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Speaker 1: What's up, guys, Good morning. How are you welcome into

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Speaker 1: a Friday edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. We're here every single morning off of

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Speaker 1: Daily off of Betting Pros dot com, always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. The offers above me here

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Speaker 1: ten dollars to win one hundred and fifty dollars on

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Speaker 1: any event with that promo co Juice one fifty at

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Speaker 1: BETMGM or betemgm dot com and well video on YouTube

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Speaker 1: audio wherever you get your audio podcasts, and welcome to

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Speaker 1: number five oh one. Last night, something very funky happened.

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Speaker 1: So I actually didn't figure this out. Somebody DM me

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Speaker 1: and said, Matt, do you realize that on the day

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Speaker 1: the two podcasts pair, you know, you know, jumping over

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Speaker 1: four ninety nine to five hundred. If you combine the

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Speaker 1: last five picks, so ending with number five hundred, you

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Speaker 1: will go five oh you oh five hundred, So we

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Speaker 1: go three and oh. Yesterday, Patriots one unit win. They

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Speaker 1: cover the six easily. We get the Warriors of a

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Speaker 1: huge comeback in the fourth quarter of their game to

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Speaker 1: cover the eight and a half points spread and then

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Speaker 1: we get the easy cover on the over for Louisville

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Speaker 1: and Duke that came in. We got twenty two points

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Speaker 1: at a duke. As I said, a twenty points at

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Speaker 1: a duke, we got twenty two, so we got there easily.

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Speaker 1: Louisville put a herding on Duke, so we get a

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Speaker 1: three and o day coupled with the two and oh

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Speaker 1: day yesterday, and it's a five and oh mark four

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Speaker 1: number five hundred. Now the parlays didn't hit, but they

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Speaker 1: weren't official, so they were just kuy hal Mary's. We

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Speaker 1: got on both three and two is what they went

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Speaker 1: on both of those, but you know that's fine whatever

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Speaker 1: those are, you know for fun ten bucks throwaways, so

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Speaker 1: we wanted to celebrate and have some fun in both Betsmith's,

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Speaker 1: but the official plays came through, so five oh and

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Speaker 1: oh very very cool. I'm just gonna say, and you

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Speaker 1: guys have called me patriot homers, and I've had people

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Speaker 1: say you don't bet against the Patriots. Yes, I do, Okay,

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Speaker 1: when it's appropriate, I will bet against the Patriots. I

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Speaker 1: Am not going to listen to anyone else about the

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Speaker 1: Patriots for the rest of the season though the Cleveland

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Speaker 1: Browns game ended. Any type of influence you can have

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Speaker 1: on me, I am riding the Patriots straight up. I

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Speaker 1: am riding this team. Okay. A buddy of mine has

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Speaker 1: a ten to one ticket on the Patriots to win

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Speaker 1: the AFC. I'm probably gonna make that an official play

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Speaker 1: at some point. You can fight or follow that, but

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now that Patriot defense. You can

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Speaker 1: poke holes in the argument any way you want. Well,

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Speaker 1: no Calvin Ridley and no Cordell Patterson for the Falcons

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Speaker 1: last night, Okay, fine, Well you know Nick Chubb didn't

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Speaker 1: play for the Browns. Okay, fine, But the Patriots are

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Speaker 1: three or four plays away from being ten and one.

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Speaker 1: I mean like like that's where you start looking at

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Speaker 1: their season and where they are and what they have done,

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Speaker 1: and yeah, you know, you could go, they're seven and four,

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Speaker 1: but they could be ten and one, all right, with

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Speaker 1: wins over the Bucks and the Dolphins and the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: It's not crazy. Mac Jones is playing extremely well, but

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Speaker 1: it's the defense. It's the defense for the Patriots that

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Speaker 1: should wake everybody up. It looks like a early two

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Speaker 1: thousand Patriot defense. And people were like Oh, if this

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Speaker 1: defense played against the Rams in the Super Bowl in

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Speaker 1: two thousand and one, what would happen. I don't know

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Speaker 1: what rules are we playing under, because if we're playing

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Speaker 1: under the same rules as the Patriots did in one, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I do think that Patriots team could shut down the

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Speaker 1: offense for the Saint Louis Rams. Uh huh and Kurt

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Speaker 1: Warner and everybody else. Yeah, those rules Belichick had the

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Speaker 1: I mean, let's be honest. The league changed all the

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Speaker 1: rules about what dbs can do to wide receivers and

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Speaker 1: can you tackle you know, guys coming out of the backfield,

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Speaker 1: and everything else that they did to eliminate the ability

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Speaker 1: for the Patriots type of defense to happen. You go

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Speaker 1: back to those rules. Look, Barmore is a beast that

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Speaker 1: second round peck picket Alabama. Patriots have been drafting Bama

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Speaker 1: players like crazy Gela Nick Saban and they always didn't

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Speaker 1: always work out, but the last couple of years they

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Speaker 1: have really been working out well for the Patriots. That

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Speaker 1: was a domination of the Falcons, and the Falcons stink. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I get it, and I'm on this over seven and

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Speaker 1: a half wins, which is probably not gonna hit. But

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Speaker 1: that's that team stinks. That team is really bad. But

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Speaker 1: the Patriots look very good and man the game against

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Speaker 1: the Titans. Let's go huge game this weekend. Got ten

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Speaker 1: days off before one of the biggest games since Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady left for the Patriots, monster matchup against the team

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Speaker 1: that they could see again in the AFC Championship game.

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Speaker 1: So before that game, I may need to jump on

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Speaker 1: a Patriots to win the AFC bat Because they beat

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Speaker 1: the Titans, the numbers are going to totally shift. If

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Speaker 1: you aren't already on Mac Jones to win the Offensive

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Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year, you probably want to get on

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Speaker 1: that now because it's him. And I mean, really, I

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Speaker 1: don't think there's much competition, to be quite honest, right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean maybe it's a little, but he should win

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Speaker 1: the Offensive Rookie of the Year with the way he

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Speaker 1: has played so far for the Patriots. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: been He's just that kid's a stud. He's he's in

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Speaker 1: a perfect position. He's a stud. So all I'm saying

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Speaker 1: is look out for the Patriots. Okay, if you hate

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Speaker 1: the Patriots, you're gonna hate the next couple of weeks

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Speaker 1: because ye, that team is playing really really well right now,

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Speaker 1: and we haven't even gotten to January or late December

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Speaker 1: in Foxborough or playoff football. You want to play against

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Speaker 1: that team in the cold, the way they run, the

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Speaker 1: way they can play defense. We'll find out if mac

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Speaker 1: Jones can play in the cold. By the way, no

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Speaker 1: one's brought that up. I thought that in the back

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Speaker 1: of my mind. Can mac Jones play in the cold.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. We're gonna find out. We are absolutely

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Speaker 1: going to find out if mac Jones can play in

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Speaker 1: the cold. All right, So today I've got three plays

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Speaker 1: for you guys. I've got all half unit plays. I

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Speaker 1: will have NBA player props coming up later on today

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel, bettingpros dot com, slash Chat, or

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Speaker 1: the link underneath me here on YouTube to get in.

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Speaker 1: I will have two player props in the NBA going tonight. However,

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Speaker 1: I do have a college basketball play, a college football play,

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Speaker 1: actually two college football plays in one college basketball play.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with the college basketball play, and let's go

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Speaker 1: and talk about my Creighton blue Jays. After a big

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Speaker 1: win for the Jays, huge win at Nebraska, I faded him.

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Speaker 1: My bad shouldn't have done that right, we had the over,

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Speaker 1: so we went one in one in that game, so

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Speaker 1: it was fine, but it was a very impressive game

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Speaker 1: for the pay for the on the Patriots. The Creighton

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays. Creighton starts off this tournament in the Tropics,

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Speaker 1: up against Brown, now Brown, up against North Carolina. Almost

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Speaker 1: beat North Carolina. They scored eighty seven points against North Carolina.

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Speaker 1: Which Carolina's gonna play. They've got better talent than the

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays do, but they play a very similar style,

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Speaker 1: up and down, shooting a lot of threes. Running. Carolina

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Speaker 1: scored ninety four points. I think there's a chance the

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Speaker 1: Jays get into the upper eighties pretty easily here. I'm

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Speaker 1: kind of surprised at the total. The total seems weird.

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Speaker 1: So it was one forty seven against North Carolina. It

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Speaker 1: went over by thirty four points. So the Jays opened

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Speaker 1: up against Arkansas Pine Bluff. They won ninety seven set,

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Speaker 1: ninety to seventy seven. The over went went over by

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Speaker 1: one forty two, by twenty five points. Then they took

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Speaker 1: on Kinesha State and it was one forty eight. It

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Speaker 1: went under by fifty three points. The Jays just were

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Speaker 1: not focused on that game. It pushed against Nebraska, but

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Speaker 1: that was because Nebraska did not hit shots that were

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Speaker 1: wide open, consistently missing shots. I don't know if Brown

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Speaker 1: will do that. Brown might be able to hit shots

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Speaker 1: and make the Jays pay. Brown has scored so far

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Speaker 1: this year seventy five, eighty seven, eighty nine. It appears

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Speaker 1: Brown can score and the Jays defense is not great.

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Speaker 1: All right, Nemhard is a stud for the Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: He's gonna be an absolute superstar for this Creighton Blue

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Speaker 1: Jays team. Huge game against Nebraska. I think he plays

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Speaker 1: well tonight. I think the Jays do wind up winning

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Speaker 1: this game in covering it's twelve and a half. But

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Speaker 1: I think because Brown put a big time scare into

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, I'm not really comfortable going ahead and saying

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Speaker 1: that they're gonna run away with this and beat him

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Speaker 1: by double digits, double digits by thirteen plus. But I

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Speaker 1: do think the over one thirty eight. I do think

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Speaker 1: this game is gonna fly over, and I think we'll

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Speaker 1: get there relatively easily. Both these teams are one one

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Speaker 1: well one and one for Brown one to one in

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Speaker 1: one for the Creighton Blue Jays to the over over

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Speaker 1: one thirty eight Creighton Blue Jays taken on Brown here

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Speaker 1: and in Saint Thomas neutral site, three fifteen Eastern time tips.

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Speaker 1: So for me, it's a twelve to fifteen Friday afternoon

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Speaker 1: game to get our day off started in the right direction.

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Speaker 1: We're going oh for Brown and Creighton one thirty eight

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Speaker 1: for a half of unit. Okay, so let's go to

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Speaker 1: football now, and let's talk a little bit about Oh,

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Speaker 1: by the way, if you want extra, if you want

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Speaker 1: another one, this is a personal play that I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: jump on. I'm gonna fade the gambling public and all

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Speaker 1: the or the or the content public, if you want

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Speaker 1: to call him that. Everybody's on Oakland tonight at plus

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Speaker 1: fifteen and a half against Alabama. I'm not gonna make

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Speaker 1: it official, but I'm gonna lay the fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half with Alabama at home against Oakland. I think Natos's

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Speaker 1: team is going to kill Oakland. It just seems like

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Speaker 1: everybody because they're three and zero against the spread and

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Speaker 1: they beat Oklahoma State. I think everybody is now in

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Speaker 1: love with Oakland. I might be wrong here, but on

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Speaker 1: a Friday night, NATO's team didn't play very well against

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Speaker 1: South Alabama last time at home. I think he'll want

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Speaker 1: to put up a number and really try to, you know,

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Speaker 1: put a herding on Oakland coming up here tonight. So

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Speaker 1: I'll be on Bama laying fifteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's start talking little college football here. First,

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Speaker 1: let's talk Memphis and here Houston. All right, So there's

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Speaker 1: a couple of things at play here. Houston has a

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Speaker 1: chance to play in a New Year six Bowl game,

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Speaker 1: but they're already going to play in the conference championship games.

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Speaker 1: So people are like, wait, they're already in the AACC

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Speaker 1: are the AAC, So you know, are they going to

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Speaker 1: be as focused on this as they should be? Will

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Speaker 1: they be really into this game against Memphis? I think

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Speaker 1: they're going to be. So. Memphis on the year is

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Speaker 1: four and six against the spread. Houston is six and four.

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Speaker 1: But Houston last came out up against Temple twenty six

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Speaker 1: point favorites. They won by twenty nine. Against South Florida,

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Speaker 1: they were laying thirteen and a half points, they won

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Speaker 1: by twelve, so they didn't cover. But against SMU they

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Speaker 1: were catching a point and they won by seven. On

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Speaker 1: the other side, Memphis, things haven't really going great for Memphis.

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Speaker 1: On the road. Memphis this year is zero to four

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Speaker 1: against the number. They have not played well on the

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Speaker 1: road at all. And I think because Houston has a

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Speaker 1: chance to put a number up on one of these

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Speaker 1: primetime games, a chance to play where everyone's watching you.

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Speaker 1: All the bars are on your game, and everyone's turn

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Speaker 1: around nine o'clock Eastern time kick, so everybody's watching it,

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Speaker 1: going like, all right, Houston, you got the little number

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Speaker 1: next year name what are you gonna do? And I

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Speaker 1: don't like this Memphis team all that much, to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest. The total less game is sixty, but the

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Speaker 1: number is eight and a half. I'm a little concerned

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Speaker 1: that we're not gonna get enough scoring out of Memphis

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Speaker 1: to get to the over, because I thought about going

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Speaker 1: over on this game, but I just couldn't get there.

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Speaker 1: Three of the last four for Memphis have gone under well,

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Speaker 1: two of the last three for Houston have gone over.

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Speaker 1: Memphis three and one on the road to the over.

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Speaker 1: Houston though, two and two at home to the over.

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Speaker 1: So I'm a little concerned that the Houston defense is

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Speaker 1: going to play well enough to slow down Memphis. And

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Speaker 1: I like this Houston offense a lot. I like this

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Speaker 1: Houston team a lot, and I think they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: a chance to put up some numbers here. Houston scoring

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Speaker 1: thirty eight points per game, four hundred eleven yards of

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Speaker 1: offense so far, five point seven yards per play for them.

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Speaker 1: Come on the ball, all right, three point nine yards

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Speaker 1: per rush per eight point two yards per pass play.

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Speaker 1: And this defense for Memphis gives up yards seven point

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Speaker 1: two yards per play through the air, two hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixty six yards overall for them. Memphis can throw like

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Speaker 1: we know here, Memphis can pass eight point five yards

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Speaker 1: per pass play. That's twenty second best in the country.

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Speaker 1: They throw for over three hundred yards per game, but

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Speaker 1: he still only gives up two hundred and nine yards

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Speaker 1: passing through the air. They can shut down passing attacks.

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Speaker 1: They're pretty good against the run too, just three point

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Speaker 1: two yards per run play as well. So the chance

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Speaker 1: to make Memphis one dimensional, I'm gonna lay the eight

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Speaker 1: and a half here, Houston at home minus eight and

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Speaker 1: a half up against Memphis for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: One more college football play, and let's talk about U

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Speaker 1: and lv U and lv's already cash for us. We

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Speaker 1: already got there over one and a half wins for UNLV.

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Speaker 1: They've won the last two games. They've beat New Mexico

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Speaker 1: on the road. They beat Hawaii at home in their

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Speaker 1: last game. They won by fourteen points. In both games,

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Speaker 1: they were one and a half half point dogs and

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Speaker 1: three and a half point dogs in both those games.

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Speaker 1: Here they are laying. They're catching eleven points up against

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Speaker 1: San Diego State, who's coming in with a five to

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Speaker 1: four and one record against the spread so far this year,

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Speaker 1: two to one and one on the road at home.

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Speaker 1: UNLV it's three and two to the number, four and

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Speaker 1: one on the road for a combined seven and three

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Speaker 1: record for the Rebels against the spread. We should have

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Speaker 1: been betting UNLV the entire year. Frankly, I made a

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Speaker 1: mistake because I just bet they're over one and a

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Speaker 1: half and I was just like praying they're gonna win.

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Speaker 1: But I should have been betting them to cover, because

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Speaker 1: I mean, they open the year five and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread, like missed opportunities by on me, bad by me.

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Speaker 1: Should have been riding them the entire season, and I

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Speaker 1: wasn't riding them the entire season, so that's, you know,

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Speaker 1: that's a mistake on me. I think they keep this

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Speaker 1: game close. I think there's a chance to ride the crowd.

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Speaker 1: There's some buzz around this program. The kids are playing

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Speaker 1: hard for Courts Arroyo. I'm on campus. People are talking

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Speaker 1: about the game. You go into the game, it's a

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Speaker 1: Friday night before Thanksgiving. San Diego State's coming in. Can

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Speaker 1: we get it done? Can we can we keep the

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Speaker 1: game within ten points? Catching ten points? Just to give

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Speaker 1: you an idea, this is the first time they against Nevada.

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Speaker 1: They were catching eighteen and a half on the road

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Speaker 1: and they lost by thirty one. But that was the

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Speaker 1: first time they've been doubled, just dogs only once in

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Speaker 1: their last five games. Because the books kind of figured

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Speaker 1: it out that these kids play hard and they play

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Speaker 1: tight games, and they don't always lose. If they lose,

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Speaker 1: they don't always get blown out. It's hard to blow

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Speaker 1: them out. Now, offensively, can San Diego State blow out UNLV?

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about this. They only score twenty five points

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Speaker 1: per game, all right, that's not outstanding. Four point eight

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Speaker 1: yards per play. Oh that's okay, I mean that's not incredible, right,

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Speaker 1: three hundred and nineteen yards of offense for them not insane. Now,

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Speaker 1: the Red Bulls on offense only twenty points per game.

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Speaker 1: Not great. Defensively, they been are right, not great, I

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Speaker 1: mean thirty one points a game, but they keep themselves

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Speaker 1: in the game. They don't get killed. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if San Diego State can blow them out, if UNLV

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Speaker 1: can can get to, you know, seventeen points, I think

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Speaker 1: we're okay here. I mean, you're you're catching eleven points.

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Speaker 1: It feels like this is going to be like, you know,

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Speaker 1: a twenty seven or twenty eight to seventeen type win

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Speaker 1: for San Diego State. And we got eleven points to

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Speaker 1: play with. So I don't like the ten and a half.

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Speaker 1: I like eleven. If you get to eleven, I like

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Speaker 1: eleven a lot. And I think there's a real good

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Speaker 1: chance that we get a push out of it. If

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Speaker 1: if we don't get a cover, we get a push.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the rebels. Here on a Friday night

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Speaker 1: at Allegiance Stadium, kids are playing really hard. They may

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Speaker 1: be in line to win the game. I mean, I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Here. I mean with the how late in

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Speaker 1: the year, getting hot on the road, it's a cool environment.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's raving about the stadium and raving about the UNLV

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Speaker 1: team and how hard they're playing. Maybe this is the

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Speaker 1: time they come back down to Earth and they get killed.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna ride it here. I'm gonna jump on

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Speaker 1: it and see what we can do. Half a unit

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Speaker 1: UNLV plus eleven at home against San Diego State tonight,

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Speaker 1: a little late night game for you guys. A kick

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Speaker 1: is at eleven thirty on the East Coast kick it's

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Speaker 1: a eight to thirty kick here on the West Coast

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Speaker 1: for US for UNLV and San Diego State. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: three official plays, half a unit all of them. I

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Speaker 1: will give you player props coming up in the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel for NBA player props. We'll have a couple of

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Speaker 1: those going for us later on today for US half

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Speaker 1: a unit in play on the props two of those

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Speaker 1: coming underneath me here on YouTube for the link Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot Com slast chet to get in. We're going over

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Speaker 1: one p thirty eight creaton Blue Jays against Brown. We're

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Speaker 1: taking Houston minus eight and a half at home against

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Speaker 1: Memphis for half a unit, and UNLV at plus eleven

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Speaker 1: at home up against San Diego State for a half

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Speaker 1: a unit minus. Matt Parlogic can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports talk Matt each enemy morning. It's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast. I was being brought to you by BETMGM

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Speaker 1: do