1 00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:06,560 Speaker 1: The volume. The eighty two game preseason is in the books, 2 00:00:06,559 --> 00:00:09,959 Speaker 1: and now it's finally time for the real season. Don't 3 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 1: miss out on any of the NBA playoff action at 4 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: DraftKings Sportsbook, an official sports betting partner of the NBA. 5 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:20,239 Speaker 1: From the play in tournament through the finals, DraftKings Sportsbook 6 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: has you covered with same game parlays, live betting odds, boosts, 7 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: and so much more. The Boston Celtics are currently the 8 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 1: favorite at plus one sixty, but the team that's third 9 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 1: in my championship rankings the Dallas Mavericks. 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We're gonna keep it 29 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: real simple today. We're just gonna do a film session. 30 00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: I've got roughly like fifty clips or so from three 31 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: different games we're gonna hit. We're gonna Lakers, Nuggets, MAVs, Clippers, 32 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: and Suns Wolves in the film sessions today. And then 33 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 1: I also have a mail bag at the end of 34 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:10,360 Speaker 1: the show where we're gonna go over. I think I 35 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 1: got like five or six male bag questions. We're gonna hit, 36 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 1: you guys, are the joke before we get started. Subscribe 37 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:15,920 Speaker 1: to our brand new YouTube channels you don't miss any 38 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: more of our videos, follow me on Twitter at underscore 39 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: Jason lt so you guys don't miss any show announcements. 40 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: Don't forget about our podcast feed wherever you get your 41 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 1: podcasts under Hoops tonight, and then keep dropping mail back 42 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: questions in those YouTube comments so we can keep hitting 43 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,239 Speaker 1: them throughout the rest of the season. Also, last, but 44 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: not least, before we get started, I want to talk 45 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: to you guys for a minute about game time. 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All right, 72 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: let's get right into the film. So we are going 73 00:03:57,640 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: to be starting with the complete collapse of the Lakers 74 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 1: at the end of this Denver Nuggets game, but specifically 75 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: the work that Denver was doing offensively. They scored on 76 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: eight of their last nine possessions in this game. This 77 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 1: has been a consistent issue for the Lakers this season. 78 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: In two crunch Time games, in the regular season they 79 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: gave up an offensive rating over one ninety, and then 80 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 1: the offensive rating they allowed for the Nuggets and crunch 81 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,600 Speaker 1: time of Game two of this Western Conference first round 82 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: series two hundred. Yes, that's not a mistake. Two hundred 83 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 1: points per one hundred possessions is the rate at which 84 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: the Nuggets were scoring. As I said, they scored on 85 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 1: eight of their last nine possessions. So let's get, without 86 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: any further ado, over to the film. So first of all, 87 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,480 Speaker 1: we're gonna start with Lebron James driving on Contavious Callbell 88 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: Pope really bad floor balance from the Lakers. Here, you're 89 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: gonna see Lebron, ad and Ruey all end up underneath 90 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: the basket and gave Vincent in the corner. That puts 91 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 1: Austin Reeves in a huge predicament in transition defense. So 92 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,600 Speaker 1: when Lebron misses this shot at the rim, by the way, 93 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 1: case p played really really good defense against Lebron down 94 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 1: the stretch. Lebron was still magnificent, made a bunch of plays, 95 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: but he had trust me, he missed some of them too. 96 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:13,719 Speaker 1: It could have been it could have been worse, And honestly, 97 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 1: when you look at it, and break it down simply 98 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,320 Speaker 1: to Jamal Murray hitting that shot. You needed every last 99 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,280 Speaker 1: one of those KCP stops in order to get out 100 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 1: of here with a win, so miss Now, look at 101 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 1: the floor balance gavee Vincent's trailing the play. We already 102 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 1: have a three on one before we've done anything. We 103 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 1: have MPJ, Aaron Gordon, and Jamal Murray with only Austin 104 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 1: Reeves back. But in addition to that, you're gonna see 105 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: Jokic beat Ad down the floor too. Everyone's just out 106 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: running the Lakers. We're gonna get a kick ahead opportunity here, 107 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 1: and Michael Porter Junior kind of pump fakes on the 108 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,159 Speaker 1: three point shot and finds Aaron Gordon underneath the basket. 109 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:51,000 Speaker 1: He draws a foul, gets the line, he makes both 110 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 1: free throws, so that's our first bucket. Next time down, 111 00:05:55,760 --> 00:06:00,799 Speaker 1: we're gonna get a Jokic attacking Anthony Davis in the post. 112 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: Interesting thing to me about here is fatigue setting in 113 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,480 Speaker 1: for Ad. Ad was not good defensively at the end 114 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: of this game, and you could tell that he just 115 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: was out of gas, and Yokic took full advantage powers 116 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: through Ad here and misses the shot. But from this 117 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,359 Speaker 1: specific spot, I want you guys to pay attention to 118 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 1: how quickly Jokic gets off the ground when he's out 119 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 1: of balance versus Ad, who just takes a split second 120 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 1: to relax. See Ad just relaxed for a split second 121 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 1: that allowed Yolkic to get back up there, tap at 122 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: the ball and create an offensive rebound for himself. Here 123 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: we go again. We're gonna get yet another Yokic post 124 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: up of Anthony Davis out of a ball screen. Kick 125 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: back to Jokic at the top of the key, and 126 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:48,599 Speaker 1: he's just gonna rip right through Ad for a left 127 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 1: shoulder hook. And Ad did a really nice job on 128 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: Jokic for about three quarters, well really up until he 129 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 1: picked up his fourth bowl, and then Jokic just ripped 130 00:06:57,520 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: right through him down the stretch of this game, easy 131 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 1: little hook shot over the top. This was another mistake 132 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 1: from Ad that I thought I would attribute to laziness, 133 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 1: or I shouldn't say laziness, but fatigue. So we get 134 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: the two man game with Yo Kitchen Murray here, and 135 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 1: as Yokic comes down, Murray's kind of peeking back. You 136 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: can kind of see it as he comes off. Watch 137 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 1: Murray peak back right there. See how he's peeking back 138 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: to kind of identify where Yokich is. Jokic is going 139 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 1: to linger here at the top of the key. Now, 140 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:29,119 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis, his primary responsibility here is to contain Jamal 141 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: Murray on the drive because Austin Reeves is in a 142 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:35,239 Speaker 1: trail position. But instead one of the a little subtle fake, 143 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: Jamal kind of flattens out his drive and fakes like 144 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 1: he's not going to make that driving move. He's reading AD, 145 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 1: and AD is going to make a critical mistake here. 146 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 1: AD is going to close out on Jokic instead of 147 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: containing this drive. In that little hesitation from Ad, Jamal 148 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 1: Murray then quickly turns the corner and gets to the rim. 149 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: Even Lebron was caught off guard because he thought Ad 150 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: was going to be there to contain the drive. And again, 151 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: if you're a D, especially considering Jokics probably will take 152 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: that three, but he's especially with ten seconds on the 153 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: shot clock, it's far more likely that he's going to 154 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 1: give attack of close out there. So if I'm a 155 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 1: d I've got to focus on containing Jamal Murray first, 156 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: and when Jamal throws the pass back, close out and play. 157 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: The results from there. No matter what, even if Jokic 158 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 1: is gonna knock this down, you know, a good percentage 159 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: of the time, it is still a lower value shot 160 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 1: than Jamal Murray scoring easily at the rim. Now we're 161 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 1: going to get Ruyacha muramis is a wide open three 162 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: year Again, that was a big difference in this game. 163 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: I was I was talking about it in the in 164 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 1: the post game after Game two. But the Nuggets, non 165 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: Jokic Murray players, and the Lebron and the Lakers non 166 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 1: Lebron A d players, there's been a mismatch there. Lebron 167 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 1: and AD have basically I've actually, I actually think they've 168 00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:01,320 Speaker 1: outplayed Jamal and Nicola just a tiny bit. Not in 169 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: the in the sense of obviously the scoreboard and Jamal 170 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: Murray made a bunch of big plays down the stretch 171 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 1: of that game, but Jabal's been inefficient. Jamal has struggled 172 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 1: for the majority of this series except for the tail 173 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: end of the fourth quarter of Game two, right like 174 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 1: Lebron and AD have gone punch for punch with Jokic 175 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 1: in Murray for the most part, I'm gonna I'm gonna 176 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 1: call it even because of the clutch shot making of 177 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 1: Jamal Murray. But I think we can all agree Lebron 178 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 1: and AD have gone punch for punch with Jokic and Murray. 179 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: But the non Jokich Murray role players have outscored the 180 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:37,199 Speaker 1: non Lebron AD Lakers by like thirty points or something 181 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: like that in this series. They have completely dominated them. 182 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 1: At the end of this game, we had a wide 183 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: open three for Rui Hacha Mura. He missed. Austin Reeves 184 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 1: ends up missing a pretty good look on a pull 185 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,439 Speaker 1: up three. Over here, Michael Porter Junior knocks down the 186 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 1: crazy chaotic three on the other end of the four. 187 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: Big difference down the stretch of this particular game, but 188 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:58,080 Speaker 1: we're gonna get out in transition. On this one, Jokic 189 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: is gonna look to attack Anthony Davis again, and once 190 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: again he's just going to power right through him. Ad. 191 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 1: These were bumps that he was doing a much better 192 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:10,439 Speaker 1: job of holding his ground in the first half. Now 193 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 1: he's getting out of position, he's gambling. You could just 194 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,080 Speaker 1: tell fatigue as completely taken over for Anthony Davis. At 195 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:18,199 Speaker 1: the end of this game, Jokic gets an and one 196 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 1: on him. This is where we finally get to stop 197 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 1: from the Lakers, and it comes out of the two 198 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 1: man game as Lebron is on Jokic as as Yokic 199 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: screens Austin, Austin gets hit and so Lebron has to switch. 200 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 1: And Lebron does a good job of reading the shot 201 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: clock and understanding that I'm pointing to the ground as 202 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 1: if he's reading the floor. That's a broadcast trick. But 203 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 1: he's checking down the floor and he sees on the 204 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:45,559 Speaker 1: other end the shot clock, so he knows Jamal has 205 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 1: to shoot, so he jumps it, and when he jumps it, 206 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: Jamal ends up defaulting to a pass at the last second, 207 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:53,439 Speaker 1: and Lebron's able to hit it away and get out 208 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:57,440 Speaker 1: the other end for dunk again. Really really lost in 209 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: all of this. Lebron was pretty damn good down the 210 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 1: stretch of this game, all right, So then we get 211 00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:10,840 Speaker 1: the chaos, right, So Jokic sees Aaron Gordon with just 212 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 1: Austin Reeves on him underneath the basket. A lot of 213 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 1: people were calling this a shot. I don't think it 214 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: was a shot. I think this was literally Jokic identifying 215 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: that Gordon had the signs advantage and basically just getting 216 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: it up in the air as high as possible so 217 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 1: that Aaron Gordon can basically high point it, and he does, 218 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:28,440 Speaker 1: and he beats Austin Reeves the ball. By the way, 219 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: that's a battle that if Austin Reeves wins that battle, 220 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: the Lakers probably win the game. That's how subtle a 221 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 1: little thing like this makes a huge difference in a 222 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:41,560 Speaker 1: game like this. Aaron Gordon wins that battle. Ruey and 223 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 1: excuse me, sorry, guys, Ruey gets caught out of position here. 224 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 1: Michael Porter Junior breaks free on the right wing. Really 225 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 1: nice pass from Aaron Gordon. Delo comes in and gets 226 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 1: a final contest, but it's not enough huge shot for 227 00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 1: Michael Porter Junior to tie the game. So the Lakers 228 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: are gonna get a couple of buckets here down the 229 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: stretch running an action called stack pick and roll that 230 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 1: we've talked about a lot on this show. It's where 231 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:10,560 Speaker 1: you look to backscreen the screen defender. So the first 232 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 1: time they run it, it's gonna be d Lo on 233 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 1: the ball and Lebron as the backscreener. So again you 234 00:12:16,040 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 1: can see ad sets the screen. Lebron's job here is 235 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 1: he's trying to backscreen Aaron Gordon doesn't even really get 236 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: much of a screen on him, But that's actually the 237 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 1: design of the play either way. Because Aaron Gordon has 238 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 1: his back turn and he's keyed in on ad Dlo 239 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 1: is able to get downhill and make a nice scoop 240 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 1: shot off the glass to give the Lakers the lead back. 241 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: This is the play I thought Darvin ham should have challenged, 242 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: and I thought it was a huge missed opportunity. So 243 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 1: we're gonna get At this point, the Lakers make a switch. 244 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,840 Speaker 1: They put Lebron James on Jamal Murray and they put 245 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis on Jokic. They're gonna switch the two man game, right, 246 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 1: So as Yokic comes off, they were gonna switch, but 247 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: Jamal ends up projecting the screen as he's coming downhill. 248 00:12:57,320 --> 00:13:00,320 Speaker 1: There's a little bump right there, just a little bump, okay, 249 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 1: and Jamal ends up taking and missing a fade away right. 250 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:06,839 Speaker 1: So here's the thing we can argue about whether or 251 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:09,839 Speaker 1: not that was a foul. Personally, I think in this 252 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 1: type of game, with everything that was going on, it wasn't. 253 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: But as I always say, don't blame the officials. You 254 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:18,520 Speaker 1: had by the way, and I've said this. I said 255 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 1: this on Twitter, and I firmly believe it. The Lakers 256 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 1: going after this game and blaming the officials, I thought 257 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: it was a lame as hell. I will never ever 258 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,319 Speaker 1: support a team that blames officiating after a loss. I 259 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:33,559 Speaker 1: think it's literally a loser mentality. Don't like it, right, 260 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 1: But in this situation, Lebron's mad. This is a called 261 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:39,719 Speaker 1: and again we watch it in full motion. This is 262 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 1: a kind of This is a kind of contact that 263 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 1: happened almost every single possession in this game. So here's 264 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 1: the problem I have. What do you see here? The 265 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:51,880 Speaker 1: Lakers have two timeouts, There is fifty seven point six 266 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 1: seconds left in this game. What is Darvin ham saving 267 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 1: the challenge for? What is he saving the challenge for? 268 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:01,079 Speaker 1: That is going to get over turned? In my opinion, 269 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: if he calls the challenge, it's gonna be overturned. They're 270 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 1: just gonna give possession back to the Nuggets and you're 271 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:08,079 Speaker 1: gonna have another opportunity to try to get a stop. 272 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:11,840 Speaker 1: I honestly was really disappointed in Darvin in that sense, 273 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 1: because the players are out there scratching and clawing and 274 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:16,440 Speaker 1: doing everything they can to try to win the game, 275 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: and you are not doing your job as the coach 276 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 1: to take advantage of the resources at your disposal. Wasting 277 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 1: that challenge taking it home with you. That is wasting 278 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 1: a resource that was at your disposal. And so again 279 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: I don't blame the officials. Officials are gonna make mistakes. 280 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: I don't blame Lebron, he's just trying to play defense. 281 00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 1: The guy blame there's Darvin Ham. His job is to 282 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 1: throw the challenge flag. There. I say, to throw the 283 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 1: challenge flag to challenge that play, turn on the red light, 284 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 1: whatever the hell you call it, and try to get 285 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 1: that one overturned again. We literally saw earlier in the 286 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 1: game the Nuggets get two calls overturned, including one where 287 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,480 Speaker 1: D'Angel Uressa got raked across the face like it was 288 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:58,240 Speaker 1: gonna get overturned if they challenged it. They needed to 289 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: challenge that. It was just a missed opportunity for Garvinham. 290 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 1: We go down the other end. The Lakers are gonna 291 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 1: run stack, pick and roll again. This time it's gonna 292 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: be d LO setting the backscreen, so you're gonna see 293 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 1: again eighty set in the screen. Aaron Gordon is our 294 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 1: screen defender. Watch d Lo backscreen, Aaron Gordon gets a 295 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 1: good screen on him. Now Lebron has the angle on 296 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 1: KCP and Jamal Murray is the helper. There's just nothing 297 00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: he can do there. That's an easy layup. Lebron again complaining, 298 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 1: this is the one that Lebron was pissed off at about. 299 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 1: He thinks he got hit there and again probably a foul, 300 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 1: but that kind of contact was happening on almost every 301 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 1: single possession, So I don't really sympathize with the Lakers 302 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:39,840 Speaker 1: complaining about officiating. If anything, they should have been they 303 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:41,720 Speaker 1: should have been complaining at their head coach for missing 304 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: that last challenge opportunity. So then we go down the 305 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 1: other end. Lebron has the free the layup, right, So 306 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 1: the Lakers are back up by two, and we're gonna 307 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 1: go back to a two man game with Jamal Murray 308 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 1: and nicolea Jokic. First, they switch it and Jamal goes Okay, 309 00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 1: don't really like this matchup, so we call another and 310 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 1: get Lebron into the action, and Lebron just briefly takes 311 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: a negative step here where he gets a little bit 312 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 1: unsquared and Jamal Murray is able to get enough separation 313 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: to knock down a shot, big time shot from Jamal 314 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 1: And again, that's why you keep shooting, even when you've 315 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 1: struggled throughout the game. You keep shooting because you're gonna 316 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 1: need to knock him down at some point. And he 317 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 1: hits the big ones right KCP flops here and in 318 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 1: the process gives up an open three. There were a 319 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: lot of Laker fans and again, yeah, this is if 320 00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 1: you watch it in slow motion, there's this was a 321 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 1: good no call. There's no reason to call it. Like 322 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 1: if you watch like there's contact here, there's like a 323 00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: very very slight shove. But that's not the kind of 324 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: thing that's gonna get called in that moment. Lakers fans 325 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 1: were pissed about the shot. I really disagree. You look 326 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 1: at the paint. Jokich is there. Lebron this season is 327 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 1: having the best jump shooting season of his career. He's 328 00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 1: already made two threes in the corner in the quarter, 329 00:16:50,160 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: he already made a right shoulder fade over here. He 330 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,800 Speaker 1: is this is a great look for a great shooter. 331 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 1: And literally watch front rim back rim, front room. It's 332 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: as close as you can come to making it so like, 333 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 1: I don't have any problem with that shot from Lebron James. 334 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 1: Now we're gonna head out the other way. And I 335 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,120 Speaker 1: really liked how Jamal kept a d on his heels here. 336 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:13,399 Speaker 1: And there's a specific part of this play that I 337 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:15,880 Speaker 1: think got him open. So we get the little hedge 338 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:18,440 Speaker 1: from d Low to try to flatten out the drive. Now, 339 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 1: now Jamal gets a running start kind of coming downhill, 340 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,480 Speaker 1: and there's an aggressive dribble attack move here that gets 341 00:17:25,520 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: Ad to take a negative step back into the lane 342 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,119 Speaker 1: right there. See boom. Now he's got his body turned, 343 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 1: his shoulders are square towards the rim. That buys Jamal 344 00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 1: the separation to get back. I want you guys to 345 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 1: watch this in slow motion. Watch that aggressive dribble drive 346 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 1: move from from Murray that actually creates the opportunity here. 347 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: So watch right here, he's gonna make a hard dribble 348 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,360 Speaker 1: drive move bam downhill. Look at his shoulder is literally 349 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,760 Speaker 1: down low below Ad, making it look like he's gonna drive. 350 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,639 Speaker 1: That gets Ad to take his first big aggressive step 351 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 1: back towards the rim. Then he steps back, which creates 352 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 1: the separation that Ad can't make up and game over, 353 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 1: Nuggets are up two to zero in the series. So, 354 00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: like again, we talked about a lot of specific things. 355 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:21,480 Speaker 1: For instance, we talked about we talked about the Mischallenge call. 356 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,200 Speaker 1: We talked about ruy Hachi Mura missing an open three. 357 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 1: We talked about Austin Reeves missing his three. We talked 358 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 1: about ad struggling to get that one offensive rebound. The 359 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:33,240 Speaker 1: reason why that all of that is just related to 360 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:36,280 Speaker 1: this specific game. The Lakers played well enough to win 361 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 1: this specific game, right. Like that, that goes without saying 362 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:40,919 Speaker 1: they were up twenty in the second half. That's not 363 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:42,920 Speaker 1: a hot take to say the Lakers could have won 364 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 1: this game. They literally were up twenty in the second half, 365 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,600 Speaker 1: right But the bigger issue is when it comes to 366 00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,320 Speaker 1: these situations, when it comes to these late games, slow 367 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: down half court situations, You're not close to slowing down 368 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:59,439 Speaker 1: Denver's offense. It's not you're holding them to a bucket 369 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:03,360 Speaker 1: on half a day possessions. They are scoring every single 370 00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:07,760 Speaker 1: time down the floor. You gave up a bucket on 371 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,200 Speaker 1: eight of your last nine defensive possessions in the regular season. 372 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 1: You did the same thing. That's why I don't think 373 00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: the Lakers have any real chance to win this series anymore. 374 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:19,320 Speaker 1: It's just clear to me that they don't have the 375 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,440 Speaker 1: personnel to contend, especially with Jamal Murray at the point 376 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:26,440 Speaker 1: of attack. And it was an issue for them all 377 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:29,200 Speaker 1: season last year, and in through the postseason. They never 378 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:32,439 Speaker 1: addressed it. This team is too good for them, especially 379 00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 1: in those slow down half court environments. If they had 380 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:37,160 Speaker 1: actually done a better job getting stops over the course 381 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 1: of the season, you might be able to talk me 382 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: into them having more of a puncher's chance. But like, yeah, 383 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:44,399 Speaker 1: and I gave them just that tiny little crack of 384 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 1: a chance to start the series. But now I think 385 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:48,960 Speaker 1: that slam shut. I did say at that point that 386 00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:50,919 Speaker 1: I thought they needed to split in Denver, and they 387 00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 1: did not do so. I specifically targeted Game one as well, 388 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,600 Speaker 1: they did not do so. And the bottom line is 389 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 1: is like, there's no point of optimism that I can 390 00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:02,879 Speaker 1: point to. They are literally incapable of getting stops against 391 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,320 Speaker 1: this team, and so by virtue of that, they're just 392 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: not going to be able to beat them, certainly not 393 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 1: four times in the next five games. All Right, we're 394 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:16,120 Speaker 1: gonna move on to Luca's run against the Los Angeles Clippers. 395 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 1: Let me pull the clips up here, all right, we're 396 00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 1: gonna start with a wedge screen so that Luca can 397 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,159 Speaker 1: attack out of the post. So a wedge screen is 398 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,040 Speaker 1: typically a screen where you start on one side of 399 00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 1: the floor and you get a screen from one of 400 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:30,800 Speaker 1: your teammates to then cut over to the block. And 401 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,760 Speaker 1: the purpose it typically serves is either to get a switch, 402 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 1: but more frequently a wedge screen is used for post position. 403 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:39,399 Speaker 1: So if Luca comes down this side of the floor 404 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 1: and he tries to back his way down, he's gonna 405 00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 1: have to fight and fight and fight and fight for 406 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,400 Speaker 1: position to try to get down to a position closer 407 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 1: to the block right a wedge screen by virtue of 408 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 1: Luca coming off. If they don't switch, then that guy's 409 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,480 Speaker 1: going to be in trail position. If he's in trail position, 410 00:20:56,840 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: then Luca can get easier post position here on the block. 411 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,399 Speaker 1: That's why they use wedge screens. The Nuggets use them 412 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,280 Speaker 1: a lot. A lot of teams around the league use 413 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:06,879 Speaker 1: these wedge screens to get their post players into better position. 414 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,080 Speaker 1: But the Clippers are going to switch it. So here's 415 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:12,160 Speaker 1: the wedg screen. Pja Washington back screens on Kawhi James 416 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 1: Harden is there. They just switch it okay, So now 417 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:17,680 Speaker 1: Luca is going to attack James Harden out of the post. 418 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,560 Speaker 1: Now we're going to get a double team from Russell Westbrook. 419 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 1: On the double team, we're gonna get a windshield wiper 420 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:26,640 Speaker 1: rotation from Kwi. Kawhi is gonna take Kyrie. So now 421 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 1: we have a three on two here on the backside. Right, 422 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: this is going to generate a close out opportunity for PJ. Washington. 423 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 1: It's just way easier to score when you have a 424 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:38,000 Speaker 1: defender closing out at you. You pass fakes, jab Steps 425 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: is able to get an angle. Nice patience to wait 426 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 1: for Kwhi to come down before he goes up and 427 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 1: finishes well. Once again, the action that generates the mismatch, 428 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 1: that generates the double team, that generates the advantage situation. Now, 429 00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 1: this very next possession here, you're going to see one 430 00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 1: of the reasons why this lineup works. And again this 431 00:21:57,119 --> 00:22:02,000 Speaker 1: is my favorite Mavericks lineup. It's Kyrie and Luca, Maxi Kleba, PJ. Washington, 432 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: and Derek Jones Junior. In order for this to work, 433 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 1: it requires Maxi to be able to hold up against 434 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 1: Zuboch in terms of size. Here they're gonna actually run 435 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:13,520 Speaker 1: through Zubatch in the post a Zubots, I should say, 436 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:15,400 Speaker 1: I'm trying to learn how to pronounce these guys better. 437 00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 1: So Kleeba is gonna actually fight Zubots into a really 438 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 1: tough left shoulder hook and actually forces him to leave 439 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 1: it short. Again. Notice he's attacking the base. He's trying 440 00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,560 Speaker 1: to slide up underneath him and disrupt his base, forces 441 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:30,919 Speaker 1: him to come sweeping across the lane and forces Hi miss. 442 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 1: So again they get an offensive rebound out of that. 443 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 1: But I just wanted to show that play because I 444 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:38,120 Speaker 1: thought it was a strong indicator of the specific matchup 445 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,679 Speaker 1: problem that Zuboch presents, Zubots presents, and how important it 446 00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 1: is for Kleba to be able to hold up in 447 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,520 Speaker 1: that matchup. Now we're gonna get the exact same wedge 448 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:50,399 Speaker 1: screen right, So here we are Luca Kawhi PJ. Washington 449 00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 1: sets the wedge screen, we get the switch. We're going 450 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 1: back to the block. This time they don't double because 451 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 1: last time they doubled, they got in rotation and gave 452 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 1: up a bucket and Luca, you just can't leave him 453 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,480 Speaker 1: on an island with James Harden. He ends up drawing 454 00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: a foul gets hit on the forearm as he's going up. 455 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 1: Now he's going to the foul line on the other 456 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 1: end of the floor. One of the big stories of 457 00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 1: this game, like we talked about last night, was Luca 458 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:17,439 Speaker 1: holding up against the Clipper Stars on an island. Here, 459 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 1: we're gonna get a basic just brush screen from James 460 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 1: Harden to get Kawhi switched on to Luca. Look at 461 00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:24,160 Speaker 1: Luca sliding his feet and cutting off the driving lanes. 462 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 1: He actually pokes the ball away in the chaos, the 463 00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:36,080 Speaker 1: Mavericks end up getting a steal. Now we're gonna go 464 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:41,520 Speaker 1: down the other way off the turnover, and this is 465 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:45,359 Speaker 1: just really simple, easy basketball. Paul George has Luca in 466 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 1: a cross match. We're gonna get a screen from Derek 467 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,480 Speaker 1: Jones Jr. That's gonna lead to a switch with Powell. 468 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 1: Now Clippers don't like this matchup, so they're gonna come 469 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:57,920 Speaker 1: with the double team. Here comes Kawhi, double team. Cleba's there. 470 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 1: We're gonna get a close out from Paul George. Extra 471 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: pass PJ Washington wide open corner three, knocks it down again. 472 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,119 Speaker 1: The MAVs desperately needed somebody to hit some shots down 473 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:08,479 Speaker 1: the stretch PJ. Washington and Mexically, but both came up 474 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:15,439 Speaker 1: huge in this game. All right, So on this particular play, 475 00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 1: this is a transition situation where Luca uses a head 476 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: of steam to get Kawhi on his heels. Okay, so misshot, 477 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 1: Luca's coming up the floor. Now Lucas mals blood in 478 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:30,880 Speaker 1: the water. At this point, right, MAVs are on a run. 479 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,320 Speaker 1: They just think they were down seventy three to sixty seven, right, 480 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:34,439 Speaker 1: so they just tied the game. They're on a six 481 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 1: to zero run. Game started at seventy three. Luca wants 482 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,560 Speaker 1: to completely shift the psychology of this game, and the 483 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 1: easiest way to do that is to get a quick bucket, 484 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,800 Speaker 1: preferably a three something that just sucks the life out 485 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 1: of the arena and makes the other team feel like 486 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: they're on the ropes. Right, So Lucas sees blood in 487 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 1: the water. He's coming up the floor here, no one's 488 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,320 Speaker 1: matched up with him, so he starts to pick up 489 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 1: his pace. Now Kawhi is there, but because Lucas taking 490 00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 1: these super aggressive downhill steps. Watch, I'm gonna move it 491 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:04,520 Speaker 1: into slow motion here, watch Kawhi take a backwards step. Boom, 492 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,919 Speaker 1: right there. That's all that Luca needed to get the 493 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 1: separation for his step back against one of the best 494 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 1: perimeter defenders in the war. You can just tell on 495 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:13,400 Speaker 1: the release of that one that it was perfect coming 496 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,080 Speaker 1: out of his hand. Now he's talking shit. Now Luca 497 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:20,160 Speaker 1: has completely fundamentally changed the psychology of this basketball game. 498 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,719 Speaker 1: All right, let's get another wedge screen in here, so 499 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:29,639 Speaker 1: we're gonna get the pass to Kyrie. Here comes the 500 00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 1: wedge screen, this time from Kleiba gets the switch comes 501 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: through to the other side of the floor. And again 502 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:39,960 Speaker 1: that one didn't look as much like a wedg screen 503 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:44,480 Speaker 1: as the others, because the MAVs know the switch is coming. 504 00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 1: It's more just targeting a matchup. But the fundamental action 505 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:48,679 Speaker 1: on the first two times they ran it is a 506 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:52,240 Speaker 1: wedge screen. Now Luca's attacking hard into the post. Russell 507 00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:54,920 Speaker 1: Westbrook doubles one pass away off of a really really 508 00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 1: good player, and Kyrie Irving knocks down the huge three 509 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:01,640 Speaker 1: off of the kick out pass. Again, if you're gonna 510 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 1: double one pass away, you gotta have a windshield wiper rotation. 511 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:07,440 Speaker 1: What that means is, let me go back here for 512 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:15,880 Speaker 1: a second. So what that means is As Russ prepares 513 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 1: to double, especially with Kleba and PJ. Washington, these are 514 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 1: lesser shooters on this side, Kawhi has to be immediately 515 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 1: up and ready to rotate to Kyrie. If you're gonna 516 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 1: double one pass away, Kawhi has to windshield wiper with 517 00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:29,600 Speaker 1: a meaning both of them have to make the rotation 518 00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:36,480 Speaker 1: at the exact same time. All right, this is Luca 519 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:43,920 Speaker 1: getting another stop against Kawhi on an island. So kick 520 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,000 Speaker 1: pass there. We're gonna get another hard en screen to 521 00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:51,680 Speaker 1: get a switch. Now, watch Luca contain the Kawhi drive. 522 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:54,160 Speaker 1: Watch him just sliding his feet, beating him to spots 523 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,879 Speaker 1: and cutting off driving angles. See cut off the drive, 524 00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,240 Speaker 1: spin back baseline, beat him to the spot, wall up, 525 00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:02,399 Speaker 1: don't foul. Now at this point, Kawi screwed. There's not 526 00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:04,160 Speaker 1: enough time in the clock to do anything. He's gonna 527 00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 1: have to rise up for an incredibly difficult shot. Luca 528 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: gets a great contest, really really good individual defense from Luca. 529 00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:19,919 Speaker 1: Now the Clippers make an adjustment. My guess here is 530 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:21,879 Speaker 1: they didn't want to give up any more switches, so 531 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 1: they put Russ on Luca. Russ is always really good 532 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:29,080 Speaker 1: at defending bigger post players. You might remember last year 533 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 1: in the postseason Russ doing a bunch of damage as 534 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,719 Speaker 1: a post defender against the Suns, if you guys remember. 535 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 1: But it also Russ is just so strong and low 536 00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:43,679 Speaker 1: center of gravity, He's really difficult to screen. So my 537 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: guess is they were just trying to avoid any sort 538 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,040 Speaker 1: of switch here. So instead of trying to get a switch, 539 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 1: Luca just takes Russ to the post and Russ kind 540 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 1: of denies. He fronts the post right. So now there's 541 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 1: only eight seconds on the shot clock. So this play, 542 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,320 Speaker 1: this possession is kind of dead, but Kyrie Irving is 543 00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:01,920 Speaker 1: capable of making a playoff the dribble to rescue possession. 544 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 1: Four seconds left, drives down on Paul George, kind of 545 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 1: fakes like he's gonna spin back and then goes back 546 00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:16,000 Speaker 1: over his left shoulder that nasty little floating hook. Now, 547 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,320 Speaker 1: Luca talked after the game, I thought this was really fascinating. 548 00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:20,320 Speaker 1: Luca talked after the game about how he did not 549 00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:22,719 Speaker 1: want he that he went to Jason Kidd and told 550 00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:24,359 Speaker 1: him he didn't want a double team because he trusts 551 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 1: his defense. Here's a great example. Paul George gets Luke 552 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:30,359 Speaker 1: on a switch, Paul George tries to drive past Luca, 553 00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:32,600 Speaker 1: Luca beats him to the spot and cuts him off. 554 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 1: But the Mas end up coming with a double team, 555 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,520 Speaker 1: which opens up this little opportunity to James Harden, who 556 00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:39,840 Speaker 1: ends up swinging to Russ, who hits a three. Now again, 557 00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,600 Speaker 1: as in terms of game plan, you live with that 558 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,720 Speaker 1: because you want Russ taking threes. But to Luca's credit 559 00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:46,720 Speaker 1: and what he was saying after the game, he felt 560 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: comfortable in that matchup on an island. Now, if you 561 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:55,040 Speaker 1: guys remember last night I talked about overaggression being an 562 00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 1: issue for the Clippers down the stretch, These next two 563 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 1: buckets for the maz came out of pointless overaggression. So 564 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:05,240 Speaker 1: here we go. We have Luca trying to post up 565 00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 1: Russ again and Luca creates a little passing angle. And 566 00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 1: then again, if you're Russ, instead of going after this, 567 00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: just place all the defense, but he gambles gets out 568 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 1: of position. Luca gets downhill. Now all all four other 569 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 1: helping Clippers are lined up on him and he's able 570 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 1: to generate another wide open corner three for PJ. Washington, 571 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:29,760 Speaker 1: who knocks it down. Now we're gonna get Luca getting 572 00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 1: attacked on an island again by Paul George. Not gonna 573 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,120 Speaker 1: slow this down or stop it. Just watch him cuts 574 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 1: off the drive, cuts off the drive, forces a tough 575 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,800 Speaker 1: contested jumper. Literally. Like again, I talked a lot after 576 00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:42,880 Speaker 1: Game one, like you the hedge and recover was the 577 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 1: schematic thing you can do. Or he just needs to 578 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:46,760 Speaker 1: do a better job and this is just him doing 579 00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:49,120 Speaker 1: a better job on defense on an island. Look at 580 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 1: him turning to his bench and hyping them up after 581 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:55,080 Speaker 1: he's getting these stops. Now Paul George's turned to be 582 00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:58,760 Speaker 1: over aggressive and again I wish so it's gonna start 583 00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:00,640 Speaker 1: with the double team of Kyrie Irvan, But if you're 584 00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,240 Speaker 1: the Clippers from a game plan perspective, you gotta be 585 00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,200 Speaker 1: less aggressive. And actually forced Luca to score here, but 586 00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 1: instead he reaches and when he reaches he does get 587 00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 1: a hand on the ball, but Luca is able to 588 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:13,760 Speaker 1: regain control. Now Paul George is out of position once 589 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:17,400 Speaker 1: again downhill. Everyone keyed in on him. Wide open catch 590 00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,680 Speaker 1: and shoot three from Maxi Kleiba knocks it down. Huge 591 00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:25,640 Speaker 1: shot making from PJ and Maxi. Late, another huge defensive 592 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 1: play from Maxi Kliba on on Zubatch. Here zubats, so 593 00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:35,280 Speaker 1: PG drives, Maxi steps up and help. He's not over committing, 594 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,960 Speaker 1: but he's putting himself between Zubots and PG. Right gets 595 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 1: the drop off pass. Now watch in slow motion. I'm 596 00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:43,840 Speaker 1: this one. I am going to slow down. Watch Watch 597 00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 1: the strip from Maxi here. Watch this so he's in position. 598 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 1: Watch the strip right as Zubots going up, Boom knocks 599 00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:58,600 Speaker 1: it loose. Huge defensive play from Maxi here down the stretch. 600 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 1: And then lastly we get our dagger. So Luca's got 601 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:10,960 Speaker 1: James Harden. We're just gonna work it down, clear and out, 602 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 1: creating space. This was the shot that we all saw 603 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: coming last night. Right, this is This is one of 604 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,120 Speaker 1: Luca's favorite things to do, especially on the road in 605 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,800 Speaker 1: the postseason. He wants to take he wants to snatch 606 00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:22,880 Speaker 1: your soul with the shot. He wants to hit the dagger. 607 00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 1: He wants to talk a bunch of shit. He wants 608 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,160 Speaker 1: to let your crowd know about it. Here we go. 609 00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:37,000 Speaker 1: I missed the playoff, Luca. All right, we're gonna move 610 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:38,400 Speaker 1: on to Sun's Wolves. I gotta go to a different 611 00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:42,680 Speaker 1: playlist here, So give me a second. So first possession 612 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 1: here was the one of the early possessions of the game, 613 00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:47,200 Speaker 1: and I thought it was just a strong example of 614 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,120 Speaker 1: the Sun's doing a lot of overpenetrating and in the 615 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:54,040 Speaker 1: process struggling with the physicality on those drives. So again, 616 00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,440 Speaker 1: if I'm Devin Booker here, this is where I just 617 00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 1: want to throw a kickback past to Grayson Allen and 618 00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 1: take a three. You are now trying to get downhill 619 00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,240 Speaker 1: and score against the best athlete at your position in 620 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:07,040 Speaker 1: the league. This is not an advantage, and especially with 621 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:09,280 Speaker 1: the amount of physicality that's being allowed, that's a battle 622 00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,760 Speaker 1: he's gonna lose. Ant gets physical with them and Devin 623 00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:14,400 Speaker 1: Booker turns it over. Big story in this game was 624 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:19,040 Speaker 1: the son struggling to handle physical ball pressure. Talked about 625 00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:23,160 Speaker 1: Ant needing to beat coverages with the hedge, the hedge 626 00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,920 Speaker 1: in particular and the high drop in particular with passing, 627 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:29,720 Speaker 1: and also dig downs into driving lanes. In this case, 628 00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 1: the coverage is the drop right, but Grayson is hard 629 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:38,520 Speaker 1: digging into his driving lane. Easy read to Mike Conley 630 00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 1: over here, Aunt takes it, buys a close out opportunity. 631 00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,720 Speaker 1: He's able to drive it and score. Ant was just 632 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:48,520 Speaker 1: magnificent in this game passing. In my opinion, here's an 633 00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:51,000 Speaker 1: example of a really bad misread from the Suns and 634 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,160 Speaker 1: then making life more difficult than it needed to be. 635 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 1: So they run some early offense and they don't get 636 00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 1: anything out of it, so it gets kicked back to 637 00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 1: Grayson Allen and then him in KD and up running action. Right. 638 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,880 Speaker 1: So here's where we're set up here. This is the 639 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:06,600 Speaker 1: play I talked about on the show last night. Those 640 00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:10,360 Speaker 1: of you guys who remember, So Conley's guarding Grayson, Kat's 641 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 1: guarding KD right, and we know we know that the 642 00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 1: coverage here is gonna be hedge and recover, right, So 643 00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:21,400 Speaker 1: as Grayson comes into this ghost screen, Conley is going 644 00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,120 Speaker 1: to hedge, which is going to open up an opportunity 645 00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:26,560 Speaker 1: for Grayson to attack and close out. Here right here 646 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:31,880 Speaker 1: comes screen Hedge, Grayson breaks free, Katie throws the pass. 647 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 1: There is a baked in driving lane here with seven 648 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:38,680 Speaker 1: seconds on the shot clock for Grayson to rip left, 649 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:42,320 Speaker 1: just catch and rip and drive. If he catches and 650 00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,200 Speaker 1: rips in all likelihood go Bear's gonna step up and 651 00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,440 Speaker 1: Ant is going to drop to try to box out 652 00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:51,160 Speaker 1: Nurkic and bet Bradley Beal is gonna get a wide 653 00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:53,840 Speaker 1: open corner three because he is a very good catch 654 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 1: and shoot three point shooter. So all Grayson has to 655 00:33:56,640 --> 00:34:01,880 Speaker 1: do rip left, drao bear ant sink. Beal's gonna be open, 656 00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,160 Speaker 1: wide open catch and shoot three. What does Grayson do instead? 657 00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:07,480 Speaker 1: Just throw it back to KD. Now we're attacking a 658 00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:10,760 Speaker 1: set defense and guess what KD is going to drive 659 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,839 Speaker 1: and take and miss a really tough contested two. So 660 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:15,920 Speaker 1: instead of getting a wide open catch and shoot three 661 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:19,279 Speaker 1: for Bradley Beal, we're getting a tough contested pull up 662 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 1: two for KD. That's just bad process. More importantly, why'd 663 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,640 Speaker 1: you run the screen? Why'd you run the ghost screen 664 00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:28,640 Speaker 1: if you don't have any intention of attacking the advantage 665 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:30,839 Speaker 1: with it? And like, I feel bad for Grayson because 666 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,680 Speaker 1: he resprained that ankle last night, But a lot of 667 00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 1: these misreads and opportunities early were on Grayson. Allen, all right, 668 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,799 Speaker 1: our next one. This was a really nice peel off 669 00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,960 Speaker 1: switch from Anthony Edwards in a transition play. Okay, so 670 00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:47,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna put this one in slow motion because I 671 00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,400 Speaker 1: think it's interesting. So Bradley Beal is driving right, Nurkic 672 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:54,520 Speaker 1: is trailing the play. Edwards and Gobert are both on 673 00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 1: them right, but watch as this gets behind the rim. 674 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:03,520 Speaker 1: It makes a call he identifies right here. He's like, oh, 675 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 1: Rudy's got this under control. Brad's behind the backboard. If 676 00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,160 Speaker 1: he tries to rise up, Rudy's gonna clean this up. 677 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,479 Speaker 1: So Ant goes, I'm no longer needed here. I'm gonna 678 00:35:12,520 --> 00:35:15,120 Speaker 1: recover to the pass, and so he backed off and 679 00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 1: runs into this passing lane right as Bradley Beal throws 680 00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 1: it and gets a steal. Huge defensive play, obviously early 681 00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:24,880 Speaker 1: in the game, but really really nice defensive play from 682 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 1: Anthony Edwards and just an example of the type of 683 00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:31,319 Speaker 1: smart defensive instincts that make this Minnesota defense so good. 684 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,640 Speaker 1: And it generates a runout opportunity in Jaden gets to 685 00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 1: the line. All right, Our next one is another missread 686 00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:48,680 Speaker 1: from Grayson Allen. Okay, so Grayson catches on the wing, 687 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 1: Beal cuts through. We're gonna get the ball screen with 688 00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:57,600 Speaker 1: KD right, Grayson comes off cats in a drop. Look 689 00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:02,120 Speaker 1: at this throw the damn basketball to the wide open 690 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,800 Speaker 1: guy on the wing so he can attack it close 691 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,479 Speaker 1: out right, Nope, We're gonna swing it across the floor 692 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,960 Speaker 1: and run action on the other end, which is gonna 693 00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:13,200 Speaker 1: end in Bradley Beale taking a contested pull up too. 694 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 1: It's like it's literally the story of this matchup so far. 695 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:20,920 Speaker 1: The Sun's passing on easy driving kick opportunities to play, 696 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:25,080 Speaker 1: to play on an island against elite perimeter defensive players. 697 00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:29,279 Speaker 1: This was a silly foul from Carl Towns, and I 698 00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,640 Speaker 1: just thought it was funny because Kat was complaining at 699 00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,200 Speaker 1: the refs all night. But this is gonna get called 700 00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:36,799 Speaker 1: every single time. Watch as he gets ready to set screen, 701 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:38,440 Speaker 1: watch that last step and then he just trips him, 702 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,640 Speaker 1: just literally just sticks his leg out and trips him, 703 00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:43,440 Speaker 1: and then he'll get mad at the ref for getting 704 00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:52,080 Speaker 1: called for an offensive foul. Now another Grayson Allen read 705 00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:54,960 Speaker 1: here in transition. He's gonna over penetrate and drive into 706 00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:58,280 Speaker 1: physical situation and turn it over again. As he's driving 707 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:02,759 Speaker 1: right here, as he's driving boom Carltown's turned his back, 708 00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:05,799 Speaker 1: throw the ball to Devin Booker. He's going to be 709 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:07,879 Speaker 1: able to drive that close out or hit a catch 710 00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:11,120 Speaker 1: and shoot three. Instead, we overpenetrate into traffic and turn 711 00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:17,359 Speaker 1: the basketball over. We're gonna get a double staggered action 712 00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:19,040 Speaker 1: here from Bradley Beal. This was another play I talked 713 00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:22,080 Speaker 1: about on the show last night. Right, so Bradley Beal's 714 00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:25,279 Speaker 1: gonna come off the screen, Jaden's chasing, Jaden's chasing. Both 715 00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,040 Speaker 1: bigs are dropping freeze right there. I'm actually gonna go 716 00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:34,040 Speaker 1: back a little bit right, Throw the pass. Throw the pass. 717 00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:38,520 Speaker 1: It's open. These guys are dropping. Jaden's trailing. Roy O'Neil 718 00:37:38,640 --> 00:37:40,200 Speaker 1: is wide open at the top of the key. There's 719 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:43,279 Speaker 1: no problem with the angle for the pass if you 720 00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:46,160 Speaker 1: throw that. Here's one of two things is gonna happen. 721 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:49,759 Speaker 1: Either Nikhil Alexander Walker is going to close out or 722 00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:52,560 Speaker 1: Nazarit is gonna close out and Roys O'Neil can drive 723 00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:55,320 Speaker 1: the close out, which will keep the defense in rotation 724 00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,120 Speaker 1: and help you generate an easier opportunity. Or he's gonna 725 00:37:58,120 --> 00:37:59,640 Speaker 1: get a catch and shoot three, which is going to 726 00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:02,920 Speaker 1: be a high percentage shot than this. But instead, Beal 727 00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:06,600 Speaker 1: over penetrates go bear. A lot of late clock switches 728 00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:09,439 Speaker 1: from Rudy Gobert last night that were huge in this game. 729 00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:11,759 Speaker 1: But he switches out and now Bradley Beal is gonna 730 00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:16,760 Speaker 1: take this incredibly difficult step through floater thing against Rudy Gobert. 731 00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:19,240 Speaker 1: That's an extremely So tell me what's a higher percentage 732 00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:22,000 Speaker 1: shot this or what you might have gotten if you 733 00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:24,600 Speaker 1: threw the kickback past Royce O'Neil. That's not a difficult 734 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 1: question to find the answer to. All Right, Now we're 735 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:36,080 Speaker 1: gonna see Kevin Duran turning the ball over against physical 736 00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:38,200 Speaker 1: ball pressure. This happened a couple of times with NOAs 737 00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:40,840 Speaker 1: Reed in particular. So the Sons are running out the 738 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,520 Speaker 1: other way, They're gonna throw the ball KD, and Naseri 739 00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:47,240 Speaker 1: just picks him up with aggressive ball pressure, physical stunting 740 00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:50,279 Speaker 1: at the basketball and forces a turnover. And again that 741 00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:52,239 Speaker 1: was a huge story in this game just and in 742 00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:55,400 Speaker 1: general in this matchup. You apply physical ball pressure on 743 00:38:55,440 --> 00:39:01,120 Speaker 1: the Suns, they're gonna turn it over and get sloppy. 744 00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,080 Speaker 1: Devin Booker, same sort of thing here. Fatigue is starting 745 00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:09,160 Speaker 1: to set in. There's ball pressure, there's ball pressure. He's 746 00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,239 Speaker 1: trying to make a high post entry to KD, but 747 00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:14,440 Speaker 1: he doesn't make a pass fake and so Nikhil Alexander 748 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:16,480 Speaker 1: Walker is able to get an easy deflection and force 749 00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:21,279 Speaker 1: a turnover. Now, this was the stretch that I talked 750 00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:25,759 Speaker 1: about in the show last night where Anthony Edwards was 751 00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,920 Speaker 1: beating the hedge or beating the yeah, the hedge and recover. 752 00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:34,440 Speaker 1: So we're gonna go to Anthony Edwards here on the 753 00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:40,000 Speaker 1: wing Naz Reid screens. There's the so U banks is 754 00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:41,400 Speaker 1: coverage is supposed to be a hedge, but he's just 755 00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:42,960 Speaker 1: too slow there, so it kind of looks more like 756 00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,000 Speaker 1: a high drop. But it's more or less the same concept. 757 00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:48,799 Speaker 1: Now again, instead of doing anything stupid, take the read 758 00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,040 Speaker 1: that is there, the easy kick back to Nas red 759 00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,760 Speaker 1: Devin Booker's closing out. He has to leave his feet 760 00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,480 Speaker 1: to contest the shot that allows Nas to drive and 761 00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:58,799 Speaker 1: he's able to get to the foul line. Again, take 762 00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:07,520 Speaker 1: the easy reads that are available. Now, this is gonna 763 00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:12,799 Speaker 1: be a bucker bucker, a bucket for Devin Booker and 764 00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 1: an example of how much easier it is to score 765 00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:18,879 Speaker 1: when you're playing with an advantage. So we're gonna get 766 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,200 Speaker 1: a ball screen and this is a kind of like 767 00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:24,760 Speaker 1: a Spain pick and roll type of thing where Booker 768 00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,480 Speaker 1: is relocating to the top as U Banks is rolling. 769 00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:29,920 Speaker 1: We get to close out opportunity. Now, look, this is 770 00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:32,080 Speaker 1: what it looks like, a nice little kind of brush 771 00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:34,880 Speaker 1: screen here from you Banks too. Devin Booker attacking with 772 00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:38,360 Speaker 1: an advantage, he's able to pump on the pump. He 773 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,200 Speaker 1: gets Nikhil Alexander Walker to close out hard to his 774 00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:43,799 Speaker 1: right hand side. Then he's able to drive left. That 775 00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,280 Speaker 1: gives an angle for U Banks to set another screen 776 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,960 Speaker 1: and does not dig down, and so Devin Booker can 777 00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:54,720 Speaker 1: rise cleanly into a pull up two pointer. Like again, 778 00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:56,560 Speaker 1: those guys are just going to be so much more 779 00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:59,120 Speaker 1: efficient when they're attacking with an advantage versus when they're 780 00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:04,920 Speaker 1: attacking in a set defense situation. And it's gonna beat 781 00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:08,120 Speaker 1: the hedge with the pass here again again, You Banks 782 00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:11,320 Speaker 1: is a little slow, but he's up right and Devin Booker, 783 00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,400 Speaker 1: like they're doing on so many of these ball screens, 784 00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:16,239 Speaker 1: is digging down super hard into the driving lane. An 785 00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:18,440 Speaker 1: throws the kick. It's almost a little sloppy pass, and 786 00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:21,040 Speaker 1: so Alexander Walker ends up having to hit a little 787 00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,880 Speaker 1: tougher shot than you're expecting. But that opening is created 788 00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:30,799 Speaker 1: by making the read against the hedge. And then we're 789 00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:37,840 Speaker 1: gonna see it again here, So go bear high drop 790 00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:43,000 Speaker 1: go Bear's rolling. Gordon sinks into the lane. As a result, 791 00:41:43,120 --> 00:41:48,360 Speaker 1: Nikhil Alexander Walker is open and he identifies Jaden McDaniels 792 00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:50,560 Speaker 1: on the weak side. Again, look at Kad KD is 793 00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:53,400 Speaker 1: sinking into the lane. Kd's got his foot on the 794 00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:56,880 Speaker 1: left block. So now Katie is closing out on Jada McDaniels. 795 00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,759 Speaker 1: And all night long, Jaden was magnificent with these just 796 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:02,960 Speaker 1: sick rip through moves on KD, just beating him with 797 00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:06,279 Speaker 1: his athleticism ripped. And this is just that's just a 798 00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:09,040 Speaker 1: really really nice little drifting fade away along the baseline. 799 00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:13,640 Speaker 1: So shout out to shout out to Anthony Edwards. He 800 00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:16,680 Speaker 1: was just really good as a playmaker in this particular game. 801 00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:20,000 Speaker 1: More physical ball pressure from nas Reed forces yet another turnover. 802 00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:25,440 Speaker 1: Now that one should have been That one actually went 803 00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:27,160 Speaker 1: off on naz Reid's foot, but they didn't know. They 804 00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:30,520 Speaker 1: didn't review it. But still a turnover for all intents 805 00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:33,000 Speaker 1: and purposes for the game that was caused by ball pressure. 806 00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:37,160 Speaker 1: All right, last four clips of this game. Mike Conley 807 00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:39,839 Speaker 1: takes over in the fourth quarter. Now not shown here. 808 00:42:40,040 --> 00:42:43,080 Speaker 1: I didn't show it because just for timesake. But in 809 00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:46,799 Speaker 1: the second quarter, Mike Conley scored twelve points against a 810 00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:50,840 Speaker 1: deep drop coverage that nurkicch was running, and so coming 811 00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:54,520 Speaker 1: into the fourth quarter, Mike didn't score in the third quarter, 812 00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:57,160 Speaker 1: and Frank Vogel made what I thought was a mistake. 813 00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:59,640 Speaker 1: He made a coverage adjustment and started running high drop 814 00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,320 Speaker 1: and instead of just daring Mike Conley to continue to 815 00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:05,640 Speaker 1: beat them as a score. Mike Conley just has too 816 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,280 Speaker 1: much chemistry with Rudy Gobert as a pick and roll partner, 817 00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:09,920 Speaker 1: and when you threw the high drop at him, he 818 00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:13,360 Speaker 1: just immediately picked it apart. With pocket passes, go bear screen. 819 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 1: Nurkic is coming out high, easy pocket pass, Katie's way 820 00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:26,000 Speaker 1: too slow on the tag, easy dunk for Gobert. Another 821 00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:29,800 Speaker 1: sloppy turnover from Devin Booker on the other end. Again, 822 00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,600 Speaker 1: this is just fatigue. I'm a big believer that fatigue 823 00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:35,319 Speaker 1: is having an effect on the Suns and just their 824 00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,520 Speaker 1: overall sloppiness, fatigue and ball pressure. We're gonna get a 825 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:42,200 Speaker 1: guard screen from Bradley Beal. Gobart kind of shows there's 826 00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:44,520 Speaker 1: a closeout opportunity. But look at this pass Booker throws. 827 00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:54,160 Speaker 1: That's just sloppy another pocket pass from Conley. Here there 828 00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:57,880 Speaker 1: is a switch because of help right, So there's another 829 00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:01,799 Speaker 1: wedge screen that gets Carl Town's advantage on Bradley Beal. 830 00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:04,560 Speaker 1: So Nurkic calls for a switch and he points back 831 00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:07,319 Speaker 1: out to go Beart. So Beal closes out, but then 832 00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,920 Speaker 1: as Conley runs it again instead of Beal kind of 833 00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:14,160 Speaker 1: meeting Conley here in a more passive way, he closes hard. 834 00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:17,239 Speaker 1: And when he closes hard, that opens the pocket pass 835 00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:21,319 Speaker 1: for Gobert. Nurkic has to tag Kat cuts along the 836 00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:28,160 Speaker 1: baseline and gets a layup. Same exact thing over here again. 837 00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:31,360 Speaker 1: High drop. Look at how hard Nurkic is showing on 838 00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:35,520 Speaker 1: these easy pocket passed. They're gonna run it again here. 839 00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:41,120 Speaker 1: Look at that hard show kick to Gobert tagged by Booker. 840 00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:42,640 Speaker 1: Now I've got a two on one on the weak 841 00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:46,759 Speaker 1: side with Kevin Durant, Nikhil, Alexander Walker, Kadie stunts towards 842 00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:49,799 Speaker 1: the baseline side. Gobert hits him wide open, catches twot 843 00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:52,080 Speaker 1: three for McDaniels. He misses it, but as all the 844 00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:54,560 Speaker 1: sons had to rotate over this way creates an opening 845 00:44:54,600 --> 00:44:56,880 Speaker 1: for Mike Conley to get the offensive rebound on the backside, 846 00:44:56,880 --> 00:44:59,840 Speaker 1: and that basically ended up being the shot that amounted 847 00:44:59,840 --> 00:45:03,640 Speaker 1: to the dagger. So again, as you as you as 848 00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:04,840 Speaker 1: you can see, and like I had a lot of 849 00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:07,359 Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna go straight into the mail bag here 850 00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:11,080 Speaker 1: because this first question kind of plays into this a 851 00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,440 Speaker 1: little bit. So this was a comment that was on 852 00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,000 Speaker 1: the breakout clip that we did from the Sun's Wolves 853 00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:18,640 Speaker 1: game last night. Lol, this dude is now saying that 854 00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:20,680 Speaker 1: the game played out exactly as he said, but he 855 00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:23,200 Speaker 1: literally picked the Suns to win. Don't change up now. 856 00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:25,920 Speaker 1: So I know the vast majority of you guys are 857 00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:28,880 Speaker 1: not like this, So I promise that I appreciate and 858 00:45:28,880 --> 00:45:33,400 Speaker 1: and and I'm thankful for the most of you guys 859 00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:35,880 Speaker 1: being able to sift through this and understand. But I 860 00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:37,759 Speaker 1: always have to clarify this every year when we get 861 00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:43,680 Speaker 1: to the postseason. I make predictions because it's my job. Okay, 862 00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:46,359 Speaker 1: all of these series are really close. As a matter 863 00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:48,880 Speaker 1: of fact, with exception of the Nugget series and the 864 00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:52,800 Speaker 1: Celtics series. I think every single the Nugget, Celtics and 865 00:45:52,840 --> 00:45:56,640 Speaker 1: Pelicans Thunder. So five of the eight series were in 866 00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:58,880 Speaker 1: the one hundreds in terms of how much the favor 867 00:45:59,120 --> 00:46:02,640 Speaker 1: is favored. They were favored by somewhere between minus one 868 00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:05,480 Speaker 1: oh five and minus one ninety five every single one 869 00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:09,839 Speaker 1: of these series. So they're all coin flips. Okay, I'm 870 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:13,960 Speaker 1: gonna make a prediction anyway, because that's my job. And 871 00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:17,400 Speaker 1: in the predictions, what do I always do? I tell you, guys, 872 00:46:17,640 --> 00:46:20,480 Speaker 1: here's what I think is gonna happen. As a guess, 873 00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:26,520 Speaker 1: here's my reasoning for why. However, if the other team wins, 874 00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:30,080 Speaker 1: here is their pathway. I do that for every single 875 00:46:30,120 --> 00:46:32,960 Speaker 1: one of these series. That's what I did for the Wolves. 876 00:46:33,560 --> 00:46:36,320 Speaker 1: I picked the Suns to win because in the regular 877 00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:40,480 Speaker 1: season the Suns dominated the Wolves. I had basketball evidence 878 00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:44,279 Speaker 1: to back that up. In the process, I did say 879 00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:46,760 Speaker 1: I expected it to go six games because the Wolves 880 00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:48,960 Speaker 1: are such a good defense and they're so physical, right, 881 00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,000 Speaker 1: But in the in the process, I broke down the 882 00:46:52,040 --> 00:46:55,320 Speaker 1: reasons why Frank Vogel has a really good game plan. 883 00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:59,160 Speaker 1: His game plan of the aggressive coverages against ant In 884 00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:02,480 Speaker 1: the passive cover against Conley plays the two of them 885 00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:04,839 Speaker 1: into their worst tendencies, and the Wolves tend to fall 886 00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:08,480 Speaker 1: apart offensively. That was the evidence that I used to 887 00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:11,160 Speaker 1: make my prediction right. But those of you guys who 888 00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:14,760 Speaker 1: watched the series preview, you saw exactly what I said 889 00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:17,799 Speaker 1: in the if the Wolves win, this is what they 890 00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:21,120 Speaker 1: need to do segment, I literally said, they need Jaden 891 00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:25,200 Speaker 1: McDaniels to give them scoring pop. What did Jaden McDaniels 892 00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,280 Speaker 1: do in Game two? Gave them scoring pop. They need 893 00:47:28,280 --> 00:47:32,200 Speaker 1: Mike Conley to beat the passive coverages by being aggressive 894 00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,560 Speaker 1: as a score That is what he did in the 895 00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:38,080 Speaker 1: second quarter run that led to the adjustment that led 896 00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:41,840 Speaker 1: to him picking them apart in the pocket passes. In 897 00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:45,400 Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, I said, Anthony Edwards has to beat 898 00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:49,760 Speaker 1: Vogels coverage with pull up jump shooting in decision making 899 00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:53,040 Speaker 1: against their kind of loaded up coverages. In game one 900 00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:55,720 Speaker 1: he beat it with pull up shooting and in Game 901 00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:59,680 Speaker 1: two he beat it with playmaking. And then lastly, I said, 902 00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:03,399 Speaker 1: they cannot let the Suns get into rotation. They need 903 00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:06,200 Speaker 1: to stay home off the ball as much as possible 904 00:48:06,239 --> 00:48:09,040 Speaker 1: and try to defend the actions one on one in 905 00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:12,000 Speaker 1: two on two. So I laid out the pathway for 906 00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:15,040 Speaker 1: both teams. By the way, this series is not over. 907 00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:19,200 Speaker 1: I do believe now that Minnesota will win Phoenix's process 908 00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:21,640 Speaker 1: has been so bad in these first two games. I 909 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:24,239 Speaker 1: don't think they're even close to figuring this out, and 910 00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:27,520 Speaker 1: so I do believe Minnesota will win. But I made 911 00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:31,520 Speaker 1: that prediction before the series based on evidence. Phoenix does 912 00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:34,839 Speaker 1: still have a chance. If Phoenix goes home and they 913 00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:38,319 Speaker 1: do make take advantage of those smarter reads, and they 914 00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:40,919 Speaker 1: do get the ball in rotation and start generating higher 915 00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:44,040 Speaker 1: quality shots, and they up their assist percentage to where 916 00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:46,680 Speaker 1: it was in the regular season, and then their defensive 917 00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:49,680 Speaker 1: game plan works better. I do think they can get 918 00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:52,960 Speaker 1: back in this series. In fact, I would be I 919 00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:54,920 Speaker 1: do think they'll get at least one in Phoenix, and 920 00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:57,160 Speaker 1: I think there's a decent chance they get two. I 921 00:48:57,239 --> 00:48:59,239 Speaker 1: just don't think Phoenix can do it four times in 922 00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:01,759 Speaker 1: five tries now, So I do believe Minnesota will come 923 00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:04,600 Speaker 1: back to win. But again, I'm saying this now because 924 00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:07,200 Speaker 1: I'm gonna make four more predictions in the second round, 925 00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,799 Speaker 1: and two more in the Conference finals and one more 926 00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:13,440 Speaker 1: in the NBA Finals. All of these are mostly coin flips. 927 00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:16,800 Speaker 1: I picked the MAVs to beat the Clippers. You're insane 928 00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:18,560 Speaker 1: if you don't think the Clippers can beat the MAVs. 929 00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:21,480 Speaker 1: Of course they're capable of it. That series is the 930 00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:28,120 Speaker 1: razor thin right like the the Let's take the Pacers 931 00:49:28,160 --> 00:49:31,359 Speaker 1: Bucks series. That series is gonna be close. The Knick 932 00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:33,919 Speaker 1: Sixers series. I really do think the Sixers are gonna 933 00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:35,680 Speaker 1: go home and win two games and tie that series. 934 00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:38,439 Speaker 1: All these games are very All these series are really 935 00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:41,319 Speaker 1: really close. So I'm gonna make a prediction. If I 936 00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:43,920 Speaker 1: pick against your team, it doesn't mean I don't like 937 00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:45,959 Speaker 1: your team, it doesn't mean I don't believe your team 938 00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:49,600 Speaker 1: can win. I'm gonna base my prediction on some basketball evidence, 939 00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:52,239 Speaker 1: and then I'm also going to lay out the pathway 940 00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,400 Speaker 1: for how the Wolves can win. I wasn't trying to 941 00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:57,839 Speaker 1: take a victory lap last night on the show. All 942 00:49:57,880 --> 00:50:01,000 Speaker 1: I was doing was saying, is wow, this is interesting. 943 00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,600 Speaker 1: I thought that if the Wolves won, this is what 944 00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:07,600 Speaker 1: it would look like, and it's literally what's happening. I 945 00:50:07,640 --> 00:50:11,960 Speaker 1: find that fascinating from a basketball perspective. Every team goes 946 00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:16,480 Speaker 1: into matchups, into playoff series with advantages and disadvantages in 947 00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:20,400 Speaker 1: the team that best capitalizes on their advantages and hides 948 00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:23,160 Speaker 1: their disadvantages is going to be the team that wins 949 00:50:23,200 --> 00:50:26,160 Speaker 1: the series. And so far through two games, the Minnesota 950 00:50:26,160 --> 00:50:31,359 Speaker 1: Timberwolves have done a masterful job of playing of confronting 951 00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:35,680 Speaker 1: their own weaknesses and playing well in those situations. Jayden scoring, 952 00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:39,279 Speaker 1: Mike Conley scoring, Anthony Edwards, hitting pull up jumpers and 953 00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:43,680 Speaker 1: making passing reads. And Phoenix is playing into the worst 954 00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:48,520 Speaker 1: version of themselves. Right. So, Like again, I want to 955 00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:50,800 Speaker 1: be clear, I know the vast majority of you guys 956 00:50:50,920 --> 00:50:53,960 Speaker 1: give me that leeway. But for that small segment that 957 00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:56,239 Speaker 1: seems to think that every prediction I make is me 958 00:50:56,360 --> 00:50:59,600 Speaker 1: like staking my entire reputation as an analyst on the 959 00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:02,520 Speaker 1: outcome of series, That's fucking stupid. That's just not how 960 00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:05,560 Speaker 1: this works. I'm giving you guys predictions because it's my job. 961 00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:08,200 Speaker 1: I'm going to give my case, but I'm always going 962 00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:09,960 Speaker 1: to give a case for the other side as well. 963 00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:14,279 Speaker 1: I'm not rooting against the Timberwolves. I simply just made 964 00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:16,480 Speaker 1: a call based on evidence in the regular season, and 965 00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:19,280 Speaker 1: I think we can all agree that in the regular 966 00:51:19,360 --> 00:51:22,480 Speaker 1: season the Suns gave the Timberwolves issues. Are we seriously 967 00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:24,600 Speaker 1: going to pretend that isn't the case. Of course that 968 00:51:24,719 --> 00:51:27,400 Speaker 1: was the case. They've just managed to flip the script 969 00:51:27,440 --> 00:51:29,960 Speaker 1: on all of that stuff to have success in this series. 970 00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:32,960 Speaker 1: Next question, how do you feel about a healthy Lonzo 971 00:51:33,080 --> 00:51:36,200 Speaker 1: Ball on this Timberwolves teams? On the Timberwolves team, love 972 00:51:36,239 --> 00:51:39,280 Speaker 1: the breakdowns, keep it up, you know. I actually, again, 973 00:51:40,000 --> 00:51:42,040 Speaker 1: just looking at it through the lens of a healthy 974 00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:46,239 Speaker 1: Lonzo Ball, I love the fit. Excellent perimeter defender, more 975 00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:51,000 Speaker 1: of a playmaking pace pushing kick ahead Tyre's Halliburton X esque, 976 00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:54,080 Speaker 1: kind of like read maker in the half court and 977 00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:57,279 Speaker 1: in transition, and he turned himself into a really good 978 00:51:57,320 --> 00:52:00,239 Speaker 1: catch and shoot player. I don't think you could can 979 00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:04,279 Speaker 1: conceive of a better two guard to fit your timeline 980 00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:06,799 Speaker 1: post Mike Conley. I think that makes a ton of sense. 981 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,359 Speaker 1: The question is can Lonzo Ball get healthy? And that's 982 00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:10,799 Speaker 1: where it gets tricky. But I thought that was a 983 00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:14,440 Speaker 1: really interesting suggestion, and I would love to see Lonzo 984 00:52:14,800 --> 00:52:17,920 Speaker 1: have a career renaissance in a place like Minnesota. I 985 00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,000 Speaker 1: feel like a major part of the MAVs fourth quarter 986 00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:22,760 Speaker 1: success was Russell Westbrook making a ton of bad defensive 987 00:52:22,800 --> 00:52:25,160 Speaker 1: decisions for no reason. I know very little about the 988 00:52:25,239 --> 00:52:27,360 Speaker 1: x's and o's of basketball, but sagging off Kyrie and 989 00:52:27,400 --> 00:52:29,680 Speaker 1: losing Luca or going for a random steal isn't the 990 00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:32,400 Speaker 1: smartest idea when you're trying to close the gap. So 991 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:35,360 Speaker 1: that's always the case with Russ. Russ is the textbook 992 00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:38,560 Speaker 1: good play, bad play guy, and it's always a scale 993 00:52:38,600 --> 00:52:41,800 Speaker 1: with him, and sometimes the scales tips towards good plays 994 00:52:41,800 --> 00:52:44,719 Speaker 1: more than bad, and sometimes it skips a tilts towards 995 00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:47,240 Speaker 1: bad plays more than good. When he was with the Lakers, 996 00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:50,040 Speaker 1: more often than not, the bad plays were winning out. 997 00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:51,960 Speaker 1: With the Clippers, for the most part, the good plays 998 00:52:51,960 --> 00:52:53,719 Speaker 1: have been winning out. He did make a couple of 999 00:52:53,760 --> 00:52:55,880 Speaker 1: bad defensive decisions down the stretch of that game. He 1000 00:52:55,960 --> 00:52:59,239 Speaker 1: doubled from Kyrie one pass away when clearly it wasn't 1001 00:52:59,280 --> 00:53:02,200 Speaker 1: schemed for Kawhi wasn't ready for it as the next rotation. 1002 00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:04,840 Speaker 1: And then he gambled on Luca once and gave in 1003 00:53:04,880 --> 00:53:07,680 Speaker 1: a post up and gave him a downhill opportunity that 1004 00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:10,439 Speaker 1: led to an easy kickout pass for a PJ. Washington three. 1005 00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:13,120 Speaker 1: So yeah, he did make some mistakes. I just think 1006 00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:15,440 Speaker 1: the good that Russ brought to the table last night 1007 00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:19,760 Speaker 1: outweighed the bad. Don't you think it's interesting how because 1008 00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:22,399 Speaker 1: of the wolves insane perimeter defense on the big three 1009 00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:24,920 Speaker 1: and their ball pressure. A lot of these end of 1010 00:53:24,920 --> 00:53:27,840 Speaker 1: possession grenades go to Nurkic on an island against Gobert. 1011 00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:30,400 Speaker 1: How else can you beat lockdown perimeter defense like that 1012 00:53:30,640 --> 00:53:33,319 Speaker 1: at the end of the shot clock. So I'm just 1013 00:53:33,360 --> 00:53:36,880 Speaker 1: gonna take this in a different direction. I thought gober 1014 00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:39,680 Speaker 1: in general, switching on pick and rolls late in the 1015 00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:43,000 Speaker 1: shot clock was a huge part of Minnesota's defensive success 1016 00:53:43,000 --> 00:53:45,600 Speaker 1: in Games one and two. Essentially he's meeting them up 1017 00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:48,279 Speaker 1: high and following them into the lane, and yeah, some 1018 00:53:48,320 --> 00:53:50,160 Speaker 1: of those are getting dropped off to Nurkic and late 1019 00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:52,680 Speaker 1: lake clock situations, but a lot of them the guard 1020 00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:55,360 Speaker 1: is then pulling Gobert out and then trying to ISO 1021 00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:58,239 Speaker 1: against him, and Gobert is just doing an amazing job 1022 00:53:58,320 --> 00:54:01,120 Speaker 1: on those ISOs. Again, a lot about je McDaniels and 1023 00:54:01,120 --> 00:54:03,120 Speaker 1: Anthony Edwards and the Kile Alexander Walker. I even think 1024 00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:05,520 Speaker 1: Mike Conley's done a really got a good job defensively 1025 00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:08,080 Speaker 1: in the series. But Rudy Gobert is one of the 1026 00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:10,160 Speaker 1: top five defensive anchors in the world, and he pulls 1027 00:54:10,160 --> 00:54:14,040 Speaker 1: it all together for them. Steph has a down month 1028 00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:15,880 Speaker 1: on his stats and he's no longer top ten and 1029 00:54:15,960 --> 00:54:18,600 Speaker 1: is no longer in his prime. Recency bias is crazy, 1030 00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:21,400 Speaker 1: so I wanted to clarify this. First of all, Steph's 1031 00:54:22,040 --> 00:54:24,640 Speaker 1: rough end to the season was actually a few months long, 1032 00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:28,279 Speaker 1: but I did I'm doing the exact same thing to 1033 00:54:28,280 --> 00:54:31,359 Speaker 1: Steph that I did with Lebron. Lebron showed a dip 1034 00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:34,319 Speaker 1: in his production and effectiveness last year, and so I 1035 00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:36,640 Speaker 1: moved him way down the playoff. I think I had 1036 00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,000 Speaker 1: him eighth or ninth in my player rankings this year. 1037 00:54:40,600 --> 00:54:43,680 Speaker 1: Steph has really struggled as of late, but I still 1038 00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:46,080 Speaker 1: think he's a top ten player. He just wasn't playing 1039 00:54:46,120 --> 00:54:48,399 Speaker 1: like a top ten player over the last couple months 1040 00:54:48,440 --> 00:54:49,960 Speaker 1: of the season. He was in the low twenties of 1041 00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:53,120 Speaker 1: points per game and really inefficient by his standards, right, 1042 00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:57,520 Speaker 1: But I after this season, yeah, I'm probably gonna put 1043 00:54:57,520 --> 00:55:00,160 Speaker 1: Steph in the five to ten range, similar to what 1044 00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:02,720 Speaker 1: I did to Lebron last year. But you're right, Steph 1045 00:55:02,800 --> 00:55:06,359 Speaker 1: absolutely can bounce back. And if Steph did what Lebron does, 1046 00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:08,160 Speaker 1: what Lebron did at the end of the year this year, 1047 00:55:08,320 --> 00:55:10,560 Speaker 1: Lebron at the end of the year this year came 1048 00:55:10,600 --> 00:55:14,000 Speaker 1: in hot and like was the only player in the 1049 00:55:14,080 --> 00:55:16,399 Speaker 1: league post deadline that was averaging at least twenty seven 1050 00:55:16,400 --> 00:55:18,040 Speaker 1: points per game on at least fifty percent from the 1051 00:55:18,040 --> 00:55:20,479 Speaker 1: field and forty percent from three. He's one of only 1052 00:55:20,560 --> 00:55:23,560 Speaker 1: five players in this postseason run so far to average 1053 00:55:23,560 --> 00:55:25,359 Speaker 1: at least twenty five points per game on at least 1054 00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:27,239 Speaker 1: fifty percent from the field and at least forty percent 1055 00:55:27,280 --> 00:55:29,920 Speaker 1: from three. He's also averaging tennisis per game in this 1056 00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:32,920 Speaker 1: postseason run. He's going toe to toe with Nikole Jokic 1057 00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:35,680 Speaker 1: at the end of basketball games. Like Lebron's just playing 1058 00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:38,319 Speaker 1: at an extremely high level right now. So I have 1059 00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:40,680 Speaker 1: moved him back up the list. By the way, when 1060 00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:43,319 Speaker 1: I and I'll save the Lebron piece for the last question, 1061 00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:45,560 Speaker 1: because we're gonna get to that in a second. But 1062 00:55:46,120 --> 00:55:49,239 Speaker 1: if Steph goes into next season and starts looking like 1063 00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:51,719 Speaker 1: Steph again, of course I'm gonna move him back up 1064 00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:54,880 Speaker 1: the list. I'm not burying Steph Curry. I'm just saying 1065 00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:58,400 Speaker 1: strictly within right now, Steph has shown a little bit 1066 00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:00,400 Speaker 1: of a sign of decline and towards the hail end 1067 00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:03,000 Speaker 1: of the season wasn't playing very well. So yeah, I'm 1068 00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:07,080 Speaker 1: gonna drop him down the player rankings temporarily, but knowing Steph, 1069 00:56:07,120 --> 00:56:10,040 Speaker 1: knowing how much of a competitive competitor he is, I 1070 00:56:10,120 --> 00:56:13,440 Speaker 1: fully expect that at some point in October, November, December 1071 00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:15,680 Speaker 1: next year, I'm gonna be like, holy shit, Steph's a 1072 00:56:15,880 --> 00:56:19,080 Speaker 1: top five player again. I thoroughly expect to do that. 1073 00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:21,480 Speaker 1: But you know, obviously, in the same way that I 1074 00:56:21,560 --> 00:56:23,560 Speaker 1: dropped a Luca. Remember when I dropped Luca to ten. 1075 00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:26,719 Speaker 1: I dropped him to ten because his team didn't even 1076 00:56:26,719 --> 00:56:29,000 Speaker 1: make the playoffs and he didn't play very good defense 1077 00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:30,440 Speaker 1: down the stretch. He did a lot of pouting, a 1078 00:56:30,480 --> 00:56:32,560 Speaker 1: lot of complaining at refs. Wasn't a pretty end of 1079 00:56:32,560 --> 00:56:35,080 Speaker 1: the season for Luca. I look at my player rankings 1080 00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:39,719 Speaker 1: as a constantly sliding scale, and I prioritize playoff production, 1081 00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:44,520 Speaker 1: and so again, like with Steph, definitely not burying him. 1082 00:56:44,960 --> 00:56:48,799 Speaker 1: Fully expect him to make a return to the top 1083 00:56:48,800 --> 00:56:50,920 Speaker 1: of the nearer the top of the league. But for 1084 00:56:51,080 --> 00:56:53,480 Speaker 1: right now, he doesn't get to make that claim because 1085 00:56:53,480 --> 00:56:55,120 Speaker 1: a bunch of guys play better than him down the 1086 00:56:55,120 --> 00:56:58,319 Speaker 1: stretch of the season. Lastly, love your content, but your 1087 00:56:58,320 --> 00:57:00,439 Speaker 1: bias towards Lebron if you think he is the third 1088 00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:02,160 Speaker 1: best player in the NBA right now. I want to 1089 00:57:02,160 --> 00:57:03,879 Speaker 1: be clear, I don't think Lebron is the third best 1090 00:57:03,880 --> 00:57:07,799 Speaker 1: player in a vacuum to start a season with. Right 1091 00:57:08,120 --> 00:57:12,720 Speaker 1: No one's gonna take Lebron from early October through June 1092 00:57:13,080 --> 00:57:15,719 Speaker 1: in the top three. However, we don't have to make 1093 00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:20,240 Speaker 1: it from October to April anymore. We're in April right now, 1094 00:57:20,280 --> 00:57:23,280 Speaker 1: and Lebron is healthy right now, and Lebron is playing 1095 00:57:23,320 --> 00:57:27,640 Speaker 1: at that level right now, and Giannie is hurt right now, 1096 00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:31,200 Speaker 1: and Joel Embiid is hurt right now. And so if 1097 00:57:31,240 --> 00:57:34,280 Speaker 1: I look at the group of players strictly within the 1098 00:57:34,360 --> 00:57:38,080 Speaker 1: lens of this postseason run, Jokich is a clear number one, 1099 00:57:38,560 --> 00:57:41,600 Speaker 1: Luca is a clear number two. Tell me who's the third. 1100 00:57:41,880 --> 00:57:45,240 Speaker 1: Who's the guy in this playoff field that is clearly 1101 00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:48,200 Speaker 1: playing better two way basketball than Lebron James right now? 1102 00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:49,600 Speaker 1: Tell me I want to hear about it. Maybe we 1103 00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:52,080 Speaker 1: can debate it over the course of the next week 1104 00:57:52,120 --> 00:57:55,640 Speaker 1: through mailbag questions. But like I'm just saying, strictly right 1105 00:57:55,680 --> 00:57:58,040 Speaker 1: now in this postseason, because I don't have to worry 1106 00:57:58,080 --> 00:57:59,680 Speaker 1: about eighty two games, and I don't have to worry 1107 00:57:59,680 --> 00:58:01,800 Speaker 1: by the way, Lebron had an amazing season, but this 1108 00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:03,680 Speaker 1: was the lower end of the outcome. We all knew 1109 00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:06,640 Speaker 1: coming into the season that it was unlikely that Lebron 1110 00:58:06,640 --> 00:58:09,080 Speaker 1: would just be super healthy throughout the whole thing, after 1111 00:58:09,120 --> 00:58:10,720 Speaker 1: how he kind of struggled to stay healthy in the 1112 00:58:10,720 --> 00:58:13,840 Speaker 1: previous few years. We got the small end of that outcome, 1113 00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:16,360 Speaker 1: which is Lebron stays healthy. Here we are, We're in 1114 00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:20,520 Speaker 1: the postseason. Lebron's playing fucking awesome in the first round 1115 00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:23,520 Speaker 1: against Denver, so like, that's kind of where my rationale is. 1116 00:58:23,560 --> 00:58:27,080 Speaker 1: But yeah, when we're ranking players this offseason, I'm not 1117 00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:29,560 Speaker 1: gonna have Lebron at number three because of the eighty 1118 00:58:29,600 --> 00:58:31,320 Speaker 1: two game grind and whether or not he can hold 1119 00:58:31,400 --> 00:58:35,360 Speaker 1: up for twenty two first twenty second season that way, 1120 00:58:35,600 --> 00:58:37,080 Speaker 1: all right, guys, That is all I have for today. 1121 00:58:37,160 --> 00:58:39,760 Speaker 1: Is always as sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting the show. 1122 00:58:40,040 --> 00:58:43,360 Speaker 1: We are taking tonight off. I'm gonna spend some time 1123 00:58:43,400 --> 00:58:45,760 Speaker 1: with my wife and hang out since I've been putting 1124 00:58:45,760 --> 00:58:47,240 Speaker 1: her through it here the last couple of weeks with 1125 00:58:47,240 --> 00:58:50,400 Speaker 1: how busy we've been. But we're gonna be back tomorrow night. 1126 00:58:50,520 --> 00:58:53,600 Speaker 1: After the final buzzer of Lakers Nuggets, and I will 1127 00:58:53,640 --> 00:58:57,760 Speaker 1: break down tonight's game during the morning show tomorrow. As always, 1128 00:58:57,760 --> 00:58:59,600 Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys and I will see you tomorrow morning. 1129 00:59:24,040 --> 00:59:24,720 Speaker 1: The volume