1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: Ka boom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes 2 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: a week was enough, I think again. He's the last 3 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: remnants of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. 4 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as 5 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of 6 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,639 Speaker 1: hot takes. Break free for something special. The Fifth Hour 7 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: with Ben Maller starts right now, nine in the air everywhere. 8 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:37,520 Speaker 1: Welcome into a special bonus edition of the Fifth Hour 9 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: with Ben Maller and Danny G. Radio. As we go 10 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: at it, Mono amano, belly to belly, face to face 11 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: the Penny. It is week seven of Benny Versus the Penny, 12 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 1: and we are back at it here to break down 13 00:00:56,320 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: every NFL game against the spread. We provide sports handicapping 14 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 1: for the regular guy. I have done this for a 15 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 1: long time, looking at all the numbers and all of 16 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 1: the information available, and I try to pick winners. Here 17 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: the coin, the Penny an indamant object also picking winners, 18 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 1: and so we'll see who does better. And the home 19 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: team heads, the road team tales and Danny G is 20 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 1: the spokesman for the Penny, and Danny is right there. Hello, Danny, Yo, 21 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 1: what's up? This is gonna be an interesting NFL Sunday, 22 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: because based on your Halloween party, we might be waking 23 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 1: up semi sluggishly on Sunday morning, bunch of hooker. I 24 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: might be waking up actually for the Sunday night game, 25 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: which is the Dolphins and the Steelers. That might be 26 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: the only game I actually watch this this weekend. But 27 00:01:56,320 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: the the teams that aren't playing, the Buffalo Bills not playing, 28 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: that's the top team in football by most accounts. The Eagles, 29 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: who are the only unbeaten team. They're not playing, the 30 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: Rams and the Vikings. So four of the top teams 31 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: in the NFL, well three of the top teams in 32 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: the Rams are not participating in week number seven. But 33 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: before we get to all the games here in week 34 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:29,639 Speaker 1: seven on Sunday and Monday, welcome players, You're welcome. It's 35 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:37,359 Speaker 1: time now, Betty versus the penny. We must look back 36 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: at what happened back in Week six. Got off to 37 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: a pretty good start, Danny. In Week six, I was 38 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 1: really doing well in the early television window, and then 39 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,959 Speaker 1: they had to play the late television window and that 40 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:53,119 Speaker 1: that did not go so well for me. But overall, 41 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,079 Speaker 1: another winning week, only a couple of games over five. 42 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:59,920 Speaker 1: There were fourteen games in the NFL last weekend. If 43 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: you're listening along, you know that I went eight and 44 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: six against the spread, a five seventy one winning percentage. 45 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 1: The penny went nine and five. So the penny beat 46 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:14,920 Speaker 1: me head to head, the penny winning in a six 47 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 1: forty three clip last week's so good job by the penny. 48 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: And overall. Now this is where it gets really wild, Danny, 49 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: when you go overall. So my record against the spread, 50 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: I have won fifty three and lost thirty eight, tied three. 51 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: So that's a five eighty two winning percentage, which is 52 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 1: in the in the black. It's in the black because 53 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:42,880 Speaker 1: to win money as a sports better you have to 54 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: practice money management. But you have to win more than 55 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: fifty two point four percent of your bets. That's the 56 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: magic number, fifty two percent. You have to win more 57 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: than that to win money. So we're five eighty two. 58 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,960 Speaker 1: That's good the penny. I did the math on this, Danny, 59 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: and I had to do it again and again and 60 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: again and again and again and again. I kept going back. 61 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: I said, this can't be right. There's no way this 62 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 1: can be right. Apparently it's right. So there have been 63 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: so many, so many times, so many games we've done here, 64 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 1: we've done week six. Now heading into week seven, there 65 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 1: are ninety four NFL games that we have had on 66 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: Benny versus the Penny. The penny is forty sixty six 67 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: and two. Damn, how is that. I know it's possible 68 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,159 Speaker 1: because it's a fifty fifty shot, but I don't recall 69 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 1: that ever being the case this far into the season 70 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 1: where it's exactly five. That's pretty wild. That's pretty wild. 71 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:46,919 Speaker 1: So you might want to have a word to the 72 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:49,040 Speaker 1: penny there. I don't know what's going on there, but man, 73 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: but well, I get to it. Here we go. Let's 74 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 1: get to the games on the card here in week seven, 75 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,279 Speaker 1: we'll start with the early television window. This is the 76 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: big game on CBS, Jim Nance and Tony Romo. It's 77 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:02,040 Speaker 1: two NFC teams, but it is a CBS game. Detroit 78 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: one and four at Dallas four and two. The Cowboys 79 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: opened up a six and a half point favorite, their 80 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 1: favorite by seven and a half. In this game. Over 81 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:14,600 Speaker 1: eight percent of the money on the Cowboys at a 82 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 1: T and T Stadium. Some of the numbers here. The 83 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:22,039 Speaker 1: Cowboys their last ten games against the spread at home 84 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: against the NFC North, there just two and eight against 85 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 1: that division. At home the Lions, they'll have the NFL's 86 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 1: worst defense. They're allowing thirty four points per game and 87 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 1: four in or twenty eight yards per game. Detroit, though, 88 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:41,800 Speaker 1: has been good for gamblers coming off of bye over 89 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: the years. Their nine and one against the spread their 90 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: last ten coming off of by so that's ten years, 91 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 1: and the last seven on the road after a by 92 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 1: there's seven and oh against the spread. I'm taking the 93 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: Lions in this game. Detroit is rested, They're coming off 94 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 1: a bye week. Dallas is coming off a hard fought 95 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: loss to a division rival, the Eagles, key divisional game. 96 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:06,039 Speaker 1: In that matchup, Dak Prescott's coming back from a finger 97 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 1: finger injury. But will he be rusted? Are the Cowboys 98 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 1: making a mistake bringing him back here and jumping the 99 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 1: gun because you know, play against the Lions, soft start here, 100 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 1: easy game, you would assume blah blah blah blah blah. 101 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 1: But coming off of by the Lions getting some guys 102 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 1: back from injury, Jared Goff and the offense should be 103 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:30,239 Speaker 1: able to put some points up even with that Cowboy 104 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 1: defense intimidating Michael Parsons and whatnot. But I love getting 105 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:37,239 Speaker 1: this many points. You're getting over a touchdown a team 106 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: coming off of bye. I am taking the Lions to 107 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 1: cover the spread. Cowboys twenty six, Lions the right side 108 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:51,159 Speaker 1: of the bed at twenty and the Penny picks right 109 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 1: off the bat at disagreement. Penny going with Dak and 110 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. All right, So disagreement on that game. We're 111 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 1: off to a flying start. Next up, the g I 112 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 1: A and T S Giants at five and one against 113 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:09,039 Speaker 1: Jacksonville two and four. It's on Fox with Chris Myers 114 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: and Mark lay Rith, and the Jags opened up a 115 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: three point favorite in this game. They are still favored 116 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: by three. This is a shocking point spread too many, 117 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: considering the difference in records here between Jacksonville and the 118 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 1: Giants at least seventy five degrees. That kick off at 119 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: T I A A Bank Stadium in Jacksonville. Some of 120 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: the numbers here. The Giants are five and one against 121 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: the spread this year, so there're five on one overall, 122 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: but also against the spread with Brian Dable and with 123 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones going back even a little further. The last 124 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: ten games, they are ten and two against the spread, 125 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 1: with Jones starting in the last fifteen on the road, 126 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: the Giants are ten and five against the spread. Jacksonville 127 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: as a favorite, they have been a terrible play. If 128 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 1: you look at the numbers here two and eight against 129 00:07:58,040 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: the spread their last ten as a favorite. That tells 130 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 1: what has happened, not what's going to happen. But I'm 131 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: taking the Giants here. This might be a sucker play. 132 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 1: The money is about even on this. Sequon Barkley should 133 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 1: slice up the Jacksonville linebacking Courts Jacksonville. They have put 134 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: a lot of yards up between the twenties, and that's 135 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: one of the reasons I think this line is the 136 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 1: way it is. They've struggled, though, to consistently score touchdowns, 137 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 1: and they've also made a lot of mental mistakes to 138 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 1: lose games here, including last week against the Colts, where 139 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: they'll come out, they'll have a two touchdown lead early 140 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: and then play sloppy football. I don't see that stopping here. 141 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: The Giants ranked ninth in pressure rates, so they should 142 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: be able to blitz Trevor Lawrence up the wazoo, which 143 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 1: is normally a recipe for the quarterback to make mistakes, 144 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: and this, this line scares me because it looks like 145 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: it's completely wrong. And I'm on the side of the 146 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 1: public in many respects, but I think the Giants are 147 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 1: just the right side here. They should win this game. Now, 148 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: maybe they won't, maybe they'll come out flat. No, they'll 149 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: lose this game by ten points. But I am taking 150 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 1: the Giants twenty four and the Jags twenty the final, 151 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 1: and the penny is with you in the public on this. 152 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: Going with the Giants, alright, So agreement on that. Next up, 153 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: Indianapolis three two on one at Tennessee three and two. 154 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 1: It's on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton on 155 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 1: the call. The Titans opened up a one and a 156 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 1: half point favorite. They're favored by two and a half 157 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 1: in this game at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Are getting 158 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 1: a new stadium. They just announced it this week, so 159 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:40,560 Speaker 1: in a few years we'll have another Dome stadium in 160 00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 1: the NFL. Titans are six and one their last seven 161 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 1: games with Ryan Tannehill against the Colts, five and two 162 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 1: with Mike Rabel against the Colts and Frank Right obviously 163 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: the other side of that, he's two and five against 164 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans. As the coach in Indie, I'm taking 165 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: the tight and I'll tell you why. Tennessee's offense. They 166 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: are stuck in mud here. But they have regularly outgunned 167 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:08,439 Speaker 1: the regularly are regular outgun is what I'm trying to 168 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: stay here. If the guy could talk, that would help. Uh. 169 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 1: But there they've been very opportunistic on defense and special 170 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 1: teams and they've really been the vultures, which is more 171 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 1: important than raw yardage. It's getting turnovers, big special teams plays. 172 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: And Indianapolis is tied for second with five pass interference 173 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: penalties against the second here, So you look at that. Also, 174 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:35,079 Speaker 1: this referee for this game, Ron Torbert. You know, I'm 175 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 1: I'm going deep in the weeds when I'm looking at 176 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: the referee match up. But this Ron Torbert, the referee, 177 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: M yeah, exactly. His crew, he's no ed hockey. His 178 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: crew has called the most defensive pass interference calls in 179 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 1: the Leake. So what does that mean? That means that 180 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 1: there should be some opportunities there for the Titans to 181 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 1: gain yardage on pass interference calls. The Colts have made 182 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:02,439 Speaker 1: a lot of those mistakes and Matt Ryan is a 183 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: turnover waiting to happen here. So it's really Derrick Henry, 184 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: a little bit of Ryan Tannehill, and I'm gonna take 185 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 1: the small favorite the Tennessee Titans to win this game 186 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:17,199 Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty three. Titans over the Colts will 187 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 1: be your final. And the Penny says, don't give up 188 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 1: on Matt Ryan yet, going with Indie no no. I 189 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,080 Speaker 1: believe Matt Ryan and the horse shoes should go to 190 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 1: the glue factory. Next up Atlanta three and three at Cincinnati, 191 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 1: the End of the Rainbow, also three and three. It's 192 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 1: on Fox with Brianden Godden, Brandon Godden and Robert Smith. 193 00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 1: They have to call. The Bengals opened up a six 194 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,840 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, and they are a six 195 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 1: point favorite in this game in sixty percent of the 196 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: money on the side of Cincinnati. If you look at 197 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 1: the handle here at eight Corps Stadium formerly Paul Brown Stadium, 198 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 1: but pay Corps Stadium. There sunny and seventy two in Cincinnati. 199 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 1: Atlanta was supposed to be a pile of ship this season. 200 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 1: They have not been that. They are five hundred and 201 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 1: the Falcons are the only team left that is perfect 202 00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 1: against the spread. There's six and oh against the spreads, 203 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,280 Speaker 1: so that either means they're due to lose or this 204 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 1: is just their year to have the amazing record against 205 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: the number eight into their last ten with Arthur Smith 206 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: coaching and Cincinnati, if you look at the trends here 207 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:39,840 Speaker 1: two and five their last seven at home in October, 208 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:43,080 Speaker 1: and three and seven their last ten at home in 209 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:47,280 Speaker 1: non conference games. I am gonna take the Falcons, and 210 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 1: I might have to rinse my mouth out, but I'm 211 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 1: gonna take the Falcons here Cincinnati. I'll tell you why. 212 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:57,080 Speaker 1: Cincinnati is much more talented in pretty much every offensive 213 00:12:57,120 --> 00:13:01,400 Speaker 1: category than Atlanta, and they are lacking, though the Falcons, 214 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 1: the wow factor. But they've been able to be pesky 215 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:08,319 Speaker 1: and opportunistic. They've fallen behind in games like, for example, 216 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 1: the Rams game, and then they snuck in backdoor cover. 217 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 1: They've done that a couple of times. But the Dirty 218 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,160 Speaker 1: Birds they don't have any pass rush, which scares me. 219 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,440 Speaker 1: So that should give Joe Burrow plenty of opportunity to 220 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:23,520 Speaker 1: chuck it down field. But I'm gonna ride with the 221 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 1: boys from Georgia getting almost a touchdown against what has 222 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:32,680 Speaker 1: been a Cincinnati team that has underachieved. They had to 223 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 1: come back to beat the Saints last week. They're still 224 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:37,840 Speaker 1: missing something there there. They haven't been able to figure 225 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 1: it out what's wrong with the ben Gals, but they 226 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 1: just haven't been the same dominant team to this point. 227 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:46,360 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Falcons twenty four and the 228 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 1: Bengals twenty three the final and the penny also living 229 00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 1: on the edge, Going with the Falcons, Going with the 230 00:13:57,000 --> 00:14:04,240 Speaker 1: dirty birds, all right? Next up for US Cleveland at 231 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 1: two and four at Baltimore three and three. It's on 232 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 1: CBS with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green as they go 233 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:15,320 Speaker 1: off the beaten path. The Ravens opened up a six 234 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 1: point favorite. They are favored by seven in this game. Yes, 235 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 1: the same Baltimore team that lost last week to the 236 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 1: Giants is a seven point favorite this week and over 237 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 1: eight percent of the money if you look at the 238 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 1: handle is on the side of Baltimore. At M and 239 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: T Bank Stadium, temperatures in the mid sixties at kickoff. 240 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 1: Will we see a cosmetic change to the Ravens offense 241 00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 1: which is all of a sudden gone the wrong way. 242 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 1: Will it matter in this game? The Browns are nine 243 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:51,479 Speaker 1: and nineteen against John Harbaugh coached Raven teams and Kevin Stefanski, 244 00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: and the Brownies are six and nine the last fifteen 245 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: games they've gone. Lamar Jackson actually has a losing record 246 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 1: against the spread and at home, So I'm gonna take 247 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: the Browns here. This is an aesthetically non pleasing game. 248 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:10,720 Speaker 1: You'd rather watch a stick of dyna might blow up 249 00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:13,520 Speaker 1: than watch this game. But the Browns have. They've lost 250 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 1: three straight. They were blown out by the Patriots and 251 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 1: Bailey Zappy last week. Things look bleak. However, You're never 252 00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 1: as bad as people say you are. You're never as 253 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: good as people say you are. This is a bounce 254 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 1: back spot for Cleveland divisional game. They're close to getting 255 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: Denzel Award back. He had a concussion. Jadeveon Clowne, He's 256 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 1: got all kinds of injuries, your knee, your ankle, your elbow, 257 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 1: and Miles Garrett, still dealing with the after effect of 258 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 1: the car accident, is supposed to come back. The issue 259 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 1: here is all those miss tackles. The Browns have not 260 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: been prim and proper on defense. They've been in position 261 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 1: to make tackles. It's the most frustrating thing. I see 262 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:55,000 Speaker 1: it all the time with the Rams, and so the 263 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 1: Browns are one of these teams where they get guys 264 00:15:56,720 --> 00:16:00,160 Speaker 1: in position to make a play and then the it's 265 00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: an ankle tackle or the receiver, the running back runs 266 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 1: through the tackle. It's embarrassed. And Lamar Jackson on the 267 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 1: other side, he has regressed the last couple weeks. It's 268 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 1: you're talking about a divisional game. You're getting over a 269 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 1: touchdown or a touchdown, in this case a touchdown. So 270 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Browns. I think that's too many points. 271 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 1: Ravens twenty six, Browns twenty on a razor's edge. We 272 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 1: get to win with the Browns. The penny is a 273 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: big duvern A fan. Going with the Ravens. The Penny's 274 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 1: forgotten more than I'll ever know. All Right, next up 275 00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 1: Green Bay. Actually know we're not doing great, but doing 276 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:44,240 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. I got my Bays mixed up. Tampa Bay 277 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 1: three and three at Carolina at one in five. It's 278 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 1: on Fox. You better watched. It's the only reason to watch. 279 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 1: Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. The Bucks opened up a 280 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorite, as they are said 281 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 1: to be on life support after losing the Steelers last week. 282 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 1: The Bucks are in eleven point favorite right now, levin 283 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:08,080 Speaker 1: point favorite for that Tampa Bay team. God bless America 284 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: Bank of America Stadium site. Most of the money is 285 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,199 Speaker 1: on Tampa. Why would anyone bet on Carolina? They're begging 286 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:17,119 Speaker 1: you to bet on Carolina. They have died like a 287 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 1: dog the Panthers here of late. The Bucks, though their 288 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:26,199 Speaker 1: last fifteen games before playing Atlanta, which is who they 289 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:29,640 Speaker 1: have next week. They're two and thirteen and Tampa two 290 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:32,679 Speaker 1: and four this season against the spread under Todd Bowls, 291 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 1: while Carolina, on the other side, they're on pins and 292 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 1: needles right now, one in nine their last ten home 293 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:42,960 Speaker 1: games and four and eleven their last fifteen as an underdog. 294 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 1: So I am going to take the Panthers in this game. 295 00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:50,400 Speaker 1: This is one of those cover your eyes games. This 296 00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 1: is where you have to take the value and you 297 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:55,679 Speaker 1: need a couple of things to go right for this 298 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,120 Speaker 1: to come full circle. But rather than me, Wax and Wayne, 299 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,679 Speaker 1: let's get to the point. It's a peak both special 300 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,879 Speaker 1: for the Bucks. They're they're coming off a loss to 301 00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:08,840 Speaker 1: the Steelers. They they played a they're playing a morbid 302 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:14,320 Speaker 1: Panthers team this this coming week here on Sunday, and 303 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 1: they have, I believe, a Thursday night game next week. 304 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 1: So Tom Brady looks a little bit off and we're 305 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: not sure what that is. Is it age, is it 306 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 1: the fact he's going through a bad marriage. He's disheveled, 307 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: and we're not gonna bet on Tom Brady the way 308 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 1: things are going right now. And the Buccaneers really haven't 309 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 1: blown anyone out in a while. They had big leads 310 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: in games and gave them up. They still haven't played 311 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:44,680 Speaker 1: a full game. They're living a charmed life despite that, 312 00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:48,240 Speaker 1: because they still won three games. They've also lost three. 313 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:52,960 Speaker 1: Philip Walker, who sucks, is going to start, and that's 314 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 1: not good. Jacob Eason is also there, and that's like 315 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,360 Speaker 1: the blind leading the blind. So you're not gonna get 316 00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 1: much offense here. That's not gonna go so well. But 317 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 1: but you've got other ways to scored. Caroline is gonna 318 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 1: need interception or fumble, special teams, key turnover late in 319 00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 1: a half, right before you know halftime. The Bucks turn 320 00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 1: the ball over inside their own territory, so it's a 321 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:21,920 Speaker 1: short field. Those kind of things have to go right. 322 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:27,200 Speaker 1: And in Carolina's defense, which has been uh regressing, shall 323 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:28,880 Speaker 1: we say, has to be able to slow down the run. 324 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,200 Speaker 1: Otherwise it's gonna be the same old, same old. They'll 325 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 1: lose this game forty to ten, but I say, no 326 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:39,119 Speaker 1: divisional game. You're getting over ten points. Buccaneers win the game, 327 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: but they don't win the bet Bucks twenty three Panthers thirteen, 328 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:45,879 Speaker 1: as Carolina pern like a kitten, all right, and the 329 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 1: Penny picks. Penny says, this is the week Brady is 330 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 1: gonna bust out going with the Bucks. He might bust out, 331 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 1: but he's gonna be busting out of his marriage is 332 00:19:57,840 --> 00:19:59,639 Speaker 1: what will be busting out of there. That's that. But 333 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,520 Speaker 1: I'm all right. Next up, we are going to get 334 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 1: to Green Bay, Green Bay three and three at Washington. 335 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,920 Speaker 1: It's on Fox. You better watch. Adam Amin and Darryl 336 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 1: moose Johnson have the call. And I'm trying to rack 337 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 1: my brain on how the hell this line is only 338 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 1: five points. This is one of those lines that makes 339 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:23,360 Speaker 1: no sense. It's so obvious. It jumps off whatever electronic 340 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:25,040 Speaker 1: device you're looking at when you look at the point 341 00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:28,160 Speaker 1: spreads the money on this game is relatively even at 342 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:35,680 Speaker 1: FedEx Field, sunny and sixty five degrees at kickoff Green Bay. 343 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 1: They are seven games above on the road against the 344 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:43,359 Speaker 1: spread with Matt la Fleur and Aaron Rodgers. Is last 345 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,520 Speaker 1: twenty five road games going back a few years has 346 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:52,679 Speaker 1: been fifteen and ten against the spread. I'm gonna take Washington. 347 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:55,399 Speaker 1: This is another one of those. As a gambler, you 348 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,680 Speaker 1: don't want to be on the side of the glamour team, 349 00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 1: in this case Green Bay. You want to be on 350 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,359 Speaker 1: the side of the gritty team. Washington's a hot mess. 351 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz has a finger injury. He's out. Taylor Heineke 352 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 1: set to take over here and they're gonna mix in 353 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 1: some other options at quarterback. But that's really a lateral move. 354 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz had been bad to the bone. He had 355 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,640 Speaker 1: curled up and got into the fetal position several times. 356 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 1: So it's not like this is a huge downgrade if anything. 357 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 1: As I said, it's a lateral move. It's a side step, 358 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:28,000 Speaker 1: couple of steps, and Washington's on thin ice whoever plays quarterback, 359 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 1: so it's not like this is gonna make that big 360 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 1: a difference Carson Wentz, as I said, not good dog 361 00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:37,479 Speaker 1: with fleas uh. The Packers, though, have their own issues, 362 00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:40,440 Speaker 1: all right, that's my main sticking point here. Green Bay 363 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,679 Speaker 1: does not have the wow factor. They lost to the 364 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 1: Jets at home last week, the Giants they lost to 365 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 1: earlier this year. These these are bad losses. It's an 366 00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 1: offensive malaise for green Bay. We're not walking down the 367 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,679 Speaker 1: memory lane. Back when the Packers were would play a 368 00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:01,840 Speaker 1: game like this and they would win thirty five to fourteen. 369 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 1: It's not that same vibe right now. In fact, Green 370 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:07,920 Speaker 1: Bay has had such a disappearing act. I think there's 371 00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:11,879 Speaker 1: other stuff going on. Aaron Rodgers will likely scuffle to 372 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:15,439 Speaker 1: get separation from the Commandos, and I wouldn't be shocked 373 00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,640 Speaker 1: if this is anyone's game in the fourth quarter. Therefore, 374 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:23,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Washington. Call me crazy, just call me. 375 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:26,320 Speaker 1: I believe they'll be blood in the streets as Washington 376 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 1: pulls the upset. Washington twenty Green Bay seventeen. The final 377 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 1: and the Penny picks and the penny is going with 378 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:42,080 Speaker 1: the Commandos, shocking the penny, stealing my work there, bat 379 00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 1: job by the penny. All right. Next up, we'll get 380 00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,879 Speaker 1: to the late television window. The j e t s Jets, Jets, 381 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:52,480 Speaker 1: Jets sucks, sucks, sucked. No more checking those receipts. I 382 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 1: guess the fairy Godmother has helped the Jets out there 383 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:58,320 Speaker 1: four and two Denver, two and four. It's on CBS 384 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:02,440 Speaker 1: with Iron Eagle and Charles David's friend of the podcast. 385 00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:06,159 Speaker 1: We had Charles on not that long ago, before the 386 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,480 Speaker 1: football season got going. In this game opened Broncos by 387 00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 1: three and a half. It has gone all the way 388 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:18,120 Speaker 1: down to a pick them, Sodom and Gomorrah. It's raining sulfur, 389 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 1: A pick them the Jets at Denver pick them and 390 00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:25,600 Speaker 1: who would have guessed that before the season got started. 391 00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:29,640 Speaker 1: But we adjust as the games go on. At Empower Field, 392 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:35,320 Speaker 1: a mile high, mostly cloudy, temperatures in the sixties. The Jets. 393 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:37,400 Speaker 1: You look at all the trends for the Jets, they're 394 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 1: all terrible because the Jets have been terrible and you 395 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 1: can't play it by the trends. The Jets, for example, 396 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:46,560 Speaker 1: one in nine their last ten on the road against 397 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 1: the a f C. West, But Robert Sala five and 398 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 1: two against the spread with him his coach last seven 399 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 1: against the spread, and the Jets, even with Jack Wilson 400 00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:01,119 Speaker 1: doing really nothing six and one against the spread Denver, 401 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 1: the Broncos just two and eight. As a favorite, man 402 00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 1: is that bad? Man? Is that bad? And I'm gonna 403 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 1: take the j E. T S Jets Jets just in 404 00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 1: this game. And I'll tell you why I can't believe 405 00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 1: what I'm saying. This New York is the more fundamentally 406 00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:19,800 Speaker 1: sound team. It just is. They're the younger team and 407 00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: they're more fundamentally sound. Russell Wilson played one good quarter 408 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,119 Speaker 1: on the Monday night game against the Chargers and then 409 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,439 Speaker 1: vanished the rest of the game. It's kind of coasting along. 410 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:33,080 Speaker 1: Denver is a poorly coach team in every phase. They 411 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 1: are a penalty and turnover machine, which is normally dead 412 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,760 Speaker 1: on arrival if you play like that. Just to back 413 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 1: up my point, the Broncos lead the NFL with twelve 414 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:50,239 Speaker 1: false start penalties on offense. That means twelve times a 415 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 1: professional football team has been unable to snap the ball 416 00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 1: without one of their own players jumping off sides and 417 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:05,359 Speaker 1: uh in two of those per game. The offensive holding calls, 418 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:10,400 Speaker 1: the Broncos are second in that category. Those are drive killers. 419 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:14,440 Speaker 1: The turnovers have been very high, so if you want 420 00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:16,040 Speaker 1: to take a swipe on this one. This is another 421 00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:17,879 Speaker 1: one of those games you're like, well, the Jets, you 422 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,199 Speaker 1: just you got to get through the neurosis of the 423 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,879 Speaker 1: Jets and you can't bet on the Jets. And I 424 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 1: was that way with Joe Flacco earlier this year and 425 00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:29,160 Speaker 1: all that. But we are seeing a come to power 426 00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,680 Speaker 1: situation for the Jets, and this is another one of 427 00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 1: those hurdles. Is this gonna be the same old Jets? 428 00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,360 Speaker 1: Are they gonna return back to the way they had been? 429 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,320 Speaker 1: And or do they win this game and go to 430 00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,640 Speaker 1: five and two? And now you're like, we got something, 431 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 1: we got some they get their house in order, I 432 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:49,439 Speaker 1: say they do. I'll take the Jets thirty and the 433 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,159 Speaker 1: Broncoes twenty three. Denver's gonna be two and five at 434 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 1: the end of this game, Heady, cheating off your paper again, 435 00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 1: going with j E t s suck, sucks, suck. All right, 436 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:05,920 Speaker 1: well we we agree on that. A lot of agreement 437 00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:08,400 Speaker 1: here on Benny versus Penny, as the penny is hot 438 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,480 Speaker 1: on my trail, clearly because I've been kicking some ass here. 439 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 1: Let's get to it. Next up Houston one, three and 440 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:19,400 Speaker 1: one at Las Vegas Danny G's Raiders one in four. 441 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 1: It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam march Aletta. 442 00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:26,720 Speaker 1: The Raiders opened up a six and a half point favorite. 443 00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 1: There a seven point favorite in this game, Sonny and seven. 444 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,600 Speaker 1: He agrees that kick off at Allegiance Stadium and Vegas 445 00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:39,560 Speaker 1: much like the last we were talking about a couple 446 00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:41,680 Speaker 1: of games ago. The I think it was Denver last 447 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: game there two and eight against the spread as a favorite. 448 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,200 Speaker 1: That is the same record Vegas as their last ten 449 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:48,320 Speaker 1: games is a favorite. The Raiders are two and eight 450 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:53,800 Speaker 1: and Vegas at home against teams that have a losing 451 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 1: record are twenty three games under five hundred if you 452 00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 1: go back the last I believe the last sixty five 453 00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 1: games they've been in that situation, so that goes back 454 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 1: a long time. But the trend is the trend. It 455 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 1: has held up. Houston, though, has the NFL second worst defense. 456 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:15,439 Speaker 1: They're allowing four d twelve yards per game, having a 457 00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 1: whale of a time as they run after offensive players, 458 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 1: running past them wherever they play, and they're going all 459 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,320 Speaker 1: the all the oxen free. Please help us, but I 460 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: am going to take the Texas in this game. Despite 461 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 1: all that, this is gonna be a battle of the 462 00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:33,320 Speaker 1: running backs. Damon Pierce the rookie, he's our rookie has 463 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 1: been splendid for Houston, and Josh Jacobs had that dominant 464 00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:40,120 Speaker 1: game against the Chiefs, and I also expect a lot 465 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:45,640 Speaker 1: of flags in this game. However, the officiating crew, John 466 00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:50,479 Speaker 1: Hussey's crew, they've called the fewest penalties, so maybe there 467 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:53,240 Speaker 1: will not be a ton of penalty this game. Houston, though, 468 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,320 Speaker 1: check this out. They have not lost by more than 469 00:27:55,400 --> 00:28:00,280 Speaker 1: ten points with Davis Mills all season, so they've get 470 00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,439 Speaker 1: close to the vest and when they've been lopsided games, 471 00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:06,400 Speaker 1: they've come back and gotten back into the games. They 472 00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:11,800 Speaker 1: lose the statueet pretty much every week the Texans lose 473 00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:15,560 Speaker 1: the the statute, they get pummeled, but they are able 474 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,640 Speaker 1: to come back and and hang around the points. Bread. 475 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:21,080 Speaker 1: I think they'll do it again here and this is 476 00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:24,600 Speaker 1: a letdown game. The Raiders had a big, big game 477 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:27,640 Speaker 1: of the last time out against Kansas City, and now 478 00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:29,960 Speaker 1: they are they're back at after the bye week and 479 00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:35,520 Speaker 1: all that. The Raiders twenty four Texans twenty Houston the 480 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 1: right side of the wager and the penny also going 481 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:50,720 Speaker 1: with the Texans. Alright, another agreement here, as you're getting 482 00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:53,240 Speaker 1: educated on Benny versus the penny. If you haven't clicked 483 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:56,360 Speaker 1: that like button, please help us out tell a friend, right, 484 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:59,479 Speaker 1: we love that word of mouth advertising. We have no 485 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 1: advertising budget, would that be correct, Danny G. There is 486 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:06,440 Speaker 1: no budget for advertising. There's no billboards, there's no television commercials. 487 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:10,120 Speaker 1: We occasionally get a promo. That's about it, right. Yeah, 488 00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 1: I was gonna say, unless you count the promos, it 489 00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 1: is mouth to mouth, word to word, ear to ear, 490 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,960 Speaker 1: but we can't match the promos. The other show you 491 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:22,239 Speaker 1: work on, Covino and Rich. Those guys now they are 492 00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 1: getting all the promos and they're all over the place. 493 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:30,680 Speaker 1: But good for them, all right. Next up cansa City, 494 00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 1: Thank you Kindly at four and two at San Francisco, 495 00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 1: three and three. It's in Santa Clara. It's on Fox. 496 00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,560 Speaker 1: As the Niners rough around the edges last week, Kevin 497 00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 1: Burke carton Greg Olsen the A team, So your cup 498 00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:47,280 Speaker 1: runneth over if you want the A team to be 499 00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,560 Speaker 1: at this game, they are there. And the Chiefs opened 500 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,520 Speaker 1: up a two and a half point favorite, a two 501 00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in this actually opened up 502 00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 1: at one point favorite, the two and a half point 503 00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:02,520 Speaker 1: favorite now and most of them about a little over. 504 00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 1: That is on the side of Kansas City at Levi's Stadium, 505 00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,440 Speaker 1: temperatures in the sixties at kickoff of this game. Some 506 00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:12,400 Speaker 1: of the numbers, some of the trends. Kansas City, in 507 00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:16,520 Speaker 1: the NFL's number one scoring offense, are averaging twenty nine 508 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:20,880 Speaker 1: eight points per game, but they have not been great 509 00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes last seven games. From a gambling standpoint, 510 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,080 Speaker 1: the Chiefs are just two and five against the spread. 511 00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:29,320 Speaker 1: Andy Reid over his career going back to Philly, has 512 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 1: done great against the forty Niners. I'm gonna take the Niners. 513 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 1: Niners are eleven and four their last fifteen with Garoppolo, 514 00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:42,440 Speaker 1: but I like the forty years. I'm not disrespecting Kansas City. 515 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,600 Speaker 1: They're on a different level than everyone else these days. 516 00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:48,200 Speaker 1: But they also lost to the Colts. It's them in 517 00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:53,160 Speaker 1: the Bills. They're on an island, the Bills and the Chiefs, 518 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,720 Speaker 1: maybe the Eagles, but those two mainly are the top 519 00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 1: two teams and this is a letdown spot. The Chiefs 520 00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 1: coming off in emotion in a loss at home the 521 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 1: Buffalo as It went all the way to the bitter 522 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,720 Speaker 1: end there, and that was a showcase game, big game 523 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 1: for them. They lose it. Now they're gonna come back. 524 00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,960 Speaker 1: They play another good team, but not a great team, 525 00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 1: the forty Niners, who have a top defense. They're coming 526 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:21,640 Speaker 1: off a loss against Atlanta. More importantly, though, they're getting 527 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 1: guys back. Left tackle Trent Williams, defensive end Nick Bosa, 528 00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:31,000 Speaker 1: and also Jimmy Ward. Those guys. They believe Bosa will 529 00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:33,760 Speaker 1: be back, Williams and Ward maybe back. They returned to 530 00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,200 Speaker 1: practice this week. They may play, they may not at 531 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,560 Speaker 1: the time we're doing this. So if they don't play, 532 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 1: I'll probably need professional help because I'll be in such 533 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 1: a bad mood. I took the forty Niners, but I'm 534 00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,760 Speaker 1: assuming that at least two of those three will be 535 00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 1: able to play. So I'm going out on a limb. 536 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 1: Here surprise, surprise, surprise, forty Niners Chiefs twenty three, the 537 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:05,920 Speaker 1: Niners the right side, and Benny, you see the penny 538 00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 1: right here, trying to come up off of that mark 539 00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 1: by copying you again, man, going with the Forts, all right, 540 00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: I don't understand what's going on with the penny. And 541 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:22,080 Speaker 1: next up Seattle, Seattle, Seattle, where they cursed like a 542 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 1: sailor because they're all you know the other water. Seattle 543 00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:28,040 Speaker 1: three and three at the l A Chargers of Inglewood. 544 00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 1: It's on Fox. It's on Fox. Kevin Coogler and Mark 545 00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:36,640 Speaker 1: Sanchez have the call. Now. The Chargers opened up a 546 00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite, their favored by six 547 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:47,120 Speaker 1: and over. The money is on the side of a Seattle, 548 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:51,160 Speaker 1: but that one at so far stadium temperature right about 549 00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: seventy degrees that kick off. Seattle eight into their last 550 00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 1: ten against against the spread versus the a f C, 551 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 1: and the Seahawks are six and three against the spread 552 00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:06,960 Speaker 1: with Geno Smith starting going back to last year. Chargers 553 00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,120 Speaker 1: also have a bye week coming up there two and 554 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 1: eight their last ten against the spread going into a bye. 555 00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Seahawks here, I'm gonna take Seattle. 556 00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,240 Speaker 1: I'm with the public, which is a bad sign the 557 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 1: Chargers and Seahawks. They can trade mistakes in this game. 558 00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 1: Seattle leads the NFL with eleven offensive holding penalties. L 559 00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:30,440 Speaker 1: A is tied for second with the Broncos with ten. 560 00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 1: Geno Smith not a fan, but he has been able 561 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,760 Speaker 1: to put some points on the board most weeks. Last 562 00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:39,680 Speaker 1: week was not one of those weeks. Against Arizona was 563 00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,560 Speaker 1: it was really ugly. It was really ugly. Both teams 564 00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:48,080 Speaker 1: were lost at see the Chargers, they'll have their own issues. 565 00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 1: You saw that game against Denver. Denver's got a pretty 566 00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:55,640 Speaker 1: decent defense, but a lot of underneath passes. And my 567 00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:59,200 Speaker 1: theory on the Chargers is they're trying to overcompensate because 568 00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:02,640 Speaker 1: of offensive line injuries and they're attempting just to dink 569 00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:06,960 Speaker 1: and dunk it, keep it underneath with Justin Herbert Kubert. 570 00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:08,920 Speaker 1: So they don't they don't want to mess this up, 571 00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:12,800 Speaker 1: and as a result, they have these long ten, twelve, 572 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:17,200 Speaker 1: fourteen play drives, but they often fizzle when they get 573 00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:21,000 Speaker 1: down in the red zone because you know, they're softest 574 00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,960 Speaker 1: butter in that particular area. So I'm gonna take the 575 00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:26,480 Speaker 1: Chargers to win, but the Seahawks to keep it close 576 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:33,439 Speaker 1: within that six point line. Chargers six and the Seahawks three. 577 00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:40,600 Speaker 1: The final, and the penny is going with your boy 578 00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:45,560 Speaker 1: Gino taking the Seahawks. Oh my god, again, have we 579 00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:50,120 Speaker 1: disagreed on any games here? Yeah? All right, it's been 580 00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:54,040 Speaker 1: a couple of disagreements, but not many, No more than that. Yeah, 581 00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:55,920 Speaker 1: all right, Well that's good to see. The penny cannot 582 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,040 Speaker 1: catch me if we agree on all the games. The 583 00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:01,320 Speaker 1: only way the penny can catch me is to disagree 584 00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,279 Speaker 1: on these games. Bad job by the penny. I'll have 585 00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 1: to have a meeting with the penny. Uh No offense taken, 586 00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:12,719 Speaker 1: of course. Next up, Sunday Night Football, The Light of 587 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:18,360 Speaker 1: Sunday Night, Pittsburgh two and four at Miami, Miami Miami 588 00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:22,680 Speaker 1: at three and three. It's on and b CEE, Mike 589 00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:26,960 Speaker 1: Tarico and Chris Collinsworth. They have the call. The Dolphins 590 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 1: opened a six point favorite. They are favored by seven, 591 00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 1: and we will turn over every stone. As we talked 592 00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:37,360 Speaker 1: about this game hard Rock Stadium, the site has mentioned 593 00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:40,759 Speaker 1: there some of the numbers here. Pittsburgh just two and 594 00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,239 Speaker 1: five against the spread, their last seven on the road 595 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:47,720 Speaker 1: with Mike Tomlin. But Miami they are oh in seven 596 00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:51,160 Speaker 1: their last seven games in October and Miami five and 597 00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:55,040 Speaker 1: two though against Mike Tomlin. The last seven matchups with 598 00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,919 Speaker 1: different coaches and whatnot over the years. So I'm gonna 599 00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:01,239 Speaker 1: cover my eyes in this and I'm gonna take the Steelers, 600 00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,880 Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why can he pick it. He 601 00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,879 Speaker 1: remains in the concussion protocol. He's expected to start this game. 602 00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:11,480 Speaker 1: He practiced on Wednesday at a full practice. Pittsburgh backups 603 00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:14,840 Speaker 1: though that the starters and the secondary guys who were out. 604 00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:18,359 Speaker 1: The backups made some plays against Tom Brady and Tampa Bay. 605 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:20,320 Speaker 1: I want to see those guys playing again this week. 606 00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:23,360 Speaker 1: And the Dolphins are coming back with to a tongue 607 00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,160 Speaker 1: of ioloa and so they're like, oh, hey, you know 608 00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 1: two is back. You know it's gonna be great and 609 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 1: all that. Well, he hasn't played since Week four against 610 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:34,080 Speaker 1: the Bengals. He's had that concussion. He said he passed out, 611 00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:37,160 Speaker 1: he was unconscious when he was taking off the field 612 00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:40,040 Speaker 1: and all that. The Dolphins have cooled up. I don't 613 00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:43,680 Speaker 1: know what version you're gonna get of TOA and he 614 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 1: was he was okay at the beginning of the year, 615 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,560 Speaker 1: But I don't know how you're you're gonna you're gonna 616 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,719 Speaker 1: bet on that. That's a tough, tough hill to die 617 00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:54,680 Speaker 1: on with TOA considering how much time he's missed and 618 00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,439 Speaker 1: all that. It's also the make of fitzpatrick revenge game. 619 00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:01,839 Speaker 1: The former Dolphin who now is with Pittsburgh. It's been 620 00:37:01,840 --> 00:37:04,280 Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh for a couple of years there so Miami 621 00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:09,040 Speaker 1: has only one game where they won by more than seven. 622 00:37:09,920 --> 00:37:12,200 Speaker 1: So they even when they play well, they normally keep 623 00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 1: it close to the vest. Pittsburgh's coming off their Super 624 00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:18,480 Speaker 1: Bowl win over Tom Brady, but I say they will 625 00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:21,279 Speaker 1: still have some fight. Mike Tomlin's team is going to 626 00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:25,000 Speaker 1: scratch and claw. They didn't spread themselves too thin against 627 00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:28,600 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. Dolphins will win, but the Steelers will win 628 00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:30,440 Speaker 1: the bet. So I'm on the side of Pittsburgh. Dolphins 629 00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:39,160 Speaker 1: twenty three and the Steelers seventeen. The final. Yeah, as 630 00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:41,960 Speaker 1: the penny landed on heads, that means also going with 631 00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,880 Speaker 1: the Dolphins, all right, so the penny tablement, So no, 632 00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Steelers. Bustle points that day. I am 633 00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:50,080 Speaker 1: on the side of the Steelers because the line on 634 00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:54,040 Speaker 1: this game is that Dolphins are favored by seven. I 635 00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:56,480 Speaker 1: believe that Dolphins will win. But if you bet on 636 00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:59,880 Speaker 1: the Steelers, you've got a little wiggle room. You got 637 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:04,359 Speaker 1: even letting the penny disagrees, it's super close. Yes, yes, 638 00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:06,920 Speaker 1: so there is disagreement. Right, we got one game left, 639 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,040 Speaker 1: one game to go. We're gonna hit the ugly stick 640 00:38:10,080 --> 00:38:13,640 Speaker 1: on this game. A mismatch of epic proportions Chicago two 641 00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:17,600 Speaker 1: and four as they are on the Suck Train and 642 00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:23,600 Speaker 1: New England three and three. It's on ABC with Joe 643 00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:26,479 Speaker 1: Buck and Troy Aikman. The Patriots opened up a six 644 00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:28,880 Speaker 1: point favorite. They are all the way up to a 645 00:38:29,160 --> 00:38:33,239 Speaker 1: nine point favorite in this game. A nine point favorite, 646 00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 1: and most people think this is a free money game 647 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,120 Speaker 1: just betting on the Patriots. Light rain temperatures in the 648 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:43,000 Speaker 1: fifties around kickoff at Gillette Stadium. Some of the numbers here. 649 00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:47,800 Speaker 1: The Bears five and ten their last fifteen with Justin 650 00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:51,360 Speaker 1: Field starting Chicago this year just two and four against 651 00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:55,040 Speaker 1: the spread with Matt ever Flews as the coach, and 652 00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:57,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Bears. This is another one of 653 00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,359 Speaker 1: those games where I want to I want to puke 654 00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:01,600 Speaker 1: in my mouth that I'm taking the Bears, but I'm 655 00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,279 Speaker 1: doing it. The main reason is, while I like the 656 00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:10,000 Speaker 1: Bailey's Appy story and his experiencers Appy, I don't trust 657 00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:12,680 Speaker 1: him as this big a favorite. It is a big mismatch, 658 00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:15,360 Speaker 1: but there's no way I feel comfortable laying over a 659 00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:21,759 Speaker 1: touchdown with Zappy Chicago's defense has played better than I expected. 660 00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:25,799 Speaker 1: They pressure the quarterback a fair amount, which normally leads 661 00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:29,160 Speaker 1: to mistakes. Now the Bears are going to need some 662 00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:35,320 Speaker 1: of those because Justin Fields is a white hot dumpster fire. 663 00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,400 Speaker 1: It is does that he does not hold water to 664 00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:43,279 Speaker 1: anybody in the NFL. And the Bears might move the 665 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:44,879 Speaker 1: ball a little bit in the middle of the field, 666 00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:46,319 Speaker 1: but they get into the red zone. I don't even 667 00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:47,719 Speaker 1: know if they're gonna get in the red zone in 668 00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:51,439 Speaker 1: this game. That's how big a mismatch this isn't Bill 669 00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:56,080 Speaker 1: Belichick licking his chops at going against Justin Fields that 670 00:39:56,160 --> 00:40:00,400 Speaker 1: he will smother him. And Fields is an inconsistent thrower. 671 00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:04,160 Speaker 1: He's gonna have butterflies in his stomach against the Patriots, 672 00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:06,160 Speaker 1: and it's gonna be a big old storm in a 673 00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:10,800 Speaker 1: teacup in this game. That's it. That being said, I 674 00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: maintained my position, though, I'm gonna take Chicago because getting 675 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,560 Speaker 1: over a touchdown and I just don't think the Patriots 676 00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:19,319 Speaker 1: are gonna score that much. The Bears should be able 677 00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:25,560 Speaker 1: to get a special team's driven score and another short field. 678 00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:29,040 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Patriots to win the game. 679 00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:31,720 Speaker 1: But the Bears to win the money Patriots twenty four 680 00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:42,640 Speaker 1: and the Bears seventeen the final and I feel like 681 00:40:42,680 --> 00:40:48,040 Speaker 1: the penny screwing with you Chicago. Oh my god, Oh hell, 682 00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:50,880 Speaker 1: Bill Miller, what is up with that? We're trying to 683 00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,000 Speaker 1: rock and roll here, We're ready to rock and roll, 684 00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:55,040 Speaker 1: and we got that, we got agreement up the WAZI. Well, 685 00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:58,240 Speaker 1: that's the way it works. That's the beauty of the penny, right, Danny, 686 00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:00,719 Speaker 1: You never know which direction the pennies gonna go. You 687 00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:03,279 Speaker 1: got a fifty fifty chance in every game. It just 688 00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:06,799 Speaker 1: so happens the penny is shadowing me that I am 689 00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:10,880 Speaker 1: the inspiration for the pen. Wrong. Anyway, we gotta get 690 00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:12,960 Speaker 1: out of here. We got a full weekend of podcast, 691 00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:16,480 Speaker 1: The Regular Fair The Life and Times of Mallard and 692 00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:21,000 Speaker 1: Danny g on a Saturday, so many happy returns, many 693 00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:24,919 Speaker 1: happy returns to the podcast. Got the mailbag on Sunday, 694 00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:27,600 Speaker 1: and hopefully we will not bite the dust. Have a 695 00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:30,760 Speaker 1: wonderful rest of your day, whatever date is. Maybe it's Friday, 696 00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:33,240 Speaker 1: maybe it's Saturday, maybe it's Sunday. People listen all those days, 697 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:37,879 Speaker 1: depending on your schedule, and good luck, don't bet too much. 698 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:41,480 Speaker 1: Pick your spots, and may all your bets be winning ones. 699 00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:46,359 Speaker 1: We'll talk to you next time, See you tomorrow later. 700 00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:48,360 Speaker 1: Skaterfliction