1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,720 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 3: Spreading in the corn ten seconds of maining. 4 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 4: So just go show under the basket, Under the basket, 5 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:22,599 Speaker 4: it's the truth for the wind God pick go abarracle, I. 6 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 5: Just chuck the water. Hit that one from the parking lot. 7 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 8 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:36,319 Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the 9 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 1: National Championship College Basketball betting preview. I'm stucky. In joining 10 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:45,519 Speaker 1: me for today's episode are Mike Calabreese and Anthony Dubundo. 11 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:49,879 Speaker 1: We will recap the Final four tournament in general, and 12 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: then just talk briefly about the game and maybe some 13 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 1: props that we're targeting. We'll also have a live show 14 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: tomorrow afternoon to make sure you check that out as well. 15 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 1: I will say we have a potential for a really 16 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: good final, which I hope we get because in my opinion, 17 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: this has been ultimately a pretty boring tournament. It's you know, 18 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: we got all the chalk early, not a lot of upsets, 19 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 1: not a lot of buzzer beats either, like not a 20 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 1: lot of thrilling games set up for Hey, we're gonna 21 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:22,320 Speaker 1: get a great Sweet sixteen e Leite eight Final four 22 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:25,959 Speaker 1: didn't really work out that way. I think the Jamal 23 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 1: shed injury, which I talked about a lot, really hurt. 24 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: Like Purdue Houston would have been awesome. I think instead 25 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 1: we had like you know, DJ Burns like jogging down 26 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: the court for half the game trying to keep up 27 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: with Purdue, and then the juggernaut that is Yukon. This 28 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: team just continues to find ways to cover numbers, no 29 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 1: matter if the circumstance. They just have so many different 30 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: ways that they can beat you. But here we are, 31 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: with the number one and number two overall teams in Kenpom. 32 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: This will only mark the tenth time we've seen two 33 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: number one seeds face off in the National Title. Most 34 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 1: of them have been close, with the exception of the 35 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 1: last one we saw between Gonzaga and Baylor when Baylor 36 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 1: won that game by sixteen. Yukon looking to become the 37 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: first back to back national title winners since Florida did it, 38 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 1: and the first ever to do it by going twelve 39 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: and now against the spread. All twelve wins I believe 40 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: would be by thirteen or more points, which is pretty crazy. 41 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: But let's before we get to the national title game. 42 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 1: We let's just get your quick thoughts on what you 43 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: saw in the final four. I mean, look, obviously we 44 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: know Yukon's dominance. The craziest thing to me, twenty seven 45 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:48,360 Speaker 1: and six against the spread since two thousand and nine, 46 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: I mean, just stunning. Whenever Yukon gets in the tournament, 47 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: it's pretty crazy. But Anthony, I'll go to you, what 48 00:02:55,880 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: was your takeaway from the final four? And by the way, 49 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:02,920 Speaker 1: I'll have you guys both think about before we get 50 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: to the game. I'll ask you your favorite moment of 51 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: the tournament in a bit, but something you can ponder over. 52 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:10,799 Speaker 1: But ant think what were your thoughts in the final four? 53 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I think the kind of gets into 54 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 4: the tournament as a whole when you think about it. 55 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 4: I was at a charity event last night with like 56 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 4: one hundred people. Made sure we had a screen, and 57 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 4: I was kind of like the guy at the event 58 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,359 Speaker 4: who like kept going to watch the game over by 59 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 4: the bar, and people kept coming up to me, not 60 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 4: to talk about men's but to talk about the women's game, 61 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 4: which I thought was really interesting in that it was 62 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 4: probably like out numbered five to one in interest in 63 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 4: the women's game versus the men's this year, and look, 64 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 4: you know, credit to Caitlin Clark in South Carolina, grats 65 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 4: them incredible. I think it kind of speaks to how 66 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 4: weird this tournament has felt in a lot of ways, 67 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 4: because yes, there weren't a lot of incredibly compelling games. 68 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 4: We got the Final four where we had these three 69 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:54,839 Speaker 4: bigs with Burns eighty and klingon, and it does feel 70 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 4: like we need a big final to save the tournament. 71 00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 4: Because I agree when you think about like the most 72 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 4: memorable moment, I had one that immediately came to mind. 73 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 4: I don't really need to think about it because it 74 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 4: happened at the same time and it was Auburn and 75 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 4: Yale at the final minute, at the same time as 76 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 4: kJ Simpsons buzzer beater. 77 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 1: For Coloradada, Colorada, Florida. That's mine. That was incredible games. 78 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 2: They were simultaneous, they were in the same couple of minutes. 79 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 2: Those two games ending was probably the. 80 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 4: The highlight of the entire tournament for me, because from 81 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 4: the Sweet sixteen on, you know, Perdue Tennessee was a 82 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 4: good game. But other than that, there's not one moment, 83 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 4: you know, like DJ Burn's going crazy on Duke was 84 00:04:29,960 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 4: awesome from like a like a as a Duke hater perspective, 85 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:35,840 Speaker 4: But other than that, like, where was the enjoyment out 86 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 4: of it? 87 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 1: It wasn't like it was close in the final minute. 88 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:41,239 Speaker 4: Or two, right, Well, it was just cool to see 89 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,160 Speaker 4: you know, Burn's cook like that. But yeah, I mean, 90 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 4: the fact that the biggest story of the tournament is 91 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 4: more likely to play in the NFL than the NBA 92 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:53,799 Speaker 4: is probably not great for the memorability of this tournament. 93 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:55,840 Speaker 4: But again, a great final could save everything. 94 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, I it just didn't. It felt like one of 95 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 1: the least high final fours men's final fours in a while. 96 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: Even myself, I wasn't even that excited. Like I figured 97 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: Yukon was gonna win. I thought Purdue was gonna blow 98 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 1: out NC State. I mean, we had two of the 99 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: biggest spreads ever, which is very disappointing in a game, 100 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: in a tournament where we didn't have a lot of 101 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 1: upsets earlier than we have in the seeding air the 102 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:24,039 Speaker 1: highest combined spreads in the final four. But now we 103 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 1: get and I guess it's kind of fitting. I talked 104 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 1: about all leading up to the tournament, how we don't 105 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:32,160 Speaker 1: have there hasn't been many ones and twos play each other. 106 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 1: Now we're got a couple one verse twos, and we 107 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: have two ones that are left standing before we get 108 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 1: to the game. Calbary's where your takeaways of the final four? 109 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 6: Well, I agree with both of your sentiments that we 110 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:47,479 Speaker 6: need a classic title game to save this situation in 111 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 6: terms of the whole tournament. But at least according to 112 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 6: Ken Palm, this is the second highest you know sum 113 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 6: between the two teams in terms of their adjusted efficiency 114 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 6: coming into the title game in the last twenty two years. 115 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 6: The only one that was higher was Baylor against Gonzaga. 116 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:05,839 Speaker 3: So I think certainly there's. 117 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 6: The potential for this to be a heavyweight bout and 118 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 6: go back and forth. And let's keep in mind, yes, 119 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 6: Yukon has won and covered in every single game in 120 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:14,719 Speaker 6: the last two tournaments. They became the first team to 121 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:16,840 Speaker 6: do that in ten in a row according to our 122 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 6: Evan Abrams in the seating era, so in nineteen seventy 123 00:06:19,960 --> 00:06:22,840 Speaker 6: nine onward. Now they're up to eleven straight in terms 124 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 6: of winning and covering. But Perdue has also been an 125 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:28,719 Speaker 6: incredible team against the spread this entire year. They're eight 126 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 6: one and one against the spread when facing ranked opponents, 127 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,919 Speaker 6: which makes them the highest win percentage against the spread 128 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 6: by any team in the last fifteen years when facing 129 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 6: at least ten ranked opponents throughout the course of the season. 130 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:42,600 Speaker 6: So I think the high end for both of these teams. 131 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 3: We all know. 132 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 6: Yukon deserves their flowers in every way, shape and form, 133 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:48,799 Speaker 6: going on a thirty zero run for the first time 134 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:50,840 Speaker 6: for a team to go on a run for thirty 135 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 6: and ZHO for the first time in the last three 136 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 6: and a half seasons. It's been incredible what the Huskies 137 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 6: have done. But I think Perdue is kind of in 138 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 6: this wonderful position where the public is kind of viewing 139 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 6: this as a coronation for Yukon and they can actually 140 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 6: play an underdog card. Yet they have the two time 141 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 6: defending AP National Player of the Year, so it's it's 142 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 6: incredible what they've been able to accomplish. I'm really hoping 143 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 6: that they play their best game because here's my thoughts 144 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 6: on the final four. 145 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 3: I had a double result. 146 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 6: I had Alabama to win the first STAF and U 147 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 6: kind of win the game. Alabama couldn't played any better 148 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 6: on offense. It was unbelievable. They shot eight for eleven 149 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 6: from three. I'm like, perfect did they were drawing dead 150 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 6: in the last minute, Like that is the kind of 151 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 6: juggernaut and the kind of performance that the Huskies have 152 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 6: put together. I will say this though, and this kind 153 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 6: of goes into. 154 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 3: My pick for the game. I just want to tee 155 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 3: it up in this way. 156 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:42,520 Speaker 6: Yukon is incredibly dominant, but everything that's happened, particularly last year, 157 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 6: shouldn't really have any bearing other than a historical argument. 158 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 6: You know, are they as good as six oh seven Florida? 159 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 6: Those are all fun conversations, but that doesn't matter. Just 160 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 6: looking at the last six weeks, They've won twelve games, 161 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 6: they beat Marquette twice without Kohlik, and really their best 162 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 6: win is against an Illinois team that if we, you know, 163 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 6: hit the rewind button and we go to this very 164 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 6: same podcast and we listen to us just dumping on 165 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 6: how bad Illinois defense was and how soft they were 166 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 6: at the rim, and then Bama we said much worse 167 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 6: things about their defense throughout the course of the year. 168 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 6: I think there's a chance we're overvaluing a little bit 169 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 6: what Yukon's done because they've done it so convincingly it's 170 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 6: not just that they win. They're beating the brains out everybody. 171 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 6: That's great, But have they really faced a team at 172 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 6: this caliber in the last six weeks The answers no. 173 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 6: I mean, I could go back here and look like 174 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:31,679 Speaker 6: an idiot by the time we talked. 175 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 3: About this game next. 176 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 6: But I think there's a good chance that Perdue keeps 177 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 6: it close. So I'll save that for the rest of 178 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,199 Speaker 6: the conversation. But those are just my thoughts on the 179 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 6: final four in the NC State. 180 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 3: It was just a snoozer. 181 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 2: I'm glad you. 182 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: Could say something about Perdue, though. Who Perdue play Tennessee? Yes, 183 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: Calibers hates Tennessee, says that they're trash, and Barnes is trash, 184 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:54,319 Speaker 1: so you got to pick one is Tennessee. 185 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 3: I mean, that's why I'm saying. 186 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 6: I have the sample size of ten rank games throughout 187 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 6: the course of the year against ranked opponents, going eight 188 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 6: to one and one against the spread is really impressive. 189 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 3: Do I think that the wrong team is favorite here? 190 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:08,679 Speaker 6: Absolutely not. I think the number is just about right. 191 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 6: I think yu Kon deserves it. I think they should 192 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 6: be in a position they should win this game seven 193 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 6: out of ten times but I think the public narrative 194 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 6: is like, oh, this is a FATA company, of course 195 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 6: the Huskies are going to run away with this. 196 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 3: I'm not in that camp. 197 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 4: My favorite narrative in all of college sports is like, 198 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 4: who have they actually beat? 199 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 2: And then you start picking apart the schedule. 200 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:27,840 Speaker 4: You're like, well, you know this team, they beat them, 201 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 4: but their defense wasn't that good. 202 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 2: And then a litmit they beat them. 203 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:33,360 Speaker 4: Because I actually did this before the Final four, because 204 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 4: I felt the same thing about last year when we 205 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 4: talked about yukon the run, they ended up having versus 206 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 4: the run they could have had. They could have played Cans, 207 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 4: but they got Arkansas, They got a Miami team that 208 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 4: ran better better than God to get to the final four. 209 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 4: They got a very limited offensive team in San Diego 210 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 4: State in the final so it felt like, yes, they 211 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 4: dominated everybody in that run. Good for them, but it 212 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,720 Speaker 4: opened up a lot, like they didn't have to play 213 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 4: a lot of these top five to six teams that 214 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 4: we thought coming into the tournament. This year's kind of 215 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 4: broken similarly, where you know, Auburn gets jumped early, they 216 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 4: get Illinois, but again, these games haven't really been close. 217 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 4: It's not like they're like squeaking by these teams. 218 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 2: Right. 219 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 4: So the here's the thing for me, Yukon last year, 220 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 4: I know it's a different team, but you kind started undefeated. 221 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:19,560 Speaker 4: They went to conference play last year undefeated, and they 222 00:10:19,600 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 4: took some early Big East losses. They struggled through the 223 00:10:21,559 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 4: Big East, but then when it came to stepping out 224 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,000 Speaker 4: of the Big East again, complete juggernaut again. And this 225 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:30,679 Speaker 4: year they have one loss in the non con at Kansas, 226 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 4: when Kansas was closer to full strength, Castle didn't play 227 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:39,439 Speaker 4: right true road game. So they've had one loss out 228 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 4: of conference in two years now, and that for me, 229 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:46,720 Speaker 4: you can't spend a schedule argument on that anymore. 230 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 2: Like it's just it is what it is now. 231 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I would argue that Perdue probably benefit of 232 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: the most out of any team in this tournament by 233 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: not at by not having to face Houston in the 234 00:10:55,280 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 1: final four. We said, all your there's three clear powerhouses Houston, Purdue, 235 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: and Yukon, And you know, because Shed gets hurt, Perdue 236 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:08,680 Speaker 1: gets to face and a Tina finished under five hundred 237 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:10,719 Speaker 1: in the ACC in the final. 238 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 6: And it wasn't just Shed either, like they got decimated 239 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 6: by injuries like Houston at full strength. I think it 240 00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 6: absolutely beat Yukon at full strength, and I think they 241 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 6: would have beaten Purdue. 242 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 3: But it was just unfortunate. You know, throughout the course. 243 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 6: Of the year, nobody's deep enough to be able to 244 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 6: handle those kind of injuries, and the shed one was, 245 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 6: you know, the final straw. But in general, I agree 246 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:33,400 Speaker 6: with the sentiment that Purdue was also fortunate. That being said, 247 00:11:33,440 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 6: they still beat the Zags convincingly. They beat Tennessee like 248 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 6: it's not a total cake walk to the title game. 249 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, I got a code too. Yeah. 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The spread is let's see where 281 00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 1: it's sitting at now. It's high, it's now. I mean 282 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,360 Speaker 1: it's something I think I saw seven about ten minutes ago. Yeah, 283 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: you can get June little seven minus one fifteen out 284 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 1: there on Purdue sitting I will say consensus Connecticut six 285 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite total one forty six, and 286 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 1: that's coming down to forty five and a half open 287 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:04,439 Speaker 1: much higher, which I thought it was a bit too high. 288 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:12,679 Speaker 1: I make this like four and a half and so 289 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:16,080 Speaker 1: there's definitely a tax on Yukon right now. And I 290 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 1: don't like because they do have They remind me sort 291 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 1: of twenty nineteen LSU, who just would cover no matter what, 292 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 1: and eventually when they got when they got to the 293 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: national title, because my numbers could never catch up to them, 294 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 1: so I faded them a lunch and lost. They got 295 00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: to the national title, I just threw my hands out 296 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: and said, I'm back in this team. 297 00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 6: How are you feeling when they were down ten nothing 298 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 6: in the title game, You're like, of course, this is 299 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 6: the moment, and then they just went god mode. 300 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:44,680 Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, of course, I jump on now, 301 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 1: but then they ended up covering, So I can't do 302 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: that here. But I would think about, you know, when 303 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 1: I look at this game, I would think about potentially 304 00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:02,040 Speaker 1: getting in on Purdue first half, and especially if we 305 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:08,000 Speaker 1: get like a four, because we've seen Yukon have some 306 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 1: slow starts and what I think. You know that obviously 307 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 1: the battle the bigs in this game is going to 308 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 1: be massive. You have Clinging, you have Edie going up 309 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 1: against each other, and I think that there's a really 310 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 1: good chance how much beat shouldn't say really good, but 311 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 1: a much better chance that Clinging gets in foul trouble 312 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 1: early than Edie, and Purdue going up against Yukon knows 313 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 1: that they can't really afford to sit Edie for a 314 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 1: long stretch, whereas we've seen heurly multiple times, like if 315 00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 1: Clinging gets in foul trouble in the first half, like 316 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 1: whole sit extended minutes, and they have better front court death, 317 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 1: So you know, I could see Clinging going one on one, 318 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:58,120 Speaker 1: uh with defensively against Edie picking up one, you know, 319 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: one foul in the first couple minutes, another with like 320 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 1: thirteen to go, and he sits for like seven to 321 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: eight minutes, and you know, that could open up the 322 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: door for Edie to have some easy paths to offense. 323 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 1: I do think eventually Connecticut's guards, like just the perimeter 324 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 1: advantage that they have, Like, what do you do with 325 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 1: Lawyer in this game? Like defensively, what do you what 326 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: do you do with Lawyer? I don't know. I think 327 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 1: that the the versatility and the athletic advantage that Connecticut 328 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 1: will have on the outside will just be too much, 329 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 1: and then the bigs will kind of neutralize each other, 330 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 1: is how I see it playing out. But I think 331 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 1: because of that foul trouble and like just that the 332 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 1: I could see Clinging sitting for extended minutes in the 333 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 1: first time, but can't really see that with Edie. And 334 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: we've seen Yukon just be slow and then eventually they 335 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 1: just they just hit you with these runs in the 336 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 1: second half and and to cover these games, so I 337 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: might look at perdue first half, but two props that 338 00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 1: I like, I'm going to go Clinging under points he's 339 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,080 Speaker 1: sitting at like fourteen and a half. It's scary. But 340 00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:15,159 Speaker 1: if you look at like similar defenses that they've played, 341 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 1: I expect this game to be slower paced more than 342 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:20,120 Speaker 1: the half court. Like when they played kock Renner with 343 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 1: two you know, he played them twice. I think he 344 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 1: had like six and twelve points. He played you know, 345 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:33,239 Speaker 1: Kansas Gonzaga. He did go off against Eke and but 346 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 1: that was about it. There was I think five games 347 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: where he played like similar structured defense with a dominant 348 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 1: defensive big, and he didn't clear this number in four 349 00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,639 Speaker 1: of the five games. In those four games, the only 350 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 1: average about eight points per game. Bout trouble. It's kind 351 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:54,960 Speaker 1: of my same case that I had for burns now 352 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,480 Speaker 1: Clinging will have has more length, but he's just not 353 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:02,360 Speaker 1: going to enjoy the same like length advantage and physicality 354 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 1: advantage on the low block that he normally does. Now 355 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:08,880 Speaker 1: that he's going up against Edie, so I like him 356 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: under and then I might go with Braden Smith over 357 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: ten and a half points. I think he's cleared this 358 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 1: number in fifty eight to sixty percent of his games 359 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 1: this year. But how do you beat Yukon. You gotta 360 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 1: do it in the mid range. He's their most efficient 361 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 1: mid range shooter. Castle being on him does worry me 362 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:30,360 Speaker 1: a bit, but he's coming off a really bad game. 363 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:32,679 Speaker 1: I expect him the bounce back. He's probably gonna play 364 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 1: forty minutes here, so you're gonna have him on the 365 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 1: court the entire game. So I think I like Smith 366 00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:45,000 Speaker 1: over points, clinging under points, and I'm gonna be looking 367 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 1: maybe for perdue first half. I'm admittedly I show value 368 00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:52,679 Speaker 1: in Purdue. I just have I've been saying it. I 369 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,959 Speaker 1: show him a little bit of value in Alabama at twelve. 370 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:56,679 Speaker 1: I just don't want to get in front of this 371 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 1: Yukon train. I tried at once with San Diego State. 372 00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:02,960 Speaker 1: We all saw all that that worked out. Anthony Kirskiger 373 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:03,840 Speaker 1: thoughts here on this game. 374 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 4: Well, there was some sharp buy back late Saturday close 375 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,679 Speaker 4: a ten ten and I was sitting there looking at 376 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 4: it like, man, I should just lay this, And I 377 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 4: laid the second half on our live show Saturday, and 378 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 4: I'm doing it again minus two and a half, minus twenty. 379 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:23,040 Speaker 4: I love Yukon on the second half here. I agree 380 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,720 Speaker 4: with your points stuck about the first halves. We have 381 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,960 Speaker 4: seen a lot less clean in the first half I 382 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 4: thought than I was expecting against Alabama. There was multiple 383 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 4: stretches where I was like, Oh, cleaning is not in again, 384 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 4: cleaning is not in again? Like okay, And like you said, 385 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:37,360 Speaker 4: they have the depth. 386 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:37,879 Speaker 2: To withstand it. 387 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 4: They're gonna change how they guard ball screens, which would 388 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 4: be interesting, like it is interesting when cleaning is not 389 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 4: on the floor. I think they're more vulnerable obviously at 390 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:50,439 Speaker 4: the rim, but also offensively with just how dominant he 391 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:54,840 Speaker 4: is on the offensive glass too. But I think the 392 00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 4: versatility of Yukon's offense is the key that unlocks everything. 393 00:19:58,600 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 2: That they do. 394 00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,399 Speaker 4: Because when they have all the ball screen stuff, they 395 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:03,879 Speaker 4: run and it doesn't start working, they have two options. 396 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 4: They can either go pick and roll or they can 397 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 4: just push transition more and they're extremely elite at both. 398 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 4: And the pick and roll rim running was what broke 399 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:17,840 Speaker 4: Alabama for me last Saturday night because it was dunk, dunk, dunk. 400 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:20,679 Speaker 4: All of a sudden it was a tie game, and 401 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 4: all of a sudden it was eight. That quick eight 402 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 4: to oh run I thought really broke Alabama and their 403 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:30,159 Speaker 4: ability to do that on anybody at any time because 404 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:31,960 Speaker 4: of their switching defenses. 405 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 2: You never know what to expect, and you're right about Lawyer. 406 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:38,960 Speaker 4: He probably I mean it was interesting that Oates went 407 00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 4: and tried to sag off and not really guard Castle 408 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 4: and he hit the early threes. I don't really think 409 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 4: you can do that with Lawyer. But also I think 410 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 4: Yukon is just gonna put him in hell and make 411 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 4: him run around and guard ball screens and eventually get 412 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,680 Speaker 4: a mismatch and take advantage like it's hard to hide him, 413 00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 4: whereas I think Smith, we saw the NC State guards 414 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,439 Speaker 4: give ball pressure problems to him like they were up 415 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 4: in his grill. 416 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,640 Speaker 2: He had a horrible first half. He ended the game 417 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,760 Speaker 2: with five turnovers. He had three against Tennessee. 418 00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 4: So we've seen his turnover numbers even take a little 419 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,399 Speaker 4: bit of a spike as he's faced these more elite 420 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:20,240 Speaker 4: backcourt defenses. And Castle top fifteen pick in the draft, 421 00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 4: probably mainly because of his his athleticism and his defensive ability, 422 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:26,399 Speaker 4: the way that they think he can guard at the 423 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:30,639 Speaker 4: next level. And Evan Mia has a Basian performance rating metric. 424 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,640 Speaker 4: He's top twenty defensively in the country there and it's 425 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:35,960 Speaker 4: interesting Clinging and Edie number one and number two in 426 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 4: that metric. 427 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 2: So ultimately I think second. 428 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 4: Half Yukon is the way to look at this game. 429 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,239 Speaker 4: I think they have the ability to pull away, and 430 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 4: I think Castle's length and athleticism will wear down Smith 431 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,399 Speaker 4: and Smith. As much as posting out Eadie is the 432 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 4: engine of the perdue offense, Smith is. They have nobody 433 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 4: else who can execute that role in any way like 434 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,200 Speaker 4: he can, and so if he's not effective. You saw 435 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 4: how bad their offense was in the first half. A 436 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:02,639 Speaker 4: lot of that had to do with him just not 437 00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 4: really being effective. 438 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:04,720 Speaker 2: So I see the. 439 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:06,560 Speaker 4: Point about his over points at ten and a half, 440 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:08,680 Speaker 4: like it seems low because he has been kind of 441 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,360 Speaker 4: bad three of the last four games. But also he's 442 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 4: got an NBA elite NBA prospect defending him, which has 443 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 4: not happened much in the Big ten this year. And 444 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 4: when we saw NCI States, you know, really quick guards 445 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 4: on him, he struggled. So I have a little more 446 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,880 Speaker 4: hesitanty about Smith, But I like Yukon second half. Call 447 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 4: me square, but happy to lay it. 448 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, honestly, big square. That has been the key. 449 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:35,879 Speaker 3: Way to go in this tournament. 450 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,000 Speaker 2: I like it more than Land six and a half 451 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 2: for sure. 452 00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 4: I think, I think this game is going to be 453 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:41,760 Speaker 4: closed for a bit and then Yukon makes their run. 454 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 1: For what it's worth, this tournament favorites most profitable since 455 00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: two thousand and eight, favorites at eight plus twenty and 456 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:52,000 Speaker 1: five against the spread, best ever by far, top three 457 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:55,719 Speaker 1: seats twenty one and ten against the spread verse teams 458 00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:58,639 Speaker 1: that were seated for more best since two thousand and nine. 459 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:02,879 Speaker 1: And then I believe public sides like based on just 460 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,119 Speaker 1: percentage of bets were hit at seventy three percent in 461 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,879 Speaker 1: the tournament depending on where you looked. But yeah, I mean, 462 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:13,520 Speaker 1: I get your point that what does scare me with 463 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:17,399 Speaker 1: with Smith going up against Castle? But you know, and 464 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:19,879 Speaker 1: he's going to get some switches. He's not gonna be 465 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 1: on the whole game, and I don't think he's going 466 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 1: to be, you know, uber efficient. But think about purduees 467 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:30,520 Speaker 1: what he averages, and you know, and obviously he's not 468 00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 1: going up against as elite of defenses, and as you 469 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 1: pointed out, a guy like Castle every night, but most Knights, 470 00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 1: Purdue is one of the most post heavy offenses in 471 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:44,000 Speaker 1: the country last two year's the most, so most nights, 472 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 1: everything they do is predicated on getting it inside to Eadie. Right, 473 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 1: how many times does he have his hook shots, his 474 00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: easy looks When Klingon's in there, That's not going to 475 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 1: be the case, right, So he's not going to have 476 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 1: as many easy looks and he's not gonna I don't 477 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,760 Speaker 1: think the volume is going to be there for Edie. 478 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:06,600 Speaker 1: So you know then I'm like, all right, what can 479 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:08,919 Speaker 1: lawyer deal with the physicality? So I just think the 480 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:14,679 Speaker 1: volume for Smith has to go up, and you know, 481 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 1: you kind of allows you to get mid range shots. 482 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 1: He's their most efficient mid range shooter. I mean, I 483 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:21,560 Speaker 1: think that they're gonna have to go more pick and 484 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:26,680 Speaker 1: roll less, just like post reliant offense, and Smith's gonna 485 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,320 Speaker 1: have to hit shots. So I don't think he's going 486 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 1: to be overly efficient, but I think that his volume 487 00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: will have to pick up based on the matchup. But 488 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 1: I definitely worry about him on Castle, and yeah, his 489 00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,159 Speaker 1: turnovers were definitely he was struggling to bet even with 490 00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 1: mcconnolly get back to back back court violations. But I'll uh, 491 00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:48,640 Speaker 1: Calbury's will throw to you what he's seeing here. 492 00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 6: So I'm glad that you brought up Klingons under on 493 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,440 Speaker 6: points because the one that I'm targeting is under twenty 494 00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 6: one and a half points plus rebounds. He mentioned the 495 00:24:57,160 --> 00:25:01,760 Speaker 6: comps when facing similar bigs so based Indiana's where Dickinson 496 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 6: from Ku Baycott and Kalk Brenner. 497 00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 3: Twice. 498 00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 6: In those five instances, he averaged eight point two points 499 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:09,480 Speaker 6: and five point six rebounds. 500 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,400 Speaker 3: So far beneath this and I think. 501 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:15,000 Speaker 6: We're selling right now at the absolute peak of his value. 502 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:16,880 Speaker 6: Like now they're talking about him being a top three 503 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:19,200 Speaker 6: NBA draft pack, Like I think we need to pump 504 00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:20,919 Speaker 6: the brakes a little bit. Like the fact that he 505 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,520 Speaker 6: dominated some of the defenses that they played in. 506 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,880 Speaker 3: The last few games, I would hope that he would 507 00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:26,439 Speaker 3: dominate them. 508 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 6: I think it's a very different animal in terms of 509 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,680 Speaker 6: playing against Edie, who you know, he's a historically good 510 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,920 Speaker 6: foul drawer. According to Ken Palm, he draws over ten 511 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:36,600 Speaker 6: fouls per game, which is tops in the country. 512 00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 3: We know this. 513 00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,760 Speaker 6: What's interesting to me is if Klingon goes out, do 514 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:44,119 Speaker 6: they switch to kind of that trapping style that you 515 00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,600 Speaker 6: saw NC State What did Edie have five turnovers? 516 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:49,159 Speaker 3: There was multiple times when he was quickly overwhelmed. 517 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,040 Speaker 6: I wonder if early and his staff looks at that 518 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,360 Speaker 6: video and says, we don't just have to go one 519 00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 6: v one with Klan against him every single time. We 520 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 6: can maybe get some extra turnovers and possessions if we're 521 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 6: able to vary our defense a little bit. 522 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:02,359 Speaker 3: So that's just something to keep an eye. 523 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 1: You got to dig down on him. Sometimes he drops 524 00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 1: the ball down instead of going right up and like strips. 525 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 1: That's like some of the most effective defense that I've 526 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 1: seen against CD is of the help variety. So I 527 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 1: do think Clean will get a lot of one on 528 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:20,159 Speaker 1: one assignments because of his length, and you kind of say, like, 529 00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: we're not going to let you know, we don't want 530 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,679 Speaker 1: open threes, but they're also going to help at times. 531 00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 1: This is they're going to help, and I think that 532 00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:33,280 Speaker 1: there could be some turnovers as far as that's concerned, 533 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,480 Speaker 1: but go ahead. I'm sorry. 534 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 6: Additionally, in terms of the under on points and rebounds perdue, 535 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,240 Speaker 6: as we know they're elite on the glass. You know, 536 00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:42,720 Speaker 6: their third in offensive rebounding rate in the country. They 537 00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,439 Speaker 6: collect twenty seven defensive boards per game, which is ninth 538 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,399 Speaker 6: and when you'll get teams that were similar in the 539 00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 6: Big East that were really good on the offensive glass, 540 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,760 Speaker 6: like Saint John's Cleanon had ten rebounds in the two 541 00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 6: games combined. So I think that's that's a positive in 542 00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,640 Speaker 6: terms of this you know, trending under For the game itself, 543 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,480 Speaker 6: I look at you know, Purdue do what they need 544 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 6: to do in it. You know, a big venue, a 545 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:05,280 Speaker 6: lot of a lot is made up of teams not 546 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:07,199 Speaker 6: being able to shoot the basketball. They were right on 547 00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 6: their season average against NC State. They knocked down forty 548 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 6: percent of their threes. They're going to need a similar 549 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:12,719 Speaker 6: night to hang in it. 550 00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 3: And even though I can make. 551 00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 6: This argument for Purdue, who by the way, comes into 552 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,919 Speaker 6: this game the last twenty seven national champions, they have 553 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,400 Speaker 6: a higher Ken Pom adjusted efficiency rating than thirteen of them. 554 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:26,920 Speaker 3: So in a regular year, when you. 555 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 6: Take out a juggernaut like this year's Yukon, this would 556 00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 6: be all about where is Yukon or where's Purdue place? 557 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,600 Speaker 6: If they were to win this game historically like that 558 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,400 Speaker 6: would be the conversation. So I don't think that many 559 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,439 Speaker 6: things have to go right for them to hang around. 560 00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 6: I'm not necessarily interested in them winning the game outright. 561 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 6: What I am interested in is Yukon's margin victory one 562 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:45,760 Speaker 6: to five points. 563 00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 3: It's about seven to two in the market. 564 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 6: And when I look at this particular matchup, I notice 565 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 6: some things against Alabama that caught my eye, and I 566 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,480 Speaker 6: wonder if the Purdue staff is trying to think in 567 00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 6: a similar way. 568 00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:00,680 Speaker 3: Tanna McGrath at Action. 569 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:02,960 Speaker 6: Network, he's done a phenomenal job breaking down all the 570 00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:06,080 Speaker 6: sets that Yukon runs. Like when they are running their 571 00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:09,400 Speaker 6: offense the way that it's intended to be run, it's 572 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:10,240 Speaker 6: like a Swiss watch. 573 00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:12,400 Speaker 3: All the screens that all the. 574 00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:14,120 Speaker 6: Action that the facts of the matter is they move 575 00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:17,000 Speaker 6: the ball and they get people in space all over. 576 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:17,800 Speaker 3: The court is beautiful. 577 00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 6: But Bama, essentially, and I know it didn't work out, 578 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 6: they're leaving castle wide open. He knocks down some threes, 579 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,640 Speaker 6: gets confidence, and then plays a great game. But there 580 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:27,520 Speaker 6: was a stretch of that game when they started knocking 581 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:29,040 Speaker 6: down some threes where they fell in love with the 582 00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:32,000 Speaker 6: three and they weren't running their offense, and the announcing 583 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 6: team and the color team they were like really harping 584 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:36,199 Speaker 6: on it. And then obviously in the second half they 585 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,120 Speaker 6: got more into their sets and they were ruthlessly efficient 586 00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:41,840 Speaker 6: as they've always been. I wonder if there's a chance 587 00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 6: for the produced staff to do the same, which is, like, 588 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 6: you know, strategically leave some guys open to take some 589 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,040 Speaker 6: threes to get them out of their sets a little bit. 590 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,120 Speaker 6: That's just something early on that I want to keep 591 00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 6: an eye on, because if it's just a pure half 592 00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 6: court battle, who can execute better on offense? Who can 593 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,280 Speaker 6: execute better on defense? And half court The answer to 594 00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:01,400 Speaker 6: both questions, in my opinion is Yukon. 595 00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 3: But I really like this this margin. In terms of 596 00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 3: it being a tight game one to five plus three forty, 597 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:08,560 Speaker 3: you know, you can probably get it a little bit 598 00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:09,680 Speaker 3: better if you shop rounds. 599 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:11,720 Speaker 6: That's where I'm going to end up putting my money 600 00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:15,920 Speaker 6: because I think there's a good chance in terms of 601 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 6: pressure as well, as I mentioned Perdue, no one's expecting 602 00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:21,920 Speaker 6: him to win this game, and if Braden Smith can 603 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 6: come out of his mini funk all of a sudden, 604 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 6: I think these teams are a lot closer. I would 605 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 6: say if I knew for a fact that he was 606 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:30,160 Speaker 6: going to play his season average, if he was going 607 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 6: to score fourteen points and not turn the ball over 608 00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,600 Speaker 6: all that much and facilitate I would say this is 609 00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 6: probably a one possession game in favor of Yukon. If 610 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 6: he plays and shoots one for ten again and has 611 00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:41,480 Speaker 6: turned the ball over, I think this could be another runaway, 612 00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:43,480 Speaker 6: but I'm going to bank on, you know, him having 613 00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,560 Speaker 6: a bounce back. And the fact is, I think this 614 00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 6: Purdue team, over the course of the season has proven 615 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:51,240 Speaker 6: that they haven't been overwhelmed by any nationally ranked opponents. 616 00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:53,440 Speaker 6: I know that Yukon's in another stratosphere, but I'm not 617 00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 6: sure they're going to be intimidated, and that underdog card 618 00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:58,160 Speaker 6: is a nice one to be able to play hi 619 00:29:58,200 --> 00:29:58,720 Speaker 6: spot like this. 620 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:00,160 Speaker 3: So that's my play. 621 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 6: I'm gonna have some live takes and some live bets 622 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,840 Speaker 6: based on what I'm seeing from Yukon's offense, but I 623 00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 6: want to kick it back to you, guys, what do 624 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 6: you think about Yukon having fallen in love with the 625 00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,280 Speaker 6: three a little bit? It's great when it's going down, 626 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,400 Speaker 6: but there was a stretch where, you know, Alabama took 627 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 6: that first half lead. 628 00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:17,160 Speaker 3: I think they were up by. 629 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 6: Five, and that's when Hurley called the time out and 630 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:20,760 Speaker 6: was like, all right, let's get back to what we. 631 00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 3: Do and then they just you know, basically put them 632 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 3: through the meat grinder. 633 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:27,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's a team that they just they like. 634 00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 1: I feel like we're just like grasping for straw so 635 00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 1: to find any potential witnesses. 636 00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:32,920 Speaker 3: I think that's I think that's a fair point. 637 00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:35,160 Speaker 1: They fell in love with a three for six minutes, 638 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 1: we got to fade them here like the Yeah. I mean, look, 639 00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:44,520 Speaker 1: the one thing that I will say is that against Purdue, 640 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:50,160 Speaker 1: it's Perdue's a dominant rebounding team. So Connecticut can't afford 641 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:54,880 Speaker 1: those stretches because you know, like off they're not hitting 642 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,200 Speaker 1: shots or you know, a couple of the games this 643 00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 1: tournament they went three seventeen, three of nineteen from three, 644 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:05,960 Speaker 1: but they get so many rebounds that it doesn't even matter. 645 00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:08,680 Speaker 1: But that's not necessarily gonna be the case against preduct 646 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 1: Perdue is an elite rebounding team on both ends, in 647 00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 1: large part due to Edie. So yeah, if they have 648 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 1: a really off shooting night and fall and do fall 649 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 1: in love with the three a bit too much, the 650 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:25,200 Speaker 1: Purdue is gonna be right there. But you know, if 651 00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:28,280 Speaker 1: Yukon has a great shooting night, I don't Dennis lights out. 652 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 1: If they're around just season average, then I think it's 653 00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 1: gonna come down to, you know, can Purdue the Purdue 654 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 1: guards match the physicality the playmaking of Yukon's on the perimeter, 655 00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 1: and then the whistle's gonna be uh, it's probably gonna 656 00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 1: play at least a minor role. Like So I was 657 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 1: clinging getting foul trouble. Could Edie could too. Edie's very 658 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 1: good about not falling, but it doesn't mean he's incapable 659 00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:01,640 Speaker 1: of getting into foul trouble. So but I will say 660 00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:02,920 Speaker 1: to your point, if they do fall in love with 661 00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 1: the three and they're just not hitting again, because it's 662 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 1: not like an elite, elite three point shooting tam It's 663 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:11,520 Speaker 1: an elite offense the stuff that they run, but it's 664 00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 1: not like the best three point shooting team we've ever seen. 665 00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:16,040 Speaker 1: So if they have like a three of twenty night 666 00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,960 Speaker 1: like they're they're not going to be getting all of 667 00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,280 Speaker 1: the offensive rebounds as we've seen them do in many 668 00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 1: of these games. But it doesn't even matter what they're shooting. 669 00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,640 Speaker 1: They're just going to blow you out anyway. But as 670 00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,800 Speaker 1: far as pace is concerned, Anthony, I think that you 671 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 1: had such a bad take on the NC State perdue 672 00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:39,479 Speaker 1: total that I have any of your thoughts here your due. 673 00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:44,240 Speaker 1: Any thoughts on on how you see this game undertook 674 00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 1: immedia pretty sharp money and the total came down. I'm 675 00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:51,800 Speaker 1: closer to where it is right now, which I would 676 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 1: have gotten some like one. I think it opened one. 677 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 1: But I expect this game to be played more in 678 00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:01,960 Speaker 1: the half court. I mean, you kN is they're three 679 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:05,320 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty eighth in adjusted tempo, but they're they're 680 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:09,880 Speaker 1: kind of a pace taker at times, whereas like do 681 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:11,880 Speaker 1: you want to run, They'll be like, I will run 682 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 1: and beat you that way, like a couple of the 683 00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,480 Speaker 1: Saint John's games that get you know that are super fast. 684 00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:20,040 Speaker 1: But I would think it's weird produce Matt Painter and 685 00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,040 Speaker 1: every timeout says we need to push the ball and run, 686 00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:26,360 Speaker 1: like every immediate time out this whole tournament. But I 687 00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:30,000 Speaker 1: expect produe to slow this game down and this to 688 00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 1: be played in the half court without many transition opportunities. 689 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:35,960 Speaker 1: Would you agree with that? 690 00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:37,239 Speaker 2: So? 691 00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:42,200 Speaker 4: I mean Bama got like nothing in transition, nothing, nada, 692 00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:46,320 Speaker 4: and uh, I think Yukon wants to play this a 693 00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:46,920 Speaker 4: little faster. 694 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:48,720 Speaker 2: Now, I'm not betting me over. 695 00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:51,520 Speaker 4: I'm retiring from totals the rest of the season after 696 00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,239 Speaker 4: that over one forty six, I end up closing one 697 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:58,600 Speaker 4: forty seven and landed what one thirteen, Uh so just 698 00:33:58,720 --> 00:33:59,240 Speaker 4: missed it. 699 00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,880 Speaker 1: But by beer at that point. 700 00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:08,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, So the reality is for me to go 701 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,560 Speaker 4: back to the thing about the turnovers. Because you talk 702 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:14,160 Speaker 4: about rebounding edge, Yukon isn't going to dominate rebounds. Purdue 703 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 4: got out shot in terms of shot volume by NC State. 704 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 4: NC State shot really poorly from three, but produced turnovers 705 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:23,680 Speaker 4: gave NC State a lot of extra possessions to stay 706 00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 4: in that game. I think as much as Yukon's rebounding 707 00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:30,960 Speaker 4: edges maybe nullified by Purdue's dominance of the glass, Yukon's 708 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,000 Speaker 4: ability to force Purdue into mistakes with their ball pressure 709 00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:37,560 Speaker 4: could be an even bigger issue for Purdue in terms 710 00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,160 Speaker 4: of maximizing possessions. Like if you if you offered me 711 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,799 Speaker 4: a bet, if you include free throws and whatnot, who 712 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,880 Speaker 4: will attempt more shots in this game? I'm gonna take Yukon, 713 00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 4: like trips of the line plus field goal attempts. I'm 714 00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:51,200 Speaker 4: taking Yukon just because of the turnover differential. So Purdue 715 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 4: has to make up for that. I think with their 716 00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:54,759 Speaker 4: three pointers, But as far as the total goes, I 717 00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:59,040 Speaker 4: am concerned about Yukon wanting to play faster Purdue being 718 00:34:59,120 --> 00:35:03,439 Speaker 4: forced to give away possessions via turnovers. I think that's 719 00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,320 Speaker 4: the biggest red flag for me. I know that Yukon, 720 00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:07,520 Speaker 4: if you just pull up their Ken pomp page, hasn't 721 00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,839 Speaker 4: forced a ton of turnovers this year relative to, like 722 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:12,919 Speaker 4: you know, some of the more pressure defenses we see 723 00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,759 Speaker 4: across the country. But they're not incapable of doing it. 724 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:17,640 Speaker 4: It's something they can do and probably will do in 725 00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,920 Speaker 4: this matchup. So I would actually if if you if 726 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:23,359 Speaker 4: you made me bet it, I would bet the under. 727 00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:27,480 Speaker 4: But I guess said I'm retiring from total such of 728 00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,080 Speaker 4: that brutal call Saturday. But I think that you can 729 00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:32,399 Speaker 4: will get some opportunities and transition just because they don't 730 00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:34,400 Speaker 4: want Eadie to just man the paint. They want to 731 00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:36,120 Speaker 4: try to take advantage and if they can beat Purdue 732 00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 4: on the floor, they probably think they have an edge 733 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 4: and transition offense. 734 00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:42,360 Speaker 2: But I don't think Purdue. 735 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:44,120 Speaker 4: Is going to want to get into into a faster 736 00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,880 Speaker 4: paced game, and Purdue is just as good at controlling 737 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,080 Speaker 4: tempo and so usually in that case when you have 738 00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:51,799 Speaker 4: a discipline team that wants to play slow, They're going 739 00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,440 Speaker 4: to get their style imprinted on the game, and so 740 00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:56,720 Speaker 4: I just think this game is going to be pretty slow. 741 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, any other props you gentlemen wanted to add or 742 00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:02,680 Speaker 1: get everything out of your system for this. We do 743 00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:04,560 Speaker 1: have our live show, as I mentioned ear to make 744 00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:07,600 Speaker 1: sure you check that out. We will have more time 745 00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:09,680 Speaker 1: to break this game down, so might have some additional 746 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:13,240 Speaker 1: props well. Also have either Nick or Sean joining us 747 00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:16,480 Speaker 1: in addition to I believe Charlie, but any of the props. 748 00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:18,359 Speaker 1: Two props have stuck out for me I already mentioned 749 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:27,120 Speaker 1: were the smith over points and clinging under points. Anything 750 00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:27,959 Speaker 1: else you guys had. 751 00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 4: I was looking at kaufman Ren under five and a 752 00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:34,640 Speaker 4: half at bet MGM plus one fifteen. I think that 753 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:37,359 Speaker 4: you know him and Gillis kind of split time at 754 00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:39,360 Speaker 4: the four, and then kaufman Ren is coming and played 755 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:41,359 Speaker 4: the five when Eadie's out. I mean, I don't think 756 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:42,920 Speaker 4: D's coming out of this game for more than a 757 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,399 Speaker 4: couple of minutes because it is such a vital game, 758 00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:48,960 Speaker 4: so you're taking out his minutes at the five, and 759 00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:50,640 Speaker 4: then it's kind of like, do we want more offense 760 00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:54,640 Speaker 4: or defense in this matchup. I think Purdue is going 761 00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,400 Speaker 4: to have to be scoring to keep up with Ukon's juggernaut, 762 00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:59,520 Speaker 4: and they're gonna want Gillis to space the floor more 763 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,480 Speaker 4: and maybe even take Caraban and try to beat him 764 00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:05,440 Speaker 4: where I think it's probably the weaker spot of the 765 00:37:05,480 --> 00:37:07,600 Speaker 4: Yukon defense is Caraban when he's on the floor at 766 00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:10,880 Speaker 4: the same spot. So I think they're gonna prioritize Gillis, 767 00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:14,000 Speaker 4: and we've even seen that the last two games where 768 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:17,040 Speaker 4: Gillis became you know, took more minutes, more points, more 769 00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 4: scoring over Kaufman Wren, who has played less than sixteen 770 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,680 Speaker 4: seventeen minutes in just about every game since Utah State, 771 00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:27,359 Speaker 4: where that was a matchup where he could exploit Utah 772 00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:30,520 Speaker 4: States really solved rim defense. You're not gonna get that 773 00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:32,879 Speaker 4: in this matchup. And I don't think they're gonna want 774 00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:37,279 Speaker 4: too many Edie Kaufman Ren offensive possessions given that they're 775 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,360 Speaker 4: going up against a team you just cannot score. 776 00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,520 Speaker 2: Out the rim against. So I think they're gonna want offense. 777 00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:44,120 Speaker 4: In shooting and they're gonna take Gillis minutes, and so 778 00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:45,520 Speaker 4: I like Kaufman Ren under. 779 00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't mind that either. I'm also still mad 780 00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:52,400 Speaker 1: at Braden Smith for not getting another assist. So he 781 00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:54,680 Speaker 1: had over the final thirteen minutes of the game or 782 00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,200 Speaker 1: whatever it was, I had over six and a half assists, 783 00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,360 Speaker 1: get five at the half, got a sick with like 784 00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: twelve to go, and then never could get a seventh. 785 00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:07,240 Speaker 1: There was miss missshots, miss layups where he had chances 786 00:38:07,239 --> 00:38:08,879 Speaker 1: to and then there was a chance at the very 787 00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,920 Speaker 1: end of the game and they they couldn't even get 788 00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:11,319 Speaker 1: the three off. 789 00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 4: But play let's play trivia. How many non eedy two's 790 00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:20,040 Speaker 4: did en did Purdue make against NC State? Total baskets 791 00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,000 Speaker 4: that were twos not made by Zach eaty. 792 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:28,720 Speaker 1: Two's by not Zach Edy, Kaufman Wren had a couple. 793 00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:34,439 Speaker 1: I'll say Smith didn't have any, all right, Yeah, Smith 794 00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:39,800 Speaker 1: didn't have any. I'll say Kaufman Wren and like Lawyer 795 00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:42,360 Speaker 1: had one. So I'll say three. 796 00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:46,000 Speaker 2: Three is correct. Lance Joe one, Kaufman Red made two. 797 00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,200 Speaker 2: That was it. Smith and Lawyer were shut out. 798 00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:50,680 Speaker 1: Lawyer missed a bunch. I figured he got one. He 799 00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 1: missed a bunch of laps. 800 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:56,280 Speaker 2: Attempt Anny, So yeah, that was kind of interesting. 801 00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,080 Speaker 4: Because you know you're gonna want to score in the 802 00:38:58,120 --> 00:39:02,520 Speaker 4: mid range on Yukon two Perdue can't score anything in 803 00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:03,440 Speaker 4: that mid range area. 804 00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:04,960 Speaker 2: They're in big trouble. 805 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:06,920 Speaker 1: Gotta be Smith that they're going to score in the 806 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,480 Speaker 1: mid range. He cannot have an over day. 807 00:39:09,680 --> 00:39:12,239 Speaker 6: Looka I like Braden Smith over one and a half 808 00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:15,640 Speaker 6: made threes. It's plus money in the market. And when 809 00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,200 Speaker 6: you look at his season, totally shot forty three percent 810 00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:20,719 Speaker 6: from long range. In this tournament he's averaged in just 811 00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,960 Speaker 6: shy five triples per game. I think the game script 812 00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:27,800 Speaker 6: more often than not is them in desperation needing buckets at. 813 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:28,320 Speaker 3: The end of the game. 814 00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:30,759 Speaker 6: And he's one of you know, their their key three 815 00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,279 Speaker 6: point shooters, So I think there's a better than fifty 816 00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:35,560 Speaker 6: to fifty shot. He's north of five attempts. So I'll 817 00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:37,880 Speaker 6: go ahead with the plus money on over one and 818 00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 6: a half triples. 819 00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:44,160 Speaker 1: All right, love it? That will do it for us 820 00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 1: in the National title breakdown, hoping for a good game 821 00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:53,880 Speaker 1: and most importantly some cash bets. But from the August 822 00:39:54,760 --> 00:40:01,319 Speaker 1: college football previews to today, this is my last podcast 823 00:40:03,040 --> 00:40:06,799 Speaker 1: of my grind. Still we bet in baseball, but I 824 00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:12,719 Speaker 1: will be off on the podcast run until late July 825 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: early August when college football comes back. Happy to have 826 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:19,560 Speaker 1: a break, but it's always a pleasure to do this. 827 00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,920 Speaker 1: I think each and every one of my fellow co hosts, 828 00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:25,600 Speaker 1: producers on the back end, most importantly, all of you 829 00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 1: not going anywhere for a long time. So unfortunately for 830 00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:31,880 Speaker 1: all of you, you'll have to hear me on this 831 00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:35,560 Speaker 1: podcast for many more years to come, but it'll be 832 00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:38,399 Speaker 1: the last time for a while. BBOC won't be going 833 00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:42,560 Speaker 1: away though. Calibers and is it just you and Colin? 834 00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:45,840 Speaker 6: Just me and Colin just doing the baseball grinds on 835 00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:46,800 Speaker 6: the collegiate level. 836 00:40:47,120 --> 00:40:49,200 Speaker 3: Excited to get into it. Last year was a lot 837 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:49,560 Speaker 3: of fun. 838 00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:53,759 Speaker 6: I would echo stucky sentiments like we do the show 839 00:40:53,840 --> 00:40:57,400 Speaker 6: because our fans are so passionate about it, the interaction 840 00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:01,720 Speaker 6: reaching out on YouTube, dropping comments, leaving reviews. It seems 841 00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:03,200 Speaker 6: like you liked it, so we're going to give you 842 00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:05,480 Speaker 6: more of it and hopefully stretch out a few episodes 843 00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:07,920 Speaker 6: before the World Series even starts. That way, you can 844 00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:10,400 Speaker 6: kind of build your portfolio and kind of get excited. 845 00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:13,839 Speaker 6: It is nice that ESPN and other networks are giving 846 00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:15,680 Speaker 6: it more love, so you have an opportunity to watch 847 00:41:15,680 --> 00:41:18,280 Speaker 6: more college baseball before the postseason tournament start. 848 00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:20,640 Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm really excited to get into it with 849 00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:22,000 Speaker 3: Colin and. 850 00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:27,640 Speaker 1: Dabunda. What do you have going on for podcasts? Are 851 00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:29,640 Speaker 1: you doing Payoff Pitch stuff? I know you're doing Wonder 852 00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:32,680 Speaker 1: Goal and just a little bit you want to fill 853 00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:34,080 Speaker 1: in people for what you'll be doing in the next 854 00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:35,080 Speaker 1: couple months. 855 00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:38,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, we're baseball seasons in full swing. Monday, Tuesday, Friday, 856 00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:41,439 Speaker 4: Payoff Pitch. I am on Tuesdays with Zarillo the Goat 857 00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:45,319 Speaker 4: every other Friday as well, and yeah, Wonder Goal. We're 858 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:48,480 Speaker 4: entering the Champions League quarterfinals. We haven't quite turned stuck 859 00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:51,600 Speaker 4: into a soccer fan yet, but we did have twelve goals. 860 00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 2: In three games in the Premier League today, so goals galore, 861 00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:54,960 Speaker 2: lots of excitement. 862 00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:56,400 Speaker 4: If you guys want to learn how to bet soccer, 863 00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:58,880 Speaker 4: just want to get into it or we're already into it, 864 00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:02,400 Speaker 4: tune into Wonder Goal Mondays and Thursdays during the season. 865 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 1: How many times do you How many times are is 866 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,399 Speaker 1: Charlie going to bet aj puck this year? Over under 867 00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:10,240 Speaker 1: eleven and a half. 868 00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:13,440 Speaker 4: He might not be starting that long, although the Marlins 869 00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:16,440 Speaker 4: are desperate, so maybe he's stuck doing that. But it's 870 00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,080 Speaker 4: funny because he made fun of me for betting him 871 00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,680 Speaker 4: the first start and was like, oh, I never believe 872 00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,640 Speaker 4: spring training, and then the second start there he was. 873 00:42:23,719 --> 00:42:24,640 Speaker 3: But yeah, we'll see. 874 00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:26,600 Speaker 2: Long baseball season. It's a grind. 875 00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:29,719 Speaker 4: I take breaks myself just to mental health checks, but 876 00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:32,759 Speaker 4: and to just take some time away because it's sort 877 00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:35,640 Speaker 4: of the off season. But thanks everybody who tunes in, 878 00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:37,959 Speaker 4: and I'm honored to be a guest on the show 879 00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:40,360 Speaker 4: as in my spot appearances when required. 880 00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:44,200 Speaker 1: Yep, we appreciate you joining. Thanks again to all of 881 00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:48,440 Speaker 1: you for tuning in. Football will be back before we 882 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,920 Speaker 1: even know it. I cannot wait already for the first 883 00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:55,319 Speaker 1: full Saturday sweat and then mac sch Weekday sweats and 884 00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:59,239 Speaker 1: NFL Sundays do it all again. But once again, thanks 885 00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:01,160 Speaker 1: to all of you for two tuning in. Make sure 886 00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:02,880 Speaker 1: you subscribe on the Scrap Subscribes off Front to one 887 00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:05,720 Speaker 1: Enemy Review, five star review. I'll do kind of giveaways 888 00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:07,520 Speaker 1: in the summer once we're back. They still help us out. 889 00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:10,960 Speaker 1: Now go review the other podcast that we just mentioned 890 00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:14,600 Speaker 1: as well. But thanks for tuning in. Good luck in 891 00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:16,799 Speaker 1: the National Title We'll see you for BBO set, see 892 00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:21,680 Speaker 1: Live tomorrow and until football season for me, see you 893 00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:31,399 Speaker 1: next time. Cheers. 894 00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:40,400 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 895 00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,239 Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help Us 896 00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:46,400 Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler