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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action, all.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go throwing out so spect we're saying it's

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Speaker 2: a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 1: That's all we see. Most gamble is when they go

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Speaker 1: to gamble, they go to win. That's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is just the ultimate combine you want

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Speaker 1: to fall and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Well, ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, children of all ages,

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Were podcast presented by DraftKings. I

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Speaker 2: am your host, Evan Abrams, and I am joined by

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Speaker 2: the One the Only, Brandon Anderson. Tonight feels like a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a different show. I mean, we just

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Speaker 2: watched a pretty defensive and then a pretty crappy offensive

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Speaker 2: game from Kansas City that now kind of eliminates them,

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Speaker 2: but not really. They can't win the division anymore. But

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Speaker 2: we will get all into that in a little bit.

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Speaker 2: Plus we will get into Monday Night football. Brandon's hot

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Speaker 2: read tons of stuff. We will try to get through

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Speaker 2: things relatively quickly, since I believe Brandon you can kind

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Speaker 2: of hate on this before I get my stat like

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Speaker 2: at this point, go through the games. But it's kind

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Speaker 2: of about the weeks to come the playoffs. Some bets

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Speaker 2: like things of that nature to kind of talk actionable

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Speaker 2: going forward, but I feel like, you know, today was

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Speaker 2: a bit of a mess. We had a lot of points,

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Speaker 2: which will kind of go into my stat a little bit.

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Speaker 2: But what do you just make of the picture you

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Speaker 2: see so far?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I think that's a lot. What's happening

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Speaker 4: is where we're really starting to whittle down the playoff field,

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Speaker 4: and it continues to shock our system, right because all

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Speaker 4: these teams that we thought were these not just playoff

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Speaker 4: teams but having Super Bowl contenders continue to look on

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Speaker 4: the outside. So we got the Chiefs look nearly outside

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Speaker 4: for good. The Ravens are back outside again. The Lions,

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Speaker 4: even though they got their win, are still outside. I

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Speaker 4: believe at this moment in the eight seed the Bears

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Speaker 4: fall from the one down to the seven today. So

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Speaker 4: we really have kind of like knocked out five or

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Speaker 4: six teams in each conference, but the other remaining teams

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Speaker 4: are just like topsy turvy every single week. So it's

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Speaker 4: been pretty wild. It really felt like the the I

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Speaker 4: know we've done this, like how many times we me

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Speaker 4: and you we the media. It feels like the death

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Speaker 4: of the Chiefs dynasty.

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Speaker 1: And I know we.

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Speaker 4: Keep doing that, but like they're pretty close to just

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Speaker 4: out of the playoffs right now. Like I thought about

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Speaker 4: just going in all black today and coming to the funeral.

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Speaker 4: So I feel like, once you do your stat, that's

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Speaker 4: kind of where we have to start, is just the Chiefs.

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Speaker 4: So they've been the story for almost a decade now,

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Speaker 4: and they're not the story this year anymore.

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Speaker 2: The one thing all said, even if the Chiefs don't

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Speaker 2: make the playoffs, as long as they have Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 2: and I'd probably add Andy Reid to that, the dynasty's

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Speaker 2: not dead. The dynasty's dead when Homes is no longer

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Speaker 2: a Chief, Like whatever they do in the offseason, whenever

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Speaker 2: they do next year, if they make the Super Bowl

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Speaker 2: next year, or whatever the case may be, you know,

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Speaker 2: people will say he's no longer the goat because of

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Speaker 2: Brady whatever missing the playoffs. Who cares, Like, there's still

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Speaker 2: a long road ahead right now this year injuries, Like

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Speaker 2: there's lots of reasons why Kansas City kind of is

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Speaker 2: where it is, But we'll get to that in one second.

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Speaker 2: Look how excited we are. Let me just get this

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Speaker 2: stat out of the way. So two things another week,

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Speaker 2: another set of public sides, kind of down the drain.

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Speaker 2: So they are four and six this week. That sixty

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Speaker 2: percent of tickets are higher. Philly kind of in that

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Speaker 2: spot tomorrow night. About sixty percent right now, but a

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Speaker 2: lot can happen in about twenty four hours. Those sixty percent.

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Speaker 2: Teams are fifty to eighty four now ats thirty seven

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Speaker 2: percent and under and below five hundred and thirteen of

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Speaker 2: fourteen weeks. And we had mentioned it. Overs started week fourteen,

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Speaker 2: eleven and one before Sunday Night football and with just

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Speaker 2: Minnesota and Washington shutout, going under the total now eleven

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Speaker 2: and two after Sunday Night football. And if Philly and

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Speaker 2: the Chargers go over the total tomorrow night, I believe,

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Speaker 2: and I have to double check this, I'll put it

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Speaker 2: out later, it will be the highest win percentage for

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Speaker 2: overs in a single week since nineteen ninety six. So

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Speaker 2: we will see what happens on Monday Night football. But

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Speaker 2: let's get to Sunday Night Football. First, Houston wins the

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Speaker 2: game twenty to ten. They cover the plus four and

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Speaker 2: a half on close under forty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: I think I want to start kind of just with

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Speaker 2: the steam late like this was a three and a

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Speaker 2: half point spread, and about an hour before kick forty

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Speaker 2: five and then thirty. As we got closer, this went

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Speaker 2: to four, then went to four and a half, even

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Speaker 2: touched five before coming back right before kickoffs. So there

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Speaker 2: was some steam, some sharp, some money, whatever you want

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Speaker 2: to call it, coming in on case right before kickoff.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what it was. I know I talked

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Speaker 2: to a lot of people. I liked Houston tonight. I

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Speaker 2: think a lot of people like Houston tonight. Like if

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Speaker 2: you just looked unit to unit across the board, I'm

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Speaker 2: just not sure how you were laying four or even

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Speaker 2: four and a half in that spot with Kansas City

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Speaker 2: and it looked that way the entire night. So at

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Speaker 2: least to me, the O line injuries and then the drops,

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Speaker 2: I think there was like six or seven drops on

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Speaker 2: Kansas City side. If even half of those get completed,

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Speaker 2: I mean, you put Mahomes in a spot where anything

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Speaker 2: can happen. But he just looks so dejected. Throw after

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Speaker 2: throw after throw, and I have to look at the

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Speaker 2: box preyer, I believe he had three interceptions in this game. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: three interceptions, only fourteen completions fourteen completions, the lowest he's

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Speaker 2: ever had in a loss in his NFL career, and

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Speaker 2: for the second time in his NFL career, he completes

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Speaker 2: less than fifty percent of passes, doing so twice in

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Speaker 2: the same season, when he had never done it before

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Speaker 2: in any other game in the NFL with the Chiefs. So,

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Speaker 2: I think what we were seeing out of Kansas City

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Speaker 2: this year is just a fallen apart roster. Really, Like,

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Speaker 2: I think this is a retooling that needs to happen

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Speaker 2: in the offseason because the pieces just aren't there right now.

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Speaker 2: And the most impressive and now I'll talks back to

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Speaker 2: you after this most impressive thing I saw today Houston's

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Speaker 2: defense Holy mackerel. Like week to week, no matter what happens,

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Speaker 2: their physicality. They're hitting like across the board, from pass

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Speaker 2: rush to linebackers to the secondary. It just looks so complete.

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Speaker 2: But what did you take away from tonight?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so let's start with Kansas City.

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Speaker 4: We'll get to Houston because I think they need to

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Speaker 4: be a takeaway here too. But you mentioned the drops

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Speaker 4: six drops tonight that is the most in the Mahomes era.

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Speaker 1: Kelsey had a huge drop light that became.

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Speaker 4: An interception where she had the big drop on the

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Speaker 4: previous fourth down that basically ended the game, ended the

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Speaker 4: season effectively for them. Those are your stars, Like, these

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Speaker 4: are the guys that you waited for Kelsey to be

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Speaker 4: ready for the big game, you waited for Rashid to.

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Speaker 1: Be back in the lineup.

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Speaker 4: These are the guys that are supposed to kind of

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Speaker 4: save the season, and they're the guys that end up

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Speaker 4: ending the season.

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs go three of ten on third down.

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Speaker 4: All of the Mahomes specialty, right, they can come through

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Speaker 4: when they need them. Three of ten two yards on

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Speaker 4: ten plays with the interception plus a sack, just like Mahomes.

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Speaker 1: It felt like in the third quarter the Chiefs were

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs.

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Speaker 4: Chris Jones was doing menacing things, Kelsey had a couple

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Speaker 4: of plays, Mahomes looked like Mahomes again. It was like, yes,

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Speaker 4: finally the thing we've been wanting to see. They hit

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Speaker 4: the downfield pass right away after halftime. It felt like

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Speaker 4: we put the time machine in like five years ago

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Speaker 4: and watched the Chiefs again. But they only had one quarter.

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Speaker 4: It's just one quarter in them, and then you know

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Speaker 4: they kind of refeel themselves. I think that fourth down

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Speaker 4: decision was very aggressive by Andy Reid, and they kind

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Speaker 4: of went the quick snap. I think they're maybe trying

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Speaker 4: to catch them off guard, and it just didn't happen.

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Speaker 4: You know, they didn't convert, and it goes the other way.

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Speaker 4: Texans do convert. On the third down, Stroud looks like

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Speaker 4: he's gonna take a sack out of field goal range,

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Speaker 4: instead avoids it and gets the first down. A couple

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Speaker 4: of plays later they get the touchdown, and that's it.

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Speaker 4: From ten to ten to season over basically, so from

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Speaker 4: the start of the game, literally the start of the game,

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Speaker 4: the first play of the game, the Chiefs are already

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Speaker 4: down three starting offensive lineman. There's only five, You're down three,

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Speaker 4: and their third string tackle Janye Morris gets injured on

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Speaker 4: the first play. Looks bad, looks like he's probably done

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Speaker 4: for the season.

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Speaker 2: Two.

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Speaker 4: So that's your top three tackles. They played the entire

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Speaker 4: game against that defense you were just describing with an

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Speaker 4: undrafted rookie left tackle whose name I've never heard of

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Speaker 4: before tonight, I'll be honest, like I've never seen that

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Speaker 4: guy's name ever in my life before.

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Speaker 1: That's what they're playing with.

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Speaker 4: And then on top of it, I think it was

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Speaker 4: still the first quarter, certainly first half. Trent McDuffie leaves

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Speaker 4: hurt as well with a knee injury. He doesn't come back.

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Speaker 4: Trent McDuffie is a stud. Like Trerent McDuffie does not

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Speaker 4: get enough credit. They talked about on the broadcast. It's

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Speaker 4: either him or Chris Jones are the top defensive players

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Speaker 4: on this team, and I think it's pretty close between them.

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Speaker 4: So that was a huge loss and an entire football team. Obviously,

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Speaker 4: losing the quarterback, losing Mahomes hurt would be the biggest injury.

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Speaker 4: But if you look at cluster injuries, where the injuries

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Speaker 4: add up the most, we say it over and over

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Speaker 4: offensive line and cornerback. So here's the offensive line missing

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Speaker 4: what four of its top six or seven guys against

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Speaker 4: the best defense, and then missing your top corner in

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Speaker 4: the cascade effect of that all the way down. They

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Speaker 4: missed Watson early in the season as well.

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Speaker 5: I think you're right that the roster has decayed, but

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Speaker 5: the roster has decayed by age an injury also, like

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Speaker 5: they just can't get healthy and even in this game

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Speaker 5: to be where they were in the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 4: With momentum looking like they were going to do the

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Speaker 4: Chiefs thing and get the win and save the season

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Speaker 4: despite those injuries. Stuff they came in with is pretty

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Speaker 4: crazy now. According to New York Times odds, the Chiefs

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Speaker 4: currently at sixteen percent to make the playoffs one in six.

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Speaker 4: Go roll a die, did you get a one? That's

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Speaker 4: the Chiefs making the playoffs. That's the odds we're looking at.

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Speaker 4: I thought the Colts loss would help them today. It did,

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Speaker 4: but they needed to win tonight. They go Chargers at Titans,

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Speaker 4: Broncos at Raiders. Okay, that sounds winnable, right, great, even

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Speaker 4: if they run the table. Per the athletic they are

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Speaker 4: just barely better than a coin flip to make the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: Then you lose even to one, they're down to four percent,

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Speaker 4: so we're basically.

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Speaker 1: On life support here.

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Speaker 4: Like they need to win out, which right now there's

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Speaker 4: no real guarantee they should be doing that. The Chargers

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Speaker 4: playing for the playoffs, the Broncos are playing for the

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Speaker 4: one seed, so they get to win all four of those,

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Speaker 4: and they're going to need a bunch of help at

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Speaker 4: this point, which they started to get some.

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Speaker 1: We'll get to those games later, but.

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Speaker 4: This probably was the end of the Chief season. You're

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Speaker 4: right at the end of the dynasty. Pat's gonna still

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Speaker 4: do Pat things, but it feels like maybe the end

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Speaker 4: of this version of the dynasty because Kelsey and Chris

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Speaker 4: Jones in particular, other than Pat Mahomes, they're the guys,

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Speaker 4: and it feels like we can't get too much more

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Speaker 4: of them at this point.

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Speaker 1: We got one more glorious quarter and I think that

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Speaker 1: may have been it tonight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the decision for Andy Reid, it just I haven't

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Speaker 2: looked at the data. I'm sure everyone's gonna say it's

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Speaker 2: puzzling as hell, especially I think when you look at

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Speaker 2: it from what CJ. Stroud had done up to that

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Speaker 2: point and how shook he look on his side to

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Speaker 2: not punt to him and just allow your defense. If

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Speaker 2: he would have drove down the field and that's how

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Speaker 2: you lose the game, I would have accepted that a

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Speaker 2: lot more than this, because you gave him the short

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Speaker 2: it's just you kind of hit. It was a very

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Speaker 2: odd decision, but he's used to giving Pat Mahomes the ball, right.

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Speaker 2: I just the thing that also took me is the

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Speaker 2: drops and the drops by different players. Usually when you

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Speaker 2: have six or seven drops from a team, it's a

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Speaker 2: guy like it's one guy dropping three. It's usually that scenario.

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Speaker 2: It felt like everybody was dropping passes across the board,

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Speaker 2: hunt Rice, like everywhere you looked, somebody was doing something

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Speaker 2: to help Houston's defense, the best defense in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: You can't help them, you know, be better. And that's

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Speaker 2: pretty much what the Chiefs did tonight. I think that

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Speaker 2: Charger game tomorrow night is just a little interesting to

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Speaker 2: the fact that they get them at home the next

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Speaker 2: week on a short rest, so maybe a small advantage there.

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Speaker 2: We'll see what Herbert looks like and we'll talk about

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Speaker 2: that later and then at Tennessee before that Denver Christmas game.

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Speaker 2: That should be a fun one to handicap. Can't wait

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Speaker 2: for that. But Chiefs have been struggling on kind of

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Speaker 2: all levels. When you just look against the spread, patsown

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Speaker 2: nine and seventeen ats in his last twenty six starts,

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Speaker 2: lost five and row against the spread. In that span,

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Speaker 2: He's four and eleven ats versus teams above five hundred,

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Speaker 2: and that's probably the stat that you have to look

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Speaker 2: at the most. Those are the teams you need to

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Speaker 2: compete with to try to get into the playoffs, and

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Speaker 2: four and eleven number is just rough. As heck. I

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Speaker 2: mentioned how bad he played tonight, the three interceptions, like

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Speaker 2: diving into the stats. It's bad. I mean ten points

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Speaker 2: at home. I don't think that's happened for Casey since

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Speaker 2: twenty seventeen. You can go on and on and on,

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Speaker 2: but right from the start, you know, the offensive lineman

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Speaker 2: gets hurt, Mahomes is sitting there on one knee like

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Speaker 2: you're saying to yourself, well, this legitimately couldn't have started

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Speaker 2: any worse because it was just an absolute look. It

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Speaker 2: looked like everyone was dejected from the start, Like there's

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Speaker 2: certain ways to start games. That just wasn't one of them.

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Speaker 2: But I think we should talk about Houston for a

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Speaker 2: second before we know, because I don't exactly believe Houston's

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Speaker 2: offense played fantastic, Like I don't really think. I looked

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Speaker 2: at how Stroud played during this game. He had like

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Speaker 2: nine straight incompletions as well. He looked completely in rattled

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Speaker 2: in like the middle portion of this game. And I

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Speaker 2: think that's and I think that's noteworthy because I feel

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Speaker 2: like Stroud has struggled in his entire career under pressure,

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Speaker 2: and at first Casey's not showing that. And then all

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Speaker 2: of a sudden they were ramping up. Carl Loftus was

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Speaker 2: getting in and at that point CJ. Stroud looked a

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Speaker 2: bit rattled, and I think Demiko even started to adjust

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Speaker 2: some of the game plan a little bit. So what

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Speaker 2: do you make of I mean, Houston right now, they're rolling.

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Speaker 2: They look like they're probably in a mix to get

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Speaker 2: into the playoffs if they keep this up. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they've got this win so important when you've got Arizona

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Speaker 2: and the Raiders at home in back to back games. Now,

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Speaker 2: So I mean this, what is it five game winning

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Speaker 2: streak could easily be seven. So what do you make

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Speaker 2: of Houston going forward? Because that defense unbelievable.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I think they could win out the

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Speaker 4: rest of the season. After those, it's at the Chargers,

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Speaker 4: which is really just Chargers neutral because it's at the Chargers.

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Speaker 4: And then it's the Colton Week eighteen, which look like

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Speaker 4: this monster game but they don't have a quarterback now,

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Speaker 4: which we'll talk about a bit. So there are three

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Speaker 4: home games out of four, plus effectively a non road

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Speaker 4: game and their touchdown favorites at least in all the

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Speaker 4: home games there. So I think it's on the table

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Speaker 4: for them to run the table into the playoffs even

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Speaker 4: right now before any of that. They are, by the

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Speaker 4: athletic ninety two percent to make the playoffs right now,

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Speaker 4: This is a playoff team, Like they are as likely

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Speaker 4: to make the playoffs right now as the Chiefs would

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Speaker 4: be to miss it if they. Yeah, I lost the

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Speaker 4: analogy they're gonna be in, like they're very likely in

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Speaker 4: at this point. And don't forget, not only are they

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Speaker 4: winning five in a row, but Buffalo India in the

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Speaker 4: Chiefs is the last three, Like that's the stretch that

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Speaker 4: they had here. And yeah, I've really liked this team,

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Speaker 4: but it was really hard to buy in because they

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Speaker 4: probably were gonna have to run the table on those

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Speaker 4: three to get into this position. But now they've done it,

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Speaker 4: and two of these on the road Chiefs and Colts

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Speaker 4: as well. Right now, still only about one in three

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Speaker 4: shot at the division. But I don't totally believe in

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Speaker 4: Jacksonville just yet, and that schedule certainly is winnable for

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Speaker 4: them even if they don't get the division but make

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Speaker 4: the playoffs they're probably the five or six seed. They

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Speaker 4: probably play Jacksonville in the first round, or they played

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Speaker 4: the AFC North team. Those are very winnable playoff games.

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Speaker 4: In fact, here's the question I posed on Twitter just

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Speaker 4: where we came on. How many AFC playoff teams would

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Speaker 4: you favor over Houston on a neutral field right now?

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Speaker 4: I'm to answer my own question. My answer is zero.

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Speaker 4: There's not anybody that I would favor. The only I

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Speaker 4: say AFC playoff teams because by my numbers, there's only

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Speaker 4: one AFC team that I'd still have a slight favorite

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Speaker 4: on a neutral and they just beat them to but

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Speaker 4: they're not a playoff team anymore right now, so I

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Speaker 4: can't say it's the Chiefs. And right now my top

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Speaker 4: four teams and my power ratings are all in the NFC.

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Speaker 4: And then it comes into Houston not long after that.

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Speaker 4: His defense is awesome, the offense has slowly been trending up,

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Speaker 4: and you're right. Stroud looked shook, but the game plan

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Speaker 4: was clearly spags blitz, blitz, blitz all game, then blitz

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Speaker 4: some more. And Stroud looked shook because he's getting hit

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Speaker 4: all a game, but he hung in there and He

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Speaker 4: made some big throws on third down, and he made

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Speaker 4: the winning throws like he got them over the line

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Speaker 4: in this game in ways where he wasn't doing that

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Speaker 4: earlier this season and last season. So I think there's

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Speaker 4: certainly a real threat in the AFC, and I think

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Speaker 4: we're to move past them being a playoff a threat

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Speaker 4: to make the playoffs, their threat to make noise in

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Speaker 4: the playoffs at this point, like they could be they

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Speaker 4: could be coming out of the AFC.

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Speaker 2: Now. Yes, some of those throws on the run too,

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Speaker 2: were pretty impressive, like he was getting out of past rushes,

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Speaker 2: he was finding open guys. He looked and I think

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Speaker 2: this is kind of disrespectful, but I don't really have

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Speaker 2: a better comparison. He looked a little Kleby and you know,

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Speaker 2: making plays and doing this, doing that. It felt like

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Speaker 2: with that combination of a guy who can play pretty

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Speaker 2: well on the run with that defense. Now you lost

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Speaker 2: Nick Chubb tonight, but if you have Chubb, you have

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Speaker 2: what he marks, Like there's pieces there. I love. I

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Speaker 2: loved what I saw out of Jaden Higgins. I think

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Speaker 2: Houston is completely dangerous. And I like Demiko, which you

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Speaker 2: know you talk about a lot of these head coaches.

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Speaker 2: To me, Demiko's just fine, Like he does exactly what

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Speaker 2: he needs to do. He's obviously more on the defensive

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Speaker 2: side of the ball. But I think on offense, they

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Speaker 2: they seem to just do enough. Like the twenty point

369
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Speaker 2: mark that they put up tonight seems about what they

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Speaker 2: usually do. It's twenty two, it's twenty four, it's it's

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Speaker 2: in that area. And you know what their defense says,

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Speaker 2: that's just fine, It's completely cool. So that's the recipe

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Speaker 2: for Houston, and man, it's goddamn dangerous.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they're a very dangerous team right now. They're gonna

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Speaker 4: be a dangerous team. We're gonna be talking about for

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Speaker 4: a while.

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Speaker 2: Still, all right, last one, then we go on Pat

378
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Speaker 2: Mahomes now forty eight and twenty nine to the under

379
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Speaker 2: at home in his career, best mark of any quarterback

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Speaker 2: in our data base two hundred and seventy eight quarterbacks

381
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Speaker 2: since two thousand and five. Insane, But that says a

382
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Speaker 2: lot about his offense in a lot of those games

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Speaker 2: as well. All Right, Next game, Chicago, Green Bay. Green

384
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Speaker 2: Bay wins the game twenty eight to twenty one. They

385
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Speaker 2: cover minus six and a half on close just barely

386
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Speaker 2: total over forty four and a half. It took some

387
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Speaker 2: time for Chicago to get into this game. I felt

388
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Speaker 2: like three straight punts, punked on four of the first

389
00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:47,399
Speaker 2: five drives, little to no offense for Chicago in the

390
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Speaker 2: first half. Really, I mean, you were looking at some

391
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Speaker 2: of those Caleb passing yards. I felt like I saw

392
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Speaker 2: ten yards, fifteen yards, twenty three yards end of half

393
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Speaker 2: type deal. I don't remember the final number, but it

394
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Speaker 2: was pretty much in that vein now. It also feels

395
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Speaker 2: like Green Bay is having a tough time closing out teams.

396
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Speaker 2: So when they went up fourteen to three, my first

397
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Speaker 2: instinct was Chicago's gonna get back in the game. Even

398
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Speaker 2: when they went up twenty one to eleven, I said,

399
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Speaker 2: I still think Chicago has a shot. You know, I

400
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,560
Speaker 2: hit some lines, I bet some things. I even bet

401
00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:18,679
Speaker 2: them to win, and I covered it with some ten

402
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 2: and a half, some seven and a half like things

403
00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:24,119
Speaker 2: of that nature ends up coming through. But to me,

404
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 2: the story of the game is mostly what Caleb was

405
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 2: able to do on the run, Like he created some

406
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:36,280
Speaker 2: unbelievable plays on a green Bay pass rush that I believe.

407
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:38,960
Speaker 2: I believe he only got sacked once in the entire game.

408
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,119
Speaker 2: So to me, for Chicago to get the loss in

409
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Speaker 2: that scenario, fine, Green Bay's defense is really top notch,

410
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Speaker 2: But Chicago played in a game with what I think

411
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Speaker 2: we would call a top team in the NFL, and

412
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:56,199
Speaker 2: this felt like Chicago belonged, which I don't think we

413
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,560
Speaker 2: could say for a long long time. So to me,

414
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Speaker 2: that's what I take away. Corgo lose the game, fine,

415
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Speaker 2: but going forward, I feel like they compete with any

416
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Speaker 2: one week to week.

417
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Speaker 4: Yeah, this is a team that we have made money

418
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Speaker 4: off of this year, but also admitted they've been quite

419
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Speaker 4: lucky along the way, and I think this is one

420
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Speaker 4: of their more impressive games like that that have that

421
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Speaker 4: in bold in my notes.

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Speaker 1: Honestly, I came away.

423
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Speaker 4: More impressed by the Bears after this game than after

424
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Speaker 4: a lot of their games so far this season. They

425
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Speaker 4: were basically even on success rate for the game.

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Speaker 1: They moved the ball.

427
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Speaker 4: They were successful in about two thirds of their runs

428
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Speaker 4: in the game. That Ben Johnson rushing attack really moved

429
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Speaker 4: the ball well. The Packers won this game the way

430
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Speaker 4: I thought they'd win the game, with explosives six and

431
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,679
Speaker 4: a half yards of play to four point six for Chicago,

432
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:44,919
Speaker 4: so two yards of play more. They threw touchdowns of

433
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Speaker 4: twenty three, forty one and forty five yards. The Bears

434
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Speaker 4: did not have a double digit yard to run the

435
00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:55,520
Speaker 4: entire game. So here they are running successfully all game long,

436
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 4: two out of every three carries, but never busting the

437
00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 4: long one. That's the sort of defense that Green Bay

438
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,160
Speaker 4: has played this season is giving up some of those

439
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 4: plays but not the big one. Those three pass plays,

440
00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:09,719
Speaker 4: that's what the Bears defense is given up this season.

441
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 4: Those three long touchdowns were worth five, four point three

442
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 4: and three point five EPA, So that's thirteen points basically

443
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:21,119
Speaker 4: of added value, thirty five percent win probability on a

444
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,919
Speaker 4: three plays. So you have the Bears going basically mano

445
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:28,960
Speaker 4: almano playing the Packers even all game long. The three

446
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,159
Speaker 4: plays did the men and otherwise the Bears probably are

447
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,320
Speaker 4: the better team. But that's not how it works. Those

448
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 4: big plays add up, and it wasn't big plays turnovers,

449
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 4: it wasn't big plays of fluky bounces. It was Jordan

450
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,639
Speaker 4: Love beating you down the field. And that was the

451
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 4: cap on this game going in, and that's what it

452
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 4: came about. Jordan Love ends up with twelve point four

453
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 4: average depths of target.

454
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 2: That's a huge.

455
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:57,200
Speaker 4: Number, but also twelve percent to the good completion over expected.

456
00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 4: You're not supposed to be able to put those two

457
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:01,920
Speaker 4: numbers to You're not supposed to be able to throw

458
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,600
Speaker 4: it way down the field like that, but still be

459
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:09,000
Speaker 4: completing passes that well. And Christian Watson has really looked

460
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 4: great since he's come back from injury. That's my dude

461
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 4: from NBSU know how I love my Bison who are

462
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 4: out in the FCS playoffs. I gotta watch him in

463
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 4: the NFL.

464
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 1: Now.

465
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 4: I didn't have a lot of hope for Watson. I

466
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 4: didn't expect him to look like really the number one

467
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 4: receiver for this team. Matthew Goldman rookie was supposed to

468
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 4: take that role. He Kim Brily get on the field

469
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 4: right now. Jane Reed is back. He looked good for them.

470
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:34,800
Speaker 4: Watson eighty nine yards two touchdowns in this game continues

471
00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 4: to be that big play, go to guy for the

472
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,480
Speaker 4: Packers and for Jordan Love. Love we talked about as

473
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,120
Speaker 4: an MVP candidate if they got this win going forward.

474
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 4: His MVP olds are about and a half after this,

475
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 4: so Stafford back as the clear lead, but Love's closing

476
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,119
Speaker 4: like he is clearly the third guy at this point.

477
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think honestly, you come away camera press

478
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 4: with both teams here like that. The Bears we mentioned

479
00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 4: drop from the one to the seven seed, but that's

480
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 4: just because everything is so contested. Even at the end

481
00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 4: you get a long Bears drive, seven plays sixty yards,

482
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 4: you get fourth and one.

483
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 1: They go for it all. They try to get the

484
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 1: explosive to tie it up. They don't.

485
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,639
Speaker 4: They get picked off, and that's it. I agree with you.

486
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,160
Speaker 4: I was really impressed with Caleb Williams. You're not gonna

487
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:20,920
Speaker 4: see in the box score like this was an eye

488
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 4: test Kaleb Williams game to me, the box score stats

489
00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 4: or whatever. One sack is nice. He's been really good

490
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 4: at avoiding sacks this yearies literally zero points, zero EPA

491
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 4: per play. Nothing in the numbers is going to tell

492
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,639
Speaker 4: you he was great. He just looked and felt the

493
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 4: part today in a huge game on the road. I

494
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 4: thought the Bears have a lot of good takeaway out

495
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 4: of this. Chicago's still about two thirds chance to make

496
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 4: the playoffs twenty percent in the division, so damaging loss

497
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:50,880
Speaker 4: for sure, but they go Brown's next. Now, I'll say this,

498
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:55,159
Speaker 4: that's the exact sort of game the Bears would usually lose.

499
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 4: As the guy that lives here in Chicago land and

500
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:01,600
Speaker 4: watches the Bears at home against the Browns, they lose

501
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:04,920
Speaker 4: that game and blow the season after losing this one.

502
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 4: I think this Bears team is different. I think Ben

503
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 4: Johnson's Bears are different. But don't do it Chicago. They

504
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 4: go Browns, Packers at Niners, and Lions. I played around

505
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 4: with the with the odds two and two is probably

506
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,680
Speaker 4: enough to make the playoffs. That's basically the story there.

507
00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:24,320
Speaker 4: So beat the Browns and then you need one more.

508
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,560
Speaker 4: It's gonna be tough, but you get home Packers at

509
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:31,160
Speaker 4: the Niners home Lions, and all three of those might

510
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:32,600
Speaker 4: effectively beat playoff games.

511
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 1: But guess what hapen?

512
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 4: We just watch them in effectively a playoff game, and

513
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,439
Speaker 4: they belonged on that field, and they look the part,

514
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 4: and they should be able to win one of those

515
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 4: games at least and get in.

516
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 2: I mean they belonged literally up until Caleb made the

517
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 2: dumb throw, which he seems to do it. That's the thing,

518
00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 2: and that's my note. It's like, amazing job. Ninety nine

519
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,919
Speaker 2: point nine percent that pass was just stupid. I mean,

520
00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,840
Speaker 2: there was just plenty of different opportunities and the pass

521
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 2: was dumb, and green Bay probably shouldn't have covered this game.

522
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 2: Like you look at kind of the way both teams played,

523
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,919
Speaker 2: Chicago stayed in the game. You know, take it for

524
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:12,639
Speaker 2: what you will, but that's the way I kind of

525
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:16,120
Speaker 2: looked at it. The other thing I'll say is when

526
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 2: Craft went down for green Bay, I thought it would

527
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 2: have been a bigger issue, but I think adding Read

528
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 2: and still having just green Bay might have the best

529
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,320
Speaker 2: array of weapons even with outcraft, because yet you know,

530
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 2: Golden's doing nothing, understood Musgrave doing his job. You have

531
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 2: Dobbs basically did nothing today. Like every week, I feel

532
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,119
Speaker 2: like they can kind of pick one or two guys

533
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 2: and it's enough to get the win because their defense

534
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 2: kind of like Houston's, keeps them in the game, keeps

535
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,639
Speaker 2: teams low. It's twenty points, it's eighteen points, it's twenty

536
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 2: one points. Usually that's what Green Bay does, and their

537
00:26:56,040 --> 00:27:00,439
Speaker 2: pass rush usually keeps them and usually does those. So

538
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 2: to me, that's the way I look at it. Also,

539
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 2: Toyota Thon, I mean, Jordan Love fantastic right three touchdown

540
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:11,120
Speaker 2: passes one pick. So I call this the Jordan love Zone.

541
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 2: First ten weeks of the season twelve thirteen and one

542
00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 2: straight up. He is now sixteen and seven week eleven on,

543
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 2: So we're about to turn on. Green Bay is about

544
00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 2: to roll. They're gonna keep going their schedule. I just

545
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 2: looked at I used Tankathon just strength to schedule overall remaining.

546
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 2: I thought Green Bays would be a little bit higher.

547
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 2: But obviously, you know, Baltimore and Minnesota at the end

548
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,919
Speaker 2: maybe not as good as represented in their record, but

549
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:43,159
Speaker 2: at Denver at Chicago home, Baltimore at Minnesota. I mean,

550
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 2: if Minnesota still cares by that game, that's a little

551
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:47,639
Speaker 2: bit of a tough one on the road in a

552
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 2: division opponent. If Green May would have lost this game,

553
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,320
Speaker 2: that's a tough stretch. But I think at this point

554
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,400
Speaker 2: they could probably drop one of those games, maybe two

555
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 2: of those games, and be probably just fine in the

556
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,600
Speaker 2: race US. So this was a big one for green Bay.

557
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:05,439
Speaker 4: Yeah, and they're favored in Denver next week. Denver the

558
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 4: current one seed. Green Bay is favored on the road there,

559
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 4: and I just checked my numbers. By my numbers, I

560
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,240
Speaker 4: think green Bay will be favored by about the same

561
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 4: margin in Chicago as well, so they might be favored

562
00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:20,119
Speaker 4: even in those games. And granted they're favored by like

563
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,000
Speaker 4: a point, but if you're favored by a point, effectively

564
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 4: we're saying, okay, you're close to coin flip. So can

565
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:27,879
Speaker 4: you get one of those? Can you beat the Packers

566
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 4: or sorry, beat the Broncos or the Bears on the road.

567
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,440
Speaker 4: By the numbers I checked, I have green Bay ninety

568
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:36,680
Speaker 4: six percent to make the playoffs right now, so they're

569
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 4: in basically fifty eight percent for the division, which.

570
00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:40,840
Speaker 1: Obviously is the key here.

571
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 4: If they beat the Bears in no other Bear Chicago

572
00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 4: game and sweep them, seventy three percent for the division,

573
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:49,520
Speaker 4: so that one game is a pretty big swing for them.

574
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 4: They swept the Lions not as important as far as

575
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 4: typebreakers because they have the ties, so they won't be

576
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 4: any type breakers with Green Bay, but certainly just to

577
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 4: win for the Packers two losses for the Lions was big.

578
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 4: The Lions are only forty four percent for the playoffs.

579
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:06,920
Speaker 4: We're not gonna talk about them because they played Thursday,

580
00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 4: but they're at six percent for the division. So even

581
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 4: though they had what felt like this huge win, now

582
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,560
Speaker 4: there's a whole Sunday of games, and the other NFC

583
00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 4: teams all keep winning as well, the ones ahead of

584
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 4: the Lions at least. So yeah, still not great news

585
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 4: for the Lions. They've got work to do. This division. Packers, Bears,

586
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 4: Lions still looks like we only get two of the

587
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,840
Speaker 4: three into the playoffs. I won all three, like, I

588
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 4: think they all belong in the playoffs. They've all earned

589
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 4: the status there. But the NFC probably has eight playoff teams. Well,

590
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 4: I guess to be fair, the NFC has seven playoff teams.

591
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 4: We just have to put an NFC South team in

592
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:44,800
Speaker 4: the mix, like we talk about every single year. So

593
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 4: if you give one of the spots away, we got

594
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:51,960
Speaker 4: one too many. And we have Niners, Seahawks, Rams, and

595
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,480
Speaker 4: we have these three and you can't put three and

596
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 4: three from two divisions. The math doesn't math that way

597
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 4: for you. Even with the Cowboys, I've been with the

598
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 4: NFC side out of the mix. We can only have

599
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 4: five of those six teams, and I still think one

600
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 4: of these teams is gonna get cut.

601
00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 1: So for all the good stuff we just said about

602
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:12,280
Speaker 1: the Bears, rightfully, so this.

603
00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 4: Might be the game we look back in a month

604
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 4: and say, man, if they could just got over the

605
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 4: line there, they wouldn't be missing the playoffs today. But

606
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 4: look where they are now, because it's gonna be tough

607
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 4: for Chicago even if they beat the Browns, they're not

608
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 4: in this yet. Like, they've got work to do. They've

609
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 4: got to get over the line still. And one of

610
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 4: these teams. I still think that Week eighteen Detroit Chicago game,

611
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be a knockout game. I think

612
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,160
Speaker 4: that is a playoff game, and one of those teams

613
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 4: is gonna go home and.

614
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 1: Not deserve it.

615
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 4: Because one of those teams could go over into the

616
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 4: AFC and be like among the favorites.

617
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 1: But that's not how the bracket works.

618
00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 2: I wonder if that game wasn't for the division, would

619
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 2: they put that at night, Like if that was a

620
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 2: complete knockout game, but green Bay had already been the

621
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 2: division champ, because usually that last game is for like

622
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:03,120
Speaker 2: the Vision or something that's very clean. But I kind

623
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:06,719
Speaker 2: of agree. One other point, I just peaked at the spread.

624
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,920
Speaker 2: Browns bear is seven and a half next week, So

625
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 2: if you're looking for the if you're looking for the

626
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 2: bounce back there that feels a little juicy on Cleveland side.

627
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 2: I mean, that's a game Chicago should win. But that

628
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 2: is a large number for.

629
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,960
Speaker 4: A large number on like a forty point total, so

630
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 4: a really large number comparing the total there Week eighteen.

631
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 4: I think I was expecting Houston, India to be the

632
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 4: wake Week eighteen game, but probably not now that we'll

633
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,320
Speaker 4: talk about Colts in a second, that they may not

634
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 4: really be in the picture by then. I believe Pittsburgh

635
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 4: Baltimore play Week eighteen, So probably that's our Sunday night

636
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,840
Speaker 4: game because that's very likely still going to be for

637
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 4: the division. But yeah, Chicago Detroit with everything in the line,

638
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 4: would certainly if it does it. You know, they can

639
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:53,280
Speaker 4: only give it to that to us.

640
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 1: If it's a true.

641
00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 4: Knockout that doesn't impact the rest of the wild card

642
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,320
Speaker 4: standings and everything, then they can do it. So the

643
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 4: Pittsburgh balt we'll probably be cleaner.

644
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 1: And the option. I wish we could bet on.

645
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 4: That sort of stuff, like you put pick the market

646
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 4: up DraftKings on which game will be the Week eighteen game.

647
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 4: I'd be putting some money on that one too.

648
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 2: That's a fun and listen if you could do highest

649
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 2: scoring game in a week or low, like you can

650
00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 2: probably figure it out. Yeah, Matt Lafleur now twenty one

651
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 2: and four straight up in December eleven and one. He's

652
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 2: fantastic in this month, just like McVeigh. Those are the

653
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:27,320
Speaker 2: two coaches. Both did well today. Both covered and bears

654
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 2: one in twelve straight up versus the Packers in the

655
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 2: last thirteen, two and eleven ats. They just can't seem

656
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,560
Speaker 2: to figure out the pack All right, let's keep rolling here.

657
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 2: So Buffalo and the Bengals. Buffalo wins a game thirty

658
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 2: nine thirty four. Cincinnati covers the plus six on close.

659
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:47,720
Speaker 2: Total goes over fifty four and a half again kind

660
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 2: of just barely. My first mark here is we had

661
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:53,600
Speaker 2: a snow over in this game. Hashtag just stuck and

662
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 2: Raybond there. We had a bunch of snow and you

663
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 2: know what betters throughout the week, they didn't care less.

664
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 2: This total started about fifty one and a half. It

665
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,120
Speaker 2: got bet up to fifty four and a half. I

666
00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:07,600
Speaker 2: even saw some fifty fives and it barely got there

667
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:10,120
Speaker 2: thanks for that interceptions at the end for Burrow. But

668
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 2: this it was a little bit. It was a little

669
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:17,520
Speaker 2: close there. So to me, this was and this is

670
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:19,480
Speaker 2: maybe a little weird thing to say, and I'm curious

671
00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 2: your opinion. This was one of the best games I

672
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 2: saw Josh Allen play, Like, I just kind of like,

673
00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:26,600
Speaker 2: you look at the numbers, twenty two to twenty eight,

674
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 2: three passing touchdowns, two fifty one, nine to seventy eight

675
00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,480
Speaker 2: on the ground, plus you got the rusting touchdown, which

676
00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 2: was forty yards needed in the moment if you were clutching.

677
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 2: The fourth quarter, you kept the pressure on Cincinnati's defense.

678
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:41,560
Speaker 2: It was a really bad start. I mean Buffalo is

679
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 2: three and ten first half ats this year. I mean

680
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 2: they have started bad all season. That's the worst mark

681
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 2: in the NFL. So what Josh Allen does is he's

682
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 2: good in the second half, and in the second half

683
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:56,479
Speaker 2: they ran the ball. He found some of his wide receivers. Again,

684
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 2: there's nobody there as good as anybody in Green Bay

685
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 2: in my opinion, between Shakir and Coleman, Like, he just

686
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 2: he found who we needed to find and the tight ends,

687
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,279
Speaker 2: et cetera to get what he had to do done.

688
00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 2: But there's just no major downfield threat ever in Buffalo,

689
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 2: and to me, it feels like they're vulnerable every single

690
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,880
Speaker 2: week to just being in a mixed game. So I

691
00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:22,839
Speaker 2: think their record right now and their position, I think

692
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 2: they're kind of lucky to be there. Like I'm not

693
00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:27,200
Speaker 2: the biggest fan of Buffalo, I think they get a

694
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 2: ton of respect. And one could be said about the line.

695
00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 2: They're favored by one and a half in New England

696
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 2: next week. There's no more respect than that, you know,

697
00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:39,080
Speaker 2: after what we saw in Buffalo, they're now favored to

698
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:44,280
Speaker 2: beat them. It's a little strange, but again, it's Josh Allen,

699
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 2: it's the Bills, and it's the way the market. They

700
00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:50,920
Speaker 2: think the market's going to go. So I'm curious what

701
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:52,680
Speaker 2: you think about that line and what you think about

702
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 2: this game.

703
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:55,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I saw that this was one of

704
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:59,000
Speaker 4: Allen's highest EPA per past dropbacks that he's ever had

705
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:00,759
Speaker 4: in his career, So I think that matches kind of

706
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:03,280
Speaker 4: what you were seeing. I had said coming into the game,

707
00:35:03,560 --> 00:35:05,759
Speaker 4: they don't need Josh Allen to be the MVP every game.

708
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 4: They can have James Cook be the MVP. Well turns

709
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,840
Speaker 4: out no, Josh had to be the MVP today. James

710
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:12,919
Speaker 4: Cook fumbled twice into the end zone on the same

711
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 4: drive somehow and nearly cost them the game. Alan had

712
00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 4: to be the MVP and look the part again it's

713
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 4: frankly so did Burrow. Like Burrow is awesome, another cover

714
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,960
Speaker 4: as a three plus underdog. Here we are with the

715
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 4: Bengals again where it's like, oh, man, you don't want

716
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,080
Speaker 4: to play the Bengals right now.

717
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:29,319
Speaker 2: Man.

718
00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 4: They get three touchdowns back to back to back to

719
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:34,200
Speaker 4: start the game and then they somehow lose the game.

720
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:35,480
Speaker 1: Anyway, Just this.

721
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 4: Is every Bengals game and every Bengals season, over and

722
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:39,200
Speaker 4: over and over again.

723
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:40,320
Speaker 1: It's also every.

724
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:43,920
Speaker 4: Bengals game because Donkin Kid comes back four forty one

725
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 4: in a touchdown, Dawson Knox sicks for ninety three tight ends.

726
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 4: Just cook the Bengals every week. I'm so mad. I

727
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 4: had that in my notes as I wanted to play it,

728
00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 4: but we don't know if Kaid was gonna play till

729
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 4: right before turns out.

730
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 1: You just play both of them, it doesn't matter.

731
00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 4: Just play every tight end always against the Bengals because

732
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,319
Speaker 4: they're just going to keep bleeding. But Burrow and the

733
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 4: offense ten of twelve on a third down of this

734
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 4: game one point five EPA per play, eighty three percent

735
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 4: success rate, Like that's insane. They were shredding this Buffalo defense,

736
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 4: so that I think that's what you're saying, is like

737
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 4: we know what Josh can do, and we know how

738
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,440
Speaker 4: they can run when it goes well, but look what

739
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 4: the defense gave up in this game to the Bengals.

740
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 4: And the Bengals obviously have plenty to attack with. And

741
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 4: I know the snow kind of is the you know,

742
00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:32,920
Speaker 4: the great equalizer as somebody that grew up in North Dakota,

743
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:34,719
Speaker 4: like this is the way the sport is meant to

744
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:37,799
Speaker 4: be played, Like this is awesome, and I love when

745
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:39,640
Speaker 4: I'm now that I'm not in North Dakode anymore, I

746
00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 4: love playing sports on snow, like that's the equalizer for me.

747
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 4: I'm still running full speed, man like on how to

748
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 4: play on snow is slow, and everyone else down They're

749
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:51,680
Speaker 4: sliding all over. So I think that definitely changed the

750
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 4: dynamic of this game, and you know, the snow ver

751
00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:58,640
Speaker 4: dynamic as well. But Buffalo's defense getting pushed around like

752
00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:01,280
Speaker 4: this and getting scored on, so we certainly can't inspire

753
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:03,680
Speaker 4: you too much. And then the big stretch of course,

754
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,239
Speaker 4: late three touchdowns by a Buffalo and a four and

755
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 4: a half minute stretch in the fourth quarter, so you

756
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:10,799
Speaker 4: talk about barely getting there to the snow over. They

757
00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,800
Speaker 4: scored seventy three, so they went over by twenty points,

758
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 4: but they weren't going to until that little stretch where

759
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:18,399
Speaker 4: the bill suddenly looked like they were going to cover

760
00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:22,200
Speaker 4: the spread themselves too. Allen has the MVP forty yard

761
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 4: touchdown run. Then Christian Benford just like jumps and catches

762
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 4: a screen pass on a blitz that I think Burrow's

763
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:32,040
Speaker 4: just trying to like loft over him and just didn't

764
00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 4: get enough air under it. It's a weird looking to play.

765
00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 4: That one play swung the win probability from Buffalo nineteen

766
00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 4: percent to seventy five percent. So that is about as

767
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:43,279
Speaker 4: big as swing as you can get on one play.

768
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:45,360
Speaker 4: Not at the end of the game, Burrow had not

769
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:48,960
Speaker 4: thrown a pick all season, obviously missed some time. Then

770
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 4: he throws picks on back to back plays because they

771
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:53,399
Speaker 4: get the pick six and then they get the ball back,

772
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,319
Speaker 4: of course, and the very next play another interception, another

773
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 4: quick touchdown from Buffalo. Season over for Cincinnati, Like it

774
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 4: just it was that fast that the Bengals are up ten.

775
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:06,359
Speaker 4: I think and suddenly that stretch rips off and that's it.

776
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 4: So yeah, the Bengals I think are done at this point,

777
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 4: except that the AFC North is still so bad that

778
00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:15,760
Speaker 4: they're like kind of barely sort of alive just in case.

779
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:16,799
Speaker 1: In that mix.

780
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:19,920
Speaker 4: T Higgins out with concussion for a couple of weeks,

781
00:38:20,200 --> 00:38:23,439
Speaker 4: came back, left twice today for concussion check but kept

782
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:26,120
Speaker 4: getting cleared. That's worrisome to me, Like, I don't know

783
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:28,839
Speaker 4: what's happening with that. We'll see if he's able to go.

784
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 4: I guess we can't quite rite the obituary for Cincinnati

785
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:36,360
Speaker 4: given their division. But Buffalo I think that now is

786
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 4: their third win where it's been this wild shootout win

787
00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 4: that they just barely get over the line. This is

788
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 4: the game that they lose in the playoffs, though, Like

789
00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:47,279
Speaker 4: these are the games they have and then Mahomes beats

790
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:49,000
Speaker 4: them at the end or Burrow beats them at the

791
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:52,080
Speaker 4: end or something like that, and you can't live this way,

792
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 4: maybe though, if you want to be the optimist, can

793
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 4: you live last week with James Cook running thirty two

794
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,200
Speaker 4: times on the steel? Can you win a couple of

795
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 4: those games? But then when it's not working, like this one,

796
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:06,640
Speaker 4: or when you need a little more because the defense

797
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:10,120
Speaker 4: isn't happening like this one. Now you let Josh put

798
00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:13,879
Speaker 4: the cape on and go play Superman. Could you win

799
00:39:14,040 --> 00:39:16,759
Speaker 4: two easy games with James Cook and let Josh be

800
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 4: Josh for the other two games rather than four?

801
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 1: Could he do it for like two of those or

802
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 1: one and at least get to the super Bowl? Okay?

803
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,880
Speaker 4: I can maybe buy that formula, especially in this year's AFC,

804
00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,759
Speaker 4: So maybe that's the hope. I just don't know if

805
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:34,600
Speaker 4: Buffalo really knows when to do that or when not to.

806
00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 4: And this should have been a game well you know,

807
00:39:38,080 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 4: I was on James Cook over, so of course I

808
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 4: think should but it should have been a game for

809
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 4: Cook and just running all over them, and they needed

810
00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:46,239
Speaker 4: Allen to be Superman and he still can't.

811
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:48,959
Speaker 1: It turns out, Yeah, nine to four.

812
00:39:49,040 --> 00:39:50,799
Speaker 2: They sit at the five seed right now, and a

813
00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:53,359
Speaker 2: big game because they're at New England, as we talked

814
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 2: about next week. The week after, they're at Cleveland, which

815
00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:59,600
Speaker 2: at Cleveland never the easiest thing to do, even though

816
00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 2: I guess the Titans won there today and then they

817
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:05,480
Speaker 2: faced the Eagles. So at the end at home against

818
00:40:05,480 --> 00:40:07,880
Speaker 2: the Jets, which pretty much an automatic win. But you

819
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 2: got to get to that Jet game, and you know,

820
00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:12,239
Speaker 2: if today would have been a loss, there would have

821
00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:14,719
Speaker 2: been some damn pressure there in the next few weeks.

822
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:17,319
Speaker 2: But I feel like a little bit, a little bit

823
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 2: of that is off, even though that AFC field is

824
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:24,720
Speaker 2: still really, really, really tight and they have a massive

825
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,440
Speaker 2: division game coming up with New England, which would have

826
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:30,800
Speaker 2: mattered no matter what. But with the win, I feel

827
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 2: like it's a little bit of a different story. Obviously

828
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:36,320
Speaker 2: looking for revenge. That's gonna be the game of the

829
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 2: week next week. A lot of big spreads, but to me,

830
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:41,200
Speaker 2: that's the one to look forward to. The other thing

831
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 2: and I saw this from next Gen Stats today, Christian

832
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:47,919
Speaker 2: Benford not only would the play but sixteen matchups against

833
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 2: Jamar Chase, two targets, zero receptions, one pick six. I

834
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 2: mean t Higgins went off two touchdowns. He was all

835
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:58,560
Speaker 2: over the place. But that is a massively important job

836
00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 2: for you know, one of the best receivers in the

837
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 2: game to kind of just eliminate him, which is really

838
00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:07,799
Speaker 2: really helped in this one. But yeah, that's what I

839
00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 2: take here is the Bengals seem to lose the same

840
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 2: game every time. I believe they're four and seven when

841
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 2: they score like thirty three plus points in the last

842
00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:20,480
Speaker 2: eleven games. Absolutely, truthfully, just ridiculous how this keeps happening.

843
00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:24,800
Speaker 2: And Cincinnati's defense played a great first two and a

844
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 2: half quarters or so, like they were really keeping Buffalo

845
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:32,120
Speaker 2: at bay. But Josh Allen's throws in this game, some

846
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,560
Speaker 2: of those throws between defenders on the run, like he

847
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:39,840
Speaker 2: was an absolute magician. And that's why I said what

848
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 2: I said. I feel like this was one of the

849
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,080
Speaker 2: best all round games I've seen him play.

850
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, this was probably the most fun game of the

851
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 4: day too. And then again, I'm a sucker for a

852
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 4: snow game. But just if that game is my aesthetic,

853
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 4: you know, a shootout back and forth, two superstar quarterbacks.

854
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 4: Give us Bills Bengals out year, give it to us

855
00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:01,160
Speaker 4: again in the playoffs, like if Buffalo loses out, just

856
00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 4: put it on an exhibition. Give us like a Thursday night,

857
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 4: January Bills Bengals game. I'll watch it anyway.

858
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:09,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll love Vanderbilt if they would have gotten the

859
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:10,759
Speaker 2: game this week, and we might as well just throw

860
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,680
Speaker 2: Bills and Bengals out there, all right, My question for

861
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:17,360
Speaker 2: you is, if the interception doesn't happen the first Burrow interception,

862
00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:19,839
Speaker 2: I feel like this game might go under. I feel

863
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 2: like that. Yeah, so that was kind of I think.

864
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:27,640
Speaker 4: The Bills still were slowly trending toward winning the game.

865
00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:30,520
Speaker 4: I don't think that the Bills cover either way, but

866
00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:31,760
Speaker 4: I think it goes under.

867
00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:33,800
Speaker 1: But the Bills still look like they're.

868
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:36,319
Speaker 4: Gonna like they not that not a momentum thing, but

869
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 4: it seemed like they had found some answers and we're

870
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:40,719
Speaker 4: pretty well in control there. But yeah, that swung in

871
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 4: a hurry when that happened.

872
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:45,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you had mentioned in Cincinnati now thirteen to

873
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:49,280
Speaker 2: one to win the division, So still there but far away.

874
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:52,680
Speaker 2: All right, four games, we're gonna do some short recaps

875
00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:54,239
Speaker 2: and then we're just gonna do scores, and then we're

876
00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 2: gonna get to some bets. Pittsburgh Baltimore. Pittsburgh wins the

877
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:01,760
Speaker 2: game twenty seven, two and a half point Dogs total

878
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:05,960
Speaker 2: goes over forty three and a half. Just another terrible

879
00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 2: first half from the Ravens offensively, and that's kind of

880
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:11,800
Speaker 2: the center of my notes because I feel like without

881
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:16,080
Speaker 2: that terrible start, there's a different finish. They get the

882
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:18,799
Speaker 2: touchdown right before the end of the half, but up

883
00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:22,719
Speaker 2: to that point three total points, and they completely go

884
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,560
Speaker 2: away from the rushing attack, which I had heard people

885
00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:27,879
Speaker 2: being like, hey, listen, if Derek Henry doesn't get twenty

886
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,399
Speaker 2: carries and this and that in this game, everyone's got

887
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 2: to be fired. Well, most of that didn't happen in

888
00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:36,000
Speaker 2: the first half, and then all of a sudden things

889
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:38,680
Speaker 2: started to change a little bit. Lamar started to run

890
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:41,280
Speaker 2: in the second half, you started to give Henry more carries.

891
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:45,080
Speaker 2: Like I feel like somebody told somebody something in the

892
00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:48,399
Speaker 2: locker room that turned this around, because starting the second half,

893
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:51,040
Speaker 2: a lot of these things were very different. Here's the

894
00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:53,839
Speaker 2: stat where I'll give you the today's first half team

895
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:56,680
Speaker 2: total for Baltimore was thirteen and a half. They score ten,

896
00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:59,600
Speaker 2: so they don't get there. Baltimore in thirteen games is

897
00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:04,839
Speaker 2: one twelve to their first half team total. Absolutely ridiculous,

898
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:08,759
Speaker 2: like penally ridiculous to have that quarterback that run game

899
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 2: and go over your first half team total once, Like,

900
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 2: you can't win games that way if you're just gonna

901
00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:18,240
Speaker 2: be trailing or not scoring in the first two quarters

902
00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 2: of every damn game. So something has to change there.

903
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 2: But if you look at the final score, you look

904
00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:27,319
Speaker 2: at the box I'll give you the numbers. Baltimore does

905
00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:31,720
Speaker 2: end with forty Russi attempts for two hundred and seventeen yards.

906
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:33,719
Speaker 2: So if you just look at the box score, you

907
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:36,360
Speaker 2: literally have no idea what I'm talking about. But I

908
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:38,919
Speaker 2: promise you it didn't look that way the entire way.

909
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 2: And then you look at the other side. Pittsburgh wins

910
00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:44,800
Speaker 2: the game, but seventeen for thirty four on the ground,

911
00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:48,759
Speaker 2: like very different styles. There were some wacky interceptions, there

912
00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 2: were some whacky non interceptions with the Rogers play, but overall,

913
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 2: I'll just say this, Pittsburgh looked efficient. No turnovers, no

914
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:01,719
Speaker 2: sacks on Rogers when both those things happen. Gonna be

915
00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:04,799
Speaker 2: hard to beat Pittsburgh under Tomlin when they don't turn

916
00:45:04,800 --> 00:45:07,720
Speaker 2: over the ball thirty nine and five straight up, thirty

917
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 2: seven and seven against the spread, like ridiculous, and that's

918
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:14,640
Speaker 2: Tomlin ball. Like it's hard to beat them when they

919
00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:15,359
Speaker 2: don't mess up.

920
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:19,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, I had coming into this game. I had Steelers

921
00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 4: trends sixteen to one, which is like the biggest trends

922
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:26,239
Speaker 4: landslide I've ever seen in my beat labs, and I

923
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:28,480
Speaker 4: still didn't take the Steelers because I was like, man,

924
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 4: I don't know, I think the Tomlin voodoo might finally

925
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:33,479
Speaker 4: be dead. It only happened like three of the last

926
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:36,320
Speaker 4: nine games that they'd actually covered. And you know, we

927
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:39,600
Speaker 4: love the underdog in this matchup is like my favorite

928
00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:41,760
Speaker 4: trend in all of football. I just bet it blind

929
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:45,000
Speaker 4: every year. I still didn't do it. Apparently, just do

930
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:47,640
Speaker 4: it like it's it's not dead until they put dirt

931
00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:50,400
Speaker 4: on the grave, I guess, because look, the Ravens were

932
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:51,680
Speaker 4: the better team in this game.

933
00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 1: You mentioned like the weird wonky bounces or whatever. Yeah,

934
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:56,840
Speaker 1: that's what happens in this stupid.

935
00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 4: Rivalry for the Steelers every time you just take the

936
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:03,400
Speaker 4: underd I thought the Ravens were the better team. They

937
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:05,279
Speaker 4: had over one hundred yards more offense, they had nine

938
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:07,879
Speaker 4: more first downs. Out of the story was red zone.

939
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 4: They lost the game in the red zone. They moved

940
00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:12,280
Speaker 4: the ball, they got to the red zone. They cannot

941
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:13,800
Speaker 4: score in the red zone. That has been a problem

942
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:16,200
Speaker 4: all season for them, and for a while they were

943
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:19,080
Speaker 4: two of six in the red zone. First drive of

944
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:22,200
Speaker 4: the game, long good Baltimore drive settle for a field

945
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:24,480
Speaker 4: goal in the red zone. That's where it started, that's

946
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:27,600
Speaker 4: where it ended. Fourth quarter, two field goals in the

947
00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 4: red zone. Then to end the game, twelve plays, seventy yards.

948
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:34,680
Speaker 4: You get down to the eight turnover and downs in

949
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:38,040
Speaker 4: the red zone. They cannot convert in the red zone

950
00:46:38,160 --> 00:46:40,759
Speaker 4: and they lose by five. You get one touchdown out

951
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:42,840
Speaker 4: of there, and it's a different story. And they're the

952
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 4: better team. They had the better numbers here when you

953
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:48,680
Speaker 4: see all those little like fancy charts on Twitter, were

954
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:50,600
Speaker 4: we the better team that the Ravens are going to

955
00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 4: be ahead, I promise you on any of those metrics.

956
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 4: But Mike Tomlins got the voodoo and did it again.

957
00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:59,360
Speaker 4: And you said the Ravens shouldn't look this way with

958
00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:03,560
Speaker 4: Lamar j Well do they have Lamar Jackson, Because here's

959
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:06,400
Speaker 4: a number. Since he came back in Week nine, Lamar

960
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:10,480
Speaker 4: has a negative EPA per play since returning, an EPA

961
00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:13,640
Speaker 4: plus completetion number expected. He ranks twenty fourth out of

962
00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:15,759
Speaker 4: thirty first in quarterbacks.

963
00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:15,760
Speaker 1: In that span.

964
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 4: Just for a reference, here are his peers in that list,

965
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:23,760
Speaker 4: Gino Smith, Bowen, Nixon, cam Ward. That's what Lamar Jackson

966
00:47:23,800 --> 00:47:26,360
Speaker 4: is right now. The only solace if you're a Ravens

967
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:29,360
Speaker 4: fan is the guy dead last on that list is

968
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:32,160
Speaker 4: the other quarterback in this game, Aaron Rodgers. So it's

969
00:47:32,160 --> 00:47:34,640
Speaker 4: not like Pittsburgh's gonna run away with this thing. Although

970
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:37,920
Speaker 4: right now, Steelers are about two thirds likely to win

971
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 4: the division if they just win that Week eighteen Baltimore game.

972
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:45,400
Speaker 4: Everything else before that doesn't matter. Beat Baltimore, they go

973
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:49,160
Speaker 4: ninety eight percent. Like that game is now one thousand

974
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 4: percent must win for Baltimore. But if they win that

975
00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:54,240
Speaker 4: one right now, the Ravens are about thirty one percent

976
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:56,800
Speaker 4: to win the division. That's their only path in now.

977
00:47:57,080 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 4: If they beat Pittsburgh, even just that one game, they

978
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:03,480
Speaker 4: go fifty six percent. So this was the huge leverage

979
00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:07,399
Speaker 4: game today all likelihood, that's still gonna be the huge

980
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:09,879
Speaker 4: leverage game in Week eighteen. That's why that's probably gonna

981
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:12,560
Speaker 4: be that Sunday night game. But Baltimore's got work to

982
00:48:12,560 --> 00:48:14,960
Speaker 4: do before that. They go at the Bengals next week,

983
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 4: who we just talked a lot about, then Patriots, then

984
00:48:17,560 --> 00:48:20,400
Speaker 4: at Packers. They might not get to the Steelers game

985
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:22,719
Speaker 4: and still be alive if they're not careful here. The

986
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 4: way that they're playing Bengals, Patriots, Packers. Guess what they

987
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:29,840
Speaker 4: got the worst quarterback in all three of those games,

988
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 4: the way that Lamar Jackson's playing right now, And I

989
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:35,040
Speaker 4: don't think it's close right now. So if they can't

990
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:38,200
Speaker 4: get something better and their defense looked much more like

991
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:40,959
Speaker 4: early season Ravens today than the one that we thought

992
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:43,360
Speaker 4: was getting better, there are a lot of problems with

993
00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 4: the Ravens right now. I almost feel like like a

994
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 4: mercy killing to their season might be a kinder ending

995
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:52,839
Speaker 4: than this, like fake hope of what.

996
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 1: The Ravens should be.

997
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 4: It's not happening, man, Like it's not there in this

998
00:48:58,040 --> 00:48:59,759
Speaker 4: game against a Steelers team that.

999
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:02,880
Speaker 1: Like, can we just give up both of them? Like

1000
00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:05,320
Speaker 1: put the Bengals in at least they're interesting.

1001
00:49:05,760 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 4: We don't want to see both these teams make us sad,

1002
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 4: like they both seem like they need to go, but

1003
00:49:10,880 --> 00:49:13,359
Speaker 4: they couldn't both lose today, so the Steelers had to win.

1004
00:49:13,440 --> 00:49:16,239
Speaker 1: I guess that's the takeaway.

1005
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:18,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess my question back to you would be,

1006
00:49:18,840 --> 00:49:21,200
Speaker 2: what do we think the problem with Lamar is? Like

1007
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:24,960
Speaker 2: he's hurt, he's been hurt, he was hurt, But I

1008
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:27,280
Speaker 2: feel like first half Lamar in this game and second

1009
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 2: half Lamar were different quarterbacks. Like even when he was

1010
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:33,279
Speaker 2: running in the second half, I saw him run and

1011
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:36,799
Speaker 2: I said to myself, well, this wasn't Lamar I'm used to.

1012
00:49:37,080 --> 00:49:39,760
Speaker 2: This wasn't the Lamar from two years ago. Like there's

1013
00:49:39,800 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 2: a step missing now. That could be he's getting a

1014
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:46,800
Speaker 2: little older. I'll say that very quietly. But that also

1015
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:50,200
Speaker 2: could be that. That also could be he's injured. So

1016
00:49:50,520 --> 00:49:53,200
Speaker 2: there's different ways to attack this. But I do feel

1017
00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:56,080
Speaker 2: like something clicked in the second half that was like,

1018
00:49:56,760 --> 00:49:59,920
Speaker 2: f this, like I gotta do something, like we gotta go.

1019
00:50:00,680 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 2: And I also felt like it was Keaton Mitchell, it

1020
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 2: was Derek Henn. Like they did a little bit of

1021
00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:10,360
Speaker 2: a better job having a more balanced offense. It seemed

1022
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:12,480
Speaker 2: like there was a connection there which hadn't been. There

1023
00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:15,200
Speaker 2: was a Flowers which looked good today and now some

1024
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:17,279
Speaker 2: of that can be Pittsburgh Secondary. There's a lot of

1025
00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 2: things kind of going on there in this game. But

1026
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:23,800
Speaker 2: I'll say turning the page to Pittsburgh for one second.

1027
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:29,360
Speaker 2: Next week, Miami at home on Monday Night football. Pittsburgh

1028
00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:33,000
Speaker 2: does unbelievable historically on Monday Night football, especially at home.

1029
00:50:33,040 --> 00:50:36,560
Speaker 2: I believe twenty two to one ridiculous numbers under Tomlin.

1030
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:40,759
Speaker 2: But this is a white hot Miami Dolphin team, Like

1031
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:43,120
Speaker 2: this is a This is a Dolphin team that is

1032
00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:45,840
Speaker 2: rolling through bad teams and then all of a sudden

1033
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:49,799
Speaker 2: is going to face a bad team, mediocre team like

1034
00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:53,360
Speaker 2: Miami's in this game. So this is a to me.

1035
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:57,160
Speaker 2: With Baltimore going to Sincy and Pittsburgh having this Miami game,

1036
00:50:57,320 --> 00:51:00,120
Speaker 2: this is a big game for Pittsburgh because if they

1037
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 2: happen to, you know, drop this game that they're favored in,

1038
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:06,719
Speaker 2: they go at Detroit and at Cleveland before that Baltimore game.

1039
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:09,359
Speaker 2: So this is a big one for Pittsburgh. And if

1040
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:11,960
Speaker 2: you look at playoff odds, divisions, et cetera, all the

1041
00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:14,600
Speaker 2: odds will match each other because neither of these teams

1042
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:17,839
Speaker 2: are doing anything without winning the division. But you still

1043
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:19,680
Speaker 2: gotta win games, like you still got to match up

1044
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:24,040
Speaker 2: with each other. Now, granted, because of the situation they

1045
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 2: face each other and this this and that, like going

1046
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 2: one game either way kind of doesn't matter, right, Like

1047
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:32,120
Speaker 2: if you're one game up, that last game kind of

1048
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:35,759
Speaker 2: decides it anyway. But their schedules are kind of fascinating

1049
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:37,680
Speaker 2: to end the year they are.

1050
00:51:37,800 --> 00:51:40,279
Speaker 4: And again we just talked about the Bengals, but man,

1051
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 4: the Bengals would be so interesting right now if they

1052
00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:45,319
Speaker 4: had just finished the job in Buffalo and gotten the win,

1053
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:48,279
Speaker 4: they'd be I think only one game back now and

1054
00:51:48,360 --> 00:51:51,400
Speaker 4: just like very much in the mix because every schedule

1055
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,040
Speaker 4: game we read for both Ravens and Steelers, like, man,

1056
00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 4: they could lose that one.

1057
00:51:55,160 --> 00:51:56,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, they could lose that one too.

1058
00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:59,120
Speaker 4: It's like this division is gonna just keep being a

1059
00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:02,000
Speaker 4: conversation everyone because none of these teams are good enough

1060
00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:02,680
Speaker 4: to run away with it.

1061
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 1: Lamar.

1062
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:05,839
Speaker 4: I do think it's just a lot of injuries right now.

1063
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:07,920
Speaker 4: Like to be clear, when I say that those three

1064
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:10,360
Speaker 4: teams are the clearly better quarterback, I'm saying compared to

1065
00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:13,880
Speaker 4: right now. The Lamar right now is not the usual Lamar.

1066
00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:16,319
Speaker 4: I'm not making a career statement about him. I will

1067
00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:19,640
Speaker 4: make plenty of those other times. Right now, he's not Lamar.

1068
00:52:20,080 --> 00:52:21,880
Speaker 4: I think it's just a lot of injuries. He's missed

1069
00:52:21,880 --> 00:52:24,439
Speaker 4: at least want to practice I think every week since

1070
00:52:24,520 --> 00:52:27,279
Speaker 4: returning just doesn't look right. I got a lot of

1071
00:52:27,360 --> 00:52:29,239
Speaker 4: questions about Todd Munkin too. We give him a lot

1072
00:52:29,280 --> 00:52:31,399
Speaker 4: of credit Proba good. The offense has been the last

1073
00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:34,600
Speaker 4: couple of years. I just feel like he has a

1074
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:37,200
Speaker 4: plan of how to beat you and hasn't had a

1075
00:52:37,200 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 4: lot of Plan B and C options for this team.

1076
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:41,960
Speaker 4: And I have not been impressed with what else can

1077
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,239
Speaker 4: you come up with? Where Derrick Henry isn't quite what

1078
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 4: he was and Lamar isn't quite what he was. You've

1079
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:49,880
Speaker 4: got this optimized plan for when things are looking great,

1080
00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:52,360
Speaker 4: but what are your backup options? And I haven't been

1081
00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:55,520
Speaker 4: impressed with what Monkins come up with. And yeah, the

1082
00:52:55,520 --> 00:52:59,680
Speaker 4: Steelers did enough to hold them in check. And you

1083
00:52:59,760 --> 00:53:01,719
Speaker 4: mentioned the Monday night game next week just for a

1084
00:53:01,719 --> 00:53:02,360
Speaker 4: little preview.

1085
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:03,360
Speaker 1: We're moving that way.

1086
00:53:03,640 --> 00:53:06,040
Speaker 4: We'll get to our Monday preview in a little bet,

1087
00:53:06,239 --> 00:53:09,080
Speaker 4: but I'll be getting to the Steelers Dolphins game you

1088
00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:11,120
Speaker 4: mentioned in Hot Red as well in the bet.

1089
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:15,160
Speaker 2: We also are looking at one of the more fascinating

1090
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:20,799
Speaker 2: AFC offseasons. If the Bengals Chiefs Ravens don't make the playoffs,

1091
00:53:21,160 --> 00:53:24,040
Speaker 2: like changes are coming. And I think the Monkin thing

1092
00:53:24,120 --> 00:53:28,919
Speaker 2: is interesting because Baltimore's offense at times looks absolutely dead,

1093
00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:33,120
Speaker 2: and that is something on the coordinator and to before

1094
00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 2: we move on to the next game, I'll reiterate the

1095
00:53:35,640 --> 00:53:37,520
Speaker 2: stats since two thousand and five, the dog in the

1096
00:53:37,560 --> 00:53:40,640
Speaker 2: series is now thirty and twelve against the spread in

1097
00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:43,320
Speaker 2: the regular season when the lines three or more, twenty

1098
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:46,880
Speaker 2: six and five against the spread, and regular season the

1099
00:53:46,960 --> 00:53:52,319
Speaker 2: underdog when Tomlin faces Hardball twenty five and seven patently ridiculous.

1100
00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 2: Anything else.

1101
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:56,560
Speaker 4: When we did our best Bets episode, I literally had

1102
00:53:56,719 --> 00:54:00,440
Speaker 4: Steelers ats Steelers, money line Steelers Division my last one,

1103
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 4: and I had time, and I just I couldn't talk

1104
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:05,600
Speaker 4: myself into it.

1105
00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:07,920
Speaker 1: I knew the trend, it's my favorite trend.

1106
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 4: I knew we would be talking about it, and I

1107
00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 4: just I couldn't get there because I stared at it.

1108
00:54:12,719 --> 00:54:14,719
Speaker 4: I didn't like the matchup. I didn't like some of

1109
00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:17,759
Speaker 4: the personnel groupings. It just didn't look right. And we

1110
00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:20,480
Speaker 4: talked with this the best best episode that here, I

1111
00:54:20,520 --> 00:54:22,120
Speaker 4: am betting matchups, not trends.

1112
00:54:22,120 --> 00:54:25,319
Speaker 1: Well, guess what if you just bet Steelers.

1113
00:54:24,840 --> 00:54:28,799
Speaker 4: Versus Ravens underdog, Jacksonville versus the Colts, because it's all

1114
00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:32,400
Speaker 4: as them Burrow as an underdog. Like all the trends

1115
00:54:32,440 --> 00:54:34,160
Speaker 4: just hit today, I could have just skipped the prep

1116
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:36,240
Speaker 4: for the entire week and just bet the same trends

1117
00:54:36,280 --> 00:54:39,040
Speaker 4: I bet every other time. This was like the trendiest

1118
00:54:39,040 --> 00:54:42,480
Speaker 4: Sunday in a while. Cassandra Future in the comments says,

1119
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:46,440
Speaker 4: there's a Pittsburgh minus three minus one twenty at DraftKings.

1120
00:54:46,440 --> 00:54:49,279
Speaker 4: It's not a Tomlin number or spot. But are we

1121
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:52,720
Speaker 4: really buying the Dolphins? I will say this, speaking of trends,

1122
00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:56,239
Speaker 4: I have a trend in the system of Steelers after

1123
00:54:56,320 --> 00:55:00,400
Speaker 4: beating the Ravens, Steelers after losing the Ravens, and basically

1124
00:55:00,440 --> 00:55:03,560
Speaker 4: what you want is you want the bounce back and

1125
00:55:03,640 --> 00:55:06,680
Speaker 4: you don't want the letdown spot. When they lose to

1126
00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:09,319
Speaker 4: the Ravens, they're really good the next week. When they

1127
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:11,719
Speaker 4: beat the Ravens, they often have a letdown spot the

1128
00:55:11,760 --> 00:55:14,399
Speaker 4: next week. I think it's like a two thirds cover

1129
00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:17,440
Speaker 4: rate or two thirds covered against rate in either spot.

1130
00:55:17,520 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 4: So it will be interesting. They can be very Steelers

1131
00:55:21,320 --> 00:55:24,160
Speaker 4: to get an ugly Cagy win that they still get

1132
00:55:24,160 --> 00:55:26,359
Speaker 4: over the line with but don't cover a spread there.

1133
00:55:26,480 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 4: So yeah, I guess maybe I'm giving away a bit

1134
00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:31,080
Speaker 4: of the hot read angle, but I will not be

1135
00:55:31,120 --> 00:55:32,200
Speaker 4: on a side in that one.

1136
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:33,719
Speaker 1: We'll be going a different direction when.

1137
00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:36,759
Speaker 2: We get there. Yeah, I think we all know. All right,

1138
00:55:36,840 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 2: let's keep going here. Jacksonville wins thirty six to nineteen

1139
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:43,880
Speaker 2: against the Colts, covers the plus two and a half

1140
00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:46,640
Speaker 2: on the close till it goes over forty three and

1141
00:55:46,680 --> 00:55:50,120
Speaker 2: a half. Sorry, here is, unfortunately, something we've kind of

1142
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:53,280
Speaker 2: been teasing throughout the show, Daniel Jones's injury. I believe

1143
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:57,319
Speaker 2: Achilles stare is what was the news. You could tell

1144
00:55:57,360 --> 00:56:00,480
Speaker 2: he knew actually right away by how mad he was

1145
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:04,880
Speaker 2: throwing the helmet pissed off. Also, for everybody who watches

1146
00:56:04,880 --> 00:56:09,279
Speaker 2: football out there, when you get hurt and it's not

1147
00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:13,120
Speaker 2: caused by someone else, the non contact it's always worse.

1148
00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:16,279
Speaker 2: Like I always feel like the contact injuries for some

1149
00:56:16,520 --> 00:56:21,120
Speaker 2: reason just aren't as brutal long term. And when you're

1150
00:56:21,200 --> 00:56:23,320
Speaker 2: kind of doing it on your own with the fractured fibula,

1151
00:56:23,640 --> 00:56:27,120
Speaker 2: it was just really really bad. And if you're looking

1152
00:56:27,200 --> 00:56:30,359
Speaker 2: at next year, and who knows the situation next year,

1153
00:56:30,600 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 2: But he's right up against the week one timeline probably

1154
00:56:34,480 --> 00:56:37,480
Speaker 2: with the tear, so we will see big offseason ahead.

1155
00:56:37,480 --> 00:56:40,000
Speaker 2: But and Daniel Jones done for the year now, I

1156
00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:43,479
Speaker 2: think the question is you've gottenn eight and five Colts team,

1157
00:56:44,680 --> 00:56:47,799
Speaker 2: and you've got Riley Leonard. I would guess. I mean

1158
00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:52,200
Speaker 2: Anthony Richardson's still sitting on IR with a orbital bone

1159
00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:53,760
Speaker 2: towel injury.

1160
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:58,959
Speaker 4: I just wore a game from a resistance snapping into

1161
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:01,680
Speaker 4: his face. That's where ran on the Anthony Richardson experience.

1162
00:57:01,760 --> 00:57:05,279
Speaker 2: By the way, Yeah, probably his best completion percentage as

1163
00:57:05,320 --> 00:57:09,040
Speaker 2: well as during that banned exercise. But all I'll say

1164
00:57:09,120 --> 00:57:12,680
Speaker 2: is this, the Colts have to probably turn around and

1165
00:57:12,719 --> 00:57:15,640
Speaker 2: figure something out to do because you need someone who

1166
00:57:15,719 --> 00:57:19,120
Speaker 2: understands the playbook. You're on a short week here, and

1167
00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:21,439
Speaker 2: not only a short week, you're on a short week

1168
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,640
Speaker 2: in the sense that you're going to Seattle. So you're

1169
00:57:23,640 --> 00:57:28,160
Speaker 2: going to one of the more complete teams in the NFL. Real, real,

1170
00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:31,840
Speaker 2: nasty defense and one of the best white Like it's

1171
00:57:31,880 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 2: just not the situation you'd want to go into, especially

1172
00:57:35,880 --> 00:57:40,440
Speaker 2: as Seattle. Then you've got San Francisco, Jacksonville at Houston.

1173
00:57:40,720 --> 00:57:43,400
Speaker 2: Strength to schedule. It is the toughest in the NFL

1174
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:46,240
Speaker 2: entering this week and the toughest in the NFL entering

1175
00:57:46,280 --> 00:57:48,920
Speaker 2: next week. Like nothing will change because all four of

1176
00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:53,200
Speaker 2: those teams are absolutely rolling right now, so the timing

1177
00:57:53,200 --> 00:57:55,480
Speaker 2: could not be worse. And also just if you want

1178
00:57:55,520 --> 00:57:58,240
Speaker 2: to take a step back here, it's kind of sad

1179
00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:02,439
Speaker 2: like Ballor decides to go in, you get Sauce gets hurt,

1180
00:58:02,760 --> 00:58:06,560
Speaker 2: like everything seemed to have gone wrong with the right

1181
00:58:06,640 --> 00:58:10,920
Speaker 2: moves to try to contend this year. And from the

1182
00:58:10,960 --> 00:58:15,280
Speaker 2: Colts standpoint, I think it's over. Like I just don't see.

1183
00:58:15,360 --> 00:58:18,480
Speaker 2: I mean, Russell Wilson, like, what are your options right

1184
00:58:18,520 --> 00:58:21,320
Speaker 2: now in terms of trying to find somebody to run

1185
00:58:21,360 --> 00:58:24,560
Speaker 2: the offense? And Riley Leonard listen, eighteen to twenty nine

1186
00:58:25,680 --> 00:58:28,120
Speaker 2: hit a rushing touchdown through interscith like it wasn't awful,

1187
00:58:28,400 --> 00:58:31,720
Speaker 2: but he's not winning any of those games. So I

1188
00:58:31,760 --> 00:58:34,840
Speaker 2: think Stichen and the whole crew need to figure out

1189
00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:35,760
Speaker 2: a plan right now.

1190
00:58:36,920 --> 00:58:39,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you maybe hope to get Joe Flacco,

1191
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:42,520
Speaker 4: like with the Bengals, let Joe Flacco go because Broil's

1192
00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:45,280
Speaker 4: back and Flacco is You're gonna be familiar with the offense.

1193
00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:47,400
Speaker 4: Like I think that's the hope, But I'm not sure

1194
00:58:47,400 --> 00:58:49,880
Speaker 4: why the Bengals would let him go. I guess it's

1195
00:58:49,920 --> 00:58:52,480
Speaker 4: not really an AFC arrival like the Bengals aren't competing

1196
00:58:52,480 --> 00:58:54,600
Speaker 4: for the same spot as the Colts, but they would

1197
00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:56,320
Speaker 4: maybe have to face them in a playoff game if

1198
00:58:56,320 --> 00:58:56,680
Speaker 4: they're there.

1199
00:58:57,280 --> 00:58:59,280
Speaker 1: I don't know why they would let that happen. I'd

1200
00:58:59,280 --> 00:58:59,520
Speaker 1: love to.

1201
00:58:59,480 --> 00:59:02,400
Speaker 4: See James, you know, he's doing nothing these days, Like

1202
00:59:02,600 --> 00:59:05,120
Speaker 4: I'd love to see that in the offense. But I

1203
00:59:05,200 --> 00:59:08,280
Speaker 4: agree Riley Leonard didn't look terrible, but it's still a

1204
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:10,440
Speaker 4: rookie that's not supposed to be out there. He's the

1205
00:59:10,480 --> 00:59:13,000
Speaker 4: only Notre Dame left play in this season. But probably

1206
00:59:13,000 --> 00:59:16,600
Speaker 4: not good news in Indiana on either direction there. I

1207
00:59:16,640 --> 00:59:20,400
Speaker 4: think also for Jonathan Taylor offensive player of the year

1208
00:59:20,480 --> 00:59:23,680
Speaker 4: status in big trouble now. Jayson had a huge game

1209
00:59:23,720 --> 00:59:26,960
Speaker 4: today and look, frankly, this is why running backs are

1210
00:59:27,000 --> 00:59:32,120
Speaker 4: not MVPs because the quarterback getting hurt can destroy a team.

1211
00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:35,160
Speaker 4: Where Jonathan Taylor getting hurt and possibly being out a

1212
00:59:35,160 --> 00:59:37,000
Speaker 4: while to be like, all right, well the Colts are

1213
00:59:37,080 --> 00:59:39,200
Speaker 4: gonna be quite what the usual identity is, but we'll

1214
00:59:39,200 --> 00:59:42,280
Speaker 4: see what Daniel Jones can do. No like Daniel Jones out.

1215
00:59:42,440 --> 00:59:45,800
Speaker 4: It's cooked like it's done now. The Colts, by the odds,

1216
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:47,800
Speaker 4: are basically a coin flip to make the playoffs, but

1217
00:59:47,800 --> 00:59:51,240
Speaker 4: the odds are not factory in the quarterback situation. Jacksonville

1218
00:59:51,240 --> 00:59:54,280
Speaker 4: now ninety six percent, so they're basically in still the

1219
00:59:54,360 --> 00:59:57,080
Speaker 4: division up for grabs, but it feels like the division's

1220
00:59:57,120 --> 00:59:58,920
Speaker 4: up for grabs between the two other teams now not

1221
00:59:58,960 --> 01:00:02,880
Speaker 4: the Colts meeymore like Houston and Jacksonville just vuying for

1222
01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:05,840
Speaker 4: probably both in the playoffs, but which one's gonna get

1223
01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:09,120
Speaker 4: the home game into the playoffs. The game myself not

1224
01:00:09,200 --> 01:00:12,840
Speaker 4: super interesting basically is the quarterback injury. But I agree,

1225
01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:15,760
Speaker 4: I only the Colts are done, but I don't know

1226
01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:18,320
Speaker 4: that they have a lot of options here. They almost like,

1227
01:00:18,600 --> 01:00:22,440
Speaker 4: if I'm them, I'm not winning in Seattle with this situation,

1228
01:00:23,120 --> 01:00:26,919
Speaker 4: either with Riley Leonard or whatever veteran quarterback. Like, I'm

1229
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:30,480
Speaker 4: almost just punting that game. Rest some guys and get

1230
01:00:30,480 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 4: a healthy take the second bye week, and get whatever

1231
01:00:33,200 --> 01:00:36,000
Speaker 4: my quarterback is. If it's gonna be Riley, get him

1232
01:00:36,000 --> 01:00:38,080
Speaker 4: out there and give him a shot to learn on

1233
01:00:38,200 --> 01:00:40,440
Speaker 4: the go. If it's gonna be a veteran, go get

1234
01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:43,480
Speaker 4: him this week, and you like use that game to

1235
01:00:43,560 --> 01:00:45,520
Speaker 4: be like, all right, we're probably not gonna win this game.

1236
01:00:45,600 --> 01:00:46,520
Speaker 1: Let's take a shot.

1237
01:00:46,760 --> 01:00:49,160
Speaker 4: But let's use that as a get right spot to

1238
01:00:49,200 --> 01:00:51,840
Speaker 4: get some injuries healthy, and let's try to figure out

1239
01:00:51,880 --> 01:00:54,640
Speaker 4: the quarterback spot because we're gonna have three more tries

1240
01:00:54,680 --> 01:00:57,040
Speaker 4: after that to make a push. And they don't need

1241
01:00:57,040 --> 01:00:59,960
Speaker 4: to beat Seattle. That's a non conference, they're ten points.

1242
01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:04,000
Speaker 4: It's probably not gonna happen. So can they steal a

1243
01:01:04,040 --> 01:01:07,960
Speaker 4: couple of games after that? And I guess too do like, well,

1244
01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:10,280
Speaker 4: what's even the point, Like can they do that to

1245
01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:13,439
Speaker 4: steal a playoff spot? And like, ruin our first game

1246
01:01:13,480 --> 01:01:16,360
Speaker 4: on a Saturday playoff is basically really asking like nobody

1247
01:01:16,440 --> 01:01:19,480
Speaker 4: really wants this anymore. And it's just a bumber for

1248
01:01:19,520 --> 01:01:21,880
Speaker 4: the Colts because they went from the story of the

1249
01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:25,640
Speaker 4: season September October and the huge trade of the deadline

1250
01:01:26,000 --> 01:01:28,200
Speaker 4: and it just couldn't really have gone any worse at

1251
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:30,920
Speaker 4: those point for them, and it sucks. It's a huge bumber,

1252
01:01:31,440 --> 01:01:33,480
Speaker 4: And yeah, there's just not much more to it.

1253
01:01:34,680 --> 01:01:36,640
Speaker 2: I love the idea of Jamis. I hadn't thought of

1254
01:01:36,680 --> 01:01:38,360
Speaker 2: that since I was watching him on Fox that I

1255
01:01:38,360 --> 01:01:40,840
Speaker 2: forgot he wasn't retired. But I do love the I

1256
01:01:41,120 --> 01:01:42,840
Speaker 2: do love the idea of Jamis the One thing I

1257
01:01:42,880 --> 01:01:46,560
Speaker 2: will say about this game. It was pretty one sided

1258
01:01:46,600 --> 01:01:49,360
Speaker 2: and boring, but it really did turn on the game

1259
01:01:49,600 --> 01:01:52,840
Speaker 2: on the Jonathan Taylor fumble, Like I feel like after

1260
01:01:52,920 --> 01:01:55,440
Speaker 2: DJ gets hurt, if he doesn't fumble that ball, I mean,

1261
01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:57,760
Speaker 2: is there a chance they maybe stay in the game

1262
01:01:57,800 --> 01:02:00,479
Speaker 2: a little bit more versus this being a tiny point

1263
01:02:00,480 --> 01:02:05,440
Speaker 2: game the majority of the time. Possibly, But historically I'll

1264
01:02:05,480 --> 01:02:07,600
Speaker 2: give you this one as well. Colts have always struggled

1265
01:02:07,600 --> 01:02:10,600
Speaker 2: in this matchup now three and seventeen ats versus the

1266
01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:14,600
Speaker 2: Jags since twenty fifteen one in ten in Jacksonville. So

1267
01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:18,720
Speaker 2: rough all around, and the other thing, you know, having

1268
01:02:18,800 --> 01:02:21,000
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones doing the play action and kind of what

1269
01:02:21,160 --> 01:02:22,919
Speaker 2: was in the motion and the things that we're really

1270
01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:26,680
Speaker 2: making this offense go well. Since the Colts went forty

1271
01:02:26,720 --> 01:02:29,840
Speaker 2: one of three to twenty three in Berlin on the ground,

1272
01:02:30,480 --> 01:02:32,560
Speaker 2: they have a three game losing streak and they've gone

1273
01:02:32,640 --> 01:02:35,920
Speaker 2: twenty six of eighty nine, nineteen to fifty five, and

1274
01:02:36,080 --> 01:02:38,400
Speaker 2: nineteen to seventy four on the ground. You were talking

1275
01:02:38,400 --> 01:02:41,240
Speaker 2: about Jonathan Taylor, who's now the third option to win

1276
01:02:41,320 --> 01:02:45,200
Speaker 2: Offensive Player of the Year behind Nijigba at minus three seventy.

1277
01:02:45,600 --> 01:02:48,600
Speaker 2: Jamior Gibbs at six to one and Jonathan Taylor at

1278
01:02:48,600 --> 01:02:52,320
Speaker 2: plus eight point fifty. So these three weeks tanking the

1279
01:02:52,360 --> 01:02:56,360
Speaker 2: Colts and tanking the awards for this team, we will

1280
01:02:56,360 --> 01:02:59,200
Speaker 2: see how it goes. But the story here is the

1281
01:02:59,280 --> 01:03:03,640
Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaars. Like they win the game, They've still got

1282
01:03:03,760 --> 01:03:08,000
Speaker 2: at Indie and versus Tennessee on their schedule, and they've

1283
01:03:08,040 --> 01:03:10,880
Speaker 2: got the Jets this week. So I don't even really

1284
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:14,240
Speaker 2: care that Jacksonville has to go to Denver after the Jets.

1285
01:03:14,440 --> 01:03:17,040
Speaker 2: They have those three games still in the schedule. The

1286
01:03:17,120 --> 01:03:19,680
Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaguars are in the playoffs like they're gonna be

1287
01:03:19,760 --> 01:03:22,680
Speaker 2: there because they're they're just gonna win those games. Like

1288
01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:26,400
Speaker 2: even I don't I don't really see how Liam Cohen

1289
01:03:26,440 --> 01:03:30,880
Speaker 2: screws that up. The Jets aren't competitive, and if I'll

1290
01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:33,760
Speaker 2: say this, if you look at the spreads this week,

1291
01:03:34,400 --> 01:03:36,960
Speaker 2: next week may not be the most competitive games you've

1292
01:03:36,960 --> 01:03:39,000
Speaker 2: ever seen in your life. We have about like five

1293
01:03:39,120 --> 01:03:42,960
Speaker 2: or six double digit favorites like the slates and really insane.

1294
01:03:43,160 --> 01:03:47,840
Speaker 2: But just focusing on Jacksonville, the defense is nasty. The

1295
01:03:47,960 --> 01:03:51,040
Speaker 2: offense is just questionable, and that's all I can really say.

1296
01:03:51,320 --> 01:03:54,120
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence is the absolute roller coaster. I'm I don't

1297
01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:58,920
Speaker 2: see consistency week to week. It just feels like you

1298
01:03:59,040 --> 01:04:02,160
Speaker 2: don't like maybe this is part of we thought he

1299
01:04:02,280 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 2: had a number one wide receiver in BTJ, and BTJ

1300
01:04:05,600 --> 01:04:08,360
Speaker 2: continues to let all of us down and them down.

1301
01:04:08,640 --> 01:04:12,320
Speaker 2: There's drops. He's not getting as much separation. I just

1302
01:04:12,720 --> 01:04:15,040
Speaker 2: to me, I think the offense week to week is

1303
01:04:15,160 --> 01:04:18,480
Speaker 2: very questionable because I think there was so much conversation

1304
01:04:18,640 --> 01:04:24,040
Speaker 2: around Travis Hunter that once he disappeared, Jacoby Myers fantastic.

1305
01:04:24,120 --> 01:04:27,040
Speaker 2: That was a great acquisition because he's been great there.

1306
01:04:27,080 --> 01:04:29,880
Speaker 2: But other than that, it's been just kind of question

1307
01:04:30,000 --> 01:04:30,760
Speaker 2: marks week to week.

1308
01:04:32,000 --> 01:04:34,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean credit for Trevor Lawrence is kind of

1309
01:04:34,280 --> 01:04:36,480
Speaker 4: like a rainy game, and that normally has been like

1310
01:04:36,560 --> 01:04:40,640
Speaker 4: his nightmares. So at least he was a non factor today,

1311
01:04:40,680 --> 01:04:42,800
Speaker 4: which is better than he normally is in those sort

1312
01:04:42,840 --> 01:04:46,280
Speaker 4: of games. But yeah, it's very unreliable there. I'm still

1313
01:04:46,360 --> 01:04:50,160
Speaker 4: not really I'm a whelmed at best by Jacksonville. I'm

1314
01:04:50,200 --> 01:04:54,160
Speaker 4: looking at my power ratings right now, I have Jacksonville still.

1315
01:04:54,760 --> 01:04:57,720
Speaker 4: I have them nineteenth right now, so they might they're

1316
01:04:57,760 --> 01:05:00,080
Speaker 4: a playoff team, but I am not really given that

1317
01:05:00,200 --> 01:05:00,600
Speaker 4: much credit.

1318
01:05:00,640 --> 01:05:01,520
Speaker 1: Is still week to week.

1319
01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:05,040
Speaker 4: I'll tell you right now, there's no chance I'm laying

1320
01:05:05,080 --> 01:05:08,120
Speaker 4: ten or eleven with Jacksonville against anybody, let alone the

1321
01:05:08,200 --> 01:05:11,400
Speaker 4: Jets or whoever next week. So that's like three four

1322
01:05:11,440 --> 01:05:13,440
Speaker 4: points high. I'm going to be staring at the Jets

1323
01:05:13,440 --> 01:05:15,720
Speaker 4: all week trying to say, am I really betting the

1324
01:05:15,800 --> 01:05:18,520
Speaker 4: Jets again here? With whoever it is they'll have a quarterback,

1325
01:05:18,760 --> 01:05:21,280
Speaker 4: I'll have to figure it out. But Jacksonville as that

1326
01:05:21,320 --> 01:05:23,120
Speaker 4: big of a favorite. Trevor Lawrence is that big of

1327
01:05:23,120 --> 01:05:26,640
Speaker 4: a favorite, is definitely a giant red flag. Not something

1328
01:05:26,680 --> 01:05:29,160
Speaker 4: to invest in. But be either the Jets or the

1329
01:05:29,160 --> 01:05:31,560
Speaker 4: Titans in Jacksonville and you're in, like that's it. You're

1330
01:05:31,600 --> 01:05:34,800
Speaker 4: in the playoffs. Lose the other two and the division

1331
01:05:34,840 --> 01:05:37,320
Speaker 4: becomes a coin flip. So it comes down to what

1332
01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:38,280
Speaker 4: does Houston do then?

1333
01:05:38,320 --> 01:05:42,360
Speaker 1: But we talked about that. I still think so they go. Jets.

1334
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:43,680
Speaker 1: Titans are the book ends.

1335
01:05:43,680 --> 01:05:46,280
Speaker 4: But then it's at Denver at Indy, and unless the

1336
01:05:46,280 --> 01:05:49,600
Speaker 4: Colts totally implode, I think the Colts could get that game,

1337
01:05:49,640 --> 01:05:52,240
Speaker 4: and Denver will be a big favorite against Jacksonville and

1338
01:05:52,280 --> 01:05:55,240
Speaker 4: probably the right favorite there. So I still think the

1339
01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:58,840
Speaker 4: division is gettable. I think Houston can catch them and

1340
01:05:59,080 --> 01:06:02,840
Speaker 4: we'll see what that And to me, Jacksonville is a

1341
01:06:02,880 --> 01:06:07,120
Speaker 4: playoff team. But unless we get Jacksonville versus the AFC

1342
01:06:07,160 --> 01:06:10,720
Speaker 4: North team, which is unlikely. To me, that is probably

1343
01:06:10,760 --> 01:06:12,720
Speaker 4: the biggest faith that I'll be looking at in the playoffs.

1344
01:06:12,800 --> 01:06:15,120
Speaker 4: I'm just not ready to believe in this team and

1345
01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:16,080
Speaker 4: it's too inconsistent.

1346
01:06:16,160 --> 01:06:20,200
Speaker 2: Week two week the Jaguars sitting at minus one eighty

1347
01:06:20,320 --> 01:06:23,880
Speaker 2: five to win the division and a cool minus fifty

1348
01:06:24,000 --> 01:06:28,520
Speaker 2: thousand to make the playoffs. I said that correctly, minus

1349
01:06:28,560 --> 01:06:30,919
Speaker 2: fifty thousand. That so they are a lock. They will

1350
01:06:30,920 --> 01:06:33,880
Speaker 2: make the playoffs. A division up for grabs. Are you

1351
01:06:33,920 --> 01:06:34,600
Speaker 2: ready to keep roling?

1352
01:06:35,000 --> 01:06:35,440
Speaker 1: That's right?

1353
01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:40,720
Speaker 2: New Orleans wins the game twenty four to twenty over

1354
01:06:40,760 --> 01:06:42,960
Speaker 2: the Bucks, covers the plus seven and a half on

1355
01:06:43,000 --> 01:06:45,760
Speaker 2: the road. The total goes over forty one and a half.

1356
01:06:46,040 --> 01:06:48,480
Speaker 2: To keep it simple. What a god awful game from

1357
01:06:48,520 --> 01:06:52,040
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield passing like the guy has always had a

1358
01:06:52,120 --> 01:06:55,720
Speaker 2: knack for using his legs in key moments and he

1359
01:06:55,760 --> 01:06:57,880
Speaker 2: did it today. Six to thirty two in the ground,

1360
01:06:58,440 --> 01:07:01,439
Speaker 2: a few first downs, a few third downs, like he

1361
01:07:01,520 --> 01:07:04,120
Speaker 2: really does a great job at finding the moments to

1362
01:07:04,160 --> 01:07:07,280
Speaker 2: scramble to move his team downfield and get a new

1363
01:07:07,320 --> 01:07:10,840
Speaker 2: set of downs. But the passing is what really kept

1364
01:07:10,920 --> 01:07:14,280
Speaker 2: Tampa back today. Fourteen to thirty for a buck twenty two,

1365
01:07:14,320 --> 01:07:17,040
Speaker 2: a touchdown and a pick in a clean pocket. Today

1366
01:07:17,440 --> 01:07:21,000
Speaker 2: Baker went eleven of twenty three with an interception. He

1367
01:07:21,200 --> 01:07:24,520
Speaker 2: was one of twelve passing ten plus yards downfield. I mean,

1368
01:07:24,560 --> 01:07:28,000
Speaker 2: he was simply dreadful. And it's not just this week.

1369
01:07:28,200 --> 01:07:30,360
Speaker 2: You could talk about your tweet you put out before.

1370
01:07:30,680 --> 01:07:34,000
Speaker 2: Baker's been bad really in many of the games lately,

1371
01:07:34,200 --> 01:07:36,880
Speaker 2: like talk about the stat that you would put out there.

1372
01:07:36,920 --> 01:07:39,960
Speaker 2: But to me, this is part of what's going wrong

1373
01:07:40,360 --> 01:07:43,480
Speaker 2: with Tampa's offense and why they're skidding at the moment

1374
01:07:43,920 --> 01:07:47,400
Speaker 2: is they're getting players back on offense, but Baker, I think,

1375
01:07:47,520 --> 01:07:48,240
Speaker 2: is letting him down.

1376
01:07:49,080 --> 01:07:51,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, Week seven and forward, here's the stat quarterbacks with

1377
01:07:51,800 --> 01:07:55,240
Speaker 4: at least eighty throws. Baker Mayfield now ranked thirty six

1378
01:07:55,400 --> 01:07:58,800
Speaker 4: out of thirty seven in both EPA and completion never

1379
01:07:58,880 --> 01:08:03,080
Speaker 4: expected having as JJ McCarthy. So Baker Mayfield is worse

1380
01:08:03,120 --> 01:08:06,520
Speaker 4: than every quarterback in the NFL except JJ McCarthy and

1381
01:08:06,560 --> 01:08:08,640
Speaker 4: by the way, in Shooter Sanders in that stretch. He

1382
01:08:08,680 --> 01:08:11,800
Speaker 4: just didn't quite qualify. But that's the company that Baker

1383
01:08:11,840 --> 01:08:14,320
Speaker 4: is keeping from a guy that was among the MVP

1384
01:08:14,440 --> 01:08:18,240
Speaker 4: favorites like week six into the season that shouldn't have been.

1385
01:08:18,360 --> 01:08:21,520
Speaker 4: I never thought that that made sense. But for comparison,

1386
01:08:22,000 --> 01:08:26,960
Speaker 4: Baker is right behind in those metrics, justin fields, Davis Mills,

1387
01:08:27,040 --> 01:08:30,120
Speaker 4: Carson Wentz, and Dylan Gabriel. Those are the kind of

1388
01:08:30,360 --> 01:08:33,719
Speaker 4: quarterbacks that he's playing like. And I will say Tristan

1389
01:08:33,800 --> 01:08:35,479
Speaker 4: Wurfs was a late scratch in the s one of

1390
01:08:35,560 --> 01:08:39,320
Speaker 4: some oblique injury. Kristin Wurfs is a superstar. So he's

1391
01:08:39,360 --> 01:08:41,840
Speaker 4: the guy that was missing early in the year. Now

1392
01:08:41,880 --> 01:08:43,880
Speaker 4: he's back, but he's missing again. That was a big

1393
01:08:43,920 --> 01:08:46,360
Speaker 4: miss for them. I certainly when the NFL is good,

1394
01:08:46,439 --> 01:08:48,439
Speaker 4: I had the Bucks, you know teaser, I had the

1395
01:08:48,439 --> 01:08:49,400
Speaker 4: Bucks and the pick six.

1396
01:08:49,439 --> 01:08:52,639
Speaker 1: I had the Bucks. First half. They lost a lot of.

1397
01:08:52,600 --> 01:08:55,200
Speaker 4: Things for me today, I would have been much less

1398
01:08:55,200 --> 01:08:57,599
Speaker 4: aggressive with them if I knew worse was out.

1399
01:08:57,640 --> 01:08:58,320
Speaker 1: That's how it goes.

1400
01:08:58,360 --> 01:09:01,439
Speaker 4: Sometimes they go two of seven on fourth down in

1401
01:09:01,479 --> 01:09:02,240
Speaker 4: this game.

1402
01:09:02,320 --> 01:09:03,080
Speaker 1: Two of seven.

1403
01:09:03,560 --> 01:09:07,280
Speaker 4: That is a bad Both those numbers are bad, like

1404
01:09:07,400 --> 01:09:10,720
Speaker 4: missing five is bad, but trying seven times on fourth

1405
01:09:10,760 --> 01:09:12,360
Speaker 4: down agains the Saints, what are you doing?

1406
01:09:12,479 --> 01:09:15,040
Speaker 1: Like, why are you going for fourth down so often?

1407
01:09:15,360 --> 01:09:18,800
Speaker 4: They lost about fourteen epa on just those fourth down

1408
01:09:18,840 --> 01:09:22,320
Speaker 4: plays in a four point loss. So the numbers basically

1409
01:09:22,360 --> 01:09:24,479
Speaker 4: say this kind of came out as a coin flip

1410
01:09:24,520 --> 01:09:26,639
Speaker 4: game like these are about equal. So on the one hand,

1411
01:09:26,720 --> 01:09:29,200
Speaker 4: that's not terrible for Tampa, and the other hands, the Saints,

1412
01:09:29,320 --> 01:09:30,920
Speaker 4: you want to play the same tequal like that's now

1413
01:09:30,960 --> 01:09:33,760
Speaker 4: what you're supposed to be doing. And a lot of

1414
01:09:33,760 --> 01:09:36,320
Speaker 4: what I just said about Jacksonville is what I'd say

1415
01:09:36,320 --> 01:09:38,360
Speaker 4: about Tampa. In fact, I have Tampa right next to

1416
01:09:38,479 --> 01:09:41,160
Speaker 4: Jacksonville in my Power ratings. So this is just a

1417
01:09:41,200 --> 01:09:43,719
Speaker 4: team that I've really never believed. And that's not even

1418
01:09:43,800 --> 01:09:46,680
Speaker 4: this oh Tampa's fall. No, Tampa was never higher than that.

1419
01:09:46,720 --> 01:09:51,240
Speaker 4: They've been like twentieth all season long. It's just that Carolina, Tampa,

1420
01:09:51,240 --> 01:09:53,759
Speaker 4: and the Saints are all terrible. And even though Caroline's

1421
01:09:53,760 --> 01:09:56,439
Speaker 4: getting better, I still have them well behind Tampa. So

1422
01:09:56,880 --> 01:10:00,200
Speaker 4: you're getting beat by Tyler Shuck running the football for

1423
01:10:00,240 --> 01:10:03,599
Speaker 4: two touchdowns in this game, but still they're like sixty

1424
01:10:03,600 --> 01:10:07,640
Speaker 4: seven percent to win the division. And they still go Atlanta, Carolina,

1425
01:10:07,720 --> 01:10:10,960
Speaker 4: Miami Carolina. Like, these are still games that Tampa Franklin

1426
01:10:11,000 --> 01:10:13,320
Speaker 4: will probably be favored in three or all four of

1427
01:10:13,320 --> 01:10:17,280
Speaker 4: those games. If they beat Atlanta and Miami the two

1428
01:10:17,320 --> 01:10:20,439
Speaker 4: non Carolina games, there's still basically one hundred percent to

1429
01:10:20,439 --> 01:10:24,280
Speaker 4: win the division even regardless of anything Carolina. So just

1430
01:10:24,360 --> 01:10:27,880
Speaker 4: beat Falcons Thursday, which we'll come back to and beat

1431
01:10:27,880 --> 01:10:31,559
Speaker 4: the Dolphins they're still in, or split those and beat

1432
01:10:31,560 --> 01:10:34,639
Speaker 4: Carolina once you're still ninety five percent. So we're still

1433
01:10:34,680 --> 01:10:38,320
Speaker 4: probably watching this team in the playoffs even though they're

1434
01:10:38,320 --> 01:10:40,160
Speaker 4: losing to the Saints, because guess what, by the way,

1435
01:10:40,479 --> 01:10:42,400
Speaker 4: the Panthers lost the Saints a couple weeks ago too,

1436
01:10:42,439 --> 01:10:45,360
Speaker 4: Otherwise they'd be find the team out in front either.

1437
01:10:45,479 --> 01:10:49,479
Speaker 4: Note from this game, this field got shredded today. It

1438
01:10:49,560 --> 01:10:52,400
Speaker 4: was rainy, it was gross, and they play another one

1439
01:10:52,479 --> 01:10:53,800
Speaker 4: on Thursday on the same field.

1440
01:10:53,800 --> 01:10:54,519
Speaker 1: That's dangerous.

1441
01:10:55,720 --> 01:10:58,439
Speaker 2: That is interesting. I hadn't thought about that. To close

1442
01:10:58,479 --> 01:11:01,200
Speaker 2: out one of your other points books, you said two

1443
01:11:01,240 --> 01:11:03,280
Speaker 2: of seven on fourth down, it's tied for the second

1444
01:11:03,360 --> 01:11:06,040
Speaker 2: most fourth down attempts in history. I forget which team,

1445
01:11:06,040 --> 01:11:08,960
Speaker 2: but one team had gone eight times on fourth down

1446
01:11:09,439 --> 01:11:13,439
Speaker 2: and to close this out worst loss of Baker's career

1447
01:11:13,439 --> 01:11:16,400
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty one crew starts Baker's worst loss

1448
01:11:16,439 --> 01:11:18,080
Speaker 2: by point spread. He was eleven and zero, was a

1449
01:11:18,080 --> 01:11:21,960
Speaker 2: seven plus point favorite, now eleven and one with this

1450
01:11:22,040 --> 01:11:26,120
Speaker 2: loss today. The other one miss the Saints seven. It

1451
01:11:26,160 --> 01:11:28,400
Speaker 2: was a tied seven to seven the end of the

1452
01:11:28,400 --> 01:11:32,240
Speaker 2: first quarter, but the Saints now twelve and eleven and

1453
01:11:32,320 --> 01:11:37,000
Speaker 2: two first quarter money line, so scored a touchdown. Good job,

1454
01:11:37,120 --> 01:11:42,519
Speaker 2: but started they did cover. They did cover. Though they

1455
01:11:42,520 --> 01:11:46,280
Speaker 2: did cover, Like you said, almost no bet won for

1456
01:11:46,360 --> 01:11:48,639
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay today. So that was the type of day

1457
01:11:48,640 --> 01:11:51,200
Speaker 2: it was. We will see what this looks like going forward,

1458
01:11:51,200 --> 01:11:54,720
Speaker 2: but I think nothing really matters until the two Carolina

1459
01:11:54,800 --> 01:11:56,759
Speaker 2: games and then we get to see if we see

1460
01:11:57,040 --> 01:12:00,400
Speaker 2: this Bucks team or Bryce Young at home in theloffs.

1461
01:12:00,439 --> 01:12:02,639
Speaker 2: Can't wait? All right? You ready to keep rolling?

1462
01:12:03,360 --> 01:12:03,559
Speaker 1: Yeah?

1463
01:12:03,560 --> 01:12:06,120
Speaker 4: We have to talk about this Broncos Raiders game just

1464
01:12:06,160 --> 01:12:09,040
Speaker 4: because it was it was the bad beat of the year.

1465
01:12:09,040 --> 01:12:11,559
Speaker 1: Can I just roll with this one? You do?

1466
01:12:11,560 --> 01:12:12,519
Speaker 2: Do you think? Do you think?

1467
01:12:12,640 --> 01:12:12,920
Speaker 1: Okay?

1468
01:12:12,960 --> 01:12:16,360
Speaker 4: So Broncos twenty four to seventeen, boring game, Nothing matters,

1469
01:12:16,400 --> 01:12:18,519
Speaker 4: We have nothing to say about the game. It's just

1470
01:12:18,640 --> 01:12:21,759
Speaker 4: the ending, so the Raiders. First of all, I personally

1471
01:12:21,800 --> 01:12:24,000
Speaker 4: get screwed on this game because the Raiders have seven

1472
01:12:24,040 --> 01:12:26,960
Speaker 4: points with like two minutes left. I got the second

1473
01:12:27,000 --> 01:12:30,840
Speaker 4: half Broncos, they're up ten. I got Raiders under ten

1474
01:12:30,840 --> 01:12:33,240
Speaker 4: and a half plus three hundred. I'm like, great, just

1475
01:12:33,280 --> 01:12:35,479
Speaker 4: get one stop here, Denver, We're done. Get this game

1476
01:12:35,520 --> 01:12:37,759
Speaker 4: off the screen. I want to pay attention to Bears Packers.

1477
01:12:38,160 --> 01:12:41,360
Speaker 4: Raiders get a touchdown. Okay, whatever, this game is still nothing.

1478
01:12:41,760 --> 01:12:44,360
Speaker 4: I lost the alt No big deal, thanks for nothing.

1479
01:12:44,640 --> 01:12:47,080
Speaker 4: Denver covers the on side kick, take the ball in

1480
01:12:47,080 --> 01:12:50,719
Speaker 4: the twenty eight. There's like thirty seconds left. They don't

1481
01:12:50,760 --> 01:12:53,280
Speaker 4: kick the field goal for some reason we don't really know.

1482
01:12:53,560 --> 01:12:57,840
Speaker 4: Turnover and downs. Kenny Pickett, who's in because Gino Smith

1483
01:12:57,920 --> 01:13:00,879
Speaker 4: is hurt, throws a twenty six years past Tyler Lockett.

1484
01:13:01,080 --> 01:13:04,800
Speaker 4: There's five seconds on the running clock with no timeouts,

1485
01:13:05,160 --> 01:13:08,519
Speaker 4: and Brandon Jones, the safety, gets a delay of game

1486
01:13:08,640 --> 01:13:12,360
Speaker 4: penalty for being on a guy too long, which is

1487
01:13:12,560 --> 01:13:15,240
Speaker 4: stops the clock, gives them five yards, and in a

1488
01:13:15,320 --> 01:13:19,840
Speaker 4: ten point game, the Raiders send out Daniel Carlson to

1489
01:13:19,960 --> 01:13:23,439
Speaker 4: kick a fueld goal with Zeros on the clock, We're

1490
01:13:23,479 --> 01:13:27,840
Speaker 4: in the Broncos seven and a half point favorites, win

1491
01:13:27,960 --> 01:13:31,000
Speaker 4: by seven and lose the cover to the Raiders. And

1492
01:13:31,320 --> 01:13:34,679
Speaker 4: on the same play, the over forty and a half

1493
01:13:34,760 --> 01:13:36,000
Speaker 4: hits by a point.

1494
01:13:36,200 --> 01:13:37,360
Speaker 1: So buy a hook.

1495
01:13:37,640 --> 01:13:42,679
Speaker 4: A completely meaningless, stupid, moronic field goal that meant nothing

1496
01:13:42,720 --> 01:13:47,280
Speaker 4: to anybody but everything to us. Evan ruined the entire

1497
01:13:47,479 --> 01:13:52,200
Speaker 4: spread and the total because a Kenny Picket pass and

1498
01:13:52,240 --> 01:13:55,719
Speaker 4: a delay of game penalty with a running clock ruined

1499
01:13:55,760 --> 01:13:59,080
Speaker 4: things at the end, like we are winding down, we're

1500
01:13:59,080 --> 01:14:01,880
Speaker 4: getting our rundown, and I have this game at the

1501
01:14:01,920 --> 01:14:04,479
Speaker 4: bottom bottom of the list, and I'm like, well, gotta

1502
01:14:04,520 --> 01:14:07,200
Speaker 4: put it back into the group now, all for that

1503
01:14:07,280 --> 01:14:10,479
Speaker 4: one stupid play. The worst beat of the season, or look,

1504
01:14:10,680 --> 01:14:12,920
Speaker 4: if you're on the other side, the best beat of

1505
01:14:12,920 --> 01:14:13,320
Speaker 4: the season.

1506
01:14:13,400 --> 01:14:16,800
Speaker 1: Congratulations on your read, what to read? What a great

1507
01:14:16,840 --> 01:14:18,960
Speaker 1: read for you?

1508
01:14:19,040 --> 01:14:21,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, unfortunately that was the case. I guess I do

1509
01:14:21,560 --> 01:14:24,040
Speaker 2: have to ask a question. I didn't even check, and

1510
01:14:24,080 --> 01:14:26,160
Speaker 2: I will. I don't know if someone in the comments saw,

1511
01:14:26,240 --> 01:14:29,719
Speaker 2: but did anyone ask Pete about this in the post game?

1512
01:14:30,560 --> 01:14:31,759
Speaker 2: Is there like an answer?

1513
01:14:32,880 --> 01:14:36,400
Speaker 4: I did not see anything, and like, look it, I mean,

1514
01:14:36,840 --> 01:14:39,519
Speaker 4: I don't know what you do, like, do you want them.

1515
01:14:39,439 --> 01:14:42,680
Speaker 1: To throw a hero? Don't you throw it to the

1516
01:14:42,760 --> 01:14:44,120
Speaker 1: end zone? Yeah?

1517
01:14:44,320 --> 01:14:46,800
Speaker 4: I mean you need a field goal and a touchdown,

1518
01:14:47,120 --> 01:14:49,760
Speaker 4: so you're down ten, you take the field goal like

1519
01:14:49,800 --> 01:14:52,599
Speaker 4: you're you're still trying. I guess, like I don't know,

1520
01:14:52,680 --> 01:14:55,120
Speaker 4: Like I can't really be too mad about it. I

1521
01:14:55,160 --> 01:14:57,719
Speaker 4: didn't see quotes about it afterward because this game sucked,

1522
01:14:57,720 --> 01:15:00,320
Speaker 4: Like who cares the problems? Finally won a game without

1523
01:15:00,360 --> 01:15:01,880
Speaker 4: trailing for the first time all season.

1524
01:15:02,240 --> 01:15:03,160
Speaker 1: Good job to you.

1525
01:15:03,520 --> 01:15:05,560
Speaker 4: The Raiders move into the number one spot in the

1526
01:15:05,640 --> 01:15:08,160
Speaker 4: draft now because of the way things turned out, Good

1527
01:15:08,240 --> 01:15:08,880
Speaker 4: job to them.

1528
01:15:09,200 --> 01:15:10,040
Speaker 1: Everyone got what.

1529
01:15:09,920 --> 01:15:12,120
Speaker 4: They wanted, unless, of course, you bet the game, in

1530
01:15:12,120 --> 01:15:14,559
Speaker 4: which case it was either the worst or best beat

1531
01:15:14,560 --> 01:15:16,280
Speaker 4: of the season, and that's all that came down to.

1532
01:15:17,640 --> 01:15:19,439
Speaker 2: All ill all I have to say as well with

1533
01:15:19,520 --> 01:15:22,640
Speaker 2: this one, it just feels kind of ironic that it

1534
01:15:22,760 --> 01:15:26,439
Speaker 2: was the Las Vegas Raiders who made this call to

1535
01:15:26,600 --> 01:15:29,000
Speaker 2: cover the spread at home.

1536
01:15:30,280 --> 01:15:32,800
Speaker 1: So yeah, it feels like somebody candit the call, that's

1537
01:15:32,840 --> 01:15:33,240
Speaker 1: for sure.

1538
01:15:33,600 --> 01:15:36,280
Speaker 2: I just want to call it a little bit fishy

1539
01:15:36,439 --> 01:15:39,759
Speaker 2: and just kind of move on. Yeah, all right, let's

1540
01:15:39,760 --> 01:15:43,960
Speaker 2: just get to some scores here. The games the games

1541
01:15:44,120 --> 01:15:47,400
Speaker 2: were great, but there were some There were some blowouts today,

1542
01:15:47,439 --> 01:15:50,080
Speaker 2: so let's get through these a little bit quickly. Rams

1543
01:15:50,120 --> 01:15:52,600
Speaker 2: won forty five to seventeen, cover the nine and a

1544
01:15:52,640 --> 01:15:55,160
Speaker 2: half on the road total over forty nine and a half.

1545
01:15:55,640 --> 01:15:57,559
Speaker 2: I mentioned this before he was in the primer, but

1546
01:15:57,640 --> 01:16:01,320
Speaker 2: McVeagh loves December twenty seven and eleven straight up, twenty

1547
01:16:01,360 --> 01:16:04,360
Speaker 2: six eleven and one ats. He's won nine in a

1548
01:16:04,479 --> 01:16:08,000
Speaker 2: row outright in the month as a road favorite in

1549
01:16:08,160 --> 01:16:11,800
Speaker 2: Arizona and Seattle. He is now sixteen and oh straight up.

1550
01:16:12,000 --> 01:16:15,439
Speaker 2: The guy just takes care of business. And that's exactly

1551
01:16:15,520 --> 01:16:18,120
Speaker 2: what we saw today. Tons of offense in this game,

1552
01:16:18,320 --> 01:16:20,559
Speaker 2: but for all of us who had this game as

1553
01:16:20,560 --> 01:16:23,880
Speaker 2: the highest scoring game, we just needed a little bit more,

1554
01:16:24,720 --> 01:16:28,759
Speaker 2: all right. Titans beat the Browns thirty one to twenty

1555
01:16:28,840 --> 01:16:31,639
Speaker 2: nine is four point road dogs total over thirty three

1556
01:16:31,720 --> 01:16:34,240
Speaker 2: and a half. This was and you're not gonna love

1557
01:16:34,240 --> 01:16:37,040
Speaker 2: this stat This was the first game since two thousand

1558
01:16:37,040 --> 01:16:40,360
Speaker 2: and six that had a total under thirty five that

1559
01:16:40,479 --> 01:16:45,240
Speaker 2: combined for sixty plus points by both teams. Just patently ridiculous.

1560
01:16:45,320 --> 01:16:47,680
Speaker 2: I think I took some bets in this game, like

1561
01:16:47,760 --> 01:16:49,479
Speaker 2: there was a lot of Alts that I bet were like,

1562
01:16:49,720 --> 01:16:52,479
Speaker 2: let's have these touchdowns in the game, also go under

1563
01:16:52,520 --> 01:16:55,040
Speaker 2: thirty five and a half. Well, that none of that

1564
01:16:55,120 --> 01:16:57,439
Speaker 2: worked because there was sixty damn points in the game.

1565
01:16:58,040 --> 01:17:01,000
Speaker 2: Browns are now one six ATS's favorite over the last

1566
01:17:01,040 --> 01:17:04,360
Speaker 2: two years, and eighteen and twenty seven, ATS is a

1567
01:17:04,400 --> 01:17:09,000
Speaker 2: fave under Stefanski. Miami beats the Jets thirty four to ten,

1568
01:17:09,520 --> 01:17:11,519
Speaker 2: covers the minus two and a half on the road

1569
01:17:11,600 --> 01:17:14,519
Speaker 2: total over forty one and a half. Two is now

1570
01:17:14,600 --> 01:17:16,400
Speaker 2: seven and zero straight up versus the Jets in his

1571
01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:19,920
Speaker 2: career seventeen and eight ats versus the AFC East. He's

1572
01:17:19,920 --> 01:17:22,600
Speaker 2: done a great job there. I believe Two is the

1573
01:17:22,680 --> 01:17:25,080
Speaker 2: second best quarterback since two thousand and three versus the

1574
01:17:25,080 --> 01:17:28,080
Speaker 2: AFC is behind Tom Brady, if you want some perspective there.

1575
01:17:28,760 --> 01:17:31,559
Speaker 2: Miami keeps their playoff hopes alive. They've won four in

1576
01:17:31,560 --> 01:17:35,000
Speaker 2: a row, they've won five of six, but Two has

1577
01:17:35,040 --> 01:17:38,000
Speaker 2: thrown under two hundred yards in all four of those wins.

1578
01:17:38,280 --> 01:17:41,080
Speaker 2: They've really not needed much of him because they've been

1579
01:17:41,080 --> 01:17:44,240
Speaker 2: playing bad teams, and I feel like they're really getting

1580
01:17:44,320 --> 01:17:46,840
Speaker 2: used to playing without Tyreek, and they're changing their style

1581
01:17:46,920 --> 01:17:48,760
Speaker 2: a little bit. So we'll see what that looks like

1582
01:17:48,800 --> 01:17:53,760
Speaker 2: against Pittsburgh. Now, the Jets eliminated fifteen years without the playoffs.

1583
01:17:54,120 --> 01:17:58,360
Speaker 2: In that span those fifteen years, they've used seventeen different quarterbacks.

1584
01:17:59,040 --> 01:18:02,080
Speaker 2: Not a single one is even five hundred or better

1585
01:18:02,720 --> 01:18:07,360
Speaker 2: even one game, all of them under five hundred. Actually ridiculous,

1586
01:18:08,240 --> 01:18:11,599
Speaker 2: all right. Seattle beat the Falcons thirty seven to nine

1587
01:18:12,000 --> 01:18:15,320
Speaker 2: as seven point road faves. Total goes over forty four

1588
01:18:15,360 --> 01:18:18,880
Speaker 2: and a half. This was just an unbelievable lesson in

1589
01:18:18,960 --> 01:18:22,080
Speaker 2: cluster scoring because this was like six' to three at

1590
01:18:22,080 --> 01:18:24,479
Speaker 2: the half or something like. That this was a oh my,

1591
01:18:24,560 --> 01:18:27,559
Speaker 2: God darnold's playing. Bad The falcons are in this which

1592
01:18:27,600 --> 01:18:30,479
Speaker 2: turned into like a thirty point. Win but the ONE

1593
01:18:30,520 --> 01:18:32,679
Speaker 2: pm window has been a friend To. Seattle they've won

1594
01:18:32,760 --> 01:18:35,760
Speaker 2: eight straight at one pm seven and zero since the

1595
01:18:35,800 --> 01:18:38,439
Speaker 2: start the last season Under mike. McDonald they are now

1596
01:18:38,520 --> 01:18:42,720
Speaker 2: ten four and one ats on the. Road minnesota beat

1597
01:18:42,760 --> 01:18:46,479
Speaker 2: The commanders thirty one. Nothing thirty one nothing covers minus

1598
01:18:46,479 --> 01:18:48,280
Speaker 2: one and a half on the, close lots of plus

1599
01:18:48,280 --> 01:18:50,040
Speaker 2: one and a half early in the. WEEK a lot

1600
01:18:50,080 --> 01:18:52,639
Speaker 2: of us Liked minnesota in this game because they got

1601
01:18:52,640 --> 01:18:55,920
Speaker 2: shut out last. Week total goes under forty three and a,

1602
01:18:55,960 --> 01:18:58,799
Speaker 2: half the only under of the day before The Kansas

1603
01:18:58,840 --> 01:19:02,200
Speaker 2: City night, game and again teams to get shut out

1604
01:19:02,520 --> 01:19:06,360
Speaker 2: thirty four and seventeen ats in their next, game including

1605
01:19:06,400 --> 01:19:10,439
Speaker 2: four and oh this season usually a good bounceback. Spot all, right,

1606
01:19:11,040 --> 01:19:13,000
Speaker 2: now before we get to Money night, football if you'd

1607
01:19:13,000 --> 01:19:14,920
Speaker 2: like to tell some of these bets we're about to

1608
01:19:14,920 --> 01:19:17,519
Speaker 2: discuss and find the clicks up link in the podcast

1609
01:19:17,520 --> 01:19:21,360
Speaker 2: and video, description or visit actionework dot com slash bet.

1610
01:19:21,439 --> 01:19:23,800
Speaker 2: Now you can also look in the live YouTube chat

1611
01:19:23,840 --> 01:19:25,719
Speaker 2: if you're still hanging out with, us or even, better

1612
01:19:26,080 --> 01:19:28,800
Speaker 2: sign up for Action. Pro Action pro users get real

1613
01:19:28,840 --> 01:19:32,240
Speaker 2: time alerts as soon as experts Like, Stuckey Brandon, Anderson

1614
01:19:32,479 --> 01:19:35,439
Speaker 2: Chris raybond track their. Picks in the, app you'll get

1615
01:19:35,520 --> 01:19:38,280
Speaker 2: real time money percentages to see where the smart money's.

1616
01:19:38,320 --> 01:19:42,000
Speaker 2: Flowing access to OUR nfl player prop projections powered by

1617
01:19:42,000 --> 01:19:45,280
Speaker 2: the Man Sean. Kerner just go to actionework dot com

1618
01:19:45,320 --> 01:19:48,599
Speaker 2: slash pro to get started and use promo Code pod

1619
01:19:48,720 --> 01:19:52,000
Speaker 2: Twenty pod twenty for twenty dollars off and annual. Subscription

1620
01:19:52,280 --> 01:19:55,640
Speaker 2: That's promo Code pod twenty for twenty dollars off And

1621
01:19:55,800 --> 01:20:09,559
Speaker 2: actionework dot Com Slash Pro monday Night football. Time this

1622
01:20:09,600 --> 01:20:11,120
Speaker 2: is a big, one and this is gonna be a fun.

1623
01:20:11,120 --> 01:20:13,479
Speaker 2: One you've got The herbert, injury lots of kind of monitor,

1624
01:20:13,520 --> 01:20:17,880
Speaker 2: here But Eagles, chargers you kind of take me, here

1625
01:20:17,920 --> 01:20:19,600
Speaker 2: like you what are you seeing in this? Game and

1626
01:20:19,600 --> 01:20:20,559
Speaker 2: Then i'll give you some trends and.

1627
01:20:20,600 --> 01:20:23,519
Speaker 1: Picks, Yeah i'm not sure it'll be a fun. One

1628
01:20:23,520 --> 01:20:25,479
Speaker 1: it'll be a close. One i'm not sure it's gonna

1629
01:20:25,479 --> 01:20:25,880
Speaker 1: be a fun.

1630
01:20:25,960 --> 01:20:30,080
Speaker 4: Watch we've Seen eagle timetime games And i'm gonna go that.

1631
01:20:30,160 --> 01:20:32,639
Speaker 4: DIRECTION i think this is an. Under i'm gonna take

1632
01:20:32,640 --> 01:20:34,960
Speaker 4: the under forty two and a. Half so you mentioned

1633
01:20:35,080 --> 01:20:37,519
Speaker 4: Justin herbert coming off a left hand. Surgery we don't

1634
01:20:37,520 --> 01:20:39,240
Speaker 4: really know what that looks. LIKE i think it probably

1635
01:20:39,280 --> 01:20:42,160
Speaker 4: means more, shotgun probably means a little more run. Game

1636
01:20:42,200 --> 01:20:44,720
Speaker 4: it looks like A Maryon hampton should be, back so

1637
01:20:44,800 --> 01:20:47,599
Speaker 4: that probably. Helps Jalen carter is, out so it gives

1638
01:20:47,640 --> 01:20:50,160
Speaker 4: them a bit of a. Shot But chargers offensive line

1639
01:20:50,360 --> 01:20:51,920
Speaker 4: is in a rough shape right. Now where there's some

1640
01:20:51,960 --> 01:20:54,880
Speaker 4: really bad offensive lines out, there but they're they're among the.

1641
01:20:54,920 --> 01:20:57,759
Speaker 4: Worst eagles pass rush has been really good even Without.

1642
01:20:57,760 --> 01:21:00,479
Speaker 4: CARTER i think that's a big. Problem turns out has

1643
01:21:00,520 --> 01:21:04,479
Speaker 4: been fading. Quickly this is the sort of game that

1644
01:21:04,560 --> 01:21:07,240
Speaker 4: if there's Anything eagles in, them they should be able

1645
01:21:07,240 --> 01:21:09,559
Speaker 4: to run on this. Team that's The chargers are built

1646
01:21:09,560 --> 01:21:10,120
Speaker 4: to be run.

1647
01:21:10,160 --> 01:21:13,439
Speaker 1: On that's the. Defense but The eagles haven't really been doing.

1648
01:21:13,439 --> 01:21:16,600
Speaker 1: That they're not really. Themselves SO i would.

1649
01:21:16,439 --> 01:21:19,320
Speaker 4: Lean eagles in this, game BUT i have it pretty

1650
01:21:19,360 --> 01:21:21,600
Speaker 4: close to a coin, flip So i'm not playing. Aside

1651
01:21:21,840 --> 01:21:24,599
Speaker 4: if you like The, EAGLES i think the better angle

1652
01:21:25,080 --> 01:21:28,120
Speaker 4: Is chargers to miss the playoffs plus one sixty FOUR

1653
01:21:28,160 --> 01:21:31,800
Speaker 4: i see right. Now they go At chiefs At, Cowboys

1654
01:21:32,000 --> 01:21:36,120
Speaker 4: texans At broncos to close that is a brutal closing.

1655
01:21:36,200 --> 01:21:38,960
Speaker 4: Stretch At chiefs Is chiefs on life support at this,

1656
01:21:39,000 --> 01:21:41,759
Speaker 4: point which like Every chiefs game is on life. Support

1657
01:21:41,840 --> 01:21:45,080
Speaker 4: but that is a desperate. Team then At, cowboys same.

1658
01:21:45,120 --> 01:21:47,840
Speaker 4: Thing you have two teams that are basically, like if we,

1659
01:21:47,960 --> 01:21:50,120
Speaker 4: lose we're out for the. Year so you have two

1660
01:21:50,120 --> 01:21:52,920
Speaker 4: teams that are BETTER i think than The chargers at

1661
01:21:52,960 --> 01:21:56,040
Speaker 4: home playing. Them then you have The texans we talked

1662
01:21:56,040 --> 01:21:58,160
Speaker 4: about a, lot and then At, denver who might need

1663
01:21:58,240 --> 01:22:00,280
Speaker 4: to get that win to make the one seas so

1664
01:22:01,040 --> 01:22:04,439
Speaker 4: kind of playing around with the. NUMBERS i, see if

1665
01:22:04,479 --> 01:22:07,320
Speaker 4: you think The eagles beat The chargers, HERE i think

1666
01:22:07,320 --> 01:22:10,479
Speaker 4: it's a good setup to fade The chargers down the stretch.

1667
01:22:10,520 --> 01:22:13,040
Speaker 4: Here AND i, LOOK i don't trust The eagles to

1668
01:22:13,040 --> 01:22:15,360
Speaker 4: score a lot. EITHER i don't trust either team to

1669
01:22:15,360 --> 01:22:18,960
Speaker 4: give us great looking. Football chargers defense is fourth and

1670
01:22:19,000 --> 01:22:21,280
Speaker 4: success rate on the. Season The eagles success rate has

1671
01:22:21,280 --> 01:22:24,080
Speaker 4: not been. Good so they just are not gonna be able

1672
01:22:24,040 --> 01:22:27,360
Speaker 4: to move the ball successfully play by. Play they're not

1673
01:22:27,360 --> 01:22:28,960
Speaker 4: gonna be able to get the ball down. Deep The

1674
01:22:29,040 --> 01:22:31,280
Speaker 4: chargers are number one versus the deep. Ball that's where

1675
01:22:31,320 --> 01:22:35,400
Speaker 4: The eagles are able to get some. Things primetime, unders we,

1676
01:22:35,479 --> 01:22:38,599
Speaker 4: know continue to be a thing outside Of thursday sixty

1677
01:22:38,680 --> 01:22:41,920
Speaker 4: one percent to the under since twenty nineteen And Jim

1678
01:22:41,960 --> 01:22:44,840
Speaker 4: harbaugh when the total is blow forty, four fifty seven

1679
01:22:44,880 --> 01:22:47,400
Speaker 4: percent to the under since the bye week for The,

1680
01:22:47,439 --> 01:22:51,479
Speaker 4: eagles here are their totals seventeen not them the whole,

1681
01:22:51,520 --> 01:22:55,760
Speaker 4: game twenty, three forty five and thirty. Nine so under

1682
01:22:55,880 --> 01:22:58,400
Speaker 4: this number three out of the four average thirty one

1683
01:22:58,720 --> 01:23:02,160
Speaker 4: points a. Game this is all ugly. Football that's WHAT

1684
01:23:02,240 --> 01:23:04,640
Speaker 4: i think we. Get give me the under forty two

1685
01:23:04,680 --> 01:23:06,840
Speaker 4: and a half At DraftKings AND i quite like this.

1686
01:23:06,880 --> 01:23:08,759
Speaker 4: One this would have been my best bet inner. EPISODE

1687
01:23:08,800 --> 01:23:10,680
Speaker 4: i just saved it for The monday night and a

1688
01:23:10,800 --> 01:23:13,080
Speaker 4: little extra pick And i'm looking.

1689
01:23:12,800 --> 01:23:13,559
Speaker 1: In our comments.

1690
01:23:13,560 --> 01:23:17,200
Speaker 4: Here Crazy shorts thirteen nine to thirty eight called this

1691
01:23:17,280 --> 01:23:20,800
Speaker 4: one give me A Dallas goddard. Touchdown The chargers are

1692
01:23:20,880 --> 01:23:24,280
Speaker 4: dead LAST dva against the tight. End they've not faced

1693
01:23:24,320 --> 01:23:28,000
Speaker 4: a lot of tight, ends but here's who they've, Faced, Kelsey, Bowers,

1694
01:23:28,120 --> 01:23:32,240
Speaker 4: Waller warren And Bowers. Again those five dudes have five

1695
01:23:32,320 --> 01:23:35,719
Speaker 4: touchdowns in their, games so they've at least one touchdown

1696
01:23:35,720 --> 01:23:38,520
Speaker 4: on four to five got heard career high seven touchdowns

1697
01:23:38,520 --> 01:23:41,320
Speaker 4: at least one in almost half his games plus three

1698
01:23:41,320 --> 01:23:44,360
Speaker 4: point forty for got her touchdown and it didn't work,

1699
01:23:44,360 --> 01:23:47,240
Speaker 4: Today but we tried this With Quinn Shawn judkins got

1700
01:23:47,280 --> 01:23:50,599
Speaker 4: her touchdown with the under is just about ten to one.

1701
01:23:50,640 --> 01:23:52,880
Speaker 1: Odds SO i like that as a little escalator as.

1702
01:23:52,920 --> 01:23:55,840
Speaker 2: WELL i just you gotta get out of my. Head

1703
01:23:56,000 --> 01:23:58,800
Speaker 2: you AND i seem to now kind of think the same.

1704
01:23:58,840 --> 01:24:01,720
Speaker 2: Way BECAUSE i pulled Up DraftKings to try to just

1705
01:24:01,960 --> 01:24:04,639
Speaker 2: get some odds on some. Things i'll start off with

1706
01:24:04,760 --> 01:24:06,280
Speaker 2: just a stat or two and Then i'll give you my.

1707
01:24:06,360 --> 01:24:08,800
Speaker 2: Picks BUT i feel like it's kind of. Interesting SO

1708
01:24:09,160 --> 01:24:12,160
Speaker 2: i think we all assume That herbert's gonna. Start but

1709
01:24:12,320 --> 01:24:14,559
Speaker 2: it was actually interesting to me to look At Jim harbaugh's.

1710
01:24:14,560 --> 01:24:16,880
Speaker 2: Career you, know he's only had three quarterbacks in THE,

1711
01:24:17,000 --> 01:24:21,080
Speaker 2: Nfl Herbert kaepernick And Alex. Smith that's. It so this

1712
01:24:21,120 --> 01:24:23,000
Speaker 2: would have been a very interesting change to have to

1713
01:24:23,040 --> 01:24:24,679
Speaker 2: go to a. Backup he's only going to a backup

1714
01:24:24,720 --> 01:24:27,280
Speaker 2: Once sony went From Alex smith To Colin kaepernick and

1715
01:24:27,320 --> 01:24:29,719
Speaker 2: then that was. It so it would have been interesting

1716
01:24:29,720 --> 01:24:32,160
Speaker 2: to See Trey. LANCE i don't think it's gonna. HAPPEN i,

1717
01:24:32,200 --> 01:24:34,240
Speaker 2: mean there's a Chance herbert gets hurt again and maybe

1718
01:24:34,240 --> 01:24:36,360
Speaker 2: something changes in a, Week but at the, MOMENT i

1719
01:24:36,479 --> 01:24:38,759
Speaker 2: think we're going to See herbert with a huge cast

1720
01:24:38,800 --> 01:24:41,120
Speaker 2: on his non throwing arm and we're going to go from.

1721
01:24:41,160 --> 01:24:45,320
Speaker 2: There the other interesting thing is This lee's profitable coaches

1722
01:24:45,400 --> 01:24:47,759
Speaker 2: against the spread coming off a loss since twenty twenty.

1723
01:24:47,800 --> 01:24:52,479
Speaker 2: One Brian callahan seventieth and last three and, Fourteen Matt

1724
01:24:52,560 --> 01:24:55,400
Speaker 2: ruhle three and, eleven sixty, ninth sixty eighth on that,

1725
01:24:55,439 --> 01:24:59,200
Speaker 2: List Nick sirianni eight and fifteen against the. Spread So

1726
01:25:00,040 --> 01:25:02,680
Speaker 2: i'm an awful. Loss it's not The, lions it's not

1727
01:25:02,920 --> 01:25:06,439
Speaker 2: okay off a, loss let's keep. Rowling it's The philly locker.

1728
01:25:06,520 --> 01:25:08,880
Speaker 2: Room so at the, MOMENT i don't exactly know what

1729
01:25:08,920 --> 01:25:11,080
Speaker 2: we're gonna, get but that number scares me a. Tad

1730
01:25:11,360 --> 01:25:14,200
Speaker 2: so here's the. BETS i. LIKE i Took herbert under

1731
01:25:14,240 --> 01:25:17,040
Speaker 2: twenty and a half rushing. Yards i've seen the last

1732
01:25:17,040 --> 01:25:19,679
Speaker 2: two or three. Games he scrambles about two or three

1733
01:25:19,720 --> 01:25:22,200
Speaker 2: times each. Game but aside from, THAT i think the

1734
01:25:22,200 --> 01:25:24,599
Speaker 2: injury is gonna keep him from doing. THAT i think

1735
01:25:24,640 --> 01:25:26,280
Speaker 2: twenty and a half is just a little long BECAUSE

1736
01:25:26,280 --> 01:25:29,599
Speaker 2: i think that's usually about what his rushing yards. Are

1737
01:25:29,680 --> 01:25:31,920
Speaker 2: SO i see the line kind of moving. DOWN i

1738
01:25:31,960 --> 01:25:34,360
Speaker 2: took the under twenty and a. Half and then for

1739
01:25:34,439 --> 01:25:38,040
Speaker 2: the fun, Parlay i'm with you On, goddard all the

1740
01:25:38,040 --> 01:25:41,040
Speaker 2: stuff about the charges versus tight. Ends plus he's got

1741
01:25:41,040 --> 01:25:44,840
Speaker 2: the push push aj barner thing going, on where lots

1742
01:25:44,840 --> 01:25:46,200
Speaker 2: of different ways For goddard to get in the end.

1743
01:25:46,240 --> 01:25:48,240
Speaker 2: Zone and then just BECAUSE i like to have, Fun

1744
01:25:48,320 --> 01:25:51,240
Speaker 2: i'm mixing him With Keenan. Allen so the parlay Is

1745
01:25:51,280 --> 01:25:55,400
Speaker 2: goddard and. Keenan it's seventeen to one with the two

1746
01:25:55,439 --> 01:25:59,200
Speaker 2: of them. Together if you add just an, all, like

1747
01:25:59,280 --> 01:26:01,679
Speaker 2: let's say you add under forty five and a. Half

1748
01:26:01,800 --> 01:26:04,720
Speaker 2: let's go over a few key. Numbers that's seventeen to

1749
01:26:04,760 --> 01:26:07,479
Speaker 2: one goes to forty seven to, one and that to

1750
01:26:07,520 --> 01:26:10,439
Speaker 2: me is an interesting. PLAY i still like the. UNDER

1751
01:26:10,720 --> 01:26:12,920
Speaker 2: i like it over a few key, numbers And i'm

1752
01:26:12,920 --> 01:26:15,760
Speaker 2: getting my touchdowns with. It, listen if you're gonna get

1753
01:26:15,800 --> 01:26:18,400
Speaker 2: to forty, points and this is kind of our point

1754
01:26:18,400 --> 01:26:19,880
Speaker 2: with The browns, game if you're gonna get to that many,

1755
01:26:19,880 --> 01:26:22,320
Speaker 2: points you gotta score some. Touchdowns IF i can actually

1756
01:26:22,520 --> 01:26:25,320
Speaker 2: accurately predict who those, are forty seven to, one not.

1757
01:26:25,439 --> 01:26:28,320
Speaker 4: Bad, YEAH i have a little fun and Throw parley,

1758
01:26:28,360 --> 01:26:30,760
Speaker 4: in and you, know we gotta have some way to

1759
01:26:30,880 --> 01:26:33,000
Speaker 4: Enjoy monday. NIGHT i think it will be a close

1760
01:26:33,120 --> 01:26:36,000
Speaker 4: game and an interesting, game just maybe not a fun

1761
01:26:36,040 --> 01:26:39,160
Speaker 4: game unless you have a very look my aesthetic is

1762
01:26:39,280 --> 01:26:41,719
Speaker 4: thirty nine to thirty five or whatever in the snow

1763
01:26:41,920 --> 01:26:45,160
Speaker 4: Like i'd like to. See i'd be honestly pretty happy

1764
01:26:45,280 --> 01:26:47,680
Speaker 4: if either one of if both these teams together get

1765
01:26:47,680 --> 01:26:49,719
Speaker 4: to thirty. Nine i'll feel pretty good about My monday.

1766
01:26:49,760 --> 01:26:51,960
Speaker 4: Night if we get, there but hopefully not much more

1767
01:26:52,040 --> 01:26:52,559
Speaker 4: so we can hit her.

1768
01:26:52,640 --> 01:26:52,880
Speaker 1: Under.

1769
01:26:53,960 --> 01:26:56,000
Speaker 2: Yeah a fun game to. Handicap maybe not the most

1770
01:26:56,040 --> 01:26:57,840
Speaker 2: fun to, watch but, again if you want to tell

1771
01:26:57,880 --> 01:27:00,240
Speaker 2: some of These monday night football, bets make sure for

1772
01:27:00,240 --> 01:27:02,879
Speaker 2: the quick slip link in the podcast in video description

1773
01:27:03,160 --> 01:27:06,240
Speaker 2: or go to actionewerk dot com slash. Bet, now that's

1774
01:27:06,280 --> 01:27:08,360
Speaker 2: my favorite way to do. It all the bets listed,

1775
01:27:08,400 --> 01:27:12,439
Speaker 2: there just click take it to your. Sportsbook. Beautiful all, Right,

1776
01:27:12,479 --> 01:27:14,880
Speaker 2: BRANDON i think we've teased them long. Enough what are

1777
01:27:14,880 --> 01:27:16,719
Speaker 2: you doing for the hot read next? Week hot? Wrap

1778
01:27:17,479 --> 01:27:20,719
Speaker 2: bob on ice rights ice? Cream?

1779
01:27:21,800 --> 01:27:22,760
Speaker 1: Hot?

1780
01:27:26,320 --> 01:27:29,360
Speaker 4: Yeah all those, unders all those overs, today so what

1781
01:27:29,400 --> 01:27:32,840
Speaker 4: can we? Do we're going under multiple. Unders we're gonna

1782
01:27:32,880 --> 01:27:35,080
Speaker 4: start and end the week with some. Unders so let's

1783
01:27:35,120 --> 01:27:38,720
Speaker 4: go To thursday Night falcons At. BUCKS i tease this

1784
01:27:38,760 --> 01:27:40,600
Speaker 4: a little. Bit gave me the under forty four and

1785
01:27:40,640 --> 01:27:44,599
Speaker 4: a half at. Drafting so ugly game different ugly Than.

1786
01:27:44,600 --> 01:27:47,400
Speaker 4: Monday monday is, ugly but let's Watch thursday is. Ugly

1787
01:27:47,439 --> 01:27:51,000
Speaker 4: but make other plans and just hope nothing. Happens both

1788
01:27:51,040 --> 01:27:55,000
Speaker 4: teams ugly. Losses On, Sunday kirk is Struggling atlanta's last

1789
01:27:55,000 --> 01:27:57,719
Speaker 4: seven of. Eight there's seasons. Done we talked About baker

1790
01:27:57,840 --> 01:28:01,439
Speaker 4: second to LAST epa Since week, seven their offense feels

1791
01:28:01,439 --> 01:28:04,240
Speaker 4: lost right. NOW i think both defenses are the better

1792
01:28:04,240 --> 01:28:06,640
Speaker 4: half of the team right, now which frankly says a

1793
01:28:06,640 --> 01:28:08,760
Speaker 4: lot more about where the teams are at than it

1794
01:28:08,760 --> 01:28:11,800
Speaker 4: does about the. Defenses But bucks run defense is the

1795
01:28:11,800 --> 01:28:15,240
Speaker 4: better part that's good against The. Falcons falcons pass defense

1796
01:28:15,320 --> 01:28:18,040
Speaker 4: is their better part that's good against The. BUCCANEERS i

1797
01:28:18,080 --> 01:28:20,960
Speaker 4: just THINK i think it's not a great atmosphere for the.

1798
01:28:20,960 --> 01:28:24,800
Speaker 4: Offense and then short. Week, Okay Mike adams probably not

1799
01:28:24,840 --> 01:28:26,679
Speaker 4: going to be ready yet on a short, Week Drake

1800
01:28:26,760 --> 01:28:30,000
Speaker 4: london probably not ready. Yet Tristan wurfs didn't get to play.

1801
01:28:30,040 --> 01:28:32,719
Speaker 4: Today is he going to be Ready? THURSDAY i don't.

1802
01:28:32,760 --> 01:28:35,479
Speaker 4: Know but short week puts those guys in. Doubt that's

1803
01:28:35,520 --> 01:28:38,320
Speaker 4: more offensive guys as. Well AND i mentioned this with The.

1804
01:28:38,360 --> 01:28:41,240
Speaker 4: Bucks their field just get ripped apart by the, Rain

1805
01:28:41,360 --> 01:28:44,599
Speaker 4: like that field is a mess right now and its sloppy.

1806
01:28:44,680 --> 01:28:47,160
Speaker 4: Conditions that only helps the Under to, me if you

1807
01:28:47,240 --> 01:28:49,840
Speaker 4: have this kind of, ugly gross field that's not going

1808
01:28:49,880 --> 01:28:51,920
Speaker 4: to be ready to play in four days from, now

1809
01:28:51,920 --> 01:28:55,240
Speaker 4: that can only help our. Cause week fourteen. Forward you

1810
01:28:55,360 --> 01:28:58,240
Speaker 4: love division game. Unders if it's a home favorite under,

1811
01:28:58,320 --> 01:29:00,680
Speaker 4: seven fifty six percent to the. Under if it's a

1812
01:29:00,680 --> 01:29:03,240
Speaker 4: total from forty three to forty seven points like this,

1813
01:29:03,280 --> 01:29:05,600
Speaker 4: one or right in the, middle fifty six percent to the.

1814
01:29:05,680 --> 01:29:09,599
Speaker 4: Under to, me this is a classic late Season thursday.

1815
01:29:09,720 --> 01:29:13,920
Speaker 4: Night like, again go do Some christmas. Shopping there are

1816
01:29:14,000 --> 01:29:17,960
Speaker 4: college playoff games, coming THERE'S Nba cup Games tuesday And.

1817
01:29:17,960 --> 01:29:21,080
Speaker 4: Wednesday listen To buckets for coverage of. That you can't

1818
01:29:21,080 --> 01:29:25,479
Speaker 4: do sports every. Night Buccaneers falcons under and don't watch.

1819
01:29:25,520 --> 01:29:29,000
Speaker 4: It nothing's. Happening get it before the key numbers under

1820
01:29:29,040 --> 01:29:29,600
Speaker 4: forty four and a.

1821
01:29:29,640 --> 01:29:33,000
Speaker 2: Half, YEAH i like that as. WELL i think the

1822
01:29:33,240 --> 01:29:37,000
Speaker 2: fact that's also outdoors versus In atlanta is a bit

1823
01:29:37,040 --> 01:29:39,920
Speaker 2: of an. Advantage AND i like the total in that

1824
01:29:39,960 --> 01:29:42,000
Speaker 2: game as. Well and you made some great points all

1825
01:29:42,040 --> 01:29:47,360
Speaker 2: the injuries short Week falcons. Eliminated and also The falcons

1826
01:29:47,360 --> 01:29:49,559
Speaker 2: defense better than it had, Been like their sacks are

1827
01:29:50,400 --> 01:29:53,200
Speaker 2: basically double what they were last, Year like they're a different.

1828
01:29:53,200 --> 01:29:56,400
Speaker 2: Team so AND i, mean we talked About, baker so

1829
01:29:56,560 --> 01:29:58,600
Speaker 2: something's got to change, there but maybe it.

1830
01:29:58,640 --> 01:30:01,519
Speaker 1: Doesn't all, Right so that was the start of the.

1831
01:30:01,520 --> 01:30:03,759
Speaker 4: Week let's end the week all the way To monday

1832
01:30:03,840 --> 01:30:08,160
Speaker 4: night another Under dolphins At steelers under forty four and a.

1833
01:30:08,240 --> 01:30:11,639
Speaker 4: Half both DEFENSES i think still trending At pittsburgh's we'll

1834
01:30:11,640 --> 01:30:14,599
Speaker 4: see after, today but their offense still has been great

1835
01:30:14,640 --> 01:30:18,080
Speaker 4: despite The baltimore. Game Remember rodgers dead LAST epa per

1836
01:30:18,120 --> 01:30:21,240
Speaker 4: play among all quarterbacks Since week, nine still not looking.

1837
01:30:21,240 --> 01:30:23,760
Speaker 4: Good miami's defense has been quite. Good they were good again.

1838
01:30:23,800 --> 01:30:26,920
Speaker 4: Today the jets only touchdown came on a punt. Return

1839
01:30:27,600 --> 01:30:30,439
Speaker 4: miami's been number one against the. Run that's good Against

1840
01:30:30,520 --> 01:30:33,160
Speaker 4: Arthur smith. Offense that means it's all On Aaron rodgers

1841
01:30:33,160 --> 01:30:36,000
Speaker 4: and frankly all on Dk metcalf and you can't quite do.

1842
01:30:36,080 --> 01:30:39,559
Speaker 4: Everything pittsburgh's already had four games thirty five or fewer

1843
01:30:39,600 --> 01:30:42,880
Speaker 4: points on the. Season miami's had five at forty one or.

1844
01:30:42,880 --> 01:30:45,360
Speaker 4: Below In miami has gotten under forty four and a

1845
01:30:45,400 --> 01:30:49,040
Speaker 4: half six straight games right now into this. Game so

1846
01:30:49,439 --> 01:30:53,639
Speaker 4: primetime unders we mentioned outside Of thursday sixty one percent

1847
01:30:53,960 --> 01:30:57,080
Speaker 4: sixty percent this year just hit tonight obviously as. Well

1848
01:30:57,479 --> 01:30:59,920
Speaker 4: unders between thirty nine and forty four win the tow.

1849
01:31:00,240 --> 01:31:03,360
Speaker 4: Drops you want to just keep riding the under fifty five.

1850
01:31:03,400 --> 01:31:06,280
Speaker 4: Percent we're not quite under forty four, here but some

1851
01:31:06,360 --> 01:31:08,479
Speaker 4: books it is. Already so it's forty three and a.

1852
01:31:08,520 --> 01:31:10,559
Speaker 4: Half this MORNING i put it in the. App maybe

1853
01:31:10,560 --> 01:31:12,720
Speaker 4: you played then it kind of had a brief move,

1854
01:31:12,800 --> 01:31:15,760
Speaker 4: up but it's falling. Again it's moved. Around there's like

1855
01:31:15,800 --> 01:31:18,519
Speaker 4: a two point spring right. Now BUT i just get

1856
01:31:18,520 --> 01:31:21,439
Speaker 4: the best number you. Can, obviously the highest forty to forty,

1857
01:31:21,479 --> 01:31:23,439
Speaker 4: Four like every single number in that range is. Key

1858
01:31:23,520 --> 01:31:25,640
Speaker 4: so there's a reason we're grabbing these right in the

1859
01:31:25,640 --> 01:31:27,920
Speaker 4: spot where they're at under forty four and a. Half

1860
01:31:27,920 --> 01:31:29,920
Speaker 4: if you can just get the best number out, there

1861
01:31:30,080 --> 01:31:31,960
Speaker 4: and a little, BONUS i know we kept you long.

1862
01:31:32,040 --> 01:31:34,560
Speaker 4: Tonight this ONE i put out On twitter through the

1863
01:31:34,600 --> 01:31:38,240
Speaker 4: Bonus hot READ a future is hot READ nicki menuari

1864
01:31:38,320 --> 01:31:41,040
Speaker 4: Defensive rookie of The, year best number you can. FIND

1865
01:31:41,080 --> 01:31:43,719
Speaker 4: i still saw thirty to one out. There my dude

1866
01:31:43,720 --> 01:31:48,439
Speaker 4: From seattle today alone had a, sack an, interception an

1867
01:31:48,560 --> 01:31:51,360
Speaker 4: a block field. Goal have you seen the defensive rookie

1868
01:31:51,360 --> 01:31:51,599
Speaker 4: of year?

1869
01:31:51,600 --> 01:31:52,559
Speaker 1: Class that's.

1870
01:31:52,600 --> 01:31:55,160
Speaker 4: It you Win Defensive rookie of The year from one game,

1871
01:31:55,200 --> 01:31:58,360
Speaker 4: Alone like there's no competition out. Here if this name sounds.

1872
01:31:58,360 --> 01:32:01,200
Speaker 4: Familiar it should we had him in our first extra

1873
01:32:01,240 --> 01:32:04,559
Speaker 4: point like six weeks, ago sixty to. One i'm betting.

1874
01:32:04,640 --> 01:32:07,800
Speaker 4: AGAIN i already bet it. Again, LOOK i Have. Schwessinger

1875
01:32:07,840 --> 01:32:09,120
Speaker 4: he's the favorite thirty five to.

1876
01:32:09,120 --> 01:32:09,640
Speaker 1: One he's in my.

1877
01:32:09,720 --> 01:32:12,559
Speaker 4: Portfolio but he got injured. Today he went the concussion.

1878
01:32:12,680 --> 01:32:15,839
Speaker 4: Protocol he got, cleared but you never know what symptoms

1879
01:32:15,840 --> 01:32:18,040
Speaker 4: come up with. That we're not wishing on, anything but

1880
01:32:18,160 --> 01:32:19,760
Speaker 4: he might not even get to play next, week for

1881
01:32:19,800 --> 01:32:22,120
Speaker 4: all that we. Know and by the, Way Miles garretts

1882
01:32:22,120 --> 01:32:23,880
Speaker 4: gonn Win Defensive player of The year and set the sack.

1883
01:32:24,000 --> 01:32:26,799
Speaker 4: Record do we really want to give The browns defense

1884
01:32:27,000 --> 01:32:30,919
Speaker 4: too big? Awards how about Give seattle's defense Something seattle

1885
01:32:31,040 --> 01:32:34,200
Speaker 4: deserves an. Award this seems like a good way to reward.

1886
01:32:34,240 --> 01:32:36,479
Speaker 4: Them and this is a market that doesn't have a clear.

1887
01:32:36,520 --> 01:32:37,519
Speaker 1: Favorite can move very.

1888
01:32:37,560 --> 01:32:39,720
Speaker 4: QUICKLY i see a thirty to, ONE i see a

1889
01:32:39,760 --> 01:32:42,120
Speaker 4: twenty five to. ONE i think you could be like

1890
01:32:42,200 --> 01:32:44,280
Speaker 4: a plus three hundred just like, That like this could

1891
01:32:44,320 --> 01:32:49,120
Speaker 4: swing really. Quickly i'm doubling, down tripling. DOWN i Love Nicki.

1892
01:32:49,160 --> 01:32:51,880
Speaker 4: MINORI i think he's gonna win this, thing so grab

1893
01:32:51,960 --> 01:32:54,400
Speaker 4: him as a little bonus hot read in addition to

1894
01:32:54,439 --> 01:32:56,200
Speaker 4: your unders to wrap up our podcast.

1895
01:32:56,200 --> 01:32:59,280
Speaker 2: Tonight, Yeah i'm looking at a book right now that

1896
01:32:59,320 --> 01:33:03,639
Speaker 2: has a wards odds up And schwesinger is priced Like Miles,

1897
01:33:03,680 --> 01:33:06,559
Speaker 2: garrett AND i don't feel like that makes. Sense it,

1898
01:33:06,600 --> 01:33:09,439
Speaker 2: doesn't SO i THINK i think at that, point just

1899
01:33:09,479 --> 01:33:12,160
Speaker 2: the handicap from. THERE i think that's.

1900
01:33:12,240 --> 01:33:15,280
Speaker 4: Right the defense is a splash plays.

1901
01:33:15,360 --> 01:33:17,160
Speaker 1: Awards we don't give it.

1902
01:33:17,160 --> 01:33:19,800
Speaker 4: Anymore we used to give it to linebackers because they

1903
01:33:19,800 --> 01:33:22,720
Speaker 4: were just racking up. Tackles we now give it to

1904
01:33:22,880 --> 01:33:25,720
Speaker 4: sacks and interceptions and blockfield. Goals and it didn't quite

1905
01:33:25,800 --> 01:33:28,360
Speaker 4: matter because they was a blowout and it didn't really

1906
01:33:28,840 --> 01:33:31,640
Speaker 4: it wasn't a huge spot that anyone really. Watched BUT

1907
01:33:31,720 --> 01:33:34,439
Speaker 4: i think when people start to notice these stats the

1908
01:33:34,479 --> 01:33:36,559
Speaker 4: next couple of, DAYS i think it's going to get bet.

1909
01:33:36,360 --> 01:33:36,680
Speaker 1: Down in a.

1910
01:33:36,760 --> 01:33:40,479
Speaker 4: Hurry and, Yeah schwesssinger may well win. It hopefully you

1911
01:33:40,520 --> 01:33:43,000
Speaker 4: have that ticket as, Well BUT i Think Imon wori

1912
01:33:43,080 --> 01:33:45,880
Speaker 4: should be right in the. Mix and Look atlanta's pass,

1913
01:33:45,920 --> 01:33:47,840
Speaker 4: RUSHERS i think they both got a little banged up.

1914
01:33:47,880 --> 01:33:51,280
Speaker 4: Today they're supposed to be the next. Guy's philadelphia's linebacker

1915
01:33:51,360 --> 01:33:53,360
Speaker 4: G Had. Campbell he was second in the. Odds he's

1916
01:33:53,400 --> 01:33:55,840
Speaker 4: not even playing anymore for them right. Now he's can't

1917
01:33:55,840 --> 01:33:59,000
Speaker 4: get on the. Field so this is wide. Open AND

1918
01:33:59,080 --> 01:34:00,800
Speaker 4: i think even worri and, win AND i think he's

1919
01:34:00,840 --> 01:34:01,240
Speaker 4: going To.

1920
01:34:01,760 --> 01:34:03,599
Speaker 2: YEAH i see one book right, now Even worried down

1921
01:34:03,640 --> 01:34:06,160
Speaker 2: to like six to. One so shop, around make sure

1922
01:34:06,200 --> 01:34:17,439
Speaker 2: you find your. Prices that's all. Right before we wrap,

1923
01:34:17,520 --> 01:34:20,280
Speaker 2: up let's hear From Patrick everson From Vegas insiders and

1924
01:34:20,320 --> 01:34:21,360
Speaker 2: how things looked In Las.

1925
01:34:21,479 --> 01:34:24,160
Speaker 3: Vegas all, right thanks a, lot, Evan Patrick everson here

1926
01:34:24,160 --> 01:34:27,960
Speaker 3: For Vegas. Insider it's kind of. Interesting there was a

1927
01:34:27,960 --> 01:34:30,280
Speaker 3: lot of back and forth between the bookmakers and, betters

1928
01:34:30,439 --> 01:34:34,400
Speaker 3: but enough of the results fell, right particularly The Sunday

1929
01:34:34,439 --> 01:34:36,360
Speaker 3: night result that ended up being really. Key and the

1930
01:34:36,360 --> 01:34:39,280
Speaker 3: reason it was really key is you've got The Kansas

1931
01:34:39,280 --> 01:34:41,920
Speaker 3: City chiefs at, home and they're The Kansas City chiefs at,

1932
01:34:41,920 --> 01:34:44,639
Speaker 3: home It's Patrick. Mahomes the public is going to bet

1933
01:34:44,680 --> 01:34:46,800
Speaker 3: On Patrick, mahomes even A Patrick mahomes team that is

1934
01:34:46,840 --> 01:34:49,439
Speaker 3: six and six straight up and against the spread at

1935
01:34:49,479 --> 01:34:52,280
Speaker 3: home in a dire. Situation the public's gonna. Better so

1936
01:34:52,520 --> 01:34:54,439
Speaker 3: all the money line parlays that made it The Sunday

1937
01:34:54,520 --> 01:34:58,400
Speaker 3: night went to The. Chiefs and what happened there was

1938
01:34:58,439 --> 01:35:00,840
Speaker 3: if a book was having a bad, day it kind

1939
01:35:00,840 --> 01:35:03,120
Speaker 3: of salvaged the day and made it mediocre at. Least

1940
01:35:03,360 --> 01:35:05,040
Speaker 3: and if the book was having a good, day then

1941
01:35:05,040 --> 01:35:08,639
Speaker 3: The texans outright win twenty to ten made it a great.

1942
01:35:08,760 --> 01:35:12,040
Speaker 3: Day there was one odds maker In Las vegas who, noted,

1943
01:35:12,320 --> 01:35:14,760
Speaker 3: look this pretty much salvaged the day for. Us we

1944
01:35:14,800 --> 01:35:18,679
Speaker 3: needed The texans to, win and the under in order

1945
01:35:18,720 --> 01:35:20,639
Speaker 3: to it was the difference between winning and a losing.

1946
01:35:20,680 --> 01:35:22,680
Speaker 3: Day they were going to lose to the day if

1947
01:35:22,720 --> 01:35:25,080
Speaker 3: The chiefs even just won that, game and certainly if

1948
01:35:25,080 --> 01:35:28,120
Speaker 3: The chiefs, won it. Covered another odds maker, said, look

1949
01:35:28,160 --> 01:35:31,280
Speaker 3: we had a pretty good day in THE nfl On,

1950
01:35:31,439 --> 01:35:35,559
Speaker 3: sunday and this prior to The chiefs And texans kicking,

1951
01:35:35,600 --> 01:35:38,040
Speaker 3: Off and the odds maker, said if The texans win,

1952
01:35:38,080 --> 01:35:41,160
Speaker 3: tonight we'll go from good to. Great so that odds

1953
01:35:41,160 --> 01:35:43,280
Speaker 3: maker went from good to, great And i'm guessing a

1954
01:35:43,280 --> 01:35:45,880
Speaker 3: whole lot of others did as. Well it was definitely

1955
01:35:45,920 --> 01:35:48,000
Speaker 3: a really good, result but unfortunately for all of us

1956
01:35:48,040 --> 01:35:49,439
Speaker 3: on this side of the, counter a lot at least

1957
01:35:49,439 --> 01:35:53,519
Speaker 3: the public betting masses who weren't necessarily on The Houston

1958
01:35:53,560 --> 01:35:56,560
Speaker 3: texans not buying into The texans yet that result was

1959
01:35:56,640 --> 01:35:59,080
Speaker 3: kind of a day. Breaker so, again if you, know

1960
01:35:59,120 --> 01:36:01,560
Speaker 3: some books really altage today and turn it into a

1961
01:36:01,600 --> 01:36:04,320
Speaker 3: little something or at least a break, even and others

1962
01:36:04,400 --> 01:36:06,880
Speaker 3: did really well because of all the money mine parlors

1963
01:36:06,880 --> 01:36:09,800
Speaker 3: they got blown up by The Houston texans in The

1964
01:36:09,840 --> 01:36:14,000
Speaker 3: sunday night. Game Draft kings was surely among them and

1965
01:36:14,280 --> 01:36:16,599
Speaker 3: probably needed it as, well because when you look at

1966
01:36:16,760 --> 01:36:20,240
Speaker 3: who betters were on At Draft kings ON Nfl week Fourteen,

1967
01:36:20,360 --> 01:36:24,839
Speaker 3: sunday the most bets On sunday At Draft kings against

1968
01:36:24,880 --> 01:36:31,040
Speaker 3: the spread by ticket Count, Seahawks, Bears. Bengals seahawks cover,

1969
01:36:31,120 --> 01:36:34,360
Speaker 3: Easily bears do. Not they narrowly do not. Cover they

1970
01:36:34,360 --> 01:36:37,559
Speaker 3: were six and a half point underdogs and lost by.

1971
01:36:37,920 --> 01:36:40,479
Speaker 3: Seven and then The bengals were the third most bet,

1972
01:36:40,479 --> 01:36:43,320
Speaker 3: team and The bengals did cover even though they Let

1973
01:36:43,360 --> 01:36:45,640
Speaker 3: buffalo have this crazy comeback in the fourth quart of

1974
01:36:45,640 --> 01:36:48,280
Speaker 3: The bengals still cover the, spread and then by spread

1975
01:36:48,320 --> 01:36:52,080
Speaker 3: money At DraftKings those same three teams in that same Order, Seahawks, Bears,

1976
01:36:52,120 --> 01:36:54,720
Speaker 3: Bengals so The seahawks and The bengals both got there

1977
01:36:54,720 --> 01:36:57,120
Speaker 3: for the, betters while The bears just felt just to

1978
01:36:57,200 --> 01:37:01,240
Speaker 3: tick short other teams at Raft. Kings THAT i MEAN

1979
01:37:01,280 --> 01:37:03,120
Speaker 3: i alluded to The seahawks. Already that was obviously a

1980
01:37:03,120 --> 01:37:06,240
Speaker 3: good outcome for the customers At Draft. Kings so too

1981
01:37:06,479 --> 01:37:09,680
Speaker 3: was The La rams taking it to The Arizona. Cardinals

1982
01:37:10,240 --> 01:37:12,400
Speaker 3: there were a lot of tickets and money run to

1983
01:37:12,439 --> 01:37:15,960
Speaker 3: The La rams and on straight, bets and surely in

1984
01:37:16,000 --> 01:37:18,240
Speaker 3: parlays and so, forth but they were all over The

1985
01:37:18,320 --> 01:37:20,080
Speaker 3: rams on the spread At Draft kings based on the

1986
01:37:20,080 --> 01:37:23,000
Speaker 3: betting splits that they sent, over and again they were

1987
01:37:23,000 --> 01:37:26,000
Speaker 3: probably in all the money line parlays as. Well so generally,

1988
01:37:26,040 --> 01:37:28,920
Speaker 3: speaking probably a winning day for the, books or at

1989
01:37:28,960 --> 01:37:30,840
Speaker 3: least a break even day for the, books and the

1990
01:37:30,840 --> 01:37:32,680
Speaker 3: betters take it on the, chin even though they may

1991
01:37:32,720 --> 01:37:35,000
Speaker 3: have done good in spots in some of the early.

1992
01:37:35,040 --> 01:37:38,680
Speaker 3: Games they know they definitely gave it back in that

1993
01:37:38,800 --> 01:37:41,720
Speaker 3: night game With texans and The, chiefs no. Question and

1994
01:37:41,720 --> 01:37:43,479
Speaker 3: then of course you had that bad beat between The

1995
01:37:43,479 --> 01:37:45,519
Speaker 3: broncos and The. Raiders The broncos were covering and the

1996
01:37:45,560 --> 01:37:48,000
Speaker 3: game was dead under and The raiders got a field

1997
01:37:48,040 --> 01:37:49,800
Speaker 3: goal with no time left on the clock to not

1998
01:37:49,880 --> 01:37:52,960
Speaker 3: only pull within the spread losing by, seven but also

1999
01:37:53,160 --> 01:37:55,360
Speaker 3: take that game over forty and a. Half it ended

2000
01:37:55,439 --> 01:37:58,719
Speaker 3: up on forty one In, denvers twenty four seventeen, victory

2001
01:37:59,479 --> 01:38:02,080
Speaker 3: scooting us ahead to The Money night game to wrap,

2002
01:38:02,200 --> 01:38:04,679
Speaker 3: Up it's All eagles At Draft kings on the. Spread

2003
01:38:04,680 --> 01:38:07,000
Speaker 3: you're looking at about three to one tickets and money

2004
01:38:07,439 --> 01:38:10,960
Speaker 3: On philly on the spread against The Los Angeles, charters

2005
01:38:10,960 --> 01:38:12,960
Speaker 3: and The eagles certainly need to. Win they head the

2006
01:38:13,320 --> 01:38:16,040
Speaker 3: bumpy ride Over thanksgiving weekend losing On Black friday at

2007
01:38:16,040 --> 01:38:19,120
Speaker 3: home to The, bears so they are definitely on The.

2008
01:38:19,160 --> 01:38:21,120
Speaker 3: Eagles they're even taking The eagles money. Line it's like

2009
01:38:21,120 --> 01:38:22,840
Speaker 3: three to one, tickets four to one money on the

2010
01:38:22,840 --> 01:38:24,639
Speaker 3: money line on The. Eagles they're even laying the minus

2011
01:38:24,640 --> 01:38:27,000
Speaker 3: one thirty instead of the two and a half and

2012
01:38:27,160 --> 01:38:30,720
Speaker 3: just taking The eagles to win that. Game now for

2013
01:38:30,760 --> 01:38:33,080
Speaker 3: a much more a week, fifteen head on over To Vegas.

2014
01:38:33,080 --> 01:38:36,679
Speaker 3: Insider i've got my COMPLETE Nfl week fifteen opening odds

2015
01:38:36,680 --> 01:38:39,280
Speaker 3: and action report. Up it has a whole bunch of

2016
01:38:39,280 --> 01:38:42,400
Speaker 3: good info and insights from odds makers on some of

2017
01:38:42,439 --> 01:38:44,600
Speaker 3: the more critical games this. Week it's got info on

2018
01:38:44,640 --> 01:38:46,839
Speaker 3: every game and insights on some of the more noteworthy,

2019
01:38:46,880 --> 01:38:49,559
Speaker 3: games and that will update all week long with info

2020
01:38:49,600 --> 01:38:52,760
Speaker 3: and insights from bookmakers across the, country Including Draft. Kings

2021
01:38:52,840 --> 01:38:55,040
Speaker 3: so head over To Vegas Insider, ticket look at THE

2022
01:38:55,160 --> 01:38:58,320
Speaker 3: Nfl week fifteen opening odds And Action, report and we'll

2023
01:38:58,360 --> 01:38:58,960
Speaker 3: talk to you next.

2024
01:38:59,000 --> 01:39:01,120
Speaker 2: Week that'll do it here on The Action hour podcast

2025
01:39:01,200 --> 01:39:04,760
Speaker 2: for OUR Nfl week fourteen recap episode presented By. DraftKings

2026
01:39:05,040 --> 01:39:07,040
Speaker 2: give us a like on the YouTube video before you take.

2027
01:39:07,040 --> 01:39:10,080
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2028
01:39:10,320 --> 01:39:12,640
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2029
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2030
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2031
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2032
01:39:20,280 --> 01:39:23,360
Speaker 2: back For Action island Before monday nights games right here

2033
01:39:23,400 --> 01:39:26,200
Speaker 2: On Action hour's YouTube, page as well as MORE nfl

2034
01:39:26,240 --> 01:39:28,920
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2035
01:39:28,920 --> 01:39:33,160
Speaker 2: Stuck Anytime touchdowns and more on the podcast feed next.

2036
01:39:33,160 --> 01:39:37,640
Speaker 2: Week for the holidays and everything all. Around thank you for,

2037
01:39:37,720 --> 01:39:48,400
Speaker 2: Listening good luck with all your bets. Well Sean

2038
01:39:58,160 --> 01:40:02,720
Speaker 3: Action network reminds you please gamble responsibly if you or

2039
01:40:02,720 --> 01:40:05,519
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2040
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