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Speaker 1: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: Spreading the court. Ten seconds of mating, they.

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Speaker 1: Just go throwing off of the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 3: It's down a seventh seconds.

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Speaker 2: It's the croup for the wind. God pick up a miracle.

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Speaker 3: I it's up the water. Hit that one from the

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Speaker 3: parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Shuck it all.

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Speaker 3: In college basketball, it's not the size on the dog

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Speaker 3: in the fight, it's the size of the fight in

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Speaker 3: the dog. Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus podcast

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Speaker 3: presented by Nobody Right now, ho hoo. Folks out there,

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Speaker 3: do you want a sponsor? Let us know. I am

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Speaker 3: your host today, Jim Root. We're talking college basketball and

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Speaker 3: joined by the rest of the three man Weave crew,

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Speaker 3: Kimcewan and Matt Cox. Guys, we are still in the

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Speaker 3: era or the weak stage of COVID crippling sport and

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Speaker 3: taking out a lot of games, but we are still

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Speaker 3: getting some games and we are more than willing to

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Speaker 3: talk about them. We give a ton of previews on

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Speaker 3: this episode. Got the usual segments coming up, of course,

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Speaker 3: let off by the live dog of the week. But

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Speaker 3: kind Matt, anything you want to interject on before we

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Speaker 3: hop right into this lovely outline.

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Speaker 1: We have prepared, Jim, I'm ready to grip it and

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Speaker 1: rip it.

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Speaker 2: Man. I love talking college shoots. This is my passion,

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Speaker 2: my dream.

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Speaker 3: So you used to say that about auditing in the

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Speaker 3: accounting world, and it was dripping with sarcasm, but.

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Speaker 1: Now it's actually not this time.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, there's there's sincerity to it. It's nice to hear, Matt.

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Speaker 2: You get to go, well, Kai's just the kind of guy.

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Speaker 2: Whatever he puts his mind to, he's going to excel at.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 2: It's like whenever you hear that am doot about Like

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Speaker 2: Michael Jordan he wanted to be an architect. He would

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Speaker 2: have been the best architect ever. Like, that's kind of

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Speaker 2: how you feel about Kai. With whatever he's doing in

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Speaker 2: whatever chapter of his life he is. There's I think

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Speaker 2: it's an honor of privileged to join to have him

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Speaker 2: join this program on a weekly basis him. As for myself,

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Speaker 2: I'm okay, just average. Now.

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Speaker 3: I like to go on record that I just don't

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Speaker 3: feel that way about Kai. So I'd like to knock

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Speaker 3: down a peger two.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So feel free to settle somewhere in the middle

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Speaker 2: between my glowing review and Jim's apathetic.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, apathetic that's that's right, but no where. We're excited

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Speaker 3: to be here and we are going to get right

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Speaker 3: into our favorite section of the week. That is, of course,

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Speaker 3: the live dog of the week. Bark, Bark, Where's mine?

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Speaker 1: O dog?

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Speaker 2: Where is mine?

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Speaker 1: Dog?

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Speaker 3: All right, guys, last week quick recap. Four of the

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Speaker 3: I think like five of the six games we discussed

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Speaker 3: got postponed. Dayton, Rhode Island, James Madison, Towson, South Alabama,

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Speaker 3: Texas State, Idaho, Portland State, gone gone, gone, gone gone.

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Speaker 3: But Gardner, Webb and Georgia played, and Kay, you know

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Speaker 3: who won? That would be your web, the g web

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Speaker 3: running bulldogs. Turns out, if it's bulldog, Ar's bulldog, the

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Speaker 3: one that's running is greater than it.

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Speaker 2: Looks like five uggas on the floor playing defense at

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Speaker 2: about the pace of a true bulldog. That was kind

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Speaker 2: of how I saw it, Jim.

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Speaker 3: That is well done, Matthew. They were, They were dismal.

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Speaker 3: They continue to be dismal in the sec or starts

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Speaker 3: in league play. But yeah, where Tommy Krane does not

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Speaker 3: have it moving in the right direction. All right, guys,

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Speaker 3: let's start the discussion on this week again. We'll go

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Speaker 3: in roughly chronological order. We will cross our fingers that

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Speaker 3: these games will actually be played and we will hopefully

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Speaker 3: be correct on some of our forecasts. The first one

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Speaker 3: I wanted to start off with this is on Wednesday,

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Speaker 3: So tonight when you're listening to this, hopefully if you're

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Speaker 3: prompt and you're listening, this is Valpo headed to Northern Iowa.

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Speaker 3: Man Valpo has been a different team with Kobe King guys.

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Speaker 3: He's been a new scoring element on the wing. But

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Speaker 3: the concern here is that Thomas Kiffire this last game

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Speaker 3: for the Beacons no longer the Crusaders, and Matt Austin Fife,

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Speaker 3: though was not really himself, barely played for Northern Iowa,

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Speaker 3: so maybe that negates the paint advantage. Do we think

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Speaker 3: the Beacons have a chance on the road.

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Speaker 2: Yes, we do. Northern Iowa a team that we I

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Speaker 2: think are coming around on after some roster issues to

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Speaker 2: start this season. I think they're starting to show signs

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Speaker 2: of being one of the perennial favorites in the Valley KAI.

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Speaker 2: But they're a high variance team, and you want to

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Speaker 2: attack hi variance teams as favorites in these live dog situations,

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Speaker 2: and by that I mean outcomes can range from really

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Speaker 2: good to really bad, and it is all rooted in

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Speaker 2: their defense, which has been a little shaky, to put

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Speaker 2: it kindly, and you get a game where you might

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Speaker 2: have the best player on the floor. I think we

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Speaker 2: can all three AJ Green's better than Kobe King to

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Speaker 2: Kobe King's capable of out playing AJ Green in any

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Speaker 2: given day, on any given day. And yeah, Jim, the

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Speaker 2: ones you wrote down, this is the one I'm officially endorsing.

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Speaker 2: I know we're trying to be more draw line in

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Speaker 2: the sand in terms of ones we actually are going

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Speaker 2: to play versus one. We're just sort of like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: that sounds right, man, Like this is what I'm actually

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Speaker 2: probably going right right.

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Speaker 3: I just want to be clear, you know, we don't

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Speaker 3: want to discuss twelve games and brag about it all

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Speaker 3: twelve or something. We want to be very set on

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Speaker 3: which ones we are truly endorsing. Ky, Do you have

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Speaker 3: the same perspective here?

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Speaker 1: You know, I don't think they're going to win out right,

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Speaker 1: but I think they probably cover the spread. If Thomas

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Speaker 1: Kithy is in the lineup, he's obviously the major wnch

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Speaker 1: pin holding this thought together. I think I think he

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Speaker 1: was out. You guys probably wouldn't take Valpo in this

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Speaker 1: situation out right. Valpo played at You and I twice

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Speaker 1: last year. They actually won one of those games, so

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Speaker 1: they're capable. That was the worst Lalpo team, probably the

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Speaker 1: worst You and I team as well without aj Greenen lineup.

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Speaker 1: I liked them as a dog gym I'm not sold

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Speaker 1: on the money line, all right.

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Speaker 3: I want to build off Matt's key point here. I

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Speaker 3: think it was that this is high high variance and

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Speaker 3: is because of the amount of threes that happened in

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Speaker 3: a Northern Iowa game. They're forty eighth in the country

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Speaker 3: and the most threes taken, and they give up a bajillion,

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Speaker 3: three hundred and fifty fourth in defensive three point attempt rate.

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Speaker 3: They give up a ton, so you're really subject to

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Speaker 3: shooting luck. And in a game that's not going to

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Speaker 3: be super up tempo, it really does come down to

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Speaker 3: who's knocking down shots. And if Valpo's just a little

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Speaker 3: bit hotter than Northern Iowa, they can definitely win this

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Speaker 3: one out right. So, like Matt, I am also officially

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Speaker 3: endorsing the Beacons on the Road at Northern Iowa that

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Speaker 3: is a Wednesday night game. Let's move on to the

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Speaker 3: next one I have written down. We will also, of

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Speaker 3: course add any additional ones that Kai and Matt you know,

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Speaker 3: have tickled their fancy as they've prepared for this episode.

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Speaker 3: But this is Friday night, guys in the mass Metro

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Speaker 3: Atlantic Marist headed on the road to Fairfield, Madam, starting

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Speaker 3: with you again because you wrote our mac preview on

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Speaker 3: three man weed dot com and yes, threw Fairfield into

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Speaker 3: the dumpster, had them in the last place, and they've

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Speaker 3: been proven us wrong a little bit this year. But

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Speaker 3: Marist has been better than expected as well. They have

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Speaker 3: a freshman point guard in Jiao Etuca that has become

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Speaker 3: a shining star and has raised the ceiling of that team.

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Speaker 3: So do you think the Red Foxes can win.

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Speaker 2: On the road? Yes, I do. I'm trying to find

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Speaker 2: the official fanboard backlash that I was given by the

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Speaker 2: Fairfield native there they just completely eleventh really, Oh, I

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Speaker 2: can't wait till Jay Young has this on the bulletin

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Speaker 2: board from Asier. The guys, I'm like, I'm sure right,

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Speaker 2: there's not like a three page framed preview section on

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Speaker 2: the Fairfield Like it's a notre Dame play like a champion.

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Speaker 2: They walk out of the tunnel, they slapp preview fairfoel

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Speaker 2: it's good, guys, E marge idn't think would emerge.

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Speaker 1: I don't.

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Speaker 2: I have to concede defeat when the signs are there,

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Speaker 2: and so far they are. But I like Maris man.

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Speaker 2: I think these two teams are basically the same in

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Speaker 2: terms of competence. I don't think Fairfield, especially when they're

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Speaker 2: hosting Maris, deserves like four points per home. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I like the Red Fox. This is Jim, not an

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Speaker 2: official one for me, But I do think you have

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Speaker 2: the right angle here. I think you're you're stepping out

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Speaker 2: something good.

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Speaker 3: I do like Marius.

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Speaker 1: Here the conference records of these two teams, so Fairfield's

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Speaker 1: two and zero in the MAC Marris is one and two.

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Speaker 1: But that's highly misleading. Right, They've played Iona twice, They've

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Speaker 1: played hands down the best team in the league two

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Speaker 1: times already, and they were competitive both games. They covered

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Speaker 1: both games against those teams.

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Speaker 3: Should have won both like they had a beat kind

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Speaker 3: of melted late.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I am a believer in this team. I'm a

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Speaker 1: big John Dunn guy, fantastic coach. I think he's got

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Speaker 1: the pieces finally to actually make noise in this conference.

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Speaker 1: So I do like the mirrors a little moneyline special

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Speaker 1: gym Yeah Maris, why not Smiths's alma mater.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's only five on Kempum kind of what we're

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Speaker 3: using as a proxy for spreads right now. So it's

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Speaker 3: not gonna be a mega juicy money line. But everything

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Speaker 3: with Maris has been okay. They're great defensively, but how

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Speaker 3: highs the offensive ceiling? This little froshie at TUCA has

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Speaker 3: been so good he's raised it for them. I think

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Speaker 3: that gives them some value here on the road. All right,

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Speaker 3: Next up, head into Saturday, got Nevada head into Vajas

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Speaker 3: take on San Diego State. Wolfpack have been much better

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Speaker 3: without aj Brahma in the lineup. You've got a duo

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Speaker 3: in the backcourt Kai and Sherfield and Cambridge that can

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Speaker 3: really go off in any moment. San Diego State has

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Speaker 3: some roster questions too. Maybe they get Butler and Trey

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Speaker 3: Pullian back for this one from injury and illness, respectively,

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Speaker 3: but they could be rusty and there's a chance you

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Speaker 3: have the best two guards on the floor with this

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Speaker 3: Nevada team. So am I onto something here? Is this

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Speaker 3: something where the show and the home court advantage is

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Speaker 3: going to assert its dominance.

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Speaker 1: I think you're kind of onto something here. Pullium Butler

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Speaker 1: obviously important. They didn't need him against UNLB. That was

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Speaker 1: an impressive win on the road against the Rebels, but

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Speaker 1: against Nevada, who I count as a competent team. And yes,

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Speaker 1: you're correct, they've played a lot better since Brahma has left.

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Speaker 2: The team.

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Speaker 1: Chemistry appears too much better. Don't worry about the Kansas thing.

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Speaker 1: Everyone is going to lose big to Kansas in that situation,

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Speaker 1: except George Mason. I guess kudos to them. A little

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Speaker 1: extra angle there with Kim English as coach there. Do

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Speaker 1: you think there's a possibly Nevada wins this game if

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Speaker 1: Pulliam and Butler are out, Matthew, I'm probably not taking

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Speaker 1: it as the money line. I respect via Has too

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Speaker 1: much for that. But it's a good idea by Jim.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I usually respect Vehas. I can't imagine that event.

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Speaker 2: He's going to be packed to the brim just given

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Speaker 2: what's happening in the outside world outside of our basketball cocoons.

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Speaker 2: I also just don't love Santo State on offense at

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Speaker 2: all right now. They are very one dimensional. Like Matt Bradley.

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Speaker 2: I know he's got big ol' brownie shoulders and he

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Speaker 2: can shoulder press five hundred ten reps each, but I

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Speaker 2: mean he's got a lot on his shoulders when it

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Speaker 2: comes to carrying this offense right now, especially without Butler

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Speaker 2: and Pulliam. And yeah, you mentioned the Packer back on

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Speaker 2: track man Steve alpern Knows's conference. I think this line

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Speaker 2: has gotten. It seems a little high just given the

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Speaker 2: Kempom projection. It doesn't quite reflect I think the current

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Speaker 2: form both teams are in. I like the pack a

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Speaker 2: lot of gam This is my second official play within

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Speaker 2: your initial group of options.

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Speaker 3: Interesting, I'm actually not going to endorse this one. I'm

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Speaker 3: with Mount Valpo and Maris, but I'm not going to

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Speaker 3: fully endorse Nevada here. I'm not quite on board. I

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Speaker 3: do like Nevada a lot. I think there's upside here

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Speaker 3: and there's variants in this game if the Vaticans eat

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Speaker 3: it up. But I'm just too scared of as Tex

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Speaker 3: at home and the potential advantage that that offers them.

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Speaker 3: The fourth one that I have before we move into

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Speaker 3: some longer shots some Matt and Kaye's favorites, Virginia heading

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Speaker 3: on the road to North Carolina. Now, Virginia's been bad,

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Speaker 3: Let's be very clear and upfront about that. North Carolina

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Speaker 3: as a seven point favorite on Ken Palm. But what's

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Speaker 3: intriguing to me, guys, is that Tony Bennett has owned

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Speaker 3: North Carolina. And of course that was Roy Williams, not

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Speaker 3: Hubert Davis. But he is a disciple of the Roy

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Speaker 3: Williams coaching tree. Before Roy retired, Virginia had won and

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Speaker 3: covered seven straight games. They were an underdog in three

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Speaker 3: of those, and he was fourteen and five against the

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Speaker 3: spread against Roy in the nineteen meetings that they had

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Speaker 3: while they were both at Virginia and UNC, respectively. So, Matt,

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Speaker 3: do we think that Tony Bennett continues that dominance or

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Speaker 3: is the Hubert era enough of a break free from

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Speaker 3: the history here?

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Speaker 2: Not a lot to like about what Virginia has done

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Speaker 2: on the hardwood. I do think they're the right side

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Speaker 2: here from an ATS perspective. I'm not going to take

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Speaker 2: money line, but kay you and Ce until they prove

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Speaker 2: they can defend consistently, not in night out, it's tough

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Speaker 2: to trust them as a heavy hitter with them the ACC,

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Speaker 2: although in that conference it's basically like no one wants

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Speaker 2: to take it to Duke and then there's stratuspheres between

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Speaker 2: Duke and whoever the second best team is if you're

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Speaker 2: betting dogs in this conference in general, I think it

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Speaker 2: could be a good tragy this year, just for betting

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Speaker 2: the ACC in a Utchell. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Leading Virginia on an ATS standpoint, I don't think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna get it done on the money line. Worth noting,

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Speaker 1: this is the best un C outside shooting team since

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Speaker 1: two thousand and five. They don't have the full season

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Speaker 1: quite Yeah, but they're shooting forty percent from deep. I

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Speaker 1: kind of buy that. But I also think you and

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Speaker 1: c has this variance to them. These guards are still

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Speaker 1: pretty radic. Even Caleb Love's playing better as well as Walton.

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Speaker 1: They can miss a lot of shots and they will

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Speaker 1: take a lot of shots. So if Virginia's back line

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Speaker 1: is forced them to be jump shooters like they usually

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Speaker 1: do and they're missing shots, Virginia could definitely sneak in

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Speaker 1: their experienced coach. Obviously, Tony Bennett going to have them

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Speaker 1: ready to play this game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I was really impressed in North Carolina. In their

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Speaker 3: game at Boston College, they looked really crisp offensively moving

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Speaker 3: the ball. They looked smart defensively with their rotations and

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Speaker 3: the way they were kind of helping the helper and

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Speaker 3: getting into gaps. Not really something we'd seen from them

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Speaker 3: early in the season, but that was Boston College. And

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Speaker 3: in this game they're going to be forced to play

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Speaker 3: in the half court. Virginia will grind the tempo against anybody,

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Speaker 3: and as Kai mentioned, turn them in the jump shooters,

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Speaker 3: and if those aren't falling, then you get a little

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Speaker 3: bit of variance here. So I'm tempted by this one,

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Speaker 3: but I'm not gonna officially take it either. I just

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Speaker 3: think Carolina is on the path to asserting themselves as

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Speaker 3: that number two team in the ACC. Let's go to

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Speaker 3: the longer shots here, fellas, some of the little bit

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Speaker 3: larger spreads, or even just any games that Kaile Matter

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Speaker 3: are intrigued by. I'm mad I put this one on

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Speaker 3: here for you because you went to bat for the

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Speaker 3: Vandals last week and they didn't get to play. But

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Speaker 3: now Idaho is going to be something around a ten

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Speaker 3: point dog at home against Montana State. Do you endorse

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Speaker 3: your vandals.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I've watched Montana State play twice convincing.

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Speaker 2: They are categorically bigger, stronger, tougher, more physical, and usually

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Speaker 2: when you're looking to back a team from a dog perspective,

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Speaker 2: especially as a money line, I don't like that my

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Speaker 2: opponent has easy avenue to point. And I think Montana

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Speaker 2: State can score at will if they want to, and

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Speaker 2: they set their minds of pounding it inside, getting on

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Speaker 2: the glass, second third shot opportunities. But hey, Idaho and

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Speaker 2: Mikey Dickson, they can go fourteen or thirty from three

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Speaker 2: and anything can happen. That's kind of why I think

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Speaker 2: Idaho general is probably a good money line dog team

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Speaker 2: to circle throughout the conference. Plant They're gonna have some stinkers,

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Speaker 2: for sure, but they certainly have some upside.

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Speaker 1: I can't get behind them.

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Speaker 2: I know they're not good. Saying they're good. I know

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Speaker 2: they're not good. I'm not saying they're good. It's like

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Speaker 2: it's a bad team, but they can play well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I think Montana State's just like super well coached.

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Speaker 3: I think at some point Danny Sprinkle is going to

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Speaker 3: be stepping up the coaching ranks and too like the

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Speaker 3: Mountain West and eventually maybe even Power Conference type stuff.

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Speaker 3: He rocks, so I'm staying away from that. That was

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Speaker 3: just a Matt treat to see if he wanted to

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Speaker 3: really back his vandals. All right, Next one, I got

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Speaker 3: Baylor heading on the road to TCU, number one team

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Speaker 3: in the country, heading to Fort Worth. Kind of the

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Speaker 3: horny Frogs have enough juice to get it done here.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna be their first game since December twenty first,

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Speaker 3: So this might have been just a little bit too

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Speaker 3: much wishful thinking.

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Speaker 1: Wishful thinking, Jim, I am the king wishful thinking, and

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Speaker 1: even I do not think this game is going to happen. No,

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Speaker 1: TCU is not going to win this game.

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Speaker 3: Oh poor Frogs. Matt, you feel the same way.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Baylor's I think I heard Goodman or Perish on the

337
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Speaker 2: CBS Sports Pod talk about it. I think Baylor's like

338
00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,400
Speaker 2: fifteen and two or fifteen and three on the road

339
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Speaker 2: the last years in the Big twelve. They truly treat

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Speaker 2: road trips as business trips. A bunch of adults, that's

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Speaker 2: team are not going to fade anytime.

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Speaker 3: Okay, let's move on to the next one, because I

343
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Speaker 3: think This might be my favorite money line play of

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Speaker 3: the week in terms of value. Yeah, and just the

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Speaker 3: potential for it to happen. We've got which Toss State

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Speaker 3: heading on the road to Houston. Now, Ken Bomas is

347
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Speaker 3: at fifteen. I certainly do not think the actual spread

348
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Speaker 3: will be that high because the injury issues that Houston

349
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Speaker 3: is dealing with, But even as like a twelve point favorite,

350
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Speaker 3: you're going to get a pretty nice, juicy money line price.

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Speaker 3: And Houston is totally ravaged. They played like seven guys

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Speaker 3: against Temple, they only played three guards, and which Toss

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Speaker 3: State can spread you out, they can make the game mucky.

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Speaker 3: They're going to struggle on the defensive glass against Houston's barrage,

355
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Speaker 3: but they compete. They competed against Arizona's much bigger frontline

356
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Speaker 3: on a neutral court. I think the Shakers have a

357
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Speaker 3: real chance here.

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Speaker 1: Kai. Yeah, it's worth a sprinkle with all of Houston's

359
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Speaker 1: guard issues. Now Kyler Edwards is not too far away

360
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Speaker 1: from returning, and when he gets back in the lineup,

361
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Speaker 1: I'm not as keen on fading it even without Sasser,

362
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Speaker 1: but I think this is a good one which tost

363
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Speaker 1: State is well coached. Didn't show up against Memphis, maybe

364
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Speaker 1: a little bit tough spot for them, but this game

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Speaker 1: I think is one where they can get it done

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Speaker 1: and it's worth money line sprinkle Jim, as you said,

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Speaker 1: the value is huge. You're going to get a really

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Speaker 1: nice price in the money line.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Kem Palm showing at fifteen. I'm sure

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Speaker 2: it opens closer to like ten, and so your value

371
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Speaker 2: won't be astro but still have anything where you're just

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Speaker 2: transferring the point spread to the money line price. It's

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Speaker 2: going to be in the ballpark of a low double

374
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Speaker 2: digit money line type of price, and I think that's

375
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Speaker 2: great value. There's value here which Law State's the ultimate

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Speaker 2: cockroach and they could have the best player on the

377
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Speaker 2: floor and Tyson at ty N if he catches fire

378
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Speaker 2: like he has done a few times this season.

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Speaker 3: Yep. So I definitely endorsing sprinkling Wichita State there and

380
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Speaker 3: then my last one here that I have guys that

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Speaker 3: I'm also going to official endorse as long as they're

382
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Speaker 3: fully healthy. This is something we have to wait and see.

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Speaker 3: I guess Indiana State at Drake on Saturday, Drake laying

384
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Speaker 3: ten per Ken Pomroy. I would guess maybe it's right

385
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Speaker 3: around there, especially with Roman pennback. Maybe it's even a

386
00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:16,680
Speaker 3: little bit higher because the Bulldogs might take some money.

387
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Speaker 3: But I love this Indiana State team. I love the

388
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Speaker 3: way they run offense. They've got two wing creators and

389
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Speaker 3: Cam Henry and Jabo Bledson that followed their coach from

390
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Speaker 3: Division two, so they know the system in and out.

391
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Speaker 3: They run really pretty offense. Matt and Drake hasn't been

392
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Speaker 3: the same team this year that they were last year,

393
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Speaker 3: so I think this one's worth a shot. Indiana State

394
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Speaker 3: is a live, live dog.

395
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Speaker 2: I like your angle on ISU Blue as we call them,

396
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Speaker 2: or sorry, Jordan Mgeskin so lovingly coin them Ma Jeskin, Pijeski, Majeskin,

397
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Speaker 2: Majeskin Majeskin. Le's good, let's end and on the last

398
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Speaker 2: time his last time. I think they're awesome. I love

399
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Speaker 2: how they have this unfamiliarity advantage within conference play. You

400
00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:57,920
Speaker 2: haven't played them, you can watch film, but until you

401
00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:00,000
Speaker 2: see up close. I think that does give them us

402
00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,600
Speaker 2: slight edge. However, I do think Drake's a Bilo right now,

403
00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,400
Speaker 2: and the Missouri State game, to me, Roman Penn looked

404
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:06,920
Speaker 2: a lot better. He looked pretty quick. He looked like

405
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:08,920
Speaker 2: his old self. They missed a lot of open shots

406
00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:09,240
Speaker 2: in that.

407
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Speaker 3: Game, as all of the open shots in fact, I

408
00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:13,040
Speaker 3: think one for sixteen.

409
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Speaker 2: Yeah, like you know, you make three or four more.

410
00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:17,880
Speaker 2: That games are different. We're writing some different about that game.

411
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Speaker 2: I just like Drake in general, So no, Jim, I

412
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:21,440
Speaker 2: am out on this one, but I like your general.

413
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:23,560
Speaker 2: Is U blue angle long term?

414
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Speaker 3: Yeah?

415
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Speaker 1: Same, definitely looking the bed Indiana State in conference play,

416
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Speaker 1: but not at Drake, not after a loss.

417
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Speaker 3: No, thank you, it's too bad, guys. I will take

418
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Speaker 3: my units and rub them in your faces. Go all right,

419
00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:36,520
Speaker 3: Matt Kai anything you want to add And I know

420
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Speaker 3: you've got one written down here? What are you looking at?

421
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Speaker 2: Yeah, Bradley la oh, I'm staying in the valley, jim My.

422
00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,320
Speaker 2: Braves are starting to turn it around, and I just

423
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Speaker 2: got beat in a spot. They probably shouldn't have lost

424
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Speaker 2: to Indiana State, but they should have just lost. Devils

425
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Speaker 2: should have lost. The money was all over Bradley, and

426
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Speaker 2: they were all losers. Luckily, I think we stayed away.

427
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Speaker 2: But I think this is a bounce back spy here.

428
00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:56,720
Speaker 2: They should get just Sean Henry back. Although I've said

429
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,399
Speaker 2: that before, and it seems like this concussion protocol keeps lasting.

430
00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:01,720
Speaker 2: Seem like it's actually dragged on longer than some of

431
00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,320
Speaker 2: the COVID stuff. But they're also catching Loyola. The Blurs

432
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Speaker 2: off a long pause themselves. I know they could end

433
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:08,440
Speaker 2: up playing a game before.

434
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:11,919
Speaker 3: It's actually scheduled. They're playing in Salt Lake City, yep.

435
00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:14,679
Speaker 2: The fly back then to Chicago. I think it's kind

436
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:15,880
Speaker 2: of a tough spot for the Blurs. I know they'll

437
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:17,320
Speaker 2: actually have a game on the belt, but it's still

438
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:19,479
Speaker 2: tough travel. I think Bradley's a live dog here man.

439
00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:22,320
Speaker 2: The way they defend the length. If this game plays lower,

440
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,320
Speaker 2: which I know they all was playing faster this season,

441
00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:25,960
Speaker 2: but I think it should play to a lower number

442
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,080
Speaker 2: should help you as a dog. And again it's a

443
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:29,280
Speaker 2: value play. I mean, it's going to be like a

444
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:32,000
Speaker 2: thirteen point spread probably, it's gonna be probably low teens,

445
00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:33,960
Speaker 2: similar to the point Jim was we were making about

446
00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 2: which talk. So again it's all about value with these

447
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:38,280
Speaker 2: money line dogs. I think the Braves are are pretty.

448
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:38,520
Speaker 3: Good hit here.

449
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:39,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't.

450
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,800
Speaker 2: I don't mean Lill hasn't lost Bradley since twenty nineteen.

451
00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:45,520
Speaker 1: It's not gonna happen, so not that long.

452
00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:46,359
Speaker 2: Two years ago.

453
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:49,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a different Loyal team though, I mean.

454
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:50,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, it is two and a half years ago.

455
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:54,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, well last year it's basically the same team. They're

456
00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 3: Juggernaut top thirty type squad. If you're not in an

457
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:00,560
Speaker 3: Indiana State at Drake, I can't get there on Bradley

458
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:03,560
Speaker 3: at Loyal. So maybe if it was their first game

459
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:05,080
Speaker 3: back off the pause, but I think they're going to

460
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,480
Speaker 3: be closer to running on all cylinders after that San

461
00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:11,280
Speaker 3: Francisco game. Quick recap of what we got Valpo, Marist,

462
00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:14,200
Speaker 3: Wichita State in Indiana State? Matt, what do you got.

463
00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:15,960
Speaker 2: Valpo and Marist? I agree with you, and I'm also

464
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,639
Speaker 2: going to take Witchital also agreeing with you, I'm deviating

465
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,040
Speaker 2: from you on Indiana State. I am taking Bradley as

466
00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:21,400
Speaker 2: my home.

467
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,360
Speaker 1: Mary and Kai, I like Maris and Witch toa jim

468
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:25,760
Speaker 1: Tho's are good ones you identified.

469
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:28,320
Speaker 2: So go those teams, the Fox and the Shock.

470
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:31,720
Speaker 3: We'll judge how well that went in a week, and

471
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,399
Speaker 3: we will be brutally honest with ourselves if we stunk,

472
00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:36,840
Speaker 3: or we will be loud and proud if we got

473
00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 3: them right. So all right, let's move on next section.

474
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 3: Blowout city guys. Last week most games got axed. Texas

475
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:51,800
Speaker 3: A and M covered the ken Bomb spread that we

476
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,320
Speaker 3: discussed twenty four, but they did not cover the closing

477
00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 3: spread of twenty seven, so that one's tricky. And then

478
00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:59,600
Speaker 3: Rutgers went one for two, blew out Central CONNECTICU but

479
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:02,399
Speaker 3: not Main Grand Canyon, did not blow out Chicago State.

480
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,000
Speaker 3: And you ay be murdered UTSA, you may be as

481
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:08,679
Speaker 3: designed just destroy these bad teams. Let's get into this first.

482
00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:12,280
Speaker 3: On Wednesday, we've got Patune Cookman at Florida International. It's

483
00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:15,720
Speaker 3: a fourteen point spread at Ken Palm. This one is weird, Kai,

484
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:18,440
Speaker 3: why is this game being played? Both teams are starting

485
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:20,119
Speaker 3: to get in the conference and now they're doing this

486
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,720
Speaker 3: one outside of league play. Tough to get a feel

487
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:24,280
Speaker 3: about who cares in that regard.

488
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's super dumb. I really, I really am

489
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,640
Speaker 1: not sure. It's a look ahead for FIU to Western Kentucky.

490
00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:33,240
Speaker 1: They're playing one of the best teams in the conference

491
00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 1: on the road three days after this game. I can't

492
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,040
Speaker 1: imagine they care much about Patune Cookman, a team they

493
00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,040
Speaker 1: assume they're going to walk all over and then Patune

494
00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:42,240
Speaker 1: Cookman goes right back into Conference Plany on Saturday after

495
00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 1: playing on Monday. So yeah, Jim, it's the battle who

496
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,200
Speaker 1: cares more? I tend to lean FYU, But if the

497
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 1: spreads big Man, I don't know. I don't think they're

498
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 1: going to blow them out if they just like who cares?

499
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 1: Who gives a shit? Right Matt?

500
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:55,679
Speaker 2: Yeah? Hey, this game is also at twelve pm Eastern

501
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 2: Time on Wednesday, so listen to this episode. Check your watch,

502
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,159
Speaker 2: make sure it hasn't already starts. It might be I

503
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,040
Speaker 2: might have gone around a little lide boat opportunity here

504
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,400
Speaker 2: or hopping right away. I kind of agree with Jim.

505
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 2: I do think FIU is built to completely dismantle brittle opponents.

506
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 2: And even though it's a short travel just across the

507
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 2: state at Daytona, I'm not really a fan of this

508
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 2: platoon team. I know they have some talent, but it

509
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 2: seems more guys who have flamed out that are looking

510
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 2: for second third chances that just really aren't that good.

511
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:22,679
Speaker 3: I don't fully endorse this funnyither. It just it was

512
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:24,639
Speaker 3: such a weird game on the schedule I thought maybe

513
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:26,400
Speaker 3: fi you could blow them out. But it's just such

514
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 3: an odd dynamic in.

515
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 2: Terms of it slim pickens in general within this group.

516
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:31,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's yeah. Once you get to conference play, it's

517
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 3: a little tougher. But let's talk a couple of these

518
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 3: potential blouts and conference play and start. On Thursday, Murray

519
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 3: State headed to Eastern Illinois. At first, guys, I was like, yeah,

520
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 3: I think this one's great. Eastern Ollois sucks. Murray State's

521
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 3: offense is lethal. But then I remembered what happens when

522
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 3: Murray State goes to this building. It is weird. It

523
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:53,399
Speaker 3: is crazy. Two years ago, Murray State led by twenty

524
00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 3: three seven minutes left fifty four to thirty one, and

525
00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 3: they lost in regulation sixty three to sixty. That's right,

526
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,439
Speaker 3: that is a thirty two to six run to end

527
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 3: the game. It was one of the most insane endings

528
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,160
Speaker 3: I've ever seen. I was on Murray State. I lost

529
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,439
Speaker 3: my mind as it was happening. They were a ninety

530
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,480
Speaker 3: nine plus percent chance to win for ten straight minutes

531
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 3: in the second half and then completely collapse. So that

532
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 3: happened two years ago, and then last year is like

533
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 3: a JV version of it. Murray State up eight with

534
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 3: four minutes left. Then they lose seventy four to sixty

535
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,760
Speaker 3: eight eighteen to four run in that one. So man,

536
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:26,760
Speaker 3: maybe this one should be on Live Dogs. Guys, that

537
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 3: was going on here Eastern.

538
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I use awful. We all know that. I

539
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 2: respect you providing both coins here of the argument, both

540
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 2: sides of the coin to this argument, Jim. But Murray's

541
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 2: just different this year.

542
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 1: Man.

543
00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 2: They have the old underachieving juju from the last couple

544
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,199
Speaker 2: of seasons that's now extinct. This team is the real deal,

545
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,200
Speaker 2: and I think they're playing like it with the confidence

546
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 2: that is oozing from wins at Memphis. Chen Uga a

547
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 2: team kind that I love being Yuga Adult Digs was like,

548
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:52,440
Speaker 2: Holy count, Murray's the real deal. That's when I was

549
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,359
Speaker 2: sold in this team. So I'm in rayce On.

550
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, you have to think Murray remembers those two collapses. Also,

551
00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:01,080
Speaker 1: they were swept by Yeah, last year they lost in

552
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:03,479
Speaker 1: the at home, So yeah, you was like two and

553
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,880
Speaker 1: one against this team last two years now, two years ago.

554
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,959
Speaker 1: EAU was actually pretty good. Last season, Murray had one

555
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 1: of the weirdest years for a good team in the

556
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 1: COVID Realm. They weren't as good as they usually are

557
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,640
Speaker 1: in McMahon. This year they're all the way back. They're awesome.

558
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:18,920
Speaker 1: They're going to challenge Belma for the title in the OVC.

559
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 1: And like Matt said, East Illinois's futud one of the

560
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,200
Speaker 1: worst teams in the country. I think this happens. Murray

561
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 1: State is going to blow them out.

562
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,200
Speaker 3: You should get just like the hyper motivated big favorite here,

563
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 3: like a lot of the guys on the same team,

564
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 3: like Tevin Brown is going to be like I have

565
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,359
Speaker 3: been a part of two collapses in this building. Yeah,

566
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 3: we need to take care of a horrendous team.

567
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 2: Do we want data? Are we data guys? Here our

568
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 2: dada data?

569
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 3: We love data guys.

570
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 2: Wanted data guy, da guy. You mentioned Kai Murray was

571
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 2: perceptionally a bad year last year, right underachieved, struggled. I

572
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 2: have some ats stats from Belmont Morehead Murray in conference play.

573
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 2: The theme is basically, the ovc's non elites are so terrible,

574
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 2: and I think there's actually a value not blindly playing

575
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 2: the favorites, but looking to attack those favorites in the

576
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 2: right spots. Murray was actually ten to eleven in conference

577
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 2: play last season. They're basically a five hundred as badly

578
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,520
Speaker 2: as I thought they played. Now Bellmont was fourteen and nine,

579
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 2: Morehead was sixteen and seven against the number. This season,

580
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 2: I think the ovc's dregs have been even worse. So

581
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 2: in general, I'm looking to kind of poke at these crappy,

582
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 2: low end teams.

583
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 3: Oh that's a fun little transition, Matt, because next team

584
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:23,159
Speaker 3: on here is Belmont minus one. They're hosting s Simo

585
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,119
Speaker 3: just gave up one hundred and six points to that

586
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 3: Murray State team you mentioned lost by twenty five. Yes,

587
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 3: that means they scored eighty. But Belmont is arguably better

588
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:34,640
Speaker 3: than Murray State. So what do we have to believe here, Kay,

589
00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 3: that Simo can compete.

590
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:39,439
Speaker 2: I feel like the over is yes, Semo overs, Simo

591
00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 2: overs ye playing so fast this season, and yeah, they

592
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 2: can't stop anyone. I mean, even giving up seventy nine

593
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 2: to Austin p is just brutal. They scored ninety eight.

594
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 2: They can score, they can get out. In transition, Belmont

595
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,719
Speaker 2: is not a team you want to bade. In general,

596
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:56,440
Speaker 2: I do think this game is going to be close

597
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 2: to eighty possessions. So I do like Belmont here at

598
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,920
Speaker 2: minus twenty one. It bigger, of course, because Vegas oddsmaker

599
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:04,879
Speaker 2: is always shade towards the favorite. But I think Belmont's

600
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 2: going to be the pick here.

601
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 3: I'm with you. I think Bellmont just absolutely crushes them.

602
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 3: Scores one hundred plus for sure, So no ruins, all right.

603
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 3: Two more quick ones the dregs of the entire country

604
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 3: playing good teams in their league. That would be Mississippi

605
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 3: Valley State on Saturday headed to Prairie View A and

606
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:22,120
Speaker 3: m our master. Ken Pamarai has it at minus twenty three.

607
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,920
Speaker 3: I would guess higher, although Prairieview is coming off of

608
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,879
Speaker 3: COVID pause. That's the one thing that gives me some hesitants.

609
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 3: But Matt Prairiview has been playing like an insane glantlet

610
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:32,439
Speaker 3: of a schedule. They have to be so excited to

611
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,320
Speaker 3: play inferior competition for basically the first time all year.

612
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I don't think this will be Valay State's

613
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: going to shoot like fifteen of thirty from three. They

614
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,679
Speaker 2: just were in their conference opener. That ain't sus animal.

615
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 2: And I think this one gets ugly pretty quickly. I

616
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,159
Speaker 2: think like thirty thirty plus turnovers is in play for

617
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 2: the delta levels it's got to get ugly.

618
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 1: And Prayer View actually has a game against Southern on

619
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 1: Wednesday prior to this game, which I think is huge

620
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 1: if you want to bet Pray Review in the situation,

621
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 1: I think Prairie's going to struggle in that first game

622
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 1: back against a very good Southern team. It's going to

623
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 1: be like a reprieve coming back home. Finally, it'll be

624
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,120
Speaker 1: the first game of the year, home game of the year,

625
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:05,480
Speaker 1: and they might be on one in conference play. They're

626
00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 1: ready to win a game. They're gonna blow them out.

627
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 3: You'll get right game. It's gonna be fun where a

628
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 3: team that might have zero wins on the season is

629
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,359
Speaker 3: going to be like a twenty five point favorite.

630
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 1: Craziness.

631
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,920
Speaker 3: All right, last one. I U p U I maybe

632
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 3: the worst offense in the entire country. Swack and Mic

633
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,680
Speaker 3: included headed to Right State, and man, if there's one

634
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 3: team in the country that can't take advantage of Right

635
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,399
Speaker 3: State's poorest defense, it is I U p UY. This

636
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 3: also feels like a get right spot ky Right States

637
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 3: had their issues and it is a get right spot

638
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,600
Speaker 3: with the w I hope everyone's getting that.

639
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,240
Speaker 2: I have thought that Right State is going to get Right.

640
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 1: For games and games and games upon games and all right, Oh,

641
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 1: they're awfully they can't stop anybody. But to Jim's point,

642
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,440
Speaker 1: I p u, I cannot score. So Matt, I don't

643
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 1: like you to bet on any either of these teams.

644
00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:59,200
Speaker 1: I know my number is going to say bet Right State,

645
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:01,160
Speaker 1: but they've let me down so many times in the past.

646
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:02,439
Speaker 1: I don't know if I can get hurt again. I'm

647
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: not ready to get hurt again.

648
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 2: No, I've been scarred. It's a toxic, poisonous relationship. I'm

649
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:09,680
Speaker 2: looking to put in my rear view. Just looking at

650
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 2: Right State's last two conference games, they squeaked by Milwaukee

651
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,439
Speaker 2: by five, sweaked by Green Bay by three. I just

652
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:17,919
Speaker 2: think they're also content coming off last season when they

653
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 2: blew everyone out by a million. They're like, hey, we

654
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 2: just got to win. You know, they're six and seven.

655
00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:22,720
Speaker 2: They trail, but hey they're three and one. They're looking

656
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:24,280
Speaker 2: at the conference standings like, hey, we're actually not in

657
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 2: a bad spot all things considered. And I think that

658
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 2: comes into their mindset where they don't have the same

659
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 2: like we're going to put you away that they had

660
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 2: last season, especially in the back to back spots. I'm

661
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,439
Speaker 2: actually looking at fader Right State here as a favorite

662
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:35,879
Speaker 2: in this conference.

663
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,639
Speaker 3: Going forward, Right State against Iepui, I will be on

664
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,440
Speaker 3: Right State. AUPI is terrible, terrible, terrible. They are so

665
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 3: bad though this is the the Right State actually wins

666
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 3: by thirty five or whatever and inflates their value a

667
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:47,479
Speaker 3: little bit in the market.

668
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 1: By the way, Right State was at Iepui twice last

669
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,879
Speaker 1: year they won by twenty eight. They won by thirty.

670
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 3: So that was a much better IUPUI team.

671
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, and a better Right State team to be fair.

672
00:27:57,640 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 1: But yeah, so that's an angle.

673
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 3: Jim, good job, Right Power Game of the week. We've

674
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,199
Speaker 3: got five games here. Won't dwell on any of them

675
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 3: too long, because hey, we're probably gonna have two or

676
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,080
Speaker 3: three of them canceled, because that's the way it works.

677
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:12,520
Speaker 3: But Wednesday night tonight at Alabama at Florida, the big

678
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:16,600
Speaker 3: one in the SEC mat. You had this little raz

679
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 3: of poor Florida and what they did in the month

680
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:19,320
Speaker 3: of December.

681
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,840
Speaker 2: They failed to beat a single top two hundred team.

682
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 2: They lost a home to Texas Southern. That team's in

683
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 2: a swack squad, not an SEC school kai and they

684
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:31,479
Speaker 2: knocked off Oklahoma and Maryland. Whoopee fucking do is kind

685
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 2: of where I end up on that assessment. Hey, I

686
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 2: think they're better, only thought, but they're not like trending

687
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 2: toward top ten good like I think we were maybe

688
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 2: suspecting they could get to early on. I think Bama

689
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 2: takes care of business here. I know Florida's defense is

690
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 2: really good and can be a neutralizer to the penetration

691
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,600
Speaker 2: the high octane offense that Bama has kai but I

692
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,480
Speaker 2: think this is awfully short and I'm looking to hop

693
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:53,960
Speaker 2: in on Bama when I think some people are starting

694
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 2: to write them off a bit.

695
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 1: I mean, they got back against seat of CFF. Davison lost,

696
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,200
Speaker 1: and guess what, I think the same thing is happening now.

697
00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 1: I respect home floor in the SEC, especially for good

698
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 1: teams like Florida. I think they get this win. It's

699
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 1: the first SEC game I had to take it to Alabama.

700
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 1: They d up a little bit.

701
00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, Gears, we're assuming it's like a two point spread,

702
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,760
Speaker 2: and right, Jim, that's our assumption within there.

703
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:18,360
Speaker 3: I'm completely torn on this one. I think Alabama is better,

704
00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 3: and I mean not categorically so, but close to that.

705
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:22,680
Speaker 3: But I don't think the matchup is great for them.

706
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 3: Florida's strength is probably their individual perimeter defenders with Fleming

707
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 3: and Derugi and the Kissick and even Applebee, and like,

708
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 3: that's what you need to do against Alabama. If you

709
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 3: keep them in front, one on one on the perimeter,

710
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 3: they get really frustrated. They take bad threes over the top,

711
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 3: and that's when you have the like six of twenty

712
00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 3: eight shooting game from Alabama where it's like, oh, they're cold,

713
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:45,040
Speaker 3: Like no, they're just taking crappy ones. I'm fully split

714
00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 3: on that one, and we'll ride the fence on the tide,

715
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 3: even though I do love natoes, all right. Next one,

716
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,760
Speaker 3: Ohio State and Indiana. This one is Thursday. Probably a

717
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 3: slight favorite for Indiana. Ohio State coming off a COVID pause,

718
00:29:57,840 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 3: needed overtime to win at Nebraska. Indiana just lost at

719
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 3: Penn State, but that one was a little bit asterisk

720
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 3: with the insane shooting that the NINEE Lions had in

721
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 3: that one, so shaky efforts for both kai Which one

722
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 3: do you think bounces back with a good effort here?

723
00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, for those who didn't watch the Penn State game,

724
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 1: I mean we're talking turnaround, fade away, twenty five footers

725
00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 1: for Penn State.

726
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 3: Going in end of shot clock, step back shot.

727
00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 1: Quality y SI, we like a lot had that game

728
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,480
Speaker 1: as a ten point win for Indiana based on the

729
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 1: quality of shots. The expectations has been actually going to

730
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 1: the basket. Indiana, Man, they have no Q one or

731
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 1: Q two wins. They need this. Not only are they

732
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 1: wanted to in the Big Ten, they're at large hopes

733
00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:37,120
Speaker 1: or in jeopardy and going in the year, we thought

734
00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 1: no way that was going to be the case. This

735
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,479
Speaker 1: team has so much talent. We believe in Woodson. They

736
00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 1: do a top fifteen defense. I think that's for real.

737
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 1: They have so many good athletes on this team, so

738
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 1: much depth. The problem's been guard play, Matt. The turnover

739
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 1: has been terrible. I mean, David Johnson does stuff. Sometimes

740
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 1: I'm just like, what are you doing? Like what's going

741
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 1: through your head? I do think they can get right

742
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: here assemble haul better be rocking on Thursday. I think

743
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 1: it will will be all towards the Hoosiers getting this back,

744
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 1: hoping to have them as a dog.

745
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 2: Honestly, I doubt it's a dog. I think really if

746
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 2: it does open there, I feel like the early money

747
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 2: is going to smash it to IU. Flipping to a

748
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: favorite here. I love the Hoosiers in this home spot.

749
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:18,080
Speaker 2: My alma mater allegiance is notwithstanding, Indiana has played about

750
00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 2: as we thought they would this year just in looking

751
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 2: across at a macro level, but they haven't closed out games.

752
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 2: They've struggled to put away teams they should have beaten.

753
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 2: I thought Syracuse multiple times to win that game. A

754
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,720
Speaker 2: Wisconsin obviously the infamous blown lead, and then Penn State,

755
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 2: I mean, just executate down the stretch. Maybe Penn State

756
00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 2: doesn't hit a shot blindfolded and they could easily be

757
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 2: thirteen to zero. So I think just because IU doesn't

758
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 2: have that marque went and they're not really like in

759
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 2: top twenty five consideration, they sort of get swept under

760
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 2: the rug. But I think they're a top twenty five

761
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 2: caliber team, and this matchups really good.

762
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:46,080
Speaker 1: Man.

763
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 2: Their strength is inside gym, and that's where Ohio State

764
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 2: lives and breeds.

765
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 3: I love Indianna here. I think if you're getting pick

766
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 3: minus one, that's fantastic. A massive, massive home spot back

767
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 3: against the wall. Desperate team against Ohio State, who did

768
00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 3: not look very good, would have gotten beat by ten

769
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 3: or fifteen if the freshman Malachi Branham didn't experience. Yeah,

770
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 3: so I love the Hoosiers there right next one. Also,

771
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 3: now we're moving to Saturday, three big Saturday games. Kansas

772
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 3: probably a short favorite at Texas Tech. Terrence Shannon's status

773
00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 3: mega up in the air for the Red Raiders. Now.

774
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 3: The one thing I looked at here, guys, Texas Tech's

775
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 3: played a crappy schedule, but they have not had a

776
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 3: single good home team come to town. So like they

777
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 3: haven't had the home hype crowd opportunity. And this is

778
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:35,800
Speaker 3: the ultimate chance against Kansas, the big brother of the conference.

779
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 3: Do you think they're able to get it done even

780
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 3: without Shannon or do you think they need him on

781
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 3: the court to be able to back the Red Raiders.

782
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 1: I think they need Shannon if you want to back

783
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 1: Texas Tech in this game. As much as I do

784
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: like Texas Tech this year, I think they're a good team.

785
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 1: I think Kansas is another tier above them. I don't

786
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 1: think Matt that it's going to be a one point spread,

787
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 1: as Kim Pomp suggests. I think Kansas is going to

788
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 1: take money. I hope it doesn't get too far up

789
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 1: there because I'm probably looking to bat Kansas here, even

790
00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 1: on the road in a hostile environment.

791
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, Texas Tech is that we still't really know a

792
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,480
Speaker 2: lot about them, right Their schedule is pretty neatly to

793
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 2: segment it into cupcake tune ups and like Marquee games.

794
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 2: And I don't think they've played poorly in those Marquee games.

795
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 2: Like I you, they're still searching for that big underscore

796
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:19,960
Speaker 2: headline when maybe this is the spot for them to

797
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 2: get it. But I'm with Kai. I think just the

798
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:24,200
Speaker 2: way Ky's playing right now, I don't want to get

799
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,240
Speaker 2: going that team. I think Baylor and Kansas are both

800
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,760
Speaker 2: on a colision course for you know, just a couple

801
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 2: of losses. When it's all said down in Big twelve,

802
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 2: they really separate themselves from the rest of the pack.

803
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 3: If you gave me one hundred percent Terrence Shannon, I

804
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:37,960
Speaker 3: would be on the side of the whole crowd exact

805
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:40,120
Speaker 3: spot here, but he might not even play at all.

806
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 3: So gott a lean towards the Jayhawks in that perspective,

807
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 3: all right. Next one in the SEC, Tennessee headed to LSU.

808
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:50,600
Speaker 3: Plus you had a nightmare performance at Auburn. They scored

809
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:52,720
Speaker 3: one point in the first eleven minutes or something like

810
00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 3: that showed up.

811
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:54,760
Speaker 2: Late, so I think they got there like a few

812
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:55,239
Speaker 2: minutes late.

813
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, it took forever to get a field goal. Now

814
00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:00,880
Speaker 3: they're playing Kentucky on Tuesday night where recording this on Tuesday,

815
00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 3: so we don't know the result of that game. But

816
00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 3: this is a monster defensive battle, too awesome teams on

817
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 3: that end. Do we see any points?

818
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 2: I hope we see enough for Tennessee. I like the balls,

819
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:11,800
Speaker 2: but I always like the balls. I'm just trying to

820
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:13,239
Speaker 2: find the right spot to back them. It seems like

821
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:16,440
Speaker 2: I've been getting bad prices or bad situational opportunities when

822
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:18,800
Speaker 2: I'm looking to get on the vall bandwagon and scream

823
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:20,799
Speaker 2: Rocky Top, but just haven't yet. I think this is

824
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,080
Speaker 2: the spot for me here. I guess I'm rooting for

825
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 2: LSU to maybe win against Kentucky, right to set up

826
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:27,680
Speaker 2: for a little bit of let down, kind of an

827
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 2: EBB and flow emotional.

828
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, you'll go in too desperate type.

829
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:34,399
Speaker 2: Now, especially at home where I just feel like they're

830
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:36,000
Speaker 2: really just a better team. A lot of these as

831
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:37,640
Speaker 2: kind of mentioned. You got to respect sc home court,

832
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 2: especially not just because they're good at home because a

833
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,719
Speaker 2: lot of these teams don't travel as well. I think

834
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 2: that does create value opportunities. Kay, what do you look at?

835
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,359
Speaker 1: I hear, yeah, LS prior to this Kentucky game, they're

836
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 1: about to play the day recording LS. He's eight zero

837
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:50,560
Speaker 1: at home. It gets spread. It is a very good

838
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:52,879
Speaker 1: home team. But you're right. If they beat Kentucky here,

839
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 1: they're moving up in the analytics. And hey, maybe Tennessee

840
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:58,400
Speaker 1: struggles with a little miss here and sort of a

841
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 1: weird valley of the spot before they play LSU. I

842
00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:04,399
Speaker 1: think there's definitely value in Tennessee. If LSU wins, If

843
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 1: Tennessee struggles a little miss, you get those analytics a

844
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 1: little bit different, three or higher, probably in towards Tennessee.

845
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 2: Yeah.

846
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:11,520
Speaker 3: I kind of like the valls too. I think both

847
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:13,879
Speaker 3: these defenses are great, but Tennessee's offense is a little

848
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:17,239
Speaker 3: bit better. LC's offense can be nightmare. So I'm also

849
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 3: hoping LSU beats Kentucky for the reason of setting up

850
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 3: the spot all right. Last one power game of the

851
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:25,280
Speaker 3: week the Battle in the Mitten, Michigan versus Michigan State.

852
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 3: Since at ann Arbor, Wolverine's hosting slight favorite per Kempalm

853
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,800
Speaker 3: minus two. I guess it's a little bit higher. I

854
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:33,800
Speaker 3: think Michigan still has a little more respect from the

855
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 3: odds makers and the market. But man, Michigan State's been

856
00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:38,880
Speaker 3: pretty good. They were able to pull out the win

857
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,760
Speaker 3: at Northwestern and the cover Matt Which side.

858
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 2: You lean in? Yeah, I mean based on what happens

859
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,440
Speaker 2: this week, I think both have games before this weekend showdown.

860
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 2: I'm actually really curious where the odds makers open this.

861
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:52,640
Speaker 2: They've been a little bit all over the place with

862
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:55,719
Speaker 2: rating both teams, and the way Michigan's been Jekyl and

863
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:59,799
Speaker 2: Heidas shit times. Sparty's quiet emergence I think lately makes

864
00:35:59,880 --> 00:36:01,719
Speaker 2: us a tough one for them to handicap. I'm hoping

865
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 2: to catch Michigan anything at a field goal or less

866
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:06,719
Speaker 2: Kai and that's even from a guy who's been really

867
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 2: high on this Sparty subtle resurgence.

868
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:10,959
Speaker 1: All Right, I have not given up on this Michigan team,

869
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:13,839
Speaker 1: and this is a great spot to buy back in

870
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 1: on them against the rivalry game Michigan States Nola crisp

871
00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:21,800
Speaker 1: against Northwestern, and Michigan is certainly better Northwestern my eyes. Obviously,

872
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,279
Speaker 1: Michigan state tied to play this game. The Michigan is too.

873
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,960
Speaker 1: They need this win more than Sparti does. Michigan's can

874
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 1: be coming off a game at the Reck that's gonna

875
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:30,879
Speaker 1: be a tough game for them as well. I think

876
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 1: Michigan bounces back here wins this game, covers the spread.

877
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:37,440
Speaker 3: I love it. I love the bold call. There pretty

878
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,319
Speaker 3: mixed results in the past. I don't think there's really

879
00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 3: a pattern we can find from isover toward or these

880
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,440
Speaker 3: two programs against each other. Pretty balanced ats history, So yeah,

881
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,000
Speaker 3: I kind of lean towards the home team. I think,

882
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 3: like the SEC Big ten home court is very, very important,

883
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:52,959
Speaker 3: perhaps maybe the most in the entire country in terms

884
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 3: of these leagues. So lean towards the home team from

885
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:57,840
Speaker 3: all of us in the Wolverines, guys go to a

886
00:36:57,960 --> 00:37:00,040
Speaker 3: mid major game of the week and we'll have a

887
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:03,239
Speaker 3: quick trash man pick in our spotlight section. In the

888
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 3: mid major world, I just have to mention that, you know,

889
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:08,600
Speaker 3: we were pretty high in Western Kentucky especially. You two

890
00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:11,360
Speaker 3: were to get the win at was Louisiana Tech and

891
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:13,920
Speaker 3: they should have met, but they choked it away unfortunately.

892
00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:15,360
Speaker 2: Yeah they do that sometimes.

893
00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 3: Sorry, Yeah, but they they did cover Yeah right right, so.

894
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,279
Speaker 2: Still still won the ultimate game, Jim, the ultimate.

895
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:26,040
Speaker 3: Big battle for SoCon supremacy. Tonight Wednesday, Chattanooga had its wafford.

896
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:28,440
Speaker 3: Watford is zero to one after taking the loss to

897
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:30,799
Speaker 3: vm I to start league play, but could definitely still

898
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:32,359
Speaker 3: make the argument these are two of the best three

899
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 3: teams in the league. Chattanooga, I think the favorite per

900
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 3: projected records at bart Torvik and ken Palm. So what

901
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 3: do you think happens here with these two matthias.

902
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,240
Speaker 2: I really wanted to back Wawford. I've had them padged

903
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:46,319
Speaker 2: as like a team I just like in general, and

904
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,759
Speaker 2: potentially a low valley or a high value team because

905
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:50,919
Speaker 2: they did lose one of their best players and seem

906
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 2: to have not skipped a beat since. But I watched

907
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,440
Speaker 2: Chattanooga play East Tennessee State, and while I know it

908
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,320
Speaker 2: was a very fatal matchup in the fact that Etsu

909
00:37:58,400 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 2: is missing key big guys. I love Nuga the Cilia

910
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,360
Speaker 2: de Susa resurgence. It's been written about now a few times.

911
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 2: I think he's in store for more national inc as

912
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,920
Speaker 2: Nugo will inevitably run rough shot through this conference. I

913
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:10,600
Speaker 2: did not think i'd be saying that there's a clear

914
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:12,839
Speaker 2: cut favorite at this point in the year for any team,

915
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:14,839
Speaker 2: that the SoCon is balanced and as good as it's been.

916
00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 2: But I am sold hook line and sinker on the mox.

917
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 1: Top thirty offense right now in kem Pumper check.

918
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:22,359
Speaker 2: But don't they have They get all the pieces, They're

919
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,880
Speaker 2: big inside, they got shot makers. It's like Lamont Paris

920
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 2: Wollokshed offense. It's check check check.

921
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 1: Yeah. If they're awesome Wafford, it's one of those teams

922
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 1: that is so well coached and just so solid year

923
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 1: in year out that they can win this type of

924
00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 1: game at home. Even though NUGA is the big, bad

925
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 1: favorite in the SoCon. I don't think Watford is going

926
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 1: to be intimidated, and they certainly can board. On the

927
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 1: defensive end, they can put up a fight defensively, short

928
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 1: short spread. I probably towards NUGA, but I would not

929
00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:50,799
Speaker 1: be surprised if Wafford takes this one.

930
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 3: Yeah. I think that the lack of missing Messiah Jones

931
00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 3: is going to hurt them here. It's not going to

932
00:38:55,920 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 3: be painfully obvious, but I just think kind of in

933
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 3: between the lines, I wish we had that one more

934
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:03,799
Speaker 3: athletic forward to compete here, so I do lean towards

935
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 3: the Knox UAB North Texas on Thursday Mean Green a

936
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:11,200
Speaker 3: minus one favorite per Kenpom guys. I will be sprinting

937
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:14,120
Speaker 3: to the counter to bet North Texas in this one.

938
00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:16,440
Speaker 3: I've been waiting for a good spot to fade UAB,

939
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 3: a team that absolutely demolishes bad teams at home, over

940
00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:22,879
Speaker 3: and over, inflating their value. If this is minus one,

941
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 3: I love North Texas here kai super well coached. You're

942
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,120
Speaker 3: not going to turn the ball over against u AB's pressure.

943
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 3: UAB doesn't have a crowd to feed off of with

944
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 3: that pressure, and they can compete on the glass. I

945
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:34,840
Speaker 3: love North Texas here on Thursday.

946
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, a little scared. I don't like to fade UAB.

947
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 1: They're really really good, like really really good. But North

948
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 1: Texas is awesome at home. They have one of the

949
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:45,800
Speaker 1: best coaches in the country. I tend to think UAB

950
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 1: is going to be favored in this game, but I

951
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 1: say that I hope. So the market is on North

952
00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 1: Texas quite a bit. They're on both of these teams,

953
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:55,839
Speaker 1: so I'm curious with the push and pull the tug

954
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 1: of warrizen be or Matt in the market. I'm probably

955
00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:59,399
Speaker 1: a wait to see type of guy. That's plus one

956
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 1: maybe for Texas, maybe a pick. I'll hop it on

957
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 1: the me and Green. I'm less running to the books

958
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 1: as Jim is, and I'm more so strolling along.

959
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll probably prance there, Jim, so you'll beat me.

960
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:10,840
Speaker 2: Don't bet at too big, so you can save me

961
00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:13,080
Speaker 2: some line value please big kay? Right? Though, I've been

962
00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:15,400
Speaker 2: surprised that it seems like North Texas has been taking

963
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:17,520
Speaker 2: money and the team that I wouldn't think would be

964
00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:19,879
Speaker 2: a market darling with the roster turnover they had last

965
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:21,879
Speaker 2: year coming off you know, the Monumental went over Purdue

966
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,839
Speaker 2: in the INSTALLWY Tournament. A lot of key pieces there

967
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:25,879
Speaker 2: in the back court. I like North Texas though, Man,

968
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 2: I think if you get past the first wave of

969
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 2: pressure of you ab, they look mortal and not invincible

970
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 2: as we've seen them look so often the season, and

971
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 2: it's just a wall coach you. I think Grant Mchason

972
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 2: won't have they won't be shell shocked by the Blazers pressure.

973
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:40,360
Speaker 3: Yeah. My guy, Tyler Perry has been just phenomenal for

974
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:44,400
Speaker 3: North Texas. The Jewico edition given them. Yeah, the offensive

975
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 3: pop that they needed with the graduation of Javan Hamlet.

976
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:50,719
Speaker 3: So rull North Texas. All right, on Saturday, we've got

977
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 3: a game that we hope happens. Saint Mary's headed to BYU.

978
00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 3: We're not sure. Saint Mary's is currently on pause. Hopefully

979
00:40:57,360 --> 00:40:59,640
Speaker 3: they're out by then. They've got a couple of days

980
00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 3: to get that, but still unclear. St. Marris is a

981
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:05,000
Speaker 3: clear edge in the paint with toss and Foe two

982
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:08,239
Speaker 3: and the lack of bodies that BYU has turned this

983
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,200
Speaker 3: into a half court game. I think that is a

984
00:41:10,200 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 3: an edge to the Gaels. I kind of like them

985
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 3: as a dog. Ken pund listed as a four point spread.

986
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, if it's four, I'm taking the gals. Love this team,

987
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:21,719
Speaker 1: Love this team, Matthew Saint Mary's, Yep, Gails. They bet

988
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:23,719
Speaker 1: gals every time this year. Like what they're playing, I'm

989
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:25,279
Speaker 1: probably gonna bet them. That's just kind of my rule.

990
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:29,400
Speaker 3: They have inserted my guy, Gus Augustus Marciulionis into the

991
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:32,000
Speaker 3: into the starting lineup over Tommy Kuzy, and it's kind

992
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 3: of worked. Kuzzi's given them a little more scoring pop

993
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:37,480
Speaker 3: off the bench. Marciulionis is getting acclimated to a high

994
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:39,879
Speaker 3: Major ball. I think that team actually has a little

995
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,040
Speaker 3: more upside than we thought coming into the year because

996
00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 3: of the freshman marciulionis there. All right, let's go to

997
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:46,920
Speaker 3: the trash man pick of the week.

998
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:50,919
Speaker 2: Guys, it's trash time, the trash man pick of the week.

999
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:54,880
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage,

1000
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:58,440
Speaker 2: and you know it. Totally unreliable, undependable.

1001
00:41:58,560 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 1: That's it.

1002
00:41:59,120 --> 00:42:01,480
Speaker 3: You've been told off, honey, like that. Go ahead. I

1003
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:03,320
Speaker 3: don't think there is a better pick on the board

1004
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 3: than the Directional Michigan battle. It's another one in the mitten,

1005
00:42:07,120 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 3: Western Michigan at Central Michigan on Saturday. It's two of

1006
00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:13,120
Speaker 3: the worst defenses in the entire country, and that is

1007
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:16,400
Speaker 3: no lie. By adjust the defensive efficiency, they are both

1008
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 3: bottom fifteen. This is ugly. Both these teams have really

1009
00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:23,399
Speaker 3: really struggled to start this season. They both have new

1010
00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 3: ish coaches. Matt, I don't trust either one. I don't

1011
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:28,080
Speaker 3: want to watch this game. I hope one team wins

1012
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 3: by one thousand, just to set up value for next game.

1013
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:35,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. We're just rooting for selfish outcomes in any

1014
00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:37,200
Speaker 2: regard and that would be one of them. I guess

1015
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:39,560
Speaker 2: which team do you hate? Less Kai, I hate Central

1016
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,439
Speaker 2: Michigan less. I think Central Michigan is going to beat

1017
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 2: them cover the spread minus four. Yeah, they're a lot better.

1018
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 3: I think we certainly hope so they should be. Western

1019
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:50,600
Speaker 3: Michigan's got injury issues. Their point guard b Artists White

1020
00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:53,880
Speaker 3: has barely played this year. Central Michigan closer to full strength.

1021
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 3: They don't have the excuses that Western Michigan has. That

1022
00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 3: is the trash Man pick of the week. Let's get

1023
00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:03,120
Speaker 3: to our last section is the spotlight section, and we

1024
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:09,879
Speaker 3: are looking at teams coming off of long COVID pauses. Matt,

1025
00:43:09,920 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 3: how much are we taking into account what we saw

1026
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 3: last year with teams on COVID pauses and applying it

1027
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:16,759
Speaker 3: to the season. Do we think they're similar and we

1028
00:43:16,760 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 3: should use that info or is it kind of a

1029
00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:19,839
Speaker 3: different atmosphere this year.

1030
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:22,040
Speaker 2: I think it's a good baseline, and there's been a

1031
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,759
Speaker 2: lot written about published on Twitter, people doing just back

1032
00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:27,440
Speaker 2: then appkin analysis. People have written about it at length.

1033
00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:30,399
Speaker 2: Teams coming off pause I think roughly around like two

1034
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 2: to three points worse on average relative to the expectations

1035
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 2: without that pause. Now this year, anecdotally, it seems like

1036
00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:38,520
Speaker 2: it's not been as big of a deal. I don't

1037
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:40,640
Speaker 2: think the pauses are as dire as we saw last

1038
00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:42,880
Speaker 2: year Kai, So with that in mind, I think my

1039
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:45,920
Speaker 2: advice is, don't just blindly fade these teams. Is it

1040
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 2: a situation like Colorado State where every single guy had

1041
00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:50,319
Speaker 2: and they haven't practiced in three weeks, Or is a

1042
00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 2: situation like Seton Hall where it's just really two guys

1043
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:55,160
Speaker 2: those are isolated and the rest of the teams practicing,

1044
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:56,719
Speaker 2: it's not as big of a deal.

1045
00:43:57,040 --> 00:44:00,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't understand why it's not affecting teams more,

1046
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 1: at least the ones that we've been kind of fading

1047
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:06,000
Speaker 1: for that purpose. And SLEW is a perfect example. Richmond

1048
00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:09,040
Speaker 1: was a bet that we pretty much all made assuming

1049
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 1: SLU is going to be rusty coming off as COVID pause.

1050
00:44:11,600 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 1: We know they didn't practice very much, but they ended

1051
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:15,920
Speaker 1: up having majority of their roster in which kind of

1052
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:18,880
Speaker 1: goes to a bigger point. The roster uncertainty is the

1053
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:21,200
Speaker 1: biggest thing. You know. It seems like teams are bouncing

1054
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:23,360
Speaker 1: back better with lack of practice, but we don't know

1055
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:25,120
Speaker 1: who's in the lineup and out of the lineup, and

1056
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 1: that's really the key in this It's kind of a crapshoot.

1057
00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:30,479
Speaker 1: It's not an automatic phase as it was last year.

1058
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:33,359
Speaker 3: Yep, I think that's the key. Don't just blindly bet

1059
00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 3: against COVID teams. I don't think it's going to be profitable.

1060
00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:38,880
Speaker 3: A because it's built into the line in almost all cases,

1061
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,000
Speaker 3: and B these teams have just been better than you

1062
00:44:41,120 --> 00:44:43,799
Speaker 3: expect coming out of pauses so far this year. Let's

1063
00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:45,640
Speaker 3: hit on a couple of the bigger schools that are

1064
00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:48,720
Speaker 3: coming out of long pauses. We just saw a few,

1065
00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:52,000
Speaker 3: like mentioned Florida State, Saint Louis, Penn State succeed out

1066
00:44:52,000 --> 00:44:54,840
Speaker 3: of pauses, So maybe these squads will too. Start with

1067
00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 3: UCLA Kai, they have not played since December eleventh. It

1068
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:00,920
Speaker 3: feels like it's been a month. Oh, it has been.

1069
00:45:01,040 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 3: That's why they're supposed to players on the state this week.

1070
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:06,040
Speaker 3: That one is already canceled. I know they're trying to

1071
00:45:06,040 --> 00:45:08,240
Speaker 3: get in a game before they go to Cal this weekend,

1072
00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 3: but man, if they don't, Golden Bear's a live dog.

1073
00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:15,279
Speaker 1: Maybe Cal has played a lot better lately too. I yes,

1074
00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 1: it's type of I think the type of team I'm

1075
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:19,880
Speaker 1: looking to fade now that I'm like reversing all my

1076
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:23,000
Speaker 1: previous thoughts here that I'm looking to fade off of.

1077
00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:25,880
Speaker 1: This is a team that's rated super high and analytical

1078
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:28,680
Speaker 1: rankings like UCLA tenth and kem Pump. I'm sure they're

1079
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 1: up there in bart Torovic as well. The spread is

1080
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 1: gonna be big, and I think you're less likely to

1081
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:35,600
Speaker 1: cover a big spread as a favorite coming off of

1082
00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:38,480
Speaker 1: a month long pause. There could be more rust as

1083
00:45:38,520 --> 00:45:40,879
Speaker 1: a factor plays more into those type of spreads. Man,

1084
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:43,800
Speaker 1: So this probably is a good opportunity to fade UCLA.

1085
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:46,360
Speaker 1: I wouldn't do it too often because this team is awesome,

1086
00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:48,640
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think Cal could be a really nice play.

1087
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:50,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love Cal. I kind of agree with your

1088
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 2: point there, Kaind. Space feel like as a large favorite,

1089
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:54,160
Speaker 2: the teams are coming off pause are going to be

1090
00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 2: less in sync to like put a team away, So

1091
00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:58,760
Speaker 2: maybe you're actually looking to be at larger dogs against

1092
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:00,680
Speaker 2: team coming off pause. In gener there, Jimmy, you have

1093
00:46:00,680 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 2: a few more written down here at USC the Crosstown Brethren.

1094
00:46:03,400 --> 00:46:06,319
Speaker 3: Well, here's here's what I wanted to say. Cal gets

1095
00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:08,840
Speaker 3: them on Thursday. I think I'm probably gonna put a

1096
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:10,600
Speaker 3: little on count money line in both games.

1097
00:46:10,680 --> 00:46:13,200
Speaker 2: I think I get one of two that makes sense.

1098
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,279
Speaker 3: I like that, or maybe if they get USC, I

1099
00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:17,360
Speaker 3: won't bet the second one and just tuck my profits

1100
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:19,880
Speaker 3: into my pocket. But the one advantage for UCLA we

1101
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:22,319
Speaker 3: should mention is that Cody Riley got healthy during their

1102
00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 3: month off, their starting center, go to inside score. Having

1103
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:28,839
Speaker 3: him back definitely helped, so that kind of offsets Maybe

1104
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 3: some of the rest is that upgrade and roster. But yeah,

1105
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:33,920
Speaker 3: Matt USC the other team, an undefeated that's been on

1106
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:36,239
Speaker 3: the sideline for quite a while. They've got this Bay

1107
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:38,879
Speaker 3: Area trip. Do you think Stanford can get them?

1108
00:46:38,920 --> 00:46:41,359
Speaker 2: Or you just kind of like, look, yes I do,

1109
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:43,879
Speaker 2: of course you do. And I don't like Stanford bull

1110
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:47,600
Speaker 2: I'm sorry. I stubbornly am tied to Stanford like a

1111
00:46:47,680 --> 00:46:49,600
Speaker 2: stuck on you type of situation, even though I don't

1112
00:46:49,640 --> 00:46:51,680
Speaker 2: really want to be. I've just not been super impressed

1113
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 2: with what I've seen so far. They turned it over

1114
00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:55,719
Speaker 2: a million time. It's liberty. I'm still my head banging

1115
00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:57,319
Speaker 2: against the wall because of that. But yeah, I think

1116
00:46:57,360 --> 00:46:59,640
Speaker 2: Stanford's a good matchup for him. Though, no, not me.

1117
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: I hate Stanford.

1118
00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 2: I don't love them. I don't love them. They suck.

1119
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:08,320
Speaker 2: They suck like harry Ingram Herringram is a nice hol ballplayer,

1120
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 2: nice ball player.

1121
00:47:09,280 --> 00:47:12,320
Speaker 3: Unfortunately he's playing a team with no other guards. Sorry

1122
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:16,399
Speaker 3: Michael O'Connell, but yeah, others. Yukon has not played since

1123
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:19,200
Speaker 3: December twenty. First, they are heading to Seaton Hall on Saturday.

1124
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 3: I have Seaton Hall circled in multiple different colors highlighted.

1125
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:25,400
Speaker 3: I think that's going to be an awesome spot for

1126
00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 3: the Pirates. Got Loyal. Chicago has not played since December tenth.

1127
00:47:29,600 --> 00:47:31,879
Speaker 3: I mentioned this earlier in the episode. They're probably going

1128
00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 3: to Salt Lake to take on the Dons of San Francisco.

1129
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:37,799
Speaker 3: That's going to be a popcorn game for me. I

1130
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 3: just want to watch those two mid major powers go

1131
00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:43,239
Speaker 3: at it. It's a throwback Bracketbusters type game. KAI just

1132
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:44,200
Speaker 3: looking forward to that one.

1133
00:47:44,280 --> 00:47:46,840
Speaker 2: I'm taking Sanford. Loyal is gonna be a favorite, and

1134
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 2: I'm going to take the Donzi's Hard hard Dons.

1135
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:54,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, Don's have been practicing, and we don't know what

1136
00:47:54,200 --> 00:47:56,560
Speaker 3: Loyola has been doing. I think they had it really

1137
00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:58,400
Speaker 3: ripped through their program. A lot of guys had it.

1138
00:47:58,520 --> 00:48:01,719
Speaker 3: Others we want to mention Saint Bonaventure Saint John's both

1139
00:48:01,760 --> 00:48:04,799
Speaker 3: been off for a while. Vonaventure last scene getting their

1140
00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:08,320
Speaker 3: asses handed to them by Virginia Tech by flattery points

1141
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:11,200
Speaker 3: before Christmas. Embarrassing year for them so far this season.

1142
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:12,719
Speaker 3: I will go so far as to call it kind

1143
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,680
Speaker 3: of embarrassing. They've been bad and it got as bad

1144
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:18,520
Speaker 3: as it could get against Virginia Tech. They host SLEW

1145
00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:20,960
Speaker 3: on Saturday, a team that we mentioned has been pretty

1146
00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:23,839
Speaker 3: decent out of their pause. Good luck Bonnie's. I mean,

1147
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 3: you have a great home crowd, so I think that's helpful.

1148
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:28,959
Speaker 3: But I just don't think we've seen the engagement level

1149
00:48:29,040 --> 00:48:31,200
Speaker 3: even from the five seniors that you need to have

1150
00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 3: when you are the hunted as they are.

1151
00:48:33,120 --> 00:48:35,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they bounce back a ten play, this

1152
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:37,040
Speaker 1: is their time. I think we see a one or

1153
00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:39,320
Speaker 1: two loss a ten conference play.

1154
00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:44,160
Speaker 2: From oh, short, short spread Bonnies those situations like large

1155
00:48:44,200 --> 00:48:46,759
Speaker 2: favorite Bonnie like, they just need to win games. They

1156
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:48,399
Speaker 2: don't have the killer instinct that they had last year,

1157
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:50,080
Speaker 2: but they certainly don't want to lose. So I think

1158
00:48:50,080 --> 00:48:52,479
Speaker 2: there's you want to like narrow your scope to games

1159
00:48:52,480 --> 00:48:54,080
Speaker 2: where it's like close to a pick them spread.

1160
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,720
Speaker 1: All right, I'll say three losses. That was too much earlier,

1161
00:48:56,800 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 1: all right.

1162
00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 3: Last one to mention, Saint John's has not played since

1163
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:03,000
Speaker 3: December eighteenth. We have it on good authority that they

1164
00:49:03,000 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 3: had a bunch of guys test positive too, and I

1165
00:49:05,320 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 3: had a little bit of symptoms going around. They're hosting

1166
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:10,600
Speaker 3: To Paul on Wednesday. Kay, I'm just going to ask you,

1167
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,239
Speaker 3: this is De Paul live dog or are they to Paul.

1168
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:16,160
Speaker 1: I'm not impressed with Saint John's. So if this wasn't

1169
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 1: if De Paul was in non conference, play absolutely.

1170
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:19,839
Speaker 2: Paul's alive job.

1171
00:49:20,360 --> 00:49:21,319
Speaker 3: It's Big East to Paul.

1172
00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:22,640
Speaker 2: To Paul just.

1173
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:25,640
Speaker 1: Defaults right back to De Paul in the Big East

1174
00:49:25,640 --> 00:49:28,719
Speaker 1: Man and until they prove otherwise, I'm not backing them.

1175
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:30,879
Speaker 3: Yeah. I think they turn it over twenty five times

1176
00:49:30,880 --> 00:49:33,319
Speaker 3: against POSH in that pressure. And Saint John's is one

1177
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:34,960
Speaker 3: of those teams that were like, were they even on

1178
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:37,160
Speaker 3: a pause? Well, no, they're playing Big East to Paul.

1179
00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 3: That's what's going on, all right? I think that is it?

1180
00:49:40,080 --> 00:49:43,920
Speaker 3: Any other thoughts, Matt Kai, We've got some good spotlight

1181
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 3: ideas in the works that we're going to try to

1182
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:48,319
Speaker 3: have for you folks coming up in the future, so

1183
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:50,680
Speaker 3: keep an eye out for those. We will be back

1184
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 3: every Wednesday morning here on the Big Bets on Campus Feed.

1185
00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:57,400
Speaker 3: Please review on Apple Podcasts if you're so inclined, listen

1186
00:49:57,480 --> 00:50:00,800
Speaker 3: on Spotify wherever it is you get your podcast. Thanks

1187
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 3: for tuning in and we will see you next time.