WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Championship Round) 0:00:00.880 --> 0:00:04.160 Ka boom boom. If you thought four hours a day, 0:00:05.160 --> 0:00:08.760 minutes a week was enough, think again. He's the last 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:12.480 remnants of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:15.560 He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.800 the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, to clearinghouse of 0:00:19.800 --> 0:00:23.599 hot takes, break free for something special. The Fifth Hour 0:00:23.760 --> 0:00:33.000 with Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, 0:00:33.159 --> 0:00:37.760 and it is another weekend upon us, The Fifth Hour 0:00:37.960 --> 0:00:45.159 with Ben Maller and Danny G Radio, and it is 0:00:45.360 --> 0:00:51.000 the next to last edition of Benny Versus the Penny. 0:00:51.040 --> 0:00:56.840 So let's strike up the band. Welcome players, You're welcome, 0:00:57.000 --> 0:01:03.840 Are you up? It's time now Penny versus the Penny. 0:01:07.560 --> 0:01:11.760 But then here we are Danny G. Championship Weekend in 0:01:11.840 --> 0:01:17.480 the NFL, and there are just three games left on 0:01:17.560 --> 0:01:20.800 the NFL calendar, and then we go into off season 0:01:20.920 --> 0:01:24.920 hibernation mode when the rumor rules the day. But we 0:01:25.000 --> 0:01:27.559 got a couple of games on Sunday which we will 0:01:27.640 --> 0:01:31.000 break down. But as you know, Danny, we must look 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:33.560 back before we look ahead. So we have to look 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:37.600 back to the divisional round. I told you the Penny 0:01:37.720 --> 0:01:40.840 was not gonna function like that. Two weeks in a row. 0:01:40.880 --> 0:01:43.600 I knew it. I called it. Yeah, I got smoked 0:01:43.640 --> 0:01:46.240 by the Penny the in the wild card round. Uh 0:01:46.959 --> 0:01:51.040 not not quite as good last week for the Penny. Yeah. 0:01:51.080 --> 0:01:54.120 And we've always joked about the Pro Bowl that it's 0:01:54.160 --> 0:01:57.080 turning into flag football, and now it really is going 0:01:57.120 --> 0:02:00.920 to be flag football. So the Penny we're off next week. 0:02:01.400 --> 0:02:04.400 So are we gonna do like a flag podcast? Yeah? 0:02:04.440 --> 0:02:06.840 I'm not sure. Should we handicap some of the gazzy 0:02:06.960 --> 0:02:09.280 things the NFL has come up with, like like are 0:02:09.320 --> 0:02:12.960 they doing like a potato sack raise? Like what what 0:02:13.080 --> 0:02:14.400 do the thing? I know they have a bunch of 0:02:14.440 --> 0:02:18.160 nonsense that there they're doing. It's all like for TikTok to. 0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:20.600 It's like the NFL is like they just are fully admitting, 0:02:20.680 --> 0:02:22.760 like they're they've given up. The players don't want to 0:02:22.760 --> 0:02:26.040 play football. The players a bunch of pussy willows and 0:02:26.120 --> 0:02:28.560 they don't want to play. And so I get it. 0:02:28.600 --> 0:02:31.200 I understand why they don't want to play. So now 0:02:31.240 --> 0:02:34.480 they're like, fuck it, We'll just we'll just promote the 0:02:34.919 --> 0:02:40.320 little video vignettes for for the Internet, for the kids. 0:02:41.080 --> 0:02:44.520 Gen z Man, we gotta get them watching. I can't 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:49.800 wait for the ultimate frisbee game. Yeah, that's that's must 0:02:49.800 --> 0:02:53.200 see TV, right, But but that's next weekend. We gotta 0:02:53.200 --> 0:02:56.359 get through the championship games this weekend. But let's look 0:02:56.400 --> 0:03:00.080 back at the Division A round now. The while of 0:03:00.080 --> 0:03:03.600 the card round, which began the playoffs, I got crushed. 0:03:03.639 --> 0:03:06.240 I only got one game, right, I went one four 0:03:06.280 --> 0:03:09.920 and one on wild card weekend. After a great regular season, 0:03:10.600 --> 0:03:13.600 I took it in the shorts. In wild card round, 0:03:13.880 --> 0:03:17.520 the penny went four one and one. The greatest week 0:03:17.639 --> 0:03:22.720 the penny had all year was on wild card weekend. 0:03:23.160 --> 0:03:26.280 But then last week the divisional round, there were four 0:03:26.320 --> 0:03:30.480 games played and I bounced back. I went three and 0:03:30.639 --> 0:03:34.080 one against the spread. So Benny's record three and one. 0:03:34.480 --> 0:03:38.160 The penny went too and two against the number, So 0:03:38.200 --> 0:03:41.880 that's five. You lose money on that. So there's two 0:03:41.920 --> 0:03:44.920 ways to look at this, Danny. Either overall, where I'm 0:03:45.000 --> 0:03:47.920 only five hundred in the playoffs and the penny is 0:03:48.440 --> 0:03:52.080 six three and one, or that we've had two weeks 0:03:52.080 --> 0:03:55.320 of the playoffs and I won one week in the 0:03:55.360 --> 0:03:58.000 penny one one week, so we're even. I like that 0:03:58.160 --> 0:04:01.600 six win record a little better. Yeah, but last week, 0:04:01.640 --> 0:04:06.280 if you took my picks, you won seventy your bets solid. 0:04:07.280 --> 0:04:09.120 You took the penny, you lost a little bit of money. 0:04:09.160 --> 0:04:11.840 You gotta be the tipping point right here. Yeah, this 0:04:11.840 --> 0:04:14.800 will be big this weekend. So the Bengals dominated last week. 0:04:14.840 --> 0:04:17.640 I had that. I had Cincinnati winning in a close 0:04:17.720 --> 0:04:21.080 game Jacksonville. I got a wee bit lucky on that 0:04:21.160 --> 0:04:24.920 Mahomes got hurt, but I also got the backdoor cover 0:04:25.040 --> 0:04:27.960 with Mahomes playing in the second half. The game I 0:04:28.000 --> 0:04:30.599 completely got wrong was the Giants. They got blown to 0:04:30.640 --> 0:04:33.760 smith of Reens by the Eagles, and the forty Niners 0:04:33.800 --> 0:04:36.680 did take care of business against the Cowboys. So that's 0:04:36.680 --> 0:04:38.520 how it went last week. But now we look ahead. 0:04:38.560 --> 0:04:40.120 There's just two games, so this is not gonna be 0:04:40.120 --> 0:04:44.719 a long winded podcast. Would be relatively short, but I 0:04:44.800 --> 0:04:47.280 am very for post dandy, so I think I can 0:04:47.320 --> 0:04:50.279 milk this for at least a solid half hour of content. 0:04:51.400 --> 0:04:55.039 So we'll see. My heart will be happy to hear that. Yeah, 0:04:55.080 --> 0:04:57.120 they need that. They need that sweet spot, right. It's 0:04:57.160 --> 0:04:59.960 like Ken Levine said, people do thirty minutes on the 0:05:00.080 --> 0:05:03.039 treadmill bend. We had kenn on you do thirty minute podcast. 0:05:03.040 --> 0:05:05.520 That's all. You gotta gotta be at least twenty five minutes, 0:05:05.600 --> 0:05:09.040 my man. That's all though. That's it, man. You get 0:05:09.080 --> 0:05:11.279 out of bed, you do twenty five minutes before you 0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:14.360 get out of that bedroom. I like, well, no, no, 0:05:14.440 --> 0:05:16.880 that's actually not true. All right. Uh so let's get 0:05:16.920 --> 0:05:20.160 to it right now. Championship Weekend Benny Versus the Penny 0:05:20.200 --> 0:05:27.440 and the early game in the NFC Sad Francisco and Philadelphia. 0:05:27.440 --> 0:05:32.160 It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen. They 0:05:32.160 --> 0:05:35.000 have the call. The Eagles opened up a three and 0:05:35.040 --> 0:05:38.560 a half point favorite. The Birds are a two and 0:05:38.600 --> 0:05:40.839 a half point favorite. The money is pretty even on 0:05:40.880 --> 0:05:43.679 this game. There's a slight lean to the home team 0:05:43.720 --> 0:05:49.600 in Philadelphia at Lincoln Financial Field, mostly sunny, and a 0:05:49.760 --> 0:05:53.520 kickoff temperature of forty eight degrees in South Philly for 0:05:53.640 --> 0:05:55.760 this one San Francisco. You look at some of the 0:05:55.839 --> 0:06:00.280 numbers on this game. Overall this season, the third team 0:06:00.320 --> 0:06:04.480 in six against the spread, the Eagles nine and nine, 0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:07.240 So they have not been that kind to the gambling 0:06:07.279 --> 0:06:11.240 market there, just nine and nine against the number. Kyle 0:06:11.360 --> 0:06:17.520 Shanahan in the playoffs has been a big baller in 0:06:17.560 --> 0:06:22.039 the playoffs, here's seven and one against the spread in 0:06:22.480 --> 0:06:27.200 eight playoff games, and that is actually tied with Doug Peterson, 0:06:27.960 --> 0:06:31.279 the Jacksonville coach, for the top against the spread record 0:06:31.360 --> 0:06:35.919 of any coach anywhere in the Super Bowl era minimum 0:06:36.000 --> 0:06:39.960 three games. He's also seven and oh against the spread. 0:06:40.000 --> 0:06:44.000 Shanahan is in playoff games prior to the Super Bowl, 0:06:44.040 --> 0:06:47.880 for whatever that's worth. And San Francisco has covered five 0:06:48.920 --> 0:06:54.120 straight games. That is the longest active streak in the NFL. 0:06:54.200 --> 0:06:58.760 But wait, there's more. Brock Purty has started seven games, 0:06:58.760 --> 0:07:01.560 including the playoffs, and you talk about going hog wild, 0:07:01.960 --> 0:07:06.840 Brock party six and one against the spread, and in 0:07:06.880 --> 0:07:10.640 his career as a starter, all of them as a favorite. 0:07:10.720 --> 0:07:14.480 That is tied for the fifth longest favorite streak to 0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:18.720 begin a career by any quarterback since the merger. That 0:07:18.800 --> 0:07:22.200 will end this weekend. As the Niners are a road 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:26.040 dog san Francisco's. They won twelve straight overall, their ten 0:07:26.120 --> 0:07:29.800 and two against the spread in that stretch, and Kyle 0:07:29.880 --> 0:07:33.480 Shanahan's got a sneaky good record as a road underdog 0:07:34.280 --> 0:07:39.760 nineteen and ten against the spread overall on the road 0:07:40.480 --> 0:07:43.720 and has been even better of lately. Of late last 0:07:43.720 --> 0:07:48.200 fifteen games, the Niners are twelve and three against the spread. 0:07:48.240 --> 0:07:50.880 So the numbers are are pretty good in favor of 0:07:50.920 --> 0:07:54.040 San Francisco. But for Philadelphia it's there's some good news 0:07:54.120 --> 0:07:57.920 there as well. Jalen Hurts nine two and one against 0:07:57.960 --> 0:08:01.320 the spread as a home favorite in his career. Seven 0:08:01.360 --> 0:08:04.560 times he has been a single digit home favorite, and 0:08:04.560 --> 0:08:08.800 the Eagles are seven and all against the spread in 0:08:08.920 --> 0:08:11.240 those games. So I'm giving you a lot of numbers. 0:08:11.280 --> 0:08:15.000 This is paralysis by analysis, but there's tons of numbers. 0:08:15.440 --> 0:08:19.960 The Eagles against the spread at home when they play 0:08:20.040 --> 0:08:23.560 teams from the West Coast, they have not done very well. 0:08:23.600 --> 0:08:27.520 I know this goes back to different vintages of the Eagles, 0:08:27.520 --> 0:08:31.720 but they're three and twelve against the spread at home 0:08:31.800 --> 0:08:35.160 Philly last fifteen games against teams that have traveled two 0:08:35.240 --> 0:08:37.680 thousand miles and more so those West Coast teams. The 0:08:37.760 --> 0:08:39.720 pick is in though, and I am going to take 0:08:40.360 --> 0:08:44.800 the San Francisco forty Niners. That's the big ticket here, 0:08:44.800 --> 0:08:49.400 and here's why San Francisco wins this game. With Nick Bosa, 0:08:49.960 --> 0:08:54.080 Fred Warner and that front seven limiting the Eagle running game, 0:08:54.120 --> 0:08:57.440 that's the secret saucer. The forty Niners had the NFL's 0:08:57.600 --> 0:09:01.640 number one run d fence that was tied actually with 0:09:01.679 --> 0:09:04.960 the Titans for number one, allowing three point four yards 0:09:04.960 --> 0:09:09.000 per carry. That is the ace in the hole here. Uh. 0:09:09.080 --> 0:09:12.880 And you look at the dominance of Jalen Hurts and 0:09:13.160 --> 0:09:15.439 you want to obviously force him to do what he's 0:09:15.480 --> 0:09:18.319 not particularly great at. And if you look at the 0:09:18.400 --> 0:09:22.320 run pass separation, he's a better runner than he is 0:09:22.320 --> 0:09:25.080 a thrower. So have him have to complete passes on 0:09:25.200 --> 0:09:29.440 third down and deal with the stress of a close game. 0:09:29.480 --> 0:09:33.679 The Eagles had an easy time as they turned the 0:09:33.720 --> 0:09:36.719 Giants into an omelet and actually not even an I 0:09:37.000 --> 0:09:40.600 was scrambled eggs last week. It is a different world, 0:09:41.440 --> 0:09:44.520 a different world with the Niners defense. Christian McCaffrey and 0:09:44.559 --> 0:09:48.040 Elijah Mitchell to to me going in this game are 0:09:48.080 --> 0:09:50.080 the folks. Now. The Eagles defense is pretty good too, 0:09:50.080 --> 0:09:52.280 I mean really good. In some areas they're actually better 0:09:52.320 --> 0:09:55.800 than the forty Niners. The run defense is not one 0:09:55.800 --> 0:09:59.040 of those areas. So statistically, based on what has happened 0:09:59.559 --> 0:10:01.960 now necessarily what's going to happen. That's why you play 0:10:02.040 --> 0:10:04.839 the game, and it's it's a matter of who does 0:10:04.880 --> 0:10:07.679 well in the moment. But the Eagles defense, they're one 0:10:07.679 --> 0:10:14.040 of their weak spots in the NFL against the run, 0:10:14.559 --> 0:10:17.840 so that ain't great. And so the Niners can matriculate 0:10:17.880 --> 0:10:20.720 the ball down the field, keep it close to the vest. 0:10:20.800 --> 0:10:25.160 The key here is you want a close game fourth quarter, obviously, 0:10:25.640 --> 0:10:28.959 because Philadelphia has not had a lot of those when 0:10:28.960 --> 0:10:31.560 they've had all their guys play. The thing that does 0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:35.440 give me pause is whether or not I keep going 0:10:35.520 --> 0:10:38.400 back to Brock Purty. Is he going to be able 0:10:38.440 --> 0:10:42.319 to get the job done now? Purdy has been ridunculously 0:10:42.440 --> 0:10:46.520 good in back to back player because he wasn't great 0:10:46.600 --> 0:10:49.600 last week, but he was good enough. He was better 0:10:49.640 --> 0:10:54.000 than Dak Prescott in order to win the game last week. 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:56.440 And if you look at some of the numbers here 0:10:56.480 --> 0:11:00.679 in the second half and some of the statistical breakdowns, 0:11:01.400 --> 0:11:04.280 and again a lot of is paralysis by analysis and 0:11:04.320 --> 0:11:07.520 all that, but when you look at the numbers and 0:11:07.600 --> 0:11:11.360 see how how good Purty has been against Seattle, which 0:11:11.559 --> 0:11:15.360 isn't a very good defense, and and then also against 0:11:15.960 --> 0:11:19.240 the Cowards, which do have a pretty good defense, it 0:11:19.280 --> 0:11:24.520 does give you more confidence that things are gonna work out. Actually, 0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:26.040 I wanted to bring up some of the stats here. 0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:28.480 I want to bring those up right now, because why not. 0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:32.040 We only have two games to break down, so we 0:11:32.080 --> 0:11:35.440 can do that right now. And uh let's see here, 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:40.280 brock Purty in the second half of these two playoff 0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:44.439 games that he's played has been insane. He's sixteen of 0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:49.640 twenty one, two hundred seventy yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions, 0:11:49.640 --> 0:11:56.360 and a one fifty passer rating. So that's uh yeah, 0:11:56.480 --> 0:12:01.280 one one fifty is the passer rating. Sixteen of twenty 0:12:01.360 --> 0:12:06.200 one though passing, so that seems like that will get 0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:10.160 it done. And uh yeah, but what do I know? Anyway, 0:12:10.600 --> 0:12:13.199 that is it. I'm gonna take the forty Niners twenty 0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:18.880 three and the Philip Delphi Eagles. I'm sorry, Fat's in Philly. 0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:29.480 They will score twenty points Niners over the Eagles. And 0:12:29.880 --> 0:12:34.240 no surprise here, the penny lands on heads. That means 0:12:34.280 --> 0:12:37.880 going with the home team, big bend, Philly in the house. 0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:42.600 It is Philly's house. The Eagles are gonna win. Well, 0:12:42.600 --> 0:12:45.440 the Eagle fans will will make the pilgrimage, as will 0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:47.880 the forty Niner fans to Arizona. So there will be 0:12:47.920 --> 0:12:53.000 the people from Philadelphia travel well some more forty Niner 0:12:53.120 --> 0:12:57.720 porn for brock Purty. The Niners in that last game 0:12:57.760 --> 0:13:02.160 against the Cowboys, brock Purty had The Niners had nine 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:06.199 offensive possessions pretty had a completion of sixteen or more 0:13:06.280 --> 0:13:10.800 yards on seven of them against that Dallas defense. Of 0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:14.800 the ten in completions he had against the Cowboys, four 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:17.800 of them he threw the ball away and two of 0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:21.240 them were tipped. So my computer like brain tells me 0:13:21.320 --> 0:13:25.280 that he really only had four natural incompletions where he 0:13:25.360 --> 0:13:29.080 fucked up. The other times were throwaways or passes were 0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:33.240 tipped at the line of scrimmage. So we'll see what 0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:36.000 happens in this NFC Championship game. Now we get to 0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:43.000 the late game on Championship Sunday, Cincinnati at King City. 0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:48.839 It's on CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo. They 0:13:48.880 --> 0:13:52.920 have the call on this one, and the Chiefs opened 0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:54.560 up a two and a half point favorite. Now it 0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:57.760 is interesting on this game because early in the week 0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:03.439 the line shifted back to Cincinnati. They were favored by one, 0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:07.640 and as we are doing this, you don't know when 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:10.280 we were we do this penny versus the Penny as 0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.040 we're doing it right now. The Chiefs are a one 0:14:12.080 --> 0:14:16.040 point favorite. The money on this fifty eight percent of 0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:19.520 the action is in favor of the road team, So 0:14:19.560 --> 0:14:22.680 the public does like Cincinnati in this game, a lean 0:14:22.840 --> 0:14:27.800 towards the Bengals at Arrowhead Stadium, cloudy and eighteen degrees 0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:30.880 at kickoff. I was on back on Thursday. I was 0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:33.640 on with my guys on six ten Sports in Kansas City. 0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:36.680 My my buddy Josh, He informed me, I did not 0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:39.760 know this technology existed, Danny, but he's the sideline reporter 0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:42.280 for the Chiefs and he's a buddy of mine, and 0:14:42.320 --> 0:14:44.240 he told me, you know it's gonna be very called. 0:14:44.280 --> 0:14:48.880 Eighteen degrees at kickoff. This guy's wandering around the field 0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:50.360 that arrow had. I said, what the hell, what do you? 0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:52.080 What do you do there? How many layers do you have? 0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:56.400 And he said the Chiefs hooked him up. They actually 0:14:56.400 --> 0:15:00.240 have jackets which have a returned are you I'm not 0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:02.600 I wasn't away. They have jackets that have a rechargeable 0:15:02.640 --> 0:15:05.960 battery in them. I have never heard of this, right, Yeah, 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:08.240 we live in California. We don't have to worry about that. 0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:13.240 So this jacket like it's it's it's actually not that pricey. 0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:15.000 I thought it would be a lot more. It's like, 0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:16.840 you know, it's a hundred and fifty two hundred bucks. 0:15:16.880 --> 0:15:20.280 It's expensive. But there's this company that makes it, and 0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:24.280 I think they're based in in the Midwest, but they 0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:27.560 probably should be if they're not. Uh, it's really cool, 0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:30.440 Like these are like nice looking regular jackets you would 0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:34.160 never know and you just you can recharge the battery 0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:37.000 in the battery last like ten hours, so you're like 0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:42.320 walking around with a remote heating blanket. Exactly. How cool 0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:45.040 is that? And they have they have heated socks that 0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:48.640 have a battery in them, and they have gloves that 0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:50.800 are like that as well. Boy, if I lived in 0:15:50.920 --> 0:15:53.640 a really nasty weather place, i'd get those. I'd be fine. 0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:55.960 I wouldn't mind. The weather wouldn't be that bad. We 0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:58.600 could get those for our girls, even here in California, 0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:00.880 so they could quit their whining. Exactly. You know what 0:16:00.920 --> 0:16:03.560 I'm gonna send you. Hold on a second, I mean, yeah, said, 0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:07.320 you'll send you the website. I'm dying. My girl dies 0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:11.520 when it's thirty nine degrees outside. Yeah, it was thirty 0:16:11.600 --> 0:16:14.920 nine this week. Actually, I'll I'm gonna send you the 0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:18.440 link right here, click this over here. And they're not 0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:20.240 a sponsor, but if they want to be a sponsor, 0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:23.880 will be more than happy to take some sponsorship dollars. 0:16:23.960 --> 0:16:26.760 But yeah, that's the place. Yeah, because I said, yeah, 0:16:26.800 --> 0:16:29.360 maybe I should get the they have women's that's a men's. 0:16:29.400 --> 0:16:30.920 I sent you the link to the men's but they 0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:36.480 have about women's stuff too, and yeah, yeah, I'm looking 0:16:36.520 --> 0:16:38.720 at it right now. Yeah this doesn't that just look 0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:42.080 like normal stuff? Yeah? Not bad looking? Yeah, I mean 0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:45.280 it looks fine and and uh yeah, anyway, so there 0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:49.800 you go. They got all kinds of heated, heated crapola there. 0:16:50.000 --> 0:16:52.680 So a lot of vests, a lot of I'm not 0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:54.680 a big vest guy, they have a lot of vests there, 0:16:55.480 --> 0:16:58.200 which is which is really not my thing. We're asking 0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:01.960 for my phone number for Should I do it? Uh? 0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:04.399 I think you should give your Social Security number instead 0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:07.040 of your phone. I think that would be better my 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:12.560 Twitter handle, Yeah, yeah, exactly, exactly. Alright. Anyway, so it's 0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:14.159 gonna be cold. The point is gonna be cold in 0:17:14.240 --> 0:17:16.520 Kansas City. The chiefs, as we said, one point favorite 0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:19.560 some of the numbers on this Cincinnati, Kansas City game 0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:25.040 Cincinnati thirteen and five this season against the spread Kansas 0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:28.520 City seven and eleven, which is good if you need 0:17:28.560 --> 0:17:31.240 a late night snack, but not if that's your record 0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:36.240 against the spread. Kansas City eleven losses against the spread. 0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:40.040 That is the most by any team entering the conference 0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:43.800 championship game in the Super Bowl era. And check this out. 0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:45.919 This is a fun fact you can impress your friends 0:17:45.920 --> 0:17:50.040 with this weekend. It is the worst against the spread 0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:54.000 percentage by any team entering the game since the nineteen 0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:59.600 nineties seven Green Bay Packers with Brett Farve a generation ago. 0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:02.800 So that's how far back you have to go to 0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:05.600 find a team that was worse for gamblers that got 0:18:05.640 --> 0:18:10.960 the championship weekend the Nackers. Now, none of the previous 0:18:11.040 --> 0:18:16.000 five teams that that have had cover percentages below four hundred, 0:18:16.200 --> 0:18:20.040 like the Chiefs entering the conference championship game have gone 0:18:20.080 --> 0:18:24.600 on to win the Super Bowl, and only the seven 0:18:24.720 --> 0:18:28.520 Green Bay Packers have even reached the Super Bowls. So 0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:32.600 there's a random odd gambling fact for you that this 0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:35.960 has not happened. A team is bad against the gambling 0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:42.240 market as the Chiefs since the Brett Farve Packers twenty 0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:46.360 six years ago. That is a generation generations twenty five 0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:48.879 years and so that's how far back you have to go. 0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:54.040 Patrick Mahomes, he was briefly a home underdog. He is 0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:58.479 not now. If this changes, remember that he's only been 0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:02.359 a home underdog one time in his career. He lost 0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:05.600 by four points as a two and apt point home 0:19:05.640 --> 0:19:12.280 dog against Buffalo in Week six. Entering this week, Patrick 0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:17.960 Mahomes has been favored in seven of home starts. That 0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:21.919 is the second highest percentage of any quarterback with at 0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:25.920 least twenty five starts in the Super Bowl era, obviously 0:19:25.960 --> 0:19:29.760 including the playoffs. The only one we actually used this 0:19:29.800 --> 0:19:31.840 on the radio show the other night, Danny, the only 0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:36.480 one that's been better percentage wise than Mahomes. You want 0:19:36.520 --> 0:19:38.200 to take a guess on who it is, Danny, want 0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:39.879 to throw a name out just to see if you 0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:44.760 can just throw something against the wall here percentage wise. Yeah, 0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:50.680 this guy was favored in sixties six of sixties seven 0:19:50.840 --> 0:19:59.879 starts at home. Oh wow, Uh, let's see Joe Montana. 0:20:00.359 --> 0:20:03.959 That's a great guest. Not Joe Montesse. Actually before Montana 0:20:05.880 --> 0:20:10.040 from the Dallas Cowboys. Roger stab Yeah, he was favored 0:20:10.040 --> 0:20:12.840 in sixties six of sixties seven starts. That is the 0:20:12.920 --> 0:20:16.280 highest winning percentage at home or the highest percentage of 0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:18.199 home starts favorite. I should say the didn't win all 0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:21.960 those games or else that boy. Kansas City has been 0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:25.359 favored in fourteen straight playoff games entering this week, and 0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:26.960 as of right now they are favorites, so that'd be 0:20:27.040 --> 0:20:31.800 fift straight. That is the longest streak of any team 0:20:31.840 --> 0:20:34.600 in this modern Super Bowl era that we're in right now. 0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:39.040 And mahomes the streak, it appears, will continue. He's never 0:20:39.119 --> 0:20:43.679 been a playoff underdog. He's the first and only quarterback 0:20:43.720 --> 0:20:45.640 in the Super Bowl Ear to be favored in each 0:20:45.640 --> 0:20:50.520 of his first twelve playoffs starts. So I'm giving a 0:20:50.520 --> 0:20:54.399 lot of information here, um, but you know, take it 0:20:54.600 --> 0:20:56.680 with a gran of salt if you want. Kansas City 0:20:56.800 --> 0:21:00.399 when they played Cincinnati back in Week thirteen, the Chiefs 0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:03.440 were a two and a half point home or two 0:21:03.400 --> 0:21:06.840 and half point road favorite in that game when they 0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:10.320 met there. Now, Kansas City is a home they were 0:21:10.320 --> 0:21:13.280 at home down, not the only favorite by one. So 0:21:13.320 --> 0:21:16.719 this doesn't doesn't change that much. It's a three three 0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:19.280 and a half point swing. But if you look at 0:21:19.280 --> 0:21:21.800 the Bengals and what they've been doing for the gambling market. 0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:25.240 Cincinnati twenty one and five their last twenty six games, 0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:31.480 including the playoffs, and they have been stunningly good when 0:21:31.560 --> 0:21:37.240 not laying at least seven points, seven straight covers nineteen 0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:40.800 and one, the Bengals record their last twenty when not 0:21:40.920 --> 0:21:44.240 laying at least seven points, and Joe Burrow eighteen and 0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:50.040 one against the spread in that span, So there's there's 0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:54.520 a lot of crazy stats on this game. The Bengals 0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:58.560 have been a great road team. They've covered five straight 0:21:58.800 --> 0:22:02.120 road games heading into this matchup at Arrowhead on Sunday, 0:22:02.119 --> 0:22:05.240 and the pick is in. I know you're you're dying 0:22:05.280 --> 0:22:10.600 to find out. It's gonna change your life in amazing 0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:15.479 ways unless it doesn't. But I am taking the Cincinnati 0:22:15.760 --> 0:22:19.879 Bengals to get back to the Super Bowl back to 0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:24.000 back and belly to belly, and I'm gonna ride the 0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:29.440 healthy quarterback. That was the thing that pushed me over 0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:34.280 the edge with Cincinnati Patrick Mahomes high ankle sprain. I 0:22:34.359 --> 0:22:38.480 can't get past that. That is the point of demarcation. 0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:42.120 These teams are ridiculously close. I'm not picking the Bengals 0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:46.120 because Joe Burrow has never lost the Kansas City. I'm 0:22:46.160 --> 0:22:51.520 not doing that that these teams are separated by really 0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:54.320 a hair here, a hare there. But to me, the 0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:57.680 bum ankles the thing. You bet on the healthier quarterback, 0:22:57.800 --> 0:23:02.120 Joe Burrow, and you're right it out. Burro has also 0:23:02.720 --> 0:23:08.320 dominated against the blitz and that is a staple of 0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:13.640 the Kansas City defensive attack. They are known to blitz 0:23:13.680 --> 0:23:17.720 as much as anybody in the NFL, and Joe Burrow 0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:22.600 has been able to exploit that on a regular basis. 0:23:22.800 --> 0:23:27.119 If that does continue, now, I am betting on the 0:23:27.160 --> 0:23:30.040 Bengals in part because he's the healthier quarterback, but just 0:23:30.160 --> 0:23:32.679 for s and giggles, and I'll throw the curse at 0:23:32.680 --> 0:23:34.919 the benbino out. Do you know, even Danny I didn't know. 0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:38.000 I had to look this up. Who is the backup quarterback? 0:23:38.720 --> 0:23:41.159 God forbid? Joe Burrow gets hurt in the a f 0:23:41.240 --> 0:23:47.439 C Championship game. Uh Marcus tuliasa sopo. That is a 0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:53.000 wonderful guess. Unfortunately it is not correct. And also not 0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:56.639 David Klingler, which is another great name from the past. 0:23:56.920 --> 0:24:03.320 Uh oh, the great Sevans. Uh No, no, it is 0:24:03.760 --> 0:24:08.600 somebody named Brandon Allen, an old Arkansas razorback who he 0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:15.040 played for the Rams briefly, the great Brandon Alan, who 0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:18.240 has been let's see here, he's been waived once twice, 0:24:18.359 --> 0:24:22.000 three times. Uh, let's see here. He was a COVID 0:24:22.080 --> 0:24:27.200 quarterback for Cincinnati, has been waived three times, claimed off waivers. 0:24:28.119 --> 0:24:31.120 He's I mean, there's I'm looking at his transactions here 0:24:32.080 --> 0:24:35.320 and he's had a lot of moving around a lot 0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:38.560 of moving around there. But he is the backup quarterback 0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:42.480 for Cincinnati. So the high ankle sprain, though, I've seen 0:24:42.520 --> 0:24:44.439 this a lot over the years, and it's always been 0:24:44.480 --> 0:24:47.040 at least a month and a half injury, even if 0:24:47.080 --> 0:24:51.200 it's a minor injury. So the only way that this 0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:55.359 does not work out for Cincinnati is if the Chiefs 0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:59.440 are full of crap and they are blowing smoke here 0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:01.359 and it's not actually high ankle sprain. And I do 0:25:01.480 --> 0:25:04.560 realize that the Chiefs are gonna drug up Mahomes and 0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:08.200 he'll be on all kinds of painkillers and all kinds 0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:12.640 of gobbledegook and what your McCall it chemicals to get 0:25:12.720 --> 0:25:15.800