1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Why from our nations this budget thing is going to 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: do nothing space forts. I still think it's interesting President 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: Trump not playing his cards yet headlines Policy and Politics 4 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: colliding sound on with Kevin's related The Insiders, the influencers, 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: the insides. I would rather see a congressional solution. It's 6 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: part of my DNA. The Senate map in looks a 7 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: lot different than it looked in. You really have a 8 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 1: divide within Team Trump. The President has to do exactly 9 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: what people send him here to do, which is to 10 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: get it done. He's sound on with Kevin's related on 11 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one and one oh seven m h D two Baltimore. 12 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: No tariffs for Mexico yet. President Trump says that he's 13 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: going to give Mexico more time before he decides whether 14 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 1: or not to raise terrorists. But now we're talking about China. 15 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,239 Speaker 1: President Trump also saying that he will raise Chinese tariffs 16 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 1: again if President she Jing Ping of China won't meet 17 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 1: at the G twenty. We've since learned that President she 18 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: is still anticipated to attend the G twenty plus. The 19 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 1: US also weighing more sanctions over Iran, potentially over trade 20 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: with the Europeans. But first before we get to all 21 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 1: of that, a very special guest, the first time she's 22 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: appeared on television or radio, the Director of the Consumer 23 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 1: Financial Protection Bureau, Kathy Cranninger is here in studio in Washington, 24 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 1: d C. We're gonna bring you that exclusive interview. What 25 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,479 Speaker 1: a really weird, weathered day it was raining, It's not raining, 26 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 1: it's Monday, folks, and we're gonna talk all things about 27 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: the hot and cold trade policy and the signals coming 28 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: out of the White House and what folks up on 29 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: Capitol Hill have to say about that. But before we 30 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: get to that, we have a very special guest, the 31 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Kathy Craninger. She 32 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: is here in studio with us, the CFPB director, and 33 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: and look, I think most people direct. First of all, 34 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 1: thank you for being here. Now, thank you for having me. Now, 35 00:01:57,280 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: I remember covering the inception of the CFB when Senator 36 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren really created this thing back when she was 37 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: a Harvard law professor. Not candidly, you and her have 38 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 1: very different ideological bends on on the cfp B. But 39 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 1: what exactly does the cfp B do? And is the 40 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: goal of this government agency? So, Kevin, it is precisely 41 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: to protect consumers in the financial marketplace for products and 42 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: services that are financially related. And it is created was 43 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 1: created in the wake of the financial crisis, and that's 44 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: really formative in terms of what its responsibilities are and 45 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 1: where it where it goes. But but frankly, it's there 46 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 1: to look out for consumers and a few different tools 47 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: that we have that Congress gave us to carry that out. 48 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: Education being first and foremost so getting involved in financial education, 49 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 1: really supporting consumers so they have the information they need 50 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 1: to make the best decisions for themselves. Uh. That's that's 51 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: job one. Uh. And then regulation, we certainly do create 52 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 1: clear rules the road for financial institutions and those that 53 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: are offering services and products. Supervision of those institutions so 54 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 1: that we're examining them to make sure they're complying with 55 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: the law, and then enforcement really taking action against those 56 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 1: bad actors in the marketplace who are seeking to take 57 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: advantage of consumers. On I remember when I covered previous 58 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 1: House Financial Services Committee chairman Job hunter Ling and he 59 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:28,359 Speaker 1: he dubbed the CFPB the rogue regulator, the rogue regulator. 60 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: How have you tried to change the perception amongst the 61 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 1: business community and your first you've only been there for 62 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: six months, but in your six months there, how have 63 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: you tried to to to signal to the business community 64 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: that you want you want to let them in on 65 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: the process of these rules. It really starts with proactive 66 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: dialogue and transparency. And that's frankly, not just for the 67 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: business community, but for consumer advocates as well, the public educators. 68 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 1: We have so many stakeholders that care about what the 69 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: Bureau does, and my focus has really been on that 70 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 1: process and making sure that we are open to feedback, 71 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: that we are actually out there and soliciting that input, 72 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: demonstrating that we're making adjustments based on the experiences of 73 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 1: consumers in the marketplace and businesses that are offering those services. 74 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 1: Kathy Craininger, she is the director of the Consumer Financial 75 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 1: Protection Bureau. She's joining us in studio here in Washington 76 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:23,680 Speaker 1: for an exclusive interview Dodd Frank. The two thousand and 77 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 1: Ted Dodd Frank Law, it actually mandates that the CFPB, 78 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 1: this Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, will define what exactly abusive 79 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: practices are. Personally, I think if you're getting abused by 80 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: a financial institution or or or a business is taking 81 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,720 Speaker 1: advantage of a consumer. You know what the definition is, 82 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 1: but I guess the lawyers need a definition. So how 83 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: are you going to help define what abusive practices are 84 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: that impacts a lot of businesses? Now, you're absolutely right. 85 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: So we do have a responsibility to take action against unfair, 86 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 1: abusive and deceptive practices and acts in the marketplace. And 87 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 1: the word abuse of it is kind of a new 88 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,719 Speaker 1: one in the statutory context, and so there is some 89 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: interest on the business front to make sure that we 90 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: are clear on what that actually means. So we are 91 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: taking again in that UH, really push for productive and 92 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:21,679 Speaker 1: proactive dialogue, a symposia series. We're gonna bring in experts 93 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: who are going to talk about this. We're gonna live 94 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,719 Speaker 1: stream the event. It's gonna be on June, and we're 95 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 1: really going to get their perspectives on how we better 96 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 1: define this or frankly, if it really needs regulatory definition, 97 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 1: and then we'll take the right actions from there based 98 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 1: on the comments and feedback we get and the input 99 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 1: from those experts. So in Senator Elizabeth Warren and Democrats 100 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:45,719 Speaker 1: say you want to weaken the agency, you say that 101 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: is absolutely not the case. I think it's unfortunate, frankly, 102 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:52,239 Speaker 1: with the history of this agency that it turned into 103 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: a bit of a ping pow. It's a political pinata, yes, 104 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: and that really is unfortunate, because we all care about 105 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: protecting consumers. We all care about fair, competitive and transparent marketplaces, 106 00:06:03,800 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: and we want to frankly put forth the right rules 107 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:10,679 Speaker 1: to set off the economy in the right direction and 108 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 1: and really do our part in that space. And so 109 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 1: that's what I'm focused on. So the Trump administration doesn't 110 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: want to shut down and you don't want to shut 111 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 1: down the CFPB. Congress gave me a job to do, 112 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 1: and I am doing that job. And if they want 113 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 1: to make changes to the structure or other things about 114 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 1: the agency, I will certainly carry that out as well 115 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: if those get enacted. We were talking about this in 116 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 1: the break in between the Bloomberg TV segment and now 117 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:38,359 Speaker 1: this but about financial literacy and about the work that 118 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: you're doing for financial literacy for veterans, for service members, 119 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:45,799 Speaker 1: for their families, and also for UH for young people 120 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 1: as well. Tell me about the financial literacy aspects of 121 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: the CFPP. No, it's a it's a fantastic part of 122 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 1: our mission. We really look very carefully at all of 123 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: the different populations. Congress gave us a focus on older 124 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: Americans to a lot of issues with elder abuse and 125 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 1: fraud there for service members, their families of veterans, vulnerable populations, students. 126 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: So we really do have a focus area on a 127 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 1: lot of different populations and what their education needs are, 128 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: what we see in the marketplace, and we provide a 129 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: lot of different products in terms of educational products to 130 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 1: meet those needs. And you've done tell me you were 131 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 1: just and I believe it was Texas who were down 132 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:29,560 Speaker 1: in Texas for veterans. Yes, yes, had a fantastic event. 133 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: Actually got some barbecue. I did get some get some 134 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 1: barbecue that yet, that's essential. But we had a fantastic 135 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 1: visit to joint based in Antonio, had family members active 136 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: duty service members there and we were launching what we 137 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: call Misadventures and Money Management. So it's actually a game 138 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: to help service members walk through financial decisions. They choose 139 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 1: their own adventure and see what the outcome is and frankly, 140 00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: doing that via the game and via the video rather 141 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: than in real life helps them understand what the implications 142 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: are the decisions they're making. We talk about you know, 143 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: being physically fit, we gotta be fiscally fit as well. 144 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: My very special thanks to Kathy craning Er. She is 145 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: the CFPB director, the director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. 146 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 1: Thank you for hanging out with Bloomberg this afternoon. Appreciate 147 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 1: the time. Thank you so much for having me and 148 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: coming up more fallout for the Trump administration and Democrats. 149 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 1: We talk all things, all things politics and policy, the 150 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 1: latest on the tariff front. We've got Eli Yokeley, political 151 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 1: reporter for the morning consult and Mark Ross, founder of 152 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 1: Charical Global. They will break it down for us. You 153 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: can download the Sound on podcast on Apple iTunes, at 154 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:46,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. 155 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,320 Speaker 1: You can also find us on Radio dot com, I 156 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: Heart Radio and Spotify. I'm Kevin CURRELLI we're kick starting 157 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 1: another week and you're listening to Bloomberg. You're listening to 158 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: Sound Dawn with Keivins to relate on Bloomberg one and 159 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 1: one oh five point seven f m h D two Baltimore, 160 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:13,480 Speaker 1: from government regulations to geo politics. Fascinating conversation with CFPB 161 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: director Kathy Craninger, her first television and radio interviews she's 162 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 1: the director of the CFPB, and I gotta be honest. 163 00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:22,839 Speaker 1: I mean she takes it from the left, from the right. 164 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: I mean everyone's constantly going after there's government regulations. Appreciate 165 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:29,439 Speaker 1: her time. And now I want to pivot though, back 166 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: to geopolitics and trade policy. We've got Eli Yoakley and 167 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,559 Speaker 1: Mark Ross to help navigate through this. They were so 168 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: good the last time when I was in Philadelphia holding 169 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:41,839 Speaker 1: down the fort here in Washington that I said, I gotta, 170 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 1: I gotta get it on the fund. Eli is a 171 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: political reporter from Morgan Consult. Mark Ross, of course as 172 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:51,200 Speaker 1: the founder of Terrical Global. Mark, I'll take it from you. 173 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: Because President Trump he called in I love the Trump 174 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:56,439 Speaker 1: Calling interviews, by the way, to our competitors c NBC, 175 00:09:56,559 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 1: good interview. You gotta give him credit about the his 176 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: decision to delay the tariffs against Mexico. Here's the President 177 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 1: of the United States on his decision. This is something 178 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:11,559 Speaker 1: the US has been trying to get for over twenty 179 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 1: years with Mexico. They've never been able to do it. 180 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: As soon as I put tariffs on the table, it 181 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 1: was it was done. It took two days. So Mark, 182 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: what exactly did we get um, Well, it depends who 183 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 1: you talked to. I think if you listen to the 184 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 1: White House. They put out a statement today they called 185 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: it historic, the deal they made with Mexico. They also 186 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: promised additional buying of goods, possibly corn, but we really 187 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 1: don't know. But nothing was signed. Nothing was signed. It 188 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 1: was a one pager that was put out late on Friday, 189 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 1: And all we really have is Trump's word that's something 190 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 1: historic happened. But and then they also said, and he 191 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 1: tweeted this out around the same time of the c 192 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:56,959 Speaker 1: NBC interview or right after that, if Mexico doesn't follow 193 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 1: through that, He's just gonna increase the tariffs as well. 194 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 1: And then it actually has to go through Mexico's government 195 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,839 Speaker 1: to get approval. And I'm but but I'm confused. So 196 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:09,079 Speaker 1: that has to happen, But then Congress still has to 197 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:12,280 Speaker 1: ratify U. S. M c A. So procedurally walked me 198 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 1: through the hurdles. Well, this is much more complicated than 199 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 1: I'm just a bill on Capitol Hell, So I think 200 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 1: the key thing is the Mexican government. In Trump's defense, 201 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 1: the Mexican government said, listen, we're gonna put forces, We're 202 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:26,240 Speaker 1: gonna deploy our National Guard, which is a new development. 203 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: We're gonna put six thousand troops on the southern border, 204 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 1: and we're gonna attempt to slow down immigrants coming from 205 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: Central America. So that's positive. I think that what is 206 00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:39,920 Speaker 1: interesting behind the scenes is did Mexico basically promised something 207 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:42,840 Speaker 1: that we are going to do? Uh? Did they uh 208 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 1: diplomatically find a way to play Kate Trump and did 209 00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 1: they give him a win? Right? And I think, uh, 210 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter, you know, what the deal was, right, 211 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 1: It really only matters what the president things happened. And 212 00:11:58,400 --> 00:11:59,959 Speaker 1: then we do have a deal, if that makes sense, 213 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,439 Speaker 1: all right. So meanwhile, eLife that wasn't enough. So now 214 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:04,960 Speaker 1: we've got to wait for a bill to pass Mexico's government. 215 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 1: We still don't know what the forecast is for U 216 00:12:06,920 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: S m c A, whether or not we're gonna get 217 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:11,560 Speaker 1: that by August. Now we're suddenly talking about US China 218 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 1: tariffs again. If President Shi jing Ping, who says he's 219 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 1: showing up to the G twenty and Osaka, Japan, but 220 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: we but like there's chatter that he might not. There 221 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: was conflicting reports in the Chinese state run media about 222 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:27,719 Speaker 1: whether he would go, Well, here's the president on on 223 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 1: China talks on CNBC. Here is we don't have a deal. 224 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:33,839 Speaker 1: If we don't make a deal, then we will be 225 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 1: raising the tariffs meeting, putting the tariffs on more than 226 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:43,520 Speaker 1: you know, we've we've only taxed of what they send in. 227 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: They have another and that'll be taxed. I just feel 228 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 1: like you like, these issues are getting conflated. I mean, 229 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 1: it's a it's it's a it's a bilateral trade discussion, 230 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: but it's a multilateral response. Yeah, there's a lot. There's 231 00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 1: a lot going on here. I think he sens some 232 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 1: blood in the water on trade. He saw that he 233 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: could make Mexico move, and now he's looking to see 234 00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:04,560 Speaker 1: what what China can do. Um. You know, this is 235 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 1: probably a bigger deal with What will be interesting to 236 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 1: see is what Republican senators and what Republican lawmakers do. 237 00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 1: They stood up pretty strongly last week against the President 238 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:15,439 Speaker 1: Trump in ways that we haven't really seen a lot 239 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,319 Speaker 1: of before, and so if that continues with China, I 240 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 1: think that'd be a pretty big deal. So what were 241 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:23,719 Speaker 1: they doing with China? What pressure can Republicans put on 242 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 1: the president besides just going out and tweeting and talking 243 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:29,800 Speaker 1: about it, because I mean, in the same CNBC interview, 244 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 1: the President completely lambasted the Chamber of Commerce as as 245 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 1: a warning sign the Chamber had come out against the tariffs, 246 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: and he's just saying, well, they don't understand. And last 247 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:42,840 Speaker 1: week the President criticized Republican senators Republican senators for coming 248 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 1: out against him on terif So, what really feasibly can 249 00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 1: Republicans do, Mark Ross, founder of Carrica Global, to prevent 250 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: to prevent this type of pushback? Can they do anything? 251 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 1: I think the situation is interesting because Mexico is one thing, 252 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:00,600 Speaker 1: and I think that's time with immigration. I think there's 253 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 1: a lot of agreement on both sides of the aisle 254 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 1: that China has not been playing fair, that in fact, 255 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:08,600 Speaker 1: tariffs are a good thing, that there should be pushed 256 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,200 Speaker 1: back right, but the idea that these are the same 257 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 1: thing is not the correct approach. Now that may be 258 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: the way that President Trump is seeing them, that tariff 259 00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:20,040 Speaker 1: is now a tool that he can use to move markets, 260 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 1: shape foreign policy, play kate, domestic constituencies. The challenges going forward, 261 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 1: how do businesses react? And nowhere to plan right like? 262 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 1: And it's also an amazing moment American politics where the 263 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 1: US Chamber of commerces on the wrong side of the 264 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 1: Republican Party here. I mean, that's not something we've seen 265 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 1: for a really long time, and on the wrong side 266 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 1: of the president. Yeah. Well, necessarily the Republican Party is 267 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 1: you know, better than anyone on Republicans on Capital Hill 268 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 1: are still on the side of the Chamber. But Republican voters, 269 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 1: as we know Morning Consulate, followed Trump pretty closely and 270 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 1: where he goes they usually follow. And even on these 271 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 1: trade issues, we've seen Republican voters across the country been 272 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:02,680 Speaker 1: pretty supportive. Coming up, we're gonna talk more policy and politics, 273 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 1: plus the freshest headlines off of the Bloomberg terminal. Alex 274 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 1: Wayne just stumbled in to the sound on studios. He's 275 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 1: the White House editor for Bloomberg News. Eli Yokley stays, 276 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 1: Mark Ross stays, I'm Kevin Cirelli and I'll stick around 277 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 1: to You can download the sound on podcast on Apple iTunes, 278 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. 279 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 1: You can also find us on Radio dot com, I 280 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 1: Heart Radio, and Spotify. You're listening to Bloomberg one. This 281 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 1: is Sound On with Kevin Cirelli on Bloomberg one and 282 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 1: one oh seven m h D two Botimore. I'm Kevin Cirelli, 283 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. I 284 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 1: am joint to talk all things politics and policy. By 285 00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: Eli Yokley. He's a political reporter for Morning Consult. Mark Fross, 286 00:15:56,320 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 1: founder of Terrile Global, which specializes in the intersection of 287 00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 1: globalization as well as politics from around the world. And 288 00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: alex Wayne. Alex Wayne is Bloomberg News White House team leader. 289 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 1: He oversees all of the White House coverage here in 290 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 1: our Washington bureau. Alex I the headlines are crossing the 291 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg terminal as we speak. President Trump had a lot 292 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 1: to say about impeachment calls from Democrats. John Dene remember him, 293 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: John Dene. He was up on Capitol Hill earlier today 294 00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 1: testifying before the House Judiciary Committee. He, of course, is 295 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 1: the former White House counsel, the Nixon Nixon, the you know, 296 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 1: the president of ipeached. So President Trump, you can't make 297 00:16:39,800 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 1: it up. Go ahead, but what I want to read 298 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:44,240 Speaker 1: it and I'm not going to do the impersonation everyone 299 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: as a Trump person. President Trump told reporters at the 300 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: White House after the Dean testimony, quote he left, I 301 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 1: don't leave. This is referring to Richard Nixon. He left. 302 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 1: I don't leave. Big difference. I don't leave. We did 303 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 1: nothing wrong except create the greatest economy in the history 304 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 1: of our country. We did nothing wrong except rebuild our 305 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:10,600 Speaker 1: military like nobody's ever seen before. Our Our senior reporter, 306 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 1: Margaret Tala remarked after after this came out, I want 307 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:15,359 Speaker 1: to give her credit for this thought. She was like, 308 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:17,840 Speaker 1: we we may one day in the future. Remember the 309 00:17:17,880 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: time that Donald Trump uh stood in the South lawn 310 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 1: of the White House and told reporters that he's nothing 311 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,280 Speaker 1: like Nixon. Well, here's what he had to say about 312 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: John Deane. Here's President Trump within the last hour on 313 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:33,160 Speaker 1: John Dean. John's been a loser for a long time. 314 00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 1: We know that. I think he was disbarred and he 315 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 1: went to prison. Other than that, he's doing a great job. 316 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 1: Eli is John Dene a loser? I don't know. Um, 317 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: you have to ask somebody a lot more spart than 318 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,399 Speaker 1: I am. Um. I think John dene could be a 319 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:49,919 Speaker 1: problem for Trump. I mean, he said some pretty striking 320 00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:51,680 Speaker 1: quotes that can be put on TV. I mean, that's 321 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:54,480 Speaker 1: why you saw how de Democrats trying to get Robert 322 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,359 Speaker 1: Mller up on the hill, and they're still working on it, 323 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 1: but they've got a couple of sound bites today, so 324 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 1: that that that's useful. You know, John Dene made made 325 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,920 Speaker 1: an interesting point in this hearing today. Democrats have gotten 326 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:06,959 Speaker 1: a lot of flak from Republicans or even holding it 327 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 1: and for inviting this guy from the seventies to focus, 328 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,720 Speaker 1: head back up and testify. But the important thing John 329 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:17,119 Speaker 1: Dene said is that the Muller Report is not widely 330 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,120 Speaker 1: known among the public. Not many American average American citizens 331 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 1: have read the thing and its entirety. Uh. Probably not 332 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:24,920 Speaker 1: a lot of people have even read the news reporting 333 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 1: on it. Uh. And so what not our audience exactly 334 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,520 Speaker 1: what House Democrats can do with with hearings like this 335 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 1: is educate the public about what's in the report. And 336 00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:37,120 Speaker 1: it's not just you know, you can't boil it down 337 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:40,640 Speaker 1: to no clusion, no obstruction that as as the President says, 338 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:45,720 Speaker 1: that's not an accurate summary of what the Muller Report. Says, Kevin, 339 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 1: this is one of the things we've done at Morning 340 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:49,080 Speaker 1: Console every week, we track a lot of the news 341 00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 1: events and what's breaking through, and a lot of the 342 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,440 Speaker 1: Muller developments have been happening less than like a third 343 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,240 Speaker 1: of voters. So they've heard a lot about these things. 344 00:18:57,119 --> 00:18:58,680 Speaker 1: What have they not been? What have they been doing? 345 00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 1: It's all over the news. I'm not I mean our audience. 346 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:04,879 Speaker 1: Our audience follows it though, but I mean, come on, like, 347 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,359 Speaker 1: how do you not follow the news? Yeah? Well you 348 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,919 Speaker 1: got a life, right. Um. One other thing that we 349 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:15,320 Speaker 1: we found last yeah, what are you applying? Okay, appreciate, appreciate. 350 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,119 Speaker 1: One of the things we found last week was like 351 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:18,919 Speaker 1: half of voters said that the Molder thing wasn't going 352 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: to affect their vote at all next year. And so 353 00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,160 Speaker 1: that's a pretty good chunk of folks who don't really 354 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 1: care about this. So Democrats have got a lot of 355 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,720 Speaker 1: work on their hands trying to get folks to be 356 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:30,159 Speaker 1: worried about this. Mark Cross, founder of Terricle Global. You 357 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,919 Speaker 1: know who's really really annoyed about today's developments Roger Stone. 358 00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 1: You know, Roger Stone is listening to President Trump talking 359 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: about Richard Nixon saying, quote he left, I don't leave. 360 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 1: This is in reference to Richard Nixon and and trashing 361 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:48,920 Speaker 1: John Deane. I mean you know that somewhere in America. 362 00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 1: And is he in jail, right, Roger Stone, Yeah, he behind. 363 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 1: He's waiting. He's waiting and waiting sentencing. He's like, come on, 364 00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 1: I wish I could. He's smiling at the mouse. Had 365 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 1: his trial yet, right, No, go ahead, let's go on 366 00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 1: to trial. I believe. Yeah, I just gets very interesting strategy. 367 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 1: I haven't even started impeachment hearings and President Trump is 368 00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:13,919 Speaker 1: already making the case that he's not like Nixon and 369 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,639 Speaker 1: he won't leave the White House. I can't imagine that 370 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:19,879 Speaker 1: this was on the talking points for today's White House 371 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,639 Speaker 1: what we're gonna talk about. Sarah Sanators handed that and 372 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:24,800 Speaker 1: handed him that one before. I don't see. Yeah, Key 373 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:26,960 Speaker 1: and Conway is saying, this is what we're leading with them. 374 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,479 Speaker 1: He said this, by the way, at a at he 375 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 1: was recognizing the NASCAR champion champion. Oh, I'm sorry, you're 376 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 1: You're totally right, botch on at the one thing one 377 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 1: I do not follow sports cars. Um, but I want 378 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,600 Speaker 1: to say this though, and all seriousness, I mean President Trump, 379 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 1: I mean make light of this to some extent, but 380 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 1: President Trump by saying that he's not going to leave, 381 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:52,120 Speaker 1: Is is daring Democrats to begin impeachment, and he has 382 00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:55,280 Speaker 1: been for months and daring Democrats to say, go down 383 00:20:55,400 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 1: this impeachment preceding trail Speaker Pelosi, go down this piecemeal approach. 384 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:04,720 Speaker 1: Keep talking about the notion of impeachment, because if you're 385 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,879 Speaker 1: talking about impeachment to Elis points, to the pollsters points, 386 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 1: then you're not talking about infrastructure, you're not talking about 387 00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 1: ways to work with Republicans. And the Republicans that I'm 388 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:17,719 Speaker 1: talking with, they're saying that's their gamble ELI to get 389 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: to independent voters in these key states, which is put 390 00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 1: all Democrats in the impeachment camp, to remove them from 391 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,760 Speaker 1: trying to work with Republicans and say see that they're 392 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: not able to do anything. I think that's been the 393 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,640 Speaker 1: play just broadly for Republicans has been sort of radicalize 394 00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:38,399 Speaker 1: the left. I mean, talk about abortion, talk about socialism, 395 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 1: accusing everybody being for impeachment. All these issues sort of 396 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 1: build on themselves, and you know, you see a number 397 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:46,239 Speaker 1: of Democrats moving towards the impeachment talks, leaning into this, 398 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 1: and Nancy policy is not there yet, it doesn't seem 399 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:49,680 Speaker 1: like she's going to get there, but she's gonna say 400 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 1: everything she can to help public peace. Some of these 401 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 1: folks in the House, Alex is this the president's comments 402 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 1: today by saying he's not leaving by by trashing John Deane, 403 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 1: the Nixon lawyer, and just Andine's testimony before the House 404 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:05,399 Speaker 1: Judiciary Committee. Does that how does that influence what Speaker 405 00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: Pelos he has to do with the impeachment chatter and 406 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:11,080 Speaker 1: the party. You know, I mean, I since we're making 407 00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 1: Nixon comparisons, let's talk about the the Nixon impeachment timeline. 408 00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 1: I think people forget about this, like forty years later House, 409 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,119 Speaker 1: how long it took? You know that the break in 410 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,919 Speaker 1: the water break end happened in June seventy two, before 411 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 1: before the election that year, and then then the Post 412 00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 1: started reporting on it. Nixon won election in the landslide, 413 00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,399 Speaker 1: He destroyed George McGovern. He had way more political capital 414 00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:35,640 Speaker 1: than Trump had when he won in sixteen. And then 415 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:41,159 Speaker 1: like there was continued reporting, some investigations. Impeachment proceedings in 416 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:45,639 Speaker 1: the House didn't even begin until May ninety four, and 417 00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:49,919 Speaker 1: they took three months. And three months they they destroyed 418 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:53,480 Speaker 1: Rich Richard Nixon's political capital, painting him as a criminal, 419 00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 1: and he resigned in July, uh facing an impeachment vote. 420 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 1: But right now, Mark, when you look at the land, 421 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,560 Speaker 1: the math, and the Senate, there's no chance that he 422 00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 1: would be convicted. Yeah, well, we don't know that right 423 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 1: until you actually can you know if you look at 424 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: it today. Yeah, sure, but we haven't actually had the trial. 425 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,400 Speaker 1: As Alex said, we haven't laid out the case for impeachment. 426 00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:13,640 Speaker 1: Half the Americans haven't read them all the report. Um, 427 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,920 Speaker 1: I think you're also looking at a Nancy Pelosi, who 428 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,159 Speaker 1: I argue is the smartest person in this town in 429 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:23,119 Speaker 1: terms of understanding politics and national communications. By her saying 430 00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,159 Speaker 1: that she's not for impeachment when in fact she may 431 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:27,960 Speaker 1: come out and for it, right, that on't even make 432 00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:30,560 Speaker 1: the case even more strong. And also you think you 433 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 1: need to look at in two thousand, which was I 434 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:36,199 Speaker 1: looked as interesting. Gore didn't really use Clinton on the 435 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,479 Speaker 1: campaign trail because he was tainted, and George W. Bush 436 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 1: one of his famous taglines, He's like, I'm gonna restore 437 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,159 Speaker 1: the dignity to the Oval office. So I think this 438 00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 1: is a long way to go. We have a lot 439 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 1: more to happen, the idea that's gonna happen overnight, and 440 00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: the idea that just because the Senate isn't gonna formally 441 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 1: convict Trump to not do impeachment. I think there are 442 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 1: a lot of people in the Hill They're like, we 443 00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:58,040 Speaker 1: can't stand for this. It also be quite a power 444 00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:00,280 Speaker 1: point for Nancy Pelosi to try to put Susan call Ones, 445 00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 1: Corey Gardner, and some of these other senators on the 446 00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 1: record on this. I mean, as they face tough electorate's 447 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:08,920 Speaker 1: next year. Um, you kind of wonder how sure their 448 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: votes might be on something like that. But to your point, 449 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: the electorate right now doesn't care, right, I mean, is 450 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:15,320 Speaker 1: that what the polls said? And then I don't wanna 451 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:17,280 Speaker 1: say they don't care, but they're not. Impeachment isn't higher 452 00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: on their radar. It's not. It is for Democrats, but 453 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:22,160 Speaker 1: it's not for everybody else. Going back to two thousand, 454 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:24,560 Speaker 1: I think it's really important. We don't know what would 455 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,080 Speaker 1: happen to what Eli is saying, like maybe the so 456 00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:28,879 Speaker 1: the Democrats don't get it done in the House, but 457 00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 1: that is the rallying cry, right let's make sure we 458 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 1: get out of our race. Let's make sure we vote 459 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,640 Speaker 1: Trump out of office. Maybe that is the rallying cry. 460 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,440 Speaker 1: So impeachment, I think it still has a long way 461 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,119 Speaker 1: to go. Clearly it's agitating the president, or you wouldn't 462 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,920 Speaker 1: be making all these crazy comments. Yeah, it's totally it's 463 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 1: totally on his mind. Um, but I think he I 464 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 1: think he right now, he's he's still daring Democrats to 465 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 1: to jump into impeachment, and he wants them to do it, 466 00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: do it prematurely. He wants them to do it now 467 00:24:55,560 --> 00:25:00,359 Speaker 1: while his approval ratings aren't the toilet um versus you know, 468 00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:04,160 Speaker 1: a year from now, when you know the Democrats maybe 469 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 1: managed to build a body of evidence supporting a case 470 00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 1: for impeachment and as a apprep ratings, how do we 471 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,600 Speaker 1: do that? Though, beyond the Mueller report hearings, the hearings 472 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:14,439 Speaker 1: like the one they had today, except you know, they 473 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 1: need to get they need to eventually get real witnesses. 474 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 1: Not no offense to John Dene, but the people people 475 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:25,439 Speaker 1: who who have experienced with what Mueller was investigating, and 476 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 1: not necessarily just people who you know, from terrorists to 477 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 1: John Dene. Coming up, we're gonna pivot back to policy 478 00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 1: alex Wayne, Bloomberg News White House team Leader, Mark Ross, 479 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:38,480 Speaker 1: founder of Charri col Global, Eli Yoakley. He is a 480 00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 1: reporter for the Morning the Morning Consult. You can download 481 00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 1: the sound on podcast on Apple, it Tunes, at Bloomberg 482 00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:47,679 Speaker 1: dot com, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. You 483 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 1: can also find us on Radio dot Com, I Heart 484 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 1: Radio and Spotify. I'm Kevin Cirelli. You're listening to Bloomberg. 485 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 1: You're listening to Sound On with Kevin Surreally on Bloomberg 486 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:08,120 Speaker 1: and one m HD two boltomole GERD. I'm Kevin CURRELLI 487 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:12,360 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. I mean, 488 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:16,040 Speaker 1: it's really been a marathon Eco policy newsday. Plus you 489 00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,920 Speaker 1: throw in John Deane who was testifying before the House 490 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 1: Judiciary Committee, and you got yourself an eventful Monday, which 491 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 1: is why I'm thrilled to have Eli Yoakley, political reporter 492 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:29,439 Speaker 1: for the Morning Consult with me in studio, as is 493 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:34,560 Speaker 1: Mark Cross, founder of Critical Global Communications Firm, which specializes 494 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 1: in the intersection of advising businesses on the rise of globalization, 495 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:42,159 Speaker 1: and now alex Wayne Bloomberg News White House Team Leader 496 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 1: alex I'll start with you, because the President went in 497 00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:48,959 Speaker 1: that CNBC exclusive interview. Uh he waited on the on 498 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 1: the FED currency manipulation question, which seems to be discussed 499 00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 1: every now and again. And I'll play for you a 500 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 1: bite of the President talking about, uh, the currency and 501 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:02,199 Speaker 1: the FED. Here's President Trump talking about China currency and 502 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 1: the FED. Here he is they devalue their currency. They 503 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 1: have for years, has put them at a tremendous competitive advantage. 504 00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,199 Speaker 1: And we don't have that advantage because we have a 505 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:12,960 Speaker 1: FED that doesn't lower interest ories. We have a FED 506 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:15,879 Speaker 1: that raises interest rates the day before a bondis who 507 00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:17,399 Speaker 1: goes out, so we have to pay more money. You 508 00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 1: tell me about that. Thinking, okay, so why is he 509 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: dangling this currency devaluation carrot? Again? He keeps saying this, 510 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 1: and yet his own Treasury department disagrees with him. And 511 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,240 Speaker 1: he promised during the campaign he would declare China currency 512 00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:34,320 Speaker 1: manipulator in his first day in office. Then Treasury came 513 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,000 Speaker 1: out with its first report under Trump that didn't that 514 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: said China is a manipulating its currency, and its second 515 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,119 Speaker 1: reports of the same thing, and its third report and 516 00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 1: fourth report, and a couple of weeks ago it's fifth report. 517 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 1: UH Treasury refuses to go along with Trump's opinion that 518 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,520 Speaker 1: that China's manipulating its currency, and so he's done something 519 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 1: that's interesting. UH Commerce is coming out with a plan 520 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:58,240 Speaker 1: to make its own determinations about whether countries are messing 521 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:01,920 Speaker 1: with their currencies and and posta blee enact tariffs UH 522 00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,919 Speaker 1: if if Commerce Department, If the Commerce Department decides that 523 00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 1: they are. This is supposed to be done in consultation 524 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 1: with Treasury. But our Salamos and is reported that there's 525 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: some sparks between the two agencies because Treasury sort of 526 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 1: thinks that's their turf. Nothing like a good agency turf 527 00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 1: for Mark Cross. But but but I'm curious about the 528 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:20,240 Speaker 1: timing of all of this because the President hitting pause 529 00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 1: with Mexico, saying he's not going to increase tariffs with 530 00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:27,160 Speaker 1: Mexico as of now, dot dot dot, He's putting pause 531 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 1: on the terrorists with Mexico as of now, and now 532 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,720 Speaker 1: he's going after China again ahead of the gi Chwanni 533 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:34,440 Speaker 1: in Osaka, Japan in just a couple of weeks where 534 00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:37,399 Speaker 1: he's set to meet with President shi Jing Ping of China. 535 00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:42,120 Speaker 1: So now he's he's dangling the currency manipulation thing again. Yeah. 536 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 1: The challenge with currency manipulation, it really is the way 537 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,040 Speaker 1: where you sit is where you stand, right. That is, 538 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 1: the folks in Beijing, with our qualitative easing and some 539 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:56,040 Speaker 1: of the shenanigans we do with our monetary policy, they 540 00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:57,880 Speaker 1: may have a different interpretation of what we're doing with 541 00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 1: our currency. So the idea that you know, the US 542 00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 1: government can sanction or label another sovereign government and tell 543 00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 1: them how to run their currency is a very dicey 544 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 1: issue because the blowback is uh not pretty. Uh, it's 545 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: not something you can do willy nilly, but certainly from 546 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:17,520 Speaker 1: a campaign talking point, it's fantastic. You know, this is 547 00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 1: even going back to Romney. You know, Hugh two from 548 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: day one was gonna label China campaign a currency manipulator. 549 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,440 Speaker 1: And this is something that fits well in a campaign 550 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 1: bumper sticker, but in terms of sound economic policy it 551 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 1: doesn't make sense. Also, I think Trump generally is someone 552 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 1: who just likes to run against things, so having another 553 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 1: foil in the federal reserve works for him. Well, yeah, 554 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 1: you know, it is interesting to just to see how 555 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:44,480 Speaker 1: this president has has criticized the Central Bank in such 556 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 1: an aggressive way, and and it's open for debate as 557 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,440 Speaker 1: to whether or not the Fed is is listening to him. 558 00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:52,560 Speaker 1: And now you've got the Democrats up on Capitol Hill 559 00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:54,600 Speaker 1: pressing the FED to look at the Witch Bank and 560 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:58,480 Speaker 1: the financial dealings of of of the folks within the 561 00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:01,800 Speaker 1: Trump administration and whatnot. Uh So, it's fascinating just how 562 00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,200 Speaker 1: that's been politicized. I want to play one more by 563 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:07,960 Speaker 1: Eli from the CNBC exclusive interview with President Trump earlier 564 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 1: today about the debt of China and and guests speaking 565 00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:14,320 Speaker 1: of foils. His favorite foil, not that share J Powell, 566 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 1: not even Paul Ryan. There's a throwback, but Hillary Clinton. 567 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,960 Speaker 1: Take a listen to President Trump talking about China and 568 00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton. We picked up trillions of dollars in worth 569 00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:28,120 Speaker 1: since I've been elected. China has lost many, many trillions 570 00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:30,360 Speaker 1: of dollars. They're way behind. They we're gonna catch us. 571 00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:35,200 Speaker 1: Had a Democrat gotten in, namely the one we're talking about. Uh, 572 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:37,440 Speaker 1: China would have caught us by the end of her term. 573 00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:41,520 Speaker 1: They're nowhere close. They'll never catch us. They'll never catch us. 574 00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:45,480 Speaker 1: What a day, John Dene, Hillary Clinton, you got I mean, wow, 575 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 1: Go ahead, do you respond to it? Sounds like he 576 00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 1: set some of up on this um and Hillary is 577 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,840 Speaker 1: gonna run again. Well, I heard it here first on 578 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: sound on UM. But why I think there is a 579 00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 1: weakness for Trump on trade. I think that um, we 580 00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:04,040 Speaker 1: we've asked about this recently and the majority of Americas 581 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: don't have confidence in the president what he's doing on trade. Uh. 582 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:09,360 Speaker 1: This is something that I think that the Democrats could 583 00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 1: try to embrace, uh and going into But you know, look, 584 00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:15,360 Speaker 1: it'll be interesting, especially with the egg stuff. I mean, 585 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 1: this is a big deal in the Midwest, and you've 586 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 1: already seen some of these Republican lawmakers come out against 587 00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 1: some of his moves here, Mark, But how bad does 588 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,720 Speaker 1: it have to get before it becomes a political problem? 589 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 1: As Eli hints, I mean, there's no real, Lady, It's 590 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:31,960 Speaker 1: not like farmers are are deserting the president in drugs. Well, 591 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: it's truly where our farmers going to go, who are 592 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,400 Speaker 1: generally you know, center right voters anyways, But and you know, 593 00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: and also the agg Department and the Trump administration has 594 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:44,520 Speaker 1: brought them off with uh, you know, bailouts. Where are 595 00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: they gonna go? But I think I do think Trump's 596 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 1: handling of trade in overall from a macro position where 597 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:52,640 Speaker 1: the US is going to be in terms of our 598 00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,360 Speaker 1: rolling globalization is certainly gonna be on the ballot in 599 00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 1: you know, I think it's notable that he he may 600 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,840 Speaker 1: get the rate cut that he that he has been 601 00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: complaining about just by escalating the trade war with China. 602 00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 1: The Chairman pal has been has been making noises about 603 00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 1: that lately, and that becomes the biggest tape. I mean, 604 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 1: but but can can President Trump take credit for that 605 00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 1: rate cut? Yeah? I think, well, Kenny, he definitely will. Uh, 606 00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,480 Speaker 1: I don't you know, Yeah, he probably can. I mean, 607 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:24,560 Speaker 1: you know, a rate cut by definition is a sign 608 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:26,720 Speaker 1: of some weakness in the economy though, And so I don't, 609 00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:28,480 Speaker 1: I don't, I don't know if he wants to take 610 00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:31,520 Speaker 1: full credit and admit that. Um, there are some warning 611 00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,400 Speaker 1: signals here. This was a very wonky episode of Bloomberg 612 00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 1: Radio Sound On, But I do want to end on 613 00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:39,480 Speaker 1: an even on a geopolitical note by our colleague Nick 614 00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 1: wadhams Alex, He's got this story out on the Bloomberg 615 00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 1: terminal this afternoon about the US weighing more sanctions against 616 00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:49,600 Speaker 1: Iran over a potential trade with Europe. The US Trump 617 00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:53,240 Speaker 1: administration is weighing sanctions, according to Nick's reporting, against the 618 00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 1: Iranian financial body set up as the go between for 619 00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:00,360 Speaker 1: humanitarian trade with Europe, and this would likely ever the 620 00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:05,120 Speaker 1: economic and humanitarian lifeline that France, Germany and the UK 621 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:09,720 Speaker 1: have sought to create for Tehran. So that's fascinating to 622 00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 1: watch how the administration is still continuing to try to 623 00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:18,720 Speaker 1: isolate Iran since uh withdrawing from the Iranian Nuclear disarmaed 624 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,680 Speaker 1: and deal. My thanks to Alex Wayam Bloomberg News White 625 00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:23,920 Speaker 1: House team Leader leader on a busy day where Trump 626 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:26,920 Speaker 1: did not stop talking really to to spend time with 627 00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,640 Speaker 1: us to break it, and the Trump translator in chief, 628 00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:33,640 Speaker 1: Ladies and gentleman, Alex Waynae Bloomberg News White House team Leader, 629 00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,560 Speaker 1: Mark Ross, founder of Terriical Global, and Eli Yokley, political 630 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 1: reporter for the Mind Morning Consult. I also want to 631 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 1: thank Kathy Craning. Jersey is the director of the US 632 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:47,520 Speaker 1: Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. I'm Kevin Cirilli. You can download 633 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 1: the sound on podcast on Apple iTunes, on the Bloomberg 634 00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:53,560 Speaker 1: Business app, or by checking us out on radio dot Com, 635 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,920 Speaker 1: I Heart Radio and Spotify. You're listening to Bloomberg