WEBVTT - 2018 Sony Open Preview and Picks with Paulie 0:00:00.080 --> 0:00:02.840 I miss the green. For example, I'm already upset. When 0:00:02.840 --> 0:00:04.960 I find my ball in the bunker, I'm really upset. 0:00:05.040 --> 0:00:07.000 And when I find my ball in a frid Egg, 0:00:07.240 --> 0:00:10.080 Friday Egg, the dreaded Friday Egg, Frida Egg, Frida Egg, 0:00:10.680 --> 0:00:13.000 Frida egg bride egg Lie, I'm about ready to run 0:00:13.039 --> 0:00:14.120 off of the course. 0:00:39.600 --> 0:00:42.879 Ladies and gentlemen, Welcome back to another edition of the 0:00:42.880 --> 0:00:48.040 Friday Egg Podcast. Today, I'm joined by Polly, the legendary 0:00:48.120 --> 0:00:52.600 picks man. Welcome on, Hey, Andy, how's it going? Hanging 0:00:52.680 --> 0:00:55.640 in there? Figures the week I go to l a 0:00:55.640 --> 0:01:00.560 at rains here, So short day, but uh gave me 0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:03.160 more time to get ready to talk about the PGA tour. 0:01:03.960 --> 0:01:05.920 Well, you're missing the heat wave back in Chicago. I 0:01:05.920 --> 0:01:07.320 think it might have actually hit thirty today. 0:01:07.440 --> 0:01:10.160 So it's about a tough winner. 0:01:10.520 --> 0:01:12.840 That's about forty degrees normal, higher than them we've had 0:01:13.040 --> 0:01:13.520 for normal. 0:01:13.760 --> 0:01:17.320 Yeah, why did to talk a little tour golf? PGA 0:01:17.400 --> 0:01:20.640 tour kicked off. What'd you think of last week's event? 0:01:22.120 --> 0:01:25.760 I mean, DJ just absolutely dominated. I mean he literally 0:01:26.000 --> 0:01:29.800 just was able to hit his driver wherever he wanted 0:01:29.880 --> 0:01:31.720 on that course, and it just gave him such an 0:01:31.760 --> 0:01:35.199 immense advantage that there was hardly anybody in the field 0:01:35.200 --> 0:01:38.000 that could have competed with him at that level. And 0:01:38.040 --> 0:01:40.240 we've seen that in the past where Jordan has won 0:01:40.280 --> 0:01:43.280 a capaloo as well, or justin Thomas to where when 0:01:43.280 --> 0:01:47.280 those guys are on their game, there's not many other 0:01:47.319 --> 0:01:49.320 players in the field that can even come close to 0:01:49.360 --> 0:01:51.360 competing with them. As we can see, John Rahm played 0:01:51.360 --> 0:01:54.560 great the whole week and still was not even in 0:01:54.600 --> 0:01:55.800 the same ballpark as DJ. 0:01:57.200 --> 0:02:00.240 Yeah, I think it's something that gets a little blown 0:02:00.280 --> 0:02:02.800 out of proportion when one of these guys wins by 0:02:02.960 --> 0:02:05.440 like seven or eight, and you know there's only a 0:02:05.480 --> 0:02:07.960 handful of guys that can do it. John Rahm did 0:02:07.960 --> 0:02:10.919 it actually in Ireland last year at that Rollox event. 0:02:11.120 --> 0:02:15.120 But it's you know, people make these knee jerk reactions 0:02:15.160 --> 0:02:18.680 when they see Dustin Johnson one by eight. But you know, 0:02:19.200 --> 0:02:22.520 when DJ plays as good as he can play, he's 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:25.960 probably gonna win by a handful of shots. 0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:27.799 Agree with that. 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:31.680 It's a long season, and it's uh, we've only seen 0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:34.840 one golfer in the in my lifetime, in your lifetime 0:02:34.840 --> 0:02:37.400 that can really sustain the dominant level play for a 0:02:37.400 --> 0:02:41.480 long time. It will be very interesting to see dj 0:02:42.320 --> 0:02:44.560 uh this year, though. I kind of feel like he 0:02:44.639 --> 0:02:46.440 could be on for a big year. 0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:49.360 Yeah, I definitely agree with that. He kind of has 0:02:49.360 --> 0:02:51.200 a little bit of a chip on his shoulder after 0:02:51.280 --> 0:02:53.160 the way he played last year and then getting hurt 0:02:53.200 --> 0:02:55.760 before August to where he could have went out an 0:02:55.760 --> 0:02:58.480 absolute tear head. He possibly stayed healthy at that point, 0:02:58.560 --> 0:03:00.400 So it'd be interesting if he can do that this year. 0:03:01.240 --> 0:03:03.240 Yeah, yeah, I think he. I think he will. But 0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:06.680 you know, at this point, he's got so many wins. 0:03:06.720 --> 0:03:09.560 I wrote this in the newsletter, but it's more about 0:03:09.720 --> 0:03:12.520 adding majors because he's I mean, he's right on the 0:03:12.520 --> 0:03:14.880 borderline of a Hall of Fame career already. 0:03:15.639 --> 0:03:18.160 Yeah, hear that. And the fact is that he still 0:03:18.160 --> 0:03:20.079 has a lot of years of prime golf ahead of 0:03:20.160 --> 0:03:21.560 him too. It's not like he's, you know, in his 0:03:21.639 --> 0:03:24.839 forties in doing this, right, He's literally in the peak 0:03:24.919 --> 0:03:25.320 right now. 0:03:25.919 --> 0:03:28.959 So did anybody else impress you last week? 0:03:31.160 --> 0:03:33.040 There were there were a few guys. I mean, I 0:03:33.080 --> 0:03:35.840 saw Mark Leishman again just continues to continue his strong 0:03:35.880 --> 0:03:39.280 play from the fall, and once again he's another good 0:03:39.320 --> 0:03:41.000 guy that's playing in the wins. So it'll be interesting 0:03:41.000 --> 0:03:42.560 to see if he's able to carry that over to 0:03:43.040 --> 0:03:45.160 you know, a track this week where he's you know, 0:03:45.440 --> 0:03:48.080 had some decent success, but wondering if you could maybe 0:03:48.160 --> 0:03:49.920 take that, you know, the next leap to where he 0:03:50.400 --> 0:03:54.040 starts winning you know, two three times a year on tour. 0:03:54.200 --> 0:03:56.200 I mean, because I think he won twice last year. 0:03:56.280 --> 0:03:58.360 Can he continue the trend this year? Yeah? 0:03:58.520 --> 0:04:02.800 I mean finishing seventh with a third round seventy six, 0:04:02.840 --> 0:04:06.480 it's pretty impressive. And uh, I think you know, Leishman's 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:09.840 got the whole package game. You know, T Degreen, he's 0:04:09.880 --> 0:04:13.040 really solid, he was long, he's got great iron player 0:04:13.360 --> 0:04:16.640 and you know, when that putter gets going, he's tough 0:04:16.680 --> 0:04:18.279 to beat. What about my boy? 0:04:18.360 --> 0:04:22.440 See wu Seawoo. The interesting thing is Seawou actually played 0:04:22.440 --> 0:04:26.080 that well last week and he didn't putt great. So 0:04:26.080 --> 0:04:28.000 so the scary thing is that if he actually putted 0:04:28.040 --> 0:04:30.840 last week well, he would have he would have had 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:33.120 a lot higher finish. I think he ended up losing 0:04:33.160 --> 0:04:35.240 I think about two and a half shots Strokes Stane 0:04:35.240 --> 0:04:38.680 putting last week, so he very easily could have been, 0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:40.640 you know, top five had he putted just a little 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:41.200 bit better. 0:04:41.000 --> 0:04:43.520 There Sea Wou's gonna have a big year this year, 0:04:43.839 --> 0:04:48.520 he im. I'm convinced. I everybody likes to rag on 0:04:48.600 --> 0:04:50.680 him for last year he won the Players, but he 0:04:50.800 --> 0:04:53.159 was injured all year, Like, how can you you know, 0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:55.080 I got in a little tiff with a with a 0:04:55.120 --> 0:04:57.600 guy on Twitter about this, but like, how can you 0:04:57.680 --> 0:05:00.720 analyze somebody's stats when he's when he's in injured all year? 0:05:01.880 --> 0:05:04.000 Yeah? I agree with that. And then the best thing 0:05:04.040 --> 0:05:05.680 is that I see what was one of my favorite guys 0:05:05.680 --> 0:05:08.400 in terms of, like on a betting perspective, because he 0:05:08.440 --> 0:05:12.040 has such bad finishes that based probably almost like recency biaster, 0:05:12.200 --> 0:05:15.160 that his odds ended up being so bad like last 0:05:15.240 --> 0:05:16.560 year he was five hundred and one to win the 0:05:16.600 --> 0:05:20.640 Players that would or even even even like last week, 0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:23.280 I think he was fifty or sixty one. I think 0:05:23.279 --> 0:05:25.160 he's seventy or eighty to one to win this week 0:05:25.520 --> 0:05:28.559 he finished. And in reality, he's won twice on tour ready, 0:05:28.680 --> 0:05:31.120 so he's gonna win more often than than one out 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:32.960 of seventy or one out of eighty times. 0:05:33.240 --> 0:05:36.160 I think he had a third or fourth place finish 0:05:36.279 --> 0:05:40.520 at Sony in twenty sixteen. His rookie year brought him 0:05:40.560 --> 0:05:42.000 up for a reason. I think this is a good, 0:05:42.120 --> 0:05:44.600 good track for him. I think he's just going to 0:05:44.640 --> 0:05:48.040 have a good year In terms of twenty eighteen, I mean, 0:05:48.080 --> 0:05:50.200 I mean, we're at the this is the first full 0:05:50.520 --> 0:05:54.320 full field event of the year. What are you kind 0:05:54.320 --> 0:05:55.160 of looking forward to. 0:05:56.520 --> 0:05:59.080 I'm looking forward to seeing how some of these some 0:05:59.120 --> 0:06:01.359 of the rookies that played in the Fall series in 0:06:01.400 --> 0:06:03.720 some of the smaller events, how they kind of handle 0:06:03.760 --> 0:06:06.280 the pressure of the mainstream PGA tour out to where 0:06:06.520 --> 0:06:08.839 they're you know, they're being able to play a couple 0:06:08.920 --> 0:06:11.520 events in a row here and the pressures of having 0:06:11.600 --> 0:06:15.520 to perform well before the next reshuffle. So you give 0:06:15.600 --> 0:06:18.440 some guys like Austin Cook who already obviously won on 0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:20.400 tour in the fall, and they don't have to worry 0:06:20.400 --> 0:06:21.960 about that. But there's a lot of guys in the 0:06:22.040 --> 0:06:25.320 middle of the pack there, or rookies who these next 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:27.480 three or four events are very crucial to whether they're 0:06:27.480 --> 0:06:30.000 able to retain their card for the year. Yeah. 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:33.280 I always love watching rookies at this time of the year. 0:06:33.560 --> 0:06:39.240 It's an underrated storyline in terms of what gets coverage, 0:06:39.240 --> 0:06:41.880 But this is kind of a make or break time 0:06:41.920 --> 0:06:44.719 for rookies if they if they perform well, they're going 0:06:44.800 --> 0:06:46.320 to be set for the rest of the year. And 0:06:47.279 --> 0:06:50.039 I'd be interested to see like a statistical analysis. I 0:06:50.040 --> 0:06:53.240 think Jake Nichols did one at one point where he 0:06:53.360 --> 0:06:56.040 talked at you know, like early season performance and how 0:06:56.279 --> 0:06:58.719 I mean the correlation to keeping their card is like 0:06:59.040 --> 0:07:02.919 so through the roof. But I highlighted a couple guys 0:07:02.960 --> 0:07:06.599 that I'm watching in particular like these early events. Obviously, 0:07:06.640 --> 0:07:10.040 like Peter u Lines, the big the big name that 0:07:10.160 --> 0:07:13.720 everybody knows, former number one ranked player in the world 0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:18.040 as an amateur European Tour winner, played on the European 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:24.160 Tour since he graduated, so about six years. But then 0:07:24.440 --> 0:07:27.560 really young kid Aaron Wise, who I believe is only 0:07:27.640 --> 0:07:32.920 twenty one NCAA champion from Oregon. I'm really I mean, 0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:35.680 as far as talent goes, he's he's got to be 0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:39.040 one of the ten most talented player young players in 0:07:39.080 --> 0:07:42.240 the game. And then another guy that I'm looking at 0:07:42.360 --> 0:07:47.080 is Sam Ryder, who was known kind of on the 0:07:47.120 --> 0:07:50.880 web tour as the best player t de Green out there. 0:07:51.240 --> 0:07:53.840 So Sam Ryder's one that I don't think he played 0:07:53.880 --> 0:07:56.800 that great in the in the fall, but I expect 0:07:56.880 --> 0:08:00.000 him to play really well in these next couple events. 0:08:01.080 --> 0:08:03.280 Yeah, I could definitely see Ryder playing good this week 0:08:03.400 --> 0:08:05.920 just because his game suits up perfect the for the 0:08:05.960 --> 0:08:07.560 golf course, because he's be able to keep it in 0:08:07.560 --> 0:08:09.600 playoff the tee and be able to hit the small 0:08:09.600 --> 0:08:11.360 greens out here just no matter whether he can make 0:08:11.400 --> 0:08:12.040 putts for the week. 0:08:12.320 --> 0:08:16.400 So from a statistical standpoint, what kind of stats do 0:08:16.480 --> 0:08:18.320 you look at for this week, Sony. 0:08:19.360 --> 0:08:21.280 So in terms of looking at the Sony, I'm looking 0:08:21.280 --> 0:08:23.480 for guys that are able to really control their iron 0:08:23.520 --> 0:08:26.400 shots because you're gonna have a lot of approaches coming 0:08:26.400 --> 0:08:28.320 into the greens from that one to twenty five to 0:08:28.360 --> 0:08:32.800 one seventy five range, and traditionally you haven't seen distance 0:08:32.840 --> 0:08:36.120 off the tea being a huge factor for success here. Obviously, 0:08:36.200 --> 0:08:38.760 there's outliers to that, like Justin Thomas last year, who 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:41.599 decided hit driver everywhere and he pretty much headed on 0:08:41.640 --> 0:08:43.840 a string, so he made it into like a pitching 0:08:43.880 --> 0:08:46.480 put golf course. But if you look back at the 0:08:46.520 --> 0:08:50.480 winners of his golf course, you have guys like in 0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:55.200 twenty sixty at Fabian Gomez you've had Johnson, Wagner, Mark Wilson, 0:08:55.360 --> 0:08:59.199 Zach Johnson, kJ Toroy, Paul Goidos, David Thoms. Those aren't 0:08:59.200 --> 0:09:02.240 necessarily your bomber. They're more of your tacticians, the guys 0:09:02.240 --> 0:09:04.160 that will place it in the right, in the right 0:09:04.240 --> 0:09:07.200 portion of the fairway, attack their correct portion of the green, 0:09:07.320 --> 0:09:10.480 leave in the correct spot and the greens there. If 0:09:10.520 --> 0:09:12.719 you're in the correct spot, you can make a lot 0:09:12.720 --> 0:09:14.800 of putts on those greens because they're rolling pretty true. 0:09:15.240 --> 0:09:18.520 Yeah, that's a kind of a rainer and the course 0:09:18.600 --> 0:09:21.040 isn't it. So the course is a Seth Rainer design, 0:09:21.160 --> 0:09:24.720 But I mean not all of it's really intact because 0:09:24.920 --> 0:09:27.199 it's been, you know, messed with over the years. They 0:09:27.240 --> 0:09:31.320 sold some of the land to the hotel, the Kahala Hotel, 0:09:31.400 --> 0:09:34.000 and it was a drastic rerouting. But one of the 0:09:34.040 --> 0:09:36.560 things with Seth Rayner greens is if you're in the 0:09:36.640 --> 0:09:40.640 right area, you've got really makeable putts and they're pretty straight. 0:09:40.960 --> 0:09:45.000 So it's a place that definitely rewards precise iron play. 0:09:45.280 --> 0:09:48.839 In terms of the golf course, I mean, I really 0:09:48.880 --> 0:09:52.120 like this golf course. Justin Thomas was really the first 0:09:52.120 --> 0:09:55.560 one to expose it. In the sense of cutting corners 0:09:55.559 --> 0:09:58.760 the way he did. I talked with Dope ahead of 0:09:59.160 --> 0:10:02.200 the last podcast with Tom dok that went up on 0:10:02.280 --> 0:10:05.240 Monday was all about this. He's the consulting architect here. 0:10:05.600 --> 0:10:08.760 He talked about how Thomas those lines he took were 0:10:08.800 --> 0:10:12.680 so aggressive and if he wasn't on just right, you know, 0:10:12.760 --> 0:10:14.280 all of a sudden, he's in a lot of a 0:10:14.280 --> 0:10:17.440 lot of tough spots. So it'll it'll be interesting to 0:10:17.480 --> 0:10:21.200 see if if Thomas employs the same strategy this week. 0:10:21.480 --> 0:10:23.760 I mean, he's not coming in with the same form 0:10:23.800 --> 0:10:24.800 as he had last year. 0:10:26.400 --> 0:10:28.160 Yeah, but I think I think it's just his aggressive 0:10:28.240 --> 0:10:32.760 nature to where he's gonna play. I think the same 0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:34.720 way he did last year in terms of just pulling driver, 0:10:34.800 --> 0:10:36.719 because that's just the way that he kind of goes 0:10:36.760 --> 0:10:39.440 ahead and plays because he knows if he happens to 0:10:39.480 --> 0:10:42.360 have a good week driving, it's going to be difficult 0:10:42.400 --> 0:10:44.280 for others to content with him. He could do something 0:10:44.320 --> 0:10:46.760 like it did last year. And you know, even if 0:10:46.800 --> 0:10:48.640 he doesn't drive it as great as that, maybe just 0:10:48.679 --> 0:10:51.600 a little bit worse, he can still potentially win this 0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:52.760 just because of his driver. 0:10:53.240 --> 0:10:56.600 Yeah, yeah, definitely, I mean that was a record setting 0:10:56.640 --> 0:11:00.680 performance last year, so if he's a eight percent of 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:03.360 what he was last year, will probably win. Getting into 0:11:03.480 --> 0:11:06.760 kind of players for this week and what you're looking at, 0:11:07.200 --> 0:11:09.960 let's let's first go into the one and done and 0:11:10.080 --> 0:11:12.640 you know, everybody's season is kicking off, so people are 0:11:12.640 --> 0:11:14.880 looking to get off to a good start. I know 0:11:14.960 --> 0:11:17.600 I am. I haven't been doing very well in fantasy 0:11:17.640 --> 0:11:18.280 golf lately. 0:11:20.440 --> 0:11:22.000 Yeah, I mean, I think there's a couple of good 0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:25.560 options this week. I wouldn't necessarily want us to go 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:27.400 the route of taking one of the top guns in 0:11:27.440 --> 0:11:29.360 terms of like Speather Thomas this week, but I think 0:11:29.400 --> 0:11:31.160 one of the guys that I'm gonna be looking at 0:11:31.160 --> 0:11:33.040 for my league is gonna be Brian Harmon this week. 0:11:33.720 --> 0:11:36.560 He's coming in after playing very well last week. He 0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:39.480 has good course history, you know, finishing top twenty the 0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:42.440 last three years here. And if you think of the 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:44.360 guys that have won here in the past, me as 0:11:44.360 --> 0:11:50.680 mentioned earlier, Gomez, Wagner, Wilson, Tom's Gouidos, they're kind of 0:11:50.720 --> 0:11:53.440 fit the Harmon mold, meaning he's gonna keep it in 0:11:53.480 --> 0:11:55.640 playoff the tea. He's going to be very good at 0:11:55.640 --> 0:11:58.760 his Iron game, and he's a pretty good putter, so 0:11:59.000 --> 0:12:01.120 I would not be app I see Brian Harmon come 0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:02.000 out on top this week. 0:12:02.559 --> 0:12:05.560 Yeah really, I put as a guy a player that 0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.360 kind of popped out at me. I put Harmon down. 0:12:08.559 --> 0:12:11.440 I think. I think he's the guy. He's a guy 0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:15.240 that's just going to continue to ascend. He's last year, 0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:17.920 he had a breakout year, but I expect him to 0:12:18.000 --> 0:12:21.280 be around for the next decade as one of the 0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:25.720 PGA tours, you know, not superstars, but that that second 0:12:25.760 --> 0:12:29.960 tier player that is consistently in the hunt at a 0:12:29.960 --> 0:12:33.360 lot of events, your weekend week out. 0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:35.559 Yeah. I don't know if it's necessarly the best comparison, 0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:38.240 but to me, he kind of seems like this generation's 0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:41.440 potential to be like a Jim Furrick, meaning he's always 0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:43.559 going to be there, he's going to be very consistent, 0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:45.560 and he's going to be a perfect guy to be 0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:48.680 in combination for like Ryder Cups to part with some 0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:49.720 of some of the bombers. 0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:53.120 I think so he reminds me a lot of Kevin 0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:56.839 Kiszner in a way where these guys they don't have 0:12:56.960 --> 0:13:01.839 like a standout skill like that pops like that is dominant, 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.520 and those guys it seems like it takes longer for 0:13:05.600 --> 0:13:10.240 them to really establish themselves on tour. Like Kisner obviously 0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:12.480 had a great year last year, but he's in that 0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:15.040 same boat where I like him a lot this week 0:13:15.080 --> 0:13:16.959 as well. I think this is a really good golf 0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:21.760 course for him. I think it's pretty comparable to Colonial 0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:24.559 because it's got these dog legs and you got to 0:13:24.600 --> 0:13:27.120 play the position and then you've got these you know, 0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:31.559 wedges to mid to low irons in and Colonial is 0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:34.760 a spot that Kissner won last year at. So Kisner 0:13:34.840 --> 0:13:35.960 is another guy that I like. 0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.200 Yeah, and I've seen a lot of correlation with Colonial 0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.360 as well. So if you look at example, like Zach Johnson, 0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:43.959 I believe played good Colonial as well, and you look here, 0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:46.079 he's had top tens three of the last four years 0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:48.880 and anyone back here in two thousand and nine as well. 0:13:49.160 --> 0:13:51.600 So it's another guy, you know that fits the mold 0:13:51.640 --> 0:13:54.160 of being a tactician in terms of placing it in 0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:55.960 this area so you can have the best angle in 0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:56.920 and attacking from there. 0:13:57.600 --> 0:13:59.040 Yeah, it's it's funny. 0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:00.440 He uh. 0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:03.520 We did a little exercise. We never ended up doing 0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:05.280 anything with it. Last year. But this was one of 0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:07.840 the courses I sent to you as kind of an 0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:13.200 architecturally significant golf course, and Kisner was a guy that 0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.120 just popped, you know when when the architecture is good. 0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:18.560 Kissner is a top ten player in the world. 0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:21.840 Yeah, I mean, and in another course that might be 0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:23.200 a little similar to this, might be it might be 0:14:23.240 --> 0:14:25.280 Harbor Town as well, in terms of having to place 0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:27.160 it and with a little bit of the smaller greens 0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:29.400 and being able to have consistency with the with the 0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:32.200 iron game, you know, one twenty five there. 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:35.360 So another guy I put down on my list is 0:14:35.680 --> 0:14:37.600 Shay Revey Chez Revey. 0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:42.560 Yeah, he had a really good, really good fall there. 0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:45.560 I think he had five consecutive top twenty fives in 0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:48.440 the fall and then he finished eighth here last year. 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:50.080 So it'll be interesting to see, if you know, if 0:14:50.080 --> 0:14:53.600 he's able to continue that trend going forward and possibly 0:14:53.680 --> 0:14:55.400 rack up another another top ten year. 0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:58.920 Uh So, do you have any other guys that you're 0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:02.200 really kind of got highlighted for one and done? 0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:05.240 Yeah, I mean, I'm not necessarily if I'm gonna use 0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:06.680 them this week. I think there may be a few 0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:08.720 other times that they use him on the West Coast. 0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:12.000 But Charles Holl's record here is really hard to pass up. 0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:15.280 So I think in the last eleven times he's been here, 0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:19.120 he's had seven top eight finishes, which kind of goes 0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:20.880 a little bit under the Raider because when you think 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:22.960 of the Sony Open, you don't necessarily think of Charles 0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:27.720 Holl being in contention that much. But it's really hard 0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:30.640 to pass up the ability for a guy that may 0:15:30.720 --> 0:15:33.120 not actually win this week, but he's probably gonna give you 0:15:33.160 --> 0:15:34.040 a top twenty finish. 0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:37.760 It's kind of a synonymous with his career where he 0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:41.960 doesn't really win, he castes a lot of big checks. Yeah, 0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:43.520 anyone else. 0:15:44.760 --> 0:15:47.360 That's probably about it. I mean, the one other guy 0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:48.480 you may want to go, if you want to go 0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:50.520 a little bit of a flyer, maybe a guy like 0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:51.400 JJ Spawn. 0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:54.520 Yeah, he played He played her. 0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:57.440 Last year and missed the cop but it seemed like 0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.720 in the Fall, the Fall series he really started to 0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:03.120 find his game. Almost won his last start in the 0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:06.160 Fall series, And it's another guy that kind of fits 0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:09.760 that mold of keeping it in play and being a 0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:10.800 good iron player there. 0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:17.520 Yeah, I've been I'm one of the forefront. JJ Spawn fans, 0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:21.160 and I would say this golf course should fit him 0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:23.960 really well. He's stellar from tee to green. He's not 0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:28.600 overly long, but he's just really consistent. And the other 0:16:28.640 --> 0:16:31.280 thing is he's a West Coast guy, so I think 0:16:31.520 --> 0:16:35.560 that helps out here. He's got it. He hits the 0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:37.920 ball really well, so if the wind picks up, which 0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:40.840 is obviously always a big factors. I mean, the golf 0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:43.120 course is right on the ocean. If the wind picked up, 0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:46.520 he's a good fit. And he almost won his last 0:16:46.520 --> 0:16:49.240 start the start before. He was in contention late and 0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.040 I think he finished like double triple or something to 0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:55.600 drop to like fifteen. So you know, he almost won twice. 0:16:55.800 --> 0:16:58.520 And that's something I always look at when I'm trying 0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.400 to look at breakout players the next year, is who 0:17:01.440 --> 0:17:04.280 are guys that really got in the hunt a lot 0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:08.360 and were in contention a few times but didn't get 0:17:08.400 --> 0:17:11.000 the job done. And those guys I always think are 0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:12.720 the guys that are gonna break out next year. And 0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:15.679 I could see JJ Spahn not going to win this 0:17:15.800 --> 0:17:18.679 year and having a really good year similar to like 0:17:18.720 --> 0:17:20.480 an Adam had one year last year. 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:23.639 Yeah, I could definitely see that. I honestly wouldn't be 0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:25.440 surprised that he picks up a victory by the time 0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:27.360 the West Coast swing is over, because there's a lot 0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:29.160 of courses there that are gonna fit him well. 0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:36.920 So let's dive into DraftKings here and get get kind 0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:39.760 of we'll go through a couple you know who you 0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:42.600 like from the high price tiers, and then you know 0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:45.840 who you like to fill out your roster with the 0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:50.120 salaries for this week, You've obviously got Jordan Speeth, Justin 0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:53.320 Thomas are clear in a way the top two guys, 0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:57.879 and then you know, Mark Leishman, Brian Harmon, and Kissner 0:17:58.040 --> 0:18:00.880 are all above ten thousand dollars, so those are kind 0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:04.320 of the clear top echelon guys. Are you going with 0:18:04.400 --> 0:18:07.600 a strategy of taking one of those top two guys? 0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:11.600 Yeah. So if I'm looking at like a tournament structure, 0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:14.560 a lot of times I'll first look to see, you know, 0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:16.439 where do I think everyone else is going to go? 0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:19.480 And then I'll kind of pivot off of that because 0:18:19.520 --> 0:18:20.960 if I can get you know, if I think I 0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:23.320 can get Jordan speedth or Justin Thomas at a smaller 0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:26.240 ownership than let's say Mark Leishman or Brian Harmon. I'm 0:18:26.320 --> 0:18:28.280 going to do that. So I think based on the 0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:31.040 way that Harmon and Leishman played this past week and 0:18:31.080 --> 0:18:32.679 the fact that you can save you know, maybe one 0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:35.600 thousand dollars more salary, I think a lot of guys 0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:37.520 are going to do that this week. And I'm going 0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:40.280 to think, Oh, Justin Thomas played so bad last week. 0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:43.200 You know, he's got a different caddy on the bag, 0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:45.679 he's got bones on the bag. This week, you know, 0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:47.440 you may have a chance to where you can get 0:18:47.480 --> 0:18:51.120 you know, a defending champion at fifteen percent ownership, which 0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:53.800 I'll take all day. I'll take that risk because he 0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:56.960 is the upside to where he starts playing well, He's 0:18:56.960 --> 0:18:59.640 going to carry your your DraftKings tournament team this week. 0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.119 I kind of I would throw Jordan Speith into that 0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:06.200 Sam boat he had. He shot his seventy five in 0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:09.000 the first round, still finished in the top ten, and 0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:11.080 you know, you look at a golf course that should 0:19:11.119 --> 0:19:14.159 fit his game really well. There's he's the best player 0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:17.120 approaching the green on the PGA Tour and he finished 0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:19.560 top five last year in his first start here. 0:19:20.080 --> 0:19:21.840 Yeah, and I think one of the stats that sticks 0:19:21.840 --> 0:19:24.080 out from last week is you know, we know Jordan's 0:19:24.080 --> 0:19:27.240 speaks a good putter traditionally in the long term. Right, 0:19:27.520 --> 0:19:30.560 So last week he lost almost four shots on the 0:19:30.560 --> 0:19:33.959 green strokes gained putting where normally he's you know, gaining 0:19:34.080 --> 0:19:36.840 what one point four shots a round, So he basically 0:19:36.880 --> 0:19:39.680 lost about a little over five shots off his average 0:19:39.720 --> 0:19:44.760 putting and he finished what ninth, ninth, Yeah, right right, 0:19:44.800 --> 0:19:46.760