WEBVTT - Paul Vigna Discusses the Technology Behind Cryptocurrency

0:00:02.200 --> 0:00:06.800
<v Speaker 1>This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholts on Boomberg Radio.

0:00:09.720 --> 0:00:12.319
<v Speaker 1>This week on the podcast, I have a special guest,

0:00:12.480 --> 0:00:14.880
<v Speaker 1>my friend Paul Vigna has been a reporter with The

0:00:14.880 --> 0:00:17.880
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street Journal for a hundred and twenty years. He

0:00:18.040 --> 0:00:22.880
<v Speaker 1>is the author of multiple books on blockchain cryptocurrency bitcoin.

0:00:23.440 --> 0:00:26.040
<v Speaker 1>This is an area that is quite fascinating and a

0:00:26.120 --> 0:00:29.320
<v Speaker 1>little bit wonky, and if you are at all interested

0:00:29.440 --> 0:00:34.080
<v Speaker 1>in a crash course, I heartily recommend both of his books,

0:00:34.520 --> 0:00:37.040
<v Speaker 1>or you could spend the next ninety minutes listening to

0:00:37.200 --> 0:00:41.280
<v Speaker 1>us chat about all sorts of things involving bitcoin. And

0:00:41.320 --> 0:00:44.880
<v Speaker 1>to be honest, it's really me asking Poul questions and

0:00:45.000 --> 0:00:48.320
<v Speaker 1>him taking me to school about, uh, some of the

0:00:48.400 --> 0:00:54.639
<v Speaker 1>details history minutia about bitcoin. I am really intrigued at

0:00:54.640 --> 0:01:00.480
<v Speaker 1>how he breaks the entire blockchain slash bitcoin discussion into

0:01:00.680 --> 0:01:05.280
<v Speaker 1>three distinct groups. The first is the underlying software, the

0:01:05.319 --> 0:01:09.320
<v Speaker 1>technology of the distributed ledger a k A blockchain. Uh,

0:01:09.360 --> 0:01:13.600
<v Speaker 1>that's one. The second is really the fascinating group of

0:01:14.280 --> 0:01:19.399
<v Speaker 1>um cyberpunks and libertarians and and just generally kind of

0:01:19.400 --> 0:01:24.160
<v Speaker 1>wacky dudes. And it's mostly dudes who um become enamorative

0:01:24.200 --> 0:01:28.040
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin in the early days and help take it viral

0:01:28.200 --> 0:01:33.959
<v Speaker 1>from this open source software program to really a a

0:01:34.000 --> 0:01:38.399
<v Speaker 1>full blown phenomena and now arguably a bubble in in

0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the actual coins itself. And that's the third part. The

0:01:41.880 --> 0:01:46.199
<v Speaker 1>bit coins, the transactions, the mania surrounding the trading. That's

0:01:46.200 --> 0:01:51.360
<v Speaker 1>a different issue than either the people behind it or

0:01:51.480 --> 0:01:55.640
<v Speaker 1>or the technology underlying it. I found the conversation fascinating.

0:01:56.080 --> 0:01:59.360
<v Speaker 1>I think you will also, with no further ado, my

0:01:59.520 --> 0:02:05.640
<v Speaker 1>conversation Nation with Paul Vinya. This is Master's in Business

0:02:05.880 --> 0:02:12.000
<v Speaker 1>with Barry rid Holts on Bloomberg Radio. I'm Barry Ridhults.

0:02:12.040 --> 0:02:15.600
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My

0:02:15.680 --> 0:02:19.240
<v Speaker 1>guest today is Paul Viena. For the past twenty years

0:02:19.680 --> 0:02:23.400
<v Speaker 1>he has been a journalist covering markets in the economy

0:02:23.440 --> 0:02:26.880
<v Speaker 1>for such August outfits as Dow Jones and The Wall

0:02:26.919 --> 0:02:31.120
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal. He is the co author, with Michael Casey,

0:02:31.160 --> 0:02:36.240
<v Speaker 1>of two fascinating books on blockchain and bitcoin. His first

0:02:36.240 --> 0:02:41.600
<v Speaker 1>book was The Age of Cryptocurrency, How Bitcoin Is Challenging

0:02:41.639 --> 0:02:45.880
<v Speaker 1>the Global Economy, and his latest book, The Truth Machine,

0:02:46.440 --> 0:02:49.880
<v Speaker 1>Blockchain and the Future of Everything, was just released to

0:02:50.080 --> 0:02:54.840
<v Speaker 1>excellent reviews. Paul Viena. Welcome to Bloomberg, Barry Hults, how

0:02:54.880 --> 0:02:58.320
<v Speaker 1>are you very very well, let's let's jump right into

0:02:58.360 --> 0:03:01.919
<v Speaker 1>the bitcoin conversation. And you know more about this than

0:03:02.000 --> 0:03:05.720
<v Speaker 1>just about anybody I know. That's a totally untrue statement.

0:03:06.480 --> 0:03:08.200
<v Speaker 1>Well you don't, I know, I know something, I know

0:03:08.320 --> 0:03:11.040
<v Speaker 1>some about it. Well you don't know the people I know,

0:03:11.160 --> 0:03:14.480
<v Speaker 1>and apparently everybody else knows less than you. So it's

0:03:14.520 --> 0:03:19.000
<v Speaker 1>a flawa running. That's right. But let me ask you

0:03:19.040 --> 0:03:24.400
<v Speaker 1>this question. What was the initial idea behind the entire

0:03:24.480 --> 0:03:29.080
<v Speaker 1>concept of bitcoin? The initial idea that So this comes

0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:32.280
<v Speaker 1>out in October two thousand and eight, some guy names

0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:34.600
<v Speaker 1>to Toshi Nakamoto. Nobody knows who he is? Is that

0:03:34.639 --> 0:03:37.960
<v Speaker 1>a real name? Is that us? Nobody knows what his

0:03:38.000 --> 0:03:39.800
<v Speaker 1>real name is? Who he is? If it's a team

0:03:39.840 --> 0:03:42.640
<v Speaker 1>of people, you know, it's it's a whole mystery. So

0:03:42.680 --> 0:03:46.720
<v Speaker 1>this white paper comes out to Toshy Nakamoto, uh bitcoin A.

0:03:47.440 --> 0:03:49.560
<v Speaker 1>I forget the exact title, but basically the point is

0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:54.000
<v Speaker 1>what he is creating is a digital version of cash. So,

0:03:54.000 --> 0:03:56.240
<v Speaker 1>in other words, if you're a shopkeeper and I come

0:03:56.240 --> 0:03:57.640
<v Speaker 1>in for a cup of coffee or whatever, I hand

0:03:57.680 --> 0:04:00.680
<v Speaker 1>you a five dollar bill. That is the transaction. What

0:04:00.760 --> 0:04:04.560
<v Speaker 1>Knakamoto was trying to do was replicate that transaction digitally

0:04:04.840 --> 0:04:08.360
<v Speaker 1>on the internet, meaning no paper, no credit card, no

0:04:08.360 --> 0:04:11.840
<v Speaker 1>no paper, no credit card, and also an immediate transaction

0:04:12.360 --> 0:04:16.039
<v Speaker 1>between just you and I that nobody else sees another

0:04:16.080 --> 0:04:20.080
<v Speaker 1>word party, government, no banks, no credit card, nobody exactly,

0:04:20.120 --> 0:04:22.560
<v Speaker 1>just buyer and seller, right, just buyer and seller, peer

0:04:22.640 --> 0:04:26.640
<v Speaker 1>to peer electronic money. That was the original idea. It

0:04:26.680 --> 0:04:28.440
<v Speaker 1>sounds like a good idea. It sounds like a good idea,

0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:30.720
<v Speaker 1>sounds like a simple idea, right. And and remember this

0:04:30.800 --> 0:04:32.960
<v Speaker 1>is two thousand and eight, right in the middle of

0:04:32.960 --> 0:04:37.040
<v Speaker 1>the financial crisis, where confidence in banks and governments or

0:04:37.480 --> 0:04:41.520
<v Speaker 1>record lows. So alright, so he comes up publishes this

0:04:41.600 --> 0:04:44.440
<v Speaker 1>white paper. How do you get from and where was

0:04:44.440 --> 0:04:46.760
<v Speaker 1>the white paper published? We just released it online just

0:04:47.279 --> 0:04:49.880
<v Speaker 1>to Originally it was to this uh, I think it

0:04:49.960 --> 0:04:52.040
<v Speaker 1>was on an email list, sir, you know, one of

0:04:52.080 --> 0:04:55.359
<v Speaker 1>those distributions. So, so, how do you get from a

0:04:55.560 --> 0:05:00.599
<v Speaker 1>white paper to an actual blockchain technology g and a

0:05:00.800 --> 0:05:04.360
<v Speaker 1>coin that starts to appreciate in value almost immedia. So

0:05:04.400 --> 0:05:08.480
<v Speaker 1>what the white paper was describing was a computer program,

0:05:08.560 --> 0:05:11.880
<v Speaker 1>and the goal of the computer program was to create

0:05:12.120 --> 0:05:15.520
<v Speaker 1>this digital money, this peer to peer electronic version of cash.

0:05:15.920 --> 0:05:18.799
<v Speaker 1>So he releases the white paper in October two thousand

0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:24.400
<v Speaker 1>and eight and puts the program online. So he set

0:05:24.480 --> 0:05:27.720
<v Speaker 1>up the program. Was more than a white paper, It

0:05:27.760 --> 0:05:29.680
<v Speaker 1>was a paper describing what he's doing. He wrote the

0:05:29.680 --> 0:05:32.440
<v Speaker 1>program too, puts the program online in January of two

0:05:32.440 --> 0:05:35.599
<v Speaker 1>thousand and nine as an open source project where and

0:05:35.640 --> 0:05:38.680
<v Speaker 1>anyone is open to participate in building it. So let's

0:05:38.720 --> 0:05:43.760
<v Speaker 1>describe that. So building the software or building the coins themselves. Well,

0:05:43.760 --> 0:05:47.279
<v Speaker 1>the software, So you know, he releases version zero point

0:05:47.400 --> 0:05:51.440
<v Speaker 1>zero of bitcoin, and what he is looking for our collaborators.

0:05:51.440 --> 0:05:53.760
<v Speaker 1>He's looking for people to come on and help develop

0:05:53.839 --> 0:05:56.039
<v Speaker 1>the program. In other words, again, you know a company

0:05:56.080 --> 0:05:58.760
<v Speaker 1>like Microsoft, like Apple, whatever, they have teams of developer

0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:03.640
<v Speaker 1>building a thousand. This is a a different kind of

0:06:03.720 --> 0:06:07.240
<v Speaker 1>version of that. You're talking about developing a software program,

0:06:07.400 --> 0:06:11.680
<v Speaker 1>but you're looking for collaborators like Linux is a great

0:06:11.680 --> 0:06:14.839
<v Speaker 1>example of it of an open source program. So that's

0:06:14.839 --> 0:06:17.360
<v Speaker 1>what he releases. And again it's it's very key I

0:06:17.400 --> 0:06:19.640
<v Speaker 1>think that you mentioned this is all happening during the

0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:24.280
<v Speaker 1>financial crisis. This is a time where the the existing

0:06:24.480 --> 0:06:30.279
<v Speaker 1>financial infrastructure has shown that it is just hopelessly conflicted,

0:06:30.640 --> 0:06:34.600
<v Speaker 1>hopelessly corrupted. In this Philip Right, we could do a

0:06:34.600 --> 0:06:37.200
<v Speaker 1>whole radio show on just that. I could write a

0:06:37.240 --> 0:06:39.280
<v Speaker 1>book on it. You could write a book on some

0:06:39.360 --> 0:06:43.479
<v Speaker 1>of us have right bailout nation. People are interested in

0:06:43.520 --> 0:06:47.520
<v Speaker 1>alternatives the existing the warts of the existing system have

0:06:47.640 --> 0:06:50.240
<v Speaker 1>been shown. People are looking for an alternative. He comes

0:06:50.320 --> 0:06:52.840
<v Speaker 1>up with an alternative and people take to it, and

0:06:52.839 --> 0:06:55.080
<v Speaker 1>it kind of goes viral. It takes a little while,

0:06:55.360 --> 0:06:59.520
<v Speaker 1>but inside this community of uh they call him cipher punks,

0:06:59.600 --> 0:07:05.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, anarchists, libertarians, coders, tinkerers, this small clack, this

0:07:05.120 --> 0:07:08.280
<v Speaker 1>thing does go viral and it starts getting this community

0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:11.720
<v Speaker 1>very quickly around. Initially a lot of skepticism, but once

0:07:11.760 --> 0:07:13.840
<v Speaker 1>it goes live and they see it working, people start

0:07:13.880 --> 0:07:16.280
<v Speaker 1>coming on and and and originally what you have is

0:07:16.320 --> 0:07:21.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of again tinkerers, programmers, anarchists, cypherpunk's. This small

0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:24.520
<v Speaker 1>group it grows within that probably takes a couple of

0:07:24.600 --> 0:07:27.960
<v Speaker 1>years until it starts hitting the mainstream. So let's talk

0:07:28.000 --> 0:07:31.280
<v Speaker 1>about that period before it ramps into the mainstream. You

0:07:31.400 --> 0:07:36.480
<v Speaker 1>download the software you want to create coins, so you

0:07:36.560 --> 0:07:40.760
<v Speaker 1>have to solve a complicated mathematical problem, and there's only

0:07:40.960 --> 0:07:44.560
<v Speaker 1>a finite number of potential coins twenty one millions, right,

0:07:45.240 --> 0:07:49.360
<v Speaker 1>what bitcoin has? It's really actually and to degreed to

0:07:49.480 --> 0:07:52.720
<v Speaker 1>the degree that I understand coding and programming at all, Uh,

0:07:52.880 --> 0:07:57.000
<v Speaker 1>it's really it's a very elegant program. The idea is

0:07:57.320 --> 0:08:01.880
<v Speaker 1>to create a program that can support a currency, a

0:08:01.920 --> 0:08:06.880
<v Speaker 1>digital currency that does not need a centralized party controlling it.

0:08:07.200 --> 0:08:10.480
<v Speaker 1>In other words, you don't have a computer company running

0:08:10.480 --> 0:08:12.920
<v Speaker 1>the software and responsible for it. You don't have a

0:08:13.000 --> 0:08:15.680
<v Speaker 1>government or a bank running the software, responsible for the

0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:18.520
<v Speaker 1>software and the currency. You have to come up with

0:08:18.520 --> 0:08:21.240
<v Speaker 1>a way to create a system that can opt that

0:08:21.240 --> 0:08:25.760
<v Speaker 1>can be self self sustaining by this sort of decentralized

0:08:25.760 --> 0:08:28.680
<v Speaker 1>group of people. So within that there are a bunch

0:08:28.760 --> 0:08:30.720
<v Speaker 1>of ways that he There are a bunch of levers

0:08:30.720 --> 0:08:33.360
<v Speaker 1>that he pulls to make that happen. One of them

0:08:33.640 --> 0:08:37.360
<v Speaker 1>is you you want to you want to you want

0:08:37.360 --> 0:08:38.640
<v Speaker 1>people to come on or you want to people to

0:08:38.640 --> 0:08:40.480
<v Speaker 1>download the software. You want people to run it. You

0:08:40.520 --> 0:08:43.320
<v Speaker 1>need people to run the software for the program to work, obviously, right,

0:08:43.480 --> 0:08:45.440
<v Speaker 1>how do you do that? How do you entice people

0:08:45.720 --> 0:08:49.960
<v Speaker 1>to contribute their computing power to a volunteer project. Well,

0:08:50.040 --> 0:08:51.840
<v Speaker 1>one way you do it is your reward them. What

0:08:51.880 --> 0:08:56.680
<v Speaker 1>do you reward them with bitcoin? So the way bitcoin

0:08:56.840 --> 0:09:02.040
<v Speaker 1>is created is you download the software. You are contributing

0:09:02.240 --> 0:09:05.800
<v Speaker 1>your computing power to the network. What you are really

0:09:05.840 --> 0:09:09.040
<v Speaker 1>doing is you are confirming transactions. That's sort of the

0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:13.719
<v Speaker 1>live operation of this software is you and I trade, Right,

0:09:14.040 --> 0:09:18.920
<v Speaker 1>So my mobile app on my phone, I used to

0:09:18.960 --> 0:09:21.839
<v Speaker 1>send you five bitcoin. Now five bitcoin would be like

0:09:21.840 --> 0:09:24.559
<v Speaker 1>a hundred thousand dollars. I'm not sending you that. Then

0:09:24.600 --> 0:09:29.520
<v Speaker 1>it was pennies. How did that leap from that period

0:09:29.600 --> 0:09:34.600
<v Speaker 1>to bursting into the mainstream? So the program is released

0:09:34.600 --> 0:09:37.120
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and nine, two thousand nine, two ten.

0:09:37.280 --> 0:09:39.400
<v Speaker 1>It is like I said that this small group of

0:09:39.440 --> 0:09:46.880
<v Speaker 1>codas tinkerers, programmers, anarchists, libertarians, cypher punks, uh and the currency.

0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:49.760
<v Speaker 1>And you know it's funny people argue, is that a

0:09:49.840 --> 0:09:51.679
<v Speaker 1>currency is not whatever I'm gonna call it a currency.

0:09:51.760 --> 0:09:55.599
<v Speaker 1>For um, it really had no actual value, right, I

0:09:55.640 --> 0:09:58.240
<v Speaker 1>mean it was it was a program that these guys

0:09:58.280 --> 0:10:00.520
<v Speaker 1>were using. There was nothing in the real world you

0:10:00.559 --> 0:10:02.960
<v Speaker 1>could do with it. You could argue that any currency's

0:10:03.080 --> 0:10:06.839
<v Speaker 1>value is only the populace is willingness to assign it

0:10:06.920 --> 0:10:10.400
<v Speaker 1>a value. Well, of course, right, So so no currency

0:10:10.440 --> 0:10:12.120
<v Speaker 1>has a value unless people are willing to use it

0:10:12.120 --> 0:10:17.600
<v Speaker 1>as a medium of exactly the very first time bitcoin

0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:21.280
<v Speaker 1>gets used to buy something in the real world is

0:10:22.800 --> 0:10:27.600
<v Speaker 1>programmer in Florida. Uh, this programmer and Florida, Da says

0:10:28.200 --> 0:10:31.000
<v Speaker 1>that he on a on a message board. He says,

0:10:31.040 --> 0:10:34.240
<v Speaker 1>I will give anyone ten thousand bitcoin if you'll buy

0:10:34.280 --> 0:10:36.719
<v Speaker 1>me two pizzas. So, in other words, he wants to

0:10:36.760 --> 0:10:38.920
<v Speaker 1>show that bitcoin can be used to buy things, but

0:10:39.000 --> 0:10:41.160
<v Speaker 1>he can't do it directly because no one's gonna take

0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:43.520
<v Speaker 1>a bitcoin because to start out, it's just amongst that.

0:10:43.600 --> 0:10:47.880
<v Speaker 1>It's just among the uh, the pizza places don't have

0:10:48.000 --> 0:10:51.400
<v Speaker 1>a bitcoin swipe here for bitcoin. So this guy, and

0:10:51.480 --> 0:10:54.160
<v Speaker 1>it's a pretty famous story, you know, he has this

0:10:54.280 --> 0:10:56.880
<v Speaker 1>open offer. He says, I'll give anyone ten thousand bitcoin

0:10:56.920 --> 0:10:59.199
<v Speaker 1>if you buy me two pizzas. And he does that

0:10:59.320 --> 0:11:02.160
<v Speaker 1>for about two weeks, and people are sending pizzas to

0:11:02.240 --> 0:11:04.520
<v Speaker 1>his house and he's sending them ten thousand, multiple pizzas,

0:11:04.640 --> 0:11:08.400
<v Speaker 1>multiple pizzas. Yeah, the first one was I forget that

0:11:08.600 --> 0:11:10.720
<v Speaker 1>early in May, and then he kept this thing open

0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:12.920
<v Speaker 1>for about two weeks and he probably you know, spent

0:11:12.960 --> 0:11:15.480
<v Speaker 1>about two hundred thousand bitcoin on it, which is to

0:11:15.640 --> 0:11:19.439
<v Speaker 1>day of fortune God. But that was the first time

0:11:20.240 --> 0:11:23.160
<v Speaker 1>that it was proven that you could actually use this

0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:25.680
<v Speaker 1>to buy something in the world, real world, It could

0:11:25.760 --> 0:11:30.600
<v Speaker 1>actually work as a currency. At that point it starts changing.

0:11:31.080 --> 0:11:35.000
<v Speaker 1>Now people realize there's something here, and of course at

0:11:35.080 --> 0:11:39.599
<v Speaker 1>the very beginning, it's really only being used basically on

0:11:39.679 --> 0:11:41.439
<v Speaker 1>the dark web, right, I mean, people who want to

0:11:41.440 --> 0:11:46.640
<v Speaker 1>buy and sell things sociately. He was the early criticism

0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:51.360
<v Speaker 1>that I recall hearing about this is used for drugs,

0:11:51.480 --> 0:11:55.120
<v Speaker 1>this is used for human trafficking, this is used to

0:11:55.200 --> 0:11:58.839
<v Speaker 1>buy hitmen, this is used for all sorts of nefarious things,

0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:02.240
<v Speaker 1>and there for it will never be incredible well product.

0:12:02.240 --> 0:12:04.719
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the answer to that is there are two

0:12:04.720 --> 0:12:06.559
<v Speaker 1>answers to that. The first answer is, yes, it is

0:12:06.640 --> 0:12:08.760
<v Speaker 1>being used for that, but that is not the main

0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:10.960
<v Speaker 1>It really isn't the main use of it. It's still there.

0:12:11.240 --> 0:12:13.440
<v Speaker 1>And look, we're in the media. We love sensational stories

0:12:13.480 --> 0:12:15.599
<v Speaker 1>and we tell those stories, but it really is a

0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:21.680
<v Speaker 1>very small percentage of overall bitcoin track and the dollars

0:12:21.720 --> 0:12:24.000
<v Speaker 1>so is the year. I mean, every currency is used,

0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:28.360
<v Speaker 1>So that's not really criticism of bitcoin, that's a criticism

0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:35.040
<v Speaker 1>of currency. Right, So people start realizing this can be

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:37.280
<v Speaker 1>used to buy and sell things. And what is the

0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 1>price of bitcoin back then? Oh, I think it's in

0:12:41.440 --> 0:12:43.960
<v Speaker 1>the single dollars. It's in the single dollar. I mean,

0:12:43.960 --> 0:12:46.160
<v Speaker 1>if we pulled up the chart, we could find out, uh,

0:12:46.440 --> 0:12:49.720
<v Speaker 1>it's in the it's it is in single dollars around

0:12:49.880 --> 0:12:53.360
<v Speaker 1>the same time, and we're not to go into the hold.

0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 1>But anyhow, in it starts getting out of this small

0:12:58.520 --> 0:13:02.959
<v Speaker 1>sort of cipher on uh programm or community, and it

0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:06.720
<v Speaker 1>starts permeating a little bit into the mainstream really into

0:13:06.760 --> 0:13:10.199
<v Speaker 1>sort of more the the the tech press, the tech mainstream.

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 1>From there probably around starts hitting the mainstream mainstream. Because

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:19.480
<v Speaker 1>I remember first reading about it in early July, it

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:25.120
<v Speaker 1>finally gets over ten dollars exactly ten dollars, right, so

0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 1>inteen it kind of has its first wave of mainstream

0:13:32.360 --> 0:13:36.520
<v Speaker 1>uh awareness, almost runs by November that year, it's just

0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:40.559
<v Speaker 1>under a thousand dollars itself. Is a great run from

0:13:40.600 --> 0:13:43.680
<v Speaker 1>ten box. Now. Yeah, also remember too, and your audience

0:13:43.679 --> 0:13:46.079
<v Speaker 1>will appreciate this and you will too. The thing you

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:48.400
<v Speaker 1>have to keep in mind when you're talking about bitcoin

0:13:48.440 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 1>in the price of it, you have to keep in

0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:53.599
<v Speaker 1>mind that this is still a relatively small market, a

0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.800
<v Speaker 1>relatively a liquid market, and it is a relatively one

0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:59.640
<v Speaker 1>way market, meaning you could buy it, but it's very

0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:02.800
<v Speaker 1>hard to actually convert that into cash. Yeah, it's well,

0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 1>it's difficult to convert into cash. It's difficult to sell it.

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:09.199
<v Speaker 1>Uh it. You know, they're look, they're just starting to

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:12.439
<v Speaker 1>build derivative products, they're just starting to build different more

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 1>more you know, intricate ways to bet on, bick on

0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:16.839
<v Speaker 1>things that are in the market right now. It is

0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:20.640
<v Speaker 1>also a market that run has no there's no closing bell,

0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:23.880
<v Speaker 1>there's no circuit breakers. It goes in whatever direction it is.

0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:27.880
<v Speaker 1>It is wild West of trade. If you like open markets,

0:14:28.080 --> 0:14:30.120
<v Speaker 1>there has never been a more open market than this

0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:32.240
<v Speaker 1>you have, So you have to keep that in mindment

0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:34.200
<v Speaker 1>talking about the price. The price can go in crazy

0:14:34.280 --> 0:14:39.880
<v Speaker 1>directions because of those reasons. But it goes from ten

0:14:40.000 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>to eighty, back down or whatever. Then you know, in

0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 1>the second half of the year it goes up to

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:47.360
<v Speaker 1>almost a thousand. You have an exchange called mount Cox

0:14:47.520 --> 0:14:50.440
<v Speaker 1>which was handling about seven year eighty percent of all

0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:56.000
<v Speaker 1>the trading and Mount Cox was a terribly created financial exchange.

0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 1>It was just bad. It was not they call not secure,

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:02.680
<v Speaker 1>are not well built, not well constructed, and all the

0:15:02.760 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>money is going through it, so the liquidity there is

0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:07.800
<v Speaker 1>almost nothing. So when Mount Cock shuts down and you

0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:11.280
<v Speaker 1>can't get your money out easily, what do you do

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:13.400
<v Speaker 1>to get your money out? What you gotta offer higher prices,

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 1>really higher prices just a big reason why to sell.

0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 1>So you're offering higher prices to sell or lower I

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 1>would think you're offering lower prices to sell the only

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 1>way you can get it out because withdrawals were limited,

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:31.440
<v Speaker 1>so and it was thin. There was not a lot

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:34.400
<v Speaker 1>of liquidity, so you know, you gotta entice people to sell,

0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:36.840
<v Speaker 1>so you're offering higher prices. So the price goes flying up.

0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 1>It kind of comes down a little bit. Now you're

0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 1>now you're starting to get more and more in the mainstream.

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:47.880
<v Speaker 1>People are seeing it and you what you have though,

0:15:48.200 --> 0:15:53.000
<v Speaker 1>is again still longer. It's still completely a volunteer community.

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:55.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this thing is just being built by volunteers,

0:15:55.480 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>by volunteer coders. You're starting to have some people realize

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:01.440
<v Speaker 1>that there's money to be aid here. And you're starting

0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 1>to have people try to build businesses on top of bitcoin,

0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 1>and that was sort of the um and that was

0:16:10.720 --> 0:16:13.200
<v Speaker 1>sort of the first time you have some infrastructure being

0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:16.000
<v Speaker 1>put around this computer program that I was talking about before.

0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:19.160
<v Speaker 1>And importantly too, I think there are I think there

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:20.480
<v Speaker 1>are a couple of things that you have to keep

0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:22.280
<v Speaker 1>in mind when you're talking about bitcoin, and I think

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 1>this is why people kind of get so screwed up

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:27.680
<v Speaker 1>about it. There are really three main things there. And again,

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 1>this is one of the reasons why I love this

0:16:29.240 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 1>so much as a writer. There are so many angles,

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:34.000
<v Speaker 1>there are so many stories. You have to keep in mind.

0:16:34.040 --> 0:16:36.000
<v Speaker 1>A couple of things. One, this is a computer program.

0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:39.240
<v Speaker 1>That is really what this is. If Microsoft in two

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 1>thousand and nine had said, hey, you know what, We've

0:16:41.440 --> 0:16:44.160
<v Speaker 1>come out with a new feature on Excel that will

0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 1>allow people to run a shared database that will be

0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 1>all all your transactions that you put onto This database

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:55.120
<v Speaker 1>will be recorded, an exact copy, will be distributed to

0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:59.360
<v Speaker 1>everybody in real time, and it will be cryptographically secure.

0:16:59.720 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 1>It will be impossible to counterfeit, to create false entries.

0:17:03.920 --> 0:17:07.560
<v Speaker 1>It is an open source, a transparent database that an

0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:10.440
<v Speaker 1>entire community can run and can feel confident that it's

0:17:10.480 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 1>real and well. You would have said, Okay, that's nice,

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 1>and Microsoft probably would have done well, and you would

0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:17.399
<v Speaker 1>have said, oh, Sati has come up with a new product.

0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:19.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, he's really doing a good job over at Microsoft,

0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:20.440
<v Speaker 1>and that would have been the end of it. It

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:24.080
<v Speaker 1>would have been a nice program. However, what you have

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 1>with bitcoin is you have the program, you have the

0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:28.560
<v Speaker 1>time that it was released. Like you said, people looking

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:31.040
<v Speaker 1>for alternative way to do things, so you have this

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:33.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of viral community grow up around it. Personally, I

0:17:33.840 --> 0:17:38.000
<v Speaker 1>think bitcoin is one of the three big social movements

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.320
<v Speaker 1>that erupted out of two thousand and eight. You have

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:43.080
<v Speaker 1>the tea party you had to occupy, and you have bitcoin.

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:46.480
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin is a social movement and that is why people

0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 1>are so passionate about it. This is not just a

0:17:49.920 --> 0:17:52.719
<v Speaker 1>computer program, This is not just digits, ones and zeros.

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:56.160
<v Speaker 1>This is a new way to build finance, to build

0:17:56.200 --> 0:18:01.080
<v Speaker 1>a financial infrastructure. That's fascinating. Let's talk a bit about

0:18:01.320 --> 0:18:06.160
<v Speaker 1>your career as a journalist covering markets and the economy

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 1>and how that morphed into your coverage on bitcoin. How

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:13.200
<v Speaker 1>did you get into financial journalism, what what led you

0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:16.359
<v Speaker 1>to your first first gig. Oh my god. Well, I

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 1>mean it was quite simply. It was money, but not

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:22.639
<v Speaker 1>for the reason that you might think most people get

0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:24.720
<v Speaker 1>into finance. I was just Look, I was working at

0:18:24.920 --> 0:18:27.920
<v Speaker 1>a weekly newspaper. I had done been there a few years,

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:31.360
<v Speaker 1>making no real money. You make no money at community journalism.

0:18:31.640 --> 0:18:33.760
<v Speaker 1>It's fun, it's a good place to learn the ropes,

0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:36.040
<v Speaker 1>but you make no money at it. So I needed

0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:37.840
<v Speaker 1>a job orr I can make some money. Dal Jones

0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 1>was hiring. It was a doctor. It was so everybody

0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.159
<v Speaker 1>was everybody was hiring. Dal Jones was hiring editors. So

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:47.120
<v Speaker 1>I took the editing test. I passed the editing test.

0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 1>I knew nothing about finance. I did not go to

0:18:49.280 --> 0:18:51.800
<v Speaker 1>school for finance. Really, I didn't know. No, I didn't

0:18:51.800 --> 0:18:56.280
<v Speaker 1>study it at all. I literally passed the editing test.

0:18:56.359 --> 0:18:58.880
<v Speaker 1>So they hired me as an editor, and my first

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:01.800
<v Speaker 1>job was rewriting press releases. And that's what I did.

0:19:01.880 --> 0:19:04.000
<v Speaker 1>That's how I started out, rewriting press releases. How did

0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:07.440
<v Speaker 1>you end up at what was so few young uns

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:10.400
<v Speaker 1>out there? The U C I LX terminals and other

0:19:10.520 --> 0:19:14.600
<v Speaker 1>such um quote machines and the news feed would have

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:19.400
<v Speaker 1>a constant stream of of stories. But my favorite feedback

0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:22.959
<v Speaker 1>in the nineties was Dow Jones market Talk, which were

0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:25.920
<v Speaker 1>all these little blurby stories about what was going on

0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:28.359
<v Speaker 1>in the market. It was Twitter before there was Twitter

0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 1>for it was finance Twitter before there was such a thing. Um,

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 1>how how did you find your way to down Jones Market?

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:37.680
<v Speaker 1>So I spent a few years on what was called

0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:40.680
<v Speaker 1>the spot news desk doing that press release rewrite job,

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:45.639
<v Speaker 1>which was actually another great education in journalism. And it

0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:47.879
<v Speaker 1>sounds horrific to me, Well it was. I mean, it

0:19:47.960 --> 0:19:49.680
<v Speaker 1>was a total It was. It was a grind, I

0:19:49.720 --> 0:19:51.640
<v Speaker 1>mean it was it was. That's what I was thinking

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:55.600
<v Speaker 1>that you learn a lot about finding You're constantly looking

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.919
<v Speaker 1>at what companies are telling you, and if you're if

0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:01.080
<v Speaker 1>you're being discerning about it, you're trying to find the

0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 1>holes in it. So I learned a lot about finance

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:05.960
<v Speaker 1>doing that. Then I spent a few years on the

0:20:06.119 --> 0:20:08.800
<v Speaker 1>editing desk, and then I had a friend who was

0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:14.240
<v Speaker 1>on market Talk, which which really was from I loved. Well,

0:20:14.280 --> 0:20:16.280
<v Speaker 1>we still do market Talk, I don't think they published

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:18.720
<v Speaker 1>it in quite the same way. So we used to

0:20:18.760 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>publish it on the web and then they stopped, so

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.520
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and five, now I've been there a while.

0:20:24.840 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>In two thousand five I started at market Talk with

0:20:27.680 --> 0:20:30.280
<v Speaker 1>John Shipman, and it was it was great. It was

0:20:30.359 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>just the two of us. It was it was actually

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:34.920
<v Speaker 1>a great job because you're right, I think our limit

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 1>was a hundred words, so these tight little commentaries on

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:45.680
<v Speaker 1>which is about yeah, exactly right. So that was that

0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 1>was how I kind of got out of editing and

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:52.240
<v Speaker 1>into writing. And I did that for probably seven years. Again,

0:20:52.520 --> 0:20:57.920
<v Speaker 1>another great education, right fast, right analytically and right short.

0:20:58.800 --> 0:21:00.440
<v Speaker 1>That was it. That was our own only kind of

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:02.960
<v Speaker 1>remit and I did that for a long time. Loved it.

0:21:03.040 --> 0:21:04.480
<v Speaker 1>John and I had a great time doing it. We

0:21:04.520 --> 0:21:06.520
<v Speaker 1>were kind of left out on our own in the newsroom.

0:21:06.560 --> 0:21:12.719
<v Speaker 1>No by the voice. It had a voice, don't get right,

0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:15.280
<v Speaker 1>and the voice was my voice in John's voice. And

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:17.200
<v Speaker 1>from that I moved over to one of the blogs

0:21:17.440 --> 0:21:22.560
<v Speaker 1>and then I heard about bitcoin. And my first reaction

0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:25.800
<v Speaker 1>to bitcoin was, this is an online scam, this is

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:29.080
<v Speaker 1>an internet joke. We are not writing about this. We're

0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:31.720
<v Speaker 1>not writing about this. Because I was gonna so how

0:21:31.840 --> 0:21:35.640
<v Speaker 1>much bitcoin did you buy? An ask? The answer is zero?

0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:41.200
<v Speaker 1>So My first reaction was probably what everyone's reaction is,

0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 1>is that this is some kind of scam, and I thought,

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:46.399
<v Speaker 1>we're not writing about this no way. But like I

0:21:46.440 --> 0:21:49.400
<v Speaker 1>said earlier, it was starting to permeate into the mainstream.

0:21:49.400 --> 0:21:51.119
<v Speaker 1>You're starting to hear more and more about it. And

0:21:51.200 --> 0:21:52.919
<v Speaker 1>the more and more I heard about it, the more

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:55.600
<v Speaker 1>I read about it, and then I started to become interested.

0:21:56.040 --> 0:21:58.520
<v Speaker 1>And at the time, now this is this is the

0:21:58.600 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 1>spring of At the time, the Wall Street Journal had

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:07.600
<v Speaker 1>nobody writing about bitcoin, and I was exactly I was

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:11.479
<v Speaker 1>writing for our money Beat blog, and so I had

0:22:11.520 --> 0:22:14.120
<v Speaker 1>a pretty wide, pretty wide latitude in what I wanted

0:22:14.119 --> 0:22:17.200
<v Speaker 1>to write about. My my coverage was the markets. It

0:22:17.320 --> 0:22:18.920
<v Speaker 1>was a market in the economy, so I could write

0:22:18.920 --> 0:22:22.120
<v Speaker 1>about anything within that, which is pretty much everything, which

0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:25.200
<v Speaker 1>is pretty much right exactly, which which was great. So

0:22:26.160 --> 0:22:28.480
<v Speaker 1>because I had that latitude to write about whatever I

0:22:28.520 --> 0:22:30.000
<v Speaker 1>wanted to write about, and I was starting to get

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:33.440
<v Speaker 1>interested in bitcoin, I started writing some bitcoin posts and

0:22:33.680 --> 0:22:36.280
<v Speaker 1>I did that for a few months, and in the

0:22:36.720 --> 0:22:40.120
<v Speaker 1>summer of I went to a conference here in the city.

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:41.800
<v Speaker 1>It was called Inside Bitcoins. It was a one day

0:22:41.880 --> 0:22:45.119
<v Speaker 1>conference at the New Yorker and it was the first

0:22:45.240 --> 0:22:50.879
<v Speaker 1>time that had ever been around bitcoin people. And again

0:22:50.920 --> 0:22:52.920
<v Speaker 1>it was a small conference. They had like, you know,

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:56.680
<v Speaker 1>one one room, you know, one one conference room, a

0:22:56.680 --> 0:22:59.639
<v Speaker 1>couple hundred people. Uh, there was a lobby outside and

0:22:59.720 --> 0:23:02.919
<v Speaker 1>maybe a dozen, twelve or fifteen tables set up at

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:05.560
<v Speaker 1>little businesses. But it was again the first time I

0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:09.600
<v Speaker 1>had ever been around these people these So two questions.

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:13.320
<v Speaker 1>One is what was the response to the blog post

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:18.040
<v Speaker 1>you were doing on bitcoin before that conference? And then second,

0:23:18.760 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 1>how did what what was the impact of the conference

0:23:22.040 --> 0:23:25.719
<v Speaker 1>on you? So you're talking about the reaction among readers

0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:30.000
<v Speaker 1>of the news readers readers not much. Then you know

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:32.960
<v Speaker 1>what's funny is readers not much. In the newsroom not much.

0:23:33.520 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, there was enough interest among the editors that

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:38.399
<v Speaker 1>they said, yeah, I head right that it's it's probably

0:23:38.440 --> 0:23:43.040
<v Speaker 1>worth us. There's something, but nobody knows what it is

0:23:43.119 --> 0:23:44.680
<v Speaker 1>exactly right, And I think, and then how did the

0:23:44.760 --> 0:23:48.320
<v Speaker 1>conference so? Well? The conference affected me in that what

0:23:48.520 --> 0:23:51.720
<v Speaker 1>I got out of that conference was this incredible energy

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:55.159
<v Speaker 1>of this group of people, and the ideas are flying

0:23:55.240 --> 0:23:59.119
<v Speaker 1>around and the it was very utopian, very pie in

0:23:59.160 --> 0:24:01.760
<v Speaker 1>the sky. But again you have to remember all of

0:24:01.840 --> 0:24:04.560
<v Speaker 1>this I'm coming to as a writer. I'm not an investor,

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:06.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm not an entrepreneur. I'm not looking to make money.

0:24:06.880 --> 0:24:10.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking to write good story, interesting stories, and I

0:24:10.240 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 1>realized that there are tremendous stories to be told here.

0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:16.400
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about some of the specifics

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:21.480
<v Speaker 1>of blockchain and cryptocurrency I want. I'm I'm comfortable getting

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:25.160
<v Speaker 1>into the weeds here, but before we do, let's let's

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:31.200
<v Speaker 1>start out a little basic. Um. What is a digital

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:36.600
<v Speaker 1>distributed ledger? So that is that's sort of the that

0:24:36.760 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 1>is the heart of the Bitcoin program, and it has

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:42.920
<v Speaker 1>come to be called by a couple of different names.

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:46.840
<v Speaker 1>You call it distributed ledger technology, blockchain technology, just blockchain.

0:24:47.320 --> 0:24:52.720
<v Speaker 1>But what it essentially is is a program that is

0:24:52.840 --> 0:24:56.879
<v Speaker 1>designed to maintain this online ledger. It's a live ledger

0:24:57.400 --> 0:25:01.760
<v Speaker 1>that is not operated from any one central server. In

0:25:01.840 --> 0:25:05.159
<v Speaker 1>other words, JP Morgan has a ledger of every transaction

0:25:05.240 --> 0:25:08.000
<v Speaker 1>that they don't take, but it's on JP morgan servers

0:25:08.040 --> 0:25:10.439
<v Speaker 1>and JP Morgan maintains it and only JP Morgan can

0:25:10.520 --> 0:25:13.600
<v Speaker 1>see it. What is it track? What is it? Before

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:17.800
<v Speaker 1>we even get into that, just what this is is

0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:22.679
<v Speaker 1>a a program that can run on any number of computers.

0:25:23.640 --> 0:25:27.240
<v Speaker 1>Every computer that is running the program live has an

0:25:27.320 --> 0:25:31.280
<v Speaker 1>identical copy of the ledger. Every transaction that goes into

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:34.520
<v Speaker 1>that ledger gets updated on every single computer at the

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:40.480
<v Speaker 1>basically at the same time. The transactions are secured cryptographically,

0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:44.520
<v Speaker 1>so it's virtually impossible to change them. So what you

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:49.240
<v Speaker 1>have is a live transaction history that is transparent because

0:25:49.240 --> 0:25:51.800
<v Speaker 1>it's on any number of computers and anybody can see it,

0:25:52.720 --> 0:25:57.680
<v Speaker 1>and it is impossible to change. That's what it essentially is.

0:25:57.960 --> 0:26:00.600
<v Speaker 1>So that means that means it's a legitimate record of

0:26:00.640 --> 0:26:07.600
<v Speaker 1>each transact and it's theoretically unhackable. And bitcoins blockchain has

0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:09.320
<v Speaker 1>never been hacked. You hear a lot of stories about

0:26:09.320 --> 0:26:12.320
<v Speaker 1>hacking in this world. It's always some company that got

0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:15.879
<v Speaker 1>like mild like mauld Cox got hacked, or someone's wallet

0:26:15.960 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>got broken into. That's possible too, But the the ledger itself,

0:26:19.600 --> 0:26:23.160
<v Speaker 1>the transaction history, but has never been attacked. It's been attacked,

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:25.879
<v Speaker 1>it has never been hacked. Now you said, what can

0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:27.560
<v Speaker 1>you do with that? Well, the question is, and that's

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:30.879
<v Speaker 1>why you have this sort of explosion and interest. The

0:26:31.000 --> 0:26:34.520
<v Speaker 1>answer is, anything that can be digitized and recorded and

0:26:34.680 --> 0:26:39.680
<v Speaker 1>tracked potentially these are still early days. Potentially could be

0:26:39.880 --> 0:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>done with this program. So, in other words, the first

0:26:43.680 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 1>application of this technology was bitcoin. Let's track a peer

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:52.080
<v Speaker 1>to peer transfer, transaction, exchange, value exchange, it's a currency.

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Could you use it for land registries? Could you use

0:26:57.080 --> 0:27:01.639
<v Speaker 1>it for identification? Could you There so many things now

0:27:01.680 --> 0:27:05.440
<v Speaker 1>that people realize that you can use this fork Potentially

0:27:05.880 --> 0:27:08.880
<v Speaker 1>can artists use it to protect their copyright and maybe

0:27:08.920 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 1>make some money and track where things, you know their

0:27:11.080 --> 0:27:14.520
<v Speaker 1>their works are being used. So anything that's transacted digitally,

0:27:15.160 --> 0:27:18.359
<v Speaker 1>you could keep a perfect so perfect example. We were

0:27:18.400 --> 0:27:23.080
<v Speaker 1>talking about the financial crisis earlier. Um Mers is a

0:27:23.240 --> 0:27:27.240
<v Speaker 1>sort of unspoken villain of the crisis. This is the

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:31.960
<v Speaker 1>electronic registry of mortgages, and they were so overwhelmed with

0:27:32.240 --> 0:27:36.920
<v Speaker 1>the number of transactions and collateralized mortgages all put into

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:40.399
<v Speaker 1>other derivative products that very often when there is a

0:27:40.520 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 1>default and people would go to court to defend it,

0:27:44.240 --> 0:27:47.040
<v Speaker 1>the people who thought they owned the mortgage couldn't prove

0:27:47.240 --> 0:27:49.440
<v Speaker 1>they actually owned the mortgage. If you went to court

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:52.840
<v Speaker 1>with a lawyer, you very often won because the people

0:27:52.920 --> 0:27:56.199
<v Speaker 1>suing you couldn't demonstrate they were the appropriate party. They

0:27:56.280 --> 0:28:00.560
<v Speaker 1>were a mortgage holder. It's amazing. So Jane theoretically could

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:03.119
<v Speaker 1>solve for something like exactly, and it's you know, it's amazing.

0:28:03.160 --> 0:28:05.960
<v Speaker 1>I always think of this. Uh. Two thousand and seven,

0:28:06.480 --> 0:28:10.639
<v Speaker 1>Lehman Brothers reports record revenue, record earnings, best year in

0:28:10.680 --> 0:28:13.960
<v Speaker 1>the company's history two thousand and seven, hundred and fifty

0:28:14.040 --> 0:28:16.720
<v Speaker 1>years they've been around, two thousand seven best year. Nine

0:28:16.760 --> 0:28:21.439
<v Speaker 1>months later they're out of business. How is that possible? Right?

0:28:21.640 --> 0:28:27.680
<v Speaker 1>Morga total accounting fraud moving fifty billion dollars in links

0:28:28.359 --> 0:28:32.119
<v Speaker 1>which which to this day Dick Fault still claims was legit,

0:28:32.280 --> 0:28:36.800
<v Speaker 1>which is hilarious. So this is a really interesting program. Essentially,

0:28:36.840 --> 0:28:38.880
<v Speaker 1>what you have is would prevent that sort of fraud

0:28:39.360 --> 0:28:43.520
<v Speaker 1>theoretically if it was implemented, if the industry would accept

0:28:43.600 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 1>it as a standard. That's the other thing. I mean,

0:28:46.200 --> 0:28:49.920
<v Speaker 1>one big problem for the banking industry is that this

0:28:50.080 --> 0:28:53.479
<v Speaker 1>is too transparent to transpor course it is. I mean,

0:28:53.600 --> 0:28:55.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, you listen, you've been in the market's a

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:57.800
<v Speaker 1>long time. I mean you know that information and having

0:28:57.880 --> 0:29:00.440
<v Speaker 1>it and having it before other people and a city

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:03.600
<v Speaker 1>are all virtues if you're trading. They are a feature,

0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:07.960
<v Speaker 1>not abuve you can you could charge higher prices by

0:29:08.240 --> 0:29:11.640
<v Speaker 1>bamboozling people and making things that are simple sound complex

0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:16.840
<v Speaker 1>and eliminating transparency. And when the bank started experimenting with this,

0:29:17.000 --> 0:29:18.880
<v Speaker 1>they were all interested in it, and they're gonna have

0:29:18.960 --> 0:29:22.280
<v Speaker 1>their blockchain labs and everyone's gonna build something. Well what

0:29:22.400 --> 0:29:24.800
<v Speaker 1>happened was they all realized it was way too transparent,

0:29:25.760 --> 0:29:28.120
<v Speaker 1>and so they know really and it really held things up.

0:29:28.160 --> 0:29:30.480
<v Speaker 1>And now people are trying to build things that are

0:29:30.560 --> 0:29:34.440
<v Speaker 1>sort of that that will operate among a bunch of say,

0:29:34.520 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 1>financial institutions, but they also are trying to put in

0:29:38.720 --> 0:29:41.680
<v Speaker 1>checks so that nobody's order book is is visible to

0:29:41.720 --> 0:29:43.960
<v Speaker 1>anybody else, so you can mean so they're trying to

0:29:44.040 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 1>figure that out. So let's talk about this exact subject.

0:29:47.400 --> 0:29:51.200
<v Speaker 1>What are some of the legitimate uses for blockchain and

0:29:51.360 --> 0:29:56.560
<v Speaker 1>how likely is it that we're gonna see implementations at banks, insurers,

0:29:56.640 --> 0:30:00.320
<v Speaker 1>brokers of this sort of technology. I think of actually

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:02.920
<v Speaker 1>we will. And I think the reason I think, I

0:30:03.000 --> 0:30:05.080
<v Speaker 1>think there are two reasons why bitcoin kind of took

0:30:05.120 --> 0:30:07.000
<v Speaker 1>off the way it did and why this technology is

0:30:07.080 --> 0:30:10.000
<v Speaker 1>being so looked at the way it is. One is

0:30:10.560 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 1>certainly just sort of the viral nature of it, the

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:14.360
<v Speaker 1>panic A two thousand and eight, the idea that we

0:30:14.400 --> 0:30:17.120
<v Speaker 1>can have an alternative way, uh and and that was

0:30:17.480 --> 0:30:19.680
<v Speaker 1>But the other reason, I think the more important reason

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 1>is just that this technology fits our lifestyle today. We

0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:29.400
<v Speaker 1>are digital, we are online, We are doing things across borders,

0:30:29.480 --> 0:30:33.160
<v Speaker 1>across time zones, across continents, and this is a program

0:30:33.240 --> 0:30:36.680
<v Speaker 1>that will allow you to track things across borders, across

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 1>time zones, across continents, and to do things live and

0:30:39.760 --> 0:30:42.640
<v Speaker 1>to do things in I hate saying the word real time,

0:30:42.680 --> 0:30:45.600
<v Speaker 1>but real time. And it's one feature of the Internet

0:30:45.640 --> 0:30:47.239
<v Speaker 1>when it was first built in the nineties, that one

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 1>feature that it didn't have was an easy way to

0:30:52.120 --> 0:30:56.040
<v Speaker 1>exchange value, to to do currency transactions. So what gets

0:30:56.120 --> 0:30:58.240
<v Speaker 1>built onto the Internet, of course, or all the sort

0:30:58.240 --> 0:31:03.280
<v Speaker 1>of existing you know, the third party credit card transaction

0:31:03.480 --> 0:31:07.120
<v Speaker 1>literally literally punching in a credit card. And because you're

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:09.320
<v Speaker 1>doing this over such great distances and it's harder to

0:31:09.840 --> 0:31:13.240
<v Speaker 1>verify identity, you have an entire industry that grows up

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:15.000
<v Speaker 1>around that. Right. You have very assigned. You have all

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:20.200
<v Speaker 1>these third party providers who will take your information, validate it,

0:31:20.440 --> 0:31:23.600
<v Speaker 1>and allow you to do the credit card transaction. Bitcoin

0:31:23.720 --> 0:31:26.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of takes that and and blockchain technology takes that

0:31:26.520 --> 0:31:30.360
<v Speaker 1>and sort of uh flattens it and makes it all

0:31:30.440 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 1>one transaction replaces it. So the transaction, the verification of validation,

0:31:36.320 --> 0:31:38.480
<v Speaker 1>the valid and the exchange of value all happen in

0:31:38.560 --> 0:31:41.200
<v Speaker 1>one That is it exactly? You don't sound like a

0:31:41.240 --> 0:31:44.000
<v Speaker 1>skeptic on this, Barry Ridholtz, Well, no, I'm just so

0:31:44.160 --> 0:31:48.480
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about the skepticism. It's not on the blockchain technology.

0:31:49.040 --> 0:31:51.920
<v Speaker 1>And it's a cliche every time you hear someone say

0:31:52.440 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 1>blockchain is fascinating, but I'm skeptical on bitcoint. To me,

0:31:56.280 --> 0:31:59.880
<v Speaker 1>when I see something rise two thousand percent in six months,

0:32:01.040 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 1>my experience, both in the markets and as a trader

0:32:04.440 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 1>is immediately to screen bubble. And uh, I got a

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:11.400
<v Speaker 1>little lucky in the timing on on writing something when

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:16.200
<v Speaker 1>should you sell your bitcoin? Um? And the timing on

0:32:16.320 --> 0:32:20.200
<v Speaker 1>that is as often luck as anything else. But how

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:24.840
<v Speaker 1>let's let's look at bitcoin. Is bitcoin separate from the

0:32:24.920 --> 0:32:28.400
<v Speaker 1>underlying technology? Is that in a bubble? If it was

0:32:29.200 --> 0:32:36.320
<v Speaker 1>ten thousand dollars and now down to ten thousan dollars, Well,

0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:38.840
<v Speaker 1>like I said earlier, there, to me, there are three

0:32:39.240 --> 0:32:42.600
<v Speaker 1>huge angles to this whole story. There's the software, which

0:32:42.680 --> 0:32:45.720
<v Speaker 1>is what is really important, and its applications. There's this,

0:32:46.000 --> 0:32:47.760
<v Speaker 1>by the way, is the thing people talk the least

0:32:47.800 --> 0:32:52.240
<v Speaker 1>about exactly. There is uh, the counterculture movement, the social

0:32:52.320 --> 0:32:54.800
<v Speaker 1>movement that I really fint I think is a big

0:32:54.960 --> 0:32:57.000
<v Speaker 1>part of the story. And the third party is the

0:32:57.120 --> 0:33:02.400
<v Speaker 1>speculative mania, the trading of it. And you know, you say,

0:33:02.480 --> 0:33:04.600
<v Speaker 1>is this a bubble? I don't even know if it's

0:33:04.600 --> 0:33:11.000
<v Speaker 1>almost it's such a it's such a pre thing. I

0:33:11.040 --> 0:33:12.640
<v Speaker 1>don't even know if you can say it's really a bubble.

0:33:12.680 --> 0:33:15.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is it? Is this a speculative mania?

0:33:15.720 --> 0:33:19.040
<v Speaker 1>Without a doubt. I think it is virtually impossible from

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:24.200
<v Speaker 1>a fundamental perspective to say what bitcoin is worth. I mean,

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:27.320
<v Speaker 1>obviously it's worth what anybody will pay for it. I mean,

0:33:27.360 --> 0:33:29.880
<v Speaker 1>that's the simple answer. So if someone's willing to pay

0:33:29.920 --> 0:33:32.760
<v Speaker 1>eleven thousand, twelve, nine thousand, whatever it is, that's what

0:33:32.920 --> 0:33:36.520
<v Speaker 1>it's worth. But at that moment, at that moment, that's

0:33:36.560 --> 0:33:40.320
<v Speaker 1>the problem. Can can you fundamentally value a technology that

0:33:40.440 --> 0:33:44.800
<v Speaker 1>has not really been implemented yet? No, you cannot. I mean,

0:33:44.880 --> 0:33:47.640
<v Speaker 1>does bitcoin run? Is it live? Two people use it? Yes,

0:33:47.800 --> 0:33:51.440
<v Speaker 1>absolutely absolutely. Uh is there a lot that you can

0:33:51.520 --> 0:33:55.560
<v Speaker 1>do with bitcoin right now? No? Besides trade it. I

0:33:55.640 --> 0:33:59.640
<v Speaker 1>mean really, so what you what you have is a

0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:04.040
<v Speaker 1>a mania, a speculative mania for a product that is

0:34:04.200 --> 0:34:08.600
<v Speaker 1>virtually impossible to fundamentally value. And like I said earlier,

0:34:09.080 --> 0:34:11.160
<v Speaker 1>still a small market. It's still a thin market. It's

0:34:11.160 --> 0:34:14.279
<v Speaker 1>still a relatively a liquial liquid market. So you get

0:34:14.320 --> 0:34:17.839
<v Speaker 1>these crazy volatile swings. So yeah, you're in in terms

0:34:17.880 --> 0:34:20.480
<v Speaker 1>of the price. I think your skepticism is a hundred

0:34:20.520 --> 0:34:25.120
<v Speaker 1>percent on um. I don't buy bitcoin because the Wall

0:34:25.160 --> 0:34:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal would not want me buying and selling something

0:34:28.160 --> 0:34:31.000
<v Speaker 1>that I'm writing about. I mean, it's obvious every journalistic

0:34:31.080 --> 0:34:35.080
<v Speaker 1>operation has ruled exactly avoiding you know, you can't go

0:34:35.200 --> 0:34:37.600
<v Speaker 1>buy a stock and then talk about it. You can't

0:34:37.600 --> 0:34:40.560
<v Speaker 1>be the Apple Beat reporter and be day trading Apple shares.

0:34:40.920 --> 0:34:43.160
<v Speaker 1>So it's the same thing. So I don't buy bitcoin

0:34:43.640 --> 0:34:46.239
<v Speaker 1>for that reason. But even if the journal didn't have

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:50.360
<v Speaker 1>that restriction on me, I personally would not buy it anyhow,

0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:53.360
<v Speaker 1>because it is a specular gambling. It's a speculative asset.

0:34:53.560 --> 0:34:55.840
<v Speaker 1>You're betting that it is going to go somewhere, and

0:34:55.920 --> 0:34:57.960
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be something, So you probably you want

0:34:58.000 --> 0:35:00.160
<v Speaker 1>to do that, but you have to understand of what

0:35:00.239 --> 0:35:02.720
<v Speaker 1>you're doing, and what you're doing is just you're you're gambling.

0:35:02.840 --> 0:35:05.920
<v Speaker 1>So am I assuming too much in saying that you

0:35:06.000 --> 0:35:08.680
<v Speaker 1>don't believe this belongs in people's four oh one k

0:35:09.080 --> 0:35:13.720
<v Speaker 1>or their retirement portfolios? No, and I'm not giving financial advice.

0:35:13.960 --> 0:35:17.040
<v Speaker 1>You're just asked me a question. I mean, does an

0:35:17.320 --> 0:35:20.839
<v Speaker 1>unbelievably speculative asset belonging to four oh one k, which

0:35:20.880 --> 0:35:23.960
<v Speaker 1>is essentially retirement portfolio? My answer is no, And I

0:35:24.000 --> 0:35:26.719
<v Speaker 1>don't think anybody else would say. Nobody should say, let's

0:35:26.719 --> 0:35:28.920
<v Speaker 1>put it this way, nobody should say yes to that.

0:35:29.520 --> 0:35:31.800
<v Speaker 1>We have been speaking with Paul Vina. He is the

0:35:32.280 --> 0:35:36.680
<v Speaker 1>co author, along with Michael Casey, of Truth Machine, Blockchain,

0:35:36.760 --> 0:35:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and the Future of Everything. If you enjoy this conversation,

0:35:40.680 --> 0:35:42.960
<v Speaker 1>be sure and check out our podcast extras, where we

0:35:43.120 --> 0:35:47.560
<v Speaker 1>keep the tape rolling and continue chatting about all things cryptocurrency.

0:35:48.080 --> 0:35:50.279
<v Speaker 1>I'll be sure and check out my daily column. You

0:35:50.360 --> 0:35:54.080
<v Speaker 1>can find that on bloomberg view dot com. Follow me

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:58.120
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at rid Halts. We love your comments, feedback

0:35:58.160 --> 0:36:02.799
<v Speaker 1>and suggestions right to us at m IB podcast at

0:36:02.840 --> 0:36:07.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Net. I'm Barry Results. You're listening to Master's

0:36:07.320 --> 0:36:17.200
<v Speaker 1>in Business on Bloomberg Radio. So there are so many

0:36:17.320 --> 0:36:20.400
<v Speaker 1>questions I did not get to during the broadcast portion.

0:36:21.000 --> 0:36:24.800
<v Speaker 1>Let's let's spend some time on on those questions before

0:36:25.480 --> 0:36:29.480
<v Speaker 1>I get to my favorite podcast questions that I ask everybody.

0:36:30.120 --> 0:36:33.160
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that I had to ask is,

0:36:33.600 --> 0:36:37.719
<v Speaker 1>so you write the Age of Crypto in what made

0:36:37.800 --> 0:36:41.400
<v Speaker 1>you think that there was an audience for a book

0:36:42.080 --> 0:36:44.759
<v Speaker 1>on crypto? It's interesting because the whole thing goes back

0:36:44.880 --> 0:36:48.719
<v Speaker 1>to that conference in that I was talking about where

0:36:48.880 --> 0:36:50.680
<v Speaker 1>I go to this conference and I realized that there's

0:36:50.719 --> 0:36:54.040
<v Speaker 1>just this tremendous energy around this thing. I realized this

0:36:54.200 --> 0:36:56.799
<v Speaker 1>is a story to be told. And I go back

0:36:56.840 --> 0:36:58.920
<v Speaker 1>to the newsroom and I'm talking to another reporter, this

0:36:59.000 --> 0:37:01.880
<v Speaker 1>guy Dave Benoit, very good reporter, and I'm telling him

0:37:01.920 --> 0:37:04.080
<v Speaker 1>about the conference and these crazy people I saw, you know,

0:37:04.640 --> 0:37:07.440
<v Speaker 1>and he's listening to me and he looks at me.

0:37:07.520 --> 0:37:10.480
<v Speaker 1>He says, it sounds like something like a lewisid write

0:37:10.520 --> 0:37:14.560
<v Speaker 1>a book about. And I'm trying to stop my fingers,

0:37:14.600 --> 0:37:18.640
<v Speaker 1>like bang, lightbulb, Oh my god, this is And I've

0:37:18.680 --> 0:37:21.120
<v Speaker 1>been looking for a long time. I wanted to write

0:37:21.120 --> 0:37:22.520
<v Speaker 1>a book. I've always wanted to write, you know, I

0:37:22.560 --> 0:37:24.560
<v Speaker 1>wanted to write a book. I never found a good topic.

0:37:25.239 --> 0:37:27.520
<v Speaker 1>And he said that to me, and I realized I

0:37:27.640 --> 0:37:31.719
<v Speaker 1>had just been handed a great topic and nobody else

0:37:31.760 --> 0:37:34.400
<v Speaker 1>has done it yet. I'm like, I'm the first one

0:37:34.480 --> 0:37:38.320
<v Speaker 1>there was that was this book? Literally, Age of Cryptocurrency?

0:37:39.440 --> 0:37:42.480
<v Speaker 1>Was that the first book on this topic. By the

0:37:42.600 --> 0:37:45.840
<v Speaker 1>time that went out, a few other people had also

0:37:46.040 --> 0:37:49.359
<v Speaker 1>written their books. Uh, I don't I don't remember if

0:37:49.480 --> 0:37:53.120
<v Speaker 1>Nathaniel Popper's book came out right before or right after

0:37:53.280 --> 0:37:55.840
<v Speaker 1>hours around the same time. The New York Times is

0:37:56.360 --> 0:37:59.000
<v Speaker 1>Digital Gold Popper's book, and it's a good book to digital.

0:38:00.080 --> 0:38:02.440
<v Speaker 1>I shouldn't plug a competitor's book, but whatever, you know,

0:38:03.000 --> 0:38:07.200
<v Speaker 1>you get a free one from me, Nathaniel. So I

0:38:07.239 --> 0:38:09.439
<v Speaker 1>mean at that by the time our book came out,

0:38:09.680 --> 0:38:12.320
<v Speaker 1>other people had gotten onto this this idea too, that

0:38:12.400 --> 0:38:15.320
<v Speaker 1>there were books to be written. But I think Popper's

0:38:15.360 --> 0:38:17.840
<v Speaker 1>book and our book were the first mainstream books, the

0:38:17.880 --> 0:38:20.520
<v Speaker 1>first ones by big publishing houses to go out. He

0:38:20.719 --> 0:38:24.920
<v Speaker 1>was made, Oh that's the paperback. That's the paperback, uh,

0:38:25.120 --> 0:38:28.800
<v Speaker 1>digital gold Bitcoin and the inside story of the millionaires

0:38:28.840 --> 0:38:32.080
<v Speaker 1>trying to reinvent money. Yeah, that was his book. So anyhow,

0:38:32.200 --> 0:38:34.520
<v Speaker 1>so I realized there was a book to be written.

0:38:34.560 --> 0:38:37.439
<v Speaker 1>I spend a lot of time. Actually, at the time,

0:38:37.480 --> 0:38:39.719
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to convince the journal to let me write

0:38:39.719 --> 0:38:42.200
<v Speaker 1>any book. No one else has done this. Let's do this,

0:38:43.040 --> 0:38:45.000
<v Speaker 1>get it out quick. And I remember I went home

0:38:45.080 --> 0:38:47.400
<v Speaker 1>to my wife and I said, I have this great idea.

0:38:47.760 --> 0:38:50.279
<v Speaker 1>I said, I want to write I'm gonna try to

0:38:50.320 --> 0:38:53.560
<v Speaker 1>do any book about bitcoin. And she said she slows down,

0:38:53.600 --> 0:38:55.600
<v Speaker 1>and she says, let me get this straight. She says,

0:38:55.840 --> 0:39:01.560
<v Speaker 1>you want to write a digital book about a fake currency.

0:39:03.040 --> 0:39:04.279
<v Speaker 1>She's I think, she said, you want to write an

0:39:04.320 --> 0:39:07.759
<v Speaker 1>electronic book about a digital currency. And I said yeah.

0:39:08.239 --> 0:39:09.600
<v Speaker 1>And she said, so you want to write a fake

0:39:09.640 --> 0:39:13.000
<v Speaker 1>book about fake currency. I said yeah. She said all right,

0:39:13.080 --> 0:39:14.960
<v Speaker 1>She's like, just good do I don't want to hear

0:39:14.960 --> 0:39:16.680
<v Speaker 1>another word until you get a check for me. Like

0:39:16.880 --> 0:39:19.239
<v Speaker 1>just she thought it was in you know, crazy um

0:39:19.560 --> 0:39:23.040
<v Speaker 1>And again you know that's because you know, people who

0:39:23.160 --> 0:39:25.840
<v Speaker 1>grew up on our generation were used to tangible things, right.

0:39:26.040 --> 0:39:27.719
<v Speaker 1>So anyhow, I come up with this idea, I try

0:39:27.760 --> 0:39:29.520
<v Speaker 1>to sell it to the journal. They eventually don't want

0:39:29.560 --> 0:39:31.799
<v Speaker 1>to do it. Uh. And then by that by that time,

0:39:31.880 --> 0:39:34.400
<v Speaker 1>my Casey, my co author, had also started getting interested

0:39:34.400 --> 0:39:36.440
<v Speaker 1>in bitcoin. So we put our heads together and Ike

0:39:36.480 --> 0:39:38.000
<v Speaker 1>had written some books. He had an agent. We go

0:39:38.080 --> 0:39:40.319
<v Speaker 1>to the agent, she loves the idea, and we find

0:39:40.360 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 1>a publisher and we sell it. January it comes out

0:39:43.640 --> 0:39:46.759
<v Speaker 1>and so you beat you beat uh Poper by like

0:39:46.920 --> 0:39:49.120
<v Speaker 1>five months, right, So we beat Popria. So I guess

0:39:49.160 --> 0:39:52.160
<v Speaker 1>we were the first mainstream book. So here's the question

0:39:52.239 --> 0:39:54.600
<v Speaker 1>I have with you. My experience with writing a book

0:39:55.160 --> 0:39:58.719
<v Speaker 1>was that it was like a PhD. You know, it was.

0:39:59.320 --> 0:40:02.160
<v Speaker 1>It was your graduate thesis. It was it was exhausting.

0:40:02.280 --> 0:40:05.800
<v Speaker 1>And immediately after you start getting some sales and they're like,

0:40:05.840 --> 0:40:07.520
<v Speaker 1>how about a follow up? It's like, go away for

0:40:07.600 --> 0:40:10.839
<v Speaker 1>a decade. You guys turned around and write another book

0:40:11.000 --> 0:40:14.120
<v Speaker 1>three years later. That's and I wrote another book in between.

0:40:15.200 --> 0:40:17.320
<v Speaker 1>That's a lot of book writing for someone who's also

0:40:17.880 --> 0:40:20.279
<v Speaker 1>writing a regular column in the mainstream. Mean you have

0:40:20.320 --> 0:40:23.160
<v Speaker 1>to realize, like, I'm a news drunkie. Yeah, I mean

0:40:23.200 --> 0:40:25.920
<v Speaker 1>he was drunkie. I I want to write that's all

0:40:25.960 --> 0:40:28.640
<v Speaker 1>I want to do. So for me it was not

0:40:28.800 --> 0:40:31.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, look it. Also, it helps tremendously having a

0:40:31.480 --> 0:40:33.480
<v Speaker 1>co author, because what Mike and I would do is,

0:40:33.960 --> 0:40:36.560
<v Speaker 1>you're too half books and other ones? How did you

0:40:36.640 --> 0:40:38.399
<v Speaker 1>guys split over? What we would do is we we'd

0:40:38.480 --> 0:40:40.440
<v Speaker 1>plot out the book, we'd plot out the chapters. We

0:40:40.600 --> 0:40:42.080
<v Speaker 1>we kind of figure out what each chapter is going

0:40:42.120 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 1>to be about, and then we just split them up.

0:40:43.800 --> 0:40:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Who's written about this more, Okay, you've done this more,

0:40:46.040 --> 0:40:47.640
<v Speaker 1>so you do that chapter. I've done this more, I'll

0:40:47.640 --> 0:40:49.360
<v Speaker 1>take this track. Do you each then go back and

0:40:49.400 --> 0:40:51.560
<v Speaker 1>then we so we would write our chapters, then we

0:40:51.600 --> 0:40:54.319
<v Speaker 1>would send them to each other, edit what we were doing,

0:40:55.080 --> 0:40:57.520
<v Speaker 1>rewrite what we were doing, send it back to the

0:40:57.600 --> 0:40:59.439
<v Speaker 1>guy having to look at it again. Then we said

0:40:59.440 --> 0:41:01.400
<v Speaker 1>it to ours. End up, we sent the book in

0:41:01.480 --> 0:41:04.120
<v Speaker 1>chapters to our editors, which is a little bit unusual.

0:41:04.120 --> 0:41:05.880
<v Speaker 1>A lot of times you'll just write the whole manuscript

0:41:05.920 --> 0:41:07.719
<v Speaker 1>and send it to your editor. We were doing this

0:41:07.840 --> 0:41:10.320
<v Speaker 1>in chapters, so you end up with this crazy dynamic

0:41:10.400 --> 0:41:13.839
<v Speaker 1>where I'm writing my own chapter, I'm editing something Mike

0:41:13.920 --> 0:41:17.160
<v Speaker 1>sent me, I'm getting back something that Tim Bartlett, our

0:41:17.239 --> 0:41:19.960
<v Speaker 1>editor at St. Martin sent So you're doing it's it's

0:41:20.000 --> 0:41:23.920
<v Speaker 1>a little hectic and crazy. But like I said, if

0:41:23.960 --> 0:41:26.120
<v Speaker 1>you're a junkie for this kind of stuff, it wasn't

0:41:26.200 --> 0:41:27.960
<v Speaker 1>that bad. I mean, it really just wasn't I don't know.

0:41:28.239 --> 0:41:30.080
<v Speaker 1>I would work during the day, i'd come home, i'd

0:41:30.120 --> 0:41:31.960
<v Speaker 1>see my wife, i'd see my son, they'd go to bed,

0:41:32.160 --> 0:41:33.920
<v Speaker 1>and I put in a couple hours every night. So

0:41:34.080 --> 0:41:36.920
<v Speaker 1>you guys did this very postal service, like if you're

0:41:36.960 --> 0:41:42.520
<v Speaker 1>familiar with Postal Service. The band No so Ben Gibbert

0:41:42.680 --> 0:41:46.040
<v Speaker 1>from Deathcap for Cutie and Jenny Lewis, who has been

0:41:46.120 --> 0:41:48.400
<v Speaker 1>with a number of other sort of old country and

0:41:48.520 --> 0:41:52.640
<v Speaker 1>alt rock. They start writing this music and literally mailing

0:41:52.760 --> 0:41:55.640
<v Speaker 1>tapes back and forth to each other, and the first

0:41:55.760 --> 0:42:02.360
<v Speaker 1>Postal Service album is this fascinating combination of odd electronic

0:42:03.440 --> 0:42:09.600
<v Speaker 1>um music overlaid with a sort of old country sort

0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:11.760
<v Speaker 1>of Yeah, you have to listen to it. It's actually

0:42:11.840 --> 0:42:16.600
<v Speaker 1>quite charming and once you get past how initially confusing

0:42:16.640 --> 0:42:20.000
<v Speaker 1>it seems. But they basically did an album the way

0:42:20.040 --> 0:42:22.000
<v Speaker 1>you guys did the book, and today you can do

0:42:22.120 --> 0:42:23.840
<v Speaker 1>all that digitally. And I think the thing too is

0:42:23.960 --> 0:42:25.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people will say to me too, like

0:42:25.600 --> 0:42:27.080
<v Speaker 1>you just said, like, oh my god, I can't believe

0:42:27.080 --> 0:42:29.759
<v Speaker 1>you wrote a book, and you wrote another book books.

0:42:29.760 --> 0:42:32.200
<v Speaker 1>I've written three books. Sin yeah, I wrote a book

0:42:32.239 --> 0:42:35.600
<v Speaker 1>about the Walking Dead too, because that's my other sideline. UM,

0:42:36.040 --> 0:42:37.560
<v Speaker 1>and people say, I can't believe you wrote a book.

0:42:37.560 --> 0:42:39.080
<v Speaker 1>I've always wanted to write a book, but I can't.

0:42:39.640 --> 0:42:42.360
<v Speaker 1>What I figured out early on is that it is

0:42:42.400 --> 0:42:45.799
<v Speaker 1>an extremely mechanical process. There has to be a lot

0:42:45.840 --> 0:42:49.240
<v Speaker 1>of thought that goes into analytics and yeah, but that's

0:42:49.480 --> 0:42:52.080
<v Speaker 1>that's one element of it. The other the writing element,

0:42:52.440 --> 0:42:55.240
<v Speaker 1>is extremely mechanical. And all you do is you say, okay,

0:42:55.320 --> 0:42:57.759
<v Speaker 1>today is today. My deadline is this deadline. I have

0:42:57.960 --> 0:43:00.239
<v Speaker 1>X number of days to write X number of words words.

0:43:00.640 --> 0:43:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Do the division, do the math, figure out how many

0:43:02.560 --> 0:43:04.840
<v Speaker 1>words you need to do per day, and you do

0:43:05.040 --> 0:43:08.600
<v Speaker 1>that every day, no matter how long it takes, how

0:43:08.640 --> 0:43:10.400
<v Speaker 1>short it takes. If you have a great day and

0:43:10.520 --> 0:43:13.480
<v Speaker 1>you write two thousand words, then great. You can, you know,

0:43:13.640 --> 0:43:15.359
<v Speaker 1>ratch it back a little bit the next day. If

0:43:15.400 --> 0:43:17.000
<v Speaker 1>you have a terrible day and you only write a

0:43:17.080 --> 0:43:19.000
<v Speaker 1>hundred words, you have to you have to amp it

0:43:19.080 --> 0:43:21.399
<v Speaker 1>up the next day. You have to average that many

0:43:21.480 --> 0:43:25.160
<v Speaker 1>words every single day until you're deadline, and you can

0:43:25.239 --> 0:43:29.960
<v Speaker 1>do it it's it's it's it's work. It's hard, it's work,

0:43:30.120 --> 0:43:31.960
<v Speaker 1>but you can do it when when you have to

0:43:32.000 --> 0:43:33.279
<v Speaker 1>set it out, I think you have to set it

0:43:33.360 --> 0:43:35.120
<v Speaker 1>out that way because if you set it out as

0:43:35.719 --> 0:43:37.560
<v Speaker 1>here's my deadline and I need a book, and you

0:43:37.640 --> 0:43:40.440
<v Speaker 1>have nothing, no structure to what you're doing in between,

0:43:40.760 --> 0:43:42.560
<v Speaker 1>that's how you can kind of get lost in the weeds.

0:43:42.960 --> 0:43:45.160
<v Speaker 1>When when people say they want to write a book,

0:43:45.320 --> 0:43:50.120
<v Speaker 1>what they really mean is that they're subconsciously paraphrasing Dorothy Parker.

0:43:50.600 --> 0:43:52.920
<v Speaker 1>They don't want to write a book, they want to

0:43:53.040 --> 0:43:55.520
<v Speaker 1>have written a book, because the writing of the book

0:43:55.600 --> 0:43:58.120
<v Speaker 1>is a lot of it. You describe it's heavy lifting.

0:43:58.200 --> 0:44:00.160
<v Speaker 1>It's a bit of a grind exactly it is. But

0:44:00.280 --> 0:44:02.000
<v Speaker 1>you seem to have been really enjoyed it. Well, I

0:44:02.080 --> 0:44:05.239
<v Speaker 1>love it. I mean this is it's funny because I've

0:44:05.280 --> 0:44:09.240
<v Speaker 1>been in this business since was my first journalism really

0:44:09.840 --> 0:44:13.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty five plus years plus years, and for that entire time,

0:44:14.160 --> 0:44:18.080
<v Speaker 1>I I always you know, look, anybody you know, like

0:44:18.320 --> 0:44:19.759
<v Speaker 1>you want to be the guy at the middle of

0:44:19.840 --> 0:44:22.160
<v Speaker 1>the story. I've always wanted to be the guy at

0:44:22.200 --> 0:44:23.920
<v Speaker 1>the middle of story. And I never was the guy

0:44:24.000 --> 0:44:26.960
<v Speaker 1>at the middle of the story, and in the journals newsroom,

0:44:27.200 --> 0:44:29.160
<v Speaker 1>you would watch the guys and the girls in the

0:44:29.239 --> 0:44:31.160
<v Speaker 1>middle of the story, and you'd see the other reporters

0:44:31.400 --> 0:44:34.759
<v Speaker 1>who are covering a big covering the first story. We're there,

0:44:34.800 --> 0:44:36.960
<v Speaker 1>the person there at the center of attention, there at

0:44:37.000 --> 0:44:38.759
<v Speaker 1>the center of the big story, and it's great and

0:44:38.960 --> 0:44:41.040
<v Speaker 1>you want it. For the first time in my career,

0:44:41.440 --> 0:44:43.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm that person. And a lot of times you can

0:44:43.640 --> 0:44:45.759
<v Speaker 1>go a whole career and never be that person. So

0:44:46.480 --> 0:44:48.920
<v Speaker 1>I recognized that. I recognized that I'm in a very

0:44:49.040 --> 0:44:51.360
<v Speaker 1>fortunate place and that I lucked out and getting interested

0:44:51.400 --> 0:44:53.640
<v Speaker 1>in this early, and I kind of set myself up

0:44:53.719 --> 0:44:55.360
<v Speaker 1>to be that person at the middle of the story.

0:44:56.000 --> 0:44:57.279
<v Speaker 1>And now I'm there, and I just want to take

0:44:57.280 --> 0:44:59.440
<v Speaker 1>advantage of it. So I love it again. I'm a

0:44:59.520 --> 0:45:01.320
<v Speaker 1>news monkey. This is what I live for. This is

0:45:01.360 --> 0:45:04.040
<v Speaker 1>all I want to do. So yeah, right, So you

0:45:04.120 --> 0:45:07.160
<v Speaker 1>have you have two books on on blockchain and cryptocurrency.

0:45:07.520 --> 0:45:12.200
<v Speaker 1>Is there another blockchain book, crypto book, bitcoin book in

0:45:12.360 --> 0:45:14.520
<v Speaker 1>you or if you pretty much said everything you need

0:45:14.560 --> 0:45:19.200
<v Speaker 1>to say about the topic, Uh, there's there's probably another book.

0:45:19.280 --> 0:45:21.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to say. Definitely. It's funny because he's

0:45:21.760 --> 0:45:24.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's at the launch event on that Tuesday night.

0:45:24.280 --> 0:45:26.480
<v Speaker 1>People are saying to me immediately, oh, what's the next

0:45:26.520 --> 0:45:31.000
<v Speaker 1>book about? Uh? And we got the I got the

0:45:31.600 --> 0:45:33.839
<v Speaker 1>check for this book from my publisher, and my wife

0:45:33.920 --> 0:45:35.719
<v Speaker 1>is very happy with that. It was all the money

0:45:35.719 --> 0:45:37.560
<v Speaker 1>in the world. But by the way, if you want

0:45:37.600 --> 0:45:39.920
<v Speaker 1>to earn a living writing books, if your name is

0:45:40.000 --> 0:45:43.560
<v Speaker 1>and Stephen King of Michael Lewis, you're you're going to

0:45:43.600 --> 0:45:45.279
<v Speaker 1>be disappointed. You're not gonna do it as a full

0:45:45.320 --> 0:45:48.120
<v Speaker 1>time thing. But uh, my wife, we got that check

0:45:48.160 --> 0:45:50.160
<v Speaker 1>and I immediately put it in the bank and she

0:45:50.280 --> 0:45:51.520
<v Speaker 1>was happy with that, and she said, Okay, what's the

0:45:51.560 --> 0:45:55.480
<v Speaker 1>next next book? You gotta keep Yeah, she's like, you

0:45:55.520 --> 0:45:57.680
<v Speaker 1>gotta keep working. You gotta produce. You're the going you

0:45:57.719 --> 0:46:00.279
<v Speaker 1>want to be the producer, you gotta go produce that.

0:46:01.280 --> 0:46:03.799
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there will be There will definitely be another book.

0:46:04.040 --> 0:46:06.600
<v Speaker 1>Whether it will be another bitcoin book, I I don't know.

0:46:06.760 --> 0:46:09.160
<v Speaker 1>And Mike and I kind of shoot around ideas. There's

0:46:09.239 --> 0:46:11.439
<v Speaker 1>just so many stories to tell in this, so yeah,

0:46:11.440 --> 0:46:13.320
<v Speaker 1>I could definitely see another book coming out of it.

0:46:13.480 --> 0:46:18.720
<v Speaker 1>So you mentioned the social network of of sort of libertarians,

0:46:18.880 --> 0:46:25.920
<v Speaker 1>and um, uh cipher punk's libertarians anarchists. So the question

0:46:26.000 --> 0:46:28.800
<v Speaker 1>that had come up um from Mike bat Nick in

0:46:28.920 --> 0:46:32.600
<v Speaker 1>my office, who helps me put these questions together, is

0:46:32.760 --> 0:46:37.520
<v Speaker 1>what's the overlap between the crypto enthusiasts and the gold bugs,

0:46:37.560 --> 0:46:40.799
<v Speaker 1>because there seemed to be some similar If you were

0:46:40.840 --> 0:46:45.280
<v Speaker 1>to draw a Venn diagram, it feels like the enthusiasm

0:46:45.440 --> 0:46:50.600
<v Speaker 1>for something that is a speculative um asset that may

0:46:50.719 --> 0:46:52.560
<v Speaker 1>or may not be worth a whole lot more or

0:46:52.560 --> 0:46:55.719
<v Speaker 1>a whole lot less than a few years. They seem

0:46:55.800 --> 0:46:58.359
<v Speaker 1>to have similar characteristics. They do. And the interesting thing

0:46:58.440 --> 0:47:03.200
<v Speaker 1>about both the gold bugs and the bitcoiners is you

0:47:03.320 --> 0:47:07.040
<v Speaker 1>can make a rational argument that you know, the world

0:47:07.120 --> 0:47:10.200
<v Speaker 1>is an imperfect place and if you're investing in this world,

0:47:10.239 --> 0:47:12.000
<v Speaker 1>things are gonna go up and things gonna go down,

0:47:12.320 --> 0:47:14.880
<v Speaker 1>and you should probably have a hedge against bad times.

0:47:15.280 --> 0:47:20.360
<v Speaker 1>What's that hedge, Well, gold is is, you know, traditionally

0:47:20.400 --> 0:47:23.800
<v Speaker 1>been a store of value and you know, stable asset.

0:47:24.120 --> 0:47:26.920
<v Speaker 1>You should have a little bit of gold in your portfolio.

0:47:27.600 --> 0:47:30.000
<v Speaker 1>A bitcoin they're trying to set up as a digital

0:47:30.160 --> 0:47:31.880
<v Speaker 1>version of that. So if you're looking to have a

0:47:31.920 --> 0:47:34.640
<v Speaker 1>hedge against the world, something that when everything else goes

0:47:34.760 --> 0:47:36.880
<v Speaker 1>down this is sort of stable over here, and it's

0:47:36.920 --> 0:47:39.239
<v Speaker 1>a little different in my God, you can you can

0:47:39.320 --> 0:47:44.480
<v Speaker 1>make that as a sort of rational argument, but it

0:47:44.640 --> 0:47:47.440
<v Speaker 1>gets that message gets lost somewhere. There's a reason they

0:47:47.480 --> 0:47:50.160
<v Speaker 1>call them gold bugs because they get crazy about it,

0:47:50.480 --> 0:47:52.520
<v Speaker 1>and the bitcoin people they get crazy about it, and

0:47:52.600 --> 0:47:55.920
<v Speaker 1>suddenly you go from this sort of rational argument about well,

0:47:55.960 --> 0:47:58.319
<v Speaker 1>you should have a hedge against bad times, it might

0:47:58.400 --> 0:48:02.520
<v Speaker 1>be this too. Gold is everything in the world is terrible.

0:48:02.560 --> 0:48:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin is everything in the world is terrible. And so

0:48:05.280 --> 0:48:07.920
<v Speaker 1>they do have a sort of similar psychology in that

0:48:08.480 --> 0:48:10.200
<v Speaker 1>they get so caught up in the idea that the

0:48:10.239 --> 0:48:12.120
<v Speaker 1>world is terrible and everything is going to go to

0:48:12.200 --> 0:48:13.840
<v Speaker 1>hell in a hand basket and we're just waiting for

0:48:13.840 --> 0:48:18.240
<v Speaker 1>the next crash that you should put everything nobody should

0:48:18.280 --> 0:48:20.160
<v Speaker 1>ever put everything into gold or bitcoin. And I think

0:48:20.200 --> 0:48:22.759
<v Speaker 1>that's insane, but it's sometimes on it feels like that's

0:48:22.800 --> 0:48:27.480
<v Speaker 1>their argument. So it's not their argument. My belief, and

0:48:27.640 --> 0:48:31.040
<v Speaker 1>I am obviously biased. My belief is that is their

0:48:31.120 --> 0:48:35.200
<v Speaker 1>post hoc rationalization. If they own all this gold and

0:48:35.280 --> 0:48:38.200
<v Speaker 1>if the world goes to hell, gold or maybe bitcoin

0:48:38.480 --> 0:48:43.480
<v Speaker 1>is worth a whole lot more, they start internalizing the

0:48:43.840 --> 0:48:47.000
<v Speaker 1>concept that it's not my own gold because it's a

0:48:47.080 --> 0:48:50.520
<v Speaker 1>possibility of the world going to hell. It's our own gold.

0:48:50.560 --> 0:48:52.360
<v Speaker 1>The world has already gone to hell, and therefore this

0:48:52.400 --> 0:48:55.600
<v Speaker 1>gold should be worth so much. So we listen, everybody

0:48:55.680 --> 0:48:58.080
<v Speaker 1>does it. We all lie to ourselves. The easiest person

0:48:58.200 --> 0:49:03.000
<v Speaker 1>to fool is yourself. Um, talk yourself into an at everything, absolutely,

0:49:03.080 --> 0:49:06.040
<v Speaker 1>and so you you end up with So So that's

0:49:06.080 --> 0:49:09.000
<v Speaker 1>what I've kind of find fascinating is there's not a

0:49:09.160 --> 0:49:11.719
<v Speaker 1>cold calculating what is the value. Here's a price to

0:49:11.760 --> 0:49:16.640
<v Speaker 1>book ratio. It's filter for these it's we don't know

0:49:16.719 --> 0:49:19.400
<v Speaker 1>what this value is. But I'm so emotionally in tied

0:49:19.480 --> 0:49:23.080
<v Speaker 1>up in it, not only my personal net worth, but

0:49:23.239 --> 0:49:25.399
<v Speaker 1>my sense of self and how smart I think I am.

0:49:25.480 --> 0:49:30.040
<v Speaker 1>And therefore this proves it. All objectivity goes goes out

0:49:30.080 --> 0:49:32.520
<v Speaker 1>the window. And that's why I kind of I think

0:49:32.600 --> 0:49:35.000
<v Speaker 1>Mike was looking at them as hey, here are some

0:49:35.239 --> 0:49:38.920
<v Speaker 1>very similar or characteristics with two distinct groups. So the

0:49:39.040 --> 0:49:41.480
<v Speaker 1>next question is what sort of overlap is there in

0:49:41.719 --> 0:49:45.080
<v Speaker 1>terms of are the crypto people also holding gold and

0:49:45.280 --> 0:49:48.759
<v Speaker 1>vice versa, or have those two groups never the twain

0:49:48.880 --> 0:49:50.680
<v Speaker 1>shall meet. I mean, I'm sure there are people in

0:49:50.760 --> 0:49:53.480
<v Speaker 1>this world who are holding bitcoin and gold, but I

0:49:53.640 --> 0:50:00.160
<v Speaker 1>think the real bitcoin you know, uh, aficionados they think

0:50:00.200 --> 0:50:03.520
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin is the better gold. So they're probably not you know,

0:50:04.040 --> 0:50:06.760
<v Speaker 1>they're not holding bitcoin and gold, they're just holding bitcoin.

0:50:07.320 --> 0:50:10.000
<v Speaker 1>The people are doing it are pride people who are gold,

0:50:10.160 --> 0:50:17.319
<v Speaker 1>people who think the right right, right. Um, So let's

0:50:17.360 --> 0:50:21.200
<v Speaker 1>talk about some of the companies that have grown up

0:50:21.320 --> 0:50:24.920
<v Speaker 1>around this. So we mentioned Mount Cox, which very famously

0:50:25.000 --> 0:50:27.239
<v Speaker 1>blew up and it was hacked then I want to

0:50:27.280 --> 0:50:30.400
<v Speaker 1>say a hundred million dollars or something. I think they

0:50:32.000 --> 0:50:35.240
<v Speaker 1>usually they lost eight hundred thousand bitcoin. They later recovered

0:50:35.280 --> 0:50:38.160
<v Speaker 1>two hundred thousand bitcoin. And what's interesting is so they

0:50:38.200 --> 0:50:40.800
<v Speaker 1>lost six hundred thousand bitcoin, which at the time I

0:50:40.880 --> 0:50:44.560
<v Speaker 1>think it was worth four hundred millions something like that. Uh.

0:50:44.760 --> 0:50:46.960
<v Speaker 1>The crazy thing now that they're trying to figure out too,

0:50:47.040 --> 0:50:49.719
<v Speaker 1>is that that two hundred thousand that they recovered is

0:50:49.760 --> 0:50:53.200
<v Speaker 1>now worth more than everything they lost. Who gets it?

0:50:53.719 --> 0:50:56.320
<v Speaker 1>Who gets it? They have to distribute it. Do the

0:50:56.360 --> 0:50:58.640
<v Speaker 1>creditors get it, does the company hold it? Do you

0:50:58.760 --> 0:51:01.759
<v Speaker 1>sell it at what it was worth? Do you sell

0:51:01.800 --> 0:51:03.839
<v Speaker 1>it what it's worth? Now? You know, like this has

0:51:03.880 --> 0:51:06.040
<v Speaker 1>become a whole different issue with Mountco. But mount Cox

0:51:06.560 --> 0:51:10.120
<v Speaker 1>was basically a one man company. It was a guy

0:51:10.480 --> 0:51:13.080
<v Speaker 1>who had bought a website from another guy and just

0:51:13.160 --> 0:51:15.120
<v Speaker 1>set it up and because there were no real exchanges,

0:51:15.200 --> 0:51:17.839
<v Speaker 1>it just got all that traffic. It was never really

0:51:17.880 --> 0:51:21.960
<v Speaker 1>a very well thought out company. What coin Base is

0:51:22.000 --> 0:51:26.880
<v Speaker 1>another company that started in and initially I think they

0:51:26.920 --> 0:51:29.440
<v Speaker 1>were just trying to build bitcoin wallets. So anyhow, so

0:51:29.560 --> 0:51:31.800
<v Speaker 1>in another word, it is a place to say digital

0:51:31.840 --> 0:51:35.480
<v Speaker 1>account where, yes, where you hold your bitcoin, although apparently

0:51:35.560 --> 0:51:37.759
<v Speaker 1>lots of these have gotten halfed over the years. Well,

0:51:37.840 --> 0:51:41.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, interesting thing about bitcoin is though one of

0:51:41.840 --> 0:51:44.879
<v Speaker 1>the core ideas was that you are your own bank.

0:51:45.239 --> 0:51:48.239
<v Speaker 1>You are holding your own money. You're responsible for your

0:51:48.280 --> 0:51:50.799
<v Speaker 1>own money. You're not putting your money at a bank

0:51:50.880 --> 0:51:52.560
<v Speaker 1>and then the bank gets to do whatever it wants

0:51:52.640 --> 0:51:55.960
<v Speaker 1>with your money. You have it, so your wallet, your

0:51:56.000 --> 0:51:59.680
<v Speaker 1>digital wallet, your account that is like that's the equivalent

0:51:59.719 --> 0:52:02.080
<v Speaker 1>of your bank account. You are in control of it, though,

0:52:02.640 --> 0:52:04.920
<v Speaker 1>so you have to secure it. You have to make

0:52:04.960 --> 0:52:07.120
<v Speaker 1>sure that the security measures are there. You have to

0:52:07.200 --> 0:52:09.759
<v Speaker 1>hold the private key, the the account number to it,

0:52:10.120 --> 0:52:12.319
<v Speaker 1>never lose it. If you lose it, it is gone.

0:52:12.440 --> 0:52:14.480
<v Speaker 1>You are the only person forever the only person with

0:52:14.520 --> 0:52:17.399
<v Speaker 1>access to it. You lose the key, it's gone. There's

0:52:17.440 --> 0:52:21.560
<v Speaker 1>been some estimates that twenty plus percent of bitcoin keys

0:52:21.600 --> 0:52:23.879
<v Speaker 1>have been lost and that money has gone. Yeah, which

0:52:23.920 --> 0:52:25.680
<v Speaker 1>again gets to my whole point I was making earlier

0:52:25.680 --> 0:52:27.840
<v Speaker 1>about liquidity. I mean, if a quarter of all the

0:52:27.920 --> 0:52:32.360
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin that exists can never trade, that's huge. But anyhow,

0:52:32.400 --> 0:52:35.240
<v Speaker 1>coin Base started out building a wallet. They have grown.

0:52:35.320 --> 0:52:37.279
<v Speaker 1>They now have an exchange. I think they do some

0:52:37.560 --> 0:52:40.800
<v Speaker 1>uh and you know, enterprise business. They work with companies

0:52:40.840 --> 0:52:45.200
<v Speaker 1>trying to implement bitcoin processes and everything. Uh. They have

0:52:45.560 --> 0:52:50.360
<v Speaker 1>become probably you could safely say the premier bitcoin company.

0:52:50.360 --> 0:52:52.359
<v Speaker 1>I mean they've kind of gotten into the mainstream. At

0:52:52.400 --> 0:52:56.480
<v Speaker 1>one point last year in seventeen, their online app was

0:52:56.600 --> 0:52:59.480
<v Speaker 1>the number one app in the Apple Store. It rose

0:52:59.520 --> 0:53:02.200
<v Speaker 1>to the top up. Estimates are they made a billion

0:53:02.280 --> 0:53:05.040
<v Speaker 1>dollars last year. They're making a lot of I mean

0:53:05.080 --> 0:53:07.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money. Now people are realizing is in

0:53:08.200 --> 0:53:11.279
<v Speaker 1>operating as a quote unquote exchange. I almost say quote

0:53:11.320 --> 0:53:15.320
<v Speaker 1>unquote for coin Base their regulated company. Uh, they registered

0:53:15.360 --> 0:53:17.520
<v Speaker 1>with the New York Department Financial Services. But a lot

0:53:17.560 --> 0:53:20.480
<v Speaker 1>of these exchanges are quote unquote exchanges. They're just websites

0:53:20.520 --> 0:53:22.719
<v Speaker 1>where people are trading back and forth. But there's a

0:53:22.840 --> 0:53:24.799
<v Speaker 1>lot of money to be made in that. So right

0:53:24.920 --> 0:53:27.719
<v Speaker 1>now the big money is being made by you know,

0:53:27.840 --> 0:53:31.759
<v Speaker 1>offering trading services, the tel Aviv company. Let's see if

0:53:31.800 --> 0:53:35.120
<v Speaker 1>I can pronounce this right. Commuter is commuters I think

0:53:35.200 --> 0:53:38.440
<v Speaker 1>it is. Yeah, it's interesting. And again, you know a

0:53:38.560 --> 0:53:40.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of these companies will come up and you have

0:53:40.640 --> 0:53:43.800
<v Speaker 1>to realize that these are startups. They have ideas, but

0:53:44.040 --> 0:53:47.719
<v Speaker 1>they have to build it and implement it, survive fund

0:53:47.760 --> 0:53:51.600
<v Speaker 1>revee to build a business. Right, coin based started in twelve.

0:53:51.600 --> 0:53:53.520
<v Speaker 1>There are a lot of companies that started in twelve

0:53:53.560 --> 0:53:55.279
<v Speaker 1>that didn't make it. Coin Base made it. They built

0:53:55.320 --> 0:53:58.960
<v Speaker 1>a business. Uh, Commuters is an interesting idea. It's sort

0:53:59.000 --> 0:54:02.359
<v Speaker 1>of a bitcoin based version of Uber. So in other words,

0:54:02.480 --> 0:54:04.520
<v Speaker 1>Uber is this great popular app everyone. You don't have

0:54:04.560 --> 0:54:06.759
<v Speaker 1>to explain what it is now at this point, but

0:54:07.360 --> 0:54:10.120
<v Speaker 1>it is a piece of software that's owned by a company.

0:54:10.920 --> 0:54:14.640
<v Speaker 1>The idea behind Commuters is to have a piece of

0:54:14.800 --> 0:54:17.880
<v Speaker 1>software that is not owned by a company that operates

0:54:17.960 --> 0:54:20.360
<v Speaker 1>the same way Uber does. It's about hooking up riders

0:54:20.400 --> 0:54:24.040
<v Speaker 1>and drivers, but the program operates the way bitcoin operates

0:54:24.120 --> 0:54:27.320
<v Speaker 1>on a decentralized network of computers. That's it. That's the

0:54:27.400 --> 0:54:31.200
<v Speaker 1>idea behind it. Uh, it's really interesting. I don't know

0:54:31.320 --> 0:54:33.400
<v Speaker 1>how far they're getting with it yet. I was actually

0:54:33.440 --> 0:54:36.000
<v Speaker 1>went online line last night trying to find some updates

0:54:36.040 --> 0:54:37.960
<v Speaker 1>on how they're doing, and I couldn't really find anything,

0:54:38.160 --> 0:54:40.520
<v Speaker 1>which is never a good sign. No offense commuters. I

0:54:40.560 --> 0:54:43.920
<v Speaker 1>hope you make it great, good luck, But again, interesting idea,

0:54:44.200 --> 0:54:46.279
<v Speaker 1>and there are a lot of interesting ideas out there.

0:54:47.200 --> 0:54:49.160
<v Speaker 1>At some point you have to build a business on it.

0:54:49.239 --> 0:54:52.680
<v Speaker 1>What else is an interesting idea built around blockchain? A

0:54:52.800 --> 0:54:54.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of the hot ideas and I think these are

0:54:54.920 --> 0:54:56.920
<v Speaker 1>going to be difficult to build quite frankly. A lot

0:54:56.960 --> 0:55:00.480
<v Speaker 1>of the hot things are people want to build the

0:55:00.640 --> 0:55:04.040
<v Speaker 1>platform now right. I mean the idea is you look

0:55:04.080 --> 0:55:08.799
<v Speaker 1>at Ethereum, which is essentially an operating system. It's an

0:55:08.800 --> 0:55:11.840
<v Speaker 1>operating system, it's like Android, it's like iOS on your mobile,

0:55:12.160 --> 0:55:15.640
<v Speaker 1>but it's a decentralized operating system, rather than Apple owning

0:55:15.680 --> 0:55:19.840
<v Speaker 1>it for computers or for computer for no, for computers.

0:55:20.160 --> 0:55:22.600
<v Speaker 1>So you would download the software you get on the network,

0:55:22.880 --> 0:55:25.440
<v Speaker 1>and then anybody who wants to build an Apple or

0:55:25.560 --> 0:55:27.640
<v Speaker 1>service on top of that platform build it and then

0:55:27.640 --> 0:55:29.800
<v Speaker 1>you have access to it if you're on the Ethereum network.

0:55:29.920 --> 0:55:32.040
<v Speaker 1>That's what it is. So what you have now a

0:55:32.160 --> 0:55:34.360
<v Speaker 1>lot of people and a lot of people have raised

0:55:34.440 --> 0:55:37.880
<v Speaker 1>money to build their own version of the platform. So

0:55:37.960 --> 0:55:40.960
<v Speaker 1>now you have this competition. Everybody wants to build the

0:55:41.120 --> 0:55:47.280
<v Speaker 1>platform the next Android, Android for mobile, Android for mobile, decentralus,

0:55:47.600 --> 0:55:51.160
<v Speaker 1>open source, decentralized. It's a good idea, but it's going

0:55:51.280 --> 0:55:52.920
<v Speaker 1>to be hard. You have to build up all the

0:55:53.000 --> 0:55:54.840
<v Speaker 1>network effects. You have to build up the community, you

0:55:54.920 --> 0:55:57.000
<v Speaker 1>have to build up users, you have to have people

0:55:57.080 --> 0:55:59.680
<v Speaker 1>coming on and building services on top of it that work.

0:56:00.320 --> 0:56:02.399
<v Speaker 1>Uh So that's a really that's a big bet kind

0:56:02.440 --> 0:56:04.000
<v Speaker 1>of thing. You know, that's pie in the sky. I'm

0:56:04.040 --> 0:56:07.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna build the next Ethereum. What meanwhile, Ethereum is still

0:56:07.080 --> 0:56:10.320
<v Speaker 1>trying to build the next Ethereum. What about other coins?

0:56:10.400 --> 0:56:13.439
<v Speaker 1>Which is ethereum? So you have Bitcoin as the best.

0:56:13.520 --> 0:56:17.719
<v Speaker 1>There's probably fifteen hundred coins whatever you want to call

0:56:17.760 --> 0:56:21.080
<v Speaker 1>the cryptocurrencies, tokens coins, you know, yeah, this probably is

0:56:21.080 --> 0:56:23.719
<v Speaker 1>at least not off of the same blockchain, not off

0:56:23.760 --> 0:56:28.200
<v Speaker 1>the same blockchain. The idea because bitcoin is open source software,

0:56:28.239 --> 0:56:32.240
<v Speaker 1>anybody can take that program rewrite it to their own specifications.

0:56:33.880 --> 0:56:36.760
<v Speaker 1>So what are the top five coins? Out the top five,

0:56:37.000 --> 0:56:39.960
<v Speaker 1>and I have to say of those fifteen hundred, I

0:56:40.040 --> 0:56:43.440
<v Speaker 1>would my personal bet is no more than a dozen

0:56:43.560 --> 0:56:46.440
<v Speaker 1>have any chance of ever becoming something. Most of them

0:56:46.520 --> 0:56:49.600
<v Speaker 1>are just you know, either they're flat out pump and

0:56:49.680 --> 0:56:53.400
<v Speaker 1>dump schemes or their well meaning their well meaning efforts

0:56:53.440 --> 0:56:55.000
<v Speaker 1>that are not going to go anywhere. Yeah, I mean

0:56:55.040 --> 0:56:57.959
<v Speaker 1>it's Look, it's hard to get a community of people

0:56:58.040 --> 0:57:02.120
<v Speaker 1>to come together and agree to use your thing. Uh, Bitcoin, Ethereum,

0:57:02.680 --> 0:57:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Ripple light Coin are probably the four major ones. Then

0:57:06.800 --> 0:57:09.319
<v Speaker 1>you have offshoots of that. You have bitcoin Cash, which

0:57:09.360 --> 0:57:11.879
<v Speaker 1>is an offshoot of Bitcoin. You have Ethereum Classic, which

0:57:11.920 --> 0:57:14.839
<v Speaker 1>is an offshoot of Ethereum. Those are probably the half

0:57:14.960 --> 0:57:18.520
<v Speaker 1>dozen that I think have the largest market value right

0:57:18.600 --> 0:57:22.240
<v Speaker 1>now combined. Um. There are a couple others out there,

0:57:22.280 --> 0:57:25.160
<v Speaker 1>but they're gonna have a harder time. But that's really it.

0:57:25.360 --> 0:57:27.960
<v Speaker 1>There's not there are a lot of them out there.

0:57:28.120 --> 0:57:29.600
<v Speaker 1>I think there are very few that have a real

0:57:29.720 --> 0:57:32.680
<v Speaker 1>chance of kind of building a viable future for themselves.

0:57:32.880 --> 0:57:35.680
<v Speaker 1>So I have I have two more coin questions before

0:57:35.800 --> 0:57:39.480
<v Speaker 1>I get to my standard questions. One is explain what

0:57:40.000 --> 0:57:45.280
<v Speaker 1>forking is, okay, and the other is uh i c oh.

0:57:45.400 --> 0:57:49.240
<v Speaker 1>So so let's start with forking. Alright. So forking is

0:57:49.680 --> 0:57:52.240
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a term. It's a software term. Basically,

0:57:52.320 --> 0:57:55.640
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing is you are taking the software and

0:57:56.240 --> 0:57:58.320
<v Speaker 1>you are update, you're updating it. You're creating a new

0:57:58.480 --> 0:58:02.160
<v Speaker 1>version of it, and you can have is a soft

0:58:02.280 --> 0:58:05.440
<v Speaker 1>fork and a hard fork. In a soft fork, you

0:58:05.520 --> 0:58:07.600
<v Speaker 1>are updating the software, coming up with a new version

0:58:07.640 --> 0:58:09.960
<v Speaker 1>of it, but the older versions of the software will

0:58:09.960 --> 0:58:12.440
<v Speaker 1>still work with it. Think of when Microsoft comes up

0:58:12.440 --> 0:58:14.600
<v Speaker 1>with a new version of Word. You can download the

0:58:14.640 --> 0:58:16.560
<v Speaker 1>new version of Word, or you can keep working off

0:58:16.600 --> 0:58:21.960
<v Speaker 1>your old version of Word. They're still A hard fork

0:58:22.440 --> 0:58:24.520
<v Speaker 1>is where there's a new version of the software but

0:58:24.640 --> 0:58:27.760
<v Speaker 1>it is incompatible with the old version of the software.

0:58:28.040 --> 0:58:30.120
<v Speaker 1>So say Microsoft comes out and says, well, we have

0:58:30.120 --> 0:58:32.600
<v Speaker 1>a new version of Word that you have to download

0:58:32.680 --> 0:58:35.360
<v Speaker 1>or the old version won't be compaled. That's a hard fork.

0:58:36.080 --> 0:58:39.320
<v Speaker 1>In open source, this becomes a policy, It really becomes

0:58:39.360 --> 0:58:42.680
<v Speaker 1>a political tool. Um, if there's a community that wants

0:58:42.840 --> 0:58:46.560
<v Speaker 1>certain features and they're not getting them, they can hard

0:58:46.640 --> 0:58:48.560
<v Speaker 1>fork the software. They can come up with their own

0:58:48.680 --> 0:58:52.120
<v Speaker 1>version of every everyone has to come along or not.

0:58:53.000 --> 0:58:58.320
<v Speaker 1>And I c O stands for initial coin offering. Uh,

0:58:58.480 --> 0:59:02.200
<v Speaker 1>and this is a very nascent field. It's very contentious

0:59:02.920 --> 0:59:06.040
<v Speaker 1>eyes when I asked that, it's just it's such a

0:59:08.120 --> 0:59:11.320
<v Speaker 1>it's such a great story. Again, remember everything for me

0:59:11.480 --> 0:59:14.280
<v Speaker 1>is the story. It is a great, great story. It

0:59:14.440 --> 0:59:16.160
<v Speaker 1>is so much fun, it's so interesting. There's so many

0:59:16.200 --> 0:59:18.520
<v Speaker 1>angles to it. So and I see O his initial

0:59:18.560 --> 0:59:21.120
<v Speaker 1>coin offering. It's it's a way for companies to to

0:59:21.280 --> 0:59:24.160
<v Speaker 1>raise money. It's kind of a cross between crowdfunding and

0:59:24.240 --> 0:59:27.560
<v Speaker 1>an I p O. So a startup says. What a

0:59:27.600 --> 0:59:31.160
<v Speaker 1>startup says is we have this digital product that we're building.

0:59:31.200 --> 0:59:33.560
<v Speaker 1>We have this service. We are going to attach a

0:59:33.640 --> 0:59:36.360
<v Speaker 1>token to it. You can buy the token and give

0:59:36.440 --> 0:59:39.760
<v Speaker 1>us money, and we're gonna sell it. And that's it.

0:59:40.160 --> 0:59:42.560
<v Speaker 1>That's really what it is. What I think happened in

0:59:43.000 --> 0:59:45.400
<v Speaker 1>Seen was you had a price rally in Bitcoin and

0:59:45.480 --> 0:59:47.760
<v Speaker 1>ethereum and a couple of the other coins. So people

0:59:47.960 --> 0:59:51.160
<v Speaker 1>who were holding we're making tons of money. But again

0:59:51.360 --> 0:59:53.400
<v Speaker 1>there's not much you can do with this stuff besides

0:59:53.480 --> 0:59:56.920
<v Speaker 1>trade it. So they're sitting on all these paper profits,

0:59:57.080 --> 1:00:00.320
<v Speaker 1>paper profits, digital profits without much to do with it.

1:00:00.560 --> 1:00:02.400
<v Speaker 1>Here comes this other trend of the I c O

1:00:02.640 --> 1:00:05.320
<v Speaker 1>startups saying, hey, invest in us, we could be the

1:00:05.400 --> 1:00:07.439
<v Speaker 1>next hot thing. So you have a group of people

1:00:07.440 --> 1:00:08.800
<v Speaker 1>who have a lot of money and nothing to do

1:00:08.920 --> 1:00:10.520
<v Speaker 1>with it, and you have a group of companies over

1:00:10.560 --> 1:00:12.680
<v Speaker 1>here saying we're gonna be the next hot thing. Those

1:00:12.760 --> 1:00:16.000
<v Speaker 1>two things merge, they bang into each other, and you

1:00:16.080 --> 1:00:20.000
<v Speaker 1>have this unbelievable speculative menia. The I c O market

1:00:20.080 --> 1:00:22.120
<v Speaker 1>takes off, and I think it was it was six

1:00:22.240 --> 1:00:26.120
<v Speaker 1>billion was raised last year via this method. Uh it is.

1:00:26.560 --> 1:00:30.720
<v Speaker 1>It's most of which no one expects to do anything anything, virtually,

1:00:30.800 --> 1:00:33.600
<v Speaker 1>all of which everyone expects will be dead money in

1:00:33.680 --> 1:00:36.640
<v Speaker 1>the end. Amazing. All right, So let's get into my

1:00:36.800 --> 1:00:40.240
<v Speaker 1>favorite questions. These are what I ask all of my guests.

1:00:41.360 --> 1:00:43.960
<v Speaker 1>So let's jump into our favorite questions. Tell us the

1:00:44.040 --> 1:00:48.920
<v Speaker 1>most important thing people don't know about your background. I

1:00:49.000 --> 1:00:51.600
<v Speaker 1>don't know. I don't know if this is the most

1:00:51.680 --> 1:00:55.880
<v Speaker 1>important thing, but and I'm probably important thing. I'm probably

1:00:55.920 --> 1:00:59.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna expose myself here and maybe, actually maybe people would

1:00:59.200 --> 1:01:03.000
<v Speaker 1>figure this out on their own. I'm basically self taught.

1:01:03.080 --> 1:01:05.000
<v Speaker 1>I didn't go to school for journalism. I didn't go

1:01:05.040 --> 1:01:06.640
<v Speaker 1>to school for finance. I didn't go to school for

1:01:06.680 --> 1:01:09.400
<v Speaker 1>business or economics. I was an English major. Got out

1:01:09.440 --> 1:01:11.560
<v Speaker 1>of college, needed a job and there was a newspaper

1:01:11.600 --> 1:01:14.760
<v Speaker 1>in my town that was hiring. So I applied for it.

1:01:15.080 --> 1:01:19.360
<v Speaker 1>And I knew the rudimentary writing and editing skills, so

1:01:19.480 --> 1:01:22.040
<v Speaker 1>they hired me and that was it. So I learned

1:01:22.080 --> 1:01:24.720
<v Speaker 1>everything I learned about journalism I learned on the job.

1:01:25.000 --> 1:01:27.720
<v Speaker 1>Everything about finance I learned in my twenty years of

1:01:27.760 --> 1:01:30.320
<v Speaker 1>working at Dow Jones and reading The Big Picture and

1:01:30.400 --> 1:01:33.160
<v Speaker 1>some other blood. By the way, there was a long

1:01:33.320 --> 1:01:36.320
<v Speaker 1>standing argument that said all of education is a function

1:01:36.400 --> 1:01:40.640
<v Speaker 1>of giving students the tools to teach themselves. Yeah, well

1:01:40.680 --> 1:01:42.840
<v Speaker 1>you know what the tools I got. I went to

1:01:42.960 --> 1:01:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Fairfield University in Connecticut, which is a Jesuit school, And uh,

1:01:46.880 --> 1:01:50.000
<v Speaker 1>the Jesuits give you a great education. They really believed

1:01:50.040 --> 1:01:51.520
<v Speaker 1>them in New York as well. Right for them in

1:01:51.520 --> 1:01:54.280
<v Speaker 1>New York as well. Uh. They are big on teaching

1:01:54.360 --> 1:01:57.440
<v Speaker 1>you how to think, how to analyze, and giving you

1:01:57.560 --> 1:02:00.680
<v Speaker 1>a broad introduction to everything. So I got a great

1:02:00.680 --> 1:02:04.120
<v Speaker 1>I actually got a great education in learning how to

1:02:04.200 --> 1:02:08.240
<v Speaker 1>think what you can apply to anything. So who are

1:02:08.320 --> 1:02:13.080
<v Speaker 1>some of your early mentors. My early mentors were they're

1:02:13.080 --> 1:02:15.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna be people you never heard of. Right. My first

1:02:15.280 --> 1:02:18.760
<v Speaker 1>editor was a guy named Ward Mealy. My first editor

1:02:18.960 --> 1:02:21.600
<v Speaker 1>at at the Verona Cedar Grove Times run in New Jersey.

1:02:21.880 --> 1:02:25.240
<v Speaker 1>My first editor at Dow Jones was this guy Pete Rooney.

1:02:25.760 --> 1:02:28.800
<v Speaker 1>And they were great mentors. They were old school journalists. Right,

1:02:29.240 --> 1:02:32.640
<v Speaker 1>work hard, don't f with the news, go out and

1:02:32.680 --> 1:02:34.400
<v Speaker 1>have a beer after work. This is just a job.

1:02:34.480 --> 1:02:37.320
<v Speaker 1>Don't take it too seriously. Uh, And that was what

1:02:37.400 --> 1:02:39.320
<v Speaker 1>they kind of taught. They kind of taught me how

1:02:39.880 --> 1:02:43.280
<v Speaker 1>journalists operate, and and that was great. So my my,

1:02:43.840 --> 1:02:46.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, look, I started in right, I mean, I

1:02:46.720 --> 1:02:49.880
<v Speaker 1>started pre Internet era, so I have a little bit

1:02:49.920 --> 1:02:52.680
<v Speaker 1>of a foot in the old, the old journalist world.

1:02:53.000 --> 1:02:54.760
<v Speaker 1>And those those guys were more early mentors, and they

1:02:54.800 --> 1:02:57.000
<v Speaker 1>were great guys, absolutely great guys. I picture you with

1:02:57.080 --> 1:03:01.440
<v Speaker 1>the fedora with a little press for a band of that. Um.

1:03:01.880 --> 1:03:06.520
<v Speaker 1>So you mentioned, uh you started in the nineties. Who

1:03:06.600 --> 1:03:09.880
<v Speaker 1>were the journalists, who were the writers who influenced your

1:03:09.920 --> 1:03:16.120
<v Speaker 1>approach to writing? Right? Uh? Some of them were actually

1:03:16.280 --> 1:03:19.960
<v Speaker 1>let's see, you know you can read that. I'm impressed.

1:03:20.000 --> 1:03:24.520
<v Speaker 1>I have classes classes, didn't do anything without classes anymore. Um,

1:03:25.360 --> 1:03:28.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's it's funny a lot of And I'm

1:03:28.280 --> 1:03:30.760
<v Speaker 1>not just trying to kiss up to you because you

1:03:30.760 --> 1:03:32.840
<v Speaker 1>already gave me the interview and imagine you're gonna publish this.

1:03:33.160 --> 1:03:36.400
<v Speaker 1>But I loved I know, I'm just like I loved

1:03:36.480 --> 1:03:38.680
<v Speaker 1>the Big Picture the blog, you know, back in the

1:03:38.840 --> 1:03:40.800
<v Speaker 1>early auts, when you were doing it, that was that

1:03:40.920 --> 1:03:44.200
<v Speaker 1>was a big influence on me. James Stewart, Denna Thieves

1:03:44.440 --> 1:03:47.520
<v Speaker 1>was a great book. Daniel Jurgan, the Prize. Those were

1:03:47.680 --> 1:03:51.040
<v Speaker 1>great books to read, you know, they were great storytelling.

1:03:51.560 --> 1:03:54.000
<v Speaker 1>They really kind of especially Denna Thieves got it all

1:03:54.000 --> 1:03:56.040
<v Speaker 1>the craziness of the eighties that was going on in

1:03:56.560 --> 1:03:59.640
<v Speaker 1>Jurigan's whole history of the oil industry was really fascinating.

1:04:00.240 --> 1:04:03.280
<v Speaker 1>So those are those are some of my early influences.

1:04:04.800 --> 1:04:07.840
<v Speaker 1>Tell us about this is everybody's favorite question. You mentioned

1:04:07.920 --> 1:04:10.480
<v Speaker 1>Denna Thieves and the Prize. What are some of your

1:04:10.560 --> 1:04:15.000
<v Speaker 1>favorite books, by the way, finance, non finance, unfiction, anything,

1:04:15.200 --> 1:04:18.440
<v Speaker 1>most of it's it's more fiction. My favorite, my favorite

1:04:18.480 --> 1:04:21.280
<v Speaker 1>book absolutely of all time is Zenna The Art of

1:04:21.360 --> 1:04:26.080
<v Speaker 1>Motorcycle Makers. Repeatedly in college, did you yeah, I did too.

1:04:26.360 --> 1:04:28.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean I not only did I read it repeatedly

1:04:28.480 --> 1:04:30.600
<v Speaker 1>in college, I there was a point in my life

1:04:30.640 --> 1:04:33.080
<v Speaker 1>where I was probably reading that whole book once a year.

1:04:33.160 --> 1:04:35.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I just know people do that. So it's

1:04:35.960 --> 1:04:38.680
<v Speaker 1>such a great book. Uh. That is, without a doubt,

1:04:38.800 --> 1:04:41.440
<v Speaker 1>my favorite book. Then a lot of others. I mean

1:04:41.440 --> 1:04:43.720
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of other stuff. I think Dubliners by

1:04:43.800 --> 1:04:47.240
<v Speaker 1>James Joyce's story short story collection, I just think that is.

1:04:47.880 --> 1:04:51.480
<v Speaker 1>I think James Joyce is probably the greatest English language

1:04:51.520 --> 1:04:54.200
<v Speaker 1>writer ever. You're not the first person who knows. I'm

1:04:54.200 --> 1:04:55.640
<v Speaker 1>sure I'm not, but I think he is. And and

1:04:56.320 --> 1:05:01.200
<v Speaker 1>like you know, Ulysses and and it's his novels can

1:05:01.440 --> 1:05:03.560
<v Speaker 1>kind of you can get lost in them. They're difficult,

1:05:03.760 --> 1:05:07.760
<v Speaker 1>but the short stories are unbelievable. They're great. Uh, this

1:05:07.920 --> 1:05:10.880
<v Speaker 1>is gonna sound odd. I guess Meditations by Marcus Aurelius.

1:05:11.240 --> 1:05:15.960
<v Speaker 1>Ryan Holiday just was talking about. I'm not kidding, that's

1:05:15.960 --> 1:05:17.640
<v Speaker 1>one of my favorite books. That's in on my bookshelf.

1:05:17.680 --> 1:05:19.919
<v Speaker 1>I turned to it off. Have you read his book

1:05:19.960 --> 1:05:22.520
<v Speaker 1>The Daily Stoic? I have not, but I know who

1:05:22.560 --> 1:05:25.640
<v Speaker 1>you're talking about. That is something you should check out.

1:05:25.640 --> 1:05:28.120
<v Speaker 1>If you should if you like market, if you like meditations,

1:05:28.560 --> 1:05:31.520
<v Speaker 1>check that out. You know what else, Give me one more,

1:05:31.760 --> 1:05:37.000
<v Speaker 1>give you one more. I mean just giving me. I

1:05:37.680 --> 1:05:41.040
<v Speaker 1>mean most of Hemmingway a lot of carouac. I think

1:05:41.320 --> 1:05:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Fitzgerald was a great writer. I think it was a

1:05:43.640 --> 1:05:45.080
<v Speaker 1>good I had a good command of the language. But

1:05:45.120 --> 1:05:47.240
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he was a great storyteller, like I

1:05:47.280 --> 1:05:49.280
<v Speaker 1>think if you look at Great Catsby, there's no real

1:05:49.480 --> 1:05:51.640
<v Speaker 1>story there, which is I think why all the movie

1:05:51.840 --> 1:05:57.800
<v Speaker 1>adaptations fail. The richer difference. I was on a flight

1:05:57.920 --> 1:06:00.240
<v Speaker 1>the other day and I had been carrying him own

1:06:00.320 --> 1:06:03.880
<v Speaker 1>The Old Man in the Sea, only like a hundred

1:06:03.960 --> 1:06:07.080
<v Speaker 1>and something pages, And I had this thin book in

1:06:07.200 --> 1:06:10.120
<v Speaker 1>my bag for weeks, and I figured, let me just

1:06:10.240 --> 1:06:14.080
<v Speaker 1>bang out the first chapter and through. Six hours later

1:06:14.160 --> 1:06:16.320
<v Speaker 1>we land and I had finished the book, and I

1:06:16.480 --> 1:06:19.560
<v Speaker 1>was debating going back and reading it. Hemingway is a

1:06:19.720 --> 1:06:24.520
<v Speaker 1>master of the language, mastering language, a master storytell Yes.

1:06:24.720 --> 1:06:27.240
<v Speaker 1>I think people get caught up in his his persona,

1:06:27.400 --> 1:06:30.120
<v Speaker 1>that sort of tough guy thing, uh, and they kind

1:06:30.120 --> 1:06:34.600
<v Speaker 1>of miss his ability to write. Unbelievable writer. And Old

1:06:34.640 --> 1:06:36.240
<v Speaker 1>Man in the Sea is just it's a master and

1:06:36.320 --> 1:06:39.920
<v Speaker 1>it's so beautiful. The funny thing is it's so sensitive

1:06:40.000 --> 1:06:43.840
<v Speaker 1>and so perceptive. It stands in stark contradiction to that

1:06:44.080 --> 1:06:48.320
<v Speaker 1>exact guy ex drinking woman ezing. No Hemingways. I think

1:06:48.360 --> 1:06:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Hemingway is a great writer. Yeah again not the first person. Yeah,

1:06:53.760 --> 1:06:55.760
<v Speaker 1>have said that with me. Um, We'll give me one

1:06:55.800 --> 1:06:58.760
<v Speaker 1>other Hemingway. But if you if someone says, hey, I've

1:06:58.840 --> 1:07:01.680
<v Speaker 1>read Old Man, see what else should I read by Hemingway.

1:07:02.400 --> 1:07:05.120
<v Speaker 1>The first one I read by Hemingway that I really

1:07:05.160 --> 1:07:07.680
<v Speaker 1>fell in love with when I was fifteen, a sophomore

1:07:07.680 --> 1:07:10.680
<v Speaker 1>in high school was Sun Also Rises, which was interesting

1:07:10.800 --> 1:07:12.960
<v Speaker 1>at the time. But you know it's funny is at

1:07:13.000 --> 1:07:15.360
<v Speaker 1>the time I really didn't understand half of what was

1:07:15.440 --> 1:07:17.360
<v Speaker 1>going on in that book. I was fifteen years old.

1:07:18.120 --> 1:07:20.080
<v Speaker 1>I was just in tranced by the way. Too young,

1:07:20.520 --> 1:07:22.160
<v Speaker 1>too young. I went back and read it years later

1:07:22.280 --> 1:07:24.680
<v Speaker 1>and kind of caught everything I was missing. But I

1:07:24.760 --> 1:07:27.880
<v Speaker 1>mean all his all his early novels before, I mean

1:07:28.000 --> 1:07:32.160
<v Speaker 1>Sun Also Rises? Uh, farewell to arm Well, that's a

1:07:32.240 --> 1:07:36.160
<v Speaker 1>master piece. What's the one set in the Spanish Civil

1:07:36.240 --> 1:07:40.720
<v Speaker 1>War and blanking on the name now obviously famous for

1:07:40.800 --> 1:07:42.919
<v Speaker 1>Whom the Bell Tolls? For Whom the Bell Tolls? Yeah.

1:07:42.920 --> 1:07:45.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean those are all great works. And his early

1:07:45.160 --> 1:07:48.320
<v Speaker 1>short story collections are great too, They're very very good. Yeah,

1:07:48.440 --> 1:07:52.240
<v Speaker 1>I really like his short So I'm a big Hemingway fan. Um,

1:07:52.640 --> 1:07:57.400
<v Speaker 1>so since you joined finance? What has changed since you

1:07:57.560 --> 1:08:01.560
<v Speaker 1>joined finance journalist? Him? Right, that's what I joined. Let

1:08:01.600 --> 1:08:04.080
<v Speaker 1>me ask that question again, Oh, to have and have not?

1:08:04.400 --> 1:08:07.560
<v Speaker 1>I haven't have not such a spectacular movie too. Um,

1:08:07.760 --> 1:08:12.400
<v Speaker 1>since you joined financial journalism? What has changed in that industry?

1:08:14.240 --> 1:08:16.519
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you what a broaden it a little bit.

1:08:16.560 --> 1:08:19.680
<v Speaker 1>I'll just talk about journalism, because since I joined the

1:08:19.760 --> 1:08:26.320
<v Speaker 1>journalism industry, what has really changed? You know the answer

1:08:26.400 --> 1:08:28.640
<v Speaker 1>you want to give as well, everything's changed. What has

1:08:28.720 --> 1:08:32.280
<v Speaker 1>really changed is the business model. The business model and

1:08:32.400 --> 1:08:35.000
<v Speaker 1>journalism and and it's funny. When I got in, we

1:08:35.120 --> 1:08:38.679
<v Speaker 1>were still we were making the pages by hand. We're

1:08:39.439 --> 1:08:41.719
<v Speaker 1>we're printing out the pages. We had a big piece

1:08:41.720 --> 1:08:44.000
<v Speaker 1>of oak tag on a light table. We would cut

1:08:44.080 --> 1:08:46.320
<v Speaker 1>out the stories with an exact o knife and glue

1:08:46.360 --> 1:08:48.679
<v Speaker 1>them to the page. I did that in college. Yeah,

1:08:48.840 --> 1:08:50.639
<v Speaker 1>that's what I got into journal That's what we did.

1:08:51.560 --> 1:08:56.400
<v Speaker 1>But journalism hasn't really changed the business the journey. What

1:08:56.640 --> 1:09:00.679
<v Speaker 1>journalism's you know model is goal is has not changed.

1:09:00.880 --> 1:09:03.960
<v Speaker 1>What has changed is the business model. The business model

1:09:04.040 --> 1:09:06.439
<v Speaker 1>was blown to smither reens by the Internet. The idea

1:09:06.520 --> 1:09:09.800
<v Speaker 1>that you could create a product, a hard product of newspaper,

1:09:10.160 --> 1:09:13.360
<v Speaker 1>sell ads in it, and make a business on that

1:09:13.840 --> 1:09:17.720
<v Speaker 1>is gone. The Wall Street Journal does a wonderful newspaper,

1:09:17.800 --> 1:09:20.200
<v Speaker 1>it really does. I love our newspaper. The Times does

1:09:20.240 --> 1:09:23.200
<v Speaker 1>a great newspaper. That that is a business model that

1:09:23.240 --> 1:09:27.000
<v Speaker 1>has been blown to hell. And in my mind, nobody

1:09:27.040 --> 1:09:29.600
<v Speaker 1>has actually figured out what the new business model is.

1:09:30.920 --> 1:09:34.360
<v Speaker 1>I I think that the two papers your names, along

1:09:34.400 --> 1:09:37.280
<v Speaker 1>with the Washington Post in the FT that have a

1:09:37.360 --> 1:09:41.559
<v Speaker 1>paywall up that charged for online access, that's the model.

1:09:41.680 --> 1:09:46.280
<v Speaker 1>And and it looks like the whole fake news and

1:09:46.400 --> 1:09:50.800
<v Speaker 1>the whole Facebook Twitter real fake news, not what the

1:09:50.840 --> 1:09:57.120
<v Speaker 1>President calls fake news, but actual Russian bots and fake

1:09:57.200 --> 1:10:00.760
<v Speaker 1>news has become this kind of buzzy drive. It's it's

1:10:01.120 --> 1:10:05.679
<v Speaker 1>propaganda and it is I'm hoping that sends more people

1:10:05.720 --> 1:10:08.519
<v Speaker 1>into the arms of the Wall Street General, the New

1:10:08.600 --> 1:10:12.120
<v Speaker 1>York Times, the Washington Post FT. Because I've written about noise,

1:10:12.120 --> 1:10:15.360
<v Speaker 1>I've written about signal. You can't just take something off

1:10:15.400 --> 1:10:17.519
<v Speaker 1>the web and say, oh, I read it on the internet.

1:10:17.880 --> 1:10:20.840
<v Speaker 1>That's a joke now, you know. It's so maybe that

1:10:21.000 --> 1:10:26.040
<v Speaker 1>will imbute to the benefit of the big because you know,

1:10:26.240 --> 1:10:29.280
<v Speaker 1>I think it's interesting in that we think we're living

1:10:29.320 --> 1:10:31.439
<v Speaker 1>in such a different time and everything is different, everything

1:10:31.439 --> 1:10:35.080
<v Speaker 1>has changed, and it really hasn't. The tools have changed. Uh,

1:10:35.280 --> 1:10:39.160
<v Speaker 1>Politicians have always lied, political parties have always spread, you know,

1:10:39.680 --> 1:10:41.960
<v Speaker 1>lies about their opponents. I mean, these things are not new.

1:10:43.320 --> 1:10:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Readily how readily it can influence. And the job of

1:10:46.439 --> 1:10:52.640
<v Speaker 1>journalism has always been to independently verify facts, too, independently

1:10:52.840 --> 1:10:55.040
<v Speaker 1>tell the truth as best as we can get to

1:10:55.160 --> 1:10:57.920
<v Speaker 1>it at that time. That has not changed and that

1:10:58.000 --> 1:11:02.200
<v Speaker 1>will continue to be what our business is. The problem

1:11:02.320 --> 1:11:04.920
<v Speaker 1>is just trying to do that profitably. And I think

1:11:05.479 --> 1:11:08.160
<v Speaker 1>what you're you know, you can see pro Publica is

1:11:08.200 --> 1:11:11.200
<v Speaker 1>a really interesting effort. The Washington Post. Look what the

1:11:11.240 --> 1:11:14.559
<v Speaker 1>Washington Post did. That was a big, publicly traded company

1:11:15.040 --> 1:11:17.800
<v Speaker 1>that bought a lot of pieces when things were hot,

1:11:18.280 --> 1:11:20.920
<v Speaker 1>things turned in, things turned out, They went private, they

1:11:20.960 --> 1:11:22.920
<v Speaker 1>sold off a lot of the business. They got back

1:11:22.960 --> 1:11:25.960
<v Speaker 1>to their core pieces, They got back to their core,

1:11:26.280 --> 1:11:30.680
<v Speaker 1>which is Washington not that they did, and so the

1:11:31.479 --> 1:11:35.080
<v Speaker 1>business what what we do hasn't changed. Trying to figure

1:11:35.120 --> 1:11:37.000
<v Speaker 1>out a way to do it profitably. That is a

1:11:37.040 --> 1:11:39.160
<v Speaker 1>big challenge for us right now. Tell us about a

1:11:39.240 --> 1:11:43.559
<v Speaker 1>time you failed and what you learned from the experience. Uh, time,

1:11:43.640 --> 1:11:46.960
<v Speaker 1>I failed. So for a while in the nineties, and

1:11:47.040 --> 1:11:49.880
<v Speaker 1>I guess they're early aughts. I thought I was going

1:11:49.960 --> 1:11:52.920
<v Speaker 1>to make a career as a screenwriter. Really yeah, I did.

1:11:53.000 --> 1:11:56.360
<v Speaker 1>I thought I love movies, I like telling stories. I'm

1:11:56.360 --> 1:11:58.439
<v Speaker 1>gonna be a screenwriter. Have you have you written a

1:11:58.479 --> 1:12:01.040
<v Speaker 1>screen play? I've written like ten. Uh, you know, I

1:12:01.280 --> 1:12:04.160
<v Speaker 1>bossom software, read some books, try to figure out what's

1:12:04.200 --> 1:12:06.439
<v Speaker 1>the mind? How do you broad a screenplay? Wrote a

1:12:06.479 --> 1:12:11.680
<v Speaker 1>bunch of them, never sold one. One day, this is

1:12:11.720 --> 1:12:14.400
<v Speaker 1>before this is before bitcoin. So one day I'm walking

1:12:14.439 --> 1:12:16.400
<v Speaker 1>down the street in New York City. If this really happened,

1:12:16.400 --> 1:12:18.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm walking down street, New York City. A guy comes

1:12:18.360 --> 1:12:20.200
<v Speaker 1>walking up the street. He's on his cell phone and

1:12:20.320 --> 1:12:23.720
<v Speaker 1>he said, I hear him say this. He says, I've

1:12:23.760 --> 1:12:25.879
<v Speaker 1>got one day to get a script to Steve Bouschemmy

1:12:25.920 --> 1:12:29.280
<v Speaker 1>and I've got a million dollars. And I my first

1:12:29.320 --> 1:12:33.080
<v Speaker 1>thought was, I've I've got a script. Oh my god,

1:12:33.160 --> 1:12:37.479
<v Speaker 1>Like this is Opportunity walking up the street at you guys,

1:12:37.640 --> 1:12:40.200
<v Speaker 1>says I've got a million dollars. I need to get

1:12:40.240 --> 1:12:43.160
<v Speaker 1>a script to Steve Brushemy. And I'm thinking I have

1:12:43.240 --> 1:12:47.439
<v Speaker 1>a script, and I literally within within five seconds is

1:12:47.479 --> 1:12:49.920
<v Speaker 1>how fast it went. I literally talked myself out of

1:12:50.000 --> 1:12:52.200
<v Speaker 1>going up to the guy and saying, I've got your

1:12:52.240 --> 1:12:57.759
<v Speaker 1>script right now. I I said, girl, maybe my script

1:12:57.840 --> 1:13:00.400
<v Speaker 1>isn't right for Steve Bouchemy. I don't if he's the

1:13:00.439 --> 1:13:04.040
<v Speaker 1>best character, would he really be interested in? And I don't.

1:13:05.080 --> 1:13:09.240
<v Speaker 1>Opportunity walked up the street with me right and I

1:13:09.800 --> 1:13:13.519
<v Speaker 1>and I talked myself out of it. Why did I

1:13:13.600 --> 1:13:16.240
<v Speaker 1>talk to myself? Why didn't I just who cares? If

1:13:16.280 --> 1:13:19.479
<v Speaker 1>it's right for Steve Bush, Like, here's a guy looking

1:13:19.560 --> 1:13:22.360
<v Speaker 1>to buy a script, I've got a script, talk to him.

1:13:22.600 --> 1:13:24.479
<v Speaker 1>And I didn't do it, and I regretted it my

1:13:24.560 --> 1:13:27.960
<v Speaker 1>whole life. And how I learned from it is I

1:13:28.080 --> 1:13:30.800
<v Speaker 1>led to the books when I realized bitcoin was a story.

1:13:31.120 --> 1:13:32.600
<v Speaker 1>I was not going to let it go. You were

1:13:32.640 --> 1:13:35.000
<v Speaker 1>not gonna get Steve not. I was not gonna Steve

1:13:35.040 --> 1:13:37.960
<v Speaker 1>Bushemy myself again. Tell us the sort of advice you

1:13:38.000 --> 1:13:41.160
<v Speaker 1>would give to a millennial or someone who just graduated college.

1:13:41.200 --> 1:13:44.760
<v Speaker 1>You said, I'm interested in becoming a journalist or writer. Yeah,

1:13:44.920 --> 1:13:50.840
<v Speaker 1>I would say, it's really it's it's two words, don't stop,

1:13:52.080 --> 1:13:54.040
<v Speaker 1>don't don't stop, And it's funny. I learned this. I

1:13:54.080 --> 1:13:56.519
<v Speaker 1>actually learned you know, talk you talk about tennis. For

1:13:56.560 --> 1:13:59.000
<v Speaker 1>a while, I was running. I was jogging. And what

1:13:59.120 --> 1:14:02.240
<v Speaker 1>I realized doogging was that as long as I didn't

1:14:02.360 --> 1:14:05.640
<v Speaker 1>give up, I could build up my endurance. Whether I

1:14:05.800 --> 1:14:08.680
<v Speaker 1>ran for ten minutes or for an hour, whether I

1:14:08.720 --> 1:14:11.200
<v Speaker 1>felt good, I felt bad, I was into it. I

1:14:11.360 --> 1:14:14.360
<v Speaker 1>wasn't into it. As long as I kept doing it

1:14:14.439 --> 1:14:16.400
<v Speaker 1>and convinced myself I was going to keep doing it,

1:14:16.439 --> 1:14:18.400
<v Speaker 1>I would get better at it. So if I didn't

1:14:18.479 --> 1:14:19.880
<v Speaker 1>run for a day, if I didn't run for two days,

1:14:19.920 --> 1:14:21.400
<v Speaker 1>if I don't run for a week, I was going

1:14:21.520 --> 1:14:23.240
<v Speaker 1>to go back to it and keep doing it. And

1:14:23.320 --> 1:14:24.840
<v Speaker 1>I did that for a while, and eventually I got

1:14:24.880 --> 1:14:27.080
<v Speaker 1>pretty good at it. And I realized too, like in

1:14:27.200 --> 1:14:30.240
<v Speaker 1>your career, that is the only thing you can control,

1:14:30.360 --> 1:14:35.360
<v Speaker 1>is you right, don't stop. Especially in journalism, journalism is

1:14:35.400 --> 1:14:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a war of attrition. I have seen a lot of

1:14:38.080 --> 1:14:40.320
<v Speaker 1>good writers over the years just give up and get

1:14:40.360 --> 1:14:42.800
<v Speaker 1>out of the business. It's not an easy business. It's

1:14:42.840 --> 1:14:46.720
<v Speaker 1>not a particularly lucrative business. It's hard to do if

1:14:46.760 --> 1:14:48.479
<v Speaker 1>you really want to do it. Thought, if you love it,

1:14:48.520 --> 1:14:51.880
<v Speaker 1>if you're a writer, if you just don't stop. And

1:14:52.000 --> 1:14:54.519
<v Speaker 1>our last question, tell us what it is you know

1:14:54.760 --> 1:14:58.800
<v Speaker 1>about writing, uh and the markets today that you wish

1:14:58.880 --> 1:15:04.439
<v Speaker 1>you knew when you began. I mean one thing, This

1:15:04.560 --> 1:15:07.040
<v Speaker 1>is gonna sound very cliche, but but there is there

1:15:07.120 --> 1:15:09.680
<v Speaker 1>is no substitute for experience. And it kind of goes

1:15:09.680 --> 1:15:12.400
<v Speaker 1>back to what we were both saying years ago. I

1:15:12.479 --> 1:15:14.240
<v Speaker 1>was a bad writer and the only way I was

1:15:14.320 --> 1:15:17.200
<v Speaker 1>going to get good at writing was by writing for years.

1:15:18.080 --> 1:15:21.320
<v Speaker 1>That's it. There's literally no other way to get good

1:15:21.360 --> 1:15:25.920
<v Speaker 1>at writing, but by writing. No. I thought it was

1:15:25.960 --> 1:15:28.200
<v Speaker 1>a good writer. I thought it was a good writer.

1:15:28.439 --> 1:15:30.880
<v Speaker 1>My very first story, I interviewed three guys who were

1:15:30.920 --> 1:15:33.160
<v Speaker 1>at Pearl Harbor the day it was bombed. So we're

1:15:33.200 --> 1:15:35.320
<v Speaker 1>doing a fiftieth anniversary and there were three guys at

1:15:35.360 --> 1:15:38.320
<v Speaker 1>the local VFW who were at Pearl Harbor the day

1:15:38.320 --> 1:15:42.080
<v Speaker 1>it was bombed, and I interviewed them on December and

1:15:42.160 --> 1:15:44.280
<v Speaker 1>I wrote the story and I thought it was you

1:15:44.360 --> 1:15:49.559
<v Speaker 1>interviewed them. I interviewed them in Pearl Harbor, No. Fifty

1:15:49.640 --> 1:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>years earlier years. So I interviewed them. I wrote the story.

1:15:54.080 --> 1:15:56.200
<v Speaker 1>I thought it was a really good story. I got

1:15:56.240 --> 1:15:58.760
<v Speaker 1>this such a good story. I have gone back to

1:15:58.840 --> 1:16:01.840
<v Speaker 1>read that story. It's a terrible story. It's not not

1:16:02.040 --> 1:16:04.120
<v Speaker 1>for the guys. The guys gave me great story. They

1:16:04.160 --> 1:16:06.640
<v Speaker 1>were at Pearl Harbor. The story itself is terrible. There

1:16:06.760 --> 1:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>was nowhere me my writing that terrible. That's amazing. I

1:16:11.479 --> 1:16:16.479
<v Speaker 1>missed your did rollout events at the New York Museum

1:16:16.560 --> 1:16:20.799
<v Speaker 1>of Finance. It's the it's the Museum of American Finance,

1:16:20.920 --> 1:16:23.320
<v Speaker 1>museum in downtown on Wall Street, and you what was

1:16:23.400 --> 1:16:26.040
<v Speaker 1>that an event was Well, we were going to have

1:16:26.160 --> 1:16:28.600
<v Speaker 1>it at the museum. They had some water damage, so

1:16:28.680 --> 1:16:30.479
<v Speaker 1>we couldn't do it there. When they got that fixed up,

1:16:30.960 --> 1:16:33.559
<v Speaker 1>I encourage everyone to go to the museum. Oh my god,

1:16:33.600 --> 1:16:36.080
<v Speaker 1>it's great. It's absolutely great. So we held it up

1:16:36.160 --> 1:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>at Fordham Law School in Lincoln Center and it was, uh,

1:16:41.560 --> 1:16:43.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, it was a launch event. But we had

1:16:44.240 --> 1:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>a uh, we had a you know, one of these

1:16:46.760 --> 1:16:50.799
<v Speaker 1>quote unquote fireside chats which might conducted with Joe Lubin,

1:16:50.880 --> 1:16:52.880
<v Speaker 1>who is a co founder of Ethereum, which is another

1:16:52.960 --> 1:16:56.840
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency platform, And then we had a panel discussion which

1:16:56.920 --> 1:17:00.759
<v Speaker 1>was myself, your colleague, Josh Brown, and the Winklevoss twins,

1:17:00.840 --> 1:17:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Tyler and Cameron with the Winkle Vye is Now, so

1:17:05.760 --> 1:17:08.439
<v Speaker 1>I talked about that actually, and yes, I gave you

1:17:08.479 --> 1:17:11.960
<v Speaker 1>a hard time for not gave me grief. It was Tuesday's.

1:17:12.160 --> 1:17:15.040
<v Speaker 1>I have a standing date on Tuesday's, so unbelieving. Yeah.

1:17:15.040 --> 1:17:16.679
<v Speaker 1>I leaned over to Josh before it and I said,

1:17:16.920 --> 1:17:19.719
<v Speaker 1>Barry coming and he said, no, no, it's it's Tuesday.

1:17:20.960 --> 1:17:24.880
<v Speaker 1>It's like, what are you kidding me? So I have

1:17:25.080 --> 1:17:27.360
<v Speaker 1>to you gave me grief, But I really have to

1:17:27.439 --> 1:17:31.920
<v Speaker 1>share why that was an issue. So I am very

1:17:32.120 --> 1:17:34.880
<v Speaker 1>late to the game of tennis. I picked it up

1:17:35.520 --> 1:17:40.160
<v Speaker 1>in my mid fifties, right, I'm and I'm only in

1:17:40.280 --> 1:17:44.280
<v Speaker 1>my mid fifties, right. And there's a longer story about

1:17:44.360 --> 1:17:47.719
<v Speaker 1>a younger, much dumber, fourteen year old version of myself

1:17:48.200 --> 1:17:52.080
<v Speaker 1>being offered tennis lessons by my mom and saying tennis.

1:17:52.479 --> 1:17:56.680
<v Speaker 1>Who plays tennis? Fourteen year old idiot? So anyway, I

1:17:56.800 --> 1:18:02.360
<v Speaker 1>start playing, and this is really a bizarre digression, but

1:18:02.479 --> 1:18:05.479
<v Speaker 1>since you've been You tortured me about it on Twitter.

1:18:05.640 --> 1:18:08.360
<v Speaker 1>I have to explain this, so that was private. I

1:18:08.360 --> 1:18:11.439
<v Speaker 1>didn't give your heart. You d mned me, which was worse.

1:18:11.600 --> 1:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>Publicly people can trash me and I laugh, but privately

1:18:15.120 --> 1:18:18.400
<v Speaker 1>it's like, oh, he really means this. I start playing tennis,

1:18:19.000 --> 1:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>and if you've never really played before, but you have

1:18:23.320 --> 1:18:28.440
<v Speaker 1>some I hand coordination and have played other sports like baseball,

1:18:29.000 --> 1:18:32.120
<v Speaker 1>you feel like you can hit the ball wherever you want,

1:18:32.560 --> 1:18:36.479
<v Speaker 1>and I could place the ball anywhere in the court.

1:18:36.479 --> 1:18:40.439
<v Speaker 1>I could catch that back mine anytime I want when

1:18:40.439 --> 1:18:43.519
<v Speaker 1>I'm playing with other newbies. Then you start progressing and

1:18:43.560 --> 1:18:45.760
<v Speaker 1>you start playing with people who have some skills, and

1:18:46.200 --> 1:18:49.880
<v Speaker 1>now you want to be in that group. They're hitting

1:18:49.920 --> 1:18:54.240
<v Speaker 1>the ball with some power, and suddenly merely swinging back

1:18:54.400 --> 1:18:58.160
<v Speaker 1>doesn't get it done, and you start to learn you

1:18:58.360 --> 1:19:03.000
<v Speaker 1>have to have the eight mechanics of your swing, the

1:19:03.200 --> 1:19:05.760
<v Speaker 1>distance to the ball, the footwork, there are all these things,

1:19:06.400 --> 1:19:11.960
<v Speaker 1>and it's classic meta cognition Allah Dunning Krueger. Where As

1:19:12.040 --> 1:19:14.760
<v Speaker 1>you get better at something, you developed the ability to

1:19:15.040 --> 1:19:18.479
<v Speaker 1>self evaluate. Right. You ask most people you're a decent driver,

1:19:18.600 --> 1:19:20.639
<v Speaker 1>and you know how many people are above average drivers

1:19:20.680 --> 1:19:24.120
<v Speaker 1>in a room, hands go up. Most of them you

1:19:24.200 --> 1:19:26.880
<v Speaker 1>are not, so I be. I am. I am among

1:19:26.920 --> 1:19:29.679
<v Speaker 1>the group that I have. I have become skilled enough

1:19:29.760 --> 1:19:33.960
<v Speaker 1>at tennis to know I suck, right. That is a

1:19:34.040 --> 1:19:36.800
<v Speaker 1>skill set to be able to say honestly, Oh, I

1:19:37.040 --> 1:19:40.400
<v Speaker 1>really have a lot of work to do. So a

1:19:40.600 --> 1:19:44.720
<v Speaker 1>friend who I was playing with, who also sucked, disappears

1:19:44.760 --> 1:19:46.840
<v Speaker 1>for a few weeks, and he comes back, and we

1:19:46.960 --> 1:19:50.759
<v Speaker 1>were pretty head to head, evenly matched, and he starts

1:19:51.160 --> 1:19:53.240
<v Speaker 1>running me off the court. I'm like, dude, where did

1:19:53.320 --> 1:19:55.400
<v Speaker 1>this come from? I got a new guy I'm taking

1:19:55.520 --> 1:19:57.840
<v Speaker 1>lessons from. You can't get it to see him. He's

1:19:57.880 --> 1:20:01.360
<v Speaker 1>sold out. He coaches a no, no, it's absolutely true,

1:20:03.800 --> 1:20:08.439
<v Speaker 1>like the top people at a particular tennis facility. So

1:20:09.000 --> 1:20:12.280
<v Speaker 1>one day and so I I asked, hey, you know

1:20:12.360 --> 1:20:14.840
<v Speaker 1>i'd like to take my friend said he's taking lessons

1:20:14.880 --> 1:20:16.920
<v Speaker 1>with you. I'd like to take a lesson. He's like sorry.

1:20:18.200 --> 1:20:19.840
<v Speaker 1>So a couple of weeks go by and I'm still

1:20:19.840 --> 1:20:22.680
<v Speaker 1>getting my ass kicked. This like a year ago, eight

1:20:22.800 --> 1:20:27.000
<v Speaker 1>months ago, and maybe with September October, I get a

1:20:27.040 --> 1:20:29.559
<v Speaker 1>text on my phone, Hey, I had a cancelation. If

1:20:29.600 --> 1:20:32.040
<v Speaker 1>you want to take a lesson tonight. I'm free, so

1:20:32.200 --> 1:20:35.559
<v Speaker 1>I go in August September, I go take a lesson.

1:20:36.240 --> 1:20:38.599
<v Speaker 1>The next day, I'm playing with a bunch of people

1:20:38.640 --> 1:20:40.560
<v Speaker 1>and the like. And by the way, the lesson, it

1:20:40.680 --> 1:20:42.960
<v Speaker 1>was just one of those things where just a few

1:20:43.120 --> 1:20:47.439
<v Speaker 1>little mechanical changes, keep your elbow down, turn this direction,

1:20:47.560 --> 1:20:50.560
<v Speaker 1>make sure your shoulders are like stupid things that I

1:20:50.680 --> 1:20:54.160
<v Speaker 1>can't believe in hindsight, nobody else told me. Um, and

1:20:54.240 --> 1:20:57.439
<v Speaker 1>you're unaware of the I think it's called prior perception,

1:20:57.920 --> 1:21:01.519
<v Speaker 1>where your various body parts are in space. So the

1:21:01.640 --> 1:21:04.960
<v Speaker 1>next day I go in and I just amongst my

1:21:06.280 --> 1:21:10.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, the junior crew, I do really well. And

1:21:10.880 --> 1:21:15.280
<v Speaker 1>I pin him back and said, that was a great lesson. Let's, uh,

1:21:15.520 --> 1:21:18.320
<v Speaker 1>let's do another one. He's like, listen, I'm fully booked.

1:21:18.439 --> 1:21:21.639
<v Speaker 1>I teach six days a week. If you want a lesson,

1:21:21.720 --> 1:21:24.719
<v Speaker 1>if somebody drops out, i'll get But but you're committing

1:21:24.760 --> 1:21:28.000
<v Speaker 1>to that space every Tuesday at seven o'clock for forever

1:21:28.600 --> 1:21:30.639
<v Speaker 1>or or for a year. So I'm like, I'm willing

1:21:30.680 --> 1:21:33.760
<v Speaker 1>to do that because my game. You you made me

1:21:34.760 --> 1:21:37.200
<v Speaker 1>better in one lesson, and I understand the rules of

1:21:37.280 --> 1:21:41.120
<v Speaker 1>diminishing returns, but I'm in. You get a cancelation, I'm there.

1:21:41.600 --> 1:21:43.920
<v Speaker 1>So a few weeks later go by, I get a cancelation,

1:21:44.080 --> 1:21:46.280
<v Speaker 1>and now I have to commit to him for the

1:21:46.400 --> 1:21:50.479
<v Speaker 1>next six months. So seven listen, if I had the

1:21:50.520 --> 1:21:53.000
<v Speaker 1>pope on the panel, would you have blown off the tennants?

1:21:53.040 --> 1:21:57.200
<v Speaker 1>I like this Pope, but you have to extend my regrets. Absolutely.

1:21:58.000 --> 1:22:00.040
<v Speaker 1>And and by the way, I'm not like a I

1:22:00.080 --> 1:22:02.080
<v Speaker 1>was been playing tennis for forty years and I'm insane.

1:22:02.360 --> 1:22:05.160
<v Speaker 1>I've been playing for three years and wish I've been

1:22:05.160 --> 1:22:07.120
<v Speaker 1>playing for forty years. So I feel like I have

1:22:07.240 --> 1:22:10.639
<v Speaker 1>a lot of stuff to make up. That's five minutes

1:22:10.680 --> 1:22:15.000
<v Speaker 1>of tennis that nobody who's listening to this gives. If

1:22:15.040 --> 1:22:16.360
<v Speaker 1>you want to make it, if you want to make

1:22:16.400 --> 1:22:19.479
<v Speaker 1>it interesting and not just a funny anecdote. I do

1:22:19.680 --> 1:22:22.080
<v Speaker 1>think it's interesting that in your mid fifties you decided

1:22:22.120 --> 1:22:26.400
<v Speaker 1>to pick up something that is brand new pro at

1:22:26.560 --> 1:22:30.600
<v Speaker 1>obviously no offense, but I mean, I think that is

1:22:30.680 --> 1:22:33.080
<v Speaker 1>so I think that's a thing that people kind of

1:22:33.160 --> 1:22:35.320
<v Speaker 1>lose as they and I'm fifty two, folks, so I'm

1:22:35.360 --> 1:22:37.200
<v Speaker 1>not like in my third you know, I think people

1:22:37.600 --> 1:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>lose the interest in new things. Oh no, I'm fascinating.

1:22:41.520 --> 1:22:44.000
<v Speaker 1>I think that really is a problem. I'm fascinated by

1:22:44.040 --> 1:22:47.759
<v Speaker 1>new things. But I'm said when old things go away.

1:22:48.120 --> 1:22:51.519
<v Speaker 1>So I used to play softball, baseball and softball, and

1:22:51.640 --> 1:22:53.640
<v Speaker 1>you hit a certain age and you just can't do

1:22:53.800 --> 1:22:56.320
<v Speaker 1>that anymore. I used to play basketball. I I have

1:22:56.600 --> 1:22:59.840
<v Speaker 1>I have some, I have some. I got game and

1:23:01.120 --> 1:23:05.040
<v Speaker 1>I remember, like mid thirties, rolling my ankle and usually

1:23:05.120 --> 1:23:07.679
<v Speaker 1>the next day and it just takes days and days

1:23:07.880 --> 1:23:11.280
<v Speaker 1>and weeks to heal. And finally at forty, you know,

1:23:11.800 --> 1:23:16.120
<v Speaker 1>you're fatter, you're slower, you win, You're you're So there's

1:23:16.160 --> 1:23:21.360
<v Speaker 1>there's lots of stuff with that one last tennis thing, keenness,

1:23:21.479 --> 1:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>you haven't lost any listeners. They're still they're gone. It's

1:23:24.040 --> 1:23:26.280
<v Speaker 1>just dude, it's just the two of them. They're still here.

1:23:26.680 --> 1:23:31.560
<v Speaker 1>So tennis tennis has ruined the Matrix for me, the

1:23:31.640 --> 1:23:35.839
<v Speaker 1>original Matrix movie, because if you because if you remember

1:23:36.120 --> 1:23:39.320
<v Speaker 1>the movie The Matrix, the scene on the roof where

1:23:39.320 --> 1:23:42.240
<v Speaker 1>he's leaning back, bullets are going by and she has

1:23:42.320 --> 1:23:45.920
<v Speaker 1>to jump into the UI and fly the helicopter and

1:23:46.080 --> 1:23:48.880
<v Speaker 1>she calls in, Hey, Tanka, I don't know how to fly.

1:23:49.080 --> 1:23:52.400
<v Speaker 1>You hold on and they download remember, and now she

1:23:52.520 --> 1:23:58.439
<v Speaker 1>could and it turns out that's not true. Hypothetically, if

1:23:58.520 --> 1:24:01.840
<v Speaker 1>you're in any sort of compute dissimulation, and someone could

1:24:02.160 --> 1:24:07.440
<v Speaker 1>download a skill set. And I have watched enough of Dartfish,

1:24:07.920 --> 1:24:13.799
<v Speaker 1>which is an online collection of of basically every tennis

1:24:13.840 --> 1:24:16.240
<v Speaker 1>stroke by every major player. You want to see how

1:24:16.320 --> 1:24:18.479
<v Speaker 1>federal served, you want to see how aggassy backhands, you

1:24:18.520 --> 1:24:22.000
<v Speaker 1>want to see, It's all there. It's an incredible service.

1:24:22.080 --> 1:24:24.000
<v Speaker 1>It's effectively free. I don't know how they do this,

1:24:24.360 --> 1:24:31.160
<v Speaker 1>but anyway, intellectually I understand exactly how to do a backhand,

1:24:31.200 --> 1:24:33.839
<v Speaker 1>how to do a forehand, a drop shot. But actually

1:24:34.000 --> 1:24:40.200
<v Speaker 1>developing the muscle memory to convert your intellectual understanding of

1:24:40.760 --> 1:24:44.920
<v Speaker 1>the mechanics of a specific stroke to executing that stroke

1:24:45.520 --> 1:24:49.400
<v Speaker 1>is this Giants to the matrix is not a real place.

1:24:49.520 --> 1:24:52.320
<v Speaker 1>It is a computer program. They're not manipulating their bodies.

1:24:52.360 --> 1:24:59.880
<v Speaker 1>They're manipulating digits digits. Completely understand that for you. But

1:25:00.360 --> 1:25:03.040
<v Speaker 1>even with they're not in the physical world. They're inside

1:25:03.120 --> 1:25:06.519
<v Speaker 1>a computer program. To the muscles they're manipulating are also

1:25:07.240 --> 1:25:11.639
<v Speaker 1>even within so then within the simulation, within the simulation,

1:25:11.680 --> 1:25:14.200
<v Speaker 1>I can't believe this conversation is within the simulation, there

1:25:14.400 --> 1:25:18.559
<v Speaker 1>isn't even a then why have a fight, because all

1:25:18.640 --> 1:25:22.320
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna do is download various fighting techniques and so

1:25:23.800 --> 1:25:27.840
<v Speaker 1>everybody ends up with the same various things. Either of

1:25:28.080 --> 1:25:31.040
<v Speaker 1>skill matters. But the point is that most people in

1:25:31.120 --> 1:25:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the program don't realize they're in the program. This is

1:25:33.320 --> 1:25:35.639
<v Speaker 1>only a small group of people who have figured out

1:25:35.680 --> 1:25:38.639
<v Speaker 1>they can manipulate the program. But the agents who are

1:25:38.800 --> 1:25:42.840
<v Speaker 1>within the program, but their program, they know their party,

1:25:44.000 --> 1:25:46.519
<v Speaker 1>they are programs don't exist in the right word, that's right.

1:25:46.720 --> 1:25:51.320
<v Speaker 1>So so theoretically, Agent Smith of course busts out. But

1:25:51.439 --> 1:25:56.880
<v Speaker 1>theoretically shouldn't shouldn't every agent have at least this the

1:25:57.080 --> 1:26:01.160
<v Speaker 1>downloadable skill set that they do. Just why until Neo

1:26:01.360 --> 1:26:05.040
<v Speaker 1>comes there? Unbeatable? That's why they say to Neo, if

1:26:05.080 --> 1:26:08.000
<v Speaker 1>you've see an agent, run because the agents were unbeatable

1:26:08.400 --> 1:26:11.200
<v Speaker 1>until Neo. Who is the one? And I hate that

1:26:11.280 --> 1:26:17.800
<v Speaker 1>whole like this is a little Jesus anyhow, but but

1:26:18.120 --> 1:26:21.760
<v Speaker 1>to me, so so let's we'll we'll bring this back

1:26:21.800 --> 1:26:27.360
<v Speaker 1>to bit. We're discussing digital technologies and the application of them.

1:26:27.720 --> 1:26:30.720
<v Speaker 1>So you gave me grief about not coming and the

1:26:30.800 --> 1:26:34.680
<v Speaker 1>whole launch, the whole tennis thing is I made a

1:26:34.720 --> 1:26:38.720
<v Speaker 1>commitment on Tuesday's there's a sunk cost. I'm paying for

1:26:38.880 --> 1:26:42.400
<v Speaker 1>the uh lesson whether I'm there or not. So I

1:26:42.520 --> 1:26:46.200
<v Speaker 1>sort of feel like an obligation to Plus, I respect

1:26:46.240 --> 1:26:50.280
<v Speaker 1>your commitment to your game. You know what there are?

1:26:51.360 --> 1:26:53.960
<v Speaker 1>There are things that I am interested in that I

1:26:54.120 --> 1:26:57.160
<v Speaker 1>know I have skills or abilities. I may not be

1:26:57.280 --> 1:27:00.960
<v Speaker 1>able to win a Formula One race, but I get

1:27:01.000 --> 1:27:03.880
<v Speaker 1>on a track and hold my own with just about

1:27:04.160 --> 1:27:07.439
<v Speaker 1>any other amateur. I wish I had more track time.

1:27:07.520 --> 1:27:11.120
<v Speaker 1>That's another area. Yeah, it's it's if you ever get

1:27:11.120 --> 1:27:14.600
<v Speaker 1>a chance, go to Lime Rock take a uh AN

1:27:14.640 --> 1:27:20.479
<v Speaker 1>Advanced driving course. Um, they're amazing. You realize you don't

1:27:20.960 --> 1:27:23.719
<v Speaker 1>most people think they know how to drive. You discover

1:27:23.840 --> 1:27:26.960
<v Speaker 1>again back to the medicognition. Oh really, I could keep

1:27:27.000 --> 1:27:28.320
<v Speaker 1>a car on a lane and I can make a

1:27:28.439 --> 1:27:31.400
<v Speaker 1>left turn, but I really don't have the ability to

1:27:31.720 --> 1:27:34.720
<v Speaker 1>manage a car in a variety of So you you

1:27:34.880 --> 1:27:39.200
<v Speaker 1>run through this whole. So. I like being competent at things.

1:27:39.400 --> 1:27:42.080
<v Speaker 1>I like being good at things, and it was frustrating

1:27:42.160 --> 1:27:45.599
<v Speaker 1>to find something that was fun that I sucked at

1:27:46.160 --> 1:27:49.400
<v Speaker 1>and the better I got, the more I realized how

1:27:49.479 --> 1:27:53.160
<v Speaker 1>poor I was, Like with each additional skill that was added,

1:27:53.680 --> 1:27:56.960
<v Speaker 1>it was oh really, so you think like on a

1:27:57.000 --> 1:27:59.160
<v Speaker 1>scale of one to team him a five and suddenly

1:27:59.160 --> 1:28:01.400
<v Speaker 1>you realize, no, no, you're five on a scale of

1:28:01.479 --> 1:28:04.679
<v Speaker 1>one to a hundred. Did you ever find that early?

1:28:05.320 --> 1:28:07.479
<v Speaker 1>Because now, obviously, I mean, if you host a show

1:28:07.560 --> 1:28:09.920
<v Speaker 1>called Masters in Business, you should be a master yourself.

1:28:09.960 --> 1:28:11.800
<v Speaker 1>But I mean, and you're early in your career in

1:28:11.840 --> 1:28:15.840
<v Speaker 1>the markets, did you ever find that dynamic, that same dynamic? Um,

1:28:16.320 --> 1:28:20.800
<v Speaker 1>that's an interesting question. I've talked about this before. The

1:28:20.920 --> 1:28:23.320
<v Speaker 1>training you. I started as a trader, and the trading

1:28:23.360 --> 1:28:25.200
<v Speaker 1>you get is essentially they throw you in the deep

1:28:25.280 --> 1:28:28.280
<v Speaker 1>end of the pool, and whoever drowns is in a

1:28:28.360 --> 1:28:33.000
<v Speaker 1>trader anymore. And oh the people who managed too and you.

1:28:33.280 --> 1:28:35.280
<v Speaker 1>One of the things I picked up quickly was cut

1:28:35.320 --> 1:28:38.720
<v Speaker 1>your losses short. But when you're winning, uh loss was?

1:28:38.840 --> 1:28:43.160
<v Speaker 1>I felt the loss very intensely and would would if anything,

1:28:43.439 --> 1:28:46.080
<v Speaker 1>cut my losses too fast. You want to call them quickly,

1:28:46.200 --> 1:28:49.840
<v Speaker 1>but not instantaneously, but so you eventually iterate and get

1:28:49.880 --> 1:28:53.080
<v Speaker 1>better and better. But I was more fascinated not by

1:28:53.120 --> 1:28:56.240
<v Speaker 1>that process, but why the people around me on the

1:28:56.320 --> 1:28:59.720
<v Speaker 1>long trading desk who were effectively all doing the same thing.

1:29:00.120 --> 1:29:02.439
<v Speaker 1>How come this person is making money this month and

1:29:02.600 --> 1:29:05.640
<v Speaker 1>last month you lost money. How come that reversed the

1:29:05.760 --> 1:29:08.080
<v Speaker 1>last money last month? Act I was losing money, this

1:29:08.200 --> 1:29:11.320
<v Speaker 1>month is making it, and I it set me down

1:29:11.400 --> 1:29:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the rabbit hole of behavioral finance. And and so so

1:29:17.160 --> 1:29:20.400
<v Speaker 1>I was a decent trader. I made decent amount of money,

1:29:20.479 --> 1:29:25.840
<v Speaker 1>but it was very volatile and inconsistent. Um I liked it,

1:29:25.960 --> 1:29:28.479
<v Speaker 1>maybe a little too much. I loved it. It was

1:29:28.720 --> 1:29:31.560
<v Speaker 1>it was, you know, looking for a vein. And so

1:29:31.840 --> 1:29:35.320
<v Speaker 1>all of that stuff ends up going to well, if

1:29:35.360 --> 1:29:37.559
<v Speaker 1>you want to have a career in finance, you're gonna

1:29:37.600 --> 1:29:40.639
<v Speaker 1>make your wife crazy if you stay as a trader.

1:29:41.120 --> 1:29:45.439
<v Speaker 1>So move to research. Moved to market analysis so that

1:29:46.160 --> 1:29:50.400
<v Speaker 1>you'll make less base money but more consistently, and she won't.

1:29:51.040 --> 1:29:53.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm not a stress monkey. She is. So it's like

1:29:54.160 --> 1:29:56.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm like, hey, honey, how is today I lost a

1:29:56.479 --> 1:29:58.840
<v Speaker 1>hundred grand? And she would go throw up. No, no,

1:29:58.920 --> 1:30:00.840
<v Speaker 1>you understand that happened all the time. I'm about a

1:30:00.920 --> 1:30:04.439
<v Speaker 1>hundred of them down. Stuff happens and they don't care.

1:30:04.680 --> 1:30:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Now she she's a teacher. She wants ready, steady life.

1:30:08.760 --> 1:30:11.840
<v Speaker 1>The thought of you lost four cars or half a house,

1:30:11.960 --> 1:30:15.320
<v Speaker 1>what's wrong with you? Sometimes a position goes against you

1:30:15.439 --> 1:30:18.160
<v Speaker 1>and you have limits of how much you're willing to

1:30:18.200 --> 1:30:22.799
<v Speaker 1>accept losses, and you know it's everybody's style is different,

1:30:22.880 --> 1:30:27.000
<v Speaker 1>and all of that led to where we are today.

1:30:27.160 --> 1:30:31.280
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, ps, if you go back and

1:30:31.439 --> 1:30:35.760
<v Speaker 1>listen to the early versions of Masters in Business, I

1:30:36.000 --> 1:30:44.160
<v Speaker 1>find their unlistenable. They're terrible. Yes, only because that with

1:30:44.320 --> 1:30:46.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of my old Do you go back and

1:30:46.400 --> 1:30:48.880
<v Speaker 1>read some of your own right, listen? I think Bailout Nation.

1:30:48.920 --> 1:30:51.800
<v Speaker 1>If I was writing it today, I would have adopted

1:30:51.920 --> 1:30:55.400
<v Speaker 1>a much more dispassionate tone. I would have been a

1:30:55.479 --> 1:30:58.160
<v Speaker 1>little less flamboyant, and some of you you probably would

1:30:58.160 --> 1:31:00.400
<v Speaker 1>have asked me to be your co oer there instead

1:31:00.439 --> 1:31:02.920
<v Speaker 1>of Aaron. Aaron was not my co author. Adarin was

1:31:03.040 --> 1:31:09.080
<v Speaker 1>my editor. Kept me from having these long, rambling digressions

1:31:09.160 --> 1:31:17.600
<v Speaker 1>and things like Aaron is a wonderful editor. So so No,

1:31:17.720 --> 1:31:20.160
<v Speaker 1>but I do find that I things that I wrote

1:31:20.720 --> 1:31:24.240
<v Speaker 1>early in my career, the videos that I made earlier,

1:31:24.280 --> 1:31:26.560
<v Speaker 1>because I did a live show for the Journal for

1:31:26.640 --> 1:31:29.800
<v Speaker 1>a while. All the early stuff. I go back now

1:31:29.840 --> 1:31:32.720
<v Speaker 1>and I cringe. I just cringe. I can't stand it.

1:31:33.240 --> 1:31:35.479
<v Speaker 1>I actually can't stand it. I don't like it. I

1:31:35.520 --> 1:31:39.120
<v Speaker 1>don't like who I was. That. It's funny because experience

1:31:39.400 --> 1:31:41.920
<v Speaker 1>do you get criticisms and you think that person doesn't

1:31:41.960 --> 1:31:44.680
<v Speaker 1>know what they're talking about. I'd be that person now

1:31:45.000 --> 1:31:48.439
<v Speaker 1>criticizing me. I have that experience every five years or so.

1:31:48.560 --> 1:31:50.559
<v Speaker 1>Every now it's five to ten years, where you look

1:31:50.600 --> 1:31:54.160
<v Speaker 1>back what you were doing five years ago and you say, oh,

1:31:54.320 --> 1:31:57.960
<v Speaker 1>what I'm doing and whatever it is? Radio writing, management, assets,

1:31:58.200 --> 1:32:03.160
<v Speaker 1>what whatever? Distructing portfolios. I'm so much better at X,

1:32:03.320 --> 1:32:06.240
<v Speaker 1>Y and Z today than five years ago, and I

1:32:06.360 --> 1:32:08.639
<v Speaker 1>assume five years from now, I'm going to look back

1:32:08.680 --> 1:32:12.120
<v Speaker 1>and say, what were you doing in talking about tennis

1:32:12.200 --> 1:32:16.800
<v Speaker 1>and trading? It's you clearly have have no idea how

1:32:16.880 --> 1:32:18.840
<v Speaker 1>to host a radio show. And I will tell you

1:32:20.360 --> 1:32:22.599
<v Speaker 1>is looking at this right now and it's like, oh

1:32:22.640 --> 1:32:26.160
<v Speaker 1>my god, this is terrible. Everyone stopped listening. It's horrific.

1:32:26.280 --> 1:32:30.840
<v Speaker 1>It's hope people are still listening because actually we'll move

1:32:30.880 --> 1:32:32.840
<v Speaker 1>this to the end so people who hang out get

1:32:32.960 --> 1:32:35.320
<v Speaker 1>you did have some interesting questions for me. One last

1:32:35.360 --> 1:32:38.400
<v Speaker 1>thing about medicognition. I want to share with you if

1:32:38.479 --> 1:32:42.080
<v Speaker 1>you've ever done live radio with somebody who's a pro.

1:32:42.520 --> 1:32:46.640
<v Speaker 1>When I watched Tom Keane run a constant with the

1:32:46.760 --> 1:32:50.320
<v Speaker 1>producer and you're counting down ten seconds to the commercial

1:32:50.479 --> 1:32:54.240
<v Speaker 1>five four three to one. Live commercials were live billboards,

1:32:54.520 --> 1:32:56.839
<v Speaker 1>live roze to people on the floor of the exchange,

1:32:57.320 --> 1:33:01.960
<v Speaker 1>and he does it flawlessly, seamlessly. People don't appreciate how

1:33:02.200 --> 1:33:06.640
<v Speaker 1>skilled the pros are because you just assume, hey, how

1:33:06.720 --> 1:33:08.000
<v Speaker 1>hard is it to get on a mic and go

1:33:08.080 --> 1:33:10.439
<v Speaker 1>blah blah blah for an hour. But when you actually

1:33:10.520 --> 1:33:13.120
<v Speaker 1>watch the bullets in the air, the moving targets, the

1:33:13.280 --> 1:33:16.439
<v Speaker 1>precision in which the timing has done, you realize these

1:33:16.479 --> 1:33:19.719
<v Speaker 1>guys are amazing. And after thirty years, you certainly should

1:33:19.760 --> 1:33:23.639
<v Speaker 1>be good, but they're astonishing, astounding. No, Tom is great,

1:33:23.680 --> 1:33:26.360
<v Speaker 1>and I think you have to realize too, he has

1:33:26.439 --> 1:33:28.960
<v Speaker 1>a team around him. Sure, he has a team. He

1:33:29.000 --> 1:33:32.320
<v Speaker 1>has producers, he has people on the floor, control room,

1:33:32.400 --> 1:33:35.200
<v Speaker 1>he has researchers. I mean, that is a huge team.

1:33:35.640 --> 1:33:38.720
<v Speaker 1>And all those efforts get funneled through Tom Keane, But

1:33:38.840 --> 1:33:40.640
<v Speaker 1>you don't He has to be able to maintain that

1:33:41.240 --> 1:33:43.120
<v Speaker 1>and he does he's great. I mean, Keene's a total pro.

1:33:43.240 --> 1:33:45.960
<v Speaker 1>He's great, but the listener doesn't see it. They don't,

1:33:47.479 --> 1:33:49.240
<v Speaker 1>So that that's what I get why I keep coming

1:33:49.320 --> 1:33:51.479
<v Speaker 1>back to Donning Krueger. You have to get to a

1:33:51.560 --> 1:33:55.920
<v Speaker 1>certain point where you can understand exactly what goes in

1:33:56.240 --> 1:33:59.880
<v Speaker 1>and how much you suck at it. So the joke is, wait,

1:34:00.280 --> 1:34:03.560
<v Speaker 1>you host a podcast, will you interview people? You're my

1:34:03.680 --> 1:34:06.400
<v Speaker 1>wife says I'm a terrible listener or something like that.

1:34:06.560 --> 1:34:09.640
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't paying attention. So that's the joke. So now

1:34:09.680 --> 1:34:13.280
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna go back in time, and we have been

1:34:13.400 --> 1:34:17.240
<v Speaker 1>speaking with Paul Vina. He is the author and co

1:34:17.400 --> 1:34:20.760
<v Speaker 1>author with Mike Casey of two books, the first being

1:34:20.840 --> 1:34:24.879
<v Speaker 1>The Age of Cryptocurrency, the second being The Truth Machine, Blockchain,

1:34:24.960 --> 1:34:29.679
<v Speaker 1>and the Future of Everything. If you enjoyed this rambling

1:34:29.800 --> 1:34:33.200
<v Speaker 1>and digressive conversation, ban look up an Inch or down

1:34:33.240 --> 1:34:35.280
<v Speaker 1>an Inch on Apple iTunes and you can see any

1:34:35.320 --> 1:34:39.240
<v Speaker 1>of the other two hundreds such conversations we've had about uh,

1:34:39.320 --> 1:34:42.720
<v Speaker 1>the art of the backstroke and the drop. Um. We

1:34:42.880 --> 1:34:46.599
<v Speaker 1>love your comments, feedback and suggestions right to us at

1:34:47.400 --> 1:34:50.760
<v Speaker 1>m IB podcast at Bloomberg dot net. I would be

1:34:50.880 --> 1:34:53.040
<v Speaker 1>remiss if I did not thank the crack staff that

1:34:53.120 --> 1:34:57.519
<v Speaker 1>helps put together these conversations each week. Medina Parwana is

1:34:57.680 --> 1:35:01.640
<v Speaker 1>our producer Slash What You Engineer? Taylor Riggs is our

1:35:01.680 --> 1:35:04.559
<v Speaker 1>book of producer. Mike Batnik is our head of research.

1:35:05.240 --> 1:35:08.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Ridholts. You've been listening to Masters in Business

1:35:09.320 --> 1:35:10.479
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio.