1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:03,840 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:06,440 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent. 6 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 3: Coverage that is possible. 7 00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:20,919 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that, 9 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 2: let's get to the show. Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. 10 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 2: We have an amazing show for everybody today. What do 11 00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 2: we have Bristal. 12 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 4: Indeed, we do. 13 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: Lots of interesting things unfolding right here in the nation's capital. 14 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: We finally got the text of that border plus Ukraine 15 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: plus Israel deal and there is something for everyone to hate. 16 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: Apparently we will get into what's in it, and also 17 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 1: it's increasingly long odds of actually passing. At the same time, 18 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: we are taking a look at the fact that AI 19 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: is already taking white collar jobs. 20 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 4: In spite of the. 21 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: Fact that tech has in many ways recovered this year 22 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 1: record revenues all that kind of stuff, they are still 23 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 1: shedding jobs and AI appears to have a lot to 24 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: do with it. We're also going to do a little review, 25 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 1: possibly debate. I'm not sure about the Apple vision pro 26 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 1: Saga and I believe have different assessments. 27 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 4: Of the utility and the future of this thing. 28 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: Jeff Stein is coming in studio to give us a 29 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:20,240 Speaker 1: breakdown on a very simple question. 30 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 4: How is the economy actually a very challenging. 31 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 3: Web to answer? I wish it was simple. 32 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:27,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, it should be a simple question, but it actually 33 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: is really not. We have an American general who is 34 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:33,759 Speaker 1: saying that Israel is completely failing in their stated objectives 35 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 1: in gods. So this comes as the US has been 36 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 1: caught lying about whether or not they actually gave a 37 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: rock pre notification about those strikes over the weekend. And 38 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 1: we're also taking a look at one provision in that 39 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: Border Ukraine Israel bill that would permanently ban funding from UNRA, 40 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 1: that is the main aid agency on the ground to 41 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:57,080 Speaker 1: benefit Palestinians, what that could mean. And also actually got 42 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: a little bit of a look at what the allegations are. 43 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 1: And let me tell you something, guys. Those allegations against 44 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: UNRUN employees completely devoid of any evidence. So a lot 45 00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: to get to you this morning. 46 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm really excited to talk about everything for today's show. 47 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 2: Before we get to that, though, we did have our 48 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 2: RFK Junior focus group that just happened last night in 49 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 2: the state of Michigan. 50 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 3: It was really interesting. 51 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:20,959 Speaker 2: We've already got some amazing results, and I think you 52 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 2: guys are going to be really struck and in some 53 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 2: cases honestly moved by some of the reasons why people 54 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 2: support RK. A lot of it having to do with 55 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 2: just a rejection of the two party systems. So I 56 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 2: think it's really going to resonate and for our premium members, 57 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:33,639 Speaker 2: you guys get to watch it early and you get 58 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 2: to support work like this Breakingpoints dot Com. We have 59 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 2: a discount currently available for our annual members. But it's 60 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 2: always good to hear from people directly. 61 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 4: Yea, Absolutely. 62 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: Griffin was there on the ground during the focus group, 63 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 1: so he gave us a little bit of a preview 64 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 1: of what to expect. And I'm personally really looking forward 65 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 1: to watching it and hearing from these folks why they 66 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 1: have decided to throw in with RFK Junior. And he 67 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: also said they're very optimistic, Yeah, very very optimistic that 68 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: he could actually win and be the next president. That'll 69 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 1: be really interesting to listen it's. 70 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 3: Going to be exciting. I think you guys will enjoy it. 71 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 2: We'll release it as a podcast again exclusively and early 72 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 2: available to our premium members, So Breakingpoints dot com if 73 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 2: you want to take advantage. 74 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 5: Now. 75 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 2: Let's move to the areas of the Border bill which 76 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 2: were paired with aid military aid to Ukraine and to Israel. 77 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 2: Senator Schumer had a stunning pronouncement on MSNBC yesterday in 78 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 2: his advocacy for the bill, where he said that if 79 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 2: the bill is not passed and money is not given 80 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 2: to Ukraine, America will regredit because then American troops will 81 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 2: have to be sent to fight in Ukraine. 82 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 3: Here's what he had to say. 83 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 6: Well, if we don't aid Ukraine, Putin will be walk 84 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 6: all over Ukraine. We will lose the war, and we 85 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 6: could be fighting in Eastern Europe in a NATO ally 86 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 6: in a few years. Americans won't like that. If we 87 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 6: don't help Israel defend itself, Aviance Thomas, that perpetual war go. 88 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 3: Go on and on and on. 89 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 6: If we don't help humanitarian aid to the starving Palestinians 90 00:03:55,920 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 6: in Gaza, hundreds of thousands could starve, and the order 91 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 6: everyone has said it's chaos. 92 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 3: A speaker. You just saw. 93 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 6: Speaker Johnson, he said, it's chaos. We have to do 94 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 6: something legislative a few months ago. But what has happened? 95 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 6: And answer your your question. So this is crucial for America. 96 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 6: It's a turning point. History is going to look over 97 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:17,840 Speaker 6: our shoulders and say, did we rise to the occasion? 98 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 6: To his credit, Mix McConnell did. But too many Republicans, 99 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 6: including Speaker Johnson, are just scared to death of Donald Trump. 100 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 1: It is insane that the way that they act like 101 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: they would have no choice in the matter, I know, 102 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 1: but to send our sons and daughters to die in 103 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: Ukraine if you don't give them even more money than they've. 104 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 4: Already given it. 105 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 1: You know what's amazing in this bill that I think 106 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: it was Michael Tracy. 107 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 4: That pulled this out. 108 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,719 Speaker 1: One of the provisions of the bill is that the 109 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 1: Ukraine funding includes that we have to come up with 110 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 1: a strategy for Ukraine for the future. It's like, wait 111 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 1: a second, aren't you supposed to have a strategy already. 112 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: We've been at this for years at this point, and 113 00:04:57,440 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: you're admitting you just literally have no strategy for how 114 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: this is to end. 115 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 3: Guys, we actually have that. 116 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 2: Can we put a seven please up on the screen. 117 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 2: I will read directly from the text of the bill. 118 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 2: He says that the House of Representatives will have a 119 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 2: strategy regarding the United in Ukraine against aggression. That such 120 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,799 Speaker 2: strategy must be provided for a multi year, established, specific 121 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 2: and achievable objectives, define and prioritize the US national security interests. 122 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 2: This will hasten Ukrainian victory against Russian invasion forces. 123 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:25,599 Speaker 3: I do want to. 124 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 2: Spend time on this because it's one of the most 125 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 2: dishonest things that. 126 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 3: People who are pro Ukraine saying. 127 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 2: They're like, well, if Ukraine is defeated, then American troops 128 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,840 Speaker 2: will have to fight. Why Ukraine's not in NATO, It 129 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 2: actually doesn't change anything. If Latvia is invaded then yeah, 130 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 2: that's a different story. Then yeah, we would be in 131 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 2: a fight because they're in NATO. Ukraine's got nothing to 132 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:46,479 Speaker 2: do with NATO. Ukraine is a former Soviet state which 133 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 2: has no security obligation zero from the United States. I 134 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 2: would also say it is the most stupid argument because 135 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 2: it's one of those where it's Domino theory in reverse. 136 00:05:57,320 --> 00:06:00,840 Speaker 2: For example, Crystal Currently the line is to support Taiwan. 137 00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 3: We have to support Ukraine. 138 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 2: And the reason why is because if Ukraine falls, then 139 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,359 Speaker 2: China will be in bolden to support Taiwan or in 140 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 2: bay Taiwan. And my friend Elvit Kolby always points out, 141 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 2: if you think Taiwan is under threat, then you should 142 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:19,359 Speaker 2: support weapons to Taiwan and more navy destroyers in the 143 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 2: South China Sea. That has to do with Taiwan. But 144 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 2: don't try and do all of this convoluted jiu jitsu 145 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 2: about well if this happens, and this may happen, which 146 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 2: may invite somebody to do this, No, no, no, no, make 147 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 2: the argument on its face. And the reason they can't 148 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 2: is because the Ukraine War is a failure and a disaster. 149 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 2: Since the day of that Spring Offensive, if you want 150 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 2: to call that from the Ukrainians, they haven't advanced a 151 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 2: single inch of territory. They have squandered probably up to 152 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 2: a million of their own citizens. They are currently undertaking 153 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 2: a draft which includes people who are blind, disabled and 154 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 2: barely functional in their fifties, throwing them into a meat grinder, 155 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:03,280 Speaker 2: begging us for more bullets as they sacrifice their own people, 156 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 2: and at the same time have been completely militarily inept 157 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 2: to apply any tactics that have even remotely worked in 158 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 2: retaking their territory. 159 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 3: It's their fault. 160 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 2: They decided not to take that peace deal back in 161 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two, many supported also by the United States, 162 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 2: and now the two of us are in this you know, 163 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 2: death grip where we're watching the failure of our policy 164 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 2: just go apart. Zelensky, by the way, I should say, 165 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 2: is in free fall. He's firing his top commander. Why 166 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 2: because the guy admitted to the economists that it's a stalemate. 167 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 3: That's why he's firing him. 168 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 4: He's, you know, for the being honest. 169 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 2: The crime of being honest. He's firing many top ministers. 170 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 2: He's finally allowing some of the tip of the iceer 171 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 2: corruption to come to light. Who knows how many billions 172 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 2: we're squandered and were stolen, you know, by the Ukrainian oligarchs. 173 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 3: Now at this point the. 174 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 2: Only humanitarian thing and strategically important thing you could do 175 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 2: would be to sue for pieces soon as humanly possible. 176 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 2: But honestly, at this point they have squandered their chances 177 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 2: such that the Russians just yesterday we took a city. 178 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 2: If I were the Russians at this point, because America 179 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 2: is so distracted and all this thing, I would take 180 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 2: the whole thing. I would roll through the whole country 181 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:14,880 Speaker 2: as much as I could. And it's their own fault 182 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 2: that they got themselves in this position. You know, good 183 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:19,800 Speaker 2: luck with your drones and your F sixteen's and all that. 184 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 2: It's about men, it's about bullets, and you were never 185 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: going to. 186 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 3: Be able to do it. 187 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: I mean, it's really our fault too, so for pushing 188 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 1: them into this war and giving them all the insurance 189 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 1: assurances that we would be there forever and we would 190 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 1: back them forever and give them what they needed in 191 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 1: order to succeed. So, I mean, our hands are incredibly 192 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: bloody with this entire conflict. And so I do think 193 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:43,079 Speaker 1: it's very revealing that within this document, within this bill 194 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: pledging additional support to Ukraine, it's like, oh, and let's 195 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 1: also come up with a strategy. The only strategy at 196 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:52,440 Speaker 1: this point is how do we possibly get to another 197 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: place where there can be negotiations and diplomacy, because that's 198 00:08:55,800 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: the only way this is going to end. And right 199 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:00,040 Speaker 1: now it's already a complete disaster. We already missed the 200 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 1: best moment that would have achieved for Ukraine, the best 201 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:04,199 Speaker 1: deal that they were possibly going to get on in 202 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: this situation. 203 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 4: And that's just the sad truth. 204 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 2: Absolutely, And you know, and then they can't complain is that, oh, 205 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 2: we sacrifice so many people. It's like, well, welcome to 206 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 2: the logic of the First World War. You should have 207 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 2: tried to settle it whenever you could. Should you listen to. 208 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 3: The wrong guy. 209 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 4: Honestly, it's heartbreaking. 210 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 3: On Israel as well. 211 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,840 Speaker 2: There's just you can't even make some of this stuff up. 212 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 2: Let's put this up there on the screen again. Flagged 213 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 2: by Michael Tracy, he says and points out all of 214 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 2: these seventeen billion. 215 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 3: Dollars appropriated for Israel in this bill. 216 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 2: Any congressional notification requirement applicable to funds made available under 217 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:39,199 Speaker 2: this heading in the Act for Israel will be waived 218 00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 2: if the Secretary of State determined so in the national 219 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 2: interest of the United States. In other words, it specifically 220 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 2: exempts Israel and Ukrainian funding from congressional oversight, meaning that 221 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 2: you are not allowed to, as we saw in the past, 222 00:09:56,160 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 2: ask any inquiries about corruption, ask any inquiries about whether 223 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 2: this is compliant to this military aid with US law 224 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 2: like for example, violating the Lahy Act and not being 225 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:10,199 Speaker 2: misapplied against civilian forces. 226 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 3: Or any oversight whatsoever. So what is the point? 227 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 2: Like imagine Congress coming in and being like, we want 228 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 2: to abdicate our responsibility, But it actually makes sense because 229 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 2: they don't want to know what the money and the 230 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:22,959 Speaker 2: weapons are being used for. It's just want to turn 231 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 2: them over and then look the other way, at least 232 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 2: pretend that it doesn't exist. 233 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:29,080 Speaker 1: It's just codifying what has already been reality with this 234 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,079 Speaker 1: White House, because we've covered how multiple times they've skirted 235 00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: Congressional authorization to rush through they've skirted their own state 236 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: department policies to rush through whatever weapons shipments that they 237 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:39,200 Speaker 1: want to. 238 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 4: So this is just codifying what has. 239 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 1: Already been reality and what the overwhelming majority of members 240 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: of Congress have already accepted. And to that point, put 241 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 1: this next one up on the screen. It also has 242 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: a provision here that would skirt any authorization debate about 243 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 1: the ongoing US operations in the Red Sea in a 244 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: Rock and Syria by simply handing over two point four 245 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 1: billion dollars to cover those operations, no questions asked. So 246 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:07,200 Speaker 1: they wouldn't have to go to Congress for anything, wouldn't 247 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: have to go, you know, even to ask for additional 248 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 1: money to continue these illegal operations bombing three different countries. 249 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 1: This would you know, tie that up with a bow 250 00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 1: as well. And by the way, kudos and great thanks 251 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:22,000 Speaker 1: to Michael Tracy for reading through the entire bill and 252 00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 1: pulling out these key provisions, which, of course we're not 253 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 1: getting covered by the. 254 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 2: Mainstreat that's of we No, I didn't see a single everyone. Yeah, 255 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:30,640 Speaker 2: everyone's focusing on the border. Shit, sure we did too. 256 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 2: We did a whole hour on it just this morning. 257 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:34,080 Speaker 2: But guess what, it's not the only thing that's going 258 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 2: on in there. All of this is what the national 259 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 2: security complex. This is their thing of wildest dreams, free money, 260 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 2: no oversight. It's like the continuation of the Pentagon budgets. 261 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 2: And just think about it too, when you fund a 262 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 2: foreign war, you may want to know what's actually going 263 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 2: on inside of that war instead of issuing empty threats 264 00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 2: like Senator Schumer did in the beginning. Let's move on 265 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:00,680 Speaker 2: now to the discussion around AI. This is something crystal which, 266 00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 2: by the way, teas we answered a question in our 267 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:08,960 Speaker 2: AMA about UPS workers. There was a major story about 268 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 2: how UPS is laying off twelve thousand people. Now, many 269 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 2: people were anti union picked that up and they're like, 270 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 2: so you to fire a bunch of people after they negotiated. 271 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,079 Speaker 3: Conflict but a contract. 272 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 2: Guess what, though, it turns out, let's put this up 273 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:25,199 Speaker 2: there on the screen that many incorrectly assumed this is 274 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:26,439 Speaker 2: going to affect delivery drivers. 275 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:27,240 Speaker 3: No, no, no, no no. 276 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 2: It turns out that the larger group quote of white 277 00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 2: collar workers are being fired because UPS is now testing 278 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 2: artificial intelligence and machine learning tools, ramping up its use 279 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 2: of both across enterprise. This fits with larger firings that 280 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:49,880 Speaker 2: are happening all across the white collar market, most importantly 281 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:52,080 Speaker 2: in big tech. Let's go to the next one there, please, 282 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:56,200 Speaker 2: because what's very important is this question, why is big 283 00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 2: tech still cutting jobs? As they flag in the New 284 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 2: York Times, the economy is doing well, stock prices that 285 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 2: are all time highs MetaStock just made records, all these others, 286 00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:07,559 Speaker 2: So what's happening? Well, what they say is that instead 287 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:11,600 Speaker 2: of hiring thousands of people every quarter, the companies are 288 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 2: now spending billions to build AI technology they believe could 289 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:19,640 Speaker 2: one day be worth trillions. Not only that they are 290 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 2: not only investing in AI crystal there in many cases 291 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 2: are trying to replace as much as their workforce. The 292 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 2: reason we're flagging this is that this is just totally 293 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 2: counter narrative to the twenty tens discourse around AI and 294 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 2: around machine learning. Everybody assumed the truck drivers would be 295 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:37,480 Speaker 2: first out of work. Oh, it's actually the truck drivers 296 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 2: are getting paid and still have their jobs. It's the 297 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:45,199 Speaker 2: white collar supply chain logistics guy who was directing routes 298 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:48,439 Speaker 2: from one place to the other, which was automated out 299 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 2: of business in a matter of two years after the 300 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 2: invention of this technology, which is stunning, and it's totally 301 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 2: counter to the way that everybody expected the economy to go, 302 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,000 Speaker 2: and it does show us. I think a white collar 303 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:06,079 Speaker 2: apocalypse is absolutely on their horizon, like a decimation of 304 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:10,720 Speaker 2: HR anything low level starting out things that are you know, 305 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 2: Excel jockeys and all that stuff is going to be gone. 306 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, it really is all that can be automated already, 307 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 1: you know. I mean some of the harder things to automate, 308 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 1: as like care work, you know, some of the manual 309 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 1: labor that really requires the human touch. The whole delivery 310 00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 1: drone idea hasn't worked out, right, You still need the 311 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: delivery drivers exactly. So it's ironic because it is the 312 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 1: opposite of what people were originally thinking. They're originally thinking 313 00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 1: that blue collar workers would be hit artist. I do 314 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 1: think there's still some risk for truck drivers based on 315 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: California and Texas and some of the you know, autonomous 316 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: vehicle technology and the development of that, although it appears 317 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 1: to still have some major issues, but they're still a 318 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: push in that direction. But I do think that this 319 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: is really a harbinger of things to come. And in 320 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 1: many ways, this so called apocalyp is already upon us, 321 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 1: given the fact that you know, the tech companies, many 322 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:08,680 Speaker 1: of them struggled last year and revenue was down and 323 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 1: there were mass layoffs. Many of these companies had massively 324 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 1: staffed up, staffed up during the pandemic because of course, 325 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 1: there was like a tech boom during the pandemic years. 326 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 1: They had way too many people on board than when 327 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 1: you know, people went back to more normal behavior and 328 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 1: there was a loss in their revenue. 329 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:24,360 Speaker 4: They had to adjust. 330 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:25,080 Speaker 5: Well. 331 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 4: Now revenues are back up. 332 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 1: Many of these companies are doing extraordinarily well, and yet 333 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 1: the layoffs in some instances continue. And it's not because 334 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 1: they can't afford to hire the people. It's because they 335 00:15:37,400 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 1: would rather have a robot who you know, can't call 336 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 1: them sick and doesn't have all the like human being 337 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 1: issues and maybe faster ultimately depending on the task, and 338 00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 1: more efficient than the human being is. So they'd rather 339 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 1: move and investing in that direction than investing in human capital. 340 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's interesting too to consider the layoffs. Let's 341 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 2: go to the next part where we have a slide 342 00:15:57,080 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 2: here which shows all of the companies that have had 343 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 2: mass layoffs in twenty twenty four. You'll notice names like Salesforce, 344 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 2: You'll notice like SAP, You'll notice a Vroom. A lot 345 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 2: of technology companies are included that are on the list 346 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:16,200 Speaker 2: in addition to major retail. The reason that you're seeing 347 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 2: names like Microsoft, TikTok, Google, you know, eBay and Sports 348 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 2: Illustrated Discord, Amazon, Pixar, NBC News. Almost all of that 349 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 2: crystal can be traced back to either too big expansion 350 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:35,960 Speaker 2: during the pandemic or artificial intelligence. And I think AI, 351 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 2: especially in big tech, is the number one story because 352 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 2: it's not that they don't have the money. They're printing 353 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 2: money more than ever before. There's stock prices, like I said, 354 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 2: are at record highs. But they're investing specifically in technology 355 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 2: which will replace their overall workforce, and they see it 356 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 2: as superfluous. You see the same thing actually in some 357 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 2: of these news organizations, which is the same problem. And 358 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 2: we'll probably do a story about this soon. The mass 359 00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:05,840 Speaker 2: layoffs in the media industry are about one single thing, 360 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 2: the collapse of the original click model. And the reason 361 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 2: why that the BuzzFeed model and all that no longer 362 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:15,240 Speaker 2: pays is because of a fundamental change in advertising. But 363 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 2: what you have seen too, what have those companies done. 364 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 2: They're investing in chat, gpt AI written articles because they 365 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 2: realize having to pay salary HR and you know, all 366 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 2: these other benefits for these human beings which can be 367 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:33,960 Speaker 2: you know, relatively easily changed, is one that they're going 368 00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:36,119 Speaker 2: to make that trade every single day. So I think 369 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 2: this is the biggest story in white collar work. And 370 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 2: many people I think. 371 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:42,919 Speaker 3: Have a lot of hubrisk. They're like, well, I got 372 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 3: a college degree, you know, I can't be replaced. It's like, well, 373 00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 3: it turns out a lot of you can. 374 00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:48,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, And you know, you should really, if you're eighteen 375 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:50,199 Speaker 2: years old, I urge you to think about this. 376 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 3: The physical world is not going anywhere. 377 00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 2: People will be needing to build things, repair things, HVAC, plumber, 378 00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 2: trade school and all that. And if you want to 379 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 2: go to college, you better Dan will be starting something 380 00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,159 Speaker 2: that cannot be automated out or make yourself indispensable somewhere. 381 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 4: And it's honestly difficult to predict. 382 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 3: It's very oft five years ago. 383 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:09,920 Speaker 4: Now, yeah, that's exactly right. 384 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 1: So the other thing that I'll say is, if you know, 385 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: it also shows why it's not just blue collar workers 386 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:19,840 Speaker 1: who need worker job protection and unions to be able 387 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: to advocate for them and to try to prevent as 388 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: much as possible the layoffs that we see white color 389 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 1: workers obviously in need of that as well. 390 00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:29,160 Speaker 3: Okay, we have a great guest standing by Jeff Stine. 391 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:29,919 Speaker 3: Let's get to it. 392 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 1: Join us now to answer what in theory should be 393 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: a simple question is actually a very politically fraught one 394 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 1: of how is the economy actually doing? Is our friend 395 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 1: watching post economics reporter Jeff Steine. 396 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 4: Great to see her. 397 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,679 Speaker 1: Thank you guys before I jump in. Also plug your 398 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,120 Speaker 1: podcast about John Brown, which is fantastic. 399 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 7: If you guys like Dan Carlin, Long Storm History podcast, 400 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:55,920 Speaker 7: American Radicalism, check out American Carnage. Thank you everyone from 401 00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:59,199 Speaker 7: Breaking Points who found the show and listened and subscribed. 402 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,399 Speaker 3: Rating to subscribed by stars, Share with a friend. 403 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:03,399 Speaker 4: Yes, it's fantastic, I really do. 404 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:04,640 Speaker 5: And it's very irrelevant. 405 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 1: I mean history is always interesting, but relevant at current 406 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: times as well. 407 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 4: All right, so let's put this up on the screen. 408 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 1: We had a big jobs report on Friday, some three 409 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:16,159 Speaker 1: hundred thousand plus three and fifty three thousand jobs added 410 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:19,000 Speaker 1: in January. Of course, the White House is saying we're back, baby. 411 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,159 Speaker 1: The economy is actually amazing. We're going to run on it. 412 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 1: Americans less certain that they feel so great about the economy. 413 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 1: You know, just give us a sense of how you 414 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 1: analyze these numbers and what you think the overall picture 415 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 1: of the economy is like. 416 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 5: Right at this moment, I think. 417 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 7: It's a little hard to describe the economy without running 418 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 7: the risk of sounding like an MSMBA show. 419 00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 3: We'll give us both sides. 420 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 7: Then, well, I think from the perspective of the White House, 421 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:48,679 Speaker 7: you've had two consecutive years of sub four percent unemployment, 422 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,320 Speaker 7: which is the lowest and the longest consecutive streak below 423 00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:55,879 Speaker 7: four percent since the nineteen sixties. The job market continues 424 00:19:55,920 --> 00:20:00,280 Speaker 7: to surpass out of any other major industrial country. You 425 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 7: had a recent report with very strong wage gains outpacing inflation. 426 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 5: For over a year. Now. 427 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 7: You've seen the number of Americans working as a share 428 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:15,920 Speaker 7: of the labor force continue to be extremely strong. And yeah, 429 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 7: I think that there's really no doubt at this point 430 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 7: that the economists like Larry Summers, who were adamant that 431 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 7: bringing down inflation would require millions or tens of millions 432 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 7: of Americans to lose their jobs, that that was just 433 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 7: fundamentally wrong. 434 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 5: Inflation has come from nine to three percent. It's not solved. 435 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,479 Speaker 7: We can get into the rebuttle in the counter argument, 436 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,440 Speaker 7: but we have brought seen huge declines in inflation to 437 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,440 Speaker 7: the point where I don't want to get two into 438 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,440 Speaker 7: the weeds. But this idea of core pc inflation, which 439 00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 7: sort of strips out like volatile measures and looks at 440 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 7: like the underlying fundamentals of inflation, those numbers have come 441 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,560 Speaker 7: down sort of where they were in twenty nineteen, twenty eighteen, 442 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,480 Speaker 7: and that is huge at a time where the economy 443 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 7: is adding jobs where payrolls are continuing to grow, where 444 00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:02,400 Speaker 7: you're seeing increases in private and public sector employment, retail, 445 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:06,280 Speaker 7: white collar work, manufacturing up to above where it was 446 00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:07,480 Speaker 7: under Trump, healthcare. 447 00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 5: All these sectors are growing really. 448 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:12,919 Speaker 7: Fast, and it seems like the investments that the administration 449 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:16,880 Speaker 7: made in green energy and chips in infrastructure is beginning 450 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 7: to really beove the economy in a very important way. 451 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 5: Should I get into the hut of the flip side, 452 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:24,400 Speaker 5: I think is. 453 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 7: The American public is still catching up to the pain 454 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 7: of inflation, and that's probably the number one reason that 455 00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,280 Speaker 7: people still don't give Bying a lot of credit, the 456 00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 7: hangover from inflation. You may have seen inflation go to 457 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 7: three percent, but as you guys know, when you go 458 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 7: from six to nine to three, you're still cumulatively way 459 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 7: up from where you were before. And so people don't 460 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 7: necessarily measure things in the same time horizons that economist 461 00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:50,800 Speaker 7: in Washington do, and that is to my mind, completely 462 00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 7: rational and completely understandable. You've also seen when the COVID 463 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:59,920 Speaker 7: safety net disappeared and the inflation raging at the exact 464 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:04,200 Speaker 7: same time the hardship indicators, and I think this doesn't 465 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 7: get nearly enough attention in Washington that's so focused on 466 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:13,280 Speaker 7: the labor market. But hunger, poverty, those kind of lack 467 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:17,000 Speaker 7: of insurance, the safety that has really frayed in important 468 00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 7: ways and ways that contradict the increase in wages that 469 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 7: have outpaced inflation. And you've seen, i think, twenty twenty 470 00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 7: two according to Feeding America, the biggest food bank in America, 471 00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 7: they said that this last that twenty twenty two was 472 00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 7: the biggest spike in hunger in American history, forty four 473 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 7: percent increase in hungry kids. I mean, that is tremendous 474 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:42,480 Speaker 7: suffering at the bottom and lower middle class, and a 475 00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 7: lot of those people are not you know. You know, 476 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,440 Speaker 7: some people will say that, look, the middle is doing okay, 477 00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,760 Speaker 7: but the bottom has done very well. And there's some 478 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 7: indicators that wages at the very bottom have grown the most. 479 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 7: But people who are making seventy sixty k a year, 480 00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:00,680 Speaker 7: who have suffered and have not seen their wages on 481 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,360 Speaker 7: trend with where they were before before the pandemic, they 482 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 7: are still not like, you know, the rich people. And 483 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 7: to say that that's like the privileged of America, I 484 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:14,159 Speaker 7: think is really misreading the current moments I filibuster for 485 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 7: too long. 486 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 2: No, no, no, this is great because that's exactly what I 487 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:19,919 Speaker 2: wanted to get to, which is that you have a 488 00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:22,560 Speaker 2: narrative about how the economy has gotten better, and on 489 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,640 Speaker 2: paper people are like, yeah, at least the White House 490 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:27,760 Speaker 2: and others, and if you're in the top twenty five 491 00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,720 Speaker 2: percent or whatever, it's probably fair. But then you also have, 492 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 2: as you said, in sticky inflation, inflation time horizon extends years. 493 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 2: We don't measure prices in quarters. We think about the 494 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 2: most of our lives for two percent inflation. 495 00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:44,480 Speaker 3: And then we have twenty percent inflation. You're like, what 496 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 3: the hell happened? 497 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,639 Speaker 2: So it's one of those where the experience of the 498 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:51,120 Speaker 2: economy is different now. At the same time, we do 499 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 2: see things that are trending up in terms of consumer 500 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:58,920 Speaker 2: sentiment and others. So where what indicators can we look 501 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 2: at for how peopleeople who are experiencing the economy feel 502 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 2: about the economy going forward and how that's going to 503 00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:07,119 Speaker 2: impact politics, Because I know the Biden White I was 504 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:08,920 Speaker 2: probably tracking that the most closely. 505 00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:12,360 Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean so, sentiment, like how people feel about 506 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 7: the economy is at a three year high highest it's 507 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,800 Speaker 7: been since twenty twenty one, since before inflation, and that 508 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 7: seems to be primarily driven by gas prices staying in 509 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:24,000 Speaker 7: the stock market being high. Yes, if you're asking, like, 510 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,399 Speaker 7: what is the last mile there for getting people to 511 00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 7: actually feel good about the economy. We looked at a 512 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,800 Speaker 7: survey recently that found that the number one reason that 513 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:35,120 Speaker 7: people still say that inflation is hurting them is at 514 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 7: the grocery store. That they still feel every time they go. 515 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:40,679 Speaker 7: And I don't know if you guys do your grocery shopping, 516 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:44,240 Speaker 7: but it just feels incredibly random to people where it's like, yeah, 517 00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:47,119 Speaker 7: this thing that was like I remember in my you know, 518 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:49,840 Speaker 7: very recent memory, was like two dollars an hour at six, 519 00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:52,399 Speaker 7: and then it goes down and then something else goes up. 520 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,960 Speaker 2: I mean it's chicken. It's like seeing the price. I'm like, 521 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 2: I cannot believe this. 522 00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,880 Speaker 7: Culture plain is actually were a huge thing that exploded 523 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,360 Speaker 7: even last year when grocery this overall plateau. 524 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,640 Speaker 1: Guys puts C three up on the screen while Jeff 525 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 1: is talking about this because he just had a piece 526 00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,720 Speaker 1: at the Washington Post. The headline is inflation has fallen. 527 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 1: Why are grocery still so expensive. So what did you 528 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: find there. 529 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 7: Well, what the White House has been saying is that 530 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 7: corporate profits continue to rise. We're seeing basically the producer 531 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 7: price inducks not to get into the econ TALC, but 532 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 7: the producer price INDECKS, which measures the input costs for firms, 533 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:33,680 Speaker 7: has fallen dramatically and that has not necessarily resulted in 534 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:34,760 Speaker 7: consumer prices. 535 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:36,120 Speaker 4: So it's great claiming. 536 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 7: Sub Subsequently, and what the White House put out analysis 537 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,359 Speaker 7: saying is that corporate profits in this sector are at 538 00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 7: a twenty year high and remain two percentage points higher 539 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:47,919 Speaker 7: than they were before the pandemic. 540 00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 5: And that's a lot of money. That's billions of dollars 541 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:50,359 Speaker 5: on the table. 542 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 7: Yeah, most economists I talked to will say that the 543 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:57,399 Speaker 7: overwhelming driver remains things related to climate change and supply 544 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 7: chain's shock. So that's you know, everything from av and 545 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 7: flu which killed like eighty million birds or something insane. 546 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,359 Speaker 7: Florida got ravaged by hurricanes, and you have like a 547 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,679 Speaker 7: crippling of citrus production. So there's all these like weird, 548 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 7: idiosyncratic things. But as long as natural disasters keeps striking 549 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,160 Speaker 7: different parts of the world in weird ways, you're gonna 550 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:18,399 Speaker 7: have these like weird price volatier volatility in grocery stores, 551 00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 7: and I think sager to get back to your point 552 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 7: earlier about like how people view the economy. One thing 553 00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 7: that like economists who are more sympathetic to Biden will 554 00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:31,400 Speaker 7: say is that people externalize price hikes. They like view 555 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:35,120 Speaker 7: those as outside their control, and they internalize wage gains 556 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:36,800 Speaker 7: where they're like, I did that, I got that job 557 00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,879 Speaker 7: because like, of course, people earn their raises and they 558 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:41,240 Speaker 7: feel like they should get credit for them, And I 559 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,160 Speaker 7: totally don't think that should be taken away from people. 560 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:44,919 Speaker 5: But it's also understandable. 561 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:48,080 Speaker 7: That people don't see that often the same factors that 562 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,920 Speaker 7: push up inflation are the same reasons that they're pay goes. 563 00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 1: That's interesting, So they're not like Joe Biden gave me 564 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:59,119 Speaker 1: a raise, which is very understandable that. 565 00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:01,520 Speaker 7: It no, but it's also likes a it's a problem 566 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:03,800 Speaker 7: for like, as you guys know, there's this school of 567 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,760 Speaker 7: macroeconomic policy making that's like taking over the range of 568 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 7: the Democratic Party that said we need massive kinsine stimulus, 569 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,639 Speaker 7: and if that leads to a political situation where people 570 00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:18,359 Speaker 7: are mad because they don't see the inflation as their responsibility, 571 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 7: and they see the wage gains as something they did 572 00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:24,120 Speaker 7: that is an untenable answer politically to the next time 573 00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:24,920 Speaker 7: we have a recession. 574 00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,480 Speaker 1: So some of the theories that I have seen of 575 00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,240 Speaker 1: why Joe Biden. I think the latest poll had him 576 00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 1: at I think thirty six percent approval on the economy. 577 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,399 Speaker 1: It's still dramatically underwater on the economy. People give Donald 578 00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,919 Speaker 1: Trump much higher marks on the economy in terms of 579 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,720 Speaker 1: his economic stewardship in spite of you know, the labor 580 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 1: market and the low unemployment rate and the wage gains 581 00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:48,320 Speaker 1: and even consumer sentence sentiment being at a multi year high. 582 00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,840 Speaker 1: Here are two theories that I've heard about why that's happening. 583 00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 1: One of them is it's the media's fault, like people 584 00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:58,320 Speaker 1: are being tricked into thinking the economy is bad because 585 00:27:58,359 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 1: of all the dumerism. 586 00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:02,439 Speaker 4: A lot of people are saying that. 587 00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:06,359 Speaker 1: And then the other one is that it actually is 588 00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:09,439 Speaker 1: just another indicator of people are like this dude is 589 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 1: too old, and I just don't really think he's capable 590 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:13,879 Speaker 1: of doing anything. I don't think he's capable of handling 591 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,959 Speaker 1: the economy. I don't think he's capable of handling foreign policy. 592 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,160 Speaker 1: I don't think he's capable of like doing a Super 593 00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:22,480 Speaker 1: Bowl interview, and so the perception and I would say 594 00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:25,720 Speaker 1: reality of him as this you know, very aged man 595 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:29,200 Speaker 1: is weighing even on his economic approval numbers. 596 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 7: I don't want to be too normative or didactically. I 597 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 7: don't want to take too from a review because I 598 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 7: think as a reporter we can like fairly evaluate these 599 00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:41,240 Speaker 7: kinds of theories and other theories and give them, you know, respect, 600 00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:45,080 Speaker 7: and treat people who are making these arguments, like take 601 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 7: their argument seriously. But I think I've one of the 602 00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,960 Speaker 7: few people who has like taken Americans that face value 603 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:55,920 Speaker 7: and understood and seeing good reason for some of the 604 00:28:55,920 --> 00:29:00,600 Speaker 7: things that they believe. Like we had the Sager was 605 00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 7: saying the fastest inflation in forty years, and then there's 606 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 7: this question of like why are people upset like their 607 00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:11,720 Speaker 7: wages were not keeping up with inflation at the worst 608 00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:15,960 Speaker 7: level that we were seeing in decades. And your point, 609 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 7: Crystal is like, well, if economic sentiment is up, then 610 00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:24,200 Speaker 7: why isn't that leading to Biden's approval on the economy 611 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 7: going up? 612 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:26,520 Speaker 5: And someone could throw. 613 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:27,720 Speaker 7: This back at my face in a few months, But 614 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:31,600 Speaker 7: I think with sentiment going up, we're going to see 615 00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:35,080 Speaker 7: Biden's ratings on the economy also go up. It's still 616 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 7: so recent, Like the increase in consumer sentiment is just 617 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 7: a few months old, and it took a very long 618 00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 7: time for cooling inflation to lead to better sentiment. So 619 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 7: it makes perfect sense to me that it will take 620 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:51,200 Speaker 7: time for better sentiment to lead to better economic ratings 621 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,000 Speaker 7: for the president. If they don't, I don't think it's 622 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,920 Speaker 7: implausible to say, like maybe like they don't like this 623 00:29:57,960 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 7: guy because he's so old, and that's it. You know, 624 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:04,160 Speaker 7: that seems like a plausible theory, the idea. I mean, 625 00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:06,280 Speaker 7: maybe I've been too defensive about this, but what you're 626 00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 7: alluding to is, you know, there's Will Stancil and others 627 00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 7: have said, like it's the faults of the media. You 628 00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 7: guys hate Biden and that's the reason people are just 629 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:18,120 Speaker 7: around the economy, and maybe like it's rational for me 630 00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,200 Speaker 7: as a reporter to be like, I'm not responsible for that, 631 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:25,040 Speaker 7: but like, at the same time, like your argument is 632 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 7: that the media would have been more friendly to Trump, 633 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 7: Like if inflation had happened under Trump, right, we would 634 00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 7: have been I don't know, that is hard for me 635 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 7: to countenance. 636 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 5: But I but some people argue it. 637 00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:37,600 Speaker 4: Yeahs, Actually that is a great point. 638 00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, excellent points. Jeff. It's always great talking to you man. 639 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,120 Speaker 2: Everybody, go and subscribe to his John Brown podcast, and 640 00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 2: thank you so much for joining us. 641 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,880 Speaker 3: Appreciate to see you, Jeff, Thanks so much, Gus. 642 00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: All Right, guys, a stunning admission on Sunday TV this 643 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 1: weekend when former Sentcom Commander General Frank McKenzie made this 644 00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:59,360 Speaker 1: revelation about how the Israeli operation is going in Gaza. 645 00:30:59,440 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 4: Take a listen. 646 00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:03,680 Speaker 1: US intelligence estimates is really forces have killed about twenty 647 00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:06,640 Speaker 1: to thirty percent of Hamas fighters since October. 648 00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 4: That is far short of destroying Hamas. How did you 649 00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,040 Speaker 4: judge the level of success of Israel's campaign. 650 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,640 Speaker 8: It's very limited so far. I think they set themselves 651 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 8: a goal of removing the political echelon and the military 652 00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,720 Speaker 8: leadership echelon of Hamas when they went in. They have 653 00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 8: not been successful to date at doing either. And these 654 00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,200 Speaker 8: campaigns are nonlinear, so they don't necessarily go from day 655 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 8: to day. You could have a big breakthrough here and 656 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 8: things could change suddenly on the ground. But I think 657 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 8: the larger issue, at least for me looking at it 658 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:39,760 Speaker 8: is you have to have a theory for what it's 659 00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 8: going to look like when it's over, what's going to 660 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 8: happen in Gaza. And we've had some people that have 661 00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,760 Speaker 8: talked about it earlier on the show today, and I 662 00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 8: think it's important to consider that you need a vision 663 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,680 Speaker 8: of an end state when you begin a military campaign, 664 00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 8: because everything you do then subtracts or adds to your 665 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,040 Speaker 8: ability to get to that point. And I would argue 666 00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,160 Speaker 8: that needs to be something like a two state solution, 667 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 8: need help from the Arab nations in the region to 668 00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:05,880 Speaker 8: go in there and do something in Gaza. I think 669 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 8: Israeli occupation would be the least desirable of all outcomes. 670 00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:11,520 Speaker 4: So just think about that. What he's saying. 671 00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:15,680 Speaker 1: He says their success military success is quote very limited 672 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:19,160 Speaker 1: so far. This in spite of the fact that somewhere 673 00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,920 Speaker 1: around thirty thousand Palestinians have been killed. The bombing campaign 674 00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 1: has been more devastating than historic devastating campaigns like dressed 675 00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:31,000 Speaker 1: in a majority of buildings in all of Gaza have 676 00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 1: been damaged or destroyed. 677 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:34,520 Speaker 4: And yet, in spite of all. 678 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:38,400 Speaker 1: Of that, their actual stated objectives, which is I have 679 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:40,440 Speaker 1: talked about many times, do not appear to be the 680 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:42,720 Speaker 1: real objectives of the operation. But in terms of the 681 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:47,280 Speaker 1: stated objectives, the success has been quote very limited so far. 682 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's really crazy, And in terms of the overall 683 00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 2: US military, we have some crazy new reporting from Ken 684 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 2: Klippenstein in our own Ryan Graham, let's go ahead and 685 00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:58,000 Speaker 2: put this up there on the screen. 686 00:32:58,400 --> 00:32:59,680 Speaker 3: It appears crystal that the. 687 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:03,880 Speaker 2: White House falsely said that it had warned the government 688 00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:07,360 Speaker 2: of Iraq of impending air strikes. The reason that this 689 00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:10,480 Speaker 2: is very important is number one, they lied, and they 690 00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 2: straight up said at the press conference that they had 691 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:16,719 Speaker 2: done it, and then only later on did they claim 692 00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:20,960 Speaker 2: quote for operational security, we do not provide any official 693 00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,760 Speaker 2: pre notification with specific detail on these strikes. The reason 694 00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,160 Speaker 2: why this is really important, beyond the fact that our 695 00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 2: government just straight up lies to us about whatever they 696 00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,880 Speaker 2: bomb ri trees, is that many of this is part 697 00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 2: of an even crazier political element to this. The groups 698 00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:40,000 Speaker 2: which bombed and helped kill these Americans, many of them 699 00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,640 Speaker 2: were officially part of the Iraqi government, and in fact, 700 00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 2: the Iraqi Prime Minister has been visiting militia members who 701 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:50,600 Speaker 2: were wounded in US hair strikes in the hospital, just 702 00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 2: to show you the level of convoluting here, because he 703 00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:57,000 Speaker 2: has deep ties to Iran and the Iranian militias have 704 00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,360 Speaker 2: run the country now for twenty some years, been an 705 00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,520 Speaker 2: incredibly important aspect of that. 706 00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:03,440 Speaker 3: But it just gets to some of the craziness. 707 00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:07,120 Speaker 2: Right now, the Biden administration is engaged with the Iraqi 708 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:10,799 Speaker 2: government to keep our troops in the country. So at 709 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:14,400 Speaker 2: the very same moment that we're bombing said country and 710 00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 2: bombing elements of that country which have ties to that government, 711 00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:19,680 Speaker 2: we're also trying to keep our troops in that country, 712 00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 2: all because of a war in God make. 713 00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:24,440 Speaker 3: It makes sense to me. It doesn't so somebody they 714 00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:25,719 Speaker 3: know it makes sense, of. 715 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 2: Course, because when you explain it to people are like, 716 00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:28,160 Speaker 2: what what are you talking about? 717 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:29,200 Speaker 3: But they don't want you to know. 718 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,319 Speaker 2: They don't want people to ask any questions about this. 719 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:33,920 Speaker 2: They just assume you can drop bombs on You know, 720 00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 2: there was a time when I was a child where 721 00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:37,719 Speaker 2: we actually weren't bombing anybody. It was you know, it's 722 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 2: interesting to consider it's only a very modern phenomenon where 723 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 2: there's things just happen and people dine a far flowing 724 00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:45,560 Speaker 2: place and. 725 00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:46,799 Speaker 3: You go what were they doing over there? 726 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:48,799 Speaker 2: And then you go back to watching the Simpsons or whatever, 727 00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:49,880 Speaker 2: and you just forget that it happened. 728 00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:52,399 Speaker 1: And the US government can't even really tell you why 729 00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:56,000 Speaker 1: they're there or what they're doing. And considered, I mean 730 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:58,160 Speaker 1: not to go back to the Iraq War, but consider 731 00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 1: the utter failure of the know real goals of that war, 732 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:05,080 Speaker 1: which was in part to serve as a check on Iran, 733 00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:09,279 Speaker 1: and now Iran is like basically running the country basically, So. 734 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,000 Speaker 4: Great job on that one. Once again, guys, way to go. 735 00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:13,960 Speaker 1: You really did what you you know, meant to do 736 00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:15,799 Speaker 1: and meant to accomplish there. And that's the part that 737 00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 1: just drives me insane is they know that there is 738 00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:23,680 Speaker 1: no military solution to HMAS. They know that these strikes 739 00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:25,960 Speaker 1: are not going to do a damn thing to deter 740 00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:29,560 Speaker 1: these militias to keep our service members safe. They know 741 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,879 Speaker 1: all of that, and yet they do it anyway. They 742 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:36,080 Speaker 1: know that the only way that tensions actually de escalate 743 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 1: in the region and can return to some sense of 744 00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:42,040 Speaker 1: normalcy and stability is through a ceasefire in Gaza, and 745 00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 1: yet instead they pursue this policy of just like sporadic 746 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:48,440 Speaker 1: bombing and you know, apparently lying to the American people 747 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:50,319 Speaker 1: about what they're doing and who they told about it. 748 00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:51,719 Speaker 4: Reuter's confirmed, you. 749 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:53,840 Speaker 1: Can put this up on the screen that the US 750 00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:57,040 Speaker 1: did not give pre notification to Iraq ahead of strikes. 751 00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:01,359 Speaker 1: This reporter from Reuter says, hey, this is directly contradictory, 752 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 1: contradicting what the White House said on record on Friday 753 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:09,920 Speaker 1: that the Biden administration did indeed notify the Iraqis ahead 754 00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:11,759 Speaker 1: of time. And put the next one up on the 755 00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:13,600 Speaker 1: screen as well, you know, to the point of they 756 00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:15,200 Speaker 1: know that this isn't going to work, That is not 757 00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 1: going to deter anyone or keep any of our service 758 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:21,440 Speaker 1: members safe. The Iran back groups have continued to target 759 00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:25,839 Speaker 1: American bases as the US plans further strikes. And yet 760 00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:28,279 Speaker 1: these are the same people Sagur who want to tell 761 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 1: us that, oh, it hasn't spread into a wider war, 762 00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:34,960 Speaker 1: it's still contained in Gaza. As we literally bomb and 763 00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:39,600 Speaker 1: you know, take incoming in three different countries. It's just, 764 00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:44,440 Speaker 1: you know, it's absolutely preposterous. So US military official confirmed 765 00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:47,160 Speaker 1: there were fatalities from an attack on the al Omar 766 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:49,440 Speaker 1: oil field, part of a complex that includes a US 767 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:53,360 Speaker 1: base and jointly controlled with the American military. Those casualties 768 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:58,919 Speaker 1: were not Americans, they were some allied militias that took 769 00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 1: that incoming and you know, suffered fatalities from these attacks. 770 00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:06,000 Speaker 1: Syrian Democratic Forces US allied Kurdish militia said six of 771 00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:08,960 Speaker 1: their fighters had died in that drone strike on al Omar. 772 00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:13,399 Speaker 1: So the bottom line is here, we've taken We've seen 773 00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:15,920 Speaker 1: more than one hundred and sixty five attacks on American 774 00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:19,320 Speaker 1: basis with rockets, missiles, drones or mortars since October seventh. 775 00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:21,920 Speaker 1: As I've said one hundred times, the only time when 776 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,680 Speaker 1: these attacks stopped was when there was a ceasefire. 777 00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:25,479 Speaker 4: For six days. 778 00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 1: When there was a ceasefire, these attacks stopped, and the 779 00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:30,799 Speaker 1: hoo thies all but stopped what they were doing on 780 00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:32,000 Speaker 1: the Red Sea as well. 781 00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:33,759 Speaker 4: It is plain as day what. 782 00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,640 Speaker 1: The correct strategy is here to protect our service members 783 00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:40,040 Speaker 1: and to actually achieve de escalation in the region, and 784 00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:43,120 Speaker 1: yet they refuse to actually pursue the policies that would 785 00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:44,080 Speaker 1: lead in that direction. 786 00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:47,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's stunning whenever you read this, because 787 00:37:47,120 --> 00:37:51,120 Speaker 2: it just shows that the what expansion is likely. Also, 788 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:55,120 Speaker 2: you know, increasingly we just we only unfortunately, we're only 789 00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,600 Speaker 2: paying attention to people get killed, and obviously we should 790 00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:00,279 Speaker 2: pay attention. But there are a lot of them, these 791 00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:03,160 Speaker 2: service members who have been wounded, who have been suffered 792 00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:06,880 Speaker 2: traumatic brain injuries. Also these Syrians, they were under our protection, 793 00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:09,440 Speaker 2: just so everybody knows. They were on an American air 794 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:10,880 Speaker 2: base and six of them died. 795 00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:11,719 Speaker 3: I mean, you. 796 00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:14,839 Speaker 2: Should think our troops are not that far away. It's 797 00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 2: probably a miracle that our people didn't get killed in 798 00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:20,640 Speaker 2: that attack. And once no one can answer this question, 799 00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:24,719 Speaker 2: why are they there in the first place? Why are 800 00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 2: they sitting ducks? The Iranians have the luxury of being 801 00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:31,200 Speaker 2: able to move about the country as they please and 802 00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:33,680 Speaker 2: go back to their country if they want to. Our 803 00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,480 Speaker 2: people are sitting on the same base with no change 804 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 2: in strategy, a government that is lying to their own people, 805 00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:40,320 Speaker 2: and you know, even. 806 00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:40,799 Speaker 3: The troops there. 807 00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,200 Speaker 2: How could you have any confidence in the Biden administration 808 00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:44,640 Speaker 2: right now after what's happening. 809 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:47,040 Speaker 3: I cannot tell you how badly I feel for them to. 810 00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:48,960 Speaker 2: Just be sitting there, you know, without the support that 811 00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,719 Speaker 2: you need, a populace which is basically distracted as to 812 00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:53,960 Speaker 2: your plight, and of course as we said it all 813 00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:56,200 Speaker 2: comes back to Gaza. At the same time, let's put 814 00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:59,000 Speaker 2: this up there on the screen. Netanyahu's saying that the 815 00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,880 Speaker 2: war in Gaza will not be over before the killing 816 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:05,200 Speaker 2: of Hamas leadership, quote unquote, stressing it will take another 817 00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:09,279 Speaker 2: few months, So doubling down on the strategy Crystal and 818 00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:12,560 Speaker 2: really I think they're coming under intense military pressure. Maybe 819 00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:15,320 Speaker 2: at home you can tell me if I'm wrong to try. 820 00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 2: They're like, hey, you said you're going to kill the 821 00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:20,120 Speaker 2: mass leadership. You haven't killed a Moss leadership. You haven't 822 00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:21,319 Speaker 2: you know? Yeah, what's his name? 823 00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:21,840 Speaker 5: Sinwar? 824 00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:26,760 Speaker 2: He remains inside these tunnels, surrounded by hostages, allegedly by 825 00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:29,120 Speaker 2: the Israelis. It's like, well, if you know where he is, 826 00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:30,920 Speaker 2: what are you going to do about it? And then 827 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,160 Speaker 2: it comes to the question of well, clearly you've been 828 00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,000 Speaker 2: doing this now for what It's February sixth, so tomorrow 829 00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:39,080 Speaker 2: is what the four month anniversary I believe of the attacks. 830 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,120 Speaker 2: So it's a quarter of a year that we've had 831 00:39:41,120 --> 00:39:43,560 Speaker 2: this happening, and you haven't been able to with the 832 00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:46,799 Speaker 2: world's most advanced technology and a ground invasion all that, 833 00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:49,840 Speaker 2: you haven't rescued a single hostage, So what are you 834 00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:50,839 Speaker 2: going to do about it? 835 00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:52,880 Speaker 3: The hostage situation. 836 00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:55,120 Speaker 2: Now is almost certainly going to be resolved through maybe 837 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,400 Speaker 2: ceasfire negotiation. It remains up in the air as of today, 838 00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:01,440 Speaker 2: Secretary Blincoln with MBS yesterday. 839 00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:03,520 Speaker 3: But that's all the progress that we have so far. 840 00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:06,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I mean, I think this cuts against the 841 00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:09,440 Speaker 1: idea of a ceasefire being negotiated right now. As we 842 00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:14,279 Speaker 1: covered yesterday, Netanyahu is under intense pressure from the far 843 00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:18,000 Speaker 1: right Ben Gavern's motriges of his coalition who are throwing 844 00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:20,759 Speaker 1: threatening to blow the whole thing up, blow up his 845 00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:23,560 Speaker 1: entire governing coalition if he were to take some sort 846 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,440 Speaker 1: of deal of the type that Hamas would be willing 847 00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:30,120 Speaker 1: to accept the more quote unquote moderate parts of his 848 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,640 Speaker 1: coalition or the other side of that. So he is, 849 00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:36,000 Speaker 1: you know, being pulled in both directions and outside of 850 00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,520 Speaker 1: his own ideology, which has been very clear over time. 851 00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,880 Speaker 1: His number one interest is in his own political self preservation, 852 00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,200 Speaker 1: which again cuts in the direction of you know, placating 853 00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:48,440 Speaker 1: the right, keeping that coalition together, trying to keep the 854 00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:51,600 Speaker 1: war going for as long as possible, and in lieu 855 00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:57,480 Speaker 1: of achieving actual military success, bringing to the people these 856 00:40:57,520 --> 00:41:01,160 Speaker 1: images of horror and destruction in an attempt to cover 857 00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,360 Speaker 1: for the fact that the goals they claim to support 858 00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:08,440 Speaker 1: of destroying Hamas are never going to be achieved, even 859 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:10,479 Speaker 1: if they get sinwar ultimately, which may happen. 860 00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:10,920 Speaker 4: I don't know. 861 00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,480 Speaker 1: The actual goal of eradicating Hamas was always a fantasy 862 00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,600 Speaker 1: from day one, something we've been talking about the entire time. 863 00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:20,000 Speaker 3: It's not difficult to predict. 864 00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:21,759 Speaker 4: Yeah, absolutely. 865 00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:23,880 Speaker 8: So. 866 00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:25,960 Speaker 1: At the same time, there was one other aspect of 867 00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:29,839 Speaker 1: that Border Ukraine Israel bill that we wanted to dig 868 00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:33,120 Speaker 1: into with regard to Israel, which is that the bill 869 00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:39,880 Speaker 1: officially permanently cuts aid to UNRA, which is the primary 870 00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:43,440 Speaker 1: humanitarian organization to the benefit of Palestinians, not just in 871 00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:45,799 Speaker 1: Gaza and not even just in the West Bank, but 872 00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:49,279 Speaker 1: the entire Palestinian diaspora around the region. Can put this 873 00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:51,600 Speaker 1: up on the screen, it has the text of the bill. 874 00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:55,960 Speaker 1: So the commentary here is by partisan Border Israel Ukraine 875 00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:58,440 Speaker 1: package blocks all funding for UNRA from the US, it's 876 00:41:58,480 --> 00:41:59,160 Speaker 1: biggest donor. 877 00:41:59,480 --> 00:41:59,920 Speaker 4: Let me reach you. 878 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:02,400 Speaker 1: The Texas says, none of the funds appropriate or otherwise 879 00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:04,840 Speaker 1: made available by this division and Division B of this 880 00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:08,000 Speaker 1: Act and prior acts blah blah blah may be made 881 00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 1: available for a contribution, grant, or other payment to the 882 00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:15,960 Speaker 1: United Nations Relief and Works Agency otherwise known as UNRA, 883 00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:19,719 Speaker 1: notwithstanding any other provision of law. 884 00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:21,880 Speaker 4: So you will recall. 885 00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:26,400 Speaker 1: That on the very day that the ICJ, relying in 886 00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:29,000 Speaker 1: part on some of the testimony and some of the 887 00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:33,120 Speaker 1: analysis of UNRA officials, when they've ruled that Israel may 888 00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:37,399 Speaker 1: be plausibly committing genocide, on that very day, the US 889 00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:40,680 Speaker 1: suddenly jumped to and said, oh, we received these quote unquote, 890 00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:45,400 Speaker 1: highly credible allegations about a dozen UNRAH employees out of 891 00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:49,839 Speaker 1: I think thirty thousand participating in October seventh, allegedly, and 892 00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:52,600 Speaker 1: they described this as intelligence that they got from the 893 00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:55,280 Speaker 1: Israelis that was highly credible. 894 00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:55,840 Speaker 4: Okay. 895 00:42:56,200 --> 00:42:58,880 Speaker 1: So on the very day that the ICJ says we 896 00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:02,600 Speaker 1: need to increase humanitarian aid to the Gaza population, which 897 00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:06,360 Speaker 1: is literally starving to death, we the main backer of 898 00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,560 Speaker 1: pull our funding, and that triggers a cascading effect where 899 00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,680 Speaker 1: some thirteen other countries or something cut their funding as well, 900 00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:18,360 Speaker 1: dramatically dealing a blow that will further starve and impoverish 901 00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:22,720 Speaker 1: the Palestinian population in Gaza. So I actually was able 902 00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,440 Speaker 1: to look at the allegations that were made by the Israelis. 903 00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:29,520 Speaker 1: Source sent me a copy of what has been passed 904 00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:31,799 Speaker 1: around to various news outlets like the New York Times 905 00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:33,520 Speaker 1: in the Wall Street Journal that they just and out 906 00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:36,800 Speaker 1: run with. It is incredible to me, Like I didn't 907 00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:38,960 Speaker 1: think I could be shocked by this saga, but it 908 00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:43,520 Speaker 1: is actually incredible because it is literally just a evidence 909 00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:46,960 Speaker 1: free list of allegations, literally like a list of names 910 00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:48,799 Speaker 1: and this person did that, and that person did that, 911 00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:50,920 Speaker 1: and they say, oh, it's based on identification cards and 912 00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:56,080 Speaker 1: other intelligence, but no actual evidence is provided. Now, maybe 913 00:43:56,120 --> 00:43:58,480 Speaker 1: they did participate, and maybe they didn't. I can tell 914 00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,120 Speaker 1: you there's definitely not enough that has been provided to 915 00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:02,480 Speaker 1: say anything about this. 916 00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:04,719 Speaker 4: Again, zero evidence provided. 917 00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,640 Speaker 1: But second of all, these people have already been fired 918 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:12,240 Speaker 1: just based on the allegations, and so they are cutting 919 00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:18,080 Speaker 1: they are collectively punishing the entire Palestinian population over evidence 920 00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:22,040 Speaker 1: free allegations against a tiny handful of employees. 921 00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:24,200 Speaker 4: Of a large organization. Is truly stunning. 922 00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:29,080 Speaker 1: At the same time, a State Department spokesperson yesterday was 923 00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:33,080 Speaker 1: pressed on the funding of UNRA and is using this 924 00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:36,120 Speaker 1: text in the bill, which hasn't even been passed yet, 925 00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:40,120 Speaker 1: in an attempt to justify their cutting of the aid 926 00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:42,640 Speaker 1: to this vital humanitarian organization. 927 00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:43,719 Speaker 4: Let's take a listen to that. 928 00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:50,240 Speaker 9: Obviously, there is text in this pending legislation that would 929 00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:54,359 Speaker 9: preclude us from doing so. We are an administration that 930 00:44:54,440 --> 00:45:01,840 Speaker 9: follows the law. That being said, in this pending legislation, 931 00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:07,239 Speaker 9: there is ten billion dollars for humanitarian sistence, of which 932 00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:13,040 Speaker 9: one point four billion is for humanitarian aid for Gaza. 933 00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:16,240 Speaker 9: This is an issue we take very seriously. We also believe, 934 00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:20,600 Speaker 9: even prior to this conversation about the supplemental we have, 935 00:45:20,840 --> 00:45:25,000 Speaker 9: as I told Simon, been unambiguous in my opinion about 936 00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:28,160 Speaker 9: the critical work that UNRA does, not just in Gaza, 937 00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:30,800 Speaker 9: but in other parts of the region as well. 938 00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:33,920 Speaker 1: So amazingly he says, oh, we're an administration that follows 939 00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:36,160 Speaker 1: the law, which by the way, is a complete lie. 940 00:45:36,560 --> 00:45:39,240 Speaker 1: When it comes to Israel, they just do whatever they want, clearly, 941 00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 1: or when it comes to bombing random countries, they clearly 942 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:42,359 Speaker 1: do whatever they want. 943 00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:43,520 Speaker 4: They do not follow the law. 944 00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:46,520 Speaker 1: But also again, this bill hasn't even passed yet, and 945 00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:49,440 Speaker 1: they're using it as some kind of cover to justify 946 00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:53,320 Speaker 1: their unilateral decision based on zero evidence to cut funding 947 00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:53,920 Speaker 1: to this agency. 948 00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:56,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, Chris, so after reviewing the dossier which you so 949 00:45:56,920 --> 00:45:59,480 Speaker 2: graciously helped share with us, and that we can provide 950 00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:02,200 Speaker 2: for everybody else, I don't want I just want to say, like, 951 00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:05,080 Speaker 2: you're really not exaggerating. I will not read, you know, 952 00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:08,520 Speaker 2: because there's some identifying details. But they literally just say, 953 00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,960 Speaker 2: quote unquote was a Hamas operative he entered Israeli territory 954 00:46:12,000 --> 00:46:14,600 Speaker 2: on seven ten and participated in actions. 955 00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:17,799 Speaker 3: That's it. I just read it direct quote. There's no 956 00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:18,839 Speaker 3: like an Indian. 957 00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:22,320 Speaker 1: Photographs or here's the you know, cell phone in Literally nothing, 958 00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:24,319 Speaker 1: I mean not even on the level of remember those 959 00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:27,600 Speaker 1: supposed audio intercepts that were so laughably like fictitious that 960 00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:32,600 Speaker 1: they would say nothing, it's just so and so did X. Baseless, 961 00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:35,640 Speaker 1: no evidence, nothing. I truly am s donne by it, 962 00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:37,920 Speaker 1: not because I don't put it past the Israeli government, 963 00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:40,799 Speaker 1: and I guess I should, you know, shouldn't have any 964 00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:43,399 Speaker 1: sort of expectation for our newisance outlets at this point. 965 00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 1: But both the New York Times and Wall Street Journal 966 00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:48,319 Speaker 1: just ran with this zero evidence. I mean, we're just 967 00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:51,920 Speaker 1: you know, YouTubers, over here, podcasters, and we would never 968 00:46:52,680 --> 00:46:56,560 Speaker 1: run with something that had no no basis whatsoever other 969 00:46:56,600 --> 00:46:58,759 Speaker 1: than the Israeli government, says x y Z. 970 00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:01,880 Speaker 2: No, You're absolutely right. It doesn't fit that editorial standard 971 00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:04,600 Speaker 2: at all. And it just goes back to a question 972 00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,239 Speaker 2: about like just straight up belief and also why you know, 973 00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,720 Speaker 2: you have to really you have to evaluate what people 974 00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:11,959 Speaker 2: are saying and you have to see like you can't 975 00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:14,279 Speaker 2: just take their word for it just because you know, 976 00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:15,680 Speaker 2: you may be friends with them or in the Wall 977 00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:17,680 Speaker 2: Street Journals case, you may have once been a soldier 978 00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:21,200 Speaker 2: for them, but it's one Yeah, I mean some interesting 979 00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:24,000 Speaker 2: questions too about the people who are reporting this stuff 980 00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:26,719 Speaker 2: and about their own you know, some scrutiny in their 981 00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:29,120 Speaker 2: own background, which look, you know, if you want to 982 00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:32,759 Speaker 2: if you are from Israel or whatever, that's fine, but 983 00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:35,640 Speaker 2: it should probably be disclosed, no, like in the report, 984 00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:38,080 Speaker 2: if you're going to pass off something as exclusive and 985 00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:41,480 Speaker 2: then in terms of the evidence, not provide any within that, 986 00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:45,160 Speaker 2: especially when it has major humanitarian ramifications. And that's something 987 00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:47,480 Speaker 2: that we can put a put the fourth element please 988 00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:49,919 Speaker 2: up on the screen. That was something that the head 989 00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:53,160 Speaker 2: of the World Food Program who by the way, Cindy McCain, 990 00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:56,080 Speaker 2: just to note in terms of her former like most 991 00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:57,879 Speaker 2: pro Israel senator and human history. 992 00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:00,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, I also want to know what her conversations with 993 00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:00,840 Speaker 4: their daughter alike the. 994 00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:04,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would be curious, she says, quote, no other 995 00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:06,600 Speaker 2: entity currently has the capacity to deliver the scale and 996 00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:08,960 Speaker 2: breadth of assistant the two point two million in Gaza 997 00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:12,280 Speaker 2: urgently need. Withdrawing money from UNRA is perilous. We appeal 998 00:48:12,320 --> 00:48:15,400 Speaker 2: for these decisions to be reconsidered. I found that interesting 999 00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:19,000 Speaker 2: just because she technically is part of the Biden administration, 1000 00:48:19,080 --> 00:48:22,080 Speaker 2: was appointed by the President to the World Food Program. 1001 00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:23,040 Speaker 3: So there does. 1002 00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:25,200 Speaker 2: Seem to be I mean, maybe at least consternation amongst 1003 00:48:25,200 --> 00:48:27,360 Speaker 2: the people who actually work in the space, as opposed 1004 00:48:27,400 --> 00:48:29,600 Speaker 2: to people who are looking at this purely in political term. 1005 00:48:29,680 --> 00:48:30,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, oh, that's probably what it is. 1006 00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,360 Speaker 1: No doubt about it, No doubt about it. I just 1007 00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:35,279 Speaker 1: so you know, it's not just us saying that there's 1008 00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:37,560 Speaker 1: no evidence. Put this up on the screen from the 1009 00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:40,239 Speaker 1: Financial Times. This is a quote from them. Israel had 1010 00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:43,240 Speaker 1: not presented any evidence of its allegations to UNRA, adding 1011 00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:45,960 Speaker 1: the UN agency had been forced to respond to leaks 1012 00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,239 Speaker 1: in the media of an Israeli intelligence assessment that at 1013 00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:51,000 Speaker 1: least twelve of its Palaestiny employees had taken part in. 1014 00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:51,640 Speaker 4: The Hamas rate. 1015 00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:54,160 Speaker 1: These included one accused of kidnapping a woman and another 1016 00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:56,600 Speaker 1: said to have seized the body of a slain soldier. 1017 00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,400 Speaker 1: The intelligence assessment, which has been seen by the FPT, 1018 00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:02,480 Speaker 1: provides no evidence for the claims, which it says are 1019 00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:05,880 Speaker 1: based on smartphone intercepts and captured identity cards, but the 1020 00:49:06,000 --> 00:49:10,160 Speaker 1: US has said it found them highly highly credible. And 1021 00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:12,560 Speaker 1: then we have one more element that we can put 1022 00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:14,600 Speaker 1: up here from Owen Jones. 1023 00:49:14,680 --> 00:49:17,000 Speaker 4: But breaking down a sky News. 1024 00:49:17,120 --> 00:49:20,240 Speaker 1: Report, we were told originally there were twelve UNRA employees 1025 00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:22,160 Speaker 1: on a thirty thousand involved in October seven. 1026 00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:23,120 Speaker 4: Now it's down to six. 1027 00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:26,160 Speaker 1: And sky News reports that Israeli intelligence documents make several 1028 00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:29,760 Speaker 1: claims without proof, and many claims do not directly implicate UNRA. 1029 00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:32,759 Speaker 4: Anyway, I can read a little bit of this sky 1030 00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:34,080 Speaker 4: News report. 1031 00:49:34,880 --> 00:49:39,000 Speaker 1: They say that many of the claims have no evidence, 1032 00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:41,320 Speaker 1: has not seen proof of and many of the claims, 1033 00:49:41,360 --> 00:49:45,600 Speaker 1: even if true, do not directly implicate UNRA. The agency 1034 00:49:45,680 --> 00:49:48,919 Speaker 1: also never received any concerns about their staff members and 1035 00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:52,759 Speaker 1: they are required. UNRA is to share a list of 1036 00:49:52,800 --> 00:49:56,680 Speaker 1: their staff with Israel every single year, and Israel never 1037 00:49:56,840 --> 00:50:01,280 Speaker 1: raised any concerns about any of these staff members. In addition, 1038 00:50:01,480 --> 00:50:04,200 Speaker 1: it's worth noting UNRA, as they write in Sky News, 1039 00:50:04,200 --> 00:50:06,319 Speaker 1: has paid a heavy price during the war. One hundred 1040 00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:08,680 Speaker 1: and fifty two of their staff have been killed in 1041 00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:10,960 Speaker 1: Gaza and one hundred and forty five of their facilities 1042 00:50:11,000 --> 00:50:14,799 Speaker 1: have been damaged. It's important to keep in mind as 1043 00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:18,879 Speaker 1: we go through these claims against UNRA that Netanyahu and 1044 00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:22,239 Speaker 1: the right, but many other sectors of Israeli society have 1045 00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:26,239 Speaker 1: long had their sights set on the destruction of UNRA 1046 00:50:26,960 --> 00:50:31,359 Speaker 1: because they believe since UNRA their mission is to you know, 1047 00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:34,360 Speaker 1: serve they do schools and you know, aid and humanitarian 1048 00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:38,239 Speaker 1: assistance to Palestine refugees wherever they are, that they basically 1049 00:50:38,360 --> 00:50:42,000 Speaker 1: like keep the Palestinians from giving up on their claims 1050 00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:45,080 Speaker 1: to any of the land. And so they've long wanted 1051 00:50:45,120 --> 00:50:48,359 Speaker 1: to destroy UNRA because they just disagree centrally with that 1052 00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:50,239 Speaker 1: mission and they think they sort of like keep the 1053 00:50:50,280 --> 00:50:53,600 Speaker 1: problem alive and keep Palestinians from ultimately giving up. So 1054 00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:55,879 Speaker 1: that's also the context for these claims that are being made. 1055 00:50:56,040 --> 00:50:59,440 Speaker 2: The context is important because NRA's largely I mean, in general, 1056 00:50:59,600 --> 00:51:01,640 Speaker 2: you know, the Israel. What is smart is that you 1057 00:51:01,680 --> 00:51:05,240 Speaker 2: want to attack anybody who is counter narrative and showing 1058 00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:06,799 Speaker 2: people what you're doing, so that you don't have a 1059 00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:10,120 Speaker 2: complete monopoly on information from the situation, and you don't 1060 00:51:10,120 --> 00:51:12,319 Speaker 2: have a monopoly on media coverage, et cetera. So you 1061 00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:14,960 Speaker 2: attack the people and the credibility of those who are 1062 00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:18,000 Speaker 2: against you. RA has been a major person, a major party, 1063 00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,520 Speaker 2: which has been very counter to many of these really 1064 00:51:20,680 --> 00:51:22,919 Speaker 2: claims about civilian casualties, et cetera. 1065 00:51:23,200 --> 00:51:25,200 Speaker 3: So what do you do? You go after them. 1066 00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:27,279 Speaker 2: But overall, what I would really say is that this 1067 00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:29,839 Speaker 2: is the bigger media story to me, because the US 1068 00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,279 Speaker 2: government clearly did not do any due diligence that was 1069 00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:35,359 Speaker 2: based on this. They provided no evidence, and it's up 1070 00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:38,000 Speaker 2: to the media, well, Street journal and others. I already 1071 00:51:38,040 --> 00:51:39,960 Speaker 2: see a Ben Shapiro out there being like it is 1072 00:51:40,000 --> 00:51:42,400 Speaker 2: full of terrorists and also the things, as you said, 1073 00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:44,120 Speaker 2: you know, we're not going to sit here and be 1074 00:51:44,160 --> 00:51:45,040 Speaker 2: like it's not possible. 1075 00:51:45,120 --> 00:51:47,160 Speaker 3: It's certainly possible. You just need evidence. 1076 00:51:47,200 --> 00:51:49,359 Speaker 2: Whenever you're going to support a claim which also has 1077 00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:53,759 Speaker 2: a secondary organization with an aim that is overall humanitarian 1078 00:51:54,000 --> 00:51:58,000 Speaker 2: and clearly is undermining a strategic level the Israeli government. 1079 00:51:58,080 --> 00:52:00,000 Speaker 3: So we should just treat that with skeptic. 1080 00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:02,520 Speaker 2: To me, this is a massive media story that the 1081 00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:04,640 Speaker 2: fact that the US press and you know why is 1082 00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:07,640 Speaker 2: the Look, it's not like the British aren't pro Israel. 1083 00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:09,440 Speaker 3: Why is their press. 1084 00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:13,919 Speaker 2: Just willing to employ basic journalistic standards? The ft great 1085 00:52:13,960 --> 00:52:16,160 Speaker 2: paper is just like, yeah, I don't see it. Channel four, 1086 00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:16,680 Speaker 2: same thing. 1087 00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:17,200 Speaker 3: Listen. 1088 00:52:17,280 --> 00:52:20,319 Speaker 2: They're not liberal by any means. They're just like, I 1089 00:52:20,320 --> 00:52:22,920 Speaker 2: don't see the evidence here. This is the dossier. It 1090 00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:24,600 Speaker 2: wasn't that hard, Crystal, like you said, for us to 1091 00:52:24,600 --> 00:52:26,200 Speaker 2: get our hands on it and just look at it 1092 00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:26,480 Speaker 2: and be. 1093 00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:29,880 Speaker 4: Like literally paid long. There's nothing provided with if it. 1094 00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:32,799 Speaker 2: Look, when I was a political White House journalist, I 1095 00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:35,560 Speaker 2: was provided with these fake dossiers all the time. I 1096 00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:38,960 Speaker 2: never printed them once, you know ever, because I was like, 1097 00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:41,560 Speaker 2: this is just propaganda and you have to check it. 1098 00:52:41,600 --> 00:52:43,680 Speaker 2: You just have to be like, okay said this. So 1099 00:52:43,719 --> 00:52:45,279 Speaker 2: you call the guy and you're like, hey, is this 1100 00:52:45,320 --> 00:52:46,240 Speaker 2: what actually happened? 1101 00:52:46,239 --> 00:52:47,680 Speaker 3: And nine out of ten times. 1102 00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:50,760 Speaker 2: We're like no, that's a total misrepresentation about what is happening. 1103 00:52:50,880 --> 00:52:53,600 Speaker 1: Well, and it's not like UNRA, I mean, really kind 1104 00:52:53,600 --> 00:52:56,040 Speaker 1: of unfairly given that no evidence was provided, but they 1105 00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:58,839 Speaker 1: just immediately fired these people because of the gravity. Maybe 1106 00:52:58,840 --> 00:53:01,279 Speaker 1: it was right even the alligations. So it's also like, 1107 00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:03,360 Speaker 1: what do you even want them to do? And the 1108 00:53:03,400 --> 00:53:07,040 Speaker 1: Israeli government also, they said, hasn't shared with them any 1109 00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:11,280 Speaker 1: of the purported evidence, so they've already fought fired the people. 1110 00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:15,200 Speaker 1: The un has undertaken an investigation to see if there's 1111 00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:19,120 Speaker 1: any there there, they've already said if there's grounds for prosecution, 1112 00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:20,680 Speaker 1: they will be prosecuted. 1113 00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:23,480 Speaker 4: So it's also like what else do you want them 1114 00:53:23,560 --> 00:53:24,000 Speaker 4: to do? 1115 00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:27,279 Speaker 1: And why does it make sense to collectively punish not 1116 00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:30,480 Speaker 1: just this entire organization, but the entirety of the Palestinian 1117 00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:36,480 Speaker 1: people on the alleged actions evidence free allegations, but alleged 1118 00:53:36,520 --> 00:53:40,799 Speaker 1: actions of six UNRUH employees or a dozen unru employees 1119 00:53:40,920 --> 00:53:41,919 Speaker 1: or whatever it's. 1120 00:53:42,400 --> 00:53:43,520 Speaker 4: It really is outrageous. 1121 00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:45,520 Speaker 1: And the last thing I'll say about the time, because 1122 00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,520 Speaker 1: the timing is so critical here that it came on 1123 00:53:47,600 --> 00:53:51,359 Speaker 1: the same day as the ICJ ruling applausible genocide. It's 1124 00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:56,440 Speaker 1: also punishment for the fact that unrun analysts and employees 1125 00:53:56,440 --> 00:54:01,000 Speaker 1: and staff members were quoted and were used in order 1126 00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:06,080 Speaker 1: to achieve that plausible genocide ruling. So there's also a 1127 00:54:06,400 --> 00:54:09,680 Speaker 1: you know, a direct line between the fact that they 1128 00:54:09,680 --> 00:54:12,920 Speaker 1: were quoted in the report in the ruling and that 1129 00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:15,560 Speaker 1: they were attacked on that very day. Like, I don't 1130 00:54:15,560 --> 00:54:17,600 Speaker 1: think that those two things are a coincidence. I think 1131 00:54:17,600 --> 00:54:20,720 Speaker 1: it's direct retaliation for the fact that they were cited 1132 00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:24,120 Speaker 1: at all in the judges ruling there at the I CJ. 1133 00:54:24,280 --> 00:54:26,440 Speaker 2: You're very likely correct. All right, guys, we had a 1134 00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:28,960 Speaker 2: great show today. Thank you so much for supporting us. 1135 00:54:29,160 --> 00:54:31,520 Speaker 2: We had that rfkjun your focus group. As we mentioned, 1136 00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:33,920 Speaker 2: we'll have a great counterpoint show for everyone tomorrow, hopefully 1137 00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,319 Speaker 2: Crystallized throats say a little. 1138 00:54:36,560 --> 00:54:37,279 Speaker 5: They're rough here. 1139 00:54:37,280 --> 00:54:40,040 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna lie, I need needed need a break here. 1140 00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:41,320 Speaker 2: I'm gonna let Emily speak. 1141 00:54:41,360 --> 00:54:44,479 Speaker 4: Thanks. Yeah, thanks for bearing with us, guys. We're trying. 1142 00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:46,640 Speaker 3: As you can see, we do work through sickness. 1143 00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:48,600 Speaker 2: So as you can see here over breaking points and 1144 00:54:48,640 --> 00:54:51,440 Speaker 2: we'll have a great show for everybody on Thursday.