1
00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:13,039
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

2
00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:16,840
Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network.

3
00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:22,079
Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

4
00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:28,040
Speaker 1: I am live from my Tommy John home studio, and

5
00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:32,200
Speaker 1: I'm joined as always by my co host, my companion,

6
00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:37,720
Speaker 1: my campadre, my BFF, professional better Simon Hunter. What else?

7
00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:38,120
Speaker 1: So I'm in?

8
00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,480
Speaker 2: Hello, Chad, fix the camera, brother, We're all good to go,

9
00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,640
Speaker 2: ready to bet some ugly dogs and hopefully, hopefully the

10
00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,280
Speaker 2: takes are so hot it doesn't overheat the camera once again.

11
00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,479
Speaker 1: Well listen. I feel like, just in the pre show banter,

12
00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:57,360
Speaker 1: I felt like coming into today we would be on

13
00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:00,960
Speaker 1: the same page. And I don't feel like we are.

14
00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:05,679
Speaker 1: So let's get to it. I'm feeling a little like

15
00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:13,240
Speaker 1: a little sad today. Last night was my last curriculum

16
00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:20,240
Speaker 1: night as a parent for my kids. My senior had

17
00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:22,080
Speaker 1: his curriculum night last night.

18
00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:24,360
Speaker 3: What is curriculum? Is that back to school nights?

19
00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:25,240
Speaker 1: Back to school night?

20
00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:27,600
Speaker 3: Oh my god? I hate the name change. Hate the

21
00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:28,400
Speaker 3: name change.

22
00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:30,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know that's what they call it here

23
00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:34,240
Speaker 1: in West Harford. I think when you become a when

24
00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:36,679
Speaker 1: you become a senior in high school. It's no longer

25
00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,360
Speaker 1: back to school. It's very serious. It's curriculum night.

26
00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:43,959
Speaker 2: Now they should reminded they're still children. They're children. Okay,

27
00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,400
Speaker 2: it's back to school night. Maybe in college. I get it.

28
00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:48,600
Speaker 2: I get when the parents come and visit. They can

29
00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:51,240
Speaker 2: give it some name, but that's crazy name change.

30
00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:55,280
Speaker 1: Well, listen, whatever it is, it's over for me. So

31
00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:57,280
Speaker 1: now all I have to look forward to is what

32
00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:01,240
Speaker 1: we do on this show. And I'm already upset. I'm

33
00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,680
Speaker 1: even more upset because we can't get on the same page. Well,

34
00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:06,520
Speaker 1: we'll have to talk it through. There's no one else

35
00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,600
Speaker 1: in this marriage, Simon, but you and me. All the

36
00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:12,360
Speaker 1: outside noise has to go away. You and I have

37
00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,839
Speaker 1: to come to an agreement. Today, as our NFL Week

38
00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:18,000
Speaker 1: three Best Bets episode, Simon and I will narrow down

39
00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:21,280
Speaker 1: our five picks in the Favorites Podcast one hundred thousand

40
00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,799
Speaker 1: dollars Pro Football Pick Them contest presented by bet three

41
00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:29,640
Speaker 1: six y five sign up favorites dot Actionnetwork dot com.

42
00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:32,880
Speaker 1: We will also get to our foxhole, our Tommy John

43
00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:37,120
Speaker 1: Big Balls bet of the Week. Simon's biggest bets are

44
00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:40,320
Speaker 1: boosted money line underdog parlay at Bet three sixty five

45
00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:44,560
Speaker 1: plus our underdog Round Robin parlay. We're still debating if

46
00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:46,360
Speaker 1: we're going to give a survivor because we are so

47
00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,000
Speaker 1: out of survivor that we didn't want to talk about anymore.

48
00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,200
Speaker 1: Bets are rolling in lines, removing decisions need to be made.

49
00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:57,440
Speaker 1: As our friend and volume podcast boss Colin Coward Life

50
00:02:57,480 --> 00:02:58,120
Speaker 1: to say.

51
00:02:58,240 --> 00:02:59,880
Speaker 3: There's a sea of money out there.

52
00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:03,480
Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorite Podcast is presented by Bet

53
00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,399
Speaker 1: three six five and this just in new Bet three

54
00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:09,799
Speaker 1: sixty five customers now get two hundred dollars in bonus

55
00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:12,720
Speaker 1: bets when you bet five dollars. Sign up using promo

56
00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,519
Speaker 1: code Favorite deposit ten dollars in place of bet for

57
00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,480
Speaker 1: five dollars to get two hundred dollars in bonus bets.

58
00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:24,000
Speaker 1: Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, features,

59
00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:28,040
Speaker 1: and more. Whatever the moment, it's never ordinary. At Bet

60
00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,639
Speaker 1: three six five. Must be twenty one or older and

61
00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:39,040
Speaker 1: present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia,

62
00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,400
Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one

63
00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:45,200
Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off. In

64
00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:51,040
Speaker 1: Iowa terms, conditioned restrictions apply all right Thursdays during the season.

65
00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,840
Speaker 1: We like to hear how the wise guys are responding

66
00:03:54,960 --> 00:04:00,240
Speaker 1: to our Tuesday conversation. That's how influential we are are,

67
00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:05,040
Speaker 1: and the pros feel compelled to weigh in. Simon, Well,

68
00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,800
Speaker 1: I bet there's a lot to discuss shark calls.

69
00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:14,320
Speaker 3: Hello, who's there, I'm talking rain.

70
00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:19,000
Speaker 1: Rain telephone range, somebody saying maybe what you do? Man?

71
00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:21,720
Speaker 2: It's more split this week than I thought it was

72
00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:23,240
Speaker 2: going to be. Last week, it felt like it was

73
00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:26,080
Speaker 2: very one sided. This week, there's a lot of split games.

74
00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,200
Speaker 2: In one game we're probably gonna pass. And we even

75
00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:31,000
Speaker 2: talked about the pros are pretty split on this Chargers

76
00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,480
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh game, right. I think a lot of people are

77
00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:35,880
Speaker 2: looking at the Chargers are a better team and the

78
00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:38,600
Speaker 2: better quarterback, and this is a good spot for them,

79
00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:40,719
Speaker 2: And I think me and you are a bit a

80
00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:42,919
Speaker 2: little bit lost in that one where it's like we

81
00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:44,880
Speaker 2: like Pittsburgh but don't know.

82
00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:46,119
Speaker 3: One of our final five.

83
00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:50,680
Speaker 2: Uh, you know, the pros absolutely love the Vikings this week, right,

84
00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:52,960
Speaker 2: we saw that number open at three and a half.

85
00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:55,800
Speaker 2: It's it's down now to most books at two to

86
00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,800
Speaker 2: two and a half. So uh, not too shocking there.

87
00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:01,640
Speaker 2: You know, we'll get into that one more. I think

88
00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:04,960
Speaker 2: it has a lot to be with Ryan Fors. But yeah,

89
00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:10,039
Speaker 2: pretty crazy that numbers moved so much. So game another game.

90
00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:14,760
Speaker 2: We're probably gonna get more into this Raiders Panthers game.

91
00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:17,520
Speaker 2: The pros love the Panthers. They loved Andy dolon bounce

92
00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:21,360
Speaker 2: back spot. I told you my hesitation is can they

93
00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,720
Speaker 2: get stops on that defense.

94
00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:27,120
Speaker 3: On that Yeah, so that's thoughts. I think a lot

95
00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:28,040
Speaker 3: of pro that thoughts on it.

96
00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:30,479
Speaker 2: So that's why they they're kind of saying that this

97
00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,160
Speaker 2: Raiders team when the worst run teams in all football,

98
00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:35,560
Speaker 2: they're they're a little overrated as well. After that big win,

99
00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:37,280
Speaker 2: this spread to them should be closer to three and

100
00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:38,000
Speaker 2: a half than it is.

101
00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,279
Speaker 3: At four and a half. Five, So pretty interesting that.

102
00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:42,800
Speaker 2: I'm I was a little not not loving that one

103
00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:44,400
Speaker 2: where I wanted to be on the Panthers, but it

104
00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:46,120
Speaker 2: was just I just thought it was a bad number.

105
00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:48,200
Speaker 2: The pros think that's a good number. So if you

106
00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:51,120
Speaker 2: if you have any hesitation, I get it. The Panthers

107
00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:53,520
Speaker 2: haven't looked like a real team in two weeks. But

108
00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:56,200
Speaker 2: that's that's where the pros are back in this week,

109
00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:59,280
Speaker 2: the big one. I think I've crossed over Chad to

110
00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:03,040
Speaker 2: the Ravens side. The pros love the Ravens obviously. Lamar

111
00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,720
Speaker 2: twenty and one straight up against the NFC. I think

112
00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,440
Speaker 2: most professionals that jumps out to them, right. He just

113
00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:12,800
Speaker 2: historically has won these games against the NFC, and the

114
00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:15,280
Speaker 2: one loss he did have if people don't remember, it

115
00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:18,000
Speaker 2: was against the Giants. You know, this fluky game where

116
00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:19,679
Speaker 2: they were up ten, they lost it in the final

117
00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,720
Speaker 2: two minutes type of game. So for those early games,

118
00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:24,960
Speaker 2: that's where they're at. The game two games we and

119
00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:26,599
Speaker 2: Chad love, the Pros love as well.

120
00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:27,440
Speaker 3: Atlanta.

121
00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:30,279
Speaker 2: I thought no doubt this would be in our contest.

122
00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:32,000
Speaker 2: I think Chad's come around on it a little bit

123
00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:35,120
Speaker 2: as we turn along here. This is definitely a professional

124
00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:36,719
Speaker 2: sticking the flag in the game.

125
00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:38,320
Speaker 3: We all the same view.

126
00:06:38,360 --> 00:06:41,320
Speaker 2: There's some major questions right now about this Kansas City offense,

127
00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:43,880
Speaker 2: and then Chad's gonna happy to hear this the game

128
00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:46,680
Speaker 2: that I was not totally in on, but I'm coming

129
00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:50,160
Speaker 2: around with it. Supporting my guy Chad the Jaguars.

130
00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:52,559
Speaker 3: It's a good number. It should be closer to four.

131
00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:55,599
Speaker 2: It's still at five at most books. Professionals I talked

132
00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:56,680
Speaker 2: to that love that number.

133
00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:57,720
Speaker 3: They've already bet it.

134
00:06:57,760 --> 00:07:02,400
Speaker 2: They're hoping right that by Sunday everyone starts putting Buffalo

135
00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:04,440
Speaker 2: in their teasers. Everyone starts bend that number up, and

136
00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:06,720
Speaker 2: maybe it does get back up the five and a

137
00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:07,280
Speaker 2: half six.

138
00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:08,800
Speaker 3: So if you want to wait on that one, I

139
00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:09,280
Speaker 3: totally get.

140
00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,600
Speaker 2: I'm still grabbing the five now, just in case more

141
00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:12,680
Speaker 2: professional money comes.

142
00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:13,240
Speaker 3: Out bets it down.

143
00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,840
Speaker 2: So yeah, a lot of road dogs this week for

144
00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:16,920
Speaker 2: the professional betters.

145
00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,400
Speaker 1: This is gonna be a fun. One quick note on

146
00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:23,360
Speaker 1: Thursday Night Football from our friend Evan Abrams, director of research,

147
00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:25,840
Speaker 1: is going to join us on the show after the

148
00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:28,280
Speaker 1: opening week of the season. The New York Jets haven't

149
00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:33,120
Speaker 1: closed above a field goal favorite versus a team that

150
00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:37,320
Speaker 1: is five hundred or better since twenty twelve, when, by

151
00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:42,000
Speaker 1: the way, one of my favorite songs was still on

152
00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:49,920
Speaker 1: the Billboard Hot one hundred charts, Thank You Going Crazy.

153
00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,000
Speaker 1: It's so random that Matt Mitchell chose call me maybe

154
00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,720
Speaker 1: because no joke. My wife and I were out Saturday night.

155
00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:03,920
Speaker 1: We were listening to live music here in the Harford area.

156
00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:07,600
Speaker 1: We're fun like that. The couple we were with someone

157
00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:10,040
Speaker 1: said that she loved to sing karaoke. I said, I

158
00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:13,840
Speaker 1: had a list of like karaoke go tos. Call me

159
00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:18,440
Speaker 1: maybe is on the list. What do you think about?

160
00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:21,200
Speaker 1: Oh God, Sam, and you're learning so much today about me.

161
00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:24,000
Speaker 1: I never fail to disappoint.

162
00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:26,920
Speaker 2: I just love how different our lives are. Like I

163
00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:29,520
Speaker 2: think I dropped LSD on Monday, and when did karaoke?

164
00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,040
Speaker 2: And Chad's out here saying call Me Babies, one of

165
00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:35,319
Speaker 2: my favorite songs. We're just in totally different worlds right now,

166
00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:36,199
Speaker 2: my friend, we.

167
00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:39,680
Speaker 1: Could not be living a more different life. That's so funny.

168
00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:42,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to our final five. I'll tell

169
00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:45,360
Speaker 1: you right now. This game, Denver at Tampa. Denver's a

170
00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:48,160
Speaker 1: six and a half point dog. I love this game

171
00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,840
Speaker 1: so much. I love everything about this game. I don't

172
00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:53,839
Speaker 1: know how we are not going to put it in

173
00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:58,079
Speaker 1: our final five, Simon, Like I know we are afraid

174
00:08:58,120 --> 00:08:59,840
Speaker 1: bo Nicks can't throw a touchdown.

175
00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:03,640
Speaker 3: He just undressed all the way around. Look at that,

176
00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:05,280
Speaker 3: he just got it handed to it.

177
00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:11,000
Speaker 1: This is the biggest luck rankings game on the board.

178
00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:14,920
Speaker 1: Of all the ways we can slice and dice the

179
00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:20,199
Speaker 1: the luck rankings home versus away, the delta in our

180
00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:24,760
Speaker 1: overall luck rankings between unlucky and lucky early in the

181
00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:28,400
Speaker 1: season versus late in the season, the team in Denver

182
00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:33,679
Speaker 1: spot covers sixty four plus percent of the time. Our

183
00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:37,600
Speaker 1: rankings have the Buses the luckiest, the Broncos as the

184
00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:44,320
Speaker 1: second most unlucky. Videvea out Anchwine Winfield banged up or

185
00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:48,960
Speaker 1: either out or playing very hurt. Boenick started against two

186
00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:53,439
Speaker 1: really good defenses. Is he now getting a break? Simon?

187
00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,480
Speaker 1: I need you to be my betting buddy on this.

188
00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:00,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would say, my only hesitation check. That is

189
00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,560
Speaker 2: what is going on in college football. These rookie qbs

190
00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:06,680
Speaker 2: keep getting worse. That's my fear, Like these these kids

191
00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:11,440
Speaker 2: all look lost, and I'm worried that because of the

192
00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:14,480
Speaker 2: way the betters are in this new waterin. I mean,

193
00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:16,079
Speaker 2: Evan could even talk about the end of the show.

194
00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:18,280
Speaker 2: This back in the day would have been a ten

195
00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:20,679
Speaker 2: point spread. In what world? Is this not a ten

196
00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,240
Speaker 2: or eleven spread? And that's what's really pissing me off here.

197
00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:26,400
Speaker 2: It's like I agree with the number. I make it seven.

198
00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:28,960
Speaker 2: So yeah, I have value towards this Bucks team. But

199
00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:31,520
Speaker 2: you just nailed it, like bon Nick should be able

200
00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:33,880
Speaker 2: to move the ball against his team, Jared Goff. I

201
00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:35,960
Speaker 2: think he was one for seven in the red zone, right,

202
00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,080
Speaker 2: that was the struggle of that game. So you're able

203
00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,080
Speaker 2: to move this ball against his Buck team. But it's

204
00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:44,240
Speaker 2: like if they're gonna do with the Patriots thing of

205
00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:46,520
Speaker 2: you know, the Belichick way of just once the team's

206
00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:48,800
Speaker 2: get in the red zone, they're done. We've seen that

207
00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,040
Speaker 2: with boon Knicks. Now, it's just he struggled when he

208
00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,040
Speaker 2: gets down there. So that's my hesitation. Jet Other than that,

209
00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,960
Speaker 2: I agree with everything you've said, like why would we

210
00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,600
Speaker 2: not buy low on this bronc Ghos team? Why would

211
00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:03,160
Speaker 2: we not sell this Bucks team that clearly got lucky

212
00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:05,719
Speaker 2: to not only win that game, but you know win

213
00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:06,679
Speaker 2: the way they did, right.

214
00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:09,120
Speaker 3: They their defense.

215
00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:11,800
Speaker 2: Has so many injuries, So you can get me around

216
00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:14,240
Speaker 2: to it. It's just you're throwing out three or four

217
00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:17,079
Speaker 2: really ugly dogs this week that are big numbers. We

218
00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:18,760
Speaker 2: got to pick one or two and we can't take

219
00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:22,040
Speaker 2: all three or four, right, we can't take the Jaguars, Panthers,

220
00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:23,240
Speaker 2: and the Broncos.

221
00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:25,760
Speaker 3: That's that's usually doesn't work out well for us.

222
00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,200
Speaker 2: We just blindly take these gross dogs, which I do

223
00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:32,040
Speaker 2: agree with them, but it's tough trying to cipher through

224
00:11:32,080 --> 00:11:33,959
Speaker 2: all them. It's like, Okay, at least I'm getting a

225
00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:36,400
Speaker 2: bigger number on some other guys that I do have

226
00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:38,360
Speaker 2: more confidence in. Like I know it's crazy to say,

227
00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:41,400
Speaker 2: but I do have more confident confidence in Andy Dalton

228
00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:43,640
Speaker 2: than I do in a bow Knicks type. So that's

229
00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:44,880
Speaker 2: just what I'm trying to save us from. I do

230
00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:47,440
Speaker 2: agree with the luck rankings though, right this is this

231
00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:49,720
Speaker 2: definitely makes sense. This one team, the Bucks have been

232
00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:52,360
Speaker 2: lucky to start the year, where Denver has had some

233
00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:52,960
Speaker 2: bad luck.

234
00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:54,840
Speaker 3: But that's that's my hesitation.

235
00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:59,000
Speaker 1: Chad, all right, Well, they're not in the final five yet.

236
00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:00,599
Speaker 1: I do think we've got a couple of games that

237
00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:04,200
Speaker 1: we feel really good about the final five that we

238
00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:08,080
Speaker 1: are going to get to. I feel very good about

239
00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,439
Speaker 1: the Broncos, a little nervous because I don't think that

240
00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:13,199
Speaker 1: line is going to be any better than six and

241
00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:15,439
Speaker 1: a half in the contest. I haven't bet it yet

242
00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:17,880
Speaker 1: because I'm waiting for the number to go back to seven.

243
00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,200
Speaker 1: I think it will get there. It's trending that way.

244
00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:23,200
Speaker 1: The juice is sort of in indicator that it's going

245
00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:26,959
Speaker 1: to go back to seven. But man, I want to

246
00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:30,720
Speaker 1: bet this game so bad. Guess what. Guess what? Simon, Yes, sir,

247
00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:36,000
Speaker 1: it is time. It is time for our big balls

248
00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:42,760
Speaker 1: bet of the week resented by Tommy John. If you've

249
00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:47,880
Speaker 1: got the balls, Tommy John has the support. Great games

250
00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:56,520
Speaker 1: start with great underwear, and Tommy John makes the greatest

251
00:12:57,000 --> 00:13:02,800
Speaker 1: as you guys know, all right, Houston at Minnesota. Minnesota's

252
00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:08,360
Speaker 1: plus two massive pros. Joe's split here sixty five percent

253
00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:13,800
Speaker 1: of the bets on the Texans, seventy percent of the

254
00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:17,960
Speaker 1: money on the Vikings. That's why the line has moved

255
00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,079
Speaker 1: from three and a half on Sunday night to two

256
00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:24,160
Speaker 1: and a half, now down to two. You convinced me

257
00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:26,280
Speaker 1: of this. I was a little bit nervous because I

258
00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,480
Speaker 1: was anxious about the line movement. I think it's moved

259
00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:32,760
Speaker 1: a little bit too much for me to feel comfortable

260
00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:37,040
Speaker 1: going all in on it. But for the contest, you

261
00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:41,640
Speaker 1: feel like we're ready to roll. State your case, Simon Hunter.

262
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel it is nice for forgetting especially two

263
00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:45,920
Speaker 2: and plus two and a half in the contest. But

264
00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:49,560
Speaker 2: this is not so much banking on Sam Donald, right.

265
00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:51,719
Speaker 2: I think he'll keep doing what he's been doing, and

266
00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:55,520
Speaker 2: you know, the hope is that they'll have their wide

267
00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:57,360
Speaker 2: receivers back and everyone will be good to go. And

268
00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:00,840
Speaker 2: if obviously there's some late scratches mean chatter, happy to

269
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,800
Speaker 2: switch this one out. But Brian Bryan Foryes, I mean,

270
00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:05,760
Speaker 2: we haven't really talked about it, what he's done through

271
00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:09,120
Speaker 2: two games with this defense, and even last year. I mean,

272
00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:10,960
Speaker 2: I couldn't believe how they were so good last year

273
00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:12,840
Speaker 2: when they just had a bunch of nameless people.

274
00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:14,920
Speaker 3: And it's kind of carried over to this season. Right.

275
00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:17,720
Speaker 2: He's turning turning guys into names and putting people in

276
00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,800
Speaker 2: the right positions. And it's the exotic blick pack blitz

277
00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,800
Speaker 2: packages they're running right now that's really working. And in

278
00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:27,040
Speaker 2: his career, you know, he's done well against these first

279
00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:31,160
Speaker 2: year year two quarterbacks. So it makes more sense than

280
00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:33,040
Speaker 2: you dive into why this number is calling down. I

281
00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:36,120
Speaker 2: know that public perception is Houston's a much better team.

282
00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:38,560
Speaker 2: You know, this is a team people project go to

283
00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:41,320
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl. The books know that, right, there's a

284
00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:43,920
Speaker 2: reason they're over to this year on the spread, and

285
00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,520
Speaker 2: each non cover is by half a point shot. Like

286
00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:48,480
Speaker 2: the books kind of know what they're doing here with

287
00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:50,680
Speaker 2: this this Houston team, right, they know that.

288
00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:52,040
Speaker 3: The public money will come in.

289
00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,600
Speaker 2: So the fact that they've moved it down even though

290
00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:57,720
Speaker 2: they know comes Sunday, a lot of money's men come

291
00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,960
Speaker 2: pouring in because why would you not bet CJ on

292
00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:04,760
Speaker 2: the road and is less than two points against Sam Donald? Right,

293
00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:07,360
Speaker 2: It's it's a spot that I see them taking position

294
00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,120
Speaker 2: on the public. So I want to grab it now.

295
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,120
Speaker 2: I would grab it now just because I do think

296
00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:14,520
Speaker 2: professional one will keep coming down. This number will keep

297
00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:18,040
Speaker 2: getting bet down. So yeah, I really love this star

298
00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:20,960
Speaker 2: big ball is bet It's just it's a tough one

299
00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:23,160
Speaker 2: for me to swallow because it is Sam Donald. But

300
00:15:23,160 --> 00:15:25,960
Speaker 2: it's like, I can't believe me and Chad now are

301
00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:29,680
Speaker 2: backing him in this spot under a field goal against CJ.

302
00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:33,520
Speaker 2: So Chad knows though, we don't like backing CJ on

303
00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:35,920
Speaker 2: the road, especially in a game where he's a favorite.

304
00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:40,240
Speaker 2: So trusting the number, trusting this Vikings defense in the spot.

305
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:42,240
Speaker 1: That's what we're doing this week. We're getting back to

306
00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:46,840
Speaker 1: the basics. We're trusting the numbers, We're trusting our instincts.

307
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:51,880
Speaker 1: We're not being swayed by our bias against quarterbacks. I

308
00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:56,040
Speaker 1: have been saying for over a year now, I think

309
00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:59,480
Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell is underrated as a coach, and I think

310
00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:01,800
Speaker 1: he's fine starting to get a little bit of recognition

311
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,560
Speaker 1: because of what he's doing with Sam Darnold through two

312
00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,920
Speaker 1: games that is similar to what he was doing last

313
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,960
Speaker 1: year with his rotation of quarterbacks and keeping the Vikings

314
00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 1: in playoff contention after Kirk Cousins was injured. So, Minnesota Vikings,

315
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:26,520
Speaker 1: they are big Balls bet of the Week our sponsor

316
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:30,120
Speaker 1: Tommy John. They give me the kind of support I

317
00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:34,640
Speaker 1: need and make me comfortable enough to invest in the

318
00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings as our big Balls Better the Week. You

319
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:42,600
Speaker 1: guys know, this is the most comfortable underwear I've ever worn.

320
00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:44,720
Speaker 1: You love Simon or if you love this show, you

321
00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:47,880
Speaker 1: love Tommy John. Get twenty five percent off your first

322
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:51,960
Speaker 1: order right now at Tommy john dot com slash favorites.

323
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:57,680
Speaker 1: Save twenty five percent at Tommy John dot com slash favorites.

324
00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:03,520
Speaker 1: One more stat for you from Evan Minnesota Vikings dogs

325
00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:08,720
Speaker 1: in this spot, undefeated versus undefeated in Week three, thirteen

326
00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,920
Speaker 1: to nine against the spread, home teams fourteen and eight

327
00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:15,320
Speaker 1: against the spread. So there is a little bit of

328
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:20,120
Speaker 1: trendiness to back up Minnesota Vikings. You mentioned off the top,

329
00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:22,639
Speaker 1: the Chargers and the Steelers. I almost just want to

330
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,159
Speaker 1: skip this game. What. I don't think it's going to

331
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,520
Speaker 1: make our final five. The line has moved in the

332
00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:30,760
Speaker 1: direction of the Chargers. The line is now one and

333
00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:35,480
Speaker 1: a half open to two. There's more money than tickets

334
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:39,639
Speaker 1: on the Chargers, so I feel like it's wise guys

335
00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:43,040
Speaker 1: moving it, especially when the money came in the early

336
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,159
Speaker 1: side of the week. I just feel like it's too

337
00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:46,879
Speaker 1: hard to play this game. Too many things up in

338
00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:47,399
Speaker 1: the air for me.

339
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a fun game, And honestly, if you're

340
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,920
Speaker 2: between professional betters, right, this is an old school news

341
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,720
Speaker 2: school mentality, the news school with that bets, trends and

342
00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:59,879
Speaker 2: situational football. They love Herbert in this type of spot, right.

343
00:17:59,880 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 2: He's actually performed well going from west to east as

344
00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,560
Speaker 2: a covering machine. And I think just the old school

345
00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:08,680
Speaker 2: guys I talk to, they'll love Pittsburgh here they're viewing

346
00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:11,600
Speaker 2: it of you know, they have good intel that Herbert's

347
00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:14,280
Speaker 2: banged up and he's kind of toughing it out right

348
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,520
Speaker 2: the new hardball way, that he's going to play through

349
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:20,200
Speaker 2: this bad ankle in this spot. And it's just it's

350
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,000
Speaker 2: hard for me not to like Pittsburgh. But I know

351
00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:22,640
Speaker 2: the hesitation.

352
00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:22,959
Speaker 4: Right.

353
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,680
Speaker 2: We haven't seen Justin Fields have to make a completion

354
00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:28,360
Speaker 2: down three points at all this season, right, They've been

355
00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:32,280
Speaker 2: up in every game he's played in, So understand the hesitation.

356
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:34,359
Speaker 3: I get why. I mean, you are a little getting

357
00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:35,399
Speaker 3: a little cold feet on it.

358
00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:40,479
Speaker 2: But you know, maybe Sunday this would be a shocker

359
00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:42,720
Speaker 2: if this is somehow made into our one with Pittsburgh.

360
00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:44,200
Speaker 3: That's why I still liking this game.

361
00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:46,880
Speaker 2: But I agree with Chad right now, there's five other

362
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:48,800
Speaker 2: games I like better than we just sit here today.

363
00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:52,360
Speaker 2: But I just want people to understand that it's it's

364
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:55,880
Speaker 2: a game that is split, right, and if you're having

365
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:57,960
Speaker 2: a tough time with it, so other professionals, I'm just

366
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:02,280
Speaker 2: I prefer Pittsburgh in the spot on Tomlin rather than

367
00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:05,200
Speaker 2: backing this horriball team that I feel like has gotten

368
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,960
Speaker 2: a little lucky to start the year. Rather than Pittsburgh

369
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,399
Speaker 2: that feels like their defense has earned every win for

370
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:11,119
Speaker 2: them this season.

371
00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:15,919
Speaker 1: Well, look, you've got JK. Dobbins who is running like

372
00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:22,200
Speaker 1: he's superhuman, and you've got a defense that has looked great.

373
00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:25,080
Speaker 1: We don't know yet if that Raiders team they beat

374
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:29,240
Speaker 1: up on Week one is the Raiders team and offense

375
00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:33,760
Speaker 1: that excelled against the Ravens or was terrible against the Chargers.

376
00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 1: We don't know yet if the Ravens defense, which we've

377
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 1: said is not nearly as good as it has been

378
00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 1: the past. We do know that the Steelers have stolen

379
00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 1: two games because of their defense, so that is unquestionable.

380
00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,800
Speaker 1: And we know that Tomlin is a great coach against

381
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,400
Speaker 1: the spread, and we know that that defense is going

382
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:56,879
Speaker 1: to show up, especially if TJ. Watt is. There a

383
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,119
Speaker 1: lot of questions on this one. If it got to

384
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:02,359
Speaker 1: pick all and if on Sunday it's at half, you know,

385
00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:05,959
Speaker 1: Steelers minus a half. Maybe I do think there's going

386
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 1: to be at least six other games that we feel

387
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:15,639
Speaker 1: better about than the Steelers come come Sunday. One of

388
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:22,359
Speaker 1: those games Philadelphia at New Orleans Eagles now at two

389
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:27,199
Speaker 1: and a half point dog, massive swing and this is

390
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 1: fifty to fifty split everywhere, money, tickets, everything. You leaned

391
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 1: the Saints on Sunday night when the line was Saints

392
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:44,360
Speaker 1: plus two and a half. Yeah, I know, it's now

393
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:50,639
Speaker 1: moved five points. This feels like such an overreaction and

394
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 1: such a letdown spot for the Saints. Like the Eagles

395
00:20:58,320 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 1: are the side here at this point.

396
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:03,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's definitely let down spots with Saints and Eagles

397
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:04,160
Speaker 2: do flick the side.

398
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:05,679
Speaker 3: But the move does feel.

399
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:09,240
Speaker 2: Warrant in the sense that their offense is different without

400
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,560
Speaker 2: a J. Brown, right, that deep threat is taken away,

401
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 2: that that is a big deal for this Eagles offense.

402
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:19,679
Speaker 2: So I get the movement, but you're right, like you

403
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:21,920
Speaker 2: couldn't have more opposite teams right now?

404
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:25,119
Speaker 3: Right the Saints, How did they not feel themselves? Right?

405
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,479
Speaker 3: I mean, this is a team that I mean, I

406
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 3: can't remember. I can't.

407
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 2: I'm trying to think of a team that's done this before,

408
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:33,400
Speaker 2: Like we just didn't see a team coming. They put

409
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,679
Speaker 2: up back to back weeks of over forty points.

410
00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 3: I'm running through my mind. I really can't think of

411
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 3: on the Rams, right.

412
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:47,400
Speaker 1: Kurt Warner out of nowhere, honestly slower and we kept

413
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:51,480
Speaker 1: waiting for that team to break. Right. We kept waiting

414
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:55,520
Speaker 1: like you didn't because you know, you were five. But

415
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 1: me as an old person, like you know, that's the season.

416
00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 1: I was writing the book The Odds, and I was

417
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: in Vegas every single week and watching bookmakers try to

418
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 1: adjust as fast as they can and then sweating the

419
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 1: liability because they had opened the Rams to win the

420
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 1: Super Bowl at two hundred to one, and so every

421
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,240
Speaker 1: single week they were trying to play catchup on this

422
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 1: team and you couldn't, like, you couldn't move the number

423
00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 1: fast enough. So I think it presents a real problem

424
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 1: for people like you and the rest of the professional

425
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 1: betting community on the Saints, because everyone was so down

426
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 1: on the Saints, to the point where some people were

427
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,760
Speaker 1: picking them to be last in the NFC South. All

428
00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 1: of a sudden, do you have to like grade the

429
00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:49,920
Speaker 1: Saints better than the Niners, better than the Eagles, better

430
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 1: than the Lion, Like it's a massive adjustment you might

431
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 1: have to make.

432
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, And it's I agree that with what you're saying

433
00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,160
Speaker 2: at the very the beginning, which is like this line

434
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:03,440
Speaker 2: moved too much and you know hoping we talked on

435
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,680
Speaker 2: Tuesday Show. I was really hoping that it would stay

436
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:07,959
Speaker 2: at three and maybe we would get the bump up

437
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 2: at three and a half. But you just saw that

438
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,960
Speaker 2: eventually professional money was going to come in and take.

439
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 3: That number of three. So I like this game. There

440
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:17,960
Speaker 3: is another game where it's because it's.

441
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:19,760
Speaker 2: So early in the season, I don't have the most

442
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 2: confidence I would later in the season where it's you

443
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:26,359
Speaker 2: see this Eagles team having some growing pains, not just

444
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:32,200
Speaker 2: defensively but offensively, and this matchup actually is a pretty

445
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 2: decent matchup for this Saint's team offensively about what they

446
00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,240
Speaker 2: can do against this Eagles defense, because Eagles don't have

447
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 2: any pass rush and we've seen Derek Carr if he

448
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 2: wants to do well, it's when he has no pressure

449
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 2: that's really.

450
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:44,200
Speaker 3: When he succeeds.

451
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 2: So he hasn't had to face any type of pass

452
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 2: rush because his team has been up fourteen to three

453
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 2: and back to back games to start the game. But

454
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:56,200
Speaker 2: I'm with you, Chad, this this Eagles team, you expect

455
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 2: to bounce back and at best this should probably be

456
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,159
Speaker 2: a pick on, but public reaction has moved this so

457
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,800
Speaker 2: many points right, and that the books they need to.

458
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:08,400
Speaker 3: Protect against that. So if you are scared off about

459
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 3: these Eagles at two and a half right making a

460
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,840
Speaker 3: teaser leg. But to me, I'm with Chat. I have

461
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:14,399
Speaker 3: no fear here.

462
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 2: I think the Eagles pulled the upset off and we

463
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 2: almost put this in our money line, Brown Robin. But

464
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 2: maybe we'll stay there for the end of the show.

465
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 1: The uh you've been you know, you and I talked

466
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 1: about Philly Sports Radio and Chicago Sports Radio. How to

467
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:35,359
Speaker 1: the weekend? Give me your like have people? People have

468
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,879
Speaker 1: been bashing Nick Sirianni for the call for Saquon and

469
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 1: the throw, But why isn't that Kellen Moore's fault. Why

470
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 1: aren't people going after Kellen Moore.

471
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,400
Speaker 3: Because no one knows what Nick Sirianni does.

472
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:50,640
Speaker 2: That's the thing I think Philly is just we were already,

473
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 2: you know, getting ready to push this guy off the boat,

474
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,240
Speaker 2: and you know, now he's just he's on the plank

475
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 2: at this point, like they're really it's just the cause

476
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 2: situation of when it's working, and he says all the

477
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 2: stupid little phrases it works when we're not winning. It's

478
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 2: just it's just a bad look. So I told you,

479
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 2: I don't panic about it. It's so early in the year.

480
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 2: This this feels like the first four weeks really is

481
00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 2: preseason to a lot of these NFL teams and coaching staff.

482
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:21,200
Speaker 2: So yeah, the the big issue I had with him

483
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:22,840
Speaker 2: was not taking the three early in the game.

484
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 3: But you know how I like it.

485
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:27,159
Speaker 2: I like teams to be aggressive, so you know, obviously

486
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 2: foreshadowing and seeing the future. I didn't realize that was

487
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:31,680
Speaker 2: going to be the decider of the game, that three

488
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 2: points that he passed on there.

489
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 3: But I'm I'm with you.

490
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,800
Speaker 2: I I blame cullenm moore, but I don't I'm not

491
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 2: mad at him. But Saquon dropped that I like to call.

492
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 2: I thought it was I thought it was a smart

493
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,399
Speaker 2: call in the sense that you know they're going for

494
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 2: the win there. But the pushback I think in Philadelphia

495
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 2: is just Saquon could pick up five seven yards at

496
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 2: a time, why did we keep going away from that

497
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 2: in the red zone and putting the ball in Hurts

498
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,120
Speaker 2: hands where it just clearly didn't work in that game.

499
00:25:57,280 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 2: So another matchup though for the Eagle against the Saints team.

500
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 2: They should be able to run this ball at will

501
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 2: against the Saints team. That's, to me is the biggest

502
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,600
Speaker 2: weakness to the Saints team. So as as me and

503
00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 2: Ched are back in this team, we need say quant

504
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 2: to have a day and I think we're gonna see that.

505
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:14,040
Speaker 3: Right.

506
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,360
Speaker 2: This is the ultimate motivational game for a guy who

507
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:20,120
Speaker 2: just had you know, you could say a loss on him.

508
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:23,679
Speaker 2: So I definitely like this bounce backsot for this Eagles

509
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:24,880
Speaker 2: and this offense.

510
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 1: Saints are only the fifteen since nineteen ninety to go

511
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 1: forty forty opening two weeks of the season. Thank you, Evan.

512
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 1: All right, crazy, we don't have a favorite we love yet.

513
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:42,880
Speaker 3: You know I have the one favora well, yeah, we'll

514
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:43,119
Speaker 3: sit with.

515
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 1: Green Bay at Tennessee Tennessee minus one and a half.

516
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 3: Now, yeah, like.

517
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 1: I decided, I fell in love with Tennessee after you know,

518
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 1: three days of research. I saw the line got to

519
00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 1: two and a half and it was a two and

520
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 1: a half minus one fifteen. So I was nervous the

521
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:05,119
Speaker 1: line was going to go back up to three, and

522
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: so I rushed to bet the two and a half

523
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 1: as soon as I put the pick in the app.

524
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 3: No joke.

525
00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 1: Within three minutes, I got a slack from Matt Treby,

526
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 1: our NFL editor, who also happens to be a native

527
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 1: Wisconsin who told me that Jordan Love was practicing yesterday.

528
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 1: And then that line dropped to two, and then it

529
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:35,080
Speaker 1: dropped to one and a half, which is where it

530
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 1: is now. And now I just feel like a schmuck

531
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 1: because I bet the Titans at two and a half,

532
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 1: the Titans could easily be two and oh right now, Simon,

533
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:47,640
Speaker 1: and I know, like we're nervous about the Jordan Love

534
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:52,399
Speaker 1: factor here, and that's important, but like there are blocked

535
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:55,359
Speaker 1: punts and will Lev's bonehead plays away from being two

536
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 1: and oh. Whatever worked for the Packers as a game

537
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 1: with Malik Willis against the Colts will not work against

538
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:06,639
Speaker 1: the Titans. We don't know Jordan loves status. Maybe there

539
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:08,640
Speaker 1: was a decoy, Maybe he's just getting on the field

540
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: to get loose. But this Titans team isn't as bad

541
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:14,200
Speaker 1: as their record suggests.

542
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:17,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, Hape, you came around. I told you Sunday night.

543
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:18,159
Speaker 3: I loved it.

544
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 2: But you just said the big thing holding us back

545
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 2: here is Jordan Love. Like that's a five to six

546
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 2: point line movement if he is the quarterback. And that's

547
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:29,360
Speaker 2: why I think professions are taking a position on Green

548
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 2: Bay just in case that does happen.

549
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,919
Speaker 3: It's like, Okay, what does his line go up to.

550
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: A minus three minus three and a half for green Bay?

551
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 2: I mean, that's how big of an upgrade he is. Yeah,

552
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:42,479
Speaker 2: at the quarterback position here, So yeah, to me, if

553
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 2: this is gonna be one of our favorites come Sunday,

554
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:46,320
Speaker 2: I got no problem from this. In chat, you know

555
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 2: how much I love this Tennessee defense, especially up front.

556
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 2: This is a perfect matchup for them going against Green

557
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 2: Bay again.

558
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:54,040
Speaker 3: Without Jordan Love.

559
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 2: If it's Jordan Love, we have a little bit of

560
00:28:56,520 --> 00:29:00,959
Speaker 2: hesitation there, but yeah, I love it, Chad. So if

561
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:03,239
Speaker 2: we could lock in the contest today though at one

562
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 2: and a half with Tennessee and then you know it

563
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,480
Speaker 2: goes it does go up to three when Jordan loves

564
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 2: out me and you will love that, right. That would

565
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:11,800
Speaker 2: be the kind of game that will ruin our Sunday

566
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 2: because we didn't switch it out. Yeah, we should have

567
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 2: for a different game, just because that's going to be

568
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 2: great value on the numbers. So I'm right there with you.

569
00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:21,479
Speaker 2: I love Tennessee, have no issue making that our only favorite.

570
00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 2: But there is one other favorite I do love, but

571
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 2: this one is definitely at the top. Where it's just defensively.

572
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 2: I love the matchup and it's just Man, we talk

573
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 2: all the time. You got to bet these zero and

574
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 2: two teams straight up, oh and two against the spread

575
00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 2: and week agree. There's a couple of teams like this.

576
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 3: This is one of them. I circle, So I'm with

577
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 3: you Chad on this one.

578
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 1: We still owe people of Foxhall. I don't think this

579
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,719
Speaker 1: is it yet because there's too much yeah certain at

580
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 1: the quarterback position. We talked a lot about the Giants

581
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 1: in Cleveland the other day. Cleveland is six and a

582
00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: half point favorite. We're still a waiting word on both tackles.

583
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 1: Jack Conklin and Jedrick Willis for the Browns, who I

584
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 1: have not played the Giants like. This is a good

585
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 1: spot for them. A lot of luck, rankings advantages. Winless

586
00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 1: teams in Week three go sixty percent against the spread

587
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 1: the past twenty years. I don't hate the Giants here

588
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 1: at all. I know like it's ugly, but this is

589
00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 1: what we do and we make these hard decisions. No noise, Simon,

590
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 1: no noise. Tuck me off the ledge on the Giants.

591
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 2: Man, I can't this Browns team just as lost offensively.

592
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:42,840
Speaker 2: I think there are two for fourteen on third downs

593
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 2: against the Jaguars.

594
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:45,400
Speaker 3: It's just all bad.

595
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 2: The total feels very high, and I'm looking at the

596
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 2: money on the site and it's like all the money's

597
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 2: pouring in on the under and it really hasn't move much,

598
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 2: which is a very interesting move by the sportsbooks.

599
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 3: I'm not seeing what they're seeing here.

600
00:30:57,600 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 2: I just see this being a slug it out, ugly

601
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 2: game with two teams that have major questions.

602
00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 3: At the quarterback position right now.

603
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,320
Speaker 2: So you know on that chat, I want the desperate dog,

604
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 2: and there is no more desperate team right now than

605
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 2: the Giants. They knew last week they gave one away, right,

606
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 2: that's a spot that yes, I think historically teams that

607
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 2: score three touchdowns versus a team that does not score

608
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:22,480
Speaker 2: a touchdown usually win those games.

609
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 3: So man, to be a Giants fan right now, it

610
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 3: must just be absolutely brutal. I can't even imagine. But this,

611
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,240
Speaker 3: to me has got everything written about upsets, So this

612
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 3: could squeak into one of our five now the more

613
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 3: I'm thinking about it.

614
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 2: But it's like these big dogs, right, I think historically

615
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 2: I haven't had an amazing number about it, like these

616
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:39,600
Speaker 2: these dogs of.

617
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:41,719
Speaker 3: Five and a half or six and a half are

618
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 3: nine to zero one or nine and one this.

619
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 2: Year to start. That's that's pretty crazy, Chad. So it's

620
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 2: going to eventually go the other way at some point.

621
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 2: So not to shock to anyone that we love these

622
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 2: big dogs this week, but there's definitely a reason to

623
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,680
Speaker 2: be a little hesitant on just blindly betting all of them.

624
00:31:58,280 --> 00:31:59,520
Speaker 3: This Giants, one of all of them.

625
00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 2: I feel pretty good about, just in the sense that

626
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 2: it's still all about Deshaun Watson. I just don't think

627
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 2: that offense is right yet defensively the Giants, you know,

628
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 2: they had one of the worst secondaries. Can he take

629
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 2: advantage of that? I haven't seen anything to prove otherwise.

630
00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 2: So I like where you're at, coming with a six

631
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:18,120
Speaker 2: and n half chat. I could see this being One

632
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:19,400
Speaker 2: War five right now.

633
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 1: I'm looking at our list and it's Giants, Titans, Broncos, Vikings.

634
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 1: Now we're getting back to it. No more of this,

635
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 1: Jared goff Rock Prety, Dak Prescott, bullshit right, Chicago and Indy,

636
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 1: I think you and I are split on this game. O.

637
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: Mine's at one and a half. I just think that

638
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:49,880
Speaker 1: I can't get behind the Bears. Yet I don't love

639
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 1: that the wise guys are backing them. Hungry Bears are

640
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:59,040
Speaker 1: violent Bears. Their rush defense has just not been very good.

641
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 1: That's what I expect the Colts to do and do well.

642
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 1: I think it's a coaching mismatch. I think it's a

643
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 1: home game for Anthony Richardson, a little bit more of

644
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,200
Speaker 1: a get right game, And I can find a lot

645
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:12,560
Speaker 1: of value in betting on the Colts.

646
00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, keep it moving. It won't be one of my

647
00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:17,240
Speaker 3: top eight bigger bets of this week.

648
00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 2: So you're right, it's another team Colts I went to

649
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 2: at home, clearly going to be the more desperate team, right, Yes,

650
00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 2: if they know if they go for three, the season's

651
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 2: basically over.

652
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 3: So I get where you're coming from.

653
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 2: My view of it was just finally, Kayler Williams is

654
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 2: going to play against the defense that can be passed on. Right,

655
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 2: He's just been through the ringer the last two weeks

656
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:37,760
Speaker 2: and he's hearing all the noise.

657
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 3: So it's just like Ken he finally bounced back.

658
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 2: And I do think your defense, you know, they might

659
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:46,720
Speaker 2: shruggle against the run, but they're so good in every

660
00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:48,560
Speaker 2: other aspect of what they do.

661
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 1: So amazing. And coverage. Their pass rush has been great.

662
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 1: Like those two elements, they're you know, top five.

663
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,680
Speaker 2: Only they had Jalen Carter. I mean only that's all

664
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 2: they're missing is a de tackle on the middle.

665
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:04,320
Speaker 1: Miami at Seattle, this line is at four and a half.

666
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 1: I think I think we both felt on Tuesday that

667
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:10,320
Speaker 1: the line had moved too much and there was no

668
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:15,279
Speaker 1: more value. I'm kind of having second thoughts, Okay, you know,

669
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 1: like I like what the Dolphins secondary has been doing.

670
00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 1: The Seahawks won't have Kenneth Walker. That the Seahawks I

671
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 1: think are getting a lot of credit for beating the

672
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:31,799
Speaker 1: Broncos and the Patriots. Yeah, and not doing it decisively.

673
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 1: And even with Skyler Thompson, there's still so much more

674
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:38,560
Speaker 1: talent on this Miami team than there was on those

675
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 1: other two teams. Still might be a little bit of

676
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 1: value on this.

677
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,120
Speaker 2: There could be, but yeah, I'm with I'm just not

678
00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:51,359
Speaker 2: gonna get there. I'm I tried to even going through

679
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:53,279
Speaker 2: Evans trends and reading all his trends and being like,

680
00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:54,800
Speaker 2: there's gonna be something in here to get me on

681
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:58,400
Speaker 2: this Miami team just because it's another team that you know,

682
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:02,839
Speaker 2: they should be owing too. I mean, they got really

683
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:04,640
Speaker 2: lucky that Week one, and it's like, all right, this

684
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:06,000
Speaker 2: is the kind of team I do like to back

685
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:07,879
Speaker 2: in these type of spots because I just said, it's

686
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:11,520
Speaker 2: like the Seahawks, How are they not overvalued? But there

687
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 2: are another team the books have had a pretty good

688
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,759
Speaker 2: read on, right, They're They're all also zero and two

689
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:18,839
Speaker 2: against the spread this season to start the year, both

690
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:23,400
Speaker 2: games not covering by half a point. So yeah, I

691
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 2: just I can't. It's just really one of our five,

692
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:27,239
Speaker 2: That's what I'm like trying to think of here, chat.

693
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,960
Speaker 2: We really gonna make this one of our five. I

694
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,000
Speaker 2: can't do it, but maybe maybe Chad this will be

695
00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:35,279
Speaker 2: one of his picks to put in. But as we

696
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 2: see it right now, I got no read on this one.

697
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:40,360
Speaker 1: Well look, if you asked me to choose between the

698
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 1: Broncos and the Dolphins, I'm one hundred choosing the Broncos.

699
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 3: I'd rather Yeah, I'd rather the Broncos.

700
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:52,000
Speaker 1: You know that's not even a question to me. All Right,

701
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:55,920
Speaker 1: people don't want to hear us talk about this, but

702
00:35:56,040 --> 00:36:00,120
Speaker 1: I do think we have to be responsible and talk

703
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 1: about Carolina at the Raiders. Okay, like this number has

704
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 1: moved down from seven to five and a half off

705
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:11,320
Speaker 1: the Dalton news. Now it's down to five. I know

706
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 1: you had this rated at five and a half, so

707
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:15,360
Speaker 1: clearly you're not going to see value on the Panthers

708
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 1: at five. I know we believe this defense can't do anything,

709
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 1: but I do think that just by having Andy Dalton

710
00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:29,360
Speaker 1: be the quarterback, you're automatically going to improve the defense's

711
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:33,279
Speaker 1: chances to perform. I listened to Raybund and Stucky on

712
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:36,800
Speaker 1: the Action Pod this morning. Raybund had a stat that

713
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:40,800
Speaker 1: the average field position for Panthers opponents has been the

714
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 1: thirty nine yard line. The Panthers the opponent's thirty nine

715
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 1: yard line, So like, you got to think it'll be

716
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 1: better just from field position perspective, they'll be in a

717
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 1: better position to stop the pass, to rush the passer.

718
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:04,359
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know. Like if we were

719
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:14,400
Speaker 1: truly unfeeling, unemotional traders, yeah, working for Bill Ackman and

720
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:17,880
Speaker 1: one of the biggest hedge funds in the world, and

721
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 1: we were committed, we would bet the Panthers. Here, We're

722
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 1: not gonna do it because we don't want our audience

723
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,279
Speaker 1: to fully revoke, but you know, we should bet the Panthers.

724
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:30,440
Speaker 3: A little bit.

725
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:32,400
Speaker 2: But it's also like you got a good number at

726
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:34,239
Speaker 2: the seven or six and a half on the Panthers.

727
00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:36,920
Speaker 2: Now you're kind of getting a bad number. But I

728
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,759
Speaker 2: get what they're saying too, like Chris talking about this

729
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:42,399
Speaker 2: kind of spot for Andy and this team. Like we've

730
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 2: seen this right where the new quarterback comes in and

731
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 2: does give a new little pop to a team. And

732
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:49,840
Speaker 2: you know, the Raiders coming off that insane win against

733
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:52,680
Speaker 2: the Ravens, you expect to let down the final week, right,

734
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:54,480
Speaker 2: They're gonna be feeling themselves all week here.

735
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 3: But I don't know.

736
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 2: My problem is I probably watched too much of the

737
00:37:57,680 --> 00:37:59,600
Speaker 2: all twenty two of this Panthers team, and it's just

738
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,320
Speaker 2: everything Like the only guy that felt like he was trying,

739
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,120
Speaker 2: that's not fair. The offensive line has been trying the

740
00:38:05,160 --> 00:38:07,080
Speaker 2: whole time. But like there's a couple of times that

741
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 2: these guys running routes would just take the routes off.

742
00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 2: You expect that to be different here with Andy Dalton.

743
00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 2: The wide receivers I lost total confidence.

744
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:14,840
Speaker 3: Are Bryce Shunk's.

745
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 2: I really haven't seen what the Panthers are because it

746
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:18,960
Speaker 2: feels like their team would give up midway through the

747
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 2: second quarter. So this Raiders team, this is a big

748
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:24,360
Speaker 2: number for this team to be getting, right. They aren't

749
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:26,320
Speaker 2: one of the best teams in football. Their team is

750
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 2: still trying to figure out their own shit right now.

751
00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 2: So man, there's just other dogs I like more than

752
00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 2: this Panthers team.

753
00:38:32,040 --> 00:38:33,440
Speaker 3: That's the hardest part. He is trying to get there

754
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:35,440
Speaker 3: on this number. It's just it's hard for me to do.

755
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:41,560
Speaker 3: They're so bad. This team is so bad. Like defensively,

756
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:42,719
Speaker 3: it's so bad.

757
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:47,800
Speaker 1: It's going back to the girlfriend again and again and again,

758
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 1: no matter how many times you've been burned, matter how

759
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:56,520
Speaker 1: bad she makes you look to your friends, what is

760
00:38:56,600 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: wrong with this dude? He's such a sucker. They just

761
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:05,640
Speaker 1: keep getting me. All right, we'll put it on the list.

762
00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 1: Baltimore at Dallas. I hate this game. They are the

763
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:16,480
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys, a free wheeling All American Star kiss team.

764
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:20,839
Speaker 1: I feel like there's new defensive coordinators on both sides.

765
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 1: There's no running game to speak of. The Cowboys backfield

766
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:27,560
Speaker 1: is terrible. I think there's a huge identity crisis on

767
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,400
Speaker 1: all sides of the ball for both of these teams.

768
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 1: We have four identity crisis happening, crises prices are happening.

769
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:38,759
Speaker 2: I think the Ravens have just had bad luck. That's

770
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 2: honestly what it is to me. Right, they missed winning

771
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 2: that first game by toe. The last game, they're up

772
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 2: ten and then it just all went wrong in the

773
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 2: final four minutes of that game, like Lamar gans sacked

774
00:39:50,160 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 2: and the punt I think they punted like twenty yards

775
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:53,399
Speaker 2: to give the Raiders a short field.

776
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 3: They just went It all kept.

777
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 2: Going wrong for this Ravens team where I think we

778
00:39:57,600 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 2: talked about coming to the season, we had major questions

779
00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 2: about their defense because they were so thin, especially the

780
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:04,719
Speaker 2: defensive line that you know they don't have guys to

781
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 2: switch in and out right. If that top unit is

782
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,680
Speaker 2: gas and doesn't have it early on, it feels like

783
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 2: Dallas can be cooked on defense. So Derrick Henry has

784
00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:15,920
Speaker 2: not been as bad as people perceive. Like this running

785
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,400
Speaker 2: game isn't as horrible as people think it is for

786
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:19,560
Speaker 2: this Ravens team.

787
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 3: And let's throw some status to you. Maybe I can

788
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 3: I can get you the other side.

789
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,440
Speaker 2: Lamar when it's the spreads under three points or less

790
00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:28,239
Speaker 2: two and a half, where he's an underdog. He's twenty

791
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:31,799
Speaker 2: two and seven against the spread against the NFC. Chad,

792
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:34,720
Speaker 2: he's twenty and one straight up. This is a straight

793
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 2: up line.

794
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:36,080
Speaker 3: It's one.

795
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:39,279
Speaker 2: So yeah, is this feel a little trappy a little

796
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 2: bit because me and Chad went to be on Dallas here,

797
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 2: But then you see Cede Lamb didn't practice yesterday because

798
00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:46,280
Speaker 2: he had a bad ankle, and it's.

799
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 3: Just like, oh my god, I mean, come on, if

800
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 3: CD's not right in this matchup, that's got.

801
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,399
Speaker 2: To be a huge win for this Ravens team. It's

802
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,120
Speaker 2: just what is the identity on offensive? CD's not right

803
00:40:58,280 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 2: for this Dallas team?

804
00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,320
Speaker 3: Right? He is, to me, the key to that offense.

805
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:03,239
Speaker 3: It makes everything go.

806
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:04,839
Speaker 2: As much as we want to say it's all Dak,

807
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:07,280
Speaker 2: It's like CD's the one that makes the big plays

808
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:07,840
Speaker 2: out of nothing.

809
00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:11,120
Speaker 3: So I think I'll be able to get you there.

810
00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:12,800
Speaker 3: Maybe on Sunday I could get you to get it

811
00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:13,520
Speaker 3: in there now.

812
00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:17,640
Speaker 2: But all my all the favorites this week, obviously I

813
00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:19,960
Speaker 2: put Titans number one if it's Malik Willis, but number

814
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,600
Speaker 2: two right there is the Ravens. I just they're oher

815
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 2: and two against the spreadshat oh and two straight up.

816
00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:28,680
Speaker 2: It's horball. I mean, we have to take them in

817
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 2: the spot. This is what we always take the Ravens

818
00:41:31,440 --> 00:41:33,239
Speaker 2: in this. No one believes in us back against the

819
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:37,239
Speaker 2: wall spot. But I understand your hesitation. It's just the

820
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 2: vibes are so bad. No one would be shocked if

821
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 2: they're oh and three to start the year. But man

822
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,759
Speaker 2: Lamar in this spot, historically we have the numbers that

823
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:47,279
Speaker 2: back it up.

824
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 3: He does very well.

825
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:54,759
Speaker 1: I worry about this defense. The Ravens defense.

826
00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:57,800
Speaker 3: Totally totally get it. I mean we just saw Minshew

827
00:41:57,960 --> 00:41:59,680
Speaker 3: go up and down the field on them, so it's

828
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 3: I I have no rebuttal against it. But no, it's

829
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:05,720
Speaker 3: it's it's bad right now for the Ravens.

830
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:09,080
Speaker 1: We haven't chosen a foxhole yet and the final two

831
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 1: games on our list are already chosen as an exact decision,

832
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 1: and Simon says, so we do have to get into

833
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:15,960
Speaker 1: a foxhole here.

834
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:17,880
Speaker 3: Who do you think for foxhole? Then you want to

835
00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:19,760
Speaker 3: do Eagles And I know you're not here on the Ravens,

836
00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 3: but we're both on the Eagles.

837
00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:24,120
Speaker 1: I'm also not afraid of the Giants. I know you

838
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:26,320
Speaker 1: won't be in the foxhol with me on the Broncos.

839
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet it, but it's gonna be a little

840
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 2: baby bet. I'm just oh man, these rookie qbs are

841
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:35,239
Speaker 2: so bad, Chad, I can't I can't get over how

842
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:35,839
Speaker 2: bad they are.

843
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:38,440
Speaker 1: Is I'd rather be in the foxhole on Tennessee.

844
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 3: Okay, I'm with you on that one. Then all right,

845
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:42,360
Speaker 3: we're going to.

846
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 1: The foxhole on the Tennessee Titans running the foxhol Let's

847
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:53,520
Speaker 1: climb down into the foxhole. All right. Last couple of

848
00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:56,520
Speaker 1: games here, Detroit at Arizona. I still see nothing. I

849
00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: know you like saying Arizona. I get I have no field.

850
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:01,719
Speaker 1: This line has it moved. I don't see anything in

851
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:03,800
Speaker 1: the numbers. I don't want to do it.

852
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:05,960
Speaker 3: No, it's fair.

853
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,239
Speaker 2: I like Arizona in the sense that to me, they've

854
00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:12,279
Speaker 2: been the more consistent team offensively, I think they know

855
00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:16,239
Speaker 2: exactly what the identity is. Detroit just feels lost. I mean,

856
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 2: this is the perfect get right spot for Detroit. That's

857
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 2: why I'm not pounding the table for this one. But

858
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:25,200
Speaker 2: I love Arizona. Pull the upset off here. It's just

859
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:27,800
Speaker 2: if they have the ball. Last, I have confidence in

860
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,799
Speaker 2: Kyler Murray in this offense right now that he does

861
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:33,720
Speaker 2: have the weapons, and if they get a lead even

862
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 2: more so like that James Connor a run attack with

863
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 2: Kyler Good. Yeah, it's pretty damn good. So my only hesitation,

864
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 2: which I feel like you have the same, is this

865
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:48,440
Speaker 2: Arizona defense might be absolutely awful. And yeah they beat

866
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:50,520
Speaker 2: up on a Rams team that had their third stringers

867
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:52,920
Speaker 2: on the left tackles position. Yeah, now they have the

868
00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,399
Speaker 2: best offensive line of football coming in in a get

869
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 2: right spot.

870
00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:58,359
Speaker 3: So totally understand your hesitation. Shed.

871
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:00,440
Speaker 2: Obviously, if this was three and a half, I think

872
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,799
Speaker 2: I'd be able to talk into this for contests right now.

873
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:04,600
Speaker 2: I checked those two and a half in contest, I

874
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 2: just me and you both are like, h we don't

875
00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:08,320
Speaker 2: need to put that one in.

876
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 1: No, definitely not Atlanta, Kansas City. We're definitely going to

877
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:15,239
Speaker 1: play Atlanta at three and a half. That was your

878
00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:19,880
Speaker 1: Simon says the Atlanta Falcons were typified by the players

879
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:21,719
Speaker 1: who consistently made.

880
00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:22,319
Speaker 3: The big play.

881
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 1: Look, it's been getting a ton of money on the

882
00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 1: on the Falcon side. It moved from four and a

883
00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 1: half really off of the Monday night game. But I

884
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:33,440
Speaker 1: think the Chiefs run defense is in trouble. I think

885
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:37,520
Speaker 1: that the Falcons offensive line is the best rush offensive

886
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:40,719
Speaker 1: line in the NFL, especially interior on the right side.

887
00:44:41,280 --> 00:44:43,960
Speaker 1: I think we saw what they could do when Bijon

888
00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:48,200
Speaker 1: is the primary focal point against the Eagles. I think

889
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:51,080
Speaker 1: the Chiefs and you said this best, like, they're still

890
00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:52,759
Speaker 1: figuring out who they are and this is when you

891
00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:56,520
Speaker 1: this is when you get them, and now Pacheco being out,

892
00:44:56,960 --> 00:44:59,440
Speaker 1: they still really don't know who they are. Offensively, they

893
00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:03,360
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey hasn't been involved. They have one down that

894
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:06,000
Speaker 1: downfield thread and ma Shei Rice. We don't know what

895
00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:10,439
Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy is yet. Patrick Mahomes hasn't been that good. No, yeah,

896
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,319
Speaker 1: Atlanta go. Simon says it's him.

897
00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:17,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's my biggest reason, right is Mahomes factor. I

898
00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 2: just don't think he's looked right. I don't think it's

899
00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:21,200
Speaker 2: getting any better in this spot here. I still think

900
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:23,480
Speaker 2: he just doesn't feel comfortable right now with that. They

901
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:25,520
Speaker 2: don't know who their left tackle is and that's a

902
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:29,919
Speaker 2: big deal. And obviously, you know, defensively, Chad just touched

903
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 2: on it, there are some gaping holes in this defense

904
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 2: that can be exploited and perfect run blocking scheme here

905
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:39,239
Speaker 2: for this Atlanta team to exploit it. So my only

906
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:42,839
Speaker 2: hesitation at all is still Kirk Cousins as well as

907
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 2: he did against the Eagles. We saw the Eagles had

908
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:47,319
Speaker 2: no pass rush, right, it was only up the middle

909
00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:49,479
Speaker 2: they had any type of pass rush, and the veteran

910
00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins was able to step around it. We never

911
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 2: really saw what he had to do when he was

912
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:55,680
Speaker 2: forced outside the pockets. So that, to me is the

913
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:58,400
Speaker 2: only fear with this. Everything else, I love the number,

914
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:03,840
Speaker 2: love the spot team. Sunday night Primetime. Every Joe Schmo

915
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:05,719
Speaker 2: is gonna be going in there throwing the chiefs and

916
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:07,279
Speaker 2: at the end of the day on their parlay or

917
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:08,240
Speaker 2: their teaser ticket.

918
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:08,480
Speaker 3: Right.

919
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:11,320
Speaker 2: So my only hope was this would go up. But

920
00:46:11,360 --> 00:46:13,480
Speaker 2: the reason I made it, Simon says, was, you know,

921
00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 2: I talked to a couple of really wise, sharp guys

922
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:17,359
Speaker 2: and they were just like, now I'm gonna I'm gonna

923
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:19,399
Speaker 2: hammer this Atlanta line. This is gonna keep going down.

924
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 3: It hasn't. Right, There's been enough public money to keep

925
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:22,880
Speaker 3: this up.

926
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,439
Speaker 2: Like I'm looking right now, it's over seventy five percent

927
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:27,800
Speaker 2: of the bets, eighty percent of the money at a

928
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 2: couple of books right now is on this Chiefs team.

929
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,600
Speaker 2: So that makes sense, right, The more public books are

930
00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:35,200
Speaker 2: getting hammered on the chief line while the sharper books

931
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 2: are getting a ton of a land of money. So

932
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 2: I'm glad you come around on it. I know that

933
00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:42,279
Speaker 2: it probably helped that Nick had the landa here in

934
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:44,560
Speaker 2: the luck ranking, so he did by the way that

935
00:46:44,640 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 2: he came around on a chef.

936
00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 1: And this morning, you know, I told you that I

937
00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:54,120
Speaker 1: bet with a couple of friends. Yeah, and one of

938
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 1: them saw me put Atlanta in the action app. My buddy, Josh,

939
00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:03,080
Speaker 1: and you've been hammering me this morning. I'm not going

940
00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 1: to question your judgment as the chief investment officer of

941
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:11,480
Speaker 1: our fund, but why are we betting Atlanta plus three

942
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:14,040
Speaker 1: and a half against Kent City Chiefs? And then I

943
00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:15,719
Speaker 1: went to this explanation.

944
00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:19,640
Speaker 2: I'll say, text back long term winner mathematically, this is

945
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:21,160
Speaker 2: this is we always talk about.

946
00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:23,040
Speaker 3: This is where you want to fade mahome number.

947
00:47:23,040 --> 00:47:25,920
Speaker 1: And by the way I did, I'm like, look, historically

948
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:28,840
Speaker 1: you were going to win money if you fade Patrick

949
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 1: Mahomes is more than a three point favorite. But then

950
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:34,399
Speaker 1: there's all these other things. So We've done it. It's

951
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:37,480
Speaker 1: happening at Lanta, is in lock it in it in

952
00:47:37,760 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 1: the Jags. I'm glad you're coming around on the Jags

953
00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:43,560
Speaker 1: the way I did. Oh it's tough, it's but you're

954
00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 1: with me. You're with me because twenty it all or no?

955
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 3: Have you watched the Jags all twenty two at all?

956
00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 4: Or no?

957
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 1: I have not watched the Jags.

958
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:52,040
Speaker 3: Oh my god.

959
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:54,960
Speaker 2: I mean, I know, Eva keeps telling us that fair

960
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:57,960
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence in the second half, even their game script

961
00:47:58,000 --> 00:47:58,600
Speaker 2: to start the game.

962
00:47:58,719 --> 00:47:59,920
Speaker 3: All of it was just so bad.

963
00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:03,919
Speaker 2: So this makes me feel sicker than your Broncos bet

964
00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:08,120
Speaker 2: no way. Yeah, it could all be really bad right

965
00:48:08,200 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 2: now for Jacksonville, brother, but it's early in the year.

966
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 3: I try not to react because I always say this.

967
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,360
Speaker 3: These first four weeks I kind of treat as a preseason.

968
00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:16,200
Speaker 3: Same with the players.

969
00:48:16,520 --> 00:48:20,279
Speaker 2: Trevor had moments and he has guys open. He just

970
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 2: was sailing passes. It was really it was really bizarre.

971
00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:26,440
Speaker 2: So this, though, is the classic spot where the Bills

972
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:29,560
Speaker 2: let let down everybody. Right, They're on like eleven days

973
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:33,400
Speaker 2: rest after a huge divisional win on the road. That's

974
00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:35,160
Speaker 2: why I'm getting so behind the check because it does

975
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 2: feel like another game where it's like same with that Eagles, Right,

976
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 2: we talked about that Eagles Houston two team teaser. Who

977
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:44,400
Speaker 2: is going to lose it? This feels like the same spot, right,

978
00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:49,400
Speaker 2: Who's gonna break this Monday Night Cincinnati Bill's teaser. I

979
00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:52,440
Speaker 2: just can't see the Bengals losing and going oh to

980
00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:55,800
Speaker 2: three against Washington. With the Bills dropping this game to

981
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 2: an zero to two Jaguars team, I can I can

982
00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 2: see him just match up wise, there are things they

983
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:05,200
Speaker 2: can do defensively, right, they have the athletic dns that

984
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:09,200
Speaker 2: can give Josh Allen issues, and Josh Allen's been playing

985
00:49:09,239 --> 00:49:09,800
Speaker 2: like the MVP.

986
00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:14,040
Speaker 3: How many quarterbacks have you ever seen hurdle anyone? Goodness,

987
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:17,759
Speaker 3: there's no feel, no way. That's the hesitation for me.

988
00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:20,800
Speaker 2: But you know, we both agreed on the Bills have

989
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:23,120
Speaker 2: had such injuries to their defense, there are ways to

990
00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:26,120
Speaker 2: attack this team. So if Trevor Lawrence can't get right here,

991
00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:29,040
Speaker 2: me and Chad might add into the list. Right if guys,

992
00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:30,840
Speaker 2: we're just not gonna betting for a little while. So

993
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 2: this is definitely a show to me, Trevor Lawrence. We're

994
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:36,239
Speaker 2: playing the number. You can still get five five and

995
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:38,360
Speaker 2: a half in a couple of books. I love that

996
00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 2: this is still above four to four and a half,

997
00:49:40,080 --> 00:49:41,200
Speaker 2: So I'll take that number.

998
00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:44,560
Speaker 1: Check Bill's six luckiest team in the NFL Jacks twenty

999
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:49,160
Speaker 1: ninth or fourth most unlucky. They actually averaged a yard

1000
00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:51,840
Speaker 1: and a half more than the Browns last week. The

1001
00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:54,919
Speaker 1: Browns got lucky, went three for three on fourth down.

1002
00:49:55,040 --> 00:49:56,799
Speaker 1: The Jags went one to four in the red zone.

1003
00:49:57,200 --> 00:50:01,360
Speaker 1: We just have to believe it's at some point some

1004
00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:04,040
Speaker 1: of this goes the other way. Either Trevor Lawrence, I.

1005
00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 3: Mean, it's been what a year and a half now

1006
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 3: a year?

1007
00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:09,640
Speaker 1: Been a year. Yeah, Like Trevor Lawrence and we talked

1008
00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:13,320
Speaker 1: about Barnwell's column. Bill Barnwell from ESPN had a great

1009
00:50:13,600 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 1: summary of Trevor Lawrence's challenges in the quick passing game,

1010
00:50:17,680 --> 00:50:19,919
Speaker 1: meeting when he's got to get the ball off less

1011
00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:22,879
Speaker 1: than two and a half seconds. He has not been good,

1012
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:25,080
Speaker 1: and he has not been good in the red zone,

1013
00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:27,680
Speaker 1: and this team has been in the red zone. Some

1014
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:31,640
Speaker 1: of that has to eventually regress the other way. It

1015
00:50:31,680 --> 00:50:35,560
Speaker 1: will be this week against the Buffalo Bills. Western New

1016
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:43,759
Speaker 1: York's finest shout out Matt Mitchell. All right, turning good

1017
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:49,360
Speaker 1: weekends into great weekends. It's time for the money line parlay.

1018
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:55,440
Speaker 1: Our boosted underdog money line parlay. Our sponsor Bet three

1019
00:50:55,520 --> 00:50:58,799
Speaker 1: six ' five gives our underdog money line parlay an

1020
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:02,239
Speaker 1: odds boost this season. Bet three sixty five will have

1021
00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:09,120
Speaker 1: that highlighted on their site. Are week three boosted Underdog Parlay?

1022
00:51:09,680 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 1: In deference to my bff, Simon Hunter, we are going

1023
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:19,040
Speaker 1: with the Arizona Cardinals and the Minnesota Vikings. Both games

1024
00:51:19,080 --> 00:51:22,160
Speaker 1: are eligible for Bet three six five's early payout promo,

1025
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:25,080
Speaker 1: where your money line pick gets marked as a win

1026
00:51:25,360 --> 00:51:28,319
Speaker 1: if they take a seventeen point lead, even if they

1027
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:30,239
Speaker 1: go on to blow the game and lose. You want

1028
00:51:30,239 --> 00:51:32,359
Speaker 1: to bet this better at Bet three six five. All right,

1029
00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:36,040
Speaker 1: let's do our money line underdog round Robin.

1030
00:51:37,680 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 2: There will come up Heayday, hallelu yo, wanna pay day?

1031
00:51:41,640 --> 00:51:45,879
Speaker 1: There will come up payday someday, someday there.

1032
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:49,799
Speaker 4: I will come up Heayday, Halla, lou yo, wanna payday, Hi,

1033
00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:51,880
Speaker 4: I will come up payday someday.

1034
00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:56,440
Speaker 1: Obviously, we're doing Minnesota in Arizona for.

1035
00:51:56,520 --> 00:51:59,239
Speaker 3: The big dog. I was almost there with you. In

1036
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:02,040
Speaker 3: the Broncos by think we gotta go Giants, right, Yeah,

1037
00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 3: like they feel like the more realistic, most veteran team

1038
00:52:05,320 --> 00:52:08,960
Speaker 3: that could pull off that upset. Let's let's get Atlanta

1039
00:52:08,960 --> 00:52:09,319
Speaker 3: in there.

1040
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:13,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good idea. Minnesota, Arizona, Giants, Atlanta.

1041
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:14,600
Speaker 3: Now do you believe in?

1042
00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:16,719
Speaker 2: Do you believe in the Jaguars? Or should we get

1043
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:19,320
Speaker 2: real sick and go with our Carolina Panthers.

1044
00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:22,920
Speaker 1: I mean we could do Carolina, we could do Denver.

1045
00:52:23,520 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 2: Let's go with Panthers because I'm not going to make

1046
00:52:25,080 --> 00:52:27,360
Speaker 2: this one of our five, but I'm sick of I

1047
00:52:27,400 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 2: just can't stop bend their money line.

1048
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:30,520
Speaker 3: You're let's go Panthers.

1049
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 1: You are disgusting. This whole show is disgusting.

1050
00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:38,080
Speaker 3: I love that. I love that five.

1051
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:45,320
Speaker 1: I don't know do we have to talk about Survivor.

1052
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:46,520
Speaker 1: I don't even want to bring it up.

1053
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 3: I'm back in.

1054
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:48,839
Speaker 2: I bought into a one just so I can keep

1055
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:51,920
Speaker 2: it going because I did feel bad. Shockingly people, we

1056
00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 2: have one People's Survivor contest. Last year we had a

1057
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:56,239
Speaker 2: couple of people win thanks to me and Chad not

1058
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:59,200
Speaker 2: being total idiots to start the season. For me, what

1059
00:52:59,280 --> 00:53:01,920
Speaker 2: I'm personally doing if you didn't use it yet, I

1060
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:05,879
Speaker 2: am going Cincy if you had used them. I'm gonna

1061
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:07,960
Speaker 2: go forty nine Ers, like the forty nine ers against

1062
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:11,040
Speaker 2: this Rams team. This RAMS team might be shutting it

1063
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:15,240
Speaker 2: down pretty soon, so I'm gonna take take the whatever

1064
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:17,839
Speaker 2: it is minus three point fifty five.

1065
00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:20,320
Speaker 3: Now it's up to this forty nine Ers team to

1066
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:23,080
Speaker 3: win out right in that game. So my two Cincinnati

1067
00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:24,480
Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers.

1068
00:53:24,880 --> 00:53:27,879
Speaker 1: Scoot roulette. Last week you had the Cowboys minus three.

1069
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:32,880
Speaker 1: I had the Broncos plus two and a half. But

1070
00:53:33,920 --> 00:53:38,600
Speaker 1: in uh the Rollover World Believe in week one, you

1071
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:40,880
Speaker 1: had Philadelphia minus two and a half and I had

1072
00:53:40,920 --> 00:53:44,400
Speaker 1: Tennessee plus four. So you get to choose first again.

1073
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:48,480
Speaker 3: All right, keep it simple, stupid, I'm gonna go Lamar Ravens.

1074
00:53:48,520 --> 00:53:50,360
Speaker 3: I just can't see them start zero for three, so

1075
00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:51,560
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the minus one.

1076
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:57,560
Speaker 1: Wow. Then I think I will go with the Miami Dolphins.

1077
00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:01,239
Speaker 1: I'm just I'm putting it in the script's official. I'm

1078
00:54:01,320 --> 00:54:07,759
Speaker 1: taking the Miami Dolphins. Evan Abrams saved me from myself.

1079
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:11,040
Speaker 1: Director of research man meed some final words to make

1080
00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:15,839
Speaker 1: us feel good about something. The last word with Evan Abrams.

1081
00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:17,560
Speaker 1: We're finished talking.

1082
00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:20,000
Speaker 4: Just one fun note, So you talked about Mahomes not

1083
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:23,480
Speaker 4: being the same type of quarterbacks. Of thirty two quarterbacks

1084
00:54:23,520 --> 00:54:27,640
Speaker 4: this year, average depth of target, the lowest is Jayden Daniels,

1085
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:30,480
Speaker 4: second lowest is Mahomes. It's five point oh for Mahomes.

1086
00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:34,600
Speaker 4: For reference, rookie year was nine point one, twenty twenty

1087
00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:36,920
Speaker 4: two was seven point four. It's five this year.

1088
00:54:37,320 --> 00:54:37,960
Speaker 3: So two.

1089
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:41,239
Speaker 4: It's just ridiculous how a different quarterback he's been. And

1090
00:54:41,320 --> 00:54:44,160
Speaker 4: then to answer your question, Simon before two to zero

1091
00:54:44,200 --> 00:54:46,719
Speaker 4: at home, oh and two on the road. When you're

1092
00:54:46,760 --> 00:54:49,200
Speaker 4: at home in that week three last twenty years, the

1093
00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:53,080
Speaker 4: average line is seven point six. So yeah, when you're

1094
00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:56,080
Speaker 4: talking about Denver, Jacksonville, those types of games, the line

1095
00:54:56,120 --> 00:54:57,920
Speaker 4: probably should be a little bit higher for what it's worth.

1096
00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:00,839
Speaker 4: So you're right, all right into spiel. So, as John

1097
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:03,799
Speaker 4: Harbass said this week, the NFL season is a race

1098
00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:06,640
Speaker 4: to improve, and that is exactly what the Panthers are

1099
00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:09,560
Speaker 4: trying to do. So we're gonna talk to Carolina right now.

1100
00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:12,120
Speaker 4: So the Panthers have gotten blown out twice to start

1101
00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:14,520
Speaker 4: the season. Over the last thirty five years, we've seen

1102
00:55:14,600 --> 00:55:17,520
Speaker 4: thirty nine teams lose by two touchdowns or more in

1103
00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:19,880
Speaker 4: weeks one and two. Those teams in Week three are

1104
00:55:19,920 --> 00:55:22,720
Speaker 4: twenty five, thirteen and one against the spread sixty six percent.

1105
00:55:23,120 --> 00:55:25,080
Speaker 4: But to me, there's just way more than that because

1106
00:55:25,080 --> 00:55:26,920
Speaker 4: of the Bryce thing, right, So I think it's worth

1107
00:55:27,000 --> 00:55:29,279
Speaker 4: touching on that. Since twenty twenty two, there have been

1108
00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:32,600
Speaker 4: thirty nine quarterbacks with at least five hundred total plays.

1109
00:55:33,160 --> 00:55:35,560
Speaker 4: Dalton and Bryce are on the list in terms of

1110
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:39,680
Speaker 4: EPA per play, which is just expected points added. Bryce

1111
00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:43,680
Speaker 4: is dead effing last. Andy Dalton is twenty first in

1112
00:55:43,800 --> 00:55:48,040
Speaker 4: terms of success rate, which is simply yards gained depending

1113
00:55:48,080 --> 00:55:50,120
Speaker 4: on what down it is, got to gain more yards

1114
00:55:50,160 --> 00:55:53,799
Speaker 4: as the downs go by. Bryce Young dead effing last.

1115
00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:57,520
Speaker 4: Andy Dalton is actually eleventh on that list. So call

1116
00:55:57,600 --> 00:56:02,279
Speaker 4: all the toy story fans. Andy's back. All right, Let's

1117
00:56:02,280 --> 00:56:04,960
Speaker 4: talk about the Jaguars for a second. So Josh Allen

1118
00:56:05,040 --> 00:56:06,799
Speaker 4: has closed as a favorite of four points or more

1119
00:56:07,120 --> 00:56:10,160
Speaker 4: twenty six times over the last three full seasons. Bills

1120
00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 4: are eight seventeen and one against the spread in those games.

1121
00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:16,799
Speaker 4: Of the forty six quarterbacks to close over four points

1122
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:18,880
Speaker 4: in any game in that span, that is the single

1123
00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:21,799
Speaker 4: worst ats mark, so understand where you guys are coming

1124
00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:24,640
Speaker 4: from on the Jags. Now to talk about one bonus

1125
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:27,160
Speaker 4: nugget with the Jaguars, which I literally found last night.

1126
00:56:27,680 --> 00:56:30,719
Speaker 4: Doug Peterson is actually thirteen and three against the spread

1127
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:32,759
Speaker 4: as a dog at night, best of one hundred and

1128
00:56:32,800 --> 00:56:35,400
Speaker 4: thirty six coaches last twenty years. And he's actually three

1129
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:38,399
Speaker 4: and one against the number with Lawrence, So decent spot there.

1130
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:41,960
Speaker 4: And then I had to use this one. So here

1131
00:56:41,960 --> 00:56:47,160
Speaker 4: are five random quarterbacks. JP Lossman, Patrick Ramsey, Kevin Cobb,

1132
00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:50,520
Speaker 4: Dennis Dixon, and Kenny Pickett. What do they all have

1133
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,560
Speaker 4: in common? They all were pretty terrible, but they're all

1134
00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:56,719
Speaker 4: above five hundred against the spread in their careers. Sometimes

1135
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:59,719
Speaker 4: you just have to bet really bad quarterbacks. Now we

1136
00:56:59,800 --> 00:57:02,279
Speaker 4: talk about the Miami Dolphins, it's simply gonna give you

1137
00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:02,880
Speaker 4: one stat.

1138
00:57:03,239 --> 00:57:03,560
Speaker 1: Backup.

1139
00:57:03,640 --> 00:57:06,640
Speaker 4: QB's catching four points or more in their first start

1140
00:57:06,719 --> 00:57:09,120
Speaker 4: for a team. Two and oh this season, justin Fields

1141
00:57:09,160 --> 00:57:12,440
Speaker 4: week one, Malik Willison week two. Now we get Skylar Thompson.

1142
00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 4: But those quarterbacks eighty three, fifty eight and two fifty

1143
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:20,920
Speaker 4: nine percent twenty thirteen, just hold your nose and do

1144
00:57:21,000 --> 00:57:24,000
Speaker 4: what you gotta do. Skylar Thompson's one and two ATS career.

1145
00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:25,120
Speaker 3: Time to get even.

1146
00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:28,400
Speaker 1: I'm so in on the Jaguars. I don't need to be.

1147
00:57:28,520 --> 00:57:30,480
Speaker 3: Lud Evn's gotta be fired up. I wasn't as much,

1148
00:57:30,560 --> 00:57:31,440
Speaker 3: but Evans Evan's got.

1149
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:35,000
Speaker 1: I'm way too far deep on the Jaguars at not

1150
00:57:35,120 --> 00:57:36,680
Speaker 1: even the best number on the boy, I'm.

1151
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:38,320
Speaker 3: Already looking forward to us sweating out of Landa and

1152
00:57:38,400 --> 00:57:38,960
Speaker 3: the Jags.

1153
00:57:39,320 --> 00:57:43,120
Speaker 1: Oh my god, we're gonna have miserable Sunday and Monday nights,

1154
00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:47,400
Speaker 1: No the best terrible. As a reminder of the Favorites

1155
00:57:47,440 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 1: podcast is presented by Bet three to six five and

1156
00:57:50,040 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 1: this just in new Bet three sixty five customers now

1157
00:57:52,560 --> 00:57:54,560
Speaker 1: get two hundred dollars in bonus bet when you bet

1158
00:57:54,640 --> 00:57:58,400
Speaker 1: five dollars sign up using promo code Favorites deposit ten

1159
00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:00,800
Speaker 1: dollars in place a bet for five dollars dollars to

1160
00:58:00,920 --> 00:58:04,800
Speaker 1: get two hundred dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus bets

1161
00:58:05,120 --> 00:58:09,320
Speaker 1: can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures, and more.

1162
00:58:09,720 --> 00:58:13,360
Speaker 1: Whatever the moment, It's never ordinary. At Bet three six five.

1163
00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:19,160
Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona. Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

1164
00:58:19,280 --> 00:58:24,000
Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and

1165
00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 1: older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler

1166
00:58:28,040 --> 00:58:30,880
Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions

1167
00:58:30,920 --> 00:58:34,160
Speaker 1: restrictions apply. Simon and I will be back with our

1168
00:58:34,280 --> 00:58:37,720
Speaker 1: next episode of the Favorites on the Action Network YouTube

1169
00:58:37,760 --> 00:58:42,600
Speaker 1: page on Sunday night, seven thirty pm Eastern to recap

1170
00:58:43,680 --> 00:58:47,480
Speaker 1: the latest and greatest in NFL Week three. Some you

1171
00:58:47,600 --> 00:58:50,280
Speaker 1: notice that the more we lose, the bigger the audience.

1172
00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:55,000
Speaker 1: On Sunday night. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods wherever

1173
00:58:55,120 --> 00:58:57,720
Speaker 1: you get your pods, Rate review, subscribe, leaves five stars,

1174
00:58:57,760 --> 00:59:00,680
Speaker 1: say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until next time.

1175
00:59:01,360 --> 00:59:01,760
Speaker 4: Love you.

1176
00:59:08,680 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1177
00:59:13,240 --> 00:59:16,040
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1178
00:59:16,040 --> 00:59:19,120
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler