1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan. 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 2: All right, here we go, probably growing out show spect 4 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 2: We're sitting up to cash touchdown. 5 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 6 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 3: go to win. God, that's incredible. Big bank, small bank. 7 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 3: I like to make money. All right, this is the 8 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 3: ultimate Kaba Wanna Pack and we are underway. 9 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:40,919 Speaker 4: Welcome to another edition of the Action Network Podcast. I 10 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:44,599 Speaker 4: am Chris Raybon and I'll be joined shortly by the 11 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 4: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, mister Stuckey. We're gonna break 12 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 4: down all of the NFL betting action for week number 13 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 4: three of the twenty nineteen season. We will, of course 14 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 4: go through our Sunday six pack, which is the sides 15 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 4: that we like the most from a betting angle. Then 16 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 4: we'll run through all the remaining games, just touch on 17 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 4: the sides in those games, give you, guys, our favorite total, 18 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 4: our favorite teaser, our favorite money line parlay, and get 19 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:17,839 Speaker 4: you out of here with our top most confident survivor 20 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 4: pick of the weekend. Of course, first, we're going to 21 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 4: start by previewing the Thursday night football game. 22 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 3: But before we get to that, stuck just wanted to say, 23 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 3: what up, how you doing? How's your week two? It's 24 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 3: going on, brother, grind it out of profit, which is 25 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:34,199 Speaker 3: always a plus. The Bears minus two and a half 26 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 3: was pain full, but I got lucky on a few others. 27 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 3: I had the Ravens under. Still don't know how that hit, 28 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 3: the Vikings Packers under, Still don't know how that hit. 29 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 3: Unders went thirteen and three. You're seeing a lot of 30 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 3: the totals come down because of the holding call increases, 31 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 3: which you know, it was an emphasis of the NFL. 32 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 3: It's something to keep in mind as we continue our 33 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 3: journey to the NFL season. Is there going to be 34 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 3: an overreaction to it. It reminds me a lot of 35 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 3: when they implemented a lead contact, and there's a lot 36 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 3: of changes there, not only in the league, but in 37 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 3: the totals market. On the other side, you saw more overs. 38 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 3: We hit our money line parlay for those of tail, 39 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 3: which is like five six to one Colts and the Seahawks. 40 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 3: So we'll get to that later. But yeah, it was 41 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 3: an overall fun weekend. 42 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 4: Let's begin with Thursday night football. 43 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight. 44 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 3: Let's bet Thursday Night Football. 45 00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 4: And tonight's matchup the one in one Tennessee Titans visiting 46 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 4: the O and two Jacksonville Jaguars. Its Titans are a 47 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 4: one and a half point favorite, getting sixty eight percent 48 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 4: of the bet tickets fifty one percent of the money. 49 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 4: So it looks like some sharp action or are we 50 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:45,839 Speaker 4: some bigger bets coming in on the Jacksonville Jaguars over 51 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:47,119 Speaker 4: under opened. 52 00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 3: At forty one, it is down to thirty nine. 53 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 4: We're seeing sixty eight percent of the bets fifty six 54 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 4: percent of the money on the under, so a little 55 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 4: bit looks like some reverse live movements there. Of course, 56 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 4: you can find all those betting percentages money percentages in 57 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 4: the Action Network app, so go download that if you 58 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 4: haven't already. 59 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 3: What's up with these Jaguars? Yeah, I mean, look that 60 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 3: defense which played out of its mind last week. They 61 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 3: just played really well against the Sean Watson and the 62 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 3: Texans and they just came up just sure. But if 63 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:17,760 Speaker 3: you were recall this team who went oh and to 64 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,799 Speaker 3: last year against the Titans, one which was ninety six 65 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 3: and the other I think was like thirty to nine. 66 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 3: These two games average I think twenty six twenty seven 67 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 3: points total in their two meetings last year. But if 68 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 3: you recall the latest meeting, their most recent meeting last year, 69 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 3: Derrick Henry absolutely pants the Jaguars. He embarrassed them on 70 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 3: national team I believe he was on Thursday night and 71 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 3: he had a ninety nine yard touchdown run the Jaguars 72 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 3: couldn't tackle. I mean it was bad from start to finish. 73 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 3: And this was you know, during the Jaguars slide all 74 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 3: through the end of last season. And they're going to 75 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 3: show up, you know, all this drama with Ramsey looks 76 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 3: like he's going to play, you know, in Gockway's going 77 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 3: to be back, Cam Robinson back at left tackle. I 78 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 3: think this defense shows up after getting embarrassed and if 79 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 3: you can, you know, shut down that Titans running game 80 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 3: and Derrick Henry and that effort is there. I mean, 81 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 3: I can't see them having too much success in the air. 82 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 3: Regardless if AJ Boy plays or not, I'm assuming Ramsey plays. 83 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 3: I just think this is a spot to play the 84 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,159 Speaker 3: Jags at home. You know, I have these teams pretty 85 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:22,599 Speaker 3: similarly rated and Gardner Minshew, he just continues to cover. 86 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 3: He did it all through college. Who is the most 87 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 3: profitable against the spread quarterback. And look this year his numbers, 88 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 3: they're not wowing, but when he has a clean pockets, 89 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:35,799 Speaker 3: he's the sixth best is a six highest passing grade 90 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 3: in the NFL. So you know, there are questions about 91 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 3: the Jags locker room, but you know at Ozero and 92 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 3: two divisional game, if they're getting embarrassed by the Titans 93 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 3: last year, I think the Jags are a play year 94 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 3: plus one and a half plus two. The only thing 95 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:49,479 Speaker 3: I need to decide i'll be on them in some 96 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 3: form or fashion, is if I want to tease them 97 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 3: or not. Because there's such a great teaser piece. You 98 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 3: can tease from one and a half to seven and 99 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 3: a half, so you're going through the three through the 100 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 3: four to three, the six through the seven in a 101 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 3: game that might have eight points. So you know, I 102 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,279 Speaker 3: just have to decide if there's another piece that's I 103 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 3: really want to pair it with or if I'm just 104 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 3: gonna play it straight. But I think you get the 105 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 3: Jags best effort here and I think they match up 106 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 3: pretty well as long as their run defense shows up, 107 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 3: and after last year, I think it does. 108 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 4: I get what you're saying about, you know, Jags kind 109 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 4: of showing up after getting embarrassed. 110 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 3: But I do think it's a tough. 111 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:26,280 Speaker 4: Spot for Minshew because the one thing is, you know, 112 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 4: I think talent and just like the better team tends 113 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 4: to win out on these short weeks. I think, you know, 114 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,600 Speaker 4: you had a week to prepare for this Houston team 115 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 4: the whole You know that they held him in check, 116 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:38,919 Speaker 4: had a great chance to win that game. You know, 117 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 4: respect the decision to try to do that. But now 118 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 4: you're going on a short week. Yes you're at home, 119 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 4: but uh, you know, the Titans have had the Jags number, 120 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 4: and you know, and that's concerning for me because the 121 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:50,720 Speaker 4: Titans have had the Jags number through a lot of 122 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:54,480 Speaker 4: different iterations of this Jag team, from like the Bordos 123 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 4: one right through who is it Cody Kesseler, like all 124 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 4: these different kind of quarterbacks, and through like the best 125 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:03,160 Speaker 4: Jags defense, through like the okay Jags defense, but not. 126 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 3: The great one. 127 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 4: Like now they actually rank in PFS ratings is one 128 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:07,599 Speaker 4: of the worst defenses. 129 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:08,359 Speaker 3: I know they're better than that. 130 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 4: They play two tough offenses, but I just don't know 131 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 4: that the Jags are the better team here. I think 132 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 4: I still have the Titans rated better, but I do 133 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 4: agree with you. They kind of worry met the Titans 134 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 4: as far as covering, so what I actually took them 135 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 4: on the money line. I think they win the game. 136 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 4: It could be by one. 137 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 3: I don't know. 138 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 4: I just think they win the game. I think the 139 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 4: Jags will play better defense. I think it will be 140 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:29,920 Speaker 4: a low scoring game. You can kind of see why 141 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 4: that over under has ticked down. So unless there's like 142 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 4: a defensive score, which there I think there was in 143 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 4: the last one actually, but as long as there's no 144 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 4: defensive score, this one probably stays under. But I do 145 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 4: like the Titans. I just think it's tough on a 146 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 4: short week for Gardner Minshew. 147 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean last year in their meeting when they 148 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 3: lost thirty to nine, that was at Tennessee. They were 149 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 3: catching five and a half points. That was with Cody 150 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 3: Kessler quarterback. I think Minshew's a little better than Kessler. 151 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 3: You know, if you just take that line and extrapol 152 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 3: at home field and just assume it's three points each week, way, 153 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 3: you know, the Jags should be a short favorite here. 154 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 4: The Titans were, and I would say were they are 155 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 4: underrated for like years now because they keep going, they 156 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 4: keep finishing with winning records. 157 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 3: No one ever expects it. 158 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 4: Like even looking back at like a spread from last year, like, 159 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 4: I think that probably sells the Titans short as well 160 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 4: compared to what they really are capable of. These teams 161 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 4: are both tough, especially the Titans. I think they surprised people. 162 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 4: You know, when you think they're gonna win, they lose. 163 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 4: When you think they're gonna lose, they win. But I 164 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 4: do think they're the better team. 165 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 3: I disagree in principle just slightly. But that's why. You know, 166 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 3: in last year, Henry in that game by the seventeen 167 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 3: carries for two hundred and thirty eight yards and four touchdowns. 168 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 3: That's why it might just be a great teaser piece. 169 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 3: You just take whatever dog was plus one and a 170 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 3: half in this game, teasing me over seven and a half. 171 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 3: I mean, that's probably the best teaser spot of the week. No. 172 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, And that's why again I didn't take the Titans 173 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 4: even on a short on the short spread. I still 174 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 4: took the money line just because I could easily see 175 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 4: like a fifteen to fourteen win for the Titans or 176 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 4: something like that. So it's a tough game to handicap. 177 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 4: It is going to be a defense game. I think 178 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 4: that's probably probably more confident in that than anything else. 179 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 3: And that brings us. 180 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 4: The coaches pep Talk, and today's pep Talk is dedicated 181 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 4: to the O and to Jacksonville Jaguars, specifically Doug Maroon. 182 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 3: Doug Maroon at least now two and fourteen in his 183 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 3: last sixteen regular season games. 184 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 4: Pep Talk comes to us from Western University's Pete Bell 185 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 4: from the movie I'm sure you all know, Blue Chips. 186 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 4: You keep playing the way you're playing, we're gonna get 187 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:28,760 Speaker 4: an ass feed again to night. 188 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 3: I don't stopped right now, Doug Maroon. 189 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 4: Don't get you ass beat by Jalen Ramsey by setting 190 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 4: him again before you end up trading them. 191 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 3: Don't get him hurt out there. 192 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 4: But let's now get in to the main event, our 193 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 4: Sunday six. 194 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 5: Pack Thursday for action. Let's crack Elton the Sunday six Pack. 195 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 3: So stuck. 196 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 4: You caught up to me as you said you would. 197 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 4: We're tied four to four. Last week you got three points. 198 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 4: You hit your two pointer for green Bay minus three. 199 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 3: I don't know how, ask Kirk Cousins. 200 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:09,480 Speaker 4: I guess, and you also hit the under in that 201 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 4: same game. My only hit was Atlanta plus two. Unfortunately, 202 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 4: the powerhouse Miami Dolphins just couldn't get it done despite 203 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 4: being the superior team against the new England patron. No, 204 00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 4: I'm joking, but it looked like it had hope for 205 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 4: a second, and then Ryan Fitzpatrick was like, nope, I'm 206 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 4: throwing the ball to the other team. 207 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 3: Four four. 208 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 4: In case you guys aren't familiar, how this works is 209 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 4: we each give our three favorite sides, our three favorite picks, 210 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,680 Speaker 4: we draft them, and our first one is worth two, 211 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 4: our other two are worth one, and then we also 212 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 4: do a total and we get a point for that 213 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 4: if we hit that. And the one thing which will 214 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 4: come into play today is we can take opposite sides 215 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 4: of the same game. 216 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 3: I think we might do that today. So just a 217 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 3: little tease. We've been talking and I know one of 218 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:52,960 Speaker 3: your sides and I think I'm gonna go against it, 219 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 3: but we'll say my first pick. And by the way, 220 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 3: we do rotate each week, so I start started week one, 221 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 3: for start of week two, obviously start three. And look, 222 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 3: I said I was going to catch in two weeks. 223 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 3: If you keep picking the Dolphins as your top pick. 224 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 3: You know who I'm starting with this week. I'm going 225 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 3: and I got them plus seven minus one thirteen on 226 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 3: the app. But out whatever it is, well, you know 227 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:15,360 Speaker 3: we after the podcast drops on Thursday, we take with 228 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 3: the Lions are plus six and a half plus six. 229 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,960 Speaker 3: I'm taking the Lions as my top pick. I mean, 230 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 3: if you look at this Eagles injury report, it looks 231 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 3: like a CBS receipt. A quarter a quarter of their 232 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:34,079 Speaker 3: roster is on it, you know, including you know, godd Ter, Jeffrey, Jackconent. 233 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 3: It looks doesn't look like Jeffrey and Jackson are going 234 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 3: to play. You know, they've already lost Journigan and Jackson 235 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 3: on the D line, and their D line was one 236 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 3: of their strengths, like the depth of it. They haven't 237 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 3: been getting pressure either, which is very odd because they 238 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 3: played Washington and Atlanta, two horrible offensive lines. And if 239 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 3: they're not getting pressure, and a lot of it's been scheme. 240 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 3: Atlanta was getting the ball out quick, you know, they 241 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,959 Speaker 3: were using just you know, misdirection and movement. I think 242 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:58,559 Speaker 3: the Lions can do that too. They're going to spread 243 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 3: out and Daryl Bevil's st and they have a lot 244 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 3: of talent. You know, Galladay can have a big day 245 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:04,079 Speaker 3: because if they're not getting pressure and you're getting the 246 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 3: ball off quick, the Eagles secondary is showing that they 247 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 3: are not that good. 248 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 4: Like this is like a fantasy thing, but like if 249 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 4: you play fantasy, if you bet props even you know, 250 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 4: bang the overs start guys in dfs against the Eagles, 251 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 4: especially the number one wide receiver on the opposing team. 252 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:23,680 Speaker 4: I mean, look at Julio Jones was ranked my number 253 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 4: one wide receiver last week. 254 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 3: You so already did you just book it? 255 00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 4: Against the Eagles, the other team's number one wide receiver 256 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 4: is going to have a day. 257 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 3: They're not a pure man team. They might be playing 258 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 3: more man so that they can get Jenkins on Howkinson, 259 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 3: who's a studd, and that they do that's just going 260 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:39,080 Speaker 3: to open it up even more. I mean, they're just 261 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 3: you know there. And I really like the interior of 262 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 3: the Detroit offensive line, which I think is huge. It'll 263 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 3: give Stafford some time, but I think he's going to 264 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 3: be getting a ball out quick. And you know, this 265 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 3: Lion's team, you know, I kind of like some of 266 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:54,040 Speaker 3: the things that they're doing. They're gonna their defense looks 267 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 3: a lot like the Patriots. You know it's Matt Patricia's. 268 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 3: They're gonna play a lot of man and they have 269 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 3: capable corners, right, they have one of the best corners 270 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 3: in the NFL and Darius Slave as far as man 271 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:05,600 Speaker 3: is concerned, Rashon Melvin. He has some size on the outside. 272 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:07,440 Speaker 3: And I'm thinking, all right, can they match up with 273 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 3: Jackson and Jeffrey. But it looks like they're gonna be out. 274 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 3: You're talking Nelson Aguilar or Sega white side. 275 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 4: No one's mentioning mac Collins, who, by the way, played 276 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:16,960 Speaker 4: over ar Theigo white side, like he's the next guy up. 277 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 3: It's gonna be I mean, you want to put mc. 278 00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:20,199 Speaker 6: Collins and they're fine, but I mean Justin Coleman is 279 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 6: also a good nickel slot or wherever you put on. 280 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:24,959 Speaker 6: So I like the Detroit Now they might not be covered. 281 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 6: They might be able to cover Ertz. So fantasy guys 282 00:12:27,600 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 6: out there, Ertz might have a huge day and one 283 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 6: hundred targets. I you know that's not my specialty. 284 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 3: But I went back to Detroit defensive line, like their 285 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,559 Speaker 3: rotation is is crazy. Especially I think they're gonna get 286 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:40,319 Speaker 3: hand back. You know, they're probably gonna get Davis back, 287 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 3: their captain at linebacker, but you got Flowers Okora, and 288 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:46,439 Speaker 3: then really it comes down to this just under manned 289 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:50,240 Speaker 3: Eagles team across the board, but especially on offense and 290 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 3: if they're questionable. There was a quote out there from 291 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 3: Doug Peterson who said, look, I gotta worry about this 292 00:12:56,280 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 3: whole season and the next two weeks. And they have 293 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 3: the Packers on Thursday night. So if they're leaning on 294 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 3: you know, all right, should he go? Should he not? 295 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:04,679 Speaker 3: I bet you they're going to air on the side 296 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 3: of cost most of these guys with the Packers like 297 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 3: five days after this game, So I think the Lions 298 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:12,319 Speaker 3: make this really close, and I think the Lions might 299 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,719 Speaker 3: outright pull off an upset. So I ended up one 300 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:16,960 Speaker 3: of my favorite bets. 301 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 4: Actually wrote it up in our staff Favorite Bets column 302 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:22,880 Speaker 4: on actionnetwork dot Com for this week. Kind of arrived 303 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 4: at it a little after the show, so I didn't 304 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 4: get to say it, but was the under in that 305 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,200 Speaker 4: Chargers Lions game, and a big reason was I thought 306 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 4: the Lions defense was improved. And I actually got this 307 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 4: line at plus eight when it dropped, So I'm actually 308 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:38,600 Speaker 4: right with you on board with this Lions pick. It 309 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 4: is down to six', Five but, YEAH i think it's 310 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 4: still probably selling them short as far as what kind 311 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 4: of of team they. 312 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:46,199 Speaker 3: Are let's, Good Matt patrici's some, credit you. 313 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 4: KNOW i think this is a team that you, know 314 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 4: entering year to they knew they had to, improve and 315 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 4: you expected them to be better on. 316 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:53,200 Speaker 3: Defense AND i think you're starting to see that take. 317 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:54,959 Speaker 4: SHAPE i, mean even though they kind of came With 318 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 4: arizona come back on them in week, one you kind 319 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 4: of expect, that and they held their ground once they 320 00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:01,640 Speaker 4: got to. Overtime you, know they didn't lose the, game 321 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:05,839 Speaker 4: even though they choked it. Away right, now, now really 322 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 4: what we just need to see is what we think 323 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 4: we can we are going to, see which is that 324 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 4: offense have a day against that that ego secondary that 325 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:14,199 Speaker 4: can be. Exploited so, again that line is moving. Down 326 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 4: by the time you hear, this if you're out, there 327 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,400 Speaker 4: it might even be down a. Six so probably would 328 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 4: jump on it if you agree sooner rather than. Later 329 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 4: for my first, Pick i'm going with The Cincinnati bengals 330 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 4: plus six against the my Your, Bengals And i'm just 331 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:31,680 Speaker 4: gonna say, this like everything you, said about why you 332 00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 4: Love Zach taylor and why you bet on The bengals 333 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 4: last week THAT i was, LIKE. 334 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 3: I don't know. 335 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 4: That NOW i think it applies like, now like these 336 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:40,520 Speaker 4: things just have a way in THE. Nfl you, know 337 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 4: teams come, out come out strong one, week then they kind, 338 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 4: of you, know, what their foot off the gas a little. 339 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 4: BIT i think everyone was Given cincinnati a ton of, 340 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 4: Credit zach a ton of credit for that one point. 341 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 4: Lost but if you look at last week and AND 342 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 4: i think this line got inflated because it came out 343 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 4: and since he was a four and a half point 344 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 4: underdog now it's up to. SIX i think it got 345 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 4: inflated because everyone's, like well they got blown out By San. 346 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 3: Francisco, well if you look at that, game there. 347 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 4: Are a lot of things that just hard to, Repeat 348 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:08,280 Speaker 4: like even if you, tried like they. Missed the official 349 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 4: counts are somewhere between twelve and fifteen, tackles so, yeah, 350 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:15,480 Speaker 4: yeah and like their own coach had them marked down 351 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 4: like for like it was like some ridiculous number like 352 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 4: two hundred yards after contact on like between runs and 353 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 4: passes with all the. Mistackles LIKE i think the official 354 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 4: numbers are a bit, less but because they define it, 355 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:29,640 Speaker 4: differently but either, way a ton of like there's one 356 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 4: play Where Matt breeder literally should have been stuffed for 357 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 4: a three yard loss and duked like six Different bengals 358 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 4: at thirty yard, Gains so, like there are a lot 359 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 4: of things in that game that didn't, repeat but They 360 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 4: the thing about it, is as you're a little too 361 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 4: last episode stuck in week when they were. 362 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 3: Good they were good at, tackling they were good at gap. 363 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 4: Containment they held The seahawks team that we expected to 364 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 4: do a lot more than than squeak out a twenty 365 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 4: one twenty victory in. 366 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 3: Check and, now you, know kind OF i. 367 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 4: Love to go read the local, reports and you, know 368 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 4: that's kind of HOW i start my. RESEARCH i started 369 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 4: read about all the, teams what the what they're saying, 370 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 4: locally what the coaches are, saying what are the points 371 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 4: of emphasis in a given, Week and it's all. 372 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 3: Tackling this is not who we. Are we know, that 373 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 3: AND i expect to see a different. 374 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:12,560 Speaker 4: Team AND i think you're kind of you're also getting 375 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 4: this artificial inflation from the fact that AND i talked 376 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 4: about this in Our Action networkgretting guys like The giants 377 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 4: pass defense is JUST i mean, historically like like everyone 378 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 4: knows The, dolphins but like This giants defense might be. 379 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 4: There so Love Josh allen last, week loved them IN, 380 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 4: dfs loved them just, period any type of way you 381 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 4: can invest in. Them but the bottom line is He's 382 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 4: he's still a. 383 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 3: Guy that is WHY i would have turned the ball. 384 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 4: Over but This buffalo team not a team, that, like you, 385 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:40,120 Speaker 4: know they have some better pieces in last year on, 386 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 4: offense but there's not a team oh my, god they're 387 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 4: going to break a ton of, tackles especially if you 388 00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,640 Speaker 4: have a Focused bengal team that's, like you, know really 389 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 4: kind of paying attention to to containing and too bringing 390 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 4: guys down into play in front of metal. 391 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 3: Football SO i think this game kind of has a 392 00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 3: whole different. 393 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 4: SCRIPT i don't think The bengals are that team that 394 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 4: gives up forty plus every. 395 00:16:58,200 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 3: WEEK i think they're more like. 396 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 4: The one you so weak Against, Seattle AND i Think 397 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 4: buffalo is an improved. 398 00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:04,160 Speaker 3: Team have a lot of respect For sean. 399 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 4: McDermott do not think they should be six point, favorites 400 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 4: even if they're at. HOME i think the line probably 401 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 4: was even a wind on and flated when it came 402 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:13,439 Speaker 4: out at four and a. HALF i think this is 403 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 4: more like your, classic you, know maybe a tiny bit 404 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:18,159 Speaker 4: better than three in favor of The bill was like 405 00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 4: three five or. 406 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:22,439 Speaker 3: So SO i love The bengals plus six this. Week, 407 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 3: YEAH i don't hate. IT i, mean IF i had 408 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 3: to go one, way that's WHERE i. Go that's my 409 00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 3: notes for this. Game like what BEFORE i dug into, 410 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 3: IT i was, like can The bengals? Tackle BECAUSE i 411 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 3: watched that. Game, yeah a lot of it was on 412 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:34,840 Speaker 3: one of the screens because we had read this one 413 00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:37,120 Speaker 3: game in the that game because So i'm In, lexington 414 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 3: that's the local. Team and THEN i checked their tackling 415 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 3: grade is thirty two to, six worst in the league 416 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:43,679 Speaker 3: through two. Weeks so, YEAH i agree that a lot 417 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 3: of that is, effort you, know and if that's the 418 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 3: point of that physist and, yeah this is Just, look 419 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 3: The bills have beat the Two New york, teams including three. 420 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 4: Probably two to three to five worst teams in the. 421 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:56,439 Speaker 4: League and again it's like it goes back to what we. 422 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,119 Speaker 3: Lost against The jets. Easily they still kind of stole that. Game, 423 00:17:59,200 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 3: yeah and. 424 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 4: It's LIKE i think it's a some for for people 425 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 4: out there when like when you when you're trying to figure, out, 426 00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 4: okay like what's repeatable what's, Not like, penalties big, plays 427 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 4: things like that tend to. 428 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 3: Right fumbles like who recovers the? Fumble those things go 429 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:13,960 Speaker 3: to revert to the. 430 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 4: Means so, like even if you're out there and you think, like, 431 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,280 Speaker 4: hey you, Know i'm putting in the, Work i'm watching these. 432 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:20,440 Speaker 4: Games this team looks, Terrible like the whole thing Is 433 00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 4: like a lot of the things they're either correctable or 434 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 4: just difficult to repeat in the first. Place that's when 435 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 4: you usually want to kind of back the other. Side so, like, 436 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 4: yeah The bengals got embarrassed at, home now they're on the. 437 00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:32,840 Speaker 3: Road everyone's, like oh, no they can't do those are 438 00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 3: two and The bills. Covered, yeah artificial. Inflation these things are. 439 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:40,879 Speaker 4: CORRECTABLE i still have a lot of respects for The, 440 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 4: bills but they should not be six point. 441 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:45,280 Speaker 3: Favorites who you got next? Stuff, yep completely, greats But 442 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 3: bengals are nothing. There my second, Pick i'm going with My, 443 00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:50,879 Speaker 3: ravens WHO i also got if you follow me on 444 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 3: the app plus? Seven uh that They coul's down to 445 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:57,440 Speaker 3: six and a half still like it. There look look 446 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,159 Speaker 3: out for The Desert, eagle you, know for those you 447 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:01,679 Speaker 3: don't know With Desert, eagles it's the name of The 448 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 3: ravens formation and. Offense it's the you, know the most 449 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,720 Speaker 3: powerful pistol in the, WORLD i, believe but you KNOW 450 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:08,520 Speaker 3: rbo last week they only ran like five or six, 451 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 3: times but they're running this pistol with just so much. 452 00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 3: Muscle they're running three usually three tight, ends a full, 453 00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,359 Speaker 3: back and they're throwing out of. It they're running out of, 454 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 3: it and then they're setting up their play. Action they're 455 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 3: setting Up jackson. Runs there's a lot of ton of 456 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:25,159 Speaker 3: motion play, action and teams don't have six quarters of. 457 00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 3: Film SO i do think eventually you know these, formations 458 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,720 Speaker 3: then they're running over seventy plays a game on. Average 459 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:33,159 Speaker 3: but its. Defensives we'll start to get find out some 460 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 3: tendencies on with these, formations but they don't have much 461 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 3: to go off of right. Now AND i still think 462 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 3: you can run right at The, chiefs you can run 463 00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 3: it right down their, throat you can throw over the 464 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,200 Speaker 3: middle of the. Field Mark, ANDREWS i think is the 465 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,760 Speaker 3: highest rated offensive player By Pro Football focus so far this. 466 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 3: Year yards per route. Run It's Hollywood brown number, One 467 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,920 Speaker 3: Mark andrews number. Two so This raven's offense is, rolling 468 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,919 Speaker 3: and you know their defense has some issues in the. 469 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 3: Secondary you, Know Jimmy, smith it's. Hert Tavon young is, 470 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:04,679 Speaker 3: hert so you know there's been some communication. Issues you 471 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:07,040 Speaker 3: Have Earl thomas in, there who's a stud THAT i, 472 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 3: love but you know he's a new, piece you. Know 473 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 3: and then you have you, Know Anthony avert at one, 474 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 3: Corner Marlon humphrey is a stud on the, other and 475 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 3: Then carr WHO i trust that. Slot but there's just 476 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,919 Speaker 3: they were missing some. Assignments SO i do think The 477 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 3: chiefs will Get. Theirs but, look This chief's offense is banged. 478 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 3: Up you, Know Eric fisher is, out you know his. 479 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,880 Speaker 3: REPLACEMENT i Believe ingram was great in past blocking last, 480 00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 3: week but he WAS i think it was the number 481 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:31,439 Speaker 3: one rate of pass blocking, tackle but he was the 482 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 3: worst run blocking. Tackle SO i don't think that they're 483 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 3: getting anything on the, ground especially Considering Dexter williams is 484 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:38,680 Speaker 3: out and it looks Like leshawn McCoy might be, out 485 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 3: so they're down to. UH i Believe darwin as their their, 486 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 3: back McCoy might go real. GOOD i Mean. 487 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,360 Speaker 4: Darwin's, like, well if you had a ranked number three 488 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,119 Speaker 4: backs in the, LEAGUE i Think darwin probably would be number. 489 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,920 Speaker 4: One and then their backup is Who Daryl williams would 490 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 4: be in there, Too and Actually Darrel williams played ahead. 491 00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,760 Speaker 3: Of darwin last, week so that's that was. Interesting that is. 492 00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 3: Interesting and then obviously you know That Tyreek hill is, 493 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:02,160 Speaker 3: out but you know they still have some talent of wide. 494 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:05,560 Speaker 3: Receiver but this isn't a fully Stacked Kansas city. Deck 495 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,520 Speaker 3: The chiefs will get. There they've scored twenty five or 496 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,200 Speaker 3: more in AN nfl record twenty four straight, games which 497 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 3: is an Amazing but one of the wild cards here 498 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 3: is it might be. Raining you, know it's gonna be 499 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 3: like twelve mile per hour and it might be. Downpour 500 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 3: it's gonna be depending on an hour two but it's 501 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 3: sposed to rain all. Day SO i just think this 502 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 3: is too many. POINTS i you, know as a RAVENSAND 503 00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:28,639 Speaker 3: i hope The ravens. Win you, KNOW i got to 504 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 3: pick For Action network the games who wins. HOUR i 505 00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:32,200 Speaker 3: Think i'm gonna pick The. CHIEFS i think The chief's 506 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:34,199 Speaker 3: gonna close. Them but it's, seven which is way too, 507 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:36,439 Speaker 3: high especially with The chiefs injuries and the way This 508 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:38,880 Speaker 3: baltimore offense is. ROLLING i think this is the best 509 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 3: game On sunday by. Far should be highly. 510 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 4: Entertaining, YEAH i Mean Lamar jackson dropped a dime Into 511 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 4: Markeith brown's bucket Like brown was. 512 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:53,399 Speaker 3: Panhandling like that was. AMAZING i wasn't expecting this accuracy 513 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 3: right on. 514 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,879 Speaker 4: A third down to win the football game. Essentially, NOW 515 00:21:58,200 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 4: i think this game is interesting for a number of, 516 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 4: reason one being arrowhead unders in The Andy reid era 517 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,679 Speaker 4: thirty three eighteen and one sixty five percent hit. 518 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:08,399 Speaker 3: Rate the under a has. Hit now you alluded to 519 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:09,359 Speaker 3: the rain and. 520 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 4: Whatnot my thing is if the weather is impacting a, 521 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 4: TEAM i think it impacts The ravens. More and that 522 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 4: sounds weird because they're the more they're the better running. 523 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 4: Team but here's the, Thing, Patrick like When fisher went 524 00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 4: down last, Week Patrick, mahomes you now how he compensated for. 525 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:27,159 Speaker 4: That he just backed up more in the pocket and 526 00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 4: he has the arm. 527 00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:29,159 Speaker 3: To where he can't just. 528 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 4: Back it's like you remember old School madden when like 529 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,160 Speaker 4: people that like were like didn't really know how to read, 530 00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,199 Speaker 4: coverages would just like drop back super far and just 531 00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:39,639 Speaker 4: throw like bullets like That's Patrick mahomes in real. Life 532 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 4: SO i worry that if The ravens can't score quite as, 533 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 4: much because you, Know Lamar, jackson he's. HE i don't 534 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 4: know if his arm can do that the Way mahomes. 535 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 4: Can BUT i do think that The ravens could also 536 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 4: win this game BECAUSE i think they are at this 537 00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 4: point probably a top three team in this. LEAGUE i, 538 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 4: mean you have The, chiefs you have The. Patriots The 539 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:02,040 Speaker 4: rams look kind of. SHAKY i don't. KNOW i don't 540 00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:04,000 Speaker 4: know where they are. Exactly have to see. Them maybe 541 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,440 Speaker 4: after this we can get a better. Idea but this 542 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,879 Speaker 4: is a tough one for me to. Handicap SO i 543 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 4: haven't placed any wages on, it BUT i am excited about. 544 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,880 Speaker 3: It it's this, game, man it could. Go it could 545 00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:16,480 Speaker 3: go any which. Way i'm not going to PRETEND i know. 546 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 3: ALL i will pretend THAT i do know That Justin 547 00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,320 Speaker 3: tucker will make his field. Goal i'm Predicting Earld thomas 548 00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 3: gets a. Pick remember, though wind interesting. WEATHER i mean 549 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 3: that just not That tucker doesn't, matter it. 550 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,840 Speaker 4: Matters but if there's anything that adds an intriguing element 551 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:30,199 Speaker 4: to the. 552 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,080 Speaker 3: Special teams teams doing all. 553 00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 4: Though oh, yeah and that might decide who, KNOWS i, 554 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:36,400 Speaker 4: mean very intriguing. Game, Yeah i'm gonna let you take 555 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:37,399 Speaker 4: that plus seven. 556 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 3: And hope that the uh boy homes gets it. 557 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:42,920 Speaker 4: Done you, know he's been MY dfs cash game play 558 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 4: and hasn't disappointed to this. 559 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 3: Point are you going to be it? Again with the? 560 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 4: WEATHER i might want to go down to someone, else 561 00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:50,080 Speaker 4: but then it's Like i'm. NOT i don't want to 562 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:51,200 Speaker 4: Play Jameis winston And. 563 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 3: Jackson we try to get guys at. 564 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 4: Home unless they're like like a rushing. Threat so, yeah 565 00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,439 Speaker 4: Like jackson would probably be in play more more Than. 566 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 3: Stafford but but, YEAH i gotta see. 567 00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 4: It that's WHY i kind of do that article Like 568 00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 4: thursday night reading Into, friday try to get the injuries. 569 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:07,800 Speaker 3: And the weather as close AS i. 570 00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:11,399 Speaker 4: Can but let's move on to my next, pick which 571 00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 4: is going to be The i'll go with The Houston 572 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:17,160 Speaker 4: texans plus three and a. HALF i think they might 573 00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:18,840 Speaker 4: be down a. THREE i got him at three and a, 574 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,879 Speaker 4: half but, OKAY i think they can win this game 575 00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 4: outright against The. Chargers first of, ALL i think people 576 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:27,440 Speaker 4: are going to kind of be scared off by the fact, 577 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 4: that you, Know houston only. One they could a lost 578 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:33,400 Speaker 4: last week to The jaguars With Gardner, vinshew The jaguars 579 00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:37,199 Speaker 4: can kind of combat The texans, strength which at this 580 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:40,680 Speaker 4: point is throwing the, football AND i think The charges 581 00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 4: were in position to do that a lot more, before. 582 00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:44,639 Speaker 3: You, Know Derwin james went. 583 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 4: Down Now Adrian phillips is out and then yeah they 584 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,359 Speaker 4: got The chargers can rush the. Passer But Laramie tunsel 585 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:54,439 Speaker 4: does help kind of negate some of that we've, seen you, 586 00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 4: Know Deshaun. Watson, yeah he's been under the, rest but 587 00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:58,479 Speaker 4: not quite to the level that he was last. YEAR 588 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,359 Speaker 4: i think this is a Better houston. Team Kenny, stills my, 589 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:04,159 Speaker 4: Boy Kenny stills actually rated the number one receiver in 590 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,439 Speaker 4: the league BY pff through two, weeks even though you, 591 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 4: know the numbers haven't been you, know eye. POPPING i 592 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,200 Speaker 4: think he adds a big. Element Q t is healthy 593 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,119 Speaker 4: and on the other, side When chargers are banged up 594 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:17,640 Speaker 4: on offense, too you, Know Mike williams not one hundred. Percent, 595 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:21,920 Speaker 4: uh you, know obviously Without Melvin, Gordon eckler has looked. 596 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:23,879 Speaker 4: Good but you, know how long can he hold up 597 00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,080 Speaker 4: To you, know he's kind of a small. Guy how 598 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:27,720 Speaker 4: can how long can he hold up to twenty? Touches 599 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 4: you know did get banged banged around at the goal 600 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:33,720 Speaker 4: line and fumbled last. Week SO i like The texans 601 00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,880 Speaker 4: in this, game and teams like this just tend to get. 602 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,240 Speaker 4: Overrated i'm not a big trends, guy but if you 603 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 4: look at our Bet lab, software you know when teams 604 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:46,000 Speaker 4: failed to cover the previous, week both teams Which houston 605 00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:49,159 Speaker 4: AND la both failed to cover the road underdog one 606 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,800 Speaker 4: fifteen ninety three and six against the spread since two 607 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 4: thousand and three fifty eight forty and two when they 608 00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 4: are an underdog of four points or. Less SO i 609 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 4: think the trends are growing in your. FAVOR i think 610 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 4: this team In houston is a more talented, team by the. 611 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:06,640 Speaker 4: WAY i, mean, yeah teams get three points for home, 612 00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:08,679 Speaker 4: field but there's no home field in that. WAY i 613 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 4: mean there's really. Nothing so give Me houston plus three. 614 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 4: FIVE i think it will get down to. THREE i 615 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 4: would think about also taking the money line on this 616 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:18,119 Speaker 4: game as, Well but how do you feel about that? 617 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 3: One, YEAH i finally get some disagreement. Here the line 618 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,560 Speaker 3: is about. RIGHT i still have to do some digging, 619 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:25,679 Speaker 3: there but these teams are really similar in that a 620 00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 3: quarterback who can sling it around a star. Receiver, Right 621 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,200 Speaker 3: so you Have Keenan allen and you, know you Know 622 00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 3: hopkins on the other, side two atrocious offensive. LINES i 623 00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 3: know you just want to say The Laramie tunsel is 624 00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,240 Speaker 3: going to fix this offensive. Line, YEA i didn't want 625 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:38,560 Speaker 3: say to fix. It i'm just, saying like they were. 626 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,440 Speaker 3: Help there's still thirty, second they're thirty second in Adjusted, 627 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:45,880 Speaker 3: Sachray they've given up ten. Sacks he was under duress 628 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 3: all last. Week and both teams have a defense line 629 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:52,440 Speaker 3: that's going to take advantage of each other's offensive. Line, 630 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 3: Right So ingram And bosa against these. Tackles on the other, 631 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,080 Speaker 3: side you have you, Know merciless And watt and you 632 00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 3: know they're the charters off the. LINE i still say 633 00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:05,119 Speaker 3: is you know with their tackles right, now With scott And, 634 00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 3: tevy it was the worst tackles in. Football so what 635 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:09,160 Speaker 3: this comes down to to? Me AND i Know phillips 636 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:13,560 Speaker 3: is out And james he's was Replacing. James you, know 637 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 3: it doesn't really hurt as much this. MATCHUP i don't. 638 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,000 Speaker 3: KNOW i, Mean heyward's gonna Shadow, hopkins how about and 639 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,160 Speaker 3: he do we give up To gawedy last? Week, look 640 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 3: it's just one. Game he's still one of the. Best 641 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:24,639 Speaker 3: he's still on the best. Corner and then you have 642 00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,879 Speaker 3: the best slock, corner one of the best stock owners 643 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 3: a king Now fuller could have a huge day because 644 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,000 Speaker 3: that's really where the charters are, lacking in that second 645 00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:36,280 Speaker 3: corner on the. OUTSIDE i don't. KNOW i Think allen 646 00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 3: has a better matchup Than hopkins and at top of 647 00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,440 Speaker 3: two similar teams that might decide. It But i'm not 648 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 3: SAYING i love the. Charters that's just my thoughts on the. 649 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:46,040 Speaker 3: Game but here's my. Thing like you, said, okay they 650 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:47,560 Speaker 3: both have good. Quarterbacks the number one. 651 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,879 Speaker 4: Fevers the difference is one of their quarterbacks can escape 652 00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:52,639 Speaker 4: and make off script plays the others. 653 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 3: Can't you also have the fact That Darren fells And. 654 00:27:56,240 --> 00:28:00,119 Speaker 4: Aikens, yes there's quote unquote starting tight ends, platoon whatever 655 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:03,119 Speaker 4: you want to call. It but WITH qt, healthy this 656 00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:05,160 Speaker 4: is a team that could just split you out four 657 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 4: wide and Put Duke johnson in the backfield and have 658 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,119 Speaker 4: him his a motion piece, Too so this is a 659 00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,159 Speaker 4: team if they see That chargers secondary is, THIN i 660 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,240 Speaker 4: think they come out and spread them, out and that 661 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:16,880 Speaker 4: will be a problem because it's not just that they're 662 00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,960 Speaker 4: week at second. Corner their cornerback depth and their secondary 663 00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,280 Speaker 4: depth is. Weak AND qt is still one of the 664 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,399 Speaker 4: better whatever you want to call, it third fourth receivers 665 00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,480 Speaker 4: in the. League AND i just Mentioned Kenny, stills who 666 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 4: is the number one rated receiver By Pro Football. Focus 667 00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:32,360 Speaker 4: so like this team will POSE i think more problems 668 00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:34,159 Speaker 4: to The chargers and The charges can pose to. 669 00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 3: Them you make a good point with. It if they 670 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:37,440 Speaker 3: do come out and spread them, out there's that there 671 00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 3: could be some problems for The. Chargers but for you fantasy, 672 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 3: people don't take my fantasy, advice but don't START qt 673 00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 3: As king is a stud in the. 674 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 4: Oh, NO i agree with. That, yeah he's, no he's 675 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 4: a really good. Player BUT i mean that's the whole 676 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:49,920 Speaker 4: thing with used to this. Year they ACTUALLY i, mean for, 677 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,080 Speaker 4: now until everyone you know meets at the hospital by week, 678 00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,760 Speaker 4: four they're healthy right. NOW i think it is a 679 00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 4: similar situation to two shaky o, lines two good, quarterbacks 680 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:00,680 Speaker 4: two to our number one. 681 00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 3: Receivers the difference IS i Think, houston. 682 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,560 Speaker 4: RIGHT i just Think houston has a little more depth 683 00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,760 Speaker 4: at spots where where they can like inflict damage to the. 684 00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:09,920 Speaker 4: Opponent obviously love it at three to five a lot 685 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,520 Speaker 4: more than. Three but even, SO i THINK i Think 686 00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 4: houston is the better team and thus should like they 687 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 4: shouldn't even be getting, three especially IN. 688 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 3: La let's just move. On this is the game THAT 689 00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 3: i think we've both been waiting. For so, yep you 690 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:23,840 Speaker 3: haven't mentioned it, yet SO i think that you're saving. 691 00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 3: It but by the, WAY i think he And allen 692 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:28,720 Speaker 3: might have twenty. Catches he always. Does, yeah all, Right 693 00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,520 Speaker 3: i'm going With now this is we we have lines 694 00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:33,560 Speaker 3: for every game that we have to. Have, now this 695 00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 3: line might be off the, board Pending Cam newton or. 696 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,160 Speaker 3: Not i'm taking The panthers and minus two and a 697 00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 3: half In. ARIZONA i am Hoping Cam newton doesn't. Play, 698 00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,080 Speaker 3: SERIOUSLY i, mean he has been you probably heard about, 699 00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,120 Speaker 3: now he's been the most inaccurate. QUARTERBACK i think he got. 700 00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 3: Hurt he hurt his, foot he's been banged. Up he's 701 00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 3: just not the same actor. Quarterback he's dealing with all these. 702 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,719 Speaker 3: Injuries now thirty five percent of his ball has been. 703 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,880 Speaker 3: Uncatchable that's somehow worse Than Mitch, drubisky who's second, worst, 704 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 3: obviously and Then fitzpatrick and And. Cousins they're the only 705 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:04,200 Speaker 3: ones over twenty five. Percent sixty two percent of his 706 00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 3: balls run catchable against The. BUCKS i don't even know 707 00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 3: how that's. Possible So Kyle allen will be the. Quarterback 708 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:12,040 Speaker 3: it's actually Not Will. Greer IF i assume from What i've, 709 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 3: heard If Cam newton cant, go he actually can at 710 00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 3: least throw the ball down the field right, now Which 711 00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 3: cam can't do accurately until he gets. Healthy The panthers 712 00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,000 Speaker 3: actually do have some guys who can get down the 713 00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 3: field and get. Open they did against The, bucks And 714 00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 3: cam just couldn't hit. Them me just's not. Healthy something's 715 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 3: off with him right. Now And arizona's missing their two 716 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,640 Speaker 3: corners right, now and Namely Patrick. PETERSON i also Think 717 00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,360 Speaker 3: carolina will be able to match up. THAT i think 718 00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 3: they're gonna win both sides of the. Trenches, now you're 719 00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:41,040 Speaker 3: gonna tell me all About Kyle, marry which is. Fine 720 00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 3: they're gonna spread them, out they're gonna go four. Wide 721 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:46,040 Speaker 3: BUT i just Think carolina is going to dominate on 722 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,760 Speaker 3: the offensive, line defensive. Line they're gonna have a huge 723 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 3: upgrade of quarterback Because Cam newton isn't. Right i'm Assuming 724 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 3: alan is in. Here you, know The arizona lost a 725 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:57,960 Speaker 3: tough game these you know against The. Ravens they moved 726 00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:00,160 Speaker 3: the ball by the. Way by the, Way. 727 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,800 Speaker 4: Kingsbury's more, aggressive WHICH i, MEAN i get. It young 728 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:05,960 Speaker 4: team tied last. Week you want to keep him in, 729 00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:07,640 Speaker 4: it SO i get. It but they kicked three field. 730 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:09,240 Speaker 4: Goes what was it inside the five or inside the 731 00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 4: ten or something like. 732 00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 3: That, yeah on the road is a big. Dog you 733 00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 3: can't do. That Uh. NO i just think I've carolina 734 00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:18,880 Speaker 3: rated significantly better than you, know a, point you, know 735 00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:21,800 Speaker 3: a couple points in this particular, matchup BECAUSE i have 736 00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,280 Speaker 3: them about five and a half points better Than. Arizona 737 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:27,160 Speaker 3: now that's With Cam. Newton AND i think if you 738 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 3: Get Cam newton out of there until he gets, healthy 739 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,080 Speaker 3: and you just have someone who could throw the ball 740 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 3: down the, field you know it's going to help their offense. 741 00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 3: Tremendously you can't have a guy who's thrown sixty percent 742 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,960 Speaker 3: uncatchable balls and expect to do anything and they almost still. 743 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 3: Won It's. Tampa this is a completely Desperate carolina team 744 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 3: going across the country after back to back home. LOSSES 745 00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 3: i think this is what they. Need you're going to 746 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:55,000 Speaker 3: get their best effort. Here. Uh And i'm Fading, Cliff 747 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 3: SO i don't like Fadon. Kyler he's looked, good But 748 00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 3: i'm Fading. Cliff say that, Again say that. Again kyler's looked, 749 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,320 Speaker 3: Good but so are you gonna do? It are you 750 00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:05,719 Speaker 3: going for a? DOUBLE a? DOUBLES i kind of tease this. 751 00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:07,520 Speaker 3: One we can pick games on as long as we're 752 00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:11,640 Speaker 3: on the opposite. Side raven's betting Hunt Kyler. 753 00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:15,800 Speaker 4: MURRAY i jumped On cardinals plus two to. FIVE i 754 00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:19,240 Speaker 4: actually see it. Differently, Listen caroline has been desperate for 755 00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:22,200 Speaker 4: a while now because guess what they've Lost Cam newton's 756 00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:26,320 Speaker 4: last eight. STARTS i don't care how bad your quarterback is, 757 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,560 Speaker 4: hurt because the bottom line is when you, lose you, 758 00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:30,360 Speaker 4: know eight starts in a. 759 00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:31,280 Speaker 3: Row and now they did get a. 760 00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:33,560 Speaker 4: WIN i believe it was what was it week sixteen 761 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 4: or week seventeen when The saints rested people With Kyle 762 00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:39,200 Speaker 4: allen your boy maybe on the, road that's, fair but 763 00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:42,080 Speaker 4: keep in mind they were The. Saints we're resting. People 764 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:44,600 Speaker 4: there are just issues bigger. 765 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,200 Speaker 3: Than just a. Quarterback we would get The. 766 00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:49,000 Speaker 4: Cardinals listen, AGAIN i think The ravens are one of 767 00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:50,720 Speaker 4: the top teams in the week and The. Cardinal The 768 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:53,800 Speaker 4: cardinals stayed in that. Game If Lamar jackson doesn't make 769 00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:56,160 Speaker 4: that accurate, throw AND i, mean my, god that was 770 00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 4: a good, throw they get the ball back with a 771 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:00,680 Speaker 4: chance to win that game with a. Touchdown The David 772 00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 4: johnson left that, game they completely abandoned the run while 773 00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,120 Speaker 4: he was. Out, again they kicked like three field. Goals so, 774 00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:07,080 Speaker 4: like this is a team that they might not win many, 775 00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:10,440 Speaker 4: games but they're going to be. Competitive WOULD i would 776 00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 4: say that That carolina is a superior team to The, bucks, 777 00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,680 Speaker 4: right but Because Tampa bay now they Have Tod goals on. 778 00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:19,600 Speaker 4: Defense Jameis winston, chose you, know for he managed the 779 00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:21,160 Speaker 4: game where he didn't, like you, know give the ball 780 00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:22,000 Speaker 4: to the other, Team. 781 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 3: Tampa bay competitive. 782 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,720 Speaker 4: Team look what, happens The carolina lose that, game even 783 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:28,959 Speaker 4: if they scored that last, touchdown they don't. Cover they 784 00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:31,280 Speaker 4: win by one point and they don't. Cover SO i 785 00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:32,720 Speaker 4: think it's the same kind of deal. HERE i Think 786 00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 4: arizona a team that can. COMPETE i think their defense 787 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:38,080 Speaker 4: playing better than. Expected offense has. STRUGGLED i, MEAN i 788 00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:40,000 Speaker 4: think their offense does a lot of room to kind 789 00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 4: of grow because touchdowns come with, yards and the bottom 790 00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:45,360 Speaker 4: line Is Kyler murray's on pace for over five thousand, 791 00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,840 Speaker 4: yards passing three hundred over three hundred and both of 792 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 4: his game. 793 00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,320 Speaker 3: Starts so something's off In. 794 00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 4: Carolina you could say they're, desperate BUT i don't like 795 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:56,040 Speaker 4: a team in this kind of, situation a team that's 796 00:33:56,080 --> 00:33:57,840 Speaker 4: not very, fast by the, way a lot of veteran 797 00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:01,239 Speaker 4: guys on that team on the road and play A 798 00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:02,080 Speaker 4: cardinals team that. 799 00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 3: Even The ravens, admitted hey we got gas out. Here you, 800 00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:06,160 Speaker 3: know they gave us some. 801 00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:08,640 Speaker 4: Problems and this is one OF i just don't like 802 00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,759 Speaker 4: it For. CAROLINA i don't think they figure out how 803 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,399 Speaker 4: to fix it. Yet So i'm Taking arizona plus two. 804 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:17,600 Speaker 4: FIVE i think the real question here because again is 805 00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 4: this did get taken off the. Board Cam newton hasn't 806 00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:23,440 Speaker 4: been ruled, out but if he doesn't play, stuck, like 807 00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:26,480 Speaker 4: what would your adjustment be in terms of this point? 808 00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:28,680 Speaker 3: On i'm going to Take minton that for the for This, no, 809 00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:29,280 Speaker 3: NO i MEAN. 810 00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:31,120 Speaker 4: I just want like for the for the listeners in 811 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:33,319 Speaker 4: case the new line, opens like just like, ballpark what 812 00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:33,680 Speaker 4: would your? 813 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:37,759 Speaker 3: What i'm pretty, Sure i'm pretty confident who does what 814 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 3: the market did that you'll see probably The cardinals go 815 00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 3: to a one and a half point, favorite so you'll 816 00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 3: have good value. Here but and then you'll see me 817 00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:49,800 Speaker 3: come across with a play on The panthers on the 818 00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:53,080 Speaker 3: app Because i'm getting points AND i have Not Cam 819 00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:55,960 Speaker 3: newton in. There he's not. RIGHT i also say, this you, 820 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:57,800 Speaker 3: Know i'm not a big trend, player but owned teams 821 00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:58,960 Speaker 3: that are ower and two against the spread in THE 822 00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:02,279 Speaker 3: nfl the first two, weeks which The panthers. Are they're 823 00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:05,319 Speaker 3: sixty seven fifty one and one against the spread in week. 824 00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:08,200 Speaker 3: Three that speaks, to you, know the, overreaction and that 825 00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 3: is a good one in the. Market but and you, 826 00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 3: know another thing to keep in, mind The panthers have 827 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 3: extra rest. Here they played On, thursday you, know them 828 00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 3: getting you, know Last, thursday so they have ten days 829 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,400 Speaker 3: of prep While arizona was out In baltimore On. Sunday 830 00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,239 Speaker 3: so you, know if you're going to get anything from 831 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:28,160 Speaker 3: The panthers zero and two star with you, know some decent. 832 00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:31,239 Speaker 3: Expectations with two losses at, home you're going to get it. 833 00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 3: HERE i think they find a way to get the 834 00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:36,000 Speaker 3: win and this game will be worth two, points so 835 00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:37,799 Speaker 3: one of us will have big dragging rights. 836 00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:41,160 Speaker 4: HERE i, MEAN i get the extra, resting but, like 837 00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 4: you got. 838 00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:42,759 Speaker 3: To actually be. 839 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:44,319 Speaker 4: Good you're going to play a team like the car 840 00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:45,840 Speaker 4: knows you shouldn't be you shouldn't be. 841 00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,359 Speaker 3: Getting your conditioning up like you. SHOULDN'T i, DON'T i don't. 842 00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:51,080 Speaker 3: KNOW i refer to. IT i think it's more beneficial for, 843 00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:52,480 Speaker 3: prep especially when you're playing a. 844 00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:55,279 Speaker 4: Car, YEAH i, know if they're like a part, team 845 00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:57,520 Speaker 4: they're beating people just by spreading them. OUT i throw 846 00:35:57,560 --> 00:35:59,520 Speaker 4: into like thirty five year Old Larry, fitzgerald who's, like 847 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:01,319 Speaker 4: not even, fact they're a hard team to. 848 00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,160 Speaker 3: Handicap BUT i do hear. YOU i Just I'm Kyle. 849 00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,960 Speaker 4: Allen by the, way seventy one point four percent adjusted 850 00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:09,279 Speaker 4: completion rate which kind of adjusts for throwaway sacks all that, 851 00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:12,640 Speaker 4: stuff still seven points worse Than Cam newton last. Year 852 00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:16,160 Speaker 4: so we will see on what. Happens but at this, 853 00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,640 Speaker 4: point Again Cam newton has not been ruled, out so 854 00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:19,840 Speaker 4: the game is off the. 855 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,360 Speaker 3: BOARD i got it At cardinals plus two to. 856 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:25,160 Speaker 4: Five that's the line we're going. With stuff thinks there's 857 00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,399 Speaker 4: it should be about. Minus what are you saying about? 858 00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:29,239 Speaker 4: It SO i got four point swing If cam is, 859 00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,080 Speaker 4: out that's that's that's what you think is, Fair that's 860 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:33,200 Speaker 4: what you think the books will. 861 00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:36,719 Speaker 3: DO i actually think that it's an. Improvement you, KNOW 862 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,080 Speaker 3: i make the, line you, know you, know if you 863 00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:41,800 Speaker 3: have to account for home, FIELD i make it about 864 00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 3: two and a. Half Without Cam, NEWTON i would make 865 00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:46,880 Speaker 3: it three because And i'm just going based on The 866 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,120 Speaker 3: Cam newton THAT i saw after he heard his Fort 867 00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,520 Speaker 3: he was eighteen or forty two against the bad. Secondary 868 00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:53,480 Speaker 3: he couldn't throw an accurate. Pass if you have a 869 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:55,960 Speaker 3: quarterback to camp thrown act your pass in THE, nfl 870 00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:58,040 Speaker 3: what are you going to do on? OFFENSE i, mean, 871 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 3: well Like christian McCaffrey can. Do but as of right, 872 00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:03,359 Speaker 3: now this isn't The Cam newton that we're used. To 873 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,759 Speaker 3: something's off and it's probably an. Injury, Still, yeah and. 874 00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,680 Speaker 4: That is fair because, HONESTLY i took The cardinals BECAUSE 875 00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:12,239 Speaker 4: i had this game as essentially rated a little differently than. 876 00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:13,640 Speaker 3: You but that was Assuming cam was in. 877 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:15,920 Speaker 4: There so so, Like i'm not taking it because, like, 878 00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 4: Oh cam might be out and that's WHY i love 879 00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:19,760 Speaker 4: This like, no Like i'm taking ANY i just thought 880 00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,000 Speaker 4: that The cardinals have a good chance to win this, 881 00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:25,920 Speaker 4: Game Cam newton or, not so that is fair as. 882 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:27,920 Speaker 4: Well so that was Our sunday six. Pack really was 883 00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:31,040 Speaker 4: five games because we each took a different. Side so 884 00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:33,600 Speaker 4: those are our against the spread picks for this, week 885 00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:36,440 Speaker 4: and that wraps up The sunday Six. 886 00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,840 Speaker 3: PACK i hope you're enjoying this Great action network. 887 00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:40,520 Speaker 2: PODCAST i want to make sure you know about the 888 00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:44,000 Speaker 2: Locked on podcast network locked on as a daily podcast 889 00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:44,840 Speaker 2: on your favorite. 890 00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 3: Team welcome to, You lockdown forty nine. Ers you are 891 00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,279 Speaker 3: locked own of The dallas. Matriage came everybody to The 892 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:51,000 Speaker 3: Lockdown lakers. Podcast Let's. 893 00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:54,320 Speaker 2: Go Locked on podcasts are hosted by the local experts 894 00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:56,600 Speaker 2: who know your team better than anyone and give you 895 00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 2: the inside. Scoop so go to your podcast out and 896 00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:04,640 Speaker 2: search lock your favorite, team subscribe to your lockedwn, podcast. 897 00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:10,080 Speaker 4: And now we'll quickly cover the best of the rest 898 00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:14,160 Speaker 4: all the games that didn't make The sunday Six. 899 00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:15,000 Speaker 3: Pack so. 900 00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:17,839 Speaker 4: Stuck i'll read the. Lines if you have anything for these, 901 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:20,560 Speaker 4: games you jump. In IF i have, Anything i'll jump 902 00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:22,319 Speaker 4: in and we'll kind of run through these pretty. Quick 903 00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:24,960 Speaker 4: we have The Atlanta falcons at The Indianapolis. 904 00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:27,319 Speaker 3: Colts colts favored by one and a. Half that's down 905 00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:27,800 Speaker 3: from two and a. 906 00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,520 Speaker 4: Half thirty eight percent of the tickets only thirty seven 907 00:38:30,600 --> 00:38:33,839 Speaker 4: percent of the money backing The colts right. NOW i 908 00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:36,759 Speaker 4: actually do like The coats in this. GAME i think 909 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,759 Speaker 4: the coaching for The colts gets it done here and 910 00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 4: they get to squeak out a short, victory a swim. 911 00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:45,359 Speaker 3: Victory anything else on that game. Stuff, yeah just keep 912 00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:49,080 Speaker 3: your eye on the injury report, tomorrow which is key 913 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,359 Speaker 3: in this. GAME i do think if The cults were fully, 914 00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:54,359 Speaker 3: healthy they can run it right Down atlanta's, throat just 915 00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:59,240 Speaker 3: Like minnesota did In week. One But Marlon, mack he's 916 00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:01,880 Speaker 3: questioned well but more you, know they do have some 917 00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:04,680 Speaker 3: backs that can fill. In their offensive line is really their. 918 00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:08,160 Speaker 3: Strength But mack didn't practice. Day he was holding a walking. 919 00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:12,040 Speaker 3: Boot but on the defensive, Side Darius leonard is in concussion. 920 00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 3: Protocol he didn't practice their top corner this. Year he's 921 00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:20,480 Speaker 3: also questionable, Too so you, know keep your on the injury. 922 00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:22,440 Speaker 3: Report that's going to go a long way in determining 923 00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:24,120 Speaker 3: IF i end up betting The cults or. NOT i 924 00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:24,799 Speaker 3: think it's cults are. 925 00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:28,360 Speaker 4: Nothing The Denver broncos at the Green Bay. Packers packers 926 00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:30,560 Speaker 4: seven and a half point. Favorites that's up from six 927 00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:33,359 Speaker 4: and a half sixty five percent of the betting, tickets but. 928 00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:35,920 Speaker 3: Forty one percent of the money on The Green Bay. 929 00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:38,760 Speaker 3: PACKERS i, mean, look this is a perfect tease, piece 930 00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:42,239 Speaker 3: which we'll get to when we give out our. Teasers 931 00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,319 Speaker 3: The packers' offense is still finding its. Legs you, know 932 00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:47,319 Speaker 3: they came out on fire Against. Minnesota if you look 933 00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:49,680 Speaker 3: at the box, score the end box score Of minnesota 934 00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:51,960 Speaker 3: DOMIN i mean it's seven yards per play For, Minnesota 935 00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:55,680 Speaker 3: packers only four point. Nine still finding their. Legs you, 936 00:39:55,680 --> 00:40:00,839 Speaker 3: Know denver's, defense you may get some pieces, back mainly 937 00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:04,040 Speaker 3: In Bryce, callahan and you know They harris is a 938 00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:06,319 Speaker 3: great corner maybe to match, up BUT i do think 939 00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:09,279 Speaker 3: that This denver offensive line is a disaster going up 940 00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:12,800 Speaker 3: To lambeau with statue S Joe flack go back. There 941 00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:16,399 Speaker 3: This packers defense is real and it's. Spectacular i'm telling 942 00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:17,600 Speaker 3: you it's going to be really good by the end 943 00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 3: of the. Year one of the reasons why it's my 944 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:23,160 Speaker 3: Only Super bowl. Future packers get it done lines probably about. 945 00:40:23,200 --> 00:40:25,920 Speaker 3: Right they probably went between seven and ten teaser. Piece, 946 00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:28,239 Speaker 3: YEAH i, like AND i bet on this last. 947 00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:31,440 Speaker 4: Week broncos team total under when it comes, out Because 948 00:40:31,880 --> 00:40:33,040 Speaker 4: packers top five. 949 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:34,560 Speaker 3: In coverage and in pass. 950 00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:38,360 Speaker 4: Rush in terms OF pff, Grade broncos twenty second yards 951 00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:41,320 Speaker 4: per attempt passing and twenty seventh in yards per. Completion 952 00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:45,080 Speaker 4: John elway stops selling the fan base on these trash. Quarterbacks, 953 00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:49,800 Speaker 4: next we have The Oakland raiders visiting The Minnesota. Vikings 954 00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:52,200 Speaker 4: vikings up to a nine point favorite from seven and a, 955 00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:55,640 Speaker 4: half fifty nine percent of the bet tickets seventy seven 956 00:40:55,719 --> 00:40:59,520 Speaker 4: percent of the dollars wagered backing The Minnesota. 957 00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:02,320 Speaker 3: Vikings, YEAH i actually think this is a good time 958 00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:05,080 Speaker 3: For Kirk cousins to get. Going he's been pretty bad so. 959 00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 3: Far to put it, mildly BUT i think that you, know, 960 00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:12,360 Speaker 3: look their offensive line is, Atrocious, bradbury the rookies been 961 00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:14,960 Speaker 3: terrible at. Center you, know the rest of their offensive 962 00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:17,200 Speaker 3: line is very. Questionable but if you're going to play 963 00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:19,360 Speaker 3: a team with a week offensive line The, raiders is? 964 00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:22,440 Speaker 3: It they just don't generate, pressure you. Know and The 965 00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:24,399 Speaker 3: raiders have actually been better against the run this. Year 966 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:27,719 Speaker 3: they were atrocious last, year a perfect and. Whitehead they 967 00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:30,320 Speaker 3: have a new, scheme their defensive line aren't the defensive 968 00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,839 Speaker 3: ends aren't standing up, anymore and so they're a little 969 00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:36,160 Speaker 3: better against the. RUN i do think with The kubiak zone, 970 00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:39,359 Speaker 3: Scheme cook will still have some, success but because they 971 00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:42,160 Speaker 3: can't Pressure, Cousins cook will have some. SUCCESS i just 972 00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:46,080 Speaker 3: think this is a potential breakout game for The minnesota passing. 973 00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:49,600 Speaker 3: Attack now The oakland. Secondary it really hurt That abram 974 00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:51,440 Speaker 3: went on Ir their safeties are a. WEEK i, Mean 975 00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:53,160 Speaker 3: joseph's good up in the run, game but not in 976 00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:55,320 Speaker 3: the past. GAME i don't think any of their corners 977 00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:57,360 Speaker 3: can stick with digs or. Feeling but there's still some 978 00:41:57,520 --> 00:42:00,399 Speaker 3: questions About minnesota, overall so the line is probably right. 979 00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:02,600 Speaker 3: Again teaser, PIECE i GUESS i just gave away my. 980 00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:06,120 Speaker 3: Teaser minnesota And Green bay both from you, know over 981 00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:06,879 Speaker 3: seven to under. 982 00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,440 Speaker 4: Three, yeah AND i think this is another one WHERE 983 00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:12,200 Speaker 4: i would feel more comfortable going under the team total 984 00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:14,919 Speaker 4: For oakland than necessarily betting on the spread because you don't, 985 00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:17,600 Speaker 4: Know cousins might come out less aggressive because he did 986 00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:20,000 Speaker 4: talk before the season again for reading all these local, 987 00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:22,520 Speaker 4: reports he wanted to give The wind And diggs more 988 00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,239 Speaker 4: chances to go and win because he felt he didn't 989 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:26,799 Speaker 4: do enough of that last. Year you, know remember they 990 00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:29,359 Speaker 4: were kind of, like you, know everything was underneath last. 991 00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:31,560 Speaker 4: Year SO i think you might see him kind of 992 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:34,200 Speaker 4: revert to a more Conservative cousins that they will run the. 993 00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:36,160 Speaker 4: Ball maybe the unders the play in this game, Too 994 00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:38,640 Speaker 4: BUT i don't see How, oakland you, know scores more 995 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:40,680 Speaker 4: than whatever the seventeen eighteen points that they're going to. 996 00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:43,120 Speaker 3: Get, Yeah Josh jacobs is a real. Deal but you 997 00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:45,760 Speaker 3: having struggle Against minnesota defense. 998 00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:49,440 Speaker 4: There, yeah next, game let's go through these Quick jets 999 00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:52,920 Speaker 4: At New England. Patriots patriots minus twenty, three up from minus. Sixteen, 1000 00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:55,560 Speaker 4: Obviously Luke falk starting for The New York, jets eighty 1001 00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:58,040 Speaker 4: five percent of, tickets eighty two percent of the money 1002 00:42:58,160 --> 00:42:58,360 Speaker 4: on The. 1003 00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:00,920 Speaker 3: Patriots he gets to The jets nothing and it's The 1004 00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:02,880 Speaker 3: dolphins are. Nothing if you're catching over twenty one in 1005 00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:05,320 Speaker 3: THE nfl, GAME i just don't know how bad The dolphins. 1006 00:43:05,320 --> 00:43:07,000 Speaker 3: ARE i guess we'll cover both these games at once 1007 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:09,439 Speaker 3: because we have two to twenty one point fight twenty 1008 00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:11,399 Speaker 3: one point favorites in the Same sunday for the first 1009 00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:13,479 Speaker 3: time since the strike, YEAR i think in nineteen eighty, 1010 00:43:13,480 --> 00:43:16,560 Speaker 3: seven twenty one plus point favorites THE nfl thirty five 1011 00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:19,440 Speaker 3: and oh straight up all time eleven twenty two and 1012 00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:21,600 Speaker 3: two against the. SPREAD a lot of them are way 1013 00:43:21,640 --> 00:43:25,359 Speaker 3: back since nineteen ninety, three seven and oh straight, up 1014 00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:27,400 Speaker 3: but just one and six against the. Spread it's very 1015 00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:30,120 Speaker 3: hard to cover in THE nfl as a favorite of you, 1016 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:32,800 Speaker 3: know twenty one or. More but This jets team is 1017 00:43:32,840 --> 00:43:35,239 Speaker 3: a joke right. NOW i, mean their whole team is 1018 00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:37,000 Speaker 3: out and they're going to give it the bell a billion, 1019 00:43:37,040 --> 00:43:39,080 Speaker 3: times but then a third string. Quarterback they have a 1020 00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:43,520 Speaker 3: depleted receiving corps going against the best group of corners 1021 00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:46,480 Speaker 3: in THE. Nfl so how many times can you throw 1022 00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:48,719 Speaker 3: it To Robbie anderson With gilmour on. THEM i, mean 1023 00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:51,640 Speaker 3: he's not getting. Anything it's not going to go. Well 1024 00:43:51,680 --> 00:43:53,960 Speaker 3: SO i don't know The jets. Score it's a matter 1025 00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:56,279 Speaker 3: of you, know maybe they break a flute play you, 1026 00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:58,720 Speaker 3: know bell breaks along play and they get the seven 1027 00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:01,720 Speaker 3: or ten and hold the payots to you, know twenty, 1028 00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:04,080 Speaker 3: eight and they just take their foot off the gas 1029 00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:05,840 Speaker 3: and maybe settle for a bunch of field. GOALS i 1030 00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:07,520 Speaker 3: don't think you can lay it, here BUT i can't. 1031 00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:09,759 Speaker 3: BET i can't back The, yeah, NO i could see 1032 00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:11,360 Speaker 3: the way The jets cover is like. 1033 00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:15,080 Speaker 4: This you play conservatively And falk doesn't turn the bowl 1034 00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:17,640 Speaker 4: because remember The Dolphins patriots game was twenty three nine 1035 00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:19,960 Speaker 4: into the fourth and then they two pick. Sixes If 1036 00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:22,080 Speaker 4: falk just dumps it down the bell, enough that runs the. 1037 00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,720 Speaker 4: Clock it just doesn't give The patriots necessarily enough time 1038 00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:26,640 Speaker 4: to build that twenty three point. Week if The jets 1039 00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:28,359 Speaker 4: get even like a field goal or, something maybe it's, 1040 00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:30,279 Speaker 4: like you, know twenty six to, three or it's, like you, 1041 00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:32,360 Speaker 4: know twenty seven to, six something like. That so that 1042 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:35,120 Speaker 4: would be the. Avenue Maybe i'll. Dip we'll see how 1043 00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:37,520 Speaker 4: high this line. Goes same thing For dallas twenty. FOUR 1044 00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:38,000 Speaker 4: i will play The. 1045 00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:40,040 Speaker 3: Jets i'll, say, yeah that same Thing Dallas. 1046 00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:43,080 Speaker 4: Miami dallas a twenty one and a half point favorite 1047 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:45,719 Speaker 4: at home Against. Miami right now Saying, gillo So we're 1048 00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:48,320 Speaker 4: not even gonna spend any longer on. That Giants Tampa 1049 00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:50,399 Speaker 4: Bay Daniel jones making his first start on the, Road 1050 00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:52,520 Speaker 4: Tampa bay six and a half point. Favorite seen that 1051 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:54,759 Speaker 4: hit seven at some books forty three percent of them, 1052 00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:57,000 Speaker 4: best but only thirty two percent of the money On Tampa. 1053 00:44:57,040 --> 00:44:59,520 Speaker 3: Bay there is some sharp action backing down Your jones. Here, 1054 00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:01,799 Speaker 3: yeah don't get. IT i, mean, look there's some Things 1055 00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:04,080 Speaker 3: i'm starting to like about This bucks. Team you, know 1056 00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:07,680 Speaker 3: especially If jamis can continue to you, know not turn 1057 00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:10,359 Speaker 3: the ball. Over that's a better, defense is a lot. 1058 00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:12,440 Speaker 3: BETTER i think it's not so much. Better that's WHAT 1059 00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:14,400 Speaker 3: i was just going to get to. Next like his 1060 00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:17,880 Speaker 3: three four defense and you know where he's bringing. Pressure 1061 00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:21,520 Speaker 3: they they're stout against the. Run they're one of the 1062 00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:24,840 Speaker 3: best defenses against the run this. Year they're. Swarming and 1063 00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:27,000 Speaker 3: they played you, know the forty nine ers in The, 1064 00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:29,680 Speaker 3: panthers so you know it's not like they played The 1065 00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:32,480 Speaker 3: jets and The. Dolphins so this defense looks a lot more, 1066 00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:35,759 Speaker 3: aggressive and you know it just scheme, wise it's so 1067 00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:39,680 Speaker 3: much more improved Under Todd. Bowles you, know just up, 1068 00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:43,000 Speaker 3: front you, know we have videvea. Sue they're just so 1069 00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:45,120 Speaker 3: much more stout up in the middle that it's a 1070 00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:47,680 Speaker 3: lot harder to run against. Them, NOW i do think 1071 00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:51,359 Speaker 3: that they still have some major questions in the secondary 1072 00:45:51,600 --> 00:45:53,680 Speaker 3: With hargreaves and you know a lot of their. Corners 1073 00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:56,239 Speaker 3: their safeties are not a strong. Suit AND i Think 1074 00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,080 Speaker 3: jimmy g was just off in That week one, game 1075 00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:00,239 Speaker 3: and then last week we talked about. It Can newton 1076 00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:03,000 Speaker 3: just couldn't throw an act your. Ball but Is Daniel 1077 00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:07,200 Speaker 3: jones And latimer And, shepherd are they the ones that 1078 00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,600 Speaker 3: are going to exploit This tampa. SECONDARY i don't think. 1079 00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:14,520 Speaker 3: So you, Know Saquon barkley is, amazing and his success 1080 00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:17,000 Speaker 3: rate on just like first down, runs just making things 1081 00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:19,799 Speaker 3: happened is all credit to his. Talent but because This 1082 00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:23,200 Speaker 3: tampa run defense looks a lot better in there three, 1083 00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:25,759 Speaker 3: FOUR i don't Trust Daniel jones on the road in 1084 00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,120 Speaker 3: his first. GAME i don't know IF i want to 1085 00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:30,480 Speaker 3: lay seven with The bucks or six and a half 1086 00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:32,799 Speaker 3: with you, know Maybe jamis there's a pick six or. 1087 00:46:32,800 --> 00:46:34,879 Speaker 3: SOMETHING i do think The bucks end up winning this, 1088 00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:38,120 Speaker 3: game ends up most likely probably a stay, Away But 1089 00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:40,400 Speaker 3: i'm not getting on board with this sharp money on The. 1090 00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:43,520 Speaker 3: Giants so we talked About jamis could also potentially a big. 1091 00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:44,880 Speaker 3: Game you know a lot of times you think he's 1092 00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:46,799 Speaker 3: gonna have a big. Game he. Doesn't but you, know 1093 00:46:47,000 --> 00:46:50,120 Speaker 3: this secondary for The giants is atrocious Of Godwin. Evans 1094 00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,480 Speaker 3: you know it's This jenkins is playing awful for The, 1095 00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:54,279 Speaker 3: giants and then you have this kid WHO i love 1096 00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:59,000 Speaker 3: out of, College DeAndre. Baker he's just Really, YEAH i 1097 00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:01,480 Speaker 3: think SO i. CAN'T i can't back The giants. 1098 00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:04,160 Speaker 4: HERE i would probably Lean giants only BECAUSE i Think Daniel, 1099 00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:07,080 Speaker 4: jones like alluded, to probably the most accurate quarterback they've 1100 00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:10,239 Speaker 4: going to face, yet And Jameis winston. Liable they are 1101 00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:13,040 Speaker 4: going to try to exploit That giants secondary lible to 1102 00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:13,760 Speaker 4: turn the ball. 1103 00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:15,920 Speaker 3: Over it's a big number for a team that's like 1104 00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:19,279 Speaker 3: better but not. Great what do you think about The 1105 00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:22,480 Speaker 3: Saints saints visiting The Seattle. 1106 00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:25,000 Speaker 4: Seahawks of, Course, No Drew Brees Teddy bridgewater making a 1107 00:47:25,040 --> 00:47:27,080 Speaker 4: start for The Saints seahawks four and a half point, 1108 00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:29,480 Speaker 4: favorite seventy five percent of the, tickets only forty eight 1109 00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:31,640 Speaker 4: percent of the money On seattle as four and a 1110 00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:32,160 Speaker 4: half point. 1111 00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,440 Speaker 3: Favorites, yeah check out the. App you'll see it right up. 1112 00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:36,839 Speaker 3: Here for, ME i think this line's too. High i'll 1113 00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:39,799 Speaker 3: be Against seattle. Again they have what two wins by 1114 00:47:39,880 --> 00:47:43,240 Speaker 3: combined with three points Over Mason rudolph And Andy. Dalton 1115 00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:45,480 Speaker 3: give me The saints here in a bounce. 1116 00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:49,600 Speaker 4: Back worried About bridgewater And Michael. Thomas but, YEAH i 1117 00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:52,040 Speaker 4: think the line is about. Right pittsburgh At San Francisco 1118 00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:57,240 Speaker 4: San francisco minus six' five down. From seven sixty percent 1119 00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:59,400 Speaker 4: of the, bet tickets but only forty percent of the 1120 00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:00,360 Speaker 4: money back The. 1121 00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:02,440 Speaker 3: Nine ERS if i can, Get seven i'll look At. 1122 00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:04,319 Speaker 3: The steelers, IF not i can't back. Them here their 1123 00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:07,759 Speaker 3: secondary has. Been Awful, minka fitzpatrick how quickly can he 1124 00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:11,120 Speaker 3: assimilate into this defense and Help? COVER kittle i. Don't 1125 00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:13,840 Speaker 3: know the corners have. BEEN trash, i mean do you 1126 00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:15,880 Speaker 3: Really Trust mason rudolph and these receivers on? 1127 00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:15,960 Speaker 5: The? 1128 00:48:16,080 --> 00:48:19,080 Speaker 3: Road no, you know six six and that's. Probably RIGHT 1129 00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:20,520 Speaker 3: if i got seven seven, A half i look At 1130 00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:21,040 Speaker 3: the steelers. 1131 00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:24,399 Speaker 4: Probably past speaking of defenses that, are improved forty nine 1132 00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:27,319 Speaker 4: or number three coverage grade from their offensive line is like. 1133 00:48:27,360 --> 00:48:29,600 Speaker 3: Grading, out well so maybe this team is a. LOT better. 1134 00:48:29,640 --> 00:48:31,080 Speaker 3: I thought, i mean if they're office like he's playing. 1135 00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:34,680 Speaker 4: Like, this yeah and of course they have the future 1136 00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:36,760 Speaker 4: of the Quarterback Position jimmy garoppo. 1137 00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:39,000 Speaker 3: Under center but let's. Move on this is. 1138 00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:41,319 Speaker 4: The game i'm actually really excited about the rams At 1139 00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:44,960 Speaker 4: The Cleveland browns browns plus three. At home it opened 1140 00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,920 Speaker 4: at one and, A half so why has moved in the? 1141 00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:50,000 Speaker 4: Rams favor only thirteen percent of the tickets and thirteen 1142 00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:53,359 Speaker 4: percent of the Money? On cleveland is this one where 1143 00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:55,880 Speaker 4: you better against the? PUBLIC stuff, i may but again 1144 00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:57,480 Speaker 4: we'll have rite ups on this On the. 1145 00:48:57,480 --> 00:49:00,200 Speaker 3: Action app this is a big injury report game because 1146 00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:02,720 Speaker 3: today there's seven Starters from cleveland and the, injury report 1147 00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:04,640 Speaker 3: but they Played on. Monday nights you don't know how 1148 00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:08,359 Speaker 3: many were precautionary or how many are. Actually serious so, 1149 00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:11,520 Speaker 3: you know with seven starters, ON it i can't really make. 1150 00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:14,200 Speaker 3: A judgment now check Out my twitter action at all 1151 00:49:14,239 --> 00:49:16,279 Speaker 3: the content, we'll have and then we'll really see who's 1152 00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:18,000 Speaker 3: going to be rostering up because it is an. Exciting 1153 00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:20,040 Speaker 3: Game is cleveland offense is going to have, to start, 1154 00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:22,080 Speaker 3: you know doing a. Little MORE but I Think baker 1155 00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:24,120 Speaker 3: mayfield will calm down after getting that win under, his 1156 00:49:24,120 --> 00:49:26,560 Speaker 3: belt all. THE expectations i think they have, a SHOT 1157 00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:28,800 Speaker 3: but i need to see the injury, report First the thursday. 1158 00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:30,520 Speaker 3: INJURY report i SHOULD say i did Not. 1159 00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:34,560 Speaker 4: Like freddie kitchens calling pass plays up twenty points Against 1160 00:49:34,560 --> 00:49:37,319 Speaker 4: the jets And getting. Mayfield hit i'm kind of mad. 1161 00:49:37,360 --> 00:49:39,839 Speaker 4: At myself we're not grabbing the rams at when they. 1162 00:49:39,840 --> 00:49:42,520 Speaker 4: WERE shorter i think now everyone's kind of taking the 1163 00:49:42,600 --> 00:49:46,440 Speaker 4: value out. Of it let's get into our, next segment 1164 00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:47,920 Speaker 4: the only other segment. 1165 00:49:47,640 --> 00:49:50,040 Speaker 3: That's going to count toward our. Weekly score that is 1166 00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:53,799 Speaker 3: our favorite. Total stuck who? You, GOT look i. Come 1167 00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:57,400 Speaker 3: in i'm going to flip. ON you i Had the 1168 00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:00,080 Speaker 3: texans and what the value listening to, THIS podcast i 1169 00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:01,920 Speaker 3: Had The texans chargers Under which i'm still going to. 1170 00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:04,239 Speaker 3: Look at but, you know now that i'm thinking, about 1171 00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:06,600 Speaker 3: it these teams might try to spread, it out Especially 1172 00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 3: the texans With the chargers lack of. Corner depth SO 1173 00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:10,520 Speaker 3: maybe i don't like as MUCH and i gotta go back. 1174 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:13,480 Speaker 3: And Looks so i'm flipping it and going analysis. Hard 1175 00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:16,280 Speaker 3: Hitting so i'm going with a NUMBER that i already 1176 00:50:16,280 --> 00:50:19,160 Speaker 3: got bet Down and i'm not but it's still over 1177 00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:22,160 Speaker 3: the most important total. Forty three i'm Taking The jets 1178 00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:24,640 Speaker 3: pats under. FORTY four i don't know How the jets 1179 00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:26,480 Speaker 3: get more. THAN ten i think they're going to try 1180 00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:28,760 Speaker 3: and just heavy dose of bell clock will. BE running 1181 00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:31,319 Speaker 3: i don't Think the patriots care about running this up, 1182 00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:35,719 Speaker 3: too Much so i'll say thirty, to ten thirty one to. 1183 00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:39,879 Speaker 3: Ten Tops so I'll Go jets. Pats Under, oh god 1184 00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:41,319 Speaker 3: don't let, Me. DOWN jets i. 1185 00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:43,719 Speaker 4: Like, THAT no i think, that's possible just If the 1186 00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:45,879 Speaker 4: jets just completely take it the air out of. The ball, 1187 00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:49,800 Speaker 4: For me I'm Going cincinnati buffalo under. Forty four another. 1188 00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:52,759 Speaker 4: Artificial inflation this game opened at forty forty and a 1189 00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:54,920 Speaker 4: half in, some spots bet all the way up to. 1190 00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:58,240 Speaker 4: Forty Four the bills Played the giants, defense again bottom 1191 00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:01,839 Speaker 4: two defense pass wise in. The league cincinnati gave up 1192 00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:04,879 Speaker 4: forty plus To, the niners just a ton. OF mistackles 1193 00:51:04,920 --> 00:51:07,120 Speaker 4: i think a much More focused. Bengals team both of 1194 00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:09,440 Speaker 4: these teams play it closer to. The best at forty 1195 00:51:09,440 --> 00:51:11,480 Speaker 4: four to me is way. Too high just all artificial. 1196 00:51:11,719 --> 00:51:16,800 Speaker 4: Inflation there let us go now into another Fun segment 1197 00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:17,960 Speaker 4: that is our. 1198 00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:21,160 Speaker 3: Favorite teaser, oh yeah six. 1199 00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:24,439 Speaker 5: Point teasers this is going to be a standard six 1200 00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:27,680 Speaker 5: point two team teaser for those, not familiar teasers are 1201 00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:30,920 Speaker 5: when you get to add extra points to the spread 1202 00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:33,040 Speaker 5: for the favorites that you bring it down or. 1203 00:51:33,080 --> 00:51:35,880 Speaker 4: The underdog it increases the spread, for you so you 1204 00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:37,400 Speaker 4: get less of, a payout. 1205 00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:39,799 Speaker 3: But you can kind of get some additional cushion on. 1206 00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:42,120 Speaker 4: That spread the standard is usually a six point two, 1207 00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:45,200 Speaker 4: team teaser so each of those two teams that should 1208 00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:47,520 Speaker 4: pick on that teaser gets an additional. SIX points i 1209 00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:51,200 Speaker 4: hope that, made. Sense stuck let's go. Quick here who 1210 00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:52,799 Speaker 4: you got for. Your teaser i'll harp on this. 1211 00:51:52,840 --> 00:51:54,480 Speaker 3: All year if you go through the seven and three 1212 00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:57,719 Speaker 3: with a teaser on, both sides you're doing. Something right 1213 00:51:57,760 --> 00:51:59,560 Speaker 3: and THAT'S what i did. With it In The Apple 1214 00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:03,320 Speaker 3: packers vikings both. UNDER three i don't think either of. 1215 00:52:03,360 --> 00:52:04,839 Speaker 3: Them lose that's a good call. 1216 00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:07,160 Speaker 4: On THEM like i actually said that to you when we, 1217 00:52:07,239 --> 00:52:10,120 Speaker 4: discussed this, you know game PREVIOUSLY thought i would have gone, 1218 00:52:10,120 --> 00:52:11,239 Speaker 4: that Way but i'm going to switch it up a 1219 00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:13,040 Speaker 4: little bit just so we don't have the. SAME one 1220 00:52:13,080 --> 00:52:15,520 Speaker 4: i Am Going green bay minus one to. Five again 1221 00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:17,840 Speaker 4: no confidence In that denver pass offense to. Do anything 1222 00:52:17,880 --> 00:52:20,720 Speaker 4: i'll have more on that In Our packers broncos Preview 1223 00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:24,000 Speaker 4: on Actionnetwork. Dot Com but i'm also Going with arizona 1224 00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:27,719 Speaker 4: plus eighty five Against. The panthers hope hopefully that line 1225 00:52:27,760 --> 00:52:31,319 Speaker 4: stays where, it IS but i don't Think that arizona loses. 1226 00:52:30,960 --> 00:52:32,440 Speaker 3: This game much less by that. 1227 00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:36,680 Speaker 4: Many points so like those, two there let's jump right 1228 00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:40,160 Speaker 4: into our, next segment which is the underdog. 1229 00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:48,000 Speaker 1: Parlay turning good weekends into. Great weekends it's time for 1230 00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:51,560 Speaker 1: the money. Line, Parlay, now stuck we. 1231 00:52:51,600 --> 00:52:54,160 Speaker 4: Actually hit we actually hit thanks to my faith by, 1232 00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:56,120 Speaker 4: the way by the way In, The seahawks well what 1233 00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:58,560 Speaker 4: about my faith In. The colts you actually bet Against 1234 00:52:58,560 --> 00:53:01,160 Speaker 4: the seahawks on the, Six pack SO if i didn't 1235 00:53:01,200 --> 00:53:02,880 Speaker 4: go against, you there we wouldn't have. 1236 00:53:02,920 --> 00:53:05,560 Speaker 3: Hit that it went over five. To one credit. To, 1237 00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:07,160 Speaker 3: you yeah we got a couple of messages from people that. 1238 00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:08,520 Speaker 3: Hit it happy for all those who. 1239 00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:12,400 Speaker 4: Tailed along i'm sure you'll you'll carry me many times on. 1240 00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:16,120 Speaker 3: This segment but let's go right. Into, it stuck who 1241 00:53:16,160 --> 00:53:18,800 Speaker 3: you got for? Your Dog so i'm just going based 1242 00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:21,600 Speaker 3: off of line being too High and i'm not a 1243 00:53:21,640 --> 00:53:23,759 Speaker 3: believer In The seahawks i'll make them prove it. To, 1244 00:53:23,800 --> 00:53:29,520 Speaker 3: Me Yeah so i'm Going With. New orleans let's call 1245 00:53:29,640 --> 00:53:30,320 Speaker 3: it plus. 1246 00:53:30,360 --> 00:53:34,879 Speaker 4: One Ninety the, seahawks Coaching Like, brian schottenheimer is doing 1247 00:53:34,920 --> 00:53:35,440 Speaker 4: a lot BETTER than. 1248 00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:37,200 Speaker 3: I expected i Do Think, sean. 1249 00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:39,319 Speaker 4: Payton will, you Know and carmichael and those guys will 1250 00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:41,799 Speaker 4: figure out a way to like make this offense work Even, 1251 00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:44,399 Speaker 4: without breeze but NOT as i Don't think i'm as 1252 00:53:44,400 --> 00:53:46,680 Speaker 4: CONFIDENT as i would have. Been before so we'll see 1253 00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:49,600 Speaker 4: if if betting against theadle works. For you, For me 1254 00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:52,279 Speaker 4: i'm going With The, houston texans a TEAM that i 1255 00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,000 Speaker 4: have a lot of, belief in JUST because I Think 1256 00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:55,640 Speaker 4: deshaun watts is one of the best quarterbacks in. 1257 00:53:55,680 --> 00:53:56,759 Speaker 3: THE league i think they have the. 1258 00:53:56,840 --> 00:54:00,279 Speaker 4: Right, personnel again like, you said, similar matchups similar, team 1259 00:54:00,360 --> 00:54:04,319 Speaker 4: structure a. ROSTER structure I think houston's little healthier and 1260 00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:06,680 Speaker 4: think they have the right pieces in the right places 1261 00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:09,319 Speaker 4: to gain a little bit of an edge Over this. 1262 00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:13,080 Speaker 4: Charger team and again don't really respect the home field For. 1263 00:54:13,120 --> 00:54:15,719 Speaker 4: The chargers so one fifty five Is what i'm Seeing. 1264 00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:19,200 Speaker 4: For houston plus one fifty five you Have the saints plus, 1265 00:54:19,239 --> 00:54:21,120 Speaker 4: one ninety so the payoff for that would be a 1266 00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:24,080 Speaker 4: little bit over six, To one so if you've bet one, 1267 00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:26,759 Speaker 4: hundred bucks you get a little over seven hundred back 1268 00:54:27,120 --> 00:54:30,480 Speaker 4: if you hit so another. Good one hopefully you can 1269 00:54:30,640 --> 00:54:33,320 Speaker 4: extend our streak to two in. A row Hopefully the 1270 00:54:33,360 --> 00:54:35,239 Speaker 4: seahawks cooperate for you. 1271 00:54:35,320 --> 00:54:35,400 Speaker 3: This. 1272 00:54:35,480 --> 00:54:38,120 Speaker 4: Time stuck before we get out, of here we're going 1273 00:54:38,200 --> 00:54:40,319 Speaker 4: to Do our survivor pool pick of, the. 1274 00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:49,719 Speaker 3: Week, one pick one chance To. Advance survivor, ALL. 1275 00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:52,359 Speaker 4: Right i think We're both we're both to and zero 1276 00:54:52,600 --> 00:54:55,680 Speaker 4: On our. SURVIVOR picks. I, hope yeah we have been surviving. 1277 00:54:56,000 --> 00:54:58,320 Speaker 4: This week i'll just start it off because it was 1278 00:54:58,360 --> 00:54:59,759 Speaker 4: an easy pick. FOR me i know there's some game 1279 00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:01,640 Speaker 4: theor you involved, and Whatnot but i'm going With The. 1280 00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:04,200 Speaker 4: DALLAS cowboys i can't think of a better Time than 1281 00:55:04,200 --> 00:55:06,040 Speaker 4: i'm gonna want to use them than an out of 1282 00:55:06,120 --> 00:55:09,120 Speaker 4: conference game, at home favored by. TWENTY plus i always 1283 00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:11,560 Speaker 4: worry about the, divisional game so not really keen on, 1284 00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:14,200 Speaker 4: using them like Against. The redskins maybe later in. THE 1285 00:55:14,280 --> 00:55:15,640 Speaker 4: year i think you know the rest OF The, af 1286 00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:18,799 Speaker 4: east you know a little bit better Than. 1287 00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:23,359 Speaker 3: The Dolphins so I'm. Going dallas we. Got stuck i'm 1288 00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:26,520 Speaker 3: going to use, and LOOK if i get burned here 1289 00:55:26,680 --> 00:55:29,920 Speaker 3: with two twenty one point favorites on, The board i'm 1290 00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:34,239 Speaker 3: going to be. Very Angry but i'm rolling With The. 1291 00:55:34,239 --> 00:55:38,440 Speaker 3: Minnesota vikings not a bad pickup bounce back spot here Against, 1292 00:55:38,440 --> 00:55:41,239 Speaker 3: the RAIDERS who i don't trust on. THE road i 1293 00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:43,920 Speaker 3: think it's just a good matchup for them and their 1294 00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:46,560 Speaker 3: offensive line for them to get right. At home still 1295 00:55:46,560 --> 00:55:46,799 Speaker 3: going With. 1296 00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,520 Speaker 4: THE vikings I will i know how to put some 1297 00:55:49,560 --> 00:55:52,799 Speaker 4: fear into, your HEART though, I will i will remind you. 1298 00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:54,799 Speaker 4: And DON'T and i was On the, Vikings too but 1299 00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:58,200 Speaker 4: remember last year around the, same time When the vikings 1300 00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:00,200 Speaker 4: are like big favorites Over the buffalo was. 1301 00:56:00,239 --> 00:56:02,279 Speaker 3: At home it just got. Like slim it might have 1302 00:56:02,320 --> 00:56:04,000 Speaker 3: BEEN like i had Them in. SURVIVOR too i. 1303 00:56:04,040 --> 00:56:07,400 Speaker 7: Gotta, check, yeah no just to put fear in, everyone's 1304 00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,960 Speaker 7: hearts click. That ONE but, i mean you would think 1305 00:56:09,960 --> 00:56:11,520 Speaker 7: it would be a different story this. Time around but 1306 00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:13,600 Speaker 7: that's WHY the nfl. Is fun i'm going With. THE 1307 00:56:13,680 --> 00:56:16,200 Speaker 7: chalk i Got the, cowboys again stuck Has The. 1308 00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:20,160 Speaker 4: Minnesota vikings hopefully we both survive until the nine. 1309 00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:22,800 Speaker 3: Twenty eighteen is that gonna be one year to the, 1310 00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:25,160 Speaker 3: day No. That's, Monday okay. WE'RE good i. Don't know 1311 00:56:25,320 --> 00:56:26,239 Speaker 3: it might be a long night. 1312 00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:29,440 Speaker 4: For you if, they lose it might feel like if 1313 00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:32,480 Speaker 4: you if you have to get, that drunk it feels 1314 00:56:32,560 --> 00:56:34,600 Speaker 4: kind of like the. Same day take it, from experience 1315 00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:38,399 Speaker 4: but this has been another EDITION an nfl betting edition 1316 00:56:38,560 --> 00:56:42,240 Speaker 4: Of The action. Network podcast for more, betting tools data, 1317 00:56:42,320 --> 00:56:47,200 Speaker 4: expert analysis check out actionnetwork. Dot com Download The action. 1318 00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:50,400 Speaker 4: Network app you Can follow stucky in There At, stucky 1319 00:56:50,440 --> 00:56:53,480 Speaker 4: too and Myself At chris raybond see all, our picks 1320 00:56:53,520 --> 00:56:55,200 Speaker 4: track your, own bets see live. 1321 00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:57,200 Speaker 3: Win probabilities, great app go. 1322 00:56:57,239 --> 00:57:01,040 Speaker 4: Download it Also follow Stuck On twitter, stucky too that's the, 1323 00:57:01,120 --> 00:57:06,000 Speaker 4: number two and Me At. Chris raybon until, next time 1324 00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:09,080 Speaker 4: let's get. Thish money Go pack go