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It's Martin Luther King Day. 33 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 1: So I hope you're doing some sort of service project 34 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: if you have a chance to do that in honor 35 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: of him, or however you plan to mark the day, 36 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 1: or if you're doing what I'm doing, which is I'm 37 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: here in Miami already as I'm taping for you, I 38 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:12,880 Speaker 1: am going to the big National title game Miami, Indiana. 39 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: I have to tell you I've got a mixed bag 40 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 1: about this entire podcast, because I couldn't be more excited 41 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: about this game, and I couldn't be more nervous about 42 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:23,839 Speaker 1: the state of the world, which I'm going to get 43 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 1: to you in a minute. I don't want it to 44 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: come across like ipurbole. I really mean it. I'm like, 45 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 1: you know, I am sadly too good at compartmentalizing, so 46 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:37,519 Speaker 1: I have certainly compartmentalized. But yes, I am down here 47 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:41,919 Speaker 1: for Miami. Just got down here, flew from d C. 48 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: Apparently d C was the connecting city for all my 49 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:51,799 Speaker 1: friends from Indianapolis who were changing planes. If you didn't 50 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 1: get your non stop from Innnianapolis to Miami, you changed 51 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:57,839 Speaker 1: planes in d C. Apparently. Apparently there we have quite 52 00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: a few nonstops. There are about five or six of them, 53 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 1: so I see where we're Sometimes d National is treated 54 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: as a sort of quasi hub from some city. So yes, 55 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: there were a ton of Indiana fans a couple of 56 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 1: Miami fans on the plane. But it's been great being 57 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: down here, in the fact that it's nice to see 58 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: I have yet to pass it an electronic construction sign 59 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: right that hasn't, said Gokain, So I'm glad to see that. 60 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 1: It's a little look. I'm gonna have more to say 61 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: about this game at the end. I actually got something 62 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: to say about the transfer portal in the state of 63 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 1: college football, because Miami once again is stirring the pot 64 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 1: if you will on that good bad, and indifferent on there. 65 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: But let's be honest, college football is the least of 66 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 1: our concerns. Unfortunately for the world right now, I'm obsessed 67 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 1: with the next twenty four hours. Don't get me wrong 68 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: on college football, but we're in a serious situation here. 69 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: We are in a moment that I don't know if 70 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: we are all fully comprehending the moment that we're in. 71 00:04:07,840 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: But I'm going to put this as a question because 72 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 1: I know it's going to sound I am trying really 73 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:18,359 Speaker 1: hard not to overreact here, But here's the question that 74 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 1: we need to be contemplating. With Donald Trump's use of 75 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 1: paris not just his economic policy, but as a negotiating 76 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 1: and coercive tool, which is what he's doing to Europe 77 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 1: right now increase the likelihood of America stumbling in to 78 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: a war. He has started up all sorts of issues, 79 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:41,600 Speaker 1: whether it's on our own border with Canada, where he's 80 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:45,839 Speaker 1: essentially invited China into Canada. This is all Donald Trump's fault, 81 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: Canada running into the arms of China. The threats to Europe, 82 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:54,480 Speaker 1: all of our allies right now having to do where 83 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 1: he wants to buy Greenland, and he doesn't want Europe 84 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: to stand in the way, and he's already setting up tariffs, 85 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: and Europe's actually thinking about using a tool that was 86 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 1: meant because they feared the rise of China. They weren't 87 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 1: gonna fear their friend America. But here we are. And 88 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: I know this may come across as a bit dramatic, 89 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 1: and part of it is we've not most of us 90 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: haven't been alive the last time, bad American economic policy 91 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 1: drove the world to war. And that's just a historical fact, 92 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: which is why I think it's time to start warning 93 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 1: that Donald Trump could get us to war because at 94 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 1: this point there you know, look, I believe there's always 95 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: a line he crosses for somebody at any given moment 96 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 1: where he gets another opponent, even inside his own Republican party. Right. 97 00:05:57,240 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 1: We have seen this. This has been true ever since 98 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: he came down that escalator. He will do something to 99 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: chase somebody away, chase people out, of the Republican Party 100 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: will be a line too far. Remember Liz Cheney was 101 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:11,600 Speaker 1: with him all the way until January sixth, and then 102 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: she was out. Everybody has their lines. Starting destroying NATO 103 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:26,479 Speaker 1: and creating an economic war with Western Europe is going 104 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:28,719 Speaker 1: to be one of those moments. The question is how 105 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: many Senate Republicans and how many House Republicans are going 106 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 1: to put the country and the globe ahead of loyalty 107 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 1: to Donald John Trump. And I think that's something I 108 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:43,279 Speaker 1: want you to be thinking about as I go through 109 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 1: this longer distillation here of what we're facing. So I 110 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 1: know I'm sounding a bit dramatic. Imagine how to sound 111 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: if the day after Miami lost the title game, if 112 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:58,720 Speaker 1: they lose the title game, be more than dramatic. That's 113 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 1: the point I sort of want to and I don't 114 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: want to make light of this, but I just focus 115 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 1: on this a minute. It is alarming what has happened. 116 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 1: It is absolutely unarming. So before you roll your eyes, 117 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 1: stick with me here for a few minutes, because I 118 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: want to take you down a little bit of history here, 119 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: a bit to understand how Trump's use of tariffs right 120 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: now have inched us closer to a hot war with 121 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: more countries then we've had, arguably since you know, more 122 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 1: than anything post nine to eleven. Because what tariffs do, 123 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: especially when you use them for coercive practices, is that 124 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: they do change relationships. And when tariffs are not used 125 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: or used not as policy but as leverage, especially against allies, 126 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: they can quietly turn economic disputes into security problems. Let's 127 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: go back in time. It's June of nineteen thirty. United 128 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 1: States passes the Smoot Holly Tariff Act. Holly is no relationship, 129 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: by the way, to the current Senator Holly from Missouri. 130 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: In case you're wondering, I've wondered. Most of you probably 131 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 1: haven't wondered, but I wondered, so I checked. But the 132 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: intent was simple. At the time, they wanted to protect 133 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 1: American farmers and workers during a deepening economic downturn. Right 134 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: this is just after the stock market crash. Well, the 135 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: effect of this was catastrophic, and not just economically but diplomatically, 136 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:32,439 Speaker 1: because here's what Smoot Holly did. Smoot Holly raised duties 137 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:37,440 Speaker 1: or taxes on more than twenty thousand imported goods and 138 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: so as the Great Depression worsened and prices collapsed. The 139 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: effective tariff ray on all these goods that we imported 140 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:50,200 Speaker 1: climbed dramatically, and it approached levels that economists often site 141 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 1: near sixty percent by the early nineteen thirties. And it 142 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: was even magnified by deflation. Right, the less our money 143 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:02,200 Speaker 1: was worth, so it even it felt even more expensive. 144 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 1: It felt like it was even higher than that sixty percent. 145 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 1: But the signal to the world was unmistakable. America was 146 00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:13,079 Speaker 1: done in the nineteen thirties are prioritizing cooperation. We were 147 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 1: trying to be a global world, right, you go back 148 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 1: to Woodrow Wilson and all of that. But when we 149 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: did smoot Holly, retaliation followed. Barriers spread, trade collapsed, and 150 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 1: it slow it collapsed in value terms. Global trade thanks 151 00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:32,520 Speaker 1: to the United States and Smoot Holly fell by roughly 152 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 1: two thirds in the early nineteen thirty So what did 153 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:38,319 Speaker 1: this mean? Countries that depended on exports to earn dollars 154 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 1: suddenly couldn't pay debts, They couldn't stabilize banks, and they 155 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 1: couldn't maintain political order. And this is incredibly important because 156 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: historians will rightly argue that Smoot Holly did not cause 157 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,240 Speaker 1: World War two, but boy did it have a huge impact. 158 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:58,840 Speaker 1: Monetary policy, the gold standard, political extremism, reparations, and capital flows. 159 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 1: They all mattered, and they all impacted Germany and Europe. 160 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:07,080 Speaker 1: But smoot Holly became something else. It also became a 161 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 1: symbol the moment the world began shifting from economic cooperation 162 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 1: to economic survivalism. Does this sound familiar because Europe and 163 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: Canada right now are practicing economic survivalism because decades of 164 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:24,080 Speaker 1: cooperation with the United States have been flushed down the 165 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: toilet by Donald J. Trump. So here's an undertold story 166 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,680 Speaker 1: of the nineteen thirties. The real damage wasn't just economic. 167 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 1: It was also diplomatic. When trade becomes punitive, allies stopped 168 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 1: acting like partners and they start acting like hedgers. Again 169 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 1: what Canada just did. Democracies didn't want confrontation, but they 170 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:53,079 Speaker 1: began by building essentially different blocks. Britain, the UK they 171 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 1: had to move towards imperial preference in nineteen thirty two. 172 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,839 Speaker 1: And it wasn't ideological, it was simply defensive. Cooperation with 173 00:10:59,880 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: the United States a collapsed, so fallback systems started to emerge, 174 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: and once nations start thinking in blocks, economics becomes security 175 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 1: becomes it creeps towards militaries, and if you can't rely 176 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 1: on markets for food, fuel, or raw materials, then leaders 177 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:28,439 Speaker 1: begin to justify territorial logic as quote resource security. We're 178 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: starting to see Donald Trump start to talk about that 179 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:33,680 Speaker 1: in terms of Greenland. He's even quietly now starting to 180 00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 1: talk about that in terms of Canada, because Canada just 181 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 1: did a big deal with China. Now, the logic didn't 182 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:46,480 Speaker 1: invent aggression, but it made aggression sound necessary. You start 183 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:48,480 Speaker 1: to think you have no other choice. You've got to 184 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 1: secure resources for your country. You've got to secure security. 185 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 1: Maybe it's water, maybe it's energy. That's the danger zone. 186 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:02,360 Speaker 1: Now let's go back to where we are right now, 187 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,320 Speaker 1: because this is not some sort of academic history lesson 188 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: I'm trying to give you. We are watching this in 189 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: real time. So President Trump is imposed and threatened escalating 190 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 1: tariffs on several European allies explicitly to force them to 191 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 1: allow the United States essentially to buy Greenland. Remember this 192 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 1: is not we don't have a trade dispute with the 193 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:27,559 Speaker 1: EU on steel or autos. These are tariffs, taxes, levies, 194 00:12:27,600 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: whatever you want to call them, used as leverage for 195 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: territorial and strategic gain. Economic bullying is what it is, 196 00:12:36,480 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 1: and it's being under the umbrella of national security in 197 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:43,080 Speaker 1: the Arctic, and Europe's response is telling you everything you 198 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: need to know. EU ambassadors are gathering for emergency talks, 199 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 1: emergency talks on how to respond. The United States cannot 200 00:12:50,920 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 1: be treated as an ally right now in Western Europe. 201 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 1: Maybe we're still a military ally for NATO for the moment, 202 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 1: but we'll get to that. The French President Manuel Macron 203 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,680 Speaker 1: has called for the EU to activate an anti coercion instrument. 204 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 1: It's a tool that the EU had, but it had 205 00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: never been used before. But they developed it because they 206 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: assumed they were going to need it to deal with China. 207 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 1: They never thought they were going to have to use 208 00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:19,320 Speaker 1: it to deal with the United States. So here's what 209 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 1: this anti coersion law allows the EU to do. It 210 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 1: to restrict access to its market for countries that use 211 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 1: economic pressure to extract political concessions, which is exactly what 212 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 1: Trump's doing. He's using economic pressure to extract a political concession. 213 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,439 Speaker 1: This has nothing to do with our trade deficit, This 214 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 1: has nothing to do with lowering the cost of groceries. 215 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 1: In fact, it's going to raise the price of everything. 216 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 1: It is just terrible economics, terrible national security. But other 217 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 1: than that, it's a great idea. In other words, as 218 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,880 Speaker 1: streets tariffs, not his trade policy, but his economic coercion. 219 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: So if the EU does pull this lever, this will 220 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 1: stop being just a little art argument amongst allies. Then 221 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:06,839 Speaker 1: it becomes a confrontation, a trading block confrontation, and it's 222 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 1: not going to stop there. Trump's Greenland terror threat is 223 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:14,839 Speaker 1: now likely to freeze USU trade agreement entirely. As one 224 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: observer put it bluntly, no deals ever final, not with 225 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. We all know that, and that sentence should 226 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: set off alarm bells in this In Senate Republican conference, 227 00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:30,560 Speaker 1: they cannot keep their mouths shut this time. It can't 228 00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 1: just be old guy Mitch McConnell speaking out saying what 229 00:14:33,440 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: a disaster this would be. John Thune, grow a spine, man, 230 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: stop Trump from taking us to war. He is picking 231 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 1: a war with Europe. Stop this. It's madness. It's got 232 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 1: to stop. And they're the only only entity that can 233 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 1: probably stop this at the moment. The only legitimate entity 234 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 1: are Senate Republicans. We know, Mike Johnson, that's a joke. 235 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: We know that he doesn't do anything. But John Thune, 236 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell, plenty of Senate Republicans know this is a 237 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 1: complete and utter disaster. This is crazy. We are risking everything, 238 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 1: the value of the dollar, the idea of the dollar 239 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: is the reserve currency. Any of you that have traveled 240 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: the world and have always remarked how much better things 241 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 1: are here than everywhere else, well that ain't going to 242 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 1: be the case for very long if we stop behaving 243 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: this way. This is how the nineteen thirties completely unraveled. 244 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 1: Because once nations believe that agreements are provisional depended on 245 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 1: leverage rather than trust, they're going to stop investing in 246 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 1: cooperation and they're all going to invest in hedges. Which 247 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 1: brings me to Canada. This is the almost undercovered story 248 00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:01,920 Speaker 1: of last week, because you know, there's so much other 249 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 1: stuff that Trump throws at the wall. One of the 250 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 1: least discussed consequences of Trump's trade wars for this first 251 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 1: year in office with allies is what those allies feel 252 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: compelled to do next. When the United States becomes an 253 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: unreliable or worse aputative partner, it means even our closest 254 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: friends starting diversifying risk. They'd be idiots if they didn't. 255 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: Canada has increasingly deepened trade engagement with China. Not because 256 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: Ottawa prefers to deal with the untrustworthy thugs in Beijing. 257 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: There are a bunch of authoritarians, but because economic coercion 258 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 1: leaves fewer options and he's got to keep the standard 259 00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 1: of living of Canadians as high as he can. Again, 260 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 1: this is exactly what a democracy has had to do 261 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 1: in the early nineteen thirties when the United States decision 262 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 1: to go protectionists force their hand. And this is why 263 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: this for North America. When China gains deeper trade access 264 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: into the North American economy north of our border, China 265 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 1: will gain leverage, influence, strategic presence, and the most integrated 266 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 1: economic region in the world in America's backyard. Good job, Donald, 267 00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:20,399 Speaker 1: it's not paranoia. It becomes great power competition. And then, 268 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: of course what happens right then, all of a sudden, 269 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:28,640 Speaker 1: we're in a doom load because now Trump has already 270 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:32,879 Speaker 1: openly expressed frustration with Canada's Arctic defense, linking it to 271 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:37,280 Speaker 1: China and Russia. He's already joked about the fifty first 272 00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 1: state business with Canada. But now Canada's done a big 273 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 1: old trade deal with China, one that long ago that 274 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 1: the United States got China to not do business with 275 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:50,479 Speaker 1: China's largest telecom company, yahweh. And in fact it created 276 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,879 Speaker 1: this huge dispute. There was this idea that you Canadians 277 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:56,919 Speaker 1: were cooperating with the United States to keep some of 278 00:17:56,920 --> 00:18:00,360 Speaker 1: these executives from going back to China. Is a law 279 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:03,120 Speaker 1: enforcement issue kind of cooperation we're going to get from 280 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: Canada now and dealing with China. So and then the 281 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: more they do this, then Donald Trump starts to rationalize 282 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: treating Canada as a threat. Now you see how these 283 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 1: trade disputes get will be turned into security grievances, and 284 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: then suddenly we push allies to some to do things 285 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: that we don't like, and then they become liabilities for us. 286 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:34,159 Speaker 1: But we put we forced them into these partnerships with 287 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 1: our mistreatment of Canada at the beginning of this craziness. 288 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 1: And it's the same mental shift we saw in the thirties. 289 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 1: Now we know that the chatter about you know that 290 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:51,880 Speaker 1: Trump's joked about Canada as a strategic vulnerability. But now 291 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:53,680 Speaker 1: I don't know if we should laugh any of this off, 292 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:58,960 Speaker 1: because once economic access becomes national security, which is what 293 00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,199 Speaker 1: this is all sort of stump. This is what I 294 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 1: mean when I don't think Donald Trump thinks he's taking 295 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,440 Speaker 1: us to war, but he's stumbling into a point where 296 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 1: he's going to end up getting us into a war. 297 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: Because nobody passed Smoot Holly in the United States Congress 298 00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:20,200 Speaker 1: thinking it was going to help trigger World War two. 299 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 1: But that is what happened, and they backed into it 300 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 1: step by step, redefining trade disputes and they became existential threats. 301 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:37,640 Speaker 1: So this is how our and then all these all 302 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:42,240 Speaker 1: of these forced partnerships starts changing our vocabulary from our 303 00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: political leaders, and this idea of coercion and these trade 304 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,239 Speaker 1: disputes become normalized, and then we start to see him 305 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 1: as military threats. So I want to bring in a 306 00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: warning from the historian Robert Kagan what he wrote in 307 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:58,119 Speaker 1: The Atlantic this weekend, and he wrote this, Americans are 308 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: entering the most dangerous world they have known since World 309 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 1: War Two, one that will make the Cold War look 310 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 1: like child's play and the post Cold War world like paradise. 311 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 1: In fact, this new world will look a lot like 312 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 1: the world prior to nineteen forty five, with multiple great 313 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:19,199 Speaker 1: powers and metastasizing competition and conflict. Kagan goes further and 314 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 1: he writes this, the United States will have no reliable 315 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 1: friends or allies and will have to depend entirely on 316 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:29,919 Speaker 1: its own strength to survive and prosper The open access 317 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: to overseas resources, markets, and strategic bases that Americans have 318 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 1: enjoyed will no longer come as a benefit of the 319 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 1: country's alliances. Instead, they will have to be contested and 320 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:46,360 Speaker 1: defended against other great powers. And then he warns Americans 321 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 1: are so accustomed to this basically peaceful, prosperous, and open 322 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 1: world that they tend to think of it is the 323 00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:59,479 Speaker 1: normal state of international affairs. They can't they can't imagine 324 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 1: it up. And yet that's exactly what's happening. Donald Trump 325 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 1: is like purposely unraveling this world. He's purposely doing it. 326 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 1: This has been the greatest two weeks of Vladimir Putin's 327 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,920 Speaker 1: efforts to defang the United States in the West. This 328 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: is better than anything he did in sixteen to hack 329 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: the election. This is better than anything he's done with Ukraine. 330 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, it's astonishing. This is a dream scenario for 331 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 1: the Chinese and the Russians, absolute dream scenario, the post 332 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:41,359 Speaker 1: nineteen forty five world that all of us have benefited from. 333 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 1: We can say, we can talk about plenty of things 334 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: that have not gone as well as they should, but 335 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:51,160 Speaker 1: trust me, we are at the top of the heat 336 00:21:52,200 --> 00:22:01,240 Speaker 1: in this globe. Economically, strategically, militarily. This endangers all of that. 337 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: This was no natural order of history. This was built 338 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 1: by us. This was maintained by us, and now it's 339 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 1: being dismantled by us. That third one was not what 340 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:20,879 Speaker 1: Americans voted for, even those that wanted America first and 341 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: wanted out of these foreign wars. I promise you, if 342 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: you knew it came with this, you wouldn't support this. 343 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 1: Do you want America to be weaker and have less 344 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:36,480 Speaker 1: friends and less prosperity. If you do, then let's continue 345 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 1: with these policies. If you don't, you better speak up, 346 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:43,359 Speaker 1: You better talk to your favorite Republican senator, because this 347 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 1: has got to stop. This is so catastrophic it'll set 348 00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:54,159 Speaker 1: us back generations plural. So I'm going to go back 349 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 1: to my opening question. Could Donald Trump's use of tariffs 350 00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,680 Speaker 1: as a coercive tool increased the likelihood of america'stuma into war, 351 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 1: not directly and not intentionally, but history tells us that 352 00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:07,600 Speaker 1: this much is true. When trade stops being cooperative and 353 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:12,600 Speaker 1: starts being punitive, especially amongst countries that all thought they 354 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:19,439 Speaker 1: were allies, miscalculation becomes more likely, not less so. Smooth 355 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: Holly didn't directly cause World War Two, but boy did 356 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:28,359 Speaker 1: it help create the conditions for it. It helped usher 357 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:32,960 Speaker 1: in a world where cooperation collapse, trading blocks hardened, and 358 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:38,399 Speaker 1: strategic distrust flourished. It allowed a guy like Hitler to 359 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 1: say he had to expand Germany's territory simply because it 360 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:46,280 Speaker 1: needed access to resources to survive. And that's what you 361 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:50,280 Speaker 1: will start to have more countries rationalizing it just essentially, 362 00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,679 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is rationalizing this land grab of Greenland in 363 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:57,640 Speaker 1: that way, he's rationalizing doing whatever the heck we're doing 364 00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,399 Speaker 1: in Venezuela. We apparently don't give a shit about theocracy 365 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: in Venezuela because we've we've yet to actually call for 366 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,880 Speaker 1: it or argue for it, to plan for it. All 367 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:11,719 Speaker 1: he wants is a minion to do what he's asking 368 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 1: them to do. And if this former Maduro number two 369 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 1: just pays the duty to the mob boss here, He's 370 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: gonna let her be. He doesn't give a shit about 371 00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:28,960 Speaker 1: democracy in Venezuela. What has he done? Here we are, 372 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 1: So the lesson is smooth, Holly. Isn't just that tariffs 373 00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 1: are bad economics, they are. The deeper lesson is that 374 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: economic coercion corrodes alliances, and alliances are what prevents small 375 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 1: crises from becoming large ones. So here we are. Greenland 376 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 1: is not just a land mass. Canada isn't just a 377 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: trading partner in Tariffs aren't just taxes. They are choices. 378 00:24:56,160 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 1: They are specific choices, and this president has chosen all 379 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:10,440 Speaker 1: of them. And he's essentially chosen a route to either 380 00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:14,640 Speaker 1: coerce people or to start wars. There's no other There's 381 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 1: no in between here. So history's Look, I've said this 382 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:23,639 Speaker 1: a bunch of times. When the biggest country in the 383 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 1: world goes isolation his goes out of isolationism. So is 384 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:32,679 Speaker 1: everybody else. Right When the United States says free trade 385 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 1: is the way to go, everybody wants in on the 386 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 1: free trade agreements. We have been calling the shots, despite 387 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,719 Speaker 1: the bullshit that Trump's been silent for the last ten years. 388 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, he gets to call the shots his way. 389 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 1: The guy, I guess never took an economics course, not one. 390 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 1: And look what he's doing. And again I don't think 391 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 1: he's trying to get us into a war, but every 392 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:06,080 Speaker 1: action he's done has brought us closer to it. It 393 00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 1: should scare the Jesus out of everybody. But most importantly, 394 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:15,639 Speaker 1: this madness can stop. This has got to stop. And 395 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,639 Speaker 1: there's only one entity that has any leverage to do 396 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,240 Speaker 1: it and credibility to do it if they have any 397 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,639 Speaker 1: credibility left, and it's Senate Republicans. So get your act together. 398 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 1: Stop this madness. I mean, it's bad enough what he's 399 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 1: doing to the FED and risking, you know, the credibility 400 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:39,320 Speaker 1: of harmonetary system for the world. 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Obviously, 433 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:36,200 Speaker 1: the big, the big political news is Donald Trump's decision 434 00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 1: to indeed go after Bill Cassidy, Republican Center from Louisiana, 435 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 1: despite all of Cassidy's efforts to suck up to the 436 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:49,240 Speaker 1: Trump administration, give Robert F. Kennedy Junior and his kooky 437 00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 1: health ideas, all the benefited out in the world, all 438 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: the lies that Kennedy told him, and sort of Cassidy 439 00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:58,120 Speaker 1: ate it. He took it, and he took it for 440 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: one reason. He was up for election this year, and 441 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 1: he was just hoping that he showed he could be 442 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,520 Speaker 1: a team player work with the Trump administration on a 443 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 1: handful of these issues that maybe he wouldn't endorse against him. Right, 444 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 1: he wasn't necessarily hoping for the endorsement. Now, remember what 445 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 1: Cassidy did right. Cassidy is one of the seven Republican 446 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 1: senators who chose to vote to convict Donald Trump. He 447 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 1: was probably the most surprising one at the time. A 448 00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 1: lot of people were surprised because you saw him. Most 449 00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,360 Speaker 1: people thought it would be retiring senator centators that weren't 450 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:32,480 Speaker 1: going to be trying to see he was in his 451 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:37,800 Speaker 1: first term. It was, and he's from a super red state. Well, 452 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:42,400 Speaker 1: Julia let Lowe a congresswoman who has been some have 453 00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:45,600 Speaker 1: been trying to recruit her to come against to run 454 00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:49,600 Speaker 1: in this primary. Trump officially endorsed her. Now, the primary 455 00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:56,160 Speaker 1: deadline filing deadline is February thirteenth. You know, let's see. 456 00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:00,480 Speaker 1: My guess is Cassidy's going to do some polling. He's 457 00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 1: going to see And I remember Louisiana changed its rules 458 00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,160 Speaker 1: Cassidy and the old in the in the you know, 459 00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 1: literally they changed their rules just as to get rid 460 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,760 Speaker 1: of Cassidy. All the more reason why I don't know 461 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: why Cassidy didn't sort of push back a little bit 462 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 1: harder at Trump. I mean, why he thought this was 463 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 1: going to work is beyond me. But he, like everybody else, 464 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,840 Speaker 1: you know, the lesson of the frog and the scorpion. 465 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 1: He gave the scorpion the ride with Robert F. Kennedy, 466 00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 1: and scorpion has now stung him. But Louisiana Republicans got 467 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,280 Speaker 1: out of the Louisiana was kind of like Washington California. 468 00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:43,120 Speaker 1: All everybody participates in the primary. If nobody gets fifty percent, 469 00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 1: then the top two meet in a runoff. There's slightly 470 00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 1: different from Washington State in California in that if you 471 00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: you know and regularly you know, you have Senate races. 472 00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,280 Speaker 1: Got all their campaigns were done this way. Well, they 473 00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:58,640 Speaker 1: created this new federal carve out. All of it was 474 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:02,120 Speaker 1: just designed by sort of mega Republicans in Louisiana to 475 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:05,120 Speaker 1: target Bill Cassidy. So he's got to deal with a 476 00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,560 Speaker 1: regular old Republican primary where a Trump endorsement's probably enough 477 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:11,560 Speaker 1: to win or loose, depending on which side of the 478 00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 1: endorsement you're in. So Cassidy's in big trouble. Let's see 479 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,360 Speaker 1: what happens. He doesn't have the benefit of that there. 480 00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:19,240 Speaker 1: You know. I happen to believe he should be running 481 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:22,360 Speaker 1: as an independent. Maybe he chooses to do that. I 482 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:25,080 Speaker 1: think the only path the reelection for him was is 483 00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:29,320 Speaker 1: to run as an eye and promise that if he wins, 484 00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 1: he will caut us with Republicans a la Lisa Markowski. 485 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 1: I think there's a path for him if that, if 486 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,680 Speaker 1: if he chose to go to go down that road. 487 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 1: So we'll see what he does. I'm speculating on the 488 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 1: independent run. That's not anything that's out there. I know 489 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,720 Speaker 1: that Cassidy at least kicked the tires or at least 490 00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:57,160 Speaker 1: took the phone calls of the folks that at no 491 00:31:57,280 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 1: labels back when they were looking for a sort of 492 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 1: compromise asidential candidate. So I don't think he feels any 493 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:09,720 Speaker 1: sort of loyalty at this point to Trump's Republican Party. 494 00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,880 Speaker 1: So you know, if he really wants to be a 495 00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,720 Speaker 1: United States senator, I think a path exists. I don't 496 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:18,400 Speaker 1: think it means running as a Democrat. I think that 497 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,320 Speaker 1: would be a mistake. I don't think he could do that. 498 00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:23,120 Speaker 1: But if he said, if he pulled the Lisa Murkowski 499 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:28,680 Speaker 1: run as an independent, that's his path if he wants 500 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 1: to win, and if he wants to try to try 501 00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 1: to plan a flag to to sort of have a 502 00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,800 Speaker 1: say in what the Republican Party might look like after Trump. 503 00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,080 Speaker 1: But you got to go win first, and you gotta 504 00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:46,080 Speaker 1: have the guts to do something like this. Ain't easy. 505 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:50,080 Speaker 1: It's more likely to lose than win. But if you've 506 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,280 Speaker 1: if you've got principles, you want to fight for Senator Cassidy, 507 00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: that's the path to do it. I think he is 508 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:00,440 Speaker 1: the type of guy that could win just enough Democrats, 509 00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:04,960 Speaker 1: just enough Republicans probably have. Look, there are a lot 510 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,240 Speaker 1: of Democrats that might have that are pretty upset with 511 00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,520 Speaker 1: him over this Kennedy debacle. I mean, look, people are 512 00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:15,120 Speaker 1: dying because Robert F. Kennedy Junior is Secretary of Health. Okay, 513 00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:21,000 Speaker 1: he his these decisions are directly impacting the health and 514 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:25,840 Speaker 1: wellness of young people. So there's there are going to 515 00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:29,800 Speaker 1: be people that maybe won't be able to support Cassidy 516 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:31,840 Speaker 1: that might have a year ago had he chosen this path. 517 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,880 Speaker 1: But I wonder now if he's going to hold back 518 00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:42,240 Speaker 1: and what he has to say. We've seen that when 519 00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,560 Speaker 1: Tom Tilli's announced that he's retiring instead of running a primary, 520 00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,120 Speaker 1: praying that somehow Trump was going to endorse him, which 521 00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:52,320 Speaker 1: he never was. You know, Tillos was the first Republican 522 00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 1: out of the gate to say he wasn't going to 523 00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,760 Speaker 1: confirm a single new Trump appointed to the FED until this, 524 00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 1: until this trumped up investigation by Jennin Piro was dropped. 525 00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:12,440 Speaker 1: So I'm fascinated to watch what Cassidy does. I'm not 526 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,400 Speaker 1: convinced he runs as a Republican. I'm not convinced he runs. 527 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:18,880 Speaker 1: But we'll see what he does. But this is a 528 00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:22,080 Speaker 1: big deal, and this was against I mean, this is 529 00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:25,400 Speaker 1: Donald Trump not caring about the future of the Republican 530 00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:29,799 Speaker 1: Party he wants, you know, he cares about his retribution 531 00:34:30,520 --> 00:34:33,279 Speaker 1: more than anything else. He cares about his grievances more 532 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,879 Speaker 1: than anything else. And this is something that I try 533 00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,200 Speaker 1: to repine my Republican friends. He does not care if 534 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:42,080 Speaker 1: there's a Republican party that's viable come January twenty first, 535 00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:45,879 Speaker 1: twenty twenty nine. He does not care. He will be 536 00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 1: perhaps more happy if he is seen as the only 537 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:56,440 Speaker 1: Republican that could win the presidents So I always remember 538 00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 1: he is never, rarely making a decision that's in the 539 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 1: best interest of the party in the long term. He 540 00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 1: just cares about what's in the best interest of him. 541 00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:11,319 Speaker 1: So we shall see. Very curious to watch what mister 542 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,880 Speaker 1: Cassidy does. All right, with that let's sneak at a 543 00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:19,160 Speaker 1: break and when we come back, the middle class New Deal. 544 00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:22,560 Speaker 1: That's what this book is called. I think this is 545 00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:26,120 Speaker 1: something everybody that listens to the podcast Left, Right and Center. 546 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,239 Speaker 1: We're all trying to figure out what does capitalism look 547 00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,040 Speaker 1: like going forward? Because this version is messy and broken, 548 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:35,319 Speaker 1: and we know we need some new guardrails. We know 549 00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 1: we needed some new focus and some new investment. And 550 00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:42,239 Speaker 1: Michelle Dickerson has an out, has a plan that she's 551 00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:47,200 Speaker 1: hoping will at least get debated. Let's take a break. 552 00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:54,600 Speaker 1: Having good life insurance is incredibly important. I know from 553 00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:57,680 Speaker 1: personal experience. I was sixteen when my father passed away. 554 00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:00,120 Speaker 1: We didn't have any money. He didn't leave us in 555 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:04,520 Speaker 1: the best shape. My mother, single mother, now widow, myself 556 00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:06,400 Speaker 1: sixteen trying to figure out how am I going to 557 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,560 Speaker 1: pay for college and lo and behold, my dad had 558 00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,800 Speaker 1: one life insurance policy that we found wasn't a lot, 559 00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:15,879 Speaker 1: but it was important at the time, and it's why 560 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:19,239 Speaker 1: I was able to go to college. Little did he 561 00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 1: know how important that would be in that moment. Well, 562 00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:25,279 Speaker 1: guess what. That's why I am here to tell you 563 00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:28,239 Speaker 1: about Etho's life. They can provide you with peace of 564 00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 1: mind knowing your family is protected even if the worst 565 00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 1: comes to pass. Ethos is an online platform that makes 566 00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:38,320 Speaker 1: getting life insurance fast and easy, all designed to protect 567 00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:42,400 Speaker 1: your family's future in minutes, not months. There's no complicated process, 568 00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:46,160 Speaker 1: and it's one hundred percent online. There's no medical exam 569 00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:49,360 Speaker 1: require you just answer a few health questions online. You 570 00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,160 Speaker 1: can get a quote in as little as ten minutes, 571 00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:54,280 Speaker 1: and you can get same day coverage without ever leaving 572 00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:57,280 Speaker 1: your home. You can get up to three million dollars 573 00:36:57,280 --> 00:36:59,480 Speaker 1: in coverage, and some policies start as low as two 574 00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 1: dollars a day that would be build monthly. As of 575 00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:05,759 Speaker 1: March twenty twenty five, Business Insider named Ethos the number 576 00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:10,200 Speaker 1: one no medical exam instant life insurance provider. So protect 577 00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,600 Speaker 1: your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get your free 578 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:17,960 Speaker 1: quoted ethos dot com slash chuck. So again, that's Ethos 579 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:22,600 Speaker 1: dot com slash chuck. Application times may vary and the 580 00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:25,839 Speaker 1: rates themselves may vary as well, but trust me, life 581 00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,600 Speaker 1: insurance is something you should really think about it, especially 582 00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:34,600 Speaker 1: if you've got a growing family. All right, So with that, 583 00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,280 Speaker 1: I know I did a little bit of time machine 584 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:40,719 Speaker 1: like stuff with my opening monologue there, But now to 585 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:52,160 Speaker 1: my real as you know, the toodcast time machine. Every week, 586 00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,279 Speaker 1: this is the segment I want to step back. It's 587 00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:56,719 Speaker 1: my version of this week in history. So we don't 588 00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:59,719 Speaker 1: just remember what happened, but we want to understand why 589 00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:03,359 Speaker 1: matter than and why it still matters down. So I'm 590 00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:05,759 Speaker 1: taking to you. I'm going to take you back to 591 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:11,640 Speaker 1: January twenty second, nineteen sixty four. I wonder if you 592 00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:13,839 Speaker 1: guys know where I'm going here before I actually say it. 593 00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:18,840 Speaker 1: Just days after winning the heavyweight championship of the world, 594 00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,759 Speaker 1: a twenty two year old boxer still widely known to 595 00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,000 Speaker 1: the public as Cassius Clay, stood before reporters and did 596 00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: something that stunned the country at the time. He announced 597 00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:31,920 Speaker 1: that he had converted to Islam. He rejected the name 598 00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,400 Speaker 1: Cassius Clay, and he made clear that he would no 599 00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:39,200 Speaker 1: longer behave the way America expected its champions of boxing 600 00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:42,040 Speaker 1: to behave. From that moment forward, he would be known 601 00:38:42,200 --> 00:38:45,880 Speaker 1: as Muhammad Ali. At the time, this was not treated 602 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:51,480 Speaker 1: as a personal or spiritual decision. In many ways, this 603 00:38:51,600 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 1: was treated as a provocation. It's hard to overstate how Jarring. 604 00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,480 Speaker 1: This actually was back in nineteen sixty four. Okay, we 605 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:02,920 Speaker 1: had yet passed the Civil Rights Act. You've heard me 606 00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:06,000 Speaker 1: say before. Honestly, I don't think we've really been a 607 00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:12,399 Speaker 1: multi ethnic democracy until nineteen sixty six. Okay, Ali wasn't 608 00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:14,680 Speaker 1: just famous, he was the heavyweight champion. And back then 609 00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:19,640 Speaker 1: boxing was number two or three. Okay, it was baseball, boxing, football, 610 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:24,319 Speaker 1: horse racing, right, those were the big four NBA. Way 611 00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,719 Speaker 1: down the list, NHL you needed binoculars to find out 612 00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:32,440 Speaker 1: on the list heavyweight champ. Whoever was the heavyweight champion 613 00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:34,640 Speaker 1: of the world always was among the most famous people 614 00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:37,000 Speaker 1: in the world, or at least in this country. So 615 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:42,719 Speaker 1: it carried enormous symbolic weight. We expected our heavyweight champions, 616 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,320 Speaker 1: even in eras when we were a racist, openly racist 617 00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:48,359 Speaker 1: country and we had a black champion. There was this 618 00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:53,520 Speaker 1: idea that we always unified around our heavyweight champions. Champions 619 00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:55,840 Speaker 1: were supposed to unify the country. They weren't supposed to 620 00:39:55,920 --> 00:40:00,000 Speaker 1: challenge it. Well, I'll lead to the opposite. He was loud, 621 00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:03,880 Speaker 1: he was confident, he was politically aware, and he was 622 00:40:04,000 --> 00:40:08,880 Speaker 1: of course religiously nonconforming, and he didn't ask to be embraced. 623 00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:12,000 Speaker 1: He didn't soften his message, and he didn't explain himself 624 00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:16,000 Speaker 1: in ways that made others comfortable. In fact, he wanted 625 00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:20,000 Speaker 1: to make us uncomfortable. At the time, sports writers mocked them, 626 00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:24,480 Speaker 1: political leaders questioned his loyalty to the country. Much of 627 00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:28,080 Speaker 1: White America recoiled not because he boxed, but because he 628 00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,520 Speaker 1: refused to assimilate in the way they want him to assimilate. 629 00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,439 Speaker 1: Trust me, those Ali Fraser fights. Back in the day, 630 00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 1: white America was with Joe Fraser, Black America was with 631 00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:41,160 Speaker 1: Muhammad Ali was talk about something that was hard on 632 00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:46,200 Speaker 1: Joe Fraser as well. So what Ali exposed almost immediately 633 00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:48,640 Speaker 1: was an unspoken rule. You can succeed in America, but 634 00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,840 Speaker 1: only if you're grateful, deferential, and quiet about who you 635 00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:56,280 Speaker 1: really are. Well, Muhammad Ali was none of those things. 636 00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,080 Speaker 1: So why did this feel threatening at the time. Well, 637 00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:03,480 Speaker 1: Ali's name change wasn't just about religion. It was about ownership. 638 00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:08,480 Speaker 1: He rejected a name that he associated with slavery, He 639 00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:12,480 Speaker 1: rejected expectations of obedience, and he rejected the idea that 640 00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:18,480 Speaker 1: fame required submission to some sort of rule book. In 641 00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:23,839 Speaker 1: nineteen sixty four, Okay, that combination hit three nerves all 642 00:41:23,880 --> 00:41:28,520 Speaker 1: at once, race, religion, and patriotism. So to say, it 643 00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,200 Speaker 1: sparked a lot of outrage. As and understatement, we didn't 644 00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:34,160 Speaker 1: even have social media then. The press did not treat 645 00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:37,680 Speaker 1: him as a young man asserting autonomy. The press back 646 00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:39,960 Speaker 1: then treated him as a problem to be managed. The 647 00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:44,880 Speaker 1: sports can I just tell you so. Look, there were 648 00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:46,920 Speaker 1: some great sports writers back then, but there were a 649 00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:52,320 Speaker 1: lot of sports writers that were just terrible and terrible humans. 650 00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:58,160 Speaker 1: The treatment that Kareem Abdul Jabbar, Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown 651 00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:01,320 Speaker 1: got from sports writers simply because they had a political 652 00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:05,120 Speaker 1: opinion was when you look back on it, just outrageous, 653 00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:09,879 Speaker 1: just outrageous. But two years later, Ali's transformation from controversial 654 00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:13,719 Speaker 1: to outright villain even accelerated when he refused induction in 655 00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:17,440 Speaker 1: the US military during the Vietnam War. The backlash was 656 00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:20,600 Speaker 1: swift and severe. He lost his heavyweight title, he lost 657 00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:24,520 Speaker 1: his eating, couldn't even get a license to box. He 658 00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:27,880 Speaker 1: lost four prime years of his career. It's one of 659 00:42:27,880 --> 00:42:30,800 Speaker 1: the keys, basically one of the greatest heavyweights of all time, 660 00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,799 Speaker 1: and he lost four years of his career to some 661 00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:37,080 Speaker 1: sort of unofficial political banishment because he was labeled as 662 00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:44,240 Speaker 1: an American ungrateful and dangerous, but Ali didn't change his beliefs. 663 00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:47,759 Speaker 1: When the pressure intensified, he absorbed the punishment, and he 664 00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:50,680 Speaker 1: paid the price in real time. But something else was 665 00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:55,839 Speaker 1: happening slowly, unevenly, and almost reluctantly. The Vietnam War grew 666 00:42:55,840 --> 00:43:01,320 Speaker 1: more unpopular, the civil rights movement exposed, deeper hypocrisies, Distrust 667 00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:06,480 Speaker 1: of institutions spread, and in retrospect, Ali's stance began to 668 00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:11,640 Speaker 1: look less radical and instead a bit more prophetic. Court 669 00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:16,680 Speaker 1: rulings eventually vindicated him. Public opinions softened, and Ali returned 670 00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:19,000 Speaker 1: to the ring, not just as a fighter that is 671 00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:22,440 Speaker 1: a symbol of endurance. I'm sure he was polarizing, but 672 00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:28,160 Speaker 1: he wasn't dismissed anymore. Now, this part often gets overlooked, 673 00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:30,280 Speaker 1: but Ali didn't just wait for America to come around. 674 00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:33,759 Speaker 1: Ali evolved as well. He remained principled, but he also 675 00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:36,960 Speaker 1: became more reflective as he got older, more generous in 676 00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:40,840 Speaker 1: tone on his and more willing to let humor, grace, 677 00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:46,640 Speaker 1: and vulnerability soften the message. Parkinson's disease cruel as it 678 00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:50,120 Speaker 1: was transformed how the public saw him. He no longer 679 00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:53,200 Speaker 1: was a threat. They finally saw him as a human being. 680 00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:57,279 Speaker 1: And then Ali himself leaned into that humanity, but he 681 00:43:57,320 --> 00:44:01,360 Speaker 1: never leaned into it. By recanting, he neologized, but he 682 00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:03,200 Speaker 1: did allow the country to see him not just as 683 00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:06,560 Speaker 1: a defiant rebel, but as a man who carried conviction 684 00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:10,879 Speaker 1: at great personal cost. And if you want the clear 685 00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:16,120 Speaker 1: symbol of how America came back to Ali, for those 686 00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:18,160 Speaker 1: of you a certain age, you'll never forget this moment 687 00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:23,000 Speaker 1: the nineteen ninety six Atlanta Olympics. There's Muhammad Ali, a 688 00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:26,640 Speaker 1: gold medal winner. That's why he was there. His hands 689 00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:29,399 Speaker 1: were shaking, his bodily body was badly weakened, you could 690 00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:33,960 Speaker 1: see it. And he lit the Olympic torch. Same man 691 00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:37,040 Speaker 1: who was once stripped of his title, once branded unpatriotic, 692 00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:45,200 Speaker 1: was now celebrated as a unifying national icon. Same beliefs, 693 00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:50,719 Speaker 1: same past, different memory. So this is why I thought 694 00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 1: I'd do a little try to be in a weird way, 695 00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:54,960 Speaker 1: try to be a bit uplifting with the time machine today. 696 00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:58,120 Speaker 1: So January twenty second, nineteen sixty four matters. It reminds 697 00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:01,680 Speaker 1: us that societies are often terrible at judging dissent in 698 00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:05,520 Speaker 1: real time, and we're remarkably generous at celebrating it later. 699 00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:12,600 Speaker 1: Ali didn't change America overnight. America changed its story about Ali, though, 700 00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,439 Speaker 1: and that tells us something important that's just about him, 701 00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:18,799 Speaker 1: but about all of us. We love our rebels once 702 00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:23,160 Speaker 1: they're no longer dangerous, We on our courage once the 703 00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:26,319 Speaker 1: cost has been paid, and we smooth the rough edges 704 00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:29,440 Speaker 1: of history to make ourselves feel wiser than we actually 705 00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:32,600 Speaker 1: were at the time. So look, when we look back 706 00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:35,000 Speaker 1: at Muhammad Ali, we shouldn't just marvel at the arc 707 00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,360 Speaker 1: from villain to hero. We should ask a harder question, 708 00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:42,840 Speaker 1: who are we dismissing today that we'll pretend we understood tomorrow. 709 00:45:44,880 --> 00:45:47,560 Speaker 1: January twenty second, nineteen sixty four wasn't the birth of 710 00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:52,360 Speaker 1: a hero. It was the moment America was challenged, and 711 00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:57,200 Speaker 1: at the time America didn't know how to respond. They 712 00:45:57,200 --> 00:46:04,880 Speaker 1: eventually figured it out. All right, let's do a few letters. Letters. 713 00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:07,839 Speaker 1: Listen to me, letters. I have these letters the mail 714 00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:11,440 Speaker 1: bag right the post office drops all these letters as Chuck, 715 00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:20,120 Speaker 1: probably only going to do three or four. We'll see 716 00:46:20,160 --> 00:46:22,759 Speaker 1: how I feel, right, all right? Anyway, all right, first 717 00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:25,600 Speaker 1: question comes from Jason Williamsburg, Virginia, and he says, hey, check, 718 00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:28,040 Speaker 1: I found your podcast through Chrystalism. I've really enjoyed the 719 00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,600 Speaker 1: new iteration. Thank you, Solissa. Appreciate that brother, especially as 720 00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:34,080 Speaker 1: someone who lives in the middle politically. I appreciated the 721 00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:35,840 Speaker 1: year in Top five books list. It pushed me to 722 00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:37,840 Speaker 1: read titles I might have skipped, like one hundred and 723 00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:40,719 Speaker 1: seven Days The Drift and Faithful Hours. Currently reading The 724 00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:44,600 Speaker 1: Barn after hearing your interview, such a powerful conversation, No 725 00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,680 Speaker 1: question here, just heartfelt thanks. Even if we'll always see 726 00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:51,040 Speaker 1: sports through orange and blue glasses and go Gators. Wow, 727 00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:53,640 Speaker 1: when a Gator can say something nice and I can 728 00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:56,200 Speaker 1: say something nice about the Cators. You are a great university. 729 00:46:56,239 --> 00:46:59,040 Speaker 1: It's a really good academic institutionaire in the state of Florida. 730 00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:01,879 Speaker 1: So I should I should give the Gators a little 731 00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:03,920 Speaker 1: bit more credit than that. So glad you brought up 732 00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:08,840 Speaker 1: The Barn. Man. I've been thinking, Man, I got it right, Thompson, 733 00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:10,919 Speaker 1: all the guests I've had, I'm like, who's the guy 734 00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:14,279 Speaker 1: I want to I just want to watch him watch 735 00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:17,560 Speaker 1: sort of watch America's two hunred and fifty eeth birthday 736 00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:24,400 Speaker 1: with almost constantly. It's with right Thompson anyway, He's uh, 737 00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:27,920 Speaker 1: I'm glad, glad you're enjoyed the barn. That's great to hear. 738 00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:31,600 Speaker 1: Patrick from Waterford, Michigan. Rights, Hey, Chuck, congrats your canes 739 00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:35,000 Speaker 1: and that incredible fiesta. Ble just bought my fiestable victory 740 00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:40,680 Speaker 1: Victory and sut at the Hurricane store today. Patrick, he goes, 741 00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:43,200 Speaker 1: I'm struck by the hypocrisy of treating Ashley Babbitt as 742 00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:45,600 Speaker 1: a martyr while labeling Renee good as a domestic terrorist. 743 00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:48,640 Speaker 1: He actually Babboitt, of course, was the woman that was 744 00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:51,000 Speaker 1: killed on January sixth, Renee Goods, the woman that was 745 00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:54,480 Speaker 1: killed during that confrontation with an Ice officer a couple 746 00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:58,680 Speaker 1: of weeks ago. With recent GOP resignations and death, what's 747 00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:01,879 Speaker 1: their current House majority? Three? If it's that slim, could 748 00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,839 Speaker 1: you see any Republican temporarily becoming independence to shift control 749 00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:08,520 Speaker 1: and restore function to the Chamber. Anyone like Don Bacon 750 00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:11,640 Speaker 1: or Thomas Massey come to mind. Patrick, You know, that's 751 00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 1: an interesting question, and I don't rule anything out right 752 00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:16,799 Speaker 1: if you look at it, and it goes back to 753 00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,960 Speaker 1: my opening monologue today, the erratic behavior of this administration 754 00:48:21,040 --> 00:48:24,960 Speaker 1: as a lot of I think Republicans, particularly ones that 755 00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:29,960 Speaker 1: are retiring, that could be in a different spot. Look, politically, 756 00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:32,759 Speaker 1: it's terrible for the Democrats to get control of the 757 00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:36,320 Speaker 1: House before November, but it may be that the country 758 00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:41,000 Speaker 1: it happens, maybe maybe you know, who's to say if 759 00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,480 Speaker 1: leadership isn't responding properly to this threat in Europe. I mean, 760 00:48:44,480 --> 00:48:46,600 Speaker 1: if if it really feels like he's going to start 761 00:48:46,640 --> 00:48:49,680 Speaker 1: pounding war drums with Canada and Europe over this Greenland 762 00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:53,920 Speaker 1: business or with the Chinese trade deal that Canada struck, 763 00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:59,440 Speaker 1: I wouldn't rule anything out. I think you've identified. I 764 00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:04,160 Speaker 1: think Bacon is the right guy to identify. Maybe Massy right, 765 00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,000 Speaker 1: you could picture both of them. They're both going to 766 00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:09,480 Speaker 1: be serving out if mass can lose his primary, but 767 00:49:09,520 --> 00:49:11,759 Speaker 1: he's still a member of Congress for the rest of 768 00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:18,520 Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. So look at this point, I don't 769 00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:22,400 Speaker 1: rule anything out. It's all of those scenarios unlikely, sure, 770 00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:25,359 Speaker 1: but we haven't had House majorities this slim going back 771 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:29,319 Speaker 1: to the turn of the nineteenth and twentieth century, So 772 00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:34,040 Speaker 1: it's I don't expect any of those things though, unless 773 00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:39,920 Speaker 1: there's a perceived emergency. I know some of you may say, well, 774 00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:44,600 Speaker 1: isn't Trump's danger right now in emergency? I hear you. 775 00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:48,440 Speaker 1: I think for plenty of us that does sort of 776 00:49:48,440 --> 00:50:01,120 Speaker 1: meet the definition of emergency. So that's the only that'd 777 00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:04,080 Speaker 1: be the only way I could picture that scenario where 778 00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:09,839 Speaker 1: you lawmaker switching in any of that stuff. Um, all right. 779 00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:13,480 Speaker 1: Next question comes from Mike, and he writes, Hey, really 780 00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:15,760 Speaker 1: enjoy the podcast in your thoughtful coverage. I've been wondering 781 00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:18,920 Speaker 1: what if policy experts drafted we the People bills on 782 00:50:18,960 --> 00:50:23,040 Speaker 1: issues with seventy percent plus public support, like campaign finance 783 00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:25,759 Speaker 1: or gun control, and voters pledged not to support reps 784 00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:28,040 Speaker 1: who refused to pass them. Could that force action on 785 00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,440 Speaker 1: popular issues that never get a vote due to the filibuster? 786 00:50:30,520 --> 00:50:32,759 Speaker 1: Also sports trivia for you do know the pro team 787 00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:35,440 Speaker 1: that won the most games in its league in a 788 00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:38,920 Speaker 1: season but still miss the playoffs? Thanks for all that 789 00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:42,840 Speaker 1: you do, Mike. Huh the pro team. That's interesting the 790 00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:46,160 Speaker 1: way you put pro team there that won the most 791 00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:48,359 Speaker 1: games in its league in a season but still missed 792 00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:53,000 Speaker 1: the playoffs. I'm going to guess it is. I believe 793 00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:59,320 Speaker 1: it's the Cincinnati Reds. From nineteen eighty one, So nineteen 794 00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:01,919 Speaker 1: eighty one had that. Yes, I'm gonna guess. I hope 795 00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,000 Speaker 1: you file back. I'll look it up later. I did 796 00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:06,600 Speaker 1: not pre I never do that. I want, I always 797 00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:09,319 Speaker 1: want to answer the question sort of this. Well, you know, 798 00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:12,080 Speaker 1: do research if I feel like I need to answer 799 00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:14,279 Speaker 1: the question. But with the trivia question, I'm keeping one 800 00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:16,680 Speaker 1: on that yet. I think I think my answer is 801 00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:19,319 Speaker 1: Cincinnati Reds nineteen eighty one. That was the bait. It 802 00:51:19,360 --> 00:51:23,160 Speaker 1: was a split season, the strike happened sort of, they 803 00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:25,640 Speaker 1: literally had we had It was the first time they 804 00:51:25,640 --> 00:51:28,120 Speaker 1: ever had divisional playoffs, and then of course we now 805 00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:31,520 Speaker 1: have them in the past. So I think the Dodgers 806 00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:33,480 Speaker 1: won the first half of the nl WES, the Astros 807 00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:35,760 Speaker 1: won the second half of the nl WES. The Reds 808 00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:38,719 Speaker 1: finished second in both. Right, but what and then once 809 00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:40,719 Speaker 1: you decided you won one, you didn't really have to 810 00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:43,480 Speaker 1: if you already knew you were in the playoffs, you 811 00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:49,880 Speaker 1: didn't really have to worry about uh, if you're in 812 00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:53,080 Speaker 1: the place, he didn't really have to worry about competing 813 00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:55,400 Speaker 1: in the second time. So I believe and I remember 814 00:51:56,080 --> 00:51:59,200 Speaker 1: then that the Cincinnati Reds that was I think it 815 00:51:59,239 --> 00:52:01,920 Speaker 1: was them, but it was some team and it sticks 816 00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:03,440 Speaker 1: with me. There was red back then. The Reds were 817 00:52:03,440 --> 00:52:06,080 Speaker 1: in the NL West. That goes in the crazy horrible 818 00:52:06,600 --> 00:52:11,640 Speaker 1: divisions we used to have, and so I think that's it. 819 00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:14,200 Speaker 1: So they didn't get into the playoffs because they finished second. 820 00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:18,480 Speaker 1: I believe in both halves of that season. Mike, I 821 00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:20,400 Speaker 1: hope that's the one you have, because then I'll feel 822 00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:24,399 Speaker 1: really smarty pants about myself that one. All right. Last 823 00:52:24,480 --> 00:52:27,120 Speaker 1: question goes from it's gonna be a little Packer question 824 00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:29,360 Speaker 1: here and goes Chuck Chuck. Chuck. Appreciated your take on 825 00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:32,080 Speaker 1: the Packer's bear rivalry. But you've got to grow You've 826 00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:34,480 Speaker 1: got to grow up with it to really understand it. 827 00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:37,000 Speaker 1: It goes way deeper than football. It's big city, arrogant 828 00:52:37,080 --> 00:52:40,160 Speaker 1: Chicago for a small town friendly this Wisconsin. Oh, buddy, 829 00:52:40,200 --> 00:52:44,040 Speaker 1: I know that. My father, Waterloo, Iowa. Okay, why was 830 00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:46,120 Speaker 1: he a Packer fan? And water Looiowan, who was growing 831 00:52:46,200 --> 00:52:48,440 Speaker 1: up as a kid in the fifties because you hated 832 00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:51,680 Speaker 1: everything Chicago and who was Chicago's greatest rival was the Packers. 833 00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:54,279 Speaker 1: So that was why he became a Packer fan exactly 834 00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:57,520 Speaker 1: for what you're defining there, all right. But you know, now, 835 00:52:57,680 --> 00:53:00,600 Speaker 1: Iowans are split between I think the Vikings and the 836 00:53:00,680 --> 00:53:03,279 Speaker 1: Chiefs these days more than more than the Packers. But 837 00:53:03,360 --> 00:53:06,920 Speaker 1: I digress. But yes, he goes. Bears fans often say 838 00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:09,400 Speaker 1: they're treated great at Lambeau. Not so much for Packers 839 00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:12,320 Speaker 1: fans at social field, mind you, not like the respectful 840 00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,200 Speaker 1: Packers Vikings rival Go pack Go John As keep up 841 00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:18,040 Speaker 1: the great podcast. So no, no, no, You're right about 842 00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:22,600 Speaker 1: the whole Chicago arrogance thing. That is absolutely why. That 843 00:53:22,760 --> 00:53:27,239 Speaker 1: is absolutely why my dad became a Packer fan. It 844 00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:41,719 Speaker 1: was being anti Chicago, no more, no less. All right, 845 00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:48,120 Speaker 1: A quick word on this in this football game. A 846 00:53:48,160 --> 00:53:50,760 Speaker 1: few things, and I'm gonna make it a bit Miami 847 00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:56,160 Speaker 1: as in the community centric more than anything else. It's 848 00:53:56,200 --> 00:53:59,640 Speaker 1: been amazing to watch this town really get fired up 849 00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:02,880 Speaker 1: about their Hurricanes, because you know, when Miami went its 850 00:54:02,880 --> 00:54:05,560 Speaker 1: first national title in eighty three, this was still a 851 00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:09,640 Speaker 1: Dolphins town and by the way, deserved Okay, it was 852 00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:13,120 Speaker 1: a deserved Dolphins town. They made everything else run there 853 00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:15,160 Speaker 1: was We had no other pro sports. It was just 854 00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:18,000 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. The heat would come in nineteen eighty seven 855 00:54:18,480 --> 00:54:21,600 Speaker 1: and then the Hurricanes rose up and Hurricane football, you know, 856 00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:26,239 Speaker 1: became the number two thing to the Dolphins. I still 857 00:54:26,280 --> 00:54:28,799 Speaker 1: have that great cover Marino and co Sar on the 858 00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:32,560 Speaker 1: cover of Sports Illustrated. You know, it was eighty It's 859 00:54:33,640 --> 00:54:36,960 Speaker 1: it's you know, that's what that was. That was what 860 00:54:37,360 --> 00:54:40,839 Speaker 1: going viral meant back in the eighties. What's amazing now 861 00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:43,359 Speaker 1: is I think the Hurricanes are now the number one 862 00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:46,080 Speaker 1: team in South Florida, the number one the number one 863 00:54:46,080 --> 00:54:49,040 Speaker 1: team in Miami. I mean the Dolphins are just in 864 00:54:49,080 --> 00:54:52,640 Speaker 1: this funk that is now three generations. I mean it 865 00:54:52,719 --> 00:54:56,399 Speaker 1: is basically what Marino retires sometime in ninety nine, ninety eight. 866 00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:59,279 Speaker 1: I feel like I go back to that sixty three 867 00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:01,920 Speaker 1: to seven long that the Dolphins had in the playoffs 868 00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,200 Speaker 1: that the Jacksonville Jaguars. I think it was Johnson's last 869 00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:07,600 Speaker 1: year's coach, Jimmy Johnson's. It just feels like like that 870 00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:12,200 Speaker 1: was like this exclamation point. You know, Marino makes a 871 00:55:12,200 --> 00:55:14,040 Speaker 1: super Bowl in his first year as a starter, second 872 00:55:14,080 --> 00:55:16,600 Speaker 1: year as a pro, and the assumption was, oh, he's 873 00:55:16,600 --> 00:55:18,319 Speaker 1: gonna be back to so many super Bowls, never gets 874 00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:21,440 Speaker 1: back to another one. That Dolphins haven't really think they 875 00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:24,480 Speaker 1: were in one other AFC title game, maybe two if 876 00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:28,560 Speaker 1: I'm keeping track. So it is this time to watch 877 00:55:28,600 --> 00:55:32,200 Speaker 1: this town. I have to say, is it is absolutely 878 00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:36,879 Speaker 1: become a Hurricanes football town. We love football here. High 879 00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:39,640 Speaker 1: school football is so popular. All the dominant high school 880 00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:42,440 Speaker 1: football teams in the state of Florida, almost all of 881 00:55:42,440 --> 00:55:46,200 Speaker 1: them are either in Miami, Dade County, Broward County. You know, 882 00:55:46,480 --> 00:55:50,160 Speaker 1: South Florida really is one of the dominant sort of 883 00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:53,799 Speaker 1: high school football areas in the country. So football is 884 00:55:53,880 --> 00:55:56,680 Speaker 1: just you know, so whoever's the winner. And look, some 885 00:55:56,719 --> 00:55:59,160 Speaker 1: people say it's fair weather. It's not fair weather. We 886 00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:02,080 Speaker 1: show up for winning teams. Miami fans don't show up 887 00:56:02,080 --> 00:56:03,480 Speaker 1: for losing teams. Now, I show up for all my 888 00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:07,640 Speaker 1: Hurricane games because I love my games and I feel 889 00:56:07,640 --> 00:56:10,600 Speaker 1: that loyal to them. But it's I have to say, 890 00:56:10,600 --> 00:56:14,560 Speaker 1: in the hierarchy, I think it's Kane's football one right now. 891 00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:17,479 Speaker 1: I still think the Heat are two and the Heat 892 00:56:17,520 --> 00:56:19,640 Speaker 1: had the number one spot. I'd argue for a bit there. 893 00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:23,359 Speaker 1: My friend Barry Jackson at The Herald might have I'd 894 00:56:23,400 --> 00:56:26,120 Speaker 1: love his opinion on this, and Dan Lebtard what they 895 00:56:26,120 --> 00:56:27,680 Speaker 1: think of this. But I think I think the Heat 896 00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:30,040 Speaker 1: was sort of in that one slot for a while there, 897 00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:33,120 Speaker 1: but we didn't like them there, right. We always wanted 898 00:56:33,120 --> 00:56:34,759 Speaker 1: one of the two football teams to get there. The 899 00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:37,480 Speaker 1: Dolphins are the Hurricanes. So the Hurricanes getting good and 900 00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:42,440 Speaker 1: right back. But you know, right now, I'm wondering if 901 00:56:44,120 --> 00:56:47,319 Speaker 1: if the MLS team and essentially messy is number three, 902 00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:51,920 Speaker 1: and are the Dolphins four? Are the Dolphins fourth? Why 903 00:56:51,960 --> 00:56:53,640 Speaker 1: they got to get this new coach, right, They got 904 00:56:53,680 --> 00:56:55,440 Speaker 1: to get a new quarterback, They got to get some 905 00:56:55,480 --> 00:57:00,160 Speaker 1: new juice here. It's you know, it's like watching what's 906 00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:03,280 Speaker 1: happened to the Dolphins, very similar to what I've watched 907 00:57:03,640 --> 00:57:06,040 Speaker 1: front row seat with the Commanders and the Washington football 908 00:57:06,040 --> 00:57:09,760 Speaker 1: team over that period of time. But unlike the Washington 909 00:57:09,800 --> 00:57:12,040 Speaker 1: football team, I think the Dolphins have a good owner. 910 00:57:12,760 --> 00:57:18,480 Speaker 1: It just they've just chosen poorly when it comes to quarterbacks. 911 00:57:18,520 --> 00:57:22,720 Speaker 1: They've just not gotten it right since Marino. And it's 912 00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:24,920 Speaker 1: however you want to look at it, it's been a mess, 913 00:57:24,920 --> 00:57:30,040 Speaker 1: but it has just been fascinating. I feel like there's 914 00:57:30,080 --> 00:57:32,560 Speaker 1: more support from Miami Hurricane football right now than I 915 00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:35,920 Speaker 1: have ever seen in South Florida. Part of it has 916 00:57:35,920 --> 00:57:38,919 Speaker 1: been a while since we've had some winning football around here. 917 00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:41,080 Speaker 1: So there's a little bit of a lot of thirsty 918 00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:43,840 Speaker 1: people running to the water, cold water, and that cold 919 00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:47,440 Speaker 1: water is being delivered by the University of Miami. But 920 00:57:49,240 --> 00:57:55,080 Speaker 1: that's been heartening to watch. So look, I am, I'm 921 00:57:55,120 --> 00:57:57,840 Speaker 1: obviously recording before the game. Some of you may hear 922 00:57:57,880 --> 00:57:59,920 Speaker 1: this after the game. I'm pretty confident it's going to 923 00:57:59,960 --> 00:58:03,600 Speaker 1: be a close game. I am. I would be shocked 924 00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:07,960 Speaker 1: if Miami lost by more than I'd be by more 925 00:58:08,000 --> 00:58:11,640 Speaker 1: than one score okay, three, seven, eight, Okay, I'd be shocked. 926 00:58:11,680 --> 00:58:15,320 Speaker 1: That's why I think that the line is sort of absurd. 927 00:58:16,480 --> 00:58:19,200 Speaker 1: A few things I'm worried about. If Miami loses a 928 00:58:19,200 --> 00:58:22,080 Speaker 1: close game because they fizzle in the fourth quarter, Well, 929 00:58:22,120 --> 00:58:26,160 Speaker 1: Miami's played three playoff games to get here, h and 930 00:58:26,240 --> 00:58:29,160 Speaker 1: had to play all four quarters. Indiana's only I had 931 00:58:29,200 --> 00:58:30,880 Speaker 1: to do two and only had to really play two 932 00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:33,640 Speaker 1: quarters in each game. Right, They are a little better 933 00:58:33,680 --> 00:58:38,080 Speaker 1: arrested than Miami is. I worry that the Old miss 934 00:58:38,120 --> 00:58:41,120 Speaker 1: game felt like a war of attrition, and we've got 935 00:58:41,160 --> 00:58:43,960 Speaker 1: we're we're already of you know, so I worry about 936 00:58:44,080 --> 00:58:48,840 Speaker 1: depth a little bit. I worry about just exhaustion. These 937 00:58:48,880 --> 00:58:52,440 Speaker 1: guys rare. No, nobody plays sixteen games very often. Now 938 00:58:52,440 --> 00:58:56,680 Speaker 1: we're gonna obviously with the playoff coming full full uh, 939 00:58:56,920 --> 00:58:59,000 Speaker 1: you know, becoming a full time thing, this will happen. 940 00:58:59,440 --> 00:59:01,480 Speaker 1: We'll have it. Eight or ten teams have to play 941 00:59:01,520 --> 00:59:04,440 Speaker 1: at least, you know, thirteen, fourteen, and then the final 942 00:59:04,440 --> 00:59:08,880 Speaker 1: two teams play sixteen games when all said and done. 943 00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:13,240 Speaker 1: But it's uh, that's the one thing I'm worried about. 944 00:59:14,120 --> 00:59:17,000 Speaker 1: But you know, it's the strangest thing. And I shared 945 00:59:17,040 --> 00:59:18,560 Speaker 1: this with you before the last time Miami was an 946 00:59:18,600 --> 00:59:23,440 Speaker 1: underdog at home playing for a national title at home 947 00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:26,600 Speaker 1: was against a team whose colors were red and white, 948 00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:31,240 Speaker 1: those big bad Nebraska Cornhuskers, and they were I think, 949 00:59:31,920 --> 00:59:34,200 Speaker 1: I think I read today, I'm not going to remember 950 00:59:34,240 --> 00:59:35,920 Speaker 1: this one. I read this today. They were eleven and 951 00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:42,320 Speaker 1: a half point favorites. It's a great game, one of 952 00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:47,880 Speaker 1: the all time games. And by the way, if Nebraska 953 00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:50,520 Speaker 1: had gotten the two point conversion, there was forty seconds 954 00:59:50,600 --> 00:59:53,480 Speaker 1: left in that game. Bernie Kosar was not losing that game. 955 00:59:54,080 --> 00:59:56,520 Speaker 1: Miami was going to win that game. They would have 956 00:59:56,560 --> 00:59:58,200 Speaker 1: just had to win. The final score would have been 957 00:59:58,240 --> 01:00:03,040 Speaker 1: thirty four to thirty two, thirty one thirty. But that's 958 01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:05,600 Speaker 1: how co Star was not going to be stopped. That 959 01:00:05,680 --> 01:00:09,160 Speaker 1: game just wasn't going to be stopped, and that Nebraska 960 01:00:09,200 --> 01:00:12,840 Speaker 1: defense was exhausted. They could not cover our guys. It 961 01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:18,720 Speaker 1: wasn't going to happen. So we'll see. There's a little 962 01:00:18,720 --> 01:00:23,080 Speaker 1: bit of a weird news. Looks like Miami's got its quarterback. 963 01:00:24,080 --> 01:00:27,439 Speaker 1: I think as Darrin Mensa is his name from Duke. Look, 964 01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:31,560 Speaker 1: I'm glad Miami's got this quarterback. Look, I'm not comfortable 965 01:00:31,560 --> 01:00:34,720 Speaker 1: with the circumstances. I don't believe Miami tampered. I actually 966 01:00:34,800 --> 01:00:38,280 Speaker 1: believe that the fact that Ty Simpson, the quarterback that 967 01:00:38,360 --> 01:00:43,600 Speaker 1: decided to stay going pro, where he went public saying 968 01:00:43,640 --> 01:00:47,440 Speaker 1: Miami offered him six and a half million dollars to 969 01:00:47,480 --> 01:00:49,760 Speaker 1: pull out of the NFL draft like Carson Beck did 970 01:00:49,800 --> 01:00:53,280 Speaker 1: and play one season for Miami. He chose to pursue 971 01:00:53,280 --> 01:00:56,400 Speaker 1: the NFL draft. It was weird that he decided to 972 01:00:56,400 --> 01:01:00,800 Speaker 1: go public with that, with how much Miami offered. Now, 973 01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:03,040 Speaker 1: if you tell me that the an agent or a 974 01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:06,240 Speaker 1: family member of Mensa said, WHOA, Miami needs a quarterback 975 01:01:06,280 --> 01:01:08,680 Speaker 1: and they're willing to pay six and a half. Well, 976 01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:12,160 Speaker 1: Mensa is better than Ty Simpson. Yes, Mensa's better than 977 01:01:12,200 --> 01:01:16,800 Speaker 1: Dye Simpson. How much could he get? So I think 978 01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:20,200 Speaker 1: it's very possible, you know, I don't I you know, 979 01:01:20,240 --> 01:01:22,760 Speaker 1: I don't want to presume nefarious things. I don't think, 980 01:01:22,880 --> 01:01:26,200 Speaker 1: you know, I think with so many eyeballs on Miami, 981 01:01:26,200 --> 01:01:29,400 Speaker 1: I don't think Miami's breaking any rules. There's barely any 982 01:01:29,480 --> 01:01:31,560 Speaker 1: rules with this anyway. But I don't think they think 983 01:01:31,560 --> 01:01:33,840 Speaker 1: they're going to be super careful. So I don't think 984 01:01:33,880 --> 01:01:35,959 Speaker 1: this is going to be a tampering situation or anything 985 01:01:36,040 --> 01:01:38,800 Speaker 1: like that. It's just you think you have a contract 986 01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:40,320 Speaker 1: with a player. Look, Miami was on the other end 987 01:01:40,360 --> 01:01:42,840 Speaker 1: of this last year with a couple of receivers. Shoot 988 01:01:42,960 --> 01:01:46,000 Speaker 1: Duke was the predator on Tulane in sort of a 989 01:01:46,040 --> 01:01:49,240 Speaker 1: similar situation to get Mensa in the first place last season. 990 01:01:49,880 --> 01:01:52,280 Speaker 1: So you know, I'm not saying they're good guys. Are 991 01:01:52,320 --> 01:01:56,160 Speaker 1: bad guys here. The system sucks and you think you 992 01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:58,200 Speaker 1: have a contract. You know, they thought they had him 993 01:01:58,200 --> 01:02:00,960 Speaker 1: for a two year deal with this revenue share, and 994 01:02:01,040 --> 01:02:03,840 Speaker 1: it turns out even a contract is not a contract. 995 01:02:05,360 --> 01:02:08,160 Speaker 1: That's got to change. And like I said, I'm glad 996 01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:10,440 Speaker 1: Miami got. Miami probably ended up with a better quarterback 997 01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:12,960 Speaker 1: than any of the three they pursued. I think Mens 998 01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:16,560 Speaker 1: is that better than Sam Levitt, Mensus, better than Teddy Simpson. 999 01:02:16,640 --> 01:02:24,680 Speaker 1: Mens is probably better than than uh than Soresby. But 1000 01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:28,000 Speaker 1: if the roles were reversed, we'd all be crying foul 1001 01:02:28,080 --> 01:02:31,400 Speaker 1: to be complaining and then to do it in conference, 1002 01:02:31,440 --> 01:02:33,320 Speaker 1: it's just a mess. And then of course here in 1003 01:02:33,360 --> 01:02:35,840 Speaker 1: Miami it's the whole Many Dias Mario thing, so it 1004 01:02:35,840 --> 01:02:40,280 Speaker 1: becomes this weird Cuban Cuban rivalry too, you know, Many Dias, 1005 01:02:40,840 --> 01:02:43,000 Speaker 1: It's always kind of been. I think, you know, his 1006 01:02:43,080 --> 01:02:45,640 Speaker 1: father is one of the few Cuban democrats. You know, 1007 01:02:46,560 --> 01:02:48,440 Speaker 1: I've always thought that was a little bit of a 1008 01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:50,439 Speaker 1: cause of a little bit of of why he wasn't 1009 01:02:50,480 --> 01:02:54,760 Speaker 1: as embraced Manny Diaz Junior as in Miami the way 1010 01:02:54,960 --> 01:03:01,160 Speaker 1: Mario's embraced Mario. Yeah, Columbus high guy that was sort 1011 01:03:01,200 --> 01:03:04,880 Speaker 1: of working class cubans An ideas, wasn't so I you know, 1012 01:03:04,920 --> 01:03:07,360 Speaker 1: I don't look, you could we could all pick through that. 1013 01:03:08,000 --> 01:03:10,880 Speaker 1: But boy, talk about adding to what is this week? 1014 01:03:11,240 --> 01:03:15,520 Speaker 1: What is turning into a fascinating little rivalry here between 1015 01:03:15,520 --> 01:03:19,120 Speaker 1: many Dias and Mario. Crystopaul. But if you're wondering, my 1016 01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:22,480 Speaker 1: friend Marco Puto and I were joking about this, the 1017 01:03:22,560 --> 01:03:26,480 Speaker 1: Cuban power index, Marco Rubio right down here in Miami. 1018 01:03:26,600 --> 01:03:30,320 Speaker 1: Marco Rubio got Maduro. That's that's got him pretty high 1019 01:03:30,360 --> 01:03:33,120 Speaker 1: up on the in the Cuban community. Here right now, 1020 01:03:33,280 --> 01:03:36,479 Speaker 1: Fernando Mendezo win a Heisman, He's probably number one. Ruby 1021 01:03:36,560 --> 01:03:38,520 Speaker 1: is probably number two. Poor Mario is probably number three. 1022 01:03:38,880 --> 01:03:42,400 Speaker 1: But if Mario wins a national title, check the records here. 1023 01:03:43,320 --> 01:03:46,280 Speaker 1: But I believe he's the first non white Anglo to win. 1024 01:03:47,240 --> 01:03:52,160 Speaker 1: It's not an insignificant development. And I remember in the 1025 01:03:52,200 --> 01:03:55,920 Speaker 1: eighties wondering what would with the Cuban community and all 1026 01:03:55,920 --> 01:03:58,000 Speaker 1: of that with there withere there be an embracing of 1027 01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:00,600 Speaker 1: of Miami Hurricanes, football, of football as a sport and 1028 01:04:00,640 --> 01:04:05,800 Speaker 1: all of that stuff. Boy, thirty five years later, that 1029 01:04:05,880 --> 01:04:09,480 Speaker 1: relationship couldn't be any tighter. And it's done nothing but 1030 01:04:09,560 --> 01:04:13,960 Speaker 1: benefit the benefit the University of Miami. But I will 1031 01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:15,960 Speaker 1: say this, I'm not going to sit here and say 1032 01:04:15,960 --> 01:04:18,680 Speaker 1: the mensa thing. It's you know, this is a reminder 1033 01:04:18,720 --> 01:04:22,880 Speaker 1: that when when Miami starts winning, everybody wants in. You know, 1034 01:04:23,360 --> 01:04:25,520 Speaker 1: we may lose out the Ohio state and recruiting wars 1035 01:04:25,520 --> 01:04:28,720 Speaker 1: when we're not winning, but now that we're winning, those 1036 01:04:28,800 --> 01:04:32,000 Speaker 1: kids are going to stay. They're not those receivers that 1037 01:04:32,040 --> 01:04:34,840 Speaker 1: we're going to Columbus Ohio probably going to say, and 1038 01:04:34,960 --> 01:04:38,360 Speaker 1: quarterbacks that break records at Duke. When they suddenly see 1039 01:04:38,360 --> 01:04:40,440 Speaker 1: that there's an opening for a quarterback here at Miami, 1040 01:04:40,680 --> 01:04:45,080 Speaker 1: they're going to want to end. So I think this 1041 01:04:45,160 --> 01:04:48,480 Speaker 1: is the this is what success means with these with 1042 01:04:48,560 --> 01:04:53,080 Speaker 1: this new system. But I mean, we've got to figure 1043 01:04:53,120 --> 01:04:56,280 Speaker 1: out a system where a contract means something, because again 1044 01:04:56,400 --> 01:04:58,040 Speaker 1: we've been on the wrong Miami's been on the wrong 1045 01:04:58,120 --> 01:05:01,920 Speaker 1: end of this. See Isaiah a. Fee, these other guys, 1046 01:05:02,040 --> 01:05:05,680 Speaker 1: Kolby Young, a couple of receivers from last team. So 1047 01:05:06,000 --> 01:05:10,600 Speaker 1: it's none of us should be celebrating the fact that 1048 01:05:10,640 --> 01:05:13,800 Speaker 1: this can happen. We still need to figure out how 1049 01:05:13,880 --> 01:05:16,760 Speaker 1: to get and I promise you Congress is going to 1050 01:05:16,800 --> 01:05:19,920 Speaker 1: get involved. No one's going to cry for Duke. Okay, 1051 01:05:20,240 --> 01:05:23,040 Speaker 1: you know they've got plenty of money, private school, all 1052 01:05:23,080 --> 01:05:25,960 Speaker 1: of that, and again they went and poached from Tulane, right, 1053 01:05:27,560 --> 01:05:30,800 Speaker 1: they were a predator it just turned out they had 1054 01:05:30,800 --> 01:05:33,520 Speaker 1: a larger predator coming after them. All right with that, 1055 01:05:34,440 --> 01:05:37,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a break for forty eight hours. I'm 1056 01:05:37,680 --> 01:05:42,240 Speaker 1: now getting into all Canes mode. Apparently we're supposed to 1057 01:05:42,280 --> 01:05:44,720 Speaker 1: wear orange at the game tomorrow, not green, so you're 1058 01:05:44,720 --> 01:05:47,040 Speaker 1: gonna see a lot of red and orange. So fix 1059 01:05:47,120 --> 01:05:50,400 Speaker 1: your TV screens so that you can see the distinction 1060 01:05:50,520 --> 01:05:52,200 Speaker 1: between the red and the orange. And let's hope it's 1061 01:05:52,240 --> 01:05:57,240 Speaker 1: at least fifty fifty. My prediction is if Miami wins, 1062 01:05:57,280 --> 01:06:02,880 Speaker 1: they win the game twenty four to seventeen. I don't 1063 01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:06,560 Speaker 1: expect a super high scoring, but I think we hold 1064 01:06:06,600 --> 01:06:12,919 Speaker 1: Indiana under twenty four points. So twenty four twenty four, 1065 01:06:13,080 --> 01:06:16,280 Speaker 1: Mimmy loses. I expect it to be something like twenty 1066 01:06:16,280 --> 01:06:21,920 Speaker 1: to seventeen. So there are your scores, there's your hot takes. 1067 01:06:22,440 --> 01:06:26,120 Speaker 1: Thanks for humoring me on this journey this year with 1068 01:06:26,200 --> 01:06:29,040 Speaker 1: the college football playoff. I did not expect that I 1069 01:06:29,080 --> 01:06:30,440 Speaker 1: was going to be able to ride this way all 1070 01:06:30,480 --> 01:06:33,720 Speaker 1: the way to the title game. That's been gravy, but 1071 01:06:34,320 --> 01:06:36,919 Speaker 1: that holy grail I can touch it. Let's go get 1072 01:06:36,920 --> 01:06:38,840 Speaker 1: that chip. See you in forty eight hours.