WEBVTT - GXO's CIO on the Past, Present, and Future of Warehouses

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Wisenthal. Unfortunately my co host Tracy Elloway is

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<v Speaker 1>off today, but um I will continue on without her.

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<v Speaker 1>So obviously, Tracy and I have been talking a lot

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<v Speaker 1>about logistics, supply chains and so forth. We know there's

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<v Speaker 1>an extraordinary amount of disruption in the space lately, but

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<v Speaker 1>there's still uh, I guess I would say links in

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<v Speaker 1>the supply chain that we haven't covered. So we've talked

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<v Speaker 1>about shipping a lot, we've talked about trucking and so forth,

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<v Speaker 1>but they're all still all kinds of all kinds of

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<v Speaker 1>links in the chain we haven't talked about. And of

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<v Speaker 1>course one of those links is warehouses, and so we've

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<v Speaker 1>talked about. You know, there's this been this incredible boom

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<v Speaker 1>and sort of like e commerce demand for goods from

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<v Speaker 1>China that's created issues with the shipping and the containers

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<v Speaker 1>and the trucking. But of course along the way everything

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<v Speaker 1>at some point stops in a warehouse. And warehouses setting

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<v Speaker 1>aside even the pandemic and all of the tensions. Now

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<v Speaker 1>this has just been a booming area and people think

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<v Speaker 1>about Amazon warehouses and the rise of e commerce and

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<v Speaker 1>warehouses in general because of all this are expected to

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<v Speaker 1>grow massively in the future. So we wanted to explore

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<v Speaker 1>further this sort of current moment where there's all this

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<v Speaker 1>bullishness on warehouses themselves, with this current tension that we

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<v Speaker 1>see in supply chain disruptions, I'm very excited. I think

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<v Speaker 1>we have the best guest for it. Today we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to be speaking with Mark Manduca. He is the chief

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<v Speaker 1>investment officer of g XO, which is spitting off from

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<v Speaker 1>the big logistics and transportation company XPO very soon, and

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<v Speaker 1>he's going to be talking to us about this moment.

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<v Speaker 1>So with out further ado, Mark, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining us. Jerry, thank you for that kind introest. Absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>why don't you start off actually by explaining g x

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<v Speaker 1>O just a little bit, because it's sort of confusing.

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<v Speaker 1>I know it's part of XBO, it's on the verge

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<v Speaker 1>of spinning off into its own publicly traded company, But

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<v Speaker 1>what do you just tell us what what g XO

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<v Speaker 1>is for listeners and how that how that spin will

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<v Speaker 1>work and the timing and all that. Absolutely, so, g

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<v Speaker 1>x is a warehousing company, as you as you eloquently

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<v Speaker 1>explained at the start of the pool. G XO hands

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<v Speaker 1>around nine hundred warehouses across twenty seven countries and we

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<v Speaker 1>solve people's problems for them. And you mentioned a number

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<v Speaker 1>of supply chain problems that exist in the market, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm happy to to talk about those on this call.

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<v Speaker 1>The reality is is that we we fix what's in

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<v Speaker 1>the warehouse. We we take parents, we distribute parts, We

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<v Speaker 1>manage your supply chain for you within the warehouse. And

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<v Speaker 1>it's such an important part of someone's business. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>some of the bluest blue ship customers in the world

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<v Speaker 1>and we are we managed, We managed their back office,

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<v Speaker 1>so to speak, to make sure that you can get

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<v Speaker 1>the goods back into the front office. And that is

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<v Speaker 1>that's our bread and butter. Do you own the warehouses?

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<v Speaker 1>So we least the warehouses by and March got it.

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<v Speaker 1>So what don't you exploit a little further? Like what

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<v Speaker 1>is the relationship with the customer? So I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>get I gather the sort of relationship is different from

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<v Speaker 1>one to another. But what is sort of a typical uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a client comes to g x O for

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<v Speaker 1>what service, What is the sort of nature of that arrangement? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>So when a customer moves to g X, so it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's not a cost decision, it's actually a revenue decision.

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<v Speaker 1>And what I mean by that is that logistics represents

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<v Speaker 1>about three percent of the typical customers cost space. But

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<v Speaker 1>if you pick the wrong provider to provide you with

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<v Speaker 1>third party logistics, and for whatever reason it doesn't work out.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe there the third party logistics providers too small, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>that they don't have to write balance sheet, maybe they're

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<v Speaker 1>not global enough, maybe they don't have the right technology stacks.

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<v Speaker 1>Then what happens is is that ultimately about a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>percent of your revenues end up suffering. So this is

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<v Speaker 1>not a cost decision anymore for for customers, it's an

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<v Speaker 1>absolute necessity. And this is exactly why customers are increasingly

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<v Speaker 1>demanding a best in class, scalable third party logistics. Provided

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<v Speaker 1>you asked what we do well in so many ways,

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest portion of our businesses is e commerce, and

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<v Speaker 1>as you know, e commerce has has made the lives

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<v Speaker 1>of our customers incredibly exciting but also incredibly complicated. So

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<v Speaker 1>in the old world, what you would find is that

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<v Speaker 1>a thousand T shirts would arrive on a pallet in

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<v Speaker 1>a warehouse, and they would need to be organized in turn,

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<v Speaker 1>and then you'd have two palettes. Ultimately that afternoon, leaving

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<v Speaker 1>the warehouse, they'd go to a brick and mortar type institution.

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<v Speaker 1>So a thousand T shirts arrive and basically two boxes

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<v Speaker 1>or two palletts will leave that afternoon. That's the old world.

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<v Speaker 1>In the new world, what will happen is that a

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<v Speaker 1>thousand T shirts arrive and then a thousand separate boxes

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<v Speaker 1>have to leave that afternoon. And that complication has just

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<v Speaker 1>called caused a volcano effect in most people's back offices,

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<v Speaker 1>most people's supply chains Joe, and that's effectively resulted and

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<v Speaker 1>not only a three x two ten x need for warehousing,

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<v Speaker 1>it's also resulted in a demand for scalable players, multinational players,

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<v Speaker 1>players that provide a good balance sheet, long term relationships,

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<v Speaker 1>and technological advancements, and just that happens to be us.

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<v Speaker 1>So I want to focus obviously aren't the warehouses, but

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<v Speaker 1>just real quickly, can you just explain for listeners g

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<v Speaker 1>XO is part of XPIOT, like what has happened, like

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<v Speaker 1>how it is formed within XBO and then what is

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<v Speaker 1>the plane going forward? Here? Yeah, easy. So g XO

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<v Speaker 1>is in effect around of the revenues of XPO, which

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<v Speaker 1>is the conglomerate, which is largely based around lt L

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<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned at the start of the call, as

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<v Speaker 1>well as brokerage and of course our warehousing business, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're planning on spinning that out as the second of August,

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<v Speaker 1>and therefore g XO will become its own entity. As

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<v Speaker 1>spinoffs goes, some spinoffs are always good company, bad company,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's not the case here at all. Once, once

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<v Speaker 1>your listeners look at the look at the numbers, look

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<v Speaker 1>at the look at the company, and hear what I

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<v Speaker 1>have to say, you'll see that this is great company

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<v Speaker 1>spinning out great company, XBO spinning out g x So

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<v Speaker 1>it'll be it'll it'll be a very exciting spin I think.

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<v Speaker 1>And the goal ultimately will be able to allow g

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<v Speaker 1>XO to to focus on its own strategic priorities and

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<v Speaker 1>ring fence the business with its own capital structure going

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<v Speaker 1>forward and ultimately play in its own field with its

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<v Speaker 1>own decision making. Now, what we we talked about trucking

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<v Speaker 1>a few weeks ago, and one of the things that

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<v Speaker 1>really stood out to me was just how incredibly fragmented

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<v Speaker 1>the space with it, and I actually until that episode,

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<v Speaker 1>I had no idea that there is essentially no like

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<v Speaker 1>really dominant market leader and trucking and something. There's some

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<v Speaker 1>insane stat about tens of thousands of new truck and

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<v Speaker 1>companies having entered the market just the last few months.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, many of them quite small. What does the

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<v Speaker 1>warehouse market look like in terms of size and fragmentation

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<v Speaker 1>and how big is g XL within that market. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a few things to know. So we've got some phenomenal

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<v Speaker 1>secular tail ones in this market, unlike I think any

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<v Speaker 1>other market that I've ever looked at. I've covered the

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<v Speaker 1>transportation and the just acceptor for the last fifteen years.

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<v Speaker 1>So from my perspective, we're in the right place at

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<v Speaker 1>the right time, whether that's e commerce, automation, and outsourcing.

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<v Speaker 1>In terms of your question about the total addressable market,

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<v Speaker 1>the total addressable market is roughly around four hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>thirty billion dollars. Remember we're about an eight billion dollar revenue.

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<v Speaker 1>To contextualize that, as the biggest market player out there

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<v Speaker 1>that is a pure play asset, that's being US g

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<v Speaker 1>x O. We've go got five per cent of the market.

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<v Speaker 1>So everything you've just said about fragmentation is very much

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<v Speaker 1>the case here, and we're waiting for a white night

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<v Speaker 1>to emerge within this four dred and thirty billion dollar market. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>within that four billion dollars, there's a hundred and thirty

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars that's already outsourced and three hundred to get

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<v Speaker 1>you to four hundred and thirty three hundred billion that

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<v Speaker 1>is still sitting in hops. And what I mean by

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<v Speaker 1>that is companies running their own logistics networks. I'd like

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<v Speaker 1>to start with all these things like what the pre

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic normal looked like, and I don't you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>as much as you describe what is you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>sort of February twenty or March nineteen world look like

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<v Speaker 1>for a company like g X, so just we could

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<v Speaker 1>sort of get a sense of the changes in the

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<v Speaker 1>new trajectory. Let's let's let's characterize that as old world

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<v Speaker 1>the world. So in the in the old world, in

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<v Speaker 1>the brick and mortar world, and that's not obviously just

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<v Speaker 1>pretty pandemic, it's it's it's it's a long way for

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. But in the old world, what you'd have

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<v Speaker 1>is is the dickensiean warehouse where cardboard boxes would would

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<v Speaker 1>rule the roost and there will be very little alternation.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, the industry is still outside of outside of

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<v Speaker 1>our good selves, there's there's very little automation. If you

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<v Speaker 1>look at some of our smaller peers within the space.

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<v Speaker 1>The punch line here is very simple, and that is

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<v Speaker 1>the Dickensian warehouse evolved didn't have automation. It was largely

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<v Speaker 1>focused on brick and water operations. And therefore what would

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<v Speaker 1>happen is is that there wouldn't be the same level

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<v Speaker 1>of complexity that there is today. And what I mean

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<v Speaker 1>by that is not so much our own complexity with technology,

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<v Speaker 1>but actually customer complexity. Very simply, today one in three

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<v Speaker 1>items are returned in an e commerce world, whereas in

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<v Speaker 1>the old days it would be more like one in ten.

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<v Speaker 1>To give you a sense of that volcano that I

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<v Speaker 1>talked about that is erupting on the the balance sheets

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<v Speaker 1>of so many of our customers. And therefore the customers

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<v Speaker 1>are seeing more complexity in regards to working capital, they're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing more complexity in regards to their day to day operations.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you can imagine if you all of a sudden.

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<v Speaker 1>Have you know, you send out a hundred boxes and

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<v Speaker 1>ten boxes used to come back, and now all of

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<v Speaker 1>a sudden, thirty boxes are coming back. You up pulling

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<v Speaker 1>your hair out and end up crying for help. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's ultimately where we step in. Is that White

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<v Speaker 1>Knight that I talked about. In so doing, you've you've

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<v Speaker 1>referenced a bunch of interesting points post pandemic. What's happened

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<v Speaker 1>ultimately is that the the industry has become a bit

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<v Speaker 1>log jammed elbow to elbow. Clearly people have been buying

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<v Speaker 1>online rather than going to the cinema having experiences, And

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<v Speaker 1>in so doing, what's happened is is that you've had

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the supply chain outside of the warehouse

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<v Speaker 1>getting a bit log jammed. Now there's a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>reasons for that. Most prominently, buying patterns have changed. I

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<v Speaker 1>referenced that, and the question you should ask, I guess

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<v Speaker 1>is when we're consumers go back to pre pandemic buying pattern.

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<v Speaker 1>I hope you have the answer to that, because that's

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<v Speaker 1>the that's the trillion dollar question everybody wants to know,

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<v Speaker 1>so we better come up with an answer. On this episode,

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<v Speaker 1>we will we will, we will, we will endeavor together.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's and then the other thing that's changed, obviously, is

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<v Speaker 1>the flying patterns have changed. You'll know, of course that

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<v Speaker 1>the world's available cargo capacity. If you think about the

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<v Speaker 1>amount of cargo capacity that we have in the world,

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<v Speaker 1>half of it, half of it lies in the in

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<v Speaker 1>the belly of passenger planes, and clearly without people flying

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<v Speaker 1>as much as they used to at the moment, that

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<v Speaker 1>means there's less supply, which means air freight rates have

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<v Speaker 1>gone gone through the roof, and in so doing, people

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<v Speaker 1>have shifted their mode of transport towards shipping, so that

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<v Speaker 1>in turn has led to a log jam in the system,

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<v Speaker 1>which is why you're seeing in part things going on

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<v Speaker 1>in the port of Los Angeles. So that log jam

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<v Speaker 1>ultimately needs to unwind itself at some point in the

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<v Speaker 1>next in the next six or twelve months. But all

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<v Speaker 1>of these things, whether it's the truck driving point that

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned, whether it's the inflation that we're seeing at

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<v Speaker 1>the worker level, whether it's the log jam that I

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<v Speaker 1>talked about from the ports and the shortage of containers,

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<v Speaker 1>all of this leads to one thing, which is that

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<v Speaker 1>White Knight, someone needs to help me run my business

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<v Speaker 1>because I need to focus on whatever it is selling

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<v Speaker 1>t shirts, selling shoes, making cookies, while my back office

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<v Speaker 1>needs to be managed by someone else who has expertise

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<v Speaker 1>precision scale, good balance sheet, technological advancement. That's where we

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<v Speaker 1>have stepped in effectively. As sad as it sounds, we have.

0:12:07.360 --> 0:12:11.600
<v Speaker 1>We have benefited from the last twelve months because people

0:12:11.600 --> 0:12:13.400
<v Speaker 1>have realized that they can't do it on their own.

0:12:13.800 --> 0:12:15.880
<v Speaker 1>Let me ask you before we forget. You know, you

0:12:15.960 --> 0:12:18.160
<v Speaker 1>mentioned something about your model, which is that you lease

0:12:18.440 --> 0:12:22.040
<v Speaker 1>the warehouses, and I'm curious, like, I guess what prevents

0:12:22.520 --> 0:12:26.880
<v Speaker 1>the rent so to speak, from accruing largely to the

0:12:26.920 --> 0:12:31.400
<v Speaker 1>warehouse owners because I imagine that actual like physical warehouse

0:12:31.440 --> 0:12:34.360
<v Speaker 1>space is not infinite. That is a big advantage if

0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:38.920
<v Speaker 1>you own it. What what what gives you or your

0:12:39.000 --> 0:12:42.080
<v Speaker 1>client sort of leverage to not give up all of

0:12:42.120 --> 0:12:44.679
<v Speaker 1>the margin to the warehouse to the people renting it to.

0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:49.040
<v Speaker 1>So the question is is very much a case of

0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:51.440
<v Speaker 1>availability of real estate and that's cually a challenge at

0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:53.680
<v Speaker 1>the moment, as you've seen from vacancy rates yourself and

0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 1>the stuff that you've been reporting on. You know, the

0:12:55.880 --> 0:12:59.400
<v Speaker 1>industry has seen vacancy rates falling to single digits, particularly

0:12:59.400 --> 0:13:03.280
<v Speaker 1>in Europe, and um I really believe that this highlights

0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 1>of strength of our services. Not only does it point

0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:11.640
<v Speaker 1>to increased uses of usage of warehousing and logistics capabilities,

0:13:12.080 --> 0:13:16.760
<v Speaker 1>but given the given our scale as the largest pure player,

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:21.480
<v Speaker 1>the second largest warehousing company globally, it it leaves it

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:25.559
<v Speaker 1>leaves us relatively well placed to secure leases for our customers.

0:13:25.720 --> 0:13:28.160
<v Speaker 1>So we have obviously dedicated relationships with some of the

0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:31.720
<v Speaker 1>exact same warehousing companies that you've mentioned that therefore provides

0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:34.600
<v Speaker 1>us with bargaining power logically, So if your decision is

0:13:34.640 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 1>I need a warehouse, either I'm going to do it

0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:38.040
<v Speaker 1>on an in house basis or I'm going to outsource

0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 1>it to the third party logistics provider. You've already decided

0:13:40.720 --> 0:13:42.720
<v Speaker 1>that you need a warehouse, and you can have that

0:13:42.760 --> 0:13:44.360
<v Speaker 1>close to the last mile or you can have it

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:47.960
<v Speaker 1>further away. It doesn't change the demand for warehousing. But

0:13:48.040 --> 0:13:50.720
<v Speaker 1>if you can have someone who has bargaining on labor

0:13:51.120 --> 0:13:55.240
<v Speaker 1>has the scalability to negotiate rents for you on a

0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:59.720
<v Speaker 1>global basis, that does provide a value add the dynamic

0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 1>of you either paying it directly to the to the

0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:05.320
<v Speaker 1>segrea of the plodgers, yourself or getting a third party

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:08.280
<v Speaker 1>logistics provider to do it doesn't really change the price dynamics.

0:14:08.840 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 1>But what it does do is we can provide potentially

0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:15.520
<v Speaker 1>better bargaining power, which in turn provides arguably a lower

0:14:15.600 --> 0:14:18.360
<v Speaker 1>price for the end customer. So using a third party

0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:37.120
<v Speaker 1>logistic provider is useful. I don't know, Like, I'm curious

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:40.040
<v Speaker 1>if you have a stat in the industry that answers

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:43.600
<v Speaker 1>this question. But you know, obviously I want to get

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 1>into this world deeply. But automation is a huge theme

0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:49.280
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned as one of the key tail winds for

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 1>your business. How would you compare I don't know, is

0:14:52.240 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 1>it humans per dollar moved per day or something like that, Like,

0:14:56.960 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 1>is there some or human wages per dollar per moved

0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 1>per day by the warehouse? Like can you sort of

0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:05.600
<v Speaker 1>contextualize the degree to which the sort of like the

0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 1>old brick and border warehouse versus today's warehouse, And how

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:13.560
<v Speaker 1>much more efficient a warehouse of today is versus what

0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:17.040
<v Speaker 1>we think of the old fashioned ones. So there's there's

0:15:17.040 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 1>plenty of examples in the technology sphere of how technology

0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 1>has helped make warehouses more efficient. We put a number

0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:28.280
<v Speaker 1>of stats within our Investor Day presentation last week specifically

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about how the Dickensian warehouse of old has accelerated

0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:36.120
<v Speaker 1>in so many ways um and become the warehouse of

0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:38.720
<v Speaker 1>the future. And we've got plenty of examples across our network,

0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 1>whether it's advanced automation, whether it's improved efficiency, reducing the footprint,

0:15:44.280 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 1>whether it's some of the class based, cloud based systems

0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 1>that we use, or some of the intelligent robotics of

0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:54.760
<v Speaker 1>how this saves money for for our customers, and naturally

0:15:54.960 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 1>it results in customers coming to us because very few

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 1>people have the amount of dedicated automation implementation that we

0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:06.560
<v Speaker 1>have across robotics and automated guided vehicles and vision technology

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>and advanced sortation systems. But if you look specifically at

0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:15.160
<v Speaker 1>say a robotic arm, I'll answer your question right down

0:16:15.160 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 1>the line. In the old days, a typical pick let's

0:16:19.040 --> 0:16:21.760
<v Speaker 1>call it would be around two hundred and ten cases

0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:24.840
<v Speaker 1>per our picking rate. With a robotic arm, you can

0:16:24.880 --> 0:16:28.800
<v Speaker 1>do four x that, so effectively eight hundred cases per

0:16:28.880 --> 0:16:32.400
<v Speaker 1>hour picking rate. So you can see explicitly how manual

0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:35.480
<v Speaker 1>goes to automation and how the customer benefits and it

0:16:35.520 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 1>generates dramatic productivity gains as you can see both for

0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>our customers and for us. And we'd obviously share any

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:45.040
<v Speaker 1>economics of that when it comes to thinking about other

0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:47.960
<v Speaker 1>other other factual numbers out there that we can we

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:50.560
<v Speaker 1>can help you get a sense of of how technology

0:16:50.600 --> 0:16:54.240
<v Speaker 1>improves on the automation side for our customers. Obviously, robotic

0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:57.120
<v Speaker 1>d stackers early good example you get in the old

0:16:57.120 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 1>manual world versus the automation world as six x saving

0:17:00.880 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 1>taken automate a gantry, for example, you can get a

0:17:03.120 --> 0:17:05.880
<v Speaker 1>sixty next saving if you think about the cases per

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:10.560
<v Speaker 1>hour that can be picked um by gantry. So there's

0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>so when you when you think about an automated warehouse,

0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:18.639
<v Speaker 1>what you find is is you find different different operations

0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:23.080
<v Speaker 1>across the entire supply chain that that offer. So you

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:26.399
<v Speaker 1>can take the adjustable heights of various gantry cranes across

0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:29.919
<v Speaker 1>the across the warehouse and that allows you to in

0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:34.840
<v Speaker 1>affect lighting more efficiently through the warehouse school. So obviously

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:37.840
<v Speaker 1>though I mean you know most of the attention to

0:17:37.920 --> 0:17:40.680
<v Speaker 1>the warehouses. You know, there's been numerous stories about Amazon

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 1>for example, So despite and the stories are always that

0:17:44.520 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 1>the hiring is just absolutely voracious and that there's just

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:51.679
<v Speaker 1>an incredible demand still for actual people. So what is

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:54.479
<v Speaker 1>the you know, you you describe all these efficiency gains,

0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:57.680
<v Speaker 1>and yet it doesn't seem like hiring needs have really

0:17:57.920 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 1>slowed down for the industry. What does it look like

0:17:59.840 --> 0:18:03.320
<v Speaker 1>for year? If you think about inflation that you're seeing

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:06.720
<v Speaker 1>in the system right now, there's there is undoubtedly inflation.

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:09.879
<v Speaker 1>We're certainly seeing that across the markets that we operate in,

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:14.120
<v Speaker 1>and clearly it increases the global problem for customers. And

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:17.000
<v Speaker 1>this isn't just a phenomenon that's taking place in any

0:18:17.000 --> 0:18:19.399
<v Speaker 1>particular market. As I mentioned, were seeing it coast to

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:21.080
<v Speaker 1>coast in the US, and we're seeing it in the

0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:24.840
<v Speaker 1>UK and specific terms, and labor inflation is clearly an improblem,

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:26.840
<v Speaker 1>that a problem that's here to stay for our customers.

0:18:27.560 --> 0:18:30.159
<v Speaker 1>If you think about the silver lining in terms of

0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:33.480
<v Speaker 1>inflation volatility, I think it goes back to my key point,

0:18:33.520 --> 0:18:36.399
<v Speaker 1>which is that it drives demand for those third party

0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:40.359
<v Speaker 1>logistics providers, and labor inflation obviously causes our customers to

0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:44.600
<v Speaker 1>want more automation and more robotics as well. And clearly,

0:18:44.640 --> 0:18:46.960
<v Speaker 1>as I mentioned we're a global global tech leader when

0:18:46.960 --> 0:18:49.840
<v Speaker 1>it comes to automated warehouses. But it is a problem.

0:18:49.880 --> 0:18:51.840
<v Speaker 1>I think it is here to stay. There is demand

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:53.880
<v Speaker 1>for labor, and so there should be in so many

0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:56.640
<v Speaker 1>ways we we we aspire to make sure our teammates

0:18:56.640 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 1>are all a hundred thousand teammates are all exceptionally well

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:04.480
<v Speaker 1>rewarded for for their efforts. But it is it is

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 1>something that we're very good at managing from a bargaining

0:19:06.840 --> 0:19:08.760
<v Speaker 1>power perspective in a similar way to the way I

0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:11.080
<v Speaker 1>described Joe on the on the warehousing side of things.

0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:13.679
<v Speaker 1>But just in terms of pure numbers, I guess is

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:16.400
<v Speaker 1>what are we're trying to get at? Like how much

0:19:16.560 --> 0:19:18.840
<v Speaker 1>hiring do you have to do? So, even with all

0:19:18.880 --> 0:19:22.720
<v Speaker 1>of the automation you described, what is the trajectory of

0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:25.480
<v Speaker 1>the actual numbers of people that you've had to hire?

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:28.200
<v Speaker 1>Because again, just going by the news reports from say Amazon,

0:19:28.520 --> 0:19:32.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure they have incredible technology investments, but they still

0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:34.639
<v Speaker 1>just have to keep you know, they seem to be

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:39.160
<v Speaker 1>hiring people nonstaff. Yeah, we ultimately will see the same

0:19:39.320 --> 0:19:41.440
<v Speaker 1>the same trend in regards to the way we plan

0:19:41.520 --> 0:19:43.719
<v Speaker 1>on expanding. I mean, our revenues are planning to expand

0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:47.520
<v Speaker 1>next year at about eight after some phenomenal growth already

0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:50.960
<v Speaker 1>this year that we've already seen with a number of

0:19:50.960 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 1>new customer winds, and with that will obviously come its

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:57.000
<v Speaker 1>o unfair share of being able to grow a warehousing

0:19:57.040 --> 0:20:00.960
<v Speaker 1>footprint and thus our employee footprints. So you know, teammates

0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:02.639
<v Speaker 1>will continue to grow at g X. So we're a

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:06.040
<v Speaker 1>fast growth company over the next few years and we

0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:08.919
<v Speaker 1>intend to partake within that growth as as as an

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:13.520
<v Speaker 1>industry leader. Do you see a difference in labor market

0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 1>titaness globally because obviously there are a lot of economist

0:20:16.560 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 1>debates about well, why is it hard to hire? And

0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:22.359
<v Speaker 1>some people point to unemployment insurance, and some people plointed

0:20:22.400 --> 0:20:24.720
<v Speaker 1>to the persistence of the virus and the lack of

0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:28.879
<v Speaker 1>childcare and so forth. But you have a global footprint

0:20:28.960 --> 0:20:30.760
<v Speaker 1>and so you, I guess you can see sort of

0:20:30.760 --> 0:20:35.040
<v Speaker 1>a natural experiment, so to speak, with different labor markets

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:38.200
<v Speaker 1>across the different set of policy and virus outcomes. How

0:20:38.280 --> 0:20:41.920
<v Speaker 1>global is the tightness right now in or the challenge

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:44.920
<v Speaker 1>of hiring? I would say the similarities in our two

0:20:44.920 --> 0:20:47.399
<v Speaker 1>core markets two thirds of our revenue is is obviously

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Europe one third is board in North America. When you

0:20:50.480 --> 0:20:53.199
<v Speaker 1>think about those two markets, I would say that the

0:20:53.240 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 1>similarities are there. I would say that the US is

0:20:56.000 --> 0:20:57.960
<v Speaker 1>probably three months ahead of what we're seeing in the

0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:00.159
<v Speaker 1>in the European market. What do you sorry do you

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:03.880
<v Speaker 1>mean by that labor wedging question? Europe's lag what you're

0:21:03.920 --> 0:21:05.679
<v Speaker 1>seeing in the US, what you have seen with all

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:08.359
<v Speaker 1>the articles that you refer to, Yeah, it's probably three

0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:11.560
<v Speaker 1>months three months lagging in the European But ultimately, what

0:21:11.600 --> 0:21:13.879
<v Speaker 1>you're saying is this, this is not just a U

0:21:13.960 --> 0:21:15.639
<v Speaker 1>S a U S. This is definitely not just a

0:21:15.720 --> 0:21:19.240
<v Speaker 1>US phenomenon. This challenge of hiring under no circumstances, this

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:22.480
<v Speaker 1>is just a US phenomenon. In fact, the same applies

0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:26.200
<v Speaker 1>for for for warehouse vacancy rates. Were seeing similar phenomenons

0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:30.200
<v Speaker 1>within the European European market as we are in the

0:21:30.320 --> 0:21:35.199
<v Speaker 1>US market. That's really interesting. Go back to the automation question. Obviously,

0:21:36.200 --> 0:21:39.240
<v Speaker 1>you know that I assume you know you're constant spending.

0:21:39.320 --> 0:21:41.399
<v Speaker 1>How do you how do you keep up? You know,

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:45.560
<v Speaker 1>again going up against big tech giants. What is your

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:48.439
<v Speaker 1>um what is your edge so to speak? And how

0:21:48.520 --> 0:21:51.960
<v Speaker 1>much investment does it require? On your part in terms

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 1>of high tech automation to be the status quo or

0:21:57.080 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 1>be an industry leader in automated warehouse. So let's let's

0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:04.159
<v Speaker 1>plup the question on it's head. Joe, if I was

0:22:04.200 --> 0:22:05.680
<v Speaker 1>to give you, if I was to ask you a

0:22:05.760 --> 0:22:07.720
<v Speaker 1>number of how much do you think you talked about

0:22:07.760 --> 0:22:10.520
<v Speaker 1>the big industry tech giants that in so many ways

0:22:10.520 --> 0:22:12.920
<v Speaker 1>we're not going up against our major Our major competition

0:22:13.040 --> 0:22:15.560
<v Speaker 1>is actually more in the logistics speriments in the tex spit,

0:22:15.640 --> 0:22:17.600
<v Speaker 1>so to speak. But if I was to say to you,

0:22:17.640 --> 0:22:20.800
<v Speaker 1>how much do you think the industry overall is automated

0:22:20.920 --> 0:22:27.159
<v Speaker 1>right now? Would you pin it more at right now

0:22:27.200 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 1>in terms of total automation across all warehouses. I guess

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:32.560
<v Speaker 1>think by the way you frame the question, I'm guessing

0:22:32.560 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty low. Still, yeah, you're totally right, So it's

0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:39.720
<v Speaker 1>around five to give you a sense. So with within that,

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:42.920
<v Speaker 1>if you look at our European operation, we're about automated.

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:46.640
<v Speaker 1>Can you actually explain that further? What does that mean? Actually?

0:22:46.680 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 1>I realized we haven't even because any warehouse, even with

0:22:50.080 --> 0:22:52.000
<v Speaker 1>plenty of robots, is going to have humans. So when

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:55.159
<v Speaker 1>you say a warehouse is thirty percent or would you

0:22:55.160 --> 0:22:58.879
<v Speaker 1>say thirty percent automated? What does that actually mean to say, okay,

0:22:58.880 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 1>this warehouses we can we we call this automated using

0:23:02.920 --> 0:23:06.920
<v Speaker 1>any form of automation, whether that's hardware or software, to

0:23:07.280 --> 0:23:12.080
<v Speaker 1>eliminate siloes, to overcome space and labor constraints, to increase

0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:15.080
<v Speaker 1>fulfilm and speed and accuracy, and provide superior visibility in

0:23:15.119 --> 0:23:19.400
<v Speaker 1>control at any point through the warehouse chain. And therefore,

0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:21.880
<v Speaker 1>so would you say when it's just would you say

0:23:21.960 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>that the industry is just five percent? You mean there's

0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:28.760
<v Speaker 1>ninety percent of warehouses that are literally just people in

0:23:28.880 --> 0:23:32.720
<v Speaker 1>boxes old school, I mean not people don't know, people

0:23:32.760 --> 0:23:36.280
<v Speaker 1>and the boxes. Sorry yeah, people and people and the boxes.

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah sorry, that's really so that is pretty striking other

0:23:39.920 --> 0:23:44.080
<v Speaker 1>industries that have yet, Like is there an industry pattern

0:23:44.200 --> 0:23:47.240
<v Speaker 1>that's like, okay this these types of industries have embraced

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:49.840
<v Speaker 1>it really fast, or there are certain types of goods

0:23:49.880 --> 0:23:53.000
<v Speaker 1>that have not um that are less likely to be automated,

0:23:53.040 --> 0:23:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Like what are the patterns in terms of who has

0:23:55.600 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 1>actually invested significantly in technology? I think brush you would

0:24:00.840 --> 0:24:04.680
<v Speaker 1>you would assume that the industry could over time get

0:24:04.760 --> 0:24:08.280
<v Speaker 1>to around fifty six automation. I think that that will

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:11.080
<v Speaker 1>take many, many years and possibly decades to get there

0:24:11.600 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 1>um and it very much comes down to the demand

0:24:13.560 --> 0:24:15.920
<v Speaker 1>from the customers. This is not us trying to enforce

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:19.919
<v Speaker 1>technology onto onto every in any solution, So it depends

0:24:19.920 --> 0:24:22.080
<v Speaker 1>on customer demand clearly, as you can see from the

0:24:22.119 --> 0:24:25.400
<v Speaker 1>numbers that I was giving you earlier about your set

0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:28.360
<v Speaker 1>of palettes and cases and gantries. You know, the reality

0:24:28.480 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 1>is that we are clearly driving automation going forward. But

0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 1>are there any sectors that it seems sort of I mean,

0:24:35.200 --> 0:24:37.520
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned fifty six percent, Like, what are the areas

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:39.640
<v Speaker 1>that aren't going to go their way? Or what are

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:43.960
<v Speaker 1>other industries in which that is a it's a more

0:24:44.040 --> 0:24:48.160
<v Speaker 1>difficult proposition to automate a warehouse than others. I see

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:49.560
<v Speaker 1>what you're saying. I think you were talking about other

0:24:49.680 --> 0:24:52.480
<v Speaker 1>other sectors outside of wares. And if you think about

0:24:52.840 --> 0:24:55.320
<v Speaker 1>the industrial sector, which isn't a major portion of our

0:24:55.520 --> 0:24:59.320
<v Speaker 1>book of business because we are largely, as I mentioned,

0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:03.159
<v Speaker 1>e commerce and consumer technology orientated about fift our sales

0:25:03.200 --> 0:25:06.360
<v Speaker 1>come from those those lines of business. If you think

0:25:06.400 --> 0:25:10.720
<v Speaker 1>about the small element of industrial business that we do

0:25:10.840 --> 0:25:14.440
<v Speaker 1>within our overall mix, it is harder to automate within

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:16.960
<v Speaker 1>that because in some in some cases you are dealing

0:25:17.000 --> 0:25:20.639
<v Speaker 1>with very heavy hardware. E Commerce tends to be an

0:25:20.640 --> 0:25:24.879
<v Speaker 1>area where automation is best suited, So too is that

0:25:25.000 --> 0:25:29.560
<v Speaker 1>the food and beverage market. There's some logical, logical savings

0:25:29.600 --> 0:25:31.560
<v Speaker 1>that we've made there for customers. I think Day is

0:25:31.560 --> 0:25:33.359
<v Speaker 1>a very good example of that. Over and lesser in

0:25:33.359 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 1>the UK. But the industrial warehouses tend to have slightly

0:25:37.840 --> 0:25:41.240
<v Speaker 1>less automation, and our competition clearly is more geared towards

0:25:41.280 --> 0:25:44.520
<v Speaker 1>those industrial businesses, and therefore that kind of explains partly

0:25:45.040 --> 0:25:48.439
<v Speaker 1>why you're seeing a differential between someone who's extremely e

0:25:48.480 --> 0:25:53.919
<v Speaker 1>commerce focused versus maybe more industrial and heavy industries some

0:25:54.040 --> 0:25:56.880
<v Speaker 1>of our competitors. I see you're saying. So let's talk

0:25:56.920 --> 0:25:59.960
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more about labor, and we we've establed

0:26:00.280 --> 0:26:04.400
<v Speaker 1>that labor markets are type both of the US and Europe.

0:26:04.640 --> 0:26:08.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, in past episodes, we've heard from people talking

0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:12.120
<v Speaker 1>about different ways that they're trying to address that. From

0:26:12.119 --> 0:26:17.160
<v Speaker 1>a hiring perspective. Obviously wages are one area, but also

0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:21.720
<v Speaker 1>other aspects of flexibility. How are you thinking about this

0:26:22.119 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 1>both from a wage perspective but also other other strategies

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:29.920
<v Speaker 1>that have worked in hiring. So we have a significant

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:34.080
<v Speaker 1>amount of our workforce that is variable in nature um

0:26:34.280 --> 0:26:38.959
<v Speaker 1>and therefore we have the capability to flex workforce up

0:26:39.000 --> 0:26:43.479
<v Speaker 1>and down to allow all changes in volume demand. So

0:26:43.480 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 1>with what you're pointing to is actually a revenue positive

0:26:46.920 --> 0:26:49.840
<v Speaker 1>for both our industry and our customers. You know, we've

0:26:49.880 --> 0:26:54.760
<v Speaker 1>seen extremely robust sales momentum, with billions of customer agreements

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>signed in the first four months of this year alone,

0:26:58.760 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 1>and these obviously include the fulfillment services and a few

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 1>tech wins that we've had as well. Revenue being booked

0:27:06.280 --> 0:27:08.440
<v Speaker 1>until thirty two, So a lot of what you're saying

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:12.200
<v Speaker 1>in terms of demands tightness is actually a positive from

0:27:12.200 --> 0:27:15.000
<v Speaker 1>a revenue standpoint. There is demand for our customer services

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:17.840
<v Speaker 1>and therefore there is demand for our services and intern

0:27:17.880 --> 0:27:20.040
<v Speaker 1>there is demand for labor, which makes up around three

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:22.600
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars. Remember, in the context of the seven to

0:27:22.640 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>eight billion dollars of revenue that I talked about, makes

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:29.000
<v Speaker 1>about three billion dollars of of our cost base. So

0:27:29.160 --> 0:27:31.720
<v Speaker 1>when you think about the first point I would make

0:27:31.920 --> 0:27:35.560
<v Speaker 1>is this is a strong pipeline, high growth industry that

0:27:35.760 --> 0:27:38.760
<v Speaker 1>has a huge demand for not only our services, but

0:27:38.800 --> 0:27:42.240
<v Speaker 1>our customers offerings right now, and that's that's a good thing.

0:27:42.440 --> 0:27:45.119
<v Speaker 1>The question member comes is is how do you reward

0:27:45.480 --> 0:27:48.800
<v Speaker 1>the workforce and the teammates for providing that service, And

0:27:48.840 --> 0:27:52.040
<v Speaker 1>the answer is you reward them very well. In turn,

0:27:52.080 --> 0:27:54.159
<v Speaker 1>what you do is you also try and make the

0:27:54.240 --> 0:27:58.359
<v Speaker 1>workplace safer, stronger, and a more fun place to work

0:27:58.359 --> 0:28:00.359
<v Speaker 1>in a more alternated place to work as well. This

0:28:00.400 --> 0:28:02.800
<v Speaker 1>isn't a future of people versus robots. This is the

0:28:02.880 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>people and robots working arm in arm, hand in hand together,

0:28:07.600 --> 0:28:09.920
<v Speaker 1>and that's really something that we're trying to proliferate through

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:13.679
<v Speaker 1>our warehouses. We're also trying to drive productivity savings of

0:28:13.760 --> 0:28:16.760
<v Speaker 1>our labor by using smart tools such as our smart

0:28:16.880 --> 0:28:21.320
<v Speaker 1>system so g x SO Smart saves around five to

0:28:21.400 --> 0:28:25.440
<v Speaker 1>seven percent on labor productivity and this can be This

0:28:25.560 --> 0:28:30.160
<v Speaker 1>can be anything from spotting picking rate problems very quickly,

0:28:30.200 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 1>all the way through to managing the analytics and the

0:28:32.200 --> 0:28:35.040
<v Speaker 1>HR data and modeling and planning of any single warehouse.

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:39.360
<v Speaker 1>And we've had some amazing impacts with customers with our

0:28:39.400 --> 0:28:42.320
<v Speaker 1>smart tool. It's currently deployed around six bur gx SO

0:28:42.400 --> 0:28:49.600
<v Speaker 1>websites at the moment, so using technology efficiently, using particularly

0:28:49.680 --> 0:28:54.000
<v Speaker 1>robotics and are smart tools to optimize labor force through

0:28:54.040 --> 0:28:56.880
<v Speaker 1>peaks and troughs as you discussed, and particularly as we

0:28:56.920 --> 0:29:00.640
<v Speaker 1>head into as we head into Black Friday, and also

0:29:01.680 --> 0:29:04.440
<v Speaker 1>and also that Christmas shopping period, we need to make

0:29:04.480 --> 0:29:07.560
<v Speaker 1>sure that we're extremely intelligent about the way we manage productivity.

0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:09.680
<v Speaker 1>And that's something that I think that we're best in classes.

0:29:10.040 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 1>How you know you mentioned Christmas, So let's get to

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:15.680
<v Speaker 1>the question how frustrating is Christmas going to be? The

0:29:15.720 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 1>fear for SHARP I think what we're seeing is early

0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:21.840
<v Speaker 1>signs of extremely strong demand as we moved towards peak.

0:29:23.080 --> 0:29:25.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't think there's going to be frustration, so to speak.

0:29:25.760 --> 0:29:27.600
<v Speaker 1>I think what we'll do in our part of the

0:29:27.640 --> 0:29:29.760
<v Speaker 1>supply chain is make sure that we run an extremely

0:29:30.360 --> 0:29:32.360
<v Speaker 1>the operation to make sure that the goods get back

0:29:32.400 --> 0:29:34.520
<v Speaker 1>in store very quickly. If you look at some of

0:29:34.560 --> 0:29:36.760
<v Speaker 1>the items that I mentioned earlier in regards to the

0:29:36.800 --> 0:29:39.720
<v Speaker 1>one in three, you know customers come to us because

0:29:40.160 --> 0:29:44.240
<v Speaker 1>reverse logistics is such an integral part of very commerce offering,

0:29:44.720 --> 0:29:46.920
<v Speaker 1>and what we do best, I feel is we get

0:29:46.960 --> 0:29:51.080
<v Speaker 1>the product back into store quickly to remove that frustration

0:29:51.120 --> 0:29:53.360
<v Speaker 1>that you talked about, Joe, and make sure that the

0:29:53.400 --> 0:29:55.640
<v Speaker 1>consumer's life and the customers life is an easy one.

0:29:55.680 --> 0:29:57.760
<v Speaker 1>But from me, so, if I'm a consumer and I'm

0:29:57.760 --> 0:30:00.240
<v Speaker 1>doing my typical Christmas shopping, do I have to worry

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:04.040
<v Speaker 1>about ordering earlier this year than normal because of these

0:30:04.040 --> 0:30:07.480
<v Speaker 1>supply chain disruptions that, as you said, maybe have another

0:30:07.960 --> 0:30:10.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, six to twelve months ago. I think

0:30:10.800 --> 0:30:13.520
<v Speaker 1>that the supply chain disruptions will continue. I think that

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the consumers have to be vigilant about the border supply

0:30:16.880 --> 0:30:19.959
<v Speaker 1>chain maybe outside the warehouse, But I don't think it's

0:30:20.000 --> 0:30:23.080
<v Speaker 1>going to impact consumers by weeks. I think it could.

0:30:23.200 --> 0:30:25.240
<v Speaker 1>It could be more by hours and days, so to speak,

0:30:25.480 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 1>and provide a little bit of the bottom back than

0:30:27.560 --> 0:30:31.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the bottom. Okay, well that that's hopeful.

0:30:31.600 --> 0:30:35.200
<v Speaker 1>You know, let's look at that broader logistics. Obviously we're

0:30:35.240 --> 0:30:37.520
<v Speaker 1>just talking about the warehouse, but you have to you know,

0:30:37.600 --> 0:30:42.160
<v Speaker 1>you're dealing with trucking companies and shipping companies, etcetera. Why

0:30:42.280 --> 0:30:45.360
<v Speaker 1>has it been so long? Like we're here in mid

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:50.000
<v Speaker 1>July getting to be late July one. How would you

0:30:50.280 --> 0:30:53.520
<v Speaker 1>describe why we're still dealing with such extreme problems. And

0:30:53.520 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 1>when I look at things like say global shipping rates,

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 1>whether it's from China or Asia to the U S

0:30:59.760 --> 0:31:02.480
<v Speaker 1>and of forth, it doesn't it's not getting it's not easy.

0:31:02.720 --> 0:31:05.200
<v Speaker 1>It seems to be just getting. In many cases, it

0:31:05.240 --> 0:31:08.360
<v Speaker 1>is getting more expensive, getting worse. Why why is it

0:31:08.360 --> 0:31:11.800
<v Speaker 1>taking so long to adjust? And without one to answer

0:31:12.120 --> 0:31:14.440
<v Speaker 1>a question with a question, I would pose the question

0:31:14.440 --> 0:31:15.960
<v Speaker 1>to you, which is, when was the last time that

0:31:16.000 --> 0:31:19.720
<v Speaker 1>you went to a cinema? Right? It was December. I

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:23.640
<v Speaker 1>start uncut gems in the theater, and as a result,

0:31:23.920 --> 0:31:27.840
<v Speaker 1>you shifted your buying patterns towards buying things online while

0:31:27.960 --> 0:31:30.640
<v Speaker 1>and enjoying the experience. That's true, and when when you

0:31:30.720 --> 0:31:33.520
<v Speaker 1>shift those back, the log jam will be uncold. So

0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:38.360
<v Speaker 1>it's it's my fault. But I'm not canning blame. But

0:31:39.480 --> 0:31:41.640
<v Speaker 1>it begins with It begins with me. All right, I'll

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:43.360
<v Speaker 1>go to the theater soon to see if I can

0:31:43.400 --> 0:31:46.360
<v Speaker 1>start a to see if I can get some momentum

0:31:46.400 --> 0:31:49.680
<v Speaker 1>behind that and change consumer behaviors. I haven't going to

0:31:49.720 --> 0:31:52.840
<v Speaker 1>restaurants again, to be fair, Well, that's when when was

0:31:52.880 --> 0:31:56.520
<v Speaker 1>the last time you took a flight? I took one

0:31:57.600 --> 0:31:59.440
<v Speaker 1>sometimes and no, it has been a while, but I

0:31:59.440 --> 0:32:02.000
<v Speaker 1>am taking one in a few weeks, so that in

0:32:02.040 --> 0:32:04.680
<v Speaker 1>turn has caused an air freight spine, and therefore you've

0:32:04.680 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 1>seen that modal shift that I talked about towards towards

0:32:07.680 --> 0:32:09.800
<v Speaker 1>shipping and people deciding and actually the price is just

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:11.960
<v Speaker 1>too expensive. They weren't even bother shipping it at all. Yeah,

0:32:12.000 --> 0:32:16.280
<v Speaker 1>there isn't an interesting dynamic this idea that because so

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:19.880
<v Speaker 1>talk to it. What was about the sort of the

0:32:20.040 --> 0:32:25.560
<v Speaker 1>pre crisis mix of vessels shipping versus air cargo shipping,

0:32:26.040 --> 0:32:27.800
<v Speaker 1>and how is that? How does that look to that.

0:32:29.200 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm definitely on an expert and all things container shipping

0:32:31.920 --> 0:32:36.920
<v Speaker 1>and air freight, but broadly half of the world's capacity

0:32:37.000 --> 0:32:39.719
<v Speaker 1>is carried in the belly of the plane, and therefore

0:32:39.760 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 1>air frace is obviously an integral portion of getting things

0:32:42.200 --> 0:32:44.560
<v Speaker 1>just in time, because obviously you can get there in

0:32:44.600 --> 0:32:46.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours. Air froces is booked on a very

0:32:46.440 --> 0:32:49.360
<v Speaker 1>short short notice. And what happens is going to container

0:32:49.360 --> 0:32:51.320
<v Speaker 1>ship cle that you can't do it overnight. So for

0:32:51.360 --> 0:32:55.080
<v Speaker 1>example that typically the average container shipping life cycle would

0:32:55.080 --> 0:32:57.320
<v Speaker 1>be abound sixty days. So people tend to ship very

0:32:57.320 --> 0:33:01.000
<v Speaker 1>different things within both the container ship versus versus a

0:33:01.200 --> 0:33:07.400
<v Speaker 1>conco CORNGO is is really immediate demand inventory shortage, and

0:33:07.440 --> 0:33:10.880
<v Speaker 1>therefore that has added to the complexity and the contortion

0:33:10.960 --> 0:33:14.600
<v Speaker 1>within the system as you can imagine. So back to you,

0:33:14.640 --> 0:33:16.600
<v Speaker 1>when are you going to be flying again? That will

0:33:16.840 --> 0:33:19.040
<v Speaker 1>remove the bottle back? All right? I'm flat, I'm I

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:22.320
<v Speaker 1>have a fled scheduled for August. You know you mentioned

0:33:22.440 --> 0:33:25.720
<v Speaker 1>just in time, and I'm curious, like, is it. One

0:33:25.760 --> 0:33:30.040
<v Speaker 1>of the things that this crisis exposed is that we

0:33:30.080 --> 0:33:33.960
<v Speaker 1>live in this era of incredible efficiency and it's pretty

0:33:33.960 --> 0:33:36.760
<v Speaker 1>amazing and I can order something sometimes and get it

0:33:36.840 --> 0:33:40.240
<v Speaker 1>delivered that day or twenty four hours later and so forth,

0:33:40.800 --> 0:33:44.440
<v Speaker 1>but that there are costs when an extreme disruption hits.

0:33:44.480 --> 0:33:48.400
<v Speaker 1>And obviously the pandemic was an extraordinary disruption, but we

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:51.600
<v Speaker 1>live in an era of climate disruption, and it is

0:33:51.640 --> 0:33:54.600
<v Speaker 1>reasonable to expect other things. You are there going to

0:33:54.640 --> 0:33:58.160
<v Speaker 1>be permanent changes in your view to the way companies

0:33:58.200 --> 0:34:02.240
<v Speaker 1>think about logistics or where you're thinking about logistics, to

0:34:02.440 --> 0:34:08.040
<v Speaker 1>build in buffers or to build in other uh buffers.

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:10.120
<v Speaker 1>I guess. So there we don't have this sort of

0:34:10.160 --> 0:34:13.439
<v Speaker 1>extreme disruption like we got this time around I think

0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:17.279
<v Speaker 1>this really triggers this idea of outsourcing. The outsourcing of

0:34:18.120 --> 0:34:19.360
<v Speaker 1>the numbers I gave you at the start of the

0:34:19.400 --> 0:34:21.400
<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirty billion of the market that's already been

0:34:21.400 --> 0:34:23.759
<v Speaker 1>outsourced versus the three hundred billion it's still yet to

0:34:23.760 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 1>be outsourced. I think that this, this crisis, this pandemic,

0:34:27.239 --> 0:34:30.680
<v Speaker 1>and in the last twenty four months, has really triggered

0:34:30.680 --> 0:34:33.560
<v Speaker 1>people to reconsider their supply chain functions. And obviously, you

0:34:33.600 --> 0:34:36.840
<v Speaker 1>know that the historically been handled in house, that's referred

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:41.799
<v Speaker 1>to either the four thirty and you know, with expectations

0:34:41.840 --> 0:34:44.759
<v Speaker 1>of speed and precision rising, I think supply chains are

0:34:44.760 --> 0:34:47.400
<v Speaker 1>obviously they're going to become more complex and that drives

0:34:47.440 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 1>more business towards the party logistics providers like US. So

0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:52.280
<v Speaker 1>I think that that's going to be a big theme

0:34:52.480 --> 0:34:55.160
<v Speaker 1>over not just the next you know, three to six months.

0:34:55.160 --> 0:34:58.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't view this is anything other than a secular

0:34:58.239 --> 0:35:00.960
<v Speaker 1>trend over the next ten years, and I think that

0:35:01.040 --> 0:35:04.720
<v Speaker 1>will expose some very strong underlying themes in the industry.

0:35:04.719 --> 0:35:07.160
<v Speaker 1>You've touched on obviously, the automation theme. You've touched on

0:35:07.200 --> 0:35:10.360
<v Speaker 1>e commerce as well, and a leading tech innovator like

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:14.160
<v Speaker 1>US that has a bluechip customer base, will have remarkably

0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:17.040
<v Speaker 1>strong visibility and its business model as a result. Speaking

0:35:17.040 --> 0:35:20.600
<v Speaker 1>of characterizing yourself as a tech innovator, you know you

0:35:20.680 --> 0:35:24.520
<v Speaker 1>mentioned for example, software that you're developed to uh, you know,

0:35:24.560 --> 0:35:27.719
<v Speaker 1>reduce the number of errors and so forth. How much

0:35:27.840 --> 0:35:31.239
<v Speaker 1>is developed strictly in house in terms of you have

0:35:31.320 --> 0:35:35.560
<v Speaker 1>your own engineers and coders a software team versus sort

0:35:35.560 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 1>of repackage third party technology that's sort of built in

0:35:39.719 --> 0:35:44.520
<v Speaker 1>conjunction with you know, some household software giant name that

0:35:44.560 --> 0:35:47.439
<v Speaker 1>we might know, Yes, a good good points a couple

0:35:47.480 --> 0:35:49.200
<v Speaker 1>of things to be aware of. So on the proprietary

0:35:49.200 --> 0:35:51.480
<v Speaker 1>software tool which is obviously the smart software that I

0:35:51.560 --> 0:35:53.719
<v Speaker 1>that I mentioned, it is exactly that about the house

0:35:53.760 --> 0:35:56.480
<v Speaker 1>proprietary and nature. So that is that is something that

0:35:56.520 --> 0:35:58.640
<v Speaker 1>customers come to us for. For the five to seven

0:35:58.640 --> 0:36:03.240
<v Speaker 1>percent savings that I mentioned in regards to the robotics side,

0:36:03.719 --> 0:36:07.160
<v Speaker 1>very exciting because although you would argue that the that

0:36:07.200 --> 0:36:10.320
<v Speaker 1>the mode so to speak, is is relatively shallow, I

0:36:10.320 --> 0:36:12.719
<v Speaker 1>would I would argue differently, which is that it's very

0:36:12.800 --> 0:36:14.960
<v Speaker 1>rare to have a scale provider like us to stack

0:36:15.000 --> 0:36:16.759
<v Speaker 1>a warehouse the way that we do that have the

0:36:16.800 --> 0:36:20.520
<v Speaker 1>experience across so many different types of warehouses, the way

0:36:20.560 --> 0:36:23.000
<v Speaker 1>that we the way that we stack a warehouse from

0:36:23.200 --> 0:36:26.120
<v Speaker 1>a robotics standpoint, and I urge you to go and see.

0:36:26.480 --> 0:36:28.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, so many of our operations, whether it's what

0:36:28.560 --> 0:36:31.920
<v Speaker 1>we're doing in Indiana for some tech giants, or whether

0:36:31.960 --> 0:36:33.799
<v Speaker 1>it's what we're doing over in less per as I

0:36:33.800 --> 0:36:36.880
<v Speaker 1>mentioned for Nestl, these are very much warehouses of the

0:36:36.920 --> 0:36:39.400
<v Speaker 1>future with huge alternation. I mean, we're going to have

0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:43.160
<v Speaker 1>roughly three thousand one D robots and advanced automation systems

0:36:43.239 --> 0:36:45.520
<v Speaker 1>by the end of this year. So it's something our

0:36:45.520 --> 0:36:50.640
<v Speaker 1>customers are demanding. And is it less about say, developing

0:36:50.640 --> 0:36:53.600
<v Speaker 1>the robots per se, and more about the know how

0:36:53.840 --> 0:36:56.120
<v Speaker 1>of putting it all together, so to speak, within the

0:36:56.160 --> 0:36:59.839
<v Speaker 1>context of the warehouse, not using robotics for the sake

0:36:59.880 --> 0:37:03.560
<v Speaker 1>of using robotics. It's about that nohow, It's about that experience.

0:37:03.600 --> 0:37:06.080
<v Speaker 1>You've done it before, we lived it. You've done it

0:37:06.120 --> 0:37:08.960
<v Speaker 1>for this customer in that way you say, you say

0:37:09.080 --> 0:37:12.960
<v Speaker 1>significant game share, so you've you've given them continuous improvement

0:37:13.000 --> 0:37:17.080
<v Speaker 1>over a five year period. This is the experience factor

0:37:17.120 --> 0:37:20.160
<v Speaker 1>that drives the precision for the next contract and that

0:37:21.120 --> 0:37:24.520
<v Speaker 1>bargaining power and scalability across different customers is something that

0:37:24.600 --> 0:37:43.239
<v Speaker 1>customers come to uschool. Let's, you know, just talk a

0:37:43.280 --> 0:37:45.920
<v Speaker 1>little bit about the future. I mean we've talked about okay,

0:37:45.960 --> 0:37:49.880
<v Speaker 1>so you've identified the big tail winds, including e commerce

0:37:49.960 --> 0:37:54.840
<v Speaker 1>and automation. I got substance about the total addressable market.

0:37:55.200 --> 0:37:58.880
<v Speaker 1>How much is currently automated? What are the you know, like,

0:37:58.920 --> 0:38:01.440
<v Speaker 1>how many warehouses are are there today, how many much?

0:38:01.600 --> 0:38:03.439
<v Speaker 1>How fast is this going to grow? How much room

0:38:03.520 --> 0:38:06.959
<v Speaker 1>does just e commerce itself have to grow? In your view?

0:38:07.440 --> 0:38:10.239
<v Speaker 1>How much? How much time is left? I think two

0:38:10.280 --> 0:38:12.160
<v Speaker 1>things are gonna happen. So let's let's give you some

0:38:12.280 --> 0:38:15.000
<v Speaker 1>very explicit numbers the e commerce market right now. If

0:38:15.000 --> 0:38:17.480
<v Speaker 1>you wanted to break it down, you'd say entire retail

0:38:17.680 --> 0:38:19.719
<v Speaker 1>as as a as a pie chart, you'd say the

0:38:19.760 --> 0:38:21.960
<v Speaker 1>e commerce represents in the markets that we serve in

0:38:21.960 --> 0:38:26.440
<v Speaker 1>North American Europe, Roughly around t is e commerce and nature.

0:38:26.520 --> 0:38:29.240
<v Speaker 1>So in terms of the runway, you couldn't possibly find

0:38:29.239 --> 0:38:33.719
<v Speaker 1>a more runway between e commerce, automation, and outsourcing. These

0:38:33.719 --> 0:38:36.040
<v Speaker 1>are very nascent themes. As much as we believe that

0:38:36.080 --> 0:38:38.319
<v Speaker 1>e commerce has been around for twenty five years. We

0:38:38.360 --> 0:38:40.959
<v Speaker 1>are still just getting started in regards to that theme

0:38:41.040 --> 0:38:43.759
<v Speaker 1>over the course of the next century. So when you

0:38:43.760 --> 0:38:46.600
<v Speaker 1>think about the growth trajectory there, we view e commerce

0:38:46.640 --> 0:38:50.279
<v Speaker 1>is growing broadly around ten percent plus and therefore, for

0:38:50.360 --> 0:38:55.480
<v Speaker 1>an industry and business like ours that has bits of

0:38:55.560 --> 0:38:59.239
<v Speaker 1>its operation geared towards e commerce, it's very much right place,

0:38:59.400 --> 0:39:02.279
<v Speaker 1>right time, um and our customers are benefiting from that.

0:39:03.040 --> 0:39:05.160
<v Speaker 1>When it comes to thinking about automation, I've given you

0:39:05.200 --> 0:39:07.120
<v Speaker 1>my view in terms of how what the run way

0:39:07.120 --> 0:39:09.080
<v Speaker 1>it could be for that, and that's obviously a compounding

0:39:09.120 --> 0:39:12.359
<v Speaker 1>factor in terms of driving e commerce going forwards. And

0:39:12.400 --> 0:39:14.680
<v Speaker 1>the reason automation is important is that it helps us

0:39:14.880 --> 0:39:17.680
<v Speaker 1>serve our customer. Within that e commerce theme, it's particularly

0:39:17.719 --> 0:39:20.760
<v Speaker 1>on the reverse logistics side, where we were returning goods

0:39:21.520 --> 0:39:25.799
<v Speaker 1>to the customer storefront that that is giving a differentiation

0:39:25.840 --> 0:39:29.400
<v Speaker 1>to our model versus versus o our other competitors. We

0:39:29.400 --> 0:39:31.560
<v Speaker 1>can do it quicker, I believe we do it with

0:39:31.640 --> 0:39:34.600
<v Speaker 1>precision and customers come to us for that. And then

0:39:34.640 --> 0:39:36.960
<v Speaker 1>obviously the outsourcing theme, I think that that's going to

0:39:37.040 --> 0:39:39.640
<v Speaker 1>set set to accelerate not just post the pandemic, but

0:39:39.680 --> 0:39:42.160
<v Speaker 1>structurally as people reassess their own supply chains, as we

0:39:42.239 --> 0:39:44.400
<v Speaker 1>talked about before. And I don't think this is just

0:39:44.440 --> 0:39:46.400
<v Speaker 1>the commerce element of our customer base. I think it's

0:39:46.440 --> 0:39:50.319
<v Speaker 1>going to happen across our entire customer base, whether it's

0:39:50.360 --> 0:39:54.480
<v Speaker 1>consumer packaged goods, whether it's consumer technology. Our Blue Chick

0:39:54.560 --> 0:39:57.919
<v Speaker 1>customers are all looking for for for viable three pl

0:39:58.000 --> 0:39:59.920
<v Speaker 1>players right now. So it's a very exciting time to

0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:02.319
<v Speaker 1>be in this industry. And these are customers that are

0:40:02.360 --> 0:40:04.239
<v Speaker 1>fly by night. These are customers. If you look at

0:40:04.239 --> 0:40:06.799
<v Speaker 1>our top twenty customers, you know they've partnered with us

0:40:06.840 --> 0:40:09.320
<v Speaker 1>for fifteen years or war. So when they start a partnership,

0:40:09.320 --> 0:40:11.840
<v Speaker 1>the switching costs tend to be relatively high. Do you

0:40:11.880 --> 0:40:14.160
<v Speaker 1>think it is delivery by drone ever going to be

0:40:14.160 --> 0:40:16.160
<v Speaker 1>a big thing? I think it's going to be an

0:40:16.200 --> 0:40:19.680
<v Speaker 1>important part at some point. It hasn't had the penetration

0:40:19.719 --> 0:40:22.360
<v Speaker 1>that I originally thought it would over the last five years.

0:40:23.400 --> 0:40:26.000
<v Speaker 1>I think the technology still needs still needs to be

0:40:26.560 --> 0:40:30.040
<v Speaker 1>adapted for the world that we live in. And you

0:40:30.080 --> 0:40:34.959
<v Speaker 1>know you mentioned the warehouse capacity is extremely tight right now,

0:40:35.640 --> 0:40:38.520
<v Speaker 1>what about actually just like physical like more, how many

0:40:38.520 --> 0:40:42.239
<v Speaker 1>more warehouses and the land available to them like how

0:40:42.320 --> 0:40:45.520
<v Speaker 1>much footprint are we going to see? How much more

0:40:45.560 --> 0:40:48.719
<v Speaker 1>construction of warehouses are we going to see in North

0:40:48.760 --> 0:40:52.080
<v Speaker 1>America and the US. To give you a sense, we've

0:40:52.120 --> 0:40:54.560
<v Speaker 1>got nine hundred warehouses, we've got about five of the

0:40:54.920 --> 0:41:00.000
<v Speaker 1>outsource logistics not to that extent. We're growing, as I mentioned,

0:41:00.120 --> 0:41:01.839
<v Speaker 1>are at eight to twelve per cent over the next

0:41:02.200 --> 0:41:04.439
<v Speaker 1>over the next twelve months. To give you a sense

0:41:04.480 --> 0:41:07.120
<v Speaker 1>of the e commerce and automation and outsourcing themes that

0:41:07.120 --> 0:41:11.080
<v Speaker 1>I've talked about earlier, if you were to underpin that growth,

0:41:11.120 --> 0:41:13.760
<v Speaker 1>and say, if you were to extrapolate so the sixteen

0:41:13.800 --> 0:41:16.640
<v Speaker 1>percent that we've done over the last twenty years, you

0:41:16.640 --> 0:41:19.160
<v Speaker 1>can get a sense for the demand of warehousing or

0:41:19.200 --> 0:41:22.080
<v Speaker 1>at least for the creation of warehouses as we grow

0:41:22.120 --> 0:41:24.880
<v Speaker 1>our customer base, and all of these themes have the

0:41:24.920 --> 0:41:28.040
<v Speaker 1>potential to accelerate over the next decade. As I mentioned.

0:41:28.520 --> 0:41:31.960
<v Speaker 1>So the demand is definitely there in my view, Whether

0:41:32.040 --> 0:41:36.280
<v Speaker 1>the space is there on the outskirts of major cities,

0:41:36.480 --> 0:41:38.799
<v Speaker 1>I think I think it definitely is. Whether when you

0:41:38.840 --> 0:41:41.160
<v Speaker 1>get closer to the last mile it becomes more and

0:41:41.200 --> 0:41:44.160
<v Speaker 1>more complicates and include the demand as you know, for

0:41:44.400 --> 0:41:46.879
<v Speaker 1>customers to get closer and close to the last mile

0:41:47.000 --> 0:41:49.640
<v Speaker 1>is ever more prevalent, and therefore the need to work

0:41:49.680 --> 0:41:52.359
<v Speaker 1>with people who have dedicated relationships such as US. So

0:41:52.400 --> 0:41:54.480
<v Speaker 1>what I mean, I mean this is a problem like

0:41:54.640 --> 0:41:58.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, any building in st. New York City, there's

0:41:58.120 --> 0:42:01.279
<v Speaker 1>all kinds of issues that arise, the cardboard boxes that

0:42:01.400 --> 0:42:05.560
<v Speaker 1>pile up everywhere, major sorts of frustration. What might change?

0:42:05.600 --> 0:42:07.719
<v Speaker 1>You know, if we think about like buying patterns, and

0:42:07.760 --> 0:42:11.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you think many years ahead, how might be

0:42:11.320 --> 0:42:15.319
<v Speaker 1>e commerce experience of getting shipped, whether it's twenty four

0:42:15.320 --> 0:42:17.640
<v Speaker 1>hour shipping or one hour shipping or two hour shipping

0:42:17.719 --> 0:42:21.240
<v Speaker 1>or whatever it is, um how might it change for

0:42:21.400 --> 0:42:25.440
<v Speaker 1>a you know, this very intense competitive urban market out

0:42:25.560 --> 0:42:28.279
<v Speaker 1>a few years of the future. So I think there's

0:42:28.280 --> 0:42:30.440
<v Speaker 1>a few things you touched on there that really resonated

0:42:30.480 --> 0:42:34.520
<v Speaker 1>with me. With me is as a company, and that

0:42:34.760 --> 0:42:38.439
<v Speaker 1>is you mentioned the couple box, but not I think

0:42:38.440 --> 0:42:39.919
<v Speaker 1>if there is going to be a change, I think

0:42:39.920 --> 0:42:41.920
<v Speaker 1>what I'm seeing across a number of our customers right

0:42:41.960 --> 0:42:45.319
<v Speaker 1>now is it will focus on environmental targets. I know

0:42:45.440 --> 0:42:48.200
<v Speaker 1>your point was more geared towards the efficient syperiment, and

0:42:48.239 --> 0:42:50.400
<v Speaker 1>I think that that will be solved over time as well.

0:42:50.800 --> 0:42:53.279
<v Speaker 1>But I really see this in every contract that we write,

0:42:53.320 --> 0:42:56.680
<v Speaker 1>a commitment to achieving some very bold environmental targets. Not

0:42:56.719 --> 0:43:00.560
<v Speaker 1>only sits with us as the customer providing so this provided,

0:43:01.160 --> 0:43:03.960
<v Speaker 1>but also with our customers as well and their stakeholders.

0:43:04.000 --> 0:43:06.560
<v Speaker 1>So we've put out some I believe, very bold targets

0:43:06.560 --> 0:43:08.560
<v Speaker 1>and we're very focused on attaining those. Those are S

0:43:08.640 --> 0:43:11.160
<v Speaker 1>two targets and helping our customers in turn and chief

0:43:11.200 --> 0:43:12.719
<v Speaker 1>first targets. But that is something that's going to be

0:43:12.760 --> 0:43:15.880
<v Speaker 1>at the cornerstone of everything that we're seeing in regards

0:43:15.920 --> 0:43:19.440
<v Speaker 1>to e commerce, making it, as you say, less packaged

0:43:20.080 --> 0:43:22.480
<v Speaker 1>and more efficient. E s G is going to play

0:43:22.480 --> 0:43:25.759
<v Speaker 1>a major role within that mark. I think that's a

0:43:26.200 --> 0:43:28.560
<v Speaker 1>great place to leave it. I don't know, is there

0:43:28.600 --> 0:43:31.759
<v Speaker 1>any any other key themes or things that we haven't

0:43:31.800 --> 0:43:34.920
<v Speaker 1>touchdown that you want to get a crime Joe, You've

0:43:34.960 --> 0:43:36.680
<v Speaker 1>been incredibly kind and thank you for allowing me to

0:43:36.680 --> 0:43:38.719
<v Speaker 1>talk about g X, so you can clearly see I'm

0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:41.160
<v Speaker 1>very excited about the spin that is planned for the

0:43:41.200 --> 0:43:44.279
<v Speaker 1>second August. I've joined the company as you know, two

0:43:44.360 --> 0:43:49.480
<v Speaker 1>months ago. That is a rare breed growing a secular

0:43:49.800 --> 0:43:53.160
<v Speaker 1>secular tail winds as we've discussed across those three major themes,

0:43:53.160 --> 0:43:56.160
<v Speaker 1>and with strong revenue growth and strongly bit dark growth

0:43:56.280 --> 0:43:57.840
<v Speaker 1>and amazing returns, and I hope we're going to do

0:43:57.880 --> 0:43:59.680
<v Speaker 1>an amazing job for our stakehold. You know you've just

0:43:59.719 --> 0:44:02.080
<v Speaker 1>from I did me of one one last question I had.

0:44:02.120 --> 0:44:04.920
<v Speaker 1>So you're you're new to the company. Your title is

0:44:05.080 --> 0:44:08.440
<v Speaker 1>c i O Chief Investment Officer. Do you explain what

0:44:08.640 --> 0:44:11.120
<v Speaker 1>is what is the role of the c IO within

0:44:11.239 --> 0:44:15.319
<v Speaker 1>a company like this and how much UM is your

0:44:15.440 --> 0:44:20.440
<v Speaker 1>future like predicated on buying more, buying out other, buying

0:44:20.440 --> 0:44:24.319
<v Speaker 1>out competitors, buying out space and sort of applying that

0:44:24.400 --> 0:44:27.120
<v Speaker 1>know how that you've built up to what you perceive

0:44:27.200 --> 0:44:30.680
<v Speaker 1>as less efficient operations out there. Great, great questions, Joy,

0:44:30.719 --> 0:44:33.240
<v Speaker 1>So a couple of things I'd be aware of, um. So, firstly,

0:44:33.640 --> 0:44:36.360
<v Speaker 1>in terms of my role, I think I've got one

0:44:36.400 --> 0:44:39.440
<v Speaker 1>of the coolest roles in the building. Quite frankly. I

0:44:39.440 --> 0:44:42.160
<v Speaker 1>get to work right next door on and arm with

0:44:42.160 --> 0:44:46.200
<v Speaker 1>with our CFO, who's very judicious when it comes to

0:44:46.160 --> 0:44:49.040
<v Speaker 1>the capital in particular, has got an amazing background of

0:44:49.080 --> 0:44:51.600
<v Speaker 1>capital markets as well, and we get on extremely well

0:44:51.640 --> 0:44:53.399
<v Speaker 1>as friends as well, which is always always a nice

0:44:53.440 --> 0:44:55.920
<v Speaker 1>thing in the workplace. When it comes to thinking about

0:44:56.040 --> 0:45:00.560
<v Speaker 1>the role, very much focused on investment, whether that's external internal,

0:45:00.800 --> 0:45:03.880
<v Speaker 1>and that can involve everything from the media through to

0:45:04.000 --> 0:45:06.560
<v Speaker 1>podcasts all the way through to dealing day to day

0:45:06.560 --> 0:45:09.239
<v Speaker 1>with investors. So there's definitely an investor relations element to

0:45:09.280 --> 0:45:11.800
<v Speaker 1>the role. As you said, there will be an element

0:45:11.800 --> 0:45:14.400
<v Speaker 1>of this which is also strategically orientated as well, whether

0:45:14.440 --> 0:45:18.360
<v Speaker 1>that's M and A or otherwise, but basically services servicing

0:45:18.360 --> 0:45:21.439
<v Speaker 1>the purposes of the company, making sure that the spin

0:45:21.600 --> 0:45:24.160
<v Speaker 1>is a success, making sure that the messaging is heard

0:45:24.160 --> 0:45:26.640
<v Speaker 1>aloud and clear, and working with the CFO to make

0:45:26.640 --> 0:45:29.040
<v Speaker 1>sure that we create as much shareholder value on a

0:45:29.080 --> 0:45:32.279
<v Speaker 1>sustainable basis as possible. When it comes to at your

0:45:32.320 --> 0:45:34.319
<v Speaker 1>question on M and A, go back to that point

0:45:34.320 --> 0:45:36.200
<v Speaker 1>that I mentioned around the five of a hundred and

0:45:36.239 --> 0:45:39.239
<v Speaker 1>thirty billion dollar out source logistics market. There's two ways

0:45:39.239 --> 0:45:41.680
<v Speaker 1>you can think about this. One is that as per

0:45:41.680 --> 0:45:43.880
<v Speaker 1>our history, we've got a strong balantry, we've got a

0:45:43.920 --> 0:45:46.920
<v Speaker 1>track recording successful M and A, and we obviously therefore

0:45:46.960 --> 0:45:49.520
<v Speaker 1>sit in the perfect position as a consolidator in the market.

0:45:50.239 --> 0:45:52.960
<v Speaker 1>As the right opportunities presented to present themselves come along.

0:45:53.280 --> 0:45:55.360
<v Speaker 1>I have no doubt that we will look at everything,

0:45:55.600 --> 0:45:58.000
<v Speaker 1>but it obviously has to attain certain targets in the

0:45:58.040 --> 0:46:00.680
<v Speaker 1>context of our amazing organic growth tential that we have

0:46:00.719 --> 0:46:03.600
<v Speaker 1>as a business. That's clearly that organic growth is clearly

0:46:03.600 --> 0:46:05.880
<v Speaker 1>going to be the priority for our business and in

0:46:05.920 --> 0:46:09.280
<v Speaker 1>so many ways if we're making center return on invested capital,

0:46:09.800 --> 0:46:12.600
<v Speaker 1>we have to believe that any deals that we do

0:46:12.920 --> 0:46:15.000
<v Speaker 1>have to have a hurdle rate above that, otherwise you

0:46:15.040 --> 0:46:18.200
<v Speaker 1>would just go and do organic growth. My senses with this, Joe,

0:46:18.320 --> 0:46:19.680
<v Speaker 1>is what will happen is is that there will be

0:46:19.719 --> 0:46:21.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of inertia in the industry at at the

0:46:21.680 --> 0:46:24.280
<v Speaker 1>tail of the industry when it comes to contract bidding,

0:46:24.480 --> 0:46:27.320
<v Speaker 1>and what we'll see is these contracts of our customers

0:46:27.600 --> 0:46:30.879
<v Speaker 1>migrating towards the scale players over time. So whether it's

0:46:30.880 --> 0:46:33.359
<v Speaker 1>the top two or top three players, we will see

0:46:33.360 --> 0:46:37.960
<v Speaker 1>a wave of smaller customer contracts coming to us at

0:46:37.960 --> 0:46:39.759
<v Speaker 1>the top of the piles. So in essence, I think

0:46:39.760 --> 0:46:43.839
<v Speaker 1>the big will getting well. Mark, really appreciate you joining us,

0:46:43.960 --> 0:46:45.799
<v Speaker 1>Good luck with the spin and thanks for coming our

0:46:45.920 --> 0:46:48.920
<v Speaker 1>other life, so thanks for me so nice. Absolutely take

0:46:48.960 --> 0:47:05.279
<v Speaker 1>care remote well, if Tracy were here, this is where

0:47:05.320 --> 0:47:08.839
<v Speaker 1>we do our chat in our takeaways. Obviously she's not,

0:47:08.960 --> 0:47:13.160
<v Speaker 1>so I have to monologue a little bit myself. But

0:47:13.239 --> 0:47:17.280
<v Speaker 1>obviously to me what was interesting is obviously just how

0:47:18.280 --> 0:47:21.160
<v Speaker 1>under at least according to Mark, how under automated the

0:47:21.160 --> 0:47:23.840
<v Speaker 1>space is, which surprised me. I wouldn't have guessed that

0:47:23.880 --> 0:47:26.759
<v Speaker 1>there's still so much sort of pure as he put

0:47:26.760 --> 0:47:32.200
<v Speaker 1>in dickensiean warehouses with humans and cardboard boxes moving around. Yeah,

0:47:32.239 --> 0:47:36.279
<v Speaker 1>that that obviously definitely surprised me. And also, of course

0:47:36.360 --> 0:47:41.759
<v Speaker 1>just this idea that until consumer buying or consumer consumption

0:47:41.800 --> 0:47:44.200
<v Speaker 1>patterns change, we're probably gonna get this disruption. Like I've

0:47:44.200 --> 0:47:47.480
<v Speaker 1>been looking at these charges of say, shipping rates from

0:47:47.560 --> 0:47:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Asia to the U S and so forth that do

0:47:49.760 --> 0:47:53.160
<v Speaker 1>not seem to go down, and I think Mark put it, well,

0:47:53.440 --> 0:47:55.440
<v Speaker 1>there's no real reason to think they're going to go

0:47:55.520 --> 0:47:58.319
<v Speaker 1>down as long as consumption pattern is abnormal and things

0:47:58.360 --> 0:48:01.560
<v Speaker 1>I guess are normal I in some sense, but it

0:48:01.680 --> 0:48:03.440
<v Speaker 1>is true it's been like over a year and a

0:48:03.480 --> 0:48:06.120
<v Speaker 1>half since I was in a movie. I've barely taken

0:48:06.200 --> 0:48:08.200
<v Speaker 1>any flights. So even though I am going to say

0:48:08.200 --> 0:48:11.920
<v Speaker 1>like restaurants more often a lot isn't normalizing yet, and

0:48:11.960 --> 0:48:14.279
<v Speaker 1>as such, you know, it's probably we're not going to

0:48:14.320 --> 0:48:17.960
<v Speaker 1>see any real form of normalization in logistics, which I

0:48:17.960 --> 0:48:20.640
<v Speaker 1>thought was made sense, but it's something I hadn't quite

0:48:21.000 --> 0:48:24.920
<v Speaker 1>put together in that way. So, without further ado, this

0:48:25.000 --> 0:48:27.719
<v Speaker 1>has been another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. I'm

0:48:27.800 --> 0:48:31.320
<v Speaker 1>Joe Wisnthal. You can follow me on Twitter at the Stalwart.

0:48:31.760 --> 0:48:35.360
<v Speaker 1>Follow my co host Tracy Alloway at Tracy Alloway. Follow

0:48:35.400 --> 0:48:39.440
<v Speaker 1>our producer Laura Carlson. She's at Laura. I'm Carlson. Followed

0:48:39.480 --> 0:48:42.880
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg head of podcast, Francesca Leavi at Francesco Today,

0:48:43.200 --> 0:48:45.959
<v Speaker 1>and check out all of our podcasts at Bloomberg under

0:48:46.000 --> 0:49:11.239
<v Speaker 1>the handle at podcasts. Thanks for listening to year