1 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday 2 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: morning edition of the Deally Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault. 3 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 1: Every morning we're here on Bettingpros dot Com Always Breen 4 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. Welcome to New York. 5 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: By the way, our Juice one fifty promo code works 6 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: in New York ten dollars. Bet to win one hundred 7 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: and fifty dollars on any event with the promo code 8 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 1: for new users at Juice one fifty, BETMGM, betmgm dot 9 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 1: com or wherever you use and can find the bet 10 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 1: mgm app. Okay, So last night was bad and well, 11 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: zero and three on the props and then the total 12 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 1: does not come in. The Pros were on the under. 13 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 1: We were one touchdown drive away from cashing. The over 14 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: number came down. We had some against ues line movement. 15 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: He closed at forty eight and a half Kyler Murray 16 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: and company. Just I don't know what Cliff Kingsbury's deal is. 17 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury against Sean McVay is an absolute mismatch. And 18 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 1: I would have been and I should have been on 19 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:19,960 Speaker 1: the Rams, but I lean Cardinals, So I'm glad I 20 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: didn't bet it because I would have been wrong, but man, 21 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 1: that total fifty was there, it was right there. We 22 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:29,639 Speaker 1: got the Rams right, should have bet the Rams team total. 23 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 1: And I'm looking more into team totals. I'm getting to 24 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 1: like team totals more and I think that's kind of 25 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: how I'm gonna approach this next weekend with with the NFL. 26 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 1: I'm gonna look hard at team totals and try to 27 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: get in some micro markets and not get into full 28 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 1: games as much. This is the part now with the 29 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: divisional round, and we've got four games this weekend and 30 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: then two games next weekend and then the Super Bowl. 31 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 1: We only have seven games left in the NFL. In 32 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 1: the in the football season, there is all the data 33 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: you could ever dream of. There is so many algorithms 34 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: and points in emphasis. It's you know, it's difficult, right, 35 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,959 Speaker 1: I mean, look at the home favorites cleaning up. Going 36 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: into this weekend, everybody was talking about wild card dogs, 37 00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 1: how successful the wild card dogs had been. It was 38 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: some ridiculous number like eighteen and two or something, right, 39 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: and then teased if you teased all the dogs, it 40 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: was an eighteen and one run for teasers. With the 41 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 1: dog being teased up. Well, that dog got taken behind 42 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: the woodshed and old yellard because that didn't happen. Only 43 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: home team to lose Dallas, how about that only home 44 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 1: team not to cover Dallas. Every other home team won, 45 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:49,360 Speaker 1: every other home team covered, and most of them covered 46 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: going away, Chiefs, Bills, Rams, Bucks, I mean didn't just win, 47 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: they won easily. And now we moved to the divisional 48 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: round and well and three on the props, oh to 49 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 1: one on the first on the full unit bet so 50 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 1: in oh and four day down one point seventy five 51 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: units not good. Down on Saturday, up on Sunday, down 52 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 1: on Monday, makes for a losing weekend bummer. I mean 53 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 1: again that total. I don't know what McVeigh was doing. 54 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what clink what Kingsbury was 55 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 1: doing against McVeigh. Why were they so afraid to run 56 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray? That I don't get like run Kyler Murray. 57 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: That prop didn't come in, no pick from Stafford. Stafford 58 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 1: performed well, he didn't throw a pick. And then the 59 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 1: Cooper Cup, I mean that was you know, game theory 60 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: was that they were going to force feed Cooper Cup, 61 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: but they didn't need to. I mean, he wound up 62 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: like seventy yards, but they didn't need to force feed 63 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: him because they would need to force the ball down 64 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 1: the field to him if they were in a tight 65 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: football game. They weren't in a tight football game, so 66 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: he came way in, So all the props were weird. 67 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: I went personally on Cooper Cup over thirty and a 68 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: half half for that other quarter unit that was hanging 69 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: out there. The over thirty and a half longest reception 70 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 1: for Cup, he had a twenty nine and a half 71 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: yarder or a twenty nine yarder, So it was like 72 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: man alive. That was brutal. So just missed it on that, 73 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: So that kind of stunk. So just one of those nights. 74 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 1: We turn the page and we move on. Okay, So 75 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 1: now we got to really focus on the way the 76 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:26,599 Speaker 1: college basketball season is going to go. Okay, And when 77 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 1: I lose, I tend to shrink. You guys know this. 78 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:30,359 Speaker 1: I tend to go light. I go light anyway on 79 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 1: Tuesdays and Wednesdays, kind of gearing up for the week. 80 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 1: But just kind of how I go. We've got we 81 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: have basketball in the NBA, basketball at college and the 82 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: NHL to get us between now and Saturday till we 83 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:44,600 Speaker 1: get back to being able to bet on football. So 84 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: I got two plays for you guys here, both half 85 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: unit plays in college basketball. Let's start with Oklahoma take 86 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: it on Kansas, and this is going to be a 87 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: really interesting game because Oklahoma at home catching three and 88 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,599 Speaker 1: a half points from Kansas. KU on the road is 89 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: three four against the number this season. KU's uber talented, 90 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,920 Speaker 1: but Oklahoma needs to get a couple of these marquee 91 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: victories here for their NAA resume, for the tournament resume. 92 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:12,719 Speaker 1: They don't have that many great victories. Like they beat 93 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 1: Iowa State, Okay, they lost on the road to TCU. 94 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: They lost by fourteen to Texas in their two previous games. 95 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:24,280 Speaker 1: Not good. They beat Iowa State at home by a 96 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites. They won by thirteen 97 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 1: in their last home game. They lost by ten on 98 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: the road to Baylor. So three of the last four 99 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: games on the road, one win, that win coming at 100 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 1: home at home this year, Oklahoma is four and five 101 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:41,839 Speaker 1: against the number. But I mean they lost to Butler 102 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: by four, they beat Florida by seven, they beat Kansas 103 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 1: State by two. I mean this Oklahoma team has got talent. 104 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: This could be you can make a case that this 105 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: is a must win game for Oklahoma, like their year 106 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:58,239 Speaker 1: is writing on them. To win this game, they need 107 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 1: a scalp. I know Kansas is more talented, but I 108 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:05,480 Speaker 1: got a home dog over one possession. I got two 109 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: possessions essentially here, I need kau to with this game 110 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,880 Speaker 1: by two possessions. I think Oklahoma is live to win 111 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 1: the game. It's a Tuesday in Norman, Oklahoma against their 112 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: arch rival in Kansas. You know it's going to be 113 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: just a monster atmosphere here. I haven't been all that 114 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 1: impressed with Kansas. Okay. Their last win out against West Virginia, 115 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 1: they won by twenty six points. They killed West Virginia 116 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 1: really impressive, but they were eleven and a half point favorites. 117 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 1: They were thirteen point favorites against Iowa State and they 118 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 1: won by one. Last road game at Texas Tech, they 119 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:39,359 Speaker 1: were favored by seven. They lost outright by eight points. 120 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: So I mean, this is a team that's lost to 121 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 1: Dayton and it's lost to Texas Tech, and that's it. 122 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 1: So they've been a little bit inconsistent, a little bit 123 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 1: up and down. Let's hope we get a down night 124 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: for KU tonight. Let's take Oklahoma at home plus three 125 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 1: and a half against Kansas for a half a unit, 126 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 1: and let's go to the other game, eyeball, and I 127 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:06,520 Speaker 1: like it's Wisconsin at Northwestern. Wisconsin's been outstanding, they really have. 128 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 1: They're eleven and five against the number this year. They 129 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: are five and one against the Big ten against the spread, 130 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: they've covered the last four games, seven to the last 131 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 1: ten they've covered, and they are six and one on 132 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: the road. I know Northwestern has become kind of like 133 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: this team everyone needs to watch out four. But they're 134 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: coming off of a huge road win against Michigan State. 135 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: I think you get Northwestern coming down off of a 136 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: huge win. They had lost four games in a row. 137 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 1: I get this line. You might look at it and go, wait, 138 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: why is this line two? I mean one in four 139 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 1: in their last five. It's because people are looking at 140 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: Northwestern and they're like, you gotta be careful. They beat Maryland, 141 00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 1: they beat Georgia, I mean lost by five to Providence, 142 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 1: but they lost to Maryland, lost by eight to Ohio State, 143 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: lost by four depend State as favorites, lost by six 144 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: to Michigan State, at home as three point dogs, but 145 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: then they go in the road and get that big win. 146 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 1: I think you're catching Northwestern off of a really high 147 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 1: a big emotional victory. I think you've got Wisconsin coming in. 148 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: This number is gonna climb. I can't see this number 149 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: staying kind of where it is, but I like Wisconsin here. 150 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: I think Bucky's gonna go in there and do some damage. 151 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: They've been a really fun team this year. They're one 152 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:19,800 Speaker 1: of the best teams in the country. I think that 153 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 1: people need to look at. I mean, they're just outside 154 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: ken Pom's top twenty five, but they're fourteen and two. 155 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: They play pretty slow because it's Wisconsin. They're two forty 156 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 1: six and adjusted tempo. But their team that has their 157 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: fifth and strength of schedule, they are They've been tested 158 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 1: by a bunch of teams and they've played very well 159 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 1: against the spread. Eleven and five. I'm not gonna overthink it. 160 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 1: Maybe it's a trap. I'm gonna lay it. Wisconsin on 161 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 1: the road minus two at Northwestern can be a house 162 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 1: of horrors. I know going to Northwestern can be very difficult. 163 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: They play very similar basketball totals one thirty eight. You 164 00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: might say just play the under in this game map 165 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: because you know both teams are gonna play at a 166 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: slow pace. I get it. Wisconsin is eleven and five 167 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 1: though to the over this year, which is very Unwisconsin 168 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: like due to their offense. Northwestern eight and six to 169 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 1: the over as well. At home they're five and three. 170 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 1: Wisconsin's five and two. That's why I'm not playing the under. 171 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: I think maybe you want to looking at stats and trends, 172 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:21,079 Speaker 1: you may go with the over in this game. I'm 173 00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:24,080 Speaker 1: miss going to take Wisconsin bucky minus two on the 174 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: road at Northwestern for a half a unit. Okay, So again, 175 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 1: not a very big day for me. It's a Tuesday. 176 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: Not going to get two. Overly committed, try to win 177 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: back a little bit, lick my wounds a little bit 178 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 1: from yesterday, kind of write this ship a little bit. 179 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:39,439 Speaker 1: Maybe I'll jump in with NBA player props. Those are 180 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 1: coming back, Okay, this is the time of the year. 181 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 1: We've got to get a couple of things going. One, 182 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 1: NBA player props will come back, Okay, they're definitely coming 183 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 1: back in a big way. Number two, I am also 184 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 1: going to bring back a couple of our old favorites. 185 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 1: They don't Bet at Parlay Parlay on Fridays. That is 186 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 1: coming back and on Saturdays coming back. We're going to 187 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:02,079 Speaker 1: start back up again on the Discord channel. The Discord 188 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 1: Bet is going to make its return. It's going to 189 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:07,679 Speaker 1: be on Saturdays. So we've got college basketball, college football 190 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 1: in the NHL to kind of get into. So those 191 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:12,719 Speaker 1: are We're going to crowdsource it a little bit. We're 192 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: gonna come together on Saturday mornings. I probably will do 193 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:17,719 Speaker 1: it a little bit later than what I normally was 194 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 1: doing it. I think I was doing it at well 195 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:24,200 Speaker 1: maybe it's okay, eight o'clock Pacific time, eleven am Eastern 196 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 1: now probably have maybe still, I don't know. It's a 197 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 1: little I just sometimes I'll like sleeping in. Sometimes I 198 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,080 Speaker 1: want to get up at seven forty five. I don't 199 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:32,320 Speaker 1: want to get up and I have to get up 200 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 1: at seven and fifteen or so to get ready for 201 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:35,839 Speaker 1: that Discord Channe. But I am bringing that back. Okay, 202 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:38,679 Speaker 1: maybe not this weekend. More on that because we've got 203 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 1: football this weekend. But I think once we get to February, 204 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: once we get to Championship Sunday, Yeah, once we get 205 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:47,959 Speaker 1: the championship Sunday, when there's no football on Saturday, then 206 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 1: we'll bring back the discord bet, so not this weekend 207 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:52,719 Speaker 1: but next weekend, but we will on Friday bring back 208 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:54,680 Speaker 1: that don't bet at Parlay Parlay and some other fun 209 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 1: stuff as well that we'll do coming up. So is 210 00:10:56,920 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 1: that time of the year we're gonna have some fun 211 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:02,559 Speaker 1: footballs finding down We'll stretch our legs and have some fun. Okay, 212 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: Wisconsin minus two, Oklahoma plus three and a half, both 213 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: bets for a half a unit, just two of them 214 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 1: going for today on a Tuesday minus Matt Parrault. Follow 215 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every 216 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: morning It's the Deal Juice podcast, always being brought to 217 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 1: you by Venom Jam