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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our Week four Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chad Milman,

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Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We are coming

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Speaker 1: off a two and three week in our contest, folks.

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Speaker 1: We talked about it on Sunday when we recorded this

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Speaker 1: Sunday episode before Sunday Night Football, and as we said

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Speaker 1: on that show, a lot of lines we liked in

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Speaker 1: the moment have already moved. It's why you need to

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Speaker 1: listen to the Sunday show if you want to get

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Speaker 1: the best of the number. We also recapped all the

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Speaker 1: winds we left on the field Simon and I you

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Speaker 1: know that was a struggle. Today we will get to

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Speaker 1: our Simon says and our exec decision. Thursday, we will

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Speaker 1: do sharp calls, big Balls, Bet of the Week, and

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Speaker 1: the fox Hole. This episode will look at the entire

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Speaker 1: board as we begin narrowing down the five picks we'll

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Speaker 1: enter into the Favorites Podcast. One hundred thousand dollars Pro

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Speaker 1: Football Pick Them Contest still open for sign ups, still

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Speaker 1: free to play, still awarding weekly and season long cash

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Speaker 1: prizes at favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. Now let's bring

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Speaker 1: in my co host, my bff, my companion, Mike Compadre,

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Speaker 1: professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon, listen. I mentioned the

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Speaker 1: two and three record. We talked a lot about this

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Speaker 1: on Sunday, so we're not going to rehash it, but

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Speaker 1: I do feel like we left some wins on the board.

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Speaker 1: And then yesterday I was talking to Evan Abrams, who's

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Speaker 1: on the pod with us right now, you know, handing

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Speaker 1: us research as we go. We talked about the Cardinals

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Speaker 1: and like, I'm just I'm worried that we've been blindsided

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Speaker 1: by outside factors. Just in choosing these games. There's outside factors.

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Speaker 1: The Cards are a great example that used to be

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Speaker 1: a no brainer pick for us. They were twelve point

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Speaker 1: home dogs getting no tickets and we didn't even discuss them.

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Speaker 2: Talk to me, said, you sound like a guy whose

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Speaker 2: favorite teams ohe and three. You do? You sound like

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Speaker 2: you're freaking out. It's all good, brother, It's we're one

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Speaker 2: game down below five hundred. It's I'm not panicking yet.

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Speaker 2: This week people are gonna hate it. I love this

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Speaker 2: week so much or so many beautiful, beautiful, ugly home dogs.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, last week was a nice week for the public. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: not worried yet. When we go one and four, uh,

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Speaker 2: then you'll see me miserable. But we're still having an

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Speaker 2: zero five week, thank god. Yeah, still positive, brother, Like

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Speaker 2: we're still right there.

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Speaker 1: I'm just confused. I feel like we've been making we've

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Speaker 1: been making bad decisions that are counter to the way

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Speaker 1: we used to make decisions. But we'll get to it.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder of the Favorites podcast is presented by

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Speaker 1: bet three sixty five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary.

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Speaker 1: They believe that every sport should be epic every touchdown,

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Speaker 1: every game, every point, every play, from the moments that

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Speaker 1: are legendary to the ones that fly under the radar.

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Speaker 1: See for yourself when you sign up today with Code

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Speaker 1: Action and you'll get three hundred and sixty five dollars

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Speaker 1: in bonus bets when you just one dollar. Whatever the sport,

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Speaker 1: whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. At Bet three six five,

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Speaker 1: you must be twenty one or older. You must be

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Speaker 1: present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. If

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Speaker 1: you or someone you know has a gambling problem and

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Speaker 1: wants help, call one eight hundred gambler in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio,

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Speaker 1: and Virginia or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa.

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Speaker 1: Terms and conditions apply. I gotta say I love that

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Speaker 1: bet three six five read. I feel like John Facenda

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Speaker 1: from NFL Films should be reading it in the beginning

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Speaker 1: because it's so it just has drama.

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Speaker 2: The Cincinnati Bengals ended their season the same way that

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Speaker 2: they started it, with a die hard commitment. The Bengals

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Speaker 2: battle tenaciously.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder, you can catch every episode of The

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Speaker 1: Favorites live on YouTube. For those enjoying on YouTube, don't

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Speaker 1: forget to give us a like. Subscribe to the Action

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Speaker 1: Network YouTube page. Here's the contest update week three. In

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Speaker 1: the contest, we had two hundred and seven entries finish

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Speaker 1: five and oh. Our week three had a tie for

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Speaker 1: first place, so four winners will receive seven hundred and

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Speaker 1: twenty five dollars cash prizes. Those are Jesse Goldberg, Joel

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Speaker 1: d eighty one, Mister Sasner and R. J. Monroe, who

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Speaker 1: all went five to oh and nailed the tiebreaker, which

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Speaker 1: was longest Cincinnati touchdown, a fourteen yard Joe Mixon run.

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Speaker 1: They're only TV congrats to all the winners. This week's

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Speaker 1: Producer's Couple ward goes to t Floyd sixteen for finishing

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Speaker 1: dead fucking last and the Week three contests going to

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Speaker 1: er to five and missing the tie breaker by sixty

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Speaker 1: four yards. Email producer Matt Mitchell at podcast at actionnetwork

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Speaker 1: dot com claim your non cash prize thanks for playing.

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Speaker 1: Week four is live. The Monday night football tiebreaker is

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Speaker 1: New York Giants total penalty yards. Simon, here's the good news.

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Speaker 1: In addition to being irrationally optimistic, as my wife has

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Speaker 1: described me, Justin Herbert is third in the league in

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Speaker 1: passing yardage. We have him at twenty five to one

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Speaker 1: to lead the league. Tyreek Hill is second in the

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Speaker 1: league in receiving yards. We have him at nine to

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Speaker 1: one to lead the league. In a preseason pod talking

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Speaker 1: about Rookie of the Year, Player of the Year or MVP, etc.

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Speaker 1: I said, I like Jalen Carter to win defensive Rookie

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Speaker 1: of the Year at seven to one. You agreed, and

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Speaker 1: your logic partially I don't know if you remember this,

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Speaker 1: but I'm giving you kudos here was he's got a

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Speaker 1: lot of prime time games. Last night he had a

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Speaker 1: sack on Baker and then forced to fumblow on the

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Speaker 1: next play. One word for you, Simon narrative.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and my number one rate at QB. All. I mean,

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Speaker 2: all offseason we kept talking about CJ. Stroud. Guess who

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Speaker 2: now is the favorite for Rookie of the Year Offensive

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Speaker 2: Rookie of the Year. CJ. Stroud so had some big

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Speaker 2: misses this year. I mean, I'll never take a bigger

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Speaker 2: l than this Denver Broncos team predicting them or are

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Speaker 2: the Bears like both them just terrible bets. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: the rookie is looking good, man, CJ. Stroud. I think

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Speaker 2: everyone's finally starting to see what we talked about the

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Speaker 2: last two weeks. It's just all the rookie quarterbacks. He

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Speaker 2: looks the most calm, poise in the pocket making good reads.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I think CJ is down to plus three

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Speaker 2: point fifty offensive Rookie Year. Maybe it's a below it now.

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Speaker 2: So Robinson went from being number one to number two,

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Speaker 2: and you know, Richardson's not playing, so he's going to

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Speaker 2: keep dropping in that QB ranking in the Rookie of

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Speaker 2: the Year.

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Speaker 1: All right, Listen, we got a lot of good stuff

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Speaker 1: to get to a lot of good games to talk about.

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Speaker 1: Evan Abrams has loaded us up with some trends and

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Speaker 1: some of them are going to be applicable to probably

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Speaker 1: the biggest game of the week. Let's start with the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game Detroit at green Bay. Green Bay at

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Speaker 1: that three six five right now as we speak, is

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Speaker 1: a one point underdog. This is a pro jows game.

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Speaker 1: Money in the Lions public on the pack. Lions made

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Speaker 1: a statement against the Falcons. I thought Jared Goff has

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Speaker 1: as many rushing touchdowns this season as justin fields. Also,

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Speaker 1: he's the most profitable quarterback the past five years, but

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Speaker 1: he's under five hundred outdoors.

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Speaker 2: I really don't even know how to respond to that,

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Speaker 2: you know, I mean, I'm shocked by that. Yeah, this

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Speaker 2: is an easy bet. You always take green Bay at

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Speaker 2: home as a dog in this spot. If you're scared

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Speaker 2: of the number, there's a bunch of one and a

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Speaker 2: half's out there. Won't tease it up to seven and

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Speaker 2: a half if you're a coward, But I'll take the

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Speaker 2: one and a half Like this was two and a

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Speaker 2: half and the pros came in and just slammed it

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Speaker 2: down on one and a half. So a bunch of

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Speaker 2: books are showing one now. I can just see it

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Speaker 2: standing right around here, one one and a half. I

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Speaker 2: wish I could say it's not that big of a

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Speaker 2: deal one and a half, but me and Chad won

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Speaker 2: a bunch of money on that stains one and a half,

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Speaker 2: so clearly it matters. So that's why that we always

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Speaker 2: talk about getting the hook even on one and a half.

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Speaker 2: Now it matters. So yeah, no brainer bet like SUCU

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Speaker 2: can't put in the contest. I love this number, love

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Speaker 2: Green Bay at Home golf outdoors. I still have a

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Speaker 2: bunch of questions about what Jordan Love is going to

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Speaker 2: be and all that, but it's all about the scheme.

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Speaker 2: Like they did nothing for three quarters and then once

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Speaker 2: they got into a rhythm, which is what you need

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Speaker 2: with Jordan Love, he can make that offense go. So

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Speaker 2: you know they held out a bunch of starters this Sunday,

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Speaker 2: and you presume it's because they're going to have them

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Speaker 2: play this Thursday. You know that's a bigger game. A

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Speaker 2: Thursday divisional game is more important than an out of

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Speaker 2: division game against the Saints. So our hope here chat

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Speaker 2: is we take this number. Those guys get cleared and

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Speaker 2: it gets bumped up to them being a favorite. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: definitely grabbed it one and a half if you can

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Speaker 2: still find it, grabbed the plus one.

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Speaker 1: How oft the arbor bullying.

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Speaker 2: I'm trying to make lon of my own.

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Speaker 1: God to be the back in the United States. I

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Speaker 1: just don't know what the world is going on. It's

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Speaker 1: the London game, Atlanta is playing Jacksonville. Hey remember on

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Speaker 1: Sunday when we put the falcons in the context and

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Speaker 1: we had no idea why we still to this moment

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Speaker 1: have no idea why that was fun?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, really stupid.

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Speaker 1: What the fuck? What the actual fuck? A buddy of

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Speaker 1: mine texted me he felt so good in that moment.

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Speaker 1: He felt vindicated because he has had the same conversation

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Speaker 1: with his buddies that he's gone into contests with over

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Speaker 1: the years, and he was so glad. The two people

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Speaker 1: who and I put this in there quote in theory

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Speaker 1: know what they're doing the same thing.

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Speaker 2: That's why I'm so mad with myself, because I do

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Speaker 2: know better. I couldn't. I can't believe that happened. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: this week I'll pass it like I like the Jaguars.

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Speaker 2: I like them in London Trevor Lawrence. I went to

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Speaker 2: the tape. He's just there's little things that he's easy

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Speaker 2: and better correct and get and right the ship for

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Speaker 2: the Jaguars. So if you want to buy alone the Jaguars,

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Speaker 2: I think the public will just because Rider looks so bad,

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Speaker 2: you know, at that minus three number. I want to

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Speaker 2: take the Jaguars, but I'm not going to like. I

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Speaker 2: just don't believe in this team right now. If this

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Speaker 2: gets a three and a half four, maybe I'll throw

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Speaker 2: a penny when I wake up on this game. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: no interest in this game at all.

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Speaker 1: Maybe in honor of it being in London, you'll call

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Speaker 1: your English relatives and put down a shilling or maybe

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Speaker 1: a pence. That's it, all right, Well, listen.

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Speaker 2: I don't know where you're where you're going with that,

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Speaker 2: but that's it.

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Speaker 1: That's it. I was just making it.

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Speaker 2: I thought you were gonna say a pound, like an

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Speaker 2: actual thing, but you never went there.

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Speaker 1: Well, you said a penny, so I was going with

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Speaker 1: the smallest posh denomination of English money.

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Speaker 2: That's fair, thank you.

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Speaker 1: Ten pence, tenpence, sixpence, none the richer. Remember them, remember

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Speaker 1: that band? Listen, Evan Abram says, favorites of excelled in

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Speaker 1: international games. I don't want to spend too much time

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Speaker 1: in this game, but they are twenty nine to nine

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Speaker 1: and one straight up, twenty five and fourteen against the spread,

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Speaker 1: So the Jags are probably the right side if you

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Speaker 1: want to play this, but you know, don't put anything

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Speaker 1: more than a farthing on Itly, shit, we got to

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Speaker 1: talk about this game. I think I was just stalling

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Speaker 1: because I didn't want to talk about the Bears in

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Speaker 1: Denver right now. With that three sixty five, the Bears

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Speaker 1: are plus three. It has been at three and a half.

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Speaker 1: There's probably some three and a half's out there, Simon.

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Speaker 2: I did want to make this, Simon says, but no

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Speaker 2: one's gonna listen to me. This is even even though

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Speaker 2: I showed the people the results of them covering this number.

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Speaker 2: I still don't think people would bet the Bears team.

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Speaker 2: That's how bad they've been. So, yeah, you have to

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Speaker 2: take the Bears here. They're oh and three ats oh

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Speaker 2: and three on the season. This is a great number.

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Speaker 2: They're a home dog against a horrible team that, yes,

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Speaker 2: Denver is probably going to win in a last second

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Speaker 2: field goal. But we're getting the hook. We take the

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Speaker 2: three and a half here, So this is the definition

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Speaker 2: of pros versus jokes. Only only the professionals will be

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Speaker 2: on this Bears team. And you know a bunch of

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Speaker 2: people are going to take the easy look of just

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Speaker 2: putting Denver in their moneyline parlays or teasing through zero

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Speaker 2: and putting them in those teasers, like everyone's gonna just

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Speaker 2: take Denver just because you know the Bears are losers.

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Speaker 2: I mean even Chad knows this, like you can't. And

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Speaker 2: what's happened with this team and Justin fields record, I mean,

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Speaker 2: like seeing that stat last night, Jaling Hurd. It's not

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Speaker 2: to make brag about be an Eagles fan, but seeing

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Speaker 2: the fact that these twenty one twenty and one straight

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Speaker 2: up and his last twenty one starts. I don't know

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Speaker 2: what Justin Fields is, but I think it was like

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Speaker 2: five and twenty three or five and twenty terrifying. How

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Speaker 2: much is just put on to this kid's shoulders. So

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Speaker 2: I'm hoping they had a week from hell last week.

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Speaker 2: This week it's just all football. It's all business again.

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Speaker 2: If it comes out this week and they're dealing more

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Speaker 2: bs and he starts talking about his coaches again, I'm out.

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Speaker 2: I'm like I said last week, I'm off this bet totally.

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Speaker 2: But as you say here right now, I haven't heard

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Speaker 2: a peep from them. It's all football. I'll take the

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Speaker 2: three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Well, look, there's a lot of issues with this team. Clearly,

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Speaker 1: I do think there's some correctible issues. If you look

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Speaker 1: at this Bears offense. Last year, they started to perform

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Speaker 1: well when they were getting Justin Fields out of the pocket,

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Speaker 1: putting him in RPOs. They haven't done much of that.

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Speaker 1: The receivers are not running very good roots, they're not

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Speaker 1: putting him in a position to succeed. They're leaving him

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Speaker 1: in the pocket. And the defense is JV. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we've talked about this so much, but the Broncos defense

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Speaker 1: might be even less than JV. And which is the

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Speaker 1: surprising thing, because last year they were so good, right

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Speaker 1: the first eleven games, they gave up more than twenty

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Speaker 1: points once. Last year the first eleven games, if they

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Speaker 1: were averaging eighteen points a game, they would have been

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Speaker 1: like ten to one, do you know what I mean?

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Speaker 1: And so the fact this defense has fallen off a

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Speaker 1: cliff And as much as we love Sean Payton. A

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Speaker 1: lot of this is about coaching and discipline, Like this

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Speaker 1: team on third and fourth down has been creating really

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Speaker 1: stupid penalties and have not been able to get off

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Speaker 1: the field, like to the point where I think heading

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Speaker 1: into this past weekend, they were number one in the

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Speaker 1: NFL on penalties on third and fourth down. On the

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Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball, they are letting people run

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Speaker 1: all over them on screen passes. You saw what Washington

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Speaker 1: did against them. But this Diver team is just as

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Speaker 1: bad as the Bears.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and we're just we're playing at.

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Speaker 1: Best thing we can say, And Russell Wilson Sean Payton

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Speaker 1: said it this week. He's got to get the calls

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Speaker 1: out faster. It's throwing off the rhythm of the offense.

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Speaker 1: It's a tough one, but I'm with you. I'll take

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Speaker 1: the Bears at three and a half as soon as

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Speaker 1: I can find it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Very interesting game with the Baltimore Ravens visiting the Cleveland Browns.

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Speaker 1: We talked about this game on Sunday night and the

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Speaker 1: game was at one and a half and you said

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Speaker 1: to me, who do you think we want to take here?

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Speaker 1: And I'm like, we want to take the Ravens now

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Speaker 1: the numbers at two and a half. That was the

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Speaker 1: right instinct for us. The wise guys have come in Baltimore,

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Speaker 1: but the tickets are all coming in on Cleveland because

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Speaker 1: of what they did this past weekend. Deshaun finally looked

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Speaker 1: right and that defense is so dominant. But I think

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Speaker 1: and the Ravens losing the Colts. Ravens were in a

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Speaker 1: very bad spot against the Colts like Lamar as a

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Speaker 1: favorite six and fifteen as a favorite six, and oh

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Speaker 1: as an underdog. So this will be the first healthy

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Speaker 1: slash good QB. This Browns defense is faced if you

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Speaker 1: want to frame it in context. So I still like

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Speaker 1: the Ravens here.

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Speaker 2: Well, first glance, it was like I want to take

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Speaker 2: the Ravens after such a brad loss. But the fear

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Speaker 2: here is they have a lot of injuries Chad, and

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Speaker 2: that was on me, not last week, not factor Now.

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Speaker 2: I really didn't think it was gonna be that big

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Speaker 2: of a deal just because their scheme is so great

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Speaker 2: on offense and if it gets the plus three, how

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Speaker 2: do I not take it? But all the stuff everything

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Speaker 2: I look at this Cleveland team, that defense is unbelievable.

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Speaker 2: So it's really hard to know what's real and what's fake,

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Speaker 2: just because they they played against the Pittsburgh team that sure,

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Speaker 2: they're not as bad as we perceived, but they're not

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Speaker 2: that good, right They played against the Tennessee team that

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Speaker 2: we just don't think that's good. And they played against

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Speaker 2: the banged ub Joe Burrow in Week one, So if

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Speaker 2: you look through the numbers of the they're historically great

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Speaker 2: right now, like this defense has been incredible. This will

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Speaker 2: be their first real test right with the Ravens, So

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Speaker 2: I know they're banged up. But if I'm getting plus three,

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Speaker 2: like you just said, Lamar is a dog has been

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Speaker 2: good money. I think it's in his career. He's like

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Speaker 2: nineteen to five against the spread as a dog, So

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Speaker 2: I could be wrong. That's lofts on my head, but

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Speaker 2: I remember it being something really high like that. I'll

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Speaker 2: take a chat if against the plus three, I just

332
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Speaker 2: don't know if it's gonna be one of our five

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Speaker 2: best bets this week.

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Speaker 1: The Ravens are nineteen and four against the spread in

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Speaker 1: their last twenty three games as an underdog. Yeah, nineteen

336
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Speaker 1: five as a dogs in twenty eighteen. A couple other things,

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Speaker 1: and I want to ask you about this Browns defense.

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Speaker 1: But number one teams that lost straight out as favorites

339
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Speaker 1: of a touchdown or more in their previous game. So

340
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Speaker 1: we're talking about Jacksonville, Baltimore, Dallas teams that were favorites

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Speaker 1: of a touchdown or more and lost straight up fifty

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Speaker 1: five percent against the spread the following week. Also divisional,

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Speaker 1: So this is relevant to the Miami Buffalo game and

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Speaker 1: this game. I asked Evan this last night because I

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Speaker 1: just assumed like you automatically want to play a division

346
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Speaker 1: favorite at less than a field goal. He had the

347
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Speaker 1: stat for me last night, home team less than three

348
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Speaker 1: point favorites in the division last twenty years forty six

349
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Speaker 1: percent against the spread, which is interesting to me because

350
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Speaker 1: Cleveland and Buffalo are like that. And what's interesting is

351
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Speaker 1: I like Baltimore and I like Buffalo, and we're going

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Speaker 1: to get to Buffalo. But here's one thing, and it's

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Speaker 1: about those two games as well. You said this on

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Speaker 1: Sunday night. Miami's offense is kind of like the matrix.

355
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Speaker 1: Cleveland's defense is kind of like the matrix. And so

356
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Speaker 1: what you just said is really interesting because we're talking

357
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Speaker 1: about how do you measure what you're seeing on the

358
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Speaker 1: field and what the stats are showing you about this

359
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Speaker 1: Cleveland defense with all of the history that we're seeing,

360
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Speaker 1: both specifically about Lamar Jackson, the Ravens and teams in

361
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Speaker 1: this spot.

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Speaker 2: I honestly, the Cleveland defense thing is like something we

363
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Speaker 2: were all on early in the year. Like we loved

364
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Speaker 2: their D line, we loved everything about it. The shocking

365
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Speaker 2: part is how good their secondary is. Like that's something

366
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Speaker 2: I didn't see becoming one. So Jim Schwartz, I knew

367
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Speaker 2: that they'd be improved under him. It's incredible how good

368
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Speaker 2: they are charts. That's why I love this game because

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Speaker 2: it's like this is a real test for this team.

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Speaker 2: Even again, even though that the Ravens are banged up,

371
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Speaker 2: still a great offense and if there's a defense that

372
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Speaker 2: can shut it down, they've built it, like the Browns

373
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 2: have built this defense that it's kind of like the

374
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Speaker 2: Jets defense that shut down Josh Allen. It's they have

375
00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:25,320
Speaker 2: so much speed on the edge, and they have so

376
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Speaker 2: much push in the middle from the d tackles. These

377
00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:30,520
Speaker 2: these mobile quarterbacks that want to get out and move

378
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Speaker 2: out of the pocket. It's not gonna be able to

379
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:34,680
Speaker 2: do it against the Browns team. So I can't wait

380
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 2: to see what they're gonna do against Lamar because they

381
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:40,080
Speaker 2: pretty much designed this defense for him, honestly, like they

382
00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:42,639
Speaker 2: didn't design it for Joe Burrow, they didn't design it

383
00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:44,879
Speaker 2: for Kenny Pickett in this division. They designed it to

384
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Speaker 2: stop Lamar with the athletes that got up front. So yeah,

385
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:51,280
Speaker 2: right now, Miles Garrett, you know a lot of these

386
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Speaker 2: defensive players will have one good game, that one bad game,

387
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Speaker 2: you know, one off night whatever. He has not had that.

388
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Speaker 2: If you go through and watch his tape from these

389
00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:01,159
Speaker 2: past three games, he is the best player in football

390
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 2: right now. The defensive position. Every everything the other team

391
00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:07,600
Speaker 2: does is centered around how do you stop Miles Garrett?

392
00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:09,440
Speaker 2: And he's still I think getting a sack per a

393
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:13,440
Speaker 2: game right now. So it is incredible stuff everything we've

394
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Speaker 2: seen from this Browns team. So yeah, I love that

395
00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:17,360
Speaker 2: we broke them down. I think it was week one

396
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Speaker 2: right film session. Yeah, yes, there's just such a fun

397
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Speaker 2: team to watch if you're a film nerd, and yeah,

398
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Speaker 2: this is there's a bunch of great games this week.

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Speaker 2: This is one of them.

400
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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, So it seems to me we lean

401
00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:33,280
Speaker 1: Baltimore two and a half. We hope to get the three.

402
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,360
Speaker 1: We went the three, but we don't know what we'll

403
00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:37,200
Speaker 1: do come Sunday.

404
00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:39,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, and if you're someone that likes the Browns, you

405
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:41,080
Speaker 2: believe in them, grab the two and a half now, Like,

406
00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:43,320
Speaker 2: if you believe in this team, I got no issue

407
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,880
Speaker 2: it because to me, this is like this is really

408
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:47,679
Speaker 2: a tight line. I make it where it's got to

409
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:49,720
Speaker 2: be one and a half too. It's right around it

410
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Speaker 2: all right.

411
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Speaker 1: Cincinnati at Tennessee. Tennessee is plus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: I feel like Tennessee is the right play here. They

413
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Speaker 1: just got blown out Cincinnati against the Rams when everyone

414
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 1: expected them to either have Joe Burrow. Not playing Rabel

415
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Speaker 1: as a home dog is like a core tenet for

416
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Speaker 1: our betting philosophy. The Titans just played one of the

417
00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 1: best defenses they'll face all year in Cleveland. We just

418
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,879
Speaker 1: finished talking about it. Averaged two point one yards per

419
00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 1: play and only had forty five total plays. Like it

420
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Speaker 1: was a rough outing. To me, this is a get

421
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Speaker 1: healthy game against a team that you're getting a little

422
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 1: bit more value on the number because they just played

423
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Speaker 1: prime time in one.

424
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would love the three, but this is a

425
00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:36,959
Speaker 2: no brainer. I thought you're gonna make your executive decision. Like,

426
00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:39,399
Speaker 2: maybe you're not because it's not a three yet, but yeah,

427
00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 2: I can almost guarantee people as we sit here, I've

428
00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:44,720
Speaker 2: already bet this a bunch. This is going to be

429
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Speaker 2: one of our bets on Sunday. Like there's a lot

430
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Speaker 2: of stupid things I did last week, this will not

431
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Speaker 2: be one of the on miss Like, we're gonna have

432
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Speaker 2: Tennessee in there if it's at three, two and a half,

433
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 2: three and a half, like I'm hoping against the three

434
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,639
Speaker 2: and a half. But yeah, love Tennessee and about bounce

435
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 2: backs against an offense that just does not look right,

436
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,240
Speaker 2: like even watching that game last night, they just did

437
00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:09,919
Speaker 2: not look right. So this Tennessee team, after such an

438
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,240
Speaker 2: embarrassing bad loss, Rabel's going to get his guys up

439
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 2: and ready for this game.

440
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:18,439
Speaker 1: I need a confirmation for Matt Mitchell right now that

441
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 1: he is going to remind us on Sunday morning at

442
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:25,040
Speaker 1: some point that Simon said this will be one of

443
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:30,399
Speaker 1: our bets on Sunday. Confirmed. Okay, thank you, Matt Mitchell.

444
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:32,679
Speaker 1: There's nothing else to say about this. Let's get I.

445
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 2: Don't need him for that, I need him to be like,

446
00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:36,520
Speaker 2: don't bet Atlanta plus three and a half, but that's

447
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:38,360
Speaker 2: what we need him for. I don't know who that's

448
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 2: going to be this week, but that's what I need

449
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:40,280
Speaker 2: him for.

450
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:44,320
Speaker 1: We're going to get triggered by a game that we

451
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 1: have not talked about until the second we talk about it. Yeah,

452
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 1: I like Tennessee better, So I'm going with Tennessee as

453
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 1: my exec decision. I'm going with Tennessee plus two and

454
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:55,520
Speaker 1: a half. Exac decision.

455
00:21:56,520 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 2: The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible? Are you

456
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:04,520
Speaker 2: your owner's text to kill number? Executive decision?

457
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,919
Speaker 1: Miami at Buffalo, This to me is fascinating. So I

458
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 1: bet this last night. I bet Buffalo minus two and

459
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,119
Speaker 1: a half because the juice was moving in the direction

460
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 1: of three, and I figured if, like ultimately, I could

461
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 1: buy it if I had to. But the tickets are

462
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 1: on the fins. The money is on the bills. How

463
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 1: have you re rated the Dolphins in the past forty

464
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 1: eight hours?

465
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 2: Chilled out, took a breath when I woke up Monday

466
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,760
Speaker 2: morning that the Bills was a professional about it, because

467
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:34,240
Speaker 2: I was in my head like I wanted to fire

468
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 2: away right away. When I saw that number, I was

469
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:39,359
Speaker 2: just like, I need to just relax. I still have

470
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,359
Speaker 2: the Bills power rated above them. I know it's going

471
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,159
Speaker 2: to piss off Dolphins fans, but I don't know what

472
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 2: you guys want from me. It's like I can't overreact

473
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 2: to what's happening. It's it's easy to be great in

474
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 2: September is what I always say. Like these months here,

475
00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 2: I mean, the Dallas Cowboys fans just got a huge

476
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,159
Speaker 2: dose of it. It's like you believe your team, you're

477
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:00,680
Speaker 2: drinking the kool aid and then you'll come back to Earth.

478
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,199
Speaker 2: This is a perfect comeback to Earth spot for the

479
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:06,879
Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins and their team. And if they win this,

480
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:09,480
Speaker 2: you'll see me again on someday saying this team is

481
00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 2: a glitch and the matrix. That's what they are. Like.

482
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 2: They are neo, like they don't make sense, they shouldn't

483
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:18,719
Speaker 2: be doing what they're doing, but they have the perfect scheme, players, talent,

484
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 2: and swag. Like that's what they have right now at

485
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 2: the highest level is like the confidence and the belief

486
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,719
Speaker 2: in themselves. So they're running into a Bills team that

487
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,200
Speaker 2: they've been that top dog, Like you want to have

488
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 2: confidence in swag. You're running into the team with the

489
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 2: most of it, and you were dead on the Bills

490
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 2: last week. Definitely missed that one. But it seems like

491
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 2: everything's clicking right now offensively for this Bills team. I mean,

492
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 2: gave Davis fully healthy, Digs fully healthy. They finally got

493
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 2: a kid and Cook the running back that just looks

494
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:50,400
Speaker 2: like a stud. Like the kid I think got another

495
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 2: one hundred yards last week. It's all there for this

496
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 2: Bills team. And we saw last year Miami they were

497
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 2: like the slept on team last year, right, we were

498
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 2: all over them at home against the Bills and they

499
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 2: won that stupid game where I think the Bills had

500
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,680
Speaker 2: like forty more plays, but they still lost the game

501
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,960
Speaker 2: against Miami. Right, they don't. They're not sneaking up on

502
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 2: anyone this year. Like Miami's that team. Everyone's got them.

503
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: Most people I talk to have them powering above this

504
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 2: Bills team. So Evan's stat did scare me a little bit.

505
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 2: But yeah, I like the Bills here under a field

506
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 2: goal and I think this will close them plus three.

507
00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,199
Speaker 2: I just I could see the pros just hitting this

508
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,360
Speaker 2: Bills number and they move it up the plus three

509
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,880
Speaker 2: and the public will be more than happy to take

510
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 2: this plus three. So yeah, my opinion is take the

511
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 2: Bills here. But this is a really tough game to choose, Jed, I.

512
00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 1: Think we got to take the Bills. Like, there's there's

513
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 1: a lot of the Evans Stadt is the one thing

514
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 1: that's bugging me. But how do you not fade a

515
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 1: team that just scored seventy points? Do you know what

516
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:52,680
Speaker 1: I mean?

517
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 2: And I would say that's why you don't fade it,

518
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 2: because they're that good. But yeah, I get where you're

519
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 2: coming from.

520
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 1: You know, It's like and there's there's a couple of

521
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 1: different quarks. Like I was doing a lot of research

522
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 1: this morning.

523
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 2: I mean, you got a statt what a team does

524
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,400
Speaker 2: the day after the game after they score seventy because

525
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 2: it only happened twice?

526
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 1: Well, I mean there's been how many times it happened?

527
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,919
Speaker 1: Like three times? You know. I was doing some research

528
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:17,600
Speaker 1: this morning about the Bills defense and the Finns offense,

529
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: so I asked Evan to follow up on this. The

530
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 1: Buffalo's defense gives up five point nine yards per rush,

531
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: which is the highest in the NFL, but teams have

532
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,920
Speaker 1: only rushed the ball against them fifty six times because

533
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 1: everybody's always fucking trailing against the Buffalo Bills. Meanwhile, it's

534
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 1: got the second most sacks, they're allowing the third fewest

535
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 1: yards after the catch. And here's one thing that really

536
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 1: flipped it for me. Two is amazing. The Dolphins have

537
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,920
Speaker 1: been the matrix Tyreek Kill is the cheat code. Two

538
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 1: has only been pressured on eight dropbacks, fewest in the

539
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 1: NFL this year, and he's going against the best pass

540
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 1: rush he's seen. I feel like the right the Bills,

541
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 1: if you can get the two and a half, get

542
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,120
Speaker 1: it now, like it's gonna move. I'm looking right now

543
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: and it's literally I'm watching the Action Network lines. I'm

544
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 1: watching the lines in Action network dot com. It's moving,

545
00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:10,119
Speaker 1: so you gotta fucking get it.

546
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 2: Make it. Simon says, Then are we telling people they

547
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:13,120
Speaker 2: got to grab it right now?

548
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 1: You gotta grab it?

549
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:20,919
Speaker 2: When Simon do it, we do what s sim Bills.

550
00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:24,479
Speaker 2: All right, I'm going to lose so much money going

551
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 2: against this Miami team, Chad, this is this is brutal.

552
00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:28,920
Speaker 2: Well you I want to tell you how much I'm

553
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,360
Speaker 2: down going against them for the first three weeks. It's

554
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:36,359
Speaker 2: it's a nice car, yeah, yeah, it's bad. Miami is

555
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:37,399
Speaker 2: really good.

556
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 1: They are really good. But this is like, this is

557
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 1: the game where you find out were you right and

558
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 1: you had bad spots? Are you wrong? And maybe you could.

559
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 2: Just the number one team in the a f C.

560
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've driven with you in your car and you

561
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: like nice cars. So when you say it's a nice car,

562
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 1: I got a feeling like it's a really nice car.

563
00:26:57,640 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 2: Yeah it hurts.

564
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,879
Speaker 1: Look the Eagles before the game last night, they were

565
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,440
Speaker 1: at minus seven. Now they're at bet three six five,

566
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: they're at minus eight. I got no feeling for this

567
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,160
Speaker 1: game right now. I think Jalen Hurts had his best

568
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 1: game last night. AJ Brown looked great, DeAndre Swift looked great,

569
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 1: DeVante Smith looked great. Like they you know, Jalen Hurst

570
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 1: made that pass towards the end of the half, got

571
00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:23,399
Speaker 1: him that touchdown when he was about to get hit. Like,

572
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:24,960
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion about this game.

573
00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, it took the eight and a half. Like I

574
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 2: told people Sunday, I like the Commanders of the seven.

575
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 2: I like him even more now eight and a half.

576
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna wait in here what the other pros

577
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:34,640
Speaker 2: are doing on this game. This is a good spot

578
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 2: to take Washington. But maybe I need to go back

579
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:40,720
Speaker 2: and watch more of Sam's tape. But total meltdown that

580
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 2: previous game. But another stat from our guy Evan, teams

581
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 2: who score three points are less previous week are fifty

582
00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:50,920
Speaker 2: seven percent ats next week. So that's seventy seven to

583
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 2: fifty eight and four. That's the Titans and the Commander.

584
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 2: So we already liked the Titans, probably end up liking

585
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:59,160
Speaker 2: the Commander. So yeah, that's that's one of these games

586
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 2: I knew I wasn't gonna be and then when it

587
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 2: got to eight and a half, it's like, how do

588
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:04,480
Speaker 2: I not grab that number? So don't know if will

589
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 2: be one of our five, but definitely definitely a sharp

590
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:09,159
Speaker 2: call that I'll get this week. And see what the

591
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:10,439
Speaker 2: guys you're saying about this number.

592
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 1: I really don't get why people what people are seeing

593
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,160
Speaker 1: in the Commanders. I know that that we talked about

594
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:19,760
Speaker 1: Sam Howell. I think they got a little bit exposed

595
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:20,879
Speaker 1: against the Bills and.

596
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,400
Speaker 2: Denver looks horrible, so like that gotta have to throw

597
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:24,640
Speaker 2: that out too, right exactly.

598
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,040
Speaker 1: Maybe the Cardinals are better than we think, but still

599
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 1: it's the Cardinals. So this is a Philly team that

600
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: I think figured something out last night, and I think

601
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,879
Speaker 1: they're going to be considerably better.

602
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,880
Speaker 2: It hurts at home is he's like a covering machine

603
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:41,200
Speaker 2: ats at home. So again, all fair points why this

604
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 2: probably won't be one of our five.

605
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 1: This will not be This will not be one of

606
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,720
Speaker 1: our five. Tampa Bay at New Orleans. New Orleans is

607
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 1: a three point favorite. Hey, a reminder, one of the

608
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:52,240
Speaker 1: reasons we love our sponsor at bet three six five

609
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 1: is their early NFL payout offer. That's when your bets

610
00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 1: get graded as a winner automatically if the team you

611
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,239
Speaker 1: bet on has a lead of seventeen or more. So

612
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:07,479
Speaker 1: people who bet the Saints this past weekend against the

613
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 1: Packers still cashed after they blew a seventeen point lead

614
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. That's living a sweat free life.

615
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 1: I also don't think we're going to bet this game.

616
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 1: We don't really know who the quarterback is going to be.

617
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 1: I thought, I thought, actually last night, Tampa Bay, they

618
00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 1: played pretty well in the first half. Mike Evans had

619
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 1: a terrible.

620
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,479
Speaker 2: Game, there's all Mike Evans.

621
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, until like literally he dropped a touchdown pass. He

622
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 1: dropped another couple.

623
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,600
Speaker 2: Of three three third downs he had drops.

624
00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, bet I felt bad for Baker because Mike Evans

625
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 1: is the reason they lost that.

626
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:46,959
Speaker 2: Game pretty much. And you saw Todd Bowles. He has

627
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 2: always had an incredible run defense. And that Eagles team

628
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 2: we're talking about cheat codes that have front five. If

629
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 2: they're healthy, they're by far the best on football. It's

630
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 2: nine to close and Swift looks like the guy we

631
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 2: thought he was gonna be out of Georgia, like his vision,

632
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 2: all of it. So yeah, just a just a bad

633
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 2: spot for that Bucks team and the Saints team. I

634
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 2: already threw some on the minus three. I can see

635
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: you going up to minus three and a half minus

636
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 2: four if if car does get cleared. But like Chad said,

637
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 2: we don't know who the quarterback is, Like how we

638
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 2: how are we gonna put a lot of money in

639
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 2: real money on this game? So I'm right there with you, Chad.

640
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 2: We can keep on moving.

641
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 1: Also, don't forget evan stat like the underdog in the

642
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:29,200
Speaker 1: division games at this spot is more likely to cover.

643
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 1: So there you go. By the way, you mentioned DeAndre Swift,

644
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 1: how about DeAndre Swift? And then the receiver whose name

645
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 1: I can't pronounce, who caught the touchdown pass from Jalen Hurts.

646
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:43,800
Speaker 1: They went to the same high school in Philadelphia.

647
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, Saint Joe's prepp funny meme I saw going around

648
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 2: was Swift sanding next to Kelsey. People kept saying these

649
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 2: are who people keep talking about dating. That was fun.

650
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 1: Oh and I know that's so funny. That's great, Hey, Simon,

651
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 1: make Little Caesars, the pizza sponsor of the NFL, part

652
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:07,000
Speaker 1: of your game day, Simon. When you eat Little Caesars,

653
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 1: do you feel better about the world in general?

654
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 2: Yes, Chad, I'm.

655
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 1: Glad you do. So do I order online during our

656
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,880
Speaker 1: pizza pizza pre game one hour before NFL games and

657
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 1: get ready for some football and fun. Choose your favorite

658
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,320
Speaker 1: Little Caesars pizza or pick the toppings you crave. Simon,

659
00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:29,080
Speaker 1: if every slice of Little Caesar's pizza you ate gave

660
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 1: you an extra point on a teaser, how many slices

661
00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:33,720
Speaker 1: would you eat?

662
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 2: One hundred? Chad?

663
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:39,360
Speaker 1: Either way, Simon, you're gonna win. And speaking of winning,

664
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:43,200
Speaker 1: everyone scores with convenient delivery or our in store pizza

665
00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:46,320
Speaker 1: portal pickup, So grab some friends and enjoy a few

666
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: slices during the tastiest hour before kickoff. The other Spider

667
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,360
Speaker 1: Man meme game other than the Bearers and the Broncos

668
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 1: is Minnesota at Carolina. Carolina is a three and a

669
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 1: half point underdogar right now? Oh god? Because remember I

670
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:05,480
Speaker 1: don't know how we ended up with Carolina and Andy

671
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 1: Dalton in our contest either.

672
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 2: Love it last week, love him again this week. It's

673
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 2: just Andy Dlton's nyes bras Bryce Young and you saw

674
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 2: last week that offense put up a lot of points

675
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 2: on the road in Seattle. Now they're playing against a

676
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 2: horrible Vikings defense at home, giving me give me the

677
00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 2: three and a half every time, Like, who the hell?

678
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 2: How does the public come in on Kirk? I can't

679
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 2: believe this. They're coming in so heavy on Kirk. I

680
00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:33,480
Speaker 2: get it Carolina is horrible, but man, you're you're putting

681
00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 2: a lot on Kirk. I don't know. That's just crazy.

682
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:39,840
Speaker 2: It's minus three and a half, so uh, maybe I'm

683
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 2: stepping in it. But I want this so bad to

684
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 2: be one of our five just because people are gonna

685
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 2: hate it. But three and a half. Give it to

686
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:49,840
Speaker 2: me every time. I love this number. Bet it all

687
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 2: day yesterday, bet at all today. I am shocked it's

688
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:53,800
Speaker 2: still at three and a half.

689
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:57,959
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're stepping in it and I'm walking right around it.

690
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 1: The Vikings went eleven and oh and once score games

691
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:05,320
Speaker 1: last year. They've now lost four straight one score games

692
00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 1: the playoffs.

693
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 2: Oh, the first playoffs.

694
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, first three weeks of the year. The Rams looked

695
00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 1: not so great last night. They struggled. The Colts have

696
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: continued to play better. I gotta say, I'm really impressed

697
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 1: with the two Eagles coordinators, whose teams are just much

698
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 1: much better and better coach than we thought they would

699
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 1: be in both the Cardinals and the Colts. Has anything

700
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 1: about the coach changed your mind in the film you've

701
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: been watching, So you're coming closer to my side and

702
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 1: believing this is a better team than you think.

703
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,920
Speaker 2: Nah, just lucky, lucky and situational. But I do think

704
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 2: they have good coaching. Like Richardson, I'm so happy I

705
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 2: ended up there. His future should be bright with this

706
00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,960
Speaker 2: coaching staff and everything. But yeah, that was the perfect storm.

707
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,000
Speaker 2: Last week they played a banged up Ravens team in

708
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 2: the soaking rain. The Rams had a horrible game. They

709
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 2: only lost by three. Like Stafford looked really out of

710
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 2: sorts in that most of that game, they were kicking

711
00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 2: tons of field goals not scoring points. Once again, wong team, Like,

712
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,480
Speaker 2: you want to tease this with Green Bay seven and

713
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 2: a half against this Colts team, You can get this

714
00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 2: right now with this Rams teams. You want to tease

715
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 2: it up. Love it, love this number at plus one

716
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 2: and a half. But yeah, I'm not going to get

717
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:13,120
Speaker 2: back too heavy on it. This is another game where

718
00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 2: I can just see a lot of pros beyond that

719
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:16,440
Speaker 2: cold side, because I think they're thinking like Chad, like

720
00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 2: they think this Colts team is better than people are projected.

721
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:21,920
Speaker 2: And I'm in a weird spot where it's like I

722
00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 2: had this teams over coming to the season and now

723
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 2: I got to talk bad about them. But I'm just

724
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:29,600
Speaker 2: not trying to overreact and overhype to them having such

725
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:32,959
Speaker 2: a flukey win against that Ravens team that past week,

726
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 2: Like there was just all these little calls too went

727
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 2: their way. Just just an incredible game by that Colts team.

728
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:42,160
Speaker 2: And this would be what I call letdown spot for

729
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 2: this team coming home with Minshew. So if it's Minshew,

730
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,879
Speaker 2: I'm all over the Rams. If it's Richardson, maybe I'll

731
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:51,759
Speaker 2: pause there and think about this one, But yeah, I

732
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:53,200
Speaker 2: like this Rams team in the spot.

733
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 1: By the way, Sean McVay, you like him as a

734
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,440
Speaker 1: bounce back eleven and six straight up and against the

735
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 1: spread on shore rest, covering seven of the last eight

736
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 1: games Pittsburgh get Houston. Houston is a three point underdog.

737
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:08,920
Speaker 1: We love this game. On Sunday night, there might have

738
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 1: been half a point difference. I think it might have

739
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:12,680
Speaker 1: been three and a half. All the money and all

740
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 1: the tickets are on the Texans, and I still like it.

741
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:17,400
Speaker 1: I don't like Mike Tomlin as a road favorite.

742
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,880
Speaker 2: It's a fine line between, you know, drinking wine and

743
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 2: squashing greats.

744
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 1: I don't like this team coming off a big win.

745
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:27,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna cut you off because I laugh at that

746
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 2: all the time, Like that's what the hell we pay

747
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:30,960
Speaker 2: to do.

748
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:33,120
Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit inflated. It was inflated

749
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 1: on Sunday night. CJ. Stroud. Offensive rookie, that your favorite

750
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,400
Speaker 1: right now, so he's getting a little bit more shine.

751
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,479
Speaker 1: That does worry me. Most past attempts in the NFL

752
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: right now without an interception, CJ. Stroud. Justin Herbert, what

753
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 1: do you think of Houston at plus three right now?

754
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 2: Love it at three and a half, that'd be great

755
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,359
Speaker 2: that gets back there. But yeah, I think you're right,

756
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:57,879
Speaker 2: Like the public might be on to them now and yeah, yeah,

757
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:00,399
Speaker 2: like you know, like I always joke on the show,

758
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 2: people like the shiny new toy, and that's going to

759
00:36:02,080 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 2: be CJ right this week, he'll probably be talked about

760
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 2: a lot. Just an incredible win for that Houston team

761
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:09,359
Speaker 2: in a spot that they always win, right, So that's

762
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:12,520
Speaker 2: why I'm not trying to overreact to that one where Pittsburgh.

763
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 2: I will overreact in the sense that Kenny look much

764
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:18,400
Speaker 2: better against that Raiders team, Like he threw with confidence,

765
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 2: he stood in the pocket, he took big hits, just

766
00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 2: pushing the ball downfield, which is exactly when I see

767
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:26,239
Speaker 2: from Kenny after such a poor you know, first two games.

768
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:29,960
Speaker 2: So three and a half, I love Houston Chad three.

769
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:32,399
Speaker 2: I'm not as crazy about it because that means most

770
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:33,960
Speaker 2: likely will be two and a half in our contest,

771
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 2: which is just as an ideal. So still love it.

772
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,240
Speaker 2: I'm still right there with you. I just I trust

773
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,320
Speaker 2: Tennessee Moore at two and a half in our contest,

774
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 2: and I went at Houston two and.

775
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:46,959
Speaker 1: A half, all right, Las Vegas Raiders. I always love

776
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:49,920
Speaker 1: when Jimmy Garoppolo is playing, and you'll get all these

777
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:53,480
Speaker 1: graphics about how accurate he is, his years per attempt,

778
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:57,920
Speaker 1: his winning records, and yet he's somebody nobody wants because

779
00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 1: in the biggest moment, he's not accurate and not very good.

780
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 1: And what's interesting, he's not playing with a very good

781
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 1: coach right now. Look at Matt Lafleur and what he

782
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:08,720
Speaker 1: did for Jordan Love to put him in a position

783
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:11,640
Speaker 1: to win that game in regulation. Josh McDaniels, they're down

784
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,040
Speaker 1: eight and he goes for a field goal to go

785
00:37:14,120 --> 00:37:18,839
Speaker 1: down five, Like, come on, man, this is basic math

786
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 1: at this point. Like, if you don't know the right

787
00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 1: decision to make in this scenario to put your team

788
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:25,600
Speaker 1: in a position to win, then you don't deserve to

789
00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 1: be coaching in the NFL. You're not using everything to

790
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 1: your advantage. I like the Raiders at five and a

791
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:33,040
Speaker 1: half here, though.

792
00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:35,239
Speaker 2: You want to like him even more because you can

793
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:35,720
Speaker 2: get six.

794
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:38,520
Speaker 1: I gotta mention we were talking about Jimmy g he

795
00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 1: did suffer a concussion on Sunday, because I think it's

796
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 1: the right spot for the Raiders. I don't care and

797
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 1: his backup is Brian Hoyer, who is smart enough and

798
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:52,280
Speaker 1: takes I think more risks, like I think you're ceiling

799
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 1: with Brian Hoyer might be a little bit higher than

800
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 1: it is with Jimmy G. So I still love the

801
00:37:57,600 --> 00:37:59,520
Speaker 1: Raiders at plus six in the spot.

802
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:01,800
Speaker 2: That makes more sense why we've seen the number running

803
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 2: up now, because I really didn't. I was like, what

804
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 2: pros are coming in heavy on this Chargers team. So yeah,

805
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:09,040
Speaker 2: that makes a lot more sense. If I didn't know

806
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 2: that Jimmy's they already they already officially said he's out

807
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:12,319
Speaker 2: for this upcoming week.

808
00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:15,399
Speaker 1: No, no, no, it's just you know, I would imagine that.

809
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 2: He was okay. I mean the Chargers, we joke all

810
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 2: the time. If you ever get a team that can

811
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:22,239
Speaker 2: be above a field goal against the Chargers, you just

812
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:24,839
Speaker 2: take it. We have to take this. The Chargers can't

813
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 2: help but playing close, ugly games. I mean, their coach

814
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:31,919
Speaker 2: has no rhyme or reason. The man the previous week

815
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 2: punted from the midfield against Tennessee and then against Vikings.

816
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:37,360
Speaker 2: He's going for it in his own like thirty or twenty.

817
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 2: It's just there's no rhyme or reason. That team has

818
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:43,320
Speaker 2: lost one of the best quarterbacks in all of football,

819
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 2: and they even have people questioning him and being like,

820
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:49,120
Speaker 2: are we sure Herbert's that good? Yes, we are sure

821
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:53,200
Speaker 2: he's that good. He's just with horrible coaching. So you know,

822
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:56,520
Speaker 2: six is a big number. I can't believe it's gotten

823
00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:58,919
Speaker 2: up to six, which means that's that's professional money coming

824
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:02,399
Speaker 2: in on this Chargers team, which I'll take Vegas. I mean,

825
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,400
Speaker 2: if it's six and a half in our contest, like

826
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 2: me and Chad are going to hate ourselves for it,

827
00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 2: but we're going to have to put them in Like that's.

828
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:12,040
Speaker 1: A number, dude, I would not hit ourselves for taking it.

829
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: Here's the thing, Simon, if we did that, I'd actually

830
00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 1: feel like we're going back to our roots and we're

831
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 1: playing each week in the window of the week and

832
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 1: not thinking about what's happened previously, because we would one

833
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:28,920
Speaker 1: hundred percent play a team that just looked terrible and

834
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 1: got beat at home in prime time and is now

835
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:36,760
Speaker 1: getting an inflated number on the road against a division

836
00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 1: team in which now we have Evan's stats backing us

837
00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 1: up telling us the last twenty years the right side

838
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:46,759
Speaker 1: to play in that scenario is the underdog. Yeah, so

839
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:48,480
Speaker 1: I love the Raiders in.

840
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 2: This spot all right?

841
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,759
Speaker 1: Most likely then I might just talk myself into saying

842
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:59,200
Speaker 1: that's the exact decision. Kidding, We're sticking with Tennessee. Simon.

843
00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 1: Can you name the fastest growing ticketing app in the

844
00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 1: United States? I know you can do it.

845
00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 2: Game Time.

846
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,879
Speaker 1: Game Time. I love Game Time for two reasons. One

847
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 1: because they sponsored this show, but number two because I

848
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:16,360
Speaker 1: actually use game Time to buy tickets. They've got amazing

849
00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:19,920
Speaker 1: last minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including pro

850
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:23,320
Speaker 1: and college football games, speaking of which I'm open to

851
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,560
Speaker 1: the game Time app. Right now. From my house, I

852
00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:31,320
Speaker 1: can go see the New York Jets this Sunday seventy

853
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:36,080
Speaker 1: five bucks. I can see the New York Rangers tonight

854
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:40,319
Speaker 1: for thirty eight bucks. All sports are in bloom in

855
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:44,359
Speaker 1: the fall in New York from my house in Connecticut.

856
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:46,719
Speaker 1: No matter where you live, download the game Time app.

857
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 1: Get out, have some fun this week, Go sweat your

858
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 1: bets live and in person, and you can redeem code

859
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 1: favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase. Terms apply again.

860
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:02,279
Speaker 1: Just download the app. Enter code favorites for twenty dollars

861
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 1: off last minute tickets, lowest price garon teed. Dude, you

862
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,759
Speaker 1: can go see Patrick Mahomes for less than seventy five

863
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:15,320
Speaker 1: bucks this week, play against the Jets.

864
00:41:17,680 --> 00:41:18,320
Speaker 2: Just say.

865
00:41:19,719 --> 00:41:24,719
Speaker 1: Cisco, Arizona Cardinals on the road at the San Francisco

866
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:28,799
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. Arizona Cardinals just beat the Cowboys as

867
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:33,279
Speaker 1: twelve point underdogs at home. You said that you still

868
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:36,120
Speaker 1: had Dallas as the second best team in the NFC

869
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 1: over San Francisco after the Eagles.

870
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:41,440
Speaker 2: I said third, third best?

871
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 1: You did, Yeah, I thought you said. I thought you

872
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 1: said you still had them second.

873
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:46,319
Speaker 2: Now I saw it Eagles forty nine ers.

874
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:49,319
Speaker 1: Then okay, but I'm not betting on the Cardinals this week.

875
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:52,080
Speaker 1: Like this is not a this is not a okay.

876
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:54,960
Speaker 1: It's a huge dog bet on the Cardinals situation for me.

877
00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:57,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know what to do with that. I

878
00:41:57,360 --> 00:41:59,439
Speaker 2: threw a little Sunday night on the fourteen and a half.

879
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 2: I just thought that was really high. Now it's down

880
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:05,279
Speaker 2: to fourteen. But it seems like, yeah, you're right, Like

881
00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 2: I'm trying to find a good angle here, but it's

882
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:10,800
Speaker 2: like that could have been the Cardinals Super Bowl and

883
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:13,719
Speaker 2: they have a huge leutdown here, or this could be

884
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:16,919
Speaker 2: the most you know, the greatest gambling covering team ever

885
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:18,759
Speaker 2: chat and every week we're gonna get value on him.

886
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:22,080
Speaker 2: So this week the public will come in on them.

887
00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:24,920
Speaker 2: They'll take this number. So I'm assuming the sharp side

888
00:42:25,000 --> 00:42:28,000
Speaker 2: will be the forty nine ers. Yeah, just torn because

889
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:31,960
Speaker 2: it's such a big number, and you know, of all

890
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:35,759
Speaker 2: the positives, I want to say, rock party. He didn't

891
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:38,480
Speaker 2: look great, and he looked great week one. In the

892
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 2: past two weeks, he's had some moments where it's like,

893
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:44,959
Speaker 2: without Changahan's offense, this guy looks like a seventh round

894
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:49,120
Speaker 2: pick and the ball, his throws are late, they're you know,

895
00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 2: the Giants were all over that team and they just basically,

896
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:54,640
Speaker 2: I mean, Kyle's a genius. He just said, all right,

897
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:56,960
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna make this really easy for the kid.

898
00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:58,960
Speaker 2: Have a couple of dump offs, just run the ball

899
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 2: to McCaffrey, and then every now and then let them

900
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:05,800
Speaker 2: take those big fifty to fifty shots downfield. So looking

901
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,839
Speaker 2: at this team, yeah, on paper, the forty nine ers

902
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:11,800
Speaker 2: are clearly better, but are they fourteen fourteen and a

903
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:14,520
Speaker 2: half points. That's just really tough to say. Chad. So

904
00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:18,799
Speaker 2: I do want to take the Cardinals, but it's hard

905
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:20,960
Speaker 2: to get there right now, it really is. So yeah,

906
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 2: we can keep it moving. I don't know if we're

907
00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 2: getting up with this one in our contest.

908
00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 1: Oh well, i'll tell you what. I think we're going

909
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,680
Speaker 1: to get some sharp calls about that because you mentioned it.

910
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,320
Speaker 1: You think the wise guys will be in the Niners. Yeah,

911
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:33,799
Speaker 1: the money is on the Niners and the tickets are

912
00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:34,759
Speaker 1: on the Cardinals right now.

913
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:35,439
Speaker 2: That makes sense.

914
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 1: But there is a stat that says double digit dogs

915
00:43:40,080 --> 00:43:44,200
Speaker 1: in the conference past twenty years significantly higher win percentage

916
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:47,600
Speaker 1: against the spread. So yeah, you got a little bit

917
00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 1: of a taste of the Cardinals at fourteen and a half.

918
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,399
Speaker 1: Who knows, maybe it wins in fourteen and we can

919
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,839
Speaker 1: all win, but I'm not playing this game. I'll tell

920
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 1: you that right now. New England at Dallas. Dallas is

921
00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:03,120
Speaker 1: seven point favorite. I know. On Sunday we said that

922
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 1: we loved the Patriots at plus seven. Evan had that

923
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:12,680
Speaker 1: stat about teams that were double digit that were more

924
00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 1: than a touchdown favorites who lost straight up. What happens

925
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 1: the next week favors the Cowboys. I think Mac Jones, who,

926
00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 1: by the way, has more RPOs this year than Justin Fields.

927
00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:28,600
Speaker 1: I think he's really bad. I think there's like a

928
00:44:28,680 --> 00:44:32,520
Speaker 1: legitimate issue for the Patriots a quarterback that isn't Oh

929
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:35,720
Speaker 1: he was playing in him onsoon, Oh, he was playing

930
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:38,600
Speaker 1: against a great defense. Like, I think he's just a

931
00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:42,560
Speaker 1: bad quarterback. And so I'm having a hard time getting there.

932
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 1: I think the Cowboys are going to kill him in

933
00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:44,399
Speaker 1: this game.

934
00:44:45,480 --> 00:44:48,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I'm at the standpoint of like, yeah, Max

935
00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 2: obviously not that great, but it's impossible to know. It's like,

936
00:44:52,400 --> 00:44:54,480
Speaker 2: who is Max Jones been thrown to his whole career.

937
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,520
Speaker 2: I mean last year was a total waste of a season,

938
00:44:56,640 --> 00:44:59,880
Speaker 2: and then this season he starts with the defending the

939
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:01,400
Speaker 2: the team that went to the Super Bowl last year,

940
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:05,120
Speaker 2: the Eagles Miami, who's like everyone's favorite team, and he

941
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 2: played a really good Jets defense at home in a

942
00:45:07,200 --> 00:45:08,879
Speaker 2: monsoon So I like, I'm with you, like I'm trying

943
00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:12,239
Speaker 2: not to over react all that stuff. But he's in

944
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:14,439
Speaker 2: another tough spot. You're playing against a good Dallas team

945
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:17,759
Speaker 2: off an embarrassing loss, So I want to get there.

946
00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 2: But yeah, I had a couple of pros call me

947
00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 2: after we did our show Sunday and they're just like,

948
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 2: I actually like the Cowboys in the spot like the

949
00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:27,960
Speaker 2: other side, and you know, I just I'm having a

950
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 2: tough one with this game. So yeah, we can we

951
00:45:30,200 --> 00:45:31,680
Speaker 2: can keep it moving because I really don't what to

952
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 2: do with this one here, but I do want to

953
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 2: take New England here, and that really good defense, Like

954
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:41,800
Speaker 2: I just you know, that offense, the Cowboys offense, for

955
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:43,959
Speaker 2: all the talent they have, the way they played against

956
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:47,600
Speaker 2: the Cardinals, it's gotta be a mccathy like the head coach,

957
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:48,080
Speaker 2: you know.

958
00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:52,520
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, he's running the ball it the red zone.

959
00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, and like all the like a lot of the

960
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:56,919
Speaker 2: players calling like I gotta I only watched it one

961
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:59,160
Speaker 2: time through all twenty two de game. I gotta watch

962
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 2: it again. But from just what I saw, he was

963
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 2: running in bad spots and it felt like I don't

964
00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 2: want to shoot on I just don't want to be

965
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:10,759
Speaker 2: sitting here shitting on Dak. But this is why I

966
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,160
Speaker 2: just don't trust Dak. He has these games where he

967
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,840
Speaker 2: just looks completely lost, and that's how it felt in

968
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:18,799
Speaker 2: that game, where you know, he wasn't taking the easy reads.

969
00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:20,480
Speaker 2: He was trying to force it to Ceedee Lamb where

970
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 2: there's just was no need for it, Like Gallup was open,

971
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 2: he wasn't looking his way for a certain points. So yeah,

972
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:28,800
Speaker 2: a lot of questions here on Dallas, but like it

973
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:30,440
Speaker 2: feels like you're right, like this is probably a nice

974
00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:33,880
Speaker 2: bi Lo spot on Dallas. So yeah, interesting here a

975
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:35,840
Speaker 2: lot of pros I talked to like Dallas here where

976
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:38,160
Speaker 2: I just thought everyone would take the Patriots in this defense,

977
00:46:38,200 --> 00:46:41,120
Speaker 2: like this is a really good defense and an offense

978
00:46:41,200 --> 00:46:44,160
Speaker 2: that say what you want. They want to run the ball,

979
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:46,240
Speaker 2: and that to me looks like that's what Dallas achilles

980
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 2: heel is. Like the Cardinals are running the ball down

981
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 2: their throat and Week one, the Giants first drive, they

982
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:54,160
Speaker 2: were running it right down Dallas all the way down

983
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:57,240
Speaker 2: the field and then it kind of stops. So Dallas

984
00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 2: could have an incredible pass rush. It seems like their

985
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:01,799
Speaker 2: biggest weakness will be against the rush this year. So

986
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:04,200
Speaker 2: we're talking about that's what New England wants to do

987
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,600
Speaker 2: with Zekiel Elliott and Stevenson like that. That kind of

988
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:09,759
Speaker 2: feels like I want to play the seven. But I'm

989
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 2: with you, Childick. The fact that there's pros telling me

990
00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:14,320
Speaker 2: they like Dallas, I want any more time on this game.

991
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:17,799
Speaker 1: Yeah. Do you know what I was wondering last night?

992
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 1: I was working on this while I was watching the game,

993
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:23,879
Speaker 1: and I was doing the math on Dallas and on

994
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:28,880
Speaker 1: New England, and I kept thinking to myself, I know,

995
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:33,319
Speaker 1: we said we like New England, and like I kind

996
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:36,200
Speaker 1: of hate New England, and I think we're I think

997
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:40,000
Speaker 1: we were letting, at least for me, their defense was

998
00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 1: so good, especially against Miami, their defense was really good. Yeah,

999
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:46,600
Speaker 1: I feel like we were letting that cloud our judgment.

1000
00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:50,080
Speaker 1: And even though Dallas is missing Trayvon Diggs, like I do,

1001
00:47:50,160 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 1: think Dallas's defense is better in every stat that matters.

1002
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 1: And so I don't know how Mac Jones is going

1003
00:47:57,760 --> 00:47:59,920
Speaker 1: to score. And I think the red zone stuff that

1004
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:03,920
Speaker 1: the Cowboys struggled with against the Cardinals, there's a regression

1005
00:48:03,960 --> 00:48:05,839
Speaker 1: to the mean on that. Right, they were terrible about

1006
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:07,759
Speaker 1: it one week, They will be better about it the

1007
00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:09,840
Speaker 1: next week. I think they're still figuring out what are

1008
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:11,600
Speaker 1: they do in the red zone with aut Dalton Schultz,

1009
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:14,279
Speaker 1: without Zeke Elliott. Right, they don't know who their sort

1010
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:16,320
Speaker 1: of power play.

1011
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:18,600
Speaker 2: And they have a shuffle. Their offensive line has been

1012
00:48:18,600 --> 00:48:19,360
Speaker 2: shuffled around.

1013
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:22,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, Jon Smith and like and Zach Martin like, I

1014
00:48:23,000 --> 00:48:25,279
Speaker 1: think that. I just think they're a much better team

1015
00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:26,839
Speaker 1: in there at home. And this is the spot where

1016
00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 1: Dak does.

1017
00:48:28,040 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 2: Cover well see because again there's a lot of counters

1018
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:33,759
Speaker 2: to where it's like you put Gonzales on CD, now

1019
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:38,480
Speaker 2: you're taking away Dak's only real safety blanket. I just

1020
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:40,239
Speaker 2: there's a lot of questions about the Cowboys like this

1021
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:42,680
Speaker 2: is this will actually surprisingly be a big game for

1022
00:48:42,680 --> 00:48:43,600
Speaker 2: the Cowboys.

1023
00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:45,600
Speaker 1: It will be interesting to see on Sunday. But what do

1024
00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:48,640
Speaker 1: we land on this? People remember, longtime listeners to the

1025
00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:51,720
Speaker 1: podcast will remember I told a story about Carson Palmer

1026
00:48:52,120 --> 00:48:56,240
Speaker 1: when he was throwing to Keishawn Johnson, throwing him deep,

1027
00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:58,120
Speaker 1: he would say which nipple do you want it on?

1028
00:48:58,160 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 1: Because he was so accurate. And then I asked Carson's brother,

1029
00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:03,320
Speaker 1: Vernon Palmer, who had been on the podcast and is

1030
00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:06,800
Speaker 1: a prominent quarterback coach, that question. He said, yeah, it's true,

1031
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:10,200
Speaker 1: so is Mac Jones, because I think it must have

1032
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:13,719
Speaker 1: come up once. Is he still to you, Simon a

1033
00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:17,319
Speaker 1: which nipple quarterback? There's a question from the audience right now.

1034
00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:21,279
Speaker 2: No, it's it's more like which balls. Apparently he's like

1035
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:23,319
Speaker 2: a dirty player and punches guys on the balls, so

1036
00:49:23,680 --> 00:49:25,840
Speaker 2: I might be talking on Mac Jones. Fuck Mac Jones.

1037
00:49:25,880 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 2: I do not like Mac Jones at all. He just

1038
00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:30,000
Speaker 2: seems like a dirty player and a shitty person. So

1039
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:32,240
Speaker 2: I don't I don't know to answer your question the chat,

1040
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:35,000
Speaker 2: but I am totally off Mac Jones as a person.

1041
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:37,319
Speaker 1: By the way, Matt Mitchell is now typing the notes

1042
00:49:37,360 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 1: that I called him. Matt, I called him a which

1043
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 1: nipple quarterback. I don't know what you're talking about. I've

1044
00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:44,360
Speaker 1: never been on I've never been on the Mac Jones.

1045
00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 2: Thank you, Matt Mitchell y you absolutely were after he

1046
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:48,320
Speaker 2: was drafted.

1047
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:52,400
Speaker 1: Show me listen, can we get progressive as a sponsor,

1048
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:54,320
Speaker 1: because aren't they the ones who show the replay and

1049
00:49:54,360 --> 00:49:56,759
Speaker 1: then like they make everyone look at it. Show me

1050
00:49:56,760 --> 00:50:00,640
Speaker 1: the receipts if you're listening in the podcast version that

1051
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:06,280
Speaker 1: will be playing right now. Which nipple? That's Mac Jones

1052
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:10,920
Speaker 1: right now, He's a which nipple quarterback? All right, Kansas

1053
00:50:10,920 --> 00:50:14,080
Speaker 1: City at the Jets, it's nine and a half. Joe

1054
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:17,040
Speaker 1: Namath hate Zach Wilson. This is the defense that is

1055
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:20,239
Speaker 1: getting wasted. I think Kansas City is if you can

1056
00:50:20,239 --> 00:50:23,640
Speaker 1: say Kansas City is sneaky, like, I think there's some

1057
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:25,840
Speaker 1: I think their defense is better than it's been in years.

1058
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:32,120
Speaker 1: Chris Jones is just devastating quarterbacks. Right now? What are

1059
00:50:32,120 --> 00:50:33,359
Speaker 1: we doing here waiting for a ten?

1060
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:35,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I've seen it. There's a book right now, there's

1061
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:37,839
Speaker 2: a ten, Like I sent a runner to go about

1062
00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:39,879
Speaker 2: it as we're doing this show. So yeah, I'm gonna

1063
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:43,560
Speaker 2: grab the ten. We'll be on the Jets. I don't

1064
00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 2: know what to tell you people like this sucks. This

1065
00:50:45,520 --> 00:50:47,200
Speaker 2: is like the one of the tougher bets I'll have

1066
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:50,160
Speaker 2: to make this year. And it's like, I'm right there

1067
00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:53,080
Speaker 2: with you. I hate Zach Wilson. I hate betting on him.

1068
00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:58,640
Speaker 2: The guy is so bad in every way. But this

1069
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:01,480
Speaker 2: defense at home ten points, so like, how do we

1070
00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:04,560
Speaker 2: not take this? I mean, I still have my questions

1071
00:51:04,560 --> 00:51:07,600
Speaker 2: about this Chiefs team. Even against the Bears. There's a

1072
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:09,840
Speaker 2: couple of moments there where they just didn't look like

1073
00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:12,280
Speaker 2: the old Chiefs where it's like it all came easily.

1074
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 2: Like there was a bunch of times they were in

1075
00:51:15,080 --> 00:51:17,600
Speaker 2: long third down plays against that Bears team to start

1076
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:19,520
Speaker 2: the game. Then once I got rolling, it was over.

1077
00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:22,120
Speaker 2: Like once the Bears defense got tired, what was a

1078
00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:24,080
Speaker 2: thirty four to nothing By the end of the first half,

1079
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:26,120
Speaker 2: they were dead. But like, there's a couple of things

1080
00:51:26,120 --> 00:51:28,520
Speaker 2: in that first quarter. I was like, this is the Saint.

1081
00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:30,640
Speaker 2: They will the Saint the same old Chiefs. Like, the

1082
00:51:30,680 --> 00:51:34,400
Speaker 2: offense is definitely different, and you know, I'm getting a

1083
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:36,960
Speaker 2: great defense at plus ten at home. Chad, like, I

1084
00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:39,239
Speaker 2: hate it, but this feels like, well, we just talked

1085
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:41,440
Speaker 2: about how we missed on the Cardinals last week. This

1086
00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 2: is the exact same kind of spot.

1087
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:47,719
Speaker 1: I was just gonna say, this is the Cardinals revisited.

1088
00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 1: We would do this a thousand times now that we're

1089
00:51:51,120 --> 00:51:52,520
Speaker 1: back in the right frame of mind.

1090
00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:55,040
Speaker 2: And just and people one in the my model makes

1091
00:51:55,080 --> 00:51:56,879
Speaker 2: his ten. So it's not like I'm getting crazy good

1092
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:59,480
Speaker 2: value here. It's more like we got to take a

1093
00:51:59,520 --> 00:52:02,680
Speaker 2: stand a spot, and this is a good spot to

1094
00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:15,600
Speaker 2: take the ten with this Jets team.

1095
00:52:15,760 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 1: Monday night football game, Seattle visiting the New York Football Giants.

1096
00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:23,600
Speaker 1: The Giants are one and a half point favorites at

1097
00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:26,440
Speaker 1: a home right now, I got no read on this

1098
00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 1: game right now, no interest in this game to be honest,

1099
00:52:29,520 --> 00:52:31,280
Speaker 1: I can't add anything to the conversation.

1100
00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:33,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to take the Giants, but I'm with

1101
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:35,920
Speaker 2: Chad like I'm gonna I'm gonna wait a little on

1102
00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:38,160
Speaker 2: this one. There's not any great value either side on

1103
00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 2: this number. But my first my first glance was just like, yeah,

1104
00:52:42,800 --> 00:52:46,000
Speaker 2: you take the Giants in this spot. They got embarrassed

1105
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:50,240
Speaker 2: on Thursday night. Seahawks beat up on a bad Carolina defense.

1106
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:52,560
Speaker 2: Giants defense isn't that much better, but they are better.

1107
00:52:53,440 --> 00:52:55,439
Speaker 2: You assume this would be a good time to take

1108
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:58,360
Speaker 2: this Giants team. But weird number. I just can't believe

1109
00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:00,479
Speaker 2: that it is minus one and a half. I thought

1110
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:02,440
Speaker 2: they would be a dog for sure, the Giants here,

1111
00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,480
Speaker 2: So I was hoping to get good value here. That

1112
00:53:04,600 --> 00:53:06,839
Speaker 2: just doesn't look like there's much value on the Giants.

1113
00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:11,000
Speaker 1: Wise, guys are with you that they tend they lean

1114
00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:16,560
Speaker 1: to the Giants. Tickets on the Seahawks, money on the Giants.

1115
00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:22,400
Speaker 1: Right now, let me recap so Thursday night, just so

1116
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:24,480
Speaker 1: people are aware, we like Green Bay a plus one.

1117
00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:26,440
Speaker 1: You better get it because it might not stay there.

1118
00:53:28,520 --> 00:53:31,080
Speaker 1: We're gonna like the Bears plus three and a half.

1119
00:53:31,239 --> 00:53:34,879
Speaker 1: That's our preference. We like Baltimore plus two and a half,

1120
00:53:34,880 --> 00:53:37,960
Speaker 1: but we're waiting on a three. Tennessee plus two and

1121
00:53:38,040 --> 00:53:42,400
Speaker 1: a half against the Bengals. That's our exec decision. Buffalo

1122
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:45,960
Speaker 1: minus two and a half is the Simon says, get

1123
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:49,560
Speaker 1: it before it gets to minus three. Simon loves the

1124
00:53:49,560 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 1: Commanders plus eight. It's gonna see if we he can

1125
00:53:52,680 --> 00:53:55,320
Speaker 1: talk me into it on Sunday, maybe it'll move even higher.

1126
00:53:56,360 --> 00:53:58,759
Speaker 1: He also loves Carolina plus three and a half. That

1127
00:53:58,920 --> 00:54:03,080
Speaker 1: makes me sick to my stomach. Las Vegas plus six

1128
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:05,960
Speaker 1: with Jimmy questionable. I'm going to like this game either way.

1129
00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,880
Speaker 1: I don't care if he's playing quarterback. Dallas minus seven

1130
00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:11,440
Speaker 1: is on the table for a conversation. We'll probably end

1131
00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:14,879
Speaker 1: up talking about that on Thursday. New York Jets plus ten.

1132
00:54:15,840 --> 00:54:17,760
Speaker 1: We're really hoping to get a ten in the contest

1133
00:54:18,080 --> 00:54:21,560
Speaker 1: for sure. As a reminder, the Favorite Podcast is presented

1134
00:54:21,560 --> 00:54:24,600
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1135
00:54:24,760 --> 00:54:27,360
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1136
00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:30,640
Speaker 1: Every touchdown, every game, every point, every play, from the

1137
00:54:30,680 --> 00:54:33,120
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1138
00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:35,680
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00:55:04,680 --> 00:55:08,760
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1149
00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:12,839
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1150
00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:15,680
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1151
00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:18,760
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00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:22,000
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1153
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:25,560
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1154
00:55:26,280 --> 00:55:39,759
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00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:42,400
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1157
00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:46,160
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