1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up, 2 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 1: ladies and gentleman. Jason McIntyre Here Straight Fire, Thursday, November five. 3 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: We made it through the election. We are now two 4 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: days beyond the election, and who knows what we'll find 5 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: out who's going to be the next president of the 6 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: United States. But you guys didn't tune in to listen 7 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 1: to me talking about politics. It's all over the TV 8 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: social media. Finally, we have some sports tonight. Goodness gracious, 9 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: hopefully Packers and forty nine is actually happens. Um, we'll 10 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:45,840 Speaker 1: get to that shortly. We have a great guest coming 11 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: up later in the podcast. Dave Weaver. I worked at 12 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: them over at the t v G network. He's a 13 00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: big horse racing guy and uh, he's good on the NFL. 14 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 1: And we we have some good battles back and forth. Um, 15 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: so we're gonna break down week nine and we differ 16 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: a lot on the games. You we will chop it 17 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: up a little later in the podcast. Um, I guess 18 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: I thought I'd chake things up a little bit and 19 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: do the best bet out of the gate. And I 20 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 1: have to be honest with you when you lose a 21 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 1: Monday Night Football best bet on a dumb beet. You know, 22 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: Tampa was a dumb play, and I was actually kind 23 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: of i you know, I gave out Tampa and then, 24 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: like an idiot, I went and looked at that contest. 25 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 1: I'm in the one point four million dollar contest, and 26 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,200 Speaker 1: I noticed that a lot of people had Tampa. So 27 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 1: I'm like, well, all right, do I route with my 28 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:41,479 Speaker 1: wallet for the game or do I route big picture contest? 29 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: And uh, it's one of those situations where nobody is 30 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: going to put this game Packers in the contest because 31 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: if you submit with the Thursday night game, you have 32 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: to submit your weekend picks, which who knows what the 33 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: hell is gonna happen this weekend in the NFL given COVID. 34 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm sure you guys saw the news. On Wednesday. 35 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: Matt Stafford of the line Ends went on the COVID list. 36 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: But the interesting twist, if you will, there, he went 37 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,520 Speaker 1: on the list earlier this week. They didn't say anything 38 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: about it. They held him out of practice Wednesday, and 39 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: he's technically I believe, eligible to come off the list 40 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: Sunday and then thus play in the game, but he 41 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 1: would have to miss practice miss the game plan. Um, 42 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: they'd work backups all week and then Stafford would come 43 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: in after not practicing for several days and play. So 44 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: that's a weird one. Uh, Lions Vikings not a game. 45 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: I really want to dive into it all at any rate. Um, 46 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 1: But yeah, I guess I'll just for for purposes of 47 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,239 Speaker 1: right now, just because you guys I'm sure want to 48 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: get to the interview in the week nine breakdown. I'll 49 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: just I'll just put this out there. If I had 50 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 1: the choice, I would pass on this game given everything 51 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: that's gone down in the last forty hours with the rosters. 52 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: I mean, you look at the forty niners and they're 53 00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: gonna be wearing name tags in the huddle straight up. 54 00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 1: Like there's nobody left, nobody at all. We're looking at 55 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: skill position players for this game. Trent Taylor as a 56 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: wide receiver. You may have heard of him, tiny white guy. 57 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 1: I think he went to Stanford somewhere in the pack wolf. Um, 58 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 1: and that's it. Nobody else you've heard of. I mean, 59 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 1: if you've got Jamichael Hasty and fantasy like I do, 60 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: Jeric McKinnon, Um, but nobody's starting Nick Mullins in fantasy 61 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: and you're putting your money behind a bunch of I 62 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 1: mean kittles out there pulling off Jordan Reid, who's gonna 63 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 1: try to give it a go. He's always hurt fort Is. Offensively, 64 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 1: you're gonna struggle. The key for this one is can 65 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: they run the football enough on the Packers, control clock, 66 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 1: keep Rogers off the field right and hope that the defense, 67 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 1: which is quite good n defense is not terrible. Uh 68 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: it's beat up with the linebackers are healthy. If they're 69 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 1: able to somehow keep it close, maybe they got a 70 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: shot in the fourth quarter with Mullins. I don't think 71 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: it's a great shot. Um. The game is not super appealing. 72 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: You will hear a lot of people talk about should 73 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: they even play this game? Should they push it back 74 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: so there are more players available. The one reason I 75 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: am going to take the points and the Niners. Yes 76 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: I'm backing Nick Mullins, is because of one of these 77 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: like once in a lifetime gambling opportunities. Not once at 78 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: a lifetime, maybe once at a season. Okay, this is 79 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 1: the rule. Okay, it only applies to Thursday night football. 80 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: If you're traveling east to west for Thursday night football game. 81 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 1: If you notice, there's very they're very rare. These games 82 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: do not happen often. Or East slash Central time zone 83 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 1: to West. There's been eleven of them in the last 84 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: twelve years, and the teams flying east or Central to 85 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: West are oh and eleven in those games, zero victories. Now, 86 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: this one a unique situation. You've got the COVID, you 87 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: have no fans, you have all backups in the offense 88 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: for the Niners. Your left tackle Trip Williams is out. 89 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: You know, not that the Packers have a terrifying pass rush. 90 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 1: I mean it's decent um, but essentially it is brutal 91 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: physically on the body to travel on a short week 92 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:16,080 Speaker 1: across the country and play a game at when your 93 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: body clock is saying that it's five o'clock on a Thursday, 94 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,679 Speaker 1: and you're not used to playing. So I'm just gonna 95 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: play that system. It's not I normally wouldn't do it. 96 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 1: This is another pizza money bet. Listen, guys, I'm sorry. 97 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 1: I can't make one thousand plays on every game. That's 98 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: just not how I operate. You find games you really 99 00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:36,919 Speaker 1: really like and you load up. I mean, that's at 100 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 1: least been my strategy I'm not. You don't bet every 101 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 1: every game on the board, but for this podcast, I 102 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:46,239 Speaker 1: will have pizza money on the San Francisco forty Niners 103 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:51,000 Speaker 1: getting seven points. That's my best bet. Lost on Monday 104 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: dropped us to hopefully the Niners can cover. All right, 105 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 1: Let's get to the interview Dave Weaver from the tv 106 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: G Network. Jason likes to think he knows everything when 107 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: it comes to sports. I know what sports stands want, 108 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: but for everything he doesn't, he knows a guy who does. 109 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows a 110 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: guy who knows another guy. All right, joining straight fire 111 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 1: now is a guy I've known for a couple of years. 112 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: I did some TV with him out here in l A. 113 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 1: He's a horse racing expert and uh we had some 114 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 1: fun NFL battles on air. Dave Weaver from the t 115 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: v G Network, Dave, how are you man? Do it awesome? 116 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:36,160 Speaker 1: I miss you, my man? Yeah, yeah, we we did. 117 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: We had some fun on that show More Ways to 118 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: Win with the great Lisa Corney, Danny Kluppinger, Brandon fund Ston. 119 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 1: It was it was a good, good show for sure. 120 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 1: We're still we're still rolling. Um we're on Thursday morning, 121 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: so it's it's a little different. I think we were 122 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 1: on maybe Sundays or Saturdays or all throughout the week. 123 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: But it's a little different having to get all our 124 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 1: research done so early. You know, we have to turn 125 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 1: in basically our picks on Tuesdays to the graphs built Wednesday. 126 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 1: So that's a little different, not having all the information 127 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: that you're gonna need leading up to a Sunday morning. 128 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 1: But other than that, especially with COVID, I mean, the 129 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford news, Like what do you do with that? Now? 130 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: He may or may not play, Like we'll get into 131 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:20,119 Speaker 1: all that, Dave, I'm just curious, like you know, for 132 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 1: for the listeners, Um, how have you approaches the NFL 133 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: season due to the COVID no preseason? Um? Is it 134 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 1: different than anything you've ever done before? It is because 135 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 1: you don't know what to expect any given day, things 136 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,679 Speaker 1: can change tenfold. I mean, and and if one player 137 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: has it, now you know six people that have been 138 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: around him have to take time off, and you really 139 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 1: don't know how much of an effect it really is 140 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: going to have on your play on that game. So 141 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: it's it's so unpredictable to know the actual starters mid 142 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 1: mid part of the week. I mean, obviously ten o'clock 143 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: Sunday morning, we're gonna pretty much know who's playing. But 144 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: it's tough. Yeah, yeah, I mean, I don't know about you. 145 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: I like to try to get in bets early in 146 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: the week before my judgment gets clouded by all the 147 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 1: information that comes out. Uh, you know, and you know 148 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 1: how that is, your first instinct tends to be right. Um, 149 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 1: So I'm curious, did you bet any games early in 150 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 1: the week for Week nine or have you just have 151 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: you just waited due to the you know, the uncertainty 152 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 1: around the league. Yeah, there's a little bit of guesswork. 153 00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 1: And if you think you have a line, that's good. Um, 154 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:34,439 Speaker 1: you know, Monday morning, if you have a team at 155 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:36,199 Speaker 1: three that you think is going to go to three 156 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: and a half or four or four and a half, 157 00:08:38,400 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: and you know it's not going to drop to two 158 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: and a half, maybe maybe you take it. Um. I 159 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:44,520 Speaker 1: haven't made a play yet this week, though, I'm gonna 160 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 1: I pretty much wait until until Sunday morning too to 161 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: make my final decisions on on on what I'm gonna do. 162 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:58,200 Speaker 1: So as far as any place this week. I'm nothing, alright, 163 00:08:58,280 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 1: let's know who I'm playing. You do, just haven't laid 164 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: the money yet, right right, which is I understand totally. 165 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 1: I'm waiting on one game myself. I want to start 166 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: with Thursday Night football Packers forty Niners. So there's a 167 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: lot of discussion that this game maybe could be pushed back. 168 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,679 Speaker 1: The Packers have had a COVID scare with their running 169 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 1: backs forty Niners. Have you know? I saw crazy Sat 170 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 1: Dave tonight. For the forty Niners, there will be zero 171 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 1: offensive starters on the skill positions that played in the 172 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: NFC Championship just ten months ago. Like it's in a 173 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: complete new set of guys, from the quarterback Nick Mullins 174 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: to the receiver's Kendrick Born out with COVID deevo, Samuel Hurt, 175 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 1: Kittle Hurt And it's crazy. But I'm still looking to 176 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 1: bet the Niners here. I don't know if that sounds 177 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 1: totally insane to you. I'll give you the logic, but 178 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: I'm curious this to your thoughts. Well, Um, part of 179 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 1: it for me has to do with I love the 180 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 1: Packers last year in that game against the Niners, deep 181 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 1: into the season and they have smoked And really, I mean, 182 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 1: you look at the history of Aaron Rodgers against the 183 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: forty nine and it's not pretty. But like you said, 184 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:10,320 Speaker 1: how much do you let the past influence this game? 185 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 1: Where none of those players were playing in the in 186 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 1: those games, you know, it's like almost a totally different situation. 187 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 1: But I still think the bottom line is this is 188 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 1: a tough spot for Green Bay and to me, San 189 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 1: Francisco is still the play in this game, regardless of 190 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:31,440 Speaker 1: them missing all of their really key offensive weapons. And 191 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:33,600 Speaker 1: I think that what you mentioned on the running back 192 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 1: issues for the Packers and what's up with Aaron Jones, 193 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 1: I mean, he hasn't played, I don't think since Week six. 194 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 1: If he doesn't go, they literally are down to a 195 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: four string running back and a practice squad running back, 196 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 1: you know, running the ball. So that's gonna be a 197 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,440 Speaker 1: difficult spot for the Packers. And I don't think you 198 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: could you could justify forcing Aaron Jones back early because 199 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 1: you know, without him, you're not going anywhere in the playoffs. 200 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 1: He is a He's a major piece of that offense. 201 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:01,959 Speaker 1: And I'm with you, I wouldn't be shocked if Jones 202 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 1: did not play, but the number. And this is like, 203 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: I'm not a trend guy, and Dave, we've been over 204 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 1: trends before, right, but there is one that jumps out 205 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 1: for Thursday night football. Okay, So there have been eleven 206 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,840 Speaker 1: teams that on a short week have traveled from the 207 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:19,959 Speaker 1: Eastern or Central time zone out west. Okay. So you're 208 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 1: on a short week and you have the long travel 209 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 1: spot and you have the early game teams from the 210 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:29,199 Speaker 1: Eastern and Central time zone. There's eleven of them have gone, 211 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: eleven of them have lost. And again it's one of 212 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 1: these weird stats, like that's not my only reason obviously 213 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:40,079 Speaker 1: that I like the Niners. But again, like Aaron Rodgers 214 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: is not going to have back d R. I don't 215 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: believe the run defense is remains a complete joke. Dalvin 216 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,800 Speaker 1: Cook a buck fifty on the ground. I can see 217 00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:51,440 Speaker 1: the forty Niners hanging around. I don't think Nick Mullins 218 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,080 Speaker 1: is that bad um, you know, I know he had 219 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 1: a rough game on Sunday Night Football against the Niners 220 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:59,320 Speaker 1: earlier this year. I'm sorry against the Eagles, but this 221 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:02,360 Speaker 1: Packers defen doesn't scare me in the least. And I 222 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 1: think the four Nights can keep it on the ground, 223 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 1: Mullins can make just enough place to cover the number. Um, 224 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 1: but I don't. You're right, I don't love this game. 225 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 1: For me, this is not like a max player or 226 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,079 Speaker 1: a big play. But I'm curious to you. Do you 227 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: see any games on the board that totally jump out 228 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 1: that you're like, Okay, I circled that. I want to 229 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: fire on that. Yeah. I have three games that I 230 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 1: love and they're all, um, well, two of them, anyways, 231 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 1: are relatively small home favorites that I just think are 232 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 1: absolutely gonna crush. You want, you want me to give 233 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 1: an hour, you'll go one at a time, Okay, But yeah, 234 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: there are there are two games that I do love. 235 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: So let me guess the home favorite short. Let me 236 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 1: guess you like the Chargers, don't like? Oh good good, okay, 237 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:54,560 Speaker 1: because I'm looking at the Raiders there, So who's your 238 00:12:54,559 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: first one? The Washington team? So there are hosting the 239 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: Giants minus three. I thought this line really would be 240 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,679 Speaker 1: maybe four and a half five, even maybe it's not 241 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:10,080 Speaker 1: a six. I don't. I mean the last time they played, 242 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 1: Washington went to New York and uh, if you remember, 243 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: they probably should have won that game. They ended up 244 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 1: scoring a touchdown with no time left or second left 245 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: or something, and Riverboat Ron he went for the two. 246 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 1: They did not get it. Um. I don't think that 247 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:29,319 Speaker 1: they necessarily should have even been in a spot where 248 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 1: they had to be that desperate late to be in 249 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 1: that spot. I think they're gonna be up a couple 250 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,719 Speaker 1: of touchdowns in this game. I've been watching Washington. I 251 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 1: don't know for whatever reason. You know, I watch all 252 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: the games, but maybe because I have Gibson on my 253 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 1: fantasy team and I just kind of wanted to see 254 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:49,000 Speaker 1: how he was developing. But I've started to watch a 255 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: lot of Washington, and I'm guaranteeing most people probably don't 256 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 1: care about that team and they're not watching. They're good. 257 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 1: I mean, they they are better than their record. Their 258 00:13:57,320 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 1: front seven is the best in that division. The Giants 259 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: offensive line is absolute trash, so I think they're gonna 260 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 1: push them around. Daniel Jones has proven that he's just 261 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: a one read quarterback. He can't you know, there was 262 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 1: a couple of spots the other night where he had 263 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: touchdowns if he looks in one direction, but he's only 264 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:17,079 Speaker 1: tunnel vision. You know, he's only looking at one spot. 265 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 1: I think with the way that the Washington's gonna get 266 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 1: pressure on him, they're gonna shut him down offensively, McLaurin, Gibson, mckissic. 267 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 1: Even their backup running back for Washington is pretty speedy. 268 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:31,359 Speaker 1: I have him on my fantasy team. I think Washington offensively, 269 00:14:31,640 --> 00:14:35,560 Speaker 1: defensively much better than the Giants. Yeah, I'm with you, 270 00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 1: Washington coming off to buy. Giants played Monday night and 271 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: that was a tough loss to That's not one where 272 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 1: you walk away like Dank. That's like Dank. Do we 273 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 1: have any faith in this guy? Daniel Jones, who you know, 274 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:50,560 Speaker 1: he's out given to give you two turnovers, He's out lock. 275 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 1: And you know one thing, I watched a little that 276 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: Giants Washington game the last time they played. If you 277 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 1: take away the Daniel Jones run, he had like a 278 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: fifty yard run. He has one of those every three games. 279 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 1: If you take that away, they did not have two 280 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 1: hundred yards of offense. I mean, this team is just 281 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 1: not good. And it was clear the Bucks were looking 282 00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 1: ahead to the Saints on Monday night. They just came 283 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: out sleepy for the whole first half, didn't care started 284 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: playing one the game, but I'm with you. I think 285 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: Washington's decide. You know, it's tough to bet on. Kyle 286 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 1: Allen is a favorite for me. Um Again, this is 287 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 1: a battle of two quarterbacks, like whichever one makes fewer 288 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: mistakes probably wins and covers. Right I'm looking at Giants 289 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 1: plus three minus one and Washington minus three plus one 290 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,800 Speaker 1: on four. So maybe i should punch this right now 291 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 1: because I'm getting plus money on that minus three. I 292 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 1: don't think it's a bad mind because I think the 293 00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 1: line should be higher than that. Anyways, the way I 294 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,800 Speaker 1: see it, by the way, Kyle Allen, he was winning 295 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 1: that game in New York and it was unfortunate got 296 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 1: a strip sack late in the fourth. He was marching 297 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: him down the field and unfortunately fumbled the ball. They 298 00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 1: were about, i think, at the Giants forty, but they 299 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 1: were gonna go one in score and that that led 300 00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 1: the Giants in the other direction and then they had 301 00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 1: to rely on that last second score to try to 302 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: take the lead late. But anyways, I'm okay with Kyle Allen. 303 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 1: Obviously he's not a top ten or even the top 304 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: twenty quarterback in the league, but he's enough for me 305 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: to to lay three with Washington. All right, so what 306 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: was the second game that you were looking at? Okay, 307 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 1: same color scheme, we got red and white Arizona. I'm 308 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 1: not a sold yet on Miami being only a three 309 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: and a half point underdog on the road. This is 310 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: at Arizona and they're only minus three and a half. 311 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 1: I mean, I've loved what I've seen from Kyler Murray. Um, 312 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 1: I know Drake is out. I've got no problem with 313 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 1: Jase Emmons filling that hole in this game. I think 314 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: he's gonna have a big game. I mean, Miami, they've 315 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: obviously been better than a lot of people had anticipated 316 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,160 Speaker 1: they would be at this point in the season. But 317 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 1: shouldn't this line be seven six and a half three? Yeah, 318 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: I think it opened and understanding why it's so tight, 319 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: I think it was bet down from six to four 320 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 1: or three and a half. Um, there are the COVID 321 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:19,879 Speaker 1: situation with Arizona is a little dicey, though. Two defensive 322 00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 1: starters have it and won't play the kid Kennard who's 323 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: a pretty good linebacker and he rushes the pastor and 324 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 1: then there um their slot corner Byron Murphy, a guy 325 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:33,239 Speaker 1: from about here, Washington Husky who's really good. And the 326 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 1: other cornerback, you know, it's like Patrick Peterson's pretty good, 327 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 1: He's had his struggles at times this year. Byron Murphy 328 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: is great, but you take him out and it's Drake Kirkpatrick, 329 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:44,160 Speaker 1: who out of a hundred and six team Pro Football 330 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 1: Focus cornerbacks, he's one oh eight. UM, So that could 331 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 1: get ugly with either Parker or Williams, whichever one's healthy. 332 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:54,439 Speaker 1: Some one of them is always nicked up from Miami. 333 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,080 Speaker 1: I had loved Arizona early in the week, but the 334 00:17:57,119 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 1: COVID stuff scared me. But I'm with you, Dave, Spimy team. 335 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:02,960 Speaker 1: I don't know what to make of him. I feel 336 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:06,159 Speaker 1: like I want to put some futures on them to 337 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:08,720 Speaker 1: win the a f C East in the event that 338 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 1: they win this weekend and Buffalo goes down. But the 339 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 1: reality is like too. I like you watched him against 340 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:18,280 Speaker 1: the Rams, Dave, he just looks so small and scared 341 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:20,520 Speaker 1: in the pocket. I know it's just one game, but 342 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: I didn't come away thinking, Wow, this guy is in 343 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: the class of Burrow or Justin Herbert Well. And I 344 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: think a rookie quarterback actually has an edge playing in 345 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 1: game number one where they have no tape off of, 346 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: no NFL tape to go off of to kind of 347 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 1: know what's gonna be happening. Whereas now this game, Arizona 348 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 1: sitting back and said, Oh, this is what he's gonna do. 349 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 1: This is what he's gonna do, and it's gonna be 350 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:49,560 Speaker 1: a lot tougher for him to duplicate, um, what he 351 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 1: was able to do in that first game. I think 352 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:54,720 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a rough, rough game for him. I 353 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:58,000 Speaker 1: know Chandler Jones he's out to That's a big reason why. 354 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:02,240 Speaker 1: You know Arizona isn't um quite defensively what they could be. 355 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 1: He think toward his bicep a couple of weeks back, 356 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,679 Speaker 1: so he's gone. You mentioned a couple of other players 357 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:09,359 Speaker 1: that there are out. But believe me, I'm not betting 358 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: the Cardinals because I like their defense. I'm betting them 359 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 1: because I think their offense is one of the funnest 360 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:18,000 Speaker 1: to watch. I just love Kyler Murray running around. He said, 361 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,720 Speaker 1: you can't catch him. You know, he's he's small. Who 362 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 1: go under you, He'll go around you. Um, And and 363 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 1: you could throw the ball damn well too. So I 364 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:30,160 Speaker 1: just could see this being you know, forty one twenty. 365 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 1: I mean, this could be an alternate spread for me 366 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: where I'm gonna get some value. Buy it up to 367 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: whatever the key numbers, maybe for you nine and a 368 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,360 Speaker 1: half or thirteen and a half, and try to try 369 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 1: to get some juice out of it instead of just 370 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 1: playing a minus the three and a half or maybe 371 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 1: he ends up minus four. All right, let me ask you, David, 372 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:51,919 Speaker 1: about how do you handle the handicap for Pittsburgh against Dallas. 373 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 1: Pittsburg favorite by fourteen. I have vowed to not bet 374 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:58,360 Speaker 1: double digit favorites this year. It's tough to resist, especially 375 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,359 Speaker 1: against like the Jets and Cowboys who are atrocious. But 376 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:04,199 Speaker 1: I know this is this like the worst spot of 377 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,120 Speaker 1: the year for Pittsburgh. Third straight road game. Okay, they're 378 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 1: coming off the winds over the Titans and the Ravens, 379 00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:12,880 Speaker 1: just two massive wins. You know they've got to be exhausted. 380 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,520 Speaker 1: Now you gotta get up for this garbage Dallas team. 381 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 1: Dallas at quarterback Dalton has Covid. They're not starting Gucci 382 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:23,919 Speaker 1: d Nucci. They're calling up a guy from the practice squad. 383 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:30,160 Speaker 1: It's either gonna be Cooper Rush or Garrett Gilbert. Okay, Dave, 384 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:32,640 Speaker 1: how are they gonna God throw in a guy who 385 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,120 Speaker 1: has not thrown to pass in the NFL this year, 386 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 1: and his first action is against the Steelers, whose front 387 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 1: for is ferocious. They're right there with the top for sacks, 388 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:46,520 Speaker 1: blitz percentage, pressure percentage. Like, this is not fair. But 389 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,200 Speaker 1: I told myself, I can't bid double digit favorites. What 390 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,800 Speaker 1: do you do? Well? I fell for it on Monday 391 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:57,679 Speaker 1: night because looking at the some Tom Brady stats as 392 00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:01,119 Speaker 1: a double digit road favorite, he was five and oh 393 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,440 Speaker 1: against the spread. I'm like, okay, so he knows how 394 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 1: to get these jobs done. Open up a big lead 395 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:10,120 Speaker 1: early managers, game late, and they just came out absolutely flat. 396 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: I don't anticipate the Steelers to come out flat just 397 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:19,840 Speaker 1: because Mike Tomlin is such a good, you know, coach 398 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 1: at getting the Mets across. This is the week. Last 399 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 1: week doesn't matter, the week after this doesn't matter. They 400 00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 1: really do a good job playing week to week. And 401 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 1: if they had the Chiefs next week or something, they 402 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:34,320 Speaker 1: have the Bengals at home, then they have Jacksonville, then 403 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 1: they have Baltimore. So they're a long way away from 404 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,199 Speaker 1: really having a meaningful game. Anyway, so there's really no 405 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:41,680 Speaker 1: reason not to go out there and and take care 406 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,640 Speaker 1: of business here. I think it is gonna be Garrett Gilbert, 407 00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:49,479 Speaker 1: by the way, what we have one year old. I 408 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:51,719 Speaker 1: think he was like a big time high school recruit 409 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,680 Speaker 1: who went to like the University of Texas and I'm 410 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 1: just going off memory here, and then he couldn't really 411 00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,080 Speaker 1: cut it and transferred to like s m U or 412 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,960 Speaker 1: some other school I don't remember. Oh yes, six six 413 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:06,480 Speaker 1: lifetime passes, three for Carolina back in two thousand and 414 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 1: eighteen and three for Cleveland last year. And he's a 415 00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:17,359 Speaker 1: total of forty NFL yards. Congratulations, Yeah, that's but fourteen 416 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 1: on the road here. I don't know. I'm not playing 417 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:22,880 Speaker 1: this game, just not gonna stay. I'm a Steeler fan. 418 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: I'll just sit back and try to make sure that 419 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 1: they win maybe for me. And I know you might 420 00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 1: be considering him as well, if you haven't used him 421 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,119 Speaker 1: yet in the Survivor Pittsburgh in this spot. I know 422 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 1: a lot of people are gonna look in Kansas City 423 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 1: this week, probably because Carolina is coming, and I think 424 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:42,199 Speaker 1: right around the same line minus thirteen or so. But 425 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,320 Speaker 1: I think I'm just gonna use Pittsburgh and Survivor and 426 00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:48,040 Speaker 1: and not playing minus the fourth. Yeah, that that feels 427 00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 1: like a layup. I think I've used them. Um, I 428 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:55,159 Speaker 1: maybe rolling the dice this week and Survivor with the 429 00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:59,479 Speaker 1: Houston Texans. Um, now that you know, I love this 430 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,680 Speaker 1: game on Sunday night when the lines are coming out, Dave, 431 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,440 Speaker 1: and then I've had now three days to chew on it. 432 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:07,680 Speaker 1: Four days here we go and it's like, okay, divisional rematch, 433 00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:12,639 Speaker 1: Texans already beat them, uh and covered and both teams 434 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 1: coming off of by Houston seasons over Um, Houston players 435 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: were discussed during the trade deadline at Jacksonville is going 436 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,640 Speaker 1: to some backup named Jake Luton. Luton, I don't even 437 00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 1: know who that is. Um, we know Jacksonville's tanking. Now 438 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 1: I'm starting to get nervous, like, oh boy, is this 439 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,040 Speaker 1: gonna be a classic, like Deshaun watching Turnover and they're 440 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,439 Speaker 1: in a hole early and now they gotta cover, like 441 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,560 Speaker 1: and I'm starting to worry, like I already bet it. 442 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 1: Unfortunately not a max play, but a significant chunk and 443 00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 1: I'm having buyer's remorse. Um, any thoughts on Houston Jacksonville. 444 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:48,879 Speaker 1: It's not a great game at all. But I feel 445 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,919 Speaker 1: like I thought I had an advantage UM with DeShawn 446 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:58,440 Speaker 1: but maybe not. Well, just sticking with the Survivor talk, 447 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: it's it's Cardinals sin number one for me to use 448 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:08,520 Speaker 1: a divisional road team UM in in Survivor because why 449 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 1: would you use them on the road when you could 450 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:15,879 Speaker 1: have used them at home? So if you're taking Houston 451 00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:19,800 Speaker 1: against Jacksonville, why not do it two or three weeks 452 00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,080 Speaker 1: ago when they won thirteen to to four or thirty 453 00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:26,880 Speaker 1: to fourteen um instead of now? So that would never 454 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 1: be in my radar. As as a Survivor play could be. 455 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:31,479 Speaker 1: It could be a bet. You know, they could go 456 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,760 Speaker 1: in there and win easily and cover you know, seven points. 457 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 1: I think, what's it's the line still sex and a 458 00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:38,679 Speaker 1: half seven. Let me let me just see if it 459 00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:42,159 Speaker 1: was Houston. Yeah, I have Houston. I might have to 460 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 1: make a change. I guess it's up to seven now. Yeah, 461 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 1: oh well I do have Pittsburgh. I didn't realize I 462 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 1: had them left. Okay, but they have. You said the 463 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:56,160 Speaker 1: Bengals next week? Huh Bengals and then at Jacksonville Pittsburgh essentially, 464 00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,359 Speaker 1: I mean easily they're gonna be heavily favored to be tenant. Oh, 465 00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:01,360 Speaker 1: I mean every game, and they're probably gonna be. They're 466 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,280 Speaker 1: gonna be minus fourteen here, they're gonna be probably minus 467 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:08,040 Speaker 1: or would they be against the Bengals at home minus yeah, eleven? Uh? 468 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 1: And then at Jacksonville they're probably gonna be minus. I mean, 469 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 1: if Houston's minus seven at Jacksonville, Pittsburgh would be at 470 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,600 Speaker 1: least minus ten. Yeah, so yeah, Steelers ten and oh 471 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: all right, let me quickly ask you, Dave uh and 472 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:24,160 Speaker 1: we can wrap on this like your thoughts on Bucks Saints, 473 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,440 Speaker 1: because I gotta be honest. As soon as this came out. 474 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:30,560 Speaker 1: I love Tampa, love everything about it. Tampa's peaking Saints 475 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 1: are struggling. Michael Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, revenge spot outdoor game 476 00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 1: for the second week in a row for Drew Brees, 477 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: Um Gronkowski starting to get into the offense three straight 478 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:46,680 Speaker 1: touchdowns in three straight weeks. Godwin should be back. Um. 479 00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 1: I feel like Tampa at home with fans there will 480 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:52,360 Speaker 1: be fans there, has raised its level. We saw them 481 00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,320 Speaker 1: against the Packers just totally smashed up. Was never close. 482 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,080 Speaker 1: I bet Tampa earlier this week and I'm having some 483 00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 1: buyer's remorse. Uh, you know it is. I'm seeing four 484 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 1: and a half. Um, I don't know where are you 485 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,399 Speaker 1: on this game. It's Sunday night football, so it's like 486 00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 1: the Chase spot, so you know, the books are gonna 487 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,560 Speaker 1: inflicate the number a little bit to protect on teasers 488 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: and money lines and everything rolling into this game. Where 489 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,359 Speaker 1: are you on? Bucks Saints? I like the I like 490 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:23,880 Speaker 1: the Saints. You know, they've obviously just been squeaking by 491 00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 1: some spots where they probably shouldn't maybe even have one 492 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,320 Speaker 1: against the Chargers or the Panthers or last week it 493 00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:36,199 Speaker 1: took overtime to to knock off the Bears. But this 494 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 1: is the time of year. You know. They always started 495 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 1: a little bit slow. Sean Payton needs a few weeks 496 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:43,399 Speaker 1: to kind of get everything down in but when they 497 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:47,119 Speaker 1: get rolling, they have a tendency to just run the table, 498 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:52,080 Speaker 1: you know. So I could see them, um, really being 499 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 1: up for this game. And unless you have a super 500 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 1: short term memory, even though yes Tampa was looking ahead, 501 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 1: they look like crap against the Giants. I mean, they 502 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 1: were not doing anything right. Really, they gotta win out 503 00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:08,800 Speaker 1: of it. But if they play like that against the Saints. 504 00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 1: It's it's not going to be pretty. Yeah, this feels 505 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 1: like it could have an impact on home field advantage 506 00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:18,919 Speaker 1: in the playoffs, right, Dave. I mean Saints, if they 507 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 1: win this, that's they're up to on Tampa and that 508 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:24,520 Speaker 1: Seattle obviously in the discussion for that. I don't think 509 00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: the Packers ultimately will be in play for that. But 510 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 1: the reason I think it matters is because Tampa can 511 00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 1: have fans. Tampa hosts the super Bowl, so theoretically Tampa 512 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:38,520 Speaker 1: Bay could if they get home field advantage, stay in 513 00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 1: Tampa throughout the playoffs. Um, and they're getting Antonio Brown back, 514 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,359 Speaker 1: he'll make his debut. Everything, it's just coming up everything 515 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:47,840 Speaker 1: Bucks from me here? Do you trust Drew Brees. That's 516 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:52,800 Speaker 1: a good thing. That's a terrible things human being. But 517 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,800 Speaker 1: you know Antonio Brown is a good player man, Yeah, 518 00:27:57,680 --> 00:28:00,119 Speaker 1: business and be a good teammate. That's the last full 519 00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 1: weeks something he hasn't always been. But we'll see. Yeah, 520 00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:05,720 Speaker 1: I mean Tom Brady is gonna have some serious weapons 521 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:07,240 Speaker 1: through too. Let me just look real quick at the 522 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 1: at the buck schedule here. So they have the Saints, 523 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,439 Speaker 1: then they're at Carolina, and then they host the Rams. 524 00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 1: They do play the Chiefs, but that's at Tampa. Then 525 00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 1: they get there by Minnesota, Atlanta, Detroit, Atlanta, so they 526 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:24,040 Speaker 1: have a pretty easy Minnesota Detroit, Atlanta. Those final three 527 00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:28,880 Speaker 1: teams all have losing records. Cheez, they're looking right. This 528 00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,800 Speaker 1: is kind of their tough stretch here at Saints and 529 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:34,359 Speaker 1: then Panthers, Rams, Chiefs. So the you know, three out 530 00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 1: of the next four are gonna be a little bit 531 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 1: of a jan but absolutely Tampa is looking like a 532 00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:41,240 Speaker 1: deep playoff team. Yeah, it's a big game. I mean, 533 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,320 Speaker 1: I think that's too many points to give the Saints 534 00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:46,040 Speaker 1: four and a half. I don't even remember the Saints 535 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,600 Speaker 1: being an underdog that big in recent history. Yeah, they 536 00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:52,520 Speaker 1: they were favored I think against the Raiders and got it, 537 00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,080 Speaker 1: got beat up pretty bad on Monday Night football. All right, Dave, 538 00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:59,760 Speaker 1: final question here, Who's winning the Super Bowl this year? Well? 539 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:03,320 Speaker 1: Change every week, based done, you know, based on value. 540 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:06,160 Speaker 1: My my original pick before the season started was the Chiefs. 541 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 1: You know, even though they're only around six to one 542 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 1: at that point, I said, look, with COVID and no 543 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:15,400 Speaker 1: preseason and no real way for these new quarterbacks to 544 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 1: get in tune with the new receivers. I want a 545 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,240 Speaker 1: team that has everybody coming back, and that was the 546 00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:23,480 Speaker 1: Chiefs to me. Um Now they're only about three three 547 00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 1: and a half to one. The team that kind of 548 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 1: has um fallen off that I still think needs respect 549 00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,880 Speaker 1: in their odds just increased big time. The Ravens are 550 00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: now tend to one. Ravens have a cupcake schedule the 551 00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 1: rest of this season. They have to play at Pittsburgh 552 00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 1: UM in a few weeks, but other than that, they 553 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: they could absolutely be fourteen and two or thirteen and 554 00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 1: three and have a lot of momentum going to the playoffs. 555 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:51,720 Speaker 1: So I would say right now, if I was to 556 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 1: make a bet based on current odds, the Ravens attend 557 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:57,960 Speaker 1: to one would be to play you know, this Ravens team. 558 00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,280 Speaker 1: They were number one in the league in offense last 559 00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:03,920 Speaker 1: year according to the Football Outsiders, their twentieth this year. 560 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 1: I don't know what it is, but like I mean, 561 00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:10,520 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson goes four games under two hundred yards passing Dan, 562 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: he lays a massive egg against the Steelers. Something feels 563 00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: off about this team, man. I don't know. I don't 564 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:18,040 Speaker 1: know if if the league is has like you know, 565 00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 1: two years of tape now and Lamar, But something feels 566 00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 1: weird about this Ravens team. The defense is very good, 567 00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,920 Speaker 1: uh extremely well, probably gonna keep me off the Colts 568 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 1: this week, but don't you trust that Raiders team right now? 569 00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 1: Or Ravens Sorry, offensively, they have definitely struggled. They have 570 00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:37,720 Speaker 1: really no no groove, no swagger. I mean, I think 571 00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:39,680 Speaker 1: Lamar is trying to carry him like he did last year. 572 00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,960 Speaker 1: He was run the ball when anything went wrong, and 573 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:45,280 Speaker 1: that hasn't necessarily worked this year. I think they need 574 00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:49,360 Speaker 1: to kind of realize that J. K. Dobbins is their 575 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,920 Speaker 1: best running back and just let him go because you 576 00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:56,160 Speaker 1: watch Gus Edwards try to run the ball Ingram's i 577 00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:59,280 Speaker 1: mean washed up right as far as being able to 578 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 1: be what he was a few years ago. But you 579 00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 1: any time to give Dobbins the ball, there just seems 580 00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 1: to be more spark in his step. I think if 581 00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:10,400 Speaker 1: they let Dobbins go and somebody's gonna have to step up. 582 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 1: You know, Hollywood has not had a good year. Um 583 00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,640 Speaker 1: Andrews has been okay, but people expect more out of him, 584 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:18,280 Speaker 1: so they're passing game needs get a little bit better. 585 00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:20,960 Speaker 1: But once that offense gets clicking, and maybe Dobbins will 586 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,160 Speaker 1: be the key to that look out because we know 587 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,200 Speaker 1: their defense is good. All right, Dave Weaver, thanks for 588 00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:27,720 Speaker 1: taking the time. If you want to follow him on 589 00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 1: social media. It's a pretty I'd never heard the phrase, 590 00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:34,920 Speaker 1: Dave before I saw your handle. Ice cold exacta pretty 591 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,840 Speaker 1: corse racing horse racing stuff. And I got to pick 592 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 1: the first and second place finisher. And when you really 593 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:42,600 Speaker 1: love it, it's ice cold. It's like this is all 594 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:44,360 Speaker 1: it can be. So if you like an ice cold 595 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,960 Speaker 1: Super Bowl pick would be whatever, Chiefs and Saints. So 596 00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,040 Speaker 1: it's it's ice cold. It's almost like a certain thing 597 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:52,880 Speaker 1: when you really love it, so you have ice cold 598 00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,640 Speaker 1: ATTACTA find me on Twitter. All right, Dave, thanks a 599 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 1: lot for your time. Man, enjoy the week alright, good 600 00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:58,160 Speaker 1: luck this weekend.