WEBVTT - The Peacock Off!

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,

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<v Speaker 1>your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and

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<v Speaker 1>advice league dot com. Here's your host, Paul. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>another edition of Fantasy Football Weekly, your number twenty seven,

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<v Speaker 1>episode number two. I am Paul Charge and Guillotine Leagues

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<v Speaker 1>dot Com. My co host today Matt Harrison from Shock

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<v Speaker 1>Fantasy and Brian Johnson Guillotine Leagues dot Com. What's up, boys.

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<v Speaker 1>Good to see it's great death preseason action in full

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<v Speaker 1>force again, Because as much as people crap on preseason play,

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<v Speaker 1>you get things like Romandre Stevenson opening opening eyes and

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<v Speaker 1>Mac Jones looking competent, and you know, you get you

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<v Speaker 1>get storylines that I love following and fantasy players care about.

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<v Speaker 1>And in that vein, we're gonna touch on the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>storyline over the last week for each of the thirty

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<v Speaker 1>two teams. We're gonna later in the show hit on

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<v Speaker 1>all the traits of a sleeper running back. I challenge

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Harrison to look through years of data and identify

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<v Speaker 1>what are the traits that helped sleeper running backs hit

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<v Speaker 1>and challenge accepted. Challenge accepted. The Peacock Off. We will

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<v Speaker 1>each have two bold predictions from our hosts. That will

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<v Speaker 1>be a total of six bold predictions, and when they

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<v Speaker 1>come right, we will theretis took a minute. The peacock

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<v Speaker 1>was sleeping. I had to wake up the peak and

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<v Speaker 1>you couldn't find your peacock. I'm in preseason for myself.

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<v Speaker 1>Over here will we will unleash our sleepers of the

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<v Speaker 1>week as well and answer three tough questions. Let's go

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<v Speaker 1>to the training camps around the league, beginning with Matt

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<v Speaker 1>the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are an Indie for joint

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<v Speaker 1>practices this week. And I'm not even trying to make

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<v Speaker 1>anyone on this show happy, but about a third of

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<v Speaker 1>the stories from Panthers camp are talking about the connection

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<v Speaker 1>between a certain quarterback and a certain tight end. Oh boy,

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<v Speaker 1>Sam Darnald and Dan Arnold. The Darnold Arnold connection. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it looks like it's a thing, and we're seeing Dan

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<v Speaker 1>Arnold is starting to get taken in fantasy drafts. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>let's remember you've been wrong for two years. Okay, let's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, let's save the two years. So yeah, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not. No, it was two years ago. I was

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<v Speaker 1>telling you on this very show to d draft the

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<v Speaker 1>guy named Darren Waller as the sleep summer Sleeper segment.

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<v Speaker 1>So you've only been wrong for one calendar year on

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<v Speaker 1>Dan Arnold. Is that what you're saying. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>what I was really necessarily wrong on. Yeah, pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>did find the tape Oakland and not Oakland the Las

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<v Speaker 1>Vegas Raiders. Brian speaking of Darren Waller, what is up

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<v Speaker 1>with Darren Waller? He hasn't practiced in like ten days.

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<v Speaker 1>Kind of scary, but he's been around. I've seen him

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<v Speaker 1>working on the sidelines and sweatpants. He's not it doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>have a noticeable limp or anything like that. So we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be optimistic with Darren Waller, but not practicing. Hopefully

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<v Speaker 1>they're just being extra cautious with him. Obviously the offense

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<v Speaker 1>revolves around Waller. Last year he led all tight ends

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<v Speaker 1>and yards after the catch with five. How impressive is that?

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<v Speaker 1>He's probably, I bet among all tight ends for total yards.

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<v Speaker 1>He was like guards after It's like fourth or something. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>Davante Adams led all wide receivers and yards after the

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<v Speaker 1>catch with five. D eighty four. That's ten less yards

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<v Speaker 1>and Darren Wallers yards after the catch. Yeah, it's pretty good,

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<v Speaker 1>so pretty hopefully Waller is okay. He should be uh

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<v Speaker 1>for the Packers. Aaron Jones is nursing hamstring injury. Don't

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<v Speaker 1>be surprised if you don't see him at all in

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<v Speaker 1>the preseason. In the eyes of many, the star of

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<v Speaker 1>Packers camp is tight end Robert Tounyon. He's looked more explosive,

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<v Speaker 1>He's getting opened down field more Aaron Rodgers. Obviously he's back.

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<v Speaker 1>Tonyon is being underdrafted. In my personal opinion, Let's go

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<v Speaker 1>to the Washington football team. Matt Um, You're not gonna

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<v Speaker 1>like this one chart, but Stu Beard Ryan Fitzpatrick was

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<v Speaker 1>asked about, you know, playing quarterback in Washington and he said,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm playing on borrowed time. And Washington has also been

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<v Speaker 1>saying that Taylor Heineke is an actual threat to steal

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<v Speaker 1>this job from Ryan Fitzpatrick. I thought in the preseason

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<v Speaker 1>game that on on Thursday night that Fitzpatrick looked pretty

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<v Speaker 1>dawn good. How did he look capable? Not great? Would

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<v Speaker 1>look capable, And that's better, frankly better quarterbacking than Washington

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<v Speaker 1>in a while, Brian, let's go to the Buffalo Bills.

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<v Speaker 1>Bad news out of Buffalo. Our boy Zack Moss currently

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<v Speaker 1>dealing with a hamstring strain. UH last season basically marred

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<v Speaker 1>by an ankle injury. This is not a good start

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<v Speaker 1>to his what's supposed to be a bounce back campaign

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<v Speaker 1>for Moss. I'm certainly invested in that, and right now

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<v Speaker 1>I'm a little worried. Devin Singletary obviously gets a bump

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<v Speaker 1>of moss Mrs time, and Matt Barrita has looked pretty

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<v Speaker 1>good in camp for the Bills, so he becomes pretty

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<v Speaker 1>relevant if Moss. It seems like a sad trombone is

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<v Speaker 1>worth this for you know, Mitchell true Bisky's in Buffalo too,

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<v Speaker 1>and Zack Moss is getting hurt. You made that work

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<v Speaker 1>feeling bad. I don't need an excuse to use the

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<v Speaker 1>trombone sound. But the Texans they release their depth chart

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<v Speaker 1>and it looks like they basically just drew names randomly

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<v Speaker 1>across their entire depth chart because they're trying to be

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<v Speaker 1>so tricky with how they treat the media. Nobody releasing,

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<v Speaker 1>Oh well, we don't buy by shuffling our depth chart.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna get We're gonna get extra wins this year

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<v Speaker 1>by faking everybody out with an untrue depth chart. They've

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<v Speaker 1>got Philip Lindsay and mark Ingram listed as their co

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<v Speaker 1>starting running backs. Tyrod Taylor was the top quarterback with

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<v Speaker 1>the Shawn Watson fourth, and Chris Conley is the starting

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<v Speaker 1>wide receiver. Okay, let's go to the Lions. Matt. There's

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<v Speaker 1>not a lot to report here, but Dan Campbell drinks

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<v Speaker 1>a ton of caffeine and he thinks of VENTI is

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<v Speaker 1>forty ounces, so it is venti venti. That's the That's

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<v Speaker 1>the update, is that that's a lot of caffe Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>he likes caffee. I still refuse to say venti and

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<v Speaker 1>whatever the other snow sizes. They always give you the

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<v Speaker 1>stink I, but I don't care. Let's go to the

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<v Speaker 1>Cleveland Browns. Ryan. There's usually something bad happening in Cleveland,

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<v Speaker 1>like Baker Mayfield beef in with Colin Coward or someone's

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<v Speaker 1>getting hurt for the year. But all is well right

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<v Speaker 1>now in Cleveland, and I hope I'm not drinking them

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<v Speaker 1>and uh Odell Beckham looking very spry and camping right now,

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<v Speaker 1>going in the late twenties, at wide receiver. I like

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<v Speaker 1>that cost for someone with the ceiling that's still very

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<v Speaker 1>high when healthy. It's not like Odell Beckham's old at

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<v Speaker 1>this stage. He just hasn't been able to perform for

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<v Speaker 1>quite a while. Give Kevin Stefanski some credit because when

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<v Speaker 1>he walked in there, you know, basically one year ago,

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<v Speaker 1>there were still tons of Cleveland turmoil. Kevin Stefanski has solidified,

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<v Speaker 1>steadied the entire organization, and Andrew Berry as well, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of positive steam coming out of Cleveland. The Colts,

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<v Speaker 1>obviously at Carson Wentz. Quentin Nelson had the foot surgery

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about last last show, and everybody knows about that.

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<v Speaker 1>But new this week ESPN and Chris Mortenson reporting that

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<v Speaker 1>they're trending too closer to a week one availability. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's still very early in the timetable for these guys.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, they just got the surgery a week ago.

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<v Speaker 1>So I don't think anybody really knows, but um, perhaps

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<v Speaker 1>there's some good news there, and I think we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>see Jonathan Taylor's ADP rise back up again. Let's go

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<v Speaker 1>to the Seattle Seahawks. Matt left tackle Dwayne Brown is

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<v Speaker 1>still holding in as in, he's attending practices but not

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<v Speaker 1>doing anything until he gets a new contract. That's how

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<v Speaker 1>you avoid the fifty a day fine and not showing up.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, show up, but I'm not doing anything. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>The Seahawks are trying to install a new offense under

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<v Speaker 1>new coordinator Shane Waldron, so it's worth keeping an eye

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<v Speaker 1>on Dwyane Brown holding in. Let's go to the Jets.

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<v Speaker 1>Elijah More, rookie wide receiver. Everyone's very high on high

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<v Speaker 1>on him. Um has a quad issue, currently getting an

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<v Speaker 1>m R I. That's not good. Denzel Mims has looked

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<v Speaker 1>really bad. Apparently he lost twenty pounds due to eating

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<v Speaker 1>bad salmon. Uh during the off season. So James and

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<v Speaker 1>crowd are all of a sudden, you should be creeping

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<v Speaker 1>up how much salmon, I don't know, but just enough.

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<v Speaker 1>He's a lot of bad salmon. By the way, bad salmon.

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<v Speaker 1>To me, it's just redundant pretty much. Did he did

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<v Speaker 1>have one bad experience with salmon and lost from it

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<v Speaker 1>or just continuously ate the bad salmon for weeks and weeks? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>Braxton Barrios is already a thing and rulling preseason week two.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not good. Good news for the Jets. Kansas City's

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<v Speaker 1>rebuild offensive line took a bit of a blow with

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<v Speaker 1>Lauren DuVernay tard If breaking his hand he was He's

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<v Speaker 1>expected to miss at least a few regular season games,

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<v Speaker 1>and the team's guard behind him, Kyle Long, is on

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<v Speaker 1>the pup list, so we don't know about his availability.

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<v Speaker 1>So the offensive line for Kansas City with a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of turmoil right now. Let's head to Philadelphia. Mattu

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<v Speaker 1>DeVonta Smith is dealing with an mcl S brain He's

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<v Speaker 1>expected to be sidelined for the rest of August. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>left tackle Andre Dillard suffered a nice brain on Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 1>So just like every year in Philly, the injury bug

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<v Speaker 1>is back there. I don't know how they keep doing this.

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<v Speaker 1>Denver Broncos Bryant Denver here in Minnesota right now to

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<v Speaker 1>play this weekend. UH. Mike Boone former Viking Mike Boone

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<v Speaker 1>pulled his quad for the Broncos, but he's number three

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<v Speaker 1>behind UH Melvin Gordon, Javante Adams. Uh. Not a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of a big effect for Boone being hurt. Courtland Sutton

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<v Speaker 1>looks great. Jerry Judy is going to be a nice guy.

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<v Speaker 1>Alongside Sutton. Everyone likes no a fan. It's all about

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<v Speaker 1>who's who's going to be the quarterback in Denver, and

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<v Speaker 1>we still do not know. That's probably the most battle

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<v Speaker 1>rooting for Drew Lock to look better and win that

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<v Speaker 1>job because he can't produce fantasy points. He seems like

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<v Speaker 1>he is now the forgotten man. Among the Rams wide

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<v Speaker 1>outs is DeShawn Jackson. He's impressed thoroughly throughout camp and

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<v Speaker 1>looks fast, he looks healthy. There's a good chance that

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<v Speaker 1>he will be the starting receiver opposite Robert Woods on

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<v Speaker 1>opening day. And basically, going undrafted, you can you can

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<v Speaker 1>get the You can get a starting wide receiver for

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<v Speaker 1>the Rams at virtually no cost right now, Deshan Jackson

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<v Speaker 1>until he gets injured in week one and then you

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<v Speaker 1>punt him. Then you punt him and you go pick

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<v Speaker 1>somebody else up. You put Sammy Watkins into Shawn Jackson

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<v Speaker 1>in your week one and then let's go to the

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<v Speaker 1>Dallas Cowboys. Dak Prescott has an m r I scheduled

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<v Speaker 1>for Monday. But don't worry about it, says the Dallas Cowboys.

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<v Speaker 1>Pr Nothing to see here, h They're saying it doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>indicate a setback, but things aren't progressing quite as quickly

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<v Speaker 1>as the Cowboys want it, and it sounds like they

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<v Speaker 1>may hold him out of the entirety of the preseason.

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<v Speaker 1>That means you get a lot of Garrett Gilbert and

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<v Speaker 1>Ben d Nucci this August. Yeah, I I drafted last night,

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<v Speaker 1>I drafted Ceedee Lamb. And because it's a guillotine format,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm really worried about these early season games. Sure I

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<v Speaker 1>get knocked out for the year, and like, oh man,

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<v Speaker 1>I really hope, I really really hope Dak Prescott's back.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's go to the Miami Dolphins. Brian rookie wide receiver

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<v Speaker 1>Jalen Waddle has looked phenomenal, especially in joint practices against

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<v Speaker 1>the Bears, just burning everybody. He's going after Will Fuller

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<v Speaker 1>right now is wide receiver forty eight Waddle. That is

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<v Speaker 1>but a little bit before Davante Parker. Waddle is already

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<v Speaker 1>getting drafted head of Parker, but Waddle looks like he

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<v Speaker 1>might be the wide receiver you want on this team,

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<v Speaker 1>especially based on adp right. Will Fuller still not a

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<v Speaker 1>factor at this stage. Uh. Last week I talked about

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<v Speaker 1>the Vikings offensive line woes, and I was hoping as

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<v Speaker 1>a Viking fan that I'd be able to talk about

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<v Speaker 1>it getting better this week, but no, Dice. Uh. First

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<v Speaker 1>round draft pick Christian Darrisaw underwent a second core surgery

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<v Speaker 1>and he's unlikely to return to practice until close to September.

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<v Speaker 1>So far, he has yet to have a full practice

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<v Speaker 1>with the team this year. O t a s mini camp.

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<v Speaker 1>Now training camp sounds crazing games. Yeah so again, take

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<v Speaker 1>a little caution in this Vikings offensive line. Matt, Let's

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<v Speaker 1>go to the Giants. Se Kwan Barkley activated from the

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<v Speaker 1>pup and he started practicing on Monday. But Kenny Golladay

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<v Speaker 1>went the opposite way. He's dealing with a hamstring injury

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<v Speaker 1>and it looks like he won't see any action until

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the preseason. Brian, The Patriots played Thursday

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<v Speaker 1>night in a game that had a number of positive storylines.

0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:31.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah so. Back on August four, when asked what rookie

0:12:31.280 --> 0:12:35.000
<v Speaker 1>running back Ramandre Stevenson needed to improve upon, Patriots running

0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:39.679
<v Speaker 1>back coach Ivan Feeders said everything, and then Ramandre Stevenson

0:12:39.920 --> 0:12:45.679
<v Speaker 1>reels off a sixty plus yard touchdown on touchdown um at.

0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Stevenson also totaled nine hundred yards across his last six

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:53.640
<v Speaker 1>college games. And by the way, Patriots running backs coach

0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:58.840
<v Speaker 1>Ivan Feeders played wide receiver in college and he's been

0:12:59.400 --> 0:13:02.439
<v Speaker 1>the running back coach since two thousand and one. It's

0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:07.360
<v Speaker 1>a long time something about Tom Brady like he's kept

0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:09.560
<v Speaker 1>his like the running backs with the Patriots, that they

0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:12.480
<v Speaker 1>ever developed the running back there ever, No, so I

0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 1>don't They don't know what they're talking about there. There's

0:13:14.480 --> 0:13:17.840
<v Speaker 1>a big dip on Remondress of experience stuff I don't know.

0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.520
<v Speaker 1>Let's also remember Damian Harris got all the first team

0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:24.120
<v Speaker 1>looks and I thought he looked pretty good. Um, they

0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:26.400
<v Speaker 1>pulled him out on third downs. They put in you know,

0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:30.240
<v Speaker 1>James James White and others. Um, but Damian Harris got

0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:32.240
<v Speaker 1>all the first team looks. And let's not forget about

0:13:32.280 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 1>that part. But Remander Stevenson looked good and either like

0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:38.800
<v Speaker 1>late second quarter or maybe it was early third quarter.

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:42.480
<v Speaker 1>Goal line work for Remandre Stevenson as well, and he

0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:45.280
<v Speaker 1>has built for it. Baby, do not let him and

0:13:45.400 --> 0:13:48.360
<v Speaker 1>your standard redraft leagues. He should not go one drafted

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 1>this year. Didn't mention mac Jones. I thought mac Jones

0:13:50.480 --> 0:13:53.720
<v Speaker 1>looked pretty good and back up and it was Yeah,

0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.920
<v Speaker 1>I was back up for the Saints. Marquez Callaway is

0:13:56.920 --> 0:14:00.280
<v Speaker 1>your team's number one wide out. Michael Thomas is out

0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:03.600
<v Speaker 1>with an ankle injury, tray Kwon Smith has an undisclosed injury,

0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:08.000
<v Speaker 1>and Deonta Harris is facing possible suspension for his July

0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:11.360
<v Speaker 1>d U I. Uh, Callaway going off the board in

0:14:11.400 --> 0:14:15.000
<v Speaker 1>the nine round. You could have a team's number one

0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 1>wide receiver in the nineteenth round. Sounds like Alvin kamaras

0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:21.560
<v Speaker 1>the top wide receiver there. Atlanta Falcons Matt. Uh, they're

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:23.960
<v Speaker 1>not feeling all that great about their running backs, so

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 1>they just signed Uh Deonta Foreman. Yeah, he's back again. Uh,

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:32.280
<v Speaker 1>that depth chart is very strange and Foreman might actually

0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 1>have a shot to get some snaps this year. Uh,

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:38.880
<v Speaker 1>let's go to the Titans. Derrick Henry is getting very

0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:42.720
<v Speaker 1>limited reps in practice and basically throughout throughout camp, but

0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 1>they're just being uber cautious with him. He doesn't really

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:47.920
<v Speaker 1>need practice on in running people over like he's done

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:50.920
<v Speaker 1>year in year out. But get to know Darrienton Evans

0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:54.200
<v Speaker 1>even must handcuff if you have Henry on roster, but

0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>a guy I'm targeting even if I don't have Henry

0:14:57.080 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 1>on roster, because if something happens to Henry, that's a

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:01.400
<v Speaker 1>lotto ticket right there. That's gonna vault your team near

0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:05.400
<v Speaker 1>the top. We've seen two preseason games from the Steelers already.

0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:08.640
<v Speaker 1>Many teams have played zero. Um, you know, so uh,

0:15:08.800 --> 0:15:12.360
<v Speaker 1>this is uh, this is a note. Uh. Najie Harris

0:15:12.520 --> 0:15:15.680
<v Speaker 1>has looked pretty good so far. The box scores don't

0:15:15.680 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 1>necessarily showed. He had two longer runs. He got called

0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:22.400
<v Speaker 1>back on penalty on Thursday night. Um, But to this point,

0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:25.160
<v Speaker 1>Najie Harris has looked requisite of the first round running

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>back that they expect him to be, and so far

0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 1>green lights. Let's go to the Cardinals. Speaking of running backs,

0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 1>the Cardinals don't have a first round running back that

0:15:34.840 --> 0:15:37.280
<v Speaker 1>they're talking about because they keep saying Chase Edmonds and

0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:40.640
<v Speaker 1>James Conner are splitting the backfield. Everything that's coming out

0:15:40.640 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 1>of camp, quotes from the coaches, quotes from the players,

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:47.240
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a completely split backfield all year.

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:50.120
<v Speaker 1>James Connor is not good unless James Connor gets hurt,

0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 1>which he usually does. Her right now, Yeah, so you

0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:54.880
<v Speaker 1>know if that he doesn't bounce back, let's go to

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 1>the Bengals, uh fifth overall pick in the first wide

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:02.840
<v Speaker 1>receiver taken on Jamark. Chase have separation issues apparently can't

0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:06.560
<v Speaker 1>his mom. But this has been an issue in college,

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:09.960
<v Speaker 1>I suppose. But he was the number one drafted wide

0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 1>receiver and he's the first wide receiver getting taken and

0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:15.360
<v Speaker 1>Redraft Best Ball Leagues over Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd.

0:16:15.880 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 1>I got that completely the other way I got I

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 1>got Chase last, especially based on how expensive he is

0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>compared to the other two. So but Chase not great

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:26.000
<v Speaker 1>reports coming out of camp so far for him, which

0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 1>you don't want to hear. One of the forty Niners

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:31.800
<v Speaker 1>Beat reporters has logged every single training camp pass for

0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:37.200
<v Speaker 1>Jimmy Garoppolo and Trey Lance, and through midweek, Garoppolo had

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 1>a sixty two percent completion rate, which is okay, alright,

0:16:40.760 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 1>six touchdowns, six interceptions. That's not god ideal. Trey Lance

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 1>seventy percent completion rate seems better. Ten touchdown passes, two

0:16:52.040 --> 0:16:57.920
<v Speaker 1>rushing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Just saying just saying, yeah,

0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:00.680
<v Speaker 1>it's coming, all right, let's go to Chicago Bears. I

0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:03.320
<v Speaker 1>want to talk about a rookie quarterback to um Justin

0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:05.800
<v Speaker 1>Fields has been absolutely tearing it up in camp. The

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Bears had some joint practices with the Dolphins this week.

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:12.359
<v Speaker 1>In a six snap span, which is a tongue twister,

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:17.600
<v Speaker 1>Fields through for three touchdown passes against the Dolphins defense

0:17:17.960 --> 0:17:21.639
<v Speaker 1>and ran for one in six snaps. It's impressive. Yeah,

0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:24.280
<v Speaker 1>it's a nice efficiency. It's a good efficiency. He will

0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 1>get a long look, they said, more than two quarters

0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 1>on Saturday night versus Miami. Brian the Jaguars DJ Shark

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:36.680
<v Speaker 1>had surgery recently on a broken finger, but he should

0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:39.120
<v Speaker 1>be ready for Week one. But something to keep your

0:17:39.119 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>eye on as you might want to be drafting Lavisha

0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:44.320
<v Speaker 1>Chanlt and Marvin Jones a little sooner than you were

0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:48.639
<v Speaker 1>before this news broke recently. My final team is the

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:52.639
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore Ravens. Ri Shod Bateman underwent groin surgery. His preseason

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:57.600
<v Speaker 1>is over. Expected timetable is September, and it's unclear if

0:17:57.600 --> 0:17:59.560
<v Speaker 1>you will walk into a starting job when he comes back,

0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 1>considering you have missed almost all of training camp. Will

0:18:03.480 --> 0:18:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Marky's Brown and Miles boy Can both have hamstring injuries,

0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:09.640
<v Speaker 1>so it's all but certain that Sammy Watkins will be

0:18:09.960 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 1>the starting in the starting lineup. Hopefully by then it

0:18:13.080 --> 0:18:15.520
<v Speaker 1>will be Markus Brown and Sammy Watkins is your number

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:18.920
<v Speaker 1>one and number two receivers there um. Also, I will

0:18:18.920 --> 0:18:23.680
<v Speaker 1>note because Gus Edwards was my sleeper player last week

0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:30.119
<v Speaker 1>when they team released their unofficial first depth chart co

0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:35.280
<v Speaker 1>number one running backs were Gus Edwards and j K

0:18:35.520 --> 0:18:37.639
<v Speaker 1>doct I want to talk a little bit more about

0:18:37.720 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 1>j K Dobbins maybe next segment. Okay, good, let's go

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:44.440
<v Speaker 1>to the our Our final team is the Los Angeles Chargers.

0:18:45.119 --> 0:18:48.200
<v Speaker 1>Mike Williams has a hip flex er. Uh so missing

0:18:48.240 --> 0:18:52.359
<v Speaker 1>some practice and here we go again. People are so

0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:55.760
<v Speaker 1>are so excited for Mike Williams this year. Tyron Johns

0:18:55.760 --> 0:18:58.399
<v Speaker 1>are they remember that name? At wide receiver for the

0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:01.440
<v Speaker 1>Chargers in dime is the especially but he could become

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:04.639
<v Speaker 1>viable in redraft this year. He has some one of

0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:10.360
<v Speaker 1>my favorite like wait last him Byron Pringle. I got

0:19:10.359 --> 0:19:14.720
<v Speaker 1>a couple others that are my deep deep receiver depth

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:18.480
<v Speaker 1>chart plays, sleeper plays. All right, when we come back

0:19:19.359 --> 0:19:23.679
<v Speaker 1>the Peacock Off, it's two bold predictions from each of

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:27.800
<v Speaker 1>our hosts and we'll find out who gets to Peacock

0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:33.080
<v Speaker 1>after the season was over, The Pea cock Off. When

0:19:33.080 --> 0:19:59.280
<v Speaker 1>we return to Fantasy Football Weekly, Welcome back Kasy Football

0:19:59.280 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 1>Weekly Culture m Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson with you

0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:04.399
<v Speaker 1>do you haven't checked out the freshest new way to

0:20:04.440 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 1>play fantasy football. It's called the Guillotine League. You can

0:20:07.760 --> 0:20:10.160
<v Speaker 1>get more information at Guillotine leagues dot com on this

0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:15.000
<v Speaker 1>new exciting format. This segment is called the Pea cock Off.

0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:21.359
<v Speaker 1>Two bold predictions from each host as they attempt to

0:20:21.520 --> 0:20:26.280
<v Speaker 1>be right with ideas that are so crazy they might

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>just come true. We begin with Brian Johnson, what is

0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:36.440
<v Speaker 1>your first pea cock Off? I am gonna be pea

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:41.120
<v Speaker 1>cocking off when Kyle Pitts scores more touchdowns than teammate

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 1>Calvin Ridley this season. Now, I won't say how many

0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 1>touchdowns that is, but we're banking on a fair amount

0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 1>of touchdowns for Calvin Ridley and I think Kyle pits

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:53.359
<v Speaker 1>will have more. Ridley had nine in box. Ridley had

0:20:53.440 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 1>nine touchdowns last year, very good total, seven from inside

0:20:57.000 --> 0:20:59.840
<v Speaker 1>the twenty five of those seven were from inside the

0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 1>yard line on eleven targets. Calvin Ridley had five touchdowns

0:21:03.520 --> 0:21:07.200
<v Speaker 1>inside the ten. Yeah, pretty good numbers, especially for receiver.

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Now we gotta throw Julio under the bus. Julio Jones

0:21:10.320 --> 0:21:12.960
<v Speaker 1>really quick, not in town anymore. Of course, one target

0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:15.320
<v Speaker 1>from inside the ten yard line last year mind bending,

0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:19.600
<v Speaker 1>So that usage so dumb. So outside of Ridley and Julio, though,

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:25.000
<v Speaker 1>Hayden Hurst, Russell Gauge, Brandon Powell and la Kwan Treadwell

0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:29.640
<v Speaker 1>combined to score eleven touchdowns from inside the ten yard line.

0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:33.199
<v Speaker 1>Who on twenty two targets? Those are great numbers. And

0:21:33.240 --> 0:21:35.720
<v Speaker 1>you think that slot fest of receivers is going to

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:38.359
<v Speaker 1>combine for those looks now that Kyle Pitts is in town,

0:21:38.760 --> 0:21:42.879
<v Speaker 1>absolutely not. Well they did last year, well, Kyle Pitts

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.040
<v Speaker 1>was not in town. Now Kyle Pitts is in town.

0:21:45.280 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 1>Who is six six to forty and absolute a plus

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:51.720
<v Speaker 1>of a unicorn, who is not going to play standard

0:21:51.760 --> 0:21:54.800
<v Speaker 1>tight end. By the way, that's what Hayden Hurts is

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:56.920
<v Speaker 1>gonna do. Pitts doesn't have to do all the things

0:21:56.920 --> 0:21:59.160
<v Speaker 1>Hayden Hurts is gonna do. Pitts is gonna be catching

0:21:59.160 --> 0:22:02.520
<v Speaker 1>passes all over the place and scoring more touchdowns than

0:22:02.600 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Calvin Ridley this year. Matt, what is your first of

0:22:07.440 --> 0:22:13.639
<v Speaker 1>two pee cock offs. I'm gonna go with j. K. Dobbins,

0:22:13.920 --> 0:22:17.840
<v Speaker 1>finishing as a top three running back Top three, top three.

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>He was only on the field for forty five percent

0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:26.639
<v Speaker 1>of the Ravens offensive plays last season, yet he was

0:22:26.760 --> 0:22:30.280
<v Speaker 1>fourth in the NFL in rushing plays of over twenty yards,

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:33.960
<v Speaker 1>with eight eight of those long runs on only one

0:22:34.080 --> 0:22:37.679
<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirty four rushing attempts. So six percent of

0:22:37.760 --> 0:22:41.720
<v Speaker 1>his rushing attempts went for twenty or more yards and

0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:44.640
<v Speaker 1>twenty of his rushing attempts went for ten yards or more.

0:22:45.000 --> 0:22:48.640
<v Speaker 1>That's one in every six point five rushing attempts went

0:22:48.720 --> 0:22:51.399
<v Speaker 1>for ten or more yards. Now, Derrick Henry lad the

0:22:51.480 --> 0:22:54.359
<v Speaker 1>league with forty eight runs of ten or more yards

0:22:54.359 --> 0:23:01.520
<v Speaker 1>on two carries. His uh, his percentage was not as

0:23:01.560 --> 0:23:04.760
<v Speaker 1>good as J. K. Dobbins. In the Ravens last nine games,

0:23:04.760 --> 0:23:10.160
<v Speaker 1>including playoffs, Dobbins had nine touchdowns. Boy, that's nine times,

0:23:11.720 --> 0:23:14.800
<v Speaker 1>and the average six point four yards per carry, plus

0:23:14.840 --> 0:23:18.960
<v Speaker 1>mark Ingram's gone vacating seventy two carries. I'd venture to

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.000
<v Speaker 1>guess that most of those go the way of Dobbins,

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 1>getting him to the two hundred carry mark. And I

0:23:23.119 --> 0:23:26.280
<v Speaker 1>think that that's a conservative mark. Extrapolate his numbers from

0:23:26.359 --> 0:23:30.040
<v Speaker 1>last year, running just two hundred times, that's twelve yards

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:34.200
<v Speaker 1>and fourteen touchdowns. That yardage total would have been third

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:37.040
<v Speaker 1>amongst running backs, and that touchdown total would have been

0:23:37.080 --> 0:23:41.320
<v Speaker 1>fourth amongst running backs. Plus Ravens running back coach Craig Verse.

0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 1>Stig said that he's caught absolutely every ball in practice

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:47.520
<v Speaker 1>so far in camp, and the Ravens keep spouting off

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:50.880
<v Speaker 1>about how they want Lamar to run less and throw more.

0:23:51.240 --> 0:23:53.439
<v Speaker 1>Two means that to me, that means Lamar and his

0:23:53.480 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 1>low eight point six a dot we'll be giving JK

0:23:56.760 --> 0:23:59.160
<v Speaker 1>even more touches. So I'm gonna forecast two or thirty

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:01.800
<v Speaker 1>rushing attempts and fifty catches. If he does that, he

0:24:01.920 --> 0:24:05.199
<v Speaker 1>easily slides in as the top three running back. You

0:24:05.280 --> 0:24:06.879
<v Speaker 1>and I are set up for a and I like

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:08.960
<v Speaker 1>j K Dobbins just fine. Jo and I are set

0:24:09.040 --> 0:24:11.720
<v Speaker 1>up for a season long battle because I'm heavily and

0:24:11.760 --> 0:24:16.160
<v Speaker 1>diametricallysed Gus Edwards and You're heavily in favor. And I'll

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:28.360
<v Speaker 1>be making later guys. I love Justice Hill. This Ryan

0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Fitzpatrick will finish as a QB one. I mean he'll

0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:35.280
<v Speaker 1>be one of the top twelve quarterbacks. His a DP

0:24:35.480 --> 0:24:38.720
<v Speaker 1>is currently double that at quarterback twenty two, round fourteen.

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:43.800
<v Speaker 1>Here's my case. Unlike any recent Washington quarterback, Fitzgerald Fitzpatrick

0:24:43.880 --> 0:24:47.639
<v Speaker 1>can press the ball upfield. He finished eleventh in completed

0:24:47.680 --> 0:24:50.880
<v Speaker 1>air yards last year and eighth in yards per attempt

0:24:51.040 --> 0:24:53.480
<v Speaker 1>despite having the second shortest time to throw at just

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 1>two point four seconds. Last season playing behind that wolful

0:24:56.359 --> 0:25:00.159
<v Speaker 1>Miami offensive line, he ranked number one in aggressive US

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:05.400
<v Speaker 1>which I loved, which is next gen stats is passer rating. Yeah,

0:25:05.960 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 1>willingness to throw into tight coverages. It is an aggressive beard,

0:25:09.320 --> 0:25:14.000
<v Speaker 1>isn't it. Fitzpatrick led the league in on target percentage

0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:17.960
<v Speaker 1>on passes of greater than twenty yards down field. I

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:21.280
<v Speaker 1>love his ability to press down field, and, by the way,

0:25:21.480 --> 0:25:24.400
<v Speaker 1>not as wildly erratic as as many fantasy owners think.

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:27.240
<v Speaker 1>In his seven starts last year, he had six quality

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:31.920
<v Speaker 1>fantasy starts his UH and his eighty six completion rate

0:25:32.040 --> 0:25:35.159
<v Speaker 1>is one percent less than Aaron Rodgers M v P season.

0:25:35.520 --> 0:25:39.000
<v Speaker 1>He's not as wildly erratic as some people tend to think.

0:25:39.240 --> 0:25:43.639
<v Speaker 1>Fitzpatrick is. As a reminder, last year, playing for a

0:25:43.960 --> 0:25:47.160
<v Speaker 1>I think will ultimately be a much worse Miami offense.

0:25:48.680 --> 0:25:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Fitzpatrick was on track for fort hundred yards, twenty eight touchdowns,

0:25:53.320 --> 0:25:56.960
<v Speaker 1>three thirty rushing yards, and five rushing touchdowns, which would

0:25:56.960 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 1>have made him justin Herbert last year. Herbert's ADP is

0:26:00.800 --> 0:26:04.240
<v Speaker 1>quarterback six. You can get Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback twenty

0:26:04.320 --> 0:26:06.919
<v Speaker 1>two and he will finish as a QB one. You

0:26:06.960 --> 0:26:10.560
<v Speaker 1>mean he would have been justin her beard. He's justin

0:26:11.440 --> 0:26:16.560
<v Speaker 1>a hair beard, like an air beard beard. That kind

0:26:16.560 --> 0:26:20.160
<v Speaker 1>of works. To be honest, Brian, what is your second

0:26:20.600 --> 0:26:28.159
<v Speaker 1>peacock off? I have Austin Ekeler finishing as the the

0:26:28.760 --> 0:26:33.160
<v Speaker 1>RB one in PPR, not a RB one, the overall

0:26:33.320 --> 0:26:36.000
<v Speaker 1>number one running back in points per reception leagues this year.

0:26:36.000 --> 0:26:38.120
<v Speaker 1>I guess, Matt, you made a similar call last year.

0:26:38.240 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 1>I tried this one last year and it was it was,

0:26:41.440 --> 0:26:43.879
<v Speaker 1>it was top overall. Yeah, okay, Well, for all the

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 1>reasons you said, we're just copying my work from last year. Yeah.

0:26:48.200 --> 0:26:51.880
<v Speaker 1>Everything that made him uh two thousand plus combo yards

0:26:52.240 --> 0:26:54.560
<v Speaker 1>all day long in the bag when he shows healthy

0:26:54.640 --> 0:26:56.280
<v Speaker 1>averages is more than four and a half yards per

0:26:56.320 --> 0:26:58.440
<v Speaker 1>carry a lock for at least five catches per game

0:26:58.640 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 1>get nine catches, and things didn't work out for him

0:27:02.400 --> 0:27:04.680
<v Speaker 1>last year. He wasn't healthy and other things that weren't

0:27:04.720 --> 0:27:07.639
<v Speaker 1>going for him last year. He wasn't going into justin

0:27:07.720 --> 0:27:12.200
<v Speaker 1>air Bears first full year, which we are this year

0:27:12.359 --> 0:27:17.160
<v Speaker 1>first full season. Anthony Lynn, arguably one of the worst

0:27:17.160 --> 0:27:20.880
<v Speaker 1>coaches we've seen over the last decade, finally gone new

0:27:20.880 --> 0:27:23.720
<v Speaker 1>head coach do oc for the Chargers. It was very

0:27:23.720 --> 0:27:27.200
<v Speaker 1>well for Austin Nikela and lastly, and but definitely not least,

0:27:27.560 --> 0:27:32.000
<v Speaker 1>he totally revamped offensive line, starting with left tackle Rashawn Slater,

0:27:32.000 --> 0:27:35.160
<v Speaker 1>who was taken overall by the Chargers. When this guy

0:27:35.200 --> 0:27:37.240
<v Speaker 1>gets going and run blocking in the second level looks

0:27:37.280 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 1>like the Juggernaut from X Men. Uh. They do get

0:27:39.960 --> 0:27:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Brian Bulaga back. He was limited by injury last year,

0:27:42.600 --> 0:27:46.080
<v Speaker 1>but he looks good. The Chargers signed another former Packer

0:27:46.080 --> 0:27:49.960
<v Speaker 1>and Corey Lindsley, who was Pro Football Focuses top graded

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:54.680
<v Speaker 1>free agent center this past offseason. Surrendered only seven pressures

0:27:54.680 --> 0:27:58.080
<v Speaker 1>ont pass blocking snaps, so great for the whole offense.

0:27:58.760 --> 0:28:02.200
<v Speaker 1>Huge upgraded center and both starting guards Matt Feiler and

0:28:02.280 --> 0:28:07.040
<v Speaker 1>O Day. I'm gonna go with a bouche also free agents.

0:28:07.040 --> 0:28:09.560
<v Speaker 1>So I will admit the line needs a little time

0:28:09.600 --> 0:28:11.960
<v Speaker 1>to mesh probably, but it's a lot of moving parts.

0:28:12.000 --> 0:28:14.840
<v Speaker 1>It was so much more, so much better, so much

0:28:14.840 --> 0:28:17.760
<v Speaker 1>more talented. Love the Charges as an overall team. And

0:28:17.800 --> 0:28:20.600
<v Speaker 1>if Austin Ekeler can stay healthy, we had that concern

0:28:20.680 --> 0:28:23.600
<v Speaker 1>with every player in the NFL. He could very well

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:26.000
<v Speaker 1>finish the season as RB one, and I'm going with

0:28:26.040 --> 0:28:27.880
<v Speaker 1>the fact you will stay healthy and finish as RB

0:28:28.000 --> 0:28:31.240
<v Speaker 1>one in PPR. Yeah, I was so on board Austin

0:28:31.240 --> 0:28:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Ekeler last year and I am this year as well.

0:28:32.920 --> 0:28:35.000
<v Speaker 1>He's he's might number nine ranked running back, but I

0:28:35.040 --> 0:28:37.680
<v Speaker 1>still think he does have running back one upside. He

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:39.360
<v Speaker 1>just has to get more carries, and that's something he's

0:28:39.400 --> 0:28:41.760
<v Speaker 1>never had in his career is a lot of carries,

0:28:42.040 --> 0:28:44.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think that's why he wouldn't be That was

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:46.600
<v Speaker 1>the plan for him last year though, when he got hurt.

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:47.920
<v Speaker 1>And I don't know, like we're gonna see a lot

0:28:47.920 --> 0:28:50.600
<v Speaker 1>of running backs get limited by their their touches, including

0:28:50.680 --> 0:28:54.240
<v Speaker 1>Derrick Henry, I think. But could be Matt your second

0:28:54.440 --> 0:28:58.560
<v Speaker 1>pea cock off. You know what I like about Fantasy

0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 1>Football Weekly. Sometimes we do each other's work like Brian, Like,

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:06.320
<v Speaker 1>Brian just told me all of the great things about

0:29:06.360 --> 0:29:08.959
<v Speaker 1>the Chargers old line. And that's why I have just

0:29:09.120 --> 0:29:17.560
<v Speaker 1>an air Bear that's right finishing as quarterback number two,

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:23.160
<v Speaker 1>number two. He's gonna throw ten touchdowns. I think so.

0:29:23.640 --> 0:29:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Um Brian talked about the offensive line. That's fantastic. Joe

0:29:27.320 --> 0:29:30.360
<v Speaker 1>Lombardi is the new offensive coordinator. He had one season

0:29:30.400 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>as offensive coordinator. I mentioned this last week. His team

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:38.479
<v Speaker 1>passed sixty six percent of the time. With Austin Ekeler

0:29:38.480 --> 0:29:41.120
<v Speaker 1>as your lead running back, you're probably going to pass

0:29:41.200 --> 0:29:43.240
<v Speaker 1>sixty six percent of the time. You're gonna keep that

0:29:43.280 --> 0:29:46.480
<v Speaker 1>ball in the air. The Chargers led the NFL in

0:29:46.560 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 1>total plays run last year at seventy per game. And

0:29:50.200 --> 0:29:53.440
<v Speaker 1>if those trends hold true, air Bear will throw forty

0:29:53.480 --> 0:29:56.080
<v Speaker 1>six passes a game. If he does that at seven

0:29:56.120 --> 0:29:59.400
<v Speaker 1>point three yards per attempt, he's going to throw for

0:29:59.440 --> 0:30:03.520
<v Speaker 1>three thirty six yards per game. If he throws touch

0:30:03.560 --> 0:30:06.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot, that's a lot. That's a lot. Only two

0:30:06.640 --> 0:30:11.120
<v Speaker 1>quarterbacks have ever averaged that many yards per game two

0:30:11.160 --> 0:30:14.200
<v Speaker 1>thousand thirteen Peyton Manning in two thousand eleven Drew Brees.

0:30:15.160 --> 0:30:18.440
<v Speaker 1>If he throws a touchdown at equal percentage from last season.

0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:21.280
<v Speaker 1>He's going to average two and a half touchdowns per game,

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:24.160
<v Speaker 1>and a few quarterbacks have averaged over that per per

0:30:24.400 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 1>two and a half touchdowns per game, but it's usually

0:30:26.640 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>like one quarterback every other year. The only reason I

0:30:31.120 --> 0:30:35.080
<v Speaker 1>don't have him finishing as quarterback number one is because

0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:38.280
<v Speaker 1>Paul Charchion is about to tell you who's going to

0:30:38.320 --> 0:30:43.640
<v Speaker 1>finish at quarterback number one, Patrick Mahomes in our final,

0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:47.880
<v Speaker 1>our sixth and final peacock Off. Patrick Mahomes will set

0:30:47.960 --> 0:30:53.320
<v Speaker 1>the single season passing yardage and touchdown record this year.

0:30:53.480 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 1>Is because it's the first season with seventeen games. He

0:30:55.920 --> 0:30:58.800
<v Speaker 1>does get a six games, and I am factoring that

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:01.840
<v Speaker 1>in do you think he gets us expert in sixteen

0:31:01.840 --> 0:31:05.560
<v Speaker 1>games though? Because he won't play, so you're you're probably

0:31:05.640 --> 0:31:07.120
<v Speaker 1>right about that, because I think they're sitting on like

0:31:08.320 --> 0:31:10.520
<v Speaker 1>win season, so there is a chance I'll have to

0:31:10.560 --> 0:31:13.480
<v Speaker 1>do it in sixteen games, and he may. He's already

0:31:13.640 --> 0:31:17.200
<v Speaker 1>he's already had a top ten yardage season once already,

0:31:17.240 --> 0:31:20.720
<v Speaker 1>and he's already got the number two passing touchdown mark

0:31:20.720 --> 0:31:22.760
<v Speaker 1>of all time when he had a fifty touchdown season.

0:31:23.080 --> 0:31:26.200
<v Speaker 1>I believe that was eighteen, so you know he's already

0:31:26.200 --> 0:31:29.800
<v Speaker 1>performed at a level similar to that. UM. I also

0:31:29.880 --> 0:31:33.840
<v Speaker 1>like the fact that Patrick Mahomes has got uh still

0:31:33.840 --> 0:31:37.200
<v Speaker 1>has Tyree Hill, He's got the rebuilt offensive line that needless,

0:31:37.200 --> 0:31:40.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't have to even go into a lengthy discussion

0:31:40.400 --> 0:31:43.040
<v Speaker 1>at this point on on how good Patrick Mahomes is.

0:31:43.800 --> 0:31:47.719
<v Speaker 1>Safe to say that Patrick Mahomes is very good and

0:31:47.760 --> 0:31:50.760
<v Speaker 1>has a lot of upside that could all come together

0:31:50.800 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 1>in a season with we're in which he gets very

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:55.880
<v Speaker 1>good protection. Clyde Edwards Laire could be sitting on some

0:31:55.960 --> 0:31:58.000
<v Speaker 1>extra receptions and we'll talk about that a little bit

0:31:58.080 --> 0:32:03.800
<v Speaker 1>later in this show when we come back. The Traits

0:32:03.840 --> 0:32:08.200
<v Speaker 1>of a Sleeper running Back Matt Harrison is unearthed, a

0:32:08.400 --> 0:32:13.840
<v Speaker 1>mechanism by which you can identify sleeper running backs. Who

0:32:13.920 --> 0:32:15.880
<v Speaker 1>are the players you can take in the mid rounds

0:32:16.080 --> 0:32:19.880
<v Speaker 1>that will perform like fantasy starters. We'll tell you when

0:32:19.880 --> 0:32:51.400
<v Speaker 1>we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy

0:32:51.520 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 1>Football Weekly. Paul Chargie, Matt Harrison, and Brian Johnson with you.

0:32:58.000 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 1>You can get all my player rankings available for Guillotine

0:33:00.760 --> 0:33:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Leagues dot Com. Matt Yeah challenge you to come up

0:33:05.080 --> 0:33:09.520
<v Speaker 1>with the common traits among sleeper running backs. In any

0:33:09.560 --> 0:33:12.880
<v Speaker 1>given year, half of the RB ones the top twelve

0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 1>running backs will come from the middle rounds or later

0:33:16.040 --> 0:33:19.280
<v Speaker 1>of fantasy drafts. Uh. The washout rates very high on

0:33:19.360 --> 0:33:21.440
<v Speaker 1>the end running backs due to injuries and a lot

0:33:21.440 --> 0:33:24.959
<v Speaker 1>of other things. Um, And, so what are the common

0:33:24.960 --> 0:33:29.040
<v Speaker 1>traits that you can look for in the middle rounds

0:33:29.080 --> 0:33:32.120
<v Speaker 1>to help find running backs that can vault up to

0:33:32.240 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 1>every week starter status. Yeah, so I set this up

0:33:35.480 --> 0:33:38.760
<v Speaker 1>where I want a running back who I can take

0:33:38.760 --> 0:33:44.000
<v Speaker 1>in round six or later that gives me round two upside.

0:33:44.160 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 1>That's that's significant jump right there. Um. A DP has

0:33:46.840 --> 0:33:49.040
<v Speaker 1>about fourteen or fifteen running backs going in the first

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:50.800
<v Speaker 1>two rounds, so they need to finish in the top

0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:55.320
<v Speaker 1>fifteen basically. UM. I've compiled data from the last six

0:33:55.360 --> 0:33:58.240
<v Speaker 1>seasons back to looked at the original a DP and

0:33:58.240 --> 0:34:01.560
<v Speaker 1>final stats the running backs, and I found nineteen instances

0:34:01.560 --> 0:34:04.120
<v Speaker 1>where running back in the last six years that qualified

0:34:04.600 --> 0:34:06.960
<v Speaker 1>as drafted outside of round six and finished in the

0:34:07.000 --> 0:34:09.640
<v Speaker 1>top fifteen. So let's unearth some of the trends that

0:34:09.680 --> 0:34:13.400
<v Speaker 1>these nineteen players have in common. Um. And each of

0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:16.160
<v Speaker 1>these trends that I've outlined here we've seen them happen

0:34:16.200 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 1>at least five times on these three trends. Okay, so

0:34:19.080 --> 0:34:22.040
<v Speaker 1>it's happened at least five years. You've got a pool

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:25.720
<v Speaker 1>of nineteen running backs made the big jump from round

0:34:25.719 --> 0:34:27.359
<v Speaker 1>six or lower all the way up to round two.

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:32.719
<v Speaker 1>Corral you, and five of them have cover. Each of

0:34:32.760 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 1>these got trend number one a high passing percentage team

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 1>with a well below average passing game. Okay, so that

0:34:44.640 --> 0:34:48.200
<v Speaker 1>means a lot roll a lot, and they got junkie

0:34:48.280 --> 0:34:52.399
<v Speaker 1>quarterbacks and wide receivers. Um, We've i found five guys

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:55.280
<v Speaker 1>who fit this mold. A team with a high passing

0:34:55.280 --> 0:35:00.480
<v Speaker 1>percentage seems counterintuitive here, as that conversely means less rushing attempts. Right. However,

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:03.160
<v Speaker 1>these teams usually have a few similarities. Three of the

0:35:03.160 --> 0:35:05.720
<v Speaker 1>five running backs were playing under coaches in their first

0:35:05.800 --> 0:35:08.360
<v Speaker 1>year with the team, so they came into a situation

0:35:08.520 --> 0:35:12.320
<v Speaker 1>where the offense is probably bad. Uh, They're not playoff teams,

0:35:12.320 --> 0:35:14.239
<v Speaker 1>with the exception of one of those teams was the

0:35:14.320 --> 0:35:17.480
<v Speaker 1>seven and nine Washington football team last year that won

0:35:17.520 --> 0:35:20.880
<v Speaker 1>the NFC East, so still a below average team that

0:35:20.920 --> 0:35:24.320
<v Speaker 1>won a division. Three of those five teams had bottom

0:35:24.440 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 1>five defenses in points allowed and bad quarterbacks playing catchup

0:35:31.120 --> 0:35:34.879
<v Speaker 1>usually equals low depth of target because the defenses are

0:35:34.880 --> 0:35:39.160
<v Speaker 1>playing more prevent In fact, of the A dots of

0:35:39.200 --> 0:35:43.240
<v Speaker 1>these quarterbacks were under eight yards. So teams that probably

0:35:43.320 --> 0:35:46.760
<v Speaker 1>fit the mold of a bad defense, a below average

0:35:46.800 --> 0:35:50.719
<v Speaker 1>passing unit, and a quarterback with a low depth of target. Well,

0:35:50.760 --> 0:35:53.680
<v Speaker 1>we're going to start with Detroit and Jared Goff, who

0:35:53.719 --> 0:35:56.279
<v Speaker 1>have been picking on for two or three years. His

0:35:56.560 --> 0:35:59.839
<v Speaker 1>six point one average depth of target. That's not good.

0:36:00.200 --> 0:36:04.040
<v Speaker 1>Dan Campbell, rookie head coach, that that fills in right there.

0:36:04.440 --> 0:36:06.879
<v Speaker 1>Now you think, well, DeAndre Swift, I can't get him

0:36:06.920 --> 0:36:09.960
<v Speaker 1>that late. But Jamal Williams is going off in the

0:36:10.000 --> 0:36:13.040
<v Speaker 1>tenth round, and the Lions are still saying it's a

0:36:13.120 --> 0:36:16.560
<v Speaker 1>two man split backfield. They keep saying it over and

0:36:16.600 --> 0:36:18.759
<v Speaker 1>over and over again. So Jamal Williams in the tenth round,

0:36:19.239 --> 0:36:23.120
<v Speaker 1>he's juicy the Jets. The defense is still always away.

0:36:23.360 --> 0:36:26.399
<v Speaker 1>Rookie quarterback Zack Wilson, who had a ten point nine

0:36:26.440 --> 0:36:29.160
<v Speaker 1>a dot in college that goes down in your first

0:36:29.200 --> 0:36:32.040
<v Speaker 1>lay in the NFL. And Robert sala a rookie head

0:36:32.040 --> 0:36:35.960
<v Speaker 1>coach Michael Carter going off in the eighth round, and

0:36:36.000 --> 0:36:38.160
<v Speaker 1>I think Michael Carter, out of these guys, has the

0:36:38.200 --> 0:36:42.960
<v Speaker 1>best chance of making. Only Tevin Coleman and la Michael

0:36:42.960 --> 0:36:45.279
<v Speaker 1>p Ryan are challenging for touches. So Carter I like

0:36:45.320 --> 0:36:50.400
<v Speaker 1>a lot uh Jacksonville bad defense, rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence

0:36:50.680 --> 0:36:53.080
<v Speaker 1>only on nine point zero a dot in college, and

0:36:53.239 --> 0:36:56.880
<v Speaker 1>Urban Meyer as a rookie coach, Travis E. T n

0:36:57.400 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 1>or eight gen He's going around five. But James Robinson

0:37:01.239 --> 0:37:05.399
<v Speaker 1>is still there in round nine right now, Travis, I'm

0:37:05.400 --> 0:37:07.719
<v Speaker 1>pretty down in Robinson, but that's good value. It's good

0:37:07.800 --> 0:37:09.960
<v Speaker 1>value on both of these guys, and I wouldn't mind

0:37:09.960 --> 0:37:11.799
<v Speaker 1>having either of these guys on my team, even though

0:37:11.840 --> 0:37:15.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm cheating a little bit with eton trend Number two,

0:37:16.800 --> 0:37:20.520
<v Speaker 1>A playoff team with a good defense and a pass

0:37:20.560 --> 0:37:24.040
<v Speaker 1>catching running back emerges out of nowhere, all right, So

0:37:24.080 --> 0:37:27.799
<v Speaker 1>I gotta be a playoff bound team up that has

0:37:27.840 --> 0:37:30.880
<v Speaker 1>a very good, very good defense, got it, and a

0:37:30.920 --> 0:37:34.080
<v Speaker 1>pass catching running back. Okay, and we found five players

0:37:34.120 --> 0:37:36.520
<v Speaker 1>that fit this mold. Each of the team's made the playoffs.

0:37:37.040 --> 0:37:41.239
<v Speaker 1>Um two of them were headed up by rookies that

0:37:41.280 --> 0:37:44.000
<v Speaker 1>were seemingly blocked by a good established player. Those were

0:37:44.000 --> 0:37:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Alvin Kamara who was blocked by Mark Ingram and David

0:37:47.200 --> 0:37:50.160
<v Speaker 1>Johnson back in the day, who was blocked by Chris

0:37:50.200 --> 0:37:53.600
<v Speaker 1>tap dancing Nancy Johnson. I just wanted to bring him.

0:37:53.680 --> 0:37:55.960
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for you to tap dancing, Nancy. It's been

0:37:56.000 --> 0:37:58.839
<v Speaker 1>a while. Um, three of those players had By the way,

0:37:58.840 --> 0:38:01.200
<v Speaker 1>how come we didn't have a tap dancing sounder at

0:38:01.239 --> 0:38:03.520
<v Speaker 1>any point? You know, we could have had the click

0:38:03.640 --> 0:38:07.840
<v Speaker 1>click at easy Yeah, right, yeah, right there we go. Um,

0:38:08.000 --> 0:38:11.960
<v Speaker 1>Tampa Bay super Bowl Champs. Fantastic defense. If we're going

0:38:12.000 --> 0:38:14.400
<v Speaker 1>to have a pass catcher emergent of nowhere, though, it

0:38:14.440 --> 0:38:17.080
<v Speaker 1>can't be four Net or Roe Joe, who are near

0:38:17.160 --> 0:38:20.879
<v Speaker 1>misss by being selected earlier than our criteria. It would

0:38:20.880 --> 0:38:24.520
<v Speaker 1>have to be the one player off the board, and

0:38:24.600 --> 0:38:28.600
<v Speaker 1>that's Geo Bernard who they're giving rave reviews to encamp.

0:38:28.680 --> 0:38:32.640
<v Speaker 1>Tom Brady recruited him specifically kind of like Geo Bernard

0:38:32.719 --> 0:38:35.320
<v Speaker 1>is a late round sleeper. Yeah, there's some temptation to

0:38:36.320 --> 0:38:39.120
<v Speaker 1>equate him to Lashawn McCoy, who was a pass catching

0:38:39.200 --> 0:38:40.839
<v Speaker 1>running back who was on roster last year and they

0:38:40.880 --> 0:38:43.319
<v Speaker 1>just didn't use him. But Bernard's what only like five

0:38:43.400 --> 0:38:45.880
<v Speaker 1>years into his career, not fifteen years into his career

0:38:45.920 --> 0:38:50.040
<v Speaker 1>like McCoy was exactly. Um, the l A Rams should

0:38:50.040 --> 0:38:53.399
<v Speaker 1>contend in the NFC with a great defense, and now

0:38:53.560 --> 0:38:56.600
<v Speaker 1>we're all looking at cam Akers being out, which is

0:38:56.800 --> 0:39:00.360
<v Speaker 1>actually a plus for sleeper running backs. Right. Darryl Henderson's

0:39:00.400 --> 0:39:02.839
<v Speaker 1>ability to stay healthy and on the field is very

0:39:02.920 --> 0:39:05.920
<v Speaker 1>much being called into question by his head coach. So

0:39:06.080 --> 0:39:09.839
<v Speaker 1>Xavier Jones is you're out of nowhere guy. He's a

0:39:09.840 --> 0:39:13.000
<v Speaker 1>clear passing option from what they say in camp notes,

0:39:13.040 --> 0:39:15.880
<v Speaker 1>he's catching everything. So Xavier Jones is a guy you

0:39:15.880 --> 0:39:19.360
<v Speaker 1>can get real late last round year draft. Nobody's drafting

0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:22.719
<v Speaker 1>him right now. Pick him up. Uh and then Washington

0:39:22.880 --> 0:39:25.680
<v Speaker 1>somehow upgraded their defense, which was already very good from

0:39:25.760 --> 0:39:28.880
<v Speaker 1>last year and should be among the elite units in

0:39:28.920 --> 0:39:31.279
<v Speaker 1>the league. I think they should be favored to win

0:39:31.320 --> 0:39:35.279
<v Speaker 1>the NFC East as well. J D. Mckissic is the

0:39:35.320 --> 0:39:37.840
<v Speaker 1>guy that you want, and it's not mc suckett anymore.

0:39:38.280 --> 0:39:41.200
<v Speaker 1>He's going off in the eleventh round. Plus he already

0:39:41.280 --> 0:39:43.880
<v Speaker 1>proved that he can do this role with eight catches

0:39:43.960 --> 0:39:47.640
<v Speaker 1>last year. It's not out of nowhere. But he's being

0:39:47.719 --> 0:39:49.759
<v Speaker 1>drafted in the eleventh round. And he finished his RB

0:39:49.920 --> 0:39:52.880
<v Speaker 1>seventeen last year, so it's kind of like, hey, just

0:39:52.920 --> 0:39:56.040
<v Speaker 1>a reminder, by the way, he's good. He's put on

0:39:56.040 --> 0:39:58.319
<v Speaker 1>like ten or fifteen pounds too, So if something were

0:39:58.360 --> 0:40:01.960
<v Speaker 1>to happen to Gibson, he could assume that three. Yeah,

0:40:02.000 --> 0:40:05.160
<v Speaker 1>absolutely's not gonna steal it from Gibson. But and trend

0:40:05.239 --> 0:40:09.000
<v Speaker 1>number three, it's it's not that uh, it's not that interesting.

0:40:09.000 --> 0:40:11.760
<v Speaker 1>It's an injury or a departure plus a coaching staff

0:40:11.800 --> 0:40:16.239
<v Speaker 1>with a Bell cow philosophy. It's basically the best handcuffs

0:40:16.280 --> 0:40:19.320
<v Speaker 1>you can get in weird situations. And here are the

0:40:19.360 --> 0:40:21.480
<v Speaker 1>guys who might be in line for a full bell

0:40:21.600 --> 0:40:23.800
<v Speaker 1>Cow roll if the guy in front of them on

0:40:23.840 --> 0:40:27.080
<v Speaker 1>the depth chart doesn't make it to a game, whether

0:40:27.160 --> 0:40:32.920
<v Speaker 1>it's injury, illness, whatever. Tony Pollard, Ezekiel Elliott has averaged

0:40:32.920 --> 0:40:35.759
<v Speaker 1>three touches over the last five seasons. That's a lot

0:40:37.280 --> 0:40:41.640
<v Speaker 1>Cuba Hubbard. This coaching staff let Mike Davis have two

0:40:42.360 --> 0:40:45.000
<v Speaker 1>four touches last year with CMC out. If he goes

0:40:45.040 --> 0:40:50.600
<v Speaker 1>down again, it's Cuba Hubbard's time. Uh. Brian mentioned Darrenton Evans,

0:40:50.640 --> 0:40:56.399
<v Speaker 1>Derrick Henry had three touches and four hundred last year.

0:40:57.960 --> 0:41:01.799
<v Speaker 1>DJ Dallas. Chris Carson was injured last year but still

0:41:01.840 --> 0:41:04.600
<v Speaker 1>had over two sixty five touches in each of the

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:08.480
<v Speaker 1>prior to seasons, and Seattle has been one that they

0:41:08.560 --> 0:41:12.000
<v Speaker 1>use one running back at a time. And finally, Alexander Madison.

0:41:12.040 --> 0:41:14.359
<v Speaker 1>Dalvin has had over three d touches in two straight

0:41:14.440 --> 0:41:17.040
<v Speaker 1>years and has missed at least two games and all

0:41:17.080 --> 0:41:20.359
<v Speaker 1>four of his pro seasons. Alexander Madison would be in

0:41:20.400 --> 0:41:22.799
<v Speaker 1>line for a ton of work if Dalvin goes down

0:41:22.960 --> 0:41:25.400
<v Speaker 1>with a big injury. Yeah. That's the you know, the

0:41:25.400 --> 0:41:29.080
<v Speaker 1>bell cow philosophy very very important, and you know, I'm

0:41:29.120 --> 0:41:31.719
<v Speaker 1>tempted to lump in a little cream hunting do that.

0:41:31.760 --> 0:41:37.839
<v Speaker 1>But the problems we saw last year, Yeah, yeah, so

0:41:38.000 --> 0:41:40.799
<v Speaker 1>that was a run first mentality offense, very much so

0:41:40.960 --> 0:41:45.439
<v Speaker 1>with Kevin Stefanski, who suckled at the teet of Mike

0:41:45.560 --> 0:41:51.000
<v Speaker 1>Zimmer and loves to do. Yeah, well, because apparently it worked.

0:41:51.040 --> 0:41:53.360
<v Speaker 1>Look at look at where Kevin Stefanski got the browns.

0:41:53.480 --> 0:41:55.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you do suckle at the teeth of a

0:41:55.600 --> 0:41:58.040
<v Speaker 1>bell cow, right, Yeah, Well that's a great point. That's

0:41:58.080 --> 0:42:00.759
<v Speaker 1>a great perfect move. Yeah. I like that way to

0:42:00.840 --> 0:42:02.719
<v Speaker 1>hold on I think we have a cow on here,

0:42:02.760 --> 0:42:05.239
<v Speaker 1>don't we all of our we got the cow. There's

0:42:05.239 --> 0:42:08.200
<v Speaker 1>got the cow bell, so you know that works. We

0:42:08.400 --> 0:42:12.080
<v Speaker 1>don't have actual moving at any point. Well, someone mailed

0:42:12.080 --> 0:42:14.880
<v Speaker 1>you an actual cow bell. I recall, Yes, we have

0:42:14.960 --> 0:42:18.319
<v Speaker 1>a listener who sent me a literally functioning cow bell.

0:42:18.480 --> 0:42:21.200
<v Speaker 1>It's in my house. It's super cool. You engraved it

0:42:21.239 --> 0:42:24.440
<v Speaker 1>with fantasy in my bedroom and everything. It's on my

0:42:24.520 --> 0:42:28.360
<v Speaker 1>cow that right, Thank you for the traits of a

0:42:28.440 --> 0:42:31.040
<v Speaker 1>of a sleeper running back, Matt, let me mention this

0:42:31.080 --> 0:42:32.640
<v Speaker 1>for those of you that are in dynasty leagues, are

0:42:32.680 --> 0:42:36.200
<v Speaker 1>interested in dynasty leagues. The Empire League is a fantastic

0:42:36.280 --> 0:42:39.400
<v Speaker 1>variation on dynasty leagues. And while we've just got a

0:42:39.400 --> 0:42:41.800
<v Speaker 1>moment here between now and the end of this segment,

0:42:42.200 --> 0:42:45.040
<v Speaker 1>let me just explain how that works. An Empire league,

0:42:45.040 --> 0:42:46.680
<v Speaker 1>it's a dynasty league where you keep all of your

0:42:46.680 --> 0:42:50.759
<v Speaker 1>players year to year, but unlike most it's got a

0:42:50.800 --> 0:42:53.719
<v Speaker 1>true wind condition on the end of it. The dynasty

0:42:53.800 --> 0:42:56.879
<v Speaker 1>league puts in for every dollar it goes into the pot,

0:42:57.000 --> 0:42:59.120
<v Speaker 1>only half of it goes out at the end of

0:42:59.160 --> 0:43:02.279
<v Speaker 1>each year. So if your league put puts in a

0:43:02.320 --> 0:43:05.799
<v Speaker 1>hypothetical thousand dollars your winners. That you get five and

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:09.120
<v Speaker 1>the other five hundred rolls forward year to year, waiting

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:14.359
<v Speaker 1>for a team to win back to back championships. When

0:43:14.400 --> 0:43:17.920
<v Speaker 1>that happens, the winner gets that year's pay out. They

0:43:17.920 --> 0:43:20.560
<v Speaker 1>get the rolling pot and here's the best part. The

0:43:20.640 --> 0:43:24.320
<v Speaker 1>league ends. That's over. One of the things that bugs

0:43:24.360 --> 0:43:29.360
<v Speaker 1>me about fantasy football is there is no true champion.

0:43:29.520 --> 0:43:34.520
<v Speaker 1>You only have the latest winner. The Empire League gives

0:43:34.520 --> 0:43:37.800
<v Speaker 1>you a true champion. This is the guy who won

0:43:38.400 --> 0:43:41.319
<v Speaker 1>the whole thing, and we disbanded the league and we're in.

0:43:41.400 --> 0:43:45.360
<v Speaker 1>You are the champion. Brian Johnson is our current champion,

0:43:46.120 --> 0:43:48.520
<v Speaker 1>and if he wins, he's heading out with a cool

0:43:48.640 --> 0:43:52.000
<v Speaker 1>nine grand that's been rolling up over this, I can

0:43:52.040 --> 0:43:56.880
<v Speaker 1>retire from the show. Finally. That that fun, and so

0:43:56.920 --> 0:43:59.719
<v Speaker 1>it will be fun when Brian retires. For Brian, it

0:43:59.760 --> 0:44:03.680
<v Speaker 1>really has a very special experience knowing what you've got

0:44:03.760 --> 0:44:06.040
<v Speaker 1>on the line this year and for the other eleven

0:44:06.040 --> 0:44:08.560
<v Speaker 1>of us. We're gunning for Brian. You know, we want

0:44:08.680 --> 0:44:10.319
<v Speaker 1>him to lose and we're gonna try to try to

0:44:10.400 --> 0:44:14.680
<v Speaker 1>make him lose. It's uh. It's bringing on the Empire

0:44:14.800 --> 0:44:17.359
<v Speaker 1>League a new variation that you can try in your

0:44:17.480 --> 0:44:20.640
<v Speaker 1>dynasty league. When we come back three tough questions, I'll

0:44:20.680 --> 0:44:23.680
<v Speaker 1>pepper my co host, with three tough questions. You can

0:44:23.719 --> 0:44:25.960
<v Speaker 1>play along see if you can go three and oh.

0:44:25.960 --> 0:44:48.840
<v Speaker 1>On Fantasy Football Weekly, our number two of Fantasy Football Weekly,

0:44:49.520 --> 0:44:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Matt Harrison Brian Johnson with you. Fantasy draft season rapidly approaching.

0:44:55.600 --> 0:44:58.720
<v Speaker 1>We're here to get you ready. This is a segment

0:44:58.840 --> 0:45:03.839
<v Speaker 1>we call three toughes utions. Why because we asked three

0:45:03.880 --> 0:45:06.799
<v Speaker 1>tough questions and you guys try to answer correctly. I've

0:45:06.840 --> 0:45:09.880
<v Speaker 1>got all the correct answers. You will try to match

0:45:10.040 --> 0:45:14.200
<v Speaker 1>my answers. Feel free to play a long tough question

0:45:14.360 --> 0:45:20.400
<v Speaker 1>Number one? What is the one tight end handcuff worth drafting? Matt?

0:45:21.080 --> 0:45:23.560
<v Speaker 1>This one was pretty tough. It might have caused the

0:45:23.640 --> 0:45:26.600
<v Speaker 1>medulla injury for me, so I'm no longer able to

0:45:26.640 --> 0:45:33.120
<v Speaker 1>regulate my body activities including heart rhythm, breathing, blood flow, sneezing, vomiting, coughing,

0:45:33.320 --> 0:45:37.200
<v Speaker 1>swallowing all that stuff. Um to me. A handcuff indicates

0:45:37.200 --> 0:45:41.480
<v Speaker 1>that you have an elite, top tier player and you

0:45:41.480 --> 0:45:43.319
<v Speaker 1>need to back them up because you think when their

0:45:43.360 --> 0:45:45.839
<v Speaker 1>backup would take over, they would get most are all

0:45:45.880 --> 0:45:49.120
<v Speaker 1>of that elite, top tier work. That narrows it down

0:45:49.160 --> 0:45:53.480
<v Speaker 1>to three tight ends, Kelsey, Waller, and Kittles backups. Kelsey's

0:45:53.520 --> 0:45:55.919
<v Speaker 1>backup is Noah Gray, fifth round rookie out of Duke,

0:45:55.960 --> 0:45:58.279
<v Speaker 1>but Kelsey hasn't missed a game that wasn't a week

0:45:58.360 --> 0:46:01.839
<v Speaker 1>seventeen in his career, so it's probably not him. What

0:46:01.880 --> 0:46:05.120
<v Speaker 1>we saw from Ross Dwelly last year when Kittle went

0:46:05.120 --> 0:46:08.280
<v Speaker 1>down was nothing special unless you're interested in two catches

0:46:08.560 --> 0:46:12.080
<v Speaker 1>in twenty yards per game. And then Darren Waller's backup

0:46:12.160 --> 0:46:15.719
<v Speaker 1>as a chap named Foster Moreau a chap you said, yep,

0:46:16.040 --> 0:46:18.200
<v Speaker 1>I think that's the one that you could target. First,

0:46:18.200 --> 0:46:21.240
<v Speaker 1>Waller has a mystery injury right now, has in practiced

0:46:21.280 --> 0:46:24.640
<v Speaker 1>since augustwo but he's been working with the team trainers

0:46:24.640 --> 0:46:28.520
<v Speaker 1>in Vegas. Uh in his sweatpants, as Brian said, uh. Second,

0:46:28.600 --> 0:46:31.520
<v Speaker 1>the amount of offense that runs through Waller is substantial.

0:46:32.600 --> 0:46:35.400
<v Speaker 1>Percent of Derek cars throws went to Waller last season,

0:46:35.600 --> 0:46:38.640
<v Speaker 1>and Henry Ruggs, John Brown, Bryan Edwards they're not a

0:46:38.640 --> 0:46:41.000
<v Speaker 1>top trio of wide receivers in the league. And finally,

0:46:41.520 --> 0:46:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Moreau actually might be good. He scored five times in

0:46:44.160 --> 0:46:46.279
<v Speaker 1>his rookie year and was pretty much absent in year

0:46:46.280 --> 0:46:49.160
<v Speaker 1>two due to injury, so he's been off of everybody's radar.

0:46:49.560 --> 0:46:51.920
<v Speaker 1>The Raiders say a lot of nice things about him,

0:46:51.920 --> 0:46:54.800
<v Speaker 1>and Gruden called him a perfect fit for the offense.

0:46:54.920 --> 0:46:56.839
<v Speaker 1>So I went into this thinking nobody, but I came

0:46:56.880 --> 0:46:59.080
<v Speaker 1>out of it saying, if I'm drafting Darren Waller in

0:46:59.080 --> 0:47:03.200
<v Speaker 1>the second round, drafting Foster Moreau in the last round, Brian,

0:47:03.280 --> 0:47:06.360
<v Speaker 1>who is or what is the one tight end handcuff

0:47:06.440 --> 0:47:09.799
<v Speaker 1>worth drafting? I had the same answer, and I don't

0:47:09.840 --> 0:47:12.440
<v Speaker 1>have much to add other than a clever nickname that

0:47:12.520 --> 0:47:15.320
<v Speaker 1>I used. I think is clever, The Island of Foster Moreau.

0:47:17.080 --> 0:47:19.279
<v Speaker 1>You're on island if you're drafting and I tell you

0:47:19.280 --> 0:47:26.279
<v Speaker 1>that the Island of Dr Moreau. Alright, well, nonetheless, but

0:47:26.560 --> 0:47:30.080
<v Speaker 1>as Matt basically said, the tight end totals for Vegas

0:47:30.080 --> 0:47:32.280
<v Speaker 1>were tops in the league last year. That was basically

0:47:32.360 --> 0:47:36.360
<v Speaker 1>all Waller. But if you've forgotten, Jason Witten played football

0:47:36.560 --> 0:47:39.120
<v Speaker 1>for the Raiders last year, as did Foster Moreau. Those

0:47:39.120 --> 0:47:43.200
<v Speaker 1>two combined for twenty catches, four touchdowns on just twenty

0:47:43.239 --> 0:47:47.800
<v Speaker 1>three targets. Um. So if you just give Moreau eighty

0:47:47.920 --> 0:47:51.440
<v Speaker 1>targets if something happens to Waller based on that combined production,

0:47:51.440 --> 0:47:56.000
<v Speaker 1>because Witten's I would assume gone. Now I thank god, Um,

0:47:56.040 --> 0:47:59.840
<v Speaker 1>just eighty targets. Extrapolate that combined production looking at a

0:48:00.080 --> 0:48:03.799
<v Speaker 1>he catches and sixteen touchdowns. But I'm not saying he's

0:48:03.800 --> 0:48:06.319
<v Speaker 1>gonna score sixteen touchdowns. But if you get sure, I'm

0:48:06.320 --> 0:48:09.319
<v Speaker 1>pretty sure you just called an eighteen touchdown season for

0:48:09.360 --> 0:48:16.120
<v Speaker 1>Foster Morrow. Well, uh yeah, based on that combined well,

0:48:16.400 --> 0:48:18.320
<v Speaker 1>because I'm not gonna put that out in the universe

0:48:18.320 --> 0:48:20.720
<v Speaker 1>that Darren Waller is gonna miss time, because Darren Waller

0:48:20.800 --> 0:48:22.960
<v Speaker 1>is not gonna miss time. And I'm kind of upset

0:48:23.000 --> 0:48:25.000
<v Speaker 1>that you're making us answer to questions as if he's

0:48:25.040 --> 0:48:27.879
<v Speaker 1>gonna his time, because this is clearly the correct answer.

0:48:27.960 --> 0:48:30.719
<v Speaker 1>By the way, Um, this is the correct answer. It's

0:48:30.719 --> 0:48:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Foster Moreau. Let me tell you a little bit more

0:48:32.400 --> 0:48:34.640
<v Speaker 1>about him. Um, he's only twenty four years old. It's

0:48:34.640 --> 0:48:37.279
<v Speaker 1>his third year in Matt mentioned that he missed last

0:48:37.280 --> 0:48:39.799
<v Speaker 1>season because of an a c L injury, and the

0:48:39.840 --> 0:48:43.120
<v Speaker 1>team pivoted to Jason Witten as a The A c

0:48:43.239 --> 0:48:45.719
<v Speaker 1>L injury was actually in December the year before that.

0:48:46.040 --> 0:48:47.960
<v Speaker 1>But last year he just wasn't right and he was

0:48:48.040 --> 0:48:50.560
<v Speaker 1>used very sparingly, and they had Jason Witten. With Jason

0:48:50.600 --> 0:48:55.040
<v Speaker 1>Witten leaving it frees up ninety four snaps for Moreau.

0:48:55.320 --> 0:48:59.600
<v Speaker 1>Nine thirty four snaps. That is a ton and a

0:48:59.640 --> 0:49:01.839
<v Speaker 1>couple of days ago, John Gruden, you had a John

0:49:01.840 --> 0:49:06.239
<v Speaker 1>Gruden quote, another one about Foster Moreau. He said, I'm

0:49:06.280 --> 0:49:08.960
<v Speaker 1>not going to be Foster's agent, but I wish I was.

0:49:09.440 --> 0:49:12.200
<v Speaker 1>I love him. He's a football junkie. He's one of

0:49:12.280 --> 0:49:15.440
<v Speaker 1>the greatest kids I've ever coached. He and Waller give

0:49:15.520 --> 0:49:18.080
<v Speaker 1>us a duo that is as good as any I've

0:49:18.120 --> 0:49:23.959
<v Speaker 1>ever had. That's about Foster Moreau. Considering the horrific state

0:49:24.040 --> 0:49:27.240
<v Speaker 1>of the Raiders receivers, Moreau could emerge as a viable

0:49:27.239 --> 0:49:30.880
<v Speaker 1>bye week filling even if nothing happens to Darren Waller.

0:49:31.000 --> 0:49:32.799
<v Speaker 1>You could put a blow up doll next to Darren

0:49:32.840 --> 0:49:34.759
<v Speaker 1>Waller and say, this is the best duo of tight

0:49:34.840 --> 0:49:36.799
<v Speaker 1>ends I've ever had because you got Darren Waller on

0:49:36.800 --> 0:49:41.000
<v Speaker 1>one side. Anyway, I think your love of Darren fully

0:49:41.160 --> 0:49:44.640
<v Speaker 1>established at this point. Um I thought you might go

0:49:45.280 --> 0:49:50.120
<v Speaker 1>Dan Campbell and um is Thomas still there? I don't

0:49:50.160 --> 0:49:55.960
<v Speaker 1>even know who. I don't even Dan Arnold's not Thomas

0:49:56.239 --> 0:49:59.520
<v Speaker 1>when we're doing that next year, bro tough question number two,

0:49:59.640 --> 0:50:03.040
<v Speaker 1>which NFL offense well? Did see the biggest increase in

0:50:03.120 --> 0:50:08.319
<v Speaker 1>points scored from last year to this year? Brian? So

0:50:08.480 --> 0:50:10.560
<v Speaker 1>I immediately went and looked at the bottom of the

0:50:10.560 --> 0:50:12.640
<v Speaker 1>barrel teams from last year, and those are the Jets,

0:50:12.680 --> 0:50:15.160
<v Speaker 1>the Giants, the Jaguars of the Bengals. You can make

0:50:15.200 --> 0:50:18.000
<v Speaker 1>cases for all those teams making big leaps. The Jets

0:50:18.000 --> 0:50:21.600
<v Speaker 1>and Jaguars have new quarterbacks, the Giants get se Kwan Barkley,

0:50:21.640 --> 0:50:25.239
<v Speaker 1>backs Incinnati didn't have Joe Burrow for the second half

0:50:25.280 --> 0:50:27.680
<v Speaker 1>of the year. But you know, just because they were

0:50:27.719 --> 0:50:29.759
<v Speaker 1>the lowest scoring team, that doesn't make it easier to

0:50:29.800 --> 0:50:32.319
<v Speaker 1>have a bigger jump in points. So I still kind

0:50:32.320 --> 0:50:34.160
<v Speaker 1>of went. I went and looked in the middle of

0:50:34.200 --> 0:50:36.640
<v Speaker 1>the pack, and I looked at the Rams, who averaged

0:50:36.680 --> 0:50:39.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty three point six points every game last year after

0:50:39.920 --> 0:50:45.520
<v Speaker 1>averaging more than twenty nine um. So I think they

0:50:45.560 --> 0:50:49.760
<v Speaker 1>get back to that level where, of course Jared Goff

0:50:50.000 --> 0:50:53.759
<v Speaker 1>was the quarterback for the Rams, also the quarterback for

0:50:53.800 --> 0:50:56.600
<v Speaker 1>the Rams last year when they average twenty three point

0:50:56.640 --> 0:51:01.040
<v Speaker 1>six points per game, the Lions average more points than

0:51:01.040 --> 0:51:10.880
<v Speaker 1>the Rams. Last year, the Lions average more that the

0:51:10.960 --> 0:51:12.880
<v Speaker 1>Rams defense. This is gonna be as good this year.

0:51:12.920 --> 0:51:15.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm not gonna go there, but yes, with Matt Stafford quarterback,

0:51:16.000 --> 0:51:18.000
<v Speaker 1>the Lions average more points than the Rams. Of course,

0:51:18.040 --> 0:51:21.360
<v Speaker 1>Matt Stafford now the quarterback for the Rams, so I

0:51:21.400 --> 0:51:24.479
<v Speaker 1>see a six point nine point increase for the Rams.

0:51:24.480 --> 0:51:26.279
<v Speaker 1>So the average three point two points for games this

0:51:26.400 --> 0:51:31.360
<v Speaker 1>year nine time which NFL offense will see the biggest

0:51:31.400 --> 0:51:34.000
<v Speaker 1>increase in points scored from last year to this year.

0:51:34.520 --> 0:51:36.480
<v Speaker 1>I had a couple of thoughts. San Franz was my

0:51:36.560 --> 0:51:38.600
<v Speaker 1>first thought, but I'm worried that Jimmy g will hang

0:51:38.600 --> 0:51:40.720
<v Speaker 1>on to that job long enough that that will thwart

0:51:40.760 --> 0:51:44.600
<v Speaker 1>the increase when Trey Lands gets in. UH. Washington was

0:51:44.640 --> 0:51:47.280
<v Speaker 1>my second thought. They added Stu Beard and Curtis Samuel

0:51:47.360 --> 0:51:50.000
<v Speaker 1>to the fold and uh they had the lowest points

0:51:50.000 --> 0:51:51.960
<v Speaker 1>of the three options I was looking at. But the

0:51:52.000 --> 0:51:54.080
<v Speaker 1>one that I came up with was the same as Brian's.

0:51:54.560 --> 0:51:56.799
<v Speaker 1>The Rams the average only twenty three points per game.

0:51:57.160 --> 0:52:01.600
<v Speaker 1>With Jared goof Matthew Staffords a huge upgrade. And by

0:52:01.640 --> 0:52:06.120
<v Speaker 1>the way, you can stack this team fairly easily in drafts.

0:52:06.400 --> 0:52:09.480
<v Speaker 1>You can get Woods or Cup in the fifth, Henderson

0:52:09.520 --> 0:52:12.759
<v Speaker 1>in the sixth, Stafford in the late seventh, Higbie in

0:52:12.800 --> 0:52:15.520
<v Speaker 1>the eleventh, Xavier Jones just as an ad on at

0:52:15.520 --> 0:52:17.720
<v Speaker 1>the end of your draft. If you think the Rams

0:52:17.800 --> 0:52:20.359
<v Speaker 1>offense is really gonna come back, you can get big

0:52:20.440 --> 0:52:23.960
<v Speaker 1>value on all these guys by stacking the Rams. I

0:52:24.080 --> 0:52:26.359
<v Speaker 1>like your answer, and it's a little outside of it's

0:52:26.400 --> 0:52:28.200
<v Speaker 1>a little outside of the box because I thought you'd

0:52:28.239 --> 0:52:30.480
<v Speaker 1>go right to the bottom of points scored last year

0:52:30.520 --> 0:52:32.560
<v Speaker 1>and find teams are going to get better, like Washington

0:52:33.160 --> 0:52:37.520
<v Speaker 1>or Cincinnati or the correct answer the Jets. Why Because

0:52:37.560 --> 0:52:41.040
<v Speaker 1>the Jets scored fifteen points per game last year. Yeah,

0:52:41.239 --> 0:52:43.880
<v Speaker 1>that's pretty bad. That's it. They were dead last by

0:52:43.920 --> 0:52:46.800
<v Speaker 1>a mile and points per game. So there's no Adam

0:52:46.840 --> 0:52:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Gates this year, So that's like next that's like a

0:52:49.080 --> 0:52:53.080
<v Speaker 1>free touchdown per game of extra offense there are right now,

0:52:53.239 --> 0:52:55.440
<v Speaker 1>right now, you know, So that helps right there. Then

0:52:55.520 --> 0:52:58.760
<v Speaker 1>you look at all the key offseason additions to this offense.

0:52:59.360 --> 0:53:02.560
<v Speaker 1>They gained a first round offensive lineman, Elijah Vera Tucker.

0:53:02.960 --> 0:53:07.320
<v Speaker 1>They gained a first round quarterback, Zach Wilson went second

0:53:07.320 --> 0:53:10.759
<v Speaker 1>pick of the draft. They gained rookie wide receiver Elijah Moore,

0:53:10.800 --> 0:53:14.359
<v Speaker 1>who has been their star of camp. They gained new

0:53:14.480 --> 0:53:18.880
<v Speaker 1>starting running back Michael Carter. They gained splashy free agent

0:53:19.040 --> 0:53:22.680
<v Speaker 1>Corey Davis. You're being very generous with the star running

0:53:22.680 --> 0:53:26.759
<v Speaker 1>back Michael Carter. Splash Did I say star start new

0:53:26.840 --> 0:53:29.840
<v Speaker 1>starting If I miss smoke, I apologize new starting running

0:53:29.880 --> 0:53:33.200
<v Speaker 1>back Michael Carter. Can't spell starting without star. And then

0:53:33.520 --> 0:53:35.920
<v Speaker 1>Denzel Mims a lot of room to improve after his

0:53:36.000 --> 0:53:40.840
<v Speaker 1>injury plagued rookie year. You roll all those improved together,

0:53:40.960 --> 0:53:45.080
<v Speaker 1>salmon plagued off season, saving plague off season, and and

0:53:45.160 --> 0:53:50.520
<v Speaker 1>you've got seven eight nine ish points of differential coming

0:53:50.520 --> 0:53:54.319
<v Speaker 1>for this Jets offense because it was so bad last year.

0:53:54.400 --> 0:53:57.360
<v Speaker 1>You know, if Scott Fish keeps his sleepers as fish related,

0:53:57.360 --> 0:54:03.160
<v Speaker 1>he can use tough question number three. Most people believe

0:54:03.239 --> 0:54:06.759
<v Speaker 1>Clyde Edwards Hilaire will improve his fantasy output this year.

0:54:07.400 --> 0:54:12.720
<v Speaker 1>How much better will he be a little, a modest amount,

0:54:13.360 --> 0:54:18.120
<v Speaker 1>or a lot better? Matt Um. From a rushing perspective,

0:54:18.200 --> 0:54:20.319
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs have actually been a middle of the pack

0:54:20.400 --> 0:54:24.080
<v Speaker 1>running team for about five years. UH Their unit averages

0:54:24.120 --> 0:54:28.560
<v Speaker 1>about yards and twelve rushing scores. Last year, they still

0:54:28.640 --> 0:54:31.200
<v Speaker 1>hit that yardage mark as a group, but they only

0:54:31.200 --> 0:54:34.440
<v Speaker 1>got eight rushing scores and touchdowns can be a little flukey,

0:54:34.480 --> 0:54:37.279
<v Speaker 1>but last year's can be attributed to those inside the

0:54:37.320 --> 0:54:40.360
<v Speaker 1>five numbers that charge likes to harp on. The Chiefs

0:54:40.360 --> 0:54:43.000
<v Speaker 1>only ran the ball seventeen total times inside the five.

0:54:43.640 --> 0:54:45.440
<v Speaker 1>Ten of those were the running backs, and nine of

0:54:45.480 --> 0:54:48.759
<v Speaker 1>those were Clyde. Uh So that's of the running back

0:54:48.840 --> 0:54:53.080
<v Speaker 1>runs inside the five he did receive of the overall carries,

0:54:53.120 --> 0:54:57.080
<v Speaker 1>which was the fifteenth highest average in the league. That's

0:54:57.080 --> 0:54:59.640
<v Speaker 1>pretty good. The problem is is he any good by

0:54:59.719 --> 0:55:01.680
<v Speaker 1>the right? Jury is still out on that. He only

0:55:01.719 --> 0:55:05.319
<v Speaker 1>scored once from inside the five on nine runs. I

0:55:05.360 --> 0:55:08.000
<v Speaker 1>will say some progression will happen there and he'll get

0:55:08.120 --> 0:55:12.440
<v Speaker 1>more than one. So I think it will be a

0:55:12.520 --> 0:55:17.040
<v Speaker 1>modest increase on Clyde. All right, So you're taking the

0:55:17.080 --> 0:55:20.799
<v Speaker 1>middle up the middle, all right, Briant. How much better

0:55:20.800 --> 0:55:23.799
<v Speaker 1>will Clyde Edwards Hilaire be this year? A little, a

0:55:23.880 --> 0:55:26.680
<v Speaker 1>modest amount or a lot better. I'm going with modest

0:55:26.680 --> 0:55:29.680
<v Speaker 1>amount too, And I'll just add one key factor in that.

0:55:29.840 --> 0:55:33.480
<v Speaker 1>Uh H's best game was Week one last year, which

0:55:33.480 --> 0:55:37.439
<v Speaker 1>we all remember against the Houston Texans, which allowed forty

0:55:37.520 --> 0:55:39.800
<v Speaker 1>six yards and one point three touchdowns per game to

0:55:39.880 --> 0:55:44.080
<v Speaker 1>running backs on the ground alone. Missed the second game

0:55:44.120 --> 0:55:47.160
<v Speaker 1>against the Texans to so assuming he gets those two games,

0:55:47.400 --> 0:55:49.319
<v Speaker 1>he's got to grow up a modest amount at least,

0:55:49.360 --> 0:55:51.000
<v Speaker 1>but a borderline a lot. But I'm just gonna go

0:55:51.000 --> 0:55:53.680
<v Speaker 1>with modest. I do think they try to keep him,

0:55:53.719 --> 0:55:56.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, somewhat fresh. They're gonna work in Darryl Williams

0:55:56.320 --> 0:55:59.719
<v Speaker 1>or Jerick McKinnon if they have to, But so he'll

0:55:59.719 --> 0:56:03.440
<v Speaker 1>get the the majority of the touches, but not I

0:56:03.440 --> 0:56:06.480
<v Speaker 1>still think we're think looking at so just a modest

0:56:06.480 --> 0:56:10.439
<v Speaker 1>amount of improvement for me, I've got. I originally had

0:56:10.520 --> 0:56:12.640
<v Speaker 1>a little, and then the more I dug into it,

0:56:12.680 --> 0:56:15.839
<v Speaker 1>I ended up at a modest amount. Uh. And let's

0:56:15.840 --> 0:56:18.239
<v Speaker 1>be clear, you he almost can't be as bad as

0:56:18.239 --> 0:56:20.759
<v Speaker 1>he was last year. Is the starting running back for

0:56:20.840 --> 0:56:23.839
<v Speaker 1>the second highest scoring offense. It's hard to put up

0:56:23.840 --> 0:56:26.400
<v Speaker 1>a few fantasy points as he did, healthy or not.

0:56:26.960 --> 0:56:28.920
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that contributes to why I like

0:56:28.960 --> 0:56:30.640
<v Speaker 1>him is I think there's a lot of catches coming

0:56:30.719 --> 0:56:33.960
<v Speaker 1>for him this year. Sammy Watkins for all of his issues,

0:56:34.080 --> 0:56:37.000
<v Speaker 1>was still good for five targets a game, and that

0:56:37.080 --> 0:56:40.480
<v Speaker 1>means he's going to I I don't believe Byring Pringle,

0:56:40.680 --> 0:56:43.960
<v Speaker 1>Nicole Hardman are gonna suddenly turn into volume hogs. I

0:56:44.000 --> 0:56:45.759
<v Speaker 1>think a lot of that's actually gonna go to Clyde

0:56:45.840 --> 0:56:48.920
<v Speaker 1>Edwards Hilaire, who is a gifted receiver who didn't get

0:56:48.960 --> 0:56:53.480
<v Speaker 1>used enough that way last year. And the figure he'll

0:56:53.520 --> 0:56:56.040
<v Speaker 1>be a better runner in year two, he's just got

0:56:56.040 --> 0:56:59.040
<v Speaker 1>to be. The running was just okay. We haven't seen

0:56:59.160 --> 0:57:02.839
<v Speaker 1>the best of Edwards Hilaire yet. We haven't. We we

0:57:03.000 --> 0:57:05.040
<v Speaker 1>got to believe that there's a better year than what

0:57:05.080 --> 0:57:07.040
<v Speaker 1>we saw in his rookie season based on what we

0:57:07.080 --> 0:57:10.400
<v Speaker 1>saw in college. There's better days ahead of him as

0:57:10.400 --> 0:57:12.680
<v Speaker 1>a runner. The problem, like you can't get him to

0:57:12.719 --> 0:57:15.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot is the touchdowns. It's just he's got a

0:57:15.080 --> 0:57:18.880
<v Speaker 1>score from distance. He's just so small and that's why

0:57:18.920 --> 0:57:21.880
<v Speaker 1>you just you know, the fantasy output gets capped for him.

0:57:21.960 --> 0:57:24.439
<v Speaker 1>And so Clyde Edwards a laire right now, going late

0:57:24.480 --> 0:57:28.840
<v Speaker 1>second round, early third round, that's kind of a lot

0:57:28.920 --> 0:57:31.800
<v Speaker 1>to pay. I mean, you're baking in the you're baking

0:57:31.840 --> 0:57:35.760
<v Speaker 1>in that modest improvement at that ADP. I gotta call

0:57:35.880 --> 0:57:38.400
<v Speaker 1>myself out because someone is probably gonna do it on Twitter.

0:57:38.440 --> 0:57:40.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't know why preseason. I'm in preseason for him

0:57:41.120 --> 0:57:44.440
<v Speaker 1>some of the time. The Chiefs don't play the Texans

0:57:44.440 --> 0:57:46.960
<v Speaker 1>twice a year. I don't know. I thought that. You know,

0:57:47.880 --> 0:57:52.280
<v Speaker 1>we just let that slip. Yeah, I'm sure you caught

0:57:52.320 --> 0:57:54.640
<v Speaker 1>it over there. You would have loved you have called

0:57:54.680 --> 0:57:57.200
<v Speaker 1>me out on that immediately. If you know we're being

0:57:57.320 --> 0:58:03.320
<v Speaker 1>kind to you were such. The Guillotine League format works

0:58:03.360 --> 0:58:06.440
<v Speaker 1>like this. Eighteen teams start the season every week, no

0:58:06.600 --> 0:58:08.760
<v Speaker 1>head to head. Every week, the low scoring team gets

0:58:08.760 --> 0:58:11.800
<v Speaker 1>cut and their entire roster goes to the waiver wire,

0:58:12.160 --> 0:58:14.600
<v Speaker 1>and pandemonium ensues for the rest of us that are

0:58:14.640 --> 0:58:19.280
<v Speaker 1>still alive as we harvest the bounty of that entire roster.

0:58:20.240 --> 0:58:23.600
<v Speaker 1>Do you spend a bunch of your free agent bidding

0:58:23.600 --> 0:58:26.280
<v Speaker 1>money early? Do you save it for later? Tons of

0:58:26.320 --> 0:58:28.880
<v Speaker 1>strategy in the Guillotine League. All you have to do

0:58:29.280 --> 0:58:33.480
<v Speaker 1>is not be last. It's the Guillotine Leagues at Guillotine

0:58:33.640 --> 0:58:37.160
<v Speaker 1>leagues dot Com. When we come back, players we love

0:58:38.280 --> 0:58:41.600
<v Speaker 1>and never draft will tell you the players we love

0:58:42.240 --> 0:58:45.000
<v Speaker 1>and never draft, and we come back Fantasy Football Weekly.

0:59:07.880 --> 0:59:11.280
<v Speaker 1>It's Fantasy Football Weekly, Ball Chargie and Matt Harrison and

0:59:11.320 --> 0:59:15.560
<v Speaker 1>Brian Johnson with you. A lot of times. There are

0:59:15.600 --> 0:59:19.480
<v Speaker 1>players out there who we legitimately love, but because of

0:59:19.520 --> 0:59:23.000
<v Speaker 1>where they're getting drafted, we never end up with them

0:59:23.040 --> 0:59:26.200
<v Speaker 1>for any of a variety of reasons. We're gonna give

0:59:26.240 --> 0:59:28.840
<v Speaker 1>you each a quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight

0:59:28.920 --> 0:59:30.880
<v Speaker 1>end from each of your three hosts here that we

0:59:31.240 --> 0:59:33.400
<v Speaker 1>players we like, we want to have on our team

0:59:33.480 --> 0:59:36.479
<v Speaker 1>and we never end up drafting. We begin with Matt

0:59:36.520 --> 0:59:39.240
<v Speaker 1>who is your quarterback you love and never got. It's

0:59:39.280 --> 0:59:41.640
<v Speaker 1>a guy have on one of my dynasty leagues. It's

0:59:41.680 --> 0:59:44.840
<v Speaker 1>good old Russell Wilson, who's going off the board in

0:59:44.840 --> 0:59:47.760
<v Speaker 1>the fifth round or right now. I'm a little nervous

0:59:47.800 --> 0:59:51.880
<v Speaker 1>about Seattle. They have a new offensive coordinator, Shane walden Uh.

0:59:52.120 --> 0:59:55.560
<v Speaker 1>He's receiving the standard rave reviews from everybody at Seahawks camp,

0:59:55.600 --> 0:59:58.240
<v Speaker 1>but you hear things like his offense is very large

0:59:58.240 --> 1:00:01.840
<v Speaker 1>and complex, and then Pete Carroll's sing. Coach Walsh always

1:00:01.840 --> 1:00:04.080
<v Speaker 1>said it's not how many things you can do, but

1:00:04.160 --> 1:00:07.160
<v Speaker 1>how many things you can do well. That's kind of

1:00:07.200 --> 1:00:11.080
<v Speaker 1>conflicting to me about your new offensive coordinator a little,

1:00:11.360 --> 1:00:14.240
<v Speaker 1>a little bit so last year's let Russ Cook movement

1:00:14.320 --> 1:00:17.480
<v Speaker 1>lasted until Week nine against Buffalo, when the Hawks dropped

1:00:17.480 --> 1:00:19.800
<v Speaker 1>a game to the Bills. And then it was Russ's

1:00:20.040 --> 1:00:22.640
<v Speaker 1>seventh game in eight where he passed for two sixty

1:00:22.640 --> 1:00:25.520
<v Speaker 1>more yards and multiple scores. And then after that game,

1:00:25.560 --> 1:00:28.280
<v Speaker 1>Pete Carroll was like, oh, we lost, Let's go back

1:00:28.320 --> 1:00:31.040
<v Speaker 1>to a run heavy system. And then Russell Wilson topped

1:00:31.040 --> 1:00:33.200
<v Speaker 1>the two six yard mark just once in his final

1:00:33.280 --> 1:00:35.960
<v Speaker 1>eight games and through from multiple scores and only three

1:00:36.040 --> 1:00:39.320
<v Speaker 1>of the final eight. A complex offense, a head coach

1:00:39.320 --> 1:00:42.040
<v Speaker 1>who's known for throwing passing strategy out the window when

1:00:42.120 --> 1:00:45.400
<v Speaker 1>things get tough, and a really tough second half schedule

1:00:45.880 --> 1:00:48.440
<v Speaker 1>makes me not want to draft Russ again in the

1:00:48.480 --> 1:00:50.800
<v Speaker 1>fifth round. I like just an Air Bear, who I

1:00:50.840 --> 1:00:53.439
<v Speaker 1>was mentioning, and Aaron Rodgers. Those are the next two

1:00:53.480 --> 1:00:55.880
<v Speaker 1>guys in a DP. I like them a lot better

1:00:55.920 --> 1:00:59.840
<v Speaker 1>than Russell Wilson. All Right, Brian, who is a quarterback

1:01:00.040 --> 1:01:03.520
<v Speaker 1>you love but never end up drafting well, is a

1:01:03.640 --> 1:01:06.720
<v Speaker 1>huge Bengals fan. I obviously love Joe Burrow, but I

1:01:06.800 --> 1:01:09.360
<v Speaker 1>do not love him in fantasy. This year going off

1:01:09.400 --> 1:01:12.520
<v Speaker 1>the board at quarterback fourteen, which sounds late, but it's

1:01:12.560 --> 1:01:15.840
<v Speaker 1>really not this year when guys like Ryan Fitzpatrick are

1:01:15.880 --> 1:01:18.120
<v Speaker 1>going outside the top twenty quarterbacks and you have him

1:01:18.120 --> 1:01:22.480
<v Speaker 1>pegged as a QB one. So I'm waiting. I'm I'm

1:01:22.520 --> 1:01:26.280
<v Speaker 1>fading Burrow at QB fourteen. It's the obvious concerns coming

1:01:26.320 --> 1:01:30.000
<v Speaker 1>back from major injury last year. Uh basically to be

1:01:30.080 --> 1:01:33.560
<v Speaker 1>hung out to dry behind the same bad offensive line

1:01:33.600 --> 1:01:37.920
<v Speaker 1>that got him essentially murdered last year. They added Jamaar Chase,

1:01:37.960 --> 1:01:39.920
<v Speaker 1>which is nice, but they really should not have. They

1:01:39.960 --> 1:01:43.480
<v Speaker 1>should have added another lineman. They're already pretty pretty set

1:01:43.480 --> 1:01:46.040
<v Speaker 1>at wide receiver. I could be very wrong here. Burrow

1:01:46.040 --> 1:01:47.960
<v Speaker 1>has a very high ceiling if you can stay healthy,

1:01:48.000 --> 1:01:50.440
<v Speaker 1>but just way too much risk to mitigate for me

1:01:50.520 --> 1:01:52.960
<v Speaker 1>this year. Uh. So I'm just off of Joe Burrow

1:01:53.040 --> 1:01:55.160
<v Speaker 1>going as a QB fourteen, way too early for me.

1:01:55.200 --> 1:01:57.920
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot more stable options going later than him.

1:01:58.080 --> 1:02:00.480
<v Speaker 1>I love this player and I want him on my team,

1:02:00.520 --> 1:02:07.360
<v Speaker 1>but I can't take him in the fifth round. Bear,

1:02:07.600 --> 1:02:10.240
<v Speaker 1>didn't you hear? He's gonna finish this quarterback quarterback too?

1:02:10.320 --> 1:02:12.880
<v Speaker 1>And and he might. I love the kid, and he's

1:02:12.880 --> 1:02:14.880
<v Speaker 1>going to be He's he's I think the part of

1:02:14.920 --> 1:02:17.040
<v Speaker 1>his game nobody ever talks about or doesn't talk about enough.

1:02:17.040 --> 1:02:19.400
<v Speaker 1>He's pretty fleet of foot. He's going to have some

1:02:19.480 --> 1:02:21.840
<v Speaker 1>rushing touchdowns that I don't think people are really accounting

1:02:21.880 --> 1:02:25.040
<v Speaker 1>for in their mind. Um it's the problem is the

1:02:25.040 --> 1:02:27.480
<v Speaker 1>fifth round. You know, for me and my draft strategy,

1:02:27.720 --> 1:02:30.840
<v Speaker 1>as you guys know, I'm not locked into running backs early.

1:02:31.080 --> 1:02:33.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm usually pivoting away from running backs. Fifth round is

1:02:33.440 --> 1:02:35.960
<v Speaker 1>when I'm taking running backs. And this is you know,

1:02:36.080 --> 1:02:38.520
<v Speaker 1>right when I'm right, when I'm just basically starting my

1:02:38.680 --> 1:02:42.360
<v Speaker 1>three round running back run is right here. So you're

1:02:42.440 --> 1:02:45.000
<v Speaker 1>much more likely to get Patrick Mahomes early and then

1:02:45.040 --> 1:02:47.640
<v Speaker 1>be filling up on running backs at that point you

1:02:47.680 --> 1:02:51.120
<v Speaker 1>are correct, or even more commonly, I'm waiting for Ryan

1:02:51.160 --> 1:02:53.840
<v Speaker 1>Fitzpatrick or you know, I can wait three, four or

1:02:53.840 --> 1:02:57.440
<v Speaker 1>five more rounds and get guys like Kirk Cousins, Ryan

1:02:57.520 --> 1:03:00.720
<v Speaker 1>Tannehill with a tenth round a DP know, those are

1:03:00.880 --> 1:03:03.160
<v Speaker 1>really good quarterbacks and I can get much later. And

1:03:03.160 --> 1:03:06.240
<v Speaker 1>if you're going to take a quarterback early, like seventh

1:03:06.360 --> 1:03:09.439
<v Speaker 1>rounder earlier, it's got to be somebody that you think

1:03:09.520 --> 1:03:13.720
<v Speaker 1>has a different making number one quarterback overall pedigree. That

1:03:13.880 --> 1:03:17.280
<v Speaker 1>is correct, and I love I love Justin air Bear,

1:03:17.440 --> 1:03:19.360
<v Speaker 1>but I'm not positive that's him. All right, Let's go

1:03:19.400 --> 1:03:21.720
<v Speaker 1>to the running back position. Matt who is a running

1:03:21.720 --> 1:03:24.200
<v Speaker 1>back you love but never end up drafting. I mean,

1:03:24.240 --> 1:03:26.280
<v Speaker 1>he's been a bell cow for a long time and

1:03:26.400 --> 1:03:28.479
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people have won championships on the backs

1:03:28.520 --> 1:03:31.200
<v Speaker 1>of Ezekiel elliott Um. I mentioned it before. He's had

1:03:31.240 --> 1:03:34.920
<v Speaker 1>He's averaged three thirty touches over his last five seasons.

1:03:35.480 --> 1:03:37.920
<v Speaker 1>But what have we started to see? The decline already

1:03:38.040 --> 1:03:42.520
<v Speaker 1>from three rushing attemptsen to only two forty four last year,

1:03:43.000 --> 1:03:46.320
<v Speaker 1>a decline in rushing scores from twelve to six. The

1:03:46.400 --> 1:03:49.360
<v Speaker 1>yards per carry averages went from four point seven and

1:03:49.440 --> 1:03:54.760
<v Speaker 1>ten to four point five to a pedestrian four point

1:03:54.800 --> 1:03:57.360
<v Speaker 1>oh last year. That is worth. That's worrisome. And the

1:03:57.440 --> 1:03:59.720
<v Speaker 1>offensive line is not as good as it used to be.

1:04:00.080 --> 1:04:02.720
<v Speaker 1>DA's injuries to his ankle and now shoulder have to

1:04:02.760 --> 1:04:05.040
<v Speaker 1>make you stop and think you don't want Ben Denucci

1:04:05.640 --> 1:04:09.440
<v Speaker 1>starting opposite Zeke in the backfield. There's a good seven

1:04:09.480 --> 1:04:12.040
<v Speaker 1>to ten players I take before I take Zeke in

1:04:12.080 --> 1:04:15.840
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the first round. I concur Brian who's

1:04:15.840 --> 1:04:18.680
<v Speaker 1>the running back that you love but will not draft

1:04:19.120 --> 1:04:21.960
<v Speaker 1>love Nick Chubb in real life. I just can't go

1:04:22.080 --> 1:04:24.120
<v Speaker 1>there in fantasy, even though he's going his RB ten

1:04:24.520 --> 1:04:28.040
<v Speaker 1>like an early second mid second round pick. Pretty good value,

1:04:28.560 --> 1:04:31.760
<v Speaker 1>but especially in a run heavy offense like Cleveland. But

1:04:32.320 --> 1:04:35.080
<v Speaker 1>if it's not PPR and I that's what I play

1:04:35.120 --> 1:04:37.640
<v Speaker 1>and most people play these days. I just can't get

1:04:37.640 --> 1:04:40.480
<v Speaker 1>on board with Chubb. Just hate the receiving work that

1:04:40.520 --> 1:04:44.120
<v Speaker 1>he sees or lack lack thereof. I should say, only

1:04:44.120 --> 1:04:48.080
<v Speaker 1>twelve games played last year, but sixteen catches in those

1:04:48.080 --> 1:04:51.720
<v Speaker 1>twelve games for Nick Chubb's gross uh and his two

1:04:51.800 --> 1:04:55.280
<v Speaker 1>seasons prior, Chub average less than two catches per game

1:04:55.600 --> 1:04:58.720
<v Speaker 1>in thirty two games two full seasons, one point seven

1:04:58.760 --> 1:05:03.000
<v Speaker 1>five catches per game. His two lone career receiving touchdowns

1:05:03.000 --> 1:05:06.520
<v Speaker 1>came back in hasn't caught a touchdown with the last

1:05:06.520 --> 1:05:10.120
<v Speaker 1>two seasons. So I just I need more receiving work

1:05:10.120 --> 1:05:11.760
<v Speaker 1>out of a running back I'm taking in the first

1:05:11.800 --> 1:05:13.919
<v Speaker 1>two rounds, and I just can't go there with you. Guys,

1:05:13.960 --> 1:05:17.800
<v Speaker 1>don't sound like you love the player at all. Okay,

1:05:18.200 --> 1:05:21.080
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of respect for these points, respect the player,

1:05:21.360 --> 1:05:25.000
<v Speaker 1>not the draft position. Maybe we should rename it next year. Um,

1:05:25.040 --> 1:05:27.600
<v Speaker 1>I like that we all took first round running backs

1:05:27.640 --> 1:05:31.920
<v Speaker 1>for this. Christian McCaffrey is my love the player, hate

1:05:31.960 --> 1:05:35.440
<v Speaker 1>the average draft position chart. You're just gonna say, because

1:05:35.480 --> 1:05:38.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm not drafting first, because I finished so well in

1:05:38.160 --> 1:05:42.360
<v Speaker 1>all of my leagues last year, I'm never getting him. Hey,

1:05:42.560 --> 1:05:45.040
<v Speaker 1>I do. I never randomly get the first pick. I

1:05:45.120 --> 1:05:48.640
<v Speaker 1>never get the first pick. Um. But more importantly, if

1:05:48.640 --> 1:05:52.320
<v Speaker 1>I do get that first pick, I believe firmly the

1:05:52.400 --> 1:05:54.520
<v Speaker 1>best thing you can do is trade back to the

1:05:54.520 --> 1:05:57.040
<v Speaker 1>middle of the first round in the first two rounds.

1:05:57.400 --> 1:06:01.040
<v Speaker 1>So I'd rather have a middle round pick in rounds

1:06:01.040 --> 1:06:02.919
<v Speaker 1>one and rounds two. And you'll find plenty of people

1:06:03.000 --> 1:06:04.840
<v Speaker 1>who want to make that deal, So you have no

1:06:04.920 --> 1:06:07.880
<v Speaker 1>problem going back to six or seven. And then at

1:06:07.920 --> 1:06:10.840
<v Speaker 1>that stage, I can you know, I get the sixth

1:06:10.880 --> 1:06:14.640
<v Speaker 1>and eighth player instead of the first and the player,

1:06:14.680 --> 1:06:16.240
<v Speaker 1>And for me, it's a trade off. I'd like that's

1:06:16.240 --> 1:06:19.800
<v Speaker 1>a trade off I'm very willing to make. Um, why

1:06:19.840 --> 1:06:22.040
<v Speaker 1>not just take Christian McCaffrey and be happy? Well, here,

1:06:22.040 --> 1:06:24.320
<v Speaker 1>there are some there are some things you should think

1:06:24.320 --> 1:06:27.480
<v Speaker 1>about a terrible offensive line in the conversation for the

1:06:27.480 --> 1:06:32.240
<v Speaker 1>worst in the league. UM Pro Football Focus projects the

1:06:32.280 --> 1:06:34.720
<v Speaker 1>Carolina offensive line to be the third worst this year.

1:06:35.160 --> 1:06:37.360
<v Speaker 1>A good runner can overcome a lot with their bad

1:06:37.400 --> 1:06:39.720
<v Speaker 1>offensive line. But he's still mortal, and there could be

1:06:39.760 --> 1:06:42.360
<v Speaker 1>some inconsistent play there. And then you know last year

1:06:42.480 --> 1:06:46.120
<v Speaker 1>ankle injury, shoulder injury, thigh injury. There, No, that's a lot,

1:06:46.440 --> 1:06:48.160
<v Speaker 1>and so there are reasons that you can pass on

1:06:48.240 --> 1:06:51.560
<v Speaker 1>Christian McCaffrey. I never end up with him. Love the player,

1:06:51.680 --> 1:06:55.440
<v Speaker 1>hate the average draft position. Let's go to the wide

1:06:55.440 --> 1:06:57.840
<v Speaker 1>receiver position. Give me a player you love and never

1:06:57.960 --> 1:07:01.080
<v Speaker 1>end up with Matt It's a guy tried to acquire

1:07:01.120 --> 1:07:04.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot last year because I really actually do respect

1:07:04.080 --> 1:07:06.800
<v Speaker 1>him as a player on the field. It's Tyler Lockett

1:07:06.840 --> 1:07:09.320
<v Speaker 1>who's going off in the fifth round. If you can

1:07:09.400 --> 1:07:15.000
<v Speaker 1>guarantee me double digit targets for Tyler Lockett in every game, yeah, if, yeah,

1:07:15.520 --> 1:07:18.280
<v Speaker 1>then I'll take him because he's sink or swim in

1:07:18.320 --> 1:07:22.200
<v Speaker 1>the last two years. In the six total games where

1:07:22.200 --> 1:07:25.160
<v Speaker 1>he's had ten or more targets out of thirty two

1:07:25.360 --> 1:07:30.120
<v Speaker 1>that is yeah, he's averaging eleven point six receptions and

1:07:30.120 --> 1:07:32.480
<v Speaker 1>twenty nine yards and one point eight touchdowns per game.

1:07:33.320 --> 1:07:36.800
<v Speaker 1>In the other twenty six games with nine or fewer targets,

1:07:37.120 --> 1:07:40.320
<v Speaker 1>he's averaging four point three receptions, fifty one yards, and

1:07:40.360 --> 1:07:43.880
<v Speaker 1>a quarter of a touchdown per game. That's gross. If

1:07:43.880 --> 1:07:46.080
<v Speaker 1>he's not getting ten targets per game, which only does

1:07:46.080 --> 1:07:49.440
<v Speaker 1>an eighteen percent of his game. He's Marquez Valdez, Scantling

1:07:49.520 --> 1:07:52.640
<v Speaker 1>or Christian Kirk or Keelan Cole. That's all he is.

1:07:53.040 --> 1:07:54.600
<v Speaker 1>So he's not a guy I'm going to take in

1:07:54.640 --> 1:07:56.320
<v Speaker 1>the fifth round. I'm gonna take guys later in the

1:07:56.400 --> 1:07:58.480
<v Speaker 1>draft too. I can get that kind of flyer on

1:07:59.000 --> 1:08:03.320
<v Speaker 1>Brian a player you respect but don't respect the average

1:08:03.360 --> 1:08:07.360
<v Speaker 1>draft position at wide receiver Julio Jones now of the

1:08:07.400 --> 1:08:10.880
<v Speaker 1>Tennessee Titans. Of course, going in the late teens among

1:08:10.960 --> 1:08:13.800
<v Speaker 1>wide receivers, that is way way too early for me.

1:08:13.920 --> 1:08:17.519
<v Speaker 1>We mentioned uh well, first off, the Titans offense still

1:08:17.520 --> 1:08:20.439
<v Speaker 1>revolves around Derrick Henry. He is the catalyst that makes

1:08:20.439 --> 1:08:22.920
<v Speaker 1>it go. Yes, they will throw, but the top target,

1:08:22.960 --> 1:08:25.840
<v Speaker 1>of course is a J. Brown is not Julio Jones.

1:08:26.479 --> 1:08:29.760
<v Speaker 1>And we know the top target in the red zone

1:08:29.840 --> 1:08:33.080
<v Speaker 1>is not Julio Jones. On any number has been mentioned.

1:08:33.080 --> 1:08:35.160
<v Speaker 1>The one target that he did not catch, by the

1:08:35.160 --> 1:08:37.960
<v Speaker 1>way with Atlanta last year, But going back four years,

1:08:37.960 --> 1:08:40.160
<v Speaker 1>maybe this was a Matt Ryan thing that I don't well,

1:08:40.200 --> 1:08:42.599
<v Speaker 1>we could see. I'm gonna go with what I Saffer

1:08:42.760 --> 1:08:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Bryan might help him out. I don't know about that.

1:08:45.439 --> 1:08:49.280
<v Speaker 1>Uh So over the last four years, um, Julio is

1:08:49.320 --> 1:08:52.080
<v Speaker 1>averaging less than four catches a year from inside the

1:08:52.120 --> 1:08:55.679
<v Speaker 1>ten yard line. Last season, there were thirty different wide

1:08:55.680 --> 1:08:58.519
<v Speaker 1>receivers who had more than four catches inside the ten

1:08:58.640 --> 1:09:03.960
<v Speaker 1>yard line. Dirty and Julio. I mean that's enough right there, Guys.

1:09:04.000 --> 1:09:06.719
<v Speaker 1>I like way more than Julio Jones going later, Chris Godwin,

1:09:07.120 --> 1:09:10.400
<v Speaker 1>d J. Moore, Odell Beckham going much later than Julio Jones.

1:09:10.800 --> 1:09:12.600
<v Speaker 1>He's just going way too early in drafts for me

1:09:12.600 --> 1:09:15.040
<v Speaker 1>not touching him. That doesn't sound like you like him,

1:09:15.120 --> 1:09:19.040
<v Speaker 1>respect him. I respect him as a as a human. Well,

1:09:19.040 --> 1:09:21.559
<v Speaker 1>how can you say you like Christian McCaffrey when you

1:09:21.560 --> 1:09:24.959
<v Speaker 1>said you wouldna, I like he's a great player. Iverything

1:09:25.080 --> 1:09:27.200
<v Speaker 1>for the same thing for Julio Jones. I don't see

1:09:27.200 --> 1:09:28.920
<v Speaker 1>he's a bad player. I'm just not drafting him at

1:09:28.920 --> 1:09:31.120
<v Speaker 1>that ADP I don't see the difference here. The player

1:09:31.200 --> 1:09:36.240
<v Speaker 1>I love and hate the average draft position is Chase Claypool. Currently,

1:09:36.280 --> 1:09:40.240
<v Speaker 1>do you want Chase Claypool on your team? Well, I mean,

1:09:40.560 --> 1:09:42.320
<v Speaker 1>but not at the age and not at the ADP.

1:09:42.400 --> 1:09:44.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm not willing to each the Total Beast by taking

1:09:44.880 --> 1:09:48.360
<v Speaker 1>crazy pills here like the exact same things. But I'm

1:09:48.360 --> 1:09:52.439
<v Speaker 1>saying about I'll trade to Chase Claypool and my dynasty league.

1:09:52.520 --> 1:09:56.559
<v Speaker 1>Let's go come on, Uh, total Beast, the big body right,

1:09:56.640 --> 1:09:59.400
<v Speaker 1>the leaping ability, Uh, they go up and get it.

1:09:59.479 --> 1:10:03.240
<v Speaker 1>I like so much about Chase Claypool's game. See this

1:10:03.280 --> 1:10:05.400
<v Speaker 1>is how I'm different than you, Brian. I'm explaining why

1:10:05.439 --> 1:10:08.320
<v Speaker 1>he's a great player. I worry about things around to

1:10:08.439 --> 1:10:10.520
<v Speaker 1>Chase Claypool that I have nothing to do with him.

1:10:10.600 --> 1:10:15.040
<v Speaker 1>Ben Roethlisberger's rapid decline last season, does that continue or

1:10:15.040 --> 1:10:18.360
<v Speaker 1>get worse this season? I worry about the Steelers offensive

1:10:18.400 --> 1:10:22.360
<v Speaker 1>line limiting the overall production of this offense. And Chase

1:10:22.360 --> 1:10:26.080
<v Speaker 1>Claypool's average draft positions round seven. I'm so busy drafting

1:10:26.120 --> 1:10:28.120
<v Speaker 1>running backs to round seven. So you know this, I've

1:10:28.160 --> 1:10:31.439
<v Speaker 1>already got my great, great receivers. I don't need to

1:10:31.520 --> 1:10:33.360
<v Speaker 1>roll the dice on a guy with the question marks

1:10:33.400 --> 1:10:36.519
<v Speaker 1>that Chase Claypool has got. Alright, our final round of

1:10:36.640 --> 1:10:38.840
<v Speaker 1>love the player hate the average draft position goes to

1:10:38.880 --> 1:10:42.360
<v Speaker 1>the tight end position, and Matt I have Mark Andrews,

1:10:42.360 --> 1:10:44.439
<v Speaker 1>who's going off in the fifth round. And it's really

1:10:44.439 --> 1:10:47.880
<v Speaker 1>nothing against Mark Andrews's just more of a tear based thing.

1:10:48.520 --> 1:10:52.559
<v Speaker 1>Last year in PPR standard scoring leagues, Travis Kelsey average

1:10:52.600 --> 1:10:55.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty point eight points per game, Waller average seventeen and

1:10:55.960 --> 1:10:58.960
<v Speaker 1>a half, and George Kittle averaged fifteen point six in

1:10:58.960 --> 1:11:02.439
<v Speaker 1>his limited involvement. Then you move down a whole bunch

1:11:02.880 --> 1:11:05.200
<v Speaker 1>and Mark Andrews is the next player at twelve point too.

1:11:05.560 --> 1:11:08.640
<v Speaker 1>But the problem is there's ten other tight ends that

1:11:08.760 --> 1:11:13.120
<v Speaker 1>finished between ten and twelve PPR points. That's a pretty

1:11:13.320 --> 1:11:18.360
<v Speaker 1>big swath of tight ends there with very similar production.

1:11:18.600 --> 1:11:23.160
<v Speaker 1>I can get Mike Gesicki six rounds later. He had

1:11:23.280 --> 1:11:26.800
<v Speaker 1>five fewer catches, the exact same amount of yards and

1:11:26.920 --> 1:11:31.280
<v Speaker 1>one fewer touchdown then Mark Andrews. So it's more about

1:11:31.520 --> 1:11:34.479
<v Speaker 1>I don't like that tier, and I'm going to take

1:11:34.520 --> 1:11:36.920
<v Speaker 1>the guys at the back end of that tier six

1:11:37.040 --> 1:11:40.320
<v Speaker 1>rounds later than Mark Andrews. I see, that's a perfect

1:11:40.520 --> 1:11:43.160
<v Speaker 1>there's a perfect answer. That's a player you like with

1:11:43.200 --> 1:11:46.599
<v Speaker 1>a Ratchell. It's not because he's not a good player, Brian,

1:11:46.800 --> 1:11:49.639
<v Speaker 1>I never said I did like Julio Jones. You dead

1:11:50.320 --> 1:11:55.840
<v Speaker 1>we Cannibal all right? Who is the tight end you love?

1:11:56.600 --> 1:12:03.519
<v Speaker 1>But never end up Ard? I just hate guts at

1:12:03.560 --> 1:12:07.559
<v Speaker 1>tight end seven. I'm not drafting stupid Dallas Goddard. But

1:12:07.760 --> 1:12:11.360
<v Speaker 1>Dallas Goddard is my answer. He's clinging to that secondary

1:12:11.439 --> 1:12:13.599
<v Speaker 1>top tier of tight ends that I think you were mentioning.

1:12:13.600 --> 1:12:15.760
<v Speaker 1>I think he's the last guy in and I don't

1:12:15.800 --> 1:12:17.840
<v Speaker 1>like pick up the last guy in a tier or

1:12:18.080 --> 1:12:22.200
<v Speaker 1>the first guy in the forthcoming tier. Um, I'd rather

1:12:22.240 --> 1:12:24.439
<v Speaker 1>wait much later on tight ends of I'm contemplaining a

1:12:24.479 --> 1:12:26.800
<v Speaker 1>guy like Goddard, who was strong in the second half

1:12:26.880 --> 1:12:29.519
<v Speaker 1>last year. Uh, and that is when Jalen Hurts was

1:12:29.600 --> 1:12:32.519
<v Speaker 1>playing quarterback for the most part for Philly, but zach

1:12:32.680 --> 1:12:35.920
<v Speaker 1>Ertz was also hurt. Then, Uh, he's back, He's still

1:12:35.960 --> 1:12:38.160
<v Speaker 1>in Philly. Looked pretty good on Thursday night, by the

1:12:38.200 --> 1:12:41.640
<v Speaker 1>way zach Ertz did. Philly also added a weapon in

1:12:41.680 --> 1:12:45.720
<v Speaker 1>DeVante Smith and uh, long story short, just Goddard at

1:12:45.720 --> 1:12:48.360
<v Speaker 1>tight ends seven. We need arts to get hurt again.

1:12:48.400 --> 1:12:50.880
<v Speaker 1>We need all the wide receivers to fall apart again,

1:12:50.920 --> 1:12:53.720
<v Speaker 1>which is quite possible. But and I know you're not

1:12:53.760 --> 1:12:57.040
<v Speaker 1>sold on Jalen Hurts as a passer either, nor am I.

1:12:57.400 --> 1:13:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Although I'll be fair, I liked what I saw Thursday

1:13:00.479 --> 1:13:03.439
<v Speaker 1>night Hurts. I'm starting to warm up a little bit

1:13:03.680 --> 1:13:06.599
<v Speaker 1>surprised Brian didn't say everybody but Darren Waller and Dan

1:13:06.720 --> 1:13:11.120
<v Speaker 1>Arnold everybody else. It's kind of true. I know what

1:13:11.120 --> 1:13:14.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm talking about, the tight end. The tight end I adore,

1:13:15.320 --> 1:13:17.679
<v Speaker 1>but I never end up. Why do you adore him

1:13:17.680 --> 1:13:20.479
<v Speaker 1>so much? Because it's George kittle Oh he's so good,

1:13:20.600 --> 1:13:24.080
<v Speaker 1>obviously a great and a freakish talent, and there's so

1:13:24.160 --> 1:13:26.559
<v Speaker 1>much to like about him. But the problem is, if

1:13:26.600 --> 1:13:29.519
<v Speaker 1>I'm spending an early round pick on tight end, I

1:13:29.560 --> 1:13:32.040
<v Speaker 1>want Kelsey or Waller, who I like even more at

1:13:32.120 --> 1:13:36.599
<v Speaker 1>least this season. And there's some other factors as well.

1:13:36.640 --> 1:13:39.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know where he's going early. Third round

1:13:39.400 --> 1:13:42.000
<v Speaker 1>is where you have to pick George kittle Man. There's

1:13:42.000 --> 1:13:44.760
<v Speaker 1>some great wide receivers available, like a J. Brown and

1:13:44.840 --> 1:13:49.240
<v Speaker 1>Keenan Allen and Terry McLaurin, or runners like Chris Carson

1:13:49.520 --> 1:13:52.920
<v Speaker 1>or j K. Dobbins, or I can have quarterback one again,

1:13:52.960 --> 1:13:55.000
<v Speaker 1>have Patrick Mahomes, who earlier in this show I said

1:13:55.240 --> 1:13:58.720
<v Speaker 1>could set the old time passing record for yards and

1:13:58.760 --> 1:14:01.240
<v Speaker 1>touchdowns this year. So I just to be there's so

1:14:01.280 --> 1:14:04.400
<v Speaker 1>many other options. I'm not spending that early third round

1:14:04.479 --> 1:14:07.840
<v Speaker 1>pick on my on my third favorite tight end. Now

1:14:07.920 --> 1:14:13.679
<v Speaker 1>that's a great answer, charge job, I GA, there's no

1:14:13.760 --> 1:14:16.519
<v Speaker 1>difference in the theme of any of our answers. But okay,

1:14:16.800 --> 1:14:19.280
<v Speaker 1>that is that is so not true. When we come

1:14:19.280 --> 1:14:22.800
<v Speaker 1>back our final segment, we'll talk about some strategies for

1:14:22.880 --> 1:14:28.479
<v Speaker 1>playing guillotine leagues, our favorite sleepers this year, and plenty

1:14:28.680 --> 1:14:57.519
<v Speaker 1>more when we come back. Fantasy Football Weekly returns final

1:14:57.880 --> 1:15:01.719
<v Speaker 1>segment of Fantasy fook A Weekly. Do you miss any

1:15:01.720 --> 1:15:04.800
<v Speaker 1>part of this show? Not only is it an over

1:15:04.840 --> 1:15:09.040
<v Speaker 1>the air broadcast, it is also a podcast, Fantasy Football Weekly,

1:15:09.080 --> 1:15:14.680
<v Speaker 1>available on every platform that services podcasts, including the I

1:15:14.880 --> 1:15:17.800
<v Speaker 1>Heart Radio app. I Am Paul charging my co host

1:15:17.880 --> 1:15:21.600
<v Speaker 1>or Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison. Final segment. We always

1:15:22.000 --> 1:15:26.799
<v Speaker 1>unveil a sleeper each Last week, I gave you Gus Edwards,

1:15:26.800 --> 1:15:30.559
<v Speaker 1>which was brilliant. If I may say so myself, I've

1:15:30.560 --> 1:15:34.439
<v Speaker 1>got another sure fire sleeper for you coming up in moments.

1:15:34.439 --> 1:15:38.120
<v Speaker 1>But first, Brian Johnson, You're sleeper this week is you're

1:15:38.160 --> 1:15:40.960
<v Speaker 1>obviously getting Dan Arnold from me and my first big show.

1:15:42.800 --> 1:15:45.760
<v Speaker 1>That's not even a sleeper. Everybody's awake him if they've

1:15:45.760 --> 1:15:48.400
<v Speaker 1>been listening to this show. People are very woke that

1:15:48.439 --> 1:15:50.479
<v Speaker 1>have been listening to me about Dan Arnold. It's only

1:15:50.479 --> 1:15:53.280
<v Speaker 1>gonna get better as time goes By was virtually going

1:15:53.360 --> 1:15:55.960
<v Speaker 1>undrafted earlier in the summer unless I was in the league.

1:15:55.960 --> 1:16:00.479
<v Speaker 1>But he has creeped up to draftable eight teen UH

1:16:00.880 --> 1:16:04.479
<v Speaker 1>round leagues, which is very standard, especially in best ball um.

1:16:04.640 --> 1:16:08.000
<v Speaker 1>Back to Arnold UH tight end twenty one. Last season

1:16:08.000 --> 1:16:11.479
<v Speaker 1>with Arizona, missed a couple of games, only saw forty

1:16:11.520 --> 1:16:14.160
<v Speaker 1>five targets. Now, to put that into perspective, guys like Hunter,

1:16:14.200 --> 1:16:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Henry Noah, Fan, Dalton Schultz, Mike Sicky, Eric Ebron, they

1:16:18.080 --> 1:16:22.200
<v Speaker 1>saw roughly ninety targets. Arnold saw half of that ninety targets.

1:16:22.640 --> 1:16:24.400
<v Speaker 1>It's like, it's a good thing that your guy was

1:16:24.439 --> 1:16:27.719
<v Speaker 1>only targeted times. It was in Arizona. They don't utilize

1:16:27.720 --> 1:16:30.160
<v Speaker 1>their tight ends very much. And I'm not so sure

1:16:30.240 --> 1:16:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Cliff Kingsbury knows what he's doing. But I like the

1:16:33.000 --> 1:16:34.800
<v Speaker 1>volume he's gonna see in Carolina, and I'm gonna just

1:16:34.880 --> 1:16:37.920
<v Speaker 1>gonna double the production he had on those forty five

1:16:37.960 --> 1:16:40.720
<v Speaker 1>targets to the ninety that he'll at least see in Carolina.

1:16:40.760 --> 1:16:43.439
<v Speaker 1>That would come out to sixty catches, eight eighty yards

1:16:43.439 --> 1:16:47.160
<v Speaker 1>and eight touchdowns. Arnold had three targets inside the ten

1:16:47.240 --> 1:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>yard line last year, just three scored on all three

1:16:50.160 --> 1:16:53.200
<v Speaker 1>of them. He was number one among all tight ends

1:16:53.200 --> 1:16:55.840
<v Speaker 1>and average depth of target he was ninth and yards

1:16:55.880 --> 1:16:58.840
<v Speaker 1>after the catch per reception. He's going to see the

1:16:58.880 --> 1:17:01.120
<v Speaker 1>ball a lot in this off fence and he's virtually

1:17:01.680 --> 1:17:06.280
<v Speaker 1>unguardable in the ends of I'm not kidding you, I'm

1:17:06.280 --> 1:17:10.599
<v Speaker 1>saying it. So Dan Arnold, do not let him go

1:17:10.840 --> 1:17:12.720
<v Speaker 1>undrafted in your drafts. Get him at the end. I

1:17:12.760 --> 1:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>like Curtis that Curtis Samuel's gone. That could open up

1:17:15.320 --> 1:17:17.920
<v Speaker 1>some middle of the field stuff for Dan Arnold. And

1:17:17.960 --> 1:17:20.320
<v Speaker 1>people might say, you know, Christian McCaffrey was back, that's

1:17:20.320 --> 1:17:22.720
<v Speaker 1>bad for d J. Moore and all the receivers. D J.

1:17:22.880 --> 1:17:25.680
<v Speaker 1>Moore was wide receiver nine and twenty nine team when

1:17:25.760 --> 1:17:28.519
<v Speaker 1>McCaffrey had the record setting season and he fell off

1:17:28.640 --> 1:17:32.160
<v Speaker 1>entirely without So what's with McCaffrey back? That opens things

1:17:32.240 --> 1:17:34.840
<v Speaker 1>up for all the pass catchers. I can really see

1:17:34.880 --> 1:17:38.960
<v Speaker 1>how that comparison between DJ Moore effects Dan Arnold. An

1:17:39.000 --> 1:17:43.240
<v Speaker 1>offensive coordinator Joe Brady was with Dan Arnold in New Orleans.

1:17:43.360 --> 1:17:45.840
<v Speaker 1>He won't he went out and how did he use?

1:17:46.120 --> 1:17:48.799
<v Speaker 1>He was a raw rookie who was a converted wide receiver.

1:17:49.800 --> 1:17:52.439
<v Speaker 1>You always say, don't look at last year, right charge,

1:17:52.560 --> 1:17:57.880
<v Speaker 1>you're looking back now two years now and trying he's

1:17:57.920 --> 1:18:00.559
<v Speaker 1>on the trajectory to the moon. You heard it here first.

1:18:01.320 --> 1:18:04.240
<v Speaker 1>I heard it at first last year. Matt, who is

1:18:04.240 --> 1:18:06.679
<v Speaker 1>your sleeper? This week? I'm gonna talk a little history

1:18:06.720 --> 1:18:10.240
<v Speaker 1>to um. Darnell Mooney is my sleeper. You can get

1:18:10.280 --> 1:18:13.280
<v Speaker 1>him in the eleventh or twelfth round right now. Remember

1:18:13.280 --> 1:18:16.280
<v Speaker 1>when I was talking about Tyler Lockett and his double

1:18:16.320 --> 1:18:19.120
<v Speaker 1>digit target games, Well, Lockett had three last year and

1:18:19.160 --> 1:18:26.639
<v Speaker 1>Mooney had to. In fact, since Darnell Mooney's targets last year,

1:18:26.680 --> 1:18:31.360
<v Speaker 1>we're good for seventh amongst rookie wide receivers target share

1:18:31.640 --> 1:18:35.080
<v Speaker 1>in their rookie year right. Um, Now, the guy has

1:18:35.120 --> 1:18:38.120
<v Speaker 1>never had a one yard game and he only scored

1:18:38.160 --> 1:18:40.519
<v Speaker 1>four times last year, but he was catching balls from

1:18:40.920 --> 1:18:52.360
<v Speaker 1>Nick Foles and Sad trombone ski. M hm. The upgrade

1:18:52.400 --> 1:18:54.680
<v Speaker 1>to Andy Dalton is one thing, but the upgrade to

1:18:54.760 --> 1:18:57.720
<v Speaker 1>Justin Fields is a whole another thing. And Fields and

1:18:57.800 --> 1:19:03.360
<v Speaker 1>Mooney they're often seen together at Bears camp developing. Maybe

1:19:05.000 --> 1:19:08.640
<v Speaker 1>possibly people aren't thinking about him because he didn't have

1:19:08.760 --> 1:19:11.719
<v Speaker 1>that one huge outing last year. He's gonna have several

1:19:11.720 --> 1:19:15.920
<v Speaker 1>of them this year. He needed to finish it off.

1:19:19.040 --> 1:19:22.880
<v Speaker 1>I look, I'm going to have very few chances to

1:19:23.040 --> 1:19:26.160
<v Speaker 1>play my trombo and stuff this year. That's what you think.

1:19:26.280 --> 1:19:28.720
<v Speaker 1>Unless something awful happens to Josh Allen and let's not

1:19:28.800 --> 1:19:33.400
<v Speaker 1>let's hope it doesn't come to going off in the

1:19:33.479 --> 1:19:41.200
<v Speaker 1>twelve round is quarterback eighteen is trail tray, Lance, He

1:19:41.360 --> 1:19:46.400
<v Speaker 1>is going player four in your draft tray Lance. Um, Yes,

1:19:46.439 --> 1:19:48.759
<v Speaker 1>he's gonna eat up the roster spot, a roster spot

1:19:48.800 --> 1:19:50.559
<v Speaker 1>for a while. So if you're in if you're in

1:19:50.800 --> 1:19:53.880
<v Speaker 1>a league with thin roster spots, I can understand where

1:19:53.920 --> 1:19:55.960
<v Speaker 1>maybe you can't take a guy who's not going to

1:19:56.040 --> 1:19:59.240
<v Speaker 1>start for a while. But you know, really it's around twelve.

1:20:00.000 --> 1:20:04.240
<v Speaker 1>How many guys have like league winning upside in round twelve?

1:20:05.040 --> 1:20:08.240
<v Speaker 1>Not many? But he does. And why does tray Lance

1:20:08.280 --> 1:20:10.880
<v Speaker 1>have league winning upside? You might say, well, number one

1:20:11.160 --> 1:20:16.719
<v Speaker 1>monster arm capable of stretching the field. Number two three

1:20:16.760 --> 1:20:24.920
<v Speaker 1>excellent receivers, George Kittle, Brandon Ayuk and Deebo Samuel. All

1:20:24.960 --> 1:20:27.360
<v Speaker 1>three are excellent. He's got running backs who can catch

1:20:27.400 --> 1:20:30.679
<v Speaker 1>and you can throw there. But what makes tray Lance

1:20:30.760 --> 1:20:34.880
<v Speaker 1>a league buster is the rushing yard potential. That's the

1:20:34.920 --> 1:20:38.799
<v Speaker 1>secret sauce for fantasy quarterbacks who put up gigantic games,

1:20:39.120 --> 1:20:41.280
<v Speaker 1>and that could be coming for tray Lance as well.

1:20:41.600 --> 1:20:44.519
<v Speaker 1>So then the next question might be, well, okay, but

1:20:44.560 --> 1:20:46.679
<v Speaker 1>how long do I gotta hold him? Then? To get

1:20:46.720 --> 1:20:51.559
<v Speaker 1>to this point, I think he could start as early

1:20:51.680 --> 1:20:54.120
<v Speaker 1>as Week seven. San Francis has got the earliest bye

1:20:54.160 --> 1:20:56.360
<v Speaker 1>week they've got Week six? Is there bye week? The

1:20:56.520 --> 1:21:01.479
<v Speaker 1>three games before the Week six by San Francisco plays

1:21:01.920 --> 1:21:04.720
<v Speaker 1>green Bay that was a thirteen win operation last year,

1:21:05.280 --> 1:21:09.760
<v Speaker 1>Seattle a twelve win team, and Arizona that was an

1:21:09.760 --> 1:21:12.720
<v Speaker 1>eight win team, they could easily. San Francisco could lose

1:21:12.760 --> 1:21:15.479
<v Speaker 1>two of those three games head into the by and

1:21:15.560 --> 1:21:20.200
<v Speaker 1>start Trey Lance. Week seven. One of the Niners beat

1:21:20.240 --> 1:21:24.800
<v Speaker 1>reporters has logged all of Garoppolo's throws, all of Tray

1:21:24.880 --> 1:21:28.519
<v Speaker 1>Lances throws throughout camp through midweek of this past week.

1:21:29.160 --> 1:21:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Garoppolo a sixty two percent completion rate, six interceptions and

1:21:34.000 --> 1:21:36.840
<v Speaker 1>six touchdowns. I think we mentioned this, we did. And

1:21:36.880 --> 1:21:40.880
<v Speaker 1>Trey Lance completion rates ten touchdowns, two rushing touchdowns, and

1:21:40.880 --> 1:21:44.000
<v Speaker 1>two interceptions. You roll all that together, it looks to

1:21:44.040 --> 1:21:47.200
<v Speaker 1>me like Trey Lance is gonna win that job now,

1:21:47.600 --> 1:21:50.479
<v Speaker 1>in fairness Garoppolo's cocaine camp. But here's the beauty of it.

1:21:50.800 --> 1:21:54.200
<v Speaker 1>Think about this, executing this option. Take Trey Lance in

1:21:54.280 --> 1:21:59.640
<v Speaker 1>week sorry, round twelve, Take Jimmy Garoppolo in round eighteen,

1:22:00.280 --> 1:22:02.320
<v Speaker 1>and go to world with the Niners quarterback all season.

1:22:03.120 --> 1:22:05.840
<v Speaker 1>You get Kyle, You get a Kyle Shanahan lad quarterback.

1:22:06.240 --> 1:22:09.960
<v Speaker 1>All that talent, all the all the receiving options sounds

1:22:09.960 --> 1:22:15.160
<v Speaker 1>good to me. I'm on board. I gotta take Dan

1:22:15.280 --> 1:22:18.080
<v Speaker 1>Arnold in the eighteenth, so I can. You probably have

1:22:18.080 --> 1:22:20.200
<v Speaker 1>to take him in the seventeenth. Now, look what you've done, Brian,

1:22:20.280 --> 1:22:22.439
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna personally move the needle. You know, I'll reach

1:22:22.479 --> 1:22:26.479
<v Speaker 1>around on Dan Arnold anything, Brian. Let's talk about some

1:22:26.520 --> 1:22:29.960
<v Speaker 1>strategies for those dabbling in a guillotine league for the

1:22:30.000 --> 1:22:33.120
<v Speaker 1>first time, and especially draft related strategy. Do you want

1:22:33.120 --> 1:22:35.639
<v Speaker 1>to go over with a guillotine league is real quickly? Yeah,

1:22:35.680 --> 1:22:38.080
<v Speaker 1>sure I do. You start the season with eighteen teams.

1:22:38.120 --> 1:22:39.639
<v Speaker 1>This is a whole new format, and you don't play

1:22:39.640 --> 1:22:41.360
<v Speaker 1>any head to head and instead, at the end of

1:22:41.400 --> 1:22:44.280
<v Speaker 1>week each week, the low scoring team gets cut and

1:22:44.320 --> 1:22:47.960
<v Speaker 1>their entire roster goes to the waiver wire and at

1:22:48.000 --> 1:22:51.320
<v Speaker 1>that point, everybody, you know, never in fantasy football do

1:22:51.360 --> 1:22:54.479
<v Speaker 1>you end up in a scenario where the waiver wears

1:22:54.520 --> 1:22:58.599
<v Speaker 1>anything other than just dropped players flots some guys that

1:22:58.760 --> 1:23:00.280
<v Speaker 1>you know might have a chance to rend your reason

1:23:00.520 --> 1:23:05.680
<v Speaker 1>you never get like here's Alvin Kmara and Patrick Mahomes

1:23:05.880 --> 1:23:09.040
<v Speaker 1>and Keenan Allen and yeah, se Kwon Barkley is going

1:23:09.080 --> 1:23:11.400
<v Speaker 1>to be a guy hitting the waiver wear very often.

1:23:11.680 --> 1:23:13.680
<v Speaker 1>He could in the first month of the season, yes

1:23:13.720 --> 1:23:15.680
<v Speaker 1>he could. And well, you know what, it's funny you

1:23:15.720 --> 1:23:17.559
<v Speaker 1>say that. So you're in the guillotine that you're playing

1:23:17.560 --> 1:23:19.679
<v Speaker 1>not to lose because I have to do is not finished.

1:23:19.760 --> 1:23:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Last you get nothing from being the highest scoring team

1:23:21.800 --> 1:23:24.719
<v Speaker 1>that week. No, you just don't be last in any

1:23:24.840 --> 1:23:27.960
<v Speaker 1>given week. So the whole profile of your draft should

1:23:28.040 --> 1:23:30.280
<v Speaker 1>it change, and if it doesn't, you're doing it wrong. Matt,

1:23:30.360 --> 1:23:33.759
<v Speaker 1>you hit on one of the key elements of Guillotine

1:23:33.800 --> 1:23:37.479
<v Speaker 1>League drafting strategy, and it's safety. Um. I have a

1:23:37.520 --> 1:23:41.240
<v Speaker 1>Guillotine League cheat sheet as well over at shock Fantasy

1:23:41.280 --> 1:23:44.120
<v Speaker 1>dot com where we map out the first couple of

1:23:44.120 --> 1:23:47.080
<v Speaker 1>weeks of the schedule. I believe it's just like yours charge. Um.

1:23:47.120 --> 1:23:49.880
<v Speaker 1>We got the a DP from from your Guillotine League

1:23:49.960 --> 1:23:53.320
<v Speaker 1>site on there as well, And there's guys that I punished,

1:23:53.400 --> 1:23:57.920
<v Speaker 1>like way way way down like Sae Kwon Barkley, who

1:23:57.960 --> 1:24:00.680
<v Speaker 1>I have as my number twenty two running back on

1:24:00.720 --> 1:24:05.519
<v Speaker 1>my cheat sheet. He's down that low because he gets Denver, Washington, Atlanta,

1:24:05.600 --> 1:24:07.320
<v Speaker 1>New Orleans in the first four weeks, and three of

1:24:07.360 --> 1:24:10.400
<v Speaker 1>those four were top eight defenses against running backs. Like

1:24:10.520 --> 1:24:11.880
<v Speaker 1>we don't even know coming off the a c L,

1:24:11.920 --> 1:24:14.320
<v Speaker 1>Sae Kwon Barkley going to be healthy at all? And

1:24:14.320 --> 1:24:17.800
<v Speaker 1>exactly maybe if he's not healthy, he's not what's his

1:24:17.840 --> 1:24:20.200
<v Speaker 1>workload going to be? Like something going to be diminished?

1:24:20.240 --> 1:24:23.080
<v Speaker 1>Somebody in your Guillotine league is gonna go se Kwon Barkley,

1:24:23.080 --> 1:24:25.960
<v Speaker 1>and I'm pick seventeen in the draft. They're going to

1:24:26.080 --> 1:24:29.720
<v Speaker 1>take him. They're going to regret that decision because your

1:24:29.760 --> 1:24:33.760
<v Speaker 1>strategy is don't be last, be second to last every week.

1:24:33.920 --> 1:24:36.559
<v Speaker 1>If you're second to last every week, you'll win the league.

1:24:37.080 --> 1:24:39.759
<v Speaker 1>The better saying is if you ain't last your first

1:24:39.960 --> 1:24:43.200
<v Speaker 1>that's right every week. And now, I don't want to

1:24:44.040 --> 1:24:48.479
<v Speaker 1>any cheat sheet beef between you guys, but like Matt said,

1:24:48.479 --> 1:24:52.599
<v Speaker 1>you definitely want to target safety, avoid risk, especially very

1:24:52.640 --> 1:24:55.679
<v Speaker 1>early on in the season, and chart your premium cheat

1:24:55.720 --> 1:25:01.320
<v Speaker 1>sheet on guillotine dot com. Many things is like strength

1:25:01.360 --> 1:25:04.280
<v Speaker 1>of schedule through weeks one through four, like se Kuon Barkley,

1:25:04.360 --> 1:25:07.160
<v Speaker 1>who you said, I can see very clearly. I get

1:25:07.240 --> 1:25:11.280
<v Speaker 1>the beef coded cheat sheet that s Kuon Barkley is

1:25:11.280 --> 1:25:14.840
<v Speaker 1>the seventh hardest strength of schedule for running backs weeks

1:25:14.880 --> 1:25:16.639
<v Speaker 1>one through four, so I'm all out on him. I'm

1:25:16.640 --> 1:25:21.240
<v Speaker 1>also seeing data broke down just how players finished in

1:25:21.280 --> 1:25:23.160
<v Speaker 1>the first half of the season based on the last

1:25:23.200 --> 1:25:25.599
<v Speaker 1>half of the season last year, what percentage of their

1:25:25.640 --> 1:25:28.920
<v Speaker 1>games are inside the top twelve based on outside of

1:25:28.960 --> 1:25:32.639
<v Speaker 1>the top thirty very useful information on charge of premium

1:25:32.720 --> 1:25:35.040
<v Speaker 1>GAIETA lead cheat sheets. So yeah, you got to avoid

1:25:35.600 --> 1:25:39.200
<v Speaker 1>the risk, target the safety and other things you don't

1:25:39.200 --> 1:25:41.479
<v Speaker 1>want to do in a GAIA team league's draft. Unlike

1:25:41.520 --> 1:25:43.880
<v Speaker 1>best Ball, where you kind of want to stack teams

1:25:43.920 --> 1:25:45.479
<v Speaker 1>and go all in on teams to get a high

1:25:45.520 --> 1:25:48.640
<v Speaker 1>school you you spread out in gay team leagues. You

1:25:48.680 --> 1:25:52.360
<v Speaker 1>don't want to buy your portfolio exactly, much better way

1:25:52.360 --> 1:25:54.479
<v Speaker 1>to put it, even it's even if it's the Chiefs.

1:25:54.520 --> 1:25:56.280
<v Speaker 1>You don't want to put all your eggs in one

1:25:56.320 --> 1:25:59.760
<v Speaker 1>basket because if they roll over dead one week, you're

1:25:59.760 --> 1:26:03.240
<v Speaker 1>get and beheaded. So yeah, don't stack the same teams

1:26:03.280 --> 1:26:06.760
<v Speaker 1>and and just draft smart because you want to save

1:26:06.840 --> 1:26:09.800
<v Speaker 1>your FAB as long as possible going into this season.

1:26:09.840 --> 1:26:13.759
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna be tempted to spend big bucks on Alvin

1:26:13.840 --> 1:26:15.960
<v Speaker 1>Kamara if he's on the waiver wire in Week two.

1:26:16.040 --> 1:26:18.800
<v Speaker 1>But the longer you hold your FAB and control the

1:26:18.840 --> 1:26:22.040
<v Speaker 1>board in that regard, the more power you have moving

1:26:22.080 --> 1:26:24.040
<v Speaker 1>along in this season. I think it's important that you

1:26:24.080 --> 1:26:26.879
<v Speaker 1>guys mentioned the fab part, and maybe we haven't explained

1:26:26.920 --> 1:26:29.479
<v Speaker 1>that quite well enough. You get a thousand dollars worth

1:26:29.560 --> 1:26:34.120
<v Speaker 1>of free agent bidding allowance for the year, but you

1:26:34.160 --> 1:26:36.240
<v Speaker 1>get it for the year, so you get one thousand

1:26:36.240 --> 1:26:37.960
<v Speaker 1>for the year, not for every week, just for the

1:26:37.960 --> 1:26:42.200
<v Speaker 1>whole year. You could spend nine dollars on Christian McCaffrey

1:26:42.240 --> 1:26:44.559
<v Speaker 1>if he becomes available, but then you've got a hundred

1:26:44.560 --> 1:26:46.800
<v Speaker 1>dollars for the rest of the year and you're probably

1:26:46.840 --> 1:26:50.320
<v Speaker 1>not getting anything good until the very very end of

1:26:50.320 --> 1:26:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the year. Another drafting strategy. Another drafting tip um look

1:26:54.960 --> 1:26:57.599
<v Speaker 1>out for rookies very dangerous in guilloteen leagues because you're

1:26:57.640 --> 1:26:59.880
<v Speaker 1>trying to survive, especially through the early weeks of this

1:27:00.000 --> 1:27:03.160
<v Speaker 1>season when everybody because there's eighteen teams in the Guillotine League,

1:27:03.200 --> 1:27:05.840
<v Speaker 1>your roster is not great. You're just trying to survive

1:27:05.920 --> 1:27:07.639
<v Speaker 1>for the first month of the season so you can

1:27:07.760 --> 1:27:10.639
<v Speaker 1>hit the waiver wire and get more help and build

1:27:10.680 --> 1:27:14.160
<v Speaker 1>up a better roster. And rookies. As much as we

1:27:14.280 --> 1:27:17.639
<v Speaker 1>love rookies like Javonte Williams, I think it's gonna be great,

1:27:17.920 --> 1:27:21.200
<v Speaker 1>But is he gonna be great in September? Maybe not.

1:27:21.320 --> 1:27:23.720
<v Speaker 1>Look at Jonathan Taylor last year. He was not a

1:27:23.720 --> 1:27:27.840
<v Speaker 1>reliable starter until December. And so rookies are guys that

1:27:27.840 --> 1:27:30.360
<v Speaker 1>you need to be careful about. And one other element

1:27:30.479 --> 1:27:32.960
<v Speaker 1>for from a drafting strategy for guillotine leagues. So you

1:27:32.960 --> 1:27:36.200
<v Speaker 1>should know you gotta pay attention to the bye weeks. Normally,

1:27:36.200 --> 1:27:38.200
<v Speaker 1>in my redrafts, I don't pay, I don't care. But

1:27:38.240 --> 1:27:41.200
<v Speaker 1>if you you want to avoid early by weeks because

1:27:41.200 --> 1:27:43.240
<v Speaker 1>your team's wobbly at the beginning of the year, and

1:27:43.280 --> 1:27:46.720
<v Speaker 1>when you've take Says and Saints that have a week

1:27:46.800 --> 1:27:49.800
<v Speaker 1>six by that earliest buys, you don't you know when

1:27:49.800 --> 1:27:53.240
<v Speaker 1>you're losing Alvin Kamara, you don't have a replacement who's

1:27:53.320 --> 1:27:56.280
<v Speaker 1>very good by week six and all probability. And if

1:27:56.320 --> 1:27:58.920
<v Speaker 1>you've got three or four starters that have weeks six,

1:27:59.040 --> 1:28:00.880
<v Speaker 1>you've got a huge problem them on your hands. Yeah

1:28:00.920 --> 1:28:05.679
<v Speaker 1>you said, uh. In redraft a players standalone by virtually

1:28:06.000 --> 1:28:09.200
<v Speaker 1>worthless information. But in a guy tea league, very very

1:28:09.200 --> 1:28:11.719
<v Speaker 1>important to pay attention to win their bias. Not only

1:28:11.760 --> 1:28:14.559
<v Speaker 1>that bye week stacking is terrible. You don't want to

1:28:14.560 --> 1:28:17.400
<v Speaker 1>do the bye week stacking, but the later the bye week,

1:28:17.840 --> 1:28:20.720
<v Speaker 1>the longer you have that player. So targeting players with

1:28:20.720 --> 1:28:25.000
<v Speaker 1>weeks thirteen and fourteen buys it's actually a valuable tiebreaker

1:28:25.280 --> 1:28:28.519
<v Speaker 1>when you're looking at two players absolutely Guillotine league dot

1:28:28.560 --> 1:28:31.000
<v Speaker 1>com for all of that and more public leagues, private

1:28:31.040 --> 1:28:33.120
<v Speaker 1>leagues to your friends. However, you like to play your

1:28:33.160 --> 1:28:36.879
<v Speaker 1>guillotine leagues at guillotine leagues dot com. Uh. Thanks everybody,

1:28:36.880 --> 1:28:39.360
<v Speaker 1>appreciate listening. Matt Ryan, great job. Thank you have any

1:28:39.400 --> 1:28:42.280
<v Speaker 1>part of the show. Check out our podcast, available on

1:28:42.320 --> 1:28:44.679
<v Speaker 1>the i heart Radio app and wherever you get your podcast,

1:28:44.760 --> 1:29:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Football Weekly Talking to a week. Fantasy Football Weekly

1:29:04.280 --> 1:29:06.879
<v Speaker 1>is a production of I heart Radio. For more podcasts

1:29:06.920 --> 1:29:09.280
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