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Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.

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Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,

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Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and

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Speaker 1: advice league dot com. Here's your host, Paul. Welcome to

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Speaker 1: another edition of Fantasy Football Weekly, your number twenty seven,

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Speaker 1: episode number two. I am Paul Charge and Guillotine Leagues

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Speaker 1: dot Com. My co host today Matt Harrison from Shock

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Speaker 1: Fantasy and Brian Johnson Guillotine Leagues dot Com. What's up, boys.

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Speaker 1: Good to see it's great death preseason action in full

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Speaker 1: force again, Because as much as people crap on preseason play,

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Speaker 1: you get things like Romandre Stevenson opening opening eyes and

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Speaker 1: Mac Jones looking competent, and you know, you get you

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Speaker 1: get storylines that I love following and fantasy players care about.

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Speaker 1: And in that vein, we're gonna touch on the biggest

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Speaker 1: storyline over the last week for each of the thirty

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Speaker 1: two teams. We're gonna later in the show hit on

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Speaker 1: all the traits of a sleeper running back. I challenge

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Speaker 1: Matt Harrison to look through years of data and identify

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Speaker 1: what are the traits that helped sleeper running backs hit

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Speaker 1: and challenge accepted. Challenge accepted. The Peacock Off. We will

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Speaker 1: each have two bold predictions from our hosts. That will

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Speaker 1: be a total of six bold predictions, and when they

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Speaker 1: come right, we will theretis took a minute. The peacock

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Speaker 1: was sleeping. I had to wake up the peak and

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Speaker 1: you couldn't find your peacock. I'm in preseason for myself.

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Speaker 1: Over here will we will unleash our sleepers of the

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Speaker 1: week as well and answer three tough questions. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to the training camps around the league, beginning with Matt

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Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are an Indie for joint

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Speaker 1: practices this week. And I'm not even trying to make

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Speaker 1: anyone on this show happy, but about a third of

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Speaker 1: the stories from Panthers camp are talking about the connection

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Speaker 1: between a certain quarterback and a certain tight end. Oh boy,

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Speaker 1: Sam Darnald and Dan Arnold. The Darnold Arnold connection. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it looks like it's a thing, and we're seeing Dan

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Speaker 1: Arnold is starting to get taken in fantasy drafts. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's remember you've been wrong for two years. Okay, let's

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Speaker 1: you know, let's save the two years. So yeah, yes,

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Speaker 1: we're not. No, it was two years ago. I was

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Speaker 1: telling you on this very show to d draft the

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Speaker 1: guy named Darren Waller as the sleep summer Sleeper segment.

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Speaker 1: So you've only been wrong for one calendar year on

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Speaker 1: Dan Arnold. Is that what you're saying. I don't know

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Speaker 1: what I was really necessarily wrong on. Yeah, pretty much

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Speaker 1: did find the tape Oakland and not Oakland the Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas Raiders. Brian speaking of Darren Waller, what is up

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Speaker 1: with Darren Waller? He hasn't practiced in like ten days.

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Speaker 1: Kind of scary, but he's been around. I've seen him

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Speaker 1: working on the sidelines and sweatpants. He's not it doesn't

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Speaker 1: have a noticeable limp or anything like that. So we're

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Speaker 1: gonna be optimistic with Darren Waller, but not practicing. Hopefully

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Speaker 1: they're just being extra cautious with him. Obviously the offense

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Speaker 1: revolves around Waller. Last year he led all tight ends

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Speaker 1: and yards after the catch with five. How impressive is that?

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Speaker 1: He's probably, I bet among all tight ends for total yards.

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Speaker 1: He was like guards after It's like fourth or something. Well,

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Speaker 1: Davante Adams led all wide receivers and yards after the

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Speaker 1: catch with five. D eighty four. That's ten less yards

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Speaker 1: and Darren Wallers yards after the catch. Yeah, it's pretty good,

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Speaker 1: so pretty hopefully Waller is okay. He should be uh

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Speaker 1: for the Packers. Aaron Jones is nursing hamstring injury. Don't

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Speaker 1: be surprised if you don't see him at all in

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Speaker 1: the preseason. In the eyes of many, the star of

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Speaker 1: Packers camp is tight end Robert Tounyon. He's looked more explosive,

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Speaker 1: He's getting opened down field more Aaron Rodgers. Obviously he's back.

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Speaker 1: Tonyon is being underdrafted. In my personal opinion, Let's go

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Speaker 1: to the Washington football team. Matt Um, You're not gonna

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Speaker 1: like this one chart, but Stu Beard Ryan Fitzpatrick was

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Speaker 1: asked about, you know, playing quarterback in Washington and he said,

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Speaker 1: I'm playing on borrowed time. And Washington has also been

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Speaker 1: saying that Taylor Heineke is an actual threat to steal

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Speaker 1: this job from Ryan Fitzpatrick. I thought in the preseason

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Speaker 1: game that on on Thursday night that Fitzpatrick looked pretty

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Speaker 1: dawn good. How did he look capable? Not great? Would

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Speaker 1: look capable, And that's better, frankly better quarterbacking than Washington

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Speaker 1: in a while, Brian, let's go to the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 1: Bad news out of Buffalo. Our boy Zack Moss currently

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Speaker 1: dealing with a hamstring strain. UH last season basically marred

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Speaker 1: by an ankle injury. This is not a good start

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Speaker 1: to his what's supposed to be a bounce back campaign

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Speaker 1: for Moss. I'm certainly invested in that, and right now

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Speaker 1: I'm a little worried. Devin Singletary obviously gets a bump

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Speaker 1: of moss Mrs time, and Matt Barrita has looked pretty

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Speaker 1: good in camp for the Bills, so he becomes pretty

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Speaker 1: relevant if Moss. It seems like a sad trombone is

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Speaker 1: worth this for you know, Mitchell true Bisky's in Buffalo too,

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Speaker 1: and Zack Moss is getting hurt. You made that work

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Speaker 1: feeling bad. I don't need an excuse to use the

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Speaker 1: trombone sound. But the Texans they release their depth chart

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Speaker 1: and it looks like they basically just drew names randomly

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Speaker 1: across their entire depth chart because they're trying to be

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Speaker 1: so tricky with how they treat the media. Nobody releasing,

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Speaker 1: Oh well, we don't buy by shuffling our depth chart.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get We're gonna get extra wins this year

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Speaker 1: by faking everybody out with an untrue depth chart. They've

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Speaker 1: got Philip Lindsay and mark Ingram listed as their co

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Speaker 1: starting running backs. Tyrod Taylor was the top quarterback with

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Speaker 1: the Shawn Watson fourth, and Chris Conley is the starting

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Speaker 1: wide receiver. Okay, let's go to the Lions. Matt. There's

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Speaker 1: not a lot to report here, but Dan Campbell drinks

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Speaker 1: a ton of caffeine and he thinks of VENTI is

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Speaker 1: forty ounces, so it is venti venti. That's the That's

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Speaker 1: the update, is that that's a lot of caffe Yeah,

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Speaker 1: he likes caffee. I still refuse to say venti and

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Speaker 1: whatever the other snow sizes. They always give you the

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Speaker 1: stink I, but I don't care. Let's go to the

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Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns. Ryan. There's usually something bad happening in Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: like Baker Mayfield beef in with Colin Coward or someone's

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Speaker 1: getting hurt for the year. But all is well right

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Speaker 1: now in Cleveland, and I hope I'm not drinking them

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Speaker 1: and uh Odell Beckham looking very spry and camping right now,

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Speaker 1: going in the late twenties, at wide receiver. I like

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Speaker 1: that cost for someone with the ceiling that's still very

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Speaker 1: high when healthy. It's not like Odell Beckham's old at

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Speaker 1: this stage. He just hasn't been able to perform for

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Speaker 1: quite a while. Give Kevin Stefanski some credit because when

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Speaker 1: he walked in there, you know, basically one year ago,

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Speaker 1: there were still tons of Cleveland turmoil. Kevin Stefanski has solidified,

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Speaker 1: steadied the entire organization, and Andrew Berry as well, a

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Speaker 1: lot of positive steam coming out of Cleveland. The Colts,

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Speaker 1: obviously at Carson Wentz. Quentin Nelson had the foot surgery

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Speaker 1: we talked about last last show, and everybody knows about that.

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Speaker 1: But new this week ESPN and Chris Mortenson reporting that

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Speaker 1: they're trending too closer to a week one availability. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's still very early in the timetable for these guys.

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Speaker 1: You know, they just got the surgery a week ago.

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Speaker 1: So I don't think anybody really knows, but um, perhaps

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Speaker 1: there's some good news there, and I think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: see Jonathan Taylor's ADP rise back up again. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to the Seattle Seahawks. Matt left tackle Dwayne Brown is

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Speaker 1: still holding in as in, he's attending practices but not

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Speaker 1: doing anything until he gets a new contract. That's how

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Speaker 1: you avoid the fifty a day fine and not showing up.

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Speaker 1: By the way, show up, but I'm not doing anything. Uh.

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Speaker 1: The Seahawks are trying to install a new offense under

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Speaker 1: new coordinator Shane Waldron, so it's worth keeping an eye

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Speaker 1: on Dwyane Brown holding in. Let's go to the Jets.

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Speaker 1: Elijah More, rookie wide receiver. Everyone's very high on high

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Speaker 1: on him. Um has a quad issue, currently getting an

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Speaker 1: m R I. That's not good. Denzel Mims has looked

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Speaker 1: really bad. Apparently he lost twenty pounds due to eating

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Speaker 1: bad salmon. Uh during the off season. So James and

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Speaker 1: crowd are all of a sudden, you should be creeping

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Speaker 1: up how much salmon, I don't know, but just enough.

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Speaker 1: He's a lot of bad salmon. By the way, bad salmon.

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Speaker 1: To me, it's just redundant pretty much. Did he did

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Speaker 1: have one bad experience with salmon and lost from it

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Speaker 1: or just continuously ate the bad salmon for weeks and weeks? Well,

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Speaker 1: Braxton Barrios is already a thing and rulling preseason week two.

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Speaker 1: That's not good. Good news for the Jets. Kansas City's

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Speaker 1: rebuild offensive line took a bit of a blow with

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Speaker 1: Lauren DuVernay tard If breaking his hand he was He's

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Speaker 1: expected to miss at least a few regular season games,

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Speaker 1: and the team's guard behind him, Kyle Long, is on

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Speaker 1: the pup list, so we don't know about his availability.

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Speaker 1: So the offensive line for Kansas City with a little

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Speaker 1: bit of turmoil right now. Let's head to Philadelphia. Mattu

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Speaker 1: DeVonta Smith is dealing with an mcl S brain He's

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Speaker 1: expected to be sidelined for the rest of August. Also,

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Speaker 1: left tackle Andre Dillard suffered a nice brain on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: So just like every year in Philly, the injury bug

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Speaker 1: is back there. I don't know how they keep doing this.

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Speaker 1: Denver Broncos Bryant Denver here in Minnesota right now to

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Speaker 1: play this weekend. UH. Mike Boone former Viking Mike Boone

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Speaker 1: pulled his quad for the Broncos, but he's number three

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Speaker 1: behind UH Melvin Gordon, Javante Adams. Uh. Not a lot

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Speaker 1: of a big effect for Boone being hurt. Courtland Sutton

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Speaker 1: looks great. Jerry Judy is going to be a nice guy.

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Speaker 1: Alongside Sutton. Everyone likes no a fan. It's all about

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Speaker 1: who's who's going to be the quarterback in Denver, and

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Speaker 1: we still do not know. That's probably the most battle

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Speaker 1: rooting for Drew Lock to look better and win that

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Speaker 1: job because he can't produce fantasy points. He seems like

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Speaker 1: he is now the forgotten man. Among the Rams wide

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Speaker 1: outs is DeShawn Jackson. He's impressed thoroughly throughout camp and

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Speaker 1: looks fast, he looks healthy. There's a good chance that

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Speaker 1: he will be the starting receiver opposite Robert Woods on

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Speaker 1: opening day. And basically, going undrafted, you can you can

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Speaker 1: get the You can get a starting wide receiver for

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Speaker 1: the Rams at virtually no cost right now, Deshan Jackson

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Speaker 1: until he gets injured in week one and then you

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Speaker 1: punt him. Then you punt him and you go pick

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Speaker 1: somebody else up. You put Sammy Watkins into Shawn Jackson

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Speaker 1: in your week one and then let's go to the

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Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys. Dak Prescott has an m r I scheduled

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Speaker 1: for Monday. But don't worry about it, says the Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Pr Nothing to see here, h They're saying it doesn't

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Speaker 1: indicate a setback, but things aren't progressing quite as quickly

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Speaker 1: as the Cowboys want it, and it sounds like they

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Speaker 1: may hold him out of the entirety of the preseason.

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Speaker 1: That means you get a lot of Garrett Gilbert and

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Speaker 1: Ben d Nucci this August. Yeah, I I drafted last night,

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Speaker 1: I drafted Ceedee Lamb. And because it's a guillotine format,

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Speaker 1: I'm really worried about these early season games. Sure I

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Speaker 1: get knocked out for the year, and like, oh man,

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Speaker 1: I really hope, I really really hope Dak Prescott's back.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the Miami Dolphins. Brian rookie wide receiver

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Speaker 1: Jalen Waddle has looked phenomenal, especially in joint practices against

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Speaker 1: the Bears, just burning everybody. He's going after Will Fuller

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Speaker 1: right now is wide receiver forty eight Waddle. That is

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Speaker 1: but a little bit before Davante Parker. Waddle is already

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Speaker 1: getting drafted head of Parker, but Waddle looks like he

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Speaker 1: might be the wide receiver you want on this team,

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Speaker 1: especially based on adp right. Will Fuller still not a

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Speaker 1: factor at this stage. Uh. Last week I talked about

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Speaker 1: the Vikings offensive line woes, and I was hoping as

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Speaker 1: a Viking fan that I'd be able to talk about

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Speaker 1: it getting better this week, but no, Dice. Uh. First

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Speaker 1: round draft pick Christian Darrisaw underwent a second core surgery

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Speaker 1: and he's unlikely to return to practice until close to September.

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Speaker 1: So far, he has yet to have a full practice

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Speaker 1: with the team this year. O t a s mini camp.

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Speaker 1: Now training camp sounds crazing games. Yeah so again, take

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Speaker 1: a little caution in this Vikings offensive line. Matt, Let's

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Speaker 1: go to the Giants. Se Kwan Barkley activated from the

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Speaker 1: pup and he started practicing on Monday. But Kenny Golladay

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Speaker 1: went the opposite way. He's dealing with a hamstring injury

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Speaker 1: and it looks like he won't see any action until

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Speaker 1: the end of the preseason. Brian, The Patriots played Thursday

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Speaker 1: night in a game that had a number of positive storylines.

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Speaker 1: Yeah so. Back on August four, when asked what rookie

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Speaker 1: running back Ramandre Stevenson needed to improve upon, Patriots running

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Speaker 1: back coach Ivan Feeders said everything, and then Ramandre Stevenson

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Speaker 1: reels off a sixty plus yard touchdown on touchdown um at.

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Speaker 1: Stevenson also totaled nine hundred yards across his last six

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Speaker 1: college games. And by the way, Patriots running backs coach

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Speaker 1: Ivan Feeders played wide receiver in college and he's been

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Speaker 1: the running back coach since two thousand and one. It's

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Speaker 1: a long time something about Tom Brady like he's kept

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Speaker 1: his like the running backs with the Patriots, that they

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Speaker 1: ever developed the running back there ever, No, so I

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Speaker 1: don't They don't know what they're talking about there. There's

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Speaker 1: a big dip on Remondress of experience stuff I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Let's also remember Damian Harris got all the first team

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Speaker 1: looks and I thought he looked pretty good. Um, they

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Speaker 1: pulled him out on third downs. They put in you know,

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Speaker 1: James James White and others. Um, but Damian Harris got

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Speaker 1: all the first team looks. And let's not forget about

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Speaker 1: that part. But Remander Stevenson looked good and either like

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Speaker 1: late second quarter or maybe it was early third quarter.

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Speaker 1: Goal line work for Remandre Stevenson as well, and he

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Speaker 1: has built for it. Baby, do not let him and

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Speaker 1: your standard redraft leagues. He should not go one drafted

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Speaker 1: this year. Didn't mention mac Jones. I thought mac Jones

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Speaker 1: looked pretty good and back up and it was Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I was back up for the Saints. Marquez Callaway is

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Speaker 1: your team's number one wide out. Michael Thomas is out

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Speaker 1: with an ankle injury, tray Kwon Smith has an undisclosed injury,

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Speaker 1: and Deonta Harris is facing possible suspension for his July

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Speaker 1: d U I. Uh, Callaway going off the board in

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Speaker 1: the nine round. You could have a team's number one

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Speaker 1: wide receiver in the nineteenth round. Sounds like Alvin kamaras

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Speaker 1: the top wide receiver there. Atlanta Falcons Matt. Uh, they're

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Speaker 1: not feeling all that great about their running backs, so

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Speaker 1: they just signed Uh Deonta Foreman. Yeah, he's back again. Uh,

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Speaker 1: that depth chart is very strange and Foreman might actually

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Speaker 1: have a shot to get some snaps this year. Uh,

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Speaker 1: let's go to the Titans. Derrick Henry is getting very

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Speaker 1: limited reps in practice and basically throughout throughout camp, but

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Speaker 1: they're just being uber cautious with him. He doesn't really

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Speaker 1: need practice on in running people over like he's done

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Speaker 1: year in year out. But get to know Darrienton Evans

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Speaker 1: even must handcuff if you have Henry on roster, but

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Speaker 1: a guy I'm targeting even if I don't have Henry

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Speaker 1: on roster, because if something happens to Henry, that's a

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Speaker 1: lotto ticket right there. That's gonna vault your team near

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Speaker 1: the top. We've seen two preseason games from the Steelers already.

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Speaker 1: Many teams have played zero. Um, you know, so uh,

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Speaker 1: this is uh, this is a note. Uh. Najie Harris

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Speaker 1: has looked pretty good so far. The box scores don't

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Speaker 1: necessarily showed. He had two longer runs. He got called

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Speaker 1: back on penalty on Thursday night. Um, But to this point,

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Speaker 1: Najie Harris has looked requisite of the first round running

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Speaker 1: back that they expect him to be, and so far

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Speaker 1: green lights. Let's go to the Cardinals. Speaking of running backs,

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals don't have a first round running back that

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Speaker 1: they're talking about because they keep saying Chase Edmonds and

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Speaker 1: James Conner are splitting the backfield. Everything that's coming out

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Speaker 1: of camp, quotes from the coaches, quotes from the players,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be a completely split backfield all year.

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Speaker 1: James Connor is not good unless James Connor gets hurt,

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Speaker 1: which he usually does. Her right now, Yeah, so you

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Speaker 1: know if that he doesn't bounce back, let's go to

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Speaker 1: the Bengals, uh fifth overall pick in the first wide

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Speaker 1: receiver taken on Jamark. Chase have separation issues apparently can't

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Speaker 1: his mom. But this has been an issue in college,

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Speaker 1: I suppose. But he was the number one drafted wide

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Speaker 1: receiver and he's the first wide receiver getting taken and

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Speaker 1: Redraft Best Ball Leagues over Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd.

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Speaker 1: I got that completely the other way I got I

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Speaker 1: got Chase last, especially based on how expensive he is

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Speaker 1: compared to the other two. So but Chase not great

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Speaker 1: reports coming out of camp so far for him, which

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Speaker 1: you don't want to hear. One of the forty Niners

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Speaker 1: Beat reporters has logged every single training camp pass for

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Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo and Trey Lance, and through midweek, Garoppolo had

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Speaker 1: a sixty two percent completion rate, which is okay, alright,

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Speaker 1: six touchdowns, six interceptions. That's not god ideal. Trey Lance

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Speaker 1: seventy percent completion rate seems better. Ten touchdown passes, two

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Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Just saying just saying, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's coming, all right, let's go to Chicago Bears. I

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Speaker 1: want to talk about a rookie quarterback to um Justin

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Speaker 1: Fields has been absolutely tearing it up in camp. The

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Speaker 1: Bears had some joint practices with the Dolphins this week.

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Speaker 1: In a six snap span, which is a tongue twister,

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Speaker 1: Fields through for three touchdown passes against the Dolphins defense

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Speaker 1: and ran for one in six snaps. It's impressive. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's a nice efficiency. It's a good efficiency. He will

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Speaker 1: get a long look, they said, more than two quarters

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Speaker 1: on Saturday night versus Miami. Brian the Jaguars DJ Shark

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Speaker 1: had surgery recently on a broken finger, but he should

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Speaker 1: be ready for Week one. But something to keep your

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Speaker 1: eye on as you might want to be drafting Lavisha

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Speaker 1: Chanlt and Marvin Jones a little sooner than you were

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Speaker 1: before this news broke recently. My final team is the

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Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens. Ri Shod Bateman underwent groin surgery. His preseason

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Speaker 1: is over. Expected timetable is September, and it's unclear if

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Speaker 1: you will walk into a starting job when he comes back,

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Speaker 1: considering you have missed almost all of training camp. Will

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Speaker 1: Marky's Brown and Miles boy Can both have hamstring injuries,

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Speaker 1: so it's all but certain that Sammy Watkins will be

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Speaker 1: the starting in the starting lineup. Hopefully by then it

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Speaker 1: will be Markus Brown and Sammy Watkins is your number

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Speaker 1: one and number two receivers there um. Also, I will

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Speaker 1: note because Gus Edwards was my sleeper player last week

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Speaker 1: when they team released their unofficial first depth chart co

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Speaker 1: number one running backs were Gus Edwards and j K

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Speaker 1: doct I want to talk a little bit more about

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Speaker 1: j K Dobbins maybe next segment. Okay, good, let's go

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Speaker 1: to the our Our final team is the Los Angeles Chargers.

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Speaker 1: Mike Williams has a hip flex er. Uh so missing

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Speaker 1: some practice and here we go again. People are so

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Speaker 1: are so excited for Mike Williams this year. Tyron Johns

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Speaker 1: are they remember that name? At wide receiver for the

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Speaker 1: Chargers in dime is the especially but he could become

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Speaker 1: viable in redraft this year. He has some one of

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Speaker 1: my favorite like wait last him Byron Pringle. I got

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Speaker 1: a couple others that are my deep deep receiver depth

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Speaker 1: chart plays, sleeper plays. All right, when we come back

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Speaker 1: the Peacock Off, it's two bold predictions from each of

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Speaker 1: our hosts and we'll find out who gets to Peacock

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Speaker 1: after the season was over, The Pea cock Off. When

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Speaker 1: we return to Fantasy Football Weekly, Welcome back Kasy Football

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Speaker 1: Weekly Culture m Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson with you

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Speaker 1: do you haven't checked out the freshest new way to

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Speaker 1: play fantasy football. It's called the Guillotine League. You can

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Speaker 1: get more information at Guillotine leagues dot com on this

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Speaker 1: new exciting format. This segment is called the Pea cock Off.

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Speaker 1: Two bold predictions from each host as they attempt to

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Speaker 1: be right with ideas that are so crazy they might

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Speaker 1: just come true. We begin with Brian Johnson, what is

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Speaker 1: your first pea cock Off? I am gonna be pea

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Speaker 1: cocking off when Kyle Pitts scores more touchdowns than teammate

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Speaker 1: Calvin Ridley this season. Now, I won't say how many

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Speaker 1: touchdowns that is, but we're banking on a fair amount

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Speaker 1: of touchdowns for Calvin Ridley and I think Kyle pits

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Speaker 1: will have more. Ridley had nine in box. Ridley had

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Speaker 1: nine touchdowns last year, very good total, seven from inside

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Speaker 1: the twenty five of those seven were from inside the

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Speaker 1: yard line on eleven targets. Calvin Ridley had five touchdowns

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Speaker 1: inside the ten. Yeah, pretty good numbers, especially for receiver.

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Speaker 1: Now we gotta throw Julio under the bus. Julio Jones

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Speaker 1: really quick, not in town anymore. Of course, one target

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Speaker 1: from inside the ten yard line last year mind bending,

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Speaker 1: So that usage so dumb. So outside of Ridley and Julio, though,

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Speaker 1: Hayden Hurst, Russell Gauge, Brandon Powell and la Kwan Treadwell

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Speaker 1: combined to score eleven touchdowns from inside the ten yard line.

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Speaker 1: Who on twenty two targets? Those are great numbers. And

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Speaker 1: you think that slot fest of receivers is going to

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Speaker 1: combine for those looks now that Kyle Pitts is in town,

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Speaker 1: absolutely not. Well they did last year, well, Kyle Pitts

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Speaker 1: was not in town. Now Kyle Pitts is in town.

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Speaker 1: Who is six six to forty and absolute a plus

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Speaker 1: of a unicorn, who is not going to play standard

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Speaker 1: tight end. By the way, that's what Hayden Hurts is

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Speaker 1: gonna do. Pitts doesn't have to do all the things

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Speaker 1: Hayden Hurts is gonna do. Pitts is gonna be catching

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Speaker 1: passes all over the place and scoring more touchdowns than

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Speaker 1: Calvin Ridley this year. Matt, what is your first of

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Speaker 1: two pee cock offs. I'm gonna go with j. K. Dobbins,

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Speaker 1: finishing as a top three running back Top three, top three.

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Speaker 1: He was only on the field for forty five percent

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Speaker 1: of the Ravens offensive plays last season, yet he was

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Speaker 1: fourth in the NFL in rushing plays of over twenty yards,

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Speaker 1: with eight eight of those long runs on only one

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Speaker 1: hundred and thirty four rushing attempts. So six percent of

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Speaker 1: his rushing attempts went for twenty or more yards and

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Speaker 1: twenty of his rushing attempts went for ten yards or more.

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Speaker 1: That's one in every six point five rushing attempts went

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Speaker 1: for ten or more yards. Now, Derrick Henry lad the

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Speaker 1: league with forty eight runs of ten or more yards

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Speaker 1: on two carries. His uh, his percentage was not as

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Speaker 1: good as J. K. Dobbins. In the Ravens last nine games,

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Speaker 1: including playoffs, Dobbins had nine touchdowns. Boy, that's nine times,

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Speaker 1: and the average six point four yards per carry, plus

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Speaker 1: mark Ingram's gone vacating seventy two carries. I'd venture to

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Speaker 1: guess that most of those go the way of Dobbins,

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Speaker 1: getting him to the two hundred carry mark. And I

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Speaker 1: think that that's a conservative mark. Extrapolate his numbers from

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Speaker 1: last year, running just two hundred times, that's twelve yards

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Speaker 1: and fourteen touchdowns. That yardage total would have been third

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Speaker 1: amongst running backs, and that touchdown total would have been

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Speaker 1: fourth amongst running backs. Plus Ravens running back coach Craig Verse.

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Speaker 1: Stig said that he's caught absolutely every ball in practice

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Speaker 1: so far in camp, and the Ravens keep spouting off

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Speaker 1: about how they want Lamar to run less and throw more.

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Speaker 1: Two means that to me, that means Lamar and his

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Speaker 1: low eight point six a dot we'll be giving JK

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Speaker 1: even more touches. So I'm gonna forecast two or thirty

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Speaker 1: rushing attempts and fifty catches. If he does that, he

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Speaker 1: easily slides in as the top three running back. You

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Speaker 1: and I are set up for a and I like

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Speaker 1: j K Dobbins just fine. Jo and I are set

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Speaker 1: up for a season long battle because I'm heavily and

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Speaker 1: diametricallysed Gus Edwards and You're heavily in favor. And I'll

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Speaker 1: be making later guys. I love Justice Hill. This Ryan

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Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick will finish as a QB one. I mean he'll

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Speaker 1: be one of the top twelve quarterbacks. His a DP

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00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:38,720
Speaker 1: is currently double that at quarterback twenty two, round fourteen.

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Speaker 1: Here's my case. Unlike any recent Washington quarterback, Fitzgerald Fitzpatrick

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Speaker 1: can press the ball upfield. He finished eleventh in completed

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Speaker 1: air yards last year and eighth in yards per attempt

423
00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 1: despite having the second shortest time to throw at just

424
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 1: two point four seconds. Last season playing behind that wolful

425
00:24:56,359 --> 00:25:00,159
Speaker 1: Miami offensive line, he ranked number one in aggressive US

426
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 1: which I loved, which is next gen stats is passer rating. Yeah,

427
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 1: willingness to throw into tight coverages. It is an aggressive beard,

428
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 1: isn't it. Fitzpatrick led the league in on target percentage

429
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 1: on passes of greater than twenty yards down field. I

430
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 1: love his ability to press down field, and, by the way,

431
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,400
Speaker 1: not as wildly erratic as as many fantasy owners think.

432
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 1: In his seven starts last year, he had six quality

433
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:31,920
Speaker 1: fantasy starts his UH and his eighty six completion rate

434
00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 1: is one percent less than Aaron Rodgers M v P season.

435
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 1: He's not as wildly erratic as some people tend to think.

436
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick is. As a reminder, last year, playing for a

437
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:47,160
Speaker 1: I think will ultimately be a much worse Miami offense.

438
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick was on track for fort hundred yards, twenty eight touchdowns,

439
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 1: three thirty rushing yards, and five rushing touchdowns, which would

440
00:25:56,960 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 1: have made him justin Herbert last year. Herbert's ADP is

441
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:04,240
Speaker 1: quarterback six. You can get Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback twenty

442
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:06,919
Speaker 1: two and he will finish as a QB one. You

443
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 1: mean he would have been justin her beard. He's justin

444
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 1: a hair beard, like an air beard beard. That kind

445
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 1: of works. To be honest, Brian, what is your second

446
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:28,159
Speaker 1: peacock off? I have Austin Ekeler finishing as the the

447
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:33,160
Speaker 1: RB one in PPR, not a RB one, the overall

448
00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:36,000
Speaker 1: number one running back in points per reception leagues this year.

449
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,120
Speaker 1: I guess, Matt, you made a similar call last year.

450
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 1: I tried this one last year and it was it was,

451
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 1: it was top overall. Yeah, okay, Well, for all the

452
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 1: reasons you said, we're just copying my work from last year. Yeah.

453
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:51,880
Speaker 1: Everything that made him uh two thousand plus combo yards

454
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 1: all day long in the bag when he shows healthy

455
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 1: averages is more than four and a half yards per

456
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,440
Speaker 1: carry a lock for at least five catches per game

457
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 1: get nine catches, and things didn't work out for him

458
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 1: last year. He wasn't healthy and other things that weren't

459
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,639
Speaker 1: going for him last year. He wasn't going into justin

460
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:12,200
Speaker 1: air Bears first full year, which we are this year

461
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:17,160
Speaker 1: first full season. Anthony Lynn, arguably one of the worst

462
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:20,880
Speaker 1: coaches we've seen over the last decade, finally gone new

463
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:23,720
Speaker 1: head coach do oc for the Chargers. It was very

464
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 1: well for Austin Nikela and lastly, and but definitely not least,

465
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 1: he totally revamped offensive line, starting with left tackle Rashawn Slater,

466
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:35,160
Speaker 1: who was taken overall by the Chargers. When this guy

467
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,240
Speaker 1: gets going and run blocking in the second level looks

468
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 1: like the Juggernaut from X Men. Uh. They do get

469
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 1: Brian Bulaga back. He was limited by injury last year,

470
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 1: but he looks good. The Chargers signed another former Packer

471
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 1: and Corey Lindsley, who was Pro Football Focuses top graded

472
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:54,680
Speaker 1: free agent center this past offseason. Surrendered only seven pressures

473
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 1: ont pass blocking snaps, so great for the whole offense.

474
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 1: Huge upgraded center and both starting guards Matt Feiler and

475
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 1: O Day. I'm gonna go with a bouche also free agents.

476
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 1: So I will admit the line needs a little time

477
00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:11,960
Speaker 1: to mesh probably, but it's a lot of moving parts.

478
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,840
Speaker 1: It was so much more, so much better, so much

479
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 1: more talented. Love the Charges as an overall team. And

480
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 1: if Austin Ekeler can stay healthy, we had that concern

481
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 1: with every player in the NFL. He could very well

482
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 1: finish the season as RB one, and I'm going with

483
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 1: the fact you will stay healthy and finish as RB

484
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:31,240
Speaker 1: one in PPR. Yeah, I was so on board Austin

485
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:32,920
Speaker 1: Ekeler last year and I am this year as well.

486
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 1: He's he's might number nine ranked running back, but I

487
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 1: still think he does have running back one upside. He

488
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 1: just has to get more carries, and that's something he's

489
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 1: never had in his career is a lot of carries,

490
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 1: and I think that's why he wouldn't be That was

491
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 1: the plan for him last year though, when he got hurt.

492
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:47,920
Speaker 1: And I don't know, like we're gonna see a lot

493
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 1: of running backs get limited by their their touches, including

494
00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry, I think. But could be Matt your second

495
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:58,560
Speaker 1: pea cock off. You know what I like about Fantasy

496
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Sometimes we do each other's work like Brian, Like,

497
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 1: Brian just told me all of the great things about

498
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,959
Speaker 1: the Chargers old line. And that's why I have just

499
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 1: an air Bear that's right finishing as quarterback number two,

500
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:23,160
Speaker 1: number two. He's gonna throw ten touchdowns. I think so.

501
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 1: Um Brian talked about the offensive line. That's fantastic. Joe

502
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 1: Lombardi is the new offensive coordinator. He had one season

503
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 1: as offensive coordinator. I mentioned this last week. His team

504
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:38,479
Speaker 1: passed sixty six percent of the time. With Austin Ekeler

505
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 1: as your lead running back, you're probably going to pass

506
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the time. You're gonna keep that

507
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 1: ball in the air. The Chargers led the NFL in

508
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 1: total plays run last year at seventy per game. And

509
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 1: if those trends hold true, air Bear will throw forty

510
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 1: six passes a game. If he does that at seven

511
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 1: point three yards per attempt, he's going to throw for

512
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: three thirty six yards per game. If he throws touch

513
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 1: a lot, that's a lot. That's a lot. Only two

514
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 1: quarterbacks have ever averaged that many yards per game two

515
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 1: thousand thirteen Peyton Manning in two thousand eleven Drew Brees.

516
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 1: If he throws a touchdown at equal percentage from last season.

517
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,280
Speaker 1: He's going to average two and a half touchdowns per game,

518
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 1: and a few quarterbacks have averaged over that per per

519
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 1: two and a half touchdowns per game, but it's usually

520
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 1: like one quarterback every other year. The only reason I

521
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 1: don't have him finishing as quarterback number one is because

522
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 1: Paul Charchion is about to tell you who's going to

523
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 1: finish at quarterback number one, Patrick Mahomes in our final,

524
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 1: our sixth and final peacock Off. Patrick Mahomes will set

525
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 1: the single season passing yardage and touchdown record this year.

526
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 1: Is because it's the first season with seventeen games. He

527
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 1: does get a six games, and I am factoring that

528
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 1: in do you think he gets us expert in sixteen

529
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 1: games though? Because he won't play, so you're you're probably

530
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 1: right about that, because I think they're sitting on like

531
00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 1: win season, so there is a chance I'll have to

532
00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 1: do it in sixteen games, and he may. He's already

533
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 1: he's already had a top ten yardage season once already,

534
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 1: and he's already got the number two passing touchdown mark

535
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:22,760
Speaker 1: of all time when he had a fifty touchdown season.

536
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 1: I believe that was eighteen, so you know he's already

537
00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 1: performed at a level similar to that. UM. I also

538
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 1: like the fact that Patrick Mahomes has got uh still

539
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 1: has Tyree Hill, He's got the rebuilt offensive line that needless,

540
00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 1: I don't have to even go into a lengthy discussion

541
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 1: at this point on on how good Patrick Mahomes is.

542
00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:47,719
Speaker 1: Safe to say that Patrick Mahomes is very good and

543
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 1: has a lot of upside that could all come together

544
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 1: in a season with we're in which he gets very

545
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 1: good protection. Clyde Edwards Laire could be sitting on some

546
00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 1: extra receptions and we'll talk about that a little bit

547
00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 1: later in this show when we come back. The Traits

548
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 1: of a Sleeper running Back Matt Harrison is unearthed, a

549
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:13,840
Speaker 1: mechanism by which you can identify sleeper running backs. Who

550
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 1: are the players you can take in the mid rounds

551
00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:19,880
Speaker 1: that will perform like fantasy starters. We'll tell you when

552
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 1: we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy

553
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:58,000
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Paul Chargie, Matt Harrison, and Brian Johnson with you.

554
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 1: You can get all my player rankings available for Guillotine

555
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 1: Leagues dot Com. Matt Yeah challenge you to come up

556
00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 1: with the common traits among sleeper running backs. In any

557
00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 1: given year, half of the RB ones the top twelve

558
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,680
Speaker 1: running backs will come from the middle rounds or later

559
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 1: of fantasy drafts. Uh. The washout rates very high on

560
00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 1: the end running backs due to injuries and a lot

561
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,959
Speaker 1: of other things. Um, And, so what are the common

562
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 1: traits that you can look for in the middle rounds

563
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,120
Speaker 1: to help find running backs that can vault up to

564
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 1: every week starter status. Yeah, so I set this up

565
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,760
Speaker 1: where I want a running back who I can take

566
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:44,000
Speaker 1: in round six or later that gives me round two upside.

567
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 1: That's that's significant jump right there. Um. A DP has

568
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 1: about fourteen or fifteen running backs going in the first

569
00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 1: two rounds, so they need to finish in the top

570
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 1: fifteen basically. UM. I've compiled data from the last six

571
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 1: seasons back to looked at the original a DP and

572
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 1: final stats the running backs, and I found nineteen instances

573
00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 1: where running back in the last six years that qualified

574
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,960
Speaker 1: as drafted outside of round six and finished in the

575
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: top fifteen. So let's unearth some of the trends that

576
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 1: these nineteen players have in common. Um. And each of

577
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 1: these trends that I've outlined here we've seen them happen

578
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 1: at least five times on these three trends. Okay, so

579
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 1: it's happened at least five years. You've got a pool

580
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,720
Speaker 1: of nineteen running backs made the big jump from round

581
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:27,359
Speaker 1: six or lower all the way up to round two.

582
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 1: Corral you, and five of them have cover. Each of

583
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 1: these got trend number one a high passing percentage team

584
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:44,520
Speaker 1: with a well below average passing game. Okay, so that

585
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 1: means a lot roll a lot, and they got junkie

586
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:52,399
Speaker 1: quarterbacks and wide receivers. Um, We've i found five guys

587
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:55,280
Speaker 1: who fit this mold. A team with a high passing

588
00:34:55,280 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 1: percentage seems counterintuitive here, as that conversely means less rushing attempts. Right. However,

589
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 1: these teams usually have a few similarities. Three of the

590
00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:05,720
Speaker 1: five running backs were playing under coaches in their first

591
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,360
Speaker 1: year with the team, so they came into a situation

592
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:12,320
Speaker 1: where the offense is probably bad. Uh, They're not playoff teams,

593
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:14,239
Speaker 1: with the exception of one of those teams was the

594
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:17,480
Speaker 1: seven and nine Washington football team last year that won

595
00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:20,880
Speaker 1: the NFC East, so still a below average team that

596
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:24,320
Speaker 1: won a division. Three of those five teams had bottom

597
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 1: five defenses in points allowed and bad quarterbacks playing catchup

598
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,879
Speaker 1: usually equals low depth of target because the defenses are

599
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 1: playing more prevent In fact, of the A dots of

600
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:43,240
Speaker 1: these quarterbacks were under eight yards. So teams that probably

601
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,760
Speaker 1: fit the mold of a bad defense, a below average

602
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: passing unit, and a quarterback with a low depth of target. Well,

603
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 1: we're going to start with Detroit and Jared Goff, who

604
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:56,279
Speaker 1: have been picking on for two or three years. His

605
00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,839
Speaker 1: six point one average depth of target. That's not good.

606
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell, rookie head coach, that that fills in right there.

607
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:06,879
Speaker 1: Now you think, well, DeAndre Swift, I can't get him

608
00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,960
Speaker 1: that late. But Jamal Williams is going off in the

609
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 1: tenth round, and the Lions are still saying it's a

610
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 1: two man split backfield. They keep saying it over and

611
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 1: over and over again. So Jamal Williams in the tenth round,

612
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:23,120
Speaker 1: he's juicy the Jets. The defense is still always away.

613
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,399
Speaker 1: Rookie quarterback Zack Wilson, who had a ten point nine

614
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 1: a dot in college that goes down in your first

615
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,040
Speaker 1: lay in the NFL. And Robert sala a rookie head

616
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:35,960
Speaker 1: coach Michael Carter going off in the eighth round, and

617
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 1: I think Michael Carter, out of these guys, has the

618
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 1: best chance of making. Only Tevin Coleman and la Michael

619
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,279
Speaker 1: p Ryan are challenging for touches. So Carter I like

620
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:50,400
Speaker 1: a lot uh Jacksonville bad defense, rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence

621
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 1: only on nine point zero a dot in college, and

622
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 1: Urban Meyer as a rookie coach, Travis E. T n

623
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:01,080
Speaker 1: or eight gen He's going around five. But James Robinson

624
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:05,399
Speaker 1: is still there in round nine right now, Travis, I'm

625
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 1: pretty down in Robinson, but that's good value. It's good

626
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:09,960
Speaker 1: value on both of these guys, and I wouldn't mind

627
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,799
Speaker 1: having either of these guys on my team, even though

628
00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 1: I'm cheating a little bit with eton trend Number two,

629
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:20,520
Speaker 1: A playoff team with a good defense and a pass

630
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 1: catching running back emerges out of nowhere, all right, So

631
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,799
Speaker 1: I gotta be a playoff bound team up that has

632
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 1: a very good, very good defense, got it, and a

633
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 1: pass catching running back. Okay, and we found five players

634
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 1: that fit this mold. Each of the team's made the playoffs.

635
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:41,239
Speaker 1: Um two of them were headed up by rookies that

636
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 1: were seemingly blocked by a good established player. Those were

637
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:47,120
Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara who was blocked by Mark Ingram and David

638
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 1: Johnson back in the day, who was blocked by Chris

639
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:53,600
Speaker 1: tap dancing Nancy Johnson. I just wanted to bring him.

640
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 1: Thank you for you to tap dancing, Nancy. It's been

641
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:58,839
Speaker 1: a while. Um, three of those players had By the way,

642
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: how come we didn't have a tap dancing sounder at

643
00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 1: any point? You know, we could have had the click

644
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:07,840
Speaker 1: click at easy Yeah, right, yeah, right there we go. Um,

645
00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:11,960
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay super Bowl Champs. Fantastic defense. If we're going

646
00:38:12,000 --> 00:38:14,400
Speaker 1: to have a pass catcher emergent of nowhere, though, it

647
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: can't be four Net or Roe Joe, who are near

648
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:20,879
Speaker 1: misss by being selected earlier than our criteria. It would

649
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 1: have to be the one player off the board, and

650
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:28,600
Speaker 1: that's Geo Bernard who they're giving rave reviews to encamp.

651
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:32,640
Speaker 1: Tom Brady recruited him specifically kind of like Geo Bernard

652
00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:35,320
Speaker 1: is a late round sleeper. Yeah, there's some temptation to

653
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 1: equate him to Lashawn McCoy, who was a pass catching

654
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:40,839
Speaker 1: running back who was on roster last year and they

655
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,319
Speaker 1: just didn't use him. But Bernard's what only like five

656
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,880
Speaker 1: years into his career, not fifteen years into his career

657
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 1: like McCoy was exactly. Um, the l A Rams should

658
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:53,399
Speaker 1: contend in the NFC with a great defense, and now

659
00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:56,600
Speaker 1: we're all looking at cam Akers being out, which is

660
00:38:56,800 --> 00:39:00,360
Speaker 1: actually a plus for sleeper running backs. Right. Darryl Henderson's

661
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:02,839
Speaker 1: ability to stay healthy and on the field is very

662
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 1: much being called into question by his head coach. So

663
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:09,839
Speaker 1: Xavier Jones is you're out of nowhere guy. He's a

664
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 1: clear passing option from what they say in camp notes,

665
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 1: he's catching everything. So Xavier Jones is a guy you

666
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:19,360
Speaker 1: can get real late last round year draft. Nobody's drafting

667
00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:22,719
Speaker 1: him right now. Pick him up. Uh and then Washington

668
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 1: somehow upgraded their defense, which was already very good from

669
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,880
Speaker 1: last year and should be among the elite units in

670
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 1: the league. I think they should be favored to win

671
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 1: the NFC East as well. J D. Mckissic is the

672
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,840
Speaker 1: guy that you want, and it's not mc suckett anymore.

673
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:41,200
Speaker 1: He's going off in the eleventh round. Plus he already

674
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:43,880
Speaker 1: proved that he can do this role with eight catches

675
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 1: last year. It's not out of nowhere. But he's being

676
00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 1: drafted in the eleventh round. And he finished his RB

677
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,880
Speaker 1: seventeen last year, so it's kind of like, hey, just

678
00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 1: a reminder, by the way, he's good. He's put on

679
00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:58,319
Speaker 1: like ten or fifteen pounds too, So if something were

680
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:01,960
Speaker 1: to happen to Gibson, he could assume that three. Yeah,

681
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:05,160
Speaker 1: absolutely's not gonna steal it from Gibson. But and trend

682
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 1: number three, it's it's not that uh, it's not that interesting.

683
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,760
Speaker 1: It's an injury or a departure plus a coaching staff

684
00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 1: with a Bell cow philosophy. It's basically the best handcuffs

685
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,320
Speaker 1: you can get in weird situations. And here are the

686
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:21,480
Speaker 1: guys who might be in line for a full bell

687
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:23,800
Speaker 1: Cow roll if the guy in front of them on

688
00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: the depth chart doesn't make it to a game, whether

689
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:32,920
Speaker 1: it's injury, illness, whatever. Tony Pollard, Ezekiel Elliott has averaged

690
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:35,759
Speaker 1: three touches over the last five seasons. That's a lot

691
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 1: Cuba Hubbard. This coaching staff let Mike Davis have two

692
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:45,000
Speaker 1: four touches last year with CMC out. If he goes

693
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 1: down again, it's Cuba Hubbard's time. Uh. Brian mentioned Darrenton Evans,

694
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:56,399
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry had three touches and four hundred last year.

695
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:01,799
Speaker 1: DJ Dallas. Chris Carson was injured last year but still

696
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 1: had over two sixty five touches in each of the

697
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:08,480
Speaker 1: prior to seasons, and Seattle has been one that they

698
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:12,000
Speaker 1: use one running back at a time. And finally, Alexander Madison.

699
00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:14,359
Speaker 1: Dalvin has had over three d touches in two straight

700
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 1: years and has missed at least two games and all

701
00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:20,359
Speaker 1: four of his pro seasons. Alexander Madison would be in

702
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,799
Speaker 1: line for a ton of work if Dalvin goes down

703
00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:25,400
Speaker 1: with a big injury. Yeah. That's the you know, the

704
00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 1: bell cow philosophy very very important, and you know, I'm

705
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:31,719
Speaker 1: tempted to lump in a little cream hunting do that.

706
00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:37,839
Speaker 1: But the problems we saw last year, Yeah, yeah, so

707
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 1: that was a run first mentality offense, very much so

708
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:45,439
Speaker 1: with Kevin Stefanski, who suckled at the teet of Mike

709
00:41:45,560 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 1: Zimmer and loves to do. Yeah, well, because apparently it worked.

710
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:53,360
Speaker 1: Look at look at where Kevin Stefanski got the browns.

711
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:55,560
Speaker 1: I mean, you do suckle at the teeth of a

712
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:58,040
Speaker 1: bell cow, right, Yeah, Well that's a great point. That's

713
00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,759
Speaker 1: a great perfect move. Yeah. I like that way to

714
00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 1: hold on I think we have a cow on here,

715
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:05,239
Speaker 1: don't we all of our we got the cow. There's

716
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 1: got the cow bell, so you know that works. We

717
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 1: don't have actual moving at any point. Well, someone mailed

718
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:14,880
Speaker 1: you an actual cow bell. I recall, Yes, we have

719
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:18,319
Speaker 1: a listener who sent me a literally functioning cow bell.

720
00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 1: It's in my house. It's super cool. You engraved it

721
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:24,440
Speaker 1: with fantasy in my bedroom and everything. It's on my

722
00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:28,360
Speaker 1: cow that right, Thank you for the traits of a

723
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 1: of a sleeper running back, Matt, let me mention this

724
00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:32,640
Speaker 1: for those of you that are in dynasty leagues, are

725
00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:36,200
Speaker 1: interested in dynasty leagues. The Empire League is a fantastic

726
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:39,400
Speaker 1: variation on dynasty leagues. And while we've just got a

727
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:41,800
Speaker 1: moment here between now and the end of this segment,

728
00:42:42,200 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 1: let me just explain how that works. An Empire league,

729
00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:46,680
Speaker 1: it's a dynasty league where you keep all of your

730
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:50,759
Speaker 1: players year to year, but unlike most it's got a

731
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:53,719
Speaker 1: true wind condition on the end of it. The dynasty

732
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,879
Speaker 1: league puts in for every dollar it goes into the pot,

733
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:59,120
Speaker 1: only half of it goes out at the end of

734
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:02,279
Speaker 1: each year. So if your league put puts in a

735
00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:05,799
Speaker 1: hypothetical thousand dollars your winners. That you get five and

736
00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 1: the other five hundred rolls forward year to year, waiting

737
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:14,359
Speaker 1: for a team to win back to back championships. When

738
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:17,920
Speaker 1: that happens, the winner gets that year's pay out. They

739
00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 1: get the rolling pot and here's the best part. The

740
00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:24,320
Speaker 1: league ends. That's over. One of the things that bugs

741
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 1: me about fantasy football is there is no true champion.

742
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: You only have the latest winner. The Empire League gives

743
00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:37,800
Speaker 1: you a true champion. This is the guy who won

744
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:41,319
Speaker 1: the whole thing, and we disbanded the league and we're in.

745
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:45,360
Speaker 1: You are the champion. Brian Johnson is our current champion,

746
00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:48,520
Speaker 1: and if he wins, he's heading out with a cool

747
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 1: nine grand that's been rolling up over this, I can

748
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:56,880
Speaker 1: retire from the show. Finally. That that fun, and so

749
00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:59,719
Speaker 1: it will be fun when Brian retires. For Brian, it

750
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:03,680
Speaker 1: really has a very special experience knowing what you've got

751
00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:06,040
Speaker 1: on the line this year and for the other eleven

752
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: of us. We're gunning for Brian. You know, we want

753
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:10,319
Speaker 1: him to lose and we're gonna try to try to

754
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:14,680
Speaker 1: make him lose. It's uh. It's bringing on the Empire

755
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:17,359
Speaker 1: League a new variation that you can try in your

756
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:20,640
Speaker 1: dynasty league. When we come back three tough questions, I'll

757
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: pepper my co host, with three tough questions. You can

758
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 1: play along see if you can go three and oh.

759
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:48,840
Speaker 1: On Fantasy Football Weekly, our number two of Fantasy Football Weekly,

760
00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison Brian Johnson with you. Fantasy draft season rapidly approaching.

761
00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:58,720
Speaker 1: We're here to get you ready. This is a segment

762
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:03,839
Speaker 1: we call three toughes utions. Why because we asked three

763
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,799
Speaker 1: tough questions and you guys try to answer correctly. I've

764
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:09,880
Speaker 1: got all the correct answers. You will try to match

765
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 1: my answers. Feel free to play a long tough question

766
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 1: Number one? What is the one tight end handcuff worth drafting? Matt?

767
00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 1: This one was pretty tough. It might have caused the

768
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 1: medulla injury for me, so I'm no longer able to

769
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 1: regulate my body activities including heart rhythm, breathing, blood flow, sneezing, vomiting, coughing,

770
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:37,200
Speaker 1: swallowing all that stuff. Um to me. A handcuff indicates

771
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:41,480
Speaker 1: that you have an elite, top tier player and you

772
00:45:41,480 --> 00:45:43,319
Speaker 1: need to back them up because you think when their

773
00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:45,839
Speaker 1: backup would take over, they would get most are all

774
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 1: of that elite, top tier work. That narrows it down

775
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:53,480
Speaker 1: to three tight ends, Kelsey, Waller, and Kittles backups. Kelsey's

776
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:55,919
Speaker 1: backup is Noah Gray, fifth round rookie out of Duke,

777
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:58,279
Speaker 1: but Kelsey hasn't missed a game that wasn't a week

778
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:01,839
Speaker 1: seventeen in his career, so it's probably not him. What

779
00:46:01,880 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 1: we saw from Ross Dwelly last year when Kittle went

780
00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:08,280
Speaker 1: down was nothing special unless you're interested in two catches

781
00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 1: in twenty yards per game. And then Darren Waller's backup

782
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:15,719
Speaker 1: as a chap named Foster Moreau a chap you said, yep,

783
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 1: I think that's the one that you could target. First,

784
00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:21,240
Speaker 1: Waller has a mystery injury right now, has in practiced

785
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 1: since augustwo but he's been working with the team trainers

786
00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 1: in Vegas. Uh in his sweatpants, as Brian said, uh. Second,

787
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 1: the amount of offense that runs through Waller is substantial.

788
00:46:32,600 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 1: Percent of Derek cars throws went to Waller last season,

789
00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:38,640
Speaker 1: and Henry Ruggs, John Brown, Bryan Edwards they're not a

790
00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:41,000
Speaker 1: top trio of wide receivers in the league. And finally,

791
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:44,160
Speaker 1: Moreau actually might be good. He scored five times in

792
00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:46,279
Speaker 1: his rookie year and was pretty much absent in year

793
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:49,160
Speaker 1: two due to injury, so he's been off of everybody's radar.

794
00:46:49,560 --> 00:46:51,920
Speaker 1: The Raiders say a lot of nice things about him,

795
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,800
Speaker 1: and Gruden called him a perfect fit for the offense.

796
00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:56,839
Speaker 1: So I went into this thinking nobody, but I came

797
00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:59,080
Speaker 1: out of it saying, if I'm drafting Darren Waller in

798
00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:03,200
Speaker 1: the second round, drafting Foster Moreau in the last round, Brian,

799
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:06,360
Speaker 1: who is or what is the one tight end handcuff

800
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:09,799
Speaker 1: worth drafting? I had the same answer, and I don't

801
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 1: have much to add other than a clever nickname that

802
00:47:12,520 --> 00:47:15,320
Speaker 1: I used. I think is clever, The Island of Foster Moreau.

803
00:47:17,080 --> 00:47:19,279
Speaker 1: You're on island if you're drafting and I tell you

804
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:26,279
Speaker 1: that the Island of Dr Moreau. Alright, well, nonetheless, but

805
00:47:26,560 --> 00:47:30,080
Speaker 1: as Matt basically said, the tight end totals for Vegas

806
00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:32,280
Speaker 1: were tops in the league last year. That was basically

807
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:36,360
Speaker 1: all Waller. But if you've forgotten, Jason Witten played football

808
00:47:36,560 --> 00:47:39,120
Speaker 1: for the Raiders last year, as did Foster Moreau. Those

809
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:43,200
Speaker 1: two combined for twenty catches, four touchdowns on just twenty

810
00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:47,800
Speaker 1: three targets. Um. So if you just give Moreau eighty

811
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 1: targets if something happens to Waller based on that combined production,

812
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:56,000
Speaker 1: because Witten's I would assume gone. Now I thank god, Um,

813
00:47:56,040 --> 00:47:59,840
Speaker 1: just eighty targets. Extrapolate that combined production looking at a

814
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:03,799
Speaker 1: he catches and sixteen touchdowns. But I'm not saying he's

815
00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:06,319
Speaker 1: gonna score sixteen touchdowns. But if you get sure, I'm

816
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:09,319
Speaker 1: pretty sure you just called an eighteen touchdown season for

817
00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 1: Foster Morrow. Well, uh yeah, based on that combined well,

818
00:48:16,400 --> 00:48:18,320
Speaker 1: because I'm not gonna put that out in the universe

819
00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:20,720
Speaker 1: that Darren Waller is gonna miss time, because Darren Waller

820
00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:22,960
Speaker 1: is not gonna miss time. And I'm kind of upset

821
00:48:23,000 --> 00:48:25,000
Speaker 1: that you're making us answer to questions as if he's

822
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:27,879
Speaker 1: gonna his time, because this is clearly the correct answer.

823
00:48:27,960 --> 00:48:30,719
Speaker 1: By the way, Um, this is the correct answer. It's

824
00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:32,359
Speaker 1: Foster Moreau. Let me tell you a little bit more

825
00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 1: about him. Um, he's only twenty four years old. It's

826
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:37,279
Speaker 1: his third year in Matt mentioned that he missed last

827
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,799
Speaker 1: season because of an a c L injury, and the

828
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 1: team pivoted to Jason Witten as a The A c

829
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:45,719
Speaker 1: L injury was actually in December the year before that.

830
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:47,960
Speaker 1: But last year he just wasn't right and he was

831
00:48:48,040 --> 00:48:50,560
Speaker 1: used very sparingly, and they had Jason Witten. With Jason

832
00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:55,040
Speaker 1: Witten leaving it frees up ninety four snaps for Moreau.

833
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:59,600
Speaker 1: Nine thirty four snaps. That is a ton and a

834
00:48:59,640 --> 00:49:01,839
Speaker 1: couple of days ago, John Gruden, you had a John

835
00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:06,239
Speaker 1: Gruden quote, another one about Foster Moreau. He said, I'm

836
00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:08,960
Speaker 1: not going to be Foster's agent, but I wish I was.

837
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:12,200
Speaker 1: I love him. He's a football junkie. He's one of

838
00:49:12,280 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 1: the greatest kids I've ever coached. He and Waller give

839
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:18,080
Speaker 1: us a duo that is as good as any I've

840
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:23,959
Speaker 1: ever had. That's about Foster Moreau. Considering the horrific state

841
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:27,240
Speaker 1: of the Raiders receivers, Moreau could emerge as a viable

842
00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:30,880
Speaker 1: bye week filling even if nothing happens to Darren Waller.

843
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:32,799
Speaker 1: You could put a blow up doll next to Darren

844
00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:34,759
Speaker 1: Waller and say, this is the best duo of tight

845
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:36,799
Speaker 1: ends I've ever had because you got Darren Waller on

846
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:41,000
Speaker 1: one side. Anyway, I think your love of Darren fully

847
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:44,640
Speaker 1: established at this point. Um I thought you might go

848
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:50,120
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell and um is Thomas still there? I don't

849
00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:55,960
Speaker 1: even know who. I don't even Dan Arnold's not Thomas

850
00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:59,520
Speaker 1: when we're doing that next year, bro tough question number two,

851
00:49:59,640 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 1: which NFL offense well? Did see the biggest increase in

852
00:50:03,120 --> 00:50:08,319
Speaker 1: points scored from last year to this year? Brian? So

853
00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:10,560
Speaker 1: I immediately went and looked at the bottom of the

854
00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:12,640
Speaker 1: barrel teams from last year, and those are the Jets,

855
00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:15,160
Speaker 1: the Giants, the Jaguars of the Bengals. You can make

856
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 1: cases for all those teams making big leaps. The Jets

857
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:21,600
Speaker 1: and Jaguars have new quarterbacks, the Giants get se Kwan Barkley,

858
00:50:21,640 --> 00:50:25,239
Speaker 1: backs Incinnati didn't have Joe Burrow for the second half

859
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,680
Speaker 1: of the year. But you know, just because they were

860
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:29,759
Speaker 1: the lowest scoring team, that doesn't make it easier to

861
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:32,319
Speaker 1: have a bigger jump in points. So I still kind

862
00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:34,160
Speaker 1: of went. I went and looked in the middle of

863
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 1: the pack, and I looked at the Rams, who averaged

864
00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:39,880
Speaker 1: twenty three point six points every game last year after

865
00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:45,520
Speaker 1: averaging more than twenty nine um. So I think they

866
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:49,760
Speaker 1: get back to that level where, of course Jared Goff

867
00:50:50,000 --> 00:50:53,759
Speaker 1: was the quarterback for the Rams, also the quarterback for

868
00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:56,600
Speaker 1: the Rams last year when they average twenty three point

869
00:50:56,640 --> 00:51:01,040
Speaker 1: six points per game, the Lions average more points than

870
00:51:01,040 --> 00:51:10,880
Speaker 1: the Rams. Last year, the Lions average more that the

871
00:51:10,960 --> 00:51:12,880
Speaker 1: Rams defense. This is gonna be as good this year.

872
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:15,960
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go there, but yes, with Matt Stafford quarterback,

873
00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:18,000
Speaker 1: the Lions average more points than the Rams. Of course,

874
00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:21,360
Speaker 1: Matt Stafford now the quarterback for the Rams, so I

875
00:51:21,400 --> 00:51:24,479
Speaker 1: see a six point nine point increase for the Rams.

876
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:26,279
Speaker 1: So the average three point two points for games this

877
00:51:26,400 --> 00:51:31,360
Speaker 1: year nine time which NFL offense will see the biggest

878
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 1: increase in points scored from last year to this year.

879
00:51:34,520 --> 00:51:36,480
Speaker 1: I had a couple of thoughts. San Franz was my

880
00:51:36,560 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 1: first thought, but I'm worried that Jimmy g will hang

881
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,720
Speaker 1: on to that job long enough that that will thwart

882
00:51:40,760 --> 00:51:44,600
Speaker 1: the increase when Trey Lands gets in. UH. Washington was

883
00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:47,280
Speaker 1: my second thought. They added Stu Beard and Curtis Samuel

884
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:50,000
Speaker 1: to the fold and uh they had the lowest points

885
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 1: of the three options I was looking at. But the

886
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:54,080
Speaker 1: one that I came up with was the same as Brian's.

887
00:51:54,560 --> 00:51:56,799
Speaker 1: The Rams the average only twenty three points per game.

888
00:51:57,160 --> 00:52:01,600
Speaker 1: With Jared goof Matthew Staffords a huge upgrade. And by

889
00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:06,120
Speaker 1: the way, you can stack this team fairly easily in drafts.

890
00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:09,480
Speaker 1: You can get Woods or Cup in the fifth, Henderson

891
00:52:09,520 --> 00:52:12,759
Speaker 1: in the sixth, Stafford in the late seventh, Higbie in

892
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 1: the eleventh, Xavier Jones just as an ad on at

893
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:17,720
Speaker 1: the end of your draft. If you think the Rams

894
00:52:17,800 --> 00:52:20,359
Speaker 1: offense is really gonna come back, you can get big

895
00:52:20,440 --> 00:52:23,960
Speaker 1: value on all these guys by stacking the Rams. I

896
00:52:24,080 --> 00:52:26,359
Speaker 1: like your answer, and it's a little outside of it's

897
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:28,200
Speaker 1: a little outside of the box because I thought you'd

898
00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:30,480
Speaker 1: go right to the bottom of points scored last year

899
00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 1: and find teams are going to get better, like Washington

900
00:52:33,160 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 1: or Cincinnati or the correct answer the Jets. Why Because

901
00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:41,040
Speaker 1: the Jets scored fifteen points per game last year. Yeah,

902
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:43,880
Speaker 1: that's pretty bad. That's it. They were dead last by

903
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:46,800
Speaker 1: a mile and points per game. So there's no Adam

904
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:49,040
Speaker 1: Gates this year, So that's like next that's like a

905
00:52:49,080 --> 00:52:53,080
Speaker 1: free touchdown per game of extra offense there are right now,

906
00:52:53,239 --> 00:52:55,440
Speaker 1: right now, you know, So that helps right there. Then

907
00:52:55,520 --> 00:52:58,760
Speaker 1: you look at all the key offseason additions to this offense.

908
00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 1: They gained a first round offensive lineman, Elijah Vera Tucker.

909
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:07,320
Speaker 1: They gained a first round quarterback, Zach Wilson went second

910
00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:10,759
Speaker 1: pick of the draft. They gained rookie wide receiver Elijah Moore,

911
00:53:10,800 --> 00:53:14,359
Speaker 1: who has been their star of camp. They gained new

912
00:53:14,480 --> 00:53:18,880
Speaker 1: starting running back Michael Carter. They gained splashy free agent

913
00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:22,680
Speaker 1: Corey Davis. You're being very generous with the star running

914
00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:26,759
Speaker 1: back Michael Carter. Splash Did I say star start new

915
00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:29,840
Speaker 1: starting If I miss smoke, I apologize new starting running

916
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:33,200
Speaker 1: back Michael Carter. Can't spell starting without star. And then

917
00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:35,920
Speaker 1: Denzel Mims a lot of room to improve after his

918
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:40,840
Speaker 1: injury plagued rookie year. You roll all those improved together,

919
00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:45,080
Speaker 1: salmon plagued off season, saving plague off season, and and

920
00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:50,520
Speaker 1: you've got seven eight nine ish points of differential coming

921
00:53:50,520 --> 00:53:54,319
Speaker 1: for this Jets offense because it was so bad last year.

922
00:53:54,400 --> 00:53:57,360
Speaker 1: You know, if Scott Fish keeps his sleepers as fish related,

923
00:53:57,360 --> 00:54:03,160
Speaker 1: he can use tough question number three. Most people believe

924
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 1: Clyde Edwards Hilaire will improve his fantasy output this year.

925
00:54:07,400 --> 00:54:12,720
Speaker 1: How much better will he be a little, a modest amount,

926
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:18,120
Speaker 1: or a lot better? Matt Um. From a rushing perspective,

927
00:54:18,200 --> 00:54:20,319
Speaker 1: the Chiefs have actually been a middle of the pack

928
00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:24,080
Speaker 1: running team for about five years. UH Their unit averages

929
00:54:24,120 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 1: about yards and twelve rushing scores. Last year, they still

930
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:31,200
Speaker 1: hit that yardage mark as a group, but they only

931
00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:34,440
Speaker 1: got eight rushing scores and touchdowns can be a little flukey,

932
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:37,279
Speaker 1: but last year's can be attributed to those inside the

933
00:54:37,320 --> 00:54:40,360
Speaker 1: five numbers that charge likes to harp on. The Chiefs

934
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:43,000
Speaker 1: only ran the ball seventeen total times inside the five.

935
00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:45,440
Speaker 1: Ten of those were the running backs, and nine of

936
00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,759
Speaker 1: those were Clyde. Uh So that's of the running back

937
00:54:48,840 --> 00:54:53,080
Speaker 1: runs inside the five he did receive of the overall carries,

938
00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:57,080
Speaker 1: which was the fifteenth highest average in the league. That's

939
00:54:57,080 --> 00:54:59,640
Speaker 1: pretty good. The problem is is he any good by

940
00:54:59,719 --> 00:55:01,680
Speaker 1: the right? Jury is still out on that. He only

941
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:05,319
Speaker 1: scored once from inside the five on nine runs. I

942
00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:08,000
Speaker 1: will say some progression will happen there and he'll get

943
00:55:08,120 --> 00:55:12,440
Speaker 1: more than one. So I think it will be a

944
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:17,040
Speaker 1: modest increase on Clyde. All right, So you're taking the

945
00:55:17,080 --> 00:55:20,799
Speaker 1: middle up the middle, all right, Briant. How much better

946
00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:23,799
Speaker 1: will Clyde Edwards Hilaire be this year? A little, a

947
00:55:23,880 --> 00:55:26,680
Speaker 1: modest amount or a lot better. I'm going with modest

948
00:55:26,680 --> 00:55:29,680
Speaker 1: amount too, And I'll just add one key factor in that.

949
00:55:29,840 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 1: Uh H's best game was Week one last year, which

950
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:37,439
Speaker 1: we all remember against the Houston Texans, which allowed forty

951
00:55:37,520 --> 00:55:39,800
Speaker 1: six yards and one point three touchdowns per game to

952
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:44,080
Speaker 1: running backs on the ground alone. Missed the second game

953
00:55:44,120 --> 00:55:47,160
Speaker 1: against the Texans to so assuming he gets those two games,

954
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:49,319
Speaker 1: he's got to grow up a modest amount at least,

955
00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:51,000
Speaker 1: but a borderline a lot. But I'm just gonna go

956
00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:53,680
Speaker 1: with modest. I do think they try to keep him,

957
00:55:53,719 --> 00:55:56,239
Speaker 1: you know, somewhat fresh. They're gonna work in Darryl Williams

958
00:55:56,320 --> 00:55:59,719
Speaker 1: or Jerick McKinnon if they have to, But so he'll

959
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:03,440
Speaker 1: get the the majority of the touches, but not I

960
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:06,480
Speaker 1: still think we're think looking at so just a modest

961
00:56:06,480 --> 00:56:10,439
Speaker 1: amount of improvement for me, I've got. I originally had

962
00:56:10,520 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 1: a little, and then the more I dug into it,

963
00:56:12,680 --> 00:56:15,839
Speaker 1: I ended up at a modest amount. Uh. And let's

964
00:56:15,840 --> 00:56:18,239
Speaker 1: be clear, you he almost can't be as bad as

965
00:56:18,239 --> 00:56:20,759
Speaker 1: he was last year. Is the starting running back for

966
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:23,839
Speaker 1: the second highest scoring offense. It's hard to put up

967
00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:26,400
Speaker 1: a few fantasy points as he did, healthy or not.

968
00:56:26,960 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 1: One of the things that contributes to why I like

969
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:30,640
Speaker 1: him is I think there's a lot of catches coming

970
00:56:30,719 --> 00:56:33,960
Speaker 1: for him this year. Sammy Watkins for all of his issues,

971
00:56:34,080 --> 00:56:37,000
Speaker 1: was still good for five targets a game, and that

972
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:40,480
Speaker 1: means he's going to I I don't believe Byring Pringle,

973
00:56:40,680 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 1: Nicole Hardman are gonna suddenly turn into volume hogs. I

974
00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:45,759
Speaker 1: think a lot of that's actually gonna go to Clyde

975
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:48,920
Speaker 1: Edwards Hilaire, who is a gifted receiver who didn't get

976
00:56:48,960 --> 00:56:53,480
Speaker 1: used enough that way last year. And the figure he'll

977
00:56:53,520 --> 00:56:56,040
Speaker 1: be a better runner in year two, he's just got

978
00:56:56,040 --> 00:56:59,040
Speaker 1: to be. The running was just okay. We haven't seen

979
00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:02,839
Speaker 1: the best of Edwards Hilaire yet. We haven't. We we

980
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:05,040
Speaker 1: got to believe that there's a better year than what

981
00:57:05,080 --> 00:57:07,040
Speaker 1: we saw in his rookie season based on what we

982
00:57:07,080 --> 00:57:10,400
Speaker 1: saw in college. There's better days ahead of him as

983
00:57:10,400 --> 00:57:12,680
Speaker 1: a runner. The problem, like you can't get him to

984
00:57:12,719 --> 00:57:15,000
Speaker 1: a lot is the touchdowns. It's just he's got a

985
00:57:15,080 --> 00:57:18,880
Speaker 1: score from distance. He's just so small and that's why

986
00:57:18,920 --> 00:57:21,880
Speaker 1: you just you know, the fantasy output gets capped for him.

987
00:57:21,960 --> 00:57:24,439
Speaker 1: And so Clyde Edwards a laire right now, going late

988
00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:28,840
Speaker 1: second round, early third round, that's kind of a lot

989
00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:31,800
Speaker 1: to pay. I mean, you're baking in the you're baking

990
00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 1: in that modest improvement at that ADP. I gotta call

991
00:57:35,880 --> 00:57:38,400
Speaker 1: myself out because someone is probably gonna do it on Twitter.

992
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:40,960
Speaker 1: I don't know why preseason. I'm in preseason for him

993
00:57:41,120 --> 00:57:44,440
Speaker 1: some of the time. The Chiefs don't play the Texans

994
00:57:44,440 --> 00:57:46,960
Speaker 1: twice a year. I don't know. I thought that. You know,

995
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:52,280
Speaker 1: we just let that slip. Yeah, I'm sure you caught

996
00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:54,640
Speaker 1: it over there. You would have loved you have called

997
00:57:54,680 --> 00:57:57,200
Speaker 1: me out on that immediately. If you know we're being

998
00:57:57,320 --> 00:58:03,320
Speaker 1: kind to you were such. The Guillotine League format works

999
00:58:03,360 --> 00:58:06,440
Speaker 1: like this. Eighteen teams start the season every week, no

1000
00:58:06,600 --> 00:58:08,760
Speaker 1: head to head. Every week, the low scoring team gets

1001
00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:11,800
Speaker 1: cut and their entire roster goes to the waiver wire,

1002
00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:14,600
Speaker 1: and pandemonium ensues for the rest of us that are

1003
00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 1: still alive as we harvest the bounty of that entire roster.

1004
00:58:20,240 --> 00:58:23,600
Speaker 1: Do you spend a bunch of your free agent bidding

1005
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 1: money early? Do you save it for later? Tons of

1006
00:58:26,320 --> 00:58:28,880
Speaker 1: strategy in the Guillotine League. All you have to do

1007
00:58:29,280 --> 00:58:33,480
Speaker 1: is not be last. It's the Guillotine Leagues at Guillotine

1008
00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:37,160
Speaker 1: leagues dot Com. When we come back, players we love

1009
00:58:38,280 --> 00:58:41,600
Speaker 1: and never draft will tell you the players we love

1010
00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:45,000
Speaker 1: and never draft, and we come back Fantasy Football Weekly.

1011
00:59:07,880 --> 00:59:11,280
Speaker 1: It's Fantasy Football Weekly, Ball Chargie and Matt Harrison and

1012
00:59:11,320 --> 00:59:15,560
Speaker 1: Brian Johnson with you. A lot of times. There are

1013
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:19,480
Speaker 1: players out there who we legitimately love, but because of

1014
00:59:19,520 --> 00:59:23,000
Speaker 1: where they're getting drafted, we never end up with them

1015
00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:26,200
Speaker 1: for any of a variety of reasons. We're gonna give

1016
00:59:26,240 --> 00:59:28,840
Speaker 1: you each a quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight

1017
00:59:28,920 --> 00:59:30,880
Speaker 1: end from each of your three hosts here that we

1018
00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:33,400
Speaker 1: players we like, we want to have on our team

1019
00:59:33,480 --> 00:59:36,479
Speaker 1: and we never end up drafting. We begin with Matt

1020
00:59:36,520 --> 00:59:39,240
Speaker 1: who is your quarterback you love and never got. It's

1021
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:41,640
Speaker 1: a guy have on one of my dynasty leagues. It's

1022
00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:44,840
Speaker 1: good old Russell Wilson, who's going off the board in

1023
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,760
Speaker 1: the fifth round or right now. I'm a little nervous

1024
00:59:47,800 --> 00:59:51,880
Speaker 1: about Seattle. They have a new offensive coordinator, Shane walden Uh.

1025
00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:55,560
Speaker 1: He's receiving the standard rave reviews from everybody at Seahawks camp,

1026
00:59:55,600 --> 00:59:58,240
Speaker 1: but you hear things like his offense is very large

1027
00:59:58,240 --> 01:00:01,840
Speaker 1: and complex, and then Pete Carroll's sing. Coach Walsh always

1028
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:04,080
Speaker 1: said it's not how many things you can do, but

1029
01:00:04,160 --> 01:00:07,160
Speaker 1: how many things you can do well. That's kind of

1030
01:00:07,200 --> 01:00:11,080
Speaker 1: conflicting to me about your new offensive coordinator a little,

1031
01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:14,240
Speaker 1: a little bit so last year's let Russ Cook movement

1032
01:00:14,320 --> 01:00:17,480
Speaker 1: lasted until Week nine against Buffalo, when the Hawks dropped

1033
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 1: a game to the Bills. And then it was Russ's

1034
01:00:20,040 --> 01:00:22,640
Speaker 1: seventh game in eight where he passed for two sixty

1035
01:00:22,640 --> 01:00:25,520
Speaker 1: more yards and multiple scores. And then after that game,

1036
01:00:25,560 --> 01:00:28,280
Speaker 1: Pete Carroll was like, oh, we lost, Let's go back

1037
01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:31,040
Speaker 1: to a run heavy system. And then Russell Wilson topped

1038
01:00:31,040 --> 01:00:33,200
Speaker 1: the two six yard mark just once in his final

1039
01:00:33,280 --> 01:00:35,960
Speaker 1: eight games and through from multiple scores and only three

1040
01:00:36,040 --> 01:00:39,320
Speaker 1: of the final eight. A complex offense, a head coach

1041
01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:42,040
Speaker 1: who's known for throwing passing strategy out the window when

1042
01:00:42,120 --> 01:00:45,400
Speaker 1: things get tough, and a really tough second half schedule

1043
01:00:45,880 --> 01:00:48,440
Speaker 1: makes me not want to draft Russ again in the

1044
01:00:48,480 --> 01:00:50,800
Speaker 1: fifth round. I like just an Air Bear, who I

1045
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:53,439
Speaker 1: was mentioning, and Aaron Rodgers. Those are the next two

1046
01:00:53,480 --> 01:00:55,880
Speaker 1: guys in a DP. I like them a lot better

1047
01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:59,840
Speaker 1: than Russell Wilson. All Right, Brian, who is a quarterback

1048
01:01:00,040 --> 01:01:03,520
Speaker 1: you love but never end up drafting well, is a

1049
01:01:03,640 --> 01:01:06,720
Speaker 1: huge Bengals fan. I obviously love Joe Burrow, but I

1050
01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:09,360
Speaker 1: do not love him in fantasy. This year going off

1051
01:01:09,400 --> 01:01:12,520
Speaker 1: the board at quarterback fourteen, which sounds late, but it's

1052
01:01:12,560 --> 01:01:15,840
Speaker 1: really not this year when guys like Ryan Fitzpatrick are

1053
01:01:15,880 --> 01:01:18,120
Speaker 1: going outside the top twenty quarterbacks and you have him

1054
01:01:18,120 --> 01:01:22,480
Speaker 1: pegged as a QB one. So I'm waiting. I'm I'm

1055
01:01:22,520 --> 01:01:26,280
Speaker 1: fading Burrow at QB fourteen. It's the obvious concerns coming

1056
01:01:26,320 --> 01:01:30,000
Speaker 1: back from major injury last year. Uh basically to be

1057
01:01:30,080 --> 01:01:33,560
Speaker 1: hung out to dry behind the same bad offensive line

1058
01:01:33,600 --> 01:01:37,920
Speaker 1: that got him essentially murdered last year. They added Jamaar Chase,

1059
01:01:37,960 --> 01:01:39,920
Speaker 1: which is nice, but they really should not have. They

1060
01:01:39,960 --> 01:01:43,480
Speaker 1: should have added another lineman. They're already pretty pretty set

1061
01:01:43,480 --> 01:01:46,040
Speaker 1: at wide receiver. I could be very wrong here. Burrow

1062
01:01:46,040 --> 01:01:47,960
Speaker 1: has a very high ceiling if you can stay healthy,

1063
01:01:48,000 --> 01:01:50,440
Speaker 1: but just way too much risk to mitigate for me

1064
01:01:50,520 --> 01:01:52,960
Speaker 1: this year. Uh. So I'm just off of Joe Burrow

1065
01:01:53,040 --> 01:01:55,160
Speaker 1: going as a QB fourteen, way too early for me.

1066
01:01:55,200 --> 01:01:57,920
Speaker 1: There's a lot more stable options going later than him.

1067
01:01:58,080 --> 01:02:00,480
Speaker 1: I love this player and I want him on my team,

1068
01:02:00,520 --> 01:02:07,360
Speaker 1: but I can't take him in the fifth round. Bear,

1069
01:02:07,600 --> 01:02:10,240
Speaker 1: didn't you hear? He's gonna finish this quarterback quarterback too?

1070
01:02:10,320 --> 01:02:12,880
Speaker 1: And and he might. I love the kid, and he's

1071
01:02:12,880 --> 01:02:14,880
Speaker 1: going to be He's he's I think the part of

1072
01:02:14,920 --> 01:02:17,040
Speaker 1: his game nobody ever talks about or doesn't talk about enough.

1073
01:02:17,040 --> 01:02:19,400
Speaker 1: He's pretty fleet of foot. He's going to have some

1074
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:21,840
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns that I don't think people are really accounting

1075
01:02:21,880 --> 01:02:25,040
Speaker 1: for in their mind. Um it's the problem is the

1076
01:02:25,040 --> 01:02:27,480
Speaker 1: fifth round. You know, for me and my draft strategy,

1077
01:02:27,720 --> 01:02:30,840
Speaker 1: as you guys know, I'm not locked into running backs early.

1078
01:02:31,080 --> 01:02:33,400
Speaker 1: I'm usually pivoting away from running backs. Fifth round is

1079
01:02:33,440 --> 01:02:35,960
Speaker 1: when I'm taking running backs. And this is you know,

1080
01:02:36,080 --> 01:02:38,520
Speaker 1: right when I'm right, when I'm just basically starting my

1081
01:02:38,680 --> 01:02:42,360
Speaker 1: three round running back run is right here. So you're

1082
01:02:42,440 --> 01:02:45,000
Speaker 1: much more likely to get Patrick Mahomes early and then

1083
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:47,640
Speaker 1: be filling up on running backs at that point you

1084
01:02:47,680 --> 01:02:51,120
Speaker 1: are correct, or even more commonly, I'm waiting for Ryan

1085
01:02:51,160 --> 01:02:53,840
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick or you know, I can wait three, four or

1086
01:02:53,840 --> 01:02:57,440
Speaker 1: five more rounds and get guys like Kirk Cousins, Ryan

1087
01:02:57,520 --> 01:03:00,720
Speaker 1: Tannehill with a tenth round a DP know, those are

1088
01:03:00,880 --> 01:03:03,160
Speaker 1: really good quarterbacks and I can get much later. And

1089
01:03:03,160 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 1: if you're going to take a quarterback early, like seventh

1090
01:03:06,360 --> 01:03:09,439
Speaker 1: rounder earlier, it's got to be somebody that you think

1091
01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:13,720
Speaker 1: has a different making number one quarterback overall pedigree. That

1092
01:03:13,880 --> 01:03:17,280
Speaker 1: is correct, and I love I love Justin air Bear,

1093
01:03:17,440 --> 01:03:19,360
Speaker 1: but I'm not positive that's him. All right, Let's go

1094
01:03:19,400 --> 01:03:21,720
Speaker 1: to the running back position. Matt who is a running

1095
01:03:21,720 --> 01:03:24,200
Speaker 1: back you love but never end up drafting. I mean,

1096
01:03:24,240 --> 01:03:26,280
Speaker 1: he's been a bell cow for a long time and

1097
01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:28,479
Speaker 1: a lot of people have won championships on the backs

1098
01:03:28,520 --> 01:03:31,200
Speaker 1: of Ezekiel elliott Um. I mentioned it before. He's had

1099
01:03:31,240 --> 01:03:34,920
Speaker 1: He's averaged three thirty touches over his last five seasons.

1100
01:03:35,480 --> 01:03:37,920
Speaker 1: But what have we started to see? The decline already

1101
01:03:38,040 --> 01:03:42,520
Speaker 1: from three rushing attemptsen to only two forty four last year,

1102
01:03:43,000 --> 01:03:46,320
Speaker 1: a decline in rushing scores from twelve to six. The

1103
01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:49,360
Speaker 1: yards per carry averages went from four point seven and

1104
01:03:49,440 --> 01:03:54,760
Speaker 1: ten to four point five to a pedestrian four point

1105
01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:57,360
Speaker 1: oh last year. That is worth. That's worrisome. And the

1106
01:03:57,440 --> 01:03:59,720
Speaker 1: offensive line is not as good as it used to be.

1107
01:04:00,080 --> 01:04:02,720
Speaker 1: DA's injuries to his ankle and now shoulder have to

1108
01:04:02,760 --> 01:04:05,040
Speaker 1: make you stop and think you don't want Ben Denucci

1109
01:04:05,640 --> 01:04:09,440
Speaker 1: starting opposite Zeke in the backfield. There's a good seven

1110
01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:12,040
Speaker 1: to ten players I take before I take Zeke in

1111
01:04:12,080 --> 01:04:15,840
Speaker 1: the middle of the first round. I concur Brian who's

1112
01:04:15,840 --> 01:04:18,680
Speaker 1: the running back that you love but will not draft

1113
01:04:19,120 --> 01:04:21,960
Speaker 1: love Nick Chubb in real life. I just can't go

1114
01:04:22,080 --> 01:04:24,120
Speaker 1: there in fantasy, even though he's going his RB ten

1115
01:04:24,520 --> 01:04:28,040
Speaker 1: like an early second mid second round pick. Pretty good value,

1116
01:04:28,560 --> 01:04:31,760
Speaker 1: but especially in a run heavy offense like Cleveland. But

1117
01:04:32,320 --> 01:04:35,080
Speaker 1: if it's not PPR and I that's what I play

1118
01:04:35,120 --> 01:04:37,640
Speaker 1: and most people play these days. I just can't get

1119
01:04:37,640 --> 01:04:40,480
Speaker 1: on board with Chubb. Just hate the receiving work that

1120
01:04:40,520 --> 01:04:44,120
Speaker 1: he sees or lack lack thereof. I should say, only

1121
01:04:44,120 --> 01:04:48,080
Speaker 1: twelve games played last year, but sixteen catches in those

1122
01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:51,720
Speaker 1: twelve games for Nick Chubb's gross uh and his two

1123
01:04:51,800 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 1: seasons prior, Chub average less than two catches per game

1124
01:04:55,600 --> 01:04:58,720
Speaker 1: in thirty two games two full seasons, one point seven

1125
01:04:58,760 --> 01:05:03,000
Speaker 1: five catches per game. His two lone career receiving touchdowns

1126
01:05:03,000 --> 01:05:06,520
Speaker 1: came back in hasn't caught a touchdown with the last

1127
01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:10,120
Speaker 1: two seasons. So I just I need more receiving work

1128
01:05:10,120 --> 01:05:11,760
Speaker 1: out of a running back I'm taking in the first

1129
01:05:11,800 --> 01:05:13,919
Speaker 1: two rounds, and I just can't go there with you. Guys,

1130
01:05:13,960 --> 01:05:17,800
Speaker 1: don't sound like you love the player at all. Okay,

1131
01:05:18,200 --> 01:05:21,080
Speaker 1: there's a lot of respect for these points, respect the player,

1132
01:05:21,360 --> 01:05:25,000
Speaker 1: not the draft position. Maybe we should rename it next year. Um,

1133
01:05:25,040 --> 01:05:27,600
Speaker 1: I like that we all took first round running backs

1134
01:05:27,640 --> 01:05:31,920
Speaker 1: for this. Christian McCaffrey is my love the player, hate

1135
01:05:31,960 --> 01:05:35,440
Speaker 1: the average draft position chart. You're just gonna say, because

1136
01:05:35,480 --> 01:05:38,080
Speaker 1: I'm not drafting first, because I finished so well in

1137
01:05:38,160 --> 01:05:42,360
Speaker 1: all of my leagues last year, I'm never getting him. Hey,

1138
01:05:42,560 --> 01:05:45,040
Speaker 1: I do. I never randomly get the first pick. I

1139
01:05:45,120 --> 01:05:48,640
Speaker 1: never get the first pick. Um. But more importantly, if

1140
01:05:48,640 --> 01:05:52,320
Speaker 1: I do get that first pick, I believe firmly the

1141
01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:54,520
Speaker 1: best thing you can do is trade back to the

1142
01:05:54,520 --> 01:05:57,040
Speaker 1: middle of the first round in the first two rounds.

1143
01:05:57,400 --> 01:06:01,040
Speaker 1: So I'd rather have a middle round pick in rounds

1144
01:06:01,040 --> 01:06:02,919
Speaker 1: one and rounds two. And you'll find plenty of people

1145
01:06:03,000 --> 01:06:04,840
Speaker 1: who want to make that deal, So you have no

1146
01:06:04,920 --> 01:06:07,880
Speaker 1: problem going back to six or seven. And then at

1147
01:06:07,920 --> 01:06:10,840
Speaker 1: that stage, I can you know, I get the sixth

1148
01:06:10,880 --> 01:06:14,640
Speaker 1: and eighth player instead of the first and the player,

1149
01:06:14,680 --> 01:06:16,240
Speaker 1: And for me, it's a trade off. I'd like that's

1150
01:06:16,240 --> 01:06:19,800
Speaker 1: a trade off I'm very willing to make. Um, why

1151
01:06:19,840 --> 01:06:22,040
Speaker 1: not just take Christian McCaffrey and be happy? Well, here,

1152
01:06:22,040 --> 01:06:24,320
Speaker 1: there are some there are some things you should think

1153
01:06:24,320 --> 01:06:27,480
Speaker 1: about a terrible offensive line in the conversation for the

1154
01:06:27,480 --> 01:06:32,240
Speaker 1: worst in the league. UM Pro Football Focus projects the

1155
01:06:32,280 --> 01:06:34,720
Speaker 1: Carolina offensive line to be the third worst this year.

1156
01:06:35,160 --> 01:06:37,360
Speaker 1: A good runner can overcome a lot with their bad

1157
01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:39,720
Speaker 1: offensive line. But he's still mortal, and there could be

1158
01:06:39,760 --> 01:06:42,360
Speaker 1: some inconsistent play there. And then you know last year

1159
01:06:42,480 --> 01:06:46,120
Speaker 1: ankle injury, shoulder injury, thigh injury. There, No, that's a lot,

1160
01:06:46,440 --> 01:06:48,160
Speaker 1: and so there are reasons that you can pass on

1161
01:06:48,240 --> 01:06:51,560
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey. I never end up with him. Love the player,

1162
01:06:51,680 --> 01:06:55,440
Speaker 1: hate the average draft position. Let's go to the wide

1163
01:06:55,440 --> 01:06:57,840
Speaker 1: receiver position. Give me a player you love and never

1164
01:06:57,960 --> 01:07:01,080
Speaker 1: end up with Matt It's a guy tried to acquire

1165
01:07:01,120 --> 01:07:04,000
Speaker 1: a lot last year because I really actually do respect

1166
01:07:04,080 --> 01:07:06,800
Speaker 1: him as a player on the field. It's Tyler Lockett

1167
01:07:06,840 --> 01:07:09,320
Speaker 1: who's going off in the fifth round. If you can

1168
01:07:09,400 --> 01:07:15,000
Speaker 1: guarantee me double digit targets for Tyler Lockett in every game, yeah, if, yeah,

1169
01:07:15,520 --> 01:07:18,280
Speaker 1: then I'll take him because he's sink or swim in

1170
01:07:18,320 --> 01:07:22,200
Speaker 1: the last two years. In the six total games where

1171
01:07:22,200 --> 01:07:25,160
Speaker 1: he's had ten or more targets out of thirty two

1172
01:07:25,360 --> 01:07:30,120
Speaker 1: that is yeah, he's averaging eleven point six receptions and

1173
01:07:30,120 --> 01:07:32,480
Speaker 1: twenty nine yards and one point eight touchdowns per game.

1174
01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:36,800
Speaker 1: In the other twenty six games with nine or fewer targets,

1175
01:07:37,120 --> 01:07:40,320
Speaker 1: he's averaging four point three receptions, fifty one yards, and

1176
01:07:40,360 --> 01:07:43,880
Speaker 1: a quarter of a touchdown per game. That's gross. If

1177
01:07:43,880 --> 01:07:46,080
Speaker 1: he's not getting ten targets per game, which only does

1178
01:07:46,080 --> 01:07:49,440
Speaker 1: an eighteen percent of his game. He's Marquez Valdez, Scantling

1179
01:07:49,520 --> 01:07:52,640
Speaker 1: or Christian Kirk or Keelan Cole. That's all he is.

1180
01:07:53,040 --> 01:07:54,600
Speaker 1: So he's not a guy I'm going to take in

1181
01:07:54,640 --> 01:07:56,320
Speaker 1: the fifth round. I'm gonna take guys later in the

1182
01:07:56,400 --> 01:07:58,480
Speaker 1: draft too. I can get that kind of flyer on

1183
01:07:59,000 --> 01:08:03,320
Speaker 1: Brian a player you respect but don't respect the average

1184
01:08:03,360 --> 01:08:07,360
Speaker 1: draft position at wide receiver Julio Jones now of the

1185
01:08:07,400 --> 01:08:10,880
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. Of course, going in the late teens among

1186
01:08:10,960 --> 01:08:13,800
Speaker 1: wide receivers, that is way way too early for me.

1187
01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:17,519
Speaker 1: We mentioned uh well, first off, the Titans offense still

1188
01:08:17,520 --> 01:08:20,439
Speaker 1: revolves around Derrick Henry. He is the catalyst that makes

1189
01:08:20,439 --> 01:08:22,920
Speaker 1: it go. Yes, they will throw, but the top target,

1190
01:08:22,960 --> 01:08:25,840
Speaker 1: of course is a J. Brown is not Julio Jones.

1191
01:08:26,479 --> 01:08:29,760
Speaker 1: And we know the top target in the red zone

1192
01:08:29,840 --> 01:08:33,080
Speaker 1: is not Julio Jones. On any number has been mentioned.

1193
01:08:33,080 --> 01:08:35,160
Speaker 1: The one target that he did not catch, by the

1194
01:08:35,160 --> 01:08:37,960
Speaker 1: way with Atlanta last year, But going back four years,

1195
01:08:37,960 --> 01:08:40,160
Speaker 1: maybe this was a Matt Ryan thing that I don't well,

1196
01:08:40,200 --> 01:08:42,599
Speaker 1: we could see. I'm gonna go with what I Saffer

1197
01:08:42,760 --> 01:08:45,080
Speaker 1: Bryan might help him out. I don't know about that.

1198
01:08:45,439 --> 01:08:49,280
Speaker 1: Uh So over the last four years, um, Julio is

1199
01:08:49,320 --> 01:08:52,080
Speaker 1: averaging less than four catches a year from inside the

1200
01:08:52,120 --> 01:08:55,679
Speaker 1: ten yard line. Last season, there were thirty different wide

1201
01:08:55,680 --> 01:08:58,519
Speaker 1: receivers who had more than four catches inside the ten

1202
01:08:58,640 --> 01:09:03,960
Speaker 1: yard line. Dirty and Julio. I mean that's enough right there, Guys.

1203
01:09:04,000 --> 01:09:06,719
Speaker 1: I like way more than Julio Jones going later, Chris Godwin,

1204
01:09:07,120 --> 01:09:10,400
Speaker 1: d J. Moore, Odell Beckham going much later than Julio Jones.

1205
01:09:10,800 --> 01:09:12,600
Speaker 1: He's just going way too early in drafts for me

1206
01:09:12,600 --> 01:09:15,040
Speaker 1: not touching him. That doesn't sound like you like him,

1207
01:09:15,120 --> 01:09:19,040
Speaker 1: respect him. I respect him as a as a human. Well,

1208
01:09:19,040 --> 01:09:21,559
Speaker 1: how can you say you like Christian McCaffrey when you

1209
01:09:21,560 --> 01:09:24,959
Speaker 1: said you wouldna, I like he's a great player. Iverything

1210
01:09:25,080 --> 01:09:27,200
Speaker 1: for the same thing for Julio Jones. I don't see

1211
01:09:27,200 --> 01:09:28,920
Speaker 1: he's a bad player. I'm just not drafting him at

1212
01:09:28,920 --> 01:09:31,120
Speaker 1: that ADP I don't see the difference here. The player

1213
01:09:31,200 --> 01:09:36,240
Speaker 1: I love and hate the average draft position is Chase Claypool. Currently,

1214
01:09:36,280 --> 01:09:40,240
Speaker 1: do you want Chase Claypool on your team? Well, I mean,

1215
01:09:40,560 --> 01:09:42,320
Speaker 1: but not at the age and not at the ADP.

1216
01:09:42,400 --> 01:09:44,880
Speaker 1: I'm not willing to each the Total Beast by taking

1217
01:09:44,880 --> 01:09:48,360
Speaker 1: crazy pills here like the exact same things. But I'm

1218
01:09:48,360 --> 01:09:52,439
Speaker 1: saying about I'll trade to Chase Claypool and my dynasty league.

1219
01:09:52,520 --> 01:09:56,559
Speaker 1: Let's go come on, Uh, total Beast, the big body right,

1220
01:09:56,640 --> 01:09:59,400
Speaker 1: the leaping ability, Uh, they go up and get it.

1221
01:09:59,479 --> 01:10:03,240
Speaker 1: I like so much about Chase Claypool's game. See this

1222
01:10:03,280 --> 01:10:05,400
Speaker 1: is how I'm different than you, Brian. I'm explaining why

1223
01:10:05,439 --> 01:10:08,320
Speaker 1: he's a great player. I worry about things around to

1224
01:10:08,439 --> 01:10:10,520
Speaker 1: Chase Claypool that I have nothing to do with him.

1225
01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:15,040
Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger's rapid decline last season, does that continue or

1226
01:10:15,040 --> 01:10:18,360
Speaker 1: get worse this season? I worry about the Steelers offensive

1227
01:10:18,400 --> 01:10:22,360
Speaker 1: line limiting the overall production of this offense. And Chase

1228
01:10:22,360 --> 01:10:26,080
Speaker 1: Claypool's average draft positions round seven. I'm so busy drafting

1229
01:10:26,120 --> 01:10:28,120
Speaker 1: running backs to round seven. So you know this, I've

1230
01:10:28,160 --> 01:10:31,439
Speaker 1: already got my great, great receivers. I don't need to

1231
01:10:31,520 --> 01:10:33,360
Speaker 1: roll the dice on a guy with the question marks

1232
01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:36,519
Speaker 1: that Chase Claypool has got. Alright, our final round of

1233
01:10:36,640 --> 01:10:38,840
Speaker 1: love the player hate the average draft position goes to

1234
01:10:38,880 --> 01:10:42,360
Speaker 1: the tight end position, and Matt I have Mark Andrews,

1235
01:10:42,360 --> 01:10:44,439
Speaker 1: who's going off in the fifth round. And it's really

1236
01:10:44,439 --> 01:10:47,880
Speaker 1: nothing against Mark Andrews's just more of a tear based thing.

1237
01:10:48,520 --> 01:10:52,559
Speaker 1: Last year in PPR standard scoring leagues, Travis Kelsey average

1238
01:10:52,600 --> 01:10:55,880
Speaker 1: twenty point eight points per game, Waller average seventeen and

1239
01:10:55,960 --> 01:10:58,960
Speaker 1: a half, and George Kittle averaged fifteen point six in

1240
01:10:58,960 --> 01:11:02,439
Speaker 1: his limited involvement. Then you move down a whole bunch

1241
01:11:02,880 --> 01:11:05,200
Speaker 1: and Mark Andrews is the next player at twelve point too.

1242
01:11:05,560 --> 01:11:08,640
Speaker 1: But the problem is there's ten other tight ends that

1243
01:11:08,760 --> 01:11:13,120
Speaker 1: finished between ten and twelve PPR points. That's a pretty

1244
01:11:13,320 --> 01:11:18,360
Speaker 1: big swath of tight ends there with very similar production.

1245
01:11:18,600 --> 01:11:23,160
Speaker 1: I can get Mike Gesicki six rounds later. He had

1246
01:11:23,280 --> 01:11:26,800
Speaker 1: five fewer catches, the exact same amount of yards and

1247
01:11:26,920 --> 01:11:31,280
Speaker 1: one fewer touchdown then Mark Andrews. So it's more about

1248
01:11:31,520 --> 01:11:34,479
Speaker 1: I don't like that tier, and I'm going to take

1249
01:11:34,520 --> 01:11:36,920
Speaker 1: the guys at the back end of that tier six

1250
01:11:37,040 --> 01:11:40,320
Speaker 1: rounds later than Mark Andrews. I see, that's a perfect

1251
01:11:40,520 --> 01:11:43,160
Speaker 1: there's a perfect answer. That's a player you like with

1252
01:11:43,200 --> 01:11:46,599
Speaker 1: a Ratchell. It's not because he's not a good player, Brian,

1253
01:11:46,800 --> 01:11:49,639
Speaker 1: I never said I did like Julio Jones. You dead

1254
01:11:50,320 --> 01:11:55,840
Speaker 1: we Cannibal all right? Who is the tight end you love?

1255
01:11:56,600 --> 01:12:03,519
Speaker 1: But never end up Ard? I just hate guts at

1256
01:12:03,560 --> 01:12:07,559
Speaker 1: tight end seven. I'm not drafting stupid Dallas Goddard. But

1257
01:12:07,760 --> 01:12:11,360
Speaker 1: Dallas Goddard is my answer. He's clinging to that secondary

1258
01:12:11,439 --> 01:12:13,599
Speaker 1: top tier of tight ends that I think you were mentioning.

1259
01:12:13,600 --> 01:12:15,760
Speaker 1: I think he's the last guy in and I don't

1260
01:12:15,800 --> 01:12:17,840
Speaker 1: like pick up the last guy in a tier or

1261
01:12:18,080 --> 01:12:22,200
Speaker 1: the first guy in the forthcoming tier. Um, I'd rather

1262
01:12:22,240 --> 01:12:24,439
Speaker 1: wait much later on tight ends of I'm contemplaining a

1263
01:12:24,479 --> 01:12:26,800
Speaker 1: guy like Goddard, who was strong in the second half

1264
01:12:26,880 --> 01:12:29,519
Speaker 1: last year. Uh, and that is when Jalen Hurts was

1265
01:12:29,600 --> 01:12:32,519
Speaker 1: playing quarterback for the most part for Philly, but zach

1266
01:12:32,680 --> 01:12:35,920
Speaker 1: Ertz was also hurt. Then, Uh, he's back, He's still

1267
01:12:35,960 --> 01:12:38,160
Speaker 1: in Philly. Looked pretty good on Thursday night, by the

1268
01:12:38,200 --> 01:12:41,640
Speaker 1: way zach Ertz did. Philly also added a weapon in

1269
01:12:41,680 --> 01:12:45,720
Speaker 1: DeVante Smith and uh, long story short, just Goddard at

1270
01:12:45,720 --> 01:12:48,360
Speaker 1: tight ends seven. We need arts to get hurt again.

1271
01:12:48,400 --> 01:12:50,880
Speaker 1: We need all the wide receivers to fall apart again,

1272
01:12:50,920 --> 01:12:53,720
Speaker 1: which is quite possible. But and I know you're not

1273
01:12:53,760 --> 01:12:57,040
Speaker 1: sold on Jalen Hurts as a passer either, nor am I.

1274
01:12:57,400 --> 01:13:00,400
Speaker 1: Although I'll be fair, I liked what I saw Thursday

1275
01:13:00,479 --> 01:13:03,439
Speaker 1: night Hurts. I'm starting to warm up a little bit

1276
01:13:03,680 --> 01:13:06,599
Speaker 1: surprised Brian didn't say everybody but Darren Waller and Dan

1277
01:13:06,720 --> 01:13:11,120
Speaker 1: Arnold everybody else. It's kind of true. I know what

1278
01:13:11,120 --> 01:13:14,680
Speaker 1: I'm talking about, the tight end. The tight end I adore,

1279
01:13:15,320 --> 01:13:17,679
Speaker 1: but I never end up. Why do you adore him

1280
01:13:17,680 --> 01:13:20,479
Speaker 1: so much? Because it's George kittle Oh he's so good,

1281
01:13:20,600 --> 01:13:24,080
Speaker 1: obviously a great and a freakish talent, and there's so

1282
01:13:24,160 --> 01:13:26,559
Speaker 1: much to like about him. But the problem is, if

1283
01:13:26,600 --> 01:13:29,519
Speaker 1: I'm spending an early round pick on tight end, I

1284
01:13:29,560 --> 01:13:32,040
Speaker 1: want Kelsey or Waller, who I like even more at

1285
01:13:32,120 --> 01:13:36,599
Speaker 1: least this season. And there's some other factors as well.

1286
01:13:36,640 --> 01:13:39,320
Speaker 1: I mean, you know where he's going early. Third round

1287
01:13:39,400 --> 01:13:42,000
Speaker 1: is where you have to pick George kittle Man. There's

1288
01:13:42,000 --> 01:13:44,760
Speaker 1: some great wide receivers available, like a J. Brown and

1289
01:13:44,840 --> 01:13:49,240
Speaker 1: Keenan Allen and Terry McLaurin, or runners like Chris Carson

1290
01:13:49,520 --> 01:13:52,920
Speaker 1: or j K. Dobbins, or I can have quarterback one again,

1291
01:13:52,960 --> 01:13:55,000
Speaker 1: have Patrick Mahomes, who earlier in this show I said

1292
01:13:55,240 --> 01:13:58,720
Speaker 1: could set the old time passing record for yards and

1293
01:13:58,760 --> 01:14:01,240
Speaker 1: touchdowns this year. So I just to be there's so

1294
01:14:01,280 --> 01:14:04,400
Speaker 1: many other options. I'm not spending that early third round

1295
01:14:04,479 --> 01:14:07,840
Speaker 1: pick on my on my third favorite tight end. Now

1296
01:14:07,920 --> 01:14:13,679
Speaker 1: that's a great answer, charge job, I GA, there's no

1297
01:14:13,760 --> 01:14:16,519
Speaker 1: difference in the theme of any of our answers. But okay,

1298
01:14:16,800 --> 01:14:19,280
Speaker 1: that is that is so not true. When we come

1299
01:14:19,280 --> 01:14:22,800
Speaker 1: back our final segment, we'll talk about some strategies for

1300
01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:28,479
Speaker 1: playing guillotine leagues, our favorite sleepers this year, and plenty

1301
01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:57,519
Speaker 1: more when we come back. Fantasy Football Weekly returns final

1302
01:14:57,880 --> 01:15:01,719
Speaker 1: segment of Fantasy fook A Weekly. Do you miss any

1303
01:15:01,720 --> 01:15:04,800
Speaker 1: part of this show? Not only is it an over

1304
01:15:04,840 --> 01:15:09,040
Speaker 1: the air broadcast, it is also a podcast, Fantasy Football Weekly,

1305
01:15:09,080 --> 01:15:14,680
Speaker 1: available on every platform that services podcasts, including the I

1306
01:15:14,880 --> 01:15:17,800
Speaker 1: Heart Radio app. I Am Paul charging my co host

1307
01:15:17,880 --> 01:15:21,600
Speaker 1: or Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison. Final segment. We always

1308
01:15:22,000 --> 01:15:26,799
Speaker 1: unveil a sleeper each Last week, I gave you Gus Edwards,

1309
01:15:26,800 --> 01:15:30,559
Speaker 1: which was brilliant. If I may say so myself, I've

1310
01:15:30,560 --> 01:15:34,439
Speaker 1: got another sure fire sleeper for you coming up in moments.

1311
01:15:34,439 --> 01:15:38,120
Speaker 1: But first, Brian Johnson, You're sleeper this week is you're

1312
01:15:38,160 --> 01:15:40,960
Speaker 1: obviously getting Dan Arnold from me and my first big show.

1313
01:15:42,800 --> 01:15:45,760
Speaker 1: That's not even a sleeper. Everybody's awake him if they've

1314
01:15:45,760 --> 01:15:48,400
Speaker 1: been listening to this show. People are very woke that

1315
01:15:48,439 --> 01:15:50,479
Speaker 1: have been listening to me about Dan Arnold. It's only

1316
01:15:50,479 --> 01:15:53,280
Speaker 1: gonna get better as time goes By was virtually going

1317
01:15:53,360 --> 01:15:55,960
Speaker 1: undrafted earlier in the summer unless I was in the league.

1318
01:15:55,960 --> 01:16:00,479
Speaker 1: But he has creeped up to draftable eight teen UH

1319
01:16:00,880 --> 01:16:04,479
Speaker 1: round leagues, which is very standard, especially in best ball um.

1320
01:16:04,640 --> 01:16:08,000
Speaker 1: Back to Arnold UH tight end twenty one. Last season

1321
01:16:08,000 --> 01:16:11,479
Speaker 1: with Arizona, missed a couple of games, only saw forty

1322
01:16:11,520 --> 01:16:14,160
Speaker 1: five targets. Now, to put that into perspective, guys like Hunter,

1323
01:16:14,200 --> 01:16:18,040
Speaker 1: Henry Noah, Fan, Dalton Schultz, Mike Sicky, Eric Ebron, they

1324
01:16:18,080 --> 01:16:22,200
Speaker 1: saw roughly ninety targets. Arnold saw half of that ninety targets.

1325
01:16:22,640 --> 01:16:24,400
Speaker 1: It's like, it's a good thing that your guy was

1326
01:16:24,439 --> 01:16:27,719
Speaker 1: only targeted times. It was in Arizona. They don't utilize

1327
01:16:27,720 --> 01:16:30,160
Speaker 1: their tight ends very much. And I'm not so sure

1328
01:16:30,240 --> 01:16:32,920
Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury knows what he's doing. But I like the

1329
01:16:33,000 --> 01:16:34,800
Speaker 1: volume he's gonna see in Carolina, and I'm gonna just

1330
01:16:34,880 --> 01:16:37,920
Speaker 1: gonna double the production he had on those forty five

1331
01:16:37,960 --> 01:16:40,720
Speaker 1: targets to the ninety that he'll at least see in Carolina.

1332
01:16:40,760 --> 01:16:43,439
Speaker 1: That would come out to sixty catches, eight eighty yards

1333
01:16:43,439 --> 01:16:47,160
Speaker 1: and eight touchdowns. Arnold had three targets inside the ten

1334
01:16:47,240 --> 01:16:50,080
Speaker 1: yard line last year, just three scored on all three

1335
01:16:50,160 --> 01:16:53,200
Speaker 1: of them. He was number one among all tight ends

1336
01:16:53,200 --> 01:16:55,840
Speaker 1: and average depth of target he was ninth and yards

1337
01:16:55,880 --> 01:16:58,840
Speaker 1: after the catch per reception. He's going to see the

1338
01:16:58,880 --> 01:17:01,120
Speaker 1: ball a lot in this off fence and he's virtually

1339
01:17:01,680 --> 01:17:06,280
Speaker 1: unguardable in the ends of I'm not kidding you, I'm

1340
01:17:06,280 --> 01:17:10,599
Speaker 1: saying it. So Dan Arnold, do not let him go

1341
01:17:10,840 --> 01:17:12,720
Speaker 1: undrafted in your drafts. Get him at the end. I

1342
01:17:12,760 --> 01:17:15,320
Speaker 1: like Curtis that Curtis Samuel's gone. That could open up

1343
01:17:15,320 --> 01:17:17,920
Speaker 1: some middle of the field stuff for Dan Arnold. And

1344
01:17:17,960 --> 01:17:20,320
Speaker 1: people might say, you know, Christian McCaffrey was back, that's

1345
01:17:20,320 --> 01:17:22,720
Speaker 1: bad for d J. Moore and all the receivers. D J.

1346
01:17:22,880 --> 01:17:25,680
Speaker 1: Moore was wide receiver nine and twenty nine team when

1347
01:17:25,760 --> 01:17:28,519
Speaker 1: McCaffrey had the record setting season and he fell off

1348
01:17:28,640 --> 01:17:32,160
Speaker 1: entirely without So what's with McCaffrey back? That opens things

1349
01:17:32,240 --> 01:17:34,840
Speaker 1: up for all the pass catchers. I can really see

1350
01:17:34,880 --> 01:17:38,960
Speaker 1: how that comparison between DJ Moore effects Dan Arnold. An

1351
01:17:39,000 --> 01:17:43,240
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator Joe Brady was with Dan Arnold in New Orleans.

1352
01:17:43,360 --> 01:17:45,840
Speaker 1: He won't he went out and how did he use?

1353
01:17:46,120 --> 01:17:48,799
Speaker 1: He was a raw rookie who was a converted wide receiver.

1354
01:17:49,800 --> 01:17:52,439
Speaker 1: You always say, don't look at last year, right charge,

1355
01:17:52,560 --> 01:17:57,880
Speaker 1: you're looking back now two years now and trying he's

1356
01:17:57,920 --> 01:18:00,559
Speaker 1: on the trajectory to the moon. You heard it here first.

1357
01:18:01,320 --> 01:18:04,240
Speaker 1: I heard it at first last year. Matt, who is

1358
01:18:04,240 --> 01:18:06,679
Speaker 1: your sleeper? This week? I'm gonna talk a little history

1359
01:18:06,720 --> 01:18:10,240
Speaker 1: to um. Darnell Mooney is my sleeper. You can get

1360
01:18:10,280 --> 01:18:13,280
Speaker 1: him in the eleventh or twelfth round right now. Remember

1361
01:18:13,280 --> 01:18:16,280
Speaker 1: when I was talking about Tyler Lockett and his double

1362
01:18:16,320 --> 01:18:19,120
Speaker 1: digit target games, Well, Lockett had three last year and

1363
01:18:19,160 --> 01:18:26,639
Speaker 1: Mooney had to. In fact, since Darnell Mooney's targets last year,

1364
01:18:26,680 --> 01:18:31,360
Speaker 1: we're good for seventh amongst rookie wide receivers target share

1365
01:18:31,640 --> 01:18:35,080
Speaker 1: in their rookie year right. Um, Now, the guy has

1366
01:18:35,120 --> 01:18:38,120
Speaker 1: never had a one yard game and he only scored

1367
01:18:38,160 --> 01:18:40,519
Speaker 1: four times last year, but he was catching balls from

1368
01:18:40,920 --> 01:18:52,360
Speaker 1: Nick Foles and Sad trombone ski. M hm. The upgrade

1369
01:18:52,400 --> 01:18:54,680
Speaker 1: to Andy Dalton is one thing, but the upgrade to

1370
01:18:54,760 --> 01:18:57,720
Speaker 1: Justin Fields is a whole another thing. And Fields and

1371
01:18:57,800 --> 01:19:03,360
Speaker 1: Mooney they're often seen together at Bears camp developing. Maybe

1372
01:19:05,000 --> 01:19:08,640
Speaker 1: possibly people aren't thinking about him because he didn't have

1373
01:19:08,760 --> 01:19:11,719
Speaker 1: that one huge outing last year. He's gonna have several

1374
01:19:11,720 --> 01:19:15,920
Speaker 1: of them this year. He needed to finish it off.

1375
01:19:19,040 --> 01:19:22,880
Speaker 1: I look, I'm going to have very few chances to

1376
01:19:23,040 --> 01:19:26,160
Speaker 1: play my trombo and stuff this year. That's what you think.

1377
01:19:26,280 --> 01:19:28,720
Speaker 1: Unless something awful happens to Josh Allen and let's not

1378
01:19:28,800 --> 01:19:33,400
Speaker 1: let's hope it doesn't come to going off in the

1379
01:19:33,479 --> 01:19:41,200
Speaker 1: twelve round is quarterback eighteen is trail tray, Lance, He

1380
01:19:41,360 --> 01:19:46,400
Speaker 1: is going player four in your draft tray Lance. Um, Yes,

1381
01:19:46,439 --> 01:19:48,759
Speaker 1: he's gonna eat up the roster spot, a roster spot

1382
01:19:48,800 --> 01:19:50,559
Speaker 1: for a while. So if you're in if you're in

1383
01:19:50,800 --> 01:19:53,880
Speaker 1: a league with thin roster spots, I can understand where

1384
01:19:53,920 --> 01:19:55,960
Speaker 1: maybe you can't take a guy who's not going to

1385
01:19:56,040 --> 01:19:59,240
Speaker 1: start for a while. But you know, really it's around twelve.

1386
01:20:00,000 --> 01:20:04,240
Speaker 1: How many guys have like league winning upside in round twelve?

1387
01:20:05,040 --> 01:20:08,240
Speaker 1: Not many? But he does. And why does tray Lance

1388
01:20:08,280 --> 01:20:10,880
Speaker 1: have league winning upside? You might say, well, number one

1389
01:20:11,160 --> 01:20:16,719
Speaker 1: monster arm capable of stretching the field. Number two three

1390
01:20:16,760 --> 01:20:24,920
Speaker 1: excellent receivers, George Kittle, Brandon Ayuk and Deebo Samuel. All

1391
01:20:24,960 --> 01:20:27,360
Speaker 1: three are excellent. He's got running backs who can catch

1392
01:20:27,400 --> 01:20:30,679
Speaker 1: and you can throw there. But what makes tray Lance

1393
01:20:30,760 --> 01:20:34,880
Speaker 1: a league buster is the rushing yard potential. That's the

1394
01:20:34,920 --> 01:20:38,799
Speaker 1: secret sauce for fantasy quarterbacks who put up gigantic games,

1395
01:20:39,120 --> 01:20:41,280
Speaker 1: and that could be coming for tray Lance as well.

1396
01:20:41,600 --> 01:20:44,519
Speaker 1: So then the next question might be, well, okay, but

1397
01:20:44,560 --> 01:20:46,679
Speaker 1: how long do I gotta hold him? Then? To get

1398
01:20:46,720 --> 01:20:51,559
Speaker 1: to this point, I think he could start as early

1399
01:20:51,680 --> 01:20:54,120
Speaker 1: as Week seven. San Francis has got the earliest bye

1400
01:20:54,160 --> 01:20:56,360
Speaker 1: week they've got Week six? Is there bye week? The

1401
01:20:56,520 --> 01:21:01,479
Speaker 1: three games before the Week six by San Francisco plays

1402
01:21:01,920 --> 01:21:04,720
Speaker 1: green Bay that was a thirteen win operation last year,

1403
01:21:05,280 --> 01:21:09,760
Speaker 1: Seattle a twelve win team, and Arizona that was an

1404
01:21:09,760 --> 01:21:12,720
Speaker 1: eight win team, they could easily. San Francisco could lose

1405
01:21:12,760 --> 01:21:15,479
Speaker 1: two of those three games head into the by and

1406
01:21:15,560 --> 01:21:20,200
Speaker 1: start Trey Lance. Week seven. One of the Niners beat

1407
01:21:20,240 --> 01:21:24,800
Speaker 1: reporters has logged all of Garoppolo's throws, all of Tray

1408
01:21:24,880 --> 01:21:28,519
Speaker 1: Lances throws throughout camp through midweek of this past week.

1409
01:21:29,160 --> 01:21:33,960
Speaker 1: Garoppolo a sixty two percent completion rate, six interceptions and

1410
01:21:34,000 --> 01:21:36,840
Speaker 1: six touchdowns. I think we mentioned this, we did. And

1411
01:21:36,880 --> 01:21:40,880
Speaker 1: Trey Lance completion rates ten touchdowns, two rushing touchdowns, and

1412
01:21:40,880 --> 01:21:44,000
Speaker 1: two interceptions. You roll all that together, it looks to

1413
01:21:44,040 --> 01:21:47,200
Speaker 1: me like Trey Lance is gonna win that job now,

1414
01:21:47,600 --> 01:21:50,479
Speaker 1: in fairness Garoppolo's cocaine camp. But here's the beauty of it.

1415
01:21:50,800 --> 01:21:54,200
Speaker 1: Think about this, executing this option. Take Trey Lance in

1416
01:21:54,280 --> 01:21:59,640
Speaker 1: week sorry, round twelve, Take Jimmy Garoppolo in round eighteen,

1417
01:22:00,280 --> 01:22:02,320
Speaker 1: and go to world with the Niners quarterback all season.

1418
01:22:03,120 --> 01:22:05,840
Speaker 1: You get Kyle, You get a Kyle Shanahan lad quarterback.

1419
01:22:06,240 --> 01:22:09,960
Speaker 1: All that talent, all the all the receiving options sounds

1420
01:22:09,960 --> 01:22:15,160
Speaker 1: good to me. I'm on board. I gotta take Dan

1421
01:22:15,280 --> 01:22:18,080
Speaker 1: Arnold in the eighteenth, so I can. You probably have

1422
01:22:18,080 --> 01:22:20,200
Speaker 1: to take him in the seventeenth. Now, look what you've done, Brian,

1423
01:22:20,280 --> 01:22:22,439
Speaker 1: You're gonna personally move the needle. You know, I'll reach

1424
01:22:22,479 --> 01:22:26,479
Speaker 1: around on Dan Arnold anything, Brian. Let's talk about some

1425
01:22:26,520 --> 01:22:29,960
Speaker 1: strategies for those dabbling in a guillotine league for the

1426
01:22:30,000 --> 01:22:33,120
Speaker 1: first time, and especially draft related strategy. Do you want

1427
01:22:33,120 --> 01:22:35,639
Speaker 1: to go over with a guillotine league is real quickly? Yeah,

1428
01:22:35,680 --> 01:22:38,080
Speaker 1: sure I do. You start the season with eighteen teams.

1429
01:22:38,120 --> 01:22:39,639
Speaker 1: This is a whole new format, and you don't play

1430
01:22:39,640 --> 01:22:41,360
Speaker 1: any head to head and instead, at the end of

1431
01:22:41,400 --> 01:22:44,280
Speaker 1: week each week, the low scoring team gets cut and

1432
01:22:44,320 --> 01:22:47,960
Speaker 1: their entire roster goes to the waiver wire and at

1433
01:22:48,000 --> 01:22:51,320
Speaker 1: that point, everybody, you know, never in fantasy football do

1434
01:22:51,360 --> 01:22:54,479
Speaker 1: you end up in a scenario where the waiver wears

1435
01:22:54,520 --> 01:22:58,599
Speaker 1: anything other than just dropped players flots some guys that

1436
01:22:58,760 --> 01:23:00,280
Speaker 1: you know might have a chance to rend your reason

1437
01:23:00,520 --> 01:23:05,680
Speaker 1: you never get like here's Alvin Kmara and Patrick Mahomes

1438
01:23:05,880 --> 01:23:09,040
Speaker 1: and Keenan Allen and yeah, se Kwon Barkley is going

1439
01:23:09,080 --> 01:23:11,400
Speaker 1: to be a guy hitting the waiver wear very often.

1440
01:23:11,680 --> 01:23:13,680
Speaker 1: He could in the first month of the season, yes

1441
01:23:13,720 --> 01:23:15,680
Speaker 1: he could. And well, you know what, it's funny you

1442
01:23:15,720 --> 01:23:17,559
Speaker 1: say that. So you're in the guillotine that you're playing

1443
01:23:17,560 --> 01:23:19,679
Speaker 1: not to lose because I have to do is not finished.

1444
01:23:19,760 --> 01:23:21,760
Speaker 1: Last you get nothing from being the highest scoring team

1445
01:23:21,800 --> 01:23:24,719
Speaker 1: that week. No, you just don't be last in any

1446
01:23:24,840 --> 01:23:27,960
Speaker 1: given week. So the whole profile of your draft should

1447
01:23:28,040 --> 01:23:30,280
Speaker 1: it change, and if it doesn't, you're doing it wrong. Matt,

1448
01:23:30,360 --> 01:23:33,759
Speaker 1: you hit on one of the key elements of Guillotine

1449
01:23:33,800 --> 01:23:37,479
Speaker 1: League drafting strategy, and it's safety. Um. I have a

1450
01:23:37,520 --> 01:23:41,240
Speaker 1: Guillotine League cheat sheet as well over at shock Fantasy

1451
01:23:41,280 --> 01:23:44,120
Speaker 1: dot com where we map out the first couple of

1452
01:23:44,120 --> 01:23:47,080
Speaker 1: weeks of the schedule. I believe it's just like yours charge. Um.

1453
01:23:47,120 --> 01:23:49,880
Speaker 1: We got the a DP from from your Guillotine League

1454
01:23:49,960 --> 01:23:53,320
Speaker 1: site on there as well, And there's guys that I punished,

1455
01:23:53,400 --> 01:23:57,920
Speaker 1: like way way way down like Sae Kwon Barkley, who

1456
01:23:57,960 --> 01:24:00,680
Speaker 1: I have as my number twenty two running back on

1457
01:24:00,720 --> 01:24:05,519
Speaker 1: my cheat sheet. He's down that low because he gets Denver, Washington, Atlanta,

1458
01:24:05,600 --> 01:24:07,320
Speaker 1: New Orleans in the first four weeks, and three of

1459
01:24:07,360 --> 01:24:10,400
Speaker 1: those four were top eight defenses against running backs. Like

1460
01:24:10,520 --> 01:24:11,880
Speaker 1: we don't even know coming off the a c L,

1461
01:24:11,920 --> 01:24:14,320
Speaker 1: Sae Kwon Barkley going to be healthy at all? And

1462
01:24:14,320 --> 01:24:17,800
Speaker 1: exactly maybe if he's not healthy, he's not what's his

1463
01:24:17,840 --> 01:24:20,200
Speaker 1: workload going to be? Like something going to be diminished?

1464
01:24:20,240 --> 01:24:23,080
Speaker 1: Somebody in your Guillotine league is gonna go se Kwon Barkley,

1465
01:24:23,080 --> 01:24:25,960
Speaker 1: and I'm pick seventeen in the draft. They're going to

1466
01:24:26,080 --> 01:24:29,720
Speaker 1: take him. They're going to regret that decision because your

1467
01:24:29,760 --> 01:24:33,760
Speaker 1: strategy is don't be last, be second to last every week.

1468
01:24:33,920 --> 01:24:36,559
Speaker 1: If you're second to last every week, you'll win the league.

1469
01:24:37,080 --> 01:24:39,759
Speaker 1: The better saying is if you ain't last your first

1470
01:24:39,960 --> 01:24:43,200
Speaker 1: that's right every week. And now, I don't want to

1471
01:24:44,040 --> 01:24:48,479
Speaker 1: any cheat sheet beef between you guys, but like Matt said,

1472
01:24:48,479 --> 01:24:52,599
Speaker 1: you definitely want to target safety, avoid risk, especially very

1473
01:24:52,640 --> 01:24:55,679
Speaker 1: early on in the season, and chart your premium cheat

1474
01:24:55,720 --> 01:25:01,320
Speaker 1: sheet on guillotine dot com. Many things is like strength

1475
01:25:01,360 --> 01:25:04,280
Speaker 1: of schedule through weeks one through four, like se Kuon Barkley,

1476
01:25:04,360 --> 01:25:07,160
Speaker 1: who you said, I can see very clearly. I get

1477
01:25:07,240 --> 01:25:11,280
Speaker 1: the beef coded cheat sheet that s Kuon Barkley is

1478
01:25:11,280 --> 01:25:14,840
Speaker 1: the seventh hardest strength of schedule for running backs weeks

1479
01:25:14,880 --> 01:25:16,639
Speaker 1: one through four, so I'm all out on him. I'm

1480
01:25:16,640 --> 01:25:21,240
Speaker 1: also seeing data broke down just how players finished in

1481
01:25:21,280 --> 01:25:23,160
Speaker 1: the first half of the season based on the last

1482
01:25:23,200 --> 01:25:25,599
Speaker 1: half of the season last year, what percentage of their

1483
01:25:25,640 --> 01:25:28,920
Speaker 1: games are inside the top twelve based on outside of

1484
01:25:28,960 --> 01:25:32,639
Speaker 1: the top thirty very useful information on charge of premium

1485
01:25:32,720 --> 01:25:35,040
Speaker 1: GAIETA lead cheat sheets. So yeah, you got to avoid

1486
01:25:35,600 --> 01:25:39,200
Speaker 1: the risk, target the safety and other things you don't

1487
01:25:39,200 --> 01:25:41,479
Speaker 1: want to do in a GAIA team league's draft. Unlike

1488
01:25:41,520 --> 01:25:43,880
Speaker 1: best Ball, where you kind of want to stack teams

1489
01:25:43,920 --> 01:25:45,479
Speaker 1: and go all in on teams to get a high

1490
01:25:45,520 --> 01:25:48,640
Speaker 1: school you you spread out in gay team leagues. You

1491
01:25:48,680 --> 01:25:52,360
Speaker 1: don't want to buy your portfolio exactly, much better way

1492
01:25:52,360 --> 01:25:54,479
Speaker 1: to put it, even it's even if it's the Chiefs.

1493
01:25:54,520 --> 01:25:56,280
Speaker 1: You don't want to put all your eggs in one

1494
01:25:56,320 --> 01:25:59,760
Speaker 1: basket because if they roll over dead one week, you're

1495
01:25:59,760 --> 01:26:03,240
Speaker 1: get and beheaded. So yeah, don't stack the same teams

1496
01:26:03,280 --> 01:26:06,760
Speaker 1: and and just draft smart because you want to save

1497
01:26:06,840 --> 01:26:09,800
Speaker 1: your FAB as long as possible going into this season.

1498
01:26:09,840 --> 01:26:13,759
Speaker 1: You're gonna be tempted to spend big bucks on Alvin

1499
01:26:13,840 --> 01:26:15,960
Speaker 1: Kamara if he's on the waiver wire in Week two.

1500
01:26:16,040 --> 01:26:18,800
Speaker 1: But the longer you hold your FAB and control the

1501
01:26:18,840 --> 01:26:22,040
Speaker 1: board in that regard, the more power you have moving

1502
01:26:22,080 --> 01:26:24,040
Speaker 1: along in this season. I think it's important that you

1503
01:26:24,080 --> 01:26:26,879
Speaker 1: guys mentioned the fab part, and maybe we haven't explained

1504
01:26:26,920 --> 01:26:29,479
Speaker 1: that quite well enough. You get a thousand dollars worth

1505
01:26:29,560 --> 01:26:34,120
Speaker 1: of free agent bidding allowance for the year, but you

1506
01:26:34,160 --> 01:26:36,240
Speaker 1: get it for the year, so you get one thousand

1507
01:26:36,240 --> 01:26:37,960
Speaker 1: for the year, not for every week, just for the

1508
01:26:37,960 --> 01:26:42,200
Speaker 1: whole year. You could spend nine dollars on Christian McCaffrey

1509
01:26:42,240 --> 01:26:44,559
Speaker 1: if he becomes available, but then you've got a hundred

1510
01:26:44,560 --> 01:26:46,800
Speaker 1: dollars for the rest of the year and you're probably

1511
01:26:46,840 --> 01:26:50,320
Speaker 1: not getting anything good until the very very end of

1512
01:26:50,320 --> 01:26:54,960
Speaker 1: the year. Another drafting strategy. Another drafting tip um look

1513
01:26:54,960 --> 01:26:57,599
Speaker 1: out for rookies very dangerous in guilloteen leagues because you're

1514
01:26:57,640 --> 01:26:59,880
Speaker 1: trying to survive, especially through the early weeks of this

1515
01:27:00,000 --> 01:27:03,160
Speaker 1: season when everybody because there's eighteen teams in the Guillotine League,

1516
01:27:03,200 --> 01:27:05,840
Speaker 1: your roster is not great. You're just trying to survive

1517
01:27:05,920 --> 01:27:07,639
Speaker 1: for the first month of the season so you can

1518
01:27:07,760 --> 01:27:10,639
Speaker 1: hit the waiver wire and get more help and build

1519
01:27:10,680 --> 01:27:14,160
Speaker 1: up a better roster. And rookies. As much as we

1520
01:27:14,280 --> 01:27:17,639
Speaker 1: love rookies like Javonte Williams, I think it's gonna be great,

1521
01:27:17,920 --> 01:27:21,200
Speaker 1: But is he gonna be great in September? Maybe not.

1522
01:27:21,320 --> 01:27:23,720
Speaker 1: Look at Jonathan Taylor last year. He was not a

1523
01:27:23,720 --> 01:27:27,840
Speaker 1: reliable starter until December. And so rookies are guys that

1524
01:27:27,840 --> 01:27:30,360
Speaker 1: you need to be careful about. And one other element

1525
01:27:30,479 --> 01:27:32,960
Speaker 1: for from a drafting strategy for guillotine leagues. So you

1526
01:27:32,960 --> 01:27:36,200
Speaker 1: should know you gotta pay attention to the bye weeks. Normally,

1527
01:27:36,200 --> 01:27:38,200
Speaker 1: in my redrafts, I don't pay, I don't care. But

1528
01:27:38,240 --> 01:27:41,200
Speaker 1: if you you want to avoid early by weeks because

1529
01:27:41,200 --> 01:27:43,240
Speaker 1: your team's wobbly at the beginning of the year, and

1530
01:27:43,280 --> 01:27:46,720
Speaker 1: when you've take Says and Saints that have a week

1531
01:27:46,800 --> 01:27:49,800
Speaker 1: six by that earliest buys, you don't you know when

1532
01:27:49,800 --> 01:27:53,240
Speaker 1: you're losing Alvin Kamara, you don't have a replacement who's

1533
01:27:53,320 --> 01:27:56,280
Speaker 1: very good by week six and all probability. And if

1534
01:27:56,320 --> 01:27:58,920
Speaker 1: you've got three or four starters that have weeks six,

1535
01:27:59,040 --> 01:28:00,880
Speaker 1: you've got a huge problem them on your hands. Yeah

1536
01:28:00,920 --> 01:28:05,679
Speaker 1: you said, uh. In redraft a players standalone by virtually

1537
01:28:06,000 --> 01:28:09,200
Speaker 1: worthless information. But in a guy tea league, very very

1538
01:28:09,200 --> 01:28:11,719
Speaker 1: important to pay attention to win their bias. Not only

1539
01:28:11,760 --> 01:28:14,559
Speaker 1: that bye week stacking is terrible. You don't want to

1540
01:28:14,560 --> 01:28:17,400
Speaker 1: do the bye week stacking, but the later the bye week,

1541
01:28:17,840 --> 01:28:20,720
Speaker 1: the longer you have that player. So targeting players with

1542
01:28:20,720 --> 01:28:25,000
Speaker 1: weeks thirteen and fourteen buys it's actually a valuable tiebreaker

1543
01:28:25,280 --> 01:28:28,519
Speaker 1: when you're looking at two players absolutely Guillotine league dot

1544
01:28:28,560 --> 01:28:31,000
Speaker 1: com for all of that and more public leagues, private

1545
01:28:31,040 --> 01:28:33,120
Speaker 1: leagues to your friends. However, you like to play your

1546
01:28:33,160 --> 01:28:36,879
Speaker 1: guillotine leagues at guillotine leagues dot com. Uh. Thanks everybody,

1547
01:28:36,880 --> 01:28:39,360
Speaker 1: appreciate listening. Matt Ryan, great job. Thank you have any

1548
01:28:39,400 --> 01:28:42,280
Speaker 1: part of the show. Check out our podcast, available on

1549
01:28:42,320 --> 01:28:44,679
Speaker 1: the i heart Radio app and wherever you get your podcast,

1550
01:28:44,760 --> 01:29:04,160
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly Talking to a week. Fantasy Football Weekly

1551
01:29:04,280 --> 01:29:06,879
Speaker 1: is a production of I heart Radio. For more podcasts

1552
01:29:06,920 --> 01:29:09,280
Speaker 1: from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app,

1553
01:29:09,320 --> 01:29:12,439
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.