WEBVTT - FedEx Aims to Cut $4 Billion

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg business Week Inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebec from Bloomberg Radio

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<v Speaker 1>giving you that lovely setup on FedEx stock at its

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<v Speaker 1>ties up four percent, still with about a one point

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<v Speaker 1>two percent gain on some plans that it is looking

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<v Speaker 1>to cut about four billion dollars in costs and by

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<v Speaker 1>coppying a strategy of its main competitor. We're talking about ups.

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<v Speaker 1>You want to get to it, yeah, but the details

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<v Speaker 1>is Thomas Black, Bloomberg News, Industrial logistics and aerospace reporter

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg News. He joins us on zoom from Dallas. Thomas,

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<v Speaker 1>great to speak with you the news today. Talk to

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<v Speaker 1>us about it cost cuts, merging. What stands out for

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<v Speaker 1>you there is the big transformation of their of their

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<v Speaker 1>company to go from two delivery network to one consolidated

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<v Speaker 1>network over time. That's really the big structural news. The

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<v Speaker 1>cost cuts. It's a big number. Four billion and plus

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<v Speaker 1>two billion more if they can get their network to

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<v Speaker 1>run the way they want to, so it could be

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<v Speaker 1>six billion in total out to their fiscal year twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven, So big numbers there. It could really move

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<v Speaker 1>the stock. I think the hesitation on the stock move

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<v Speaker 1>maybe because investors want to see them really execute on this.

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<v Speaker 1>There is some execution risk here, so we'll be watching

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<v Speaker 1>for that. I mean, this is all about improving and

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<v Speaker 1>shoring up its margins, right because UPS has easily outpaced

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<v Speaker 1>FedEx when it comes to margins. And to be fair Thomas,

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like when we talk about FedEx and UPS,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to remember they're not really the same operating models,

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<v Speaker 1>are they. They are not. There's a couple of key differences.

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<v Speaker 1>One as UPS does have that one unified network already,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a union workforce, which can work in its favor

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<v Speaker 1>even though the cost for employees is higher. But there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of efficiencies that they gain. I think FedEx

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<v Speaker 1>wants to go after some of that. The other thing

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<v Speaker 1>to keep in mind is that FedEx is a much

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<v Speaker 1>bigger airline. They move packages more by air. So right

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<v Speaker 1>now the market is pretty tough there because after the

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<v Speaker 1>COVID sugar high, we're now getting back to a more

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<v Speaker 1>normalized market where you're also seeing a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>competition from the belly cargo from the airlines as they

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<v Speaker 1>fly more, so that market, the demand there is certainly slack,

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<v Speaker 1>and FedEx is trying to adjust to that. Is that

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<v Speaker 1>the big difference in terms of the margin difference where

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<v Speaker 1>Ups even though it's got unionized workers and it pays

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more to its drivers than FedEx does. Is

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<v Speaker 1>it that FedEx has all of those planes and there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more air deliveries that that's why their margins

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<v Speaker 1>are not as good. What has been really the big

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<v Speaker 1>difference that has made the two so different when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to the margin front. That's part of the reason

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<v Speaker 1>the air business just isn't as a high margin business.

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<v Speaker 1>They also FedEx loses some efficiencies with its contractor model.

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<v Speaker 1>It pays third party contractors to make that last mild

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<v Speaker 1>delivery at its ground unit, and so there's some inefficiency

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<v Speaker 1>handing off packages to those folks and also communicating with

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<v Speaker 1>them to make sure that they have the right vans

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<v Speaker 1>and number vans and drivers there in the morning they

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<v Speaker 1>pick up those packages. They've had a little trouble with that,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're constantly renewing the contracts there and there's some

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<v Speaker 1>churns so they don't have as much control over the

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<v Speaker 1>drivers because the contractors actually hire the drivers. UPS has

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of efficiencies that it captures because a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of times the folks that want to be drivers, first

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<v Speaker 1>they have to work in the sorting center in the warehouse,

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<v Speaker 1>if you will, and load those trucks, and then if

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<v Speaker 1>they do a good job, then they might get hired

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<v Speaker 1>at the driver because they make pretty good money and

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<v Speaker 1>they already know the system and how it works and

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<v Speaker 1>so forth. So there's a lot of efficiencies that they

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<v Speaker 1>gained there. Thomas and Maddie, you might not know this,

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<v Speaker 1>but I actually worked for a day as a UPS

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<v Speaker 1>driver when I was doing a piece here at Bloomberg,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was and the company kept reminding me how

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<v Speaker 1>different it was that UPS. It's all their own workers.

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<v Speaker 1>There's no you know, outsourcing in terms of deliveries, and

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<v Speaker 1>they talked about the importance in that different model. The

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<v Speaker 1>other thing I will say, they were so nuts about data.

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<v Speaker 1>Every move a delivery person or pickup person made, everything

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<v Speaker 1>was tracked and they knew the way to turn, make

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<v Speaker 1>right turns, to you to get stuck at lights. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>it was pretty obsessive and pretty amazing. But but it

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<v Speaker 1>obviously has made a difference in the company. Yeah, it

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<v Speaker 1>looked really good in Brown too. No, I really didn't,

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<v Speaker 1>but irushed it obviously, I need I need you to

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<v Speaker 1>dig up that video for me. But Thomas, I wonder

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<v Speaker 1>I mean to Carol's point is all of this the

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<v Speaker 1>culmination is at FedEx moving to become a UPS, to

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<v Speaker 1>emulate UPS. I think the main difference is that they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to try to do this without having a unionized workforce.

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<v Speaker 1>They're going to keep those contractors. In fact, there was

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<v Speaker 1>a memo by John Smith, who's head of the ground

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<v Speaker 1>unit right now, telling its contractors, don't worry, we still

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<v Speaker 1>need you. We're still going to use you. So they

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<v Speaker 1>they're still betting on that model. The CEO Rode Supermanium

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<v Speaker 1>talk about having a hybrid model, whether they'll have some

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<v Speaker 1>employees and drivers on the payroll directly and then they'll

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<v Speaker 1>have the contractors. But they're going to try to combine

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<v Speaker 1>them into one unit so that when a customer draws

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<v Speaker 1>off a package, it just goes in a FedEx system

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<v Speaker 1>and pop that on the other end without having In

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<v Speaker 1>some cases you can have two delivery vehicles arrive at

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<v Speaker 1>the same location, one from express and one from ground.

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<v Speaker 1>They want all those packages flowing through the same system. Hey, Thomas,

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<v Speaker 1>how do you make sense to somebody who reports on

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<v Speaker 1>a company that's doing, you know, massive cuts. Four billion

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<v Speaker 1>dollars they're shooting for, and they do promise to raise

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<v Speaker 1>their dividend. Is that kind of saying, hey, guys, we're

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<v Speaker 1>on it, but we're going to make you investors, We're

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<v Speaker 1>looking to make you happy again. How do we see

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<v Speaker 1>that in terms of use of capital? Yeah, that's a

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<v Speaker 1>complex question. They didn't talk about job cuts today really

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<v Speaker 1>at all. They had announced about a ten percent cut

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<v Speaker 1>on some top management folks, and they have been letting

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<v Speaker 1>people go in their freight unit and with their contractor model,

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<v Speaker 1>they really don't have that much control over the drivers

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<v Speaker 1>on the ground. So it hasn't been massive layoffs so far.

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<v Speaker 1>And they didn't talk about that. But then again, they

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<v Speaker 1>are cutting capital expenditures and they're they're shifting some of

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<v Speaker 1>that money toward dividends. They've talked about reducing some of

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<v Speaker 1>that capex as a percentage of sales. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>this is this is a new error for FedEx because

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<v Speaker 1>for many years FedEx was always playing catch up to UPS,

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<v Speaker 1>and UPS was the market leader, and FedEx has gotten

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<v Speaker 1>very close to them on the sales. But I think

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<v Speaker 1>FedEx is saying, you know what, we're going to cool

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<v Speaker 1>cool down on the capex and we might not try

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<v Speaker 1>to over you know, we may not overtake UPS as

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest a career, but we're fine with that because

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to make more money and we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>give some of that back to the shareholders. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's maybe the pivot point that we're seeing as well.

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<v Speaker 1>But two years ago, I believe FedEx was in a

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<v Speaker 1>better position than UPS, partially because they pivoted quickly during

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<v Speaker 1>the tightness of the labor market to hire a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of workers. To what extent though, did that end up

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<v Speaker 1>being the thing that killed them today, not killed them,

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<v Speaker 1>but impacted their long term profitability. Well, this is where

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<v Speaker 1>those two models really kind of showed how distinct they are.

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<v Speaker 1>FedEx did have a lot of trouble trying to hire

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<v Speaker 1>folks who handle the package packages in the sorting centers,

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<v Speaker 1>and in some cases they would handle all the volume,

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<v Speaker 1>and that was a direct result of all of that

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<v Speaker 1>labor shortage. UPS was a little bit protective because they

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<v Speaker 1>do pay top dollar even for their part time workers.

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<v Speaker 1>They get full benefits, so the UPS didn't have as

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<v Speaker 1>much trouble hiring workers. And but you've got to think

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<v Speaker 1>that these these companies swell up and they and they

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<v Speaker 1>shrink down often right every peak season, they swell up,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe by tens of thousands of workers, and

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<v Speaker 1>then they swell down. So it's not unusual for them

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<v Speaker 1>to flex their workforce, right. UPS does it too, right

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<v Speaker 1>during the holiday season. And I will say that UPS

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<v Speaker 1>will also, you know, if they need be executives during

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<v Speaker 1>the holidays, they'll be out there delivering if that's what

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<v Speaker 1>they need to do they need to Ye. Lately they've

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<v Speaker 1>been hiring what they call personal vehicle drivers, which are

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<v Speaker 1>just people off the street and they hire them and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, give them a uniform and let them deliver packages.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's been a pressure relief vow for them is key.

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<v Speaker 1>It sounds like the uniforms. Y, it was a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of brown. M Thomas Black. Thank you so much for

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<v Speaker 1>minding time for us. We so appreciate it. Yeah, be well.

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<v Speaker 1>Industrial Logistics and Aerospace reporter up Bloomberg News on Zoom

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<v Speaker 1>from Dallas. You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Catch us live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>Listen on Bloomberg dot com, the ihard Radio app, and

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<v Speaker 1>Well shares of AI developers C three AI soaring about

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<v Speaker 1>one month ago following a revenue forecast and comments by

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO that we're both upbeat and led to more

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<v Speaker 1>than a handful of analysts raising price targets on the company.

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<v Speaker 1>Last two trading days though a little bit differently and

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<v Speaker 1>I have seen the stock drop nearly forty percent. In fact,

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday it was the most ever in a single day,

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<v Speaker 1>after short seller Kerrisdale Capital alleged serious accounting and disclosure

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<v Speaker 1>issues at the company. The company, meantime put out a

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<v Speaker 1>statement saying the shortseller's letter was a highly creative and

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<v Speaker 1>transparent attempt to diminish the stock price. So let's get

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<v Speaker 1>to it. Joining us right now is Tom Siebel back

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<v Speaker 1>with us. He's the founder, chairman and CEO of C

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<v Speaker 1>three AI and the firm's third largest shareholder. The stock,

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, has almost doubled here in twenty twenty three.

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<v Speaker 1>We must also know Kerrisdale Capital, one of nearly thirty

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<v Speaker 1>short selling firms being pro by the US Justice Department

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<v Speaker 1>over potential trading abuses, and the company's owner, a saying

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<v Speaker 1>earlier this year that the firm had not been contacted

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<v Speaker 1>by any government agency's over investigation. Sadron is the head

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<v Speaker 1>of the company. The chief investment officer, Tom Siebel, thank you,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being here with us. What

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<v Speaker 1>do you say to the short sellers? Well, first of all,

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<v Speaker 1>how are you? I am great, thank you, how are you?

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<v Speaker 1>I'm doing okay, trying to keep up with the news flow.

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<v Speaker 1>I wish it would get a little quieter. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>get to what the short seller is saying. They're saying

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<v Speaker 1>that you used highly aggressive accounting to inflate your income

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<v Speaker 1>statement metrics in order to meet self side analyst estimates

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<v Speaker 1>for revenue and certain profit metrics, and to conceal a

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<v Speaker 1>significant deterioration in your underlying operations. And they put this

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<v Speaker 1>in a letter to your auditor. What's your response to this, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think this was a enormously creative and successful effort

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<v Speaker 1>by a notorious short seller who it's widely reported as

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<v Speaker 1>under investigation by the Department of justice in the sec okay,

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<v Speaker 1>and has drug and alcohol convictions. And it's highly creative,

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<v Speaker 1>highly successful to issue this screed that contains not a

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<v Speaker 1>word of truth. Okay, short the stock published this letter

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<v Speaker 1>knowing that would move the stock. And I think yesterday

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<v Speaker 1>this person made an excess of one hundred million dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>So it was very creative, very successful attempt at what

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<v Speaker 1>appears to be successful stock price manipulation. John the story,

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<v Speaker 1>so tom so the charges or allegations of this short

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<v Speaker 1>seller that's saying that you guys, are you know, presenting

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<v Speaker 1>yourself as being in a high margin SaaS software service

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<v Speaker 1>businesses rather than one based on lower margin consulting. This

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<v Speaker 1>is the letter they put on are you a consulting

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<v Speaker 1>company or are you a software as a service business?

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<v Speaker 1>About eighty five percent of our revenue comes from software

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<v Speaker 1>subscriptions and fifteen to twenty comes from consulting services. This

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<v Speaker 1>person of this short seller alleges that we report to

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<v Speaker 1>get your ninety nine percent profit margins off of our

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<v Speaker 1>largest customer, Advange, which is Baker Hughes. And there is

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<v Speaker 1>nothing in any financial statement that we'll support that. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a complete fiction. And he says because it's ninety nine

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<v Speaker 1>percent margin. There's something must be something wrong with it. Um, Well,

0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>he's you know, he's subtracting apples from oranges to try

0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:02.160
<v Speaker 1>to come up with some sort of nefarious act. He

0:13:02.240 --> 0:13:08.280
<v Speaker 1>alleges that the fact that we have unbuild receivables is

0:13:08.800 --> 0:13:12.080
<v Speaker 1>very serious, suspicious, and good software companies don't have unbuild

0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:15.520
<v Speaker 1>receivable holes. And in the neglects to mention you know,

0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:20.840
<v Speaker 1>the many many companies like UH Salesforce, Data Dog, IBM, Adobes,

0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:25.600
<v Speaker 1>an Altics, SAP, all of which have many many, you know,

0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:30.360
<v Speaker 1>very large unbuild receivables. Unbuilding receivables is just, um, you know,

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 1>something for which you've recognized revenue for which you haven't

0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 1>submitted the invoice yet. It's very common in the industry.

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 1>It's well understood it. And he's trying to imply that

0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:41.600
<v Speaker 1>there's something wrong with that. There's nothing wrong with that.

0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:45.880
<v Speaker 1>It's proper accounting. But the guy succeeded. I mean sometimes

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:48.760
<v Speaker 1>crime pays, and it's stay off paid off for this

0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:51.680
<v Speaker 1>person in a big way yesterday. So we you know,

0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:54.240
<v Speaker 1>we after our hats are off to him. So Tom

0:13:54.240 --> 0:13:56.120
<v Speaker 1>and I want to get into what you guys are

0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:57.959
<v Speaker 1>doing in terms of AI, because that's initially why we

0:13:58.240 --> 0:14:02.840
<v Speaker 1>asked you to come on UM. In terms of your accounting,

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:04.720
<v Speaker 1>Deloitte and Touch, they're the one who got the letters.

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:07.640
<v Speaker 1>You're comfortable with their accounting, You've talked with them. You're

0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:12.160
<v Speaker 1>comfortable with their disclosures. Our disclosures are correct. Our accounting,

0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:16.199
<v Speaker 1>our accounting is absolutely correct. We have we have unqualified

0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:20.400
<v Speaker 1>opinion statements from our independent auditors. We have best practices

0:14:20.440 --> 0:14:23.800
<v Speaker 1>in terms of accounting, in terms of audit committee practices,

0:14:24.160 --> 0:14:27.480
<v Speaker 1>and that I mean, this is just a bunch of poppycock.

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:31.360
<v Speaker 1>This is a trick that this this character played on

0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:34.320
<v Speaker 1>the market. And you know he made somewhere between a

0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and two hundred million dollars at the expense

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 1>of C three shareholders yesterday and so, and no regulators

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:43.400
<v Speaker 1>have reached out to you, or that firm hasn't reached

0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:47.240
<v Speaker 1>out to you. Uh, they have not reached out to us.

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 1>And while it's widely reported that these guys are under

0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:55.080
<v Speaker 1>investigation by the SEC and the Department of Justice for

0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:58.840
<v Speaker 1>stock price manipulation, we've not been approached by either those

0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:01.760
<v Speaker 1>regulatary bodies of this firm. And have you been buying

0:15:01.800 --> 0:15:06.560
<v Speaker 1>any of the shares on the downfall um me personally

0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:15.000
<v Speaker 1>or C three uh both. I have not been buying

0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:17.480
<v Speaker 1>stock in the market, as you know, of the stock

0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 1>is up about I think one hundred percent year to date, okay,

0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:26.479
<v Speaker 1>and it's been you know, we've reported in earnings announcement

0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 1>that you know, business is quite good and the business

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 1>climate is quite good. And my only hope is that

0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:35.480
<v Speaker 1>these that this short seller in particular, and the short

0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:38.560
<v Speaker 1>sellers short sellers out there, hold on to their stock

0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:41.440
<v Speaker 1>because they're going to get in my opinion, they're going

0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 1>to get crushed real quickly, and then we'll pivot to

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 1>AI A promise. How do you refute the short seller's

0:15:46.320 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 1>argument that part of your success and gains is related

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 1>just to the ticker name and the overall hype around

0:15:52.560 --> 0:15:55.480
<v Speaker 1>AI right now, I think, I mean, it's just a

0:15:55.560 --> 0:16:00.520
<v Speaker 1>silly statement. I mean, is I think the name. I mean,

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 1>I think there's no value probably attributed to that. The

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:07.400
<v Speaker 1>fact that we're in the AI market. I think that,

0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, a rising scene kind of lifts all boats,

0:16:10.760 --> 0:16:13.920
<v Speaker 1>and so we are clearly a leader in enterprise AI.

0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 1>Enterprise AI looks like a half a trillion dollar addressable

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:21.200
<v Speaker 1>market in not very many years. C three AI is

0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:25.000
<v Speaker 1>in a position to establish, if not the leading position,

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:28.680
<v Speaker 1>a leading position in that market. So there's no question

0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:32.800
<v Speaker 1>that some of the upward pressure on the stock is

0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:38.119
<v Speaker 1>due to the realization of the size of the addressable

0:16:38.120 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 1>market opportunity to C three phases and quickly here I

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 1>just wonder, as CEO, how do you not get C

0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:45.480
<v Speaker 1>sick on these market moves because you had all these

0:16:45.560 --> 0:16:48.920
<v Speaker 1>games then obviously a tough couple of days here, what

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:53.080
<v Speaker 1>is your thinking around strategizing for your long term goals

0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 1>despite the market volatility. It's very easy I ignore the

0:16:57.400 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 1>market and focus on the long term goals. Business is

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:03.440
<v Speaker 1>to build a great company, have satisfied customers, have a

0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 1>cash positive, profitable business, market leadership position, and you know,

0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:11.679
<v Speaker 1>if we do that, we can just look. We have

0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:14.000
<v Speaker 1>I think the last of last quarter or something like

0:17:14.040 --> 0:17:16.440
<v Speaker 1>eight hundred and fifty million dollars in the bank. So

0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:20.239
<v Speaker 1>we are unquestionably an ongoing concern. And I think if

0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:24.119
<v Speaker 1>we focus on the big picture here, stay focused on

0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:27.440
<v Speaker 1>the big picture, I think this will work very very

0:17:27.480 --> 0:17:30.560
<v Speaker 1>well for the shareholders. But we don't really look at

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 1>day to day or minute to minute, or even month

0:17:32.840 --> 0:17:35.320
<v Speaker 1>to month. I think, you know, as far as we're concerned,

0:17:35.320 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 1>the market could close for five years. But I think

0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:41.560
<v Speaker 1>this is going to I think this is going to

0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:44.040
<v Speaker 1>work out very well for the shareholders, the employees, and

0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:46.680
<v Speaker 1>the customers in the long run. And that's my job.

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:48.800
<v Speaker 1>So the reason I don't get seasick is I don't

0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:52.639
<v Speaker 1>look at it. So Tom just got about thirty five

0:17:52.720 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 1>forty seconds here. So I mean, what is the big

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:56.840
<v Speaker 1>win for you guys in the next six months that

0:17:56.920 --> 0:18:02.040
<v Speaker 1>you say, hey, listen, churtsellers, you've just so got it wrong. Oh,

0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:04.040
<v Speaker 1>I think that if you're on the short side of

0:18:04.040 --> 0:18:06.639
<v Speaker 1>this year. I mean, our business is good, okay, and

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:09.960
<v Speaker 1>we're in a position, you know, we trans recently transition

0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:12.880
<v Speaker 1>to a consumption based pricing model that's really well received

0:18:12.880 --> 0:18:16.280
<v Speaker 1>by the market. We expect to see, you know, you know,

0:18:16.359 --> 0:18:18.480
<v Speaker 1>as the fad when the fad gets ready to take

0:18:18.480 --> 0:18:21.560
<v Speaker 1>its foot off the brakes, okay, as it relates to

0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:24.639
<v Speaker 1>dealing with inflation, I think you're going to see C

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:30.000
<v Speaker 1>three as a very rapidly growing, market leading enterprise application

0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:34.400
<v Speaker 1>software company that's profitable, cash positive, and that'll be reflected

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:37.280
<v Speaker 1>in market evaluation. Tom Sebel, thank you so much. I've

0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:39.440
<v Speaker 1>c three a eyes. We said a lot of analysts

0:18:39.520 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 1>upgrading the stock last month. You're listening to the Bloomberg

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:47.440
<v Speaker 1>Business Week podcast. Catch us live weekday afternoons from three

0:18:47.480 --> 0:18:51.080
<v Speaker 1>to six eastre on Bloomberg Radio, the Bloomberg Business App

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:54.600
<v Speaker 1>and YouTube. You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa

0:18:54.680 --> 0:18:58.080
<v Speaker 1>from our flagship New York station, Just say Alexa playing

0:18:58.160 --> 0:19:07.159
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg eleven thirty. I'm bring a journal. Yeah, but you

0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:11.840
<v Speaker 1>let me drive? Oh no, no, no, no, who's gonna drive? Honey? Please,

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:18.440
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the bride gravels. I'm want to drive the question.

0:19:22.160 --> 0:19:25.680
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the Clobe. Commmu than well,

0:19:25.760 --> 0:19:30.240
<v Speaker 1>Brither Dawn on Bloomberg Radio. All right, everybody, we've got

0:19:30.320 --> 0:19:32.399
<v Speaker 1>just about seventeen and a half minutes left in today's

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:35.360
<v Speaker 1>trading session, getting ready to wrap up on this Wednesday.

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:37.479
<v Speaker 1>Remember it's a holiday short and trading week. We do

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:41.200
<v Speaker 1>get the jobs report on Friday, um, but financial markets

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:42.359
<v Speaker 1>here in the US are going to be closed for

0:19:42.400 --> 0:19:45.400
<v Speaker 1>the Good Friday holiday. Having said that, bouncing around here

0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:48.200
<v Speaker 1>on the equity side, gaining the down just about a

0:19:48.280 --> 0:19:51.399
<v Speaker 1>quarter of a percent, high. As Charlie mentioned tech stocks

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 1>in particular, the nastack down the most on a percentage basis,

0:19:54.000 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 1>But it's really a big focus on what's going on

0:19:57.320 --> 0:19:59.160
<v Speaker 1>in the treasury trade right now. That to year note,

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:01.280
<v Speaker 1>just to reminder, three seventy eight ten year knit with

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:03.919
<v Speaker 1>the yield of three twenty nine. So let's get to

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 1>it with our drive to the closed. Guest and with

0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>Maddie and me is Bill Davis, portfolio manager at Hennessey Funds.

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Bill specifically managing the Hennessy stands at ESG Large cap

0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:17.680
<v Speaker 1>ETF ticker is st n C fun up roughly four

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.399
<v Speaker 1>percent year to day. Bill with us now on the

0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:24.600
<v Speaker 1>phone from Boston. Bill, great to have you here on

0:20:24.680 --> 0:20:26.520
<v Speaker 1>this Wednesday. Tell us a little bit about the fun

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:28.760
<v Speaker 1>and correct me if I'm wrong. But I think you

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 1>guys made the debut. Was it like when we were

0:20:30.640 --> 0:20:34.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of coming out of the pandemic. Yeah, I think

0:20:34.680 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 1>Karrol and Maddie that's right. We actually launched the fund

0:20:38.600 --> 0:20:43.879
<v Speaker 1>in the first quarter of twenty twenty one, so s

0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:49.680
<v Speaker 1>TNCs A nicely listed it actively managed ESG Large cap

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:55.359
<v Speaker 1>ETF and yeah, and we've basically got two years in

0:20:55.480 --> 0:20:59.439
<v Speaker 1>the actual ETF itself and assets under management. What kind

0:20:59.440 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>of flows have you I've been seen, and I'm really

0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:03.159
<v Speaker 1>curious in particular the last let's say six months or

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:04.800
<v Speaker 1>so and more recently, just to get an idea of

0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:09.680
<v Speaker 1>investors sentiment. Yeah, I would say thats have well. So

0:21:09.760 --> 0:21:12.800
<v Speaker 1>last year we basically even though the market was down

0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:17.080
<v Speaker 1>eighteen percent, I think we were down twelve percent and change,

0:21:17.200 --> 0:21:20.000
<v Speaker 1>and our flows went up by about ten percent. So

0:21:20.040 --> 0:21:23.600
<v Speaker 1>we've got about forty five million in the fund today.

0:21:23.760 --> 0:21:30.000
<v Speaker 1>We are expecting some inflows, some actually potentially significant ones

0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:36.000
<v Speaker 1>really just based on track record and outperformance and risk management,

0:21:36.000 --> 0:21:38.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think this is a market where risk management matters.

0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:42.320
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about the fact that it is

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:45.920
<v Speaker 1>an ESG fund, and Carol has flagged this and we've

0:21:45.920 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 1>talked about it a lot. ESG funds falling out of

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:51.400
<v Speaker 1>favor a bit, garnering more and more scrutiny, the absence

0:21:51.440 --> 0:21:55.200
<v Speaker 1>of consistency and ESG classification, showing the hurdles investor's face

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:58.840
<v Speaker 1>when trying to allocate capital, especially given these macro headwinds.

0:21:58.880 --> 0:22:01.919
<v Speaker 1>But against that, backed up, MSCI has said it's planning

0:22:01.920 --> 0:22:04.880
<v Speaker 1>to dramatically reduce the number of funds, it gives top ratings,

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:08.280
<v Speaker 1>and I wonder how you're feeling about those changes that

0:22:08.280 --> 0:22:10.120
<v Speaker 1>are going to take effect by the end of this month,

0:22:10.160 --> 0:22:13.160
<v Speaker 1>and are you feeling any impact as a result. Yeah,

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:17.920
<v Speaker 1>so no, short answer, not feeling any impact. I think

0:22:17.960 --> 0:22:22.560
<v Speaker 1>that ESG is a political wedge issue, is largely a

0:22:22.640 --> 0:22:27.520
<v Speaker 1>dead end as a sort of an investor sentiment issue.

0:22:27.560 --> 0:22:32.520
<v Speaker 1>I think that there are a wide swath of investors, institutional,

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:36.879
<v Speaker 1>high net worth, ultra high net worth, mass, affluent, millennial,

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, people with ten dollars to invest and people

0:22:40.280 --> 0:22:43.160
<v Speaker 1>with one hundred million dollars to invest, to care about

0:22:43.200 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 1>these issues or they don't, right, So, I mean, I

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:47.879
<v Speaker 1>guest that there's people that don't care about them, but

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:51.320
<v Speaker 1>the people that do are not being dissuaded by congressional

0:22:51.400 --> 0:22:56.240
<v Speaker 1>inquiries into you know, ESG. I just we have not

0:22:56.320 --> 0:22:59.400
<v Speaker 1>seen any effect whatsoever. And by the way, I actually

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:02.920
<v Speaker 1>do welcome the idea of additional scrutiny. There are too

0:23:02.920 --> 0:23:07.359
<v Speaker 1>many products that are either me too or you know,

0:23:07.440 --> 0:23:10.680
<v Speaker 1>just lack authenticity, and I do think a weeding out

0:23:10.720 --> 0:23:13.360
<v Speaker 1>of the general landscape would be a very good idea well.

0:23:13.400 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 1>And part of the big problem is, you know, every

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:19.439
<v Speaker 1>ESG fund. It's not apples to apples. There's inconsistency, to

0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:21.919
<v Speaker 1>say the lead in terms of classification. So how do

0:23:21.960 --> 0:23:23.359
<v Speaker 1>you I want to get into we want to get

0:23:23.400 --> 0:23:26.760
<v Speaker 1>into your picks, But how do you define ESG. You're

0:23:26.760 --> 0:23:30.359
<v Speaker 1>an actively managed fund? So what says ESG to you

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 1>before you look? You know that requires you? Then yeah, no, no, no,

0:23:33.840 --> 0:23:36.520
<v Speaker 1>really good, really good point. And by the way, I

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:38.920
<v Speaker 1>will also say, there are a lot of valid approaches

0:23:38.960 --> 0:23:41.280
<v Speaker 1>to ESG that are very different from what we're doing.

0:23:41.320 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 1>Like I could make an argument that you could have

0:23:44.359 --> 0:23:48.560
<v Speaker 1>an ESG product that invests in energy transition, right, so

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 1>that's mostly investing in today's oil and gas companies trying

0:23:52.880 --> 0:23:56.560
<v Speaker 1>to pick the winners and losers in the transition to

0:23:56.600 --> 0:24:00.840
<v Speaker 1>a lower carbon economy. Our particular product, this problem STNC

0:24:01.680 --> 0:24:06.000
<v Speaker 1>is fossil free, it's weapons free, it's tobacco free. And really,

0:24:06.040 --> 0:24:09.640
<v Speaker 1>then what we look to do is invest in the

0:24:09.680 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>intersection of good ESG and good fundamentals across as much

0:24:13.800 --> 0:24:17.000
<v Speaker 1>of the economy. And I should point out our market

0:24:17.080 --> 0:24:20.320
<v Speaker 1>universe as the SMP five hundreds sore basically US large gap.

0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:24.760
<v Speaker 1>But we are you know, we happen to be overweight

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:29.600
<v Speaker 1>industrials frequently, and so we are not afraid to invest

0:24:29.720 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 1>in segments of the economy within which the transition is

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:38.320
<v Speaker 1>not only important, but there are going to be inherent

0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:42.920
<v Speaker 1>risks for companies in their investors when they aren't being

0:24:43.000 --> 0:24:45.639
<v Speaker 1>ambitious enough in that transition. And so we think that

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:49.840
<v Speaker 1>there's real opportunity for investors to generate alpha there. So

0:24:49.920 --> 0:24:52.919
<v Speaker 1>talk to us some names here and what your KPIs

0:24:52.920 --> 0:24:58.919
<v Speaker 1>are for those doctics. So we have twenty four KPIs.

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:02.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to start by saying that key performance indicators

0:25:02.200 --> 0:25:06.600
<v Speaker 1>for everybody ahead. Key performance indicators. Sometimes we call them

0:25:06.600 --> 0:25:09.960
<v Speaker 1>material risk factors because I think really what we're trying

0:25:09.960 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 1>to do is on an industry group basis, identify those

0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:18.200
<v Speaker 1>material risk factors and then weight them in according to importance.

0:25:18.280 --> 0:25:22.840
<v Speaker 1>So like a practical example of that is automotive products.

0:25:22.880 --> 0:25:27.080
<v Speaker 1>We get asked pretty frequently about Tesla, and you know,

0:25:27.160 --> 0:25:30.680
<v Speaker 1>we try not to let personal feelings, you know, get

0:25:30.720 --> 0:25:33.560
<v Speaker 1>involved in decision making. And what I will tell you

0:25:33.680 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 1>is Tesla is very good at certain things like low

0:25:37.800 --> 0:25:40.800
<v Speaker 1>carbon or carbon transition, but it happens to be very

0:25:40.840 --> 0:25:42.720
<v Speaker 1>bad at a lot of the S and G stuff

0:25:42.760 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 1>like governance, injuries and fatalities, human rights, worker rights, those things.

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:53.119
<v Speaker 1>In the end of the day, Tesla sometimes is in

0:25:53.119 --> 0:25:55.480
<v Speaker 1>our portfolio because it happens to be in the top

0:25:55.560 --> 0:25:59.680
<v Speaker 1>fifty percent of its industry group, largely as a result

0:25:59.680 --> 0:26:01.480
<v Speaker 1>of what it's good at and as a result of

0:26:01.480 --> 0:26:04.720
<v Speaker 1>the waiting of what it's good at. And that's essentially

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 1>how the KPIs work for us. And some are E,

0:26:08.400 --> 0:26:11.359
<v Speaker 1>and some are S and some are G. Unfortunately, we

0:26:11.400 --> 0:26:14.840
<v Speaker 1>only have about forty seconds left here. Pick your name, MasterCard.

0:26:14.880 --> 0:26:17.720
<v Speaker 1>We know you like. You've also recently taken positions in

0:26:17.760 --> 0:26:20.080
<v Speaker 1>GE and alphabet. You can pick one and just tell

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:24.080
<v Speaker 1>us why. Again, only about thirty five seconds. Yeah, well,

0:26:24.080 --> 0:26:27.960
<v Speaker 1>I'll take GE as an example. I mentioned sectors that

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>we like. We tend to like industrials, we tend to

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:34.439
<v Speaker 1>like healthcare. We happen to be overweight in financials for

0:26:34.480 --> 0:26:37.880
<v Speaker 1>the first time. But GE is kind of an interesting

0:26:37.920 --> 0:26:40.639
<v Speaker 1>name because it plays in both industrials and to a

0:26:40.640 --> 0:26:44.960
<v Speaker 1>certain extent healthcare. It's a strong yes um, it's it's

0:26:45.000 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>a strong um yes G name. And there is a

0:26:49.680 --> 0:26:52.399
<v Speaker 1>very strong signal right now around new sentiment, which is

0:26:52.400 --> 0:26:55.879
<v Speaker 1>not typically a big signal for us, but fundamentally we

0:26:55.960 --> 0:26:57.240
<v Speaker 1>like it as well, and we think it's a good

0:26:57.240 --> 0:27:00.680
<v Speaker 1>time down yet Catalyst, I mean, by the way, they're

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:03.640
<v Speaker 1>up about forty three forty three percent so far here

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:07.040
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty three. Great conversation, Bill Davis, thank you,

0:27:07.040 --> 0:27:09.359
<v Speaker 1>come back to you and portfolio manager at Hennessey Funds

0:27:09.720 --> 0:27:13.879
<v Speaker 1>turning matting me on the phone from Boston. This is

0:27:13.920 --> 0:27:18.240
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