Speaker 1: Ka boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes
Speaker 1: a week was enough, I think again. He's the last
Speaker 1: remnants of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness.
Speaker 1: He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as
Speaker 1: the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of
Speaker 1: hot takes. Break free for something special. The Fifth Hour
Speaker 1: with Ben Maller starts right now, nine in the air everywhere.
Speaker 1: Welcome into a special bonus edition of the Fifth Hour
Speaker 1: with Ben Maller and Danny G. Radio. As we go
Speaker 1: at it, Mono amano, belly to belly, face to face
Speaker 1: the Penny. It is week seven of Benny Versus the Penny,
Speaker 1: and we are back at it here to break down
Speaker 1: every NFL game against the spread. We provide sports handicapping
Speaker 1: for the regular guy. I have done this for a
Speaker 1: long time, looking at all the numbers and all of
Speaker 1: the information available, and I try to pick winners. Here
Speaker 1: the coin, the Penny an indamant object also picking winners,
Speaker 1: and so we'll see who does better. And the home
Speaker 1: team heads, the road team tales and Danny G is
Speaker 1: the spokesman for the Penny, and Danny is right there. Hello, Danny, Yo,
Speaker 1: what's up? This is gonna be an interesting NFL Sunday,
Speaker 1: because based on your Halloween party, we might be waking
Speaker 1: up semi sluggishly on Sunday morning, bunch of hooker. I
Speaker 1: might be waking up actually for the Sunday night game,
Speaker 1: which is the Dolphins and the Steelers. That might be
Speaker 1: the only game I actually watch this this weekend. But
Speaker 1: the the teams that aren't playing, the Buffalo Bills not playing,
Speaker 1: that's the top team in football by most accounts. The Eagles,
Speaker 1: who are the only unbeaten team. They're not playing, the
Speaker 1: Rams and the Vikings. So four of the top teams
Speaker 1: in the NFL, well three of the top teams in
Speaker 1: the Rams are not participating in week number seven. But
Speaker 1: before we get to all the games here in week
Speaker 1: seven on Sunday and Monday, welcome players, You're welcome. It's
Speaker 1: time now, Betty versus the penny. We must look back
Speaker 1: at what happened back in Week six. Got off to
Speaker 1: a pretty good start, Danny. In Week six, I was
Speaker 1: really doing well in the early television window, and then
Speaker 1: they had to play the late television window and that
Speaker 1: that did not go so well for me. But overall,
Speaker 1: another winning week, only a couple of games over five.
Speaker 1: There were fourteen games in the NFL last weekend. If
Speaker 1: you're listening along, you know that I went eight and
Speaker 1: six against the spread, a five seventy one winning percentage.
Speaker 1: The penny went nine and five. So the penny beat
Speaker 1: me head to head, the penny winning in a six
Speaker 1: forty three clip last week's so good job by the penny.
Speaker 1: And overall. Now this is where it gets really wild, Danny,
Speaker 1: when you go overall. So my record against the spread,
Speaker 1: I have won fifty three and lost thirty eight, tied three.
Speaker 1: So that's a five eighty two winning percentage, which is
Speaker 1: in the in the black. It's in the black because
Speaker 1: to win money as a sports better you have to
Speaker 1: practice money management. But you have to win more than
Speaker 1: fifty two point four percent of your bets. That's the
Speaker 1: magic number, fifty two percent. You have to win more
Speaker 1: than that to win money. So we're five eighty two.
Speaker 1: That's good the penny. I did the math on this, Danny,
Speaker 1: and I had to do it again and again and
Speaker 1: again and again and again and again. I kept going back.
Speaker 1: I said, this can't be right. There's no way this
Speaker 1: can be right. Apparently it's right. So there have been
Speaker 1: so many, so many times, so many games we've done here,
Speaker 1: we've done week six. Now heading into week seven, there
Speaker 1: are ninety four NFL games that we have had on
Speaker 1: Benny versus the Penny. The penny is forty sixty six
Speaker 1: and two. Damn, how is that. I know it's possible
Speaker 1: because it's a fifty fifty shot, but I don't recall
Speaker 1: that ever being the case this far into the season
Speaker 1: where it's exactly five. That's pretty wild. That's pretty wild.
Speaker 1: So you might want to have a word to the
Speaker 1: penny there. I don't know what's going on there, but man,
Speaker 1: but well, I get to it. Here we go. Let's
Speaker 1: get to the games on the card here in week seven,
Speaker 1: we'll start with the early television window. This is the
Speaker 1: big game on CBS, Jim Nance and Tony Romo. It's
Speaker 1: two NFC teams, but it is a CBS game. Detroit
Speaker 1: one and four at Dallas four and two. The Cowboys
Speaker 1: opened up a six and a half point favorite, their
Speaker 1: favorite by seven and a half. In this game. Over
Speaker 1: eight percent of the money on the Cowboys at a
Speaker 1: T and T Stadium. Some of the numbers here. The
Speaker 1: Cowboys their last ten games against the spread at home
Speaker 1: against the NFC North, there just two and eight against
Speaker 1: that division. At home the Lions, they'll have the NFL's
Speaker 1: worst defense. They're allowing thirty four points per game and
Speaker 1: four in or twenty eight yards per game. Detroit, though,
Speaker 1: has been good for gamblers coming off of bye over
Speaker 1: the years. Their nine and one against the spread their
Speaker 1: last ten coming off of by so that's ten years,
Speaker 1: and the last seven on the road after a by
Speaker 1: there's seven and oh against the spread. I'm taking the
Speaker 1: Lions in this game. Detroit is rested, They're coming off
Speaker 1: a bye week. Dallas is coming off a hard fought
Speaker 1: loss to a division rival, the Eagles, key divisional game.
Speaker 1: In that matchup, Dak Prescott's coming back from a finger
Speaker 1: finger injury. But will he be rusted? Are the Cowboys
Speaker 1: making a mistake bringing him back here and jumping the
Speaker 1: gun because you know, play against the Lions, soft start here,
Speaker 1: easy game, you would assume blah blah blah blah blah.
Speaker 1: But coming off of by the Lions getting some guys
Speaker 1: back from injury, Jared Goff and the offense should be
Speaker 1: able to put some points up even with that Cowboy
Speaker 1: defense intimidating Michael Parsons and whatnot. But I love getting
Speaker 1: this many points. You're getting over a touchdown a team
Speaker 1: coming off of bye. I am taking the Lions to
Speaker 1: cover the spread. Cowboys twenty six, Lions the right side
Speaker 1: of the bed at twenty and the Penny picks right
Speaker 1: off the bat at disagreement. Penny going with Dak and
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. All right, So disagreement on that game. We're
Speaker 1: off to a flying start. Next up, the g I
Speaker 1: A and T S Giants at five and one against
Speaker 1: Jacksonville two and four. It's on Fox with Chris Myers
Speaker 1: and Mark lay Rith, and the Jags opened up a
Speaker 1: three point favorite in this game. They are still favored
Speaker 1: by three. This is a shocking point spread too many,
Speaker 1: considering the difference in records here between Jacksonville and the
Speaker 1: Giants at least seventy five degrees. That kick off at
Speaker 1: T I A A Bank Stadium in Jacksonville. Some of
Speaker 1: the numbers here. The Giants are five and one against
Speaker 1: the spread this year, so there're five on one overall,
Speaker 1: but also against the spread with Brian Dable and with
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones going back even a little further. The last
Speaker 1: ten games, they are ten and two against the spread,
Speaker 1: with Jones starting in the last fifteen on the road,
Speaker 1: the Giants are ten and five against the spread. Jacksonville
Speaker 1: as a favorite, they have been a terrible play. If
Speaker 1: you look at the numbers here two and eight against
Speaker 1: the spread their last ten as a favorite. That tells
Speaker 1: what has happened, not what's going to happen. But I'm
Speaker 1: taking the Giants here. This might be a sucker play.
Speaker 1: The money is about even on this. Sequon Barkley should
Speaker 1: slice up the Jacksonville linebacking Courts Jacksonville. They have put
Speaker 1: a lot of yards up between the twenties, and that's
Speaker 1: one of the reasons I think this line is the
Speaker 1: way it is. They've struggled, though, to consistently score touchdowns,
Speaker 1: and they've also made a lot of mental mistakes to
Speaker 1: lose games here, including last week against the Colts, where
Speaker 1: they'll come out, they'll have a two touchdown lead early
Speaker 1: and then play sloppy football. I don't see that stopping here.
Speaker 1: The Giants ranked ninth in pressure rates, so they should
Speaker 1: be able to blitz Trevor Lawrence up the wazoo, which
Speaker 1: is normally a recipe for the quarterback to make mistakes,
Speaker 1: and this, this line scares me because it looks like
Speaker 1: it's completely wrong. And I'm on the side of the
Speaker 1: public in many respects, but I think the Giants are
Speaker 1: just the right side here. They should win this game. Now,
Speaker 1: maybe they won't, maybe they'll come out flat. No, they'll
Speaker 1: lose this game by ten points. But I am taking
Speaker 1: the Giants twenty four and the Jags twenty the final,
Speaker 1: and the penny is with you in the public on this.
Speaker 1: Going with the Giants, alright, So agreement on that. Next up,
Speaker 1: Indianapolis three two on one at Tennessee three and two.
Speaker 1: It's on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton on
Speaker 1: the call. The Titans opened up a one and a
Speaker 1: half point favorite. They're favored by two and a half
Speaker 1: in this game at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Are getting
Speaker 1: a new stadium. They just announced it this week, so
Speaker 1: in a few years we'll have another Dome stadium in
Speaker 1: the NFL. Titans are six and one their last seven
Speaker 1: games with Ryan Tannehill against the Colts, five and two
Speaker 1: with Mike Rabel against the Colts and Frank Right obviously
Speaker 1: the other side of that, he's two and five against
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans. As the coach in Indie, I'm taking
Speaker 1: the tight and I'll tell you why. Tennessee's offense. They
Speaker 1: are stuck in mud here. But they have regularly outgunned
Speaker 1: the regularly are regular outgun is what I'm trying to
Speaker 1: stay here. If the guy could talk, that would help. Uh.
Speaker 1: But there they've been very opportunistic on defense and special
Speaker 1: teams and they've really been the vultures, which is more
Speaker 1: important than raw yardage. It's getting turnovers, big special teams plays.
Speaker 1: And Indianapolis is tied for second with five pass interference
Speaker 1: penalties against the second here, So you look at that. Also,
Speaker 1: this referee for this game, Ron Torbert. You know, I'm
Speaker 1: I'm going deep in the weeds when I'm looking at
Speaker 1: the referee match up. But this Ron Torbert, the referee,
Speaker 1: M yeah, exactly. His crew, he's no ed hockey. His
Speaker 1: crew has called the most defensive pass interference calls in
Speaker 1: the Leake. So what does that mean? That means that
Speaker 1: there should be some opportunities there for the Titans to
Speaker 1: gain yardage on pass interference calls. The Colts have made
Speaker 1: a lot of those mistakes and Matt Ryan is a
Speaker 1: turnover waiting to happen here. So it's really Derrick Henry,
Speaker 1: a little bit of Ryan Tannehill, and I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the small favorite the Tennessee Titans to win this game
Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty three. Titans over the Colts will
Speaker 1: be your final. And the Penny says, don't give up
Speaker 1: on Matt Ryan yet, going with Indie no no. I
Speaker 1: believe Matt Ryan and the horse shoes should go to
Speaker 1: the glue factory. Next up Atlanta three and three at Cincinnati,
Speaker 1: the End of the Rainbow, also three and three. It's
Speaker 1: on Fox with Brianden Godden, Brandon Godden and Robert Smith.
Speaker 1: They have to call. The Bengals opened up a six
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, and they are a six
Speaker 1: point favorite in this game in sixty percent of the
Speaker 1: money on the side of Cincinnati. If you look at
Speaker 1: the handle here at eight Corps Stadium formerly Paul Brown Stadium,
Speaker 1: but pay Corps Stadium. There sunny and seventy two in Cincinnati.
Speaker 1: Atlanta was supposed to be a pile of ship this season.
Speaker 1: They have not been that. They are five hundred and
Speaker 1: the Falcons are the only team left that is perfect
Speaker 1: against the spread. There's six and oh against the spreads,
Speaker 1: so that either means they're due to lose or this
Speaker 1: is just their year to have the amazing record against
Speaker 1: the number eight into their last ten with Arthur Smith
Speaker 1: coaching and Cincinnati, if you look at the trends here
Speaker 1: two and five their last seven at home in October,
Speaker 1: and three and seven their last ten at home in
Speaker 1: non conference games. I am gonna take the Falcons, and
Speaker 1: I might have to rinse my mouth out, but I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Falcons here Cincinnati. I'll tell you why.
Speaker 1: Cincinnati is much more talented in pretty much every offensive
Speaker 1: category than Atlanta, and they are lacking, though the Falcons,
Speaker 1: the wow factor. But they've been able to be pesky
Speaker 1: and opportunistic. They've fallen behind in games like, for example,
Speaker 1: the Rams game, and then they snuck in backdoor cover.
Speaker 1: They've done that a couple of times. But the Dirty
Speaker 1: Birds they don't have any pass rush, which scares me.
Speaker 1: So that should give Joe Burrow plenty of opportunity to
Speaker 1: chuck it down field. But I'm gonna ride with the
Speaker 1: boys from Georgia getting almost a touchdown against what has
Speaker 1: been a Cincinnati team that has underachieved. They had to
Speaker 1: come back to beat the Saints last week. They're still
Speaker 1: missing something there there. They haven't been able to figure
Speaker 1: it out what's wrong with the ben Gals, but they
Speaker 1: just haven't been the same dominant team to this point.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Falcons twenty four and the
Speaker 1: Bengals twenty three the final and the penny also living
Speaker 1: on the edge, Going with the Falcons, Going with the
Speaker 1: dirty birds, all right? Next up for US Cleveland at
Speaker 1: two and four at Baltimore three and three. It's on
Speaker 1: CBS with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green as they go
Speaker 1: off the beaten path. The Ravens opened up a six
Speaker 1: point favorite. They are favored by seven in this game. Yes,
Speaker 1: the same Baltimore team that lost last week to the
Speaker 1: Giants is a seven point favorite this week and over
Speaker 1: eight percent of the money if you look at the
Speaker 1: handle is on the side of Baltimore. At M and
Speaker 1: T Bank Stadium, temperatures in the mid sixties at kickoff.
Speaker 1: Will we see a cosmetic change to the Ravens offense
Speaker 1: which is all of a sudden gone the wrong way.
Speaker 1: Will it matter in this game? The Browns are nine
Speaker 1: and nineteen against John Harbaugh coached Raven teams and Kevin Stefanski,
Speaker 1: and the Brownies are six and nine the last fifteen
Speaker 1: games they've gone. Lamar Jackson actually has a losing record
Speaker 1: against the spread and at home, So I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Browns here. This is an aesthetically non pleasing game.
Speaker 1: You'd rather watch a stick of dyna might blow up
Speaker 1: than watch this game. But the Browns have. They've lost
Speaker 1: three straight. They were blown out by the Patriots and
Speaker 1: Bailey Zappy last week. Things look bleak. However, You're never
Speaker 1: as bad as people say you are. You're never as
Speaker 1: good as people say you are. This is a bounce
Speaker 1: back spot for Cleveland divisional game. They're close to getting
Speaker 1: Denzel Award back. He had a concussion. Jadeveon Clowne, He's
Speaker 1: got all kinds of injuries, your knee, your ankle, your elbow,
Speaker 1: and Miles Garrett, still dealing with the after effect of
Speaker 1: the car accident, is supposed to come back. The issue
Speaker 1: here is all those miss tackles. The Browns have not
Speaker 1: been prim and proper on defense. They've been in position
Speaker 1: to make tackles. It's the most frustrating thing. I see
Speaker 1: it all the time with the Rams, and so the
Speaker 1: Browns are one of these teams where they get guys
Speaker 1: in position to make a play and then the it's
Speaker 1: an ankle tackle or the receiver, the running back runs
Speaker 1: through the tackle. It's embarrassed. And Lamar Jackson on the
Speaker 1: other side, he has regressed the last couple weeks. It's
Speaker 1: you're talking about a divisional game. You're getting over a
Speaker 1: touchdown or a touchdown, in this case a touchdown. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Browns. I think that's too many points.
Speaker 1: Ravens twenty six, Browns twenty on a razor's edge. We
Speaker 1: get to win with the Browns. The penny is a
Speaker 1: big duvern A fan. Going with the Ravens. The Penny's
Speaker 1: forgotten more than I'll ever know. All Right, next up
Speaker 1: Green Bay. Actually know we're not doing great, but doing
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. I got my Bays mixed up. Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: three and three at Carolina at one in five. It's
Speaker 1: on Fox. You better watched. It's the only reason to watch.
Speaker 1: Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. The Bucks opened up a
Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorite, as they are said
Speaker 1: to be on life support after losing the Steelers last week.
Speaker 1: The Bucks are in eleven point favorite right now, levin
Speaker 1: point favorite for that Tampa Bay team. God bless America
Speaker 1: Bank of America Stadium site. Most of the money is
Speaker 1: on Tampa. Why would anyone bet on Carolina? They're begging
Speaker 1: you to bet on Carolina. They have died like a
Speaker 1: dog the Panthers here of late. The Bucks, though their
Speaker 1: last fifteen games before playing Atlanta, which is who they
Speaker 1: have next week. They're two and thirteen and Tampa two
Speaker 1: and four this season against the spread under Todd Bowls,
Speaker 1: while Carolina, on the other side, they're on pins and
Speaker 1: needles right now, one in nine their last ten home
Speaker 1: games and four and eleven their last fifteen as an underdog.
Speaker 1: So I am going to take the Panthers in this game.
Speaker 1: This is one of those cover your eyes games. This
Speaker 1: is where you have to take the value and you
Speaker 1: need a couple of things to go right for this
Speaker 1: to come full circle. But rather than me, Wax and Wayne,
Speaker 1: let's get to the point. It's a peak both special
Speaker 1: for the Bucks. They're they're coming off a loss to
Speaker 1: the Steelers. They they played a they're playing a morbid
Speaker 1: Panthers team this this coming week here on Sunday, and
Speaker 1: they have, I believe, a Thursday night game next week.
Speaker 1: So Tom Brady looks a little bit off and we're
Speaker 1: not sure what that is. Is it age, is it
Speaker 1: the fact he's going through a bad marriage. He's disheveled,
Speaker 1: and we're not gonna bet on Tom Brady the way
Speaker 1: things are going right now. And the Buccaneers really haven't
Speaker 1: blown anyone out in a while. They had big leads
Speaker 1: in games and gave them up. They still haven't played
Speaker 1: a full game. They're living a charmed life despite that,
Speaker 1: because they still won three games. They've also lost three.
Speaker 1: Philip Walker, who sucks, is going to start, and that's
Speaker 1: not good. Jacob Eason is also there, and that's like
Speaker 1: the blind leading the blind. So you're not gonna get
Speaker 1: much offense here. That's not gonna go so well. But
Speaker 1: but you've got other ways to scored. Caroline is gonna
Speaker 1: need interception or fumble, special teams, key turnover late in
Speaker 1: a half, right before you know halftime. The Bucks turn
Speaker 1: the ball over inside their own territory, so it's a
Speaker 1: short field. Those kind of things have to go right.
Speaker 1: And in Carolina's defense, which has been uh regressing, shall
Speaker 1: we say, has to be able to slow down the run.
Speaker 1: Otherwise it's gonna be the same old, same old. They'll
Speaker 1: lose this game forty to ten, but I say, no
Speaker 1: divisional game. You're getting over ten points. Buccaneers win the game,
Speaker 1: but they don't win the bet Bucks twenty three Panthers thirteen,
Speaker 1: as Carolina pern like a kitten, all right, and the
Speaker 1: Penny picks. Penny says, this is the week Brady is
Speaker 1: gonna bust out going with the Bucks. He might bust out,
Speaker 1: but he's gonna be busting out of his marriage is
Speaker 1: what will be busting out of there. That's that. But
Speaker 1: I'm all right. Next up, we are going to get
Speaker 1: to Green Bay, Green Bay three and three at Washington.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox. You better watch. Adam Amin and Darryl
Speaker 1: moose Johnson have the call. And I'm trying to rack
Speaker 1: my brain on how the hell this line is only
Speaker 1: five points. This is one of those lines that makes
Speaker 1: no sense. It's so obvious. It jumps off whatever electronic
Speaker 1: device you're looking at when you look at the point
Speaker 1: spreads the money on this game is relatively even at
Speaker 1: FedEx Field, sunny and sixty five degrees at kickoff Green Bay.
Speaker 1: They are seven games above on the road against the
Speaker 1: spread with Matt la Fleur and Aaron Rodgers. Is last
Speaker 1: twenty five road games going back a few years has
Speaker 1: been fifteen and ten against the spread. I'm gonna take Washington.
Speaker 1: This is another one of those. As a gambler, you
Speaker 1: don't want to be on the side of the glamour team,
Speaker 1: in this case Green Bay. You want to be on
Speaker 1: the side of the gritty team. Washington's a hot mess.
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz has a finger injury. He's out. Taylor Heineke
Speaker 1: set to take over here and they're gonna mix in
Speaker 1: some other options at quarterback. But that's really a lateral move.
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz had been bad to the bone. He had
Speaker 1: curled up and got into the fetal position several times.
Speaker 1: So it's not like this is a huge downgrade if anything.
Speaker 1: As I said, it's a lateral move. It's a side step,
Speaker 1: couple of steps, and Washington's on thin ice whoever plays quarterback,
Speaker 1: so it's not like this is gonna make that big
Speaker 1: a difference Carson Wentz, as I said, not good dog
Speaker 1: with fleas uh. The Packers, though, have their own issues,
Speaker 1: all right, that's my main sticking point here. Green Bay
Speaker 1: does not have the wow factor. They lost to the
Speaker 1: Jets at home last week, the Giants they lost to
Speaker 1: earlier this year. These these are bad losses. It's an
Speaker 1: offensive malaise for green Bay. We're not walking down the
Speaker 1: memory lane. Back when the Packers were would play a
Speaker 1: game like this and they would win thirty five to fourteen.
Speaker 1: It's not that same vibe right now. In fact, Green
Speaker 1: Bay has had such a disappearing act. I think there's
Speaker 1: other stuff going on. Aaron Rodgers will likely scuffle to
Speaker 1: get separation from the Commandos, and I wouldn't be shocked
Speaker 1: if this is anyone's game in the fourth quarter. Therefore,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Washington. Call me crazy, just call me.
Speaker 1: I believe they'll be blood in the streets as Washington
Speaker 1: pulls the upset. Washington twenty Green Bay seventeen. The final
Speaker 1: and the Penny picks and the penny is going with
Speaker 1: the Commandos, shocking the penny, stealing my work there, bat
Speaker 1: job by the penny. All right. Next up, we'll get
Speaker 1: to the late television window. The j e t s Jets, Jets,
Speaker 1: Jets sucks, sucks, sucked. No more checking those receipts. I
Speaker 1: guess the fairy Godmother has helped the Jets out there
Speaker 1: four and two Denver, two and four. It's on CBS
Speaker 1: with Iron Eagle and Charles David's friend of the podcast.
Speaker 1: We had Charles on not that long ago, before the
Speaker 1: football season got going. In this game opened Broncos by
Speaker 1: three and a half. It has gone all the way
Speaker 1: down to a pick them, Sodom and Gomorrah. It's raining sulfur,
Speaker 1: A pick them the Jets at Denver pick them and
Speaker 1: who would have guessed that before the season got started.
Speaker 1: But we adjust as the games go on. At Empower Field,
Speaker 1: a mile high, mostly cloudy, temperatures in the sixties. The Jets.
Speaker 1: You look at all the trends for the Jets, they're
Speaker 1: all terrible because the Jets have been terrible and you
Speaker 1: can't play it by the trends. The Jets, for example,
Speaker 1: one in nine their last ten on the road against
Speaker 1: the a f C. West, But Robert Sala five and
Speaker 1: two against the spread with him his coach last seven
Speaker 1: against the spread, and the Jets, even with Jack Wilson
Speaker 1: doing really nothing six and one against the spread Denver,
Speaker 1: the Broncos just two and eight. As a favorite, man
Speaker 1: is that bad? Man? Is that bad? And I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the j E. T S Jets Jets just in
Speaker 1: this game. And I'll tell you why I can't believe
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. This New York is the more fundamentally
Speaker 1: sound team. It just is. They're the younger team and
Speaker 1: they're more fundamentally sound. Russell Wilson played one good quarter
Speaker 1: on the Monday night game against the Chargers and then
Speaker 1: vanished the rest of the game. It's kind of coasting along.
Speaker 1: Denver is a poorly coach team in every phase. They
Speaker 1: are a penalty and turnover machine, which is normally dead
Speaker 1: on arrival if you play like that. Just to back
Speaker 1: up my point, the Broncos lead the NFL with twelve
Speaker 1: false start penalties on offense. That means twelve times a
Speaker 1: professional football team has been unable to snap the ball
Speaker 1: without one of their own players jumping off sides and
Speaker 1: uh in two of those per game. The offensive holding calls,
Speaker 1: the Broncos are second in that category. Those are drive killers.
Speaker 1: The turnovers have been very high, so if you want
Speaker 1: to take a swipe on this one. This is another
Speaker 1: one of those games you're like, well, the Jets, you
Speaker 1: just you got to get through the neurosis of the
Speaker 1: Jets and you can't bet on the Jets. And I
Speaker 1: was that way with Joe Flacco earlier this year and
Speaker 1: all that. But we are seeing a come to power
Speaker 1: situation for the Jets, and this is another one of
Speaker 1: those hurdles. Is this gonna be the same old Jets?
Speaker 1: Are they gonna return back to the way they had been?
Speaker 1: And or do they win this game and go to
Speaker 1: five and two? And now you're like, we got something,
Speaker 1: we got some they get their house in order, I
Speaker 1: say they do. I'll take the Jets thirty and the
Speaker 1: Broncoes twenty three. Denver's gonna be two and five at
Speaker 1: the end of this game, Heady, cheating off your paper again,
Speaker 1: going with j E t s suck, sucks, suck. All right,
Speaker 1: well we we agree on that. A lot of agreement
Speaker 1: here on Benny versus Penny, as the penny is hot
Speaker 1: on my trail, clearly because I've been kicking some ass here.
Speaker 1: Let's get to it. Next up Houston one, three and
Speaker 1: one at Las Vegas Danny G's Raiders one in four.
Speaker 1: It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam march Aletta.
Speaker 1: The Raiders opened up a six and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: There a seven point favorite in this game, Sonny and seven.
Speaker 1: He agrees that kick off at Allegiance Stadium and Vegas
Speaker 1: much like the last we were talking about a couple
Speaker 1: of games ago. The I think it was Denver last
Speaker 1: game there two and eight against the spread as a favorite.
Speaker 1: That is the same record Vegas as their last ten
Speaker 1: games is a favorite. The Raiders are two and eight
Speaker 1: and Vegas at home against teams that have a losing
Speaker 1: record are twenty three games under five hundred if you
Speaker 1: go back the last I believe the last sixty five
Speaker 1: games they've been in that situation, so that goes back
Speaker 1: a long time. But the trend is the trend. It
Speaker 1: has held up. Houston, though, has the NFL second worst defense.
Speaker 1: They're allowing four d twelve yards per game, having a
Speaker 1: whale of a time as they run after offensive players,
Speaker 1: running past them wherever they play, and they're going all
Speaker 1: the all the oxen free. Please help us, but I
Speaker 1: am going to take the Texas in this game. Despite
Speaker 1: all that, this is gonna be a battle of the
Speaker 1: running backs. Damon Pierce the rookie, he's our rookie has
Speaker 1: been splendid for Houston, and Josh Jacobs had that dominant
Speaker 1: game against the Chiefs, and I also expect a lot
Speaker 1: of flags in this game. However, the officiating crew, John
Speaker 1: Hussey's crew, they've called the fewest penalties, so maybe there
Speaker 1: will not be a ton of penalty this game. Houston, though,
Speaker 1: check this out. They have not lost by more than
Speaker 1: ten points with Davis Mills all season, so they've get
Speaker 1: close to the vest and when they've been lopsided games,
Speaker 1: they've come back and gotten back into the games. They
Speaker 1: lose the statueet pretty much every week the Texans lose
Speaker 1: the the statute, they get pummeled, but they are able
Speaker 1: to come back and and hang around the points. Bread.
Speaker 1: I think they'll do it again here and this is
Speaker 1: a letdown game. The Raiders had a big, big game
Speaker 1: of the last time out against Kansas City, and now
Speaker 1: they are they're back at after the bye week and
Speaker 1: all that. The Raiders twenty four Texans twenty Houston the
Speaker 1: right side of the wager and the penny also going
Speaker 1: with the Texans. Alright, another agreement here, as you're getting
Speaker 1: educated on Benny versus the penny. If you haven't clicked
Speaker 1: that like button, please help us out tell a friend, right,
Speaker 1: we love that word of mouth advertising. We have no
Speaker 1: advertising budget, would that be correct, Danny G. There is
Speaker 1: no budget for advertising. There's no billboards, there's no television commercials.
Speaker 1: We occasionally get a promo. That's about it, right. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, unless you count the promos, it
Speaker 1: is mouth to mouth, word to word, ear to ear,
Speaker 1: but we can't match the promos. The other show you
Speaker 1: work on, Covino and Rich. Those guys now they are
Speaker 1: getting all the promos and they're all over the place.
Speaker 1: But good for them, all right. Next up cansa City,
Speaker 1: Thank you Kindly at four and two at San Francisco,
Speaker 1: three and three. It's in Santa Clara. It's on Fox.
Speaker 1: As the Niners rough around the edges last week, Kevin
Speaker 1: Burke carton Greg Olsen the A team, So your cup
Speaker 1: runneth over if you want the A team to be
Speaker 1: at this game, they are there. And the Chiefs opened
Speaker 1: up a two and a half point favorite, a two
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in this actually opened up
Speaker 1: at one point favorite, the two and a half point
Speaker 1: favorite now and most of them about a little over.
Speaker 1: That is on the side of Kansas City at Levi's Stadium,
Speaker 1: temperatures in the sixties at kickoff of this game. Some
Speaker 1: of the numbers, some of the trends. Kansas City, in
Speaker 1: the NFL's number one scoring offense, are averaging twenty nine
Speaker 1: eight points per game, but they have not been great
Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes last seven games. From a gambling standpoint,
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are just two and five against the spread.
Speaker 1: Andy Reid over his career going back to Philly, has
Speaker 1: done great against the forty Niners. I'm gonna take the Niners.
Speaker 1: Niners are eleven and four their last fifteen with Garoppolo,
Speaker 1: but I like the forty years. I'm not disrespecting Kansas City.
Speaker 1: They're on a different level than everyone else these days.
Speaker 1: But they also lost to the Colts. It's them in
Speaker 1: the Bills. They're on an island, the Bills and the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: maybe the Eagles, but those two mainly are the top
Speaker 1: two teams and this is a letdown spot. The Chiefs
Speaker 1: coming off in emotion in a loss at home the
Speaker 1: Buffalo as It went all the way to the bitter
Speaker 1: end there, and that was a showcase game, big game
Speaker 1: for them. They lose it. Now they're gonna come back.
Speaker 1: They play another good team, but not a great team,
Speaker 1: the forty Niners, who have a top defense. They're coming
Speaker 1: off a loss against Atlanta. More importantly, though, they're getting
Speaker 1: guys back. Left tackle Trent Williams, defensive end Nick Bosa,
Speaker 1: and also Jimmy Ward. Those guys. They believe Bosa will
Speaker 1: be back, Williams and Ward maybe back. They returned to
Speaker 1: practice this week. They may play, they may not at
Speaker 1: the time we're doing this. So if they don't play,
Speaker 1: I'll probably need professional help because I'll be in such
Speaker 1: a bad mood. I took the forty Niners, but I'm
Speaker 1: assuming that at least two of those three will be
Speaker 1: able to play. So I'm going out on a limb.
Speaker 1: Here surprise, surprise, surprise, forty Niners Chiefs twenty three, the
Speaker 1: Niners the right side, and Benny, you see the penny
Speaker 1: right here, trying to come up off of that mark
Speaker 1: by copying you again, man, going with the Forts, all right,
Speaker 1: I don't understand what's going on with the penny. And
Speaker 1: next up Seattle, Seattle, Seattle, where they cursed like a
Speaker 1: sailor because they're all you know the other water. Seattle
Speaker 1: three and three at the l A Chargers of Inglewood.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox. It's on Fox. Kevin Coogler and Mark
Speaker 1: Sanchez have the call. Now. The Chargers opened up a
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite, their favored by six
Speaker 1: and over. The money is on the side of a Seattle,
Speaker 1: but that one at so far stadium temperature right about
Speaker 1: seventy degrees that kick off. Seattle eight into their last
Speaker 1: ten against against the spread versus the a f C,
Speaker 1: and the Seahawks are six and three against the spread
Speaker 1: with Geno Smith starting going back to last year. Chargers
Speaker 1: also have a bye week coming up there two and
Speaker 1: eight their last ten against the spread going into a bye.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Seahawks here, I'm gonna take Seattle.
Speaker 1: I'm with the public, which is a bad sign the
Speaker 1: Chargers and Seahawks. They can trade mistakes in this game.
Speaker 1: Seattle leads the NFL with eleven offensive holding penalties. L
Speaker 1: A is tied for second with the Broncos with ten.
Speaker 1: Geno Smith not a fan, but he has been able
Speaker 1: to put some points on the board most weeks. Last
Speaker 1: week was not one of those weeks. Against Arizona was
Speaker 1: it was really ugly. It was really ugly. Both teams
Speaker 1: were lost at see the Chargers, they'll have their own issues.
Speaker 1: You saw that game against Denver. Denver's got a pretty
Speaker 1: decent defense, but a lot of underneath passes. And my
Speaker 1: theory on the Chargers is they're trying to overcompensate because
Speaker 1: of offensive line injuries and they're attempting just to dink
Speaker 1: and dunk it, keep it underneath with Justin Herbert Kubert.
Speaker 1: So they don't they don't want to mess this up,
Speaker 1: and as a result, they have these long ten, twelve,
Speaker 1: fourteen play drives, but they often fizzle when they get
Speaker 1: down in the red zone because you know, they're softest
Speaker 1: butter in that particular area. So I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Chargers to win, but the Seahawks to keep it close
Speaker 1: within that six point line. Chargers six and the Seahawks three.
Speaker 1: The final, and the penny is going with your boy
Speaker 1: Gino taking the Seahawks. Oh my god, again, have we
Speaker 1: disagreed on any games here? Yeah? All right, it's been
Speaker 1: a couple of disagreements, but not many, No more than that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: all right, Well that's good to see. The penny cannot
Speaker 1: catch me if we agree on all the games. The
Speaker 1: only way the penny can catch me is to disagree
Speaker 1: on these games. Bad job by the penny. I'll have
Speaker 1: to have a meeting with the penny. Uh No offense taken,
Speaker 1: of course. Next up, Sunday Night Football, The Light of
Speaker 1: Sunday Night, Pittsburgh two and four at Miami, Miami Miami
Speaker 1: at three and three. It's on and b CEE, Mike
Speaker 1: Tarico and Chris Collinsworth. They have the call. The Dolphins
Speaker 1: opened a six point favorite. They are favored by seven,
Speaker 1: and we will turn over every stone. As we talked
Speaker 1: about this game hard Rock Stadium, the site has mentioned
Speaker 1: there some of the numbers here. Pittsburgh just two and
Speaker 1: five against the spread, their last seven on the road
Speaker 1: with Mike Tomlin. But Miami they are oh in seven
Speaker 1: their last seven games in October and Miami five and
Speaker 1: two though against Mike Tomlin. The last seven matchups with
Speaker 1: different coaches and whatnot over the years. So I'm gonna
Speaker 1: cover my eyes in this and I'm gonna take the Steelers,
Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why can he pick it. He
Speaker 1: remains in the concussion protocol. He's expected to start this game.
Speaker 1: He practiced on Wednesday at a full practice. Pittsburgh backups
Speaker 1: though that the starters and the secondary guys who were out.
Speaker 1: The backups made some plays against Tom Brady and Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: I want to see those guys playing again this week.
Speaker 1: And the Dolphins are coming back with to a tongue
Speaker 1: of ioloa and so they're like, oh, hey, you know
Speaker 1: two is back. You know it's gonna be great and
Speaker 1: all that. Well, he hasn't played since Week four against
Speaker 1: the Bengals. He's had that concussion. He said he passed out,
Speaker 1: he was unconscious when he was taking off the field
Speaker 1: and all that. The Dolphins have cooled up. I don't
Speaker 1: know what version you're gonna get of TOA and he
Speaker 1: was he was okay at the beginning of the year,
Speaker 1: But I don't know how you're you're gonna you're gonna
Speaker 1: bet on that. That's a tough, tough hill to die
Speaker 1: on with TOA considering how much time he's missed and
Speaker 1: all that. It's also the make of fitzpatrick revenge game.
Speaker 1: The former Dolphin who now is with Pittsburgh. It's been
Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh for a couple of years there so Miami
Speaker 1: has only one game where they won by more than seven.
Speaker 1: So they even when they play well, they normally keep
Speaker 1: it close to the vest. Pittsburgh's coming off their Super
Speaker 1: Bowl win over Tom Brady, but I say they will
Speaker 1: still have some fight. Mike Tomlin's team is going to
Speaker 1: scratch and claw. They didn't spread themselves too thin against
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. Dolphins will win, but the Steelers will win
Speaker 1: the bet. So I'm on the side of Pittsburgh. Dolphins
Speaker 1: twenty three and the Steelers seventeen. The final. Yeah, as
Speaker 1: the penny landed on heads, that means also going with
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, all right, so the penny tablement, So no,
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Steelers. Bustle points that day. I am
Speaker 1: on the side of the Steelers because the line on
Speaker 1: this game is that Dolphins are favored by seven. I
Speaker 1: believe that Dolphins will win. But if you bet on
Speaker 1: the Steelers, you've got a little wiggle room. You got
Speaker 1: even letting the penny disagrees, it's super close. Yes, yes,
Speaker 1: so there is disagreement. Right, we got one game left,
Speaker 1: one game to go. We're gonna hit the ugly stick
Speaker 1: on this game. A mismatch of epic proportions Chicago two
Speaker 1: and four as they are on the Suck Train and
Speaker 1: New England three and three. It's on ABC with Joe
Speaker 1: Buck and Troy Aikman. The Patriots opened up a six
Speaker 1: point favorite. They are all the way up to a
Speaker 1: nine point favorite in this game. A nine point favorite,
Speaker 1: and most people think this is a free money game
Speaker 1: just betting on the Patriots. Light rain temperatures in the
Speaker 1: fifties around kickoff at Gillette Stadium. Some of the numbers here.
Speaker 1: The Bears five and ten their last fifteen with Justin
Speaker 1: Field starting Chicago this year just two and four against
Speaker 1: the spread with Matt ever Flews as the coach, and
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Bears. This is another one of
Speaker 1: those games where I want to I want to puke
Speaker 1: in my mouth that I'm taking the Bears, but I'm
Speaker 1: doing it. The main reason is, while I like the
Speaker 1: Bailey's Appy story and his experiencers Appy, I don't trust
Speaker 1: him as this big a favorite. It is a big mismatch,
Speaker 1: but there's no way I feel comfortable laying over a
Speaker 1: touchdown with Zappy Chicago's defense has played better than I expected.
Speaker 1: They pressure the quarterback a fair amount, which normally leads
Speaker 1: to mistakes. Now the Bears are going to need some
Speaker 1: of those because Justin Fields is a white hot dumpster fire.
Speaker 1: It is does that he does not hold water to
Speaker 1: anybody in the NFL. And the Bears might move the
Speaker 1: ball a little bit in the middle of the field,
Speaker 1: but they get into the red zone. I don't even
Speaker 1: know if they're gonna get in the red zone in
Speaker 1: this game. That's how big a mismatch this isn't Bill
Speaker 1: Belichick licking his chops at going against Justin Fields that
Speaker 1: he will smother him. And Fields is an inconsistent thrower.
Speaker 1: He's gonna have butterflies in his stomach against the Patriots,
Speaker 1: and it's gonna be a big old storm in a
Speaker 1: teacup in this game. That's it. That being said, I
Speaker 1: maintained my position, though, I'm gonna take Chicago because getting
Speaker 1: over a touchdown and I just don't think the Patriots
Speaker 1: are gonna score that much. The Bears should be able
Speaker 1: to get a special team's driven score and another short field.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Patriots to win the game.
Speaker 1: But the Bears to win the money Patriots twenty four
Speaker 1: and the Bears seventeen the final and I feel like
Speaker 1: the penny screwing with you Chicago. Oh my god, Oh hell,
Speaker 1: Bill Miller, what is up with that? We're trying to
Speaker 1: rock and roll here, We're ready to rock and roll,
Speaker 1: and we got that, we got agreement up the WAZI. Well,
Speaker 1: that's the way it works. That's the beauty of the penny, right, Danny,
Speaker 1: You never know which direction the pennies gonna go. You
Speaker 1: got a fifty fifty chance in every game. It just
Speaker 1: so happens the penny is shadowing me that I am
Speaker 1: the inspiration for the pen. Wrong. Anyway, we gotta get
Speaker 1: out of here. We got a full weekend of podcast,
Speaker 1: The Regular Fair The Life and Times of Mallard and
Speaker 1: Danny g on a Saturday, so many happy returns, many
Speaker 1: happy returns to the podcast. Got the mailbag on Sunday,
Speaker 1: and hopefully we will not bite the dust. Have a
Speaker 1: wonderful rest of your day, whatever date is. Maybe it's Friday,
Speaker 1: maybe it's Saturday, maybe it's Sunday. People listen all those days,
Speaker 1: depending on your schedule, and good luck, don't bet too much.
Speaker 1: Pick your spots, and may all your bets be winning ones.
Speaker 1: We'll talk to you next time, See you tomorrow later.
Speaker 1: Skaterfliction