1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 2: A single best idea, and all I can tell you 3 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 2: is twenty twenty five starts overwhelming. I mean all sorts 4 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 2: of conversations and real strong opinions, some positive, some negative, 5 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 2: across economics, finance, investment, international relations, crowding in as well 6 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 2: a lot of jokes in ha haha today about Greenland, 7 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 2: but you know what, it's sort of serious. I learned 8 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 2: more about Greenland in the last four hours than I've 9 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:44,279 Speaker 2: learned in forty years, and thanks to our team for that, 10 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 2: for briefing us out. I did not know that nuke 11 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 2: Greenland on the West coast, sort of down by the tip. 12 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 2: I think you wave at it when you're going layard 13 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 2: at JFK, but I feel on the right side of 14 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 2: the plane. But you know, it's close to New York 15 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: and Copenhagen. I didn't know that. So you know, there's 16 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:06,960 Speaker 2: some surprises out there as well. There is no surprise 17 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 2: that Jeffrey you at B and Y is the kind 18 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 2: of person that can give you an holistic view. And 19 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 2: one of the shadows that's out there is given the 20 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 2: correlations now and perfectly particularly dynamics and currencies are their 21 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 2: shadows back to nineteen ninety eight. Jeff youw of B. 22 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 1: And Y ninety eight is not going to happen. Let's 23 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: look at the Indonesian rupea right, so at the forefront 24 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: of what happened in ninety eight. Right now, they are 25 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 1: self financed, right, so they've got enough in terms of 26 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: sufficient savings. It was a very popular trade of the 27 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: last two or three years. They're back to being a 28 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 1: commodity currency, selling nickel that have a fifth and more 29 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 1: than a fifth of the world's nickel, for example. In 30 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:46,960 Speaker 1: terms of the rem and B there is active management 31 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 1: right now. More important in terms of quote unquote rate, 32 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 1: I need to see an upside break in yields in China. 33 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: The two year Chinese government bond could converge with a 34 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: two year Japanese government bond soon, right, So let's just 35 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 1: think about that. What that signifies in terms of the 36 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: economic outlook for China. Japan's were sixty five basis points 37 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 1: right now, Chinese to you going through one percent. So 38 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:11,519 Speaker 1: I think all of that points to a need for 39 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: a push for reflation in China. And that's where Okay, 40 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 1: ten year China that go up by one hundred basis points. 41 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 2: We went on to talk about the politics of Beijing 42 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 2: and how they affect a policy to advance Jeff Yu's 43 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 2: theory that they've got to really flood the system with 44 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 2: support to boost and sustain consumption. Fascinating interview. You can 45 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 2: see that in entirety. We continued with mister Yu and 46 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 2: of course with Jeff Yu. You want to talk about 47 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 2: the path forward again, Jeff YOUU of B and Y. 48 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: It's about your contribution to your risk adjusted returns, right, 49 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: so if on a risk adjusted basis you can make 50 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:53,359 Speaker 1: a case for alternatives and also subject to your duration 51 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,079 Speaker 1: for your iras and for your iss here with long 52 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 1: enough for time horizon the old endowment profiles with my 53 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 1: old wealth management has on that is sufficient. You need 54 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: sufficient allocations into alternatives and of which your private markets 55 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 1: is a key part of that right now, So there 56 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 1: will be regulatory adjustments and I think the rest of 57 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: the world, in the UK, Europe, they're looking to the 58 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 1: US to see how this goes from here. So this 59 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 1: is here to stay, but subject to contributional risk and 60 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: it's not going to be steady show tracking errors and 61 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:24,359 Speaker 1: also sharp ratios they go up and down, so subject 62 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: to what people need. At this point, their liquidity lockups 63 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: the maturities of their profiles. There will always be a 64 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 1: role for alternatives, and now that the total definition of 65 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: alternatives has changed, so I see the US leading the 66 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: way of this for many many years to come. 67 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 2: Is Jeff you with BNY It really can't say enough 68 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 2: about my radar up on this. I just don't understand 69 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 2: the due diligence for individuals in private equity and private 70 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 2: credit in your ir A. We advance this conversation later 71 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 2: in the show today with Randy Schimmer of Churchill Asset 72 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: Management and Private Credit. As you'd gather plus plus about 73 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 2: private credit expanding their audience over to individuals. We expand 74 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 2: our audience each and every day. An Apple car Play, 75 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 2: Android Auto, Yes, I researched today. Apple car Play and 76 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 2: Android Auto are not in Greenland. I learned that today. 77 00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 2: I thought maybe Apple car Play would be there for 78 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 2: fifty thousand people twenty thousand and nook Greenland, but no, 79 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 2: it's not. We're also in Washington ninety nine to one 80 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:33,719 Speaker 2: FM in a congestion tax New York City, Bloomberg eleven 81 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 2: three oh am ninety two nine FM in Boston and 82 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 2: on YouTube and YouTube podcasts. This is single best idea