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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading the court. Ten seconds of maning.

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Speaker 1: We just go show up to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket.

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Speaker 1: It's the truth for the wind God a miracle. I

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Speaker 1: sup the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the gener nation. Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the weekend college basketball betting Preview.

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Speaker 1: I'm Stucky joining me as always my fellow BBOC co

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Speaker 1: host Mike Calvary's Greg Wadell. Normal episode. Today, we'll have

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Speaker 1: Tanner with a Zamies minute. We'll talk some good and

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Speaker 1: bad from the week that was. We'll add a future's

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Speaker 1: bet to our portfolio, and there's one, and then we'll

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Speaker 1: obviously look at our weekend looks. There's one difference. This

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Speaker 1: week we'll have our first Differen's Tournament preview with The

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Speaker 1: Atlantic Sun, which starts on Sunday, and then the three

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Speaker 1: guys from the Three Man Weave are going to cover

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Speaker 1: i think three conference CERTs us our early next week.

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Speaker 1: We'll have another episode Monday two, and then there's just

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Speaker 1: gonna be like eight to nine episodes covering conference certans.

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Speaker 1: We'll have every single one All thirty one covered for you.

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Speaker 1: Cannot wait. We are just two days away from March.

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Speaker 1: As we record this, I'm gonna sleep tonight and that'll

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Speaker 1: probably be the last time I sleep until April. So

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Speaker 1: nothing better. All right, let's uh so, we got a

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Speaker 1: lot to get to this, so let's get right into it.

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Speaker 1: Week that was highlight the good. Start off on a

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Speaker 1: positive note. I'll throw two quick ones out. I gotta

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Speaker 1: give credit to Chris Collins what he's doing with Northwestern,

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Speaker 1: how well they're still playing despite all the injuries, Like

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Speaker 1: he's just done a tremendous job of that team and

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Speaker 1: it's not the easiest situation. And then I got to

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Speaker 1: give a shout out to oh Way for Kentucky that

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Speaker 1: second half in front of all the booze and jears.

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Speaker 1: Incredible finished to that game, including the game winner. He

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Speaker 1: was great for Kentucky, which picks up a road wind

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Speaker 1: but still can't cover on the road. That's problematic. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: Oway was incredible in that second half. Greg will go

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Speaker 1: to you, what do you want to highlight? As far

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Speaker 1: as the good from the week, there was, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I got my eye on two coaches who have been

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Speaker 2: unapologetically themselves playing full character actor here. Rick Patino and

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Speaker 2: Tom Izzo have basically stuck middle fingers up to the

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Speaker 2: new era of college basketball, doubled and tripled down on

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Speaker 2: doing it the old school way. What they've known has

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Speaker 2: worked for twenty years. And here they are, Saint John's

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Speaker 2: about to win an outright Big East title, rolling through

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Speaker 2: a bunch of even road games that could be meaningless,

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Speaker 2: and just finding a way to get it done with

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Speaker 2: defense without shooting. Neither one of these teams can shoot,

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Speaker 2: but athletics in defense everywhere. For Saint John's and then

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Speaker 2: Michigan State, I think what they've done in the last

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Speaker 2: four games is sensational. I mean, the schedule was a gauntlet.

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Speaker 2: We questioned how good they were all of December and January,

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Speaker 2: and to just spit out a four and oh stretch

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Speaker 2: at Illinois at home against Purdue who was reeling and

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Speaker 2: needed to win, and then at Michigan, who was tied

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Speaker 2: with you in the standings, at Maryland, who's playing for

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Speaker 2: a share of the Big Ten titles.

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Speaker 1: Still to go four.

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Speaker 2: And oh in that stretch, and really none of those

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Speaker 2: games be all that dicey. Late Maryland got dicey. Thanks

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Speaker 2: to a flukey turnover, but good lord, Michigan State led

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Speaker 2: the entire second half of that game. It's wildly impressive.

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Speaker 2: Jace Richardson's emergence has been unreal for that team. He

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Speaker 2: looks like a lottery pick and it's reshaped. How have

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Speaker 2: you the Spartans as we approached the NCAA tournament.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, ugly game but incredibly entertaining in College Park. Gillespie

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Speaker 1: can't take that shot. That's the shot you get every

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Speaker 1: college kid takes with two seconds on the clock. Right,

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Speaker 1: you can get that shot at any time, and it

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Speaker 1: was todd like, go to the hole, get it the queen.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, obviously it's a fluke thing that happened.

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Speaker 1: But uh, an incredible shot by Holliman in a March

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Speaker 1: moment a couple of days before March and a huge

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Speaker 1: win for Sparti, which now is what four quad one wins,

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Speaker 1: four ranked wins in a row. Uh. They've definitely turned

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Speaker 1: it on, and Richardson just raises their ceiling because the

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Speaker 1: depth is great and we've seen that in this stretch.

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Speaker 1: Is that they wear teams down and their second halfs

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Speaker 1: have been incredible. But as far as like I still

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Speaker 1: was a kind of a Michigan State seller because, yeah,

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Speaker 1: all that depth is great, but they didn't really have

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Speaker 1: a go to guy that's going to get you buckets

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Speaker 1: and you know, can end scoring droughts. And Richardson has

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Speaker 1: turned into that. He's he's like a like sneakily turning

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Speaker 1: into a potential first round draft pick with the way

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Speaker 1: he's flying.

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Speaker 2: Mocked tenth overall in the latest Bleacher Report mock draft

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Speaker 2: this week.

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Speaker 1: Really, yeah, I don't really pay attention to that stuff

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Speaker 1: that closely, but that doesn't surprise me. Yeah, he's been

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Speaker 1: incredible and more minutes for him just raises the ceiling

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Speaker 1: for their offense. Yeah. And Maryland they just they get

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Speaker 1: the thing that scares me about Maryland and we have

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Speaker 1: a Final four feature on them, like they're they're starting

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Speaker 1: five is incredible. They have no depth and that's scary

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Speaker 1: if they get into foul trouble, if there's any injury,

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Speaker 1: they just get nothing, absolutely nothing from their bench. But

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Speaker 1: I mean, definitely a strong starting five, one of the

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Speaker 1: better ones in the country, but just absolutely no depth.

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Speaker 1: The polar opposite of Michigan State in that sense. Calbaryese,

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Speaker 1: what do you want to highlight well, first thoughts and

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Speaker 1: payers out to SVP.

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Speaker 3: What a brutal way to lose as a Maryland fan

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Speaker 3: and then immediately have to recap the game and the shot.

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Speaker 1: But he handled it as he always does a consummate professional.

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Speaker 1: With March right around the corner.

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Speaker 3: This is my favorite time of year when I get

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Speaker 3: the question like who are the Cinderellas I should care about?

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Speaker 1: And the reason why I want to highlight these two teams.

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Speaker 3: They're not going to get any national buzz because they're

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Speaker 3: stacking wins against teams outside of the Ken Palm Top

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Speaker 3: one fifty.

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Speaker 1: All their games are on ESPN Plus.

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Speaker 3: But two teams here that I want to mention before

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Speaker 3: we get into conference. Previous season, tournament previous season, I

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Speaker 3: should say, which is Drake and McNeice. Drake, I mean

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Speaker 3: their special sauce. I think it starts with the coaching

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Speaker 3: Ben McCollum. For people who are unfamiliar with the higher

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Speaker 3: I would say basically everyone outside of des Moines had

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Speaker 3: no idea who this guy was, but a four time

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Speaker 3: national champion of the D two level.

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Speaker 1: He comes in for a team that historically has been

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Speaker 1: very good.

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Speaker 3: They've underperformed time and time again in the Big Dance,

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Speaker 3: but they've just stacked wins in the valley, and he

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Speaker 3: picks up where they left off. They play slow, they

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Speaker 3: played that snail's pace their top forty and half court

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Speaker 3: offensive efficiency. They run the pick and roll incredibly well,

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Speaker 3: and no team in THEE allows fewer transition buckets than

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Speaker 3: the Bulldogs, so they can be a really prickly team

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Speaker 3: if they're on the ten to eleven line against a

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Speaker 3: team that lives and dies with their transition and of

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Speaker 3: true point guards in the whole country per Evan Mia

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Speaker 3: in the mid major ranks, at least a top five

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Speaker 3: player is Bennett's Sturtz. He's been incredible this year. He's

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Speaker 3: had games where he scored over thirty. He's had games

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Speaker 3: where he's had twelve or more assists, ten or more rebounds,

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Speaker 3: five steals. The guy can impact the game in so

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Speaker 3: many ways. So Drake is a team I know stuck

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Speaker 3: and I have been on the wrong side of them

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Speaker 3: in the field of sixty four or the round of

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Speaker 3: sixty four a couple times, and it's been brutal beats,

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Speaker 3: late game melts. But I think I'm back in on Drake.

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Speaker 3: I can't help myself and then McNeice, well.

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Speaker 1: It's a completely different team this year is literally overhauled.

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Speaker 1: It's like just a D two. The craziest thing. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean, Drake. They can lose to anybody, but they

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Speaker 1: could also but in the tournament they're going to be

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Speaker 1: a lower seed. And that's a scary team to play

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Speaker 1: because they're going to grind the shit out of the

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Speaker 1: game and they are just going to work for good

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Speaker 1: shots on offense. They run beautif offense and yes, Starts

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Speaker 1: our crazy stat. Starts is averaging over forty minutes per

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Speaker 1: game against E one teams this year, forty point two

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Speaker 1: minutes per game because he basically plays every minute. They've

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Speaker 1: gone to a couple overtime games. That by the way,

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Speaker 1: if you're wondering if that's ever happened, it has. It's

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Speaker 1: happened seven times. The last time it happened. Every other

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Speaker 1: time was in the eighties. The only other times it

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Speaker 1: happened Antigo Cummings for Pitt in ninety seven and someone

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Speaker 1: for Albany like twenty years ago. That's it. Starts averaging

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Speaker 1: over forty minutes and then his running mate Scary's averaging

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Speaker 1: I think thirty eight and a half minutes per game.

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Speaker 1: They're one two in minutes per game in the country.

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Speaker 1: Pretty wild, But yeah, Drake will just grind the game down.

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Speaker 1: These super low possessions, They're going to work for their shot.

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Speaker 1: Won't be a fun team to play for sure. And

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Speaker 1: then who else you wanted to highlight McNeice.

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Speaker 3: You would think with Shahada Wells moving on, that Will

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Speaker 3: Wade would at least have one year where they were

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Speaker 3: They were good but not really a March Madness threat.

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Speaker 1: That's just not the case.

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Speaker 3: Every time they played up this year, they have these

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Speaker 3: losses that make you think, like, they only lost by

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Speaker 3: eight Tobama, they lost by four to Liberty, three to

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Speaker 3: Mississippi State.

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Speaker 1: This team is just it's a pick your poison situation.

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Speaker 3: Offensively on any given night, they got four guards that

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Speaker 3: surround Shoemate, and Shoemate's played. He started over one hundred

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Speaker 3: games in his career, so he has all this experience.

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Speaker 3: But their defense may even be better than it was

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Speaker 3: last year, which is incredible. They turned teams over on

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Speaker 3: more than nineteen percent of their possessions, which is eleventh

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Speaker 3: in the entire country. So McNeice is another team that

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Speaker 3: I'm circling and excited to talk about you know, come

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Speaker 3: next month.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I worry a little bit about I mean, depending

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Speaker 1: on the right matchup. Yeah, they could definitely pull an

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Speaker 1: upset or two. Definitely a scary team. By the way,

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Speaker 1: getting back to Saint John's something thanks shot the Butler

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Speaker 1: for just instantly running the cover plays in the final minute,

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Speaker 1: going for layups instead of the three. But I was

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Speaker 1: on Butler, I said earlier this week, I said this

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Speaker 1: is a bad matchup for Saint John's because they remind

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Speaker 1: me just like Villanova's because Villanova defensive rebounds and then

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Speaker 1: they'll spread teams out and can shoot. And that's kind

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Speaker 1: of like the formula. Because you just have to keep

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Speaker 1: Saint John's off the offensive glass. They'll go through a

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Speaker 1: scoring drought and then you the only way you're scoring

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Speaker 1: on them is you have to spread them out and shoot.

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Speaker 1: Butler didn't didn't make their threes, but they were in

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Speaker 1: that game. Patino, in an interview the day before, said

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Speaker 1: Butler is a bad matchup because they remind him of Villanova.

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Speaker 1: So I was pleased to hear Patino say that too.

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Speaker 1: But that's kind of what the team that you're looking

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Speaker 1: for if Saint John's gonna get upset, it's a team

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Speaker 1: that can keep them off the offensive glass and can

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Speaker 1: spread them out and shoot. But yeah, Saint John's has

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Speaker 1: been on quite a role, and Patino definitely was resting,

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Speaker 1: I think resting some guys a bit more in that game.

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Speaker 1: He knows that, you know, they have figure fish to

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Speaker 1: fry and they've kind of been dealing with some injuries.

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Speaker 1: Something to note as we head down the home stretch.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the bad. Remember this is

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Speaker 1: a safe space.

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Speaker 3: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 1: Okay, you're ranting now, baby, I'm ruan.

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Speaker 3: Why not.

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Speaker 1: You've got to let it out somehow, Greg, message me

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Speaker 1: the bad We already talked about this last episode, but

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Speaker 1: message me on slack your address. I owe you a

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Speaker 1: Duke shirt for that ass whooping. Although Illinois got back

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Speaker 1: on track, all they they just looked healthier. We'll see

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Speaker 1: it was Iowa, but i was the perfect team to play,

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Speaker 1: like if you need a get right game, like just

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Speaker 1: to see the ball go through the hoop. And so

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Speaker 1: we'll see if that translates down the stretch. They're very

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Speaker 1: hard to judge because of all the illnesses. It's like,

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Speaker 1: how much was it their play? How much was it

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Speaker 1: the illnesses and viruses? But it had to be just

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Speaker 1: good to have a game where I mean they shot,

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Speaker 1: I'd take only like thirty two percent. That's all they

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Speaker 1: needed to shoot for the offense to be good. They

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Speaker 1: can't keep shooting twenty percent. So we'll see. But I

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Speaker 1: was a great team to play. If you're in a slump,

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Speaker 1: you want to play that defense. So we'll see if

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Speaker 1: Illinois can carry over that momentums the competition increase. They

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Speaker 1: get Michigan and Purdue to close out the regular season.

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Speaker 1: The bad I'm gonna say, I gotta go with Schedrick

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Speaker 1: for Texas. You gotta be kidding me. And DJ Wagner too.

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Speaker 1: DJ Wagner win the game. Makes the first free throw,

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Speaker 1: the announcer says, it's like riding a bike him at

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Speaker 1: the line, and of course he misses the second and

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Speaker 1: goes to overtime where dogs go to die and Trey

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Speaker 1: Johnson doing everything he possibly can. He scored thirty nine

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Speaker 1: points to get the cover and he goes in, gets

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Speaker 1: a left. They go down two with seven seconds. I'm fine,

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Speaker 1: like I've catched four and a half and five and

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Speaker 1: Sedrick tugs a jersey and it's called a flagrant, and

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Speaker 1: of course Adu, who's like a forty free throw shooter,

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Speaker 1: makes both and they Arkansas wins by five. He knew

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Speaker 1: that Texas shot wasn't going in at the end, So

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Speaker 1: f you Texas, that was absolutely painful, Greg, what do

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Speaker 1: you got for the bad?

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Speaker 2: I loved watching Rodney Terry battle out John Caliperi closing

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Speaker 2: offense in the final three minutes. And that's a great

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Speaker 2: segue into my rant of the week.

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Speaker 1: I just have one play Texas, only around one play,

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Speaker 1: and like it almost worked because Trey Johnson is that good.

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Speaker 2: It's got me thinking when we talk NBA draft, like

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Speaker 2: Trey Johnson is the consensus fifth or sixth prospect in

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Speaker 2: this draft.

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Speaker 1: If you look that good in.

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Speaker 2: A Rodney Terry offense, like we may look back a

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Speaker 2: decade from now, like how did this guy not go

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Speaker 2: second overall in this draft?

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Speaker 1: But I.

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Speaker 2: Could not believe that North Carolina leaked that Hubert Davis

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Speaker 2: signed an extension in December this week. First of all,

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Speaker 2: what is that pr move? Like this has been under

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Speaker 2: wraps for two months and now we waited for them

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Speaker 2: to go on a four game winning streak against Syracuse,

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Speaker 2: NC State, Virginia, and Florida State to try and rally

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Speaker 2: the fan base around this guy. I can't process that

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Speaker 2: he even signed an extension, first of all, second of all,

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Speaker 2: that they would announce it in this way. We don't

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Speaker 2: have to pretend that incompetent coaches are competent.

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Speaker 1: Okay, we're doing the same thing with Villanova.

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Speaker 2: As cal Bresee noted earlier this year, Villanova fans are

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Speaker 2: smarter than that. They're groaning when their head coach is

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Speaker 2: announced and he's about to save his job because Eric

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Speaker 2: Dixon's sensational and he can take them from thirteen points

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Speaker 2: down to Seaton Hall to a five point victory. That's impressive.

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Speaker 2: Tip your cap. These coaches are disasters, whether it ends

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Speaker 2: this season or two seasons from now. There's a lot

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Speaker 2: of guys like Kyle Neptune and Hubert Davis that just

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Speaker 2: do not deserve to save their jobs in mediocre conferences,

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Speaker 2: racking up wins against horrible teams.

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Speaker 1: And look at Indiana as the case study for this.

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Speaker 2: Okay, they announced that Mike Woodson's done a month ago.

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Speaker 2: If anything, their team has gotten better since then they've

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Speaker 2: gone from the wrong side of the bubble to the

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Speaker 2: right side of the bubble, and they're going to hire

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Speaker 2: a competent coach this offseason and hopefully get the.

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Speaker 1: Program back on track.

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Speaker 2: I wish that programs like North Carolina and Villanova would

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Speaker 2: take notice of that.

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Speaker 1: When when how long is his extension? It was two years.

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Speaker 2: It's through twenty thirty now, so that's just it doesn't

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Speaker 2: change all that much. But they're just trying to get

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Speaker 2: a positive pr spin to rally the fan base around it.

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Speaker 1: Jeff Caple signed an extension through twenty thirty two. That

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Speaker 1: does not look great. What's next in the the land

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Speaker 1: of what's I guess with the way the way things

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Speaker 1: are going, you're gonna have Steve Forbes. He's probably gonna

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Speaker 1: get an extension though. That's the way things are trending.

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Speaker 1: In the ACC Wake, Corpse Wake, and pitt the a

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Speaker 1: CC tournament. I've never looked less, looked forward less than

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Speaker 1: an ACC tournament in my life. You have all the

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Speaker 1: like I mean, it's like, oh, we get Vo Tech

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Speaker 1: versus Cal in the first round. It's like I can

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Speaker 1: get bind Clemson Louisville. That'll be a good semi and

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Speaker 1: then like one of those teams against Duke will be fun.

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Speaker 1: But ah, jeez, there's a lot there's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: lot of bad basketball. Uh played, oh bad for me?

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Speaker 1: It was my end. I had NC State. I bought

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Speaker 1: into what NC State was doing with the new lineup,

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Speaker 1: and they got embarrassed at Syracuse, which is hard to do.

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Speaker 1: They're now zero and eleven on the road. Christ time

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Speaker 1: for keats extension. Uh, Calvarye, what do you got? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Last last night, let me see, I had a three

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Speaker 3: leg parlay. This has never happened to me. All three

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Speaker 3: legs came down to the final possession yukon some of them,

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Speaker 3: I got home like I had thirteen and a half

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Speaker 3: in some spots fourteen.

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Speaker 1: In others, they're up nineteen with a minute ago.

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Speaker 3: They give up a three, then they throw up a

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Speaker 3: bad shot, they almost get an offensive rebound, then they

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Speaker 3: turn it over. Georgetown lays it in to make it fourteen.

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Speaker 3: At the end Loyola Bucknell. Bucknell had a block three

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Speaker 3: shots in the last like five seconds to be able

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Speaker 3: to hold on the cover by a half point. And

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Speaker 3: then my USC Upstate play. I was really open to

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Speaker 3: get that one home, they were not covering for ninety

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Speaker 3: percent of the second half. They make it all the

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Speaker 3: way back to nineteen and then High Point has a

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Speaker 3: guy throwing a meetingless three pointer on the last shot

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Speaker 3: of the game.

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Speaker 1: So that's brutal.

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Speaker 3: That's a little appetizer for me for what's probably coming

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Speaker 3: in March. You already brought it up stuck with Texas.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to go further beyond that one game. The

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Speaker 3: fact that we have a bubble in which they're taking seriously,

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Speaker 3: they're five and ten in the SEC. What are we

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Speaker 3: doing to have a team like they're two and six

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Speaker 3: in their last eight and that includes losing by fifteen

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Speaker 3: to South Carolina COLB the old fashioned But when you

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Speaker 3: lose to a team that's oh and thirteen in your

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Speaker 3: conference by fifteen points, that should be it. I don't

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Speaker 3: care what happens the rest of the way. But the

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Speaker 3: bubble is so weak and there's so much preference given

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Speaker 3: to Power Conference teams that ESPN still projects them as

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Speaker 3: a thirty nine percent chance to make the tournament. For

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Speaker 3: a perspective, you see san Diego, the darling of this podcast,

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Speaker 3: that Tradin's twenty five percent chance at large odds.

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Speaker 1: Like that's just ridiculous.

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Speaker 3: Give me two from the Mountain West, give me two

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Speaker 3: from the eight ten, give me two from the Big West.

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Speaker 3: Anything except for the garbage of the bottom of the

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Speaker 3: barrel in these power conferences.

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Speaker 1: And Texas is it.

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Speaker 3: I mean, Trey Johnson is phenomenal, but if they can't

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Speaker 3: win when he drops thirty nine points, he's given off

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Speaker 3: you know, seven KD vibes, you know on the forty

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Speaker 3: acres down there, it's like they're wasting this, you know,

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Speaker 3: incredible player, the second best freshman in program history.

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Speaker 1: So I've had enough of the long Horns. I'm with

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Speaker 1: you Horns down. Yeah. With that said, I mean everything

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Speaker 1: that's happening in the SEC to get four they're gonna

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Speaker 1: get fourteen teams in although Oklahoma, if Oklahoma be Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: that's they might be on the wrong side now. But

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Speaker 1: I probably will be on Texas again on Saturday. Georgia

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Speaker 1: off that huge win. They are. Their offense on the

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Speaker 1: road is dreadful, absolutely dreadful. So if we get a

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Speaker 1: good number on Texas, I'll definitely be looking at the Horns.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to our futures roundtable. We might have well

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Speaker 1: have a normal show next week with a bunch of

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Speaker 1: conference tournaments, so we might add one more. Also recap

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Speaker 1: them all next week. If you don't have any that

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Speaker 1: we bet and want to add any couple you can

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Speaker 1: get up. You can get much better prices out there too.

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Speaker 1: Let's I'll start off. I already I gave mine away

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Speaker 1: earlier this week on the episode when Calbery's brought up Clemson.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Clemson Final four, eighteen to one out there.

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Speaker 1: I think this should be like fourteen to fifteen to one.

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Speaker 1: This is a top fifteen team since January first. I

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Speaker 1: think you could argue they are a top fifteen team

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Speaker 1: in the country overall. I and this is the generous

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Speaker 1: price for a team that hits all of the qualifiers

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Speaker 1: for like the team that you think can make a run.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're sixteenth and overallsted offensive efficiency, twenty eighth

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Speaker 1: in defense, one of the most experienced rosters in the country.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna just They're not gonna allow anything in transition.

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Speaker 1: The one area I worry about them is teams that

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Speaker 1: can offensive rebound. But this team can shoot, and they

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Speaker 1: are and they have. They made a run last year

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Speaker 1: with this Corps to the Elite eight, ran into a

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Speaker 1: Bama team that made a bunch of threes. I think

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Speaker 1: they're better this year, and I think their defense is

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Speaker 1: much better. That was kind of the weak area last year,

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Speaker 1: but it was you could pick last year, you could

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Speaker 1: pick on Gerard. That's not the case now. And you

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Speaker 1: know they can put pressure on the ball. They can

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Speaker 1: turn teams over, something they couldn't do last year. PJ.

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Speaker 1: Hall was incredible offensively, but Victor Lockin has been awesome

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Speaker 1: offensively and there's no drop off defensively with him. Wiggins

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Speaker 1: has improved, the Hunters have taken the next step, and

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Speaker 1: I've I'm buying into jayde Zachary. He's playing really well

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Speaker 1: and then you have a Scheiffler doing all the dirty

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Speaker 1: work on the glass. So I like this team. We've

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Speaker 1: seen ACC teams. The AC looks terrible. They get in,

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Speaker 1: they can make a run. This team could play with anyone.

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Speaker 1: We've seen them beat Duke, which is I look at

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Speaker 1: what Duke's doing. Everybody else we you know, have seen

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Speaker 1: them beat Kentucky. Their only loss is since mid November.

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Speaker 1: They lost three games in overtime and then they lost

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Speaker 1: on the road at Louisville. I'm a believer in this team,

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Speaker 1: and I think this is too good of a price

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Speaker 1: to pass up. So Clemson treated as well last year,

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Speaker 1: with the future able to get some equity out of that.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back to the well here with a

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Speaker 1: eighteen to one. Although I see a couple of brackets

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Speaker 1: projected with them playing UC San Diego. My whole selection

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Speaker 1: Sunday is going to be. First of all, you see

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Speaker 1: San Diego needs to get in or it's gonna be ruined.

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Speaker 1: And then it's gonna be basically who do they put

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Speaker 1: them up against?

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Speaker 3: Like?

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Speaker 1: Who do I want them up against? Just like like Marquette,

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Speaker 1: Give me them against Marquette. I worry a little bit

433
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 1: about Marquet's athleticism, but get I get my red flag

434
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 1: as I look at projected brackets and then get mad

435
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,320
Speaker 1: at the hypothetical matchups that never happened. So I'll stop

436
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,280
Speaker 1: Clemson eighteen to one. Greg, what you got, I'm going

437
00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 1: back to the well. I want BYU final four on

438
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:48,119
Speaker 1: the card. Boys.

439
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 2: I think it was forty to one last week. It's

440
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 2: cutting half. Almost twenty two to one right now is

441
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 2: the best I see that.

442
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 1: We messed up they had the refs.

443
00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:00,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, the refs killed us if they coin flip if

444
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 2: that call doesn't happen. I mean, look, I was gonna

445
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:06,400
Speaker 2: make the point. I thought BYU outplayed Arizona in that game.

446
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 2: Arizona shot forty six percent from three and was trailing

447
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:14,080
Speaker 2: almost the entire second half. Anytime Arizona made a little run,

448
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 2: BYU responded, So in some sense, I'm almost happy to

449
00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 2: feel validated that BYU went and played that well. But yeah,

450
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 2: if that phantom foul call doesn't exist, Arizona wins, and

451
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 2: the odds are not new like they are. But look,

452
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:32,360
Speaker 2: Torvick still loves this team sixteenth per mart Torvick, It's

453
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 2: still an analytical anomaly compared to where Ken Pom and

454
00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,199
Speaker 2: Evan Mia has this team. I lean with Torvick. I

455
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 2: think this looks like a team that's playing like one

456
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 2: of the top sixteen to twenty teams in college basketball.

457
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 2: You can get them priced better than Illinois, Marquette, UCLA, Michigan,

458
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 2: all those teams. I think BYU has significantly more upside

459
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 2: then right now, given what they've done in the last

460
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,120
Speaker 2: really month and a half since they changed this lineup.

461
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:02,160
Speaker 2: Yegort Devin't just focused solely on facilitating and Richie Saunders

462
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 2: being an absolute dog go to scorer. It's just worked.

463
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:07,639
Speaker 2: You don't have to worry about certain guys like we

464
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 2: mentioned with Maryland, where if somebody's cold, they don't have alternatives,

465
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:14,879
Speaker 2: like they've got cannon catchings who can hit five threes

466
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 2: and win you a game in a role where if

467
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 2: he doesn't make his first two threes, he doesn't even

468
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,199
Speaker 2: check into the game. They're deep, they're good inside, they

469
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 2: don't really beat themselves, and as you mentioned last week,

470
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,159
Speaker 2: stuck when they get to the sweet sixteen, if they

471
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:29,440
Speaker 2: get there, they're gonna have to pick off some teams

472
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:31,159
Speaker 2: that are some of the quote unquote league teams in

473
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,440
Speaker 2: college basketball. They play a brand of basketball that facilitates

474
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,880
Speaker 2: that they shoot a bunch of threes, they're efficient from outside.

475
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 2: So I'm in on this team. I'm going to somehow

476
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:41,400
Speaker 2: get them on the card and keep peppering this until

477
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 2: we do.

478
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 1: Yeah. My only push back to yeah, we could have

479
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:46,720
Speaker 1: got four to one last week and then still worry

480
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:48,680
Speaker 1: a little bit about them on the road. But going

481
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 1: to Tucson has to give them confidence, and that is

482
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 1: definitely a feather in their cap for sure. The one

483
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,679
Speaker 1: weird thing with by you and this could work in

484
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,199
Speaker 1: our FA I mean the brackets that craps you. You never

485
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,239
Speaker 1: know where there's gonna be upsets. But b why you

486
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:08,720
Speaker 1: can't play on Sundays? So like that could they could?

487
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,359
Speaker 1: They could be like as an eight but then get

488
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 1: put as a seven, or like an eight that gets

489
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 1: put as a ten, you know what I mean? Because

490
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 1: just of how the the regions play out, I think

491
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 1: that they're trending more towards like a six right now,

492
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: but like they could get hurt by seating or helped

493
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:38,639
Speaker 1: based on just how everything plays out. And because they

494
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 1: can't play on Sundays, and it's not just you don't.

495
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 1: You can't just take into account the first weekend. You

496
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 1: got to take into account the second weekend. And so

497
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 1: that's just something to keep in mind. You never you

498
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 1: can't predict if that's gonna help with her, But just

499
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: something in the note, Caleb B. Reese, what you got.

500
00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 1: I know this one's been flowing around for a couple

501
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 1: of weeks.

502
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 3: But Duke and Auburn against the Field Tigers and Blue Devils,

503
00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:59,120
Speaker 3: if you pair him up, if either win the national title,

504
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 3: you get plus one six on it. And I'm going

505
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 3: to make this pretty simple. If you go into the

506
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:06,120
Speaker 3: Ken Palm Almanac, if you flip through all the pages,

507
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 3: start with this year. So Alburns net rating thirty six

508
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 3: point nine to two, Duke's thirty eight point seven eight.

509
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:15,160
Speaker 3: Dating all the way back to nineteen ninety seven, every

510
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:17,960
Speaker 3: team north of thirty six has either made the Final

511
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 3: four play for the national title or won the national title.

512
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:23,440
Speaker 3: I've seen enough for alburn might pick to win the

513
00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 3: national title. Really for the last two months. I got

514
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 3: them an eighteen to one earlier in the year. I'm

515
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 3: not getting off that train. They have so many different

516
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:31,919
Speaker 3: ways they can beat you. And go on and on

517
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 3: about how great this team that Bruce Pearl has assembled

518
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 3: is this year and Duke, I just feel like they

519
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,400
Speaker 3: have a very very high floor because of that defense.

520
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 1: So the likelihood of them losing.

521
00:26:41,200 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 3: Before let's call it the Elite eight, in my opinion,

522
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,239
Speaker 3: is very low. So with that being said, you know,

523
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 3: you guys are throwing out some interesting long shots. I'll

524
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,119
Speaker 3: just I'll pat myself in the back the same Mary's

525
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,120
Speaker 3: one was there, that one already cash the West Coast

526
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:53,879
Speaker 3: conference ticket.

527
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 1: I think it was at the same price.

528
00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 3: I know that the Future's portfolio, we're looking for something

529
00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 3: a little bit spicy, but this is this is one

530
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 3: that I'm going to be kicking myself if I don't take.

531
00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:05,359
Speaker 3: By the second weekends when they're both there, they have

532
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 3: a really good pass to the final four. I think

533
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 3: there's you know, I won't throw a percentage on it,

534
00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 3: because these are the kind of hypotheticals that I think

535
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,400
Speaker 3: kind of defy mathematics. But I think there's a really

536
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:16,400
Speaker 3: good chance to both these teams make the final four

537
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 3: and are put on opposite sides of the bracket. So

538
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 3: for that reason, I think anything north of plus one

539
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:23,160
Speaker 3: fifty is good. Plus one sixty five is one bringing

540
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 3: to the table today.

541
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 1: Okay, we'll vote, then I'll get Greg's thoughts and I'll

542
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:33,880
Speaker 1: share my thoughts on that. One for Clemson, two for BYU,

543
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:39,400
Speaker 1: three for Duke Auburn versus the field three two one

544
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 1: wow to split. Greg went with Duke Auburn, I went

545
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 1: with BYU, and Caliberis went with Clemson. It's up to

546
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 1: me to break the tie. The last tie that we had.

547
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 1: Who did that defall to what that fault where you

548
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:00,959
Speaker 1: gave yourself A and M Finally, I think no. I

549
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 1: think I got the win last split, which was it?

550
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:08,000
Speaker 1: Was it Maryland? Was that too long ago? That was

551
00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:13,040
Speaker 1: Alabama National title, which I don't like they can think of,

552
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 1: but I don't trust their defense. So I can't go

553
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,280
Speaker 1: to Greg again on the tie. I'm gonna be selfish.

554
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 1: I'm going to Clemson. Here's the reason I can't go

555
00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:25,200
Speaker 1: Duke Auburn. I just have I priced it out today.

556
00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:30,400
Speaker 1: I make it two to one, and so I can't

557
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,200
Speaker 1: take plus one sixty five. This is all I get

558
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:36,600
Speaker 1: how historically good both those teams are. But I will

559
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 1: say this is the deepest field we've ever seen. The

560
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 1: bubble is pretty weak, but from like one to the

561
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 1: eight seed line as deep as we've ever seen. Like

562
00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:53,240
Speaker 1: you could there's like six seven teams that you could

563
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 1: argue should be one seeds like that. Just this field

564
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 1: is so deep that it's just just where I'm at.

565
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 1: Two to one. You voted for this one. I'm curious

566
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 1: to your thoughts on dukelob and versus field. I did.

567
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 2: I think largely, Uh, to Mike's point, I've been sort

568
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 2: of asking for like a I don't know a horse here,

569
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 2: and I tried to give us that with Alabama, and

570
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 2: then I'm with you stuck it. Just the way they

571
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 2: performed in that Auburn game just did not inspire. So

572
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 2: I still think there's a little bit upside there, but

573
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:25,600
Speaker 2: I want something we feel super confident is going to

574
00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 2: go deep. At minimum one of these two teams is

575
00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 2: going to be in the final four. I'm with Calibreeze.

576
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:34,480
Speaker 2: They're historically great. Yes, it's a strong season across the board,

577
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:36,920
Speaker 2: but these are going to be put on a tee

578
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 2: on opposite sides from each other on a pedestal, given

579
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 2: everything they need to get where they need to get,

580
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:46,080
Speaker 2: as long as they stay healthy. Now, the one concern

581
00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 2: would be Procters not healthy. He banged knees and luckily

582
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:51,480
Speaker 2: it's just a bruise and not something worse. Right now,

583
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 2: I kind of want to see that, But man, I

584
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 2: think this was like plus one point a couple of

585
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 2: weeks ago. It's honestly flipped the other direction. I think

586
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:00,600
Speaker 2: this might be the best we get for those two

587
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:03,960
Speaker 2: Why not? And honestly, I don't love Clemson the way

588
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 2: you do. I don't think it's bad value by any means.

589
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: But uh, that was part of it as well. I

590
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:11,680
Speaker 2: wasn't looking to itch myself into a Clemson ticket.

591
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 1: All right, well, maybe we'll add to add the horse

592
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,480
Speaker 1: pick next week. I don't think that's gonna move much,

593
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:19,920
Speaker 1: and then we can get more insight into duke injury situation.

594
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 1: All right, before we get into the Atlantic Sun preview

595
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 1: and our weekend looks, got another America East Minute from

596
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 1: a guy Tanamograph who's always dialed in to the America

597
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:35,200
Speaker 1: East Conference. Tanner, what do you got brother? I am

598
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 1: a Realerican fight for what's right.

599
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 4: Thanks Stuck, and welcome back to the Amys Minute, hosted

600
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 4: by yours truly. First of all, a big thank you

601
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 4: to everyone. This is the final week of America's conference play.

602
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 4: Thanks to Stucky Breeze, whatell Matt Mitchell for letting me

603
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,880
Speaker 4: talk about my favorite league all year. Thanks to all

604
00:30:56,920 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 4: of you for listening to me spew about my favorite

605
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 4: league all year. The up and down, but the league

606
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 4: was great. I love this conference, every team, each player.

607
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 4: I can't wait for the tournament coming up Standings. As

608
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 4: we entered the eighth and final week of America's conference play,

609
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 4: Brian is eleven and two Vermont swept Brian and Lowell

610
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 4: last week to move within one game of the Bulldogs

611
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 4: at ten and three. Main Is eight and five, Binghamton, Albany, Ums,

612
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 4: lovel and NBC all have between five and seven wins,

613
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 4: and then Ngit will miss the tournament for the second

614
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 4: straight year, the lone team to miss, sitting at two

615
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 4: and eleven. We could talk about Verma's resurgence again, but

616
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:30,840
Speaker 4: the real team I want to talk about is Binghamton

617
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:34,000
Speaker 4: really sneaky under the radar turnaround from Lavelle Sanders, who

618
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,480
Speaker 4: can coach. The Bearcats have won six of eight since

619
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:40,520
Speaker 4: starting the league play one in five. They've beaten Vermont, Maine, Lowell, Albany.

620
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 4: They were so impressive last weekend, dominating New Hampshire then

621
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 4: grinding out a late game win over Maine. They're the

622
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,480
Speaker 4: second best team in the league by a justic deficiency

623
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 4: of February, trailing only Vermont. Yet they've benefited from some

624
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 4: much needed three point shooting regression on defense, and it

625
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:55,440
Speaker 4: may have swung too far the other way, but their

626
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 4: dribble defense has really improved. They are rebounding everything and

627
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 4: they are good in tier defense. They have a lot

628
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 4: of size, and there's still a very dangerous downhill driving,

629
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,720
Speaker 4: rim running cutting offense behind all of that size, combined

630
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 4: with a lot of al off the bounce explosiveness. They

631
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 4: still get to the line at will. They have a

632
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 4: bad turnover problem because they don't have a point guard,

633
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 4: but they're just letting the Wings run the show. You know.

634
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 4: Timu Shenery has been awesome, Chris Walker has been awesome.

635
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 4: They're running more offense through Wes Peterson, who's really trended

636
00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:23,959
Speaker 4: up throughout the year, and Nemahai Benson has been a

637
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:28,360
Speaker 4: highly versatile interior bucket, especially in transition. But keep an

638
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 4: eye on Gavin Walsh, who is averaging twelve points and

639
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 4: twelve rebounds per game and conference play. We'll see if

640
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 4: all this is sustainable with opponents with these opponent three

641
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:38,360
Speaker 4: point shooting splits, but it's hard not to be impressed

642
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 4: with this recent run. Saturday spots include Binghamton, who heads

643
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 4: to Lowell at twelve pm on Saturday. Projected line is

644
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 4: Lowell minus six, one hundred and fifty two point total.

645
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,360
Speaker 4: It's Lowell or nothing for me here. I kind of

646
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 4: think I might bet Lowell Binghamton. Like I said, overvalue

647
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 4: due to lucky three point shooting variants on defense, and

648
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 4: I do think Lowell has been starting to battle more lately,

649
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 4: at least at times between bouts of inconsistencies. But they

650
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 4: looked really good against Brian on Thursday for most of

651
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 4: the game. And if they can hang on the boards

652
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 4: a big if their shooters can force that regression upon

653
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 4: the Bearcats, and they're due for some major positive regression

654
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 4: against Binghamton because they lost the first head to head

655
00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 4: matchup by twelve, but shot five for thirty one from

656
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 4: three and we're missing Cam Morris, one of their starters.

657
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 4: They also don't foul when defending, and it's imperative to

658
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 4: keep Binghamton off the charity stripe. I kind of think

659
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 4: Lowell gets it done. Depends on the line. I would

660
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 4: like to not lay over two possessions. Vermont heads to

661
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 4: UNBC on Saturday at twelve pm. Projected line is Vermont

662
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:36,000
Speaker 4: minus one, but I doubt it opens at one because

663
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 4: Joshu Dunwu and Bryce Johnson are both probably out for

664
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 4: the Retrievers. Johnson took a serious fall on in Thursday

665
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 4: Thursday's game against Albany and was taken out on a stretcher,

666
00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 4: and I'm praying for him that he's okay. He's a

667
00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 4: great player, a great leader, a great person. UNBC cooked

668
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 4: Vermont in the first matchup by zoning them to death

669
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 4: and ripping them apart with pump fakes and drives and kicks.

670
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,959
Speaker 4: But now in the rematch, UNBC is reeling because their

671
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 4: zone defense is cracked and they can't do anything on

672
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 4: the basketball's court except score. They're too small, they don't rebound,

673
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,920
Speaker 4: they don't force turnovers, and Vermont has totally righted the ship.

674
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:10,560
Speaker 4: They've been the league's best team lately. They rank first

675
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 4: nationally and has the metrics Momentum Metric, and Becker should

676
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 4: be able to tweak his game plan for this rematch.

677
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 4: Plus superstar scoring guard TJ. Hurley, who has been on

678
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 4: a heater lately, returns for this game after missing the

679
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:26,680
Speaker 4: first head to head matchup, while the Retrievers are now

680
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 4: down two starters. If we get a reasonable line, I

681
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:30,160
Speaker 4: will be on the Catamounts.

682
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 1: Game of the.

683
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 4: Week is probably Brian at main. A projected line is

684
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 4: Brian minus one, one hundred and forty nine point total.

685
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:39,719
Speaker 4: These two teams are starting to see serious regression to

686
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,160
Speaker 4: the mean. The league's two best teams, the league's two

687
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 4: best team for most of the year, may have peaked

688
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,760
Speaker 4: too early, but both teams are due for serious positive

689
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 4: shooting regression. Brian hasn't hit a three in weeks, while

690
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 4: nobody can miss a three against Maine. But still, these

691
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:54,400
Speaker 4: are two teams I think are a tad inflated in

692
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 4: the markets and would maybe look to fade if they

693
00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:59,360
Speaker 4: weren't playing each other. But I will say Brian dominated

694
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,480
Speaker 4: the first head to head matchup because Main struggles with

695
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:03,960
Speaker 4: size and the Bulldogs have more size than any low

696
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 4: major team. Main should get rocked on the boards, and

697
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 4: Brian's dribble defense is pretty good with all that perimeter length,

698
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:11,760
Speaker 4: so they should be able to swallow up the times

699
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:13,240
Speaker 4: Clayton ballscreen motion offense.

700
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 1: Again.

701
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 4: Final spot is Albany hads to NJIT at one pm

702
00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:19,719
Speaker 4: on Saturday. Albany minus four, one hundred and thirty eight

703
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 4: point total. I kind of want to bet ngiit here

704
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:24,799
Speaker 4: because Albany can play up and down a competition with

705
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,719
Speaker 4: its horrendous defense, then you know they can't really stay

706
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 4: in front of the dribble and Tim Moore has been

707
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 4: playing a lot better lately for NJT, and he could

708
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:35,839
Speaker 4: rip apart Albany's non existent interior defense. NJIT also won

709
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,040
Speaker 4: the shot volume battle in the first matchup and only

710
00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,760
Speaker 4: lost by six in Albany despite shooting three for nineteen

711
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,880
Speaker 4: from three. But they also foul like crazy, so the

712
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:45,719
Speaker 4: Danes got to the line twenty eight times in that

713
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,600
Speaker 4: first game, and NJIT is I think already eliminated from

714
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 4: tournament consideration, so they might just be at corpse. Anyways,

715
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,399
Speaker 4: thank you guys again for a great year, and hope

716
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 4: to see you soon.

717
00:35:55,520 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 1: All right, thanks Dana. Let's talk a little Atlantic sun here.

718
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:06,520
Speaker 1: This will start on Sunday. The higher seeds host. We

719
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:11,120
Speaker 1: have two games that are already known on Sunday. Something

720
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:13,600
Speaker 1: to keep in mind if you're betting those games is

721
00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:20,239
Speaker 1: they're not actually at the higher seeds. You have the

722
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:23,959
Speaker 1: the one seed who they will play. Those teams play

723
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 1: on their home court on Sunday, and the two seed,

724
00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:28,520
Speaker 1: who they're going to play, play on their home court

725
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:32,040
Speaker 1: on Sunday because they're gonna play on Monday. But from

726
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:35,040
Speaker 1: there on out, the higher seeds host. This is an

727
00:36:35,080 --> 00:36:38,799
Speaker 1: offensive league. There's lots of three pointers, there's lots of

728
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:43,080
Speaker 1: three point makes. There's a lot of variance. As a result,

729
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 1: Lipscomb is the favorite here seeing what around minus one

730
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 1: fifty five. They have a great four out offense. Agnasovich

731
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 1: is a baller and they have shooters, lead spacing in motion.

732
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 1: They lost Faulkner to injury this season, but they shoot,

733
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 1: make a lot of threes. Great offense. Not the most

734
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:08,400
Speaker 1: athletic team, which can trouble them in specific matchups, namely

735
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 1: against North Alabama Eastern Kentucky. North Alabama's been the best team,

736
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 1: very athletic. They rim hunters, they don't turn it over.

737
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:18,720
Speaker 1: They do lack height, but they're great on the offensive.

738
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 1: Glass lane and fields are great. They're fifteen and one

739
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:25,640
Speaker 1: at home, seven and eight on the road. They are

740
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 1: vulnerable against zones. You'll see some zones in this league.

741
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:33,160
Speaker 1: And they did lose to both Florida Golf Coast and Queens.

742
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 1: And they give up a lot of threes, and they're

743
00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 1: weak at the rim, which is troubling against Florida Gulf Coast,

744
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 1: and they give up threes which is troubling against Queens.

745
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,400
Speaker 1: My problem is when I just look at this league

746
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 1: off the bat is I don't know Who's gonna win

747
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 1: that Queen's Florida Gulf Coast matchup they split in the

748
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 1: regular season. Probably comes down to queens three point shooting.

749
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:56,080
Speaker 1: They were five of twenty six and the loss twelve

750
00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:58,800
Speaker 1: of twenty nine in the win. Queen's been good on

751
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 1: the road, though, if you look that, they're splits and

752
00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 1: Florida Gulf Coat has been good at home. So I

753
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 1: just don't have a ton of confidence. But both have

754
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:09,440
Speaker 1: some paths to give North Alabama problems. But North Alabama

755
00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:12,759
Speaker 1: has been so good at home this year. I don't

756
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:19,120
Speaker 1: think Lipscomb is completely immune to being upset before the

757
00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:22,479
Speaker 1: title either minus one fifty minus and sixty no value.

758
00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:25,320
Speaker 1: I make them like close to even money North Alabama.

759
00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,800
Speaker 1: I wanted three to one. There's like plus two fifty

760
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:32,839
Speaker 1: out there, which I would maybe think about, especially if

761
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:35,720
Speaker 1: Lipscomb gets picked off. You'd love to have that ticket,

762
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 1: but if they don't, you're going to be getting like

763
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 1: plus three hundred plus three thirty in the conference championship game,

764
00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 1: which would be at Lipscomb. It's also worth noting that

765
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 1: Queen's is not eligible for the NCAA Tournament if they

766
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 1: win Lipscomb because of the tiebreaker and the one day

767
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 1: would go to the NCAA tournament. Queen's good rebounders, get

768
00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: up a ton of threes. Call them Ario the Fresno transfer.

769
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,160
Speaker 1: He's their best off offensive player. Backcourt isn't great. They

770
00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 1: do have a seven footer in Wilson to protect the rim,

771
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 1: but they do, you know, turn it over a little

772
00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:09,959
Speaker 1: bit too much and don't force turnovers. I don't think

773
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:15,640
Speaker 1: anyone has a shot from the bottom here. Maybe North Florida.

774
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 1: I mean, North Florida cannot defend their rim at all.

775
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:20,239
Speaker 1: Their d is awful, but they're the birds of trade.

776
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:22,399
Speaker 1: They shoot a ton of threes and they don't turn

777
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 1: it over. So at the highest three point right in

778
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 1: the country. So yeah. But they play Austin pen the

779
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 1: first round. That does take away the three well, but

780
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:32,719
Speaker 1: he's not a great two point offense, which can't really

781
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:37,120
Speaker 1: exploit North Florida's primary weakness to the fullest. But they

782
00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 1: did score ninety seven points on the road in their

783
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 1: only meeting and one at North Florida. That's all you

784
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 1: need to know about the North Florida defense. The other

785
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,280
Speaker 1: two teams, I'll just mention briefly. If you're not familiar

786
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 1: with them. Jacksonville good jump shooters, but they don't take

787
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 1: a ton, but they're they're great offensive rebounders. They have

788
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 1: the best defense in the league. It's a weird team

789
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,439
Speaker 1: though they turn it over too much. They're bad from two,

790
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:59,479
Speaker 1: they're bad from the line. They can't score the rim.

791
00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 1: They also have an injury with their rim protector in pain.

792
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's going to be back. McCray,

793
00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 1: their point guard runs the show in that offense, but

794
00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:10,399
Speaker 1: their d kind of runs a show in the league

795
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:12,720
Speaker 1: of a lot of offenses. They have the best defense

796
00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:16,839
Speaker 1: Eastern Kentucky. No press, they have a unique style. They

797
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:18,720
Speaker 1: want a force turnovers. They don't turn it over themselves.

798
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,960
Speaker 1: Blanton DeVante Blanton is a stud. Him and Kimball. It's

799
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 1: basically just an isolation pick and roll. But Kimball's missed

800
00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: the past few games. I'm not sure if his status.

801
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,759
Speaker 1: Butcher's the shooter. Myrek's pretty underrated. But they don't get

802
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 1: to the rim at all. They can't defend at the rim.

803
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:34,840
Speaker 1: Their offense is just all threes and mid range stuff.

804
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:39,360
Speaker 1: They're good on the offensive glass. Interesting league. If I

805
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:43,439
Speaker 1: had to take anything, probably North Alabama. They can give

806
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 1: lips some problems with their athleticism. It just stinks that

807
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 1: they didn't get the one seed. Calgary, how go to you?

808
00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts here? Sorry for that ramble.

809
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,880
Speaker 3: No, no, that was great table setting across the board

810
00:40:57,040 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 3: for what has been a fun conference throughout the season,

811
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 3: and there's some differential in the way the teams play, so

812
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 3: it can make for an entertaining contrast and styles of time.

813
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 3: I'm in on five to two for North Alabama and

814
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:11,879
Speaker 3: the reason is pretty simple. When you look at they're

815
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:14,919
Speaker 3: split with Lipscomb when they're playing four out and they're

816
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 3: just relentlessly feeding the posts in Agnasovich like in the

817
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 3: first game, they had a great game plan. He goes

818
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:23,280
Speaker 3: four to twelve from the field, he's a non factor

819
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:25,799
Speaker 3: and they win that game. So that's what I needed

820
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:27,720
Speaker 3: to see because when you look at the advanced metrics,

821
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 3: it appears that the Bison are, you know, head and

822
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,920
Speaker 3: shoulders above everybody else. But North Alabama has already proven

823
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 3: it at one point this season, and I think.

824
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,480
Speaker 1: We they swept them last year. They upset them at

825
00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 1: Lipscomb last year. The tournament swept them last year. Also,

826
00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:44,799
Speaker 1: per Torvik since January first, and since February first, North

827
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,120
Speaker 1: Alabama's been the best team this league, and that they've

828
00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:49,719
Speaker 1: been dominant at home, which is all they need to

829
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 1: do to get the Lipscomb.

830
00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:54,320
Speaker 3: And sometimes it can be difficult to talk yourself into saying,

831
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 3: you know, having to win on another team's floor. Lipscomb

832
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 3: was actually the only team in the entire conference with

833
00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:00,879
Speaker 3: a winning record on the road. But when you look

834
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:04,040
Speaker 3: at the top five contenders alongside of them, they went

835
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:06,040
Speaker 3: four and four against those teams. So in my opinion,

836
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 3: they're vulnerable. Their price makes it, you know, basically a

837
00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:11,920
Speaker 3: non starter. I'm not laying minus one sixty five to

838
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 3: take the favorite here, and I get the best guard

839
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,439
Speaker 3: in the league. On top of everything else, we bang

840
00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:20,080
Speaker 3: the drum marches about guard play. Jacari Lane is phenomenal.

841
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,719
Speaker 3: He's got two to one assistant turnover ratio, twenty or

842
00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:24,360
Speaker 3: more points in five of his last six games, so

843
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:26,960
Speaker 3: he's getting hot at the right time, knockdown three point shooter,

844
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:28,600
Speaker 3: and he's adept to getting to the line.

845
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 1: I think they have all the pieces here.

846
00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:32,560
Speaker 3: And then when you look at the path against you know,

847
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:36,720
Speaker 3: the BSU or North Florida they swept both Florida Gulf Coast.

848
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 3: It was a game that they took them down to

849
00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 3: the wire at their place, so not necessarily scared. I

850
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:44,040
Speaker 3: will say with North Florida, what's interesting. You talked about

851
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:46,800
Speaker 3: how fast they play their top ten and pace nationally.

852
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 1: They fire up a million threes.

853
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 3: They upset South Carolina and Georgia Tech, so on the

854
00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:53,760
Speaker 3: high end when the shots are falling, that's the only

855
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 3: scary element for me. With North Alabama, I think they

856
00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:58,799
Speaker 3: get to the title game and then you know, just

857
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 3: like you if you're on the line, you're hoping that

858
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 3: the Bison get you know, sniped by somebody else. But

859
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 3: I still think there's a good chance that they can

860
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:07,759
Speaker 3: beat them because they've already done it this year.

861
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:09,320
Speaker 1: So I'm going to keep it simple.

862
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:11,440
Speaker 3: Go with a team that at plus two fifty, I

863
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:13,600
Speaker 3: think there's enough value to talk me into the two

864
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:14,400
Speaker 3: seats in this tournament.

865
00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:18,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's like Florida Gulf Coast queens. I struggle with

866
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 1: that because the queen's that they're making their threes. The

867
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:25,880
Speaker 1: North Alabama had some land mines Lipscomb. The other interesting

868
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:29,040
Speaker 1: part is Jacksonville Eastern Kentucky. They play in the four

869
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 1: or five. Jacksonville swept Eastern Kentucky during the regular season,

870
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:38,680
Speaker 1: but Eastern Kentucky swept Lipscomb. Their athleticism can give Lipscomb issues.

871
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 1: And it's weird because Jacksonville does turn it over a bunch,

872
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:44,080
Speaker 1: but their defense is really good and just really stymied

873
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 1: Eastern Kentucky. They just played and Jacksonville won fifty nine

874
00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:54,399
Speaker 1: fifty five in that game, and that was without pain

875
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:57,440
Speaker 1: and Eastern Kentucky was about kimball. Those are two guys

876
00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 1: to keep an eye on if they're going to be available.

877
00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:04,759
Speaker 1: That's a tough one. I just don't know if I

878
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,920
Speaker 1: who I really love, like, if I really loved Eastern

879
00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 1: Kentucky in that game, I might look to take Eastern Kentucky.

880
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:13,400
Speaker 1: Flyer in Eastern Kentucky. So this is tough for me.

881
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:15,440
Speaker 1: I'm gonna shop around. Want me a good number in

882
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 1: North Alabama? What do you got twenty five to onek

883
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:20,400
Speaker 1: in Eastern Kentucky. Yeah, that's my sprinkle.

884
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:23,840
Speaker 2: I just don't think they are that far behind the

885
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:27,080
Speaker 2: favorites in this league. And I do feel like you're

886
00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:29,080
Speaker 2: kind of just pulling something out of a hat here.

887
00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:31,440
Speaker 2: I'll take the team to swept the one seed at

888
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,719
Speaker 2: twenty five to one. That you know, you try to

889
00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:36,279
Speaker 2: look at what happened in that Jacksonville game. EKA is

890
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,160
Speaker 2: not a great shooting team by any means. They shot

891
00:44:38,239 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 2: forty five percent from the line. They shot twenty five

892
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:43,040
Speaker 2: percent eight for thirty two from three, loose by four

893
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:46,920
Speaker 2: to Jacksonville. Like, I feel like, Eka, you can handle

894
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 2: that and if you get it's hard to be a

895
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:52,200
Speaker 2: team three times right, But with how good Blanton is,

896
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,480
Speaker 2: like he is a guy who can single handedly win

897
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 2: you a game. I think it's a crazy price. When

898
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,200
Speaker 2: I saw twenty five to one, I was like, it's

899
00:44:59,200 --> 00:44:59,920
Speaker 2: worth a shot.

900
00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:03,359
Speaker 1: I like it. All right, that's the official recommendation. If

901
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,399
Speaker 1: you want to go with a more known commodity, maybe

902
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:07,239
Speaker 1: North Alabama shop round. I would love that. I was

903
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 1: hoping to get three to one, but yeah, the long shot,

904
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:15,880
Speaker 1: I think you gotta go EKU and hope Blanton carries

905
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:20,280
Speaker 1: you to glory. And by the way, we'll have thirty

906
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:25,240
Speaker 1: more confience tournament previews coming up over the next two weeks.

907
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:28,720
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to some weekend looks. Let's start

908
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:31,240
Speaker 1: on Friday. Greg, I know you got something for Friday.

909
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 1: What do you got, Yeah, I'm gonna go to Big

910
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:34,239
Speaker 1: Ten country. Here.

911
00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:37,919
Speaker 2: Purdue has been reelink and we're going on four consecutive

912
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:41,719
Speaker 2: games of the masses saying, Wow, this is Purdue's turn

913
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:45,480
Speaker 2: to respond and back against the wall. I'm hearing rumors

914
00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:48,600
Speaker 2: of players only meetings this week. Of course, you're expecting

915
00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:50,600
Speaker 2: a focused effort from the boiler Makers.

916
00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:53,160
Speaker 1: But guess what. Ucla is a good basketball team.

917
00:45:53,200 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 2: This is a team that has been really good in

918
00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:57,640
Speaker 2: the biggest spots on their schedule this year. They have

919
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 2: four wins against Ken Palm Top twelve opponents going back

920
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 2: to the non conference. I trust McK cronin against good teams,

921
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 2: and I think there's a scout out on this Purdue

922
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 2: team of how to beat them that plays right into

923
00:46:09,120 --> 00:46:12,120
Speaker 2: UCLA's hands. You got to force turnovers. Braden Smith has

924
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:14,800
Speaker 2: six turnovers in his last two games. He looks extremely

925
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:18,080
Speaker 2: worn down and playing forty minutes every single game. UCLA

926
00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:20,000
Speaker 2: has got a bunch of guards they can throw at him,

927
00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:22,640
Speaker 2: kind of keep a revolving door going, keep everybody fresh,

928
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,319
Speaker 2: and they're the fourth best turnover forcing defense in all

929
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:26,520
Speaker 2: of college basketball.

930
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:28,879
Speaker 1: Then you think, how does Ucla want to score well.

931
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 2: They like to score inside. Tyler Billadows kind of a

932
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 2: six to nine center that can struggle with size.

933
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 1: Who has no size inside.

934
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:39,520
Speaker 2: Going back to January first, Purdue has the worst two

935
00:46:39,560 --> 00:46:44,000
Speaker 2: point percentage defense in college basketball. They're dead last in

936
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 2: the category. It's not just a problem, it's a hemorrhage.

937
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:50,960
Speaker 2: At this point, there's nothing they can do. I just

938
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 2: trust McK cronin in this spot. They're going to be

939
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:55,879
Speaker 2: catching at least five five and a half points here.

940
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:58,279
Speaker 2: I'll take a shot on UCLA, who I think has

941
00:46:58,280 --> 00:46:59,720
Speaker 2: been a lot better than Purdue lately.

942
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:01,759
Speaker 3: If they want some film cut ups on how to

943
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:04,279
Speaker 3: play two point defense, I can give Himissippi Valley State

944
00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 3: because they are above them and I've watched them play

945
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:09,040
Speaker 3: and look a little bit better and beating Arkansas Pine Bluff.

946
00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:09,920
Speaker 1: Greg.

947
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:12,600
Speaker 3: The one question I have for you any concern about

948
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 3: the air travel. Obviously mc cronin has made a meal

949
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:18,120
Speaker 3: out of saying, oh boo hoo, we got a new

950
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:19,920
Speaker 3: conference and we had to catch these huge checks, and

951
00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 3: now we have to fly across the country. This being

952
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:24,839
Speaker 3: what they're only good road win outside of the West

953
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:26,520
Speaker 3: Coast has been Indiana a.

954
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:28,560
Speaker 1: Four point win. Does that concern you at all?

955
00:47:28,640 --> 00:47:30,920
Speaker 3: Do you think it's maybe he's trying to play a

956
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:33,680
Speaker 3: little motivational element inside his locker room and have them

957
00:47:33,680 --> 00:47:34,840
Speaker 3: be fired up for a game like this.

958
00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 2: You know, I think Mick is a narrative spinner, and

959
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:41,080
Speaker 2: when his team had lost four straight, including a blowout

960
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:44,120
Speaker 2: loss at home to Michigan and a neutral to North Carolina,

961
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:46,920
Speaker 2: that was kind of the narrative, right. It's easy to

962
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:50,160
Speaker 2: blame it on travel. I don't think it's affected many

963
00:47:50,200 --> 00:47:52,720
Speaker 2: other teams in this league like that. We've seen teams

964
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:56,000
Speaker 2: go east and west and find success. It's just a

965
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,160
Speaker 2: really good matchup for UCLA. So I'm gonna take the Bruins.

966
00:48:00,040 --> 00:48:02,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go against you. Greg. Let's let's call it

967
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:06,279
Speaker 1: five and then I'll wait to send you a shirt.

968
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:11,000
Speaker 1: The shirts will cross out or why should? We'll just

969
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:14,400
Speaker 1: keep it tally to the eddit does sweatshirt? Does it

970
00:48:14,440 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 1: go to short sleeve? DeLong sleeve? When do I get

971
00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:21,759
Speaker 1: a boober jacket? Stucke? Yeah, we can. Well we'll talk

972
00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 1: about exchanges too, but uh yeah, well big do a

973
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:27,240
Speaker 1: shirt out on this. I just I mean, the UCLA

974
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,280
Speaker 1: doesn't try to score through and they're like three hundred

975
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:32,480
Speaker 1: and thirtieth and your proximity of tenth rate a lot

976
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:34,919
Speaker 1: of mid range, like Purdue is much better defending there.

977
00:48:35,560 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 1: I don't trust Ucla on the road. There are three

978
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 1: fiftieth away from home per Hazel Metrics. I agree with

979
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:44,839
Speaker 1: your point. Maybe Purdue is wearing down that I am

980
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:48,600
Speaker 1: a bit worried about. But this is like we're getting.

981
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:51,000
Speaker 1: Purdue is just laying a week and a half ago,

982
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 1: five and a half at home to Wisconsin three games ago.

983
00:48:55,640 --> 00:49:02,120
Speaker 1: Wisconsin is significantly better than Ucla in my opinion. So yeah,

984
00:49:02,200 --> 00:49:06,279
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna take Purdue in a home rally spot. Now,

985
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 1: you could say, look, their past couple have been home

986
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:11,120
Speaker 1: rally spots, but I didn't like their matchups the past couple.

987
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 1: I faded them in Indiana. I'm I'm going to back

988
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 1: Purdue here, little shirt bet Calboy's you got anything for Friday?

989
00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:22,719
Speaker 3: Not for Friday, but I got three on Saturday. If

990
00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:23,760
Speaker 3: you want to hop into.

991
00:49:23,520 --> 00:49:28,960
Speaker 1: It, I'll throw up Kent State on Friday night. Is

992
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:31,920
Speaker 1: there a line out here for this game? Let's see

993
00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:36,920
Speaker 1: Kent State's found their offense and oh yeah, there's a

994
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,799
Speaker 1: four out there that's kind of what I wanted. Kent

995
00:49:39,840 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 1: State has been, let me put it up. Since February first,

996
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:48,799
Speaker 1: Kent State's been the best team in this league. And

997
00:49:49,040 --> 00:49:53,760
Speaker 1: they've found their offense and early and nearly lost Safford,

998
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:58,799
Speaker 1: who's important to them, and they've kind of figured out

999
00:49:58,800 --> 00:50:03,359
Speaker 1: their roles around them cylinders playing with more confidence. They

1000
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:05,279
Speaker 1: got blown out in their home court earlier this year

1001
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:12,200
Speaker 1: to Akron. They lost on an improbable foul accidental foul

1002
00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:17,399
Speaker 1: two Akron in the conference final last year. Great rivalry here.

1003
00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:19,560
Speaker 1: Give me the points with Kent State. Their offense is

1004
00:50:19,600 --> 00:50:23,440
Speaker 1: playing so much better than it was during the season.

1005
00:50:23,560 --> 00:50:25,600
Speaker 1: And by the way, I don't know what it is,

1006
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:32,000
Speaker 1: but Kent State they stink at home. I don't know

1007
00:50:32,040 --> 00:50:33,479
Speaker 1: what it is. I think they gotta be like top

1008
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:35,600
Speaker 1: probably top ten away from home metrics if you look

1009
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 1: at asthmetrics, I almost guarantee it. But this team's playing

1010
00:50:40,120 --> 00:50:42,359
Speaker 1: really well. They have a couple of guys who were

1011
00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 1: struggling early on, but you know, guys like someone Barnett

1012
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 1: have really come on and this team's finally making shots.

1013
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:55,279
Speaker 1: I like them. Good spot here, Friday, and I think

1014
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:57,400
Speaker 1: this game goes down to the wire.

1015
00:50:57,880 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 3: Against the Zips, it's clear they're going through the motions.

1016
00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:04,360
Speaker 3: At least on the defensive ends. They gave up eighty plus.

1017
00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:07,760
Speaker 3: I think to Ohio and ball State, those are mediocre teams.

1018
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:10,239
Speaker 3: I think they're just on cruise control right now. So

1019
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:12,879
Speaker 3: I was almost pulling the trigger in Kent State as well.

1020
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 1: Let's go to Saturday, Greg, what do you got for Saturday? Saturday?

1021
00:51:20,040 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 2: I'm going to turn to Tennessee here. Tennessee very good

1022
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:28,080
Speaker 2: home team this year. It feels like in general, the

1023
00:51:28,880 --> 00:51:31,680
Speaker 2: masses have sort of decided Tennessee is icky.

1024
00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:33,600
Speaker 1: I've been a part of that at times.

1025
00:51:33,640 --> 00:51:35,879
Speaker 2: I mean, offensively, this is not the most fun team

1026
00:51:35,880 --> 00:51:38,480
Speaker 2: to watch, but as they have been all season. It's

1027
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:40,839
Speaker 2: really just depending on what version of chas La Neier

1028
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:44,080
Speaker 2: you're getting. And my eyes tell me that Chaslanier's back

1029
00:51:44,120 --> 00:51:46,279
Speaker 2: to his November form, where he was one of the

1030
00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:48,800
Speaker 2: best guards in the country. Really struggled in the beginning

1031
00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 2: of conference play, but he's heating up at the right time.

1032
00:51:51,680 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 2: I mean, Texas A and m left him way too

1033
00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:56,799
Speaker 2: open last week, but even against LSU and Vanderbilt, he's

1034
00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:59,000
Speaker 2: been efficient from three, which is the most important thing

1035
00:51:59,040 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 2: for Tennessee.

1036
00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:02,359
Speaker 1: I just feel that.

1037
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:06,880
Speaker 2: This Tennessee team is capable of beating anybody at home,

1038
00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:10,560
Speaker 2: and Alabama has been a lot worse on the road

1039
00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 2: than they've been at home this season. Their defense, which

1040
00:52:13,680 --> 00:52:17,040
Speaker 2: is ninth nationally and adjusted defensive efficiency at home, is

1041
00:52:17,080 --> 00:52:20,200
Speaker 2: one hundred and sixth on the road. For whatever reason,

1042
00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 2: they just can't get it done on that end. On

1043
00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:25,919
Speaker 2: the flip side, Tennessee's offense jumps up nearly halfway from

1044
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 2: fifty fifth on the road to twenty sixth nationally and

1045
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:30,279
Speaker 2: adjusted offensive efficiency.

1046
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:31,839
Speaker 1: And you top this.

1047
00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:33,920
Speaker 2: Off with Rick Barnes kind of owning Natoates in the

1048
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:35,880
Speaker 2: last two years when both of these programs have been

1049
00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 2: extremely healthy. Mcbarnes three to zero against Natoats. He swept

1050
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:41,759
Speaker 2: the Tide last season. I think this is a really

1051
00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:45,719
Speaker 2: good spot for a Tennessee team that is rolling right now.

1052
00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 2: Alabama won a couple straight as well, maybe a little

1053
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:51,760
Speaker 2: slip up before they get down to Florida and Auburn

1054
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:53,200
Speaker 2: in the final week of the regular season.

1055
00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:58,279
Speaker 1: I like it. I'll stay in the MAC I like

1056
00:52:58,560 --> 00:53:01,359
Speaker 1: Ohio on Saturday. I think it is a good spot.

1057
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:03,279
Speaker 1: They're off a bad loss. They have revenge from a

1058
00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:05,239
Speaker 1: game they were right there with minam Ohio and they

1059
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,439
Speaker 1: didn't have AJ Clayton, who's the best player. He's now back.

1060
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:11,600
Speaker 1: Ohio wants to run ninety nine percentile transition rate. Miami

1061
00:53:11,680 --> 00:53:14,880
Speaker 1: terrible transition d seventy nine percent off frequency allowed, twenty

1062
00:53:14,960 --> 00:53:18,799
Speaker 1: ninth in efficiency. And Miao has a jump shooting team.

1063
00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:21,040
Speaker 1: But Ohio does a good job taking away outside shots.

1064
00:53:21,040 --> 00:53:25,439
Speaker 1: And I think they've been unlucky with who's made them

1065
00:53:25,520 --> 00:53:28,440
Speaker 1: this year during league play. I just don't like the

1066
00:53:28,440 --> 00:53:30,520
Speaker 1: Miami defense when they aren't turning teams over and Ohio

1067
00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:32,560
Speaker 1: doesn't turn it over. And these two teams are jeckaling

1068
00:53:32,640 --> 00:53:35,279
Speaker 1: high home in a way, Ohio has been great at

1069
00:53:35,280 --> 00:53:37,239
Speaker 1: home all year. If you look at the splits on

1070
00:53:37,280 --> 00:53:39,919
Speaker 1: TORFIC one hundred and third in the country at home

1071
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:43,360
Speaker 1: to twenty fifth on the road, that's a massive split.

1072
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:47,399
Speaker 1: Ohio thirty nine percent from three at home, thirty one

1073
00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:50,919
Speaker 1: on the road, Mia Ohio one thirty sixth at home,

1074
00:53:51,520 --> 00:53:54,239
Speaker 1: one ninety ninth on the road. They shoot forty two

1075
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:56,799
Speaker 1: and a half percent from three at home thirty two

1076
00:53:56,880 --> 00:54:00,920
Speaker 1: percent on the road. I like Ohio small favorite at

1077
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:05,600
Speaker 1: home is what I'm hoping for Calbarys. What else you got, I'll.

1078
00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 3: Go Grand Canyon as a short favorite at Seattle. They

1079
00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:12,799
Speaker 3: handled Seattle in Phoenix by nine. Last month, they went

1080
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:14,759
Speaker 3: out and Utah Valley drops one. They're going to get

1081
00:54:14,760 --> 00:54:17,160
Speaker 3: a share the whack regular season title. And really it

1082
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,279
Speaker 3: comes down to the fact that Grant Foster is back

1083
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 3: to being that menace on the defensive end that he

1084
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:23,320
Speaker 3: was during that March Madness run last year. He was

1085
00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:25,959
Speaker 3: a game plan wrecker for the Lopes. He's got twelve

1086
00:54:26,040 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 3: stocks in his last three games, and Ray Harrison has

1087
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:31,000
Speaker 3: found his groove offensive, He's got his confidence back, he's

1088
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:32,120
Speaker 3: putting up more shots, he's.

1089
00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:32,920
Speaker 1: Scored in the basketball.

1090
00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:35,200
Speaker 3: So I really like what they're bringing to the table

1091
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:37,840
Speaker 3: at this point in a game that's still incredibly meaningful

1092
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:40,680
Speaker 3: to them. But the big thing for the Lopes is turnovers.

1093
00:54:40,719 --> 00:54:43,319
Speaker 3: They give it away way too much, nearly fourteen a

1094
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:45,759
Speaker 3: game their last loss, by the way, because they're nine

1095
00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:46,200
Speaker 3: to one.

1096
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:46,719
Speaker 1: In their last ten.

1097
00:54:46,840 --> 00:54:49,200
Speaker 3: They turn it over twenty two times against cal Baptist,

1098
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:52,920
Speaker 3: but they've since avenged that loss and against Seattle. Seattle

1099
00:54:52,920 --> 00:54:54,719
Speaker 3: can put pressure on you and turn you over, but

1100
00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:57,080
Speaker 3: They're also really sloppy with the ball, just like GCU,

1101
00:54:57,280 --> 00:54:58,480
Speaker 3: so I think it's going to kind of be a

1102
00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:01,200
Speaker 3: wash in that regard. I think this will be, you know,

1103
00:55:01,239 --> 00:55:03,400
Speaker 3: a single possession spread. So I play it up to

1104
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:07,399
Speaker 3: lay in three. But Seattle historically in the whack has

1105
00:55:07,440 --> 00:55:09,319
Speaker 3: been a better home team than there. This year they're

1106
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:11,480
Speaker 3: four and six against the closing number on their home

1107
00:55:11,480 --> 00:55:13,800
Speaker 3: floor here in twenty twenty five, So I'll go ahead

1108
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:15,919
Speaker 3: with the Antelopes getting hot at the right time.

1109
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:20,200
Speaker 1: Is Grant Foster going to play what I haven't? I believe?

1110
00:55:20,239 --> 00:55:22,160
Speaker 3: I believe, so I mean that obviously will have a

1111
00:55:22,239 --> 00:55:25,000
Speaker 3: huge impact. I've had the worst injury luck with bets.

1112
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:27,200
Speaker 3: I'm given out two and three days ahead of time

1113
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:30,640
Speaker 3: in the last month, so yes, as always make sure

1114
00:55:30,680 --> 00:55:33,759
Speaker 3: I do adjust for that my next pick. Hopefully the

1115
00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:36,359
Speaker 3: team that I'm going with is getting healthier, at least

1116
00:55:36,360 --> 00:55:38,680
Speaker 3: their coach is saying, so I think we're on the

1117
00:55:38,719 --> 00:55:42,799
Speaker 3: same one. They're stuck like Iowa State revenge after that

1118
00:55:42,840 --> 00:55:45,479
Speaker 3: insane loss to Arizona. They're going to be a short

1119
00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:48,399
Speaker 3: favorite here at Hilton, you know, losing at Michale. They're

1120
00:55:48,480 --> 00:55:50,880
Speaker 3: up three where excuse me, Yeah, they're up three with

1121
00:55:50,960 --> 00:55:51,839
Speaker 3: three seconds left.

1122
00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:54,440
Speaker 1: Love, it's a three quarter court shot. They go to overtime.

1123
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,719
Speaker 3: They lose, but according to coach OTTs Key, Gilbert is

1124
00:55:57,760 --> 00:56:01,280
Speaker 3: coming back. He practiced this morning. He said, they're incredibly optimistic.

1125
00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:03,439
Speaker 3: He's going to play and what does he do being

1126
00:56:03,480 --> 00:56:05,240
Speaker 3: back on the floor while it gets to move Jones

1127
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:07,680
Speaker 3: back into a six man role, which is where he thrives,

1128
00:56:07,719 --> 00:56:10,120
Speaker 3: the best six man in the entire country, spacing with

1129
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:12,680
Speaker 3: Mom Chilovich as well, all the things we've been talking

1130
00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:15,160
Speaker 3: about for really the last six weeks. It's just the

1131
00:56:15,160 --> 00:56:17,640
Speaker 3: pieces haven't all gone together at the same time. So

1132
00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:19,960
Speaker 3: I'm hopeful that we're buying as low as they're going

1133
00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:21,960
Speaker 3: to go for really the rest of the season. I

1134
00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 3: think if they were healthy and they had beaten Houston

1135
00:56:24,760 --> 00:56:27,200
Speaker 3: in that last game last week, this would probably be

1136
00:56:27,320 --> 00:56:29,560
Speaker 3: them minus you know, five or six in a spot

1137
00:56:29,600 --> 00:56:31,839
Speaker 3: like this. But instead, again, the Arizona team I still

1138
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:33,959
Speaker 3: have questions about. I still think that Love can shoot

1139
00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:35,400
Speaker 3: them out of any game, and it can you know,

1140
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 3: they can get snowed under in terms of another team

1141
00:56:38,080 --> 00:56:39,880
Speaker 3: going on a big run when they had their droughts.

1142
00:56:40,160 --> 00:56:42,359
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go ahead with the Clones at home. Yeah,

1143
00:56:42,400 --> 00:56:44,560
Speaker 1: I think this is the spot of the weekend. H

1144
00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:47,200
Speaker 1: Gilbert back. Also, he can handle the ball, I can

1145
00:56:47,239 --> 00:56:50,400
Speaker 1: play point and lips. He's dealing with that, you know

1146
00:56:50,440 --> 00:56:54,080
Speaker 1: that arm and hand injury risk like turns it over

1147
00:56:54,120 --> 00:56:55,640
Speaker 1: a bit too much. The turnam has been an issue

1148
00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 1: for I with State lately, but Arizona doesn't turn you over,

1149
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:03,320
Speaker 1: which I think is big in this particular matchup. I

1150
00:57:03,320 --> 00:57:05,440
Speaker 1: always State, you know has revenge from that game in

1151
00:57:05,480 --> 00:57:09,840
Speaker 1: Tucson where Love hit the sixty footer to force overtime.

1152
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:12,520
Speaker 1: Ilowystate should have won that game, and they were without

1153
00:57:12,600 --> 00:57:17,920
Speaker 1: Montchilovich and they shot sub thirty percent from three. Arizona

1154
00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:20,040
Speaker 1: cannot shoot on the road. They're shooting twenty percent from

1155
00:57:20,040 --> 00:57:22,479
Speaker 1: three on the road. They're also holding teams to thirty

1156
00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:24,320
Speaker 1: percent on the road, which I don't believe in because

1157
00:57:24,320 --> 00:57:26,840
Speaker 1: they give up a super high volume. Iowa State is

1158
00:57:27,320 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 1: money from three at home, close to thirty nine percent.

1159
00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:33,640
Speaker 1: They can also limit Arizona on the offensive glass. They

1160
00:57:33,640 --> 00:57:36,479
Speaker 1: can get buckets in the post, and they can limit

1161
00:57:36,520 --> 00:57:39,080
Speaker 1: them in transition as well, which is always important against Arizona.

1162
00:57:40,440 --> 00:57:43,360
Speaker 1: Iowa State has lost one game this year when fully

1163
00:57:43,400 --> 00:57:47,400
Speaker 1: healthy one at the buzzer on a neutral court to Auburn.

1164
00:57:48,240 --> 00:57:52,440
Speaker 1: That's it all the other when this when and Jones

1165
00:57:52,480 --> 00:57:56,120
Speaker 1: was dealing with anemonia the past two games, says walking pneumonia.

1166
00:57:56,760 --> 00:57:58,880
Speaker 1: Looks like he should be closer to full strength here.

1167
00:57:59,400 --> 00:58:01,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's a good spot to get

1168
00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:04,320
Speaker 1: Iowa State at home, major revenge in Hilton. I think

1169
00:58:04,320 --> 00:58:06,880
Speaker 1: it's a good matchup as well. Greg, what else you got?

1170
00:58:07,640 --> 00:58:09,400
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna move to the SEC.

1171
00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:12,760
Speaker 2: Did you guys ever play like old school Xbox where

1172
00:58:12,760 --> 00:58:14,360
Speaker 2: you could get the Red Ring of Death?

1173
00:58:14,960 --> 00:58:16,000
Speaker 1: Yes? Nice?

1174
00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:20,320
Speaker 2: Worst thing right? That's Florida. Like once a month they'll

1175
00:58:20,360 --> 00:58:23,240
Speaker 2: get the Red Ring of Death and then they'll just

1176
00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:25,520
Speaker 2: like take it in the shop, fix it, come out,

1177
00:58:25,560 --> 00:58:27,920
Speaker 2: and then they'll work perfectly fine for a month, and

1178
00:58:27,960 --> 00:58:29,440
Speaker 2: then all of a sudden, like they'll come out and

1179
00:58:29,440 --> 00:58:31,400
Speaker 2: have the Red Ring of Death again. They play a

1180
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:34,120
Speaker 2: bad half once a month, that's what happens. And when

1181
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:36,400
Speaker 2: they play a bad half, they immediately play a great

1182
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:40,040
Speaker 2: half and they respond and rattle off some really impressive performances.

1183
00:58:40,640 --> 00:58:43,200
Speaker 2: It happened in the first half against Georgia. They came

1184
00:58:43,240 --> 00:58:46,240
Speaker 2: back from down twenty four points and nearly won that game.

1185
00:58:46,320 --> 00:58:48,520
Speaker 2: It ultimately wasn't enough. But as soon as they lost

1186
00:58:48,520 --> 00:58:51,480
Speaker 2: that game, circle this immediately. I want every part of

1187
00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:54,120
Speaker 2: Florida in a bounce back spot. They beat Tennessee by

1188
00:58:54,240 --> 00:58:56,880
Speaker 2: thirty after losing to Kentucky earlier this year, beat Texas

1189
00:58:56,880 --> 00:58:59,840
Speaker 2: by twenty four after losing to Missouri. That's just been awesome.

1190
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:02,320
Speaker 2: One by double figures every time they're coming off a loss.

1191
00:59:02,560 --> 00:59:04,360
Speaker 2: They're playing Texas A and M and I know that's

1192
00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:06,880
Speaker 2: your boys, stuck. I like A and M two, but

1193
00:59:06,920 --> 00:59:09,320
Speaker 2: they just don't look the part right now. They're supposed to,

1194
00:59:09,880 --> 00:59:12,919
Speaker 2: you know, at least be a little better around the rim,

1195
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 2: otherwise if they're not hot from outside, Like, I just

1196
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:17,960
Speaker 2: don't know what you do with a team that's shooting

1197
00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:21,480
Speaker 2: forty percent from two point range at home against Vanderbilt.

1198
00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:24,840
Speaker 2: That killed them against Mississippi State too, thirty six percent

1199
00:59:24,880 --> 00:59:27,440
Speaker 2: from two point range. I don't trust them inside right now,

1200
00:59:27,480 --> 00:59:29,920
Speaker 2: Florida's front court is healthy. They got hand locked him

1201
00:59:29,960 --> 00:59:32,480
Speaker 2: back Condon and handlocked him coming off the bench.

1202
00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:34,240
Speaker 1: Like they're so deep in the front court.

1203
00:59:34,280 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna put up a fight, have an

1204
00:59:36,080 --> 00:59:37,760
Speaker 2: inspired performance here and.

1205
00:59:37,760 --> 00:59:40,200
Speaker 1: Honestly Cruiz to a blowout win at home. I don't

1206
00:59:40,240 --> 00:59:42,440
Speaker 1: have a strong feel on that game, so I'll trust

1207
00:59:42,480 --> 00:59:46,600
Speaker 1: you there. Coby's you got one more I do.

1208
00:59:46,720 --> 00:59:49,360
Speaker 3: I like Utah State and a coin flip at Colorado State.

1209
00:59:49,440 --> 00:59:51,320
Speaker 3: This is an important game for them because I think

1210
00:59:51,360 --> 00:59:53,720
Speaker 3: if they win, they basically wrap up there at large

1211
00:59:53,840 --> 00:59:56,280
Speaker 3: bid and it takes a little bit of pressure off

1212
00:59:56,320 --> 00:59:56,600
Speaker 3: of them.

1213
00:59:56,720 --> 00:59:58,440
Speaker 1: In the Mountain West Conference tournament.

1214
00:59:59,120 --> 01:00:01,439
Speaker 3: Colorado State just has faredwell when they played up against

1215
01:00:01,480 --> 01:00:02,440
Speaker 3: better teams than their schedule.

1216
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:03,680
Speaker 1: They're swept by New Mexico.

1217
01:00:03,880 --> 01:00:07,040
Speaker 3: They lost by eight at Utah State despite a monster

1218
01:00:07,120 --> 01:00:10,160
Speaker 3: game from Nicke Clifford. They also lost handily to VCU

1219
01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:13,240
Speaker 3: in Old miss And when you look at Utah State

1220
01:00:13,280 --> 01:00:14,960
Speaker 3: coming into this game, they're coming off of a loss.

1221
01:00:15,120 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 1: I think it's a bounced back spot.

1222
01:00:16,280 --> 01:00:18,560
Speaker 3: They couldn't make a foul shot against Boise, a Boise

1223
01:00:18,640 --> 01:00:21,560
Speaker 3: team shot forty percent from three at home. I still

1224
01:00:21,640 --> 01:00:24,040
Speaker 3: view this as also a bounce back spot for Martinez.

1225
01:00:24,320 --> 01:00:25,880
Speaker 3: Was one of his worst games of the whole season,

1226
01:00:26,480 --> 01:00:30,680
Speaker 3: and in terms of possessions and second chance opportunities, Colorado

1227
01:00:30,720 --> 01:00:33,720
Speaker 3: State cannot turn you over and they can't get offensive boards,

1228
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:36,960
Speaker 3: so they're so reliant on those jumpers falling. Utah State, meanwhile,

1229
01:00:36,960 --> 01:00:38,880
Speaker 3: continue over a lot. They were plus five in the

1230
01:00:38,920 --> 01:00:41,280
Speaker 3: turnover margin in their first meeting, and I mentioned they

1231
01:00:41,360 --> 01:00:43,760
Speaker 3: won by eight. They missed thirteen foul shots in that game.

1232
01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:46,240
Speaker 3: They're not a great foul shooting team, They're just a

1233
01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:49,640
Speaker 3: little bit below the national average, but till miss thirteen

1234
01:00:50,120 --> 01:00:53,360
Speaker 3: is just ridiculous. So I think there's a higher likelihood

1235
01:00:53,440 --> 01:00:56,120
Speaker 3: of them winning by north of two possessions than them

1236
01:00:56,200 --> 01:00:58,440
Speaker 3: necessarily losing this game. Out right, I think Utah State

1237
01:00:58,720 --> 01:01:02,080
Speaker 3: has continually been slight from a national perspective, and I

1238
01:01:02,160 --> 01:01:04,680
Speaker 3: understand that losing to New Mexico in those two games,

1239
01:01:04,760 --> 01:01:07,360
Speaker 3: they kind of took the luster off of this first year,

1240
01:01:07,520 --> 01:01:09,680
Speaker 3: this first season in logan for the new coaching staff.

1241
01:01:09,680 --> 01:01:11,959
Speaker 1: But I still really like this team. I think they're

1242
01:01:11,960 --> 01:01:13,560
Speaker 1: better than Colorado.

1243
01:01:13,040 --> 01:01:16,280
Speaker 3: State, and like I said, usually in a spotlight this

1244
01:01:16,400 --> 01:01:18,640
Speaker 3: Clifford can just elevate them and just say I'm going

1245
01:01:18,680 --> 01:01:20,640
Speaker 3: to play hero ball and go for twenty five and ten.

1246
01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:23,040
Speaker 3: He already did that and it wasn't enough in round one.

1247
01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:24,960
Speaker 3: Round two I think also goes to the Eggies.

1248
01:01:25,400 --> 01:01:27,440
Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to go. I'm going to go

1249
01:01:27,480 --> 01:01:31,200
Speaker 1: to the SEC. Give me South Carolina at home against Arkansas.

1250
01:01:31,320 --> 01:01:35,080
Speaker 1: South Carolina, I think South Calta beats Arkansas on Saturday.

1251
01:01:35,560 --> 01:01:39,360
Speaker 1: Number one. I think no, THEOO matters. THEOO, I think

1252
01:01:39,440 --> 01:01:43,160
Speaker 1: is their best player right now, They're most important when

1253
01:01:43,200 --> 01:01:46,240
Speaker 1: you just look at his overall impact. Yes, they were

1254
01:01:46,240 --> 01:01:49,240
Speaker 1: able to beat Texas at home, a reeling Texas team,

1255
01:01:50,560 --> 01:01:54,400
Speaker 1: but it took overtime, and it took Arkansas shooting fifty

1256
01:01:54,440 --> 01:01:57,200
Speaker 1: two from three. It's not gonna happen. This is a

1257
01:01:57,320 --> 01:02:01,280
Speaker 1: terrible shooting team and it's a team that's super thin

1258
01:02:01,400 --> 01:02:04,640
Speaker 1: rotation right now. They had a huge win over Missouri,

1259
01:02:04,960 --> 01:02:09,000
Speaker 1: go to overtime against Texas. Big Z couldn't even get

1260
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:11,720
Speaker 1: in the game late because of his back. It's SPADs, Like,

1261
01:02:12,720 --> 01:02:15,840
Speaker 1: how hell this team is beat up right now? South

1262
01:02:15,880 --> 01:02:20,360
Speaker 1: Carolina for all their warts is they dig. They're like

1263
01:02:20,400 --> 01:02:22,640
Speaker 1: they just follow this pattern. They get trucked on the

1264
01:02:22,720 --> 01:02:25,240
Speaker 1: road and then they come back home and they play

1265
01:02:25,280 --> 01:02:28,480
Speaker 1: really well. They lost. I mean you go back to

1266
01:02:28,880 --> 01:02:32,680
Speaker 1: they lost to Auburn by three at home. They lost

1267
01:02:32,680 --> 01:02:34,760
Speaker 1: to Florida at the Buzzer by one in the game

1268
01:02:34,760 --> 01:02:37,200
Speaker 1: that they should have won. They lost the Mississippi State

1269
01:02:37,200 --> 01:02:39,880
Speaker 1: in overtime at home. They lost a textas A and

1270
01:02:39,960 --> 01:02:42,840
Speaker 1: M by four at home. Mississippi's Mississippi Ole miss they

1271
01:02:42,960 --> 01:02:45,360
Speaker 1: lost by four at home. They blow out Texas at home.

1272
01:02:45,600 --> 01:02:47,160
Speaker 1: This team is right. They could easily have four or

1273
01:02:47,200 --> 01:02:50,880
Speaker 1: five wins at home. Got blown out at Missouri. All

1274
01:02:50,920 --> 01:02:54,400
Speaker 1: the pressures on Arkansas here. I worry about South Kind's

1275
01:02:54,400 --> 01:02:56,680
Speaker 1: transitioning a little bit, but give me South Carolina to

1276
01:02:56,760 --> 01:02:59,919
Speaker 1: take down Arkansas. Someone's eventually gonna make a three again

1277
01:03:00,120 --> 01:03:03,400
Speaker 1: Arkansas too. Also look at Wyoming against San Diego State

1278
01:03:04,160 --> 01:03:06,440
Speaker 1: home finale for the Popes. San Diego State off a

1279
01:03:06,480 --> 01:03:08,920
Speaker 1: huge win over in New Mexico. They still don't have

1280
01:03:08,920 --> 01:03:12,440
Speaker 1: their best room protector in Guath, who's hurt. Pope's arguably

1281
01:03:12,440 --> 01:03:14,000
Speaker 1: should have won the first game on the road. You

1282
01:03:14,080 --> 01:03:15,760
Speaker 1: have to shoot threes to beat San Diego State, which

1283
01:03:15,760 --> 01:03:18,600
Speaker 1: Wyoming certainly can do. That's their strength. They can also

1284
01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:21,880
Speaker 1: keep San Diego State off the offensive glass turnovers are worried,

1285
01:03:21,920 --> 01:03:24,400
Speaker 1: but this should be low scoring game points at a premium,

1286
01:03:24,640 --> 01:03:27,720
Speaker 1: I think they'll be valued with Wyoming. San Diego State

1287
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:31,560
Speaker 1: is just not impressed me over the past two months,

1288
01:03:31,600 --> 01:03:33,680
Speaker 1: despite that win over New Mexico and the last one

1289
01:03:33,680 --> 01:03:35,600
Speaker 1: i'll throw out. I think we might get some value

1290
01:03:35,640 --> 01:03:38,680
Speaker 1: with Cincy against Houston. I mean, how Houston's been so

1291
01:03:38,840 --> 01:03:41,720
Speaker 1: lucky just this past weekend. Maybe it's a bit of

1292
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:45,800
Speaker 1: a letdown, but they've played so many teams with injuries,

1293
01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:49,120
Speaker 1: so I think that they're just a little overvalued in

1294
01:03:49,160 --> 01:03:52,520
Speaker 1: the metrics department. Since he's playing its best offensive the

1295
01:03:52,560 --> 01:03:57,480
Speaker 1: season top twenty five over the past month. Houston's also shooting.

1296
01:03:57,560 --> 01:03:59,120
Speaker 1: I know they're really good shooting team, but they're forty

1297
01:03:59,160 --> 01:04:01,920
Speaker 1: three percent from three in the month of February. Maybe

1298
01:04:01,920 --> 01:04:04,440
Speaker 1: they get some regression there. Their two point offense is

1299
01:04:04,480 --> 01:04:07,840
Speaker 1: still shaky. I get that the offensive boards could be

1300
01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:09,880
Speaker 1: a problem for since this would be slow paced game

1301
01:04:10,200 --> 01:04:12,400
Speaker 1: points to a premium. Since he does take care of

1302
01:04:12,440 --> 01:04:15,280
Speaker 1: the ball, they multiple ball anders. It's important against Houston,

1303
01:04:16,080 --> 01:04:18,040
Speaker 1: I think since he puts up a fight here, so

1304
01:04:18,120 --> 01:04:21,440
Speaker 1: give me the Bearcats and then we'll end it with

1305
01:04:22,560 --> 01:04:27,280
Speaker 1: a game on Sunday that I've circle too. I'm hoping

1306
01:04:28,600 --> 01:04:33,640
Speaker 1: that Michigan finally can blow out a team tonight. I can't.

1307
01:04:34,520 --> 01:04:38,840
Speaker 1: I cannot have Harper and Bailey go in there and

1308
01:04:38,880 --> 01:04:41,959
Speaker 1: beat them, which would not be great for the spot

1309
01:04:41,960 --> 01:04:47,400
Speaker 1: because Greg likes Illinois on Sunday. You got me.

1310
01:04:47,880 --> 01:04:50,880
Speaker 2: I'm contagious now, stuck. It's horrible. I'm not proud, but

1311
01:04:50,920 --> 01:04:51,400
Speaker 2: here we are.

1312
01:04:51,480 --> 01:04:51,760
Speaker 1: Listen.

1313
01:04:51,800 --> 01:04:54,080
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be in the building for this game on Sunday.

1314
01:04:54,400 --> 01:04:57,520
Speaker 2: And I've been excited as a Michigan basketball fan all

1315
01:04:57,640 --> 01:05:02,160
Speaker 2: year because Illinois beaten Michigan nineteen straight times and Juwan

1316
01:05:02,200 --> 01:05:04,960
Speaker 2: Howard's gone, the bad Man's gone, and I think Michigan's

1317
01:05:04,960 --> 01:05:06,120
Speaker 2: a better basketball team.

1318
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:08,840
Speaker 1: Guess what. I hate this. I hate this spot for

1319
01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:10,640
Speaker 1: a bunch of reasons.

1320
01:05:10,960 --> 01:05:14,320
Speaker 2: Michigan's trying to play for a conference title, but they've

1321
01:05:14,360 --> 01:05:18,000
Speaker 2: been playing out of their minds in terms of how

1322
01:05:18,000 --> 01:05:20,360
Speaker 2: they're actually playing to the record. I mean, they are

1323
01:05:20,400 --> 01:05:23,800
Speaker 2: tied for first in a conference that since the middle

1324
01:05:23,840 --> 01:05:27,080
Speaker 2: of January. Torvik says they're the tenth best team in

1325
01:05:27,120 --> 01:05:31,120
Speaker 2: an eighteen team league. They're worse than Indiana and Northwestern

1326
01:05:31,440 --> 01:05:34,440
Speaker 2: in their last ten games's.

1327
01:05:33,520 --> 01:05:35,120
Speaker 1: And then worse than Illinois too.

1328
01:05:35,480 --> 01:05:37,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're worse than Illinois, and everybody's out on the

1329
01:05:37,840 --> 01:05:42,440
Speaker 2: Alini but supposedly loving Michigan. Look, I gotta put my

1330
01:05:42,560 --> 01:05:45,040
Speaker 2: money in a y spot here. It's gonna come crashing

1331
01:05:45,080 --> 01:05:47,840
Speaker 2: down for Michigan. You can cut the shooting numbers up

1332
01:05:47,840 --> 01:05:51,800
Speaker 2: to Michigan's been as bad at shooting the basketball as Illinois.

1333
01:05:51,840 --> 01:05:55,120
Speaker 2: Since January eighteenth, both these teams are shooting twenty eight

1334
01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:58,880
Speaker 2: percent from three. I don't really trust the fix for

1335
01:05:58,960 --> 01:06:01,360
Speaker 2: Michigan because ronniey Gale and Rubin Jones are not the

1336
01:06:01,400 --> 01:06:02,960
Speaker 2: guys that are going to fix this. They have no

1337
01:06:03,040 --> 01:06:05,240
Speaker 2: depth off the bench. Try Donaldson looks like a shell

1338
01:06:05,240 --> 01:06:07,360
Speaker 2: of himself. Illinois is one of the only teams in

1339
01:06:07,360 --> 01:06:10,120
Speaker 2: the country that is big enough to actually hang with

1340
01:06:10,240 --> 01:06:13,280
Speaker 2: Michigan down low. They have huge positional size. They're good

1341
01:06:13,280 --> 01:06:16,480
Speaker 2: from two point percentage offense and defense. I think the

1342
01:06:16,480 --> 01:06:19,480
Speaker 2: big question for me is what is benham rick House's role.

1343
01:06:19,720 --> 01:06:22,680
Speaker 2: That's the reason I spent all of December and January

1344
01:06:22,680 --> 01:06:24,400
Speaker 2: thinking it's a great matchup for Michigan.

1345
01:06:24,600 --> 01:06:26,000
Speaker 1: Well, guess what against Iowa.

1346
01:06:26,160 --> 01:06:29,200
Speaker 2: Brad Underwood finally pushed him to the bench, threw him

1347
01:06:29,200 --> 01:06:32,240
Speaker 2: in a fourteen minute role even without Morez Johnson available.

1348
01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:35,040
Speaker 2: He just went all in on Will Riley, Who's just better.

1349
01:06:35,440 --> 01:06:38,320
Speaker 2: He's all around better. For what Illinois is trying to

1350
01:06:38,320 --> 01:06:40,280
Speaker 2: do on both sides of the ball than trying to

1351
01:06:40,320 --> 01:06:43,439
Speaker 2: force benjam Rick House into this volume shooting three point role.

1352
01:06:43,840 --> 01:06:46,200
Speaker 1: So I white out of the doghouse too.

1353
01:06:46,480 --> 01:06:50,120
Speaker 2: Helps right the personnel tweaks, I think are finally in

1354
01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:53,320
Speaker 2: the right spot. I think they're finally healthy, and I

1355
01:06:53,360 --> 01:06:56,880
Speaker 2: think it's finally going to trend upward for Illinois if

1356
01:06:56,880 --> 01:06:58,840
Speaker 2: we get the team we saw at Iowa. I think

1357
01:06:58,880 --> 01:07:01,600
Speaker 2: they are just definitively a better team than what Michigan

1358
01:07:01,600 --> 01:07:03,920
Speaker 2: has been for the last month. So give me the alone.

1359
01:07:04,080 --> 01:07:07,320
Speaker 2: It hurts my heart stuck, but uh, maybe you pass

1360
01:07:07,400 --> 01:07:08,840
Speaker 2: this on to me and I get to blame you.

1361
01:07:09,160 --> 01:07:11,959
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, happily take the blame high like this spot too,

1362
01:07:13,000 --> 01:07:15,680
Speaker 1: the like if Illinoid gets helped, like Illinois is going

1363
01:07:15,720 --> 01:07:20,120
Speaker 1: to be If Illinois an eight seed, that sucks for

1364
01:07:20,160 --> 01:07:23,240
Speaker 1: the one. If they get Johnson back, and like they

1365
01:07:23,280 --> 01:07:27,120
Speaker 1: get healthy because Illinois basically, what if they were healthy

1366
01:07:27,120 --> 01:07:28,919
Speaker 1: all year, they probably would have been a three or four.

1367
01:07:31,440 --> 01:07:36,600
Speaker 1: And they have this looming shooting regression on both ends

1368
01:07:37,040 --> 01:07:39,040
Speaker 1: where they'll just hit they they're like due to hit

1369
01:07:39,120 --> 01:07:40,760
Speaker 1: like thirty five to forty percent for a couple games

1370
01:07:40,800 --> 01:07:43,800
Speaker 1: in a row and people over the last like two

1371
01:07:43,840 --> 01:07:46,520
Speaker 1: much teams are shooting like forty four percent from three

1372
01:07:46,920 --> 01:07:49,520
Speaker 1: against Illinois. It's like there's gonna be a gamer. There's

1373
01:07:49,520 --> 01:07:53,200
Speaker 1: gonna be like a three game stretch where Illinois just

1374
01:07:53,200 --> 01:07:56,760
Speaker 1: gets ridiculous three point shooting. Luck for like my our

1375
01:07:56,840 --> 01:07:59,560
Speaker 1: futures final four. I hope that happens like the first

1376
01:07:59,600 --> 01:08:02,880
Speaker 1: starting the first day of the tournament. Although Sunday if

1377
01:08:02,880 --> 01:08:05,960
Speaker 1: I'm somebody betting on Illinois, but let's end it there

1378
01:08:06,520 --> 01:08:10,120
Speaker 1: Greg touting Illinois. That'll do it for us. Thanks to

1379
01:08:10,520 --> 01:08:13,840
Speaker 1: Greg and Mike for joining me. Thanks to Tanner, Thanks

1380
01:08:13,840 --> 01:08:16,040
Speaker 1: our producer David on the back end, most boily, thanks

1381
01:08:16,080 --> 01:08:18,120
Speaker 1: to all of you for tuning in live show Saturday ten,

1382
01:08:18,120 --> 01:08:20,599
Speaker 1: thir Day and Eastern and then the start of many

1383
01:08:20,680 --> 01:08:23,200
Speaker 1: conference term previews will begin with a three man weave

1384
01:08:23,240 --> 01:08:25,519
Speaker 1: on Sunday that'll be out Monday morning, and then there's

1385
01:08:25,520 --> 01:08:27,720
Speaker 1: gonna be nine or ten episodes to follow over the

1386
01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:31,040
Speaker 1: two weeks to come. It's the best time of the year.

1387
01:08:31,640 --> 01:08:34,400
Speaker 1: Enjoy good luck on all of your wagers, and we'll

1388
01:08:34,400 --> 01:08:48,240
Speaker 1: see you this weekend. Cheers.

1389
01:08:49,240 --> 01:08:53,760
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1390
01:08:53,800 --> 01:08:56,560
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is

1391
01:08:56,600 --> 01:08:59,760
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler