WEBVTT - Feb. 20th, Hour 1: First Base preview, Roto Outfielders, and more...

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast, and remember, if you

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<v Speaker 1>us there. Enjoy the show and thanks for listening. You're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Fantasy best Friends Forever,

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<v Speaker 1>m do too to do, to do too, to do,

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<v Speaker 1>to do too to to to to yeo, it says,

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<v Speaker 1>is no Fantasy best Friends Forever. Here the Fantasy Spoorts

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<v Speaker 1>Radio Network alongside Frankie stamfle Greg. I's been Frank, what's

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<v Speaker 1>going on? But Gregg? What's going on? Wednesday? Hump Day

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't really feel like hump Day because we had the

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<v Speaker 1>day off on Monday for President's Day, so we had

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<v Speaker 1>a week off before that. There you go, looking the

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<v Speaker 1>Golden Brown, the hash brown. Greg Suster like it like

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<v Speaker 1>here snow one here in New York City. Just it's

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<v Speaker 1>crazy because it's snowing in New York City. There you

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<v Speaker 1>go the pool noodle Greg last week and now this

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<v Speaker 1>week snow right, and there you go. But I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's important. And we did this a little bit later on,

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<v Speaker 1>like there's there's Nobby back up Alex, so there's be

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<v Speaker 1>like all my glory right like thrilled bathing suit, noodle,

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<v Speaker 1>smile noodle today, sweatshirt, snow boots. We'll get to that

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<v Speaker 1>later on, Frank, Oh no, no, we can't get to that.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know we have to address to address the

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<v Speaker 1>snow boots. Now. I want to get to it later on.

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<v Speaker 1>I want later on. I want to get right into it.

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<v Speaker 1>And I say, oh yeah, now he wants to get Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>he want to talk about and I said about snowy

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<v Speaker 1>dot com and and Suzanne, who whose identity theft f you?

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<v Speaker 1>This guy walks in and he's wearing these snow boots.

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<v Speaker 1>Snow boots. They look like the female version of UGGS, which,

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<v Speaker 1>like I kind of joked about him, like, oh, Greg,

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<v Speaker 1>they'll look like He's like, well, guess what they are? Ugs.

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<v Speaker 1>First off, I'm like, you're supporting Tom Brady because Tom

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<v Speaker 1>Brady is probably the biggest advocate of UGGS for males.

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<v Speaker 1>So that was first off. I wasn't really down with that,

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<v Speaker 1>but it was next. What I saw after seeing the

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<v Speaker 1>uggs was that Greg had his jeans tucked into his

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<v Speaker 1>boots on his ugs, which we will now display to everybody.

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<v Speaker 1>So first of all us super comfortable. Why would I

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<v Speaker 1>want super comfortable boots? Do you want to try Do

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<v Speaker 1>you want to try on? No? Definitely not definitely. Not

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<v Speaker 1>with my my jeans tuck into He's comfortable. To you,

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<v Speaker 1>we weren't we the same? Was? It was just the

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<v Speaker 1>most Are we the same shoes? Ayes? Right? Ha? What

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<v Speaker 1>do you think Greg? I thought, with the same shoes size? Maybe? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm around there? You want to try my boot on? No? No, no, no, an,

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<v Speaker 1>So here you go. I'll stand up tom Brady. There

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<v Speaker 1>you go. So he's gonna look. There you go. So

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<v Speaker 1>they didn't look good outside of the boot. It looks

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<v Speaker 1>so ridiculous. They just look all right? What is this guy? Loox?

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<v Speaker 1>What do you think? What do you want boots? Not

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<v Speaker 1>only is he wearing male ugs, he's got his jeans

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<v Speaker 1>tucked to. They look good. They look good, like I'm

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<v Speaker 1>better now to see what TV? This is how women

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<v Speaker 1>wear their ugs? You call me a woman? Now is

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<v Speaker 1>that's how I'm wearing my my legs. I mean, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you're it's it's very metro of you. We're a Nick sweatshirt.

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<v Speaker 1>What's up? These boots were made for walking. They were

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<v Speaker 1>ready for walking. Yeah, walking through the snow. That's exactly

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<v Speaker 1>why he's got them on. Walk right over. You got

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<v Speaker 1>a booster mic man. Yeah, I don't. I don't hear

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know down there. We can't really hear you

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<v Speaker 1>that lit bit better. Alright, alright, sorry, we'll get that fixed.

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<v Speaker 1>Added to the list. Carl, that's weird that you usually

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<v Speaker 1>been good her Martino fine yesterday problem. I think that

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<v Speaker 1>microphone is kind of Diana heard some murmurs that it's

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<v Speaker 1>not doing so all right anyway, So there you go.

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<v Speaker 1>That's kind of situation. Ums talking m X in a while.

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<v Speaker 1>That's okay, But you know, I have some more adecodes,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'll save it over for the next two hours.

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<v Speaker 1>That cool. Yeah, let's let's spread them out today on

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<v Speaker 1>the program. It's first base ranks. For that. We do

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<v Speaker 1>have a special guest, our number two. It's Chris Venture

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<v Speaker 1>the closer by the closer will join us an our

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<v Speaker 1>number two to bring down that first base. We already

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<v Speaker 1>know how much he likes Josh Bell. We'll see who

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<v Speaker 1>else Venture is in on. At the first based position.

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<v Speaker 1>He will join us for the entirety of our number

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<v Speaker 1>two and that should be fun. But before we get

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<v Speaker 1>to guys like Josh Bell, before we get to the

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<v Speaker 1>middle tier, guys, the sleepers, if you will, I want

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<v Speaker 1>to start at the top, and I want to start um.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to start at the importance of the position.

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<v Speaker 1>How important is first basis year Frank to draft early.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think I put any more importance on first

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<v Speaker 1>base than I do any other position. I wrote about

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<v Speaker 1>this a little bit on my Patreon page. Go subscribe,

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<v Speaker 1>check it out, check it out. Well. I also just

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<v Speaker 1>found out about from Perry in the YouTube chat that

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<v Speaker 1>I'm doing a very good job on my Patreon, So

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<v Speaker 1>Pry now, Well, the content is free for now given everyone.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm giving everyone a taste, and then later on you

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<v Speaker 1>you're like, oh, this is great content. I want to

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<v Speaker 1>sign up and get more of it. So that's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the idea here. But I wrote about the first

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<v Speaker 1>based position a little bit. I likened it to and

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<v Speaker 1>you tell you give me your opinion of this analogy Greg,

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<v Speaker 1>John Travolta, great actor, known for legendary films, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>whole fiction, face off Greece, How can we forget right?

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<v Speaker 1>Saturday Night Fever. The list goes on and on. When

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to John Travolta, he was great. I'm just

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<v Speaker 1>kind of asked John Travolta, buy well, he was great? Sure?

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<v Speaker 1>Kind of how I feel about the first base position

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<v Speaker 1>this year? You can pick it's not inaccurate. You can

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<v Speaker 1>pick and choose your spots here at first base, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I'll let you in on some of the

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<v Speaker 1>targets that I'm looking at based on a DP. It

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<v Speaker 1>used to be great, you know it. It uh turned

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<v Speaker 1>out some of the some of the best sluggers in

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<v Speaker 1>the game in fantasy baseball, real life baseball. But I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like it's not as deep as it once was.

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<v Speaker 1>You can pick and choose your spots. I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>a clear drop off after the top eleven or so

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<v Speaker 1>once you get into eleven twelve, once you get into

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<v Speaker 1>that next group, it's like, all right, all these guys

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<v Speaker 1>kind of have some of some of their own wards here,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's not as deep of a position as it

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<v Speaker 1>normally is. Greg normally even talk about first base like

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<v Speaker 1>one of the best power hitting, slugging positions where you

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<v Speaker 1>can get a lot of your offense. You can still

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<v Speaker 1>get some offense there, but it's not as deep as

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<v Speaker 1>it once was. But I think what's interesting about that

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<v Speaker 1>is you say that, and I know, like the guys

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<v Speaker 1>that you have tended to target at least in your

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<v Speaker 1>early drafts at first base despite it not being very deep,

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<v Speaker 1>you're targeting guys around like the tenth best first basement

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<v Speaker 1>give or take. Obviously, like you're not in on the

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<v Speaker 1>top tier the the Freeman's who you loved last year, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>gold Schmidt, Votto, Beldian, that's not really your guys like

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<v Speaker 1>you're much more of And we'll get to this later obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Olson, whose bread? How come do you think it's

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<v Speaker 1>so tough? Heavy? There's nothing wrong with Paul gold Schmidt

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<v Speaker 1>and Freddie Freeman, And I like those guys a lot

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<v Speaker 1>more in points leagues, for sure, because they're both gonna

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<v Speaker 1>walk a lot. Freddy Freeman's gonna hit a ton of doubles,

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<v Speaker 1>he doesn't strike out all that much. Paul gold Schmidt.

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<v Speaker 1>They're great for points league and especially for O v P.

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<v Speaker 1>But in Rhodo and it's you know, a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>the analysis that we do is for Rhodo, you have

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<v Speaker 1>to take these guys in the second round, early second round,

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<v Speaker 1>late first round. To me, I want one of my

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<v Speaker 1>first two picks, and it doesn't have to be this way.

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<v Speaker 1>If they're the best on the board, then they're the

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<v Speaker 1>best on the board. Like, I'm not gonna shy away

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<v Speaker 1>from taking them. Well, most of the time, I want

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<v Speaker 1>to get an outfielder. I want to get an out

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<v Speaker 1>of the earlier. So you say you won't shy away

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<v Speaker 1>from taking them, And you've done a bunch of drafts now,

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<v Speaker 1>and I've sat with you in the early rounds. I've

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<v Speaker 1>done like two best ball drafts. You've never really considered

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<v Speaker 1>at your spot taking these guys. And according to the NFBC,

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<v Speaker 1>where they're going through them in the February like ones

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<v Speaker 1>at eighteen, Goldman's at eighteen, Freeman's at twenty, So that

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<v Speaker 1>is the middle of the second round. That's where you've been,

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<v Speaker 1>like you have been in the middle of the second

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<v Speaker 1>round where you drafted. And I know one draft took

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<v Speaker 1>Jacob to Graham on the first who just taking the

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<v Speaker 1>other one the first and one of them I took

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<v Speaker 1>to Graham, and the other I took Eronado. Okay, one

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<v Speaker 1>of them I picked out eleven. That's where that's where

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<v Speaker 1>I got Eronado. I mean, great value. There couldn't of course,

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<v Speaker 1>you want to pick the second other one. I think

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<v Speaker 1>I had picked six, Okay, so that's right here. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean I don't know, I don't know who's on the board, obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>but when you were running down the players, like leading

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<v Speaker 1>up to your pick that you wanted Golden and Freeman, like,

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<v Speaker 1>we're never even in the conversation. So I know you

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<v Speaker 1>say you woudn't shy away, but I think that's exactly

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<v Speaker 1>what you did. I know it's best ball. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a different drafting format, of course. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But we did auction strategy talk this morning, and we'll

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<v Speaker 1>have an auction show coming up closer to our auction

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<v Speaker 1>will have for that too. In the second round, when

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<v Speaker 1>I took to ground, I took Jiancarlo Stanton, one pick

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<v Speaker 1>ahead of Paul Goldchman, and I took my head of

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<v Speaker 1>Freddy Freeman as well. But you never understand that. But

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<v Speaker 1>you can't say, hey, I won't shy away from those guys.

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<v Speaker 1>That's exactly what you did. They weren't even in the conversation. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>here's what would have happened if Jihn, Carlos, Stanton was gone. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm looking at those guys as the next best players,

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<v Speaker 1>because after that it was it was Altove, Aaron Nola,

0:09:39.280 --> 0:09:41.480
<v Speaker 1>Trevor Story. Trevor story would be in the conversation. For me,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the interest name. We're gonna get to do sure

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<v Speaker 1>stops next week. But to me, like after Stanton goes,

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<v Speaker 1>Harbor was already gone, Bregland was gone, Paul gold Schmate,

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<v Speaker 1>Freddy Freeman, they should be in that area. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think a lot of you know the drafts that I've done,

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<v Speaker 1>it's just really the range of players that that's going

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<v Speaker 1>around them. But still it's those second round story. But

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<v Speaker 1>I stand five, that's the second round is as good

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<v Speaker 1>as I can remember. Because you have Stanton, Harper, gold Schmidt, Freeman.

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<v Speaker 1>Are these guys who have traditionally been the end of

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<v Speaker 1>the first round, early second round, These guys are going

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<v Speaker 1>middle of late, like a top five three pick. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely so I'm loving that second round. This year in general,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of big bats that you can get,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think it makes an advantageous to start with

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<v Speaker 1>the picture as you did in that particular jaff frank

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<v Speaker 1>Um when you are in the middle to late first round.

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<v Speaker 1>But let's stick with the first basement and I mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>the top two. You can read Frank's first base rankings

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<v Speaker 1>on his Patreon. Please subscribe to that. Obviously. Frank mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>the content is free right now, it will be free forever,

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<v Speaker 1>so please limited time only while supplies last, So please

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<v Speaker 1>subscribe to Patreon, even if it's just a dollar a month.

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<v Speaker 1>He prefer five. But whatever, whatever you can, whatever you

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<v Speaker 1>can afford for fantasy baseball prep, it's obviously well worth it. Frankie,

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<v Speaker 1>your tier is what for the first base? What is

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<v Speaker 1>tier one? So Tier one is just those just to

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<v Speaker 1>those two guys, it is Freddy Freeman and Paul Goldschmidt.

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<v Speaker 1>I also should have mentioned this when I first started

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<v Speaker 1>talking about the position overall, when I made my John

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<v Speaker 1>Travolta analogy is part of the reason why I say

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<v Speaker 1>it's not as good as it once was and is

0:11:19.240 --> 0:11:21.320
<v Speaker 1>there are status to back sixt Upgreg So I looked

0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:23.880
<v Speaker 1>at this and the collective batting average for first baseman

0:11:23.960 --> 0:11:27.000
<v Speaker 1>last year was to fifty to fifty batting average for

0:11:27.080 --> 0:11:30.040
<v Speaker 1>first base. That was the lowest it's been for the

0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:35.160
<v Speaker 1>collective group of first baseman hitters since night when it

0:11:35.240 --> 0:11:40.640
<v Speaker 1>was to forty seven. It's fifty years ago year, fifty

0:11:40.679 --> 0:11:44.760
<v Speaker 1>one years this has been the lowest batting average for

0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.400
<v Speaker 1>first base fifty and then the collective ops was seven

0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:51.840
<v Speaker 1>seven sixty last year for first basement UM and only

0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:55.640
<v Speaker 1>two times since nineteen ninety three has been seven sixty

0:11:55.679 --> 0:11:59.839
<v Speaker 1>year lower. That was the other year when only five

0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:03.719
<v Speaker 1>first baseman hit thirty home runs. UM No only four

0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:06.360
<v Speaker 1>first baseman at thirty home runs. Last year there was

0:12:06.360 --> 0:12:08.520
<v Speaker 1>only five of those. So it's just, you know, we

0:12:08.559 --> 0:12:10.959
<v Speaker 1>don't get the same sluggers that that we once did

0:12:11.320 --> 0:12:13.920
<v Speaker 1>at the position. But for me, it's Freddie Freeman and

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:16.839
<v Speaker 1>it's Paul gold Schmidt. Those are the clear top two

0:12:16.960 --> 0:12:19.240
<v Speaker 1>in the tier, the the only guys going in the

0:12:19.320 --> 0:12:21.520
<v Speaker 1>second round. And then you kind of break it into

0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:25.840
<v Speaker 1>that next year, next year where Anthony Rizzo is going

0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.600
<v Speaker 1>in the third round. Do you want to like further

0:12:28.720 --> 0:12:31.160
<v Speaker 1>dissect Freddy Freeman or Paul gold Schmidt or what to

0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:34.679
<v Speaker 1>expect from these guys. It's just kind of like status quo,

0:12:34.760 --> 0:12:38.080
<v Speaker 1>you know what you expect. Well, I'll see this. They're

0:12:38.080 --> 0:12:40.040
<v Speaker 1>going very close to each other. Is there any argument

0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 1>to be made that Freeman should go ahead of goldchmip.

0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:46.959
<v Speaker 1>I've always kind of tried to make the argument Freddy Freeman.

0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.480
<v Speaker 1>And last year, you know, I had Freddy Freeman rank

0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:51.160
<v Speaker 1>to have Joey Vado, and a lot of you know

0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:53.200
<v Speaker 1>you guys were giving me a bunch of crap for that. Obviously,

0:12:53.280 --> 0:12:55.120
<v Speaker 1>no one saw Joey Vado regressing the way that he

0:12:55.240 --> 0:12:58.400
<v Speaker 1>did last year. The power parts completely fell off. But

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:01.800
<v Speaker 1>I still think that Freddy Freeman has the talent to

0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:07.760
<v Speaker 1>go out there and hit three hundred with forty homers.

0:13:08.040 --> 0:13:10.240
<v Speaker 1>He's never done it. I think he has the talent

0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:14.400
<v Speaker 1>to do it. What changes in St. Louis for gold Schmidt?

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:17.720
<v Speaker 1>What changes this year another year with all the young

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:23.800
<v Speaker 1>bats in Atlanta around Freeman? Well, the thing both lineups

0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:26.640
<v Speaker 1>are very good. I think the Cardinals lineup is is

0:13:26.679 --> 0:13:28.559
<v Speaker 1>good as well. I think I would give give the

0:13:28.640 --> 0:13:30.480
<v Speaker 1>advantage to the Braves. I think there's a little bit

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:32.559
<v Speaker 1>more depth in that lineup, essentially at the top. I

0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:35.360
<v Speaker 1>mean they have Josh Donaldson, Uh, they have Ronald Kunian,

0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:37.960
<v Speaker 1>whether it's entering c RT leading off or a Kunia,

0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:40.240
<v Speaker 1>and then they have Ozialbis, so it's a little bit

0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:42.920
<v Speaker 1>more depth. They have Nick mar Caicus. I do like

0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:47.120
<v Speaker 1>the Cardinals line up, but when Freddy Freeman, he's always

0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 1>been uh, he's always been a great hitter to a

0:13:50.080 --> 0:13:52.400
<v Speaker 1>to a fault at times like last year thirty two

0:13:52.440 --> 0:13:55.720
<v Speaker 1>percent line drive rate, and you know that takes away

0:13:55.760 --> 0:13:57.360
<v Speaker 1>from his ability to hit home runs. He only hit

0:13:57.360 --> 0:13:59.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty three home runs last year, but the year before

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:01.920
<v Speaker 1>that hit twenty eight home runs in a hundred and

0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 1>seventeen games. So that's why I still think that he

0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 1>has that upside. The past three years he's been three

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:10.079
<v Speaker 1>or two batting average are better. I still think he

0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:12.360
<v Speaker 1>has that upside to have a three D batting average,

0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, thirty five to forty home run season. I'm tempted.

0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, I didn't do it. I'm just gonna put

0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:20.640
<v Speaker 1>Freddie Freeman over Goldchman. I always want to do it,

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:22.680
<v Speaker 1>and then like people talk me out of it, I'm

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 1>just gonna. I'm just gonna. So. So I think you

0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:26.640
<v Speaker 1>look at their lines from last year, they're they're very similar,

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 1>like they're they're very Goldchmate doesn't really steal bases anymore

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:33.040
<v Speaker 1>either that it's decreased from thirty eight thirty two to

0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:35.560
<v Speaker 1>eighteen to seven over the past three years. Freddie Freeman

0:14:35.600 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 1>had more bases last he gives you eight to ten

0:14:39.240 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 1>now the last three years eight ten. Gold Schmidt had

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:45.880
<v Speaker 1>ten more home runs UM. The runs were basically even

0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:47.640
<v Speaker 1>r b I s. You give a fourteen more to

0:14:47.760 --> 0:14:51.680
<v Speaker 1>Freeman UM averages twenty point difference UH in favor of

0:14:51.800 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 1>Freeman O bps were basically exactly the same babbits, which

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 1>I thought it was interesting, exactly the same Goldchman walks

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more but also strikes out a little

0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:02.080
<v Speaker 1>bit more. Gold Schmidt also had a higher hard hit

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:05.560
<v Speaker 1>rate forties seven percent. I think it was four sexson

0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:10.200
<v Speaker 1>change UM forty six and change compared to Freddie Freeman's

0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:13.840
<v Speaker 1>forty two so very good marks. They're very similar. I

0:15:13.880 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 1>mean they're very similar guys. To me, it's preference. You

0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:18.720
<v Speaker 1>can't even use you worry about the change of scenery.

0:15:19.240 --> 0:15:20.880
<v Speaker 1>Get that in the second. You can't even care. With

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:22.880
<v Speaker 1>the injuries to Freddie Freeman anyway. For the hundred sixty

0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 1>two games last year, every single game he was out there,

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:28.800
<v Speaker 1>so I wouldn't say you can't worry about it. It

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:31.320
<v Speaker 1>was risk injuries. At two out of the last three years,

0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:33.440
<v Speaker 1>man a hundred fifty eight games, hundred sixty two games,

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:36.520
<v Speaker 1>but the other two years eighteen the year before that

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:39.360
<v Speaker 1>one sixty two. So it's like those are fluke injuries. Though.

0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:41.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, we did get some warning signs from Paul

0:15:41.480 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 1>gold Schmidth last year, especially early on. I mean through

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:45.400
<v Speaker 1>the first two months of the year. Remember what we

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 1>were talking about Greg the human or got him? Yeah?

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 1>Was it that, or you know, was it the fact that, Okay,

0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:52.280
<v Speaker 1>Paul gold schmid is you know, he's past the age

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:53.800
<v Speaker 1>of thirty. Now we're starting to see a little bit

0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:55.640
<v Speaker 1>of a decline. He's two years older than Freeman. We'll

0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 1>say this. From June one on was amazing, Like if

0:15:59.840 --> 0:16:02.880
<v Speaker 1>you ball low, that was the guys that was in

0:16:02.960 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 1>June first on three thirty four twenty six oh two

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:11.280
<v Speaker 1>uh of slugging percentage. That's a one thousand, twenty one

0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 1>o p s over the you know, from June one

0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:16.040
<v Speaker 1>on we had a forty eight percent hard hit rate,

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 1>a twenty four and a half home run to five

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 1>ball ratio. So look, you worry a little bit about

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:25.800
<v Speaker 1>the change of scenery, even with the humid or I

0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 1>do think the change from Chase Fields at the St.

0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 1>Louis is a slight negative park shift here for Goldschmidt,

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:35.240
<v Speaker 1>and you know not everyone just automatically changed his teams

0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 1>and it's amazing right away. No. I mentioned Mike Mustakis

0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>yesterday he went to a better hitter's ballpark from Kaufman

0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:44.040
<v Speaker 1>Stadium to Miller Park. He didn't adjust right away. That's

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:48.080
<v Speaker 1>Carlo Stanton. He changed the leagues to be right away

0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:50.560
<v Speaker 1>in those two situations. I didn't look next year. I

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 1>always think it's a big transition to Yankee stadiums, the

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:55.840
<v Speaker 1>Yankees rather in New York. Mustakis in season you go

0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:57.640
<v Speaker 1>to that personal stuff. I think it'll be much better.

0:16:57.680 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 1>This don't go wrong with these guys. I like free, Well,

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:01.320
<v Speaker 1>can you bring it down at first base when we

0:17:01.440 --> 0:17:06.920
<v Speaker 1>come back next? On your BFFs Daily rohdo dot Com

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0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:39.119
<v Speaker 1>four ninety s make it rain. It's becoming quite evident

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<v Speaker 1>that Lebron James the wear and tear on his body

0:18:42.000 --> 0:18:44.240
<v Speaker 1>is not the wear and tear on Kevin Durant's body.

0:18:44.359 --> 0:18:46.640
<v Speaker 1>What you are seeing is a Lebron James who has

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<v Speaker 1>got away from that in Oklahoma City and found himself

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<v Speaker 1>up in the last three years, saving a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>wear and tear on that body by now having other

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<v Speaker 1>guys that he can rely on. Week A six and

0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:02.959
<v Speaker 1>nine am Eastern on the Fantasy Sports networking on your

0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:24.920
<v Speaker 1>popular podcast, providers that We're back here, Fantasy Best Friends Forever,

0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Sports Radio Never gold Schmidt Freeman, your top two

0:19:33.080 --> 0:19:37.080
<v Speaker 1>first baseman off the board this year twenty nineteen Fantasy

0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Baseball drafts. No real issue with that. It's hard, man.

0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:42.600
<v Speaker 1>It's like I was saying Jean Carlos stands in New York.

0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.160
<v Speaker 1>I always try to give players a year of transition

0:19:45.440 --> 0:19:47.320
<v Speaker 1>before jumping in on them when to go to the Akeies.

0:19:47.400 --> 0:19:49.720
<v Speaker 1>I never want a Yankee in their first year ever

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:55.840
<v Speaker 1>with the team. Ever, it's a good thing. Um, you know,

0:19:55.880 --> 0:19:57.159
<v Speaker 1>I think it's one of the rare exceptions, to be

0:19:57.200 --> 0:19:59.040
<v Speaker 1>honest with you, But Luke boy, it's not like making

0:19:59.080 --> 0:20:00.960
<v Speaker 1>the money. Gian Carlos and there had the expectations of

0:20:01.080 --> 0:20:04.119
<v Speaker 1>John Carlos then to be fair. Um, Mike we stocking.

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:06.679
<v Speaker 1>We talked about the personal stuff. I think being traded

0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:08.280
<v Speaker 1>in the middle of the year is tough. Like I

0:20:08.400 --> 0:20:12.080
<v Speaker 1>think expecting them to provide the power and be as

0:20:12.119 --> 0:20:14.200
<v Speaker 1>comfortable as they were their previous location. I think it's

0:20:14.200 --> 0:20:18.080
<v Speaker 1>hard a lot to ask for. So that doesn't bother

0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:20.640
<v Speaker 1>me or scare me away at all. In this case

0:20:20.680 --> 0:20:23.119
<v Speaker 1>for gold Schmidt. St Louis is not New York. We've

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:24.480
<v Speaker 1>seen a lot of free agents and a lot of

0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:28.320
<v Speaker 1>UM trades happened with St. Louis where a guy got

0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:31.880
<v Speaker 1>UM sent over there and performed very well in their

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:34.000
<v Speaker 1>first year. So I'm not really scared off by the

0:20:34.080 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 1>change of scenery to St. Louis. You could also use

0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:39.520
<v Speaker 1>the contract year with Paul gold Schmidt as fodder of

0:20:39.720 --> 0:20:43.280
<v Speaker 1>some sort. I think it's very close. He's not one

0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:46.359
<v Speaker 1>of the last year contract yeah, so I think he's

0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:48.119
<v Speaker 1>had to prove a lot, and in this market he

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:50.080
<v Speaker 1>knows that, like he needs to really have a great

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 1>year in order to make money or make a lot

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 1>of money. So it's not that the Cardinals lineup is bad.

0:20:57.400 --> 0:21:01.399
<v Speaker 1>Here's the thing. If I said, if I told you

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 1>to set a date Greg for when, when does Tyler

0:21:04.359 --> 0:21:07.320
<v Speaker 1>O'Neill take over for Dexter Fowler in the outfield. What

0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:10.119
<v Speaker 1>would you say, why is Dexter Fowler starting for the

0:21:10.160 --> 0:21:14.680
<v Speaker 1>Cardinals and not Tyler O'Neill Because he makes money, that's why. Well, yeah,

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:19.240
<v Speaker 1>bench last year because he sucked. He's protected about fifth

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:21.119
<v Speaker 1>right now according to rosteries. Yeah, I mean they make him.

0:21:21.359 --> 0:21:24.800
<v Speaker 1>I would look a lot better with Tyler O'Neill in there. Yeah,

0:21:24.840 --> 0:21:27.080
<v Speaker 1>So ultimately he just makes so much money that they

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:29.920
<v Speaker 1>have to give another shot. You know, at the top

0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:33.399
<v Speaker 1>of you got Carpenter, pulled the young Goldschmidt Ozuna. It's

0:21:33.400 --> 0:21:35.359
<v Speaker 1>a nice first four, and you have Yudia Molina, who's

0:21:35.359 --> 0:21:39.960
<v Speaker 1>always undervalued. Great hit here, I get Tyler O'Neil in there. Sorry,

0:21:40.040 --> 0:21:42.520
<v Speaker 1>Dexter Fowler, you're out. So anyway you want to rank

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 1>Freeman first, I'm not gonna argue with you. I don't.

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:45.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to put this is the table for this.

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:48.720
<v Speaker 1>I think it's very close. I really do. When it

0:21:48.800 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 1>comes to those first Baseman verse, Let's say, Aaron Judge,

0:21:53.560 --> 0:21:55.679
<v Speaker 1>what do you how do you love Aaron Judges? Here,

0:21:55.720 --> 0:21:58.720
<v Speaker 1>I really do. I'm taking Aaron Judge. He has he

0:21:58.800 --> 0:22:01.640
<v Speaker 1>has he runs. These guys don't the power. The power

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:04.200
<v Speaker 1>upside is definitely. I've seen the bad especially, it's not

0:22:04.240 --> 0:22:06.920
<v Speaker 1>going to completely crater like, but you're gonna be like Leaves.

0:22:08.040 --> 0:22:10.399
<v Speaker 1>He'll be where he needs to be matching with these guys, No,

0:22:10.520 --> 0:22:15.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean his his ZOBP is absolutely the eyes will

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:20.080
<v Speaker 1>be there. You know, we judge about Harper verse over

0:22:20.160 --> 0:22:21.719
<v Speaker 1>this one. These guys, what do you think. I mean,

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Harper and Stanton are both kind of in the same range. Um, well,

0:22:27.359 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 1>this is what you talk with the outfielders. If you

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:30.960
<v Speaker 1>need five outfielders, I think I probably lean to the outfielders.

0:22:31.119 --> 0:22:33.080
<v Speaker 1>If you don't you need three outfielders, I think it's

0:22:33.080 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 1>a duffer question. Even even in a points league, I

0:22:36.080 --> 0:22:38.440
<v Speaker 1>would go with the first basement over Stanton just because

0:22:38.440 --> 0:22:40.800
<v Speaker 1>he strikes out so much. Like you're gonna lose points

0:22:40.800 --> 0:22:44.960
<v Speaker 1>for the strikeouts. He's gonna be well us probably strikeout

0:22:45.000 --> 0:22:48.680
<v Speaker 1>percentage there with Jiancarlo Stanton and with Goldsman Freeman. Uh, look,

0:22:48.760 --> 0:22:50.520
<v Speaker 1>you just know that you're gonna get the good plate discipline.

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:52.480
<v Speaker 1>You're not gonna get that many strikeouts you're gonna get,

0:22:52.960 --> 0:22:55.080
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna get walks, You're gonna get a bunch of

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 1>doubles too. So if I'm comparing gold Schmidt and Freeman

0:22:57.800 --> 0:23:01.560
<v Speaker 1>to a guy like Stanton in leagues, I would lean

0:23:01.640 --> 0:23:05.280
<v Speaker 1>with them. What about Roto you need five outfielders again,

0:23:06.400 --> 0:23:08.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna leave. There's a change for you for What

0:23:08.560 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 1>about Harper? If he signs in Philly? In that ballpark?

0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:13.960
<v Speaker 1>I think if Harper goes to Philly, he's back into

0:23:13.960 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 1>the first round, which it's all but a given that

0:23:17.520 --> 0:23:19.200
<v Speaker 1>he's gonna go there. I know we've got some reports

0:23:19.280 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 1>that like Harper is interested in San Francisco, he wants

0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>to play on the West Coast. That's what it comes

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:25.480
<v Speaker 1>down to. He wants to be close to Vegas. I

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:28.280
<v Speaker 1>think he does. Dude, we thought so. If that was

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:29.800
<v Speaker 1>the case, he would have signed already. Greg. I don't

0:23:29.800 --> 0:23:33.160
<v Speaker 1>think why why hasn't he signed with Philly? He wants

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:34.879
<v Speaker 1>to be on the West Coast? No, no, no, no, no, no,

0:23:35.119 --> 0:23:37.720
<v Speaker 1>that's not it. What is it? Harper wants the most money.

0:23:37.880 --> 0:23:39.600
<v Speaker 1>He wants to be the highest paid free agent of

0:23:39.680 --> 0:23:41.720
<v Speaker 1>all time in any sport. He had to wait for

0:23:41.800 --> 0:23:44.680
<v Speaker 1>a childo to sign first to guarantee that which Harper

0:23:44.720 --> 0:23:46.879
<v Speaker 1>will sign any day, alright, so then he should have

0:23:46.880 --> 0:23:49.360
<v Speaker 1>signed yesterday afternoon. That if he will sign any day,

0:23:49.600 --> 0:23:51.479
<v Speaker 1>boards will get the best offers now, and he'll get

0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:53.199
<v Speaker 1>wherever the most money is whether. I don't think it'll

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:54.760
<v Speaker 1>be San Francisco. I think would be Philly. It makes

0:23:54.800 --> 0:23:56.920
<v Speaker 1>some sense. I mean he might Why would San Francisco

0:23:56.960 --> 0:23:58.600
<v Speaker 1>even be in on him? Makes no sense. He might

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 1>make three one million dollars right Like, it's gonna be

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:03.159
<v Speaker 1>something petty like that. And I don't think it has

0:24:03.200 --> 0:24:04.879
<v Speaker 1>anything to do with location anymore. I used to think

0:24:04.880 --> 0:24:06.200
<v Speaker 1>that with Machada, who really wanted to be in the

0:24:06.280 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 1>East Coast Beerne near Ish to Florida. Didn't happened. So whatever,

0:24:11.119 --> 0:24:13.359
<v Speaker 1>Bryce Harper verse these guys. If I'm just looking at it,

0:24:14.080 --> 0:24:16.879
<v Speaker 1>he has higher upside, also has lower downs I agree

0:24:16.920 --> 0:24:19.399
<v Speaker 1>with that's the that's the biggest difference, because what his

0:24:19.520 --> 0:24:22.480
<v Speaker 1>upside is is that m VP season where he hits

0:24:22.520 --> 0:24:24.680
<v Speaker 1>over three hundred, and he hits forty plus home runs

0:24:24.680 --> 0:24:27.400
<v Speaker 1>and drives in a hundred RBI. Especially in Philly. It's

0:24:27.400 --> 0:24:29.120
<v Speaker 1>a great hitter's ballpark, and it's gonna be a great

0:24:29.160 --> 0:24:31.280
<v Speaker 1>lineup two with the addition of Bryce Harper. If he

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:33.359
<v Speaker 1>ends up there too, so it's amazing. I mean his

0:24:33.480 --> 0:24:35.879
<v Speaker 1>downside is Look, last year he had forty nine. The

0:24:35.920 --> 0:24:39.879
<v Speaker 1>batting average fluctuates every single year for Bryce Harper to

0:24:40.480 --> 0:24:42.680
<v Speaker 1>last year because guys are more consistent. Was three nineteen

0:24:42.720 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 1>year before that to forty three before that, three thirty

0:24:45.440 --> 0:24:48.639
<v Speaker 1>before that to seventy three. So it does absolutely fluctuate. Now,

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the o p P for Harper has been pretty consistente

0:24:51.160 --> 0:24:54.159
<v Speaker 1>last year, year before three, seventy three year before that,

0:24:54.200 --> 0:24:58.160
<v Speaker 1>and during his MVP season four sixty on base percentage.

0:24:58.760 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 1>How do you feel about position scarcity? Because I'm not

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 1>usually big on position scarcity. I feel like this you're

0:25:04.520 --> 0:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of becoming a slave to position scarcity. Just to

0:25:07.320 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 1>hear myself talking about it in Rhodo, outfield drives up

0:25:11.680 --> 0:25:15.080
<v Speaker 1>so fast. Can you really not take an outfielder in

0:25:15.160 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 1>your first look? I think you gotta get one at

0:25:18.400 --> 0:25:20.320
<v Speaker 1>least in your first three rounds, because if you go

0:25:20.480 --> 0:25:22.399
<v Speaker 1>through your first three rounds and you get to the

0:25:22.440 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 1>fourth round and like Tommy fam is your first outfielder

0:25:25.080 --> 0:25:27.320
<v Speaker 1>and a five outfielder league. As much as we love

0:25:27.359 --> 0:25:29.920
<v Speaker 1>Tommy Fam, I don't really love Tommy fam is my

0:25:29.960 --> 0:25:34.159
<v Speaker 1>first outfielder in a five outfield league, Like, honestly, the

0:25:34.240 --> 0:25:37.000
<v Speaker 1>cut off to me for like, who would I who's

0:25:37.040 --> 0:25:39.480
<v Speaker 1>the last person I would want as my starting outfielder

0:25:40.720 --> 0:25:46.359
<v Speaker 1>in a Rhodo draft. The cut off is probably Sally Marte,

0:25:46.560 --> 0:25:50.879
<v Speaker 1>Rise Hoskins, even even that's pushing it, like Ris Hoskins. Like,

0:25:50.960 --> 0:25:52.720
<v Speaker 1>I like Hoskins too, But do you feel comfortable with

0:25:52.760 --> 0:25:55.000
<v Speaker 1>him as your outfield one in a five outfield to league? Greg,

0:25:55.720 --> 0:25:59.960
<v Speaker 1>do you feel comfortable with that exactly? Or starting first?

0:26:00.240 --> 0:26:03.440
<v Speaker 1>Most most predicaments, you're not going to get that. And

0:26:03.520 --> 0:26:06.600
<v Speaker 1>if that's the case, like Charlie Blackman is going to

0:26:06.760 --> 0:26:10.080
<v Speaker 1>pick six, he's basically the last outfielder. If you want

0:26:10.080 --> 0:26:12.120
<v Speaker 1>to include whit Maryfield in this group, he's the last

0:26:12.160 --> 0:26:15.359
<v Speaker 1>outfielder going in the second round, which basically tells me,

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:17.960
<v Speaker 1>I want to get one of my first two outfielders

0:26:17.960 --> 0:26:20.399
<v Speaker 1>in the first two rounds in a Roto draft. Now,

0:26:20.440 --> 0:26:22.000
<v Speaker 1>so you've been saying you wanted a starting picture in

0:26:22.040 --> 0:26:24.440
<v Speaker 1>an outfild first kind of becoming I'm kind of becoming

0:26:24.480 --> 0:26:26.920
<v Speaker 1>a slave to the position scarcity. But I think in

0:26:27.040 --> 0:26:29.040
<v Speaker 1>rodo you gotta do it? Man? Like outfield drives up

0:26:29.119 --> 0:26:33.119
<v Speaker 1>so Fast in their first basement, and I like later on,

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:34.840
<v Speaker 1>so let's keep let's keep it going here great. I

0:26:34.880 --> 0:26:36.240
<v Speaker 1>don't know. I don't. I don't know. I don't want

0:26:36.240 --> 0:26:37.159
<v Speaker 1>to be a slave to that. I want to think

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:41.080
<v Speaker 1>the best picture player available, and I think that I

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:46.239
<v Speaker 1>think I might lean Goldchmitten Freeman over Harper to be honestly, like, here,

0:26:46.280 --> 0:26:48.480
<v Speaker 1>would you pull would you pull Charlie Blackman up the

0:26:48.560 --> 0:26:50.520
<v Speaker 1>board to take them over one of these first basements

0:26:50.760 --> 0:26:52.640
<v Speaker 1>just so you get an outfielder? Absolutely not. I don't

0:26:52.640 --> 0:26:55.600
<v Speaker 1>think I would either, Absolutely not. But I think it's

0:26:55.600 --> 0:26:58.680
<v Speaker 1>a good question. Charlie Blackman this year, why, I don't know.

0:26:58.800 --> 0:27:03.119
<v Speaker 1>Because it's Colorado. I don't know. He's still great. I

0:27:03.200 --> 0:27:04.640
<v Speaker 1>feel like there are a lot of people that agree

0:27:04.680 --> 0:27:08.320
<v Speaker 1>with you too. I agree. I agree with myself. I

0:27:08.480 --> 0:27:11.320
<v Speaker 1>agree there are a lot of people that agree with me. Yeah,

0:27:11.359 --> 0:27:12.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't. I don't. I don't like when things like

0:27:12.720 --> 0:27:16.280
<v Speaker 1>this happen. It's weird. Greg is with the people. He

0:27:16.359 --> 0:27:19.560
<v Speaker 1>scored a hundred and nineteen runs last year. Admittedly, it

0:27:19.640 --> 0:27:21.960
<v Speaker 1>was a weird year for Charlie Blackman. It was a

0:27:22.000 --> 0:27:23.720
<v Speaker 1>weird year. I owned him last year. It felt like

0:27:23.760 --> 0:27:25.919
<v Speaker 1>he would never like as good as I wanted him

0:27:25.920 --> 0:27:30.119
<v Speaker 1>to be, right, but he still hit the RBIs you

0:27:30.200 --> 0:27:31.480
<v Speaker 1>knew we were going to take a step back. He

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:34.119
<v Speaker 1>had a hundred and four RBI into two seventeen as

0:27:34.119 --> 0:27:36.640
<v Speaker 1>a leadoff hitter. That was never gonna happen again. Seventy

0:27:36.880 --> 0:27:39.880
<v Speaker 1>probably a little bit low. And you know your second

0:27:39.960 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 1>round pick, you probably want at least a d r B.

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:44.760
<v Speaker 1>I to the guy with home runs sole basis, he'

0:27:44.800 --> 0:27:48.440
<v Speaker 1>still gonna give you, you know, twelve to fifteen over

0:27:48.440 --> 0:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>a hundred runs for sure in that lineup. To like

0:27:53.320 --> 0:27:55.760
<v Speaker 1>about Charlie Blackman, I guess to look into him more,

0:27:55.800 --> 0:27:57.560
<v Speaker 1>to be honest with you, But I just wonder if

0:27:57.600 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 1>the average continues to drop. Right, we've seen it now.

0:28:01.040 --> 0:28:03.440
<v Speaker 1>We've seen it drop here pretty substantially last year. I

0:28:03.480 --> 0:28:07.280
<v Speaker 1>know the Babbitt is kind of telling Kate his career

0:28:07.400 --> 0:28:09.560
<v Speaker 1>larn to look up what his expected batting average was.

0:28:09.840 --> 0:28:12.560
<v Speaker 1>I would be great. Did you could do that so

0:28:12.640 --> 0:28:16.040
<v Speaker 1>he was at his expected batting average? You're not. It's

0:28:16.080 --> 0:28:20.920
<v Speaker 1>great to be fair expected. Like on Baseball Savant with

0:28:21.000 --> 0:28:26.119
<v Speaker 1>their stat cast data, everybody's expected batting averages average, it

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:28.639
<v Speaker 1>was to seventy seven last year is expected. Even in

0:28:28.640 --> 0:28:30.280
<v Speaker 1>the years where he hit well over three hundred, it

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:35.800
<v Speaker 1>was to expected seventeen expected batting average. Yeah, you know,

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:39.200
<v Speaker 1>I just and that's probably they're taking the course field

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:42.000
<v Speaker 1>effect into it. Maybe if he was in a different ballpark,

0:28:42.240 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 1>that's what is batting average. Listen, Blackman a second round,

0:28:44.080 --> 0:28:45.960
<v Speaker 1>there's something wrong with it. I just would rather have

0:28:46.040 --> 0:28:52.120
<v Speaker 1>gold schmidten framing over him, you know, listen, in our all,

0:28:52.200 --> 0:28:54.480
<v Speaker 1>in our auction, right if we had a good price

0:28:54.560 --> 0:28:56.440
<v Speaker 1>on black Man, I'm not gonna say we shouldn't draft him. Now.

0:28:56.520 --> 0:28:58.240
<v Speaker 1>I've been going to pick twenty six in the month

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:02.200
<v Speaker 1>of February, whereas free Men and Goldschmidt are going picks

0:29:02.720 --> 0:29:05.320
<v Speaker 1>eighteen and twenty respectively. Who's around who else is around

0:29:05.360 --> 0:29:09.560
<v Speaker 1>black Man? So around black Men you have really just pictures.

0:29:09.760 --> 0:29:13.000
<v Speaker 1>It's uh, well, Stanton's going three picks earlier, and then

0:29:13.000 --> 0:29:17.280
<v Speaker 1>it's Nolah Kluber, Garrett Cole and then Ben Intendia. I'm

0:29:17.320 --> 0:29:19.280
<v Speaker 1>not doing that. I mean, we'll save it for the

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 1>outfield preview. But and he biceps, I'm interested. Everyone's expecting

0:29:23.720 --> 0:29:25.600
<v Speaker 1>him to like take this huge power jump. His hard

0:29:25.680 --> 0:29:28.000
<v Speaker 1>hit right late rate last year was garbage. Yeah, I

0:29:28.080 --> 0:29:30.560
<v Speaker 1>know that black. I know he's gonna lead off, so

0:29:30.640 --> 0:29:32.160
<v Speaker 1>the runs are gonna be there. It's a great line

0:29:32.200 --> 0:29:36.000
<v Speaker 1>up with Boston. I get it. But if you I guess, look,

0:29:36.120 --> 0:29:39.400
<v Speaker 1>you draft ben INTENDI waiting for it to happen. It

0:29:39.520 --> 0:29:41.880
<v Speaker 1>reminds me of Yellow. So look, if you trust it,

0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:45.080
<v Speaker 1>if you think he's gonna turn into like Yellow and

0:29:45.320 --> 0:29:47.600
<v Speaker 1>he has the ability to pay off that first round value,

0:29:48.040 --> 0:29:49.920
<v Speaker 1>then those are the people who are drafting ben Intendia

0:29:50.040 --> 0:29:52.240
<v Speaker 1>in the in the second third round on that turn.

0:29:53.040 --> 0:29:55.440
<v Speaker 1>But me personally, he hasn't done enough and he struggles

0:29:55.440 --> 0:29:58.600
<v Speaker 1>against lefties, and the battle ball data was not great

0:29:58.680 --> 0:30:01.280
<v Speaker 1>last year for me with ben Into So I'm not

0:30:01.400 --> 0:30:03.520
<v Speaker 1>one of these people who are buying on him as

0:30:03.600 --> 0:30:09.400
<v Speaker 1>a second third round pick. Okay said, all right, continue

0:30:09.400 --> 0:30:10.720
<v Speaker 1>on the first basement. And the guy that I know

0:30:10.800 --> 0:30:14.680
<v Speaker 1>you absolutely love is Anthony Rizzo. Well, Greg, how much

0:30:14.680 --> 0:30:16.120
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna make me spend on him in the auction

0:30:16.160 --> 0:30:19.160
<v Speaker 1>this year? Zero dollars? What he what if he has

0:30:19.160 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 1>second base eligibility? Greg, I'm good. Yeah. Michael Florio myself

0:30:25.240 --> 0:30:29.360
<v Speaker 1>spend thirty nine dollars last year mixed league AUX. Let's

0:30:29.360 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 1>be fair. Because he has second base eligibility. Let's be fair.

0:30:33.200 --> 0:30:34.920
<v Speaker 1>We're all in on the idea. It wasn't just me.

0:30:35.720 --> 0:30:37.360
<v Speaker 1>Come on, man, I feel like I was in on

0:30:37.400 --> 0:30:39.120
<v Speaker 1>the idea. But I said a cat, and we just

0:30:39.160 --> 0:30:43.040
<v Speaker 1>went over that cat like four bucks. We're gonna ge

0:30:43.080 --> 0:30:44.360
<v Speaker 1>him for the thirty five. If he goes higher than

0:30:44.400 --> 0:30:46.840
<v Speaker 1>that and we're out, then I kept going, I was

0:30:46.920 --> 0:30:48.480
<v Speaker 1>gonna be over forty. Though it made you feel better,

0:30:49.600 --> 0:30:54.520
<v Speaker 1>it probably doesn't. Um. Yeah, so you have had any rizzo,

0:30:55.240 --> 0:30:57.360
<v Speaker 1>so actually let me go to you for this. What's

0:30:57.400 --> 0:31:00.800
<v Speaker 1>the next tier? I do have an a Rizzo next up,

0:31:00.840 --> 0:31:03.720
<v Speaker 1>and it's tier Um, this is tier two. It's three

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:07.480
<v Speaker 1>through eleven, which in a DP, these guys really go

0:31:07.800 --> 0:31:10.120
<v Speaker 1>anywhere from round three to seven, so it's kind of

0:31:10.160 --> 0:31:13.520
<v Speaker 1>like the early to mid rounds. It's Anthony Rizzo, Cody Bellinger,

0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:18.520
<v Speaker 1>Rehese Hoskins, Joey Vado, jose A bray You, Daniel Murphy,

0:31:18.560 --> 0:31:23.280
<v Speaker 1>Matt Carpenter, Matt Olsen, and Jeseus Aglare. I'm gonna put

0:31:23.280 --> 0:31:25.680
<v Speaker 1>a retaskin the head of Cody Balones. Why did hete

0:31:25.680 --> 0:31:28.560
<v Speaker 1>Coali Belinger? I don't hate Cody Boner. You don't love

0:31:28.640 --> 0:31:32.720
<v Speaker 1>Coali Belinger when my announceis of Anthony Rizzo. First, Craig

0:31:32.960 --> 0:31:36.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of more interested now and thing, but I mean

0:31:36.680 --> 0:31:39.640
<v Speaker 1>my whole thing with with Anthony Rizzo and people. You've

0:31:39.680 --> 0:31:42.640
<v Speaker 1>heard people make this argument before. Greg is you can

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:46.440
<v Speaker 1>get the like of his production from Jose bray you

0:31:47.280 --> 0:31:49.960
<v Speaker 1>three rounds later, you get Jose I braw you in

0:31:50.000 --> 0:31:52.440
<v Speaker 1>the sixth round. These are steamer projections for both of

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:56.560
<v Speaker 1>these guys. Anthony Rizzo tight one thirty Homer's runs n

0:31:56.880 --> 0:31:59.360
<v Speaker 1>two r BI, seven stolen bases a bray You two

0:31:59.440 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 1>eighty eight Homeowner's eight runs scored ninety three RBI to

0:32:02.680 --> 0:32:07.000
<v Speaker 1>two stone basis. So really you're paying three rounds difference

0:32:07.240 --> 0:32:11.040
<v Speaker 1>in price tag for sixteen additional runs and five stone basis.

0:32:11.800 --> 0:32:14.720
<v Speaker 1>That's the biggest difference. I haven't called us the Frankings yet,

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:20.520
<v Speaker 1>but Franking's frank Rankings. Frank's yeah. I mean you try

0:32:20.560 --> 0:32:22.920
<v Speaker 1>it now and seven last song anywhere I'm going to continue.

0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:24.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'll do that pusure. I mean, you haven't

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:26.800
<v Speaker 1>really been saying franking, so I kind of blame you

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:30.640
<v Speaker 1>was away from you know what what's up? As part

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:33.240
<v Speaker 1>of like my Patreon. You should be my Paul Hayman,

0:32:33.480 --> 0:32:36.040
<v Speaker 1>like you should be my mouthpiece, Like you should spit

0:32:36.160 --> 0:32:41.239
<v Speaker 1>promos for my Patreon. The Raining Defension. Good at that. Well,

0:32:41.280 --> 0:32:42.920
<v Speaker 1>I didn't really I guess I didn't really win anything

0:32:42.960 --> 0:32:46.840
<v Speaker 1>last year in baseball, won my Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational League,

0:32:47.320 --> 0:32:51.200
<v Speaker 1>fourth World All. Anthony Rizzo. Um, he's steady production. Like

0:32:51.360 --> 0:32:53.720
<v Speaker 1>you set your watch to, you know, to seventy two

0:32:53.800 --> 0:32:59.960
<v Speaker 1>eighty thirty home run Granddads. That was our thing last year.

0:33:00.000 --> 0:33:02.480
<v Speaker 1>It's like, every time we look up, it's Anthony Rizzo

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:06.040
<v Speaker 1>RBI groundouts. He's good at it. He's gonna give you

0:33:06.160 --> 0:33:08.640
<v Speaker 1>ninety plus runs, ninety plus RBIs, he's gonna give you

0:33:08.680 --> 0:33:11.920
<v Speaker 1>like five stolen bases. It's fine Anthony Rizzo, but I'm

0:33:12.720 --> 0:33:14.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm not really going to spend the third round price

0:33:14.440 --> 0:33:16.520
<v Speaker 1>tag when I get Jose Brady three rounds later. Yeah,

0:33:16.520 --> 0:33:18.640
<v Speaker 1>I agree. It's just it's just very boring this year.

0:33:18.680 --> 0:33:20.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean you you like you said you said a

0:33:20.480 --> 0:33:22.440
<v Speaker 1>clock for he actually was down in home runs last

0:33:22.440 --> 0:33:25.160
<v Speaker 1>He always he's always a slow starter, slow starter. Remember

0:33:25.240 --> 0:33:27.680
<v Speaker 1>last year, in the first month he was just god awful.

0:33:28.960 --> 0:33:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Oh enough, Frank, I you told me every day, every

0:33:32.000 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 1>single time, and you made us spend thirty nine dollars

0:33:34.640 --> 0:33:36.800
<v Speaker 1>on this guy. So Anny Rizzo right now is going

0:33:37.640 --> 0:33:40.280
<v Speaker 1>five off the board. Um in NFBC E leaves who's

0:33:40.280 --> 0:33:43.080
<v Speaker 1>going around him? In March and April last year, one

0:33:43.160 --> 0:33:45.600
<v Speaker 1>home run sucked. I was I lived through it. Man.

0:33:45.720 --> 0:33:48.920
<v Speaker 1>Not very good Anthony Rizzo. In the month of February.

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:52.240
<v Speaker 1>His NFBC a DP is pick thirty five. So in

0:33:52.320 --> 0:33:54.040
<v Speaker 1>the twelve team league at the end of the third round,

0:33:54.280 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 1>in a fifteen team league, he's smacked daddy in the

0:33:56.800 --> 0:34:00.320
<v Speaker 1>middle of the third round, third round pick. Who's going

0:34:00.360 --> 0:34:04.520
<v Speaker 1>around him? More starting pitchers here, Trevor Bauer, Lis Severino,

0:34:04.640 --> 0:34:07.440
<v Speaker 1>Carlos carrasco Walker Bueller, and then you kind of get

0:34:07.480 --> 0:34:11.120
<v Speaker 1>into the Starling Marte, Reese Hoskins group. Those are the

0:34:11.200 --> 0:34:14.000
<v Speaker 1>hitters available, and Hoskins is gonna give you first base

0:34:14.120 --> 0:34:17.680
<v Speaker 1>and outfield eligibility like that, so that helps told guy,

0:34:17.719 --> 0:34:19.600
<v Speaker 1>and then Starling Marte. You know what you're getting from

0:34:19.680 --> 0:34:24.400
<v Speaker 1>him from the outfield position, Homer's stolen bases, good batting average.

0:34:24.480 --> 0:34:29.319
<v Speaker 1>He Cody Bellinger. I went into this a little bit

0:34:29.480 --> 0:34:33.279
<v Speaker 1>last week with with Andy Singleton. We were doing Cody

0:34:33.320 --> 0:34:38.200
<v Speaker 1>Bellinger verse Reese Hoskins debate, and this kind of comes

0:34:38.239 --> 0:34:42.279
<v Speaker 1>back to that, right, Yes, Sam just comes back to

0:34:42.600 --> 0:34:51.480
<v Speaker 1>with Cody Bellinger using more prospect pedigree, using more of

0:34:51.600 --> 0:34:55.680
<v Speaker 1>like outside factors to kind of just trusting that, Okay,

0:34:55.880 --> 0:34:59.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, he's a twenty three year old guy who's okay,

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:02.279
<v Speaker 1>he failed last year. He didn't move up to expectations.

0:35:02.400 --> 0:35:04.319
<v Speaker 1>He went from thirty nine to home runs to twenty five,

0:35:04.920 --> 0:35:07.200
<v Speaker 1>But just trusting the fact that he had the pedigree

0:35:07.440 --> 0:35:09.080
<v Speaker 1>and then he's gonna get better. That's what you have

0:35:09.160 --> 0:35:10.840
<v Speaker 1>to do when you look at a guy like Cody Bellinger.

0:35:11.080 --> 0:35:12.840
<v Speaker 1>And maybe I make it too hard on myself, but

0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:15.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, there were things that I didn't like last year.

0:35:16.000 --> 0:35:17.880
<v Speaker 1>For example, you know when he first got called up

0:35:17.880 --> 0:35:19.960
<v Speaker 1>two years ago and hit thirty nine home runs, he

0:35:20.080 --> 0:35:22.640
<v Speaker 1>was very good against left handed pitching. Remember I sat

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:24.399
<v Speaker 1>here last year and I said, I actually thought Cody

0:35:24.440 --> 0:35:26.520
<v Speaker 1>Balinger had the ability to be better than Aaron Judge.

0:35:28.480 --> 0:35:31.719
<v Speaker 1>You were alone on that, though, because I trusted what

0:35:31.840 --> 0:35:33.920
<v Speaker 1>I saw from the splits in his first season that

0:35:34.040 --> 0:35:36.560
<v Speaker 1>he held his own against lefties. Last year, he regressed

0:35:36.600 --> 0:35:40.960
<v Speaker 1>in a major way to batting average ops against left

0:35:40.960 --> 0:35:43.600
<v Speaker 1>handed pitching. So that has me a little bit worried.

0:35:43.920 --> 0:35:45.919
<v Speaker 1>You know, if I'm using a third round price tag,

0:35:46.400 --> 0:35:49.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, third fourth round price tag on Cody Bellinger

0:35:49.360 --> 0:35:51.200
<v Speaker 1>and if he's gonna struggle against lefties on a team

0:35:51.200 --> 0:35:53.480
<v Speaker 1>like the Dodgers, I don't really ever think that they're

0:35:53.520 --> 0:35:55.759
<v Speaker 1>going to platoon him. But if there's a team that's

0:35:55.800 --> 0:35:57.400
<v Speaker 1>ever gonna like, all right, we'll give you a day

0:35:57.440 --> 0:36:00.680
<v Speaker 1>off against a tough lefty, it's the Ds because you

0:36:00.719 --> 0:36:02.840
<v Speaker 1>know they have that luxury they you know they have

0:36:03.320 --> 0:36:04.799
<v Speaker 1>they have a wealth of riches on their team. They

0:36:04.840 --> 0:36:07.239
<v Speaker 1>have a lot of depth on their teams. So those

0:36:07.280 --> 0:36:09.600
<v Speaker 1>things worried me. I'm also looking more into this, uh

0:36:09.640 --> 0:36:13.200
<v Speaker 1>this season, Greg infield fly ball rate, his infield flyball rate.

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:15.279
<v Speaker 1>You know, he has this huge uppercut swing. We know

0:36:15.400 --> 0:36:16.799
<v Speaker 1>that he's trying to lift the ball a lot. He's

0:36:16.800 --> 0:36:19.239
<v Speaker 1>trying to hit a lot of home runs. So his

0:36:19.320 --> 0:36:22.120
<v Speaker 1>infield flyball rate last year goes up over sixteen per cent.

0:36:22.920 --> 0:36:27.000
<v Speaker 1>Six of his bad at balls were automatic outs. You know,

0:36:27.160 --> 0:36:28.920
<v Speaker 1>I want guys that are not going to hit infield

0:36:28.920 --> 0:36:31.120
<v Speaker 1>fly balls. That's something I tried to ignore last year

0:36:31.160 --> 0:36:33.520
<v Speaker 1>with Raphael Devers, and if you looked at his minor

0:36:33.600 --> 0:36:35.319
<v Speaker 1>league career, it was every single year with the guy

0:36:35.360 --> 0:36:37.640
<v Speaker 1>like Devor's, he hit a ton of infield fly balls.

0:36:37.800 --> 0:36:40.160
<v Speaker 1>Those are guaranteed outs. What happened last year at the

0:36:40.160 --> 0:36:42.080
<v Speaker 1>major league level, you guessed it. He had a ton

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:44.719
<v Speaker 1>of infield fly balls, So they were warning signs last

0:36:44.760 --> 0:36:47.359
<v Speaker 1>year with Thunders struggled against lefties and he had these

0:36:47.400 --> 0:36:50.839
<v Speaker 1>infield fly balls, which are basically guaranteed outs. Average I'll

0:36:50.840 --> 0:36:52.520
<v Speaker 1>give you my projection from when we get back from

0:36:52.520 --> 0:36:56.799
<v Speaker 1>the break average down O b P down that up.

0:36:57.120 --> 0:36:59.120
<v Speaker 1>I think he was down across the board, very nervous

0:36:59.120 --> 0:37:01.400
<v Speaker 1>by Coney Belligier. Really interest for me this year your

0:37:01.440 --> 0:37:06.200
<v Speaker 1>fantasy projections. We come at the Fantasy Sports Network is

0:37:06.239 --> 0:37:08.600
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0:37:08.680 --> 0:37:11.120
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0:37:24.880 --> 0:37:26.960
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0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:29.799
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0:37:29.840 --> 0:37:34.960
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0:37:35.000 --> 0:37:37.440
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0:38:00.080 --> 0:38:01.959
<v Speaker 1>and you'll be on your way to becoming the next

0:38:02.160 --> 0:38:06.560
<v Speaker 1>Daily Rhodo millionaire. Maurice Allen two thousand and fifteen, two

0:38:06.600 --> 0:38:10.680
<v Speaker 1>thousands and sixteen European Long Drive Tour Champion two thousand seventeen,

0:38:11.120 --> 0:38:18.160
<v Speaker 1>World number one Me personally, I keep my game face

0:38:18.239 --> 0:38:23.760
<v Speaker 1>on me all the time, especially coming out with the bucker,

0:38:25.000 --> 0:38:29.440
<v Speaker 1>leaving the range or you're leaving the ports. What's your story?

0:38:29.960 --> 0:38:31.880
<v Speaker 1>Go to game face grooming dot com from all your

0:38:31.920 --> 0:38:38.440
<v Speaker 1>athletic facial wipes and body cleansing needs. Scout Fantasy sports

0:38:38.800 --> 0:38:42.960
<v Speaker 1>Manny Machado has finally signed a contract. It's with the

0:38:43.080 --> 0:38:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Padres and Machado landing in San Diego. And everyone's initial

0:38:46.560 --> 0:38:49.480
<v Speaker 1>reaction is like, Oh, that sucks, that's the Padres and

0:38:49.640 --> 0:38:52.200
<v Speaker 1>what about the ballpark? But the ballpark for right handed

0:38:52.280 --> 0:38:55.240
<v Speaker 1>hitters is not as bad. Sure it's not Campen Yards,

0:38:55.280 --> 0:38:57.359
<v Speaker 1>and he obviously went over to the Dodgers last year.

0:38:57.680 --> 0:38:59.879
<v Speaker 1>This is a guy that can hit anywhere week days

0:39:00.000 --> 0:39:02.200
<v Speaker 1>to the four pm Eastern on the Fantasy Sports Network

0:39:02.239 --> 0:39:05.719
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0:39:05.800 --> 0:39:09.359
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0:39:09.680 --> 0:39:28.400
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0:39:28.640 --> 0:39:34.959
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0:39:34.960 --> 0:39:37.680
<v Speaker 1>just making my bachelor party right, Frank and I was

0:39:37.719 --> 0:39:43.800
<v Speaker 1>having issues. We're trying to make it work. Um, I

0:39:43.880 --> 0:39:45.880
<v Speaker 1>really wanted I'm doing it Fort Lauder Down. Do you

0:39:45.960 --> 0:39:49.520
<v Speaker 1>know you've heard my conversation that Drew dique mine. Indeed,

0:39:50.600 --> 0:39:54.120
<v Speaker 1>and I really wanted a certain hotel that Drew told

0:39:54.160 --> 0:39:56.680
<v Speaker 1>me to stay at. But the weekend I wanted was

0:39:56.760 --> 0:39:58.600
<v Speaker 1>between two weekends in July, which I was talking about

0:39:58.600 --> 0:40:01.759
<v Speaker 1>this with you yesterday and when my buddies can't come

0:40:01.800 --> 0:40:03.680
<v Speaker 1>one weekend but can come to the other weekend. But

0:40:03.800 --> 0:40:08.920
<v Speaker 1>the hotel I wanted that Drew recommended is not available

0:40:08.920 --> 0:40:11.440
<v Speaker 1>for that week and he can come. So I'm just like,

0:40:11.480 --> 0:40:13.600
<v Speaker 1>all right and go to a different hotel. Obviously it's

0:40:13.600 --> 0:40:17.480
<v Speaker 1>playing at other hotels. This stuff sounds So I just

0:40:17.560 --> 0:40:19.080
<v Speaker 1>dressed now because I don't want to be selfish and

0:40:19.160 --> 0:40:20.680
<v Speaker 1>just be like that guy, like she's an hotel of

0:40:20.800 --> 0:40:22.920
<v Speaker 1>my buddy, Like this is what you recommended. Like I

0:40:23.000 --> 0:40:24.560
<v Speaker 1>really liked it. It looked cool. I was all in

0:40:24.640 --> 0:40:26.319
<v Speaker 1>on it because I had like a beach that had

0:40:26.320 --> 0:40:29.400
<v Speaker 1>a beach, a pool bar. Yeah, you probably shouldn't exclude

0:40:29.400 --> 0:40:31.920
<v Speaker 1>your buddy, I agree with you. And Judy was like

0:40:32.000 --> 0:40:34.080
<v Speaker 1>all about that. She's like, it's a hotel really more

0:40:34.080 --> 0:40:37.160
<v Speaker 1>important than your friend, Like it's stupid. What is your

0:40:37.200 --> 0:40:41.560
<v Speaker 1>bachelor party? Right? That was my flash. That was my fla.

0:40:42.440 --> 0:40:45.080
<v Speaker 1>It's like it's my but it's it's my time to

0:40:45.160 --> 0:40:48.279
<v Speaker 1>be selfish, you know. Like that was that's wherever my

0:40:48.400 --> 0:40:50.160
<v Speaker 1>mind was. Would they do the same thing for me?

0:40:50.360 --> 0:40:52.560
<v Speaker 1>Like I don't know, so I don't know what to do.

0:40:53.080 --> 0:40:55.000
<v Speaker 1>So the reason that they were sold out this hotel.

0:40:56.080 --> 0:40:58.800
<v Speaker 1>It was because it's like a bunch of conventions in

0:40:59.000 --> 0:41:01.480
<v Speaker 1>Fort Laurie. It's a big invention of some sort. Do

0:41:01.520 --> 0:41:03.440
<v Speaker 1>you know what kind of convention? No idea. So my dad,

0:41:03.520 --> 0:41:06.239
<v Speaker 1>my dad, Um, it's like some married up members or

0:41:06.320 --> 0:41:09.319
<v Speaker 1>some sort. So we called the hotel and he's like, hey,

0:41:09.400 --> 0:41:11.600
<v Speaker 1>so online there's no rooms, but you know, I'm I'm

0:41:11.640 --> 0:41:16.239
<v Speaker 1>attending the convention and he oh, big, Rob, So we

0:41:16.600 --> 0:41:19.400
<v Speaker 1>we got three rooms at the hotel. I wanted it

0:41:19.440 --> 0:41:21.840
<v Speaker 1>for the weekend. I wanted because now attending the convention,

0:41:22.800 --> 0:41:24.680
<v Speaker 1>I tell you, like that story, I really hope it's

0:41:24.760 --> 0:41:29.319
<v Speaker 1>like some crazy one, some crazy oh man, I hope

0:41:29.360 --> 0:41:31.640
<v Speaker 1>it's like a dragon ball Z conventions to like hate

0:41:31.640 --> 0:41:34.600
<v Speaker 1>anime and like any cartoons. Oh, it's a cartoon convention.

0:41:35.239 --> 0:41:37.720
<v Speaker 1>It's a bunch of people walking around like suits and stuff,

0:41:37.880 --> 0:41:39.359
<v Speaker 1>and you're so hammered that you can't tell if it's

0:41:39.400 --> 0:41:44.839
<v Speaker 1>reality or not. How about that. I'm good. I mean

0:41:45.040 --> 0:41:47.759
<v Speaker 1>conventions like it could be anything. There's a bunch of

0:41:47.800 --> 0:41:55.800
<v Speaker 1>crazy stuff out there. Greg, you almost almost close that.

0:41:56.000 --> 0:41:59.080
<v Speaker 1>That was that was close. Okay, back to the first

0:41:59.120 --> 0:42:01.839
<v Speaker 1>basement out of Cody Bellinger, Well, he said, you would

0:42:01.840 --> 0:42:05.200
<v Speaker 1>give us a projections for Cody Bellinger Again, Uh, look,

0:42:05.280 --> 0:42:09.719
<v Speaker 1>my projections are conservative. I do that on purpose. I

0:42:09.760 --> 0:42:12.759
<v Speaker 1>make them conservative for every player, but Cody Bellinger. I

0:42:12.840 --> 0:42:16.840
<v Speaker 1>have that two home runs, eighty runs scored, ninety r

0:42:16.920 --> 0:42:20.040
<v Speaker 1>BI and ten stone basis, it's not bad. He gives

0:42:20.040 --> 0:42:21.759
<v Speaker 1>you a little bit of everything, doesn't completely kill your

0:42:21.800 --> 0:42:24.600
<v Speaker 1>batting average. Uh. You know, it's obviously very hard to

0:42:24.680 --> 0:42:27.520
<v Speaker 1>project to project the batting average. But you know he's

0:42:27.520 --> 0:42:30.240
<v Speaker 1>been around, you know, to sixty last year, to sixty

0:42:30.280 --> 0:42:32.600
<v Speaker 1>seven in his first year, So maybe two fifty five

0:42:32.680 --> 0:42:35.040
<v Speaker 1>is a little bit unfair. Maybe he's closer to to sixty.

0:42:35.160 --> 0:42:37.960
<v Speaker 1>But the home runs have fluctuated, the runs, r B,

0:42:38.120 --> 0:42:40.400
<v Speaker 1>I s. You know, he lost twenty one RBIs from

0:42:40.640 --> 0:42:44.239
<v Speaker 1>from Uh this only basis, he's gonna give you ten

0:42:44.280 --> 0:42:46.400
<v Speaker 1>to fifteen, So that's not bad. He's a great athlete,

0:42:46.440 --> 0:42:49.360
<v Speaker 1>that's for sure. He walks a lot, so for points leagues,

0:42:49.880 --> 0:42:52.560
<v Speaker 1>that helps help mitigate the strikeouts a little bit. He

0:42:52.600 --> 0:42:55.520
<v Speaker 1>does hit the ball hard over a hard hit rate

0:42:55.560 --> 0:42:57.880
<v Speaker 1>in each of his first two seasons. The home run

0:42:57.960 --> 0:43:00.600
<v Speaker 1>the fly ball ratio dropped big content last year. So

0:43:02.200 --> 0:43:05.480
<v Speaker 1>can he be a guy that potentially pays off first

0:43:05.560 --> 0:43:07.560
<v Speaker 1>round value. If he hits you know, to seventy with

0:43:07.680 --> 0:43:09.800
<v Speaker 1>thirty five home runs and a hundred rbi with with

0:43:10.000 --> 0:43:12.439
<v Speaker 1>ten fifteen stolen basis. Yeah, if he does that, he's

0:43:12.480 --> 0:43:15.880
<v Speaker 1>likely you know, a first round pick next year. Unfortunately

0:43:16.320 --> 0:43:18.520
<v Speaker 1>for me, he does that, he's probably gonna be on

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:20.319
<v Speaker 1>someone else's team. It just feels not really an active

0:43:20.360 --> 0:43:22.319
<v Speaker 1>target of man. It just feels like he's the kind

0:43:22.360 --> 0:43:26.840
<v Speaker 1>of guy that a lot the players are going ahead

0:43:26.840 --> 0:43:28.920
<v Speaker 1>of him do what he does. Maybe not the fourteen

0:43:29.000 --> 0:43:33.239
<v Speaker 1>on bases, but everything else seems replicable to me. It

0:43:33.360 --> 0:43:35.200
<v Speaker 1>depends which guy you trust more. Do you try the

0:43:35.280 --> 0:43:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Cody Bellinger fromen or do you think he gets closer?

0:43:37.680 --> 0:43:40.759
<v Speaker 1>Back to the seventeen again in seventeen took the league

0:43:40.760 --> 0:43:42.800
<v Speaker 1>by storn thirty nine home runs in a hundred and

0:43:42.840 --> 0:43:45.800
<v Speaker 1>thirty two games. Amazing. That's amazing, amazing. So we know

0:43:45.960 --> 0:43:48.520
<v Speaker 1>that the talent is there in the bat. How much

0:43:48.560 --> 0:43:50.480
<v Speaker 1>did he play a hundred fifty games is outside the

0:43:50.520 --> 0:43:53.200
<v Speaker 1>realm of possibility, Greg for him, thirty five to forty

0:43:53.239 --> 0:43:57.399
<v Speaker 1>homers with hundred r bis and fifteen stolen basis, that's

0:43:57.480 --> 0:44:01.160
<v Speaker 1>not undoable. Let me throw that sable for Cody balance

0:44:01.800 --> 0:44:05.600
<v Speaker 1>for you. In twenty seventeen, when he came up, he

0:44:05.760 --> 0:44:09.239
<v Speaker 1>ultimately supplanted Adrian Gonzalez starting first baseman, played first base

0:44:09.280 --> 0:44:10.839
<v Speaker 1>every day. Right. I think we're gonna move him back

0:44:10.840 --> 0:44:14.959
<v Speaker 1>ahead of reasons. Oh man, Right, he's gonna basically played

0:44:14.960 --> 0:44:18.480
<v Speaker 1>first replaced Adrian Gonzalez and played first base every day. Right.

0:44:19.520 --> 0:44:22.560
<v Speaker 1>Last year with the emergency maxim on c he kind

0:44:22.560 --> 0:44:24.600
<v Speaker 1>of came up and moved around a lot, but a

0:44:24.640 --> 0:44:26.759
<v Speaker 1>lot of center field, and that's where we're projecting him

0:44:26.760 --> 0:44:29.040
<v Speaker 1>to start this year for the Dodgers. He's gonna play

0:44:29.040 --> 0:44:31.000
<v Speaker 1>the off field for sure, and I've read center field.

0:44:31.400 --> 0:44:32.680
<v Speaker 1>Do you think it's gonna take a bit of a

0:44:32.800 --> 0:44:35.200
<v Speaker 1>toll on it? Do you think maybe that's hard to

0:44:35.239 --> 0:44:37.839
<v Speaker 1>the reason we're seeing the client? Maybe that affect him,

0:44:38.080 --> 0:44:41.040
<v Speaker 1>you know what's up? But on on on Baseball Reference,

0:44:41.040 --> 0:44:43.359
<v Speaker 1>you could look up players splits by position that they played.

0:44:43.440 --> 0:44:45.160
<v Speaker 1>They can do that on fan grafts til you might

0:44:45.200 --> 0:44:48.440
<v Speaker 1>be able to. But I'll pull that up for you anyway.

0:44:48.600 --> 0:44:52.080
<v Speaker 1>With the Dodgers, yeah, they do. No, he's not gonna

0:44:52.080 --> 0:44:53.920
<v Speaker 1>play center field because I have aj Polloig. So he's

0:44:53.960 --> 0:44:58.719
<v Speaker 1>projected to I don't, I don't center or whatever. He's

0:44:58.880 --> 0:45:01.480
<v Speaker 1>projected to play right field. This is on Rosster resource

0:45:01.560 --> 0:45:04.680
<v Speaker 1>and back clean up. Look, there's gonna be a ton

0:45:04.719 --> 0:45:06.520
<v Speaker 1>of RBI opportunities too, because you look at the first

0:45:06.560 --> 0:45:10.479
<v Speaker 1>three in this order, Aleck Seeger, Justin Turner just ahead

0:45:10.480 --> 0:45:13.440
<v Speaker 1>of Balinger, and then behind him he has Munty Taylor,

0:45:14.040 --> 0:45:17.399
<v Speaker 1>Jock Peterson. The averages were basically the same most three.

0:45:19.120 --> 0:45:23.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's that's great. Averages to sixty the first

0:45:23.080 --> 0:45:25.600
<v Speaker 1>baseman last year to sixty three as a center fielder.

0:45:25.680 --> 0:45:28.440
<v Speaker 1>So what do I know? Oh, he did not get

0:45:28.480 --> 0:45:31.120
<v Speaker 1>to hit the pinch hitter though as a first baseman

0:45:31.239 --> 0:45:37.920
<v Speaker 1>last year he hit with an os as center fielder,

0:45:38.040 --> 0:45:40.200
<v Speaker 1>which was next up the most games that he played

0:45:40.239 --> 0:45:43.360
<v Speaker 1>with seventy one. Uh, he hit to sixty three with

0:45:43.440 --> 0:45:45.440
<v Speaker 1>an eight oh seven. So really not that difference, Not

0:45:45.560 --> 0:45:51.600
<v Speaker 1>not that different said that. Sorry, okay, anyway, so about

0:45:51.880 --> 0:45:53.680
<v Speaker 1>you said you're being too hard on him, I don't

0:45:53.719 --> 0:45:57.000
<v Speaker 1>think so. You said you just flipped him with This

0:45:57.080 --> 0:45:59.520
<v Speaker 1>always reminds me of my analysis of Javier Bias last year,

0:45:59.520 --> 0:46:02.480
<v Speaker 1>where I us looked at it statistically and didn't really

0:46:02.560 --> 0:46:05.360
<v Speaker 1>take the fact that like he always had this upside

0:46:05.400 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 1>inside of that because of like his prospect pedigree and

0:46:08.160 --> 0:46:10.000
<v Speaker 1>what he did in the past, and you know, these

0:46:10.160 --> 0:46:13.719
<v Speaker 1>huge expectations. This is a little bit different because I mean,

0:46:14.000 --> 0:46:15.759
<v Speaker 1>you're not getting Bellinger at the same price we're getting

0:46:15.760 --> 0:46:18.200
<v Speaker 1>bias last year because we're getting in the middle rounds.

0:46:18.239 --> 0:46:20.399
<v Speaker 1>Do you still have to use a third fourth round

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:23.759
<v Speaker 1>five tag on Bellinger? Which there's just a hard guy

0:46:23.800 --> 0:46:26.600
<v Speaker 1>for me to figure out this year any singletons, I said,

0:46:26.600 --> 0:46:28.279
<v Speaker 1>I'm making it too hard than than I should be.

0:46:28.880 --> 0:46:31.279
<v Speaker 1>Maybe I am. I don't you are, I don't. I'm

0:46:31.320 --> 0:46:33.880
<v Speaker 1>not just agreeing agree with I just agree. Let you

0:46:33.920 --> 0:46:36.360
<v Speaker 1>get Let's get to Reese Hoskins here. You keep flipping

0:46:36.400 --> 0:46:39.239
<v Speaker 1>back and forth between Bellinger. You know, I like rees

0:46:39.239 --> 0:46:42.359
<v Speaker 1>Skins a lot, and I what are my targets this year?

0:46:42.400 --> 0:46:47.600
<v Speaker 1>Am I crazy? Is she? Are you crazy? Part of

0:46:47.640 --> 0:46:51.640
<v Speaker 1>the reason why I don't know if Hoskins is a

0:46:52.080 --> 0:46:55.000
<v Speaker 1>target of mine is because it's kind of similar to

0:46:55.040 --> 0:46:57.759
<v Speaker 1>the Jose Bray you and Anthony Rizzo situation. Greg. I

0:46:57.840 --> 0:47:00.239
<v Speaker 1>don't see a huge difference between Reese Hoskins and Matt

0:47:00.239 --> 0:47:02.560
<v Speaker 1>Olsen this year, and you're getting Reese Hoskins in the

0:47:02.600 --> 0:47:04.520
<v Speaker 1>third round and shout out to Michael Florido. He was

0:47:04.560 --> 0:47:06.879
<v Speaker 1>making this argument against me last year, and I didn't

0:47:06.920 --> 0:47:09.359
<v Speaker 1>really see it. I know, Rees Hoskins hit more home

0:47:09.440 --> 0:47:13.000
<v Speaker 1>runs than than Olsen did last year, but I'm doing

0:47:13.000 --> 0:47:15.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm joining the club, Mike, I'm joining you this season.

0:47:15.160 --> 0:47:17.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't really think that their their projection is all

0:47:17.680 --> 0:47:20.320
<v Speaker 1>that different. You look at their Steamer projections. They have

0:47:20.800 --> 0:47:24.960
<v Speaker 1>Reese Hoskins two nine four hoskinins, three more home runs,

0:47:25.160 --> 0:47:28.520
<v Speaker 1>six more runs scored, five more RBI. And how about

0:47:28.520 --> 0:47:32.520
<v Speaker 1>this great Hoskins a d P the NFBC is thirty nine.

0:47:33.280 --> 0:47:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Guess where Matt Olson is one? So look you're getting

0:47:39.640 --> 0:47:45.680
<v Speaker 1>him seventy five picks later, and you're getting pretty similar stats. Man.

0:47:46.000 --> 0:47:47.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm a big believer in medals, and so I think

0:47:47.800 --> 0:47:50.680
<v Speaker 1>that's what's kind of holding me back from going all

0:47:50.800 --> 0:47:52.640
<v Speaker 1>in on Reese Hoskins, just because they know where I

0:47:52.680 --> 0:47:54.960
<v Speaker 1>can get Matt Olson, whether it's you know, six, seventh,

0:47:55.000 --> 0:47:58.359
<v Speaker 1>eighth round this year, um, and I'll take that chance

0:47:58.400 --> 0:48:00.919
<v Speaker 1>on like trying to get him later on. Rich Hoskins also,

0:48:01.000 --> 0:48:03.279
<v Speaker 1>oddly enough, has a split of his own last year

0:48:03.360 --> 0:48:05.840
<v Speaker 1>one eight six. This isn't just last year. In his

0:48:05.880 --> 0:48:09.000
<v Speaker 1>major league career, one eight six seven three ops against

0:48:09.040 --> 0:48:13.000
<v Speaker 1>left east. He's a right handed batter, Craig, Why did

0:48:13.040 --> 0:48:17.000
<v Speaker 1>he suck against left It's weird. It's a weird reverse split. Uh.

0:48:17.120 --> 0:48:20.080
<v Speaker 1>That's in his career as a major league to this point. Um.

0:48:20.840 --> 0:48:22.560
<v Speaker 1>And But the thing is he was much better against

0:48:22.600 --> 0:48:26.200
<v Speaker 1>lefties in the minors. So to me, what that says

0:48:26.320 --> 0:48:30.000
<v Speaker 1>is at some point he should get better against left

0:48:30.040 --> 0:48:32.799
<v Speaker 1>handed pitching at the major league level, which ultimately will

0:48:32.960 --> 0:48:36.160
<v Speaker 1>raise his overall batting average. Because one eight six against

0:48:36.239 --> 0:48:38.719
<v Speaker 1>lefties is very bad. That's just not gonna get it done.

0:48:38.800 --> 0:48:41.960
<v Speaker 1>So if he just raises his his average against lefties too,

0:48:42.320 --> 0:48:45.040
<v Speaker 1>let's say to twenty greg and his overall batting average

0:48:45.040 --> 0:48:48.040
<v Speaker 1>is coming up to to sixty instead of you know,

0:48:48.120 --> 0:48:51.319
<v Speaker 1>the two forty nine. So he just you know, if

0:48:51.360 --> 0:48:53.040
<v Speaker 1>he if he does a little bit better against left ease,

0:48:53.120 --> 0:48:55.440
<v Speaker 1>then you know that batting average overall is coming up.

0:48:55.719 --> 0:48:57.719
<v Speaker 1>I do like the fact that, like Bellinger he does

0:48:57.800 --> 0:49:01.040
<v Speaker 1>he's gonna have dual eligibility. He does adverse base eligibility

0:49:01.080 --> 0:49:02.719
<v Speaker 1>to start the season, but he will get it because

0:49:02.719 --> 0:49:06.960
<v Speaker 1>he's gonna start there um And how about this Gray.

0:49:07.000 --> 0:49:09.560
<v Speaker 1>I looked into this his his splits by where he

0:49:09.640 --> 0:49:11.400
<v Speaker 1>backed the line up last year. He bad at second

0:49:11.400 --> 0:49:14.279
<v Speaker 1>a lot because he he walks a ton. It's great

0:49:14.320 --> 0:49:17.120
<v Speaker 1>plate discipline, which is obviously good for points leagues, it's

0:49:17.120 --> 0:49:20.200
<v Speaker 1>good for O B P leagues. In one four games

0:49:20.239 --> 0:49:24.680
<v Speaker 1>batting second, he had seven three ps. In forty five

0:49:24.719 --> 0:49:30.080
<v Speaker 1>games batting fourth with a one thousand, twenty one o

0:49:30.239 --> 0:49:34.640
<v Speaker 1>p s. He's projected to back fourth right now, so

0:49:35.280 --> 0:49:37.120
<v Speaker 1>I think that helps him and the fact that he's

0:49:37.120 --> 0:49:38.879
<v Speaker 1>gonna have more you know, he's gonna have more RBI

0:49:38.960 --> 0:49:42.040
<v Speaker 1>opportunities with if Bryce Harper joins this line Bryce Harper,

0:49:42.120 --> 0:49:46.480
<v Speaker 1>doesn't you get my cutch in that lineup? JT. Real Muto.

0:49:46.600 --> 0:49:48.520
<v Speaker 1>It's a good lineup. I'll go as far as to

0:49:48.560 --> 0:49:51.120
<v Speaker 1>say it's a great line up. But you're right annoyingly

0:49:51.320 --> 0:49:54.279
<v Speaker 1>so that if you just pull up Madelson's stats, it's

0:49:54.320 --> 0:49:57.719
<v Speaker 1>like they're really not that far offman, We're just kind

0:49:57.760 --> 0:50:02.919
<v Speaker 1>of similar. And what Matt Olsen made it so much

0:50:03.040 --> 0:50:06.960
<v Speaker 1>progress last year overall as a basketball player, like against

0:50:07.040 --> 0:50:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Lee's and seventeen greg one six, seven and fifty eight

0:50:10.160 --> 0:50:12.840
<v Speaker 1>against lefties, Matt Olson scares you off. That's part of

0:50:12.840 --> 0:50:14.239
<v Speaker 1>the reason why I was working him last year. He

0:50:14.280 --> 0:50:19.720
<v Speaker 1>was gonna struggle against against lefties to fifty one batting average.

0:50:20.080 --> 0:50:21.960
<v Speaker 1>He brought you know, he brought his batting average from

0:50:21.960 --> 0:50:24.280
<v Speaker 1>one all the way up to fifty one. The ops

0:50:24.480 --> 0:50:26.439
<v Speaker 1>wasn't great, he didn't he had for much more power

0:50:26.480 --> 0:50:28.560
<v Speaker 1>against right He's he only had seven oh one ops

0:50:28.560 --> 0:50:31.279
<v Speaker 1>against lefties. But at least if I can see that

0:50:31.360 --> 0:50:33.839
<v Speaker 1>he's making contact and making a conscious effort to raise

0:50:33.880 --> 0:50:36.279
<v Speaker 1>batting average against lefties and bring it up to fifty one,

0:50:36.920 --> 0:50:38.960
<v Speaker 1>that tells me he can hold his own against lefties

0:50:39.160 --> 0:50:42.040
<v Speaker 1>and he's gonna be in the lineup every day. Roster resource,

0:50:42.080 --> 0:50:44.560
<v Speaker 1>I think they do great work. Sometimes I think they're

0:50:44.560 --> 0:50:46.640
<v Speaker 1>a little bit too quick to pull to pull the

0:50:46.680 --> 0:50:49.960
<v Speaker 1>trigger when it comes to UH platoons. They have Matt

0:50:50.040 --> 0:50:52.240
<v Speaker 1>Olson as a platoon. He played a hundred and sixty

0:50:52.239 --> 0:50:54.080
<v Speaker 1>two games last year. He played every single game. He

0:50:54.160 --> 0:50:56.600
<v Speaker 1>wasn't a platoon player last year, and he proved himself

0:50:56.600 --> 0:50:59.120
<v Speaker 1>against lefties. Why would he be a platoon player this year?

0:50:59.480 --> 0:51:02.760
<v Speaker 1>For Mark Canna, of all people, it's not gonna happen.

0:51:03.280 --> 0:51:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Matt Olson is going to play every day. He was

0:51:05.080 --> 0:51:06.959
<v Speaker 1>one of seven players who played a hundred and sixty

0:51:07.000 --> 0:51:10.279
<v Speaker 1>two games last year made improvements against lefties, decreased his

0:51:10.320 --> 0:51:13.640
<v Speaker 1>strikeout rate by three percent. Greg slightly improved his walks,

0:51:13.880 --> 0:51:16.360
<v Speaker 1>lowered his pole percentage by seven point five percent. I

0:51:16.440 --> 0:51:19.920
<v Speaker 1>can't stress this enough. He turned himself more into an

0:51:19.960 --> 0:51:22.680
<v Speaker 1>all around hitter, started springing the ball to opposite field

0:51:22.719 --> 0:51:25.120
<v Speaker 1>a little bit, taking what defenses are giving him. You

0:51:25.200 --> 0:51:27.920
<v Speaker 1>know everyone's talking about this track. Oh, you know, over

0:51:28.040 --> 0:51:30.880
<v Speaker 1>dramatic shift against left handed batters. So what is he

0:51:30.960 --> 0:51:33.000
<v Speaker 1>learning to do is learning to take what what what

0:51:33.120 --> 0:51:35.560
<v Speaker 1>they're giving him. He's going opposite field a little bit more,

0:51:35.719 --> 0:51:38.200
<v Speaker 1>He's going to center a little bit more. He was

0:51:38.280 --> 0:51:40.880
<v Speaker 1>top ten in barrels per played appearance last season nine

0:51:40.920 --> 0:51:44.320
<v Speaker 1>point four percent. He was top five in both whoba

0:51:45.040 --> 0:51:49.719
<v Speaker 1>uh no, that was max sorry um, hard hit rate,

0:51:49.760 --> 0:51:52.840
<v Speaker 1>fantals and fly balls. You know, with that kind of

0:51:52.880 --> 0:51:54.480
<v Speaker 1>bad a ball data, Greg, it feels like he could

0:51:54.480 --> 0:51:56.200
<v Speaker 1>have been closer to thirty five runs and he was

0:51:56.239 --> 0:51:59.040
<v Speaker 1>twenty nine. I understand he plays in Oakland. It's a

0:51:59.040 --> 0:52:04.320
<v Speaker 1>bigger ballpark. It That lineup is not bad either. I

0:52:04.400 --> 0:52:05.960
<v Speaker 1>think the home runs go up I think we're closer

0:52:06.000 --> 0:52:09.320
<v Speaker 1>to thirty five. I haven't projected, you know, two fifty

0:52:09.600 --> 0:52:13.799
<v Speaker 1>thirty two home owners, eighty runs, eighty five RBIs give

0:52:13.840 --> 0:52:16.000
<v Speaker 1>me Matt Olsen man, I'm all in. I'm all in

0:52:16.080 --> 0:52:23.439
<v Speaker 1>on the Olsen train. It was good. He's got nothing. Also,

0:52:23.520 --> 0:52:25.839
<v Speaker 1>his expected to the slugging percentage was thirty points higher

0:52:25.840 --> 0:52:28.840
<v Speaker 1>according to stat Cast, And I tell you that normally

0:52:28.920 --> 0:52:31.200
<v Speaker 1>these like the expected things are lower. He was a

0:52:31.200 --> 0:52:33.080
<v Speaker 1>little bit unlucky last year in the power department. And

0:52:33.120 --> 0:52:37.400
<v Speaker 1>it's really interesting that Babbitt was two thirty eight and

0:52:37.480 --> 0:52:40.080
<v Speaker 1>he had a higher batting average he did last year

0:52:40.120 --> 0:52:46.440
<v Speaker 1>whereas bbit was two. It's like interesting today, really interesting.

0:52:47.360 --> 0:52:50.759
<v Speaker 1>So the babbit two thirty eight in seventeen. He also

0:52:50.840 --> 0:52:53.040
<v Speaker 1>hit more flyballs, so we know that hitting more flyballs

0:52:53.080 --> 0:52:56.279
<v Speaker 1>typically leads to a lower babbit um. And he also

0:52:56.400 --> 0:52:57.800
<v Speaker 1>you know why the Babbitt was so low, Greg and

0:52:57.840 --> 0:52:59.360
<v Speaker 1>he had two fifty nine is because he had to

0:52:59.440 --> 0:53:03.239
<v Speaker 1>many home runs. Home runs are not because they're not

0:53:03.360 --> 0:53:07.880
<v Speaker 1>in play the bad That's that's why it looks like

0:53:08.320 --> 0:53:12.879
<v Speaker 1>us go up. Definitely its last year I have before.

0:53:12.960 --> 0:53:16.360
<v Speaker 1>I've rejected at thirty two, at thirty two, and people

0:53:16.400 --> 0:53:19.359
<v Speaker 1>had unrealistic expectations for him last year. They thought, he can,

0:53:19.440 --> 0:53:22.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, be a forty home run hitter. I think

0:53:22.040 --> 0:53:24.640
<v Speaker 1>based on the better ball profile. If he was any

0:53:24.640 --> 0:53:27.520
<v Speaker 1>other ball ballpark, yeah, you probably could expect forty home runs.

0:53:27.960 --> 0:53:30.840
<v Speaker 1>Because he plays in Oakland, I think thirty three to

0:53:30.960 --> 0:53:34.320
<v Speaker 1>thirty five home runs is a safe projection. Reece Hoskins

0:53:34.600 --> 0:53:36.520
<v Speaker 1>hits a ton of fly balls. The problem with its

0:53:36.560 --> 0:53:40.279
<v Speaker 1>Hoskins is is hard hit rate was like thirty five

0:53:40.320 --> 0:53:42.200
<v Speaker 1>percent last year. This is really interesting too. It wasn't

0:53:42.239 --> 0:53:46.279
<v Speaker 1>great like Matt Olsen was well over seven percent hard

0:53:46.320 --> 0:53:49.920
<v Speaker 1>hit rate. The guy absolutely mashes the baseball. He also

0:53:50.560 --> 0:53:54.560
<v Speaker 1>had very extreme splits Frankie at home seven last year.

0:53:54.840 --> 0:53:58.319
<v Speaker 1>This is Matt Olson away. He added two sixty six

0:53:58.360 --> 0:54:00.160
<v Speaker 1>home runs were the same fifteen and fourteen guy and

0:54:00.200 --> 0:54:04.640
<v Speaker 1>Yankees player. He also got off to a disgusting start

0:54:04.760 --> 0:54:11.359
<v Speaker 1>as well. Um actually disgusting seven and two sixteen. He's

0:54:11.400 --> 0:54:17.040
<v Speaker 1>never gonna be a great battie. You're out dot on him.

0:54:17.080 --> 0:54:19.200
<v Speaker 1>I should be out of Reese Hoskins too. Well, here's

0:54:19.200 --> 0:54:24.560
<v Speaker 1>the thing. You can can't be out that that positive

0:54:24.600 --> 0:54:27.560
<v Speaker 1>regression is coming for Reese Hoskins batting average because of

0:54:27.640 --> 0:54:30.200
<v Speaker 1>what I said about the lefties. If he just improves

0:54:30.480 --> 0:54:33.359
<v Speaker 1>his batting average against lefties up until two twenty, which

0:54:33.440 --> 0:54:35.719
<v Speaker 1>is still very bad, but he's been one eight six

0:54:35.760 --> 0:54:38.080
<v Speaker 1>in his career. If Reese Hoskins brings the batting average

0:54:38.120 --> 0:54:41.120
<v Speaker 1>up to to twenty against lefties, his overall batting averages

0:54:41.120 --> 0:54:43.680
<v Speaker 1>climbing up to to sixty, You're not gonna get a

0:54:43.719 --> 0:54:46.600
<v Speaker 1>two sixty batting average from attles. So that's the difference.

0:54:47.320 --> 0:54:49.640
<v Speaker 1>If you think that that Reese Hoskins can make the improvements,

0:54:49.840 --> 0:54:52.520
<v Speaker 1>get the batting average up to to sixty, hit forty

0:54:52.560 --> 0:54:54.920
<v Speaker 1>home runs. If he hits forty home runs in Philly

0:54:55.000 --> 0:54:56.560
<v Speaker 1>in that line up, is probably gonna give you a

0:54:56.640 --> 0:54:59.320
<v Speaker 1>hundred and ten RBIs like I can easily sell you

0:54:59.400 --> 0:55:02.840
<v Speaker 1>on Reese hos Kins. I understand I can sell it. Definitely,

0:55:03.320 --> 0:55:07.759
<v Speaker 1>I'll be I'll be a salesman. Just did it. Get

0:55:07.800 --> 0:55:09.640
<v Speaker 1>the batting average up to two sixty. If he hits

0:55:09.680 --> 0:55:13.120
<v Speaker 1>forty home runs in Philly, which is definitely doable, he's

0:55:13.160 --> 0:55:14.919
<v Speaker 1>gonna he's gonna drive in a hundred and ten runs.

0:55:15.520 --> 0:55:17.040
<v Speaker 1>So that's why you're playing in the third round. Price

0:55:17.080 --> 0:55:19.200
<v Speaker 1>second I get it. It's a much better ballpark than Oakland.

0:55:19.480 --> 0:55:22.880
<v Speaker 1>So that's that's the difference in ADP. Should it be difference,

0:55:23.200 --> 0:55:25.920
<v Speaker 1>Probably not. I don't think it should be that that drastic.

0:55:26.880 --> 0:55:29.320
<v Speaker 1>And again it's like this is the range in the

0:55:29.640 --> 0:55:33.320
<v Speaker 1>third fourth round. I mean for Hoskins it works a

0:55:33.360 --> 0:55:35.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit more because he has the outfield eligibly. You know,

0:55:35.440 --> 0:55:37.160
<v Speaker 1>I want to grab outfielders early on. That's what I

0:55:37.200 --> 0:55:39.200
<v Speaker 1>want to do, so Reese Hoskins kind of fits that.

0:55:40.120 --> 0:55:43.560
<v Speaker 1>But I really do buy the adjustments that Madelson made,

0:55:43.640 --> 0:55:46.759
<v Speaker 1>lest in the progress that he made being this crew too.

0:55:47.440 --> 0:55:50.280
<v Speaker 1>I have him in this tier I have at eleven.

0:55:50.760 --> 0:55:53.520
<v Speaker 1>I had him just behind ad olson Um. He was

0:55:53.840 --> 0:55:56.440
<v Speaker 1>very the first half. Verse second half he was a

0:55:56.480 --> 0:55:59.279
<v Speaker 1>different player. So that was and look, he was never

0:55:59.320 --> 0:56:02.160
<v Speaker 1>gonna keep that up, but I mean the first half

0:56:02.239 --> 0:56:05.279
<v Speaker 1>he was, I mean he was, you know, he was

0:56:05.360 --> 0:56:07.440
<v Speaker 1>one of the ten best sluggers in baseball in the

0:56:07.480 --> 0:56:09.759
<v Speaker 1>first half of the season. Second half that goes down

0:56:09.800 --> 0:56:13.360
<v Speaker 1>to seven sixties. So you know, with guys like this,

0:56:13.600 --> 0:56:16.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, the like the thirty year old breakout players

0:56:16.719 --> 0:56:19.440
<v Speaker 1>like you kind of you get a little bit worried.

0:56:19.880 --> 0:56:23.080
<v Speaker 1>Great ballpark much better ballpark than Oakland. I still think,

0:56:23.120 --> 0:56:25.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think could be still a thirty or

0:56:25.239 --> 0:56:27.319
<v Speaker 1>thirty five home run guy. You worry a little bit

0:56:27.320 --> 0:56:29.120
<v Speaker 1>about the batting average. We're gonna be in the middle

0:56:29.120 --> 0:56:31.040
<v Speaker 1>of the line up. I think A R is very

0:56:31.040 --> 0:56:36.200
<v Speaker 1>similar to Bett Olsen, but he's also going thirty picks higher,

0:56:36.920 --> 0:56:39.359
<v Speaker 1>one hour down. Well more to go, whole lot more

0:56:40.840 --> 0:56:41.439
<v Speaker 1>program next