WEBVTT - The Debate Over Work From Home Productivity

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>Global News. If you're listening to Bloomberg Business Week, Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Masser in our Bloomberg Interactor Broker Studio along with Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stanovic Bloomberg Quicktake. We've got to talk a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more about the virus because we just mentioned about BioNTech

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<v Speaker 1>what they said that they're on target with Fightser to

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<v Speaker 1>meet their production targets. We also have a store about

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<v Speaker 1>Anthony Fauci slamming the UK's drug regulators saying that it

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<v Speaker 1>rushed to clear the COVID nineteen vaccine from Fightser and Biotech.

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<v Speaker 1>And then you've got Stage trying to figure out, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>how many doses am I going to get Tim? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean that the issue among the many issues is

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<v Speaker 1>that there's no sort of standardized rollout program for this

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<v Speaker 1>and does envision a scenario where, I mean some states

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<v Speaker 1>don't even have the technology right now to keep a

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<v Speaker 1>large number of these visor doses cold for a significant

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<v Speaker 1>period of time. Yeah, So there's so much that we

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<v Speaker 1>still have or that we need answers to. Let's get

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<v Speaker 1>into all of this with Dr Ian LUs Better back

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<v Speaker 1>with us as he is on every Friday, Clinical Associate

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<v Speaker 1>Professor Medicine at n y U Land Going Medical Center

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<v Speaker 1>with us on the phone in New York City. Hey, Ian,

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here with Tim and myself. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>so what stood out for you this week because we've

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<v Speaker 1>got a lot of headlines to go through for sure.

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<v Speaker 1>Happy Friday. CONTI hope, I hope you guys are staying

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<v Speaker 1>safe and doing well. Yeah, definitely some challenges. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing more cases locally, you know, here in the

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<v Speaker 1>Tri state areas, certainly nothing comparing to the to the

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<v Speaker 1>Midwest and out west, where you know the record recording

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<v Speaker 1>a large number of hospitalizations and deaths and taking you know,

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<v Speaker 1>certainly more extreme measures of shutdown Uh. Locally though, we

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<v Speaker 1>are very excited because we've gotten word that we should

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<v Speaker 1>be expecting the FIS vaccine delivery about mid December, probably

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<v Speaker 1>around December fifty you specifically in ny U landown n

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<v Speaker 1>y U line going is expecting. We got a call

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<v Speaker 1>from you know, one of our senior administrators and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know they're sort of working out exactly how that's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be, you know, distributed. My senses, these come

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<v Speaker 1>in you know, large boxes and dry ice and have

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<v Speaker 1>to be kept you know, frozen, so around the country

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<v Speaker 1>and certainly here distribution will be uh an issue. But

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<v Speaker 1>each box has approximately five thousand, a little under five

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<v Speaker 1>thousand doses, and uh there are so we're in the

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<v Speaker 1>range of practices, you know, uh the faculty group practice

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<v Speaker 1>and of course hospitals and so forth. So I think, um,

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a little bit of a logistical challenge,

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<v Speaker 1>you know. Fortunately, UM, it's not an emergency, uh, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be on a voluntary basis. Interestingly enough,

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<v Speaker 1>really it's mandatory to have your flu shot, which is

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<v Speaker 1>only about effective, but it is really everyone who is

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<v Speaker 1>seeing patients is supposed to get a flu shot. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's not yet mandatory, certainly for COVID. I think

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<v Speaker 1>most people, at least the colleagues I speak to, are

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<v Speaker 1>very enthused and are you ready to line up to

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<v Speaker 1>get it? It is going to be two vaccines, two shots,

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<v Speaker 1>approximately a month apart. So well what about you, dr?

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<v Speaker 1>Are you going to get it? You'll be among the

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<v Speaker 1>first in line, uh, if they'll let me. I mean, look,

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<v Speaker 1>you are your your medical provider. You're on the front lines.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean this is this is this shipment's meant for you? Right? Absolutely, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>And that's the understanding. I actually thought the very first

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<v Speaker 1>people who would get it would be the in hospital uh, physicians,

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<v Speaker 1>the hospitalists and critical care specialists, because they are literally

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<v Speaker 1>bathing and COVID you know, in the patients that are

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<v Speaker 1>in the hospital and isolation rooms and so forth. Many

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<v Speaker 1>of those patients are very sick and need you know,

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<v Speaker 1>very close care, the you know, the intensive care nurses

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<v Speaker 1>and so forth. But my understanding is it's really going

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<v Speaker 1>to be apparently available to all of the you know,

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<v Speaker 1>frontline health professionals, which is great. So be for the

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<v Speaker 1>end of December or early January if most of us

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<v Speaker 1>can get it. Again, it's two doses, so a month

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<v Speaker 1>later you'd get the second dose. I think people are

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<v Speaker 1>very enthused about it. Yeah, it sounds a way. I've

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<v Speaker 1>got to ask you a question. It keeps kind of

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<v Speaker 1>coming up at home. Why do they need to be

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<v Speaker 1>kept so cold in this for preservation? This particular formulation

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<v Speaker 1>is you know, minus seventy three you know centigrade. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>And that makes it very difficult shipped on dry ice.

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<v Speaker 1>The Maderna vaccine, not that we're playing you know, favorites here, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>is it doesn't need to be kept quite as cold.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not going to be probably approved or distributed until later. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's very effective both very similar technology this messenger or

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<v Speaker 1>in a technology which is new. Uh. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>people have some concerns, but really all of the data

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen seems to be very encouraging. No vaccine is safe.

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<v Speaker 1>There are and certainly with a flu shot, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we do see dion Bret syndrome and this transfer smilelitis.

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<v Speaker 1>There are side effects. So but we're really not seeing

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<v Speaker 1>that much from this particular class of a vaccine. So

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<v Speaker 1>so let's say you do get proved in the UK.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's say you do get this this vaccine, and you

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<v Speaker 1>get it close to mid December, you get it in

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<v Speaker 1>another month for your your second dose. How do you

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<v Speaker 1>anticipate that your behavior is going to change in the

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<v Speaker 1>spring and in the late winter. That's a great question. Uh, certainly,

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<v Speaker 1>I think you know, for me, when I see patients,

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<v Speaker 1>I put on an N ninety mask, goggles, um. When

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<v Speaker 1>we do procedures like colonoscopy. You know we're gowned up

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<v Speaker 1>when gloves um and so it is stressful and uncomfortable

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<v Speaker 1>walking around all day with the mask and goggles um.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I think certainly I would think about switching

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<v Speaker 1>to a surgical mask which fits a lot looser. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you don't feel quite as restricted. Um. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>is more people get vaccinated, Uh, the level of tension

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<v Speaker 1>will go down. There is a little bit of anxiety

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<v Speaker 1>when you're seeing patients and you realize this person could

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<v Speaker 1>hurt me. I'm here to help them, but they could

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<v Speaker 1>potentially hurt me. That takes a toll when you've been

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<v Speaker 1>doing that month after month. So Dr les Bader Tim

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<v Speaker 1>just shared with me a story, um, and we were

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<v Speaker 1>just talking about it a little bit. How New York

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<v Speaker 1>has one of America's lowest per capita rates of COVID

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen hospitalizations, but it's surrounded by states UM that are

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<v Speaker 1>far worse and that that's pretty much dangerous sign and

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps a sign of what's to come. Do. What are

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<v Speaker 1>you seeing and what are your expectations? So that's really

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<v Speaker 1>a similar question that I and my colleagues have raised.

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<v Speaker 1>Certainly know we're seeing some pockets of outbreaks, you know

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<v Speaker 1>in Brooklyn and UH, some out in Long Island, UH

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<v Speaker 1>and definitely a few more hospitalizations for COVID, but nothing

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<v Speaker 1>like March and April. And we're certainly not seeing the

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<v Speaker 1>huge surge that's going on in the Midwest and out west.

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<v Speaker 1>And we ask, you know, why is this not happening?

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<v Speaker 1>And I think, you know, I'm guessing, but I think

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<v Speaker 1>there are a few possibilities. One is, I think New

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<v Speaker 1>Yorkers have been very meticulous and wearing masks outside of

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<v Speaker 1>a few areas UM too. I think we've had a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of patients who were second have gotten sick during

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<v Speaker 1>really UM March and April, and we're seeing a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of antibody positivity, a number of patients who either had

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<v Speaker 1>mild symptoms or sometimes severe symptoms. And I think the

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<v Speaker 1>estimate is at least twenty of people at least in

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<v Speaker 1>the New York City area that have positive antibodies, and

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<v Speaker 1>we typically think HERD immunity is somewhere in the fifties,

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<v Speaker 1>sixties seventy percent range. But I think when you have

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<v Speaker 1>a large population that is antibody positive and there even

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<v Speaker 1>maybe more than that because the antibodies fade and your

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<v Speaker 1>left with cellular T cell immunity. So I think there

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<v Speaker 1>are a number of people who've actually had this UM

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<v Speaker 1>and that's why I think we're not seeing it spread

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<v Speaker 1>quite like wildfire as we're seeing out west and in

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<v Speaker 1>the Midwest. But fortunately we are we are seeing a

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<v Speaker 1>slight increase but not a huge increase in the number

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<v Speaker 1>of hospitalizations. Do you think that's going to remain like this?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, obviously you can't make predictions, but but given

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<v Speaker 1>what we saw every Thanksgiving, the way that people were traveling,

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<v Speaker 1>given what people's plans are perhaps for the Christmas holiday

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<v Speaker 1>in late December holidays, I mean this this could go up. Yeah, Tim,

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<v Speaker 1>that's an excellent point. And we do expect, um uh,

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<v Speaker 1>with sort of less social distancing over Thanksgiving and and

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<v Speaker 1>and the December holidays, um that we will see a

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<v Speaker 1>bump is certainly in positive cases usually too three weeks

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<v Speaker 1>after after that time, So there's definitely going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a bump in the number of cases. Will there be

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<v Speaker 1>a bump in the number of hospitalizations, probably somewhat, you know, Again,

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<v Speaker 1>we do have to remember the vast majority of people

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<v Speaker 1>who get this, certainly young people or people below seventy

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<v Speaker 1>you know, may get sick, but they do fairly well.

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<v Speaker 1>They don't all get um hospitalized. Now, if older people

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<v Speaker 1>or people with lung disease, hypertension, obesity, ETCeteras, diabetes, if

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<v Speaker 1>they've been exposed, and they really shouldn't be exposed because

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<v Speaker 1>they should know really to isolate and not socialize. But

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<v Speaker 1>if they've been exposed, we do expect certainly a bump

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<v Speaker 1>in cases. But I think New York has been so

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<v Speaker 1>far the tries this area at least relatively spared because

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people have already um had it. But

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<v Speaker 1>according to COVID, the COVID Tracking Project, single day case

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<v Speaker 1>records are set yesterday in Vermont, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just thinking that's, like, as Tim said earlier, like

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<v Speaker 1>everything around New York um DR Lesbader just seems to

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<v Speaker 1>be increasing absolutely in those areas. You know, Vermont main

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<v Speaker 1>Upper New England was really spared during the March and

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<v Speaker 1>April time period. So I think we're seeing and this

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<v Speaker 1>is what happened in nineteen eighteen. You know, there were

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<v Speaker 1>areas of the country as it went around the country

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<v Speaker 1>in these different waves that thought, oh gosh, we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to escape it. And of course they didn't escape it

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<v Speaker 1>because this is what happens in pandemics. But my sense

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<v Speaker 1>is we are not going to have anywhere near that

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<v Speaker 1>same lethality as um is the Spanish flu in in

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighteen. You know, we have vaccines that are going

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<v Speaker 1>to be administered within the next few weeks um. But

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<v Speaker 1>I do think those other areas that were not hit

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<v Speaker 1>are having, you know, terrible surges. Hopefully they've had time

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<v Speaker 1>to prepare, knowing what happened and knowing what they need

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<v Speaker 1>with personal protective equipment, dental lators. Hopefully they're prepared for that,

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<v Speaker 1>and hopefully their population new you know, not to push

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<v Speaker 1>the envelope if you're at risk, don't socialize, don't go out.

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<v Speaker 1>I've got patients who literally have been in homes in

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<v Speaker 1>Massachusetts for you know, eight months now only going out,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, for shopping because they're afraid of exposure. Obviously

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<v Speaker 1>not everyone can do that, but potensible people in those

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<v Speaker 1>areas hopefully have been isolating. Yeah, exactly. Hey, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much. As always, stay safe, be well, and we'll

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<v Speaker 1>talk to you next week. Dr Iain Los Beta, Clinical

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<v Speaker 1>Associate Professor Medicine at n y U Land Going Medical Center.

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<v Speaker 1>On the phone in New York City, you're listening to

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer on Bloomberg Radio. People

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<v Speaker 1>talk about the productivity that comes working remotely. Well, if

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<v Speaker 1>I work seven days a week, you know, fifteen sixteen

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<v Speaker 1>hours a day, I don't take any holidays at least

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<v Speaker 1>for a period of time, I'm going to be more productive.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think there's there's two access to that chart.

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<v Speaker 1>One is certainly the productivity measured over longer periods of time.

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<v Speaker 1>But I also think the other pieces creativity and what

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<v Speaker 1>mindful of which I don't want to wake up as

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<v Speaker 1>a as a as a company. I don't want to

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<v Speaker 1>wake up as an industry and have hollowed our skill

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<v Speaker 1>sets out. All right, If you didn't recognize the voice

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<v Speaker 1>that was City Group CEO Michael Corbett in a televised

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<v Speaker 1>interview with Carlyle's David Rubinstein, host a peer to peer

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio and TV that was at a Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>invest Talks event that aired earlier today. Tim, I feel

0:12:22.880 --> 0:12:25.240
<v Speaker 1>like this is gonna be. This is what everybody's discussing

0:12:25.280 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 1>about working from home. Are we more productive? Less productive?

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:31.600
<v Speaker 1>Will it continue? He obviously has some second thoughts about it. Yeah,

0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:33.600
<v Speaker 1>and I only have second thoughts about it. I have

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:35.960
<v Speaker 1>first thoughts about it. Um. I think it's on a

0:12:35.960 --> 0:12:38.800
<v Speaker 1>case by case basis, and of course it changes depending

0:12:38.800 --> 0:12:41.079
<v Speaker 1>on what you do for work. Yeah, exactly. And it's

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:43.199
<v Speaker 1>a luxury to be able to work from home, right

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:45.800
<v Speaker 1>as we've seen right in the pandemic that a lot

0:12:45.840 --> 0:12:49.520
<v Speaker 1>of people can't do that. This story, those comments by

0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:52.080
<v Speaker 1>Michael Corbett, it is among our most read stories on

0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:55.840
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg and Jenny Seraine wrote about it specifically. She's

0:12:55.880 --> 0:12:58.480
<v Speaker 1>financial porter at Bloomberg News. She's with us on the

0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:00.920
<v Speaker 1>phone from New York City. Hey, Jenny on, nice to

0:13:00.960 --> 0:13:05.920
<v Speaker 1>have you here. So Michael Corbett not holding back there, No,

0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 1>definitely not. And you know he's really been um, pretty

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:13.400
<v Speaker 1>much an advocate for getting his employees back eventually slowly um,

0:13:13.480 --> 0:13:16.679
<v Speaker 1>but really hasn't been um, you know, saying that they

0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:19.120
<v Speaker 1>would be moving towards the more permanent work from home structure.

0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:21.720
<v Speaker 1>So it's very consistent, but this is kind of a

0:13:21.760 --> 0:13:24.800
<v Speaker 1>new tack the productivity questions. That was kind of interesting

0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:26.680
<v Speaker 1>to hear from him today. I think there will be

0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:30.160
<v Speaker 1>this balance though, between what it does to productivity and

0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:32.400
<v Speaker 1>also what it does for when it comes to the

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:34.720
<v Speaker 1>real estate footprint of these companies, because they can save

0:13:34.840 --> 0:13:38.160
<v Speaker 1>so much money, especially if if these companies do what

0:13:38.320 --> 0:13:41.080
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley companies are doing, which is pay people less

0:13:41.200 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 1>if they leave Silicon Valley for example. Yeah, Michael, you know,

0:13:44.360 --> 0:13:47.200
<v Speaker 1>that's a good point, Jenny, did Michael Did Corbett say, yeah,

0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:49.640
<v Speaker 1>we're ready to have they made any changes in terms

0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:51.520
<v Speaker 1>of real estate needs or it sounds like not because

0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:54.840
<v Speaker 1>he expects everybody or wants everybody to come back. Yeah.

0:13:55.040 --> 0:13:57.439
<v Speaker 1>So they had actually been in the process of kind

0:13:57.440 --> 0:13:59.760
<v Speaker 1>of shrinking their New York footprint already, and so I

0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:02.439
<v Speaker 1>think they had already been on that, on that plan,

0:14:02.559 --> 0:14:06.240
<v Speaker 1>and so this coming definitely accelerated that and and kind

0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:09.040
<v Speaker 1>of helps them maybe consolidate a little bit more. But

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.920
<v Speaker 1>he did say, you know, probably not everyone will have

0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:14.280
<v Speaker 1>been back in the office full time. It probably will

0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:16.800
<v Speaker 1>allow us to think our real estate fook print um

0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:20.040
<v Speaker 1>in some way. But really really help back from saying

0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:22.200
<v Speaker 1>that there was going to be some more permanent wide

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:24.840
<v Speaker 1>breadgets or about work at any group. Yeah, I feel

0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 1>like I'm hearing from more people, especially in the financial community,

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:31.520
<v Speaker 1>that their expectations are it's going to be him very,

0:14:31.600 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 1>very different that there they won't need as much real

0:14:34.160 --> 0:14:37.880
<v Speaker 1>estate that they do anticipate that workers. You know, now

0:14:37.880 --> 0:14:40.440
<v Speaker 1>we're nine months in Habits are hard to change, and

0:14:40.480 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 1>people like the flexibility of being able to work at home.

0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 1>I wonder what the implications are of this, though, doesn't

0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:47.800
<v Speaker 1>mean different things for team development and the way that

0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:50.840
<v Speaker 1>people work with teams. Doesn't mean different things for the

0:14:50.840 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 1>way that mentors work with mentees and are able to

0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 1>actually nurture talent development of organizations. I mean, that's a

0:14:57.240 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 1>really good point, Jenny, and I've heard that about the concerns,

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:02.680
<v Speaker 1>especially for maybe minorities and women who already have a

0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:07.960
<v Speaker 1>tough time making inroads what that might mean for talent development. Yeah. Well,

0:15:07.960 --> 0:15:11.280
<v Speaker 1>and Corbett brought that up as well, kind of noting that, um,

0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:13.040
<v Speaker 1>he really wants to know what this will mean for

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:15.320
<v Speaker 1>the creativity that people bring to their roles. You know,

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 1>so much of what happens in an office is just

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:20.280
<v Speaker 1>those kind of random moments where you run into a

0:15:20.280 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 1>colleague and come up with an idea and run with it. Um,

0:15:23.520 --> 0:15:27.040
<v Speaker 1>which is really hard to create in this remote virtual environment. Um.

0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 1>So I think that's that's kind of what he was

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:31.280
<v Speaker 1>planting to do with that comment. Um. And another six

0:15:31.320 --> 0:15:33.200
<v Speaker 1>thing is just one of offices look like, you know,

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 1>the group has been moving towards this open floor plan. Um.

0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, is that really bople in a post pandemic wealth?

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 1>I know, as we look at our open environment, like listen,

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:44.640
<v Speaker 1>that's been the rage, right, and like all of a sudden,

0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:47.040
<v Speaker 1>everybody's like, ah, yeah, maybe we need some barriers here.

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:52.280
<v Speaker 1>I wonder though, how how how Corbett's position perhaps differs

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:54.720
<v Speaker 1>from those of his peer banks and those from his colleagues.

0:15:55.000 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 1>What have you found at your reporting, Jenny, I think

0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:00.240
<v Speaker 1>it's definitely a mix. It seems like the of some

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:03.040
<v Speaker 1>in financial service tess who are more comfortable with like

0:16:03.080 --> 0:16:07.280
<v Speaker 1>a scheme where employees may work from home three days

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:08.960
<v Speaker 1>a week and come in two days a week or

0:16:09.040 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 1>vice versa. UM. But I really haven't heard a lot

0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 1>of books and banking talk about, you know, doing the

0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 1>more permanent everybody works from home forever. UM. It seems

0:16:18.480 --> 0:16:20.960
<v Speaker 1>like there's there's some desires for either a mix or

0:16:21.000 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>definitely feelings like getting everyone back. UM. There's also the

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:27.840
<v Speaker 1>regulatory component. You know, banks are heavily regulated, UM. And

0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:31.200
<v Speaker 1>you haven't heard much regulators on this point actually, UM,

0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:34.720
<v Speaker 1>But historically they've definitely really focused on having you know,

0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:37.600
<v Speaker 1>bless and seats as it were. I love this interview,

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 1>and I know you went a couple of places, as

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 1>did David Rubinstein with UM Corbette. But they also talked

0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:48.040
<v Speaker 1>about when Wells Fargo got Wakoba uh and basically away

0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:52.280
<v Speaker 1>from city group. UM. He addressed that, Yeah, it was

0:16:52.320 --> 0:16:55.640
<v Speaker 1>super interesting, UM. And really what's interesting about it is

0:16:55.680 --> 0:16:58.840
<v Speaker 1>he talked about wanting that branch network, which is so fascinating.

0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:00.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, in the middle of HIDEM when lots of

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:03.720
<v Speaker 1>banks are closing branches, the idea that he would still

0:17:03.800 --> 0:17:06.440
<v Speaker 1>rue or wish that they had that big national branch

0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:10.160
<v Speaker 1>but branch um is kind of unique. So UM. Definitely

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:13.480
<v Speaker 1>a really interesting interview that Womens Bang had what about

0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to digital banking and the way that

0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:17.680
<v Speaker 1>people are banking differently, not just over the last few years,

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:19.879
<v Speaker 1>but but in the pandemic. We're talking to Joel and

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 1>Bread earlier at Business Week and they had an executive

0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:25.080
<v Speaker 1>form MasterCard on their list because of the way that

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:30.520
<v Speaker 1>touched touchless payments just shot up in the last year. Yeah,

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:33.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's definitely true that UM consumers have really

0:17:33.840 --> 0:17:37.680
<v Speaker 1>moved into roads to adopt mobile and online banking. UM

0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:40.040
<v Speaker 1>and Corbet actually adjusted the fact that, you know, if

0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 1>they went out and said we're just we're just study

0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:44.159
<v Speaker 1>to close every branch or we're ready to close you know,

0:17:44.320 --> 0:17:46.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot more branches, a lot of customers would lead

0:17:46.760 --> 0:17:50.200
<v Speaker 1>because even though they really like that mobile and online experience,

0:17:50.560 --> 0:17:53.520
<v Speaker 1>is still has this weird desire to just be able

0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:55.199
<v Speaker 1>to go in person and be able to talk to

0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:57.879
<v Speaker 1>the humans. So UM, even though they're seeing you know,

0:17:58.080 --> 0:18:00.600
<v Speaker 1>lest foot topic and their branches, these those you still

0:18:00.600 --> 0:18:02.680
<v Speaker 1>want to have that option because without it, they really

0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:04.800
<v Speaker 1>feel like consumers would would get to the bank just

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:06.639
<v Speaker 1>don't lose my money, and I'm okay, I don't need

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:08.520
<v Speaker 1>to go into the branch. Like I can do everything

0:18:08.520 --> 0:18:10.600
<v Speaker 1>on my phone and I'm happy. All I know is

0:18:10.640 --> 0:18:11.800
<v Speaker 1>I need to go to the A T M. Twice

0:18:11.800 --> 0:18:15.639
<v Speaker 1>a year, four twice a year. Yeah, that's it now,

0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:18.800
<v Speaker 1>it is right. You really don't need to go, all right,

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Jenny Seraine, thank you so much of a great weekend,

0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 1>great reporting. Jenny is, of course, finance reporter at Bloomberg

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:25.560
<v Speaker 1>News on the phone in New York City. Are you

0:18:25.600 --> 0:18:27.159
<v Speaker 1>being serious or you're just like kidding? Is that what

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:28.960
<v Speaker 1>you do twice a year? This year? It will be

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:32.479
<v Speaker 1>twice just this year, but it is. I prefer not

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:34.879
<v Speaker 1>having cash. Yeah, I do too, but it's it's you know,

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.359
<v Speaker 1>it's not something that every everyone is accustomed to at

0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 1>this point. But yeah, I mean, I think with the pandemic,

0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people change the way they're handling money.

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:43.040
<v Speaker 1>I always think about how I grew up and my

0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:45.880
<v Speaker 1>dad had the envelope of cash. It's like where every

0:18:46.040 --> 0:18:47.880
<v Speaker 1>It's like how everything was duld? Did you at some point?

0:18:47.880 --> 0:18:50.159
<v Speaker 1>I have to hide it from you? He had it

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:51.959
<v Speaker 1>from all of us kids. There was seven of us.

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:54.320
<v Speaker 1>He had a big time. Only my mom knew where

0:18:54.320 --> 0:18:57.760
<v Speaker 1>it was This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer

0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:00.800
<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio. We just have a few minutes left

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>in today's trading day. Let's get right to our market gas.

0:19:03.760 --> 0:19:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Time for the Drive to the Close with David Dietz,

0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 1>President and chief investment strategist at Point View Wealth Management

0:19:09.359 --> 0:19:12.359
<v Speaker 1>seven point three billion in assets under management. David back

0:19:12.440 --> 0:19:14.680
<v Speaker 1>with us on the phone from some of New Jersey. David,

0:19:14.720 --> 0:19:17.680
<v Speaker 1>good to have you here. President Elect Joe Biden being

0:19:18.400 --> 0:19:22.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, rather um, you know, kind of he said,

0:19:22.320 --> 0:19:24.040
<v Speaker 1>The job's report was graham. I felt like he was

0:19:24.080 --> 0:19:26.520
<v Speaker 1>grimm to and just understanding the plight of a lot

0:19:26.560 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 1>of Americans and the additional stimulus and aid that they need.

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:32.760
<v Speaker 1>How do you see it? And if we don't get

0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>that aid and the right amount of aid, what will

0:19:35.359 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 1>that ultimately mean in terms of our economy and ultimately

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:43.040
<v Speaker 1>our financial markets. Well, absolutely, he was. It was appropriate

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:45.480
<v Speaker 1>to be grim because, of course, the jobs report for

0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 1>November came in short of expectations. We still have an

0:19:49.560 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 1>unemployment rate which is unacceptably high, So you know, that's

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:56.679
<v Speaker 1>the bad news. Of course, juxtaposed against that is some

0:19:56.800 --> 0:19:59.840
<v Speaker 1>even better news in a way, because we've got terrif

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:04.480
<v Speaker 1>announcements from not just one but three vaccine producers giving

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:08.240
<v Speaker 1>US vaccines to have an efficiency rate, and some of

0:20:08.240 --> 0:20:10.199
<v Speaker 1>that's going to be rolled up for the end of

0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:13.359
<v Speaker 1>the year. So we know what the causes, we know

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:15.399
<v Speaker 1>the problem, but at least we're starting to see a

0:20:15.560 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 1>very bright light at the end of the tunnel. Nevertheless,

0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:21.760
<v Speaker 1>it's not quite clear exactly when the population will build

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:24.360
<v Speaker 1>to get vaccinated. So for those poor people who are

0:20:24.359 --> 0:20:27.560
<v Speaker 1>out of a job now or whose businesses on Main

0:20:27.600 --> 0:20:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Street are going south fast, there is certainly a need

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:35.120
<v Speaker 1>for aid. I wonder how though, you know this aid

0:20:35.200 --> 0:20:39.160
<v Speaker 1>comes with the divided Congress, and what what the expectations

0:20:39.200 --> 0:20:41.640
<v Speaker 1>are from investors right now, especially as we see Vice

0:20:41.640 --> 0:20:44.679
<v Speaker 1>President Pence right now, you know, doing a rally in

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 1>Georgia because that this balance of the Senate actually hangs

0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:51.440
<v Speaker 1>in Georgia. Obamba has headed there this weekend, President Trump

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:53.920
<v Speaker 1>has headed there this weekend. What is the market expecting

0:20:53.920 --> 0:20:56.200
<v Speaker 1>in terms of that that turnout and not turn out

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:59.640
<v Speaker 1>with the result of the January fIF election. Well, certainly

0:20:59.680 --> 0:21:02.680
<v Speaker 1>in the last ten days or so, Wall Street is

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:05.840
<v Speaker 1>getting more optimistic that we may see something before the

0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:08.000
<v Speaker 1>end of the year may see something in the lame

0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 1>deck session. I don't know, to be honest with you.

0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:13.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we should have had something two months ago.

0:21:13.640 --> 0:21:17.600
<v Speaker 1>And the reasons we didn't get something now then probably

0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:20.000
<v Speaker 1>plays into why we may not get something now, you know,

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:23.159
<v Speaker 1>from a Wall Street perspective. From my perspective, it's almost

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:25.960
<v Speaker 1>like trying to buy a stock ahead of the earnings release.

0:21:26.000 --> 0:21:28.879
<v Speaker 1>So you have these negotiations before we really know the

0:21:28.960 --> 0:21:32.160
<v Speaker 1>composition of the Senate um. You know, the Dems may

0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:35.760
<v Speaker 1>be better off waiting. If they capture those two seats,

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 1>they may get a much better deal um later on

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:42.200
<v Speaker 1>in January, and and so there is a little political

0:21:42.240 --> 0:21:45.119
<v Speaker 1>games and ship people don't really know what all the

0:21:45.200 --> 0:21:49.159
<v Speaker 1>cards are on the table. Nevertheless, is there time for

0:21:49.200 --> 0:21:51.840
<v Speaker 1>that because Americans, as we saw with the jobs report today,

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:58.040
<v Speaker 1>they're struggling. You know, um every every week is important,

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 1>and so many of these benefit programs do. And at

0:22:01.080 --> 0:22:03.480
<v Speaker 1>the end of the year is I do think people

0:22:03.560 --> 0:22:06.959
<v Speaker 1>sincerely want to get something done and whether people can

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:09.359
<v Speaker 1>agree on something that at least helps the American people

0:22:09.680 --> 0:22:13.920
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the unemployment problem. Let's hope certainly. The market,

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:16.440
<v Speaker 1>of course, with its focus six to twelve months ahead

0:22:16.840 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>as we're seeing today, seems to ignore that it's looking

0:22:19.160 --> 0:22:21.800
<v Speaker 1>much further beyond the current problem. Well, that's what I

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>wanted to ask you. The market. Definitely it's a discount,

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:25.879
<v Speaker 1>all right. It does look ahead, and it does seem

0:22:25.880 --> 0:22:28.879
<v Speaker 1>to be discounting any of the tensions and stresses and

0:22:28.960 --> 0:22:31.960
<v Speaker 1>rising cases numbers and rising hospitalization numbers. But if we

0:22:32.000 --> 0:22:34.720
<v Speaker 1>don't get this aid package right now, might the market

0:22:34.760 --> 0:22:38.479
<v Speaker 1>have to discount what's going on even further? You know,

0:22:38.680 --> 0:22:43.200
<v Speaker 1>there's no question about it. Um You know, seventy percent

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:46.640
<v Speaker 1>American economy is based on consumer spending and is As

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 1>bank accounts dwindled down and the outlook for jobs darkens,

0:22:50.840 --> 0:22:53.199
<v Speaker 1>that's going to affect spending. But of course, what we

0:22:53.280 --> 0:22:57.399
<v Speaker 1>saw back in March was never discount what policy makers

0:22:57.440 --> 0:22:58.920
<v Speaker 1>will do for us. So we have a big meeting

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:02.160
<v Speaker 1>from the Federal Reserve UH next week. What might they do.

0:23:02.320 --> 0:23:04.200
<v Speaker 1>There's a chance that they say, look, we're going to

0:23:04.359 --> 0:23:06.480
<v Speaker 1>keep the amount of bomb buying going, but we're gonna

0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 1>target longer maturities yield curve control. That could be a

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:12.480
<v Speaker 1>shot in the arm further for the market, for the

0:23:12.520 --> 0:23:15.600
<v Speaker 1>big real estate market, and could be helpful and of

0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:18.520
<v Speaker 1>course right if if things get really bad, then actually

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:21.639
<v Speaker 1>the lawmakers may pass us temporary stimulus bill. All right,

0:23:21.680 --> 0:23:24.560
<v Speaker 1>well still, well we will, we will certainly see what happens.

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<v Speaker 1>David Deeds, Thank you so much, President and Chief Investment

0:23:27.160 --> 0:23:29.360
<v Speaker 1>Strategies over a point view Wealth Management on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Summit, New Jersey. Tongue twisted there, but you know,

0:23:31.840 --> 0:23:33.880
<v Speaker 1>we know we need to get something done here. Thanks

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>so much for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the

0:23:36.320 --> 0:23:39.719
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