> 0:22:38.080 and the Penny picks and the penny is going with 0:22:38.160 --> 0:22:42.080 the Commandos, shocking the penny, stealing my work there, bat 0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:44.280 job by the penny. All right. Next up, we'll get 0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:47.879 to the late television window. The j e t s Jets, Jets, 0:22:47.920 --> 0:22:52.480 Jets sucks, sucks, sucked. No more checking those receipts. I 0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:55.040 guess the fairy Godmother has helped the Jets out there 0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:58.320 four and two Denver, two and four. It's on CBS 0:22:58.640 --> 0:23:02.440 with Iron Eagle and Charles David's friend of the podcast. 0:23:02.440 --> 0:23:06.159 We had Charles on not that long ago, before the 0:23:06.160 --> 0:23:09.480 football season got going. In this game opened Broncos by 0:23:09.520 --> 0:23:12.040 three and a half. It has gone all the way 0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:18.120 down to a pick them, Sodom and Gomorrah. It's raining sulfur, 0:23:18.520 --> 0:23:22.280 A pick them the Jets at Denver pick them and 0:23:22.680 --> 0:23:25.600 who would have guessed that before the season got started. 0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:29.640 But we adjust as the games go on. At Empower Field, 0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:35.320 a mile high, mostly cloudy, temperatures in the sixties. The Jets. 0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:37.400 You look at all the trends for the Jets, they're 0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:40.760 all terrible because the Jets have been terrible and you 0:23:40.800 --> 0:23:43.480 can't play it by the trends. The Jets, for example, 0:23:43.600 --> 0:23:46.560 one in nine their last ten on the road against 0:23:46.600 --> 0:23:50.040 the a f C. West, But Robert Sala five and 0:23:50.160 --> 0:23:53.280 two against the spread with him his coach last seven 0:23:54.320 --> 0:23:56.960 against the spread, and the Jets, even with Jack Wilson 0:23:57.080 --> 0:24:01.119 doing really nothing six and one against the spread Denver, 0:24:01.400 --> 0:24:06.080