WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2021 NFL MegaPod Week 9 Preview 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.360 Check it on Man No Down then Wednesday evening November 0:00:13.480 --> 0:00:18.239 Beating the Book podcast megapod from the south Point Hotel Casino. 0:00:18.320 --> 0:00:20.680 You may have noticed the night before we usually do 0:00:20.760 --> 0:00:23.160 this and not at the d but at the south 0:00:23.200 --> 0:00:28.200 Point because we're accommodating Mike Palm's itinerary. He's got a 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:31.200 big week. We'll get into that momentarily, Scale Alexander, thanks 0:00:31.240 --> 0:00:33.840 for listening. It's week nine in the National Football League. 0:00:34.040 --> 0:00:37.120 Staples of the show are the guys on Skype. Guests 0:00:37.120 --> 0:00:38.680 on the show today are the guys with me at 0:00:38.680 --> 0:00:41.280 the south Point. First, the Staples uh in his mom's 0:00:41.280 --> 0:00:44.360 cork Addict there in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. It's Todd wished that 0:00:44.400 --> 0:00:48.600 how you doing, Toddy Dodd, Hi, Gilly Iceman, Iserson. I 0:00:48.640 --> 0:00:51.000 just want you to know the Pittsburgh Steelers are a 0:00:51.040 --> 0:00:55.560 real organization. The Washington football team is not a good organization. 0:00:56.000 --> 0:00:59.440 Enough said, thank you good like twenty seconds into the pod. 0:00:59.600 --> 0:01:02.320 People are turning it off already after that, and Mikey, 0:01:02.360 --> 0:01:06.120 Mike Palm, Derek Stephen's conciliary, the VP of Operations and 0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:09.200 Circuits Sports, would you like to tell everybody why you 0:01:09.200 --> 0:01:13.600 are in Washington? D C. Well. That that that. Thank you, Gil. 0:01:14.040 --> 0:01:17.920 I'm in your stomping grounds here. I've been appointed the 0:01:17.959 --> 0:01:21.120 Board of directors of the American Gaming Association and we 0:01:21.200 --> 0:01:25.480 have annual meeting here tomorrow at the Kempton Monaco Hotel 0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:29.240 in Washington. So I'm here and then after the meeting, 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:31.840 I fly to Iowa to help promote the launch of 0:01:31.840 --> 0:01:34.759 Circuits Sports in Iowa. So it's a tremendous week for me. 0:01:35.600 --> 0:01:38.240 That's a that's another way of saying doing the lord's 0:01:38.240 --> 0:01:42.160 work of the course, beautiful job. Indeed, that's a that's 0:01:42.160 --> 0:01:44.319 a pretty big honor, isn't it, Mike, to to be 0:01:44.360 --> 0:01:47.760 on the board of Directors. Oh yeah. There's some heavyweights 0:01:47.760 --> 0:01:50.919 and heavyweights to the gaming gaming industry on this board 0:01:50.920 --> 0:01:54.560 and this is there our chief lobbying body. So it 0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:57.880 was an honor and hopefully we can enact some change 0:01:57.920 --> 0:02:01.640 that will affect everyone positively positively. That's right, okay. And 0:02:01.680 --> 0:02:03.760 the guests of the show today, and it's kind of 0:02:03.800 --> 0:02:07.520 a a sort of good accident to have you there 0:02:07.520 --> 0:02:08.919 and not be able to do the show on Thursday 0:02:08.919 --> 0:02:11.399 morning because Las Vegas. Chris, who's been on the show 0:02:11.440 --> 0:02:13.840 many many times before, multiple contest winner here in Las 0:02:13.919 --> 0:02:16.840 Vegas at the Palms. He's won the win before last 0:02:16.840 --> 0:02:19.520 Man Stand in college football over there at Stations. Of 0:02:19.560 --> 0:02:21.679 course you finished second and fifth and Circum Millions last 0:02:21.720 --> 0:02:24.120 year and Circle Millions too. He does a podcast with 0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:26.799 Adam Churnoff the same time we do it on Thursday, 0:02:26.840 --> 0:02:28.639 so we weren't gonna be able to have him this year, 0:02:28.720 --> 0:02:31.520 but because we switched to Wednesday, Las Vegas, Chris in 0:02:31.520 --> 0:02:33.240 the house, how are you doing, man, You're good? This 0:02:33.320 --> 0:02:35.160 is fraud. I was told there was an open bar. 0:02:36.720 --> 0:02:40.120 We can we can arrange for that. Waitings make it happen, 0:02:40.760 --> 0:02:43.160 South Pole and maybe not good to be here. Thank 0:02:43.160 --> 0:02:45.000 you very much, Thank you very much for being here. 0:02:45.040 --> 0:02:47.799 And Jeff Parlay, everybody producing number five and eight, the 0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:51.639 Grover Cleveland producers also on the show. Thank you Parlay. 0:02:51.880 --> 0:02:54.720 Of course I can't pass up an opportunity to be 0:02:54.760 --> 0:02:57.720 on the show and an opportunity to see the cork 0:02:57.800 --> 0:03:01.239 attict behind man you as you've been in the court, 0:03:01.440 --> 0:03:03.919 I have yes. Actually that's when he showed up behind 0:03:03.960 --> 0:03:06.079 you one day last year during the podcast, and then 0:03:06.160 --> 0:03:09.160 Todd totally beat my ass and tennis that day because 0:03:09.160 --> 0:03:11.120 he's really, because he's ten feet tall at the net. 0:03:11.160 --> 0:03:13.720 There's nothing you can do. Is he really good tennis? 0:03:13.760 --> 0:03:17.120 Guess what the weather was, what there were outside? Wait, 0:03:17.200 --> 0:03:20.360 hold on you, Chris, repeat what you just said. Is 0:03:20.360 --> 0:03:23.600 he really good at tennis? So let's let's put it 0:03:23.680 --> 0:03:26.359 this way for someone. And Todd has lost a lot 0:03:26.400 --> 0:03:30.160 of weight. When Todd was a little bit bigger than 0:03:30.160 --> 0:03:33.160 he is, he was significantly better than you would have 0:03:33.240 --> 0:03:36.280 ever expected anyone of that weight to be a tennis 0:03:36.760 --> 0:03:41.920 I remember playing poker with these fat, pudgy guys fifteen 0:03:42.040 --> 0:03:43.760 years older than I was at the time, in my 0:03:43.800 --> 0:03:48.800 early twenties, and we're talking racketball, and these guys wanted 0:03:48.840 --> 0:03:50.520 to gamble on racketball. I was playing a lot of 0:03:50.600 --> 0:03:53.560 racketball at the time, and I thought it was the 0:03:53.600 --> 0:03:57.160 easiest money I could ever make. Just wiped me out. 0:03:57.760 --> 0:04:02.800 I was just like two fifteen one, you know, Chris. 0:04:02.880 --> 0:04:05.240 That's why I do the tennis barn storming tour. Bill 0:04:05.240 --> 0:04:07.600 will tell you all about my tennis barn storming. When 0:04:07.600 --> 0:04:09.640 I gamble with people in tennis and they think they 0:04:09.680 --> 0:04:13.240 can play me, and they get romped. Sometimes sometimes he's 0:04:13.240 --> 0:04:15.160 so big that you can't see the sun at a 0:04:15.160 --> 0:04:18.960 certain point. So he's like, he's he's a no. Mike 0:04:19.000 --> 0:04:21.480 Palm tried to beat him with the moonball strategy that 0:04:21.920 --> 0:04:24.440 no but but but Todd, but Todd will employ the 0:04:24.520 --> 0:04:28.480 moon ball strategy against you. Todd can't return by Truss. 0:04:28.760 --> 0:04:35.560 Oh wow, there inspired Chris Toy. I played just so 0:04:35.720 --> 0:04:38.000 you know. Today I played. It was forty six degrees out, 0:04:38.080 --> 0:04:41.400 so I am dedicated to that. He's ready to go. Okay, 0:04:41.480 --> 0:04:43.200 So we want to get to week night because week 0:04:43.279 --> 0:04:45.960 night we're gonna get to Survivor, which is just nuts. 0:04:46.040 --> 0:04:49.200 This week, Um, we're gonna get to everything. Our three 0:04:49.200 --> 0:04:52.839 best bets teasers, last two questions, big favorite, most likely 0:04:52.960 --> 0:04:55.279 lose out right of course, a team you want no game, 0:04:55.360 --> 0:04:57.800 rather that you want no part of. But first, Mikey 0:04:58.320 --> 0:05:03.120 a Circus Survivor update. We finally had carnage. Yeah we did. 0:05:03.240 --> 0:05:07.039 The Cincinnati Bengals took out a huge portion of the 0:05:07.080 --> 0:05:10.680 field over forty one percent last week, and then some 0:05:10.800 --> 0:05:13.440 other folks getting eliminated along the way with some nervy 0:05:13.480 --> 0:05:16.719 place So Gil, we're finally down to less than what 0:05:16.800 --> 0:05:21.200 we started with last year. Yeah, finally, uh, finally, the 0:05:21.200 --> 0:05:23.880 the exact number by the way, because I actually wrote 0:05:23.880 --> 0:05:26.440 it down because I was curious myself. We started last 0:05:26.480 --> 0:05:31.080 year with and how many last year thirteen ninety. We're 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:35.240 down to UH eleven eighty eight. I believe eleven eighty eight. 0:05:35.360 --> 0:05:37.760 But it's not apples to apples because people have used 0:05:37.839 --> 0:05:40.479 up tons of teams. Yes, so we started with forty 0:05:40.560 --> 0:05:43.680 eight four thousand eighty this this year's circle survivor did not. 0:05:43.760 --> 0:05:46.440 We did, but it started with four thousand eighty exponentially, 0:05:46.480 --> 0:05:49.120 you know, almost four times more UH this year. But 0:05:49.520 --> 0:05:53.200 the Bengals alone took out forty point nine percent of 0:05:53.200 --> 0:05:56.400 the remaining entries this past week. Forty four point two 0:05:56.400 --> 0:06:00.200 percent total were eliminated this past week, So eleven eighty 0:06:00.279 --> 0:06:04.719 eight left um todd the And by the way, how 0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:08.640 many people didn't submit? Mike? Well, see this is where 0:06:08.640 --> 0:06:10.960 people were going on and on about there were seven 0:06:11.839 --> 0:06:18.680 entries not submitted, but one person had five of them. 0:06:15.000 --> 0:06:21.800 Oh yeah, he came down at ten after three or 0:06:21.920 --> 0:06:24.280 three twenty or whatever. It was very angry with us 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:30.200 that we wouldn't let him in this it's your fault, yeah, absolutely, yeah, 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:33.680 poor dude. Well, he was in a poker tournament that 0:06:33.800 --> 0:06:38.640 was his excuse. You know, they have breakes in poker tournaments. 0:06:38.680 --> 0:06:40.920 They have bathroom breaks and you also they have something 0:06:40.920 --> 0:06:43.359 called the blinds. You can just get up and walk away. 0:06:43.880 --> 0:06:45.920 Don't they have an app also that you could hit 0:06:46.400 --> 0:06:48.599 handle on your hand if there was only an alarm 0:06:48.640 --> 0:06:51.920 on your phone. He was mad, He said, how come 0:06:52.000 --> 0:06:55.160 at to fifty didn't get a call? A courtesy call? Yeah, 0:06:55.200 --> 0:07:00.840 we're gonna How come I didn't get a call when 0:07:00.880 --> 0:07:03.080 I took the Raiders? How come somebody didn't call me? 0:07:04.200 --> 0:07:08.320 He called you, He tried to tell you, Todd. Okay, Well, 0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:14.000 listening to a guy like that who's extremely reasonable. All right, Todd, 0:07:14.360 --> 0:07:18.000 what is our court stenographer? What was our record last week? Well? 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:20.360 I want to give a little congratulations to my good 0:07:20.400 --> 0:07:24.120 friend Gilly the iceman Cometh for a big week last week, 0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:27.040 going two and one with the Niners Carolina, losing with 0:07:27.080 --> 0:07:30.160 the Jaguars. He lost his teaser to go to five 0:07:30.240 --> 0:07:32.880 two and one. He won two out of three regular 0:07:32.920 --> 0:07:35.200 so he's nine and fifteen. He's right back in the hunt. 0:07:35.520 --> 0:07:41.200 Because me and Mikey took oh and threes, oubsolutely blasted. 0:07:41.680 --> 0:07:43.800 I took a very bad beat in Las Vegas. Chris 0:07:43.840 --> 0:07:45.560 is gonna get mad at me. But I did take 0:07:45.560 --> 0:07:47.400 a very bad beat in the over fifty and a 0:07:47.400 --> 0:07:50.200 half of the Green Bay game and then the other 0:07:50.240 --> 0:07:53.800 two or whatever, and Mikey really was on the wrong 0:07:53.840 --> 0:07:57.520 side of everything. He had the Chargers minus five Washington 0:07:57.600 --> 0:08:00.920 football team over since Sinnati minus ten and a half. 0:08:00.920 --> 0:08:02.600 Actually we'll give him that one. He might have covered 0:08:02.600 --> 0:08:04.840 on the Cincinnati minus tend half. But the bottom line 0:08:04.880 --> 0:08:07.600 is Mikey is now eleven twelve and one. I am 0:08:07.680 --> 0:08:10.520 ten and fourteen. So it's all getting tight on the 0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:12.920 regular thing. On the teasers, I am still in first 0:08:12.920 --> 0:08:15.440 place at six and two, might get five and three. 0:08:15.520 --> 0:08:17.840 Gilly right behind it five two and one, So it's 0:08:17.960 --> 0:08:20.720 very tight on the teasers as well. So I'm in 0:08:20.840 --> 0:08:24.480 second half game out Mikey, second teasers and you are 0:08:24.720 --> 0:08:27.720 third on picks, but you're right there in striking distance. 0:08:27.840 --> 0:08:29.520 And I have a feeling, Mike he's gonna have another 0:08:29.520 --> 0:08:32.480 bad week because he's out there. You know who we're, 0:08:32.559 --> 0:08:35.280 you know, hanging out with the grand two balls to 0:08:35.320 --> 0:08:39.320 try to help the giant corporations gambling corporation that need help. Chris, 0:08:39.520 --> 0:08:42.160 you you had a comment for Todd's bad beat remark. No, 0:08:42.240 --> 0:08:45.040 I don't mind people mentioning a bad beat and moving 0:08:45.080 --> 0:08:48.120 on from it. It's the people who moan about it. 0:08:48.160 --> 0:08:54.360 Oh God, it act like you've won before. I mean, seriously, 0:08:54.440 --> 0:08:57.760 it's just infuriating. Yeah, it's a lot in my Twitter 0:08:57.800 --> 0:08:59.880 if you want to see my moaning and bitching. I 0:09:01.160 --> 0:09:03.320 just can't take it. I really can't. I mean, it's 0:09:03.360 --> 0:09:06.520 part of your people always forget about the great beats 0:09:06.520 --> 0:09:08.880 they have, and they want to piss and moan endlessly 0:09:08.920 --> 0:09:11.920 about the bad beats. And if you're any good at 0:09:11.960 --> 0:09:15.199 what you're doing, you're going to put yourself in position 0:09:15.320 --> 0:09:19.000 for more of them. So it's totally true. The confirmation 0:09:19.400 --> 0:09:21.560 that's what I said earlier. You didn't give me. That's 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:25.880 it's a confirmation bias of only recognizing the beats that 0:09:25.960 --> 0:09:28.400 are they go against you, rather than ones that they 0:09:28.400 --> 0:09:32.120 are in your favor. Totally totally believe that. Let's start 0:09:32.120 --> 0:09:36.680 with the best bets, Chris. What about Thursday Night? Oh, 0:09:36.800 --> 0:09:38.520 Thursday Night, Thank you, Todd, I really should know the 0:09:38.520 --> 0:09:41.320 format of this show. Thursday Night. It is the Jets 0:09:41.320 --> 0:09:44.280 at Indian Apples, the Jets coming off the Mike White game. 0:09:44.320 --> 0:09:48.440 Four five yards passing, the most ever for a rookie debut, 0:09:48.800 --> 0:09:51.240 with the exception of Cam Newton's for twenty and his 0:09:51.320 --> 0:09:54.640 rookie debut years ago. The most passing yards for Jets 0:09:54.679 --> 0:09:58.400 quarterbacks is Vinny Testaverity in two thousand they beat the Bengals. 0:09:58.440 --> 0:10:01.600 That was the source of mo of the Survivor carnage. 0:10:02.200 --> 0:10:05.240 But Indianapolis coming off the the loss in overtime to 0:10:05.360 --> 0:10:08.960 the Titans where Carson Wentz had maybe the worst interception 0:10:08.960 --> 0:10:11.520 I've ever seen in my life than another one in overtime, 0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:14.560 but the Colts scored two more touchdowns by just chucking 0:10:14.559 --> 0:10:16.520 the ball up the field and having a d back 0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:18.920 on the other team run into their receiver. That's their 0:10:18.920 --> 0:10:21.960 best play. The Colts are ten and a half point 0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:25.920 favorites in this game. Chris, any any play on this 0:10:25.960 --> 0:10:27.679 at all. This doesn't have to be one of your bets, 0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:29.960 but just curious about No, I can't play a game 0:10:30.040 --> 0:10:35.560 like this because you know Wentz starts this season is chump, 0:10:35.960 --> 0:10:38.360 then he's a hero, and now he's a chump again. 0:10:39.440 --> 0:10:42.439 You've got more injuries going on with the team, and 0:10:42.960 --> 0:10:46.840 this team is by far so much better than they 0:10:47.520 --> 0:10:50.320 than their record is indicated. It's it's just a shame 0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:53.320 that they don't have a better record. But you don't know, 0:10:55.440 --> 0:10:57.760 you know, the Jets are getting stronger on defense, and 0:10:57.800 --> 0:11:01.080 they may show up with that kind of point spread 0:11:01.080 --> 0:11:03.720 in that type of game. How can you really, you know, 0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:06.440 convincingly play either side. And I'm not much of a 0:11:06.480 --> 0:11:08.800 totals guy, so I can't come in on that play 0:11:08.920 --> 0:11:12.040 you playing it. I want to, but I'm not going to. 0:11:12.800 --> 0:11:16.000 Look we how much of what we saw last week 0:11:16.120 --> 0:11:18.560 is just a total aberration from Mike White and how 0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:21.480 much of it is real? I have no idea because 0:11:21.480 --> 0:11:23.440 at least when he came in a game against New England, 0:11:23.720 --> 0:11:26.800 the first throw was looked confident to touchdown to Davis. 0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:29.440 He looked confident until about midway through the third quarter, 0:11:29.480 --> 0:11:31.880 and then the wheels completely came off in that game. 0:11:32.280 --> 0:11:34.720 But he was great the whole game against since both 0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:38.760 intercept The first interception just led Crowder a little too much, 0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:42.400 too much heat, deflected ball, fluky, second one total fluke 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:46.040 playoff Carter's helmet fluky. Other than that, he was basically 0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:51.520 perfect eight in completions, absolutely incredible. But look, the Jets 0:11:51.520 --> 0:11:54.360 have gotten destroyed on the road. They're they're minus seventy 0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:57.880 two point differential and traditional road games this year. So 0:11:58.040 --> 0:11:59.880 I have no faith in that coaching staff to get 0:11:59.880 --> 0:12:01.560 the ready on a short week on the road. And 0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:03.760 they have tape on Mike White. Now, which is the 0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:06.400 other big thing? Todd or Mike any play on this game. 0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:11.400 I'm taking the Jets, but not as one of my 0:12:11.440 --> 0:12:13.720 best three plays. I think this is too many points. 0:12:14.559 --> 0:12:18.160 I think that's a devastating emotional loss for the Colts 0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:20.400 to come back on a short week and give Mike 0:12:20.400 --> 0:12:23.200 White credit. He was terrific. He threw for four hundred 0:12:23.280 --> 0:12:26.839 yards after thirty eight years ago, leading Illinois to the 0:12:26.920 --> 0:12:33.000 rose Ball. A old coach reference, Christie Andrews, who I 0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:36.200 do guessing lines with, who runs the South Point Sports book, 0:12:36.360 --> 0:12:39.120 said he had some story where like his relatives or 0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:41.920 his relatives and their friends were like trying to blend 0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:44.640 in with Americans, and they all had like fake American names, 0:12:44.760 --> 0:12:46.679 and they asked one of them, They're like, what's your name? 0:12:46.720 --> 0:12:52.920 He's like Michael White, Mike Todd anything on this Mike White. 0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:55.560 I remember him at Western Kentucky and maybe he's like 0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:58.520 a poor man's Drew Brees. I remember him too, you know, 0:12:58.880 --> 0:13:02.120 you know the the Sometimes I think these NFL teams 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.640 they get too enamored of the you know, it's almost 0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:08.600 like the non money ball. Oh the guy looks like 0:13:08.600 --> 0:13:10.240 a great quarter you know. It's the same reason Tom 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.240 Brady went in the sixth round. Now, I'm not saying 0:13:12.240 --> 0:13:14.120 Mike White's going to be great or anything, but he 0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:16.160 did play on on a team where he had to 0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:18.400 make a lot of decisions from the quarterback position, and 0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:21.120 he did it very very well Western Kentucky. Now, obviously 0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:24.400 he probably doesn't have the all the you know, tools 0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:26.720 that they look for in an NFL quarterback or something. 0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:28.840 But you know what, he might be good because I 0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:31.840 remember that Western Kentucky offense being very very good. And 0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:33.920 maybe he'll be okay until they figure him out, or 0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:37.920 maybe he'll just be okay period. Alright, alright, best bets 0:13:38.520 --> 0:13:42.480 of the weekend, Let's have one from you, your top bet, Chris. Right, 0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:47.160 it's a no special special, Okay, that's fine, we'll ask 0:13:47.200 --> 0:13:50.920 you later. To Regan. All right, I'm I'm picking the 0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:54.040 game where both teams have lost seven games in a 0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:58.920 row and one of them is number thirty two and 0:13:59.520 --> 0:14:04.720 one of them is what is thirty one on my rankings. Offensively, 0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:12.240 one team is thirty the other one is thirty one. Uh, 0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:18.240 offensively and then defensively exactly the same. So my philosophy is, 0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:21.920 when you can take points with two bad teams, you 0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:25.080 take the point. So I'm taking Houston, Wow, regardless of 0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:27.440 it's Davis Mills or to Rod Taylor. I don't Yeah, 0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:30.160 you know, the line's inching up, so I'm kind of 0:14:30.280 --> 0:14:33.360 thinking it might not look good for Tyrod. I don't know, 0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:36.480 that's what it sort of indicates. So but you know what, 0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:39.080 you don't bet bad teams unless you're getting points from 0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:42.480 other bad teams. Although that backfired last week with Philadelphia 0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:47.920 and Jacksonville. So I'll do the square mdo theory. Yeah, 0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:51.440 that was that happened Seattle Jacksonville to last week. That 0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:55.360 was like, the bad teams looked horrific awful. So what 0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:57.080 are we giving him six and a half or seven? 0:14:57.160 --> 0:15:00.680 Gilly half? It is I six and a half, six 0:15:00.720 --> 0:15:03.840 and a half, six and a half times six and half. 0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:07.240 All right, Jeff Parlay your first pick. We're gonna go 0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:09.880 back to the Brandon Staley Well and the l A 0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:12.160 Chargers laying only a point and a half on the 0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:16.640 road at Philadelphia. Look, I have said it with you, Gil, 0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:19.640 I've said it uh in our numerous phone conversations that 0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:21.600 Wes Reynolds and I have had trying to figure out 0:15:21.640 --> 0:15:24.560 our circle millions picks. The Eagles to me are a 0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:28.280 bad football team. That are they are poorly coached. That 0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:32.280 defense only performs well against bad offenses, and we saw 0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:34.640 it last week against a bad offense in Detroit. That 0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:39.040 defense looked absolutely spectacular. Jalen Hurts through for a hundred 0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:41.880 and seven yards last week and they scored forty four 0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:45.160 And when they scored forty four points, Jalen Hurts against 0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:48.680 good teams this year, Gil has looked abysmal. Now, I 0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:50.800 know the Chargers can't stop the run, and the one 0:15:50.880 --> 0:15:53.800 thing Hurts does well is move with his legs and 0:15:53.960 --> 0:15:56.640 actually create some plaze with his legs. But in the 0:15:56.760 --> 0:15:59.880 end here the Chargers offense is going to look better 0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:02.280 than it did last week against New England and the 0:16:02.440 --> 0:16:05.160 week before that before the bye with the Ravens. So 0:16:05.840 --> 0:16:09.440 get right a scenario where for me, the Chargers, if 0:16:09.520 --> 0:16:12.440 they're anything like the team we thought they were three 0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:14.600 weeks ago, they'll go on the road and handle their 0:16:14.640 --> 0:16:17.600 business and cover one one and a half in Philly. Alright, Chargers. 0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:20.440 That that's the most interesting line of the week to me, 0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:24.880 most interesting line of the week. American Gaming Association Board 0:16:24.920 --> 0:16:29.880 of Director Mike Paul your first, Todd, what is the 0:16:30.000 --> 0:16:33.800 line current line on the Vikings and Ravens. I love 0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:38.520 what he asks. Six. I'm gonna see I have I 0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:42.600 have six to heard from Chris all Right, I have six. 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:45.200 I'm gonna I'm gonna lay six. I think that you 0:16:45.240 --> 0:16:47.280 know what I did. I did not see much of 0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:50.880 the Cowboys Vikings game on Sunday night because it was 0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:53.960 Halloween and I was trying to trick or treat with 0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:57.480 my son. Look, that's a bad loss for the Vikings. 0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:59.840 I watched the game on the plane right on NF 0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:02.360 on network. They were replaying, and that's a bad loss 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:06.320 from the Vikings to Cooper Rush horrible loans. It's a 0:17:06.400 --> 0:17:08.960 horrible loss. And now compound that with the fact that 0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:12.160 you go into Baltimore the Ravens are off a bye 0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:15.040 week and off a home loss to the Bengals. A 0:17:15.119 --> 0:17:19.960 bad spot anyhow, Becausin's I'm starting to agree with Todd wishnev. 0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:23.000 This Cousins is just not good. I mean, he wants 0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:25.200 to check it down and check it down, and check 0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:29.080 it down and check it down, even against NONNI League defenses. 0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:32.280 I think this game is a total route. I don't 0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:34.920 think that Mike Zimmer can kick enough field goals in 0:17:35.000 --> 0:17:37.680 the first half to keep them in the game against 0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:40.440 the Ravens. And I'll lay anything less than a touchdown here, 0:17:40.920 --> 0:17:44.280 all right on the Ravens. Yeah, the Vikings welcome. Hey, 0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:48.080 Kirk Cousin, show Mike. Here's the thing though, like that 0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:52.440 that coaching staff from Mike Zimmer, Clint Kubiak. It's so bad. 0:17:52.480 --> 0:17:55.080 They were one of thirteen on third downs in that 0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:58.480 game against Dallas. They could not have looked worse. I 0:17:58.520 --> 0:18:00.320 don't really know if it's in Kirk Cousin this thing. 0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:05.760 I really don't listen. I endured years of him in 0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:09.480 d C. Why isn't it the Dallas defense. Dallas defense 0:18:09.520 --> 0:18:13.679 deserves credit. I had no fear that the backup quarterback 0:18:13.840 --> 0:18:16.000 was going in. I really felt Dallas was going to 0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:19.560 win the game anyway. Yeah, Dallas is if solid, solid team, 0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:21.840 Well they are there a top five team for sure 0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:25.359 at this point, Todd your first pick. I'm gonna go 0:18:25.440 --> 0:18:28.720 back to the well with the game I lost last week, 0:18:28.840 --> 0:18:32.720 which was the Houston Texans. Again, I'm gonna go under 0:18:32.800 --> 0:18:38.399 in their game against the Miami Dolphins. Another team that sucks, 0:18:38.560 --> 0:18:40.320 but I think they can keep Houston out of the 0:18:40.440 --> 0:18:44.680 end zone. So give me under. I believe the number 0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:48.840 is forty five and a half. Under forty five and 0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:55.600 a half because the Texans can't score. It's here point 0:18:57.160 --> 0:18:59.480 the extra half point. Don't sing it again, though, don't 0:18:59.520 --> 0:19:01.000 give me the forty six. You know what, I just 0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:04.960 think that um Houston games are under games. The only 0:19:05.040 --> 0:19:08.679 way they go over is when ridiculous stuff happens at 0:19:08.720 --> 0:19:11.159 the way end, like what happened last week against the Rams. 0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:14.400 Houston just cannot score. I don't care how bad Miami 0:19:14.520 --> 0:19:17.080 is on defense, I still don't think Houston can score. 0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:19.760 And these teams are worse on offense than they are 0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:22.639 on defense. So give me under forty six in the 0:19:22.720 --> 0:19:27.600 Houston Miami game. Under forty six, Houston Miami. Man multiple 0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:30.200 bets on the poop poo platter game between the Texans 0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:33.200 and the Dolphins. All right, what is the line for? 0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:34.879 What is the current line is it seven and a 0:19:34.920 --> 0:19:39.800 half Kansas City hosting Green Bay? That's right here, it 0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:42.840 is seven. There are seven and a halfs in the world, though, 0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:45.680 what's the consensus. I would say almost everybody has seven 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:47.800 and a half except for one or two seven. Okay, 0:19:47.880 --> 0:19:50.159 so seven and a half it is. Give me the 0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:55.959 Jordan's Love lad green Bay Packers. Um, oh, you're going 0:19:56.000 --> 0:20:00.960 with the Packers? Yes, I think that. And the Aaron 0:20:01.040 --> 0:20:03.280 Rodgers news came down this morning on a numbers game. 0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:06.760 Jeff and I parlay and I we we navigated through 0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:09.680 that whole thing. Yes, the difference in the line between 0:20:09.680 --> 0:20:12.240 Aaron Rodgers and Jordan's Love. We expected the market to 0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:14.760 react as it did, and it did, in fact, go 0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:17.199 seven and a half points towards the Chiefs. I had 0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:20.120 the Chiefs and survivor on Monday night. Anybody who had 0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:25.200 to endure that, uh knows just how diseased that football 0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:29.680 team is. They are so bad right now, like to 0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:32.400 the point where it's very difficult for us to purge 0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:35.000 from our brains how good they were to how bad 0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:39.320 they've become. Andy Reid is not content with a running game. 0:20:39.840 --> 0:20:42.360 They were very effective on the ground in that one 0:20:42.440 --> 0:20:45.679 touchdown drive against the uh against the Giants the other night, 0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:49.040 he wasn't content with it. Patrick Mahomes is extremely loose 0:20:49.080 --> 0:20:54.639 with the football. He's extremely impatient. UM defenses have realized 0:20:54.680 --> 0:20:58.160 that that the blueprint is don't blitz Mahomes, double Tyreek 0:20:58.480 --> 0:21:02.280 double Travis Kelsey. I think the Packers are going to 0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:05.840 really treat like they are very pumped. I think in 0:21:06.000 --> 0:21:08.560 some weird way to be able to have this challenge 0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:10.760 a week after they had you know, by the way, 0:21:10.760 --> 0:21:12.960 they're on extra rest here, a week after they didn't 0:21:12.960 --> 0:21:17.479 have Davante against the the Arizona Cardinals and knocked them 0:21:17.520 --> 0:21:19.840 from the ranks of the unbeaten. I think that they 0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:22.520 cover this number here. And by the way, if I 0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:25.160 were a survivor player and I'm tempted by Kansas City, 0:21:25.480 --> 0:21:28.040 I would caution people not to be tempted by them. 0:21:28.400 --> 0:21:30.359 That's how much I think the Chiefs have fallen. So 0:21:30.440 --> 0:21:34.320 I'm taking Green Bay plus the points my first. They're impatient, 0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:35.960 by the way, I couldn't agree with you more, Killy, 0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:38.960 They're the most impatient football team. They could run the 0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:41.320 ball for a hundred yards of play and they don't 0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:44.080 do it because they're impatient. They want to look superstars. 0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:46.280 They want to look to throw the ball over the place. 0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:48.000 If they would just run the ball, they could score 0:21:48.040 --> 0:21:50.000 every time. There's another thing going on. When r G 0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:52.240