1 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:09,880 Speaker 1: dot Com, the radio, plus Globo lact and on your radio. 3 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World Headquarters. 4 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: I'm Katherine Cowdery. Wall Street pulling back from all time highs, 5 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 1: the NAZTAC has started fluctuating between gains and losses. Black 6 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 1: luster data is offering little incentive for investors to push 7 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: equities higher. Our report today showed sales at US retailers 8 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: were little changed in July as Americans flocked to auto 9 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:34,480 Speaker 1: dealers at the expense of other merchants. Another report showed 10 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: wholesale prices unexpectedly fell in July by the most and 11 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 1: almost a year, as sign that inflation is likely to 12 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 1: stay muted, which at the markets every fifteen minutes throughout 13 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: the trading day. Dow Industrial leverages down thirty five points 14 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:49,280 Speaker 1: to tens of a percent at eighteen thousand, five hundred 15 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:51,880 Speaker 1: seventy eight S and P five foundered down two points 16 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 1: a tenth of a percent to four. The NASTAC is 17 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 1: up nearly three points, trading at fifty two thirty. West 18 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: Texas Intermedia Crude oil up at Larton and Barrel two 19 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: and a half percent, spuckled down nine dollars an ounce, 20 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: and the tenure Treasury is up fourteen thirty seconds with 21 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:14,480 Speaker 1: the yield of one point. That's a Bloomberg business flash. 22 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: You're listening to taking stock with Pim Fox and Kathleen 23 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: Hays on Bloomberg Radio. Matt Miller here filling in for 24 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: Kathleen on this warm and Muggy Friday in New York Ice. 25 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:29,399 Speaker 1: Warm is the wrong word. Hot and muggy Friday in 26 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:32,120 Speaker 1: New York City. Alongside Pim Fox, We're gonna talk to 27 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 1: Hillary Kramer right now about another place that's very hot 28 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 1: and muggy right now, but filled with spectators whose pockets 29 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: are overflowing with cash looking to buy everything they see, 30 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: and that is Rio. It's winter. It's well, it looks 31 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 1: so hot. Okay, Well that's another story. They do the 32 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,279 Speaker 1: summer Olympics in a place where it's winter. It is winter. 33 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: All right. Well, I believe you, Pim. You're more well 34 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: traveled than I am. Hillary Kramer, I'm sure has been 35 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: there as well, in chief investment officer at a MG 36 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: Capital Group. Hillary, Uh, When I think about Brazil, because 37 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: I work here at Bloomberg, I think about the IBO vest, 38 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: but it's killing it. The real unbelievable gains probably the 39 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:17,679 Speaker 1: best gaining currency of any uh in on the Bloomberg 40 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 1: terminal against the US dollar. But those have obviously nothing 41 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: to do with the Olympics. Those gains. Um, what about 42 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 1: Brazilian stocks are up because of the Olympics. Well, the 43 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: Brazilian travel stocks of course. Now Gold g O l 44 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: one of my one of my favorites, that's been a 45 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: triple this year. That's the local regional airline. It's really 46 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 1: the jet Blue of Brazil. Uh And you look at 47 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: a company like Gold, not even a four million dollar 48 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:48,840 Speaker 1: market cap, and there's a lot more to go. Companies 49 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 1: like Goal. Those small cap and MidCap Brazilian stocks were 50 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: hurt so bad. And there is that an effect that 51 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,119 Speaker 1: takes place when you have Olympics. You know, just look 52 00:02:58,120 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 1: at Greece in two thousand four. I mean, don't look 53 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: what happened after two thousand four, But you know, Olympics 54 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: can shine a light and um and and help illuminate 55 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: some of the better buys and undervalued situations. Gain on 56 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:16,240 Speaker 1: the IBO vest year to date, that's not entirely an 57 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: Olympic deal, right, no, no, I mean you had a 58 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 1: lot of factors that came together. You know, there were 59 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 1: there was the worst corruption scandal probably um. You know 60 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: of the decade that took place in Brazil that brought 61 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 1: the market down. The commodities, you know, completely collapsed. You know, 62 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 1: we're looking at oil potentially a few months ago going 63 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: into the teens. Now we're now we're looking at fifty 64 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 1: dollars a barrel, hopefully in the next few weeks and higher. 65 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: And so that's helped obviously Petro Brass which has just 66 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: been struggling by Petro brocess now and it's fifty two 67 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 1: week high pbr um. You know, companies like valet v 68 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: A l E. Which I always used to like, has 69 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: a ways to go, but you gotta stick with those 70 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: companies like like like g O L by the way 71 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 1: of him. If you invested in Brazil at the beginning 72 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: of the year, because you're investing in dollars, I assume, uh, 73 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 1: you'd be up sixty seven yes, because of the value 74 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 1: of the rials has increased, right that real is up 75 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: thirty percent. You know, has some of the exporters worried, 76 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: of course, but you know, and we have to wait 77 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: and see what happens with companies like Amber Air r J. 78 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,160 Speaker 1: You know, always had been a popular one, but there's 79 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:26,440 Speaker 1: a glut of it's a glut of aircraft. They're out 80 00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 1: in the market. But even that one could come back around. Hillary, 81 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: Please tell us about Brock b R a Q. Now, 82 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:36,160 Speaker 1: this is an exchange traded fund, and the reason I 83 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 1: want you to just explain a little bit more is 84 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:40,039 Speaker 1: usually when you get an e t F, it's tied 85 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 1: to an index. And because in Brazil Petro brass is 86 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 1: such a dominant market CAPH, you don't necessarily get an 87 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:52,159 Speaker 1: even slice of the actual consumer market. Tell us about 88 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: b R a Q. Well, Brock is a nice e 89 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 1: t F to invest in a way to get a 90 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 1: taste of Brazil and have theposure to Brazil without having 91 00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: the risk that takes place from investing in a particular 92 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 1: some of these particular large caps that represent the market. 93 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 1: I've never really been a full time advocate of just 94 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: e t s, but in the case of Brazil, in 95 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:20,880 Speaker 1: the case of going into um exposure and being a 96 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: macro investor and trying to ride a wave, like in 97 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 1: the case of Brazil, you want to be in and 98 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 1: out of those e t F s. It's a great 99 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: way to do it. What is it you don't like 100 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:32,040 Speaker 1: about E t F s. Well, I'm gonna get you 101 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 1: in a room with David Kotok. Just locked the door. Um, 102 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: because I'm an equity analyst, and I like to find 103 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 1: value and opportunity in particular companies. And you know, and 104 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: it's really about the inefficiencies that take place with particular companies. 105 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: And I like the valuation of of one company versus another, 106 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 1: like for example, um like flower foods, nothing to do 107 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: with Brazil f l O Flowers Food, Thomas Pill, Georgia. 108 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,039 Speaker 1: We were talking about it earlier because I was following 109 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:05,719 Speaker 1: it yesterday. Stock tanked yesterday. They make tasty cake products 110 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: as well as wonder Bread bake goods line. They're in 111 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 1: the natural bread market. When you look at a company 112 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: like that, you know they lower they lower guidance from 113 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,159 Speaker 1: a buck five to to a dollar even though they're 114 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: gonna do a dollar twenty in cash flow. We're looking 115 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 1: at this company really carefully and you say, Okay, here's opportunity. 116 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:23,359 Speaker 1: Whereas if I were just to do an e t 117 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 1: F in consumer and consumer foods, you know, you run 118 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 1: the risk of not being able to pick up those 119 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 1: opportunities I mean equity investing, stock and being stock investing. 120 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: On one hand, yes, it's about long term um wealth 121 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 1: and growth, but at the same time, there's being really 122 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:43,039 Speaker 1: fun about identifying opportunities out there and getting in them early. 123 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 1: I just ask you like a strategic question, because I 124 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 1: understand we always talk about diversified portfolios and so on, 125 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: but is it possible that the way to really look 126 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: at things is you're looking and waiting for that one 127 00:06:56,880 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 1: opportunity in your lifetime and just managing your losses because 128 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:05,280 Speaker 1: if you get it, not necessarily right, but if something 129 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:09,039 Speaker 1: pans out, that's when you can make great wealth as 130 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 1: long as you're very disciplined about managing losses. This is 131 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: true him, It's true, but any time that you invest 132 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 1: for that big hit, for that home run, it just 133 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: never works out that way. Why. I don't mean investing 134 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: for the home run, but in other words, that is 135 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 1: what would happen if you're disciplined right, discipline with discipline, 136 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: investing um, going the distance and waiting for that big 137 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: hit to happen, whether it be buying Apple and being 138 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: up ten percent. And I think that's what you're referring to. 139 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 1: But of course it's also timing it right. You know, well, 140 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 1: we all wish we could have bought everything in two 141 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: thousand nine. Yes, they didn't bring a bell there market market. Yes. 142 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 1: F l O is a Flowers food and four point three. 143 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 1: You think that the dividends covered? Oh yeah, I think 144 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: I think it's fine. I think it's fine because they 145 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: have the cash flow. Um, they can cover it next year. 146 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 1: You know, the guidance is still strong enough. Tell me 147 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 1: about Omnicom. That's another one. You want to talk about. 148 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: Undervalued growth, undervalued growth O m C. You still have 149 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: a dividen yield here of two point six percent. Public 150 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 1: relations advertising agency. Um. You know, it's really pretty cheap 151 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 1: versus the others in the in its category. Itsells at 152 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: six times next year's earnings. UM, so it's selling less 153 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,559 Speaker 1: than the market multiple. I see opportunity there. I think 154 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 1: it's a really nice solid by. And my favorite stock 155 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 1: right now is Arista Networks a n e T, a 156 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:47,079 Speaker 1: five billion dollar company that competes with Cisco. I think 157 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 1: Cisco could buy them one day if Cisco stops suing them, 158 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 1: because it's these programmable switches and companies like UM, like 159 00:08:55,679 --> 00:09:01,319 Speaker 1: Amazon Web Services, they're using Arista's UM programming goal switches. 160 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: So I see some opportunity here. We're talking thirty seven 161 00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 1: percent sales growth, Like who would ever miss five billion 162 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:10,679 Speaker 1: dollars just stepping in and acquiring a company like this. 163 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:15,720 Speaker 1: So you're talking directly to Chuck Robbins, let me tell 164 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: you in any market, tell you gotta explain that to 165 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 1: come because oh, he's the CEO of Cisco, and it 166 00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:25,839 Speaker 1: looks like you're you're advising him now via Bloomberg Gradio. 167 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 1: I'm sure he's listening. But well, once he gets you know, 168 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,199 Speaker 1: he still needs some more time there to to get 169 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: on his feet, you know, and maybe another year or two, 170 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: just a couple of minutes left. I want to take 171 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 1: it back to the Olympics. UM, Nike and under Armour 172 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,199 Speaker 1: are the kind of companies that I think about possibly 173 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: benefiting from the Olympics or Speedo or Arena. UM. What 174 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 1: are the some of the companies that could benefit because 175 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 1: none of those companies have done well this year. I 176 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: know under Armour I think could benefit. We could see 177 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 1: some we could see a lift there. I think Nike, 178 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 1: Nigi has run its course. You know, but but we 179 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:00,840 Speaker 1: can still look historically and a think it was beautiful 180 00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: moment in the Olympics in Atlanta what really created Nike 181 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: and brought into the forefront. So so great brands can 182 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 1: be created, um from the right sponsorship. You know, Michael Phelps, 183 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 1: for example, we have Nike, we have under Armour. You know, 184 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: he's limited in how much he can show of under Armour, 185 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 1: but there is value that can be found. And many 186 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:25,560 Speaker 1: of these companies have found a way to associate themselves. Um, 187 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 1: Kellogg's has gone back to him. You know, they dropped 188 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 1: him when he was caught smoking pot. Oh yeah, I 189 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 1: mean He's isn't an amazing turnaround story. I gotta say 190 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: everybody feels good about about Michael Phelps, which shows you 191 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,839 Speaker 1: really can come back, no matter how many times to 192 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,520 Speaker 1: get arrested for drunk driving. If you win gold medals 193 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 1: for America, we love you. Right. If you can come back, 194 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 1: if you can beat the underdog and show it you 195 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: can win, we love you. Michael Phelps. He's got a 196 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: total twenty six medals. Amazing, amazing competitor, you have seven, 197 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 1: don't you met? All right? Thank you very much. Hillary Cramer, 198 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 1: President Chief investment officer A and G a capital group 199 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 1: you're listening to taking stock, will take you through to 200 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: the clothes. This is Bloomberg. It is