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Speaker 1: listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Fantasy best Friends Forever,
Speaker 1: m do too to do, to do too, to do,
Speaker 1: to do too to to to to yeo, it says,
Speaker 1: is no Fantasy best Friends Forever. Here the Fantasy Spoorts
Speaker 1: Radio Network alongside Frankie stamfle Greg. I's been Frank, what's
Speaker 1: going on? But Gregg? What's going on? Wednesday? Hump Day
Speaker 1: doesn't really feel like hump Day because we had the
Speaker 1: day off on Monday for President's Day, so we had
Speaker 1: a week off before that. There you go, looking the
Speaker 1: Golden Brown, the hash brown. Greg Suster like it like
Speaker 1: here snow one here in New York City. Just it's
Speaker 1: crazy because it's snowing in New York City. There you
Speaker 1: go the pool noodle Greg last week and now this
Speaker 1: week snow right, and there you go. But I think
Speaker 1: it's important. And we did this a little bit later on,
Speaker 1: like there's there's Nobby back up Alex, so there's be
Speaker 1: like all my glory right like thrilled bathing suit, noodle,
Speaker 1: smile noodle today, sweatshirt, snow boots. We'll get to that
Speaker 1: later on, Frank, Oh no, no, we can't get to that.
Speaker 1: I don't know we have to address to address the
Speaker 1: snow boots. Now. I want to get to it later on.
Speaker 1: I want later on. I want to get right into it.
Speaker 1: And I say, oh yeah, now he wants to get Yes,
Speaker 1: he want to talk about and I said about snowy
Speaker 1: dot com and and Suzanne, who whose identity theft f you?
Speaker 1: This guy walks in and he's wearing these snow boots.
Speaker 1: Snow boots. They look like the female version of UGGS, which,
Speaker 1: like I kind of joked about him, like, oh, Greg,
Speaker 1: they'll look like He's like, well, guess what they are? Ugs.
Speaker 1: First off, I'm like, you're supporting Tom Brady because Tom
Speaker 1: Brady is probably the biggest advocate of UGGS for males.
Speaker 1: So that was first off. I wasn't really down with that,
Speaker 1: but it was next. What I saw after seeing the
Speaker 1: uggs was that Greg had his jeans tucked into his
Speaker 1: boots on his ugs, which we will now display to everybody.
Speaker 1: So first of all us super comfortable. Why would I
Speaker 1: want super comfortable boots? Do you want to try Do
Speaker 1: you want to try on? No? Definitely not definitely. Not
Speaker 1: with my my jeans tuck into He's comfortable. To you,
Speaker 1: we weren't we the same? Was? It was just the
Speaker 1: most Are we the same shoes? Ayes? Right? Ha? What
Speaker 1: do you think Greg? I thought, with the same shoes size? Maybe? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm around there? You want to try my boot on? No? No, no, no, an,
Speaker 1: So here you go. I'll stand up tom Brady. There
Speaker 1: you go. So he's gonna look. There you go. So
Speaker 1: they didn't look good outside of the boot. It looks
Speaker 1: so ridiculous. They just look all right? What is this guy? Loox?
Speaker 1: What do you think? What do you want boots? Not
Speaker 1: only is he wearing male ugs, he's got his jeans
Speaker 1: tucked to. They look good. They look good, like I'm
Speaker 1: better now to see what TV? This is how women
Speaker 1: wear their ugs? You call me a woman? Now is
Speaker 1: that's how I'm wearing my my legs. I mean, you know,
Speaker 1: you're it's it's very metro of you. We're a Nick sweatshirt.
Speaker 1: What's up? These boots were made for walking. They were
Speaker 1: ready for walking. Yeah, walking through the snow. That's exactly
Speaker 1: why he's got them on. Walk right over. You got
Speaker 1: a booster mic man. Yeah, I don't. I don't hear
Speaker 1: I don't know down there. We can't really hear you
Speaker 1: that lit bit better. Alright, alright, sorry, we'll get that fixed.
Speaker 1: Added to the list. Carl, that's weird that you usually
Speaker 1: been good her Martino fine yesterday problem. I think that
Speaker 1: microphone is kind of Diana heard some murmurs that it's
Speaker 1: not doing so all right anyway, So there you go.
Speaker 1: That's kind of situation. Ums talking m X in a while.
Speaker 1: That's okay, But you know, I have some more adecodes,
Speaker 1: but I'll save it over for the next two hours.
Speaker 1: That cool. Yeah, let's let's spread them out today on
Speaker 1: the program. It's first base ranks. For that. We do
Speaker 1: have a special guest, our number two. It's Chris Venture
Speaker 1: the closer by the closer will join us an our
Speaker 1: number two to bring down that first base. We already
Speaker 1: know how much he likes Josh Bell. We'll see who
Speaker 1: else Venture is in on. At the first based position.
Speaker 1: He will join us for the entirety of our number
Speaker 1: two and that should be fun. But before we get
Speaker 1: to guys like Josh Bell, before we get to the
Speaker 1: middle tier, guys, the sleepers, if you will, I want
Speaker 1: to start at the top, and I want to start um.
Speaker 1: I want to start at the importance of the position.
Speaker 1: How important is first basis year Frank to draft early.
Speaker 1: I don't think I put any more importance on first
Speaker 1: base than I do any other position. I wrote about
Speaker 1: this a little bit on my Patreon page. Go subscribe,
Speaker 1: check it out, check it out. Well. I also just
Speaker 1: found out about from Perry in the YouTube chat that
Speaker 1: I'm doing a very good job on my Patreon, So
Speaker 1: Pry now, Well, the content is free for now given everyone.
Speaker 1: I'm giving everyone a taste, and then later on you
Speaker 1: you're like, oh, this is great content. I want to
Speaker 1: sign up and get more of it. So that's kind
Speaker 1: of the idea here. But I wrote about the first
Speaker 1: based position a little bit. I likened it to and
Speaker 1: you tell you give me your opinion of this analogy Greg,
Speaker 1: John Travolta, great actor, known for legendary films, I mean,
Speaker 1: whole fiction, face off Greece, How can we forget right?
Speaker 1: Saturday Night Fever. The list goes on and on. When
Speaker 1: it comes to John Travolta, he was great. I'm just
Speaker 1: kind of asked John Travolta, buy well, he was great? Sure?
Speaker 1: Kind of how I feel about the first base position
Speaker 1: this year? You can pick it's not inaccurate. You can
Speaker 1: pick and choose your spots here at first base, and
Speaker 1: you know, I'll let you in on some of the
Speaker 1: targets that I'm looking at based on a DP. It
Speaker 1: used to be great, you know it. It uh turned
Speaker 1: out some of the some of the best sluggers in
Speaker 1: the game in fantasy baseball, real life baseball. But I
Speaker 1: feel like it's not as deep as it once was.
Speaker 1: You can pick and choose your spots. I think there's
Speaker 1: a clear drop off after the top eleven or so
Speaker 1: once you get into eleven twelve, once you get into
Speaker 1: that next group, it's like, all right, all these guys
Speaker 1: kind of have some of some of their own wards here,
Speaker 1: but it's not as deep of a position as it
Speaker 1: normally is. Greg normally even talk about first base like
Speaker 1: one of the best power hitting, slugging positions where you
Speaker 1: can get a lot of your offense. You can still
Speaker 1: get some offense there, but it's not as deep as
Speaker 1: it once was. But I think what's interesting about that
Speaker 1: is you say that, and I know, like the guys
Speaker 1: that you have tended to target at least in your
Speaker 1: early drafts at first base despite it not being very deep,
Speaker 1: you're targeting guys around like the tenth best first basement
Speaker 1: give or take. Obviously, like you're not in on the
Speaker 1: top tier the the Freeman's who you loved last year, Um,
Speaker 1: gold Schmidt, Votto, Beldian, that's not really your guys like
Speaker 1: you're much more of And we'll get to this later obviously,
Speaker 1: Matt Olson, whose bread? How come do you think it's
Speaker 1: so tough? Heavy? There's nothing wrong with Paul gold Schmidt
Speaker 1: and Freddie Freeman, And I like those guys a lot
Speaker 1: more in points leagues, for sure, because they're both gonna
Speaker 1: walk a lot. Freddy Freeman's gonna hit a ton of doubles,
Speaker 1: he doesn't strike out all that much. Paul gold Schmidt.
Speaker 1: They're great for points league and especially for O v P.
Speaker 1: But in Rhodo and it's you know, a lot of
Speaker 1: the analysis that we do is for Rhodo, you have
Speaker 1: to take these guys in the second round, early second round,
Speaker 1: late first round. To me, I want one of my
Speaker 1: first two picks, and it doesn't have to be this way.
Speaker 1: If they're the best on the board, then they're the
Speaker 1: best on the board. Like, I'm not gonna shy away
Speaker 1: from taking them. Well, most of the time, I want
Speaker 1: to get an outfielder. I want to get an out
Speaker 1: of the earlier. So you say you won't shy away
Speaker 1: from taking them, And you've done a bunch of drafts now,
Speaker 1: and I've sat with you in the early rounds. I've
Speaker 1: done like two best ball drafts. You've never really considered
Speaker 1: at your spot taking these guys. And according to the NFBC,
Speaker 1: where they're going through them in the February like ones
Speaker 1: at eighteen, Goldman's at eighteen, Freeman's at twenty, So that
Speaker 1: is the middle of the second round. That's where you've been,
Speaker 1: like you have been in the middle of the second
Speaker 1: round where you drafted. And I know one draft took
Speaker 1: Jacob to Graham on the first who just taking the
Speaker 1: other one the first and one of them I took
Speaker 1: to Graham, and the other I took Eronado. Okay, one
Speaker 1: of them I picked out eleven. That's where that's where
Speaker 1: I got Eronado. I mean, great value. There couldn't of course,
Speaker 1: you want to pick the second other one. I think
Speaker 1: I had picked six, Okay, so that's right here. I
Speaker 1: mean I don't know, I don't know who's on the board, obviously,
Speaker 1: but when you were running down the players, like leading
Speaker 1: up to your pick that you wanted Golden and Freeman, like,
Speaker 1: we're never even in the conversation. So I know you
Speaker 1: say you woudn't shy away, but I think that's exactly
Speaker 1: what you did. I know it's best ball. So it's
Speaker 1: a little bit of a different drafting format, of course. Um.
Speaker 1: But we did auction strategy talk this morning, and we'll
Speaker 1: have an auction show coming up closer to our auction
Speaker 1: will have for that too. In the second round, when
Speaker 1: I took to ground, I took Jiancarlo Stanton, one pick
Speaker 1: ahead of Paul Goldchman, and I took my head of
Speaker 1: Freddy Freeman as well. But you never understand that. But
Speaker 1: you can't say, hey, I won't shy away from those guys.
Speaker 1: That's exactly what you did. They weren't even in the conversation. Well,
Speaker 1: here's what would have happened if Jihn, Carlos, Stanton was gone. Yes,
Speaker 1: I'm looking at those guys as the next best players,
Speaker 1: because after that it was it was Altove, Aaron Nola,
Speaker 1: Trevor Story. Trevor story would be in the conversation. For me,
Speaker 1: that's the interest name. We're gonna get to do sure
Speaker 1: stops next week. But to me, like after Stanton goes,
Speaker 1: Harbor was already gone, Bregland was gone, Paul gold Schmate,
Speaker 1: Freddy Freeman, they should be in that area. But I
Speaker 1: think a lot of you know the drafts that I've done,
Speaker 1: it's just really the range of players that that's going
Speaker 1: around them. But still it's those second round story. But
Speaker 1: I stand five, that's the second round is as good
Speaker 1: as I can remember. Because you have Stanton, Harper, gold Schmidt, Freeman.
Speaker 1: Are these guys who have traditionally been the end of
Speaker 1: the first round, early second round, These guys are going
Speaker 1: middle of late, like a top five three pick. Yeah,
Speaker 1: absolutely so I'm loving that second round. This year in general,
Speaker 1: there's a lot of big bats that you can get,
Speaker 1: and I think it makes an advantageous to start with
Speaker 1: the picture as you did in that particular jaff frank
Speaker 1: Um when you are in the middle to late first round.
Speaker 1: But let's stick with the first basement and I mentioned
Speaker 1: the top two. You can read Frank's first base rankings
Speaker 1: on his Patreon. Please subscribe to that. Obviously. Frank mentioned
Speaker 1: the content is free right now, it will be free forever,
Speaker 1: so please limited time only while supplies last, So please
Speaker 1: subscribe to Patreon, even if it's just a dollar a month.
Speaker 1: He prefer five. But whatever, whatever you can, whatever you
Speaker 1: can afford for fantasy baseball prep, it's obviously well worth it. Frankie,
Speaker 1: your tier is what for the first base? What is
Speaker 1: tier one? So Tier one is just those just to
Speaker 1: those two guys, it is Freddy Freeman and Paul Goldschmidt.
Speaker 1: I also should have mentioned this when I first started
Speaker 1: talking about the position overall, when I made my John
Speaker 1: Travolta analogy is part of the reason why I say
Speaker 1: it's not as good as it once was and is
Speaker 1: there are status to back sixt Upgreg So I looked
Speaker 1: at this and the collective batting average for first baseman
Speaker 1: last year was to fifty to fifty batting average for
Speaker 1: first base. That was the lowest it's been for the
Speaker 1: collective group of first baseman hitters since night when it
Speaker 1: was to forty seven. It's fifty years ago year, fifty
Speaker 1: one years this has been the lowest batting average for
Speaker 1: first base fifty and then the collective ops was seven
Speaker 1: seven sixty last year for first basement UM and only
Speaker 1: two times since nineteen ninety three has been seven sixty
Speaker 1: year lower. That was the other year when only five
Speaker 1: first baseman hit thirty home runs. UM No only four
Speaker 1: first baseman at thirty home runs. Last year there was
Speaker 1: only five of those. So it's just, you know, we
Speaker 1: don't get the same sluggers that that we once did
Speaker 1: at the position. But for me, it's Freddie Freeman and
Speaker 1: it's Paul gold Schmidt. Those are the clear top two
Speaker 1: in the tier, the the only guys going in the
Speaker 1: second round. And then you kind of break it into
Speaker 1: that next year, next year where Anthony Rizzo is going
Speaker 1: in the third round. Do you want to like further
Speaker 1: dissect Freddy Freeman or Paul gold Schmidt or what to
Speaker 1: expect from these guys. It's just kind of like status quo,
Speaker 1: you know what you expect. Well, I'll see this. They're
Speaker 1: going very close to each other. Is there any argument
Speaker 1: to be made that Freeman should go ahead of goldchmip.
Speaker 1: I've always kind of tried to make the argument Freddy Freeman.
Speaker 1: And last year, you know, I had Freddy Freeman rank
Speaker 1: to have Joey Vado, and a lot of you know
Speaker 1: you guys were giving me a bunch of crap for that. Obviously,
Speaker 1: no one saw Joey Vado regressing the way that he
Speaker 1: did last year. The power parts completely fell off. But
Speaker 1: I still think that Freddy Freeman has the talent to
Speaker 1: go out there and hit three hundred with forty homers.
Speaker 1: He's never done it. I think he has the talent
Speaker 1: to do it. What changes in St. Louis for gold Schmidt?
Speaker 1: What changes this year another year with all the young
Speaker 1: bats in Atlanta around Freeman? Well, the thing both lineups
Speaker 1: are very good. I think the Cardinals lineup is is
Speaker 1: good as well. I think I would give give the
Speaker 1: advantage to the Braves. I think there's a little bit
Speaker 1: more depth in that lineup, essentially at the top. I
Speaker 1: mean they have Josh Donaldson, Uh, they have Ronald Kunian,
Speaker 1: whether it's entering c RT leading off or a Kunia,
Speaker 1: and then they have Ozialbis, so it's a little bit
Speaker 1: more depth. They have Nick mar Caicus. I do like
Speaker 1: the Cardinals line up, but when Freddy Freeman, he's always
Speaker 1: been uh, he's always been a great hitter to a
Speaker 1: to a fault at times like last year thirty two
Speaker 1: percent line drive rate, and you know that takes away
Speaker 1: from his ability to hit home runs. He only hit
Speaker 1: twenty three home runs last year, but the year before
Speaker 1: that hit twenty eight home runs in a hundred and
Speaker 1: seventeen games. So that's why I still think that he
Speaker 1: has that upside. The past three years he's been three
Speaker 1: or two batting average are better. I still think he
Speaker 1: has that upside to have a three D batting average,
Speaker 1: you know, thirty five to forty home run season. I'm tempted.
Speaker 1: You know, I didn't do it. I'm just gonna put
Speaker 1: Freddie Freeman over Goldchman. I always want to do it,
Speaker 1: and then like people talk me out of it, I'm
Speaker 1: just gonna. I'm just gonna. So. So I think you
Speaker 1: look at their lines from last year, they're they're very similar,
Speaker 1: like they're they're very Goldchmate doesn't really steal bases anymore
Speaker 1: either that it's decreased from thirty eight thirty two to
Speaker 1: eighteen to seven over the past three years. Freddie Freeman
Speaker 1: had more bases last he gives you eight to ten
Speaker 1: now the last three years eight ten. Gold Schmidt had
Speaker 1: ten more home runs UM. The runs were basically even
Speaker 1: r b I s. You give a fourteen more to
Speaker 1: Freeman UM averages twenty point difference UH in favor of
Speaker 1: Freeman O bps were basically exactly the same babbits, which
Speaker 1: I thought it was interesting, exactly the same Goldchman walks
Speaker 1: a little bit more but also strikes out a little
Speaker 1: bit more. Gold Schmidt also had a higher hard hit
Speaker 1: rate forties seven percent. I think it was four sexson
Speaker 1: change UM forty six and change compared to Freddie Freeman's
Speaker 1: forty two so very good marks. They're very similar. I
Speaker 1: mean they're very similar guys. To me, it's preference. You
Speaker 1: can't even use you worry about the change of scenery.
Speaker 1: Get that in the second. You can't even care. With
Speaker 1: the injuries to Freddie Freeman anyway. For the hundred sixty
Speaker 1: two games last year, every single game he was out there,
Speaker 1: so I wouldn't say you can't worry about it. It
Speaker 1: was risk injuries. At two out of the last three years,
Speaker 1: man a hundred fifty eight games, hundred sixty two games,
Speaker 1: but the other two years eighteen the year before that
Speaker 1: one sixty two. So it's like those are fluke injuries. Though.
Speaker 1: You know, we did get some warning signs from Paul
Speaker 1: gold Schmidth last year, especially early on. I mean through
Speaker 1: the first two months of the year. Remember what we
Speaker 1: were talking about Greg the human or got him? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Was it that, or you know, was it the fact that, Okay,
Speaker 1: Paul gold schmid is you know, he's past the age
Speaker 1: of thirty. Now we're starting to see a little bit
Speaker 1: of a decline. He's two years older than Freeman. We'll
Speaker 1: say this. From June one on was amazing, Like if
Speaker 1: you ball low, that was the guys that was in
Speaker 1: June first on three thirty four twenty six oh two
Speaker 1: uh of slugging percentage. That's a one thousand, twenty one
Speaker 1: o p s over the you know, from June one
Speaker 1: on we had a forty eight percent hard hit rate,
Speaker 1: a twenty four and a half home run to five
Speaker 1: ball ratio. So look, you worry a little bit about
Speaker 1: the change of scenery, even with the humid or I
Speaker 1: do think the change from Chase Fields at the St.
Speaker 1: Louis is a slight negative park shift here for Goldschmidt,
Speaker 1: and you know not everyone just automatically changed his teams
Speaker 1: and it's amazing right away. No. I mentioned Mike Mustakis
Speaker 1: yesterday he went to a better hitter's ballpark from Kaufman
Speaker 1: Stadium to Miller Park. He didn't adjust right away. That's
Speaker 1: Carlo Stanton. He changed the leagues to be right away
Speaker 1: in those two situations. I didn't look next year. I
Speaker 1: always think it's a big transition to Yankee stadiums, the
Speaker 1: Yankees rather in New York. Mustakis in season you go
Speaker 1: to that personal stuff. I think it'll be much better.
Speaker 1: This don't go wrong with these guys. I like free, Well,
Speaker 1: can you bring it down at first base when we
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Speaker 1: Fantasy Sports Radio Never gold Schmidt Freeman, your top two
Speaker 1: first baseman off the board this year twenty nineteen Fantasy
Speaker 1: Baseball drafts. No real issue with that. It's hard, man.
Speaker 1: It's like I was saying Jean Carlos stands in New York.
Speaker 1: I always try to give players a year of transition
Speaker 1: before jumping in on them when to go to the Akeies.
Speaker 1: I never want a Yankee in their first year ever
Speaker 1: with the team. Ever, it's a good thing. Um, you know,
Speaker 1: I think it's one of the rare exceptions, to be
Speaker 1: honest with you, But Luke boy, it's not like making
Speaker 1: the money. Gian Carlos and there had the expectations of
Speaker 1: John Carlos then to be fair. Um, Mike we stocking.
Speaker 1: We talked about the personal stuff. I think being traded
Speaker 1: in the middle of the year is tough. Like I
Speaker 1: think expecting them to provide the power and be as
Speaker 1: comfortable as they were their previous location. I think it's
Speaker 1: hard a lot to ask for. So that doesn't bother
Speaker 1: me or scare me away at all. In this case
Speaker 1: for gold Schmidt. St Louis is not New York. We've
Speaker 1: seen a lot of free agents and a lot of
Speaker 1: UM trades happened with St. Louis where a guy got
Speaker 1: UM sent over there and performed very well in their
Speaker 1: first year. So I'm not really scared off by the
Speaker 1: change of scenery to St. Louis. You could also use
Speaker 1: the contract year with Paul gold Schmidt as fodder of
Speaker 1: some sort. I think it's very close. He's not one
Speaker 1: of the last year contract yeah, so I think he's
Speaker 1: had to prove a lot, and in this market he
Speaker 1: knows that, like he needs to really have a great
Speaker 1: year in order to make money or make a lot
Speaker 1: of money. So it's not that the Cardinals lineup is bad.
Speaker 1: Here's the thing. If I said, if I told you
Speaker 1: to set a date Greg for when, when does Tyler
Speaker 1: O'Neill take over for Dexter Fowler in the outfield. What
Speaker 1: would you say, why is Dexter Fowler starting for the
Speaker 1: Cardinals and not Tyler O'Neill Because he makes money, that's why. Well, yeah,
Speaker 1: bench last year because he sucked. He's protected about fifth
Speaker 1: right now according to rosteries. Yeah, I mean they make him.
Speaker 1: I would look a lot better with Tyler O'Neill in there. Yeah,
Speaker 1: So ultimately he just makes so much money that they
Speaker 1: have to give another shot. You know, at the top
Speaker 1: of you got Carpenter, pulled the young Goldschmidt Ozuna. It's
Speaker 1: a nice first four, and you have Yudia Molina, who's
Speaker 1: always undervalued. Great hit here, I get Tyler O'Neil in there. Sorry,
Speaker 1: Dexter Fowler, you're out. So anyway you want to rank
Speaker 1: Freeman first, I'm not gonna argue with you. I don't.
Speaker 1: I don't want to put this is the table for this.
Speaker 1: I think it's very close. I really do. When it
Speaker 1: comes to those first Baseman verse, Let's say, Aaron Judge,
Speaker 1: what do you how do you love Aaron Judges? Here,
Speaker 1: I really do. I'm taking Aaron Judge. He has he
Speaker 1: has he runs. These guys don't the power. The power
Speaker 1: upside is definitely. I've seen the bad especially, it's not
Speaker 1: going to completely crater like, but you're gonna be like Leaves.
Speaker 1: He'll be where he needs to be matching with these guys, No,
Speaker 1: I mean his his ZOBP is absolutely the eyes will
Speaker 1: be there. You know, we judge about Harper verse over
Speaker 1: this one. These guys, what do you think. I mean,
Speaker 1: Harper and Stanton are both kind of in the same range. Um, well,
Speaker 1: this is what you talk with the outfielders. If you
Speaker 1: need five outfielders, I think I probably lean to the outfielders.
Speaker 1: If you don't you need three outfielders, I think it's
Speaker 1: a duffer question. Even even in a points league, I
Speaker 1: would go with the first basement over Stanton just because
Speaker 1: he strikes out so much. Like you're gonna lose points
Speaker 1: for the strikeouts. He's gonna be well us probably strikeout
Speaker 1: percentage there with Jiancarlo Stanton and with Goldsman Freeman. Uh, look,
Speaker 1: you just know that you're gonna get the good plate discipline.
Speaker 1: You're not gonna get that many strikeouts you're gonna get,
Speaker 1: You're gonna get walks, You're gonna get a bunch of
Speaker 1: doubles too. So if I'm comparing gold Schmidt and Freeman
Speaker 1: to a guy like Stanton in leagues, I would lean
Speaker 1: with them. What about Roto you need five outfielders again,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna leave. There's a change for you for What
Speaker 1: about Harper? If he signs in Philly? In that ballpark?
Speaker 1: I think if Harper goes to Philly, he's back into
Speaker 1: the first round, which it's all but a given that
Speaker 1: he's gonna go there. I know we've got some reports
Speaker 1: that like Harper is interested in San Francisco, he wants
Speaker 1: to play on the West Coast. That's what it comes
Speaker 1: down to. He wants to be close to Vegas. I
Speaker 1: think he does. Dude, we thought so. If that was
Speaker 1: the case, he would have signed already. Greg. I don't
Speaker 1: think why why hasn't he signed with Philly? He wants
Speaker 1: to be on the West Coast? No, no, no, no, no, no,
Speaker 1: that's not it. What is it? Harper wants the most money.
Speaker 1: He wants to be the highest paid free agent of
Speaker 1: all time in any sport. He had to wait for
Speaker 1: a childo to sign first to guarantee that which Harper
Speaker 1: will sign any day, alright, so then he should have
Speaker 1: signed yesterday afternoon. That if he will sign any day,
Speaker 1: boards will get the best offers now, and he'll get
Speaker 1: wherever the most money is whether. I don't think it'll
Speaker 1: be San Francisco. I think would be Philly. It makes
Speaker 1: some sense. I mean he might Why would San Francisco
Speaker 1: even be in on him? Makes no sense. He might
Speaker 1: make three one million dollars right Like, it's gonna be
Speaker 1: something petty like that. And I don't think it has
Speaker 1: anything to do with location anymore. I used to think
Speaker 1: that with Machada, who really wanted to be in the
Speaker 1: East Coast Beerne near Ish to Florida. Didn't happened. So whatever,
Speaker 1: Bryce Harper verse these guys. If I'm just looking at it,
Speaker 1: he has higher upside, also has lower downs I agree
Speaker 1: with that's the that's the biggest difference, because what his
Speaker 1: upside is is that m VP season where he hits
Speaker 1: over three hundred, and he hits forty plus home runs
Speaker 1: and drives in a hundred RBI. Especially in Philly. It's
Speaker 1: a great hitter's ballpark, and it's gonna be a great
Speaker 1: lineup two with the addition of Bryce Harper. If he
Speaker 1: ends up there too, so it's amazing. I mean his
Speaker 1: downside is Look, last year he had forty nine. The
Speaker 1: batting average fluctuates every single year for Bryce Harper to
Speaker 1: last year because guys are more consistent. Was three nineteen
Speaker 1: year before that to forty three before that, three thirty
Speaker 1: before that to seventy three. So it does absolutely fluctuate. Now,
Speaker 1: the o p P for Harper has been pretty consistente
Speaker 1: last year, year before three, seventy three year before that,
Speaker 1: and during his MVP season four sixty on base percentage.
Speaker 1: How do you feel about position scarcity? Because I'm not
Speaker 1: usually big on position scarcity. I feel like this you're
Speaker 1: kind of becoming a slave to position scarcity. Just to
Speaker 1: hear myself talking about it in Rhodo, outfield drives up
Speaker 1: so fast. Can you really not take an outfielder in
Speaker 1: your first look? I think you gotta get one at
Speaker 1: least in your first three rounds, because if you go
Speaker 1: through your first three rounds and you get to the
Speaker 1: fourth round and like Tommy fam is your first outfielder
Speaker 1: and a five outfielder league. As much as we love
Speaker 1: Tommy Fam, I don't really love Tommy fam is my
Speaker 1: first outfielder in a five outfield league, Like, honestly, the
Speaker 1: cut off to me for like, who would I who's
Speaker 1: the last person I would want as my starting outfielder
Speaker 1: in a Rhodo draft. The cut off is probably Sally Marte,
Speaker 1: Rise Hoskins, even even that's pushing it, like Ris Hoskins. Like,
Speaker 1: I like Hoskins too, But do you feel comfortable with
Speaker 1: him as your outfield one in a five outfield to league? Greg,
Speaker 1: do you feel comfortable with that exactly? Or starting first?
Speaker 1: Most most predicaments, you're not going to get that. And
Speaker 1: if that's the case, like Charlie Blackman is going to
Speaker 1: pick six, he's basically the last outfielder. If you want
Speaker 1: to include whit Maryfield in this group, he's the last
Speaker 1: outfielder going in the second round, which basically tells me,
Speaker 1: I want to get one of my first two outfielders
Speaker 1: in the first two rounds in a Roto draft. Now,
Speaker 1: so you've been saying you wanted a starting picture in
Speaker 1: an outfild first kind of becoming I'm kind of becoming
Speaker 1: a slave to the position scarcity. But I think in
Speaker 1: rodo you gotta do it? Man? Like outfield drives up
Speaker 1: so Fast in their first basement, and I like later on,
Speaker 1: so let's keep let's keep it going here great. I
Speaker 1: don't know. I don't. I don't know. I don't want
Speaker 1: to be a slave to that. I want to think
Speaker 1: the best picture player available, and I think that I
Speaker 1: think I might lean Goldchmitten Freeman over Harper to be honestly, like, here,
Speaker 1: would you pull would you pull Charlie Blackman up the
Speaker 1: board to take them over one of these first basements
Speaker 1: just so you get an outfielder? Absolutely not. I don't
Speaker 1: think I would either, Absolutely not. But I think it's
Speaker 1: a good question. Charlie Blackman this year, why, I don't know.
Speaker 1: Because it's Colorado. I don't know. He's still great. I
Speaker 1: feel like there are a lot of people that agree
Speaker 1: with you too. I agree. I agree with myself. I
Speaker 1: agree there are a lot of people that agree with me. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't. I don't like when things like
Speaker 1: this happen. It's weird. Greg is with the people. He
Speaker 1: scored a hundred and nineteen runs last year. Admittedly, it
Speaker 1: was a weird year for Charlie Blackman. It was a
Speaker 1: weird year. I owned him last year. It felt like
Speaker 1: he would never like as good as I wanted him
Speaker 1: to be, right, but he still hit the RBIs you
Speaker 1: knew we were going to take a step back. He
Speaker 1: had a hundred and four RBI into two seventeen as
Speaker 1: a leadoff hitter. That was never gonna happen again. Seventy
Speaker 1: probably a little bit low. And you know your second
Speaker 1: round pick, you probably want at least a d r B.
Speaker 1: I to the guy with home runs sole basis, he'
Speaker 1: still gonna give you, you know, twelve to fifteen over
Speaker 1: a hundred runs for sure in that lineup. To like
Speaker 1: about Charlie Blackman, I guess to look into him more,
Speaker 1: to be honest with you, But I just wonder if
Speaker 1: the average continues to drop. Right, we've seen it now.
Speaker 1: We've seen it drop here pretty substantially last year. I
Speaker 1: know the Babbitt is kind of telling Kate his career
Speaker 1: larn to look up what his expected batting average was.
Speaker 1: I would be great. Did you could do that so
Speaker 1: he was at his expected batting average? You're not. It's
Speaker 1: great to be fair expected. Like on Baseball Savant with
Speaker 1: their stat cast data, everybody's expected batting averages average, it
Speaker 1: was to seventy seven last year is expected. Even in
Speaker 1: the years where he hit well over three hundred, it
Speaker 1: was to expected seventeen expected batting average. Yeah, you know,
Speaker 1: I just and that's probably they're taking the course field
Speaker 1: effect into it. Maybe if he was in a different ballpark,
Speaker 1: that's what is batting average. Listen, Blackman a second round,
Speaker 1: there's something wrong with it. I just would rather have
Speaker 1: gold schmidten framing over him, you know, listen, in our all,
Speaker 1: in our auction, right if we had a good price
Speaker 1: on black Man, I'm not gonna say we shouldn't draft him. Now.
Speaker 1: I've been going to pick twenty six in the month
Speaker 1: of February, whereas free Men and Goldschmidt are going picks
Speaker 1: eighteen and twenty respectively. Who's around who else is around
Speaker 1: black Man? So around black Men you have really just pictures.
Speaker 1: It's uh, well, Stanton's going three picks earlier, and then
Speaker 1: it's Nolah Kluber, Garrett Cole and then Ben Intendia. I'm
Speaker 1: not doing that. I mean, we'll save it for the
Speaker 1: outfield preview. But and he biceps, I'm interested. Everyone's expecting
Speaker 1: him to like take this huge power jump. His hard
Speaker 1: hit right late rate last year was garbage. Yeah, I
Speaker 1: know that black. I know he's gonna lead off, so
Speaker 1: the runs are gonna be there. It's a great line
Speaker 1: up with Boston. I get it. But if you I guess, look,
Speaker 1: you draft ben INTENDI waiting for it to happen. It
Speaker 1: reminds me of Yellow. So look, if you trust it,
Speaker 1: if you think he's gonna turn into like Yellow and
Speaker 1: he has the ability to pay off that first round value,
Speaker 1: then those are the people who are drafting ben Intendia
Speaker 1: in the in the second third round on that turn.
Speaker 1: But me personally, he hasn't done enough and he struggles
Speaker 1: against lefties, and the battle ball data was not great
Speaker 1: last year for me with ben Into So I'm not
Speaker 1: one of these people who are buying on him as
Speaker 1: a second third round pick. Okay said, all right, continue
Speaker 1: on the first basement. And the guy that I know
Speaker 1: you absolutely love is Anthony Rizzo. Well, Greg, how much
Speaker 1: you're gonna make me spend on him in the auction
Speaker 1: this year? Zero dollars? What he what if he has
Speaker 1: second base eligibility? Greg, I'm good. Yeah. Michael Florio myself
Speaker 1: spend thirty nine dollars last year mixed league AUX. Let's
Speaker 1: be fair. Because he has second base eligibility. Let's be fair.
Speaker 1: We're all in on the idea. It wasn't just me.
Speaker 1: Come on, man, I feel like I was in on
Speaker 1: the idea. But I said a cat, and we just
Speaker 1: went over that cat like four bucks. We're gonna ge
Speaker 1: him for the thirty five. If he goes higher than
Speaker 1: that and we're out, then I kept going, I was
Speaker 1: gonna be over forty. Though it made you feel better,
Speaker 1: it probably doesn't. Um. Yeah, so you have had any rizzo,
Speaker 1: so actually let me go to you for this. What's
Speaker 1: the next tier? I do have an a Rizzo next up,
Speaker 1: and it's tier Um, this is tier two. It's three
Speaker 1: through eleven, which in a DP, these guys really go
Speaker 1: anywhere from round three to seven, so it's kind of
Speaker 1: like the early to mid rounds. It's Anthony Rizzo, Cody Bellinger,
Speaker 1: Rehese Hoskins, Joey Vado, jose A bray You, Daniel Murphy,
Speaker 1: Matt Carpenter, Matt Olsen, and Jeseus Aglare. I'm gonna put
Speaker 1: a retaskin the head of Cody Balones. Why did hete
Speaker 1: Coali Belinger? I don't hate Cody Boner. You don't love
Speaker 1: Coali Belinger when my announceis of Anthony Rizzo. First, Craig
Speaker 1: kind of more interested now and thing, but I mean
Speaker 1: my whole thing with with Anthony Rizzo and people. You've
Speaker 1: heard people make this argument before. Greg is you can
Speaker 1: get the like of his production from Jose bray you
Speaker 1: three rounds later, you get Jose I braw you in
Speaker 1: the sixth round. These are steamer projections for both of
Speaker 1: these guys. Anthony Rizzo tight one thirty Homer's runs n
Speaker 1: two r BI, seven stolen bases a bray You two
Speaker 1: eighty eight Homeowner's eight runs scored ninety three RBI to
Speaker 1: two stone basis. So really you're paying three rounds difference
Speaker 1: in price tag for sixteen additional runs and five stone basis.
Speaker 1: That's the biggest difference. I haven't called us the Frankings yet,
Speaker 1: but Franking's frank Rankings. Frank's yeah. I mean you try
Speaker 1: it now and seven last song anywhere I'm going to continue.
Speaker 1: You know, I'll do that pusure. I mean, you haven't
Speaker 1: really been saying franking, so I kind of blame you
Speaker 1: was away from you know what what's up? As part
Speaker 1: of like my Patreon. You should be my Paul Hayman,
Speaker 1: like you should be my mouthpiece, Like you should spit
Speaker 1: promos for my Patreon. The Raining Defension. Good at that. Well,
Speaker 1: I didn't really I guess I didn't really win anything
Speaker 1: last year in baseball, won my Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational League,
Speaker 1: fourth World All. Anthony Rizzo. Um, he's steady production. Like
Speaker 1: you set your watch to, you know, to seventy two
Speaker 1: eighty thirty home run Granddads. That was our thing last year.
Speaker 1: It's like, every time we look up, it's Anthony Rizzo
Speaker 1: RBI groundouts. He's good at it. He's gonna give you
Speaker 1: ninety plus runs, ninety plus RBIs, he's gonna give you
Speaker 1: like five stolen bases. It's fine Anthony Rizzo, but I'm
Speaker 1: I'm not really going to spend the third round price
Speaker 1: tag when I get Jose Brady three rounds later. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I agree. It's just it's just very boring this year.
Speaker 1: I mean you you like you said you said a
Speaker 1: clock for he actually was down in home runs last
Speaker 1: He always he's always a slow starter, slow starter. Remember
Speaker 1: last year, in the first month he was just god awful.
Speaker 1: Oh enough, Frank, I you told me every day, every
Speaker 1: single time, and you made us spend thirty nine dollars
Speaker 1: on this guy. So Anny Rizzo right now is going
Speaker 1: five off the board. Um in NFBC E leaves who's
Speaker 1: going around him? In March and April last year, one
Speaker 1: home run sucked. I was I lived through it. Man.
Speaker 1: Not very good Anthony Rizzo. In the month of February.
Speaker 1: His NFBC a DP is pick thirty five. So in
Speaker 1: the twelve team league at the end of the third round,
Speaker 1: in a fifteen team league, he's smacked daddy in the
Speaker 1: middle of the third round, third round pick. Who's going
Speaker 1: around him? More starting pitchers here, Trevor Bauer, Lis Severino,
Speaker 1: Carlos carrasco Walker Bueller, and then you kind of get
Speaker 1: into the Starling Marte, Reese Hoskins group. Those are the
Speaker 1: hitters available, and Hoskins is gonna give you first base
Speaker 1: and outfield eligibility like that, so that helps told guy,
Speaker 1: and then Starling Marte. You know what you're getting from
Speaker 1: him from the outfield position, Homer's stolen bases, good batting average.
Speaker 1: He Cody Bellinger. I went into this a little bit
Speaker 1: last week with with Andy Singleton. We were doing Cody
Speaker 1: Bellinger verse Reese Hoskins debate, and this kind of comes
Speaker 1: back to that, right, Yes, Sam just comes back to
Speaker 1: with Cody Bellinger using more prospect pedigree, using more of
Speaker 1: like outside factors to kind of just trusting that, Okay,
Speaker 1: you know, he's a twenty three year old guy who's okay,
Speaker 1: he failed last year. He didn't move up to expectations.
Speaker 1: He went from thirty nine to home runs to twenty five,
Speaker 1: But just trusting the fact that he had the pedigree
Speaker 1: and then he's gonna get better. That's what you have
Speaker 1: to do when you look at a guy like Cody Bellinger.
Speaker 1: And maybe I make it too hard on myself, but
Speaker 1: you know, there were things that I didn't like last year.
Speaker 1: For example, you know when he first got called up
Speaker 1: two years ago and hit thirty nine home runs, he
Speaker 1: was very good against left handed pitching. Remember I sat
Speaker 1: here last year and I said, I actually thought Cody
Speaker 1: Balinger had the ability to be better than Aaron Judge.
Speaker 1: You were alone on that, though, because I trusted what
Speaker 1: I saw from the splits in his first season that
Speaker 1: he held his own against lefties. Last year, he regressed
Speaker 1: in a major way to batting average ops against left
Speaker 1: handed pitching. So that has me a little bit worried.
Speaker 1: You know, if I'm using a third round price tag,
Speaker 1: you know, third fourth round price tag on Cody Bellinger
Speaker 1: and if he's gonna struggle against lefties on a team
Speaker 1: like the Dodgers, I don't really ever think that they're
Speaker 1: going to platoon him. But if there's a team that's
Speaker 1: ever gonna like, all right, we'll give you a day
Speaker 1: off against a tough lefty, it's the Ds because you
Speaker 1: know they have that luxury they you know they have
Speaker 1: they have a wealth of riches on their team. They
Speaker 1: have a lot of depth on their teams. So those
Speaker 1: things worried me. I'm also looking more into this, uh
Speaker 1: this season, Greg infield fly ball rate, his infield flyball rate.
Speaker 1: You know, he has this huge uppercut swing. We know
Speaker 1: that he's trying to lift the ball a lot. He's
Speaker 1: trying to hit a lot of home runs. So his
Speaker 1: infield flyball rate last year goes up over sixteen per cent.
Speaker 1: Six of his bad at balls were automatic outs. You know,
Speaker 1: I want guys that are not going to hit infield
Speaker 1: fly balls. That's something I tried to ignore last year
Speaker 1: with Raphael Devers, and if you looked at his minor
Speaker 1: league career, it was every single year with the guy
Speaker 1: like Devor's, he hit a ton of infield fly balls.
Speaker 1: Those are guaranteed outs. What happened last year at the
Speaker 1: major league level, you guessed it. He had a ton
Speaker 1: of infield fly balls, So they were warning signs last
Speaker 1: year with Thunders struggled against lefties and he had these
Speaker 1: infield fly balls, which are basically guaranteed outs. Average I'll
Speaker 1: give you my projection from when we get back from
Speaker 1: the break average down O b P down that up.
Speaker 1: I think he was down across the board, very nervous
Speaker 1: by Coney Belligier. Really interest for me this year your
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Speaker 1: World number one Me personally, I keep my game face
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Speaker 1: Manny Machado has finally signed a contract. It's with the
Speaker 1: Padres and Machado landing in San Diego. And everyone's initial
Speaker 1: reaction is like, Oh, that sucks, that's the Padres and
Speaker 1: what about the ballpark? But the ballpark for right handed
Speaker 1: hitters is not as bad. Sure it's not Campen Yards,
Speaker 1: and he obviously went over to the Dodgers last year.
Speaker 1: This is a guy that can hit anywhere week days
Speaker 1: to the four pm Eastern on the Fantasy Sports Network
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Speaker 1: Fantasy best Friends Forever, Fantasy Sports radier now so sold
Speaker 1: just making my bachelor party right, Frank and I was
Speaker 1: having issues. We're trying to make it work. Um, I
Speaker 1: really wanted I'm doing it Fort Lauder Down. Do you
Speaker 1: know you've heard my conversation that Drew dique mine. Indeed,
Speaker 1: and I really wanted a certain hotel that Drew told
Speaker 1: me to stay at. But the weekend I wanted was
Speaker 1: between two weekends in July, which I was talking about
Speaker 1: this with you yesterday and when my buddies can't come
Speaker 1: one weekend but can come to the other weekend. But
Speaker 1: the hotel I wanted that Drew recommended is not available
Speaker 1: for that week and he can come. So I'm just like,
Speaker 1: all right and go to a different hotel. Obviously it's
Speaker 1: playing at other hotels. This stuff sounds So I just
Speaker 1: dressed now because I don't want to be selfish and
Speaker 1: just be like that guy, like she's an hotel of
Speaker 1: my buddy, Like this is what you recommended. Like I
Speaker 1: really liked it. It looked cool. I was all in
Speaker 1: on it because I had like a beach that had
Speaker 1: a beach, a pool bar. Yeah, you probably shouldn't exclude
Speaker 1: your buddy, I agree with you. And Judy was like
Speaker 1: all about that. She's like, it's a hotel really more
Speaker 1: important than your friend, Like it's stupid. What is your
Speaker 1: bachelor party? Right? That was my flash. That was my fla.
Speaker 1: It's like it's my but it's it's my time to
Speaker 1: be selfish, you know. Like that was that's wherever my
Speaker 1: mind was. Would they do the same thing for me?
Speaker 1: Like I don't know, so I don't know what to do.
Speaker 1: So the reason that they were sold out this hotel.
Speaker 1: It was because it's like a bunch of conventions in
Speaker 1: Fort Laurie. It's a big invention of some sort. Do
Speaker 1: you know what kind of convention? No idea. So my dad,
Speaker 1: my dad, Um, it's like some married up members or
Speaker 1: some sort. So we called the hotel and he's like, hey,
Speaker 1: so online there's no rooms, but you know, I'm I'm
Speaker 1: attending the convention and he oh, big, Rob, So we
Speaker 1: we got three rooms at the hotel. I wanted it
Speaker 1: for the weekend. I wanted because now attending the convention,
Speaker 1: I tell you, like that story, I really hope it's
Speaker 1: like some crazy one, some crazy oh man, I hope
Speaker 1: it's like a dragon ball Z conventions to like hate
Speaker 1: anime and like any cartoons. Oh, it's a cartoon convention.
Speaker 1: It's a bunch of people walking around like suits and stuff,
Speaker 1: and you're so hammered that you can't tell if it's
Speaker 1: reality or not. How about that. I'm good. I mean
Speaker 1: conventions like it could be anything. There's a bunch of
Speaker 1: crazy stuff out there. Greg, you almost almost close that.
Speaker 1: That was that was close. Okay, back to the first
Speaker 1: basement out of Cody Bellinger, Well, he said, you would
Speaker 1: give us a projections for Cody Bellinger Again, Uh, look,
Speaker 1: my projections are conservative. I do that on purpose. I
Speaker 1: make them conservative for every player, but Cody Bellinger. I
Speaker 1: have that two home runs, eighty runs scored, ninety r
Speaker 1: BI and ten stone basis, it's not bad. He gives
Speaker 1: you a little bit of everything, doesn't completely kill your
Speaker 1: batting average. Uh. You know, it's obviously very hard to
Speaker 1: project to project the batting average. But you know he's
Speaker 1: been around, you know, to sixty last year, to sixty
Speaker 1: seven in his first year, So maybe two fifty five
Speaker 1: is a little bit unfair. Maybe he's closer to to sixty.
Speaker 1: But the home runs have fluctuated, the runs, r B,
Speaker 1: I s. You know, he lost twenty one RBIs from
Speaker 1: from Uh this only basis, he's gonna give you ten
Speaker 1: to fifteen, So that's not bad. He's a great athlete,
Speaker 1: that's for sure. He walks a lot, so for points leagues,
Speaker 1: that helps help mitigate the strikeouts a little bit. He
Speaker 1: does hit the ball hard over a hard hit rate
Speaker 1: in each of his first two seasons. The home run
Speaker 1: the fly ball ratio dropped big content last year. So
Speaker 1: can he be a guy that potentially pays off first
Speaker 1: round value. If he hits you know, to seventy with
Speaker 1: thirty five home runs and a hundred rbi with with
Speaker 1: ten fifteen stolen basis. Yeah, if he does that, he's
Speaker 1: likely you know, a first round pick next year. Unfortunately
Speaker 1: for me, he does that, he's probably gonna be on
Speaker 1: someone else's team. It just feels not really an active
Speaker 1: target of man. It just feels like he's the kind
Speaker 1: of guy that a lot the players are going ahead
Speaker 1: of him do what he does. Maybe not the fourteen
Speaker 1: on bases, but everything else seems replicable to me. It
Speaker 1: depends which guy you trust more. Do you try the
Speaker 1: Cody Bellinger fromen or do you think he gets closer?
Speaker 1: Back to the seventeen again in seventeen took the league
Speaker 1: by storn thirty nine home runs in a hundred and
Speaker 1: thirty two games. Amazing. That's amazing, amazing. So we know
Speaker 1: that the talent is there in the bat. How much
Speaker 1: did he play a hundred fifty games is outside the
Speaker 1: realm of possibility, Greg for him, thirty five to forty
Speaker 1: homers with hundred r bis and fifteen stolen basis, that's
Speaker 1: not undoable. Let me throw that sable for Cody balance
Speaker 1: for you. In twenty seventeen, when he came up, he
Speaker 1: ultimately supplanted Adrian Gonzalez starting first baseman, played first base
Speaker 1: every day. Right. I think we're gonna move him back
Speaker 1: ahead of reasons. Oh man, Right, he's gonna basically played
Speaker 1: first replaced Adrian Gonzalez and played first base every day. Right.
Speaker 1: Last year with the emergency maxim on c he kind
Speaker 1: of came up and moved around a lot, but a
Speaker 1: lot of center field, and that's where we're projecting him
Speaker 1: to start this year for the Dodgers. He's gonna play
Speaker 1: the off field for sure, and I've read center field.
Speaker 1: Do you think it's gonna take a bit of a
Speaker 1: toll on it? Do you think maybe that's hard to
Speaker 1: the reason we're seeing the client? Maybe that affect him,
Speaker 1: you know what's up? But on on on Baseball Reference,
Speaker 1: you could look up players splits by position that they played.
Speaker 1: They can do that on fan grafts til you might
Speaker 1: be able to. But I'll pull that up for you anyway.
Speaker 1: With the Dodgers, yeah, they do. No, he's not gonna
Speaker 1: play center field because I have aj Polloig. So he's
Speaker 1: projected to I don't, I don't center or whatever. He's
Speaker 1: projected to play right field. This is on Rosster resource
Speaker 1: and back clean up. Look, there's gonna be a ton
Speaker 1: of RBI opportunities too, because you look at the first
Speaker 1: three in this order, Aleck Seeger, Justin Turner just ahead
Speaker 1: of Balinger, and then behind him he has Munty Taylor,
Speaker 1: Jock Peterson. The averages were basically the same most three.
Speaker 1: I mean, that's that's great. Averages to sixty the first
Speaker 1: baseman last year to sixty three as a center fielder.
Speaker 1: So what do I know? Oh, he did not get
Speaker 1: to hit the pinch hitter though as a first baseman
Speaker 1: last year he hit with an os as center fielder,
Speaker 1: which was next up the most games that he played
Speaker 1: with seventy one. Uh, he hit to sixty three with
Speaker 1: an eight oh seven. So really not that difference, Not
Speaker 1: not that different said that. Sorry, okay, anyway, so about
Speaker 1: you said you're being too hard on him, I don't
Speaker 1: think so. You said you just flipped him with This
Speaker 1: always reminds me of my analysis of Javier Bias last year,
Speaker 1: where I us looked at it statistically and didn't really
Speaker 1: take the fact that like he always had this upside
Speaker 1: inside of that because of like his prospect pedigree and
Speaker 1: what he did in the past, and you know, these
Speaker 1: huge expectations. This is a little bit different because I mean,
Speaker 1: you're not getting Bellinger at the same price we're getting
Speaker 1: bias last year because we're getting in the middle rounds.
Speaker 1: Do you still have to use a third fourth round
Speaker 1: five tag on Bellinger? Which there's just a hard guy
Speaker 1: for me to figure out this year any singletons, I said,
Speaker 1: I'm making it too hard than than I should be.
Speaker 1: Maybe I am. I don't you are, I don't. I'm
Speaker 1: not just agreeing agree with I just agree. Let you
Speaker 1: get Let's get to Reese Hoskins here. You keep flipping
Speaker 1: back and forth between Bellinger. You know, I like rees
Speaker 1: Skins a lot, and I what are my targets this year?
Speaker 1: Am I crazy? Is she? Are you crazy? Part of
Speaker 1: the reason why I don't know if Hoskins is a
Speaker 1: target of mine is because it's kind of similar to
Speaker 1: the Jose Bray you and Anthony Rizzo situation. Greg. I
Speaker 1: don't see a huge difference between Reese Hoskins and Matt
Speaker 1: Olsen this year, and you're getting Reese Hoskins in the
Speaker 1: third round and shout out to Michael Florido. He was
Speaker 1: making this argument against me last year, and I didn't
Speaker 1: really see it. I know, Rees Hoskins hit more home
Speaker 1: runs than than Olsen did last year, but I'm doing
Speaker 1: I'm joining the club, Mike, I'm joining you this season.
Speaker 1: I don't really think that their their projection is all
Speaker 1: that different. You look at their Steamer projections. They have
Speaker 1: Reese Hoskins two nine four hoskinins, three more home runs,
Speaker 1: six more runs scored, five more RBI. And how about
Speaker 1: this great Hoskins a d P the NFBC is thirty nine.
Speaker 1: Guess where Matt Olson is one? So look you're getting
Speaker 1: him seventy five picks later, and you're getting pretty similar stats. Man.
Speaker 1: I'm a big believer in medals, and so I think
Speaker 1: that's what's kind of holding me back from going all
Speaker 1: in on Reese Hoskins, just because they know where I
Speaker 1: can get Matt Olson, whether it's you know, six, seventh,
Speaker 1: eighth round this year, um, and I'll take that chance
Speaker 1: on like trying to get him later on. Rich Hoskins also,
Speaker 1: oddly enough, has a split of his own last year
Speaker 1: one eight six. This isn't just last year. In his
Speaker 1: major league career, one eight six seven three ops against
Speaker 1: left east. He's a right handed batter, Craig, Why did
Speaker 1: he suck against left It's weird. It's a weird reverse split. Uh.
Speaker 1: That's in his career as a major league to this point. Um.
Speaker 1: And But the thing is he was much better against
Speaker 1: lefties in the minors. So to me, what that says
Speaker 1: is at some point he should get better against left
Speaker 1: handed pitching at the major league level, which ultimately will
Speaker 1: raise his overall batting average. Because one eight six against
Speaker 1: lefties is very bad. That's just not gonna get it done.
Speaker 1: So if he just raises his his average against lefties too,
Speaker 1: let's say to twenty greg and his overall batting average
Speaker 1: is coming up to to sixty instead of you know,
Speaker 1: the two forty nine. So he just you know, if
Speaker 1: he if he does a little bit better against left ease,
Speaker 1: then you know that batting average overall is coming up.
Speaker 1: I do like the fact that, like Bellinger he does
Speaker 1: he's gonna have dual eligibility. He does adverse base eligibility
Speaker 1: to start the season, but he will get it because
Speaker 1: he's gonna start there um And how about this Gray.
Speaker 1: I looked into this his his splits by where he
Speaker 1: backed the line up last year. He bad at second
Speaker 1: a lot because he he walks a ton. It's great
Speaker 1: plate discipline, which is obviously good for points leagues, it's
Speaker 1: good for O B P leagues. In one four games
Speaker 1: batting second, he had seven three ps. In forty five
Speaker 1: games batting fourth with a one thousand, twenty one o
Speaker 1: p s. He's projected to back fourth right now, so
Speaker 1: I think that helps him and the fact that he's
Speaker 1: gonna have more you know, he's gonna have more RBI
Speaker 1: opportunities with if Bryce Harper joins this line Bryce Harper,
Speaker 1: doesn't you get my cutch in that lineup? JT. Real Muto.
Speaker 1: It's a good lineup. I'll go as far as to
Speaker 1: say it's a great line up. But you're right annoyingly
Speaker 1: so that if you just pull up Madelson's stats, it's
Speaker 1: like they're really not that far offman, We're just kind
Speaker 1: of similar. And what Matt Olsen made it so much
Speaker 1: progress last year overall as a basketball player, like against
Speaker 1: Lee's and seventeen greg one six, seven and fifty eight
Speaker 1: against lefties, Matt Olson scares you off. That's part of
Speaker 1: the reason why I was working him last year. He
Speaker 1: was gonna struggle against against lefties to fifty one batting average.
Speaker 1: He brought you know, he brought his batting average from
Speaker 1: one all the way up to fifty one. The ops
Speaker 1: wasn't great, he didn't he had for much more power
Speaker 1: against right He's he only had seven oh one ops
Speaker 1: against lefties. But at least if I can see that
Speaker 1: he's making contact and making a conscious effort to raise
Speaker 1: batting average against lefties and bring it up to fifty one,
Speaker 1: that tells me he can hold his own against lefties
Speaker 1: and he's gonna be in the lineup every day. Roster resource,
Speaker 1: I think they do great work. Sometimes I think they're
Speaker 1: a little bit too quick to pull to pull the
Speaker 1: trigger when it comes to UH platoons. They have Matt
Speaker 1: Olson as a platoon. He played a hundred and sixty
Speaker 1: two games last year. He played every single game. He
Speaker 1: wasn't a platoon player last year, and he proved himself
Speaker 1: against lefties. Why would he be a platoon player this year?
Speaker 1: For Mark Canna, of all people, it's not gonna happen.
Speaker 1: Matt Olson is going to play every day. He was
Speaker 1: one of seven players who played a hundred and sixty
Speaker 1: two games last year made improvements against lefties, decreased his
Speaker 1: strikeout rate by three percent. Greg slightly improved his walks,
Speaker 1: lowered his pole percentage by seven point five percent. I
Speaker 1: can't stress this enough. He turned himself more into an
Speaker 1: all around hitter, started springing the ball to opposite field
Speaker 1: a little bit, taking what defenses are giving him. You
Speaker 1: know everyone's talking about this track. Oh, you know, over
Speaker 1: dramatic shift against left handed batters. So what is he
Speaker 1: learning to do is learning to take what what what
Speaker 1: they're giving him. He's going opposite field a little bit more,
Speaker 1: He's going to center a little bit more. He was
Speaker 1: top ten in barrels per played appearance last season nine
Speaker 1: point four percent. He was top five in both whoba
Speaker 1: uh no, that was max sorry um, hard hit rate,
Speaker 1: fantals and fly balls. You know, with that kind of
Speaker 1: bad a ball data, Greg, it feels like he could
Speaker 1: have been closer to thirty five runs and he was
Speaker 1: twenty nine. I understand he plays in Oakland. It's a
Speaker 1: bigger ballpark. It That lineup is not bad either. I
Speaker 1: think the home runs go up I think we're closer
Speaker 1: to thirty five. I haven't projected, you know, two fifty
Speaker 1: thirty two home owners, eighty runs, eighty five RBIs give
Speaker 1: me Matt Olsen man, I'm all in. I'm all in
Speaker 1: on the Olsen train. It was good. He's got nothing. Also,
Speaker 1: his expected to the slugging percentage was thirty points higher
Speaker 1: according to stat Cast, And I tell you that normally
Speaker 1: these like the expected things are lower. He was a
Speaker 1: little bit unlucky last year in the power department. And
Speaker 1: it's really interesting that Babbitt was two thirty eight and
Speaker 1: he had a higher batting average he did last year
Speaker 1: whereas bbit was two. It's like interesting today, really interesting.
Speaker 1: So the babbit two thirty eight in seventeen. He also
Speaker 1: hit more flyballs, so we know that hitting more flyballs
Speaker 1: typically leads to a lower babbit um. And he also
Speaker 1: you know why the Babbitt was so low, Greg and
Speaker 1: he had two fifty nine is because he had to
Speaker 1: many home runs. Home runs are not because they're not
Speaker 1: in play the bad That's that's why it looks like
Speaker 1: us go up. Definitely its last year I have before.
Speaker 1: I've rejected at thirty two, at thirty two, and people
Speaker 1: had unrealistic expectations for him last year. They thought, he can,
Speaker 1: you know, be a forty home run hitter. I think
Speaker 1: based on the better ball profile. If he was any
Speaker 1: other ball ballpark, yeah, you probably could expect forty home runs.
Speaker 1: Because he plays in Oakland, I think thirty three to
Speaker 1: thirty five home runs is a safe projection. Reece Hoskins
Speaker 1: hits a ton of fly balls. The problem with its
Speaker 1: Hoskins is is hard hit rate was like thirty five
Speaker 1: percent last year. This is really interesting too. It wasn't
Speaker 1: great like Matt Olsen was well over seven percent hard
Speaker 1: hit rate. The guy absolutely mashes the baseball. He also
Speaker 1: had very extreme splits Frankie at home seven last year.
Speaker 1: This is Matt Olson away. He added two sixty six
Speaker 1: home runs were the same fifteen and fourteen guy and
Speaker 1: Yankees player. He also got off to a disgusting start
Speaker 1: as well. Um actually disgusting seven and two sixteen. He's
Speaker 1: never gonna be a great battie. You're out dot on him.
Speaker 1: I should be out of Reese Hoskins too. Well, here's
Speaker 1: the thing. You can can't be out that that positive
Speaker 1: regression is coming for Reese Hoskins batting average because of
Speaker 1: what I said about the lefties. If he just improves
Speaker 1: his batting average against lefties up until two twenty, which
Speaker 1: is still very bad, but he's been one eight six
Speaker 1: in his career. If Reese Hoskins brings the batting average
Speaker 1: up to to twenty against lefties, his overall batting averages
Speaker 1: climbing up to to sixty, You're not gonna get a
Speaker 1: two sixty batting average from attles. So that's the difference.
Speaker 1: If you think that that Reese Hoskins can make the improvements,
Speaker 1: get the batting average up to to sixty, hit forty
Speaker 1: home runs. If he hits forty home runs in Philly
Speaker 1: in that line up, is probably gonna give you a
Speaker 1: hundred and ten RBIs like I can easily sell you
Speaker 1: on Reese hos Kins. I understand I can sell it. Definitely,
Speaker 1: I'll be I'll be a salesman. Just did it. Get
Speaker 1: the batting average up to two sixty. If he hits
Speaker 1: forty home runs in Philly, which is definitely doable, he's
Speaker 1: gonna he's gonna drive in a hundred and ten runs.
Speaker 1: So that's why you're playing in the third round. Price
Speaker 1: second I get it. It's a much better ballpark than Oakland.
Speaker 1: So that's that's the difference in ADP. Should it be difference,
Speaker 1: Probably not. I don't think it should be that that drastic.
Speaker 1: And again it's like this is the range in the
Speaker 1: third fourth round. I mean for Hoskins it works a
Speaker 1: little bit more because he has the outfield eligibly. You know,
Speaker 1: I want to grab outfielders early on. That's what I
Speaker 1: want to do, so Reese Hoskins kind of fits that.
Speaker 1: But I really do buy the adjustments that Madelson made,
Speaker 1: lest in the progress that he made being this crew too.
Speaker 1: I have him in this tier I have at eleven.
Speaker 1: I had him just behind ad olson Um. He was
Speaker 1: very the first half. Verse second half he was a
Speaker 1: different player. So that was and look, he was never
Speaker 1: gonna keep that up, but I mean the first half
Speaker 1: he was, I mean he was, you know, he was
Speaker 1: one of the ten best sluggers in baseball in the
Speaker 1: first half of the season. Second half that goes down
Speaker 1: to seven sixties. So you know, with guys like this,
Speaker 1: you know, the like the thirty year old breakout players
Speaker 1: like you kind of you get a little bit worried.
Speaker 1: Great ballpark much better ballpark than Oakland. I still think,
Speaker 1: you know, I think could be still a thirty or
Speaker 1: thirty five home run guy. You worry a little bit
Speaker 1: about the batting average. We're gonna be in the middle
Speaker 1: of the line up. I think A R is very
Speaker 1: similar to Bett Olsen, but he's also going thirty picks higher,
Speaker 1: one hour down. Well more to go, whole lot more
Speaker 1: program next