WEBVTT - Disney Taps Parks Chief Josh D’Amaro to Succeed Iger as CEO 

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<v Speaker 2>Walt Disney saying that Josh Tomorrow will succeed Bob Iger

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<v Speaker 2>as CEO of the company. This ends a three year

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<v Speaker 2>search to replace its long serving leader, who had to

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<v Speaker 2>come back after the first time around didn't quite work out.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's bring in Githa Ranganathen.

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<v Speaker 2>She is our US media analyst here at Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 2>And I want to contrast what happened this time around

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<v Speaker 2>with the succession planning Githa, with what happened in the

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<v Speaker 2>past when Bob Chapek, also of the Parks division, was

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<v Speaker 2>named CEO but didn't last too long on the job.

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<v Speaker 2>Can you compare and contrast the different succession efforts.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think it was a very different time Scarlet.

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<v Speaker 4>So remember he was appointed in February of twenty twenty.

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<v Speaker 4>March twenty twenty, everything closes down, including you know, Disney

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<v Speaker 4>Parks because of the pandemic. So it was kind of unfortunate.

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<v Speaker 4>The timing was all wrong, I would say for Bob Chapek.

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<v Speaker 4>And what happened then is, of course, you know, movies

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<v Speaker 4>were shut down a big part of Disney's business, movies

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<v Speaker 4>as well as the parks again. But then what really

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<v Speaker 4>kind of shot into prominence at that point was the

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<v Speaker 4>streaming business, a business that Bob Chapik was not really

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<v Speaker 4>very familiar with, and while he did have some experience

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<v Speaker 4>in content, obviously it was not enough. And we had

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<v Speaker 4>a whole bunch of different missteps with the content part

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<v Speaker 4>of the business, which kind of led to the whole

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<v Speaker 4>you know mess that we saw, you know follow I

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<v Speaker 4>think this time we were in a very very different position.

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<v Speaker 4>I think at that point Disney was still kind of

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<v Speaker 4>trying to figure out what it really was. Was it

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<v Speaker 4>a TV company, was it a studio, was it a

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<v Speaker 4>theme park company? Or was it really a streaming player?

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<v Speaker 4>And I think now the pieces have kind of fallen

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<v Speaker 4>in place. We are on much more steady ground. I

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<v Speaker 4>would say, you know, they have their clear mandates, whether

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<v Speaker 4>it isn't streaming, whether it's in studio, you know, the

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<v Speaker 4>clear what has really emerged clearly right now Scarlett is

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<v Speaker 4>that parks is the main core growth engine of the company,

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<v Speaker 4>and I think that is reflected in this choice today

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<v Speaker 4>with Josh Tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 5>So Keithan.

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<v Speaker 6>Josh is a twenty eight year veteran of Disney running

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<v Speaker 6>the parks. But of course the other big part of

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<v Speaker 6>the company is it's you know, entertainment business. Dana Walden

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<v Speaker 6>who runs the big part of that business, great reputation

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<v Speaker 6>in Hollywood. It's important to keep her at the Walt

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<v Speaker 6>Disney Company.

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<v Speaker 5>Are they going to be able to do that?

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<v Speaker 4>I absolutely think so. So, you know, they obviously this

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<v Speaker 4>was a very clever move by the board to kind

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<v Speaker 4>of create this new role for Dana Walden, make her

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<v Speaker 4>the president and the chief creative officer. They've never had

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<v Speaker 4>this before, but they specifically created this one for Dana Walden,

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<v Speaker 4>so that I think really kind of I think dispels

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of fears about what would happen from a

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<v Speaker 4>creative perspective. You know, last time, this was the same

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<v Speaker 4>problem that you know, many investors raised when Bob Japek

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<v Speaker 4>became CEO. So having her there in the creative role

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<v Speaker 4>I think definitely plays very well with Hollywood, with the

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<v Speaker 4>creative community. And ensures that, you know, Disney will still

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<v Speaker 4>have a top tier content coming to its streaming platforms

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<v Speaker 4>for the foreseeable future.

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<v Speaker 2>So Josh Deamarrow takes the job on March eighteenth, that's

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<v Speaker 2>when the succession is effective. And we talked about how

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<v Speaker 2>yesterday Disney came out with a forecast that was fairly tepid,

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<v Speaker 2>and one way of looking at that is it kind

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<v Speaker 2>of you know, clears the deck.

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<v Speaker 3>Lets him start off with the clean say.

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<v Speaker 2>And set expectations and kind of manage it for investors

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<v Speaker 2>a way that he sees fit. At what point does

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<v Speaker 2>he own everything that happens to Disney.

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<v Speaker 4>So actually a lot of the things that we're seeing

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<v Speaker 4>right now with the Parks has been under Josh Tomorrow's watch.

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<v Speaker 4>Remember once Bob Chapek was promoted to the CEO position,

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<v Speaker 4>Josh Tomorrow assumed the role of chief of the Parks,

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<v Speaker 4>and so all of the different initiatives that we've seen,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, whether it's Lightning Lane, whether it's Genie, whether

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<v Speaker 4>it's the sixty billion dollar expansion, a lot of that

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<v Speaker 4>has been you know Josh Tomorrow's doing. So yeah, I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>of course we're you know, I think the street is

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<v Speaker 4>definitely going to give him a few quarters to kind

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<v Speaker 4>of settle in, But he has pretty much been the architect,

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<v Speaker 4>along with Barb Aiger, I'm sure and the rest of

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<v Speaker 4>you know, the management team in kind of instituting the

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<v Speaker 4>strategy and making the parks a prominent, you know, part

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<v Speaker 4>of the portfolio going forward. So very soon, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the short answer, Scarlett is very soon. I think he

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<v Speaker 4>owns pretty much all of this right away.

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<v Speaker 6>In fact, Keith I five Josh Tomorrow, day one of

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<v Speaker 6>my tenure CEO. I would go and I would say, hey,

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<v Speaker 6>explain to me why we are not spinning out are

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<v Speaker 6>broadcasting cable networks. They are businesses that are in a

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<v Speaker 6>secular decline. They're dragging down our multiple Let's cut them loose.

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<v Speaker 6>Do you think that's even an option for the Walt

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<v Speaker 6>Disney Company.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it is. I think everybody is considering that

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<v Speaker 4>right now. I mean we've just seen what you know,

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<v Speaker 4>Warner Brothers Discovery has been able to achieve by kind

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<v Speaker 4>of separating out it's a studio and streaming from the

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<v Speaker 4>TV network's business. So I definitely would not rule that out.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm sure Disney will consider and Josh Tomorrow will consider

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<v Speaker 4>all options once he becomes CEO.

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<v Speaker 2>What happens to Jimmy Pataro over at ESPN, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>does that become part of the spinouts as Paul was

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<v Speaker 2>talking about it, Because there's different parts of Disney's media

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<v Speaker 2>business that are slowing down that are no longer the

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<v Speaker 2>crown rules the way they once were, whether you're talking

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<v Speaker 2>about the network television, or whether you're talking about ESPN,

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<v Speaker 2>or whether you're talking about the movie business.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think sports is still very core to Disney.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean they are so if you just kind of

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<v Speaker 4>look at the US sports landscape, ESPN actually owns majority

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<v Speaker 4>of the marquee US sports right almost about forty percent

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<v Speaker 4>of all sports viewing happens on ESPN platforms. So obviously

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<v Speaker 4>it's still very core to the company. As far as

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<v Speaker 4>Jimmy Pittaro is concerned. Scarlett, I mean, yes, he was

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<v Speaker 4>one of the you know, candidates that they were considering

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<v Speaker 4>to take on this job, but I think he himself

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<v Speaker 4>had many times indicated that he was not really interested

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<v Speaker 4>in the top spot. I think he kind of carries

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<v Speaker 4>on business as usual with ESPN. You know, it's a

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<v Speaker 4>little bit of a wait and watch what exactly happens

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<v Speaker 4>with the strategy. It is really instrumental, I think, to

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<v Speaker 4>their streaming business because you know, as they kind of

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<v Speaker 4>mentioned even yesterday on their earnings call, you know a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of people taking the bundle, the ESPN streaming plus

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<v Speaker 4>the Disney plus the Hulle. So it is a critical

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<v Speaker 4>portion of that. So I'm not really sure how exactly

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<v Speaker 4>a spinout Wood would work. But of course, again, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>we are in a very very different time and age,

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<v Speaker 4>and everybody is thinking about all possible options when it

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<v Speaker 4>comes to a media.

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<v Speaker 5>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarcklay and Android Auto

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<v Speaker 6>PayPal Holding said HP chief executive officer Enrique Lauris will

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<v Speaker 6>take the top job from Alex Chris, whose turnaround plan

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<v Speaker 6>failed to meet targets and streamline the payments business. The

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<v Speaker 6>stocks down nineteen percent today, fifty two week low, off

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<v Speaker 6>twenty seven percent year to date, off over fifty percent

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<v Speaker 6>over the trailing twelve months. This is a name I

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<v Speaker 6>thought at the beginning of this whole fintech thing that

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<v Speaker 6>this had This was a company that could really be

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<v Speaker 6>a leader there, but that has not been the case.

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<v Speaker 5>Dick sa Garrett joins us.

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<v Speaker 6>She's a senior fintech and payments analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence Dix.

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<v Speaker 5>Not a good day for PayPal. What's going on here?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, definitely right, like two big headlines. Hit At once

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<v Speaker 7>missed four Q expectations and then announced a CEO change.

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<v Speaker 7>So on the print side, adjusted EPs was about a

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<v Speaker 7>four percent miss and the revenue came in one percent lower,

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<v Speaker 7>and I should highlight this is like their first miss

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<v Speaker 7>in two years. But I think the bigger issue is

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<v Speaker 7>forward looking branded checkout, which is the main core high

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<v Speaker 7>margin business for PayPal that has slowed to one percent

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<v Speaker 7>in the fourth quarter. And PayPal is also flagging in

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<v Speaker 7>earnings decline for twenty twenty six, So those were the

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<v Speaker 7>key forward looking problem areas, and the CEO change definitely

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<v Speaker 7>was a surprise. I mean, the guidance division was driven

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<v Speaker 7>by their investments in some of the merchant business that

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<v Speaker 7>they're doing, but I think the market reaction goes beyond that.

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<v Speaker 7>I think it goes more around some of the serious

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<v Speaker 7>gaps that appear to have been discovered actually with Apple

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<v Speaker 7>Bay and all the product advancements that the competition has

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<v Speaker 7>come through, and I think, yeah, lots to unpack there today.

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<v Speaker 6>So just give us a sense of the competitive landscape

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<v Speaker 6>of the businesses that paypals and the financial technology and

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<v Speaker 6>kind of where do they fit in what are they

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<v Speaker 6>maybe not doing right here?

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<v Speaker 7>So PayPal has two parts of the ecosystem. It works

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<v Speaker 7>with the merchants where you see the PayPal button when

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<v Speaker 7>you check out, and it works with the consumers through

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<v Speaker 7>its app, the PayPal app and the Venmo app. What

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<v Speaker 7>is very interesting is that management kept highlighting execution, discipline

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<v Speaker 7>and prioritization, but honestly, like that is the main game.

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<v Speaker 7>PayPal's biggest A value ad is the two sided network.

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<v Speaker 7>They could not have afforded to either drop the merchant

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<v Speaker 7>or forget about the consumer. So it's been like it's

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<v Speaker 7>a very competitive landscape. You have Stripe, Aden, Apple, pay

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<v Speaker 7>Is you would have noticed recently revised their partnership from

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<v Speaker 7>they moved from Goldman's to JP Morgan. So everyone is

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<v Speaker 7>charging first there and PayPal needs to show up on

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<v Speaker 7>that and I thought they were getting that. But I

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<v Speaker 7>think this new CEO to change definitely puts a multi

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<v Speaker 7>year transformation back in the play now.

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<v Speaker 6>So what do you think is the is the next

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<v Speaker 6>step for this company here? I mean a can of

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<v Speaker 6>kind of remain competitive in this business going forward? Does

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<v Speaker 6>it need to think about a new structure or a

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<v Speaker 6>new strategy.

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<v Speaker 5>What do you think needs to happen here?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, that's the million dollar question, Paul. I think so

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<v Speaker 7>there are two things. One is, I think investors need

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<v Speaker 7>really need clarity now on how PayPal reaccelerates hiscore checkout business.

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<v Speaker 7>Is it conversion, is it pricing merchant value proposition, because

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<v Speaker 7>that's still the core engine. But I think secondly is

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<v Speaker 7>whether the new leadership really signals of broader strategic shakeup,

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<v Speaker 7>Like do they streamline initiatives, are they going to step

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<v Speaker 7>up cost discipline or capital return or if it doesn't

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<v Speaker 7>work out, maybe they'd consider like big assets like Venmo.

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<v Speaker 7>You know, strategically, the performance doesn't inflect from that.

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<v Speaker 6>So what's the fintech landscape like these Daystally, it seems

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<v Speaker 6>like it's very quickly evolving. Here, Just give us a

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<v Speaker 6>sense of the lay of the land airs ore. You

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<v Speaker 6>talk to anybody under the age of thirty, they ain't

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<v Speaker 6>got any cash in their pockets.

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<v Speaker 5>So what's the whole new world out there?

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<v Speaker 7>Yes, I'm with you that, which is why it was

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<v Speaker 7>quite interesting that they replaced Alex Chris is the CEO.

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<v Speaker 7>I think the landscape is intensely competitive. The two key

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<v Speaker 7>themes that are driving at the cutting edge of fintech

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<v Speaker 7>is the innovation around agentic payments, agentic commerce where paper

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<v Speaker 7>was showing up in a big way as well, and

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<v Speaker 7>stable coins, which is again like moving transactions on the blockchain.

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<v Speaker 7>And things are moving really fast, Paul, because as you

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<v Speaker 7>really pointed out, like nobody carries cash in their wallet.

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<v Speaker 7>The younger generations want transactions to happen in the flip

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<v Speaker 7>of a second. There is and you know, the base

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<v Speaker 7>at pitch software and AI has moved payments needs to

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<v Speaker 7>kind of keep pace with that. So and the regulatory

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<v Speaker 7>regime obviously has supported that as well. So there is

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<v Speaker 7>a lot going on, and I just worry that if

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<v Speaker 7>Peopal is going to get left behind.

0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:24.400
<v Speaker 5>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:32.000
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:12:32.120 --> 0:12:35.160
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:12:35.200 --> 0:12:38.520
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:41.680
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:44.240
<v Speaker 5>Pepsi out with some numbers today.

0:12:44.240 --> 0:12:47.480
<v Speaker 6>The earnings beat estimates, But for me, the big thing

0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:50.000
<v Speaker 6>is Pepsi's going to cut De Rito's prices by as

0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:52.440
<v Speaker 6>much as fifteen percent to boost demand.

0:12:52.440 --> 0:12:55.000
<v Speaker 5>When you see that, I just can't remember.

0:12:54.920 --> 0:12:56.000
<v Speaker 3>Double did your price cut?

0:12:56.040 --> 0:12:58.559
<v Speaker 6>Well, I just don't think you remember the prices of

0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:00.920
<v Speaker 6>sieyes one.

0:13:00.880 --> 0:13:02.880
<v Speaker 5>When all the supply chain stuff happened. Okay.

0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:05.040
<v Speaker 6>I could see how they were jacking up prices because

0:13:05.200 --> 0:13:09.320
<v Speaker 6>a pandemic, but they don't come down after the stuff's over,

0:13:09.480 --> 0:13:11.240
<v Speaker 6>do they. I mean, it's not like an avocado, which

0:13:11.280 --> 0:13:11.960
<v Speaker 6>is a commodity.

0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:14.160
<v Speaker 3>I want to see this charted out what it looks like.

0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:15.000
<v Speaker 5>Yes, over time.

0:13:15.160 --> 0:13:17.719
<v Speaker 6>Ken Chay, senior consumer Products analyst, joins us here from

0:13:17.720 --> 0:13:21.800
<v Speaker 6>Bloomberg Intelligence. Ken talk to us about Pepsi again. Came

0:13:21.800 --> 0:13:24.959
<v Speaker 6>out with some earnings results and then some interesting topics

0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:26.959
<v Speaker 6>about pricing some of their products.

0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:30.840
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, Hi, Paul, Yeah, PepsiCo's numbers today, as you alluded to,

0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:34.839
<v Speaker 8>they beat their expectations by a little bit. But I

0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:38.400
<v Speaker 8>think the broad takeaway for investors from today is that

0:13:38.480 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 8>PepsiCo is committed to bringing better focus to this company.

0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:45.400
<v Speaker 8>You know, I've covered this company a long time and

0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 8>it's it's primary competitors, Coca Cola, Cure, Doctor Pepper, you

0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:53.760
<v Speaker 8>can say, Primal Water Monster. How they different from PepsiCo

0:13:53.880 --> 0:13:58.400
<v Speaker 8>is the much more focused particularly specific categories. But PepsiCo,

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:03.480
<v Speaker 8>with the urge of the activists urging them on, is

0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:05.719
<v Speaker 8>bringing more focus to this company. And what I mean

0:14:05.800 --> 0:14:09.080
<v Speaker 8>is they're rationalizing a lot of the SKUs that really

0:14:09.160 --> 0:14:15.800
<v Speaker 8>aren't contributing much. They're consolidating plans, they are bringing more

0:14:15.880 --> 0:14:19.040
<v Speaker 8>rationality to the trade spending. So when I hear things

0:14:19.080 --> 0:14:22.160
<v Speaker 8>that like, you know, cutting prices, that's tactical. That's just

0:14:22.360 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 8>a way to move the need a little bit with

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 8>near term sales. But I think the bigger picture is

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 8>to bringing more focus to this enterprise, and I think

0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:31.960
<v Speaker 8>that's what's behind a lot of the enthusiasm behind the

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:33.800
<v Speaker 8>share price today, right.

0:14:33.840 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 2>I mean, investors are excited about it strategy as opposed

0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 2>to just kind of moving forward with the way it's

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:42.200
<v Speaker 2>always been. When it comes to those price cuts, though,

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:44.400
<v Speaker 2>I wonder if this is going to spark any kind

0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:48.040
<v Speaker 2>of price war, will other snack makers feel the pressure

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:50.680
<v Speaker 2>to also reduce prices, even if they've gone up quite

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:52.000
<v Speaker 2>a bit since the pandemic.

0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 8>That's possible, Scarlett. In the case of free too lay though,

0:14:56.760 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 8>they have such a dominant market share, and they have

0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:01.520
<v Speaker 8>like sixty percent of the market in the in the

0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:05.960
<v Speaker 8>measure channels, and when you have that much of a share,

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:10.440
<v Speaker 8>you deserve a premium. Particularly with Petsico's direct store delivery system.

0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:14.040
<v Speaker 8>What that means is that they help their retailers much

0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:16.720
<v Speaker 8>more than a lot of their competitors, and that is

0:15:17.480 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 8>they actually go to the store quickly, respond to out

0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:24.440
<v Speaker 8>of stocks, they help you know, position the product, they

0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:27.880
<v Speaker 8>create the end caps in the in the store. They

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:31.280
<v Speaker 8>do a lot more for the retailer than the competitors.

0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:35.840
<v Speaker 8>And so that's how they are helped to get premium pricing. So, yes,

0:15:35.880 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 8>they're rolling back some prices. You know, it's no secret

0:15:38.960 --> 0:15:41.160
<v Speaker 8>that price increases have been up quite a bit since

0:15:41.160 --> 0:15:44.800
<v Speaker 8>the pandemic, and a lot of it's cost driven. Uh

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:48.280
<v Speaker 8>and and private label has encroached a little bit on

0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:51.320
<v Speaker 8>PepsiCo share. But to answer your question directly, they are

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.400
<v Speaker 8>the dominant player. I would not expect them to give

0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:58.920
<v Speaker 8>back too much over time. And while their competitors may

0:15:59.320 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 8>cut price as well, I think retail would be alienating

0:16:03.320 --> 0:16:07.800
<v Speaker 8>consumers if they pushed too hard on Petsico's price increases

0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:08.760
<v Speaker 8>down the road.

0:16:09.080 --> 0:16:10.760
<v Speaker 5>I was just in the shop rate in Bellmart, New

0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:13.920
<v Speaker 5>Jersey yesterday. Lots of private label stuff on the shelves.

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:15.280
<v Speaker 5>I mean, prominent shows.

0:16:15.320 --> 0:16:16.160
<v Speaker 3>How are you reaching for this?

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:18.720
<v Speaker 5>I am in many cases. I am in many cases.

0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:20.680
<v Speaker 5>Ken talk to us about Elliott Management.

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:23.280
<v Speaker 6>They've been in this company, they've owned this stock here

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:24.440
<v Speaker 6>pushing for some change.

0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:26.600
<v Speaker 5>How much of an impact are they having.

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:30.840
<v Speaker 8>I think on the margin there's an impact. Poll maybe

0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 8>to the degree that Petsico is hastening. It's moved to

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:36.920
<v Speaker 8>more focus, you know a lot of the things that

0:16:36.960 --> 0:16:40.600
<v Speaker 8>it's been doing all along, and that is upbringing their

0:16:40.600 --> 0:16:44.680
<v Speaker 8>portfolio with more functionality. This is some of the things

0:16:44.720 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 8>we talked about in the past. They're bringing more protein

0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 8>to their mix, the poppy prebotic sodas, they're bringing i'm sorry,

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:56.320
<v Speaker 8>more fiber, the probiotic sodus. They're bringing more protein by

0:16:56.360 --> 0:17:02.600
<v Speaker 8>restaging muscle milk, so bringing more value to to the beverages.

0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:07.200
<v Speaker 8>So they've always been doing that, but to your question,

0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 8>Elliott is pushing them to do things like, Okay, you

0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:13.120
<v Speaker 8>can still do that, but also cut costs a little

0:17:13.119 --> 0:17:16.040
<v Speaker 8>more aggressively. You know, maybe maybe you don't need all

0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:19.679
<v Speaker 8>these plants, Maybe you can consolidate some. Maybe there's some SKUs,

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 8>you know, some products that aren't selling, well you can

0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:25.480
<v Speaker 8>roll those back. Be a little more nimble when it

0:17:25.640 --> 0:17:28.240
<v Speaker 8>comes to getting rid of some products that aren't winners,

0:17:28.440 --> 0:17:29.760
<v Speaker 8>because at the end of the day, you have to

0:17:29.760 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 8>grab as much shelf space as the retailer as possible,

0:17:33.040 --> 0:17:35.080
<v Speaker 8>and when you have products on the shelf that aren't moving,

0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:38.200
<v Speaker 8>you're not helping them, you know, with their business. So

0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:41.840
<v Speaker 8>be more a little more aggressive with that. So it's

0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:45.680
<v Speaker 8>helping and I think that's a positive thing for shareholders.

0:17:46.520 --> 0:17:48.360
<v Speaker 2>Is this a company that's going to have to separate

0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:50.159
<v Speaker 2>its drinks business from its back business.

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:54.200
<v Speaker 8>Well, that's the age old question we've been talking about

0:17:54.280 --> 0:17:57.119
<v Speaker 8>for a while. And as I mentioned, if it can

0:17:57.240 --> 0:18:00.280
<v Speaker 8>prove to the market that this increased focus that they

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 8>have with just doing their you know, daily business or

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:07.439
<v Speaker 8>running these operations, they can improve them. I think the

0:18:07.440 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 8>heat will be off for them to go to the

0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:13.760
<v Speaker 8>draconian measure of breaking up food and beverages. That's always,

0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:15.720
<v Speaker 8>you know, the wild card I think down the road,

0:18:16.000 --> 0:18:17.480
<v Speaker 8>and I think will be well received by the market

0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:20.960
<v Speaker 8>quite frankly, but I don't think it's necessary at this point.

0:18:21.680 --> 0:18:25.440
<v Speaker 6>What are you consumer product products companies telling you ken

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 6>about just the consumer out there?

0:18:29.440 --> 0:18:31.399
<v Speaker 8>Well, Altria just the other day. I mean, it's a

0:18:31.400 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 8>different market with cigarettes, you know. They noted that consumers

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 8>are still hesitant in paying up for premium products, and

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:42.000
<v Speaker 8>the cigarettes mentioned isn't the same category as salty snacks,

0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:46.119
<v Speaker 8>but they do note that consumers are reaching for the

0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 8>private label, the low priced alternative, more than they've done

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:51.400
<v Speaker 8>in the past, and so the extent of that that

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:54.520
<v Speaker 8>carries over to you know, sacks and beverages. I can

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:58.639
<v Speaker 8>see some parallel lines here, and as more companies, uh

0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 8>you know, release their numbers, I think that could be

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:04.160
<v Speaker 8>a common theme here that private labels encroaching and maybe

0:19:04.200 --> 0:19:06.959
<v Speaker 8>there needs to be some more deceleration in the uh,

0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 8>you know, reliance on price increases to stimulate sales growth.

0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 5>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up.

0:19:19.920 --> 0:19:23.639
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:30.120
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:19:30.160 --> 0:19:33.280
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:35.159
<v Speaker 3>It is earning season.

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:37.680
<v Speaker 2>We're knee deep in it and big pharma is reporting,

0:19:37.840 --> 0:19:40.360
<v Speaker 2>and let's start off with Pfizer. The shares are down

0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:44.399
<v Speaker 2>about three point four percent. Pfizer is trying to break

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:49.240
<v Speaker 2>into the anti obesity market, the you know, the diet pills,

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 2>we don't call it die pills, weight loss waits, yes,

0:19:52.240 --> 0:19:54.680
<v Speaker 2>and not getting very far in it. They've made some big,

0:19:54.720 --> 0:19:57.119
<v Speaker 2>big investments and it's time now to see how it's

0:19:57.160 --> 0:20:00.000
<v Speaker 2>all paying off or perhaps not. Sam Fizzelli is out

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:03.800
<v Speaker 2>our director of research for Global Industries and senior pharmaceuticals analysts,

0:20:03.800 --> 0:20:06.600
<v Speaker 2>and he's in London right now with a jacket that

0:20:06.680 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 2>says this.

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:12.080
<v Speaker 5>BI drug Boss. BI is Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:12.760
<v Speaker 3>And he's the drug Boss.

0:20:12.800 --> 0:20:13.920
<v Speaker 5>And he's the drug boss all right.

0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:17.199
<v Speaker 9>So your producer told me I can wear it, so

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:21.160
<v Speaker 9>if I shouldn't have, a very good friend of BI

0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 9>got this for me. So I thought that these ones

0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:26.520
<v Speaker 9>I should hear it otherwise that's my boring jacket on next.

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 2>No, no, no, we welcome it, mister drug boss, So

0:20:29.480 --> 0:20:30.760
<v Speaker 2>thank you for joining us again.

0:20:30.880 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 3>Sam.

0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:34.680
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk a little bit about these visor results because

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:37.520
<v Speaker 2>it feels like it's the you know, people aren't paying

0:20:37.560 --> 0:20:39.840
<v Speaker 2>that much attention to what happened in the fourth quarter

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:42.560
<v Speaker 2>or even the reaffirmed full year guidance. It's all about,

0:20:42.920 --> 0:20:46.320
<v Speaker 2>you know, the latest data on the obesity drug from

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:47.920
<v Speaker 2>met Sarah, which Vizer is purchasing.

0:20:49.200 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, yeah, so look they paid ten point one billion

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:53.760
<v Speaker 9>dollars for this and the share price is down three percent.

0:20:54.200 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 9>If it all to do with that, there is it

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:58.960
<v Speaker 9>people being reminded again that the next three four years

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 9>there's a may headwind from generic drugs coming for there

0:21:03.640 --> 0:21:07.960
<v Speaker 9>some of the key products on the market eyebrands, ex Standy,

0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:11.760
<v Speaker 9>et cetera. So that's partly the issue. And you know,

0:21:11.840 --> 0:21:14.800
<v Speaker 9>in order to deal with that, you need assets and

0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:17.440
<v Speaker 9>drugs that are going to try and hopefully fill the gap.

0:21:17.840 --> 0:21:19.919
<v Speaker 9>And maybe this is the problem with the data. The

0:21:19.960 --> 0:21:22.159
<v Speaker 9>thing is, we've looked at the data, as you know,

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:24.680
<v Speaker 9>we have very deep obousity analysis. We've looked at the

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:28.879
<v Speaker 9>data and it's not terrible. But as I said the

0:21:28.920 --> 0:21:31.880
<v Speaker 9>other day when Rash reported there's some numbers, I think

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:35.960
<v Speaker 9>folks are getting over this percentage here, percentage there. You

0:21:36.040 --> 0:21:38.439
<v Speaker 9>can only to the point going forward you can't, I

0:21:38.440 --> 0:21:41.240
<v Speaker 9>mean unless you give out somebody that are thirty forty weights,

0:21:41.280 --> 0:21:44.560
<v Speaker 9>which of course nobody wants. So this is getting to

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:47.439
<v Speaker 9>a point where now it comes to the nuance, and

0:21:47.480 --> 0:21:49.359
<v Speaker 9>unfortunately we don't have a lot of the nuance that

0:21:49.400 --> 0:21:53.080
<v Speaker 9>we need to know about this data set tolerability. And

0:21:53.160 --> 0:21:55.920
<v Speaker 9>it is good because it's a once monthly injection after

0:21:55.960 --> 0:21:58.760
<v Speaker 9>the first few weeks, so it's well set up, but

0:21:59.240 --> 0:22:01.200
<v Speaker 9>the market obviously doesn't like it because they're not getting

0:22:01.280 --> 0:22:04.880
<v Speaker 9>enough information about how good actually it is. Sam.

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:06.440
<v Speaker 6>It seems like if you want to be an investor

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:09.199
<v Speaker 6>in big cap farming, you really have to be a

0:22:09.240 --> 0:22:11.920
<v Speaker 6>stock picker. I've got stocks like Pfizer and Bristol on

0:22:11.960 --> 0:22:15.000
<v Speaker 6>a trailing twelve month basis that are down. But I've

0:22:15.000 --> 0:22:18.440
<v Speaker 6>got stocks like Johnson and Johnson and Eli Lilly and abby.

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:19.760
<v Speaker 5>V They're are big.

0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:22.679
<v Speaker 6>And is that just because they've got the right portfolio

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 6>of drugs and the others don't.

0:22:25.600 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 9>Entirely entirely about that what is. What you don't want

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:32.320
<v Speaker 9>is looking into the abyss of generic drugs coming for

0:22:32.400 --> 0:22:37.160
<v Speaker 9>your big earners with no obvious pipeline versus, let's take

0:22:37.160 --> 0:22:40.560
<v Speaker 9>it Johnson and Johnson. In this case, they have a

0:22:40.760 --> 0:22:45.200
<v Speaker 9>phenomenal set of drugs for the multiple miloma space or

0:22:46.160 --> 0:22:49.680
<v Speaker 9>a whole you know, other oncology spaces. This is the powerhouse.

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 9>And of course they've also still got the other divisions

0:22:52.800 --> 0:22:58.160
<v Speaker 9>medical devices growing quite nicely so and no massive I mean,

0:22:58.160 --> 0:23:01.800
<v Speaker 9>there's one that's coming up, big hole that's coming in

0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:04.440
<v Speaker 9>terms of generics, but they've still got these things that

0:23:04.480 --> 0:23:08.320
<v Speaker 9>are growing at phenomenal speed. And one of their drugs, Dolllects,

0:23:08.480 --> 0:23:11.320
<v Speaker 9>is very close to twenty billion dollars and that's just

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:14.760
<v Speaker 9>one indication in multiple myloma. So they've done everything right

0:23:14.800 --> 0:23:17.240
<v Speaker 9>in that case, and that's what the market likes.

0:23:17.440 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 2>So in other words, Sam, this is something that can

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 2>be managed. The fact that Pfiser hasn't managed this well

0:23:23.400 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 2>raises a lot of questions here, because I mean it's

0:23:26.600 --> 0:23:28.520
<v Speaker 2>not like just one day they woke up and oh,

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:31.679
<v Speaker 2>you know, there's suddenly a lot of competition for some

0:23:31.680 --> 0:23:34.119
<v Speaker 2>of their best selling drugs, or people are no longer

0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:38.440
<v Speaker 2>paying up for COVID treatments COVID vaccines. In terms of management,

0:23:38.680 --> 0:23:42.680
<v Speaker 2>do investors need to question whether adviser has right management

0:23:42.680 --> 0:23:43.040
<v Speaker 2>in place?

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:44.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah?

0:23:44.720 --> 0:23:48.520
<v Speaker 9>I mean, look, this is a tough game, right, not

0:23:48.600 --> 0:23:51.080
<v Speaker 9>a game of course, this is a very tough set

0:23:51.119 --> 0:23:56.000
<v Speaker 9>of issues to deal with. Creating pipeline takes a lot

0:23:56.040 --> 0:23:59.720
<v Speaker 9>of effort. Let's take Eli Lilly. For years, nobody was

0:23:59.760 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 9>paid too much attention to their potential margin expansion that

0:24:02.840 --> 0:24:05.520
<v Speaker 9>was coming and they were arguing for it, et cetera.

0:24:05.800 --> 0:24:08.320
<v Speaker 9>Maybe they were lucky they hit on these obesity drugs

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:10.920
<v Speaker 9>you get. Ask for Zeneca. It took quite a lot

0:24:10.920 --> 0:24:14.720
<v Speaker 9>of pain for Pascal Soio. You should write that ship

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:17.920
<v Speaker 9>when he took it. So management's part of it. Then

0:24:17.960 --> 0:24:20.920
<v Speaker 9>you need to be lucky. You cannot have just one

0:24:21.000 --> 0:24:23.960
<v Speaker 9>or the other and pipeline. You know, we'll see what

0:24:24.040 --> 0:24:26.520
<v Speaker 9>Filer shows us over time. They have assets that are

0:24:26.520 --> 0:24:29.160
<v Speaker 9>in earlier development that we need to start seeing their fruit.

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<v Speaker 6>Hey, Sam John from the Jersey Short times in any

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<v Speaker 6>ass will AI have a meaningful impact on coming up

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<v Speaker 6>with new drugs, new therapies?

0:24:36.920 --> 0:24:38.919
<v Speaker 5>Is this going to really be a game changer?

0:24:39.960 --> 0:24:42.560
<v Speaker 9>It will be. You need mich Colle Andrew galler on,

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 9>because it's done a lot of work on this, and yes,

0:24:45.000 --> 0:24:47.880
<v Speaker 9>the answer is it will be depending on what area

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<v Speaker 9>you're looking at. We think it can cut the time

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<v Speaker 9>to get a drug to market by a year or

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<v Speaker 9>so in the next five to ten years. By the

0:24:56.400 --> 0:25:00.280
<v Speaker 9>fact that you could use it for doing much better

0:25:00.320 --> 0:25:02.840
<v Speaker 9>work in the very early stage, in the pre clinical stage,

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<v Speaker 9>you can shave some serious time of that. We talk

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<v Speaker 9>to a lot of hospitals, a lot of clinicians, a

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:09.800
<v Speaker 9>lot of scientists, and they're all super excited by that.

0:25:10.080 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 9>One of the key things that people are using is

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<v Speaker 9>this thing called Alpha fold that was developed by Google's

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 9>Deep Mind, and that is really making a difference to

0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:21.400
<v Speaker 9>people hunting for drugs at that early stage.

0:25:21.440 --> 0:25:26.119
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