1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 1: Let's get to David Kirkpatrick now he's founder and editor 2 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: in chief of Taconomy to discuss the day's earnings from 3 00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:11,360 Speaker 1: Meta and David cootally sales falling for the first time ever. 4 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: I would have made to have to say about this. Well, 5 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:19,440 Speaker 1: they said that it's probably going to be difficult. Advertising 6 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: environment is going to continue, and I'm sure they're right 7 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: about that. The company is poorly positioned in a number 8 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 1: of ways, and um it's growth is going to be 9 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 1: dramatically less this year. It will still grow for the year, 10 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: but probably more than ten points less than it has 11 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: in other recent years. And you know, this is a 12 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 1: company that's never really been through a real downturn, which 13 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 1: is what the economy is dealing it now, and it's 14 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: just figuring out how to handle it. David. As you know, 15 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: these results mark the end of the career for ad Meta. 16 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: For Cheryl Sandberg, she's now stepping down as the chief 17 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 1: operating officer. What does her departure mean for this company 18 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:09,199 Speaker 1: as it faces a more challenging future. I think it's 19 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: poor timing for the company that Cheryl Sandberg is leaving now, 20 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 1: even though it seems to me that she hasn't done 21 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: as good a job as I would have hoped, and 22 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: I think many of us hoped in sort of restraining 23 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:26,919 Speaker 1: some of Zuckerberg's more destructive instincts. That she hasn't helped 24 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 1: enough to ameliorate harmful speech and political disinformation that's flowing 25 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 1: in country after country. But nonetheless, she is a more 26 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: experienced business leader than anyone else really at the company 27 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: and senior positions, and to lose her now when the 28 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 1: company is facing such extreme headwinds seems very unfortunate, really sad. 29 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 1: And I also think Facebook Meta is just not going 30 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 1: to feel the same without Cheryl Sandberg, even to its 31 00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 1: own employees, and I think that's a risky transition. Well, 32 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: we've got some other changing of the God's admit her 33 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: as well, and you SEEFO, how significant is this move? 34 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 1: I think it's not terribly significant, because you know, at Meta, 35 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:16,399 Speaker 1: nobody really has power except for Zuckerberg, which goes back 36 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,119 Speaker 1: to what I was saying about Cheryl Sandberg. She ended 37 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 1: up not really having power, which I think is one 38 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 1: reason she left. Dave Wayner, who has been the CFO since, 39 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: is moving into a Chief Strategy role, which is a 40 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 1: newly created position and one that I think, you know, 41 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:35,080 Speaker 1: may suit him. Uh. We we don't really know what 42 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 1: he's thinking about strategy would be, I don't think but uh. 43 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 1: And they've promoted somebody from within to be the new CFO. UM. 44 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 1: I don't see that as a major change in terms 45 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: of the company's long term direction. What they have to 46 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 1: deal with is a declining economic environment that hurts advertising 47 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 1: and a what I consider ill advised, early premature, shall 48 00:02:58,160 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 1: we say, transition to a metaverse growth strategy long before 49 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,679 Speaker 1: there's really a business there. And I think that that 50 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: is seriously problematic. But they're also being pressured, aren't they 51 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 1: not by competition from TikTok And what how are they 52 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: going to crack that nut? Well, that's a good question, 53 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,959 Speaker 1: It's absolutely true. I mean, TikTok is the increasing you know, 54 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,639 Speaker 1: bear in the room that's really threatening all the other 55 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: consumer social media companies, especially on Facebook metas Instagram product um. 56 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 1: And they are furiously attempting to change the design of 57 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: both Instagram and Facebook to put more short form video 58 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 1: that isn't created by your friends in front of the 59 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: average user, which is sort of the way that TikTok works. Um. 60 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: They don't really have an answer, though, I don't think 61 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: those efforts have born enough fruit even remotely. So far, 62 00:03:56,640 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: m TikTok continues to grow, continues to be by far 63 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: of the de facto choice of young people in pretty 64 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:07,119 Speaker 1: much every developed country and increasingly the developing world. So 65 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: it's a problem. It's a real problem. TikTok's executing beautifully. 66 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: Um Instagram and Facebook are not. I just want to 67 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: return to that remark that you made about the metaverse 68 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 1: and how the will may not quite be ready for it. 69 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: Can you explain your your logical a little bit more? Dan, Well, 70 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: you know, I think one of the reasons that Time 71 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 1: magazines new cover story is that the metaverse is going 72 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 1: to change everything. You know, Facebook meta really did an 73 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 1: extraordinarily successful pr move when it changed its name at 74 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: exactly the moment when criticism was at its height for 75 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: Facebook's failures to remediate harmful speech and disinformation, particularly in 76 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 1: the political realm, and they did a great job of 77 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 1: changing the narrative and the world ate it up. And now, 78 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: because this massive company changed its name, I think there 79 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:02,920 Speaker 1: it's become acceptable to believe that the metaverse is the 80 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 1: next phase of technology in the near term. I accept 81 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 1: that long term, some combination of virtual and physical and 82 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 1: you know, a r VR world will be a major, 83 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:19,039 Speaker 1: major opportunity for consumer tech, but it is not anywhere 84 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,280 Speaker 1: in the near term. And one reason it's not even 85 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:23,279 Speaker 1: if it were a big deal in the United States 86 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: and Europe. You know, this company's business is a global business. 87 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:31,599 Speaker 1: They're huge in India, Indonesia, South Africa, Brazil, et cetera. 88 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 1: Most of users in those places do not have high 89 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 1: bandwidth connections or technology that can really be used for 90 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 1: a metaverse type experience, and the chances that that will 91 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: happen in the near term, I think are very small. 92 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: So it's really a developed world strategy that's premature even 93 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: for the developer. Interesting too, today that we had the 94 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: FTC suing to block metas acquisition of the virtual reality 95 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:01,800 Speaker 1: company within limited, maybe that's gonna also create a bit 96 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: of uh, some restraint. David, Thanks for being with us 97 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: and sharing your perspective. Always appreciated. David Kirkpatrick, founder and 98 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 1: editor in chief Technoomy, discussing the meta earnings today and 99 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:15,039 Speaker 1: the disappointment on that front,