1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:00,760
Speaker 1: All right, here we go.

2
00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:08,240
Speaker 2: We're just gonna turn it up to the basket.

3
00:00:08,360 --> 00:00:10,560
Speaker 3: Under the basket'st out a seven second.

4
00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:15,680
Speaker 2: It's the truth for the wind, God make a miracle.

5
00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:18,720
Speaker 1: The water.

6
00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:21,680
Speaker 4: That one form the parking lot.

7
00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,160
Speaker 1: What's up the Genner Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

8
00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:31,120
Speaker 1: on Campus podcast, presented by Bett MGM. This is the

9
00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:36,280
Speaker 1: early week college basketball betting preview and weekend recap. I'm stucky.

10
00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:40,280
Speaker 1: Joining me as always are Mike Calabrese and Greg Wabell.

11
00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:42,640
Speaker 1: So what are we going to cover today? We will

12
00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:46,440
Speaker 1: talk about the weekend that was exciting weekend in college basketball.

13
00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:50,000
Speaker 1: As always, with March right around the corner, we have

14
00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:56,040
Speaker 1: twenty days until selection Sunday twenty four until the first

15
00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:59,240
Speaker 1: Thursday of the tournament. Can't wait. We'll talk a little

16
00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,080
Speaker 1: bit out the weekend and then we'll each we'll talk

17
00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,920
Speaker 1: a little bubble well, just like you guys did last

18
00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:08,959
Speaker 1: weekend when I was traveling. We'll each take a team,

19
00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:12,000
Speaker 1: well actually we each take two teams on the bubble

20
00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,640
Speaker 1: by or sell. Whether that's buying or selling. You can

21
00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:18,560
Speaker 1: take it two ways, buying in the get in or

22
00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:20,520
Speaker 1: you know, selling a team to not make the dance

23
00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:22,840
Speaker 1: or whether or not you're buying or selling a team

24
00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,480
Speaker 1: to potentially make a run. We'll call it potential to

25
00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,160
Speaker 1: get to the second weekend, and then we'll obviously talk

26
00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:33,280
Speaker 1: about a couple of spots we have circled early this

27
00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:39,720
Speaker 1: week for Monday and Tuesday. But let's start things off

28
00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:42,000
Speaker 1: with the weekend that was Greg. I'll start with you.

29
00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:45,320
Speaker 1: Anything you want to rant about, any key takeaways what

30
00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:45,679
Speaker 1: he got?

31
00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:48,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got a key takeaway and I got a rant.

32
00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:51,840
Speaker 5: I'll start with showing some love to a team that

33
00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:53,560
Speaker 5: Calbury's tried to tell me I.

34
00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,960
Speaker 2: Should expect this to happen too.

35
00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:59,920
Speaker 5: Houston deserves to be considered in that very top tier

36
00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,720
Speaker 5: of college basketball, alongside Purduing Yukon.

37
00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:04,440
Speaker 1: I be considered.

38
00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:07,520
Speaker 2: Listen, listen, well, correcting myself.

39
00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,680
Speaker 5: I'm correcting myself because I came here on the BBOC

40
00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:14,679
Speaker 5: Live on Saturday and I called them one sea.

41
00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:17,200
Speaker 2: That was the phrase. I said. They're one seed. They're

42
00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:18,000
Speaker 2: not one seed.

43
00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,760
Speaker 5: They are equals to the top two teams that I

44
00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,080
Speaker 5: thought were the top two teams in college basketball, if

45
00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:25,919
Speaker 5: not ahead of it, like Ken Palm has tried to

46
00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:29,040
Speaker 5: tell us, they are all season long. Look you don't

47
00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:32,040
Speaker 5: go on the road against a top twenty five team

48
00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:34,280
Speaker 5: like Baylor and just smack them in the mouth and

49
00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:37,480
Speaker 5: lead by twenty at half the way that Houston did.

50
00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:40,440
Speaker 5: And I know that it wasn't actually twenty I don't believe,

51
00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,799
Speaker 5: but it felt like it right. They just destroyed them physically.

52
00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:45,400
Speaker 5: You nailed at Calabrese.

53
00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:45,799
Speaker 2: Ray J.

54
00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,239
Speaker 5: Dennis had two turnovers in the first ninety seconds of

55
00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,040
Speaker 5: the game. I could not have been more wrong about that. Now,

56
00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,440
Speaker 5: Baylor did make it interesting, which maybe is why I'm

57
00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:56,359
Speaker 5: not always going to be able to be all the

58
00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,679
Speaker 5: way in on Houston, the fact that they did open

59
00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:01,600
Speaker 5: the door back up. But man, the way Jamal shdd

60
00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:04,480
Speaker 5: is playing with that defense, which is like top three

61
00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:08,320
Speaker 5: in every single individual defensive category you can find, I

62
00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:10,640
Speaker 5: think it's historically elite on that end, and if they

63
00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,399
Speaker 5: get Shed playing the way he has been, they could

64
00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:16,120
Speaker 5: certainly win a national championship. So this is me eating

65
00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:20,800
Speaker 5: Crow and then my rant quickly. Michigan State man Tom Izzo.

66
00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:25,280
Speaker 5: He starts his five star freshman Xavier Booker on Sunday afternoon,

67
00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:27,640
Speaker 5: first time this season. I've been begging for it all

68
00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:31,000
Speaker 5: season long. His center stink that's been the story. He

69
00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:34,840
Speaker 5: apparently trusts Xavior Booker. Booker did some really nice things.

70
00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,160
Speaker 5: He hit a three, he had three blocks, looked like

71
00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:39,440
Speaker 5: the guy, and then within an eight point lead with

72
00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:41,560
Speaker 5: eight minutes left in the game. He never checked back

73
00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:44,720
Speaker 5: into the Gamezo went to Maddy Sissoko in crunch time.

74
00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:47,880
Speaker 5: They blow a ten point lead. How about a lost

75
00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:50,520
Speaker 5: to Ohio State. Now you're firmly back on the bubble.

76
00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,840
Speaker 5: I'm frustrated on behalf of Michigan State fans everywhere who

77
00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,640
Speaker 5: just watched Tom Izzo keep driving this team into a

78
00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,920
Speaker 5: wall over and over again, trusting these horrible centers.

79
00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I Michigan State was one of my key takeaways.

80
00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:07,160
Speaker 1: Why not try to use Booker down in the stretch?

81
00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,000
Speaker 1: I don't get it. And are we sure Michigan States

82
00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:12,680
Speaker 1: in the field? I mean, obviously if they win at Perdue,

83
00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:16,080
Speaker 1: which I can't see, they're in. But are we one

84
00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:18,400
Speaker 1: hundred percent convinced and we'll talk about some bubble teas,

85
00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:21,800
Speaker 1: But if they lose one of these more winnable games

86
00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:23,440
Speaker 1: down a stretch and then losing like the first round

87
00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:25,480
Speaker 1: of the Big Ten tournament, are aren't they potentially out.

88
00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,120
Speaker 2: One hundred percent. They're right on the cut line.

89
00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,320
Speaker 5: And look their last week after Purdue, which we all

90
00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,200
Speaker 5: think they're going to lose, is Boo Booie on their

91
00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:36,600
Speaker 5: senior night. Boo Booie has historically owned Michigan State had

92
00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:37,159
Speaker 5: to head.

93
00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,040
Speaker 2: Uh and then you got to go at Assembly Hall.

94
00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,600
Speaker 5: I know Indiana's down, but like that's that's not an

95
00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:42,840
Speaker 5: easy environment to get a win.

96
00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:44,920
Speaker 2: Things are training in their wrong direction for sure.

97
00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:48,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, Calbary, what you got?

98
00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:52,160
Speaker 3: Can we talked court storming for a moment, I'll kick

99
00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:56,240
Speaker 3: it to the panel here. I was some who storm

100
00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:58,559
Speaker 3: to court before I started a University Missouri two thousand

101
00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,560
Speaker 3: and five. In the spring, it was down year for

102
00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:02,479
Speaker 3: Quinn Snyder's team. They ended up going to the NIT,

103
00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:04,960
Speaker 3: but the last regular season game of the year, they

104
00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,520
Speaker 3: upset number seven Kansas in the rivalry.

105
00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:08,280
Speaker 1: Game on their home floor.

106
00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:10,880
Speaker 3: And I was there storming the court, and one thing

107
00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,440
Speaker 3: that came to mind for me is Kansas brought their

108
00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,040
Speaker 3: own state troopers and they had them basically flank the team.

109
00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:19,760
Speaker 3: One of them had a pistol out, and I gotta

110
00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:22,320
Speaker 3: tell you, when somebody sees a gun in that situation,

111
00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:24,960
Speaker 3: all of a sudden the sea parts and those guys

112
00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,200
Speaker 3: are able to get off the floor. This whole thing

113
00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:29,120
Speaker 3: where it's like, oh, we have to end court storming.

114
00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:31,920
Speaker 3: No college athletics has more money than it's ever had.

115
00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:34,839
Speaker 3: I want to be a job creator. Send more state troopers,

116
00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,080
Speaker 3: send you know, bodyguards for every single player, and have

117
00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,520
Speaker 3: an exit strategy. When you're a team like Duke and

118
00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:42,680
Speaker 3: your ranks in you know, the top ten, and you're

119
00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:44,640
Speaker 3: playing against the school that hasn't beat you in forever,

120
00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:46,799
Speaker 3: you got to prepare and have some kind of exit

121
00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:50,320
Speaker 3: plan for that scenario. The fact that Flip got hurt

122
00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:53,080
Speaker 3: it sucks. I feel bad for him, but it's not

123
00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:57,880
Speaker 3: like he was assaulted and something horrific happens and you know,

124
00:05:58,160 --> 00:05:59,120
Speaker 3: the paramedics were there.

125
00:05:59,320 --> 00:05:59,960
Speaker 1: He twisted.

126
00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:02,520
Speaker 3: I don't. I think that's a bit of an overreaction

127
00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:04,920
Speaker 3: say that we can't storm the court ever. Again, there's

128
00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:07,360
Speaker 3: things that can be done based on the home team

129
00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:09,720
Speaker 3: in terms of their security and the away team in

130
00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:12,440
Speaker 3: terms of their security. Have a good play together and

131
00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:15,120
Speaker 3: you get to enjoy it as the fans and the

132
00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,320
Speaker 3: players get to be safe. I think this is something

133
00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,880
Speaker 3: that can be solved, and I think this whole overreaction

134
00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,000
Speaker 3: that we have to do away with it. Also, people

135
00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:24,760
Speaker 3: being like Wake didn't deserve to storm the court, they

136
00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:28,080
Speaker 3: were favored. Spare me the bullshit. Okay, listen, they're unranked

137
00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,240
Speaker 3: up against Duke who they always want to beat, and

138
00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:34,039
Speaker 3: they finally do it. That's an absolute court storming worthy performance.

139
00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,400
Speaker 3: So I think it's ridiculous on that front as well.

140
00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,400
Speaker 1: Who was Yeah, I'll give my thoughts to a second,

141
00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:46,000
Speaker 1: but that Missouri team that wasn't like that, wasn't Faulding

142
00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:49,960
Speaker 1: and it wasn't Rush. It was post post Rush.

143
00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,280
Speaker 3: I believe Arthur Johnson was our best player. He was

144
00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:54,599
Speaker 3: a center at the time, not a great Missou tim

145
00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:55,640
Speaker 3: not a vintage Missin.

146
00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:57,520
Speaker 1: Like let Linus Claisa on that team.

147
00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:01,400
Speaker 3: Maybe I think he was been the next year when

148
00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:03,760
Speaker 3: he put the also one of the best names in

149
00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,680
Speaker 3: Colorable history, the Vanilla Gorilla. He put the team on

150
00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,800
Speaker 3: his back for a bit. The following season, I think

151
00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:11,760
Speaker 3: Matt Mitchell was in the house as well. I don't

152
00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:13,360
Speaker 3: know if he got to the court. We had a

153
00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:16,560
Speaker 3: mutual friend who was an absolute brick you know what house,

154
00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:19,360
Speaker 3: and I just basically used him as a fullback to

155
00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:22,120
Speaker 3: push through three to four levels of the crowd to

156
00:07:22,160 --> 00:07:24,120
Speaker 3: get onto the floor. I made it onto the front

157
00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:26,840
Speaker 3: page of the Kansas City I guess it's gazette or Star,

158
00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:29,520
Speaker 3: but yeah, that was That was my college high at

159
00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:30,840
Speaker 3: Miszoo before I transferred.

160
00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:36,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I one of my the Rush Paulding teams, one

161
00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:41,640
Speaker 1: of my favorite, my personal all time favorite teams. Like

162
00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:43,320
Speaker 1: just as a as a fan, I love that. I

163
00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:46,280
Speaker 1: think they lost a duke in the second round one

164
00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:46,840
Speaker 1: of those years.

165
00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:48,840
Speaker 3: They were one of those years, and they also lost

166
00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:52,000
Speaker 3: to d Wade and Novak. Novak had like a bunch

167
00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:54,000
Speaker 3: of threes in overtime to go to the final four.

168
00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,280
Speaker 3: Zoos still looking to break through that ceiling and make

169
00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:58,400
Speaker 3: the Final four for the first time.

170
00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:02,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I believe that five team. Sorry for anyone

171
00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:08,320
Speaker 1: that's under the age of thirty five, I believe that team,

172
00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,200
Speaker 1: that Kansas team that year they lost the Missouri to

173
00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:11,920
Speaker 1: close the third season. They lost the buck Now in

174
00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:12,600
Speaker 1: the first round.

175
00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:13,240
Speaker 2: They sure did.

176
00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:18,080
Speaker 3: They were selling they were selling Bucknell t shirts on campus.

177
00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:24,080
Speaker 3: It was McNaughton, Malo. Yeah, one of that buck Now.

178
00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:26,000
Speaker 3: I love that buck not I bet I had a

179
00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:28,920
Speaker 3: bet on buck Now that game fucking awesome.

180
00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:29,440
Speaker 2: By the last.

181
00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:31,480
Speaker 3: John Griffin, I think came off the bench for that

182
00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,160
Speaker 3: Bucknell team, and I knew him because in fourth grade

183
00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,079
Speaker 3: I was a very good basketball player at Walter Mercy Academy.

184
00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,320
Speaker 3: I was like our all star, and John Griffin at

185
00:08:39,360 --> 00:08:41,960
Speaker 3: Saint Margaret's was the All star. His basketball career went

186
00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:43,840
Speaker 3: a little better than mine, but I was always kind

187
00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:45,920
Speaker 3: of pulling for him as somebody who used to have

188
00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,040
Speaker 3: a little rivalry with me. At that Bucknell team. That

189
00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:50,600
Speaker 3: was amazing. That little baby hook in the lane by

190
00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:52,559
Speaker 3: mcdondan to win the game was phenomenal.

191
00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:56,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was an All star in eighth grade b

192
00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:59,199
Speaker 1: y U Athletic Club. And that's why we're all talking

193
00:08:59,240 --> 00:08:59,960
Speaker 1: about basketball now.

194
00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:00,559
Speaker 2: I'm not playing.

195
00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,920
Speaker 1: It's when we peaked. But my thoughts, Greg, I'll let

196
00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:06,319
Speaker 1: you jump in. Do you have any thoughts on two

197
00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:07,840
Speaker 1: thousand and five Missouri basketball?

198
00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:10,800
Speaker 5: But well, I have thoughts on the simple fact that

199
00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:12,839
Speaker 5: it is a good reminder as we turn the page

200
00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,520
Speaker 5: to March. Guys, the narrative back in the day was

201
00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,040
Speaker 5: that Bill self couldn't get it done in March in

202
00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,400
Speaker 5: two thousand and five, Right, So, just because a coach

203
00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:22,640
Speaker 5: hasn't done it yet. Doesn't mean they're not going to

204
00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:24,199
Speaker 5: end up a coach with a very great.

205
00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:28,160
Speaker 1: Jay Wright had that Tony Bennett. That's always going to exist.

206
00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:30,760
Speaker 1: It's a crazy tournament's one and done. There's going to

207
00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:32,599
Speaker 1: be some coaches that go a long time not winning it.

208
00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,439
Speaker 1: My thoughts on court storming, Yeah, it's part of college basketball.

209
00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:37,839
Speaker 1: Should let it happen. But there's a way to do it.

210
00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:39,000
Speaker 1: At the end of the game. It's like, and you

211
00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:42,319
Speaker 1: see sometimes teams do this, let the other team get

212
00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:45,480
Speaker 1: off the court. Sometimes you can do that, like while

213
00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:49,360
Speaker 1: you're dribbling it out right, you just have a teamers

214
00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:52,520
Speaker 1: to the butt. Sometimes at the buzzer. Okay, you know

215
00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:54,600
Speaker 1: it's great. You would want to rush the court right

216
00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,640
Speaker 1: when the buzzer, when the horn sounds, but sometimes it's

217
00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:58,839
Speaker 1: not possible. So let the other team get off, and

218
00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:00,719
Speaker 1: then you can rush the court. If you rush the

219
00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:03,880
Speaker 1: court beforehand, big fine. I think that solves it like

220
00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:05,640
Speaker 1: a huge fun right, and then you just have the

221
00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:07,760
Speaker 1: security guards there saying no one rushed to the other

222
00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:10,680
Speaker 1: team leads, and then you can rush the court because

223
00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,120
Speaker 1: there's just no need to rush the court when the

224
00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:14,959
Speaker 1: other team's on the court, like, it's just going to

225
00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:18,880
Speaker 1: lead to shit like this over time injuries, fights, like

226
00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:19,720
Speaker 1: just dumb shit.

227
00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:23,120
Speaker 5: If there was a market on player most likely to

228
00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:26,320
Speaker 5: get injured and then tweet that this needs to change

229
00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:28,720
Speaker 5: due to court storm, Flip would have been top five

230
00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,800
Speaker 5: in the market, right, Like, Yeah, he's he's living up

231
00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:34,439
Speaker 5: to the duke villain that we love, that we know

232
00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:36,640
Speaker 5: and love, and I hope he's he's fully fine. I

233
00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:38,920
Speaker 5: expect he's going to be fully and fine fine. Guys,

234
00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:41,640
Speaker 5: Like if he misses time to this, I'll be genuinely shocked.

235
00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:43,800
Speaker 5: But obviously we hope that doesn't happen.

236
00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:47,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, he Uh, he's get an MRI today, right, I think?

237
00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:48,280
Speaker 2: Yeah?

238
00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:50,280
Speaker 1: I joked on Twitter, I was like, how much more

239
00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:52,640
Speaker 1: do we have to bump Wake far at some court advantage?

240
00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:55,880
Speaker 1: If Philipowski's getting hurt in the court storm? How much

241
00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:58,359
Speaker 1: better can they get at home? All the home Juggernauts

242
00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:03,120
Speaker 1: this weekend Home Kansas, Home Wake Forest Home Nebraska, these

243
00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,559
Speaker 1: teams that just never lose at home. Seemingly we're all

244
00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:10,040
Speaker 1: covering machines. I guess I'll bring up It was an

245
00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:13,360
Speaker 1: awesome Saturday. There were some great games I'll bring up

246
00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:18,880
Speaker 1: the Kentucky Alabama game. So Kentucky at its peak, at

247
00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:20,640
Speaker 1: its ceiling, is one of the best teams in the

248
00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:24,480
Speaker 1: country because their offense. The Alabama is like the perfect

249
00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:28,720
Speaker 1: matchup for them. And you know, obviously Alabama missed Ritzel,

250
00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:32,920
Speaker 1: but when Kentucky can just play like it's almost like,

251
00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:36,800
Speaker 1: you know, in a way, an All Star game, but

252
00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:38,920
Speaker 1: like just like it's kind of like a rerec game,

253
00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:41,280
Speaker 1: and they can and then just their offense can come

254
00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:43,880
Speaker 1: out and shine. Alabama is not that physical of a team,

255
00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:49,120
Speaker 1: especially down low, and that's where Kentucky shines. Now you're

256
00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:51,640
Speaker 1: gonna see how how does in Kentucky's defense have been

257
00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:54,480
Speaker 1: a little better they got They've gotten lucky from three

258
00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:57,080
Speaker 1: point h there's still many holes. But now we're gonna

259
00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:58,840
Speaker 1: see because this is going to tell you a lot

260
00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:03,679
Speaker 1: about Kentucky and okay, how much have they improved. Mississippi

261
00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:08,200
Speaker 1: State on Tuesday is the opposite of Alabama. Right, physical

262
00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:13,280
Speaker 1: team can abuse Kentucky down low in the post, and

263
00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:16,360
Speaker 1: then Kentucky has the rebound from that Alabama win. If

264
00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:18,400
Speaker 1: they can go into Starkville and pick up that win

265
00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:21,400
Speaker 1: and their defense shows up and their post defense shows up,

266
00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,160
Speaker 1: I would be impressed. I have my doubts. So I

267
00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:27,120
Speaker 1: think Kentucky they're gonna be a really tough team to

268
00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:30,280
Speaker 1: kind of peg when you when you get your bracket, Like,

269
00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:32,680
Speaker 1: could they go to the lead eight, yes, could they

270
00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:34,640
Speaker 1: lose in the first round, yes, But I think a

271
00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,599
Speaker 1: lot of it has to do with the types of

272
00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:40,320
Speaker 1: teams that they get. Like, you know, for example, if

273
00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:43,080
Speaker 1: Kentucky out to play Houston at any point, oh god,

274
00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:45,280
Speaker 1: would I think it would get ugly.

275
00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:46,839
Speaker 2: You know.

276
00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:48,720
Speaker 1: Now, granted they have some shot makers, maybe they can

277
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,920
Speaker 1: make it interesting, but just physical teams that can get

278
00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,160
Speaker 1: that can work it down that which is not Alabama,

279
00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:57,760
Speaker 1: and that Alabama defense when they're not at home, I

280
00:12:57,880 --> 00:13:00,760
Speaker 1: think is gonna be their downfall. I can't see that

281
00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,960
Speaker 1: team cutting down the nets with some of their defensive holes.

282
00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:08,199
Speaker 1: Greg any thoughts on that takeaways from Kentucky Alabama.

283
00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:08,959
Speaker 2: I think you nailed it.

284
00:13:09,120 --> 00:13:11,760
Speaker 5: I have a really hard time trusting Alabama against the

285
00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:13,959
Speaker 5: best opponents they play, and we spoke to it on

286
00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,560
Speaker 5: BBOC Live, but I believe they're one in six against

287
00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:18,760
Speaker 5: Kem Palm top twenty five teams on the season. Now,

288
00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:20,760
Speaker 5: some of these losses have really been ugly for them.

289
00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:23,360
Speaker 5: I love Mark Sears, I love watching that team, but

290
00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,000
Speaker 5: there was just a clear caliber difference in that game

291
00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:27,959
Speaker 5: to me, and I want to believe in Kentucky, I

292
00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:31,240
Speaker 5: really do. I think their defensive improvements are legitimate, but

293
00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:33,720
Speaker 5: we need to see it carry over for a couple

294
00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:35,800
Speaker 5: games in a row now. They have been very streaky

295
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:39,040
Speaker 5: where it's like one game they're hot, one game they're cold.

296
00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:40,800
Speaker 2: The LSU game sticks in my mind.

297
00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:44,240
Speaker 5: If they can put together like two weeks straight of display,

298
00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:45,640
Speaker 5: I'm going to really buy this team going to the

299
00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:46,440
Speaker 5: NCAA tournament.

300
00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:50,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, Kentucky is kind of it's just fitting that they're

301
00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:52,720
Speaker 3: probably going to slide into that five to twelve matchup

302
00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:55,280
Speaker 3: where quite literally you could say to yourself, they're going

303
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:56,599
Speaker 3: to the Elite eight, or they're going to lose in

304
00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,280
Speaker 3: the first round to McNeese or Indiana State. Like, if

305
00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:01,600
Speaker 3: they just get the long matchup and cannot get any

306
00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:04,000
Speaker 3: stops on the defensive ends, it could be curtains for

307
00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:07,439
Speaker 3: them right away. But matchup dependent. I mean Alabama, I

308
00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,319
Speaker 3: would argue, of all the Power Conference teams with a

309
00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:13,000
Speaker 3: winning record in the entire country, they're the best matchup

310
00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:16,679
Speaker 3: for the Wildcats, like what they struggle with defensively on

311
00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:19,960
Speaker 3: the road. It just became a showcase. So I'm glad

312
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:21,440
Speaker 3: that I had the over there. That was probably the

313
00:14:22,160 --> 00:14:24,680
Speaker 3: least sweatiest bet of the entire season for me. By

314
00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:26,000
Speaker 3: the time I was checking in and trying to do

315
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:27,560
Speaker 3: the math in my head, I was like, they're gonnacore

316
00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:28,600
Speaker 3: two hundred points in this game.

317
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:34,640
Speaker 1: Yeah. The Kentucky ideal path, in my opinion, is you

318
00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:38,640
Speaker 1: get Arizona as you're one, right, so don't you get

319
00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:42,480
Speaker 1: I was so projected as a one. I would think, yeah,

320
00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:48,200
Speaker 1: like Connecticut, Purdue Houston with their physicality and their ability.

321
00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:50,600
Speaker 1: And this is assuming Kentucky can get to the you know,

322
00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:53,840
Speaker 1: to the second weekend and face the one seed. But

323
00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:58,480
Speaker 1: Arizona in like a wide open game where both teams

324
00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:00,240
Speaker 1: are just running up and down and then it's like

325
00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:03,840
Speaker 1: first to ninety five. That's the ones see that Kentucky wants.

326
00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:04,920
Speaker 1: They don't want any of the others.

327
00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:07,160
Speaker 2: I actually have a twist on that stuck.

328
00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:11,040
Speaker 5: I think they could farewell against Perdue And it might

329
00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:14,400
Speaker 5: sound crazy here, but the thing with Purdue is you

330
00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:17,360
Speaker 5: got to have multiple frontcore bodies to throw at Edie.

331
00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:19,960
Speaker 5: You got to use fifteen fouls. Kentucky has three.

332
00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:20,720
Speaker 2: They can do that with.

333
00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:23,600
Speaker 5: You also have to have guards that can put dye

334
00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:27,680
Speaker 5: and drop coverage and hunt shot making opportunities over Braden

335
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:30,280
Speaker 5: Smith over Fletcher Lawyer, who are not very physical. I

336
00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:32,920
Speaker 5: think they'd really struggle with Shephard with dillyhad with Wagner

337
00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:36,440
Speaker 5: with Reeves. But we did this last week. It was like,

338
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:39,000
Speaker 5: what's the dream perfect draw? And I was arguing they'd

339
00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:41,520
Speaker 5: rather see Purdue than Arizona. I think they could take

340
00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:42,480
Speaker 5: either of them, though.

341
00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:46,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean with Purdue, their backcourt could have some success.

342
00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:50,600
Speaker 1: My worry there is that Purdue would just dominate the

343
00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,000
Speaker 1: glass on both ends, slow it up and keep them

344
00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:57,600
Speaker 1: out of transition would be my concern a bit, whereas

345
00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:59,560
Speaker 1: Arizona wouldn't they get a chance to play in the

346
00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:01,240
Speaker 1: game where they just want to run up and down.

347
00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,920
Speaker 1: They're happy to oblige, and that's Kentucky so deadly in transition.

348
00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:08,320
Speaker 1: But I could see them having success against Purdue. I

349
00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,480
Speaker 1: think Houston and Yukon are the two worst ones for

350
00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:13,480
Speaker 1: them to get for sure. All right, let's move on

351
00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:17,520
Speaker 1: to the bubble and let's bind sell. I try to

352
00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:20,440
Speaker 1: look at some markets this morning. There's only like I

353
00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:24,200
Speaker 1: looked at UH one book out there. They only have

354
00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:29,480
Speaker 1: two teams. They have Northwestern Yes Minus three hundred and Providence.

355
00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,240
Speaker 1: I actually like Providence No. Plus one hundred.

356
00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:33,240
Speaker 2: I have them like four.

357
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:36,920
Speaker 1: I think they're like just going based on some other

358
00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:41,000
Speaker 1: sites like shout out to Torvik and Haaslometrics and just

359
00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:43,240
Speaker 1: looking at the schedule and with my projections, I think

360
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,040
Speaker 1: that they're like and you can get them No. Plus

361
00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:48,240
Speaker 1: one hundred. I think they're like forty five percent to

362
00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:51,480
Speaker 1: make it. They obviously have they more. They're at Marquette

363
00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:53,280
Speaker 1: and they have Yukon, so they win one of those games,

364
00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:54,920
Speaker 1: they're probably in, but I don't think that they will.

365
00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,560
Speaker 1: And then then there's like a limited elimination game against Villanova,

366
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,240
Speaker 1: so I think that Providence it's and the committee has

367
00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:03,160
Speaker 1: to weigh the fact that Hopkins is out for the year,

368
00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:06,880
Speaker 1: So I think Providence No. Plus one hundred has some value.

369
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:08,119
Speaker 1: That's the only thing I could find out there as

370
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:09,840
Speaker 1: of right now. The markets as of right now is

371
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:13,480
Speaker 1: very spotty. You'll see some odds sometimes sometimes not. And

372
00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,720
Speaker 1: the team that I'm buying if there's no odds out there,

373
00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:19,560
Speaker 1: but is if I could to get into the tournament

374
00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:21,800
Speaker 1: their dogs. They would be dogs right now with Saint John's.

375
00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:23,040
Speaker 2: And the reason for that.

376
00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:25,840
Speaker 1: If you look at their schedule. They get this. They

377
00:17:25,840 --> 00:17:28,680
Speaker 1: win at Butler with the Huge basically a coin flip game.

378
00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:32,440
Speaker 1: But then they have Georgetown and DePaul left and based

379
00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:35,520
Speaker 1: on the tie breakers because they swept Villanova, and then

380
00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,960
Speaker 1: they split against Xavier, and then how the rest of

381
00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:42,920
Speaker 1: the season should play out, I think that they're gonna

382
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,920
Speaker 1: end up with either a four or a five seed

383
00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:50,240
Speaker 1: in the Big East Tournament, and then you'll probably get

384
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:53,480
Speaker 1: like Providence or Villain. And here's the thing they have

385
00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:55,480
Speaker 1: in their back pocket is where the Big East Tournament

386
00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:59,280
Speaker 1: is played at. It's played at the Garden. So I

387
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,080
Speaker 1: think that Saint John's a good chance of sneaking up,

388
00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,280
Speaker 1: and if they can get in, I think that they

389
00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:06,200
Speaker 1: can be a dangerous team once they get out of

390
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,560
Speaker 1: the Big East. I think that look, you're Dingles playing

391
00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:13,280
Speaker 1: better of late, you have the emergence of Whielchair. If

392
00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:15,200
Speaker 1: they play a team that just encourages you to work

393
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:17,119
Speaker 1: from the mid range, like with the clock drop, they

394
00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:21,680
Speaker 1: would love to play creating all year round because Jenkins

395
00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 1: and that offense just operate that they'd love to operate

396
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:27,080
Speaker 1: in the mid range, but with Patino and that defense,

397
00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:29,520
Speaker 1: they could make some noise. I think they're gonna have

398
00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,160
Speaker 1: a good shot to get in with how the schedule breaks,

399
00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:35,040
Speaker 1: and then especially you're gonna get like if you're that

400
00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 1: four or five, I think they win that game, and

401
00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:39,399
Speaker 1: then you're gonna have a chance to beat Yukon on

402
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:43,200
Speaker 1: your home court, basically to lock up a tournament for

403
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,119
Speaker 1: if if you win that game. So I'm buying John's

404
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,320
Speaker 1: to get in more than I think the market is implying.

405
00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,240
Speaker 1: Obviously needed that win over Creighton, which they got, and

406
00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:53,359
Speaker 1: then if they do get in, I think that they

407
00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:55,920
Speaker 1: potentially could make it to the second weekend and be

408
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,240
Speaker 1: a dangerous team. But Greg, let's start with your buy.

409
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:00,920
Speaker 2: Yeah.

410
00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:04,639
Speaker 5: I went about this slightly different, mostly because I was frustrated.

411
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 5: Like you said, the market is just so spotty, Like

412
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,000
Speaker 5: one second, you can find a couple of different teams

413
00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 5: than they're taken off an hour later, the two that

414
00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 5: I'm going with do not have any odds available that

415
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:16,560
Speaker 5: I can find, and not to make or miss the tournament,

416
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,280
Speaker 5: likely because they're both going to make the tournament. But

417
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 5: I'm doing do I buy this team making a second

418
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:24,920
Speaker 5: weekend run potentially, or am I selling that Seaton Hall

419
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:28,480
Speaker 5: is my buye. I'm very very in on what I'm

420
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 5: seeing from this team right now. I think the whole

421
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 5: story of Seaton Hall's season since January has just been

422
00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 5: is Kadari Richmond healthy.

423
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 2: Is he available or not? They're eleven and three in

424
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:39,880
Speaker 2: Big East play.

425
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 5: When he has been, They've got some of the best

426
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:45,359
Speaker 5: wins in this league, Like they beat Marquette, they beat Yukon.

427
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,879
Speaker 5: They've won on the road at Saint John's, at Providence,

428
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,280
Speaker 5: at Butler. Those are not easy places to go in

429
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:55,560
Speaker 5: and win. I think Kadari has just been incredible and

430
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,359
Speaker 5: nobody is really talking about it. At a national level,

431
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 5: I think this guy's playing like one of the top

432
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,720
Speaker 5: three or four guards in the country right now. He

433
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,720
Speaker 5: is single handedly a guy who can dominate a game

434
00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:08,520
Speaker 5: with his pace, with his change of pace, with getting

435
00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:10,520
Speaker 5: to the rim, with backing you down, with hitting these

436
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 5: tough shot making esque shots that kind of buy certain

437
00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 5: players national appeal. In the NCAA tournament, and when I'm

438
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:20,840
Speaker 5: looking for a team I want to buy at this

439
00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:23,920
Speaker 5: point in the season. I like coaches that we have

440
00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:27,800
Speaker 5: seen a history of success. Shaheen Holloway man, he's done

441
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:29,680
Speaker 5: it before. I don't know if it's a magic touch

442
00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:32,080
Speaker 5: thing or not, but I know that when they get there,

443
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,240
Speaker 5: even if they're an underdog in that first round game,

444
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,800
Speaker 5: I'm not going to be afraid of an underdog mentality

445
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:41,359
Speaker 5: with a Shaheen Holloway team. I just think he's going

446
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 5: to be the best player on the floor no matter

447
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:44,640
Speaker 5: who they play, for two games in March, so I'm

448
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:46,719
Speaker 5: buying second weekend potential for the Pirates.

449
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

450
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 1: Not a couple of things that I like about them.

451
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:53,119
Speaker 1: Very comfortable in the half court, they will grind a

452
00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 1: game down lay elite defense, one of the most experienced

453
00:20:56,320 --> 00:21:00,760
Speaker 1: teams in the country, just loaded with experience us that roster.

454
00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:04,440
Speaker 1: They start five seniors. All right, They're not that deep,

455
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,320
Speaker 1: which is kind of the one thing that wires me.

456
00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,119
Speaker 1: But they do a really good job. That's spight off

457
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:12,440
Speaker 1: physical there with defending without found like what, let me

458
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 1: pull up there. They're like top fifty in free throw rate,

459
00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:17,480
Speaker 1: which I wouldn't have expected. They're not two three point

460
00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:20,879
Speaker 1: reliant and they can just dominate the offensive glass. But

461
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:23,960
Speaker 1: just a really physical team that is going to be

462
00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:27,320
Speaker 1: up in your grill and defend at an elite level

463
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:33,240
Speaker 1: with a point guard like Richmond leading the way. Yeah,

464
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 1: they're gonna be a dangerous team. Come Mark said, nobody

465
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,040
Speaker 1: is gonna want to want to face and they fit.

466
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:40,800
Speaker 1: They check a lot of the boxes of the team

467
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:45,399
Speaker 1: that you Fateina could potentially make a run. Let me

468
00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 1: go to you, Calbarys who you buy.

469
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:51,600
Speaker 3: So similarly, I'm cheating a little bit in this. I'm

470
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 3: looking at the Missouri Valley and the potential to get

471
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 3: two teams in. Now, if you go by Bart Torovik's

472
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 3: Attorney cast and you look at Indie a state, he

473
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,199
Speaker 3: has them at just about thirty four percent to win

474
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:06,360
Speaker 3: the automatic bid, win Arch Madison Saint Louis, but they're

475
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:09,399
Speaker 3: at large odds. He has just hoving around sixteen percent,

476
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 3: And I think it's a foregone conclusion they're going to

477
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 3: win out for the rest of the regular season and

478
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,680
Speaker 3: then as the one seed. I think it's pretty clear

479
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 3: that they're going to get to the title game. And

480
00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 3: if they do, there's a lot of things outside of

481
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 3: their control that they need to have happen on the

482
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,199
Speaker 3: bubble to be able to sneak in if Drake were

483
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 3: to upset them in a low you know, let's call

484
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 3: it a one possession law something like that. But I

485
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 3: just view them right now at twenty six and five,

486
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:35,119
Speaker 3: with all of the advanced metrics loving them so much.

487
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 3: We know that the committee at least consults some of

488
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,880
Speaker 3: these stats. They're top ten points per game at eighty four,

489
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 3: their first in RIM and three rate, which means that

490
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 3: they're one of the most efficient teams in the country,

491
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:46,840
Speaker 3: top fifteen in four percentage, three point shooting, foul shooting,

492
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 3: defensive rebounding percentage. They bring a lot to the table

493
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,200
Speaker 3: in that regard. But in terms of a team, if

494
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 3: they were to sneak in, and they're going to need

495
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 3: to win the automatic bid being the Drake Bulldogs if

496
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 3: they get in, this is one of the teams I

497
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 3: have circled as an or twelve seed to make a

498
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:03,919
Speaker 3: run to get to the second weekend. You look at

499
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,679
Speaker 3: what they've done against Indiana State. They split with the Sycamores,

500
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 3: and they were tied up with Indiana State with under

501
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 3: a minute to go at their place they're forty second

502
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,880
Speaker 3: in turnover margin, which is a stat that I really

503
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 3: lean on in the tournament because it's great if you

504
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 3: force turnovers, but if you're giving the ball away as well,

505
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 3: it's kind of a wash. So they're plus, you know,

506
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 3: two and a half per game. They're really strong offensively,

507
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:26,640
Speaker 3: not quite as strong as Indiana State, but they're seventeenth

508
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,159
Speaker 3: and shooting efficiency, very good on the defensive glass. And

509
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 3: then you get Tucker Derez. He's averaging twenty one six

510
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:35,400
Speaker 3: and three almost four per game, and against Indiana State

511
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,359
Speaker 3: and Nevada this year, he's elevated his play twenty seven

512
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:40,960
Speaker 3: points per game across those three and I think that's

513
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 3: a nice little palate cleanser for what happened to him

514
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:45,119
Speaker 3: in the tournament last year against Miami. I think he

515
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 3: went one for thirteen. That's got to be burning, you know,

516
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,159
Speaker 3: in his memory, just to try to get back to

517
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 3: postseason play. Even Arch Madness and take Over, they have

518
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 3: zero at large shot, it's zero point four percent, but

519
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 3: you know, torri uws it as twenty seven percent that

520
00:23:58,760 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 3: they win Arch Madness.

521
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 1: I think it's a little better than that.

522
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:02,600
Speaker 3: And if they get in that's a team I'm interested

523
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:03,159
Speaker 3: in riding with.

524
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, I still have nightmares about that degreeze gag so

525
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 1: I love Drake against Miami.

526
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 4: This podcast is probably desented by BETTEMGM He's bonus code

527
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 4: action when signing up to get up to one hundred

528
00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 4: and fifty eight dollars in bonus bets when you bet

529
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 4: five dollars for new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowall, Kentucky,

530
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 4: the Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

531
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:24,639
Speaker 4: West Virginia, and Wyoming.

532
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,479
Speaker 1: Terms Gussies apply must be twenty one or older. Gambling

533
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:32,439
Speaker 1: problem call one eight hundred gambler speaking of the tournament

534
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 1: last year and a team that I'm selling this Flarida

535
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 1: Atlantic team, I'm just not impressed with their defense is

536
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,439
Speaker 1: falling off a cliff. They can't rebound on the defensive end.

537
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,399
Speaker 1: Are we sure they're in the dance so like they

538
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 1: here's the thing coming into this year. Fardatlantic had that run.

539
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 1: If they don't call get that foul mess at the

540
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: end against Memphis never happens. Where are they coming into

541
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 1: this year? What does people have expectations, and then if

542
00:24:56,760 --> 00:25:00,399
Speaker 1: they don't beat Arizona in double overtime, that win's probably

543
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,439
Speaker 1: gonna get them in. But they don't have another win

544
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,159
Speaker 1: over a tournament team there. They should have lost a

545
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 1: TWU lane. They got a bullshit call. They beat Utsa,

546
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,880
Speaker 1: who by the way, Utsa is. I love you Utsa.

547
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 1: I've bet in the last couple of games and they've

548
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 1: covered with ease for me, but they lost the ob

549
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 1: They should have lost the Utsa as well. At this team,

550
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 1: they're gonna have a target on their back. Yes, their

551
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 1: offense is really good, they have a lot of talent

552
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 1: on that end, but I just haven't been impressed with

553
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,240
Speaker 1: that FAU. I'm selling them if they get in, and

554
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 1: I'm just not fully convinced that they're They're one hundred

555
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 1: in right now. I wouldn't be surprised if they get

556
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 1: left off. That Arizona win on a neutral court obviously

557
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 1: looms so large. It'll probably end up getting them in.

558
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:44,320
Speaker 1: But I'm selling FAU and everything about them right now.

559
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:46,399
Speaker 1: And by the way, speaking of the tournament, I think

560
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 1: this will end up taking care of this of itself.

561
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 1: But I don't two teams. I don't want any part

562
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 1: of it. Just get get I don't want to see

563
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:58,160
Speaker 1: them anywhere near the bracket is Villan Nova and Virginia.

564
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 1: Get Virginia out of my life. They're they're even. They're

565
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,480
Speaker 1: playing like four possessions slower than last year, which is insane.

566
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 1: But this team they're living off. They beat under a

567
00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: shorthanded Farida team and like the second game of the year,

568
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,640
Speaker 1: I think Poland didn't play, I forget who else was out,

569
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 1: and then they beat Texas A and M. Who like,

570
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:20,399
Speaker 1: I mean, I bet Virginia that game. Text A and

571
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 1: M was playing like their fourth game in a week.

572
00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: They had all these guys out. I think Radford was

573
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: out and they just came off that Iowa State comeback.

574
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 1: Like those are their two wins from November? Can we

575
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:33,680
Speaker 1: have some contacts? Like those are short handed teams anyway,

576
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,719
Speaker 1: text A and M probably not gonna make the tournament,

577
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,720
Speaker 1: but they beat a Florida parts teams completely different. Poland

578
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 1: wasn't playing. They're living off that, and then like a

579
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 1: forty one forty win over Wake Forest, Like, get them

580
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:47,119
Speaker 1: out of my life. I keep seeing them in the field.

581
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 1: Why are they in there? Anyway? Who are you selling

582
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:52,879
Speaker 1: good and any thought if you could have thoughts on

583
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 1: Virginia filling over Fau.

584
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, one hundred and thirty seven points in their last

585
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty minutes of basketball. Haven't scored points

586
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 5: in a game in three games now for Virginia, I'm

587
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 5: right there with you.

588
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 2: And yeah, on Florida Atlantic.

589
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 5: Dusty May, I feel for him because I think he

590
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 5: he's gonna get a job. I know he's gonna get

591
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 5: a job, but his peak value would have been leaving

592
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 5: after last year's run, not the whole run it back.

593
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 5: Let's let's welcome the critics because you might miss the tournament,

594
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 5: and then what does that reflect on you as a coach.

595
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 5: I'm gonna sell high for Once boys, You'll be proud

596
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:28,159
Speaker 5: of me here. I'm gonna sell Wake Forest after the

597
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:30,680
Speaker 5: huge win over Duke. Yeah, this team's gonna get it.

598
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,640
Speaker 5: That was a massive, important win on barring a huge

599
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 5: meltdown in the final two weeks there in the field.

600
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:39,560
Speaker 5: They just are so much different at home than they

601
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 5: are away from it. And you guys try to warn

602
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 5: me about it this weekend, but they're shooting forty three

603
00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 5: percent from three at home on the season. They haven't

604
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 5: lost a game there. In twelve games outside of their

605
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 5: own gym, they're shooting thirty one percent from three this year.

606
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 5: Like that's insanity, and maybe they will get hot for

607
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,280
Speaker 5: a game. I don't think they'll get hot for two

608
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 5: games in a row. They needed a pretty generational night

609
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,919
Speaker 5: from Hunter Sallas eleven for thirteen from the floor. Give

610
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 5: him credit, but if Hunter Sallis doesn't make ninety percent

611
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 5: of his shots, they might lose to Duke. They're six

612
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 5: and nine against the top two quadrants this year, and

613
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:17,399
Speaker 5: I referenced it with Seton Hall. I like backing a

614
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:21,480
Speaker 5: coach I believe in with the underdog mentality. No disrespect

615
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 5: to Steve Forbes, who buy all accounts, is a great

616
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 5: person and he runs good offensive stuff. He's done great

617
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:30,120
Speaker 5: stuff with the transfers he has brought in. Every time

618
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 5: I watch Wake Forest in a close game, there's a

619
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 5: boneheaded play late and it cuts to Steve Forbes on

620
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 5: the sidelines and he's just like laughing about it instead

621
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 5: of taking a time out or instead of helping manipulate

622
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,040
Speaker 5: the game in a good setting. I thought Wake almost

623
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 5: blew this game with some boneheaded turnovers late while Steve

624
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 5: Forbes was just kind of clapping on the sidelines.

625
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 2: I don't trust him at all. I have to sell

626
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 2: wake Forest.

627
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 5: I think that's a team I'm going to circle immediately

628
00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 5: no matter the matchup and think they're going to lose

629
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 5: their first game in the field.

630
00:28:56,760 --> 00:29:00,479
Speaker 1: Ultimately, I just don't trust the wake Forest defense when

631
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 1: they're away from home, and I think that will end

632
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:06,280
Speaker 1: up being their downfall. Calbarty, so you selling this is.

633
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 3: A team I'm excited to talk about. You know, finding

634
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 3: teams on the bubble that I wanted to buy was

635
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 3: a little bit difficult selling. Can't wait to sell Utah.

636
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 3: Bracket Matrix evaluates the top one hundred bracketologists, the ones

637
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 3: that are most accurate year over year. Utah is in

638
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 3: just forty five of those one hundred brackets, making them

639
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 3: the most vulnerable at large team in the hypothetical field.

640
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 3: They've lost four or five, including that critical loss to Colorado.

641
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 3: I was trying to sell Stuck and Randall on buying

642
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 3: Colorado plus three twenty to make the tournament on Thursday. Yeah,

643
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 3: that was the game that they had to have, and

644
00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:41,520
Speaker 3: in my opinion, it starts to elbow out Utah from

645
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 3: the field, and the issue for the Utes too, is

646
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,080
Speaker 3: when you look down the stretch, the three games that

647
00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 3: they have coming up, Stanford, Callen, Oregon State, that's not

648
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 3: moving the needle at all. And if you lose any

649
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 3: of those, I think that's it for your at large hopes.

650
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 3: Even going into the Pac twelve tournament, all of those

651
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 3: teams have losing records overall, So that's you know, you

652
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,640
Speaker 3: can't do it thing about your schedule, but that's a reality.

653
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 3: So top four finish in the Pac twelve is off

654
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 3: the table. That means the buy of the quarterfinals is gone.

655
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 3: And then there's a lot of statistical red flags for me.

656
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 3: I just talked about the turnover margin. They have negative

657
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,360
Speaker 3: turnover margin on the season, which is a big issue.

658
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 3: Even though they're the fifth tallest team in D one,

659
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 3: they're one hundred and forty in offensive rebounds per game,

660
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 3: one hundred and fortieth. I should say that's ridiculous, Like,

661
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:23,960
Speaker 3: given you know Carlson and everything that they have in

662
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:25,720
Speaker 3: their front court, they should be a lot better. They

663
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 3: get themselves into close games. They're three hundred and fiftieth

664
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 3: as a team from the line, shooting sub sixty five percent,

665
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 3: and then recent losses to Washington, Arizona State, and USC.

666
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 3: They're getting worse as the season progresses, not better. So

667
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 3: I'm shocked that they're in as many hypothetical brackets as

668
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 3: they are. I think this UTS team is also hurt

669
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 3: by the fact that the PAC twelve is down. I

670
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:47,640
Speaker 3: think that's the public perception. I think that's correct. So

671
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,720
Speaker 3: I'm just shocked that they're even hovering around on the

672
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 3: bubble right now. If I could, I'd probably lay minus

673
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,239
Speaker 3: one to fifty minus two hundred that they're not going

674
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:56,840
Speaker 3: to make the field.

675
00:30:58,040 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: I'm looking at Bracimant, who was in a hus for

676
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:01,720
Speaker 1: Virginia's in ninety nine of one hundred, Brack, I know,

677
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 1: it's crazy. Who's that one that one needs a raise?

678
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 1: Who doesn't have Virginia? And the one bracketologist?

679
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 2: And the net?

680
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 1: I gotta look at the net. New Mexico only dropped

681
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 1: four spots in the net for losing the Air Force

682
00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 1: at home. What was that they dropped twenty one to

683
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 1: twenty five. I figured that they woul drink a little

684
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 1: bit more than that. Yeah, I agree, I don't think

685
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 1: you tut making the tournament there. I'm surprised they're in

686
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 1: as a for per bracket matrix. I don't think that

687
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 1: they're getting in that blow out lost to Colorado, his

688
00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:35,120
Speaker 1: huture Colorado. I still they don't need to let me

689
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: look at Colorado.

690
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 3: They still they still have work to do.

691
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 1: They absolutely have to get they're not in right now.

692
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:43,440
Speaker 1: They have to sweep. Yeah, and then let's look, so

693
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 1: they'll Colorado.

694
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 3: One of their biggest issues is their best non conference

695
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 3: win is Richmond's. That's it. Whereas you were just talking

696
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 3: about Fau.

697
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 1: Well, they beat Miami on a neutral Miami is just

698
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 1: fading into Yeah, I think that libyans straight to hell.

699
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 1: So that doesn't help. They beat Zoo at home, but yeah,

700
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:05,560
Speaker 1: that's their best. So they got to sweep, which they

701
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 1: they're at Oregon. That's gonna be the their toughest game.

702
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 1: So they sweep, there'll be a three seed and then

703
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:17,480
Speaker 1: they'll probably have to get to like the packed like

704
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 1: they'll have to make a run in the pack to

705
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 1: all tournament. All right, good stuff there with some buying

706
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 1: sell bubble teams in right now, twenty days from now,

707
00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 1: we will all have a bracket. We'll be breaking it

708
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 1: down here and elsewhere. So I can't wait. But we

709
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 1: have plenty of regular season and then conference tournament action

710
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:42,280
Speaker 1: before we get to that point. Speaking of which, let's

711
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: go to some spots that we have circled for early

712
00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 1: in the week, for today tomorrow. If you wanted to

713
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 1: mention something, you know, Wednesday or later, you're more than

714
00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 1: welcome to do so. I'll kick things off. I played

715
00:32:55,520 --> 00:33:02,160
Speaker 1: Baylor tonight against TCU. I think I have Baylor a

716
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 1: couple points better than TCU on a neutral court. And

717
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 1: I think TCU has benefited from a lot of three

718
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 1: point shooting, which is why they've three point variants, I

719
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 1: should say, which is why they've risen up the metrics

720
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 1: at such a rapid pace. But they're shooting what are

721
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:22,120
Speaker 1: they shooting in conference by thirty eight zero point two

722
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 1: percent in conference play? I just think they're shooting forty

723
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 1: percent from three over the past month. They are not

724
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:32,560
Speaker 1: a great three point shooting team. They're also I just

725
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:35,000
Speaker 1: think that this is a decent matchup for bail Barrol.

726
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:36,239
Speaker 1: In the first meeting, by the way, which went out

727
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 1: to triple overtime, who was a crazy game, shot six

728
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 1: of twenty two from three. Bailers on the opposite into

729
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 1: that spectrum, they start off so hot from three and

730
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 1: during conference play they they I think are due for

731
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:50,920
Speaker 1: even a little bit of a positive aggression bump here.

732
00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 1: So I think this game should be closer to like

733
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:57,239
Speaker 1: one pick. Maybe we'll see if Langston Love goes, We'll

734
00:33:57,240 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 1: see if you Day goes. But I think this is

735
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 1: more of a coin flip game. I think Baylor bounces

736
00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 1: back from that loss against Houston and this game goes

737
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 1: right down on the wire. So I took the points

738
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 1: of bail tonight. Greg any thoughts there, and what do

739
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 1: you got?

740
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 5: Baylor's an absolute don't touch for me, mostly because I'm

741
00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 5: like a bitter X with them and them forcing me

742
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,240
Speaker 5: to buy Calbaresa's shirt right now. But I like the spot,

743
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 5: I like the logic behind it. From you, I'm gonna

744
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:25,440
Speaker 5: go back to the well boys. You guys have heard

745
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:27,399
Speaker 5: me talk about this team. But I've got a spot

746
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,640
Speaker 5: for Tuesday. It's Loyola Chicago. They're gonna be underdogs on

747
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,880
Speaker 5: the road at Saint Bonaventure. I am just convinced that

748
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,759
Speaker 5: this team is legitimately good, and I like the way

749
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,240
Speaker 5: they have trended. If you go through the Torvik numbers

750
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:41,240
Speaker 5: and you sort it by month, this team is getting

751
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 5: better and better and better month by month over the

752
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 5: course of the season. Since January first, they're fifty sixth

753
00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 5: in the nation. Since February first, they're thirty third in

754
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:53,200
Speaker 5: the nation. And that matches what I'm seeing with my eyes.

755
00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:56,839
Speaker 5: They don't do anything particularly special like this isn't an

756
00:34:56,880 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 5: elite team in any one area, although they are pretty

757
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 5: great protecting the rim because Miles Rubin, as a true freshman,

758
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 5: is one of the best block rate guys in the sport.

759
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 5: He's going to be a problem for years to come.

760
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 5: But they're just very solid. They don't really beat themselves

761
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,840
Speaker 5: too much. They've covered seven consecutive games. Right now, I

762
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 5: still feel they're they're very mispriced in the market, and

763
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 5: for this game, specifically against the Bonnies, I think Loyla

764
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:24,040
Speaker 5: is going to get some pretty easy looks here, and

765
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 5: with Rubin, I don't think bona Matter is going to

766
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 5: get much. Loyle shoots fifty three percent from two point

767
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:30,720
Speaker 5: range on the season. That's eighty sixth in the country.

768
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,160
Speaker 5: The Bonniees are two hundred and sixty fourth nationally and

769
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 5: two point defense. If Loyola is able to execute on

770
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 5: shots at the rim here, I think they're going to

771
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 5: open up at least as like three or four point dogs,

772
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,000
Speaker 5: if not more. Kempom has it as a five point spread.

773
00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:48,040
Speaker 5: I think they can win this game, but anything on

774
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:49,720
Speaker 5: the plus side, I think there's value.

775
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 2: Yeah.

776
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 1: Doyle seemingly just covers every game. Now. So that was

777
00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: the update from Greg Aka, the president of the Drew

778
00:35:57,480 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 1: Valentine Fan Club.

779
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 2: He's good, man, he's good, like the stuck or.

780
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 1: No I give you, I give you credit.

781
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:04,879
Speaker 2: Well look look look at.

782
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:06,520
Speaker 5: Me in the eyes man to like Dusty May is

783
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:09,160
Speaker 5: the hottest name on the board for the coaching carousel

784
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 5: this year. Why why we got a thirty two year

785
00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 5: old killer in Chicago right now who just signed two

786
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:17,239
Speaker 5: international four stars this week.

787
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:18,799
Speaker 2: He deserves a little love.

788
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:23,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, is uh, what job would you rather have?

789
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,320
Speaker 1: Loyola or de Paul Loyola?

790
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 3: Well to Paul, No, no, no thanks.

791
00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:30,839
Speaker 2: I think that's right.

792
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's pretty crazy to say, though, real quick on

793
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:35,920
Speaker 3: Dusty May, how did he get all those guys to

794
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:38,280
Speaker 3: come back? I think if they end up going because.

795
00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:39,799
Speaker 1: They made a run, here's the crazy thing. If they

796
00:36:39,880 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 1: didn't make a run, though, like stay lost in the

797
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:45,879
Speaker 1: first round, like well a one of those guys either

798
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,799
Speaker 1: go on to the NBA or testing pro waters or transferring.

799
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 3: Right, he didn't just say for sentimental factors, let's run

800
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:54,319
Speaker 3: it back and they got paid. They had a coach

801
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:57,200
Speaker 3: moment or something like, no they got a bag.

802
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 1: Yeah they got a bag. But listen, if they didn't

803
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:02,719
Speaker 1: decre crazy thing is like because of that run, as

804
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 1: Greg alluded to earlier, he probably should have taken like

805
00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:07,280
Speaker 1: a job some fro uss. It's the peak of his value.

806
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:11,319
Speaker 1: The opportunity was probably the best for him. But if

807
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,839
Speaker 1: they lose that game in the Memphis, then his name

808
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:16,840
Speaker 1: is This is life. This is like life. Life is

809
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:18,799
Speaker 1: just a bunch of you know, you set yourself up

810
00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:20,360
Speaker 1: for success, but then a lot of it is just

811
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 1: you know, people that are like CEOs of companies. You

812
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 1: get them in a room and give them truce here,

813
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 1: and a lot of them are very open about this,

814
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:27,960
Speaker 1: but they'll just say like, yeah, I got a couple

815
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,200
Speaker 1: of lucky brakes. Right, I was at the right place

816
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 1: at the right time, and then I got promoted to

817
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:33,759
Speaker 1: hear and hair, and then I was friends with this

818
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 1: guy and that's what it is. So he should have

819
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:38,520
Speaker 1: taken that job there if he'd like life, make a

820
00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:40,880
Speaker 1: trigger of his life. He didn't. He came back, but

821
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,680
Speaker 1: if they didn't make that run, then none of those

822
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,400
Speaker 1: guys probably come back. And then Fau is just terrible

823
00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:49,440
Speaker 1: this year? Does he then? But then when he had

824
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 1: the opportunity pretty crazy?

825
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:52,560
Speaker 3: I don't know talk well, I mean last thing on

826
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:54,840
Speaker 3: Dusty May because I know people are not tuning in

827
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 3: for the Dusty May Show. But if he wins a

828
00:37:57,280 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 3: tournament game, gets in wins the tournament game, and then

829
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:01,919
Speaker 3: you know they lose by six to a two seed

830
00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 3: or a one seed, Like, are you back in on

831
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,759
Speaker 3: him being a hot name or do you think a run?

832
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 2: Yeah?

833
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 1: Or if he yeah, I mean I don't think he'll

834
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,279
Speaker 1: be If he gets to like the second weekend again

835
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:16,919
Speaker 1: with this team, yeah, he'll be a hot commodity again.

836
00:38:17,800 --> 00:38:19,879
Speaker 1: Obviously they go to like the Elite eight again too.

837
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,319
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think win a game, I think he'll

838
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:23,719
Speaker 1: get his job, but I just don't think it'll be

839
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:25,640
Speaker 1: as good as the job he would have gone if

840
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 1: you did it after last year.

841
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, my play on Monday is also the Baylor TCU game.

842
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:30,920
Speaker 1: I agree with you.

843
00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,000
Speaker 3: I think Baylor is a little bit better on the road,

844
00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:34,759
Speaker 3: and I think for that reason it's going to be

845
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 3: a back and forth game. I like over one forty

846
00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:37,960
Speaker 3: eight TCU.

847
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:38,520
Speaker 1: You mentioned it.

848
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:40,680
Speaker 3: They've been hot from three. They've scored over seventy five

849
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:43,000
Speaker 3: points per game and four straight. The last time these

850
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,600
Speaker 3: two teams played, they both had seventy six points in regulation.

851
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:48,560
Speaker 3: And Baylor remains a bottom third defensive team in the

852
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:51,440
Speaker 3: Big twelve, nearly outside the top one hundred in Torbick

853
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:54,800
Speaker 3: and both have something to bring to the table in

854
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,600
Speaker 3: terms of pushing this game over the total. TCU leads

855
00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:00,239
Speaker 3: the nation in fast breakpoints almost twenty per game. Helps

856
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 3: that they're shooting so well from three point range, but

857
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,560
Speaker 3: they don't absolutely have to have that to score in

858
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:07,239
Speaker 3: the seventies, whereas Baylor is the second best three point

859
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:10,240
Speaker 3: shooting team in the country over forty percent from long range.

860
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 3: So I'll go with kind of a carbon copy of

861
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:15,160
Speaker 3: their first meeting and see this game played in the

862
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:17,880
Speaker 3: mid to upper seventies and go past the number of

863
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:18,560
Speaker 3: one forty eight.

864
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 1: I'll bring up two other ones for tomorrow. Just quickly.

865
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:25,640
Speaker 1: You mentioned it. Greg. I don't know if you're gonna

866
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:28,759
Speaker 1: talk about this, but I'll be curious to see. I mean,

867
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:31,959
Speaker 1: the spot is there for Notre Dame, who's playing better

868
00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:34,399
Speaker 1: of late. They're gonna get wake Forest at home, who

869
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 1: basically got their biggest win of the season against Duke.

870
00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 1: They basically everyone has said you punched your ticket now, right,

871
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,480
Speaker 1: So you got to get up and get motivated and

872
00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:48,279
Speaker 1: focused for a game against Notre Dame, who has been

873
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 1: playing better. They almost came back from twenty nine down,

874
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 1: which would have been against Syracuse said that's by three,

875
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 1: bought some prayers anyone in like four and a half.

876
00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:59,839
Speaker 1: That would have been the biggest comeback since I think

877
00:40:01,120 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 1: it was like Delaware Drexel, one of those teams came

878
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:06,280
Speaker 1: back from like thirty four down in like twenty eighteen,

879
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:10,239
Speaker 1: which is a wild game. But I'll be looking, let's

880
00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:15,279
Speaker 1: see what do I project this at. Yeah, I would

881
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:17,080
Speaker 1: love to get like seven and a half or more.

882
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:19,759
Speaker 1: I don't know if we'll get up, probably get like five,

883
00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 1: and then I'll be looking to potentially fade my cats

884
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 1: Kentucky off that win. They're probably gonna be a short dog,

885
00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 1: but I they're just not consistent enough for me yet.

886
00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:38,279
Speaker 1: And Mississippi State is I know that they beat him

887
00:40:38,320 --> 00:40:42,440
Speaker 1: at home earlier this season. But Mississippi State they got

888
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 1: Kentucky got a very generous whistle in that game at home.

889
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:48,840
Speaker 1: Missippi State is like the exact team that you know

890
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 1: with total Lou Smith in the middle, very physical team.

891
00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 1: So the spot is there for Mississippi State, and I

892
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:56,680
Speaker 1: think the Bulldogs are the exact team that I think

893
00:40:56,719 --> 00:41:00,560
Speaker 1: Kentucky struggles with, especially on the road. So line dependent,

894
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 1: but I'll be looking at it for potentially Mississippi State

895
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 1: and Notre Dame on Tuesday and some good spots. What

896
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:09,080
Speaker 1: do you got, Greg, My.

897
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 5: Last one's another Tuesday night spot, and I'm going to

898
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 5: try to learn from mistakes on the weekend. Here, I

899
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 5: was vocal that without Kevin mccullor, Kansas was dead to me.

900
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:22,160
Speaker 5: Not so much Kansas at home. Fog Allen still has

901
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:23,360
Speaker 5: fog Allen powers.

902
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:24,560
Speaker 2: They got BYU.

903
00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:27,600
Speaker 5: Here Kenpom has Kansas as a four point favorite at

904
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 5: home over BYU.

905
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:30,839
Speaker 2: I have no idea what this is going to open

906
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 2: up at.

907
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:35,040
Speaker 5: Honestly, i'd love your guys' thoughts here because it feels

908
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:37,920
Speaker 5: like we're gonna get Kansas backers are going to get

909
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 5: some value given the fact that mccullor is out indefinitely,

910
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 5: but the metrics love BYU in a big way still

911
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 5: despite all of their struggles. I don't really get it.

912
00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 5: I think this BYU team is pretty fraudulent in my opinion.

913
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,080
Speaker 5: They've lost three straight in Big twelve play, all by

914
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 5: ten plus on the road, two and six overall in

915
00:41:56,760 --> 00:41:59,600
Speaker 5: true road games this year, zero to six overall in

916
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:02,240
Speaker 5: road game against the top sixty nine teams in the country.

917
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 5: They haven't beaten anybody with a pulse. This is one

918
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:08,240
Speaker 5: of those turnarounds where you know, Saturday to Tuesday, BYU

919
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 5: on the road two straight games, Kansas at home two

920
00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 5: straight games.

921
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 2: And maybe I'm getting duped.

922
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:16,960
Speaker 5: By this, but I felt the eye test of watching

923
00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 5: Kansas against Texas, it looked like a team that was

924
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 5: no longer in limbo, Whereas the last couple of weeks

925
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,560
Speaker 5: it's like, well, is mccullor back, is he not? Over

926
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 5: the weekend, it looked like a team that knows they're

927
00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 5: not getting mccullor back for a while. So, Dwan Harris,

928
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:32,080
Speaker 5: you need to be more aggressive. Nick Timberlake, you're playing

929
00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:32,720
Speaker 5: thirty minutes.

930
00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:33,799
Speaker 2: Get over it. Show up.

931
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 5: They did, like these guys all elevated their games over

932
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:39,359
Speaker 5: the weekend. Part of that was the fact that they're

933
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 5: playing a Texas team that looked clueless defensively. But I

934
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:45,759
Speaker 5: think BYU has some clueless vibes defensively as well. If

935
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,680
Speaker 5: that's anything under like Kansas minus six even up to

936
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:49,400
Speaker 5: maybe six and.

937
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,759
Speaker 2: A half seven at home, I love the Jayhawks in

938
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:53,279
Speaker 2: that spot. I think they're the class there.

939
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, by is an interesting case study because, yeah, the

940
00:42:56,800 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 1: metrics still love them, and like the metrics the Kent

941
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 1: sites like Ken Palm that they they're like equal to Kansas, right,

942
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 1: They're like in that fifteen ish range, And that's because

943
00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:14,520
Speaker 1: they beat the shit out of teams early in the season,

944
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 1: and I mean by who They were beating teams by

945
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:20,680
Speaker 1: like fifty and sixty points. But just look at their

946
00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 1: defense on the road. They might get cooked in transition here.

947
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 1: And yeah, if you like Kansas I would bet them

948
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 1: early because you also saw Kansas State. I have Kansas State.

949
00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 1: I think I bet them plus two overnight go right

950
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:43,600
Speaker 1: before game time. Kansas State got hammered. I think they

951
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:46,920
Speaker 1: closed as a two point favorite and they just kept

952
00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:50,839
Speaker 1: taking money. So yeah, there's certainly some people I think

953
00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 1: wisely betting against b YU, especially on the road. They're

954
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:56,360
Speaker 1: just a different team. Their defense falls off a cliff,

955
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:59,840
Speaker 1: and yeah, they just might get cooked by this Kansas offense.

956
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:05,919
Speaker 1: What shot almost like seventy percent against Texas? I don't

957
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 1: know if I don't think Texas is rank but wake

958
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 1: Farst almost broke the record for field goal percentage against

959
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 1: a ranked team over the past twenty five years against Duke.

960
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,399
Speaker 1: But they missed a couple late. But I believe then

961
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:18,840
Speaker 1: later in the day because he actually broke the record.

962
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:21,439
Speaker 1: What did they hand up shooting? Are they shot?

963
00:44:22,040 --> 00:44:22,239
Speaker 2: Yeah?

964
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:24,840
Speaker 1: Sixty three point one percent. I think that's the record

965
00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:26,919
Speaker 1: over the past twenty five years against a ranked team.

966
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:30,800
Speaker 1: So anyway, some crazy offensive outputs on Saturday. What do

967
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 1: you got? You got anything else? Discoveries?

968
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 2: Yeah?

969
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:34,880
Speaker 3: I got one more going with an A ten special

970
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 3: here Davidson traveling to Dayton. Dayton probably laying ten in

971
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 3: this game. You may be able to get a single

972
00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:44,080
Speaker 3: digit number because Davidson's season has really kind of fallen

973
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:47,920
Speaker 3: apart in heartbreaking fashion. Four their five losses or excuse

974
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:49,480
Speaker 3: me for the Yeah, four of their five losses have

975
00:44:49,560 --> 00:44:54,680
Speaker 3: been five points or less. And like it's it's difficult

976
00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 3: to look at that and think to yourself that the

977
00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,239
Speaker 3: Wildcats are going to mail this game in or they're

978
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 3: gonna get run off the floor. But the last time

979
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:05,840
Speaker 3: they played, they lost by thirteen against the Flyers, and

980
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:08,359
Speaker 3: that was a game that Holmes really didn't do much

981
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:10,719
Speaker 3: on the offensive end. And then I always circle this

982
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:13,839
Speaker 3: in Anthony Grant Special off of a loss. Since taking

983
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:16,480
Speaker 3: over at Daton in twenty seventeen, he's covered sixty percent

984
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 3: of the time coming off of a loss. That's top

985
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,560
Speaker 3: in the eight ten, ninth nationally. And I really like

986
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 3: Dayton to shut down Davidson again defensively. Evan Maya has

987
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 3: four Dayton starters in the top ten of individual defensive

988
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:30,040
Speaker 3: ratings in the A ten And for that reason, I

989
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 3: think it's going to be a very similar outcome to

990
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 3: the first go around. I would love to get it

991
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:35,719
Speaker 3: under ten, but I would play it up to ten.

992
00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:36,359
Speaker 2: Ten and a half.

993
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, Da Davidson's actually impressed by the defensive end, but

994
00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:45,280
Speaker 1: that offense, it just doesn't work if you can't shoot,

995
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:48,520
Speaker 1: and they can't shoot, so like and they missed Googlin

996
00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 1: in that aspect as well, but they're like outside the

997
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 1: top three hundred. I thinkrom three point range and that

998
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:56,439
Speaker 1: offense just doesn't work if you don't have shooters, which

999
00:45:56,440 --> 00:46:00,680
Speaker 1: they've generally had under the mckillops. So yeah, I'm not

1000
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 1: a fan of this Davidson team, but their defense has

1001
00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:06,440
Speaker 1: been much better than I expected it to be. All right,

1002
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:11,560
Speaker 1: good stuff there. It is the last non March Early

1003
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:16,880
Speaker 1: Week episode. We'll be back next Monday to recap the

1004
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:20,520
Speaker 1: weekend and look ahead to the early week when it

1005
00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:22,680
Speaker 1: is March and Guys and three Matt. We will be

1006
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,879
Speaker 1: back Wednesday. We'll be back later in the week. Also

1007
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:29,839
Speaker 1: BBOC Live we have episode Tuesday night and Saturday morning

1008
00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:32,279
Speaker 1: as always ten thirty Amisters. To make sure you check

1009
00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 1: us out there, also subscribe on Subscribe, Subscribe, Tell Friend,

1010
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:39,400
Speaker 1: Tell on Enemy. Thanks to Greg and Mike for joining me.

1011
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: Thanks to our producer Matt Mitchell on the back end

1012
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 1: of Sportly. Thanks to all of you for tuning in

1013
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:46,440
Speaker 1: the a five star review. Say whatever did some giveaways

1014
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,560
Speaker 1: last week. I'll do a bunch more throughout March, so

1015
00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 1: those really help us out. But thanks for tuning in.

1016
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 1: Good up on all of your wagers this week. March

1017
00:46:53,600 --> 00:46:54,800
Speaker 1: will be here soon cheers.

1018
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:07,840
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1019
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:10,680
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1020
00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:13,760
Speaker 3: available twenty four seven at one eight hundred gambler